13/03/2017

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:00:00. > :00:07.This is Business Live from BBC News with some new chap called

:00:08. > :00:13.The Dutch prepare to make their choice in a critical general

:00:14. > :00:15.election, with the economy up and crime down why are

:00:16. > :00:36.Live from London, that's our top story on Monday the 13th March.

:00:37. > :00:38.Could the far-right Dutch candidate, Geert Wilders, provide another

:00:39. > :00:45.setback to the European project and what could it mean for the Euro.

:00:46. > :00:49.Also in the programme, all change at HSBC!

:00:50. > :00:51.A new boss for the global banking giant.

:00:52. > :00:54.We'll head live to Asia fopr the latest.

:00:55. > :00:57.We'll head live to Asia for the latest.

:00:58. > :01:03.And markets on the move - Asian markets mostly

:01:04. > :01:04.higher on Monday, this is how Europe has opened

:01:05. > :01:15.after that much better than expected jobs report in the US last week.

:01:16. > :01:17.The Chinese economy may be slowing, but tourism is booming

:01:18. > :01:19.we'll get the Inside Track on China's rise

:01:20. > :01:22.Another form of tourism doing well is adventure

:01:23. > :01:36.With retirees fuelling the growth, swapping the cruise ship for the

:01:37. > :01:40.canoe. Is it your idea of holiday hell. We want to hear from you.

:01:41. > :01:48.Decision day is getting ever closer for the Dutch

:01:49. > :01:56.and tonight they get what - for many - could be a decisive last

:01:57. > :01:59.and tonight they get what, for many, could be a decisive last

:02:00. > :02:00.look at the candidates before Wednesday elections.

:02:01. > :02:02.The leading candidates will hold their final TV debate later.

:02:03. > :02:06.The Dutch vote is the first of three big elections across Europe this

:02:07. > :02:07.year casting uncertainty over the continent.

:02:08. > :02:11.Soon after come the votes in France and Germany.

:02:12. > :02:16.Financial markets are watching them all closely.

:02:17. > :02:18.Not least for what their results might mean for

:02:19. > :02:31.The current Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte faces a tough challenge

:02:32. > :02:33.from the far-right populist candidate Geert Wilders who has been

:02:34. > :02:37.But there is no standout leader in the polls giving greater

:02:38. > :02:41.Whilst the rise of populism is often linked with falling living

:02:42. > :02:43.standards, the Dutch remain one of the wealthiest

:02:44. > :02:50.Average income is nearly $53,000 per person.

:02:51. > :02:53.And economic growth is forecast at a steady 2% for this

:02:54. > :02:58.year with wages growing and unemployment falling.

:02:59. > :03:05.So one key election issue has been the foreign ownership of Dutch

:03:06. > :03:08.companies with the Labour Party, part of the current coalition,

:03:09. > :03:10.proposing the government should be able to block takeovers they deem

:03:11. > :03:24.Our next guest is from the Netherlands but working in the UK.

:03:25. > :03:26.Dr Stijn van Kessel is Lecturer in Politics

:03:27. > :03:37.Talk us through, from your perspective, what is on the minds of

:03:38. > :03:44.those going to the polls? There is an open race at the moment, no clear

:03:45. > :03:49.party is standing out. So voters have a tough choice if they want to

:03:50. > :03:53.determine who will eventually govern the country. It is an open race

:03:54. > :03:59.between six or seven parties which are all predicted to win around ten

:04:00. > :04:04.and 15% of the vote. From the international point of view, the

:04:05. > :04:08.focus as being on Geert Wilders, immigration and the far right, as it

:04:09. > :04:12.were. In the Netherlands, what have been the issues when it comes to

:04:13. > :04:18.what they have been debating and discussing and how will be enticed

:04:19. > :04:23.people to vote for them? They are important issues and they may become

:04:24. > :04:28.more important because of the diplomatic row between Turkey and

:04:29. > :04:33.the Netherlands. But there is a wide range of issues such as euthanasia,

:04:34. > :04:38.the ability to end your life for the terminally ill. Pension age is an

