0:00:07 > 0:00:08You're watching Beyond 100 Days.
0:00:08 > 0:00:12Six days of protests, several dead and now Iran's supreme
0:00:13 > 0:00:14leader blames foreign countries
0:00:14 > 0:00:16for the unrest at home.
0:00:16 > 0:00:19Demonstrators want better economic conditions and less
0:00:19 > 0:00:21engagement abroad - it's a sentiment we've
0:00:21 > 0:00:30heard around the world.
0:00:30 > 0:00:32The demonstrators are overwhelmingly young and frustrated at financial
0:00:32 > 0:00:34hardship and social repression.
0:00:34 > 0:00:37They're up against a government determined to stop them.
0:00:37 > 0:00:39Donald Trump is back in the White House -
0:00:39 > 0:00:42he has a packed agenda at home and multiple crises abroad.
0:00:42 > 0:00:49Does he have a game plan for 2018?
0:00:49 > 0:00:50Also on the programme...
0:00:50 > 0:00:53Time's Up, the new campaign sponsored by the women of Hollywood,
0:00:53 > 0:00:55which vows to stamp out harassment and gender inequality.
0:00:55 > 0:00:58And if you are feeling bookish in these dark months of the year -
0:00:58 > 0:01:03how about trying to read a whole bookshop while running it?
0:01:03 > 0:01:05Get in touch with us using the hashtag
0:01:05 > 0:01:15#Beyond100Days.
0:01:16 > 0:01:18Hello and welcome - I'm Katty Kay in Washington
0:01:18 > 0:01:19and Christian Fraser is in London.
0:01:19 > 0:01:21Add Iran to the list of countries grappling
0:01:21 > 0:01:22with a populist wave.
0:01:22 > 0:01:25The violent demonstrations of the past six days
0:01:25 > 0:01:26surprised everyone,
0:01:26 > 0:01:28but their roots look familiar.
0:01:28 > 0:01:30Protestors are fed up with the establishment in Tehran
0:01:30 > 0:01:32spending money on foreign ventures that cause economic
0:01:32 > 0:01:36hardship at home.
0:01:36 > 0:01:37The Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has
0:01:37 > 0:01:42blamed Iran's enemies, the United States and Saudi Arabia.
0:01:42 > 0:01:45President Trump certainly sees opportunity.
0:01:45 > 0:01:47But there is no leader of this movement, no obvious manifesto,
0:01:47 > 0:01:50so where does it lead and what it can actually accomplish?
0:01:50 > 0:01:56Our Middle East editor Jeremy Bowen reports.
0:01:56 > 0:01:59In Tehran, squads of motorbike police are cruising the streets
0:01:59 > 0:02:05to break up groups of demonstrators.
0:02:05 > 0:02:11The protests have changed since they started last Thursday.
0:02:11 > 0:02:18To begin with, they were about the economy.
0:02:18 > 0:02:21Most of the protesters are young men.
0:02:21 > 0:02:23More than 50% of Iranians are under 30.
0:02:23 > 0:02:25And perhaps 40% of them are unemployed.
0:02:25 > 0:02:28That pent up political frustration is spilling out and much of it has
0:02:28 > 0:02:30been directed at this man, the supreme leader
0:02:30 > 0:02:35Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
0:02:35 > 0:02:43He is the powerful figurehead of the Islamic Republic,
0:02:43 > 0:02:45and attacks on his posters will be seen as attacks
0:02:45 > 0:02:46on the Islamic system.
0:02:46 > 0:02:52He's blaming Iran's foreign enemies.
0:02:52 > 0:02:57TRANSLATION:Following recent events, the enemies have united
0:02:57 > 0:03:00and are using all their means - money, weapons, policies
0:03:00 > 0:03:02and security services - to create problems for the Islamic
0:03:03 > 0:03:06Republic.
0:03:06 > 0:03:11It's not just Ayatollah Khamenei, the supreme leader, who's
0:03:11 > 0:03:13blaming foreigners.
0:03:13 > 0:03:14Mohammad Hartemi, a reformist, says Iranians
0:03:14 > 0:03:17have the right to protest, but he blamed Iran's enemies,
0:03:17 > 0:03:19led by the United States, for inciting people
0:03:19 > 0:03:25to destroy public buildings and to insult religious values.
0:03:25 > 0:03:28President Obama, in 2009, was careful not to give the last big
0:03:28 > 0:03:30protest his backing.
0:03:30 > 0:03:35But President Trump has tweeted his support.
0:03:35 > 0:03:37The people of Iran, he declared, are finally acting
0:03:37 > 0:03:42against the brutal and corrupt Iranian regime.
0:03:42 > 0:03:52But whatever President Trump wants, this isn't a new revolution.
0:03:52 > 0:03:54They are still the most serious popular protests since the mass
0:03:54 > 0:03:56demonstrations that followed the disputed 2009
0:03:56 > 0:04:00presidential election.
0:04:00 > 0:04:02Those protests were beaten by the power of the state,
0:04:02 > 0:04:04even though they were led by top politicians and directed
0:04:05 > 0:04:10at a badly divided leadership.
0:04:10 > 0:04:13The new protests are not as well organised and may run out of steam.
0:04:13 > 0:04:18But the fact they're happening at all is very significant.
0:04:18 > 0:04:20They show how discontented Iranians are with state repression
0:04:20 > 0:04:29and increasing poverty. Jeremy Bowen, BBC News.
0:04:29 > 0:04:31For more analysis, we can speak to Professor Mohammad Marandi
0:04:31 > 0:04:41from the University of Tehran.
0:04:41 > 0:04:45it's not surprising that the Iranian people are bit fed up. They have
0:04:45 > 0:04:49unemployment among young people at 30%, the price of staple food and
0:04:49 > 0:04:54goods has risen by 40% in recent weeks, and yet sanctions have been
0:04:54 > 0:04:57lifted and the country ought to be feeling Richard?First of all,
0:04:57 > 0:05:03sanctions have not been lifted. The United States has failed to abide by
0:05:03 > 0:05:06its side of the bargain. The Iranians made many concessions with
0:05:06 > 0:05:12regard to the nuclear programme, and the Americans basically refused to
0:05:12 > 0:05:16abide by their side of the bargain. As we speak, if I was to send you a
0:05:16 > 0:05:21single euro or dollar or pound to your bank account in England, that
0:05:21 > 0:05:25would be impossible, and vice versa. So no, most Iranians recognise that
0:05:25 > 0:05:32the United States has betrayed the Iranians. On the other hand, you
0:05:32 > 0:05:35have to make a sharp distinction between the protesters we have been
0:05:35 > 0:05:40seeing over the last few months who have been protesting after the
0:05:40 > 0:05:45collapse of a number of banking institutions and a lot of people
0:05:45 > 0:05:49lost their money. They have been protesting in Tehran in front of
0:05:49 > 0:05:52Parliament and other places. That is not new. What happened in Mashhad
0:05:52 > 0:05:58was that a small segment of the protesters began to riot. Then in
0:05:58 > 0:06:02the following days, we saw more riots spread out in different
0:06:02 > 0:06:07cities, but smaller in number. Gradually, the protesters separated
0:06:07 > 0:06:10themselves and they no longer participated because they didn't
0:06:10 > 0:06:17want to be seen with these more extreme groups. We have seen police
0:06:17 > 0:06:26cars burnt, banks destroyed. They took a fire truck and pushed it down
0:06:26 > 0:06:31a hill and if a car, killing a family. They attacked a police
0:06:31 > 0:06:38station. In one attack, six people were killed. Unfortunately, social
0:06:38 > 0:06:41media apps are being used and the people who are instigating the
0:06:41 > 0:06:45violence and teaching people how to produce Molotov cocktails are in
0:06:45 > 0:06:51Europe and North America. In 2009, when we had the same phenomenon in
0:06:51 > 0:06:54London, these were called rioters and the Prime Minister of England
0:06:54 > 0:07:00was threatening to shut down social media. Ultimately, the companies
0:07:00 > 0:07:02behind these applications cooperated with the British government to
0:07:02 > 0:07:06arrest these people. So when it comes to Iran, these are protesters.
