21/08/2012

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:00:09. > :00:15.George Osborne's deficit-cutting plan under more pressure after a

:00:15. > :00:20.big jump in borrowing. The Government was �600 million in the

:00:20. > :00:23.red in July, much more than expected. There is time for things

:00:23. > :00:27.to improve, particularly if the economic recovery picks up pace

:00:27. > :00:31.again. But as things stand, things are not looking good and the trend

:00:32. > :00:36.could get worse. The Treasury has lost out on business taxes, and is

:00:36. > :00:40.having to pay more in benefits. We will be asking what the

:00:40. > :00:43.chancellor's options are now. Also tonight: Manchester police are

:00:43. > :00:51.on the hunt for these two men after a teenage boy was raped in a

:00:51. > :00:55.shopping centre. After it starring role at London

:00:55. > :00:59.2012, plans to take the NHS global - top hospitals could open up

:00:59. > :01:04.branches abroad. How a little-known Republican's

:01:04. > :01:09.comments on rape have said the US election campaign on fire. That is

:01:09. > :01:13.despite his apology. He used the wrong words in the wrong way, and

:01:13. > :01:16.for that I apologise. There was medal success in Beijing.

:01:16. > :01:22.Can Ellie Simmonds and Britain's Paralympians do even better in

:01:22. > :01:25.London? In Sportsday on the BBC News

:01:25. > :01:30.Channel, Scottish champions' the Celtic they con Helsingborg in

:01:30. > :01:40.Sweden, chasing qualification for the group stages of the Champions

:01:40. > :01:49.

:01:49. > :01:52.Good evening. There is further pressure on the Chancellor George

:01:52. > :01:56.Osborne tonight, after new figures show a surprise increase in

:01:56. > :02:00.government borrowing this July. There was a deficit of �600 million

:02:00. > :02:04.at a time of year when business taxes usually produce a surplus.

:02:04. > :02:09.Critics, including Labour, say it is further evidence that the

:02:09. > :02:16.government's economic policy is not working, but ministers say there

:02:16. > :02:21.deficit-cutting plan is credible. The government's Perce is usually

:02:21. > :02:24.bulging in July, with tax receipts flooding in, but this time

:02:24. > :02:29.unexpectedly, �600 million was run up on the borrowing statement.

:02:29. > :02:32.Ministers said it was disappointing, but there were special factors and

:02:32. > :02:36.there will be no change in policy. There is a story behind these

:02:36. > :02:40.figures, but the main son is that it is important to deal with our

:02:40. > :02:44.debts and stick to the plan that has got Britain credibility

:02:44. > :02:49.internationally. His Russian to oil and gas output hit tax payments by

:02:49. > :02:54.North Sea producers, which was the reason for a slide in overall

:02:54. > :02:57.corporation tax receipts, down more than 19% in the year to July. The

:02:57. > :03:01.government said changes to the timing of the tax credit payouts

:03:01. > :03:05.was one factor in a 6.2% increase in benefit spending over the same

:03:05. > :03:09.period. But Labour said the Chancellor could not explain it

:03:10. > :03:14.away. This was a major blow to his budget plans, hoping for a return

:03:14. > :03:18.to growth and lower borrowing, he delivered neither. These are

:03:18. > :03:22.serious figures, suggesting that the central goal of George Osborne

:03:22. > :03:27.to reduce the deficit has not just not happened, it is going the wrong

:03:27. > :03:31.way. He is adding to the deficit. His borrowing figures are going

:03:31. > :03:35.higher. He has driven us back into recession. The government had a

:03:35. > :03:39.temporary boost from the transfer of Royal Mail pension assets in

:03:40. > :03:44.April, and that has put a gloss on the borrowing numbers. So what is

:03:44. > :03:47.the underlying story? If you strip out special factors like the Royal

:03:47. > :03:52.Mail Pension Scheme, it does not make happy reading for civil

:03:52. > :03:59.servants and ministers inside the Treasury. Total government

:03:59. > :04:02.borrowing between April and July came to �45 billion, higher than

:04:02. > :04:06.the �36 billion borrowed over the same period last year. It may be

:04:06. > :04:12.hard to hit the forecast of �120 billion for the full year from the