:04:39. > :04:43.issue, which came up a lot. But culture and immigration is the

:04:44. > :04:48.biggest issue. What do you think the outcome will be on Wednesday, it is

:04:49. > :04:52.difficult to predict? Yes, I don't want to make any predictions. It is

:04:53. > :05:04.difficult to predict their memory. In most elections, there is normally

:05:05. > :05:11.two parties clear. But the previously smaller Liberals and the

:05:12. > :05:17.Greens are doing well. There is no clear horse race affect. We put it

:05:18. > :05:30.in the context of Europe, many have said Brexit equals Donald Trump,

:05:31. > :05:35.equals Nexit. Internationally speaking, there is these events, so

:05:36. > :05:41.there is Brexit, Donald Trump and the French and German elections

:05:42. > :05:46.coming. So this vote is about Geert Wilders and whether people see this

:05:47. > :05:50.populist right-wing splurge. The difference between Brexit, Trump and

:05:51. > :05:55.the French elections, the outcome of this election doesn't signify a

:05:56. > :06:01.winner takes all principle. Geert Wilders, will perhaps win between

:06:02. > :06:05.around 15 and 20% of the vote but it doesn't get him very far because all

:06:06. > :06:10.of the other parties who are most important have ruled out of

:06:11. > :06:13.governing with him. Thank you for your time. Fascinating and it is

:06:14. > :06:19.something we will keep a close eye on here at the BBC.

:06:20. > :06:28.Just want to take you to the BBC website. It is important day here as

:06:29. > :06:31.well as far as Brexit is concerned. Ministers are expected to reject the

:06:32. > :06:36.changes by the House of Lords. They sent it back to the Commons and

:06:37. > :06:41.wanted two significant changes to the proposed bill before it would

:06:42. > :06:45.allow the Prime Minister to trigger Article 50. If they do agree on it,

:06:46. > :06:49.it formally starts the Brexit process and that could happen as

:06:50. > :07:04.early as tomorrow. So all eyes will be on the Commons as far as that

:07:05. > :07:10.vote is concerned. Change at the top of HSBC. Let's speak to the

:07:11. > :07:14.Macdonald in Singapore. Talk us through the significance of this, it

:07:15. > :07:20.is a big change? Yes, Mark Tucker is due to take over in October. He will

:07:21. > :07:25.succeed Douglas Flynn. And he is a one-time professional footballer but

:07:26. > :07:34.has had plenty of experience as an executive. He was the head of AIA

:07:35. > :07:41.and prior to that he held a leadership position with Prudential.

:07:42. > :07:45.HSBC is in the middle of the board and executive reshuffle, which

:07:46. > :07:48.showed poor profits last year which blamed Donald Trump and

:07:49. > :07:53.uncertainties caused by Brexit. The markets seem to like what they see,

:07:54. > :07:58.shares rose more than 2% on the Hong Kong exchange after the

:07:59. > :08:03.announcement. We will get the reaction from London in a little

:08:04. > :08:07.while. First order of business will be to find news chief executive to

:08:08. > :08:13.succeed Stuart Gulliver, who is planning to next year. Good to talk

:08:14. > :08:20.to you. We saw the figures from the markets on the screen. All of that

:08:21. > :08:25.coming of the better-than-expected jobs figures in the US last week.

:08:26. > :08:30.This is how Asia is looking at close on the Dow on Friday. Let's talk

:08:31. > :08:35.about what Europe is doing, the stronger growth is helping prop up

:08:36. > :08:39.the wider market. This is what Europe is doing. As well as the Fed

:08:40. > :08:46.meeting, central banks in four other rich economies, they are due to

:08:47. > :08:50.deliver their decisions on Thursday. We should Saint none of them expect

:08:51. > :08:53.to follow what the Fed is doing and tighten monetary policy, but they

:08:54. > :08:58.have the job of trying to get their economies back on track. For the

:08:59. > :09:08.Bank of England, it is trying to prepare the UK for Brexit. We will

:09:09. > :09:13.talk about that in a moment. Michelle has the details from New

:09:14. > :09:18.York. It'll be a busy week. On Tuesday, the US Federal Reserve will

