28/09/2012

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:00:44. > :00:47.Good afternoon and welcome to the Daily Politics.

:00:47. > :00:55.Ed Balls says a Labour Government would review every single penny of

:00:55. > :00:58.Government spending. Could a Chancellor Balls really find cuts

:00:58. > :01:01.where Chancellor Osborne hasn't? Weak, that's the Public Accounts

:01:01. > :01:03.Committee verdict on the Department for Work and Pensions procedures

:01:03. > :01:12.after MPs examined allegations of fraud in government back to work

:01:12. > :01:16.schemes. Committee chairwoman Margaret Hodge joins us.

:01:16. > :01:20.And it's bail out fever in Europe with Spain on the brink and Greece

:01:20. > :01:25.looking for more help from Brussels. We'll ask Greek born economist

:01:25. > :01:33.Vicky Pryce what happens next. Remember this? At least I don't

:01:33. > :01:36.have to worry about her running off with the bloke next door!

:01:36. > :01:41.Unfortunately not all political jokes hit the spot like that one as

:01:41. > :01:47.Danny Alexander found out this week. We'll talk to the man who wrote

:01:47. > :01:57.Tony's joke about the golden rules of political gags. All that in the

:01:57. > :01:57.

:01:57. > :02:00.next hour. I'm Carol ex-Walker and Owen Jones and columnist and

:02:00. > :02:02.novelist Cristina Odone are here to keep me company throughout today's

:02:02. > :02:05.show. Let's start with Ed Balls. The Shadow Chancellor has announced

:02:05. > :02:07.that a Labour Government would review every penny of Government

:02:07. > :02:10.expenditure should it win back power after the next Election

:02:10. > :02:18.promising to be ruthless and disciplined as it conducted a zero-

:02:18. > :02:23.based spending review. Well let's talk about that. Eoin, I will start

:02:24. > :02:27.with you. What do you make of that? An incoming chancellor, he is not

:02:27. > :02:31.going to start cutting, he will start from the bottom and go

:02:31. > :02:34.through everything and every department? There is a problem.

:02:34. > :02:39.Different departments actually use different accounting rules so what

:02:39. > :02:43.is zero in one department doesn't mean the same in another department.

:02:43. > :02:45.It would be interesting to see how he would get around this. Labour

:02:45. > :02:55.haven't come up with an alternative alternative to what the

:02:55. > :02:59.Conservatives are doing and austerity sucked growth out of the

:02:59. > :03:05.economy and borrowing is surging as a result because tax receipts

:03:05. > :03:10.declined as the economy contracts. Instead of challenges the austerity,

:03:11. > :03:16.Labour aren't coming up with a coherent. They are coming up with

:03:16. > :03:20.their own version of austerity. I don't think people could

:03:20. > :03:27.distinguish that from what George Osborne is doing.

:03:27. > :03:31.They haven't said if they are going to stick to the A Rule total.

:03:31. > :03:35.Christine, what do you think? can't come up with an alternative

:03:35. > :03:38.to something that's so unpopularment people are saying,

:03:38. > :03:45."Austerity measures from the coalition, unlivable with. We

:03:45. > :03:51.cannot bear it. Let's look to Labour and nothing." Ed Balls is

:03:51. > :03:56.trying to scramble up up something that makes sense. What are we going

:03:56. > :04:00.to do for one year, we are going to be stalled whilst they review

:04:00. > :04:08.positions of each department. We're supposed to be fixing this economy

:04:08. > :04:12.now and I think a that one of the things that's really worries us is

:04:12. > :04:17.is Ed Balls saying, "Give us sometime when we get in.". He is

:04:17. > :04:21.saying he is going to go through it and unlike the present Government...

:04:21. > :04:24.Or like his own previous Government when he was an architect of our

:04:24. > :04:30.debts. He is going to have a look at what

:04:30. > :04:36.is in the best long-term interests of the country and do things item

:04:36. > :04:42.by item? He is going to get a grey beard before Balls fixes the

:04:42. > :04:47.economic situation. If he thinks this is how we are going to do it.

:04:47. > :04:52.The lack of coherence was emphasised when we heard in the

:04:52. > :05:02.same day that we have Balls saying we are going back to zero. We have

:05:02. > :05:08.Harriet Harman saying, "Oh, we are going to slow down talks." --

:05:08. > :05:18.cuts." Joined up Government, my foot. That's when you think Labour

:05:18. > :05:19.

:05:19. > :05:24.could be bold and come up with an alternative P. Spend loads more?

:05:24. > :05:28.That's what Harriet Harman was suggesting? Billions is being

:05:28. > :05:32.wasted on housing benefit. But that's lining the pockets of

:05:32. > :05:36.private landlords and not going into the pockets of the tenants.

:05:36. > :05:41.Labour could argue, let's bring down social housing which would

:05:41. > :05:46.stimulate the economy and create jobs. Take tax credits, billions

:05:46. > :05:52.spent on tax credits, but they are a subsidy for low pay. If we had a

:05:52. > :05:57.living wage, that would bring down the welfare spending.

:05:57. > :06:00.Briefly, Ed Balls is trying to send out a tough message at the start of

:06:00. > :06:05.the Labour Party Conference. Is that going to set the right tone?

:06:05. > :06:11.No. One of the funnyest things was the message that he sent out which

:06:11. > :06:15.was picked up by the Telegraph today. He is posing in front of a

:06:15. > :06:20.Winston Churchill photograph and a book by Martin Gilbert that's the

:06:20. > :06:26.biography of the big Prime Minister and he is so obviously chomping at

:06:26. > :06:32.the bit and trying to use this as a platform for his own political

:06:32. > :06:42.destiny. You think Ed Balls is on the move.

:06:42. > :06:46.

:06:46. > :06:49.That's a matter we will come back The Government says that private

:06:49. > :06:51.companies and charities about �900 million a year to help get

:06:52. > :06:54.unemployed people back into long- term jobs. But there have been

:06:54. > :06:56.widespread allegations of fraud in these welfare-to-work schemes and

:06:57. > :07:01.this morning a committee of MPs said ministers weren't doing enough

:07:01. > :07:04.to tackle the problem. The MPs said the Department for Work and

:07:04. > :07:14.Pensions had missed vital evidence about potential frauds, notably at

:07:14. > :07:14.

:07:14. > :07:17.the private provider A4E. In February, A4E founder Emma Harrison,

:07:17. > :07:19.who was also the Government's family champion, stood down amid

:07:19. > :07:22.allegations of wrongdoing and the firm, which is the Government's

:07:22. > :07:25.largest provider, is still the subject of a police investigation.

:07:25. > :07:28.But it said a recent audit had found no evidence of fraud and

:07:28. > :07:31.issued a statement saying that A4E is a very different company from

:07:31. > :07:34.the one it was two years ago. The committee chairman and Labour MP,

:07:34. > :07:39.Margaret Hodge, says that risks remain, adding that it is still

:07:39. > :07:42.possible for providers to be paid for work they haven't done. But the

:07:42. > :07:45.Work and Pensions Department said the cases of fraud referred to by

:07:45. > :07:48.the committee took place under schemes set up by Labour. The

:07:48. > :07:53.department said it had put in place the toughest anti-fraud measures

:07:53. > :07:56.ever included in a back to work scheme. I'm joined by the Chair of

:07:56. > :08:00.the Committee that produced the committee, the Labour MP, Margaret

:08:00. > :08:05.Hodge. Thank you very much for joining us.