:04:12. > :04:15.budget watchdog, the OBR. Last year's total of �125 billion was

:04:15. > :04:19.slightly better than expected. The recession has dented tax revenues

:04:19. > :04:22.and made life harder for the Treasury, so will things get better

:04:22. > :04:27.for the Chancellor as he prepares for his next big financial

:04:27. > :04:31.statement in the autumn? It is early days yet and we are only four

:04:31. > :04:34.months into the financial year, so there is time for things to improve,

:04:34. > :04:37.particularly if the economic recovery picks up pace. But as

:04:37. > :04:41.things stand, things are not looking good and the trend could

:04:41. > :04:44.get worse. In there is a bounce- back in growth, the tax receipts

:04:44. > :04:48.should come flowing in again. If not, the Chancellor could be facing

:04:48. > :04:52.even bigger numbers on his boring statement to pay the bills.

:04:53. > :04:58.He Hugh Pym is with me now. Where does this leave the central

:04:58. > :05:04.argument about cutting the deficit or going for growth? There are one-

:05:04. > :05:06.off factors, and it has to be said that there are other tax receipts

:05:07. > :05:10.other than corporation tax which have been going up. But the fact

:05:10. > :05:13.that the government had to borrow for the first third of the

:05:13. > :05:17.financial year, more than the same time last year, does give

:05:17. > :05:20.ammunition to Labour, who are saying, how can it be right to

:05:20. > :05:25.pursue a deficit reduction plan, curbing spending and so on, where

:05:25. > :05:29.the outcome is a deeper recession? There has to be a change of course.

:05:29. > :05:33.I do not detect any sign of that at the Treasury. One source said to me

:05:33. > :05:37.that the left are demanding spending increases, and the right

:05:37. > :05:41.want more radical spending cuts. They will stick to what they see as

:05:41. > :05:45.a middle way. But the Chancellor could do with not many more months

:05:45. > :05:49.like this on the back foot, certainly as the party conference

:05:49. > :05:52.season approaches with the debate on where growth comes from about to

:05:52. > :05:55.intensify. Police in Manchester have released

:05:55. > :05:59.CCTV images have two men they're trying to track down in connection

:05:59. > :06:04.with the rape of a 14-year-old boy in a city-centre department store.

:06:04. > :06:13.The teenager was attacked in June. The police have gone public today

:06:13. > :06:15.after waiting for the results of forensic tests. This is one of the

:06:15. > :06:19.busiest shopping streets in Manchester City centre. On

:06:19. > :06:23.Saturdays, it is packed full of young people. It was in a store

:06:23. > :06:28.here one afternoon earlier this summer that a 14-year-old boy was

:06:28. > :06:33.raped. These are the men that detectives want to question about

:06:33. > :06:37.the sexual assault. Their pictures were captured on CCTV cameras. The

:06:37. > :06:41.teenager had been approached by two men when he went to the toilets

:06:42. > :06:45.inside the Arndale Centre. There, they threatened him, grabbed his

:06:45. > :06:51.arms and forced him to accompany them across the road to the

:06:51. > :06:54.Debenhams department store. Inside, in an upstairs toilet, he was raped.

:06:54. > :07:01.The to stomach-turning, a 14-year- old being treated in that way in a

:07:01. > :07:04.busy city centre. They should feel safe and be enjoying life. That ups

:07:04. > :07:08.the ante in terms of finding these two males who were responsible and

:07:08. > :07:12.bringing them to custody. attack happened on June 2nd, and

:07:12. > :07:16.there has been criticism of the police for not releasing details of

:07:16. > :07:19.the rape until now, two and a half months later. That is particularly

:07:19. > :07:24.true because this is an area where you will find many children and

:07:24. > :07:27.teenagers. But detectives say they have been working on this case

:07:27. > :07:32.throughout that time and that they have been waiting for the results

:07:32. > :07:35.of forensic tests. But detectives accept that they need the public's

:07:35. > :07:40.help to find whoever raped the 14- year-old. The boy has been

:07:40. > :07:45.receiving help, but is said to be absolutely devastated by what

:07:45. > :07:47.happened. Top-performing NHS hospitals in

:07:47. > :07:52.England are being encouraged to open private healthcare facilities

:07:52. > :07:56.abroad. Ministers say the profits generated by these overseas clinics

:07:56. > :08:06.will be fed back into the NHS here, but critics have said the move

:08:06. > :08:06.