0:07:06 > 0:07:12When it is in England, they are rioters.A lot of criticism has
0:07:12 > 0:07:16focused on Iran's foreign policy, which is pretty expansive in Syria
0:07:16 > 0:07:19and Iraq. Shouldn't the government be looking after people at home
0:07:19 > 0:07:23rather than spending money on foreign ventures?Well, if it wasn't
0:07:23 > 0:07:28for Iran, Syria would have fallen and we would have had Al-Qaeda and
0:07:28 > 0:07:32ice 's flags flying over Damascus. The same is true with Iraq. But if
0:07:32 > 0:07:37you look at the polls carried out by the University of Maryland, an
0:07:37 > 0:07:41American university, they have consistently shown that the
0:07:41 > 0:07:45overwhelming majority of Iranians support Iran's foreign policy in the
0:07:45 > 0:07:51region, because Iranians know that if Syria and Iraq had fallen, it is
0:07:51 > 0:07:55basically because the United States and its allies like Saudi Arabia was
0:07:55 > 0:08:01supporting the extremists. If these countries had fallen, the battle
0:08:01 > 0:08:06would have started inside Iran itself. We had a terrorist attack in
0:08:06 > 0:08:09Tehran. If these countries had fallen, the situation in Iran would
0:08:09 > 0:08:14be dramatically worse. So it is not only for the sake of security in the
0:08:14 > 0:08:17region that Iran helped fight in these countries, but also for Iran's
0:08:17 > 0:08:25national security.Professor, thank you. Professor Mohammad Marandi, who
0:08:25 > 0:08:28does have links to the Iranian government and so can speak about
0:08:28 > 0:08:34what happens in Tehran. It is worth pointing out how differently the
0:08:34 > 0:08:39Obama and Trump situations have handled the Iran situation.
0:08:39 > 0:08:42In June 2009, a series of protests erupted in Tehran over
0:08:42 > 0:08:43the election results.
0:08:43 > 0:08:45President Obama stayed pretty quiet and was
0:08:45 > 0:08:46criticised for not strongly supporting the demonstrators.
0:08:46 > 0:08:49A week on, facing criticism that his response was weak,
0:08:49 > 0:08:52Obama issued a White House Statement which included the retort:
0:08:52 > 0:08:54"The Iranian government must understand that the world
0:08:54 > 0:08:55is watching."
0:08:55 > 0:08:57Fast forward to 2017 and protests break out once again -
0:08:57 > 0:09:00not dissimilar to those of eight years ago.
0:09:00 > 0:09:03And within one day, Donald Trump posts this on Twitter:
0:09:03 > 0:09:05"Many reports of peaceful protests by Iranian citizens
0:09:05 > 0:09:08fed up with regime's
0:09:08 > 0:09:11corruption & its squandering of the nation's wealth
0:09:11 > 0:09:12to fund terrorism abroad.
0:09:12 > 0:09:14Iranian govt should respect their people's rights, including
0:09:14 > 0:09:15right to express themselves.
0:09:15 > 0:09:16The world is watching!
0:09:16 > 0:09:18Though you might recognise the "world is watching"
0:09:18 > 0:09:24line from Obama, that's where the similarity ends.
0:09:24 > 0:09:27Let's bring in Robin Wright, a joint fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center
0:09:27 > 0:09:34and US Institute of Peace who has reported extensively on Iran.
0:09:34 > 0:09:40Firstly, your thoughts on what the professor was saying?The protests
0:09:40 > 0:09:46in Iran are different from 2009. This is grassroots. It doesn't have
0:09:46 > 0:09:48an apparent leadership. It was sparked by economic issues, although
0:09:48 > 0:09:55it has grown quickly into political issues challenging the regime. The
0:09:55 > 0:10:00question is how the regime will respond. Unlike 2009, it has said
0:10:00 > 0:10:03that protests are legitimate as long as they don't turn into violence.
0:10:03 > 0:10:07That is where the dividing line is. In 2009, you had a hardline
0:10:07 > 0:10:11president and they clamped down on the protesters quickly and engaged
0:10:11 > 0:10:15in Stalinist type trials and put many of them in jail for long prison
0:10:15 > 0:10:20sentences. We will have to see how this plays out, but the regime does
0:10:20 > 0:10:24face serious problems that will play out economically for a variety of
0:10:24 > 0:10:29reasons. This is a hard time.We didn't hear much sympathy for the
0:10:29 > 0:10:32protesters from the professor speaking in Iran. Where does this
0:10:32 > 0:10:37leave the White House? President Trump has adopted a more aggressive
0:10:37 > 0:10:42tone towards the Iranian government in his tweets. What is he going to
0:10:42 > 0:10:45do?He has several decisions to make in the coming weeks about the
0:10:45 > 0:10:49Iranian nuclear deal, whether to wait sanctions against and how to
0:10:49 > 0:10:59proceed. The government has talked in some quarters about regime change
0:10:59 > 0:11:02or demanding that the regime change its behaviour, which amounts to
0:11:02 > 0:11:07regime change. The question is how confrontational the Trump
0:11:07 > 0:11:11administration will be. The Obama administration invested in a nuclear
0:11:11 > 0:11:14deal, thinking that might open the way for discussions on other flash
0:11:14 > 0:11:19points or other issues of common interest. We are headed towards, I
0:11:19 > 0:11:24think, a much deeper stand-off with Iran. The question is, how far will
0:11:24 > 0:11:27the Trump administration go? Has bigger problems to face in North
0:11:27 > 0:11:34Korea. Can it take on two at the same time?The US ambassador to the
0:11:34 > 0:11:41UN has spoken. She says the claims that America is behind this are
0:11:41 > 0:11:44plainly ridiculous. But it is a timeline for the Trump
0:11:44 > 0:11:47administration, because if they look like they are trying to foment
0:11:47 > 0:11:53trouble within Iran, it gives the regime an excuse.Absolutely, and
0:11:53 > 0:11:58remember in 1953, the CIA and British intelligence were involved
0:11:58 > 0:12:01in orchestrating a coup against a democratically elected government
0:12:01 > 0:12:06that had forced the Shah to leave Iran and abandon the throne. After
0:12:06 > 0:12:11six days, the Shah was brought back. Iranians believe their revolution in
0:12:11 > 0:12:151979 was in large part because when they tried evolutionary change
0:12:15 > 0:12:20themselves, they were blocked from doing it by the outside world. And
0:12:20 > 0:12:24that resonates today. How far the US goes and how far the European allies
0:12:24 > 0:12:30go will be very instrumental in determining the state of relations
0:12:30 > 0:12:36between the West and Iran, as well as the course of this very
0:12:36 > 0:12:39interesting and rest.And the reaction from the government
0:12:39 > 0:12:42tomorrow is probably going to be predictable. They will bring out
0:12:42 > 0:12:47huge numbers of people in rallies to try and swamp out the protest.Yes,
0:12:47 > 0:12:52and they have done this before. But the reality is, time and again, in
0:12:52 > 0:12:561999 with the student protests and in 2009 with the millions who turned
0:12:56 > 0:13:02out to challenge the election and today, in more than 60 cities in
0:13:02 > 0:13:08Iran, you see this very strong resistance. This is not over, even
0:13:08 > 0:13:13if the protests. In the near future. There are deep divisions inside the
0:13:13 > 0:13:19society.Thank you for coming in. Christian and I were speaking to an
0:13:19 > 0:13:22Iran watcher here in Washington this morning who was saying there are
0:13:22 > 0:13:28similarities to these populist waves. Each one has its own
0:13:28 > 0:13:31independent characteristics, but if you look at the fact that they
0:13:31 > 0:13:34started in cities outside of Iran and have been directed against the
0:13:34 > 0:13:37government in Tehran, that they are around economic concerns, it is
0:13:37 > 0:13:42going too far to say that this is the kind of Iran first moment, but
0:13:42 > 0:13:45there are elements of that. What is the government doing, being engaged
0:13:45 > 0:13:49in Iraq, Syria and Yemen, rather than looking after the price of food
0:13:49 > 0:13:52at home and unemployment levels? They want the focus to be on those
0:13:52 > 0:13:57issues.It is interesting that the ayatollah has spoken today. The fact
0:13:57 > 0:14:03that he felt it necessary to talk tells you how serious it is, and the
0:14:03 > 0:14:06fact that they are bringing huge numbers of people out on the streets
0:14:06 > 0:14:10again reflects how serious they are. The difference between this protest
0:14:10 > 0:14:14and the one in 2009 is where it started. It is not so much focus in
0:14:14 > 0:14:19Tehran, we are seeing it in the provinces, and if it spreads to the
0:14:19 > 0:14:22middle classes, that is when it will be interesting.One Iranian pointed
0:14:22 > 0:14:26out another difference. The spread of smartphones in Iran has increased
0:14:26 > 0:14:29dramatically since 2009. Lots of people have smartphones now and
0:14:29 > 0:14:32there are managing to organise demonstrations around the country by
0:14:32 > 0:14:37using apt that the government hasn't yet totally shut down. Let's move on
0:14:37 > 0:14:38to American politics.
