0:00:07 > 0:00:09You're watching Beyond 100 Days.
0:00:09 > 0:00:11Italy's election produces only radical options for the Eurozone's
0:00:11 > 0:00:13third-largest economy.
0:00:13 > 0:00:15Italian voters said no to traditional parties
0:00:15 > 0:00:18and yes to populist groups.
0:00:18 > 0:00:23Where that leaves the country isn't clear.
0:00:23 > 0:00:25Both the main anti-establishment leaders say they have won
0:00:25 > 0:00:27the right to govern, but actually it could take
0:00:27 > 0:00:29weeks to sort this out.
0:00:29 > 0:00:32Donald Trump claims the US is getting ripped off by virtually
0:00:32 > 0:00:34every country in the world, as he begins to outline his
0:00:34 > 0:00:38America First trade tariffs strategy.
0:00:38 > 0:00:40Also on the programme:
0:00:40 > 0:00:42A major security incident declared in Salisbury in the UK,
0:00:42 > 0:00:49after the poisoning of a Russian man who once spied for Britain.
0:00:49 > 0:00:51And Gary Oldman wins his first Oscar for best actor
0:00:51 > 0:01:01in Darkest Hour, with thanks to his 99-year-old mother.
0:01:04 > 0:01:08I say to my mother, thank you for your love and support.Put the
0:01:08 > 0:01:12kettle on. I am bringing Oscar home.
0:01:12 > 0:01:22Get in touch with us using the hashtag #Beyond100Days.
0:01:22 > 0:01:23Hello and welcome.
0:01:23 > 0:01:24I'm Katty Kay in Washington.
0:01:24 > 0:01:26Christian Fraser is in London.
0:01:26 > 0:01:29It may take weeks of haggling to sort out who will lead the next
0:01:29 > 0:01:31Italian government and which parties will be in it.
0:01:31 > 0:01:34But one thing seems clear - it will be difficult to form any
0:01:34 > 0:01:36government without the insurgent Five Star Movement.
0:01:36 > 0:01:38The results show Five Star has become the biggest party,
0:01:38 > 0:01:41winning one in three of the votes cast this weekend.
0:01:41 > 0:01:45Their leader Luigi Di Maio says they now have a resposibility to govern.
0:01:45 > 0:01:47Meanwhile, the right-wing Lega secured 17.4% of the vote.
0:01:47 > 0:01:51More than Forza Italia, the party of the former
0:01:51 > 0:01:55Prime Minister, Silvio Berlusconi, on 14%.
0:01:55 > 0:01:57The ruling Democratic Party suffered its poorest showing ever
0:01:57 > 0:02:00in national elections with 18.7%, continuing the Europe-wide collapse
0:02:00 > 0:02:07of the traditional centre-left.
0:02:07 > 0:02:10That is the poorest showing ever for them in national elections.
0:02:10 > 0:02:12And there's been a high-profile resignation - late today,
0:02:12 > 0:02:14the Democratic Party leader Matteo Renzi resigned as leader
0:02:14 > 0:02:19in view of his party's poor election result.
0:02:19 > 0:02:22TRANSLATION:It's obvious that after this I will
0:02:22 > 0:02:26leave my post of leader to the Democratic Party,
0:02:26 > 0:02:31and I've already asked the chairman, Matteo Orfini,
0:02:31 > 0:02:39to call a national assembly to start the procedure.
0:02:39 > 0:02:41This will happen at the end of the stage of the new
0:02:41 > 0:02:51parliament forming and the new Government forming.
0:02:51 > 0:02:53Let's cross to Rome and our colleague Karin Giannone,
0:02:53 > 0:03:01who has been covering the election for us.
0:03:01 > 0:03:05It has been a pivotal night for Five Star but still a very divided
0:03:05 > 0:03:10country. Yes, if you look at the map of the
0:03:10 > 0:03:13results, it is really incredible to see the absolute divide, and just
0:03:13 > 0:03:19how strong the south of Italy has voted for the Five Star Movement. It
0:03:19 > 0:03:25seems that the South has voted along economic lines while the North are
0:03:25 > 0:03:28going for Lega and the centre-right, thinking about immigration and Italy
0:03:28 > 0:03:32being at the forefront of the migrant crazes, 600,000 people are
0:03:32 > 0:03:39riding on Italian shores of the last few years. -- migrant crisis. There
0:03:39 > 0:03:44are parts of the south of Italy where youth unemployment is above
0:03:44 > 0:03:4850%. Prospects for the young are very poor and there is so much
0:03:48 > 0:03:52disillusionment with Government and with the North and the European
0:03:52 > 0:03:56Union, and the traditional parties, with posterity, with so many things
0:03:56 > 0:04:00like the painfully slow growth after Italy's double-dip recession, that
0:04:00 > 0:04:06people in the South have really been looking elsewhere. They have turned
0:04:06 > 0:04:10to the Five Star Movement, promising hope for the young people. It
0:04:10 > 0:04:15promises a universal Basic income of $800 per month and it says it will
0:04:15 > 0:04:18help find young people away our starting families. Add to that that
0:04:18 > 0:04:23huge lack of trust you find in the South in traditional politicians.
0:04:23 > 0:04:27They see them as easily bought and corruptible. They use the word
0:04:27 > 0:04:33meaning thieves when they talk about politicians, so the freshfaced Luigi
0:04:33 > 0:04:39Di Maio, only 31 years old, from near Naples, he offered hope and the
0:04:39 > 0:04:44chance to give the traditional parties a bloody nose. Another
0:04:44 > 0:04:50interesting development over the weekend, this is what people are
0:04:50 > 0:04:53voting for in the north. They had a visitor over the weekend in the form
0:04:53 > 0:04:58of Donald Trump's former chief strategist Steve Banning, paying a
0:04:58 > 0:05:02visit. I am majority your divinity pictures of him enjoying himself in
0:05:02 > 0:05:09front of the fountain. He put his support behind the successful leader
0:05:09 > 0:05:14of the North. He shares the same kind of politics, radical right-wing
0:05:14 > 0:05:19populism, Donald Trump, when the other one visited him during the
0:05:19 > 0:05:23election campaign in 2016 said he would like to see him one day become
0:05:23 > 0:05:25Italian Prime Minister. That prospect could actually now be a
0:05:25 > 0:05:33strong possibility. Matteo Renzi Lega is now the biggest party in the
0:05:33 > 0:05:37coalition which has come first in this Italian general election.
0:05:37 > 0:05:47Amazing. Steve Bannon in Italy.
0:05:47 > 0:05:49Giampiero Massolo is the President of Fincantieri Spa,
0:05:49 > 0:05:50the fourth-biggest ship-building company in the world.
0:05:50 > 0:05:52he has served in the Italian government for intelligence
0:05:52 > 0:05:54and foreign services.
0:05:54 > 0:05:58He joins us now. Looking forward to what kind of coalition could emerge
0:05:58 > 0:06:07from this election result, what do they Lega from the right and the
0:06:07 > 0:06:09Five Star, and I think it's hard to define where they come from, but
0:06:09 > 0:06:14what other United on and what could they agree on to form a Government
0:06:14 > 0:06:18together's what other United and? First of all, too early to call what
0:06:18 > 0:06:24kind of coalition it would be they could form because it is right into
0:06:24 > 0:06:27the arms of the president of the Republic according to the
0:06:27 > 0:06:30constitutional systems, so too early. But of course there are some
0:06:30 > 0:06:37similarities between Lega and Five Star, chiefly about immigration and
0:06:37 > 0:06:41about the controls of law and order. And about certain interventions of
0:06:41 > 0:06:50the state in economy. But they are not at all the same thing, actually.
0:06:50 > 0:06:54I was hearing somebody speaking before saying that we have here a
0:06:54 > 0:07:00radical right or extreme right. But this is not exactly as it is. We are
0:07:00 > 0:07:05still in the frame of the centre-right far as Lega is
0:07:05 > 0:07:11concerned and stony framework of constitutional system as far as the
0:07:11 > 0:07:15Five Star Mov Movement is concerned. But of course there are relevant
0:07:15 > 0:07:21norms from the selections. The Democratic Party were very low and
0:07:21 > 0:07:28the Five Star very high. The centre-right, well... But they are
0:07:28 > 0:07:37all within the system. There is no major changes or foreign policy in
0:07:37 > 0:07:43European policy. The framework is there.
