12/12/2017

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0:00:08 > 0:00:11This is Beyond One Hundred Days, with me Katty Kay in

0:00:11 > 0:00:13Birmingham, Alabama - Christian Fraser's in London.

0:00:13 > 0:00:15Our top stories.

0:00:15 > 0:00:18Voting has been taking place in the US state of Alabama,

0:00:18 > 0:00:20in a Senate election dominated by allegations of sexual misconduct

0:00:20 > 0:00:24against the Republican candidate, Roy Moore.

0:00:24 > 0:00:2750 world leaders - minus the United States -

0:00:27 > 0:00:31gather in Paris for a climate summit President Macron hopes will give

0:00:31 > 0:00:35new momentum to the fight against global warming.

0:00:35 > 0:00:37Coming up in the next half hour.

0:00:37 > 0:00:40Canada enjoys mostly unfettered trade access to the EU -

0:00:40 > 0:00:44could that same deal work for a post-Brexit Britain?

0:00:44 > 0:00:47And I'll have more on that special election taking

0:00:47 > 0:00:51place here in Alabama - why do we care so much?

0:00:51 > 0:00:53Let us know your thoughts by using the hashtag

0:00:53 > 0:01:03'Beyond-One-Hundred-Days'.

0:01:05 > 0:01:07Alabamans are voting to chose their next senator -

0:01:07 > 0:01:11the Republican Roy Moore or the Democrat Doug Jones.

0:01:11 > 0:01:13The polls suggest it's close but the polls

0:01:13 > 0:01:15here can be inaccurate.

0:01:15 > 0:01:18Mr Moore - who's been accused of sexually harassing teenagers -

0:01:18 > 0:01:21has been largely invisible the last few days but he has given one

0:01:21 > 0:01:25interview to local television.

0:01:25 > 0:01:34The interviewer was 12-year-old Millie Marchl.

0:01:34 > 0:01:38What do you think are the characteristics of a really good

0:01:38 > 0:01:44Senator?Just adhering to principal and not trying to stay in office for

0:01:44 > 0:01:5130, 40 years and building an empire. You're there to serve people. I want

0:01:51 > 0:02:02to serve the people of Alabama.So what can my country do for me, but

0:02:02 > 0:02:19what can I do for my country? Yes, as JFK said.Thank you so much. With

0:02:19 > 0:02:20me now...

0:02:20 > 0:02:23me now...

0:02:23 > 0:02:24Kyle Whitmire - State Political Columnist

0:02:24 > 0:02:29for the Alabama Media Group.

0:02:29 > 0:02:33I do not think anyone expected this much attention Alabama. We knew it

0:02:33 > 0:02:37would be a very different race. Not just all or getting into the race

0:02:37 > 0:02:42that brought so much attention to it. We had controversy from the big

0:02:42 > 0:02:50killing. The governor appointed a very unpopular governor and Attorney

0:02:50 > 0:02:55General who was supposed to be investigating him at the time. And a

0:02:55 > 0:03:01lot of the people here projected that and voted for war Liam Moore

0:03:01 > 0:03:05instead.All the people who have come here have Comber because they

0:03:05 > 0:03:11want to see what Roy Moore is going to do to the Republican party.Is he

0:03:11 > 0:03:16a second Donald Trump? I think he is more Donald Trump than Donald Trump.

0:03:16 > 0:03:21In that primary race Donald Trump endorsed Luther strange his opponent

0:03:21 > 0:03:26and we sent reporters to an event that Donald Trump held in North

0:03:26 > 0:03:31Alabama, we asked them are you voting for Luther strange because

0:03:31 > 0:03:35Donald Trump is endorsing him and they just said no one came to see

0:03:35 > 0:03:42the president but we will go home and vote for war and more. -- vote

0:03:42 > 0:03:47for Roy Moore. I think that shook the president to hear these voters

0:03:47 > 0:03:50in his base who decided they liked Roy Moore more than him.Nationally,

0:03:50 > 0:03:58you know Roy Moore, you have covered him for years, if he is elected as

