:00:38. > :00:42.Welcome to the Daily Politics and the last
:00:43. > :00:48.day of campaigning ahead of tomorrow's general election.
:00:49. > :00:50.The leaders have been clocking up the air miles.
:00:51. > :00:54.Theresa May was pressing the flesh at a meat market at half five this
:00:55. > :00:57.She's been talking about Brexit and new measures
:00:58. > :01:01.Jeremy Corbyn began the day at a rally in Glasgow,
:01:02. > :01:03.telling his supporters there are just 24 hours
:01:04. > :01:10.But he's had to reshuffle his top team after Diane Abbott stands aside
:01:11. > :01:14.The other party leaders are all out making their eleventh-hour
:01:15. > :01:17.pitches to the voters, and we'll be looking back at how
:01:18. > :01:23.this dramatic election campaign has unfolded.
:01:24. > :01:26.And I'll have our usual step-by-step guide to election night to help
:01:27. > :01:44.All that in the next hour - and with us for the duration, two men
:01:45. > :01:46.hoping to be re-elected as MPs tomorrow - Ed Vaizey
:01:47. > :01:51.for the Conservatives and David Lammy for Labour.
:01:52. > :01:55.And what better way to round off their campaigns than by appearing
:01:56. > :01:59.on the last Daily Politics election special?
:02:00. > :02:02.I'm sorry, that should have read finish off their campaigns. We shall
:02:03. > :02:05.see. Anyway, welcome to both of you. So today we'll be reflecting
:02:06. > :02:08.on this final frenetic day of the election and looking back
:02:09. > :02:11.at the whole of the campaign. But let's begin with a look
:02:12. > :02:13.at the front pages. Most are still understandably
:02:14. > :02:15.focused on the aftermath of the terror attack in London
:02:16. > :02:19.at the weekend. But some have a more political angle
:02:20. > :02:26.and the common theme is security. The Sun, picking up a story
:02:27. > :02:28.from blogger Guido Fawkes, says Jeremy Corbyn gave a speech
:02:29. > :02:30.at a demonstration attended by members of the outlawed
:02:31. > :02:32.group Al-Muhajaroon, some said to be dressed
:02:33. > :02:34.as suicide bombers Labour says it was a public event
:02:35. > :02:48.and Mr Corbyn was not The Guardian's headline is 'May
:02:49. > :02:51.threatens to dismantle human rights laws in wake of terror attacks',
:02:52. > :02:54.following on from a speech by the Prime Minister last night
:02:55. > :02:57.when she set out a series The Financial Times
:02:58. > :03:02.leads on that story too. It says Theresa May is targeting
:03:03. > :03:05.Labour heartlands and is 'ramping up the anti-terror rhetoric'
:03:06. > :03:07.in response to criticism of her And the Daily Mail's headline
:03:08. > :03:20.is "apologists for terror" with pictures of Jeremy Corbyn,
:03:21. > :03:22.John McDonnell and Diane Abbott. The paper is no fan of Labour's top
:03:23. > :03:25.team and says they have spent their whole career 'cosying up
:03:26. > :03:29.to those who hate our country'. Well, let's take a look
:03:30. > :03:31.at that announcement She's talking about tightening
:03:32. > :03:33.restrictions on suspects, making it easier to expel foreign
:03:34. > :03:37.offenders and, if necessary, opting out of some human
:03:38. > :03:39.rights laws, which she says are used to block
:03:40. > :03:45.efforts to deport terrorists. and then we'll hear from the Labour
:03:46. > :03:54.leader Jeremy Corbyn responding. I mean longer prison
:03:55. > :03:56.sentences for those convicted I mean making it easier
:03:57. > :04:00.for the authorities to deport foreign terrorist suspects back
:04:01. > :04:04.to their own country. And I mean doing more to restrict
:04:05. > :04:09.the freedom and movements of terrorist subjects when we have
:04:10. > :04:14.enough evidence to know they are a threat, but not enough
:04:15. > :04:19.evidence to prosecute them in court. And if our human rights laws
:04:20. > :04:21.stop us from doing it, we'll change the laws
:04:22. > :04:32.so we can do it. We won't defeat terrorism
:04:33. > :04:34.by ripping up our basic We defeat terrorism by our
:04:35. > :04:37.communities, by our vigilance, and by police action to isolate
:04:38. > :04:39.and detain those that Obviously, if somebody is a foreign
:04:40. > :04:44.national resident in Britain who is committing crimes,
:04:45. > :04:46.then clearly, the law The issue is police numbers
:04:47. > :04:58.and police security. That was the Prime Minister and
:04:59. > :05:05.Jeremy Corbyn. Ed Vaizey, three weeks ago when Theresa May launch
:05:06. > :05:09.the Tory manifesto, she guaranteed the Human Rights Act would continue
:05:10. > :05:12.to apply and we would remain subject to the European Court of Human
:05:13. > :05:16.Rights. Is that still valid? As far as I am aware, it is still valid and
:05:17. > :05:26.there are plenty in the Conservative Party you support the articles on
:05:27. > :05:30.human rights. What she said yesterday was deaf. If our human
:05:31. > :05:34.rights laws get in the way of doing it, we will change the laws. But
:05:35. > :05:38.that is not what she said in a manner that still? What you said in
:05:39. > :05:42.the manifesto was that we would remain a signatory to the European
:05:43. > :05:46.convention and we would have a Human Rights Act. -- in her manifesto. In
:05:47. > :05:51.France, as you know, you can opt out of bits of the European convention.
:05:52. > :05:55.So is that a possibility? I am not a Home Office minister and I am not
:05:56. > :05:58.privy to the Prime Minister's thinking but logically it would be a
:05:59. > :06:05.possibility for the UK if it felt it necessary as other countries has
:06:06. > :06:07.done, as Ireland did during the troubles, to derivate from it if
:06:08. > :06:12.they feel it necessary. There will be a range of things they could
:06:13. > :06:15.potentially do. She says that if our human rights laws get in the way, we
:06:16. > :06:27.will change the law. How do you change the human rights of ECA char?