:09:19. > :09:22.begin its two-day meeting. After the stellar job report and the

:09:23. > :09:25.continuing strengthening economy, the Fed will likely raise interest

:09:26. > :09:29.rates for only the third time since the global financial crisis. The Fed

:09:30. > :09:32.chair will be holding a press chair will be holding a press

:09:33. > :09:36.conference at the end of the policy meeting on Wednesday, where

:09:37. > :09:42.journalists will be asking her about her outlook on the US economy. And

:09:43. > :09:46.the equity markets will likely react as well. Other events, the White

:09:47. > :09:51.House budget director will release the Trump administration's budget

:09:52. > :09:57.proposal the same day. The US is also running up against its debt the

:09:58. > :10:01.newly installed Treasury Secretary has said the US will have to use

:10:02. > :10:08.extraordinary measures to pay its bills at the March the 17th, or else

:10:09. > :10:16.it runs the risk of defaulting. Michelle in New York. A busy week

:10:17. > :10:22.ahead in the United States. Always lovely to see you Justin. Brand-new

:10:23. > :10:29.trading week. The Fed is very much in focus. We have seen confirmation

:10:30. > :10:34.that the American economy is in very good shape. Contrary to what

:10:35. > :10:37.President Trump has been saying. Unemployment figures are good and

:10:38. > :10:43.growth is fine so rates will be going up. Janet Yellen, has told us

:10:44. > :10:48.last week that rates were going up and so she will stand up and confirm

:10:49. > :10:53.it. What we want to know is are they going to go up any more after this?

:10:54. > :10:58.It is pencilled in for two more rate rises this year. Not so worried

:10:59. > :11:03.about growth this year, it is going to 18 and 19 when you slow down and

:11:04. > :11:07.that is when you start putting rates down. You cannot cut rates until you

:11:08. > :11:13.raise them. So this is good news, even though some people might be

:11:14. > :11:18.worried. Compare what other central banks are doing, they are trying to

:11:19. > :11:33.get back to normality? Central banks in the UK won't be raising rates.

:11:34. > :11:37.The head of Bank of England has said they will focus on growth. That is

:11:38. > :11:43.right, because of the concerns over Brexit and economy could be slowing.

:11:44. > :11:47.In Europe, the Eurozone, there is more talk about rates going up

:11:48. > :11:51.because the economies are doing well. It is interesting, the

:11:52. > :11:55.whispering in the markets that perhaps rates could go up in the

:11:56. > :12:00.Eurozone has caused the Euro to go up. If that were to happen, it would

:12:01. > :12:05.be a way of? It doesn't have to happen yet. We were talking about

:12:06. > :12:11.September. We were listening to the head of the ECB and he said not yet.

:12:12. > :12:16.But the next move is going to happen and that is a positive sign. We are

:12:17. > :12:23.asking our viewers for their least favourite holiday idea. You have got

:12:24. > :12:27.many scary stories? Yes, but some joys of going into Uganda, probably

:12:28. > :12:35.not the best place to go. Where are you going next? I going to Galilee

:12:36. > :12:40.to do a date. I know what it means doing a date, what does it mean?

:12:41. > :12:47.Digging on a Roman empire and it will be northern Israel. Any issues,

:12:48. > :12:52.you are in a trench so you should be OK? Yes, I will take a tin hat so I

:12:53. > :12:54.will be fine. Moral of the story, don't go on holiday with you. Have a

:12:55. > :12:57.good week. Still to come, why

:12:58. > :12:59.China is booming - not for manufacturing,

:13:00. > :13:01.or exports - but for tourists. We speak to one firm that's cashing

:13:02. > :13:04.in the rising demand You're with Business

:13:05. > :13:23.Live from BBC News. If you're in the UK and you plan to

:13:24. > :13:26.travel by rail, you will have noticed disruption.

:13:27. > :13:29.Guards and drivers working for Northern Rail and Merseyrail

:13:30. > :13:32.are striking over the introduction of Driver Only Operated trains -

:13:33. > :13:36.and similar action is continuing on Southern Rail.

:13:37. > :13:43.Steph McGovern is at Leeds Railway Station.