0:03:58 > 0:04:03the next US senator from Alabama what does he do when he gets to

0:04:03 > 0:04:08Washington, how much have it pretty weak?I think plenty. One unusual

0:04:08 > 0:04:13thing is he has been radio silent. He did not really even campaigned

0:04:13 > 0:04:18this last week apart from one appearance last night. He has been

0:04:18 > 0:04:23in hiding and that is not his style. He sees this as a pulpit from which

0:04:23 > 0:04:28he can preach and he could do that. And he has said he wants to take

0:04:28 > 0:04:33this to the American people. That is not something that I think many

0:04:33 > 0:04:40Republicans want associated with them especially now with all these

0:04:40 > 0:04:44allegations about possible sexual assault against young women.We

0:04:44 > 0:04:48spoke to a supporter of Roy Moore a few moments ago who seemed reluctant

0:04:48 > 0:04:53to believe the allegations. Is that a common thing here?Absolutely. I

0:04:53 > 0:04:58think Roy Moore has built a base here in Alabama and that loyalty was

0:04:58 > 0:05:02already established. And once those allegations came out, it is hard for

0:05:02 > 0:05:06people to change their minds once they've decided they believe someone

0:05:06 > 0:05:12or believe in someone. We've heard over and again why are these

0:05:12 > 0:05:16allegations coming out now, people are suspicious about them and think

0:05:16 > 0:05:22it is some sort of media conspiracy. But let's say that he is elected,

0:05:22 > 0:05:27hopefully we will see a Senate investigation, and ethics

0:05:27 > 0:05:31investigation to really get down into some solid proof.Thank you

0:05:31 > 0:05:34very much for joining me. Interesting speaking to people here,

0:05:34 > 0:05:39you hear at the staunch defenders of Roy Moore is saying these are

0:05:39 > 0:05:43outsiders bringing these allegations to light, and we just do not believe

0:05:43 > 0:05:47things like the Washington Post. But also some saying we are embarrassed

0:05:47 > 0:05:54that our state has been portrayed in this light.There is a word that

0:05:54 > 0:06:00they use a lot in the American media, the optics. What are the

0:06:00 > 0:06:04optics of Roy Moore, who has dodged every interview with an adult for

0:06:04 > 0:06:07the last three or four weeks, being interviewed by a 12-year-old when he

0:06:07 > 0:06:13is alleged to have abused a 14-year-old girl!It was an

0:06:13 > 0:06:18interesting decision. It is being talked about here in Alabama. I

0:06:18 > 0:06:23suspect this is the Roy Moore campaign and they must have known

0:06:23 > 0:06:27what the optics were going to be, they're all employee savvy media

0:06:27 > 0:06:31people who can tell them what the response would be. And in typical

0:06:31 > 0:06:34Roy Moore fashion this was a kind of in-your-face, I'm going to do it my

0:06:34 > 0:06:38way and not be cowed by the reporters and by the establishment

0:06:38 > 0:06:42and I'm not going to stop the way I do things just because you do not

0:06:42 > 0:06:47like it. If he takes that attitude Washington that is what will make

0:06:47 > 0:06:54him a liability for the Republican party.Plenty more about Alabama in

0:06:54 > 0:06:56the next few minutes.

0:06:56 > 0:06:59In two days there will be an important summit on the issue

0:06:59 > 0:07:00of UK-EU trade post-Brexit.

0:07:00 > 0:07:02David Davis the Brexit secretary says he wants a deal

0:07:02 > 0:07:05similar to the one agreed between Canada and EU.

0:07:05 > 0:07:08That deal, the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement removes

0:07:08 > 0:07:1198 percent of customs duties on EU exports to Canada and Canadian

0:07:11 > 0:07:15exports to the EU.

0:07:15 > 0:07:19Canada does not pay for access to the single market.

0:07:19 > 0:07:21But the agreement provides less opportunities for services,

0:07:21 > 0:07:26including the financial sector.

0:07:26 > 0:07:29Canada is also a member of another trade block NAFTA -

0:07:29 > 0:07:32so how does the country navigate several trade deals simultaneously?