:06:28. > :06:30.As I say, you can have a derivation. -- ECHR. You would have a Human
:06:31. > :06:35.Rights Act that you can potentially amend. She said in the manifesto, we
:06:36. > :06:44.will not repeal or replace. I think the interesting thing, we can talk
:06:45. > :06:48.about process or the substance of what people are having to face up
:06:49. > :06:53.to. But we're talking about someone who was Home Secretary for six
:06:54. > :06:55.years. Two things come from these terrible events in Manchester and
:06:56. > :07:00.London and one is this grey area where you know people are extremists
:07:01. > :07:05.but they have not committed a crime. It is quite clear that the guy who
:07:06. > :07:07.was on the Channel 4 documentary was on the extremes but the authorities
:07:08. > :07:11.felt they couldn't do anything because he had not committed a
:07:12. > :07:14.crime. The Prime Minister made it explicit that that is clearly an
:07:15. > :07:20.area of concern. How do you deal with this when people go right up to
:07:21. > :07:24.the edge of breaking the law? The authorities know that common sense
:07:25. > :07:30.dictates that they are risk. So why did you not seek control orders? The
:07:31. > :07:33.control orders were consistently struck down. So you change the laws
:07:34. > :07:39.to make sure that the course can do that. But these were much softer. We
:07:40. > :07:43.wanted to make sure they were not consistently struck down. There is
:07:44. > :07:47.no point having a tough law if it gets knocked back every time. It is
:07:48. > :07:54.more important to have a law that the courts accept. Was it a mistake
:07:55. > :07:58.to scrap control orders? No. I think you can scrap the concept of control
:07:59. > :08:02.orders and still put controls on people who you think are a danger to
:08:03. > :08:06.the public and you can use it through this new process. It is not
:08:07. > :08:10.necessary because the courts can't overturning them. How many of these
:08:11. > :08:21.not so tough control orders have you had? This is not the traditional
:08:22. > :08:34.survivor, where you test my knowledge. -- traditional ECHR. It
:08:35. > :08:38.is probably like 100. It is not like 100. Having opposed Mr Blair when he
:08:39. > :08:40.wanted a longer time to be able to detain suspects, Theresa May now
:08:41. > :08:49.looks like she wants more detention as well. Well, if you remember Mr
:08:50. > :08:54.Blair... 28 days. He put out a proposal for 48 days. He, my
:08:55. > :08:59.standing coalition, we were reduced to 14 days. So you played coalition
:09:00. > :09:03.politics rather than the security of the country. That was give-and-take
:09:04. > :09:08.on both sides about what people thought were appropriate. Let me
:09:09. > :09:12.give you one final question. Why would longer prison sentences, as
:09:13. > :09:17.Mrs May has called for, why would that deter those, as in Westminster,
:09:18. > :09:22.Manchester and London Bridge, who are on a suicide mission? I think
:09:23. > :09:28.what people are talking about is a range of measures to combat that
:09:29. > :09:31.terrorist threat. But longer prison sentences would make no difference
:09:32. > :09:34.to those people who carried out suicide attacks? It may be that if
:09:35. > :09:40.you are able to look at how you catch people before they commit
:09:41. > :09:44.these crimes, and extend the prosecution, putting them away from
:09:45. > :09:49.longer, it will keep the public sector. I am sure there are hundreds
:09:50. > :09:51.of people who are due to be released and the public would think,
:09:52. > :09:54.actually, that person could still potentially pose a threat and we
:09:55. > :09:57.wish they had been given a longer prison sentence. I think it is
:09:58. > :10:01.possible, perfectly possible to look at a range of different measures to
:10:02. > :10:06.combat terrorism. You want to respond to that? Just to say that
:10:07. > :10:13.look, I was in Belmarsh prison a few weeks ago with some men there that
:10:14. > :10:18.have been put there because of terrorism. And these are seriously
:10:19. > :10:23.bad people. They need to be kept under house arrest. They need to be
:10:24. > :10:27.permanently tanked. We need to control who they can speak to and
:10:28. > :10:33.liaise with. Which was the original control orders. And that was watered
:10:34. > :10:37.down. Would you like to bring this back? I am for it. These are bad
:10:38. > :10:41.people and the need to be controlled. Do you accept that
:10:42. > :10:44.control orders were consistently overturned by the court, it was a
:10:45. > :10:50.unilateral decision. In coalition with the Liberal Democrats you
:10:51. > :10:57.watered down. That is what happened. Let me ask you this, David Lammy.
:10:58. > :11:01.Because it interesting, you say you would like to go back to that
:11:02. > :11:05.control order. But as your leader, Mr Corbyn, has he ever voted for any
:11:06. > :11:12.toughening of the anti-terrorist laws? He hasn't, never. Does that
:11:13. > :11:15.make you uneasy? Well, he wasn't leading the Labour Party at the
:11:16. > :11:20.time. He was speaking from the backbenches. And you will find...
:11:21. > :11:28.Does that matter? Is the man who could be our next Prime Minister and
:11:29. > :11:31.indeed boasted in 2011, quote, I have been involved in opposing
:11:32. > :11:36.anti-terrorist legislation ever since I first went into Parliament
:11:37. > :11:44.in 1983. Theresa May voted against same-sex legislation. She has
:11:45. > :11:47.voted... Lets stick to the anti-terror legislation. The point
:11:48. > :11:52.is, Andrew, of course you can go back in a parliamentary career of 30
:11:53. > :11:56.years. But he never voted once. You could find things in a backbencher's
:11:57. > :12:01.record that do not stand up. I have not denied that he never voted. I am
:12:02. > :12:06.answering your question. Why should we trust the security of this
:12:07. > :12:09.country to someone who is opposed and has opposed every effort to
:12:10. > :12:13.toughen up anti-terrorism legislation? That is a decision for
:12:14. > :12:17.the electorates tomorrow. But what is your answer to my question? We
:12:18. > :12:21.should not be judging him on the basis of that, we should be basing
:12:22. > :12:25.it on what he is saying today. What he's saying today is that it is the
:12:26. > :12:28.Conservatives that watered down control orders and cut the police
:12:29. > :12:33.budgets under Theresa May, that is the government that we have had and
:12:34. > :12:35.is what they stand for. Andrew izzard, at a time when we're
:12:36. > :12:39.probably more dependent on the security services than ever before,
:12:40. > :12:44.who is it that a couple of years ago wanted to abolish MI5? I am not
:12:45. > :12:53.aware of that one. John McDonnell, the number two. I am so unaware of
:12:54. > :12:57.that. He signed a document and indeed there is a picture of him
:12:58. > :13:02.holding this document. He wanted to abolish MI5. So you have a leader
:13:03. > :13:08.who has never supported any toughening of the anti-terrorism
:13:09. > :13:13.situation and a number two, a Shadow Chancellor who wanted to abolish
:13:14. > :13:17.MI5. Well, you're putting that to me and I have never heard of before. I
:13:18. > :13:21.assume if they wanted to do it he wanted to replace it with something
:13:22. > :13:25.else. Well, he also wanted to abolish armed police. All of these
:13:26. > :13:34.individuals were on the backbenches for years. And they are now subject
:13:35. > :13:38.to... It is your responsibility, can I pick up on collective
:13:39. > :13:41.responsibility. Briefly. Are you going to sit here and say to Andrew
:13:42. > :13:45.that the Tories are weak and you want tough control orders? Your
:13:46. > :13:48.Brexit secretary, Kier Starmer, has been touring the studios this
:13:49. > :13:51.morning saying that Theresa May is wrong to question the Human Rights
:13:52. > :13:55.Act yet you are here to say you will bring in tough anti-terrorism is.