:08:05. > :08:08.What do you think are the real problems here? The fraud has now

:08:08. > :08:12.been identified and is being addressed? We accept that the fraud

:08:12. > :08:15.we identified was on past schemes because we look at the past and not

:08:16. > :08:19.the present and the future. As we looked at the current structure, it

:08:19. > :08:28.is a better structure, but there are still problems. Let me give you

:08:28. > :08:37.an example. Somebody wrote to me that they had been referred, again

:08:37. > :08:42.to A4E and they found their own job before being referred to A4E. A4E

:08:42. > :08:46.rang them up and they said, "I don't need your help." The company

:08:46. > :08:50.said come in and sign and we will give you a �50 voucher and the

:08:50. > :09:00.company company collects up to �2,000 for that person. I had

:09:00. > :09:01.

:09:01. > :09:04.another case of another provider where a gentleman started his own

:09:04. > :09:07.business, was referred to a company. The company said, "Come in, show us

:09:07. > :09:09.your invoices and we will get you a grant for �2,000." He went in. Got

:09:09. > :09:12.his invoices. They got paid for finding him work which they hadn't

:09:12. > :09:17.done anything about, but he never got his grant. It didn't exist.

:09:17. > :09:19.As you said, these are problems that happened in the past... No, no,

:09:19. > :09:23.those are problems with the current scheme.

:09:23. > :09:27.The Government says it checks 100% of cases where individuals are in

:09:27. > :09:35.work. That's surely a big improvement on what was happening

:09:35. > :09:39.under the Labour Government? We are talking about fraud and malprabg

:09:39. > :09:43.and malpractice. It is a waste of public money. You don't pay a

:09:43. > :09:47.company if they haven't done the work. The second thing is the

:09:47. > :09:53.department asserts that it has got things right. Now this current

:09:53. > :09:59.programme has been going since June June 2011, we are now 15 months on

:09:59. > :10:01.and there is still not a statistic produced by the Government to

:10:01. > :10:04.demonstrate whether or not they are meeting the objectives.

:10:04. > :10:07.You would acknowledge they have tightened up their procedures and

:10:07. > :10:11.their checks considerably since the days when the Labour Government was

:10:11. > :10:15.using similar contracts? I think they have tightened up their

:10:15. > :10:18.procedures and checks. I think there are still risks and I really

:10:18. > :10:23.do believe that the fact that they are not producing statistics leaves

:10:23. > :10:27.you with a worry and a concern that the programme is either not meeting

:10:27. > :10:31.its objectives which is a �5 billion programme, to get over

:10:31. > :10:36.three million people into work. Not meeting its objectives or there is

:10:36. > :10:38.something wrong with it. I think there is a complacency in the

:10:38. > :10:42.Department for Work and Pensions which you don't see in other

:10:42. > :10:46.departments, you know... You know, in May of this year, Iain Duncan

:10:46. > :10:50.Smith, the Work and Pensions Secretary, he wrote to 11 former

:10:50. > :10:54.ministers including yourself saying thea wanted to -- that he wanted to

:10:54. > :11:01.see the papers relating totalgations of fraud and those

:11:01. > :11:04.haven't been released. That doesn't smack of complacency? There were

:11:04. > :11:10.problems - my committee looks objectively at past expenditure and

:11:10. > :11:14.we have been clear. I, I am the Labour chair of that chair...

:11:14. > :11:19.have been asked to release those papers? Well, I have no problem and

:11:19. > :11:22.I said so to my colleagues. That is an issue for my colleagues.

:11:22. > :11:27.Then we should have the papers released, shouldn't we? The papers

:11:27. > :11:31.are out there. I have given the papers. I a lot of papers passed to

:11:31. > :11:37.me, a lot of evidence in brown envelopes, a lot of e-mails, all of

:11:38. > :11:43.which I have passed to the department and work and pensions.

:11:43. > :11:47.Their attitude was "it was all past schemes. "they said these were past

:11:47. > :11:50.schemes. Everything is hunky-dory. I said it doesn't matter if they

:11:50. > :11:56.are past schemes and there was fraud, they need to investigate

:11:56. > :12:01.that properly. They are doing so and A4E has got a cloud over it.

:12:01. > :12:06.And I must say in the context in the G4 S statement today I have a

:12:06. > :12:10.real concern about how the department or Government decides

:12:10. > :12:13.whether or not it is a fit and proper company which with it should

:12:13. > :12:20.do business. I know you want to move on, but if you had a builder

:12:20. > :12:24.in your home who did a shoddy job and we know A4E had one contract

:12:24. > :12:29.taken away from them and they have police looking at another, Emma

:12:29. > :12:37.Harrison paid herself an �8.6 million dividend in country year in

:12:37. > :12:43.a company that gets its money out of public money. You wouldn't ask

:12:43. > :12:47.that builder to... This is A4 E saying they have addressed the

:12:47. > :12:50.problems and they are fit and proper contractors to carry out the

:12:50. > :12:54.contracts. Are you saying they are not fit and proper? If that's

:12:54. > :12:59.theication, why does the Government not let us see the statistics so

:12:59. > :13:03.that we can judge on A4 E's performance whether or not they are

:13:03. > :13:06.a fit and proper company. Cristina Odone, the Government is

:13:06. > :13:10.reliant on the private contractors, do you think there is a whiter

:13:10. > :13:16.problem here? Well, I think definitely whether it is a public

:13:16. > :13:20.service that is being given out to a private contractor or to a

:13:20. > :13:25.Government contractor, what we need is scrutiny, better scrutiny and

:13:25. > :13:31.what Margaret Hodge's committee has shown is that the scrutiny over A4

:13:31. > :13:35.E has been abysmal or at least not perfect and I think that what we

:13:35. > :13:40.need to have is the great transparency that we have been

:13:40. > :13:45.promised by the coalition from A to Z to focus on these private

:13:45. > :13:49.contractors. One of the problems was that Emma Harrison and her

:13:49. > :13:54.social enterprise was how we were sold it, looked so good. It was

:13:54. > :13:57.part of wishful thinking. Big Society come through.

:13:57. > :14:00.Is it a problem with this particular company or is there a

:14:00. > :14:03.wider difficulty do you think in keeping tabs on the private

:14:03. > :14:08.contractors? It is wider than that and New Labour and the

:14:08. > :14:14.Conservatives have to come to terms with that record. It is not just

:14:14. > :14:16.the case with A4 E, we have had two G4 S directors resigning today.

:14:16. > :14:24.During the Olympics they were expected to provide security and

:14:24. > :14:27.failed to do so, who had to step in? The State. And Philip Hammond,

:14:27. > :14:31.a Conservative Cabinet Minister he said that questioned his belief

:14:31. > :14:38.that the private sector automatically provided better value

:14:39. > :14:43.for money and was more efficient than the public sector.