0:07:32 > 0:07:34I am joined in the studio by Jaime Watt, who acts

0:07:34 > 0:07:42as an advisor to Canada's political and business leaders.

0:07:42 > 0:07:49Good to see you. How does it do this because they must be some

0:07:49 > 0:07:57regulations that do not fit with the EU that do fit with America. How

0:07:57 > 0:08:02does Canada straddle this?Well within the agreement there is an

0:08:02 > 0:08:06agreement to make sure there is harmony with regulations. It is a

0:08:06 > 0:08:11light touch, there is an annual sit down between the EU and Canada to

0:08:11 > 0:08:15work out any kind of difficulties. They've been doing this for nine

0:08:15 > 0:08:19years and now they think they have an agreement to take them through

0:08:19 > 0:08:23the goods part of the agreement. Not the services part which of course

0:08:23 > 0:08:28when people in the UK talk about Canada plus, releases the plus that

0:08:28 > 0:08:33is left out of this agreement that will need some attention.But the

0:08:33 > 0:08:40whole point of this, David Davis and Liam Fox, they want to go off and

0:08:40 > 0:08:45weigh up these new deals around the world. Does it confine them in doing

0:08:45 > 0:08:50that if they are already committed to alignment with the EU, does it

0:08:50 > 0:08:54confine Canada?Not at all because all these agreements come together

0:08:54 > 0:09:00at different times and in different ways. The UK where the leaders in

0:09:00 > 0:09:05pushing Canada and the EU together on CETA nine years ago.So I do not

0:09:05 > 0:09:12think that will change. So you think that rather than the idea that

0:09:12 > 0:09:15regulations are diverging in actual fact because everyone is involved in

0:09:15 > 0:09:21global trade we are all converging? Of course and not only converging

0:09:21 > 0:09:25but converging for policy as well as business reasons. Looking at the

0:09:25 > 0:09:28relative importance of these different markets, the Chinese

0:09:28 > 0:09:35market as well, in Canada we have the Americans abandoning the TPP

0:09:35 > 0:09:38agreement which is great news for Canada because on the other side of

0:09:38 > 0:09:44our borders on the Pacific side we have a whole new opportunity with

0:09:44 > 0:09:50China. So Canada I think is going to go in there.Your Prime Minister

0:09:50 > 0:09:57Justin Trudeau was in China recently and did not manage to get a comp

0:09:57 > 0:10:00offensive trade deal with the Chinese, not as much as he have

0:10:00 > 0:10:05wanted.Was that a blow to Canada? I think it was disappointing for the

0:10:05 > 0:10:09Prime Minister, his father has a very special relationship with the

0:10:09 > 0:10:14Chinese and I think Justin Trudeau was looking to build on that. He

0:10:14 > 0:10:17also went in there with an aggressive progressive agenda on

0:10:17 > 0:10:24human rights and equity and equality issues which was not admittedly to

0:10:24 > 0:10:30the liking of the Chinese. So I think there was a setback. But not a

0:10:30 > 0:10:35disaster by any stretch. They will continue to work on this. I think we

0:10:35 > 0:10:39are seeing that with Nafta, our major preoccupation, everything else

0:10:39 > 0:10:46is dwarfed by Nafta, these politicians say certain things to

0:10:46 > 0:10:51their domestic audience but when the reality of business and commerce

0:10:51 > 0:10:57comes to the fore everyone puts a bit of water in the wind.We have

0:10:57 > 0:11:00been talking about the Paris climate change and of course America is not

0:11:00 > 0:11:08there today. It could be a situation where he pulls America out of Nafta

0:11:08 > 0:11:13so how good the comedians deal with that?I'm not so sure that he is

0:11:13 > 0:11:19going to pull out of Nafta. -- how would the Canadians deal with that.