0:14:38 > 0:14:40President Trump began the new year with a string
0:14:40 > 0:14:43of foreign policy tweets - but he has an equally
0:14:43 > 0:14:44busy agenda at home.
0:14:44 > 0:14:46He's got to work to keep government funded and open,
0:14:46 > 0:14:49decide what to do about young undocumented immigrants and try
0:14:49 > 0:14:50for another big legislative win.
0:14:50 > 0:14:52He left Washington before the holidays on a high
0:14:52 > 0:14:54after passing tax reform.
0:14:54 > 0:14:57Now he says he wants to work with Democrats to improve
0:14:57 > 0:14:58the country's infrastructure.
0:14:58 > 0:15:01It all sounds like politics as usual, but one thing we've learned
0:15:01 > 0:15:06with this President is never to expect the normal.
0:15:06 > 0:15:09So how will Trump 2018 differ from Trump 2017?
0:15:09 > 0:15:11Joining me now is political analyst and former advisor
0:15:12 > 0:15:18to George W Bush, Ron Christie.
0:15:18 > 0:15:23Happy new year to you.Happy new year.We are glad to have you back
0:15:23 > 0:15:27from the Sunni west coast and with us on the freezing east coast. We
0:15:27 > 0:15:31know that President Trump has a full agenda. Let's have a quick look at
0:15:31 > 0:15:35some of the things he has to get done. If this was in my inbox on the
0:15:35 > 0:15:382nd of January, I think it would give me heart failure. He has to
0:15:38 > 0:15:44keep the government open. That ought to be fine. He has to come with a
0:15:44 > 0:15:48budget and decide what to do about dreamers, the young undocumented
0:15:48 > 0:15:52workers. He has to carry on trying to repeal Obamacare. We don't need
0:15:52 > 0:15:56to go through the whole list, but there are lots of things. Will this
0:15:56 > 0:15:59be a year in which President Trump can work with Democrats, which he
0:15:59 > 0:16:05needs to do on lots of those things, and get something big done for
0:16:05 > 0:16:09America?It could be. This is something that Democrats have as
0:16:09 > 0:16:13much of an interest in as Republicans. Our roads, bridges and
0:16:13 > 0:16:16infrastructure in the United States is crumbling. It is antiquated and
0:16:16 > 0:16:23out of date. This is one area where bipartisan consensus could help
0:16:23 > 0:16:29Donald Trump work with his friends, chat and Nancy. They could forge
0:16:29 > 0:16:32bipartisan consensus. But here is where it gets more difficult, the
0:16:32 > 0:16:37budget you mentioned. The president has said, we will build a war with
0:16:37 > 0:16:40Mexico in order to get a bucket and if we don't get the wall, we will
0:16:40 > 0:16:47not have the relief of those young undocumented migrants, otherwise
0:16:47 > 0:16:51known as the dreamers. This is where the Trump and Democrats will have
0:16:51 > 0:16:55their showdown. The Trump get his wall? Do the Democrats get the
0:16:55 > 0:17:00dreamers, or do both compromise? Sitting here in London, this is
0:17:00 > 0:17:04where President Trump has a strong hand. Looking at the world
0:17:04 > 0:17:07superpower of America with a huge economy and a creaking
0:17:07 > 0:17:12infrastructure and health care system that doesn't work, he is
0:17:12 > 0:17:19pretty strong on those things.Those are two areas he is strong on. As a
0:17:19 > 0:17:23former real estate builder and developer, this is something he
0:17:23 > 0:17:27comes to with experience where he can say to Democrats, if we put by
0:17:27 > 0:17:30amount of billion dollars into infrastructure spending, these are
0:17:30 > 0:17:36the sorts of returns we can get. This is a strong point for the
0:17:36 > 0:17:40president and one that if he were watching your programme on the first
0:17:40 > 0:17:45day back in the new year, I would say to him, Mr President, this is a
0:17:45 > 0:17:50golden opportunity. Go to the Democrats, seek, mice and forge
0:17:50 > 0:17:55forward -- seek a compromise.But he poisoned the well last year. Our
0:17:55 > 0:17:59Nancy and Chuck going to want to play ball?That was so 2017,
0:17:59 > 0:18:06Christian! Now we are in 2018, right? Who knows what the Chuck and
0:18:06 > 0:18:10Nancy tweets might guess in the new year. I am hopeful that the
0:18:10 > 0:18:14president has put some of that rhetoric behind him as it relates to
0:18:14 > 0:18:17those two Democrats and they can find a way to work together. But as
0:18:17 > 0:18:22we have all seen, with all those Twitter characters, you never know
0:18:22 > 0:18:32what he is going to do.Good to see you. You fly into JFK or Dulles
0:18:32 > 0:18:36airport and feel like you have landed in the Third World. You are
0:18:36 > 0:18:38right about infrastructure spending, but we have been hearing this
0:18:38 > 0:18:42argument for the last ten years in the United States, when money was
0:18:42 > 0:18:46free and they didn't do it then. So with Democrats facing the mid-term
0:18:46 > 0:18:50elections, I am not sure they are going to play ball as much as they
0:18:50 > 0:18:53might do. Just saying! Let's move on.
0:18:53 > 0:18:55More than 300 female Hollywood A-listers have launched
0:18:55 > 0:18:57a campaign to fight sexual harassment in all workplaces.
0:18:57 > 0:19:00The campaign, called Time's Up, includes stars such as Meryl Streep
0:19:00 > 0:19:03and Jennifer Lawrence.
0:19:03 > 0:19:06They've already raised $13 million towards a legal defence fund
0:19:06 > 0:19:08for poorer women affected by harassment in all industries.
0:19:08 > 0:19:11Our colleague Lucy Hockings has more.
0:19:11 > 0:19:19A full-page ad in the first New York Times of 2018.
0:19:19 > 0:19:20It begins "Dear sisters".
0:19:20 > 0:19:23It's a letter addressed to every woman who has had to fend
0:19:23 > 0:19:25off sexual advances.
0:19:25 > 0:19:27It's the work of 300 actresses, directors, writers and others
0:19:27 > 0:19:30from across the entertainment industry who are determined to kick
0:19:30 > 0:19:32off the new year with real change in their industry,
0:19:32 > 0:19:33and for women in low-paid work.
0:19:33 > 0:19:40They call it Time's Up.
0:19:40 > 0:19:42In 2017, Hollywood was overwhelmed with allegations of sexual
0:19:42 > 0:19:44abuse and misconduct against some of its most
0:19:44 > 0:19:45powerful players.
0:19:45 > 0:19:47It began with a flood of allegations against Harvey Weinstein,
0:19:47 > 0:19:50one of the film industry's biggest producers.
0:19:50 > 0:19:53It led to Me Too, a global initiative of women and men
0:19:53 > 0:19:59sharing their stories of sexual abuse and harassment.
0:19:59 > 0:20:01And the movement shows no sign of slowing down.
0:20:01 > 0:20:04Oscar winners Natalie Portman, Emma Stone and Cate Blanchett are all
0:20:04 > 0:20:05among the supporters of Time's Up.
