19/05/2017

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:00:00. > :00:08.This is Business Live from BBC News with Aaron Heslehurst

:00:09. > :00:12.France gets ready for Macron economics.

:00:13. > :00:15.But does the new president have the right formula to bring

:00:16. > :00:33.Live from London, that's our top story on Friday 19th May.

:00:34. > :00:38.Never mind 100 days - how about 100 hours?

:00:39. > :00:42.French president Emmanuel Macron has been in the job for five days,

:00:43. > :00:45.but he's already got his work cut out ahead of the parliamentary

:00:46. > :00:49.We take a look at what he hopes to achieve.

:00:50. > :00:55.Tense times for Mexico as its two-decade-old trade deal

:00:56. > :01:03.And, as always, we bring you the latest action on the markets -

:01:04. > :01:05.we'll find out why the markets have pushed aside, for now,

:01:06. > :01:19.And we look back at the past week in business, when US

:01:20. > :01:20.markets had their worst day since November,

:01:21. > :01:23.and the economy was the main focus in the UK election.

:01:24. > :01:25.That's all with our business editor, Simon Jack.

:01:26. > :01:29.It's easy to get in touch with the programme -

:01:30. > :01:49.It is Friday, we have got that Friday feeling.

:01:50. > :01:52.We start in France - where the new President,

:01:53. > :01:55.Emmanuel Macron, says he expects no honeymoon from the public

:01:56. > :02:02.He now has to try and win a majority in next month's

:02:03. > :02:04.parliamentary elections - and implement the economic policy

:02:05. > :02:12.So what is Macron economics - and can it solve France's problems?

:02:13. > :02:21.Macron calls himself 'neither right nor left',

:02:22. > :02:24.he's a centrist, and, sure enough, the team he announced on Wednesday

:02:25. > :02:27.is a diverse mix of figures from the left, right and centre.

:02:28. > :02:29.He says his economic policy is based on the Nordic model.

:02:30. > :02:33.Basically, it mixes spending cuts on the one hand

:02:34. > :02:37.He plans to cut spending by 60 billion euros over

:02:38. > :02:47.The civil service will be hit hard - 120,000 jobs will go.

:02:48. > :02:50.But over the same period he has pledged 50 billion euros worth

:02:51. > :03:03.That includes cutting the corporate tax rate from 33% to 25%

:03:04. > :03:06.and lowering the tax burden on households.

:03:07. > :03:09.It's a similar story with free trade.

:03:10. > :03:12.As a former banker, he's broadly for it.

:03:13. > :03:18.But he's also talked about creating a "protective Europe".

:03:19. > :03:29.You know how we hear Trump saying, by American, by American? Will he

:03:30. > :03:36.wants us to buy European. He wants to stop non-EU companies

:03:37. > :03:39.taking over key industries. France's jobless rate is almost

:03:40. > :03:46.double that of Germany's at 9.6%. Many employers blame strict labour

:03:47. > :03:49.laws, like the 35-hour working week. But they are fiercely

:03:50. > :03:54.defended by unions. You've guessed it,

:03:55. > :04:00.somewhere in-between. He wants to keep the 35-hour work

:04:01. > :04:04.week, but change the way the law is applied to make it

:04:05. > :04:10.easier to hire and fire. Jean Pierre Lambert is a managing

:04:11. > :04:23.director at the investment bank KBW. He has to act fast, doesn't he? Do

:04:24. > :04:27.you think the team he has assembled around him will help him crack that

:04:28. > :04:32.really difficult problem of reforming France's labour laws?

:04:33. > :04:38.Plenty of other administrations have failed. He has an excellent economic

:04:39. > :04:40.minister, a Budget minister who is a rising star in the Republican Party,

:04:41. > :04:46.and he has got 18 that is ready to and he has got 18 that is ready to

:04:47. > :04:49.fight. The first bite will be the parliament in the elections which

:04:50. > :04:53.are going to take place, will he get the majority? So far the polls

:04:54. > :04:58.indicate he may get the majority, which would be an achievement.

:04:59. > :05:04.Incredible, given this party was only set up just over a year ago!