0:07:43 > 0:07:47OK, thank you very much for that view from there.
0:07:47 > 0:07:54If I may add one thing, that... Sorry to interrupt, but we will cut
0:07:54 > 0:07:58back chore because we want to take you to Salisbury where the police
0:07:58 > 0:08:02are holding a press conference. This is about suspected poisoning of a
0:08:02 > 0:08:09man who was convicted in Russia of spying for Britain. Let's listen in.
0:08:09 > 0:08:12Both are currently in a critical condition in intensive care. Because
0:08:12 > 0:08:16we are still at the early stages of the investigation, we are unable to
0:08:16 > 0:08:21ascertain whether or not a crime has taken place. A major incident,
0:08:21 > 0:08:25however, has been declared today, and a multi-agency response has been
0:08:25 > 0:08:30coordinated. Alongside our partner agencies, we are conducting
0:08:30 > 0:08:33extensive enquiries to determine exactly what led to these two people
0:08:33 > 0:08:37falling unconscious, and clarify whether or not any criminal activity
0:08:37 > 0:08:43has taken place. This has not been declared as a counterterrorism
0:08:43 > 0:08:48incident and we would urge people not to speculate. However, I must
0:08:48 > 0:08:53emphasise though we retain an open mind and we continue to review this
0:08:53 > 0:08:58position, we have access to a wide range of specialist resources and
0:08:58 > 0:09:02services are helping us to understand what we are or are not
0:09:02 > 0:09:06dealing with at this time. The focus at this moment is in trying to
0:09:06 > 0:09:09establish what has caused these people to become critically ill and
0:09:09 > 0:09:15we are working with partners to prioritise and ensured they were
0:09:15 > 0:09:18received the most appropriate treatment timely. We'll continue to
0:09:18 > 0:09:21appeal to any members of the public who may have information in relation
0:09:21 > 0:09:32to this incident and contact us via the 101 system or if it is urgent by
0:09:32 > 0:09:35999. We will reassure the public that incidents like this are taken
0:09:35 > 0:09:38extremely seriously and we currently do not believe there is any risk to
0:09:38 > 0:09:41the wider public. We would like to take this opportunity to thank
0:09:41 > 0:09:47members of the public who have assisted us so far and respected the
0:09:47 > 0:09:51cordons which remain in place in Salisbury. Thank you very much.
0:09:51 > 0:09:59Hello, I am the chief executive here at Salisbury District Hospital. My
0:09:59 > 0:10:02name is Cara Charles-Barks. In conjunction with partners we have
0:10:02 > 0:10:05declared a major incident in response to the incident which took
0:10:05 > 0:10:11place yesterday with two individuals concerned. I can confirm they are
0:10:11 > 0:10:14being treated here at Salisbury District Hospital and
0:10:14 > 0:10:17air-conditioned remains critical. In terms of impact on the hospital we
0:10:17 > 0:10:24have been advising people today to continue to attend to the routine
0:10:24 > 0:10:26operations and appointments and continue to advise them to do so. We
0:10:26 > 0:10:33will contact any patients if we require them not to attend. Our
0:10:33 > 0:10:37accident and emergency department remains busy this evening and busy
0:10:37 > 0:10:41as it has been today. Understandably this is to do with the weather
0:10:41 > 0:10:53conditions last week as well but we have the walk-in centre on Avon
0:10:53 > 0:10:58Avenue, Avon approach, and it will remain open until 10pm. A&E is for
0:10:58 > 0:11:05true emergencies and you should seek normal advice via 101, or the
0:11:05 > 0:11:08walk-in centre, rather than coming to A&E.
0:11:08 > 0:11:15Heard from what's your police about the suspected poisoning of a man
0:11:15 > 0:11:22convicted of spying for Britain. A lot we do not know. And as I say,
0:11:22 > 0:11:25there is a lot we do not know, whether he has been poisoned or
0:11:25 > 0:11:31whether he may have been poisoned with something, but people's minds
0:11:31 > 0:11:33come back to Litvinenko and everything that happened there,
0:11:33 > 0:11:38particularly with areas being sealed off.
0:11:38 > 0:11:44This looked up when it was declared a major incident and talk about an
0:11:44 > 0:11:47unknown substance being involved, but as soon as it became clear to us
0:11:47 > 0:11:52at the BBC that a man was Sergei Skripal, it instantly changed the
0:11:52 > 0:11:56complexion of this. This is a former Russian intelligence officer
0:11:56 > 0:12:05convicted in Russia for spying for MI6, court in 2010. In 2006,
0:12:05 > 0:12:08Alexander Litvinenko, another former Russian intelligence officer, was
0:12:08 > 0:12:15poisoned in London, in a case by radioactive substances and ended up
0:12:15 > 0:12:19dying. Immediately, the residents with case of Alexander Litvinenko.
0:12:19 > 0:12:22He was a double agent? No, Alexander Litvinenko was
0:12:22 > 0:12:27addressing security officer who left then came to the UK and worked in
0:12:27 > 0:12:32the UK in opposition to Putin's regime. Sergei Skripal is different
0:12:32 > 0:12:36because he was more of the double agent working for MI6 while being a
0:12:36 > 0:12:41Russian intelligence officer. He was in Russian eyes a traitor to their
0:12:41 > 0:12:45intelligence service, supplying secrets to MI6. He was convicted of
0:12:45 > 0:12:49this and sentenced to 13 years but only spent four years in prison
0:12:49 > 0:12:54before he was swapped out in this rather dramatic spy swap. He was
0:12:54 > 0:12:58pardoned at that time when he was swapped out and I think he has kept
0:12:58 > 0:13:02a low profile and expectation on his part would have been that he was
0:13:02 > 0:13:05safe. We do not know at this moment whether he was definitely poisoned
0:13:05 > 0:13:09or who did it but certainly because of this context, the suspicion will
0:13:09 > 0:13:12certainly be that there could've been a Russian in this.
0:13:12 > 0:13:17There are links to New York, yes? I would ask you about the woman
0:13:17 > 0:13:20involved. What we know that her? We have had his name mentioned in her
0:13:20 > 0:13:26name not mentioned yet. I understand she is much younger.
0:13:26 > 0:13:30We don't know whether she is a relative of some type to Sergei
0:13:30 > 0:13:34Skripal and that is not clear yet. But we also know she is critically
0:13:34 > 0:13:39ill as well in hospital and was with him, than it appears on a park bench
0:13:39 > 0:13:44after members of the public saw them unwell and by the time the police
0:13:44 > 0:13:49got there they had lost consciousness. But American link is
0:13:49 > 0:13:54that the spy swap had most of the people who were swapped in 2010
0:13:54 > 0:13:59being Russian agents caught in America by the FBI, including one,
0:13:59 > 0:14:03Anna Chapman, who had been in London and then New York. They were caught
0:14:03 > 0:14:07by the FBI, accused of espionage and the deal was they were swapped out
0:14:07 > 0:14:11for for spies who was serving time in Russian prison. One of those was
0:14:11 > 0:14:15Sergei Skripal. There has been conversation on
0:14:15 > 0:14:20social media in the past hour as this story was breaking, Gordon,
0:14:20 > 0:14:23from people who were involved, former US intelligence officer
0:14:23 > 0:14:26saying, the Brits have been cautious about their attitude to Russia so
0:14:26 > 0:14:31far because Britain is basically ground zero when it comes to these
0:14:31 > 0:14:37kind of spy battles between the West and Russia. Is that an accurate
0:14:37 > 0:14:41portrayal? Bigot is extraordinary...