:13:56. > :13:58.Nobody believes a word of it because Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell had
:13:59. > :14:06.been sympathetic to terrorism for the last 30 years. But she turned on
:14:07. > :14:09.national insurance, and has you turned on the dementia tax and now
:14:10. > :14:13.she is U-turning on this. How can you trust someone who you turns like
:14:14. > :14:17.that? But we're talking about security, the security of the
:14:18. > :14:21.nation, and we're talking about lives. We're talking about an
:14:22. > :14:26.election campaign which has seen two terrorist attacks during the
:14:27. > :14:33.campaign itself. Is it a disadvantage that your leader seems
:14:34. > :14:38.to be addressing lots of meetings over the years of people who are
:14:39. > :14:43.extremists, Islamist, anti-Semites, homophobes, misogynists. He has
:14:44. > :14:49.addressed these various groups. This latest one, there is a group in the
:14:50. > :14:56.audience shouting, gas the dues, gas Tel Aviv, and he is addressing that
:14:57. > :15:00.group. Does that not concern you? I find that deeply offensive. Any
:15:01. > :15:08.suggestion of gassing Tel Aviv or anything that is about attacking our
:15:09. > :15:13.friends in Israel, I think is full. But what I would say is that on a
:15:14. > :15:17.programme like this, at the end of the election, no offence, you have
:15:18. > :15:25.spent the last few minutes on the past. How else to judge you? How
:15:26. > :15:28.else can I judge you? I have to judge you by your record. I expect
:15:29. > :15:32.that the manifesto and going forward, the Conservative record is
:15:33. > :15:36.a regular government of cutting police, watering down control
:15:37. > :15:39.orders, and ending the preventer gender. That is their record and you
:15:40. > :15:43.are talking about backbenchers in the past.
:15:44. > :15:46.The viewers and voters will determine.
:15:47. > :15:49.Let's find out how the parties are spending the final
:15:50. > :15:51.day of this campaign. Adam Fleming has all the details.
:15:52. > :15:58.I'm spending the last few hours of the Daily Politics at Westminster on
:15:59. > :16:03.College Green, which has been turned into a tented media for the media to
:16:04. > :16:09.cover the elections. I got in trouble with CNN for photo bombing
:16:10. > :16:13.them. Hello, world. That is the BBC sport up there. I hope you have a
:16:14. > :16:19.head for heights. It is windy as well. I am sure it will be an
:16:20. > :16:22.enjoyable watch. As is customary, the last 24 hour sees party leaders
:16:23. > :16:26.running around like headless chickens, but it is a carefully
:16:27. > :16:31.choreographed dash for votes. Here is what has happened this morning.
:16:32. > :16:37.Ridiculously early o'clock and the PM was taking the phrase meet and
:16:38. > :16:43.greet literally by visiting Smithfield market. Obviously not
:16:44. > :16:53.courting of Eden vote, then. Listen carefully and you can hear a handful
:16:54. > :16:56.of butchers booing. BOOING Lib Dem leader Tim Farron was in
:16:57. > :17:04.Solihull to continue his cooking Tour of Britain. He whipped up
:17:05. > :17:12.sausages with sauerkraut as a warning against what he calls a hard
:17:13. > :17:17.Tory breakfast... I mean, Brexit. In Glasgow, the Labour leader held
:17:18. > :17:20.the first of six rallies today. Behind the scenes, shadow police Mr
:17:21. > :17:27.Lyn Brown took over from the Shadow Home Secretary Diane Abbott, who is
:17:28. > :17:30.still ill. Actually, Jeremy has been sounding a bit cranky lately. They
:17:31. > :17:37.claimed my voice was bad. Outrageous. My voice is... Fine! Mrs
:17:38. > :17:41.May was at a bowling club in Southampton fresh from revelations
:17:42. > :17:46.that he ran through wheat fields as a child. We learned another personal
:17:47. > :17:53.gem about the PM. Her teen order. Cup of tea, no milk. Thanks for
:17:54. > :17:58.coming out. Something stronger for Tim Farron, by this point, he was in
:17:59. > :18:03.a pub in St Albans to talk about business rates.
:18:04. > :18:10.Poor muscle to Ukip's message to Great Yarmouth. They love a market,
:18:11. > :18:15.these politicians. Mr Corbyn and his press entourage have just arrived
:18:16. > :18:18.for a speech in a field in Runcorn. As we speak, Caroline Lucas is in
:18:19. > :18:26.the green spot of Brighton. Theresa May has touched down in Norfolk in
:18:27. > :18:29.the last dash for votes. The dash will continue over lunch
:18:30. > :18:33.time this afternoon and into deceiving. Theresa May is going
:18:34. > :18:39.North Norfolk to the Midlands. The Lib Dems are going West to Oxford
:18:40. > :18:47.and Bristol. That is where Jonathan Bartley will be. At midnight, the
:18:48. > :18:54.only thing that will be blowing through here is the Tumbleweed,
:18:55. > :18:57.because we will all be legally silent on polling day until 10pm
:18:58. > :19:02.when we get the exit poll. Thanks, Adam. Legally silent for 24 hours or
:19:03. > :19:05.less, enjoy it. Now, compared to the 2015
:19:06. > :19:08.election, when the deficit There's been relatively little
:19:09. > :19:15.discussion of the public finances That's not because the deficit has
:19:16. > :19:20.disappeared, it's still there, although a third of the size
:19:21. > :19:23.of what it was in 2010. So we thought we'd remind
:19:24. > :19:26.you of where the two main parties stand when it comes to the economy,
:19:27. > :19:29.and how they plan to balance The Conservatives have
:19:30. > :19:32.said their plan is to eliminate the budget deficit by 2025,
:19:33. > :19:35.10 years on from their They've ruled out a rise in VAT,
:19:36. > :19:39.but have made no specific pledges on national insurance contributions
:19:40. > :19:43.or the rate of income tax. They will, however, go ahead
:19:44. > :19:47.with their planned tax cuts by increasing the personal tax
:19:48. > :19:49.allowance and the higher While also fulfilling a previous
:19:50. > :19:59.pledge to cut corporation tax on businesses to 17% by 2020,
:20:00. > :20:01.making it the lowest rate Labour's plan is to spend ?25
:20:02. > :20:10.billion a year on infrastructure, a policy that could boost growth
:20:11. > :20:13.in the short term but would add They've gone further
:20:14. > :20:19.than the Conservatives in promising no increases in national insurance
:20:20. > :20:25.as well as no rise in VAT. But they do plan to reintroduce
:20:26. > :20:28.the 50p tax rate and raise income As well as increasing
:20:29. > :20:34.the corporation tax rate Both parties have also said they'll
:20:35. > :20:42.be looking at changes to other major The Conservatives are promising
:20:43. > :20:50.a review of business rates, to take better account
:20:51. > :20:53.of online businesses. Although the party's previous
:20:54. > :20:55.attempts to reform business rates While Labour is courting
:20:56. > :21:04.controversy of its own, it's promising a review of council
:21:05. > :21:06.tax and business rates, and suggests instead
:21:07. > :21:19.a tax on the value of the land. Let's pick up on the last idea.