0:20:05 > 0:20:07Their motives are clear.
0:20:07 > 0:20:10They say Time's Up is a unified call for change from women in
0:20:10 > 0:20:14entertainment for women everywhere.
0:20:14 > 0:20:15"We envisage nationwide leadership that reflects
0:20:15 > 0:20:20the world in which we live".
0:20:20 > 0:20:30They're also raising money to fund legal support for victims.
0:20:31 > 0:20:34They want to use that fund to help blue collar women who may be facing
0:20:34 > 0:20:36sexual harassment or sexual misconduct and have reported it
0:20:36 > 0:20:38to their human resources office and faced a backlash.
0:20:38 > 0:20:44Many women in these circumstances do not have the money
0:20:44 > 0:20:45to fight big companies.
0:20:45 > 0:20:47That is where this legal defence fund will come in.
0:20:47 > 0:20:50Hollywood is entering awards season, and on the red carpet this year,
0:20:50 > 0:20:53the project's organisers are asking actresses to wear black.
0:20:53 > 0:20:56The central promise of the movement, though, lies away from the glamour -
0:20:56 > 0:20:58holding workplaces accountable, an end to gender inequality,
0:20:58 > 0:21:03a rebalance of power and a final sign off
0:21:03 > 0:21:09In solidarity.
0:21:09 > 0:21:12What is interesting about this, Christian, and we have said it
0:21:12 > 0:21:15before on the programme, is that workplaces are not going to change
0:21:15 > 0:21:20across the board unless it is not just media celebrities and people in
0:21:20 > 0:21:23the film industry and famous politicians who are held to account.
0:21:23 > 0:21:29It has to change for the waitresses in restaurants, the cleaning staff
0:21:29 > 0:21:31in the office buildings, the people who work in the local post office.
0:21:31 > 0:21:36If it doesn't take for them, the Me Too movement will not have made a
0:21:36 > 0:21:42safe workplace, which I think is the primary goal of what we are seeing.
0:21:42 > 0:21:46It can't just be revenge against a few individuals or holding to
0:21:46 > 0:21:52account of individuals, it has to be across industries. That is what is
0:21:52 > 0:21:56interesting.Although they make clear that they have the platform to
0:21:56 > 0:22:01do this in their advertisement in the New York Times. And if they
0:22:01 > 0:22:05can't speak out, who can? The one thing I like about what they are
0:22:05 > 0:22:08focusing on a from the legal fund is the nondisclosure arrangements,
0:22:08 > 0:22:12which we have talked about before on the programme, the idea that you can
0:22:12 > 0:22:17pay someone to shut them up and then perhaps carry on with the same
0:22:17 > 0:22:22behaviour. That is a pattern we have seen before. So if they put an end
0:22:22 > 0:22:24to the nondisclosure agreements, many would think that is a good
0:22:24 > 0:22:26thing.
0:22:26 > 0:22:30many would think that is a good thing.
0:22:30 > 0:22:33many would think that is a good thing.
0:22:33 > 0:22:35Now, reading more books is a popular New Year's resolution
0:22:35 > 0:22:38but what about reading an entire bookshop - while managing
0:22:38 > 0:22:39it at the same time?
0:22:39 > 0:22:41That's what holidaymakers are being given the chance to do
0:22:41 > 0:22:43in Wigtown in Scotland - as Lorna Gordon reports.
0:22:43 > 0:22:46Between the hills and the sea in south-west Scotland is a small
0:22:46 > 0:22:50town where they like their books - a lot.
0:22:50 > 0:22:57Wigtown is Scotland's National Book Town and among
0:22:57 > 0:22:59the many bookshops here, one is available to rent
0:22:59 > 0:23:01for a week at a time.
0:23:01 > 0:23:03It's run by enthusiasts who want to be surrounded by books
0:23:03 > 0:23:07while trying their hand at selling some too.
0:23:07 > 0:23:09Alison Drury is a Police Community Support Officer
0:23:09 > 0:23:12from Bicester, but not this week.
0:23:12 > 0:23:16Instead, she is stacking bookshelves and shifting stock.
0:23:16 > 0:23:19You are paying for the privilege of running a bookshop for a week.
0:23:19 > 0:23:23What do your friends make of it?
0:23:23 > 0:23:24A bit of a mixture.
0:23:24 > 0:23:28I think some of them think that I'm a bit eccentric and think that it's
0:23:28 > 0:23:29a very strange thing to do.
0:23:29 > 0:23:32By the same token, I've got some friends who think it's extremely
0:23:32 > 0:23:35exciting and are very excited for me and actually a bit envious.
0:23:35 > 0:23:36Have you been enjoying it?
0:23:36 > 0:23:37I have.
0:23:37 > 0:23:39You can tell, can't you?!
0:23:39 > 0:23:42The temporary book store boss has free rein.
0:23:42 > 0:23:45Displays can change.
0:23:45 > 0:23:47So too can the promotions.
0:23:47 > 0:23:50The chance to run a bookshop for a week or two
0:23:50 > 0:23:51has proved popular.
0:23:51 > 0:23:53People have come from as far away as New Zealand,
0:23:53 > 0:23:56North America and South Korea to run this place.
0:23:56 > 0:23:59There was a couple in their eighties who came on honeymoon,
0:23:59 > 0:24:05and others who liked the town so much that they stayed.
0:24:05 > 0:24:07This shop, which once came close to closure,
0:24:07 > 0:24:09turned around by those who have a dream of running
0:24:09 > 0:24:15a bookshop and want the chance to test it out.
0:24:15 > 0:24:18I think in everyone's life, you have that "what if" voice.
0:24:18 > 0:24:21What if I just owned a book shop by the sea in Scotland?
0:24:21 > 0:24:23We want to give people the opportunity to do it.
0:24:23 > 0:24:27This is actual real virtual reality, where you can come and be in a book
0:24:27 > 0:24:31shop and feel the cold and read the books and enjoy the community
0:24:31 > 0:24:35and kind of have little surprises of an adventure along the way.
0:24:35 > 0:24:39And if those who've come on their bookshop holiday
0:24:39 > 0:24:41are looking for ideas, with Wigtown boasting 14 bookshops,
0:24:41 > 0:24:43there is plenty here to inspire.
0:24:43 > 0:24:45We love our bookshops, we love our books, yeah,
0:24:45 > 0:24:49and we've even got people coming from far and wide to run a book shop
0:24:49 > 0:24:53in Wigtown, imagine that!
0:24:53 > 0:24:56It sounds a crazy idea, but what a fantastic thing
0:24:56 > 0:24:58for Wigtown, opening Wigtown to the world, encouraging people to
0:24:58 > 0:25:03come and share our love for books.
0:25:03 > 0:25:07That passion for selling books may be spreading.
0:25:07 > 0:25:09There's interest from a Chinese firm looking to open its own version
0:25:09 > 0:25:11of The Open Book holiday business.
0:25:11 > 0:25:13So successful has this Scottish one been, it's booked up
0:25:13 > 0:25:23for the next two years.
0:25:29 > 0:25:32This is Beyond 100 Days from the BBC.
0:25:32 > 0:25:34Coming up for viewers on the BBC News Channel
0:25:34 > 0:25:37and BBC World News - first the tweet, then the reaction.
0:25:37 > 0:25:39Protests in Pakistan after President Trump accuses
0:25:39 > 0:25:41the country of lies and deceit.
0:25:41 > 0:25:44And after a bumper year on the US stock market, will the economic
0:25:44 > 0:25:49good times continue?
0:25:49 > 0:25:51We'll get the thoughts of The Cow Guy -
0:25:51 > 0:25:52we'll explain.
0:25:52 > 0:26:02That's still to come.
0:26:11 > 0:26:15It's been a soggy evening out there and now the winds are strengthening
0:26:15 > 0:26:22ahead of storm Eleanor with an amber one in force for the high winds.