:08:06. > :08:11.could erode the public service ethos on which the NHS was built.

:08:11. > :08:15.The NHS leads the world in some medical research and treatment. At

:08:15. > :08:20.the opening of the Olympics, it got star billing. Stardust the

:08:20. > :08:24.Government hopes to sprinkle over hospital business plans,

:08:24. > :08:29.encouraging some to market their expertise abroad. Moorfields Eye

:08:29. > :08:34.Hospital set up a clinic in Dubai five years ago. The staff are local,

:08:34. > :08:40.but trained by the NHS Trust. The start-up costs came out of money

:08:40. > :08:43.earned from private patients in the UK. The profits from the clinic in

:08:43. > :08:49.Dubai come back to the main Moorfields Eye Hospital. They will

:08:49. > :08:54.go towards building a new NHS hospital in the UK. But not many

:08:54. > :08:59.NHS trusts have the highly specialised skills and

:08:59. > :09:05.international recognition needed to make money abroad. It is

:09:05. > :09:13.competitive. You can't expect to walk into a foreign country, set up

:09:13. > :09:18.shop for an start to make large profits instantly. More fields

:09:18. > :09:23.wants to expand in Dubai. It is part of a tough global market, up

:09:24. > :09:29.against big US companies. So how lucrative has it been so far? The

:09:29. > :09:35.Dubai Kinnock made less than �0.3 million profit last year, a tiny

:09:35. > :09:40.contribution to the NHS Trust's �150 million turnover. To reduce

:09:40. > :09:46.risks, most NHS hospitals looking abroad will not set up business

:09:46. > :09:50.alone. Commonly, you will see them joining partners who have

:09:50. > :09:55.commercial expertise and money to contribute to the projects.

:09:55. > :10:00.Specialised training, research, technology - they are all seen as

:10:00. > :10:03.potential exports for the NHS. In England, hospitals will not be

:10:03. > :10:09.allowed to earn more from private work. Some campaigners fear that

:10:09. > :10:13.this could have a knock-on impact. There are a lot of hospitals in

:10:13. > :10:18.real financial problems which will see this as a solution. As a result,

:10:18. > :10:22.they will chase profits abroad at a cost to the patients at home.

:10:22. > :10:26.only a few English hospitals like Great Ormond Street are world

:10:26. > :10:30.famous. The last Labour government encouraged some to earn money

:10:30. > :10:35.abroad to reinvest in the UK. Now the coalition wants to do the same.

:10:35. > :10:41.But it is not likely to make much impact on the bigger financial

:10:41. > :10:44.pressures facing the NHS. The pathologist who carried out the

:10:44. > :10:48.first post-mortem examination on Ian Tomlinson, the newspaper seller

:10:48. > :10:52.who died during the G20 protests in London three years ago, has been

:10:52. > :10:55.declared unfit to practise. A medical tribunal found that Dr

:10:55. > :10:59.Freddy Patel had been dishonest that had brought the profession

:10:59. > :11:03.into disrepute. The owners of the South African

:11:03. > :11:07.mine where police shot dead 34 striking workers last week has

:11:07. > :11:10.withdrawn its threat to sack staff who do not return to work. Church

:11:10. > :11:14.leaders have opened negotiations between the company and the unions

:11:14. > :11:19.in an attempt end the bitter dispute over pay. A week of

:11:19. > :11:22.national mourning has also been declared.

:11:22. > :11:26.It is neck-and-neck in the race for the White House, but the American

:11:26. > :11:29.politician who has been grabbing the headlines is a little-known

:11:29. > :11:33.Republican running for a seat in the Senate. Todd Akin has faced

:11:33. > :11:38.condemnation from all sides after saying women who are raped have

:11:38. > :11:43.biological defences against getting pregnant. And the last half-hour,

:11:43. > :11:48.the Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has called

:11:48. > :11:53.for Mr Regan to stand aside. Our correspondent reports.