0:11:19 > 0:11:27Canada is the number one customer for the United States and if Donald

0:11:27 > 0:11:33Trump does not want protests and to lose their biggest customer he has

0:11:33 > 0:11:37to think about what he's asking for. Right now is asking for a percentage

0:11:37 > 0:11:43of car parts, such as the entire auto-parts industry would be

0:11:43 > 0:11:47destroyed. He's asking for unfettered access to the market and

0:11:47 > 0:11:52not giving it in return. The proposition is ridiculous. So I

0:11:52 > 0:11:56think Congress will come to its senses. Remember it is Congress that

0:11:56 > 0:12:04approves the free trade agreement and not the president.Great to see

0:12:04 > 0:12:07you, thank you very much.

0:12:07 > 0:12:09An influential American think-tank is warning that the British economy

0:12:09 > 0:12:13will probably be weakened by Brexit - even if the UK agrees a new trade

0:12:13 > 0:12:14deal with the European Union.

0:12:14 > 0:12:16A report from the Rand Corporation - which is part-funded

0:12:16 > 0:12:19by the US government - says almost all likely trading

0:12:19 > 0:12:21relationships after March 2019 will be worse than Britain's current

0:12:21 > 0:12:23membership of the EU - International Vice President

0:12:23 > 0:12:31at the Rand Corporation Charles Reis joins us from Brussels.

0:12:31 > 0:12:38Good to see you. You have looked at eight different scenarios involving

0:12:38 > 0:12:44the UK, the EU and the US.Explain why you did that? Well basically we

0:12:44 > 0:12:48assumed Brexit was going to happen and we were trying to appraise all

0:12:48 > 0:12:56the possible ways that the EU, the UK and the EU, the UK could develop

0:12:56 > 0:13:02and organise its external trade. And so eight scenarios is not all of the

0:13:02 > 0:13:05possibilities but it captures the range of possibilities.You looked

0:13:05 > 0:13:11at the one I talked about, the UK EU US agreement, clearly the one that

0:13:11 > 0:13:14appeals to the government. But you say it is not likely in the current

0:13:14 > 0:13:20political atmosphere that prevails. So the question I have then is are

0:13:20 > 0:13:25you looking at the very short-term rather than the longer game for

0:13:25 > 0:13:30Brexit?Well we tried to at all of these scenarios on a ten time frame

0:13:30 > 0:13:36but it is ten years beginning in 2019, so the short term in political

0:13:36 > 0:13:41terms. We were trying to figure out what it is that would be in the best

0:13:41 > 0:13:47interests of the UK if they were interested in preserving their own

0:13:47 > 0:13:50economy and growth prospects. That was the motivating factor. But

0:13:50 > 0:13:56you're right in the introduction, in almost all of the scenarios we found

0:13:56 > 0:14:00the UK would be worse off economically than it is as a member

0:14:00 > 0:14:06of the EU. This is because there is almost any other trade regime

0:14:06 > 0:14:12including free trade agreements with the Canada model, they impose

0:14:12 > 0:14:17customs restrictions, rules of origin and other kinds of nontariff

0:14:17 > 0:14:23areas which are costs to trade and reduce trade below what been

0:14:23 > 0:14:27otherwise. And the result is lower economic growth.The only problem

0:14:27 > 0:14:32some people would have with this report, you preface your findings by

0:14:32 > 0:14:35saying whether Brexodus judged a success or not will depend to some

0:14:35 > 0:14:44degree on its economic impact. -- Brexit is judge. But many leave

0:14:44 > 0:14:46voters were prepared to take the economic hit because far more

0:14:46 > 0:14:53important to them was immigration, the sovereignty of the UK

0:14:53 > 0:15:01Government.There are many people who say that. When their own

0:15:01 > 0:15:04economic circumstances deteriorate however they may change their mind.

0:15:04 > 0:15:08But not if they have not been touched by the economic progress, in

0:15:08 > 0:15:12some towns and cities in the north they feel they have been left behind

0:15:12 > 0:15:18which has been part of the problem. Indeed, it is sort of the trend

0:15:18 > 0:15:20towards economic nationalism, talking really about the United

0:15:20 > 0:15:24States, many countries in the post-globalisation era are

0:15:24 > 0:15:32struggling with questions of equity. Questions of two which segments of

0:15:32 > 0:15:36the population benefit from international trade and this has

0:15:36 > 0:15:41been debated in the UK as much as elsewhere. But if you look at the

0:15:41 > 0:15:46breakdown of voters for Brexit, it was older voters who voted for

0:15:46 > 0:15:51leaving the EU. And younger voters with a longer term horizon if you

0:15:51 > 0:15:56will, but it almost, quite substantially to remain within the

0:15:56 > 0:16:01EU. And were quite upset at the outcome.Very interesting, thank you

0:16:01 > 0:16:05for coming in.