:14:43. > :14:46.My fear is what we will end up with is taxpayers money, hard earned

:14:46. > :14:49.taxpayers money, lining the pockets of private contractors who are

:14:49. > :14:53.ripping us all off. Margaret, in your committee, you

:14:53. > :14:58.have looked at a whole series of these different projects where the

:14:58. > :15:03.Government has brought in private contractors. Is it a problem of the

:15:03. > :15:08.contracts of a lack of oversight or the way the whole systems work?

:15:08. > :15:12.There is a generic problem across Government particularly as they use

:15:12. > :15:19.more private contractors to deliver public services and it is about

:15:19. > :15:22.transparency. Too often both the contractor and the department hide

:15:22. > :15:25.behind commercial confidentiality and won't tell you how they are

:15:25. > :15:30.spending the money and either you build transparency into the

:15:30. > :15:33.contract or allow Freedom of Information provisions to relate to

:15:33. > :15:39.contracts that where it is the taxpayers money, delivering a

:15:39. > :15:44.public service, I think that's hugely important and I also think,

:15:44. > :15:51.and we are coming across it the Health Service and across PFI, that

:15:51. > :15:55.the ability of Government to really strike a descent deal, a good deal

:15:55. > :15:58.for the taxpayer, to have those commercial business skills which

:15:59. > :16:08.will ensure that we get proper value and aren't ripped off, don't

:16:09. > :16:11.

:16:11. > :16:15.In just under 30 days, there will be a new president of the United

:16:15. > :16:20.States, or if you believe the polls, confirmation that the same one the

:16:20. > :16:24.staying on for another four years. Next week, Mitt Romney has what

:16:24. > :16:28.might be his last chance to turn the race around with the

:16:28. > :16:35.presidential debate in Denver on Wednesday. Can he do it? We asked

:16:35. > :16:42.the Huffington post's Ryan Grim for his take on the race. We are on the

:16:42. > :16:48.rooftop of the Huffington post. Last Monday and, Mitt Romney

:16:48. > :16:53.announced a major Reset of his stumbling campaign. Hours later we

:16:53. > :16:58.are published footage of him in a secret fund raiser saying that 47 %

:16:58. > :17:03.of the people are deadbeats. It reinforced the stereotype that

:17:03. > :17:07.people already have of Romney. many Americans are struggling to

:17:07. > :17:12.find work in the economy. To many of them are living pay cheque to

:17:12. > :17:17.pay cheques. More Americans are living in poverty than when

:17:17. > :17:22.President Obama took office. My plan will create 12 million new

:17:22. > :17:26.jobs over the next four years. We shouldn't measure compassion by how

:17:26. > :17:31.many people on welfare. We should measure compassion by how many

:17:31. > :17:35.people are able to get off welfare and get a good paying job. I am

:17:35. > :17:39.Mitt Romney and I approve this message. In order to re energise

:17:39. > :17:45.his campaign, Mitt Romney came here to Capitol Hill, where he scooped

:17:45. > :17:51.up Paul Ryan to be his number two. The picky made last August was

:17:51. > :17:55.heralded by his Tea Party and grassroots Conservatives. They

:17:55. > :17:59.found a way to bring their ideology into the campaign but it has not

:17:59. > :18:05.happened. Take a look at what happened this week in Ohio. Mitt

:18:05. > :18:13.Romney had this bizarre interaction with his own audience. Back is

:18:13. > :18:20.quite a guy, isn't it, Paul Ryan, that is something. Wait a second,

:18:20. > :18:23.Romney Ryan, Ann Romney Ryan, Ron the Ryan. A despite having run what

:18:23. > :18:27.many people considered the worst presidential campaign they have

:18:27. > :18:32.ever seen, Mitt Romney is still very much in this race and that is

:18:32. > :18:37.for one reason. He has history on his side. Not since this man, FDR,

:18:37. > :18:43.has a President been re-elected with an economy this hour and an

:18:43. > :18:46.unemployment rate this high. Ronnie has a chance to change his

:18:46. > :18:50.direction and he has signalled he is ready to go on the offensive. --

:18:50. > :18:56.Ann Romney. The President has a tendency to say things which are

:18:56. > :19:00.not tree and in attacking his opponents, I have looked at prior

:19:00. > :19:04.debate and it is difficult to say I am are going to spend my time

:19:04. > :19:07.correcting things which are not accurate or I might go and spend my

:19:07. > :19:11.time talking that things I want to talk about? It will be hard to make

:19:11. > :19:17.those charges stick because Ronnie has been accused of the same thing.

:19:17. > :19:22.A welfare advert he has been running has been called false. Paul

:19:22. > :19:30.Ryan during his convention speech made at least four major misleading

:19:30. > :19:35.claims which were called out by the media. But we have a major money

:19:35. > :19:40.advantage for Mitt Romney and a tumultuous Middle East. It is

:19:40. > :19:44.possible that in January, he could be downsizing and moving into this

:19:44. > :19:49.Lumb here. It makes our campaigns look rather

:19:49. > :19:53.tame, doesn't it? Irwin, I am guessing you are not a huge fan of

:19:53. > :19:58.Mitt Romney. If you were his chief spin doctor, you would be burying

:19:58. > :20:06.your head in your hands. I would beam rocking in a foetal position

:20:06. > :20:12.in a corner somewhere. Not since FDR has any President won re-

:20:12. > :20:15.election with an unemployment rate above 8%. Unemployment is

:20:15. > :20:20.stubbornly high in that country. Yesterday, GDP figures were slashed.

:20:20. > :20:26.The economy is in a terrible state but in all the polls, Obama is

:20:26. > :20:31.pulling ahead, particularly in the key battleground states like Ohio.

:20:31. > :20:35.He has a very firm lead there. Unless there is a huge deal broker,

:20:35. > :20:39.for example Israel attacks Iran, I cannot see how Mitt Romney has any

:20:39. > :20:44.chance of winning an election he should have walked. Despite all

:20:44. > :20:48.those problems, it is interesting that Mitt Romney is still there in

:20:49. > :20:52.the race. People feel there is a huge amount to play for. It is

:20:52. > :21:00.unbelievable. Especially when you watch him put his foot repeatedly

:21:00. > :21:04.in his mouth. I think it is that old it is the economy, stupid. What

:21:04. > :21:09.Obama has to fight is not a man but money. He has to fight the fact

:21:09. > :21:14.that a lot of Americans feel poorer today than they did when he came in.

:21:14. > :21:19.That is where the problem lies. there were such high expectations

:21:19. > :21:23.on Obama. Do you think he is suffering the backlash from that?