0:14:41 > 0:14:46Could this be an example of that? We had Alexander Litvinenko who was
0:14:46 > 0:14:51killed and I think probably on the orders of by the mere Putin himself,
0:14:51 > 0:14:55and there were other unexplained deaths in the UK of Russians which
0:14:55 > 0:14:59many people have believed to have been suspicious. There is one
0:14:59 > 0:15:02inquest due next month into someone where there is this question about
0:15:02 > 0:15:07whether he was poisoned or not, a Russian businessman who had a lot of
0:15:07 > 0:15:13information about tax affairs, and had been in some cases under
0:15:13 > 0:15:17suspicion for that. So I think certainly there will be questions.
0:15:17 > 0:15:20If a Russian link is proved and that is what it turns out to have been,
0:15:20 > 0:15:23about whether Britain has done enough to deter such activity. Did
0:15:23 > 0:15:27it do enough after the Alexander Litvinenko case to deter the
0:15:27 > 0:15:31activity? As I said, still too early to know what because of the
0:15:31 > 0:15:33poisoning is, but the questions are already being asked.
0:15:33 > 0:15:40Yes, plenty more to come on that story, no doubt. And even now.
0:15:40 > 0:15:44Those pictures we saw, the latest pictures we have got in, of people
0:15:44 > 0:15:47in the green suits, the hazardous materials suits, those were the
0:15:47 > 0:15:50people who... This is why we think it may have been poisoning because
0:15:50 > 0:15:53you don't wear those suits unless there is a substance you yourself
0:15:53 > 0:15:57don't want on your skin. Let's move on.
0:15:57 > 0:15:59Wars have unintended consequences - that's as true of trade wars
0:15:59 > 0:16:00as military battles.
0:16:00 > 0:16:03This week the European Commission will discuss raising taxes
0:16:03 > 0:16:05on American imports in retaliation for President Trump's threat
0:16:05 > 0:16:07to slap tariffs on foreign steel and aluminium.
0:16:07 > 0:16:15The EU trade commissioner told the BBC that
0:16:15 > 0:16:17Levi jeans and bourbon - both products made in Trump
0:16:17 > 0:16:20supporting states - were on a draft list of goods that
0:16:20 > 0:16:21could be hit.
0:16:21 > 0:16:24In a tweet, President Trump appeared to suggest that Canada and Mexico
0:16:24 > 0:16:26could win exemptions from his planned tariffs in exchange
0:16:26 > 0:16:30for concessions of their own.
0:16:30 > 0:16:33It's a point he reiterated in the Oval Office, and, while saying
0:16:33 > 0:16:36there wouldn't be a trade war, he pressed why he made
0:16:36 > 0:16:37this decision.
0:16:37 > 0:16:39People have to understand our country, on trade,
0:16:39 > 0:16:41has been ripped off by virtually every country in the world,
0:16:41 > 0:16:43whether it's friend or enemy.
0:16:43 > 0:16:50Everybody, China, Russia and people we think are wonderful,
0:16:50 > 0:16:53the European Union, we can't do business with them -
0:16:53 > 0:17:01they have trade barriers that are worse than tariffs.
0:17:01 > 0:17:04And joining us now from Seattle is Gary Locke, who served as US
0:17:04 > 0:17:06Commerce Secretary under President Obama and then
0:17:06 > 0:17:10US Ambassador to China.
0:17:10 > 0:17:16Thank you for joining us, ambassador. A lot of people have
0:17:16 > 0:17:18complained about China's trade practices particularly when it comes
0:17:18 > 0:17:25to steal and unfair trade practices, but to what extent will America or
0:17:25 > 0:17:27the current administration should itself in the foot if it imposes
0:17:27 > 0:17:30these tariffs on allies? The European Union, mentioned there, the
0:17:30 > 0:17:36Canadians as well... Actually in a trade war nobody wins
0:17:36 > 0:17:41and everyone loses. Both the workers of the affected industries up and
0:17:41 > 0:17:45down the economic spectrum, as well as the consumers, who ultimately
0:17:45 > 0:17:48will pay more for those goods and services. This means they have less
0:17:48 > 0:17:53money in their pockets for vacations and medical care, and children's
0:17:53 > 0:17:59college education. Nobody wins in a trade war.
0:17:59 > 0:18:02President Trump seems to be trying to protect the steel and aluminium
0:18:02 > 0:18:08industries in the United States, old industries, at the same time as we
0:18:08 > 0:18:12had the spectacle of China moving rapidly ahead in new industries. Is
0:18:12 > 0:18:15there a disconnect between what the president is trying to do and the
0:18:15 > 0:18:18realities of the global economy is going?
0:18:18 > 0:18:25The is trying to get back at China it will not work because China now
0:18:25 > 0:18:32in Port-au-Prince into the US not as much aluminium and steel -- China
0:18:32 > 0:18:36now imports into the US not as much aluminium and steel as before. It
0:18:36 > 0:18:39will raise the cost of production for so many other industries and
0:18:39 > 0:18:46goods in America that rely on these imports from Europe and from Canada
0:18:46 > 0:18:51and elsewhere. It will make the cost of producing those things much more
0:18:51 > 0:18:55expensive, which might lead to lower sales and therefore cutbacks in
0:18:55 > 0:19:00employment. The jobs that might be gained to benefit the industries,
0:19:00 > 0:19:03the metal industries in America, could be outweighed by the job
0:19:03 > 0:19:09losses in so many other sectors. Ultimately the consumer as well. At
0:19:09 > 0:19:13the same time, China is really trying to focus on innovation and
0:19:13 > 0:19:17the new industries of the future, such as artificial intelligence and
0:19:17 > 0:19:20Robotics, that is where America needs to spend more time and energy.
0:19:20 > 0:19:25Certainly we need to address some of the inequalities and some bombs
0:19:25 > 0:19:30without trade agreements or a lack of trade agreements. -- we need to
0:19:30 > 0:19:35address some of the inequalities and problems with our trade agreements
0:19:35 > 0:19:39or lack thereof. We must understand that everybody loses in a trade war
0:19:39 > 0:19:42and we must really focus on the industries of the future.
0:19:42 > 0:19:45On this side of the pond the Europeans are trying to work out
0:19:45 > 0:19:50whether this is policy or not. Of course, a lot is policy by tweet. I
0:19:50 > 0:19:55will show you what the commerce secretary said yesterday. Listen to
0:19:55 > 0:19:58this. Whatever his final decision is is
0:19:58 > 0:20:04what will happen. What he has said, if he says a bit different, it will
0:20:04 > 0:20:07be something different. You see the point. If he says
0:20:07 > 0:20:09something different, it will be something different. Is it policy or
0:20:09 > 0:20:15not policy? We just never know what to expect
0:20:15 > 0:20:20from this particular president. He says one thing about restricting
0:20:20 > 0:20:23guns and chastising members of Congress and saying they are afraid
0:20:23 > 0:20:26of the NRA and the next day he will meet with the NRA and completely
0:20:26 > 0:20:31backed down himself. I think this statement or the policy on imposing
0:20:31 > 0:20:36tariffs on steel and aluminium caught many people off guard, and
0:20:36 > 0:20:39the administration is not ready to roll out the new policy. There was a
0:20:39 > 0:20:43lot of debate within the White House exactly what our policies should be
0:20:43 > 0:20:49and what the details of the tariffs might be, and as to who they would
0:20:49 > 0:20:53apply to and in what amount, whether there would be some exemptions. So
0:20:53 > 0:20:56his announcement caught everybody off-guard and he is also saying that
0:20:56 > 0:21:02there will be no exemptions, no exemptions. And many of our allies
0:21:02 > 0:21:06who would be most affected will not be exempted from these tariffs. So
0:21:06 > 0:21:10we must wait and see where the policy is ruled out.
0:21:10 > 0:21:15OK, thank you very much, ambassador. I heard it this weekend from people
0:21:15 > 0:21:18in the administration, even they were taken by surprise by this
0:21:18 > 0:21:19announcement.
0:21:19 > 0:21:21The Academy Awards held its 90th ceremony last night,
0:21:21 > 0:21:23with the event dominated by calls for greater equality
0:21:23 > 0:21:25in the film industry, for minorities and for women.