:05:05. > :05:10.Absolutely. Not everything in France is decided in Parliament, as you

:05:11. > :05:13.alluded. Do you think the timing here is crucial, because if he gets

:05:14. > :05:16.it through in the summer plenty of people will be on holiday and less

:05:17. > :05:23.inclined to strike? A good point! Yes, a good point, and

:05:24. > :05:27.he has to be prepared to take hard action and face the repercussions if

:05:28. > :05:32.people are fighting, he has to take a hard stance and he is a good

:05:33. > :05:37.character to do that. This is what I don't understand, France runs a

:05:38. > :05:41.deficit, for the uninitiated, that means France spends more than it

:05:42. > :05:47.earns from tax, right? He wants to make these big tax cuts, so they

:05:48. > :05:54.already spend more than they make in tax, can they afford that? He has a

:05:55. > :05:59.balancing act to implement. Critical for him is to gain credibility again

:06:00. > :06:01.with Germany and because previous administrations have tried to

:06:02. > :06:06.deliver, including Francois Hollande, but did not deliver

:06:07. > :06:11.reform, if he wants the support of Germany he needs to be the first to

:06:12. > :06:15.put his house in order, which includes respecting the budgetary

:06:16. > :06:21.rules said added European level, the 3% deficit, and he wants also to

:06:22. > :06:26.unemployment because he wants to give more to the young people, 25%

:06:27. > :06:30.unemployment is fairly high. How do you think is planned to buy European

:06:31. > :06:38.will go down with Angela Merkel? Germany has concerns about

:06:39. > :06:44.non-European companies buying critical industries so this issue, I

:06:45. > :06:48.don't think she was that much opposed, it is a subject for

:06:49. > :06:51.discussion, it may happen. Thank you very much for coming to talk to us.

:06:52. > :06:56.Let's take a look at some of the other stories

:06:57. > :07:02.Greece's parliament has approved a new package of austerity measures

:07:03. > :07:04.needed to release the next instalment of its

:07:05. > :07:09.Protesters clashed with police in central Athens as MPs voted

:07:10. > :07:11.on the tax rises and further cuts to pensions.

:07:12. > :07:19.Eurozone finance ministers meet on Monday to decide if Greece has

:07:20. > :07:23.done enough to receive a E7.5 billion loan plus debt relief.

:07:24. > :07:25.Brazil's stock market has plunged amid corruption allegations

:07:26. > :07:31.The main Ibovespa index closed down more than 8.8% -

:07:32. > :07:33.trading was briefly halted earlier in the day after losses of more

:07:34. > :07:37.than 10% prompted circuit breakers to kick in.

:07:38. > :07:41.President Temer was forced to deny a newspaper report that he had given

:07:42. > :07:43.consent to paying off a witness in a huge corruption scandal.

:07:44. > :07:45.The Supreme Court has authorised an investigation

:07:46. > :07:56.Leaders from the APEC group of Asia Pacific nations are gathered

:07:57. > :08:08.They are pushing to save the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade

:08:09. > :08:12.Pulling out of it was of course the first action of President Trump.

:08:13. > :08:25.Good to see you. This is the 11 nation is now going, you know what?

:08:26. > :08:28.Maybe we can do this without the United States!

:08:29. > :08:33.Yes, it will be an interesting meeting because on the one hand you

:08:34. > :08:37.have the countries hoping to be part of the TPB originally now scrambling

:08:38. > :08:41.to salvage it in some way, shape or form, and on the other hand the US

:08:42. > :08:45.trade representative who will represent the president, as you

:08:46. > :08:48.mentioned, who seems to have far more protectionist impulses than his

:08:49. > :08:54.predecessors. Many ministers will try to get face time with him to see

:08:55. > :08:58.if there is wiggle room with his America first policies and to seek a

:08:59. > :09:02.bit more clarity about what they mean, but it seems pretty unlikely

:09:03. > :09:06.might see coming out of this meeting might see coming out of this meeting

:09:07. > :09:11.but we at least might get a sense of whether the TPP is completely dead

:09:12. > :09:18.or maybe just a little bit alive, and there will also be discussions

:09:19. > :09:22.on the sidelines of the regional economic comprehensive partnership,

:09:23. > :09:26.China's competitive to the TPP. Even Nafta might come up given that

:09:27. > :09:30.Canada and Mexico will be there as well so a lot of the agenda will be

:09:31. > :09:32.keeping a close eye and we will be interested to see what comes out of

:09:33. > :09:35.it. We will talk to use them, have a

:09:36. > :09:42.great weekend! Let's quickly stay with the markets.