:21:23. > :21:28.have to say, as somebody who has lived in Washington DC, I never

:21:28. > :21:33.thought it could happen, that somebody who was black could get in

:21:34. > :21:38.as President. Obama for me, can stop right there. For me, he has

:21:38. > :21:43.changed what America looks like. He has changed what America can say to

:21:43. > :21:49.the world. The problem is, after that momentous, historic,

:21:49. > :21:54.heartbreaking and thrilling moment, what has he done? It has not been

:21:54. > :21:59.exactly the best confirmation of an intelligent, brilliant strategic

:21:59. > :22:04.mind. If I was Mitt Romney's chief- of-staff, which thankfully I am not,

:22:04. > :22:07.I would get him to do what Reagan did back in 1980 by repeatedly

:22:07. > :22:12.hammer Jimmy Carter by saying to you feel better off than you did

:22:12. > :22:17.four years ago? The case for most Americans is absolutely not. But we

:22:17. > :22:21.have already had a classic Mitt Romney attacking 47 % of Americans

:22:21. > :22:25.as scroungers, including many natural Republican voters, people

:22:25. > :22:29.like military veterans and pensioners. It was the worst own

:22:29. > :22:37.goal. You can see the 60 something year-old granny sitting in her

:22:37. > :22:40.porch and Chicago and saying, I would have voted for year... Took

:22:40. > :22:46.there was even a suggestion that some of these 47 % were people who

:22:46. > :22:51.had been taken out of tax by a previous Republican tax changes.

:22:51. > :22:55.is really ruining it. What he should stick to his economics. And

:22:56. > :23:00.then he could stand a chance. are coming up to this first

:23:00. > :23:06.presidential debate and as we know, very often these debates can be

:23:06. > :23:12.turned one way or another by one chance comment, one chance remark.

:23:12. > :23:19.A classic one-liner, absolutely. There was one in 1988. By eight do

:23:19. > :23:24.not remember it because I was very young at the time. One Republican

:23:24. > :23:31.vice-presidential candidate said he compared himself to JFK. Someone

:23:31. > :23:37.else said he knew JFK and he was no JFK. That turned the debate around.

:23:37. > :23:41.Mitt Romney does not have the affection of the conservative base.

:23:42. > :23:46.That he Party's mantra is one half of America is subsidising the other

:23:46. > :23:50.but they do not think he is one of theirs. The establishment think he

:23:50. > :23:54.is incompetent. He does not have a strong base in the party. Thank you

:23:54. > :23:57.both very much. It has been another turbulent week

:23:57. > :24:02.in the eurozone with a nationwide strike in Greece descending into

:24:02. > :24:06.riots, protesters throwing petrol bombs and rocks and dozens of

:24:06. > :24:10.arrests being made. Yesterday, the Greek government made progress on

:24:10. > :24:15.the basic outlines of a new 13 billion euros package of cuts and

:24:15. > :24:18.tax increases. That has been overshadowed by a request from some

:24:18. > :24:22.in the governing coalition fraud more help from Brussels to soften

:24:22. > :24:26.the effect of cuts. Meanwhile, demonstrators have been out on the

:24:26. > :24:30.streets of Spain this week with tens of thousands of protesting at

:24:30. > :24:37.austerity measures. Nevertheless, the Spanish government yesterday

:24:37. > :24:42.announced a new round of tax and cups - at tax cuts. Vicky Pryce,

:24:42. > :24:47.who was born in Greece, is the author of a new book on the crisis.

:24:47. > :24:51.She joins us now. We keep hearing that Greece is on the brink, that

:24:51. > :24:56.it is seeking another bail out, that it has another round of cuts,

:24:56. > :24:59.obviously people are feeling a great deal of pain, way do you

:24:59. > :25:05.think Greece stands at the moment? The problem we have is Greece has

:25:05. > :25:15.seen a reduction in its GDP for the last five years. The likelihood is

:25:15. > :25:18.

:25:18. > :25:23.we will see a drop in output of -- in 2012 and 2013. If other

:25:23. > :25:28.countries had a drop in GDP would have riots in the streets. There

:25:28. > :25:34.has been a huge amount of pain. And major increase in unemployment,

:25:34. > :25:39.there is now 27 % unemployment. Confusingly, we have now got a new

:25:39. > :25:44.package of cuts, very unpopular, we thought there was a deal, arranged,

:25:44. > :25:49.but it seems Greece is asking for more time? The government which has

:25:49. > :25:52.now come to power which is a coalition government, which is made

:25:52. > :25:57.up of Socialists and the centre right and also some centre-left as

:25:57. > :26:01.well, it is a three-party coalition, came with a mandate to renegotiate

:26:01. > :26:08.the deal because the latest package had caused so much concern. None of

:26:08. > :26:13.this has come into Greece yet. We are talking about 110 to 130

:26:13. > :26:18.billion euros, as part of a second package, which has meant mainly

:26:18. > :26:22.recapitalising the banking sector, mainly there to increase liquidity

:26:22. > :26:27.in the system and also to compensate all the banks which took

:26:27. > :26:31.a haircut, if you like. They took a reduction. Very little is due to

:26:31. > :26:35.come into the Greek economy itself, which means that people are

:26:35. > :26:38.suffering, contractors are not being paid, it is not as if the

:26:39. > :26:43.West, western Europe has been putting a lot of money into Greece,

:26:43. > :26:47.very little of that has come. But the conditions attached to that

:26:47. > :26:52.money are so tight and have required the Greeks to have come

:26:52. > :26:56.with a further package of cuts which is the 11.6 billion there

:26:56. > :27:02.have just agreed. So little more time for Greece to stagger on and

:27:02. > :27:08.in the meantime, mounting concerns about Spain which has also had to

:27:08. > :27:13.announce another round of cuts. How serious is the situation in Spain

:27:13. > :27:17.now? Is it getting to the point that Greece is that? Greece needs

:27:17. > :27:22.extra time to do it and what it really needs is to have a lot of

:27:22. > :27:26.the debt renegotiated and frankly, written off. There is no way it can

:27:26. > :27:30.carry on the way it is. It is very similar in Spain. It has the same

:27:30. > :27:34.unemployment rate. It is a much larger economy sea can imagine how

:27:34. > :27:40.many people are out of work, it is stupendous. The youth unemployment

:27:40. > :27:43.rate is at 54 %. Spain has already extended its own timetable which

:27:43. > :27:50.the markets have accepted. It is about to hear terrible things about

:27:50. > :27:54.its banking sector. It will need to go for a proper bail out. The debt

:27:54. > :27:59.in Spain is unsustainable in my view. Like Greece, it will have a

:27:59. > :28:04.reduction in GDP this year, a reduction next year and the

:28:04. > :28:08.austerity package just announced is adding more pain. It cut public

:28:08. > :28:12.spending, raise taxes and cuts benefits which will affect the

:28:12. > :28:16.population at large. So far, we have seen the leadership of Germany,

:28:16. > :28:21.France and others in Europe have been that they have been so

:28:21. > :28:25.concerned about a wider collapse of the European currency that they

:28:25. > :28:30.have decided it is better to carry on doing whatever they need to to

:28:30. > :28:35.try and keep these countries in the eurozone. Is that going to continue

:28:35. > :28:39.or are we going to finally reach some crisis point. We seem to keep

:28:39. > :28:43.approaching crisis point and then the crisis get staved off for a

:28:43. > :28:48.little longer, more time is given. The problem is, they have not been