0:16:05 > 0:16:07This is Beyond One Hundred Days.

0:16:07 > 0:16:08Still to come.

0:16:08 > 0:16:10A new insight into the history of the slave trade -

0:16:10 > 0:16:20in the wrecks rediscovered in Senegal.

0:16:20 > 0:16:22Last night was the coldest this winter and if you live

0:16:22 > 0:16:25in Shropshire you'll have known all about it - it was down

0:16:25 > 0:16:27to minus 13 celsius in one place.

0:16:27 > 0:16:29The freeze has led to fresh disruption for travellers -

0:16:29 > 0:16:32and hundreds of schools are closed for a second day running.

0:16:32 > 0:16:34Here's Sima Kotecha.

0:16:34 > 0:16:42A bed of snow with freezing conditions.

0:16:42 > 0:16:45Across parts of the Midlands it's not been easy - icy roads,

0:16:45 > 0:16:50school closures, but for the children another day off school.

0:16:50 > 0:16:53We have been sledging, building a snowman.

0:16:53 > 0:16:56In Shropshire more than 200 schools were closed and in

0:16:56 > 0:17:03Gloucestershire and Herefordshire almost 100 remain closed.

0:17:03 > 0:17:05It is difficult trying to find things for

0:17:05 > 0:17:08them to do and keep them occupied.

0:17:08 > 0:17:10When you have childcare issues and you are working full-time,

0:17:10 > 0:17:13obviously it would be disruptive to you

0:17:13 > 0:17:15because the schools are closing on a day-to-day basis and you're not

0:17:16 > 0:17:21knowing until the last minute.

0:17:21 > 0:17:24It is bitterly cold here, the temperature

0:17:24 > 0:17:27is around minus four Celsius and there's no sign of this snow

0:17:27 > 0:17:29melting any time soon.

0:17:29 > 0:17:31As night falls, the temperatures are expected to plunge

0:17:32 > 0:17:35even further.

0:17:35 > 0:17:42In the West Midlands it was a similar story, more schools

0:17:42 > 0:17:44closed than open.

0:17:44 > 0:17:45Some councils have been criticised for advising them

0:17:45 > 0:17:48not to reopen even though many roads have been cleared.

0:17:48 > 0:17:50The initial advice last Friday was for all

0:17:50 > 0:17:55schools to close, we have changed that advice to save the decision

0:17:55 > 0:17:58should be made locally depending on whether you can get school

0:17:58 > 0:18:01transport to the school and whether it is safe

0:18:01 > 0:18:09to do so in consideration of the roads and other conditions.

0:18:09 > 0:18:11More than 200 homes in the region were without power this morning.

0:18:11 > 0:18:13Tomorrow will present its own challenges.

0:18:13 > 0:18:16With rain coming in from the west, some of the snow will turn

0:18:16 > 0:18:26to ice making pathways even more slippery.

0:18:27 > 0:18:31You're watching Beyond One Hundred Days.

0:18:31 > 0:18:34Alabama is a state synonymous with the civil rights movement.

0:18:34 > 0:18:39I was at the Sixteenth Street Baptist Church in Birmingham today,

0:18:39 > 0:18:43where a bomb blast killed four African-American girls in 1963.

0:18:43 > 0:18:46That same year Martin Luther King was arrested and jailed

0:18:46 > 0:18:51for protesting at the way blacks were treated in this state.

0:18:51 > 0:18:55The history runs deep.