0:21:25 > 0:21:27The winner of best actress, Frances McDormand, used her
0:21:27 > 0:21:30acceptance speech to call on every female nominee to stand up
0:21:30 > 0:21:36as a showcase of the female talent in Hollywood.
0:21:36 > 0:21:38Fantasy romance The Shape of Water took four awards, including
0:21:38 > 0:21:40Best Film and Best Director for the Mexican film-maker
0:21:40 > 0:21:41Guillermo del Toro.
0:21:41 > 0:21:46Gary Oldman won Best Actor for his performance
0:21:46 > 0:21:48as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour -
0:21:48 > 0:21:52and another notable British win, The Silent Child, starring
0:21:52 > 0:21:56six-year-old deaf girl Maisie Sly - won best live-action short.
0:21:57 > 0:22:00We have talked about it on the programme last week and we will talk
0:22:00 > 0:22:03about it this week. Well done to her.
0:22:03 > 0:22:07Congratulations to Maisie.
0:22:07 > 0:22:09And joining us now from New York is Larry Hackett, former
0:22:10 > 0:22:12Editor of People Magazine.
0:22:12 > 0:22:15It was a very long Oscars ceremony this time around and did the best
0:22:15 > 0:22:20films win? I think so. It was long but what is
0:22:20 > 0:22:25new? It is always long. It gets longer every year. I think so. They
0:22:25 > 0:22:30had a tricky time this year. Obviously whatever the pictures or
0:22:30 > 0:22:33the performances were it was all overshadowed by the Harvey Weinstein
0:22:33 > 0:22:39news and the Me Too movement. They also had several award shows leading
0:22:39 > 0:22:44up to this where they had people wearing black at the Golden globes
0:22:44 > 0:22:48and other events at the sag awards. I think the issue would be how they
0:22:48 > 0:22:51will treat this issue and how will be compelling television having seen
0:22:51 > 0:22:55them already, and by the way, the films and performances. They managed
0:22:55 > 0:22:59to do a decent job I think. Interesting that a lot of the films
0:22:59 > 0:23:04have not been the big blockbusters the mass audience films of the year.
0:23:04 > 0:23:09Is that increasingly the way the Oscars are going, to niche films not
0:23:09 > 0:23:12many people see? It is an surprisingly, I was
0:23:12 > 0:23:17surprised by this statistic as well, that The Shape Of Water is the best
0:23:17 > 0:23:21box office performing film in the past five years since our goal which
0:23:21 > 0:23:28made a lot of money. But after the Miramax and Weinstein 's era, when
0:23:28 > 0:23:32you had artistic in the best picture, like The Artist, it has
0:23:32 > 0:23:36been a trend for a long time. Despite the fact that many people
0:23:36 > 0:23:42had seen the shape of water, it was a reversal of the trend. In the case
0:23:42 > 0:23:47of Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, again, a movie not very
0:23:47 > 0:23:51much seen, and Darkest Hour with Gary Oldman, pictures which I think
0:23:51 > 0:23:57were more popular. Did I read right that The Shape Of
0:23:57 > 0:24:01Water is the first science fiction film to win the Best picture? Is
0:24:01 > 0:24:03that right? I can't say that the show but I
0:24:03 > 0:24:08would not be surprised. Science-fiction and comedy in
0:24:08 > 0:24:12particular are not what the academy like to recognise and they don't
0:24:12 > 0:24:15seem Oscar worthy. As much as things change, they stay the same. Even
0:24:15 > 0:24:20small arthouse pictures, that wine stain and Miramax had championed,
0:24:20 > 0:24:28things like The King 'S Speech, very dramatic things with a capital D and
0:24:28 > 0:24:32that is what wins. Everything released in the last year... This
0:24:32 > 0:24:37particular year there was a movie like Get Out which was arguably the
0:24:37 > 0:24:40most inventive film of year but released last category, and I would
0:24:40 > 0:24:43defy you to find Oscar winner the least before September of any given
0:24:43 > 0:24:49year. That is not how the system works. It might change because of
0:24:49 > 0:24:52the demise of Weinstein and Miramax and the kind of people who make
0:24:52 > 0:24:55these movies but science-fiction and comedy are not the kind of pictures
0:24:55 > 0:24:59the academy likes to recognise and never have been.
0:24:59 > 0:25:02To talk to you and thank you very much indeed for bringing us up to
0:25:02 > 0:25:07speed with the Oscars. Did you watch it?
0:25:07 > 0:25:11Yes, I managed to make about an hour or so and it is long and even by our
0:25:11 > 0:25:15standards, the middle of the night, I am surprised you're calling The
0:25:15 > 0:25:17Shape Of Water a science-fiction movie because I thought there was a
0:25:17 > 0:25:21love story. You were not at the Oscars but at
0:25:21 > 0:25:25the Grid iron on Saturday night. Yes, the Washington equivalent is
0:25:25 > 0:25:29not quite as glamorous, although it was a white stripe fancy dinner with
0:25:29 > 0:25:34the president not as glamorous as the Oscars.
0:25:34 > 0:25:37How did he get on with the jokes? Did he like them?
0:25:37 > 0:25:40I thought he went well and went off script after five minutes and went
0:25:40 > 0:25:44into a campaign speech. The first five minutes of his speech were
0:25:44 > 0:25:45good.
0:25:45 > 0:25:47This is Beyond 100 Days from the BBC.
0:25:47 > 0:25:52Coming up for viewers on the BBC News Channel and BBC World News...
0:25:52 > 0:25:58Eight has finally been delivered to Syria's Eastern Ghouta. BBC was
0:25:58 > 0:26:03there as the convoy began its journey.
0:26:03 > 0:26:07Passports, some are more valuable than others with Visa free travel.
0:26:07 > 0:26:08Could it be yours?
0:26:08 > 0:26:10than others with Visa free travel. Could it be yours?
0:26:10 > 0:26:12More to come. Good evening and obviously nowhere
0:26:12 > 0:26:16near as cold as it was last week. Milder conditions have spread to
0:26:16 > 0:26:20most parts of the UK. Still called across northern areas and
0:26:20 > 0:26:24particularly in Scotland where we have had more snow falling today.
0:26:24 > 0:26:28Wintry looking seen here and contrast that with something that
0:26:28 > 0:26:34looked much more like spring, with some sunshine today at Walton on
0:26:34 > 0:26:38Thames in Surrey. We have lost the beast from the east, the Colts
0:26:38 > 0:26:42leathery and wind, and our error is tending to come the South. Drawing
0:26:42 > 0:26:47in milder air across most of the UK, clearly seeing where it is still
0:26:47 > 0:26:50cold. Low-pressure dominates our weather at the moment and within
0:26:50 > 0:26:55that area of low pressure this weather system here, tracking its
0:26:55 > 0:26:58way northwards, and that is producing the rain. That rain is
0:26:58 > 0:27:01still quite happy and it is moving northwards into the colder air, so
0:27:01 > 0:27:05we will get some snow over the tops of the Pennines and Cumbrian fells,
0:27:05 > 0:27:09but more especially later in the night back into Scotland over the
0:27:09 > 0:27:14hills. As it turns drier to the south, with no wind, it will turn
0:27:14 > 0:27:18misty but a lot of low cloud and typical temperatures overnight
0:27:18 > 0:27:21around to Celsius or three Celsius. A risk of frost perhaps. In the
0:27:21 > 0:27:25morning the wettest weather across the northern half of the UK,
0:27:25 > 0:27:29becoming confined more to Scotland. A mix of rain, sleet and snow of
0:27:29 > 0:27:33health should brighten up northern England and Northern Ireland.
0:27:33 > 0:27:37Sunshine in the south-west and extreme south-east, with one or two
0:27:37 > 0:27:41showers. Through the middle it might be cloudy and a range of temperature
0:27:41 > 0:27:44is, three or four Celsius, central and northern Scotland and wet
0:27:44 > 0:27:46weather, ten or 12 Celsius in southern part of England and Wales.
0:27:46 > 0:27:50Low-pressure in charge as we had into the middle part of the week.