:28:48. > :28:52.doing enough, and they have not been doing it fast enough. The way

:28:52. > :29:00.they are operating, they are doing the opposite. Every time there is a

:29:00. > :29:03.summit, a decision is made. It used to last few weeks. The markets have

:29:03. > :29:07.stopped believing what comes out of those summits and what you hear

:29:07. > :29:12.every now and then, a decision is made and then it gets reversed. It

:29:12. > :29:16.is going on right this minute about how you refund capitalisation in

:29:16. > :29:22.the backs. Do you think it is looking inevitable that Greece and

:29:22. > :29:27.Spain might have to leave the euro? No. I think everyone will work hard

:29:27. > :29:30.to ensure that certainly Spain and Greece and the other countries,

:29:30. > :29:36.because if Greece believes the whole thing will fall apart. Italy

:29:36. > :29:41.is in trouble. Mario Monti is talking about extending his stay as

:29:41. > :29:47.Prime Minister so he can continue the reform process. I think the

:29:47. > :29:52.Germans will have to fund it. Christina Odone, with this eurozone

:29:52. > :29:58.crisis having an impact here, but we seem to be carrying on lurching

:29:58. > :30:04.from one crisis point to the next, do you think the leaders in Europe

:30:04. > :30:08.are right to try and keep this project on the rails at all costs?

:30:08. > :30:13.I think the problem is, it is not just a global village, it is a

:30:13. > :30:18.European village. Whatever happens to Greece, does have a huge impact

:30:18. > :30:23.on the rest of us, so we are linked together and some of us may think a

:30:23. > :30:27.country like Greece or Spain or Italy, is a bit of an albatross

:30:27. > :30:34.around another country's neck but we are stuck together. The problem

:30:34. > :30:37.is, the politics of any kind of stronger centralised discipline is

:30:38. > :30:42.so unappealing, especially unappealing to northern Europe and

:30:42. > :30:49.especially to Britain, because what we cannot bear is the thought of

:30:49. > :30:54.more sovereignty going to some central anonymous, autonomous

:30:54. > :30:59.institution that we have no power over, we have no say in, we are

:30:59. > :31:09.just going to be quashed as citizens of a nation. And that, I

:31:09. > :31:12.think, is what people are really There has been a lot of

:31:12. > :31:16.surrendering of sovereignty which has has taken too much? Too much

:31:16. > :31:19.some might say. Possibly, but some of the countries,

:31:19. > :31:25.we want to talk about Spain and Italy and Greece, probably wanted

:31:25. > :31:28.more of their sovereignty to go because they wanted to be run by

:31:28. > :31:32.the technocrats in Brussels rather than their own politicians.

:31:32. > :31:36.That's one of the of the problems. We are talking about Greece and

:31:37. > :31:44.Italy and Spain, countries that have a low civic understanding of

:31:44. > :31:54.what responsibility lies. Countries that are featured nationally as the

:31:54. > :32:02.tax dodge U Owen? The Nobel prize winning

:32:02. > :32:09.economist has it right. It compares it to a medieval witchdoctor as the

:32:09. > :32:13.patient gets weaker, bleeds it more. What we are seeing in Greece is a

:32:13. > :32:17.catastrophe. So they should be spending more?

:32:17. > :32:21.What is happening is debt is surging in Greece. We have over

:32:21. > :32:28.half of young people unemployed. We have a society basically being

:32:28. > :32:34.dismantled because of austerity imposed by the German Government.

:32:34. > :32:38.Not because of austerity. This is the key point. If you look at

:32:38. > :32:43.Ireland, Ireland had a budget surplus before the crisis. All

:32:43. > :32:49.countries regardless whether they had a surplus or deficit had been

:32:49. > :32:53.hit by a financial crisis. Money borrowed in a bad way is not

:32:53. > :32:59.good money. You are saying that part of the problems in places like

:32:59. > :33:02.Greece and Spain is that the EU, the terms of the bail outs are so

:33:02. > :33:06.so strict that it is making the problems worse. Do you think they

:33:06. > :33:11.would be better off outside the euro? In the case of Greece, about

:33:11. > :33:14.70% of the population want to stay within the euro, but that's giving

:33:14. > :33:18.them little flexibility in dealing with the crisis. What needs to

:33:18. > :33:21.happen is firstly, a lot of the debt needs to be written off. There

:33:21. > :33:24.is no way it can be paid off and what we are seeing is the

:33:24. > :33:28.dismantling of a society as a result of that, young people, no

:33:28. > :33:32.future in that country, but the banks to be taken over and publicly

:33:32. > :33:38.controlled and used to invest in the economy which at the moment I

:33:38. > :33:42.mean are sustained by the taxpayer. Surely there is a point there in

:33:42. > :33:46.these tight rules that are being imposed on countries like Greece

:33:46. > :33:49.and Spain, are making it really very, very difficult indeed for

:33:50. > :33:53.those economies to find anyway to recover? What you need is to change

:33:53. > :33:58.the rules. Not necessarily to see the countries go. There is no doubt

:33:58. > :34:02.that all of them reform, whether you look at Italy or Spain. You

:34:02. > :34:08.actually have countries that don't do the right things if you like and

:34:08. > :34:11.because the euro was a good thing for them in the short-term is, low

:34:11. > :34:15.interest rates to finance the housing boom in Spain and the

:34:15. > :34:22.French banks in Greece and they borrowed like there was no tomorrow.

:34:23. > :34:26.But they weren't - but what happened since with with the crisis

:34:26. > :34:31.that hit, there was nothing to fall back on because they hadn't

:34:31. > :34:36.restructured and they had no way they could change their exchange

:34:36. > :34:40.rate. We need to re-think this. OK, I am sure a lot more to come.

:34:40. > :34:45.There is a big summit coming up before the end of the year.

:34:45. > :34:49.Did you hear the one about the politician who died on stage? Well,

:34:49. > :34:53.we don't mean literally. When Danny Alexander stood up in front of the

:34:53. > :34:58.Lib Dem conference and told jokes you could have heard a pin drop. It

:34:58. > :35:02.was a reminder that while political humour can have them rolling in the

:35:02. > :35:12.aisles, it can have heading for the exits. We have come up with the

:35:12. > :35:26.

:35:26. > :35:27.# I'm joker # Cherie, I mean...

:35:28. > :35:37.APPLAUSE Well, at least I don't have to

:35:38. > :35:44.

:35:44. > :35:51.worry about her running off with The Guardian Disclosed that the

:35:51. > :35:53.speech had not been written by Gordon Brown at all.

:35:53. > :35:55.LAUGHTER But by a 27-year-old choral singing

:35:56. > :36:01.researcher name Ed Balls. There you have it, the final proof, Labour's

:36:01. > :36:11.brand-new shining, modernist economist dream, but it wasn't

:36:11. > :36:16.

:36:16. > :36:19.Brown's, it was Balls! APPLAUSE

:36:19. > :36:29.I will not make agen issue of this campaign. I am not going to exploit

:36:29. > :36:33.

:36:33. > :36:35.for political purposes my opponents youth and inexperience.