:09:43. > :09:46.That was the Dow yesterday closing on Wall Street, Asian market

:09:47. > :09:50.slightly higher. This is pretty much of the back of the better

:09:51. > :09:56.performance we saw overnight on Wall Street. A moderate recovery. If we

:09:57. > :10:01.look at Europe, following suit at the moment, but let's not forget the

:10:02. > :10:04.Trump slump has not fully gone away because the scandal surrounding the

:10:05. > :10:09.President's Administration is still pretty much in the headlines.

:10:10. > :10:13.On Thursday, the Trump administration notified Congress

:10:14. > :10:15.that it will start talks to renegotiate the North America

:10:16. > :10:18.Free Trade Agreement "as soon as practicable".

:10:19. > :10:22.President Trump has called the 1990s Nafta deal with Canada and Mexico

:10:23. > :10:24.a 'killer' of US jobs, and made shaking it

:10:25. > :10:28.It's a big worry for Mexico's huge auto industry and the global

:10:29. > :10:29.car-makers that have invested heavily there,

:10:30. > :10:41.The auto industry here has been booming for more than 20 years.

:10:42. > :10:44.The country is now the fourth largest car exporter in the world.

:10:45. > :10:55.It was meant to be a shining example of free trade, but today it's

:10:56. > :10:57.a monument to Donald Trump's brand of protectionism.

:10:58. > :11:00.These steel beams are all that's left of a $1.6 billion investment

:11:01. > :11:08.that Ford was making to build a plant here.

:11:09. > :11:15.Jose Puebla Ortiz shows me the deed to the land he sold to Ford.

:11:16. > :11:18.With the money, he bought a truck to work on the Ford plant.

:11:19. > :11:21.For a while, life was good - but it didn't last.

:11:22. > :11:24.TRANSLATION: Some people came to the plant and sent us home.

:11:25. > :11:26.They said there was no entry any more.

:11:27. > :11:29.The trucks couldn't go in any more, it all collapsed.

:11:30. > :11:32.Not just for the truckers but for everyone.

:11:33. > :11:38.Ford is keen to emphasise the market forces which drove the decision

:11:39. > :11:41.to abandon its plant in San Luis Potosi, but CEO

:11:42. > :11:44.Mark Fields admits presidential rhetoric is also a factor.

:11:45. > :11:47.At the end of the day, we have to do what's right

:11:48. > :11:49.for our business and of course the administration and the Congress,

:11:50. > :11:52.they have the ability to look at tax policy,

:11:53. > :11:53.trade policy etc, and that's the business

:11:54. > :12:02.And now Donald Trump has set about renegotiating the entire

:12:03. > :12:05.North American Free Trade Agreement, or Nafta, but a more protectionist

:12:06. > :12:08.US administration could undoubtedly do great harm to many livelihoods

:12:09. > :12:15.Michelle Fleury, BBC News, San Luis Potosi.

:12:16. > :12:17.Joining us is Lucy MacDonald, CIO, Global Equities

:12:18. > :12:31.Thank you for coming in. Let's talk about the Trump slump that we have

:12:32. > :12:35.seen this week. There has been some reversal in the markets, why is

:12:36. > :12:47.that? Two reasons, one is that the level of cash is still quite high,

:12:48. > :12:52.around 5%, so there is cash available and I think the second

:12:53. > :12:55.reason is corporate profits are still quite strong so the earnings

:12:56. > :13:00.season is coming through, broadly across the world we have seen

:13:01. > :13:04.companies upon earnings but also on sales. Those two things mean there