0:26:22 > 0:26:26This is for parts of Northern Ireland, especially the east of
0:26:26 > 0:26:30Northern Ireland and northern England. And the storm is this lump
0:26:30 > 0:26:35and this hulk of cloud here which is ramping up towards the west of
0:26:35 > 0:26:39Ireland and will be tracking across northern areas of England through
0:26:39 > 0:26:45the course of northern England and Northern Ireland tonight. The
0:26:45 > 0:26:49effects of the storm will be felt across a much wider area down to the
0:26:49 > 0:26:54south coast. Because the centre is going here, doesn't mean that is the
0:26:54 > 0:26:58only area that will be affected. For a change, the north of Scotland will
0:26:58 > 0:27:03not get too much wind on this occasion. 70 to possibly 90 miles an
0:27:03 > 0:27:08hour around the exposed coasts. That is very windy. Very windy inland for
0:27:08 > 0:27:17many towns and cities, 60 miles an hour in many cities in England and
0:27:17 > 0:27:21Wales. It will be a very blustery rush hour, with lots of showers. By
0:27:21 > 0:27:24that stage, we will have had disruption and possibly some trees
0:27:24 > 0:27:28down and a bit of damage to buildings. This is what it looks
0:27:28 > 0:27:37like in the afternoon. These are average wind speeds. There are more
0:27:37 > 0:27:42or less double the average wind speed. In the north of Scotland,
0:27:42 > 0:27:48there was hardly any wind at all. But lots of showers around. A bit of
0:27:48 > 0:27:54sunshine, so it will not be all bad, but the winds will be slowly easing
0:27:54 > 0:27:57tomorrow afternoon and into tomorrow evening before the next weather
0:27:57 > 0:28:02front comes in and brings us some rain during the evening in Cornwall.
0:28:02 > 0:28:07This time, it will not be as nasty as Storm Eleanor. This is another
0:28:07 > 0:28:10area of low pressure which will also bring some run-of-the-mill wet and
0:28:10 > 0:28:20windy weather. Double-figure temperatures in the South. A bit
0:28:20 > 0:28:24colder in Scotland. Friday is looking pretty unsettled as well,
0:28:24 > 0:28:28with some rain on the cards. But in the short term, take care on the
0:28:28 > 0:29:11roads.
0:30:10 > 0:30:13This is Beyond 100 Days, with me Katty Kay in Washington -
0:30:13 > 0:30:15Christian Fraser's in London.
0:30:15 > 0:30:19Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei accuses enemies
0:30:19 > 0:30:21of the country of deliberately stirring the current
0:30:21 > 0:30:24anti-government protests.
0:30:24 > 0:30:27President Trump tweets his support for the protestors -
0:30:27 > 0:30:29praising them for acting against what he calls Tehran's
0:30:29 > 0:30:32"brutal and corrupt" regime.
0:30:32 > 0:30:38Coming up in the next half hour -
0:30:38 > 0:30:40President Trump blasts Pakistan saying in exchange for aid they have
0:30:40 > 0:30:42offered nothing but lies and deceit.
0:30:42 > 0:30:44The words spark a sharp reaction in Karachi.
0:30:44 > 0:30:45What will the economy bring in 2018?
0:30:45 > 0:30:48The White House is hoping the good times continue.
0:30:48 > 0:30:50We'll get the take of our favourite trader.
0:30:50 > 0:30:52Let us know your thoughts by using the hashtag...
0:30:52 > 0:31:01'Beyond-One-Hundred-Days'
0:31:01 > 0:31:04President Trump may have been on holiday, in Florida,
0:31:04 > 0:31:07but it didn't stop him tweeting.
0:31:07 > 0:31:10Perhaps the only surprising thing was that the first tweet of 2018
0:31:10 > 0:31:12wasn't about Hillary Clinton or Fake news - instead it took
0:31:13 > 0:31:17aim at Pakistan.
0:31:17 > 0:31:20The United States has foolishly given Pakistan more than $33 billion
0:31:20 > 0:31:25in aid over the last 15 years, and they have given us
0:31:25 > 0:31:27nothing but lies and deceit, thinking of our leaders as fools.
0:31:27 > 0:31:30They give safe haven to the terrorists we hunt
0:31:30 > 0:31:31in Afghanistan, with little help.
0:31:31 > 0:31:33No more!
0:31:33 > 0:31:36Well those comments have led to demonstrations in the city
0:31:36 > 0:31:38of Karachi where the US flag was burned and anti-American
0:31:38 > 0:31:40slogans were shouted.
0:31:40 > 0:31:43For more on the outburst and the reaction it has sparked
0:31:43 > 0:31:47we are joined now by Daniel Markey - author of No Exit from Pakistan.
0:31:47 > 0:31:54Thanks very much for joining us. Presidents Obama and Bush made the
0:31:54 > 0:31:59calculation that they would tolerate the Pakistani government not act too
0:31:59 > 0:32:03hard with them in order to keep them stable.Yes.Because of the fear of
0:32:03 > 0:32:07nuclear weapons falling into the hands of extremists. President Trump
0:32:07 > 0:32:11seems to be inching towards a different decision.Yeah, this looks
0:32:11 > 0:32:13like a much more coercive approach than
0:32:13 > 0:32:15like a much more coercive approach than anything we've seen before. I
0:32:15 > 0:32:20would suggest both presidents Bush and Obama before also had the hope
0:32:20 > 0:32:24that by providing incentives the United States could gradually win
0:32:24 > 0:32:28Pakistan over to our way of thinking about the war in Afghanistan.Less
0:32:28 > 0:32:32carrot and more stick?Exactly.What would that look like?A greater
0:32:32 > 0:32:35stick is cutting off the carrots that have been flowing. We're seeing
0:32:35 > 0:32:41a restriction of aid across the board. Likely cutting of $255
0:32:41 > 0:32:45million in military assistance that was being held in a kind of escrow
0:32:45 > 0:32:50account to see if Pakistan would come forward on attacking groups
0:32:50 > 0:32:55like the aCannesy network and -- Hakani network. First the downsizing
0:32:55 > 0:33:01the existing aid. One can imagine a series of ratcheting up of moves
0:33:01 > 0:33:05against Pakistan, targeting sanctions or reduced support for
0:33:05 > 0:33:10international loans from the IMF or even more operations across the
0:33:10 > 0:33:12border from Afghanistan into Pakistan. These are the kinds of
0:33:12 > 0:33:17ways we could ratchet up pressure on Pakistan.We were saying earlier
0:33:17 > 0:33:20with Iran you need to push, but you don't want to push too hard, because
0:33:20 > 0:33:25this is a nuclear power. It's a non-Nato ally, an important one.
0:33:25 > 0:33:3016,000 US troops in Afghanistan, a lot of the weapons and supplies that
0:33:30 > 0:33:34go through to them goes through those paths, they need Pakistan.No,
0:33:34 > 0:33:39they absolutely do. If you've got anything over 10,000 forces in
0:33:39 > 0:33:43Afghanistan, you've got to figure out a way to move them in and out
0:33:43 > 0:33:47and if you look at a map you don't have many good options. I Republican
0:33:47 > 0:33:51is blocked. Central -- Iran is blocked. Central Asia is difficult
0:33:51 > 0:33:55because of our relationship with Russia. Pakistan has been the way,
0:33:55 > 0:33:59especially for people and what we call lethal assistance or lethal
0:33:59 > 0:34:02equipment, anything from weapons to vehicles that we wouldn't want
0:34:02 > 0:34:07falling into the wrong hands, if they go over land. Pakistan has some
0:34:07 > 0:34:10leverage. As has been mentioned, they have nuclear weapons. This is
0:34:10 > 0:34:14not a small country either. This is about 200 million people in an
0:34:14 > 0:34:17important part of the world and they have other friends, including the
0:34:17 > 0:34:21Chinese, who have been promising and delivering not just millions of
0:34:21 > 0:34:24dollars or tens of millions but billions of dollars in both
0:34:24 > 0:34:28assistance and investment.If the White House goes ahead with the
0:34:28 > 0:34:31kinds of carrots that you've been talking about, incrementally -Or
0:34:31 > 0:34:37sticks.Sticks that you've been talking about, I'm getting confused
0:34:37 > 0:34:44with my metaphors! Does that work? Does that produce a Pakistan more
0:34:44 > 0:34:50amenable to US and western interests than the one President Obama got?