:36:35. > :36:39.LAUGHTER You did wrack up more medals than

:36:39. > :36:45.France, didn't you? Yes! And more med medals than

:36:45. > :36:49.Germany and Australia and more medals my friends per head, more

:36:49. > :36:54.medals per head than virtually every country on earth and yes, you

:36:54. > :37:01.brought sport home to a city and a country where by and large it was

:37:02. > :37:06.invented and codified. You brought athletics home, you brought home

:37:06. > :37:16.rowing, you brought home cycling, you brought home judo, I am not

:37:16. > :37:16.

:37:16. > :37:26.sure if judo was invented in London. Of course, not everything about the

:37:26. > :37:29.

:37:29. > :37:31.Budget this year was perfect. LAUGHTER

:37:31. > :37:34.Julia Church my brilliant special adviser was getting married a few

:37:34. > :37:38.weeks after the Budget in Cornwall. I checked to make sure that her

:37:38. > :37:43.future husband was not a caravan gelling churchgoer with a taste for

:37:44. > :37:50.pasttries, but I will always think of that period of four U-turns and

:37:50. > :37:52.a wedding. Thank you.

:37:52. > :37:55.APPLAUSE Oh dear. Poor old Danny having to

:37:55. > :38:01.laugh himself to break up the silence there. But we are joined by

:38:01. > :38:06.the man who wrote Tony Blair's Gordon and Cherie joke, the former

:38:06. > :38:11.speech writer and now Times columnist. Cherie had put her foot

:38:11. > :38:15.in it and Tony Blair turned the corner there. Yes, the Gordon Brown

:38:15. > :38:18.speech was over shadowed by something about Cherie Blair having

:38:18. > :38:21.said something rude about him to a journalist and it ran, it was

:38:21. > :38:25.running the next day and that's the key to why the joke worked. It is

:38:25. > :38:29.because we conceded in that joke that she probably had said it. And

:38:29. > :38:33.the joke had a real purpose. It wasn't just a joke, completely

:38:33. > :38:38.separate from the speech, had a political impact because we were

:38:38. > :38:45.saying, "Yeah, OK, three probably said it. But let's not worry about

:38:45. > :38:52.it too much." The original joke is a Les Dawson gag. The original one

:38:52. > :38:55.is where Les Dawson used to say, "My wife has just run off with the

:38:56. > :39:01.guy next door, and do you know what? I'm really going to miss

:39:01. > :39:04.him.". LAUGHTER

:39:04. > :39:07.In that circumstance, was it Tony Blair himself who decided we have

:39:07. > :39:09.got to make a a joke out of this? And you were tasked with coming up

:39:09. > :39:12.with it? There were more people involved and everybody knows the

:39:12. > :39:17.best way of dealing with it is to have some lightness of touch. It

:39:17. > :39:21.has - as you said, it has got to be funny. If a joke is really funny

:39:21. > :39:26.you hide in the laughter the political point. If it is not funny,

:39:26. > :39:31.you risk basically insulteding everybody, you risk Gordon Brown

:39:31. > :39:37.being annoyed and risk drawing attention to the facts without

:39:37. > :39:40.disolving it. It took a while to fin the right right form at.

:39:40. > :39:43.And did Cherie see the joke? Yes. LAUGHTER

:39:43. > :39:48.Eventually. A couple of seconds after the

:39:48. > :39:52.laughter in the hall, everybody saw the joke! It is risque. If you do a

:39:52. > :39:56.joke like that, there is a risk attached. As the Prime Minister

:39:56. > :40:00.stood up to speak, it wasn't in the script, it was in his head and we

:40:00. > :40:05.didn't know know until he said it, whether he was going to. He judged

:40:05. > :40:09.the mood about whether to do the joke. Danny Alexander... You were

:40:09. > :40:14.at the scene biting your nails wondering if it is going to happen?

:40:14. > :40:19.Firstly, is he going to say it and is it going to come off? I never

:40:19. > :40:24.thought it would come off as well as it did. What Danny Alexander

:40:24. > :40:31.should have done with get out of it. I'm dying here. I have got to stop,

:40:31. > :40:34.but he goes on and on and supplies his own laughter track at the end.

:40:34. > :40:38.Is part of the problem the politician involved or the

:40:38. > :40:41.solution? We saw Boris Johnson there who seems capable of opening

:40:41. > :40:47.his mouth and saying just about anything and getting everyone on

:40:47. > :40:51.his side and everyone laughing and Danny Alexander didn't have that

:40:51. > :40:54.effect even at Lib Dem conference? Comedy has to be organic. It has

:40:54. > :40:58.could come out of the thing that you are writing. You hate it when

:40:58. > :41:02.they say before they go on, "Have you got any jokes?" They shouldn't

:41:02. > :41:08.be separate. Boris does it naturally and his problem is the

:41:08. > :41:12.opposite. He needs to be not so funny and for serious, but some

:41:12. > :41:21.people can't do it. Occasionally you get somebody who is not funny,

:41:21. > :41:26.to be funny. The classic case was Margaret Thatcher. The Lib Dems had

:41:26. > :41:36.a new motive that looked like a dead parrot. They got her to do the

:41:36. > :41:40.dead parrot sketch. She didn't know who Monty Python was and she

:41:40. > :41:46.watched the video and before she went on the stage and she said,

:41:46. > :41:49."This Monty Python, is he one of us?". Oh, how wonderful.

:41:49. > :41:52.It worked because the script was good.

:41:52. > :42:00.They always say politics is show business for ugly people and

:42:00. > :42:06.often... Like acting? When it comes to actsing, politicians not least

:42:06. > :42:13.your own boss could be superb, but when it comes to humour, the

:42:13. > :42:17.classic one was Sarah Tether last year, I urge your viewers to watch

:42:17. > :42:20.it and she talked about going back to Strictly Come Dancing and says

:42:20. > :42:24.George Osborne is going to be doing the line dancing and everything was

:42:24. > :42:27.wrong, its timing, the way she delivered it. It was trending on

:42:27. > :42:31.Twitter Within an hour and it was a car crash.

:42:31. > :42:36.And yet politicians feel the need to turn to humour, to make

:42:36. > :42:41.themselves appear human and normal and... It is playing to the gallery.

:42:41. > :42:46.It is trying to appeal to the audience. It is trying to feel the

:42:46. > :42:50.audience. It is trying to feed the audience, but it really, rarely

:42:50. > :42:56.works and Boris, you are right, Philip. One of the weird things is

:42:56. > :42:59.that when the politician is so effortlessly funny and so you know,

:42:59. > :43:06.wonderful, all he has to do is touch the hair and everybody roars

:43:06. > :43:11.with laughter. It does leave some of his audience wondering, "Is he

:43:11. > :43:15.serious?" When push comes to shove, can he deliver? Well, he has been

:43:15. > :43:19.re-elected to City Hall so it is obviously working.

:43:19. > :43:24.It is not Number Ten. It is interesting to see what he

:43:24. > :43:29.does at the the Tory party conference.

:43:29. > :43:31.Do you think Ed Miliband should try more jokes next week?