:13:05. > :13:10.are some fundamental underlying strengths, despite the fact that you

:13:11. > :13:14.do have relatively high valuations in the US in particular and the

:13:15. > :13:18.prospect of liquidity being taken out of markets by the Fed. So it is

:13:19. > :13:30.going to be between those two factors, in the meantime volatility

:13:31. > :13:34.was very low, we have had increasing spikes of volatility and I think we

:13:35. > :13:40.will get more of that. I noticed yesterday we saw a lot of the

:13:41. > :13:45.emerging market currencies go... I asked an expert, why are they

:13:46. > :13:49.dropping? He said, the US. Emerging economies rely on US growth, if the

:13:50. > :13:53.US isn't growing, they are not growing. That is right, yesterday

:13:54. > :13:59.the trigger was Brazil, and when there is a concern things tend to

:14:00. > :14:04.correlate, you get the rising volatility and a rise population and

:14:05. > :14:11.that is what we saw, so all emerging markets behaved as if they were

:14:12. > :14:14.Brazil, so in the long term you are right, they depend for their growth

:14:15. > :14:19.on the US. You are going to come back later?

:14:20. > :14:22.We will be talking about some of President Trump's policies,

:14:23. > :14:25.including perhaps paid maternity and paternity leave for families in the

:14:26. > :14:26.US. We will have to see. We look back at the past

:14:27. > :14:29.week in business, when US markets had their worst day

:14:30. > :14:32.since the presidential election, and the economy was the main

:14:33. > :14:36.focus in the UK election. That's all ahead with our business

:14:37. > :14:40.editor, Simon Jack. You're with Business

:14:41. > :14:54.Live from BBC News. One of Britain's airports

:14:55. > :14:56.is moving its control tower around 100 miles away

:14:57. > :14:59.from the actual runway. London City Airport is to become

:15:00. > :15:02.the first in Britain to abandon its bird's-eye view

:15:03. > :15:04.of the runway and use digital technology to

:15:05. > :15:06.monitor planes remotely. They say it will make managing

:15:07. > :15:17.the planes safer and more efficient. Theo Leggett can tell us

:15:18. > :15:30.more about whether this Yes, that is what they are saying.

:15:31. > :15:33.At the moment at London City Airport as with many others, the controller

:15:34. > :15:38.is looking after the aircraft when it are on the ground, their

:15:39. > :15:41.movements had to be choreographed carefully as you can imagine and it

:15:42. > :15:46.is done by people looking out of the window basically. What the British

:15:47. > :15:50.air traffic control people are trying to do is, instead of having

:15:51. > :15:54.that tower with people looking out of the window, you have a whole

:15:55. > :15:58.range of high definition cameras and the images from them will be beamed

:15:59. > :16:03.onto a large screened against the wall in this remote controlled

:16:04. > :16:06.centre. These are not small screens like with CCTV monitoring stations,

:16:07. > :16:11.they are big things that look like Windows and they are piping in sound

:16:12. > :16:16.as well so for the controllers it is as if they are there themselves. And

:16:17. > :16:21.on those screens, they will be able to put up radar data and things like

:16:22. > :16:25.that to make their life easier. What they are saying is that this will be

:16:26. > :16:29.a better solution than having people in a control tower at London City

:16:30. > :16:38.Airport looking out of the window. We have seen what cyber attacks, the

:16:39. > :16:42.havoc they can wreak on services, so what about air traffic control, is

:16:43. > :16:47.there not a risk of blackout? This is the obvious concern when you do

:16:48. > :16:50.anything remotely but the people in charge of this say that it is proven

:16:51. > :16:56.technology, it has been used in Sweden since 2015, and they say they

:16:57. > :17:01.have a lot of redundant system so if one part, if it goes down, another

:17:02. > :17:03.can take over and they say it will be absolutely safe. Obviously safe.

:17:04. > :17:19.Thank you. Lyon, the healthy fast food chain,

:17:20. > :17:25.wants to take on the US. They are helping to fund expansion with a ?25

:17:26. > :17:33.million investment of cash? We will see if it works.