:11:53. > :11:56.Governor Mitt Romney! The fanfare is building, he is running neck-

:11:56. > :12:00.and-neck with the president. The last thing Mitt Romney needed was a

:12:00. > :12:04.distraction like this, a little- known Republican Congressman

:12:04. > :12:08.explaining his strict opposition to abortion, specifically when the

:12:08. > :12:12.pregnancy is the result of rape. understand from doctors that that

:12:12. > :12:20.is really rare. If it is a legitimate rape, the female body as

:12:20. > :12:24.ways to shut that whole thing down. Firestorm. The reaction has been

:12:24. > :12:29.fast and furious. Americans have long been divided on the rights and

:12:29. > :12:33.wrongs of abortion, but today we found universal disdain for the

:12:33. > :12:38.wave the Congressmen expressed his views. It was very insensitive and

:12:38. > :12:43.arrogant. Clearly, he was not thinking about the women. He is a

:12:43. > :12:49.moron. Once again, a race for the White House is being driven by the

:12:49. > :12:52.motive, divisive issue of abortion. And a president who was under fire

:12:52. > :12:56.up under the economy has sensed an opportunity to tie his opponent to

:12:56. > :13:02.the controversial congressmen. tis a scary time to be a woman.

:13:02. > :13:05.Mitt Romney is so out of touch. months, Obama ads like this have

:13:06. > :13:09.painted Romany and the Republicans as anti-women on healthcare and

:13:09. > :13:14.family planning. So when Congressman Todd Akin spoke out,

:13:14. > :13:18.the president wasted no time. views expressed were offensive.

:13:18. > :13:24.Wait is rape. And Mitt Romney quickly disowned his Republican

:13:24. > :13:30.colleagues. He is comments about rape were deeply offensive. And I

:13:30. > :13:34.cannot defend what he said all him. A like most American Conservatives,

:13:34. > :13:39.Mitt Romney opposes abortion, but says it should be permitted in

:13:39. > :13:43.cases of rape. And what of Todd Akin? He has apologised, but spent

:13:43. > :13:48.a day resisting calls, including from Mitt Romney, to drop out of

:13:48. > :13:53.his Senate race. The mistake I made was in the words I said, not in the

:13:53. > :13:57.heart I hold. If we in Florida, they are setting the stage for next

:13:57. > :14:05.week's Republican convention. candidate, it should be a crowning

:14:05. > :14:11.Coming up on tonight's programme - are the days of the page-turner

:14:11. > :14:14.numbered? We explore what the next chapter for the novel holds.

:14:14. > :14:17.The mother of a four-year-old boy who disappeared after slipping off

:14:17. > :14:21.a jetty in Somerset has been speaking of her desperate attempts

:14:21. > :14:26.to save him. Dylan Cecil fell into the water at Burnham on Sea on

:14:26. > :14:31.Sunday. Search and rescue teams have failed to find any trace of

:14:32. > :14:36.him. Jon Brain reports. A portrait of a happy family, Dylan Cecil with

:14:37. > :14:46.his parents, celebrating his 4th birthday. Today, a very different

:14:46. > :14:51.picture. The little boy has gone and the pain is unbearable. At the

:14:51. > :14:56.jetty where he fell into the sea, his mother relived the agonising

:14:56. > :15:02.moment he disappeared on the water. He was literally not even one metre

:15:02. > :15:12.away from me, and he was jumping and he slipped. I watched him fault

:15:12. > :15:15.

:15:15. > :15:21.in, I jumped in straight after him - what more could I do? I knew as

:15:21. > :15:26.soon as I jumped in I wasn't getting him back. I could feel him

:15:26. > :15:32.being pulled under. I don't know what my son went through, I really

:15:32. > :15:36.don't. The official search operation was called off yesterday,

:15:37. > :15:42.and despite the efforts of dozens of search and rescue workers, his

:15:42. > :15:46.body has not been recovered. His parents are hoping people who live

:15:47. > :15:51.in Burnham-on-Sea and those on holiday will continue to help.

:15:51. > :15:56.don't want anybody to stop looking, I want everybody to keep their eyes

:15:56. > :16:01.open. Even if they have an inkling they see something, phone the

:16:01. > :16:06.police. I don't know. disappearance has deeply moved many

:16:06. > :16:16.people who have been lining the seafront with tributes. His family

:16:16. > :16:43.