0:18:55 > 0:18:57Its roots though lie thousands of miles away in West Africa,

0:18:57 > 0:19:01where archaeologists have begun searching for the forgotten wrecks

0:19:01 > 0:19:03of the trans-Atlantic slave trade - the ships that sank,

0:19:03 > 0:19:05while carrying thousands of African men, women

0:19:05 > 0:19:08and children to the Americas.

0:19:08 > 0:19:11Many of those slaves were bound for the deep south including

0:19:11 > 0:19:13the state of Alabama.

0:19:13 > 0:19:16And now, as part of a US-funded programme, archaeologists in Senegal

0:19:16 > 0:19:20have been trying to find those wrecks off the coast of Dakar.

0:19:20 > 0:19:24The BBC's Laeila Adjovi joined one of the expeditions.

0:19:24 > 0:19:29These divers are Senegal's first generation of marine archaeologists.

0:19:29 > 0:19:34As part of their research this professor and his team explored

0:19:34 > 0:19:44the sea floor in search of remains of sunken slave ships.

0:19:45 > 0:19:48It took years of training to launch the slave wreck project here.

0:19:48 > 0:19:50TRANSLATION: At the beginning it was not easy.

0:19:50 > 0:19:53In fact I could not even train before this programme so the first

0:19:53 > 0:19:55year was very difficult for the whole team.

0:19:55 > 0:19:57This morning the divers are off an island which was

0:19:57 > 0:20:00a notorious stopover during the Atlantic slave trade.

0:20:00 > 0:20:02Three years into the programme, these pioneers are now

0:20:02 > 0:20:11passionate about diving.

0:20:11 > 0:20:14Once the wreck is found, the scientists take photos and notes.

0:20:14 > 0:20:17They also take a piece of the ship for analysis.

0:20:17 > 0:20:22To determine the exact historical period of the sinking.

0:20:22 > 0:20:25The team has yet to do in-depth research on archives

0:20:25 > 0:20:27and old navigation registers.

0:20:27 > 0:20:30Dozens of slave wrecks could be lying along the coastline

0:20:30 > 0:20:34and at the bottom of the Senegal River.

0:20:34 > 0:20:37The professor hopes that in time the findings can shed a new light

0:20:37 > 0:20:45on the history of the slave trade.

0:20:45 > 0:20:47TRANSLATION: The crossing of the Atlantic is a very dark

0:20:48 > 0:20:50moment that is not very well known.

0:20:50 > 0:20:53We know that some slave ships were wrecked and all the archives

0:20:53 > 0:20:56are here under the sea.

0:20:56 > 0:21:00It is important to document the time of the crossing

0:21:00 > 0:21:05because it is the time of the rupture of the umbilical cord

0:21:05 > 0:21:08between Africa and its diasporas.

0:21:08 > 0:21:11Back on land at Dakar University there is growing interest

0:21:11 > 0:21:16in marine archaeology.

0:21:16 > 0:21:21So having more African scholars and more African students taking

0:21:21 > 0:21:26part in this research and involving local communities is all part

0:21:26 > 0:21:29of decolonising the knowledge.

0:21:29 > 0:21:32TRANSLATION: For a long time this research was done by people

0:21:32 > 0:21:34coming from the outside.

0:21:34 > 0:21:37And for us it is crucial that a local Senegalese

0:21:37 > 0:21:40and African team take part.

0:21:40 > 0:21:47And beyond that we really want to work with local communities

0:21:47 > 0:21:51who were directly impacted by the slave trade.

0:21:51 > 0:21:53So far the funding for the slave wreck project has come

0:21:53 > 0:21:54from the United States.

0:21:54 > 0:21:58The professor believes Senegal should contribute.

0:21:58 > 0:22:00He is adamant that no independent nation can thrive

0:22:01 > 0:22:10without preserving its own heritage.