0:27:50 > 0:27:54Nothing much is moving at all, really. That weather front bringing
0:27:54 > 0:27:58showers and that one in the north keeps the wetter weather going. More
0:27:58 > 0:28:00towards the Highlands and Islands and again there will be snow over
0:28:00 > 0:28:05the hills. This across England and Wales, a breeze picking up that will
0:28:05 > 0:28:08help to break up the cloud a bit more. The chance of a bit more
0:28:08 > 0:28:11sunshine but there could be some showers around, one or two Sharp
0:28:11 > 0:28:14ones as well. Still lighter winds across central and southern
0:28:14 > 0:28:17Scotland, and rain in Northern Ireland with average is no better
0:28:17 > 0:28:21than seven Celsius. Disciplining averages on Wednesday and sing on
0:28:21 > 0:28:24Thursday but at least some sunshine round and that wet weather clinging
0:28:24 > 0:28:27to the far north-west of Scotland, with showers coming into England and
0:28:27 > 0:28:38Wales. That be heavy. -- those could be heavy.
0:30:07 > 0:30:09This is Beyond 100 Days, with me, Katty Kay, in Washington.
0:30:09 > 0:30:11Christian Fraser's in London.
0:30:11 > 0:30:12Our top stories:
0:30:12 > 0:30:14What next for Italy?
0:30:14 > 0:30:17Matteo Renzi resigns as leader of the governing Democratic Party
0:30:17 > 0:30:21amid the political deadlock.
0:30:21 > 0:30:24A major security incident declared in Salisbury in the UK,
0:30:24 > 0:30:25after the suspected poisoning of a Russian man
0:30:25 > 0:30:29who once spied for Britain.
0:30:29 > 0:30:31Coming up in the next half hour -
0:30:31 > 0:30:33Syrian government forces continue their onslaught
0:30:33 > 0:30:34against the rebel enclave of Eastern Ghouta,
0:30:34 > 0:30:39even as an aid convoy is allowed in.
0:30:39 > 0:30:45Let us know your thoughts by using #Beyond100Days.
0:30:52 > 0:30:53An aid convoy has delivered supplies to people
0:30:53 > 0:30:56inside Syria's Eastern Ghouta - for the first time since a major
0:30:56 > 0:31:01bombardment by pro-government forces began two weeks ago.
0:31:01 > 0:31:04The United Nations said it hoped the 46 lorries
0:31:04 > 0:31:05would provide food to around 27,000 people.
0:31:05 > 0:31:08Shelling and artillery fire have continued in the region,
0:31:08 > 0:31:11despite a UN-backed ceasefire.
0:31:11 > 0:31:16Our Middle East editor, Jeremy Bowen,
0:31:16 > 0:31:18was with the convoy as it set off
0:31:18 > 0:31:21for Eastern Ghouta and sent this report.
0:31:21 > 0:31:2446 lorries moved through some of the most dangerous territory
0:31:24 > 0:31:27around Damascus to get into Eastern Ghouta.
0:31:27 > 0:31:31The Syrians refused to let them take in some surgical and trauma kits,
0:31:31 > 0:31:36but they carried food and medical supplies for 27,500 people.
0:31:36 > 0:31:39It was a start.
0:31:39 > 0:31:42We need to be sending convoys at least three times a week
0:31:42 > 0:31:44to a besieged area such as Eastern Ghouta,
0:31:44 > 0:31:48where there are serious shortages of medical equipment,
0:31:48 > 0:31:49medical supplies, food and nutrition
0:31:49 > 0:31:55for nearly 400,000 people trapped on the inside.
0:31:55 > 0:31:58The lorries moved through the final Syrian army checkpoint
0:31:58 > 0:32:03at the edge of Eastern Ghouta.
0:32:03 > 0:32:08The fact this convoy has moved shows Assad's confidence.
0:32:08 > 0:32:12Syrian armed forces are pressing into Eastern Ghouta that way,
0:32:12 > 0:32:18of course, with their Russian allies.
0:32:18 > 0:32:21And if they win, and at the moment that's the way it appears to be,
0:32:21 > 0:32:23President Assad will have scored a significant victory,
0:32:23 > 0:32:26because, for the first time since the war started,
0:32:26 > 0:32:33he will have secured his capital.
0:32:33 > 0:32:38The enclave has been controlled by Islamist militias since 2012.
0:32:38 > 0:32:39Some militias are negotiating,
0:32:39 > 0:32:45and there is talk of a deal - but not yet.
0:32:45 > 0:32:47The UN's call for a ceasefire has been ignored.
0:32:47 > 0:32:53Syria's president says the west is lying about the humanitarian crisis.
0:32:53 > 0:33:02The UN Secretary-General calls Eastern Ghouta "hell on earth".
0:33:02 > 0:33:12Allahu Akbar!
0:33:12 > 0:33:14Casualties go to a network of underground clinics.
0:33:14 > 0:33:16A doctor working in one of them
0:33:16 > 0:33:19didn't think the convoy would change anything.
0:33:19 > 0:33:23What can a small convoy help us?
0:33:23 > 0:33:25What can it benefit us?
0:33:25 > 0:33:31It's including some food and some limited materials.
0:33:31 > 0:33:38It doesn't have enough for a few people for a few days.
0:33:38 > 0:33:41It's a densely populated area
0:33:41 > 0:33:45where there's no escape from the grown-ups' war.
0:33:45 > 0:33:54Jeremy Bowen, BBC News, Damascus.
0:33:54 > 0:33:56Terrible pictures from Eastern Ghouta.
0:33:56 > 0:33:58Counter-terrorism experts from around the world will be
0:33:58 > 0:34:00gathering here in London tomorrow to discuss,
0:34:00 > 0:34:02among other things, the threat posed by the Islamic State group.
0:34:02 > 0:34:05Much of the focus at the Counter Terror Congress will be
0:34:05 > 0:34:08on policing, but it is in Syria where the recent progress
0:34:08 > 0:34:10against IS has been undermined.
0:34:10 > 0:34:12Thousands of Kurdish fighters that made up the backbone
0:34:12 > 0:34:18of the Syrian Democratic Forces, have diverted to the battle in Afrin
0:34:18 > 0:34:20where Kurdish militia have been facing attacks from Turkey.
0:34:20 > 0:34:23The SDF is the most effective force on the ground in Syria.
0:34:23 > 0:34:26And the allies need the Kurds to finish the fight.
0:34:26 > 0:34:28Joining us now is Jennifer Cafarella,
0:34:28 > 0:34:36a senior intelligence planner at the Institute for the Study of War.
0:34:37 > 0:34:40Thanks very much for coming in, I know you have been studying what is
0:34:40 > 0:34:44happening in Syria. To what extent has the coalition campaign against
0:34:44 > 0:34:49Islamic State been halted because the Kurds have effectively left the
0:34:49 > 0:34:53fight to defend their brothers in arms?The offensive has been halted,
0:34:53 > 0:34:56and for the kind of relocation of forces that you indicated. This post
0:34:56 > 0:35:03is a very real challenge not only to the coalition's ability to finish
0:35:03 > 0:35:07anti-Isis operations, which have not concluded, but to hold the territory
0:35:07 > 0:35:12taken from Isis thus far. There is a real risk that Isis will exploit
0:35:12 > 0:35:17thinning defensive lines in eastern Syria in order to re-surge.How much
0:35:17 > 0:35:21pressure can the White House put on Turkey to make sure they go back
0:35:21 > 0:35:26into the fight against Islamic State?The key will be to
0:35:26 > 0:35:28de-escalate the wider confrontation between Turkey and Kurdish
0:35:28 > 0:35:32insurgents inside of Turkey and the wider region. Turkey regards the
0:35:32 > 0:35:37American and coalition local partner, the YPG, as a branch of the
0:35:37 > 0:35:41wider PKK Kurdish insurgency, which is of course fighting inside Turkey.