:16:43. > :16:46.say their kind nurses helping them The bodies of three soldiers killed

:16:46. > :16:49.in action in Afghanistan in the last two weeks have been brought

:16:49. > :16:52.back to Britain. Families, friends and members of the public paid

:16:52. > :16:54.their respects in Carterton as the cortege passed by. The soldiers who

:16:54. > :16:56.died were Guardsman Jamie Shadrake of the Reconnaissance Platoon, 1st

:16:56. > :16:59.Battalion Grenadier Guards, Lieutenant Andrew Robert Chesterman

:16:59. > :17:07.of 3rd Battalion The Rifles, and Lance Corporal Matthew Smith of the

:17:07. > :17:13.Corps of Royal Engineers. Tributes have been paid to the

:17:13. > :17:17.Ethiopian Prime Minister, Meles Zenawi, who has died. David Cameron

:17:17. > :17:23.said he lifted millions out of poverty, but in recent years there

:17:23. > :17:30.have been mounting concerns about his human rights record.

:17:30. > :17:36.For many, he was the face of a new Africa. Meles Zenawi delivered

:17:36. > :17:46.record growth in Ethiopia, shunning dependence on emergency aid. He

:17:46. > :17:51.became the darling in the West. rebels began pushing in through the

:17:51. > :17:56.suburbs... In 1991 when Meles Zenawi seized power, Ethiopia was

:17:56. > :18:01.close to collapse. He and his rebel guerrillas swept into the capital

:18:01. > :18:06.and suddenly the 36 year-old had the task of rebuilding a country

:18:06. > :18:12.broken in civil war, vulnerable to famines. He promised a New

:18:12. > :18:19.Democracy and into -- implemented a radical approach to tackling

:18:19. > :18:25.poverty, favouring long-term development over emergency aid.

:18:25. > :18:35.need long-term development but it is emergency aid that attracts the

:18:35. > :18:37.

:18:37. > :18:42.assistance of the international community. He was one of the most

:18:42. > :18:49.well-known friends of the West in Africa, but domestically he was not

:18:49. > :18:53.as appreciated. He was seen as an authoritarian leader. In 2005, when

:18:53. > :18:59.his four yet another election, it was badly stained by the brutal

:18:59. > :19:03.treatment of those who disputed his victory. Nearly 200 people died in

:19:03. > :19:07.the government crackdown on demonstrations. Faced with his less

:19:07. > :19:12.attractive aspects, Western leaders broadly chose to lock away because

:19:12. > :19:18.the Ethiopian leader's oxide qualities still looked bigger than

:19:18. > :19:23.the downside. In a deeply troubled region, the Horn of Africa, his

:19:23. > :19:28.Ethiopia represented stability. He was a sworn enemy of the Islamists

:19:28. > :19:35.of Somalia. Meles Zenawi sent troops into Somalia and cemented

:19:35. > :19:37.his reputation as frontline fighter against Al-Shabaab. His wider

:19:37. > :19:42.legacy is often Ethiopia transformed with educational

:19:42. > :19:46.standards rising fast alongside a decade of record economic growth.

:19:47. > :19:54.Tonight, as his body arrived home in Ethiopia from Belgium where he

:19:54. > :19:57.died, there is great uncertainty - is Ethiopia at risk of weak

:19:57. > :20:02.leadership precisely because Meles Zenawi was twenty-one years in

:20:02. > :20:12.power? In just over a week the Paralympic

:20:12. > :20:17.