:13:44. > :13:48.Getting busy, the rush hour underway, but some people could

:13:49. > :13:55.struggle to get to where they want to go? They certainly could. If you

:13:56. > :13:59.look at the board is it doesn't look too bad because actually the

:14:00. > :14:00.majority of the services, the Northern Rail operators are on time,

:14:01. > :14:07.but this is the revised timetable. but this is the revised timetable.

:14:08. > :14:12.When you talk to commuters, a lot of them have been waiting for trains.

:14:13. > :14:17.Northern Rail say they are only operating 40% of their services

:14:18. > :14:20.today. Also they have had to put rail replacement buses. We were

:14:21. > :14:24.chatting to people earlier who said they had to get the bus. It all adds

:14:25. > :14:28.to the roads and we know what they like during rush hour. Lots of

:14:29. > :14:34.commuters are facing this headline when they are handed this paper this

:14:35. > :14:42.morning. March madness as a million hit by train chaos. This is a main

:14:43. > :14:46.station for Northern Rail services. In the north-west you have

:14:47. > :14:51.Merseyrail. They are also facing disruption. They were hoping to put

:14:52. > :14:57.trains on every half an hour. They are normally on every 15 minutes,

:14:58. > :15:00.but there are quite a few drivers who haven't crossed the picket line

:15:01. > :15:03.so therefore they haven't got the drivers in order to be able to

:15:04. > :15:11.operate as many trains as they had hoped today. If you couple that with

:15:12. > :15:15.what is going on on Southern rail, they have faced so much disruption.

:15:16. > :15:18.They are also saying there will be disruption today but they are

:15:19. > :15:24.running 90% of their services. If you are going on those lines, look

:15:25. > :15:28.before you travel. But is it from me. I know how cold reads train

:15:29. > :15:39.station is, I am loving that fur collar. zbLez Bovis grabbed the

:15:40. > :15:47.headlines since it revealed two take-over bids have come through

:15:48. > :15:50.over the weekend. House-builder shares doing extremely well on the

:15:51. > :15:54.FTSE 250 today on the back of that development.

:15:55. > :16:02.China, once a net exporter of tourists around the world,

:16:03. > :16:04.is now opening its borders and welcoming visitors in greater

:16:05. > :16:10.China is now the world's fourth most popular tourist destination,

:16:11. > :16:16.Nearly 57 million people travelled to China in 2015 for holidays -

:16:17. > :16:20.according to the World Tourism Organisation.

:16:21. > :16:22.Most foreign visitors come from elsewhere in Asia

:16:23. > :16:26.But there are huge numbers of Western tourists

:16:27. > :16:38.visiting China every year - especially from the US.

:16:39. > :16:40.Wendy Wu Tours is cashing in on this trend specialising in off-the-beaten

:16:41. > :16:43.track tours to China, and has seen a big jump in bookings.

:16:44. > :16:46.Joining us now is Wendy Wu, founder of Wendy Wu Tours.

:16:47. > :16:54.Welcome. Good morning. Just tell us Wendy about how it started for you.

:16:55. > :16:58.You established your company quite a long time ago, but what caused you

:16:59. > :17:06.to go down this road in the first place? When I was 20 I went to

:17:07. > :17:11.Australia. I decided to go on a big holiday to China. I'm Chinese so I

:17:12. > :17:17.did all the research myself, but I didn't want to go by myself. So two

:17:18. > :17:22.weeks before the holiday I put a little ad in the paper to say, "This

:17:23. > :17:26.is how much it will cost. This is the place I'm going to go to.