:17:34. > :17:38.France gets ready for Macron economics.

:17:39. > :17:41.But does the new president have the right formula to bring

:17:42. > :17:51.The S 500 and the Dow saw their biggest one-day

:17:52. > :17:53.fall since September, this week, as investor hopes for tax

:17:54. > :17:56.cuts and other pro-business policies faded after reports that US

:17:57. > :17:58.President Donald Trump tried to interfere with a federal

:17:59. > :18:04.investigation, setting off alarm bells on Wall Street.

:18:05. > :18:06.And here in the UK, the Conservatives launched

:18:07. > :18:08.their election manifesto, with social care shake-up as one

:18:09. > :18:13.With all parties having pledged their election manifestos,

:18:14. > :18:15.what do they mean for people and the economy?

:18:16. > :18:20.Well, let's find out with our business editor Simon Jack.

:18:21. > :18:29.We have dragged Simon in on a Friday. I'm always here on a Friday!

:18:30. > :18:34.Before we talk about the UK manifestos, let's touch on the Trump

:18:35. > :18:39.slump. I was interested in what Lucy had to say, we should put it in

:18:40. > :18:43.context, there was the worst one-day fall for many months on Wednesday,

:18:44. > :18:50.down 373 points, but it has been on a hell of a tear them up 16% since

:18:51. > :18:54.the election. When you have had a run like that, people look for

:18:55. > :18:58.moments to take some chips off the table and bank some profit. We have

:18:59. > :19:02.also had incredibly low volatility which is unusual. People got

:19:03. > :19:07.skittish about it. What matters is what you mentioned about a tax

:19:08. > :19:11.reform, if people think that is in jeopardy, that has been driving the

:19:12. > :19:15.market, yes, corporate earnings, but the idea that the burden on

:19:16. > :19:23.businesses will be reduced by major tax reform. Everybody seems to agree

:19:24. > :19:27.in the US that that needs to happen. Even though Donald Trump might be

:19:28. > :19:31.having his troubles with his FBI director and what have you, if you

:19:32. > :19:35.thought the tax reform plan was in danger you would see some falls in

:19:36. > :19:39.the stock market. It looks pretty well valued and a lot of people

:19:40. > :19:44.think it looks a bit hot. And looking ahead to possible

:19:45. > :19:49.interest-rate rises by the Fed next month, still likely that will

:19:50. > :19:55.happen. The market are figuring 70, 80% probability of that happening

:19:56. > :19:58.and also, as bonds begin to fall at interest rates go up, some people

:19:59. > :20:02.are thinking that one of these days, the great rotation from buying

:20:03. > :20:07.bonds, people say it has been a good market for a while, this is

:20:08. > :20:12.government debt. As interest rates go up and inflation begins to pick

:20:13. > :20:16.up, stocks are more attractive because you get a bit of inflation

:20:17. > :20:19.protection because the goods and services companies sell go up in

:20:20. > :20:26.line with rising prices. It is a much more inflation safe investment.

:20:27. > :20:33.A better return at the end of the day. Quickly switching gears, the UK

:20:34. > :20:39.political parties, their manifestos are out, the election pledges. On

:20:40. > :20:43.this menu of options, some strong flavours compared to previous years.

:20:44. > :20:50.You have the Labour Party wanting to nationalise the railways and

:20:51. > :20:54.renationalise the Royal Mail and get involved in the energy companies. A

:20:55. > :20:58.very left-wing agenda from the Labour Party. What you would expect

:20:59. > :21:02.from Jeremy Corbyn who has been setting that store ad for some time

:21:03. > :21:07.but what is perhaps more contract that swagger more surprising, the

:21:08. > :21:12.Conservatives used to say, the markets get on with it -- what is

:21:13. > :21:16.more surprising. A massive change in tone, they are saying Babel capped

:21:17. > :21:22.energy prices and get involved in markets, have a close look at any

:21:23. > :21:25.takeovers make sure they are any public interest. Much more of a

:21:26. > :21:32.lurch to the left the right if you like. I have family visiting from