:43:31. > :43:35.LAUGHTER I don't.

:43:35. > :43:42.Look at the look of horror on his speech when you said that!

:43:42. > :43:46.No, I don't think he should. If - he is not an unfunny person

:43:46. > :43:49.privately. It just depends. If it occurs naturally in the writing and

:43:49. > :43:54.it is funny then yes, but it should be something he is comfortable with

:43:54. > :44:02.that he has devised. He shouldn't bow to the pressure that I have got

:44:02. > :44:05.to have two jokes and let's put put them in at the last minute. You

:44:05. > :44:10.lose confidence when you tell a joke and it dies.

:44:10. > :44:14.You may remember how a couple of weeks ago, we asked the

:44:14. > :44:18.Conservative author Richard D North on to the Daily Politics to give us

:44:18. > :44:27.his guide on how to be a right- winger. Well, we thought we would

:44:27. > :44:37.ask Owen Jones for a guide for the left-winger. Have a look at this.

:44:37. > :44:38.

:44:38. > :44:43.At five, pay your taxes. Don't do a Jimmy Carr.

:44:43. > :44:46.At four, none of us have any control of our upbringing. We want

:44:46. > :44:52.working people to have a a voice, but it doesn't mean hating people

:44:52. > :44:56.for being born posh. At three, join a trade union and

:44:56. > :45:06.never cross a picket line. It is the only means workers have to

:45:06. > :45:07.

:45:07. > :45:11.fight for a fair share of the cake. It is a non mover at tworks don't

:45:11. > :45:17.go all people's front. The real enemy is capitalism, not each

:45:17. > :45:26.other! And at one, your goal is a society

:45:26. > :45:35.run by working people for working people. Not Not in the interests of

:45:35. > :45:41.That was almost a bit of Clause four at the end there. It is not

:45:41. > :45:46.exactly the cool thing to be left wing at the moment. Do you think it

:45:46. > :45:53.is time for the left wing to we exert itself and put pressure on Ed

:45:53. > :45:56.Miliband and Ed Balls? I think most people outside off political life

:45:56. > :46:01.do-nothing cod issues in terms of left and right, they think of

:46:01. > :46:05.things in terms of issues which have to be addressed, whether they

:46:05. > :46:10.solutions are convincing, coherent and resonate with their experiences.

:46:11. > :46:14.We are four years now into an intractable economic crisis, where

:46:14. > :46:20.people face the biggest squeeze in living standards since my ground

:46:20. > :46:26.was born in the 1920s. It remains boom-time for those at the top. The

:46:26. > :46:30.Sunday Times Rich List, the wealth went up by the 5th. I think there

:46:30. > :46:35.is a growing appetite now when we have seen the failures of free-

:46:35. > :46:38.market capitalism to say, there is a different way of running society

:46:38. > :46:46.and I think people are more open now to talking about higher taxes

:46:46. > :46:49.on the rich. Christina, does Owen Jones have a point? A lot of people

:46:49. > :46:53.are struggling, do you think this could be an opportunity for the

:46:53. > :46:58.left? And unfair society is a terrible thing. But I think what

:46:59. > :47:03.Phil wrote this morning in his column was a bit of a challenge to,

:47:03. > :47:08.which it is what does Labour stand for when there is no money? That is

:47:08. > :47:14.the problem. When you said it Labour no longer is the coherent

:47:14. > :47:20.opposition, what do they stand for? What are they going to do? Why

:47:20. > :47:25.should I go and vote for them? Let's bring in Phil here. Do you

:47:25. > :47:31.consider yourself a man of the left these days. It is not something

:47:31. > :47:37.people often ask that yes, rather than right. I think what I to

:47:37. > :47:41.disagree is the alternatives to captors and, what you will get is

:47:41. > :47:44.responsible capitalism. You may or may not get it but that is the

:47:44. > :47:49.frame of the argument. What you will get is a different form of

:47:49. > :47:55.capitalism. What I do not get the sense of his public ownership of

:47:55. > :48:00.the commanding heights of the economy and other things for stud

:48:00. > :48:06.you do consider yourself a man of the left? Yes, I am a democratic

:48:06. > :48:15.socialist and I want a society run by the working people. Are you in

:48:15. > :48:21.1980 person Orin 1930 person? 2012 left winger. I do not want to

:48:21. > :48:28.return to the old form of statism pioneered by Peter Mandelson's

:48:28. > :48:32.grandfather, Herbert Morrison. I do not want the old-style British Rail.

:48:32. > :48:42.I would have workers and passengers have been democratically

:48:42. > :48:48.represented elect lives on the board. What role do we have as tax

:48:48. > :48:52.payers bailing out the banks to running the Bank's? You have

:48:52. > :48:58.written these five Rules. Phil Collins helped Tony Blair very much

:48:58. > :49:02.to shift the Labour Party, do you have him as part of that cabal who

:49:02. > :49:07.betrayed the left or do you think they help? I think it would be fair

:49:08. > :49:12.to say we come from a slightly different tradition. Clause 4,

:49:12. > :49:17.would you bring it back? necessarily in that form. I like

:49:17. > :49:22.the idea of a society run by working people. I avoid the cries

:49:22. > :49:28.of betrayal because the way I see that rightward shift is the rise of

:49:28. > :49:34.the New Right in the 1980s. The form of globalisation with Hendon

:49:34. > :49:37.Government's. But also, after the end of the Cold War, even if your

:49:37. > :49:44.airport Stalinist totalitarianism, as I hope all people on the left

:49:44. > :49:51.did, that was Banaz capitalism's final victory. We are still

:49:51. > :50:00.suffering from the legacy. other thing about Old Labour, it

:50:00. > :50:05.was phenomenally on successful -- New Labour. Well Tony Blair won

:50:05. > :50:15.something. Exactly. The absurdity of the view that the Labour Party

:50:15. > :50:18.

:50:18. > :50:22.can return to view it has -- doesn't extend to the market for

:50:22. > :50:28.haircuts and core jets? What product markets are you extending

:50:28. > :50:33.this into? I must just ask you, Christina, you used to work for the

:50:33. > :50:43.New Statesman, weighed you consider yourself on this? I have become

:50:43. > :50:45.

:50:45. > :50:50.more right-wing than Phil and right centre. What I cannot bear about

:50:50. > :50:56.Owen's vision, I like you but I do not like your vision, what I do not

:50:56. > :51:00.like his huge state quashing all individual initiative. The one

:51:00. > :51:06.thing I still like about David Cameron is the Big Society, the one

:51:06. > :51:10.that nobody liked. But what I loved was the thought of lots of people

:51:10. > :51:15.really taking up and doing things and seeing their neighbourhood,

:51:15. > :51:22.their locality as a great launch pad for all kinds of initiatives.