0:34:50 > 0:34:54There's a small chance but not likely. It's one thing to put
0:34:54 > 0:34:58pressure on Pakistan. Pakistan has important interests in the region.
0:34:58 > 0:35:02It has to be a combination of increased pressure on the one hand,
0:35:02 > 0:35:06and offering some sense to Pakistan that a change in its strategy, this
0:35:06 > 0:35:11ending a double game, ending of support to groups like the Hakani
0:35:11 > 0:35:14network could work in its favour. Right now we see little reason to
0:35:14 > 0:35:17expect it would see the world that way. They're still worried we're
0:35:17 > 0:35:21going to leave Afghanistan, leave the problems in place and leave them
0:35:21 > 0:35:25without friends in order to help them manage that situation. As of
0:35:25 > 0:35:29right now, I see little chance that this kind of incremental ratcheting
0:35:29 > 0:35:34up of pressure would actually pay off.Daniel, thanks very much for
0:35:34 > 0:35:35coming in.
0:35:35 > 0:35:38The European Union has been working with Libyan coastguards to reduce
0:35:38 > 0:35:41the number of migrants crossing the Mediterranean Sea.
0:35:41 > 0:35:44But many of those intercepted end up in detention centres in Libya,
0:35:44 > 0:35:49where migrants complain they are abused and used as slaves.
0:35:49 > 0:35:52In this special report the BBC's Stephanie Hegarty went to the city
0:35:52 > 0:35:59of Benin in southern Nigeria to meet those recently released.
0:35:59 > 0:36:03Many of those it who have walked the streets of Benin have dreamed of
0:36:03 > 0:36:07going to Europe. Jackson and Felix almost made it. But they were
0:36:07 > 0:36:18arrested in a boat off the coast of Libya and sent to prison.
0:36:32 > 0:36:36They said when they were no longer needed, they were dumped in the
0:36:36 > 0:36:41desert. Rescued by a man driving by, they were repatriated to Nigeria
0:36:41 > 0:36:46with the help of the UN. We spoke to several Nigerian migrants,
0:36:46 > 0:36:50cross-checking the details of their stories and each told us of the same
0:36:50 > 0:36:54horrifying trend - prison authorities, leasing or selling
0:36:54 > 0:36:58migrants to local billses as labour. -- businesses as labour. It's a new
0:36:58 > 0:37:05development in a dark and brutal industry in which prison guards and
0:37:05 > 0:37:06traffickers
0:37:06 > 0:37:11industry in which prison guards and traffickers exploit migrants.
0:37:14 > 0:37:28He was arrested in Libya in to 15 and brought to prison. He says the
0:37:28 > 0:37:33man bought his freedom and forced him to work for nothing. After three
0:37:33 > 0:37:37months, he refused to continue.
0:37:45 > 0:37:51Back in prison, he was told he was going to be deported. Instead he was
0:37:51 > 0:37:54taken to another location for seven months. How many people due see die
0:37:54 > 0:38:00there?Almost 20 of them.In this hotel in Benin city, about 200 men
0:38:00 > 0:38:03and women, who've just arrived from Libya, are being processed and
0:38:03 > 0:38:08received by the authorities here. Many of them have stories of abuse
0:38:08 > 0:38:11and mistreatment at the hands of the authorities in the Libyan detention
0:38:11 > 0:38:14centres, where they were held. At least three people that I've spoken
0:38:14 > 0:38:25to so far told me they were forced to work for free or sold as slaves.
0:38:45 > 0:38:49Again and again, the prison is mentioned as a place of terrible
0:38:49 > 0:38:54abuse. It's run by Libya's Ministry of Interior, which itself is run by
0:38:54 > 0:38:59two militia groups. Libya is in the middle of a Civil War and these
0:38:59 > 0:39:04militia are only nominally under the UN recognised government in Tripoli.
0:39:04 > 0:39:08The Libyan interior ministry didn't respond to our attempts to set up an
0:39:08 > 0:39:12interview. The UN's migration agency says there are about 700,000
0:39:12 > 0:39:17migrants still stuck in Libya. Several African governments have
0:39:17 > 0:39:21stepped up efforts to get their citizens home. Thousands have been
0:39:21 > 0:39:27repatriated in the past few weeks. Carrying untold trauma, those that
0:39:27 > 0:39:34do come home have to begin the hard work of rebuilding their lives.
0:39:36 > 0:39:39I often thought that I spent time on these ships in the Med traina, that
0:39:39 > 0:39:44one of the best ways -- Med traina, that one of the best ways to tackle
0:39:44 > 0:39:47this problem is to get some of the stories of how hard it is in Libya
0:39:47 > 0:39:50back to the home countries. A lot of those stories don't go back, because
0:39:50 > 0:39:53families have spent so much money trying to send their loved ones
0:39:53 > 0:39:57across the sea. For shame, they don't want to send news back that
0:39:57 > 0:40:00it's been a failure or that they've found the dream life that they set
0:40:00 > 0:40:04off for. The stories don't get back so more and more come. I do think
0:40:04 > 0:40:08that there is a lesson to be learned about sending some of those horror
0:40:08 > 0:40:11stories back to home countries, so others don't follow in their foot
0:40:11 > 0:40:14steps.
0:40:14 > 0:40:15News in brief:
0:40:15 > 0:40:18South Korea is in favour of direct talks with North Korea
0:40:18 > 0:40:20to discuss their participation in the Winter Olympic Games.
0:40:20 > 0:40:23The North's leader, Kim Jong-un, said he was considering sending
0:40:23 > 0:40:25a team to Pyeongchang in South Korea for the event in February.
0:40:25 > 0:40:28The South Korean President Moon Jae-in wants the meeting to happen
0:40:28 > 0:40:38next week to ensure the North's delegation attends.
0:40:38 > 0:40:42TRANSLATION:We welcome that the North Korea leader, Kim Jong Un,
0:40:42 > 0:40:47expressed a willingness to send athletes to the Olympics and hold
0:40:47 > 0:40:50talks during his new year address. I believe this is in response to our
0:40:50 > 0:40:55proposal to make the Olympics an opportunity to improve inter-Korean
0:40:55 > 0:40:58relations and peace.
0:40:58 > 0:41:04A second politician from Germany's AFD party is being investigated for
0:41:04 > 0:41:11allegedly inciting hatred on Twitter. She expressed support for a
0:41:11 > 0:41:14fellow politician who tweeted discriminatory remarks about
0:41:14 > 0:41:19migrants. The comments came after the police sent a New Year's Eve
0:41:19 > 0:41:26greeting in several languages. Al Franken will officially resign his
0:41:26 > 0:41:32seat today. This follows sexual misconduct allegations. Many of the
0:41:32 > 0:41:37accusations refer to incidents before he elected in 2008. For many
0:41:37 > 0:41:40Americans the new year has brought record low temperatures.
0:41:40 > 0:41:42The bitter cold weather has reached as far south as Florida,
0:41:42 > 0:41:45with warnings in place from Texas to the Atlantic Coast.
0:41:45 > 0:41:47The northeastern United States is also set for another freeze
0:41:47 > 0:41:52at the end of the week.
0:41:52 > 0:42:02Great news for us (! ((
0:42:02 > 0:42:04The Israeli parliament, the Knesset, has voted through a law ((
0:42:04 > 0:42:07that will make it harder for the government to hand
0:42:07 > 0:42:09over parts of Jerusalem to the Palestinians in any
0:42:09 > 0:42:10future peace deal.
0:42:10 > 0:42:12The decision has been criticised by Palestinians who want occupied
0:42:12 > 0:42:15East Jerusalem as the capital of a future independent state.
0:42:15 > 0:42:17An Israeli minister said the change would ensure the status of Jerusalem
0:42:17 > 0:42:19as the country's "united capital".
0:42:19 > 0:42:21However a Palestinian official accused the US and Israel
0:42:21 > 0:42:22of collaborating to destroy the two-state solution
0:42:23 > 0:42:25to the Israel-Palestinian conflict.
0:42:25 > 0:42:30Yolande Knell is in Jerusalem for us.