:21:20. > :21:23.David Lammy, a land value tax to replace council tax and business
:21:24. > :21:32.rates, do you approve of that? Actually, in the book I wrote after
:21:33. > :21:37.the 2010 election, I refloated the idea of a land value tax the two
:21:38. > :21:41.reasons. One, because at the moment we have council tax, which is
:21:42. > :21:48.effectively our tax on property. It has not been revalued since 1991. I
:21:49. > :21:52.think that is grossly unfair. Two, because here, if you are serious
:21:53. > :21:57.about the North and south divide, here in the south of England,
:21:58. > :22:03.effectively, there are people making more on their home in a year than
:22:04. > :22:07.people get paid. If you are able to play the lottery of land, and that
:22:08. > :22:12.is the case for those of us of a certain age who bought property
:22:13. > :22:17.20-30 years ago, or those who inherit from their parents, you can
:22:18. > :22:24.make huge gains. For that reason, it is right to look at land. You can
:22:25. > :22:33.redistribute money in a different way. We need a better formula for
:22:34. > :22:38.taxing those individuals. Right, but it could mean that ordinary people
:22:39. > :22:41.in not very expensive homes, particularly in London and the
:22:42. > :22:46.south-east, could pay a lot more. We have had no details about this land
:22:47. > :22:51.value tax and how it will be calibrated. But assuming it will be
:22:52. > :22:55.small, 2% or 3%, you can end up paying two or three times as much
:22:56. > :23:01.per year as you currently do on council tax. It about fairness. In a
:23:02. > :23:05.sense, are we going to stick with the council tax where the bands have
:23:06. > :23:09.not been relived at the 26 years, or should we consult looking at
:23:10. > :23:15.something different? I think the manifesto Sibley says let's have a
:23:16. > :23:19.look. I understand that. But any calculation I have seen involving
:23:20. > :23:26.people whose council tax at the moment may be ?1000 a year, ?1200,
:23:27. > :23:32.under this formula, even on modest land value taxation assumptions, it
:23:33. > :23:38.goes up to two, three, 4000 a year for ordinary families. My view is
:23:39. > :23:42.the current system is unfair on young people. It's an unfair on
:23:43. > :23:48.people beyond London and the south-east. Would it be fair to
:23:49. > :23:52.increase a very generous... To double or triple their local taxes,
:23:53. > :23:58.would that be fair? I don't recognise that. You haven't done the
:23:59. > :24:03.work. Come on, the burden of this will fall on some very rich people
:24:04. > :24:10.in London. The burden will fall on everybody. That's how it works.
:24:11. > :24:14.Unless you read. I was in Yorkshire yesterday, how did they end up
:24:15. > :24:20.paying more out of this scheme? -- unless you rent. Particularly in the
:24:21. > :24:24.London and south-east area, they would pay more, including your
:24:25. > :24:32.constituents. Not my constituency! Of course they would. Most of my
:24:33. > :24:36.constituents are in private rented or council homes. Not my
:24:37. > :24:40.constituents at all. If you want to redistribute wealth to the north and
:24:41. > :24:48.rebalance the economy, London... All right. We need to look at this, of
:24:49. > :24:53.course we do! Where's the Chancellor? He's a lot more visible
:24:54. > :25:00.than John McDonnell, I can tell you that! I think I read on a website
:25:01. > :25:03.today that he has got the third most mentions in the media after Amber
:25:04. > :25:07.Rudd and Boris Johnson. That is because people like me asking where
:25:08. > :25:13.he is. Busy missing the election? I follow him on Twitter. You should
:25:14. > :25:18.follow him on Twitter. He has been in a lot of Labour seats. Why is he
:25:19. > :25:21.excluded from the National campaign? He has been prominent. He likes to
:25:22. > :25:28.pound the pavements. He's the Chancellor. Why have you not fought
:25:29. > :25:33.this campaign in any way on your economic record? That is a fair
:25:34. > :25:38.point. I wish we had talked about our economic record. We have created
:25:39. > :25:45.3 million jobs. We have reduced tax the 31 million people. Are you
:25:46. > :25:48.ashamed of it? We have cut the deficit by two thirds. We have a
:25:49. > :25:54.fantastic record. Why no mention of it? I don't remember Mrs made making
:25:55. > :26:00.a speech about it? The election takes on a life of its own. Also,
:26:01. > :26:03.not of the theme when we started the election was about Brexit and other
:26:04. > :26:08.issues have taken over. Not the economy. We haven't talked enough
:26:09. > :26:15.about the land value tax. We have done that. Can you remember a
:26:16. > :26:21.previous campaign in which the Conservatives, all parties, made so
:26:22. > :26:26.little about the economy? Well, I have been campaigning since probably
:26:27. > :26:33.the 1987 election. I don't remember all campaigns. Somebody said to me
:26:34. > :26:39.last night, in 1992, just as you would engulf the Tory party, Europe
:26:40. > :26:44.did not feature in the election campaign. The economy has always
:26:45. > :26:48.been central. People are obsessed about it, but you have given me the
:26:49. > :26:53.opportunity to talk about our economic record, for which I am
:26:54. > :26:57.grateful. On the labour policy, this extra 50 billion a year of current
:26:58. > :27:01.spending, I put aside what you would borrow to invest as well, but on
:27:02. > :27:09.current spending, 50 billion, and it will come, you say you will raise it
:27:10. > :27:14.from companies and the rich, or at least the much better off. The ISS
:27:15. > :27:23.is clear, it says "You cannot raise that amount of money for only
:27:24. > :27:28.countries and the rich." It is not quite 50 billion, that is the first
:27:29. > :27:34.thing. Let's get the figure right. There are some on Costa promises as
:27:35. > :27:39.well. 50 billion is a nice, round figure. You cannot raise that from
:27:40. > :27:47.countries and the bridge alone. "It Doesn't add up stock" that is what
:27:48. > :27:51.the ISS says. We have been very clear that we want to see a
:27:52. > :27:58.corporation tax rise to 26% and not 19%. That is corporations. You won't
:27:59. > :28:04.get that amount of money. We think there should be writers for those on
:28:05. > :28:10.80,000 a year. We should return to a 50p income tax rate for very high
:28:11. > :28:22.earners. We think... You can't raise that amount of money. What... What
:28:23. > :28:29.if you don't? What if... You borrow more that is a decision for a
:28:30. > :28:32.Chancellor, as you know that may be one of the reasons you haven't
:28:33. > :28:34.talked too much about the economy is what has happened to public sector
:28:35. > :28:38.pay. It is at its lowest in relation to
:28:39. > :28:40.private sector pay since the government started collecting data.