0:35:41 > 0:35:46Until or unless the US is able to broker a deal with respect to that
0:35:46 > 0:35:50wider conflict, I expect that we will actually not be able to
0:35:50 > 0:35:53de-escalated tactically between Turkey and the local partner inside
0:35:53 > 0:35:57Syria. These issues cannot be fully separated.Donald Trump said last
0:35:57 > 0:36:03week that ice is ground has largely been recaptured, 100%, he said, but
0:36:03 > 0:36:07they are on the run. How many are on the run, and where might they be
0:36:07 > 0:36:13going?Sure, so of course assessing the actual fighting strength of Isis
0:36:13 > 0:36:17has always been one of the most difficult things to do, certainly
0:36:17 > 0:36:21from unclassified information. We know that Isis remnants in Iraq and
0:36:21 > 0:36:25Syria are still fighting. They are conducting low-level assassinations,
0:36:25 > 0:36:29suicide bombings in both countries, and in Syria they actually have been
0:36:29 > 0:36:35taking some terrain from pro-regime forces so definitely still a threat
0:36:35 > 0:36:39there, despite the fact that most of the major urban centres have been
0:36:39 > 0:36:46retaken. Globally, we are also witnessing Isis resurgence. What
0:36:46 > 0:36:49happened is that so many of the foreign fighter flows that had been
0:36:49 > 0:36:53going to Iraq and Syria have redirected, and we have resurgent
0:36:53 > 0:37:00Isis presents across-the-board - from Libya to Somalia, Yemen, and
0:37:00 > 0:37:03increasingly indication that foreign fighters are flowing into Southeast
0:37:03 > 0:37:07Asia, places like the Philippines. When it comes back to the Kurds, why
0:37:07 > 0:37:12are they so crucial to the fight? Why can't they be replaced by Syrian
0:37:12 > 0:37:16Arab fighters, for instance?The Kurds have been much more combat
0:37:16 > 0:37:19capable, in part because they have stricter discipline and a more
0:37:19 > 0:37:22efficient command structure that makes them a much more reliable
0:37:22 > 0:37:27partner in the near-term than the Arab forces that have not been
0:37:27 > 0:37:34meaningfully mobilised. That is until the US started providing
0:37:34 > 0:37:36support, so the Kerdasa be more battle hardened and more effective
0:37:36 > 0:37:44militarily.-- the Kurds are more battle hardened. It is fascinating,
0:37:44 > 0:37:47the extent to which Washington cannot just pick up the phone to
0:37:47 > 0:37:50Ankara and say, listen, we need those Kurdish fighters or we will
0:37:50 > 0:37:55see a resurgence, as in the past, of extremist groups like Islamic State
0:37:55 > 0:37:58in the region, and they don't have the pressure over Erdogan to do
0:37:58 > 0:38:03that.It is fascinating, because it has happened before, in 2001, when
0:38:03 > 0:38:06they were fighting Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, they had them cornered
0:38:06 > 0:38:11and let them escape, and we know what happened next. Tomorrow in
0:38:11 > 0:38:15London, you have got about 300 of the world's most eminent security
0:38:15 > 0:38:21experts gathering to swap, you know, ways to defeat terrorists in Europe
0:38:21 > 0:38:25and around the world, and we will hear from some of the best
0:38:25 > 0:38:28counterterrorism experts on the planet, but they can only do so
0:38:28 > 0:38:32much, and if what they are looking to is the people on the battlefield
0:38:32 > 0:38:35to round these people up there they don't have to deal with them once
0:38:35 > 0:38:39they come back to Europe. It will be interesting to watch what they say
0:38:39 > 0:38:46tomorrow, we will cover that. One of Vladimir Putin's first moves and
0:38:46 > 0:38:50coming to power 18 years ago was to bring TV channels under state
0:38:50 > 0:38:55control. Since then, Russia has been accused of taking the information
0:38:55 > 0:38:57war abroad, using Charlton and it relates public opinion on social
0:38:57 > 0:39:04media.-- trolls. Our Moscow correspondent Sarah Rainsford
0:39:04 > 0:39:14reports.
0:39:27 > 0:39:29This was Viktor's life for over 20 years.
0:39:29 > 0:39:31Here in Siberia, he created a popular independent TV channel,
0:39:31 > 0:39:33but three years ago, TV2 was taken off air.
0:39:33 > 0:39:35Officially, it was a license dispute, but Viktor
0:39:35 > 0:39:37is sure it was political.
0:39:37 > 0:39:38The channel annoyed everyone in power locally.
0:39:38 > 0:39:40The team saw that as their job.
0:39:40 > 0:39:42But reining in the free press was one
0:39:42 > 0:39:43of Vladimir Putin's first moves as president.
0:39:43 > 0:39:46Far from Moscow, TV2 was one of the last survivors.
0:39:46 > 0:39:48TRANSLATION:It's obvious we were no threat here in Tomsk.
0:39:48 > 0:39:49But the authorities are constantly afraid.
0:39:49 > 0:39:52Afraid of revolution or losing control, they want to control
0:39:52 > 0:39:53everything, but that's impossible.
0:39:53 > 0:39:57And they don't trust anyone.
0:39:57 > 0:39:59Now Russia's information war has moved onto the internet,
0:39:59 > 0:40:05so we travel to one of the key battle grounds.
0:40:05 > 0:40:07From St Petersburg, the Kremlin's been accused
0:40:07 > 0:40:09of using the internet to manipulative opinion
0:40:09 > 0:40:14not just at home but abroad.
0:40:14 > 0:40:18This place has become notorious as Russia's troll factory.
0:40:18 > 0:40:26It's mostly empty now, up for rent, but a criminal indictment
0:40:26 > 0:40:30in the United States claims staff here were deployed as an online army
0:40:30 > 0:40:33to sow discord and influence voters in America.
0:40:33 > 0:40:35Ludmila shows me the blog of one of the fake characters
0:40:35 > 0:40:37she helped to create.
0:40:37 > 0:40:39She leaked information from inside the troll factory
0:40:39 > 0:40:43that exposed how it worked.
0:40:43 > 0:40:44Her focus was Russian language content,
0:40:44 > 0:40:46and she tells me the trolls operated in shifts,
0:40:46 > 0:40:54ordered to produce up to 80 posts on social media every single day.
0:40:54 > 0:40:56TRANSLATION:It's a huge machine.
0:40:56 > 0:40:58I'd see thousands of posts appearing under every news story
0:40:58 > 0:41:01right before my eyes.
0:41:01 > 0:41:05If a troll spoke about America or Ukraine, it had to be negative.
0:41:05 > 0:41:07If it was Putin or Russia's military, it was positive.
0:41:07 > 0:41:09Bloggers got written instructions what to present
0:41:09 > 0:41:17and the conclusions that people should draw.
0:41:17 > 0:41:21And it seems the trolls are still operating.
0:41:21 > 0:41:25We've been told that the troll factory has moved here to this
0:41:25 > 0:41:28premises, so I'm just going to see if any of these people in
0:41:28 > 0:41:29the smoking shelter opposite actually work there
0:41:29 > 0:41:37and what they can tell me.
0:41:37 > 0:41:39This man tells me he's seen them here
0:41:39 > 0:41:42and he doesn't like what they do.
0:41:42 > 0:41:44Inside, we met a representative of one firm named in
0:41:44 > 0:41:50the US indictment, but he wouldn't comment on camera about its work.
0:41:50 > 0:41:52Back in Siberia, Viktor and his wife show me
0:41:52 > 0:41:54how easily the traditional media have been tamed.
0:41:54 > 0:41:57When there were mass protests against closing TV2,
0:41:57 > 0:41:57state-run channels ignored them completely.
0:41:57 > 0:41:59Information is being controlled now, even weaponised, and
0:41:59 > 0:42:09under Vladimir Putin, this couple see no chance of that changing.
0:42:15 > 0:42:26Sarah Rainsford, BBC News, Tomsk. News from around the world now.
0:42:26 > 0:42:28The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, says it's important
0:42:28 > 0:42:30for the newly agreed coalition to get to work quickly.
0:42:30 > 0:42:33She promised to maintain prosperity at home and said the new government
0:42:33 > 0:42:35would work towards a strong Europe, along with France.
0:42:35 > 0:42:38The new coalition will be comprised of Mrs Merkel's CDU party
0:42:38 > 0:42:40and the Social Democrats.