0:42:30 > 0:42:36so what does the vote in the kinness et actually change?What this means
0:42:36 > 0:42:42is it would take more Parliamentary support for any future peace deal
0:42:42 > 0:42:46with the Palestinians that involved giving up control of part of
0:42:46 > 0:42:52Jerusalem to have a much bigger Parliamentary majority. Instead of
0:42:52 > 0:42:5861 votes in the 120 seats Israeli Parliament, it would now take a two
0:42:58 > 0:43:05thirds majority, that's 80 seats. Of course, this all really gets to the
0:43:05 > 0:43:09future of Jerusalem, the holy city, which is so much at the heart of the
0:43:09 > 0:43:15Israel-Palestinian conflict. You have the Israelis who see all of
0:43:15 > 0:43:20Jerusalem as being their eternal, undivided capital. The Eastern part
0:43:20 > 0:43:26of the city was captured by Israel in the 1967 war. It was later
0:43:26 > 0:43:29annexed in a move that is not internationally recognised. One of
0:43:29 > 0:43:34the Israeli ministers, pushing through this change in legislation,
0:43:34 > 0:43:38said this would fortify Israel, ensure that all of Jerusalem
0:43:38 > 0:43:42remained eternally Israeli. For the Palestinians, well, they want east
0:43:42 > 0:43:46Jerusalem to be the capital of a future independent Palestinian
0:43:46 > 0:43:53state. We had the Palestinian president's office saying that this
0:43:53 > 0:43:58was a declaration of war on the Palestinian people, when it's
0:43:58 > 0:44:03considered with the announcement made by President Trump just last
0:44:03 > 0:44:08month, where he recognised Jerusalem as being Israel's capital.So what
0:44:08 > 0:44:12extent was this vote a reflection of President Trump's move that you just
0:44:12 > 0:44:17referenced there, to move the American embassy to Jerusalem?This
0:44:17 > 0:44:23was something that had long been planned by Israeli law makers. But
0:44:23 > 0:44:28certainly it was given extra significance, extra weight following
0:44:28 > 0:44:32President Trump's announcement. Mr Trump has said that he would like to
0:44:32 > 0:44:37have this year his peace plan presented to both sides, the
0:44:37 > 0:44:43Israelis and the Palestinians. He's had his son-in-law, Jarrod Kushner,
0:44:43 > 0:44:48and his aid and real estate lawyer over the past year going between the
0:44:48 > 0:44:51two sides, travelling around the region, trying to come up with a
0:44:51 > 0:44:58peace plan. After all the unrest that there was over Mr Trump's
0:44:58 > 0:45:01announcement about Jerusalem, though he didn't specify the boundaries
0:45:01 > 0:45:06that he saw of Israel's capital, really that led to the Palestinians
0:45:06 > 0:45:10saying that they would not accept the US acting as a mediator in the
0:45:10 > 0:45:13peace process and there was a senior White House official who came out
0:45:13 > 0:45:19saying that there should be a cooling off period. So Mr Trump's
0:45:19 > 0:45:21announcement was significant, but this is something that had been
0:45:21 > 0:45:26planned prior to that.
0:45:26 > 0:45:28This is Beyond 100 Days.
0:45:28 > 0:45:29Still to come -
0:45:29 > 0:45:32He's known as the Cow Guy , we'll be asking our favourite
0:45:32 > 0:45:35financial forecaster what 2018 has in store for the US, after a bumper
0:45:35 > 0:45:39year on the stock market.
0:45:45 > 0:45:48The biggest hike in train fares for five years -
0:45:48 > 0:45:51that's what commuters faced this morning as they returned to work
0:45:51 > 0:45:52after the Christmas break.
0:45:52 > 0:45:59The average price for tickets rose by 3.4% today ,
0:45:59 > 0:46:02with some commuters spending as much as £5,000 on a season ticket.
0:46:02 > 0:46:05The rail industry says the changes will mean a better service ,
0:46:05 > 0:46:06and investment for the future.
0:46:06 > 0:46:08The Department for Transport said price rises were capped
0:46:08 > 0:46:10in line with inflation and improved the network.
0:46:10 > 0:46:13But unions say commuters are being priced out as the burden
0:46:13 > 0:46:15of paying for the rail system falls increasingly on passengers.
0:46:15 > 0:46:20Our transport correspondent Richard Westcott has the story.
0:46:20 > 0:46:26Can I see your tickets please? Another new year, another fare rise.
0:46:26 > 0:46:32Regulated season tickets go up by 3. 6% this year. It will add just shy
0:46:32 > 0:46:37of £150 for the price for commuters coming into the London on the line
0:46:37 > 0:46:42from Hove in East Sussex. Nearly £110 to a yearly ticket from
0:46:42 > 0:46:46Liverpool to Manchester. And commuters going into Birmingham from
0:46:46 > 0:46:53Gloucester must find £140 more this year. Many now pay between £3,000 to
0:46:53 > 0:46:57£5,000 to get to work, with the most pricey tickets in the south of
0:46:57 > 0:47:01England. The Government says it's spending record amounts on improving
0:47:01 > 0:47:06the network, with more seats being provided on newer trains and more
0:47:06 > 0:47:09reliable electrified lines. Campaigners argue that ordinary
0:47:09 > 0:47:13people are being priced off our trains, with the latest figures
0:47:13 > 0:47:17showing a drop in the number of journeys made using a season ticket.
0:47:17 > 0:47:22I think this fare rise really throws the spotlight on value for money.
0:47:22 > 0:47:25Passengers want a more reliable service. They want a better chance
0:47:25 > 0:47:28ever getting a seat and better information during disruption. The
0:47:28 > 0:47:32train companies can help take some of the sting out of this by offering
0:47:32 > 0:47:37direct debit payments for a season ticket and helping passengers pay
0:47:37 > 0:47:41for this big lump sum.They say fares have been outstripping wages
0:47:41 > 0:47:49for year and are calling for a price freeze.
0:47:52 > 0:47:53You're watching Beyond 100 Days...
0:47:53 > 0:47:56Unemployment in the United States is at a 17-year low.
0:47:56 > 0:47:58The stock market is setting records.
0:47:58 > 0:48:02Consumer confidence is at its best level since 2000.
0:48:02 > 0:48:06And guess who has been tweeting about it, over the Christmas break.
0:48:06 > 0:48:10"Jobs are kicking in and companies are coming back to the US
0:48:10 > 0:48:14Unnecessary regulations and high taxes are being dramatically Cut,
0:48:14 > 0:48:16and it will only get better.
0:48:16 > 0:48:18MUCH MORE TO COME!"
0:48:18 > 0:48:21There is a lot to like about the economy during the first year
0:48:21 > 0:48:22of the Trump administration.
0:48:22 > 0:48:24There are many factors that make the country's economic
0:48:24 > 0:48:26fortunes go up and down.
0:48:26 > 0:48:30But yes confidence, low taxes, and less bureaucracy it all helps.
0:48:30 > 0:48:34So is the President at the root of the recent success and what do
0:48:34 > 0:48:38the markets want to see in 2018?
0:48:38 > 0:48:40My favourite trader,
0:48:40 > 0:48:42Scott Shellady from TJM Brokerage is back with us.
0:48:42 > 0:48:43AKA the cowman.
0:48:43 > 0:48:47happy new year. How are you?Happy new year to you.Strong end to the
0:48:47 > 0:48:52year for the Trump administration. We've been through it, tax reform,
0:48:52 > 0:48:55corporate rates slashed, cutting red tape. Is there a direct correlation
0:48:55 > 0:49:01between what he's doing and what the economy's doing.First, we always
0:49:01 > 0:49:04like to co-flight a high stock market with a great economy. That
0:49:04 > 0:49:08doesn't always equal. He's not the only one who will say that. A lot of
0:49:08 > 0:49:10governments around the world will try to make those two equal. They're
0:49:10 > 0:49:17not the same. They're two different time frames. Number two, he's
0:49:17 > 0:49:22replaced sentiment. That's the hardest thing to do. That's a
0:49:22 > 0:49:27psychological thing. When you have psychology on your side, raerning
0:49:27 > 0:49:30than economic indicators, because some of them still haven't picked up
0:49:30 > 0:49:36since Obama left office. Psychology, arguably, David and Goliath moment.