:28:41. > :28:51.It looks pretty bad stop it looks like public sector workers
:28:52. > :28:57.are still feeling the pinch and bearing the brunt. Not only have we
:28:58. > :29:00.created 3 million jobs, we have taken a lot of people completely out
:29:01. > :29:04.of tax, raising the tax threshold for people on low incomes and
:29:05. > :29:08.introduced the national minimum wage. And squeezed public sector
:29:09. > :29:13.pay. There have been a lot of initiatives to help people on lower
:29:14. > :29:17.pay. I think our economic record stands for itself. One reason we
:29:18. > :29:20.haven't talked about it, we did take a leaf out of David Lammy's book and
:29:21. > :29:28.we look into the future, like Brexit, the choice between Theresa
:29:29. > :29:36.May and Jeremy Corbin. We need to move on.
:29:37. > :29:41.Today we will take stock of the campaigns one and of April. Let's
:29:42. > :29:46.begin with the highlights and not so highlights.
:29:47. > :29:49.I have just chaired a meeting of the Cabinet where we agreed
:29:50. > :29:52.that the government should call a general election.
:29:53. > :29:57.I'll be talking about... Strong and stable leadership?
:29:58. > :30:03.There is a reason to talking about strong and stable leadership.
:30:04. > :30:09.There is a risk that people will kind of say,
:30:10. > :30:11."Well, he's just an Islingtonian herbivore,
:30:12. > :30:36.The manifesto to see us through Brexit and beyond.
:30:37. > :30:48.Four days ago, your manifesto rejected a cap on social care costs.
:30:49. > :30:50.Nothing has changed from the prinicples on social care
:30:51. > :30:52.policy that we set out in our manifesto.
:30:53. > :30:54.Let's be clear, we have not changed the principles that we set
:30:55. > :31:05.He has this money tree wish list in his manifesto.
:31:06. > :31:08.There isn't a magic money tree that we can shake that suddenly
:31:09. > :31:10.provides for everything that people want.
:31:11. > :31:12.When it comes to taking on extremism and terrorism,
:31:13. > :31:16.We have protected counterterrorism policing budgets.
:31:17. > :31:18.The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Theresa May.
:31:19. > :31:40.During this Tory campaign have been a number of U-turns. The act of
:31:41. > :31:44.holding a election was a U-turn, because we were told were not going
:31:45. > :31:47.have one. Now it is the wider Conservative brand, and we have seen
:31:48. > :31:55.a U-turn on some terrorism issues as well. Where is strong and stable?
:31:56. > :31:59.I'm not sure I would characterise that as a U-turn. I don't know why
:32:00. > :32:03.you were saying there should be a U-turn on terrorism legislation. We
:32:04. > :32:08.have talked about that at length. Because you were talking about
:32:09. > :32:10.detention, and you are talking... The prime ministers perfectly
:32:11. > :32:15.entitled to talk about what we need to do to make our country safer.
:32:16. > :32:19.That is what the country would expect. In terms of social care, we
:32:20. > :32:23.made it very clear that we would have a cap in the sense that you
:32:24. > :32:27.would be able to keep ?100,000 of savings. It was interesting to hear
:32:28. > :32:30.David Lammy, who presumably has been running around for the last few
:32:31. > :32:35.weeks saying that it is a disgrace that your house is being taken into
:32:36. > :32:41.account. Well, your house is not taken into account when you are
:32:42. > :32:45.alive, and he is interested in a land tax. Actually, I have been
:32:46. > :32:50.saying that this is a woman who will negotiate for Europe and she has now
:32:51. > :32:59.U-turn to three times in a week. How will she stand up to 2017? Your
:33:00. > :33:06.proposals, the dimension tax, she U-turns on that. It is weakness. --
:33:07. > :33:10.the dementia tax. No doubt many people will express on Twitter that
:33:11. > :33:13.they dislike this kind of exchange between politicians. You might say
:33:14. > :33:18.that they are U-turns but the fact is that Theresa May, in our
:33:19. > :33:21.manifesto, put forward some challenging policies on issues like
:33:22. > :33:28.social care and the Winter fuel payments. And she has been attacked
:33:29. > :33:32.on those challenging policies, and she is facing up to them and putting
:33:33. > :33:36.them to the country, whereas Labour are simply offering an endless list
:33:37. > :33:42.of freebies, paid for on the never-never? If that is true, why
:33:43. > :33:47.did you started this campaign 20 points ahead of the polls and are
:33:48. > :33:53.now in some neck and neck. What has gone right? I'm going to answer it
:33:54. > :33:56.in my inevitable question. The other thing that puts people off
:33:57. > :34:01.politicians is when they say the only thing that matters is the
:34:02. > :34:04.polls. And I have to say that in this case, I have never felt it
:34:05. > :34:09.more. Because the polling is all over the place and it is not what is
:34:10. > :34:12.happening on the ground. If the polling was so good, David Lammy
:34:13. > :34:16.would not have spent yesterday in Yorkshire at three marginal Labour
:34:17. > :34:19.seats. He would have spent them at three Tory marginal seats if they
:34:20. > :34:24.thought Labour could win. We know what is happening on the ground.
:34:25. > :34:33.There are going to be a lot of eggs on a lot of pollster's faces. Have
:34:34. > :34:38.you ever seen a more poor Tory campaign? We can talk about the
:34:39. > :34:42.wobble in 1986. This is not a wobble, this is a loss of a lead. I
:34:43. > :34:47.think the great Sunday times, 30 years later we still talk about an
:34:48. > :34:51.election wobble. Let's not beat about the bush, we start as the
:34:52. > :34:54.favourites in this campaign, and I think the media have done a good job
:34:55. > :34:59.of making it look like it is going to be a close election. The media
:35:00. > :35:04.has done that? Given the issues that we have talked about in terms of
:35:05. > :35:10.Jeremy Corbyn's fitness for office, his constant sucking up to terrorist
:35:11. > :35:13.organisations... But the bigger government in this campaign, first
:35:14. > :35:17.of all Mr Corbyn now looks like he is enjoying this election, and not
:35:18. > :35:21.desperate for it to end, actually. He is enjoying it. Mrs May looks
:35:22. > :35:27.like she can't wait to get over it and to bring it to an end. It has
:35:28. > :35:33.been like a form of Chinese water torture for. I should not be
:35:34. > :35:37.laughing... But it is intensely subjective, that analysis. I cannot
:35:38. > :35:44.possibly answer it, given that is your view of what Theresa May has
:35:45. > :35:47.been feeling. But her personal ratings were stratospheric and they
:35:48. > :35:51.now have come way down. You get this line trotted out that she will not
:35:52. > :35:54.answer questions. She has travelled five times more than Jeremy Corbyn,
:35:55. > :35:59.and in five or six times more questions from the media. She has
:36:00. > :36:04.been all over the country and the great thing about, she has been to
:36:05. > :36:08.Labour marginals that we hope to take. Jeremy Corbyn has stuck to his
:36:09. > :36:12.heartlands and he will not get out of the heartlands to face Tory
:36:13. > :36:16.voters to win them over. But yes no, do you regret calling this election
:36:17. > :36:21.close? I did not collared close. Elections are hard work. But I am
:36:22. > :36:27.glad and I think we will come back with a stronger mandate. We shall
:36:28. > :36:32.see. In about 36 hours. Anyway, that was the Conservatives.