:21:33. > :21:37.Australia, and they were saying, they were stunned. If they are

:21:38. > :21:42.watching, they are lefties, labour, but they are saying that the Tory

:21:43. > :21:47.manifesto is something like the Labour Party. It could read like an

:21:48. > :21:50.old Labour Party manifesto and the interesting thing is, businesses I

:21:51. > :21:54.have been talking to chief executives and getting their

:21:55. > :21:57.reaction, and they say at the moment they feel pretty friendless, being

:21:58. > :22:02.duffed up from the left and the right! Nobody wants or needs

:22:03. > :22:07.business endorsement at the moment. The political climate has changed

:22:08. > :22:10.and hanging out with the most rich and powerful people, the tourist

:22:11. > :22:14.used to be relaxed about it but they may have realised it does not go

:22:15. > :22:17.down well also -- the Tories used to be relaxed. The business community

:22:18. > :22:20.is feeling a bit worried that their interests are not being noted. Thank

:22:21. > :22:22.you very much. In a moment we'll take a look

:22:23. > :22:25.through the business pages, but first here's a quick reminder

:22:26. > :22:32.of how to get in touch with us. The businesslike page is where you

:22:33. > :22:40.can stay ahead with all the breaking business news -- the Business Live

:22:41. > :22:44.page. We will have analysis from all of our editors around the world. And

:22:45. > :22:52.we want to hear from you as well, get involved on our web page on the

:22:53. > :22:59.BBC website. We are on Twitter and you can find us on Facebook.

:23:00. > :23:01.Business Live on TV and online whenever you need to know.

:23:02. > :23:03.What other business stories has the media been

:23:04. > :23:06.Lucy MacDonald, CIO, Global Equities at Allianz Global Investors

:23:07. > :23:16.Thank you for coming back, you have been going through the pages and the

:23:17. > :23:23.interesting stories in the Washington Post is that the US could

:23:24. > :23:27.get the first family benefit under President, but will we see this

:23:28. > :23:30.given the spotlight on the federal investigation? Will this be a policy

:23:31. > :23:37.he can push through? It would be quite radical. Will any of them get

:23:38. > :23:41.through?! The tax reform is most important, but this is catching up

:23:42. > :23:46.with the rest of the civilised world. 21st-century America. Getting

:23:47. > :23:52.a bit more support for working parents really. That is what we have

:23:53. > :23:56.in Europe. And we can see that it is entirely compatible with business

:23:57. > :23:59.working well. And it has come at a point where there are a lot of other

:24:00. > :24:02.federal cuts going on across-the-board and it seems like

:24:03. > :24:09.it is Ivanka Trump that is pushing this through. That is what is said

:24:10. > :24:12.and it's not ridiculous. For the uninitiated who might not know the

:24:13. > :24:18.American system, they get two weeks, a mother gets two weeks of maternity

:24:19. > :24:23.and paternity probably doesn't exist. It really is not very

:24:24. > :24:31.civilised. Compared to what is in Europe. What have you chosen for the

:24:32. > :24:38.second story? This is a fizzy drink that is taking Australia by storm!

:24:39. > :24:48.Have you heard of this? It is a new fizzy drink that is low sugar and it

:24:49. > :24:54.is giving Coca-Cola run its money. There is real opportunity here.

:24:55. > :24:56.There is and you can see it across the food and factoring areas with a

:24:57. > :25:03.trend towards healthy food and drink. That is not surprising. I

:25:04. > :25:12.haven't actually had any myself so I can't comment. I will have to ask my

:25:13. > :25:29.Australian family, I have never heard of it. It is green the base.

:25:30. > :25:38.It is seems like the healthy eating market is the way to go. It is a

:25:39. > :25:41.clear trend. In all consumer markets, it is a very long

:25:42. > :25:47.structural trend and it doesn't surprise me. Have a great weekend,

:25:48. > :25:52.we did not even talk about the painting. 110 million!

:25:53. > :26:02.Aaron is launching his new show in the afternoon soon, it is his last

:26:03. > :26:13.day today. Goodbye! The last half year or so across the

:26:14. > :26:14.UK the weather has