0:42:40 > 0:42:41China has announced
0:42:41 > 0:42:44it's raising its military budget to 1.11 trillion yuan
0:42:44 > 0:42:48or $175 billion dollars for the coming year.
0:42:48 > 0:42:50The figure, an 8% increase on last year, was announced
0:42:50 > 0:42:53as the annual meeting of parliament got under way in Beijing.
0:42:53 > 0:42:56It comes as delegates are expected to vote on a proposal
0:42:56 > 0:43:00to remove the two-term limit for the presidency later this week.
0:43:00 > 0:43:03Slovakia's President has called for a radical government reshuffle
0:43:03 > 0:43:06or new elections to rebuild public trust after the murder
0:43:06 > 0:43:08of a journalist and his fiancee.
0:43:08 > 0:43:11Andrej Kiska said the murder of Jan Kuciak had created
0:43:11 > 0:43:15"enormous mistrust" in the state and that the government
0:43:15 > 0:43:21of Prime Minister Robert Fico had done nothing to reassure the people.
0:43:21 > 0:43:23British cyclist Bradley Wiggins and Team Sky have strongly rejected
0:43:23 > 0:43:25claims that they used drugs to enhance performance -
0:43:25 > 0:43:30rather than just for medical reasons.
0:43:30 > 0:43:33A report by British MPs has concluded that the rules were not
0:43:33 > 0:43:36broken, but that they were in effect abused, to help Sir Bradley become
0:43:36 > 0:43:43the first British rider to win the Tour de France in 2012.
0:43:43 > 0:43:45Back now to the trade war which is brewing
0:43:45 > 0:43:49after President Trump announced he would be introducing
0:43:49 > 0:43:52stiff tariffs on imports of steel and aluminium.
0:43:52 > 0:43:55It's not just the usual critics but members of Mr Trump's
0:43:55 > 0:43:57own party who are speaking out against the decision.
0:43:57 > 0:44:04Here was Republican Senator Lindsey Graham yesterday.
0:44:04 > 0:44:08China is winning, and we are losing with this tariff regime. We are
0:44:08 > 0:44:13letting China off the hook, punishing the American consumer and
0:44:13 > 0:44:21our allies. Go after China, not the rest of the world.We are joined by
0:44:21 > 0:44:24BBC's North America correspondent Nick Bryant, is this the thing that
0:44:24 > 0:44:27will divide the Republican Party finally from Donald Trump? They have
0:44:27 > 0:44:33stuck with him so far.There was a lot of talk earlier in the about how
0:44:33 > 0:44:36the Republican Party had become the Trump party in the aftermath of the
0:44:36 > 0:44:41tax cuts that were passed before Christmas, but there is a definite
0:44:41 > 0:44:44difference, a definite divergences between the Republican Party
0:44:44 > 0:44:50establishment, for a long time now has been free trade, determine and
0:44:50 > 0:44:55leak free trade. If you look at the origins of Nafta, the trade
0:44:55 > 0:44:59agreement that Donald Trump eights, you find it in Ronald Reagan's
0:44:59 > 0:45:03campaign for the presidency. George HW Bush pushed Nafta as well, put
0:45:03 > 0:45:08into effect by Bill Clinton, but it was a Republican idea, and you are
0:45:08 > 0:45:12getting pushed back from not only to be like Lindsey Graham, a golf
0:45:12 > 0:45:16partner of the president, but people like the house speaker, Paul Ryan.
0:45:16 > 0:45:21His office today was circulating an article to journalists pointing out
0:45:21 > 0:45:25the damage that tariffs could do to the American economy.The
0:45:25 > 0:45:30interesting thing, Nick, is that the Republicans were saying, we will be
0:45:30 > 0:45:33able to use trade and the strong performance in the market and the
0:45:33 > 0:45:37good job figures, and the tax reform, we will be able to use all
0:45:37 > 0:45:41of that when we go to the midterms later in the year, and that will
0:45:41 > 0:45:46overcome some of the low approval ratings that the president has. But
0:45:46 > 0:45:49if you start to undermine the economy, doesn't that take away
0:45:49 > 0:45:55something that has been a real USP for them at the ballot box?That is
0:45:55 > 0:45:59exactly right, and that is one of the concerns being voiced by senior
0:45:59 > 0:46:03senators like Orrin Hatch, for instance, of Utah, a staunch Trump
0:46:03 > 0:46:08ally who says this is a tax on the American people which will lead to
0:46:08 > 0:46:12increased prices at supermarkets. And who will be damaged by that? The
0:46:12 > 0:46:14American economy and us in the mid-term elections. The Europeans
0:46:14 > 0:46:23have been very careful about what they will target in retaliation.
0:46:23 > 0:46:26Jean-Claude Juncker of the European Commission saying, Levi jeans,
0:46:26 > 0:46:33Harley-Davidson motorbikes, and also, what was the other one?
0:46:33 > 0:46:39Bourbon, I thought you would remember that, Nick!- got bourbon!
0:46:39 > 0:46:47Clearly drinking too much of it already!Carefully selected!That is
0:46:47 > 0:46:50the whole point, why is it important? It is made in Kentucky,
0:46:50 > 0:46:56the home of Mitch McConnell, the Senate Majority Leader.
0:46:56 > 0:46:59Harley-Davidson are built in Wisconsin, the home of Paul Ryan,
0:46:59 > 0:47:04and that is a key battle ground state, one of the rust belt states
0:47:04 > 0:47:08that Donald Trump won. Harley-Davidsons are also
0:47:08 > 0:47:10manufactured in Pennsylvania, and battle ground state. The Europeans
0:47:10 > 0:47:16also digesting them and suggest in game may go after orange juice,
0:47:16 > 0:47:21Florida, and other key battle ground. -- the Europeans also
0:47:21 > 0:47:25suggesting they may go after orange juice.Not stupid, those European
0:47:25 > 0:47:31trade negotiators! Christian, I spoke to some of the over the
0:47:31 > 0:47:35weekend from the White House is said, basically, all the chaos you
0:47:35 > 0:47:38have read about in the papers over this tariff announcement, it is true
0:47:38 > 0:47:45and also. This has caused a lot of friction and the White House.Chaos
0:47:45 > 0:47:53works, that is the whole point.
0:47:53 > 0:47:56How valuable is your passport? We will be ranking the highest, that is
0:47:56 > 0:48:00still to come.
0:48:00 > 0:48:04The Prime Minister is urging developers to up their game
0:48:04 > 0:48:06and build more homes in England.
0:48:06 > 0:48:08She said penalising developers who delay building on their land
0:48:08 > 0:48:10should help to deal with the shortage of properties.
0:48:10 > 0:48:12Labour described the measures as feeble.
0:48:12 > 0:48:18Here's our home editor, Mark Easton.
0:48:18 > 0:48:20The Prime Minister donned the hi-vis today, determined to show
0:48:20 > 0:48:24she's tackling what she describes as a housing crisis.
0:48:24 > 0:48:26But Theresa May's not the first senior Tory
0:48:26 > 0:48:29to get her shoes muddy on a building site.
0:48:29 > 0:48:32Remember him?
0:48:32 > 0:48:33And him?
0:48:33 > 0:48:35And him?
0:48:35 > 0:48:38Today, the PM had the big builders and developers in her sights,
0:48:38 > 0:48:42blaming some of them for putting profit before their patriotic duty
0:48:42 > 0:48:44to restore the dream of home ownership.
0:48:44 > 0:48:47The bonuses paid to the heads of some of our biggest developers
0:48:47 > 0:48:50are based not on the number of homes they build,
0:48:50 > 0:48:51but on their profits or share price.
0:48:51 > 0:48:59I expect developers to do their duty.
0:48:59 > 0:49:09Among possible planning reforms is the idea that developers
0:49:10 > 0:49:12with a reputation for not building homes fast enough
0:49:12 > 0:49:14might be denied planning permission by councils.
0:49:14 > 0:49:16Not only do house-builders make returns to their shareholders,
0:49:16 > 0:49:18we are also cross-subsidising almost half of the affordable housing
0:49:18 > 0:49:20in this country every single year.