:36:33. > :36:37.It's the establishment versus the people.
:36:38. > :36:46.It's our historic duty to make sure that people prevail.
:36:47. > :36:50.How much would 10,000 police officers cost?
:36:51. > :36:52.We believe it will be about ?300,000.
:36:53. > :37:04.Mr Lavery, Mr Green, where is Mr Corbyn?
:37:05. > :37:07.Our manifesto will be an offer, and we believe the policies
:37:08. > :37:18.Why would the British people want as their leader a man
:37:19. > :37:22.I didn't support the IRA, I don't support the IRA.
:37:23. > :37:26.Do you regret your support for the IRA back in the 80s?
:37:27. > :37:31.That particular quote you are referring to comes
:37:32. > :37:36.from a now defunct left newspaper, and it had, as well...
:37:37. > :37:44.Fair is when you bring people in when they've got jobs to come
:37:45. > :37:47.to or it is necessary for them to come to workhere, or we need them
:37:48. > :37:56.Whether the community gets together to support everybody,
:37:57. > :37:59.or we just let the rich get richer, and the rest suffer.
:38:00. > :38:06.I'll give you the figure in a moment.
:38:07. > :38:11.You've announced a major policy and you don't know
:38:12. > :38:28.David Lammy, Jeremy Corbyn couldn't recall the cost of his childcare
:38:29. > :38:33.policy on the day he was launching it. John McDonnell, the Shadow
:38:34. > :38:36.Chancellor, didn't know the size of the budget deficit and Diane Abbott
:38:37. > :38:41.didn't know the cost of extra police officers promised in the manifesto,
:38:42. > :38:44.nor the contents of the report on London policing, although she is a
:38:45. > :38:49.London MP like you. Is your leadership up to running the
:38:50. > :38:56.country? In every election cycle there are moments when quizzed about
:38:57. > :39:01.particular figures in a certain way, you haven't quite got the numbers. I
:39:02. > :39:05.remember in the last campaign that was a real problem for Natalie
:39:06. > :39:10.Bennett, running for the greens, on housing. Things come up. I remember
:39:11. > :39:15.being the first person on the news after John Prescott punched
:39:16. > :39:19.somebody. Natalie Bennett was never going to be Prime Minister. All
:39:20. > :39:23.these things come up. Mr Corbyn couldn't remember childcare on the
:39:24. > :39:31.day he was launching the policy. Look, come on, I think in the end a
:39:32. > :39:33.lot of people went into this election is almost assuming that
:39:34. > :39:38.Jeremy Corbyn would be running scared. He has had a fantastic
:39:39. > :39:43.campaign because he is a great campaigner, and as you have just
:39:44. > :39:47.said, he is relishing it and the polls have closed as a consequence.
:39:48. > :39:51.But what I asked was whether, not as campaigning abilities, which I agree
:39:52. > :39:57.with you, have strengthened as the election has gone on, what I asked
:39:58. > :40:00.was whether he, Mr McDonnell and Diane Abbott were competent enough
:40:01. > :40:07.to run the country? Of course they are. We were worried at the point at
:40:08. > :40:11.which there was a leak of our manifesto, and we got a bounce as a
:40:12. > :40:15.consequence because it is a great manifesto. And actually, when you
:40:16. > :40:20.knock on doors, people know the policies. They like what they are
:40:21. > :40:23.hearing. About income tax. But if you are about to be the Shadow Home
:40:24. > :40:30.Secretary, and do we know how Diane Abbott is? I sent her a message this
:40:31. > :40:36.morning but I have not heard back. We know she is not well. But we do
:40:37. > :40:40.not know how is. On the basis that she would be the next Home
:40:41. > :40:45.Secretary, proposing 20,000 extra police officers, surely it is basic
:40:46. > :40:49.competence to know what that would cost? Look, we're going back over
:40:50. > :40:54.old ground. But it is the election, we are talking about the election
:40:55. > :41:02.campaign! That is the point of the statement! It is about the election
:41:03. > :41:06.campaign! He has given up now. It is not about Gladstone versus Disraeli,
:41:07. > :41:14.it is about carbon versus Theresa May! -- Jeremy Corbyn versus Theresa
:41:15. > :41:18.May. She got one interview wrong. The press has been mercilessly she
:41:19. > :41:23.then got another one wrong on the Harris report. The press has been
:41:24. > :41:28.mercilessly. But it is the whole thrust of our campaign, which is a
:41:29. > :41:31.great manifesto on any analysis, traction in the country and the poll
:41:32. > :41:38.closing. That is the story. Let me ask you this, it has been
:41:39. > :41:41.interesting because you can often tell where parties hope to do well
:41:42. > :41:45.by where the leaders and the other top people in that party go. And the
:41:46. > :41:48.Tories have been going to lots of seats that years ago they would not
:41:49. > :41:52.have had a hope of winning in the Midlands or the North. They must now
:41:53. > :41:59.think they have, but your leader has essentially gone to areas which are
:42:00. > :42:05.already solid Labour areas. What does that tell us? Look, I think
:42:06. > :42:12.there is another story in this election. He is going over old
:42:13. > :42:16.ground. There is another story, and that is returned to party politics.
:42:17. > :42:23.It is the case that there are people who voted Ukip and those Ukip voters
:42:24. > :42:28.are up for grabs, and are returning to mainstream parties. So of course
:42:29. > :42:35.the Labour Party is in those areas persuading those voters to come back
:42:36. > :42:44.to Labour. But you tended to go to seats where, not you personally but
:42:45. > :42:47.your party leader, where Mr Corbyn, even if the Ukip vote collapsed to
:42:48. > :42:55.the Tories, the Tories would still not win. Gateshead, last night. We
:42:56. > :43:00.have been all over the country. Jeremy has been all over the
:43:01. > :43:04.country, permanently on the road. And Diane Abbott, if you were
:43:05. > :43:08.watching, we wish you a speedy recovery and we hope that illness
:43:09. > :43:12.goes away very quickly. Making predictions the day before a general
:43:13. > :43:13.election is a mugs game that year on the daily Latics, we are well-known
:43:14. > :43:34.for her remarks. What are the bookies thinking? After
:43:35. > :43:40.seven weeks of campaigning, the big question is are the Tories going to
:43:41. > :43:45.fail at the final hurdles? They are 1-10 favourites for most tomorrow
:43:46. > :43:50.but a month ago, it would have been a short as 1-50. The momentum has
:43:51. > :43:55.certainly been with Jeremy Corbyn, and Labour is now in at 6-1.