:51:22. > :51:27.Your statism... Is it is not statism. You obviously feel very

:51:27. > :51:31.passionate about this. Do you think it is possible that as you continue

:51:31. > :51:35.in the years to come, you could perhaps move on a political journey

:51:35. > :51:40.yourself? That you might be tempted by David Cameron's Big Society,

:51:40. > :51:46.that you might, as you get older, as a lot of people have shifted

:51:46. > :51:50.from the left to the right? It is thickly shade right-wing shift. But

:51:51. > :51:54.no. I come from a very proud left- wing background. Four generations

:51:54. > :52:00.of both sides my family have been committed to the trade union

:52:00. > :52:03.movement. My great grandad was on the 1926 General Strike. My parents

:52:03. > :52:09.were trade union activists and none of them shifted to the right. What

:52:09. > :52:16.I am arguing for is a higher taxes on the rich, democratic control of

:52:16. > :52:20.our banks, social ownership, not the old form of statism. We have

:52:20. > :52:24.got lots of socialism in this country for the rich. Banks propped

:52:24. > :52:29.up by the tax payer, landlords who are paid housing benefits for

:52:29. > :52:35.example. I do not want to run the railways. Well I am not asking you

:52:35. > :52:41.to. We are going to leave this discussion now. It has been a week

:52:41. > :52:46.dominated by the Liberal Democrats hanging up by the beach in Brighton.

:52:46. > :52:49.David Cameron was given a lesson in history on American TV. Here is

:52:49. > :52:52.David Thomson with the 60 second round up.

:52:52. > :52:56.Chief Whip Andrew Mitchell decided to get off his bike and perhaps his

:52:56. > :53:00.high horse as he headed in to work on Monday. But after apologising he

:53:00. > :53:05.was not keen to hang around for more questions from the plebs,

:53:05. > :53:09.Surrey, hacks. Luckily, he could count on the support of his

:53:09. > :53:14.coalition colleagues. A jokes about social class are not good for the

:53:14. > :53:19.unity of the coalition. As Eimear pleb, I could not resist. Talking

:53:19. > :53:24.of the Lib Dems, it was conference time in Brighton. Nick Clegg might

:53:24. > :53:27.be expecting a bloodbath in the next election. I have seen

:53:27. > :53:34.generations of liberals marching towards the sound of gunfire.

:53:34. > :53:37.Hamza finally got his marching orders to the US but the BBC

:53:37. > :53:42.blocked -- blotted its copybook with people in high places. David

:53:42. > :53:47.Cameron went to American -- America and he should have paid more

:53:47. > :53:53.attention to history lessons at Eton. Magna Carter? You are testing

:53:53. > :53:57.may. Be it would be good if you knew this. The yes, it would be.

:53:57. > :54:01.There was David Cameron in a spot of trouble but the trials of Andrew

:54:01. > :54:04.Mitchell have dominated the headlines for a long time. We have

:54:04. > :54:09.heard he has told his local newspaper that he believes the

:54:09. > :54:14.whole row has been blown out of all proportion by the national media.

:54:14. > :54:20.He says he has apologised and hopes he can draw a line under it. Do you

:54:20. > :54:27.think he has a point? No, I thought he was disgusting and it was really

:54:27. > :54:34.embarrassing! It made me cringe. Unbelievably, I think he will get

:54:34. > :54:39.away with it. He is in the headlines now. In the headlines

:54:39. > :54:42.after seven days, you should be dead. He should have just kept

:54:42. > :54:49.Ashton. He will put himself back in the headlines if he speaks like

:54:49. > :54:55.that. That attitude reinforced the Tory party as the party for the

:54:55. > :54:58.rich. The focus in the coming week will be on the Labour Party. It is

:54:58. > :55:03.a curious situation for Ed Miliband because he is ahead in the polls

:55:03. > :55:08.but he is facing huge amount of criticism for a failure to show

:55:08. > :55:12.sufficient leadership. What do you think he will do? It is a peculiar

:55:12. > :55:16.conference. It is unique because of the length of the political cycle.

:55:16. > :55:20.For the first time, we know we will have a five-year cycle. Normally,

:55:21. > :55:26.this would be the firing gun for an election campaign. But it will not

:55:26. > :55:30.now. Have a longer period. The first two conferences are kind of

:55:30. > :55:34.get to know Ed Miliband, the next two will be moving to a general

:55:34. > :55:38.election but this one is struggling for a purpose. He does not want to

:55:38. > :55:42.reveal too much, too early because that is a mistake. But at the same

:55:42. > :55:47.time, everybody on my side of the fence is there, but who are you,

:55:47. > :55:51.what are you going to do? It is a difficult conference for him.

:55:51. > :55:55.have heard a lot about a blank sheet of paper. There will be huge

:55:55. > :55:59.amount of pressure on him to come out with some policies? There will

:55:59. > :56:03.be, but I'm not sure he will be wise to yield to it. It is unfair

:56:03. > :56:09.that say it is a blank sheet of paper because of what he has

:56:09. > :56:13.written a some emerging themes which you may or may not like.

:56:13. > :56:19.People were not aware of them to stop the actors always true because

:56:19. > :56:22.people were not paying attention but they will. He will talk about

:56:22. > :56:30.responsible capitalism. My own view is it will not be enough. You

:56:30. > :56:34.cannot say the paper will be plant. Given the long election cycle, how

:56:34. > :56:38.do you think he is doing. Do you think he is really poised to step

:56:38. > :56:42.up a gear over the next couple of years and storm and the next

:56:42. > :56:46.election? I think they have got trouble on policy because there is

:56:46. > :56:51.not a sense of what the Labour Party really is because there is no

:56:51. > :56:57.money to hand out. Having said that, Ed Miliband was underestimated when

:56:57. > :57:00.he became leader. I never thought he was as bad as he was painted. I

:57:00. > :57:04.think the surprise that some people have had that he has had some good

:57:04. > :57:08.moments has been a surprise, just them changing their minds and

:57:08. > :57:14.realising what was true all along, he is better than that. The

:57:14. > :57:18.question is, will it be enough? were quite critical of his speech

:57:18. > :57:21.last year which talked about predatory capitalism but some would

:57:21. > :57:25.argue he is vindicated because Vince Cable has said this is

:57:25. > :57:30.something we could work on. Do you think in hindsight you were too

:57:30. > :57:38.harsh? No aye, in hindsight I was too generous. I'm sure some would

:57:38. > :57:44.say that but it is a silly distinction. This distinction

:57:44. > :57:48.between predator and producer for so vet immediately. Instantly,

:57:48. > :57:53.Andrew Neil dismantled it as a distinction. It collapses.

:57:53. > :57:59.Christina, how great is the pressure now? It is lack Mitt

:57:59. > :58:04.Romney. I can see so many parallels. -- it is like Mitt Romney. This is

:58:04. > :58:10.a guy with so much to gain. He is facing an opposition which is so

:58:10. > :58:17.unpopular, which has not been able to make cuts, a kind of cohesive

:58:17. > :58:23.national mission and what does he do? He stands there and loses all

:58:23. > :58:30.kinds of credibility. I am afraid I am not owe an Ed Miliband fund or a

:58:30. > :58:36.least not this Ed Miliband. thanks to my guests. We will have

:58:36. > :58:41.to leave there now. 1 o'clock News is starting over on BBC One. Andrew

:58:41. > :58:47.will be back on BBC One on Sunday with the Sunday Politics where he