:17:27. > :17:31.Whoever wants to come along, I will be your free guide." That was the ad

:17:32. > :17:36.and that's how we started and we took off from there. And from that

:17:37. > :17:40.point, of course, you've grown into a huge business. It is not just

:17:41. > :17:43.about booking a holiday, it's about everything that you get with it,

:17:44. > :17:49.it's the package, it is not just about a flight or hotel or a

:17:50. > :17:51.commute. Yes. And that's the most important thing because for many

:17:52. > :17:55.people going to China, it is the unknown. They don't know where to go

:17:56. > :17:59.and what to see and you put all that together and that's your unique

:18:00. > :18:06.selling point, is it? Ben, you've got it. What we do all the special

:18:07. > :18:11.experiences. I'm Chinese and I know Tibet inside out. So therefore, for

:18:12. > :18:17.example we take you to to see the Great Wall and we have the best

:18:18. > :18:21.guides in China and we also, because we know where we go, so therefore,

:18:22. > :18:23.for example, our customers will come back again and again with us. That

:18:24. > :18:28.helps us to grow. So we say OK, I helps us to grow. So we say OK, I

:18:29. > :18:35.have been to China so many times with you and where else do you want

:18:36. > :18:40.to go? Then we take them to Japan. China is just growing and growing

:18:41. > :18:43.because of that. It is growing and Western interest in holidays in

:18:44. > :18:48.China has exploded. And you have made the most of that and this year

:18:49. > :18:52.in terms of your turn over you've smashed last year's increasing turn

:18:53. > :18:58.over, haven't you and we're only in March. What I found interesting, I

:18:59. > :19:02.looked at your website and it was great and interesting, but I

:19:03. > :19:08.understand from last week you could book online. Is that not a little

:19:09. > :19:15.bit backwards? I would have thought you should have had us booking

:19:16. > :19:19.online many years ago? Yes. We grew very fast and because the

:19:20. > :19:23.destinations that we do such as China and Japan, people like to talk

:19:24. > :19:27.with us and they need our expertise and knowledge. We do audio

:19:28. > :19:31.experiences for example, over our holiday. Our job is to make it easy

:19:32. > :19:37.for you to go to China and experience the hole thing. So it's a

:19:38. > :19:41.three meal stay and all the entertainment and everywhere in

:19:42. > :19:46.China. So that's the reason we grow so fast. In the past, even working

:19:47. > :19:51.with our travel agents they are very strong for us so we grow on the back

:19:52. > :19:56.of that, but technology is very, very important especially for the

:19:57. > :20:01.future. So we decided we want to do it right. So we bought the

:20:02. > :20:06.technology in-house. So we have the technology in-house. Where will the

:20:07. > :20:11.growth come from? Will it be from the website or travel agents that

:20:12. > :20:16.you have relied on for so long? OK. You're right, we're doing both

:20:17. > :20:21.because for us in the past we actually, the customer asked for

:20:22. > :20:27.brochures so we have beautiful brochures and we have travel agents.

:20:28. > :20:32.They know us inside out and they have customers every day, so they

:20:33. > :20:37.have expertise in their area so they know how good we are and the growth

:20:38. > :20:47.comes from yeah, that experience, it is our inside knowledge that makes

:20:48. > :20:55.us grow and in future, for example we are building a special platform

:20:56. > :20:57.with the travel agents so we can grow with the customers. Take a

:20:58. > :21:01.look. In a moment we'll take a look

:21:02. > :21:04.through the Business Pages but first here's a quick reminder of how

:21:05. > :21:07.to get in touch with us. The Business Live page

:21:08. > :21:09.is where you can stay ahead of all the day's

:21:10. > :21:11.breaking business news. We'll keep you up-to-date

:21:12. > :21:14.with the latest details of insight and analysis from the BBC's team

:21:15. > :21:17.of editors right around the world. Get involved on the BBC

:21:18. > :21:21.Business Live web page On Twitter, we're @bbcbusiness,

:21:22. > :21:28.and you can find uson On Twitter, we're @bbcbusiness,

:21:29. > :21:31.and you can find us on Business Live on TV and online,

:21:32. > :21:42.whenever you need to know. Get in touch. No excuses. You can

:21:43. > :21:46.see and hear about Dominic on our website.

:21:47. > :21:50.The BBC's Dominic O'Connell is with us.

:21:51. > :21:56.To say to Dominic and all of you out there, we have been enjoying your

:21:57. > :22:00.tweets about your least favourite holiday. We have got a travel theme.