:43:56. > :44:00.Yesterday, customer placed a bet of ?1000 at 1000-1 on the greens
:44:01. > :44:03.winning most seats. Good luck to that chap because I was not aware
:44:04. > :44:06.that pigs could fly but the Tories are still the favourites here and
:44:07. > :44:12.they have been the favourites for most votes. That is gone 21-6. But
:44:13. > :44:15.the big move in the last few days comes with the thinking that there
:44:16. > :44:21.will be a hung parliament. That is now just a 9-2 shot for an overall
:44:22. > :44:25.majority. Labour, still a very big price to get that majority and get
:44:26. > :44:29.over the line. But the Prime Minister, on the 1st of July, if
:44:30. > :44:32.there is a hung parliament, punters think that Theresa May could be in
:44:33. > :44:36.there but will she be in a better position than she was at the start
:44:37. > :44:42.of April before she called this snap election? We still think she is the
:44:43. > :44:46.favourite, but Jeremy Corbyn, over 70% of the bets have been for him. A
:44:47. > :44:51.lot of punters are thinking that Theresa May might have to stand
:44:52. > :44:55.down, having called this, and they might win not as convincingly as
:44:56. > :45:00.they thought they would, so Amber Rudd has come into 200-1, after her
:45:01. > :45:07.performance in the debates. Boris Johnson, someone had ?2000 on him in
:45:08. > :45:11.a shop at Chelsea. I cannot see that happening. I think you need somebody
:45:12. > :45:15.more strong and stable, you could say. Hammond is in there as 50-1 but
:45:16. > :45:20.it is all going towards the Tories as we get into the final 24 hours.
:45:21. > :45:25.That money is coming out but it is worth noting that there is a deja vu
:45:26. > :45:30.scenario, similar to Brexit and the US election, in that there is more
:45:31. > :45:32.money going on the favourites but more individual money going on the
:45:33. > :45:36.outsiders. Time will tell tomorrow there is right. The bookies, the
:45:37. > :45:42.statisticians, the pollsters, who knows? But we reckon the Tories.
:45:43. > :45:52.You have odds of 2-9 for a Conservative majority, you need ?9
:45:53. > :45:56.on two win ?2. Correct. What are the odds of a Tory majority north of 80,
:45:57. > :46:03.which was the original hope of calling the election? The line is
:46:04. > :46:11.set at Bet365. Our stats at the moment suggest Theresa May will get
:46:12. > :46:19.a majority of 70. Those odds have come in right now. Our line at the
:46:20. > :46:22.moment is Tory in their seat at 360. There will be people not too happy.
:46:23. > :46:25.So that's the bookies' view, but what of the opinion polls?
:46:26. > :46:30.Well, one firm, Survation, said on Monday it believed
:46:31. > :46:33.the Conservative lead over Labour is down to just one point.
:46:34. > :46:35.Other polling firms still think the Tories are as much
:46:36. > :46:38.We're joined now by Damien Lyons-Lowe from Survation,
:46:39. > :46:42.and Deborah Mattinson from Britain Thinks.
:46:43. > :46:53.Welcome to you both. Your latest poll predict a 1-point lead for the
:46:54. > :46:57.Conservatives. Some of us remember at the start of the campaign, some
:46:58. > :47:02.polls were over 20 points. One point would mean a hung parliament, and
:47:03. > :47:07.the Tories losing the majority, wouldn't it? It would mean using our
:47:08. > :47:14.most recent Scotland figures from the Sunday Post, plugging those into
:47:15. > :47:18.a Scotland predictor, and plugging, doing a simple national swing and a
:47:19. > :47:27.future weeks, nothing too special. There would be a no overall majority
:47:28. > :47:34.situation. So the answer is, yes. That's a yes. I was giving you my
:47:35. > :47:42.working, so yes, hung parliament. We got there in the end. I was
:47:43. > :47:43.beginning to lose the will to live. I'm a massive outlier here, I will
:47:44. > :48:01.be the most wrong or the most right. Translations will follow. Yes.
:48:02. > :48:07.Debra, to you, do you agree with this Survation poll, is it an
:48:08. > :48:16.outlier or mainstream? It is an outlier. In a word, no. I don't
:48:17. > :48:21.think so. Because? I think that what Survation has done is interesting.
:48:22. > :48:27.Damien shows his working on his website, but I think there is a big
:48:28. > :48:34.presumption about turnout, about young people, there is a danger that
:48:35. > :48:38.his sample includes too many workers too highly engaged in politics. Also
:48:39. > :48:44.the fieldwork, am I right, it was before Saturday night? Friday and
:48:45. > :48:50.Saturday. You have got another one coming up? We do. When is that
:48:51. > :48:57.coming up? What day is it today? Have I got to tell you which day it
:48:58. > :49:02.is? It is a really reliable poll. It is complicated and it is Wednesday.
:49:03. > :49:09.It is coming out at 11pm tonight. Good, I am glad we got there, too.
:49:10. > :49:18.On the 1%, what turned out among younger people are you assuming? In
:49:19. > :49:23.the post on Survation .com, you can give a 2015 assumption of turnout,
:49:24. > :49:30.and the results don't change. You can use a 2015 assumption turnout,
:49:31. > :49:34.it makes two points difference. By Micro age category, you can use, if
:49:35. > :49:44.you like, and EU referendum turnout by it. Turnout went up by a lot. It
:49:45. > :49:52.did. In 2015, the turnout was 46% among 18-24s. What are you assuming
:49:53. > :49:55.it will be this time? I read the article and let people do whatever
:49:56. > :50:01.they want to do. What it doesn't change our figures.