0:22:12 > 0:22:17Fascinating insight into what is going on in Senegal. Back to Alabama

0:22:17 > 0:22:22and Ron Christie is back with us. It is fascinating to listen to the

0:22:22 > 0:22:26people we have spoken to tonight about the links between their faith

0:22:26 > 0:22:31and the way that they vote. That is very different over here, we have a

0:22:31 > 0:22:34secular society in Europe, not to say that faith is not just as

0:22:34 > 0:22:37important to voters here but we do not hear it spoken about in such

0:22:37 > 0:22:46terms as you see it in Alabama.Good to see you come it is interesting,

0:22:46 > 0:22:49my grandparents are southern evangelicals and having grown up

0:22:49 > 0:22:54with this in my family I can tell you they put a strong premium on

0:22:54 > 0:22:58religion, on abortion and some issues that we have spoken about

0:22:58 > 0:23:02today. And they look at Roy Moore and said that these are just

0:23:02 > 0:23:06allegations and I'm willing to look at those guys just allegations, but

0:23:06 > 0:23:10he is a pious, strong Christian man and we should give him the benefit

0:23:10 > 0:23:15of the doubt. In many states that would not apply like that but it

0:23:15 > 0:23:20does here in Alabama.There has been some discussion in the course of

0:23:20 > 0:23:23this Alabama race that everyone has been focused on issues of sexual

0:23:23 > 0:23:30harassment on on characters, on these kind of outside issues. People

0:23:30 > 0:23:35are saying what about the political issues. But actually for

0:23:35 > 0:23:38conservative evangelical voters here I think those are the issues. His

0:23:38 > 0:23:45discussion of abortion, his objection to abortion, that is the

0:23:45 > 0:23:49real issue and for many voters it is a single voting issue. The one

0:23:49 > 0:23:54single issue they would vote on and Doug Jones who is pro-choice on the

0:23:54 > 0:23:59issue of abortion, I've heard some analysts here in Alabama saying if

0:23:59 > 0:24:06he were not quite so pro-choice on abortion, if he had some caveats in

0:24:06 > 0:24:10there he would probably be much further ahead in the polls. No

0:24:10 > 0:24:14question. So we've spoken about civil rights and this street that

0:24:14 > 0:24:18runs deep in Alabama, if turnout is king does that mean that the black

0:24:18 > 0:24:27vote really matters today?Well I tell you, Alabama, the African

0:24:27 > 0:24:32American population is about 20% and I spoke to several people and they

0:24:32 > 0:24:37recognise that this election could be about to -- taking Alabama

0:24:37 > 0:24:40forward or indeed back to the past. There are so many concerns amongst

0:24:40 > 0:24:47the black community, people I've spoken to say it shines a bad light

0:24:47 > 0:24:55on Alabama for the past but we have had. So will it be enough, this is a

0:24:55 > 0:25:01very red state, not the many Democrats and so the African

0:25:01 > 0:25:05American vote is crucial stop and even if you had a massive turnout

0:25:05 > 0:25:10for the African American community, could it sway the vote.And also one

0:25:10 > 0:25:20group is suburban women, we have seen them play a big role. In

0:25:20 > 0:25:25Virginia in the end it was suburban women that swung the state for the

0:25:25 > 0:25:30Democratic governor. I am watching suburban women here, I spoke to one

0:25:30 > 0:25:34who was a Republican all her life, her family voted Republican, she

0:25:34 > 0:25:38knows the family of Roy Moore and she switched, she is going to vote

0:25:38 > 0:25:41for the Democrats Doug Jones and she's calling her friends to get

0:25:41 > 0:25:46them to vote for the Democrat Doug Jones. All because of these

0:25:46 > 0:25:49allegations of sexual harassment which she said to me she believed

0:25:49 > 0:25:55were credible. So watch the African American turnout but also woman.

0:25:55 > 0:25:59Absolutely, is all about turnout, we have not got any indication is how

0:25:59 > 0:26:05it is going yet but I've seen a lot of signs up driving around, a lot of

0:26:05 > 0:26:12signs up for the Democrat.So stay at super late to watch the result! I

0:26:12 > 0:26:21know I can rely on you! I will text you!

0:26:21 > 0:26:25Coming up next on BBC World News - Kasia Madera is here

0:26:25 > 0:26:29with Outside Source and for viewers in the UK -

0:26:29 > 0:26:35we'll have the latest headlines from Clive Myrie.

0:26:35 > 0:26:38Thanks for watching.