0:49:36 > 0:49:40You can do things that you normally couldn't.So it gathers a pace?
0:49:40 > 0:49:43That's why we've seen a lot of these gains, even though you might not
0:49:43 > 0:49:47have seen the economy do some of the great things that he wants it to do
0:49:47 > 0:49:50right now.You guys are making money, I hope you are, it's a good
0:49:50 > 0:49:55time to make money, the fact of the matter is, it's what 35% of the
0:49:55 > 0:50:01Americans have money in the stock market, wages, as is the case here
0:50:01 > 0:50:04in the UK, are stagnant. They're not rising. They're not sharing in the
0:50:04 > 0:50:10wealth creation.That's one of the great unanswerables. We've got
0:50:10 > 0:50:14unemployment below 4%. We're probably going to tick below 4% this
0:50:14 > 0:50:18year. How can we have no wage inflation. How are employers not
0:50:18 > 0:50:21competing for people not to work? That's unanswered. We can't figure
0:50:21 > 0:50:26that out. If you ask me, that's a problem. I think Catty mentioned 0%
0:50:26 > 0:50:29interest rates for a long time. We can't get the housing market
0:50:29 > 0:50:33catching on fire with even interest rates at 1%. There's a problem with
0:50:33 > 0:50:38that. There are some basic underlying problems, but he's gone
0:50:38 > 0:50:41after the psychology first and the numbers second. I think that's a
0:50:41 > 0:50:45winning trade. Like him or not, if you can get the CEOs to start
0:50:45 > 0:50:51spending, opening their pockets, buying plants and equipment and real
0:50:51 > 0:50:55estate, that's going to be a good head start.That's the big question,
0:50:55 > 0:50:58are the CEOs going to do that, invest in the economy, in jobs and
0:50:58 > 0:51:04infrastructure or are they going to do share buy backs and make their
0:51:04 > 0:51:09shareholders happy? On confidence, the issue of confidence, how come
0:51:09 > 0:51:11Americans generally are feeling more confident about the economy. I know
0:51:11 > 0:51:15the stock market is doing super well. Only 30% of Americans have
0:51:15 > 0:51:20money invested on the stock market. A lot of gains that we have seen
0:51:20 > 0:51:24don't actually affect the average American.Well, the bad answer to
0:51:24 > 0:51:27that is the trickle down effect. I don't think it trickles down as
0:51:27 > 0:51:31other people think it does. I think probably less of Americans actually
0:51:31 > 0:51:35have money in the stock market. So we do see that gap between rich and
0:51:35 > 0:51:39poor getting greater. However, they feel more confident about their job
0:51:39 > 0:51:43being there next year. The CEOs feel more confident about maybe opening
0:51:43 > 0:51:47up their pockets and buying that plant. If the confidence and the
0:51:47 > 0:51:51sentiment is there, even down to the man on the factory floor from the
0:51:51 > 0:51:56CEO up top, that's going to make a big dinks. That's the hardest -- big
0:51:56 > 0:52:02difference. That's the hardest thing to turn around. GDP over 3% that's
0:52:02 > 0:52:06great, to get the factory worker to feel better about their situation,
0:52:06 > 0:52:09that's the first time in eight years we've seen that.Is there an
0:52:09 > 0:52:13economic down side to growing inequality, a lot of economists
0:52:13 > 0:52:18think the tax reform plan passed at the end of the year will produce
0:52:18 > 0:52:22more inequality, is there any down side no that?100%. When you get rid
0:52:22 > 0:52:25of your middle class you get rid of your economy. That's been a problem
0:52:25 > 0:52:29as of late. Especially over the Obama years, I'm not knocking him,
0:52:29 > 0:52:31it happened with the Federal Reserve, when they started to print
0:52:31 > 0:52:35that free money, where do you take that free money? A lot of folks took
0:52:35 > 0:52:39it to the stock market U say 30% of Americans have stocks. Our numbers
0:52:39 > 0:52:43show only 15% of Americans own 85% of stocks. That's where the gains
0:52:43 > 0:52:47were. The people that already had the money made a lot more money. And
0:52:47 > 0:52:50the people that didn't don't. That's the problem. When you lose your
0:52:50 > 0:52:54middle class you lose the economy. That will probably continue going.
0:52:54 > 0:53:01Come on, what do you want in 2018, what about the $1 trillion on
0:53:01 > 0:53:06infrastructure?Can you imagine with the tax cuts we've had, the GDP
0:53:06 > 0:53:10we've got and introducing an infrastructure spending bill, that
0:53:10 > 0:53:13would be fantastic. I'd like to see what the Democrats would like to do
0:53:13 > 0:53:17about that. They can't stand him so much that if he came to Congress
0:53:17 > 0:53:21with a cure for cancer, he'd be voted down. It will be interesting
0:53:21 > 0:53:25to see if we can get anything through there. At the end of the
0:53:25 > 0:53:28day, what a great starting point, great tax cuts into the end of the
0:53:28 > 0:53:31year. A GDP we've started to print two or three or four in a row of
0:53:31 > 0:53:35over 3%. I'm excited about what can happen. The problem is and mark my
0:53:35 > 0:53:38words for the rest of the year, we haven't seen the volatility in the
0:53:38 > 0:53:43market yet. If we get sm, that could change everything (Great to see you
0:53:43 > 0:53:47as ever. Come back soon. Do you have a new years resolution?I knew you
0:53:47 > 0:53:52were going to ask me that. No. My resolution is no resolution.And you
0:53:52 > 0:53:55still don't have an answer.I thought about it for a long time and
0:53:55 > 0:54:00I don't want to lie.How about you? OK, we had this discussion earlier.
0:54:00 > 0:54:03Scott hasn't even got one. You've got a list as long as my arm of new
0:54:03 > 0:54:07year resolutions. I said I would try to come up with one by the end of
0:54:07 > 0:54:11the programme. What does that say about the three of us? By the way,
0:54:11 > 0:54:14you missed a question to Scott, you should have asked him whether you
0:54:14 > 0:54:19should be buying or selling your huge portfolio.We're going to talk
0:54:19 > 0:54:22off cam ra. LAUGHTER
0:54:22 > 0:54:29That will cost him by the way.Yeah, OK. I have a resolution, just for
0:54:29 > 0:54:32you Christian. Mine is to be less derailed by individual tweets that
0:54:32 > 0:54:37come out of the White House every morning at 6am and focus more on the
0:54:37 > 0:54:40big picture of what's happening in the country. I guess it lasted one
0:54:40 > 0:54:47day.Amen to that. My team know that I fell off the wagon in 2017. I've
0:54:47 > 0:54:52started drinking tea with sugar again. Two sugars.I always drink
0:54:52 > 0:54:57tea with sugar.When you say I have tea and two sugars, you look at you
0:54:57 > 0:55:00like you're a pariah, you're a non-person. It used to be smoking
0:55:00 > 0:55:05and drinking, now it's, "You take sugar? You do what? I've got to get
0:55:05 > 0:55:10rid of the sugar.OK, you get rid of the sugar.It's expensive.
0:55:10 > 0:55:15LAUGHTER I like it.You should have been
0:55:15 > 0:55:21buying sugar futures. I think you should not go to California. I was
0:55:21 > 0:55:25out there filming before the Christmas break. In California,
0:55:25 > 0:55:29they've given up eating balsamic vinegar in their salad dressings
0:55:29 > 0:55:35because it has too much sugar in it. The state of fads...We're going to
0:55:35 > 0:55:39die of boredom people! That's what's going to kill us. You're not allowed
0:55:39 > 0:55:42to do anything any more.Did you have a good time off, by the way,
0:55:42 > 0:55:49good break?Yeah, non-Twitter. Do you know what, ten days without
0:55:49 > 0:55:55Twitter ah, my word.Better people, right.It's an evil.That is it.I
0:55:55 > 0:55:59love you all to my followers. Just ten days without it. Loved it. See
0:55:59 > 0:56:03you tomorrow.From both of us, goodbye.