:22:01. > :22:04.Ben, I don't know if you want to talk about those. Ritchie says,

:22:05. > :22:09."Anywhere that's cold is his nightmare holiday. I would rather do

:22:10. > :22:14.beach, sun and sand." Marie says, "I hate beach and drinking holidays.

:22:15. > :22:18.Benidorm is my nightmare." Chris' favourite holiday is a beach holiday

:22:19. > :22:22.with no luxuries. Dominic, what's your holiday from hell? Being

:22:23. > :22:26.originally from New Zealand the idea of a seaside holiday where there is

:22:27. > :22:33.rain and cloud is kind of strange. Why would you go to the sea... So

:22:34. > :22:41.you haven't hold dayed in Wales? There is a perverse enjoyment to be

:22:42. > :22:45.had from with standing the elements. The wind break, what is that? That's

:22:46. > :22:49.the must have when on the beach in the UK! If it is that windy, don't

:22:50. > :22:56.go! Let's look at some other stories out

:22:57. > :22:59.there. This one grabbed my attention, Iceland to end capital

:23:00. > :23:05.controls in place since 2008. Iceland is back. Yeah, well, it is

:23:06. > :23:10.the end of a saga, if you excuse the pun. In 2008 Iceland built up a

:23:11. > :23:13.banking sector which was 14 times the size of its economy. Completely

:23:14. > :23:18.crashed the economy. The controls were put in place to protect the

:23:19. > :23:22.economy from more damage because a lot of Icelandic people had

:23:23. > :23:26.borrowings in foreign currency and it was to stop all that money

:23:27. > :23:30.rushing out of the Icelandic economy and slowly, over the years, those

:23:31. > :23:34.controls have been released. Even up until recently, if you are an

:23:35. > :23:40.Icelandic person and wanting to go on holiday and buy currency, you had

:23:41. > :23:44.to go to the bank with airline tickets to prove you were going.

:23:45. > :23:48.That's nine years after the crisis they are finally back in the wider

:23:49. > :23:53.international community. Yes, it is fascinating and you see the

:23:54. > :24:02.repercussions on a big clamp-down on where money goes? It was three

:24:03. > :24:11.banks. It was a big deal for many UK bankers as well? Yes, lots of retail

:24:12. > :24:15.banks and British Councils had borrowed and the original

:24:16. > :24:20.entrepreneurs bought up a huge chunk of the high street. What's

:24:21. > :24:23.interesting is the turn around story of Iceland given the crisis it was

:24:24. > :24:26.in and you look at other countries in a financial crisis and they are

:24:27. > :24:34.in the thick of their crisis. Iceland is not? Iceland has been a

:24:35. > :24:37.rich economy based on primary industries, fishing, tourism and

:24:38. > :24:42.agriculture. It has gone become to those traditional strengths and it's

:24:43. > :24:48.doing well. Can we talk about IKEA? Are you any good at putting IKEA

:24:49. > :24:53.furniture together? I don't mind. It is screws and Alan keys. It is fine

:24:54. > :25:01.if you haven't got kids running off with the bits! No screws and no Alan

:25:02. > :25:07.keys, it clicks together, it is like giant Lego. It takes the fun out of

:25:08. > :25:15.it. When you can put together a really complicated IKEA kit you've

:25:16. > :25:21.made it. It probably saves them cost because they're not having to put

:25:22. > :25:25.components in, but it comes down design in every day life and it's

:25:26. > :25:31.stuff like this that really shows the power of design. It is all made

:25:32. > :25:33.to an amazing standard. Not many IKEA kits go wrong. When was

:25:34. > :25:37.last time that you had an IKEA kit last time that you had an IKEA kit

:25:38. > :25:41.when the parts weren't there. It is when the parts weren't there. It is

:25:42. > :25:44.perfect example. Sell a lot of them perfect example. Sell a lot of them

:25:45. > :25:51.and sell them cheap. Dominic, thank you. So what's your holiday hell

:25:52. > :25:55.then? Oh, always having to work on holiday, and e-mails on holiday, but

:25:56. > :26:01.beach holiday all the way for me. Holiday without the kids! No, not

:26:02. > :26:09.necessarily. Family holidays are great too! See you soon. Bye-bye.