:20:17. > :20:20.Games will begin and hopes are high that Paralympians were -- will

:20:20. > :20:22.surpass their medal haul from Beijing four years ago. Some of

:20:22. > :20:24.Great Britain's swimmers have been putting in some last minute

:20:24. > :20:27.training and our sports correspondent Andy Swiss has been

:20:27. > :20:34.with them. It is a stage where sporting dreams are made, the

:20:34. > :20:43.birthplace for global stars and four British heroes. Who will be

:20:43. > :20:50.the face of this year's Paralympics? Four years ago it was

:20:50. > :20:54.Ellie Simmonds. At just 13, a double gold medallist. Now at 17,

:20:54. > :20:59.she is training in Manchester, hoping to turn home advantage into

:20:59. > :21:04.yet more glory. The eye am looking forward to going out on the

:21:04. > :21:08.poolside and hearing the massive crowd supporting us. It is a bit

:21:08. > :21:13.scary knowing that these people are watching as well, but I think it

:21:13. > :21:20.will be a good thing. The pressure on Britain's Paralympians has never

:21:20. > :21:26.been greater - in Beijing they won 102 medals, but in London they are

:21:26. > :21:33.expecting even more. Their target is to go at least one better, 103

:21:33. > :21:38.medals with the swimmers expected to deliver a minimum of 40. The

:21:38. > :21:44.athletics team have a target of 17 medals, with the cyclists expecting

:21:44. > :21:51.15. It is an ambitious goal. It is a tough target but we have been

:21:51. > :21:57.second in the medals table in the last Olympic Games. We don't want

:21:57. > :22:03.to be complacent. 10 sport including the visually-impaired

:22:03. > :22:08.footballers are to training camp in Bath. Nearly �150 million has been

:22:08. > :22:18.spent on the team's perforations. Karen Butler has never had a better

:22:18. > :22:22.

:22:22. > :22:28.shot at gold. In the previous Olympic -- Paralympics,... The

:22:28. > :22:35.funding will make a big difference. This is the target. It is up to

:22:35. > :22:42.British Paralympians to consume more golden moments.

:22:42. > :22:45.-- to conjure more golden moments. Earlier this month Fifty Shades Of

:22:45. > :22:48.Grey became the best-selling book in British history. Its publishers

:22:48. > :22:51.claim the erotic novel has sold over five million copies - that's

:22:51. > :22:53.even more than the Highway Code. Although it might seem that sales

:22:53. > :22:56.are thriving, writers have gathered at the Edinburgh International Book

:22:56. > :23:00.Festival to discuss their concerns about the future of the novel. Our

:23:00. > :23:09.Arts Editor Will Gompertz reports. Books everywhere, and plenty of

:23:09. > :23:16.time to think. The traditional reading experience. And then there

:23:16. > :23:20.is this more contemporary approach. The warhorse being turned into an

:23:20. > :23:26.interactive immersing journey where the written word is just one

:23:26. > :23:30.element of the storytelling. This sort of technological and

:23:30. > :23:34.banishment is proving popular, but does it mark the end of the novel

:23:34. > :23:38.as we have known it? Writers from around the world have gathered at

:23:38. > :23:43.the Edinburgh International Festival to discuss the future of

:23:43. > :23:49.the novel, to debate whether the book has grown stale and is

:23:49. > :23:57.therefore no longer the best way to tell stories. The Booker prize-

:23:57. > :24:04.winning novelist was among the delegates, and he is optimistic

:24:04. > :24:07.about his craft. It will bend and shape itself to whatever form there

:24:07. > :24:13.is that accommodates its extensiveness. There will be a

:24:13. > :24:19.lingering love, an abiding marriage with the book. It has, in its own

:24:19. > :24:25.way, become deeply ingrained in the human psyche. The sales of novels

:24:25. > :24:35.have been increasing over the last decade. The drop in 2011 was

:24:35. > :24:39.contributed largely to unpublished electric box. Except for best-

:24:39. > :24:45.selling authors, it is becoming increasingly difficult as retailers

:24:45. > :24:49.take fewer risks. Then there is the issue of Reader's becoming for this,

:24:49. > :24:57.most dramatically illustrated by the extraordinary success of Fifty

:24:57. > :25:02.Shades Of Grey. What happens when the reader becomes a writer is that

:25:02. > :25:06.you end up with an industry based on what sounds like already. We are

:25:06. > :25:10.not generating any new content and that is what we needed novelists to

:25:10. > :25:17.do in the first place. The air was general agreement here that the

:25:17. > :25:21.novel does have a future but nobody knew what it would be and who would

:25:21. > :25:24.be part of it. I guess that is another story.

:25:24. > :25:27.That's it from us. Newsnight's getting underway on BBC Two with an