0:49:20 > 0:49:21For Conservatives, home ownership is central
0:49:21 > 0:49:22to their vision for housing.
0:49:22 > 0:49:25The Prime Minister today said she met young voters at the last
0:49:25 > 0:49:28election angry to get on the ladder.
0:49:28 > 0:49:35But 24-year-old Tessa says focusing on ownership is missing the point.
0:49:35 > 0:49:38I don't even think about affording something like that,
0:49:38 > 0:49:40because the price is so high anyway, so I don't know
0:49:40 > 0:49:43how I would get the deposit together in order to buy one,
0:49:43 > 0:49:45even if it was available.
0:49:45 > 0:49:48Some Conservatives want the Treasury to relax borrowing rules so councils
0:49:48 > 0:49:49and housing associations can build many more
0:49:49 > 0:49:50genuinely affordable homes.
0:49:50 > 0:49:52Others see the priority as protecting England's
0:49:52 > 0:49:54precious green landscape.
0:49:54 > 0:49:56It is a surprise perhaps
0:49:56 > 0:49:59the Prime Minister didn't think it wise to wear a hard hat today.
0:49:59 > 0:50:02Mark Easton, BBC News.
0:50:07 > 0:50:09You're watching Beyond 100 Days.
0:50:09 > 0:50:11What kind of trade deals might the UK strike,
0:50:11 > 0:50:14free of the restrictions of European Union?
0:50:14 > 0:50:17Of course, a lot of depends on where the Brexit negotiations end up.
0:50:17 > 0:50:20But it's good to know that potential future trading partners
0:50:20 > 0:50:24outside the EU are eyeing up the UK and ready to do business.
0:50:24 > 0:50:26Australia is one such country.
0:50:26 > 0:50:30The High Commissioner to the UK says Australia would never
0:50:30 > 0:50:33cede its sovereignty over trade to another group of countries.
0:50:33 > 0:50:35And he believes that Britain should take heart from Australia's example.
0:50:35 > 0:50:37They have already secured trade deals with China
0:50:37 > 0:50:41and the United States.
0:50:41 > 0:50:42The High Commissioner, Alexander Downer,
0:50:42 > 0:50:45joined us a short time ago.
0:50:45 > 0:50:52I asked him what the impact might be of the UK staying in a customs
0:50:52 > 0:50:57union.Well, I'm not sure what people mean by a as distinct from
0:50:57 > 0:51:01the, that is probably just a political difference without a big
0:51:01 > 0:51:07difference of substance, but if the UK was in the customs union,
0:51:07 > 0:51:10remained in the customs union, and obviously would not be able to
0:51:10 > 0:51:13negotiate trade arrangements with other countries, so all of our focus
0:51:13 > 0:51:18would be on negotiations with the European Union. I mean, we would put
0:51:18 > 0:51:22our efforts just into Brussels, we wouldn't bother with London, because
0:51:22 > 0:51:26London would have contract and out its trade policy to the EU, that
0:51:26 > 0:51:30would be the consequence.At the moment, Australia represents, let's
0:51:30 > 0:51:35face it, a small portion of Britain's total trading
0:51:35 > 0:51:39relationship, something like around 2% - are you suggesting that after
0:51:39 > 0:51:42Brexit that number will increase significantly in a way that could
0:51:42 > 0:51:48help the British economy perhaps replace some of the trade deals with
0:51:48 > 0:51:51the EU?British trade has been diverted away from countries like
0:51:51 > 0:51:57Australia, so I suspect, on leaving the European Union, Britain's trade
0:51:57 > 0:52:01patterns would change a little as it negotiated not just a
0:52:01 > 0:52:01patterns would change a little as it negotiated not just a free-trade
0:52:01 > 0:52:05agreement with the EUso it could
0:52:05 > 0:52:09negotiated not just a free-trade agreement with the EUso it could go
0:52:09 > 0:52:14from 2% up to something like 7%?I am not going to predict at all, it
0:52:14 > 0:52:17is not the diktat of a politician or diplomat to say what the trade would
0:52:17 > 0:52:25be, but it was once 7%, it is now about 2%. I am not sure, 1-2%, and
0:52:25 > 0:52:31obviously there is potential to grow that very substantially.You said
0:52:31 > 0:52:34that Australia would never contract out its trade policy, the
0:52:34 > 0:52:41regulations under of its internal economy. -- the regulation and
0:52:41 > 0:52:45management of its internal economy. You already have deals with China
0:52:45 > 0:52:48and the US, even though the European Union doesn't. But how do you
0:52:48 > 0:52:53balance the interests of those two massive partners when they diverged?
0:52:53 > 0:52:59It is not a problem at all. We export into, say, China, we have to
0:52:59 > 0:53:03meet Chinese standards. When we export to the United States, we meet
0:53:03 > 0:53:09American standards. Whether we have agreements with them or not. If the
0:53:09 > 0:53:13United Kingdom is outside of the customs union, it can do that. If it
0:53:13 > 0:53:18is inside, it will have no say at all over the agreements that are
0:53:18 > 0:53:21negotiated on its behalf by the European Union. I mean, that is not
0:53:21 > 0:53:26a matter for us, that is just what will happen.To finish, are you
0:53:26 > 0:53:33optimistic about the chances of a trade deal with the EU, knowing what
0:53:33 > 0:53:36you know about these negotiations? It is difficult to negotiate with
0:53:36 > 0:53:40the EU, but I'm optimistic that we will get a trade agreement with the
0:53:40 > 0:53:44EU, and we have begun that process in any case. From our point of view,
0:53:44 > 0:53:49we would be happy to negotiate a bilateral agreement with the UK if
0:53:49 > 0:53:52the UK genuinely leaves the European Union. If you remain in the customs
0:53:52 > 0:53:57union and the single market, you are basically remaining in the European
0:53:57 > 0:54:01Union but without any say in the decision-making processes. It is up
0:54:01 > 0:54:06to you if you want to do that. We would never do that.High
0:54:06 > 0:54:11Commissioner, thank you very much. Pleasure.
0:54:11 > 0:54:14Ask many people what their most prized positions are
0:54:14 > 0:54:17- wife, children, home perhaps - certainly one of mine,
0:54:17 > 0:54:24besides my family of course is my passport.
0:54:24 > 0:54:26In fact, I have two. course is my passport.
0:54:26 > 0:54:29It's an essential tool of our trade and when you travel so much,
0:54:29 > 0:54:31you come to realise just how valuable these maroon,
0:54:31 > 0:54:35navy or green books are.
0:54:35 > 0:54:38And some are more valuable than others
0:54:38 > 0:54:41when it comes to visa-free travel, according to a new global ranking.
0:54:41 > 0:54:43Japanese and Singaporean passport holders
0:54:43 > 0:54:45offer the greatest travel freedom.
0:54:45 > 0:54:48If you hold one of these passports,
0:54:48 > 0:54:51you're now able to travel to 180 countries without a visa.
0:54:51 > 0:54:55The latest is Uzbekistan.
0:54:55 > 0:54:58It's interesting, Katty, because last month Uzbekistan lifted
0:54:58 > 0:55:01visa requirements for Japanese and Singaporean nationals,
0:55:01 > 0:55:07which puts them ahead of Germany.
0:55:07 > 0:55:16Before the shift it was number one, now it's number two.
0:55:16 > 0:55:23And they tied for third - Denmark, Finland, France, Italy,
0:55:23 > 0:55:26Sweden, Spain and South Korea with visa-free travel to 178 countries.
0:55:26 > 0:55:28At the other end of the end of the scale,
0:55:28 > 0:55:32Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan.
0:55:32 > 0:55:42I suppose it is not surprising. Which nationalities have you got?
0:55:42 > 0:55:49They are both British!I have a British passport, and I'm applying
0:55:49 > 0:55:53for a Swiss passport, I was hoping that would be on the list. How many
0:55:53 > 0:55:57Japanese people go to Uzbekistan on holiday?Not easy to get a Japanese
0:55:57 > 0:56:01passport either!My son was born there, he