:50:02. > :50:13.OK, I can talk about this the days, we all have the same numbers. All
:50:14. > :50:22.the pollsters have the same numbers, except their turnout weights are
:50:23. > :50:29.jamming up... OK. I am not sure I entirely followed it. But I do think
:50:30. > :50:34.that is an issue. The voting age when thing is an issue with the
:50:35. > :50:38.sample as well. It is a random sample, there is no issue with
:50:39. > :50:43.engagement. We start with a random sample. You have 1.2% saying they
:50:44. > :50:48.did not vote in last year's referendum, and a further 10.6
:50:49. > :50:59.saying they can't remember. Only 12.5% saying they did not vote in
:51:00. > :51:04.2015. That's... In your sample, suggesting to me... Let me ask you
:51:05. > :51:12.this before we get lost in these statistics, let me ask you this, why
:51:13. > :51:17.is there such a disconnect between what party activists on the left and
:51:18. > :51:22.right are reporting from the Midlands and the north, and the
:51:23. > :51:25.opinion polls? Including labour, they are more gloomy about Labour
:51:26. > :51:32.than the polls, which are rather good for them. Two things, one is
:51:33. > :51:36.small data, rather than big data. I would say this, wouldn't I, but I
:51:37. > :51:40.think small data gives you a nuance that you don't get out the big data.
:51:41. > :51:44.It is also how votes are distributed. Even if young people
:51:45. > :51:49.vote, they vote in places that aren't helpful to Labour. Because
:51:50. > :51:56.they are already going to win? Exactly. We are running out of time.
:51:57. > :52:00.We want to have you both about when we know the result, but what you
:52:01. > :52:06.think the result will be? A comfortable win for the
:52:07. > :52:11.Conservatives. We will update the Poulton, but no overall majority.
:52:12. > :52:15.Got you. Only one of you can be right. We will see.
:52:16. > :52:18.It might have felt at times during this election that two-party
:52:19. > :52:20.politics was making a comeback, but there are of course
:52:21. > :52:23.plenty of other parties out their still vying for your vote,
:52:24. > :52:26.and they could yet make an impact on the result.
:52:27. > :52:40.Here's how they've fared during the campaign.
:52:41. > :52:45.I voted Leave, and I'm proud to have voted Leave.
:52:46. > :52:53.You're a very aggressive man as well.
:52:54. > :52:59.Sometimes in politics, the tide comes in, the tide goes out.
:53:00. > :53:06.Do you need more workers from outside Wales?
:53:07. > :53:10.We're quite happy with the ones we've got.
:53:11. > :53:12.The Prime Minister is not here tonight.
:53:13. > :53:14.She can't be bothered, so why should you?
:53:15. > :53:21.In fact, Bake Off is on BBC Two, next.
:53:22. > :53:23.In terms of what we do to President Trump,
:53:24. > :53:25.I'm trying to think of a polite answer.
:53:26. > :53:28.Amber, for example, her party have said in three manifesto is now that
:53:29. > :53:31.they're going to get immigration down to the tens of thousands.
:53:32. > :53:46.This PM is not so much the iron Lady than she is the Queen of the U-turn.
:53:47. > :53:50.People don't want political party leaders telling them what is and
:53:51. > :53:53.isn't sin. The most embarrassing thing you've
:53:54. > :53:55.done when you were drunk? This isn't terribly embarrassing,
:53:56. > :53:58.I'm sorry, but I'm very bad at recognising people,
:53:59. > :53:59.and that probably gets worse. I've tried to get you to
:54:00. > :54:03.answer the question... That's exactly
:54:04. > :54:13.what I'm doing, Andrew. A flavour of the campaign for some
:54:14. > :54:17.of the smaller parties. We have seen a tweet from Diane Abbott touched by
:54:18. > :54:22.the messages of support, still standing. Will rejoin the fray soon.
:54:23. > :54:25.Vote Labour. Of course, other parties are available.
:54:26. > :54:29.At the Daily Politics we're greeting it with a mix of
:54:30. > :54:31.child-like excitement and world-weary exhaustion.
:54:32. > :54:34.Well someone who never tires of the political
:54:35. > :54:36.treadmill is our Ellie, here's her guide to how
:54:37. > :54:49.By 9:55, you need to be ready to go depending on how you spend election.
:54:50. > :54:55.That is when the BBC programmes stop. When the polls close at ten,
:54:56. > :55:00.we get the exit poll. The first result, usually Sunderland, will
:55:01. > :55:05.race in by 10:45, but it will be quiet until 1am, when we should have
:55:06. > :55:11.around a dozen results. They should give us a good idea if the exit poll
:55:12. > :55:15.is right or not. It's also when some of the results
:55:16. > :55:19.will come in for the Labour held marginals. If the Conservatives win
:55:20. > :55:25.these, it could be an indication that Theresa May is on course to
:55:26. > :55:30.pull in a substantial majority. From 2am onwards, results from Scotland
:55:31. > :55:34.come in. At any party staged a comeback against the assembly? We
:55:35. > :55:37.will also start to see the first Conservative held marginals around
:55:38. > :55:42.then, too. If the Conservatives can't hold onto these, kid it could
:55:43. > :55:47.be a sign they are losing their majority.
:55:48. > :55:57.Around 3am, we should be in full swing, results coming in at quite a
:55:58. > :56:01.pace. By 5am, we should find out whether Paul Nuttall has been
:56:02. > :56:09.successful in his bid to become a Ukip MP. And by 6am, whether the
:56:10. > :56:15.Greens's Caroline Lucas has held the seat. It could be a long night.
:56:16. > :56:20.Now of course, there's only one place to watch
:56:21. > :56:22.election night unfold, and that's on BBC One
:56:23. > :56:24.from the moment the polls close at 10 o'clock.
:56:25. > :56:33.Emily Maitlis is at the BBC's Election Centre.
:56:34. > :56:40.Another big build up to the exit poll tomorrow night. Absolutely
:56:41. > :56:48.right. I will give you a guided tour of the studio to start. Down below,
:56:49. > :56:57.David Dimbleby will be at the main table, and you can see some of our
:56:58. > :57:00.commentators, let's call them, that's the big screen where you will
:57:01. > :57:06.see the exit poll come up bang on 10pm. We have been playing around
:57:07. > :57:09.with predictions and scenarios in the rehearsals. This is my touch
:57:10. > :57:13.screen. That is the place to be on the night. I will bring you every
:57:14. > :57:18.was old, trying to work out from the exit poll the kind of forecasts and
:57:19. > :57:24.seats that might be changing hands. Down here, I don't know if you can
:57:25. > :57:27.get down here, but it is a plain green area that magically becomes
:57:28. > :57:31.Downing Street, the House of Commons, the walk to power and all
:57:32. > :57:37.the other things that Jeremy Vine does with his virtual reality set.
:57:38. > :57:43.At the moment, it is a gentle buzz of activity. It will be absolutely
:57:44. > :57:47.alive and kicking come 6pm tomorrow evening when all the desks you can
:57:48. > :57:53.see will be full. This is our bank of psephology 's calculating and
:57:54. > :57:57.recalibrating the exit poll, updating the results we get in as we
:57:58. > :58:01.get them. It looks very exciting. You look like you are on the bridge
:58:02. > :58:10.of the starship enterprise. On the fridge? On the bridge. We have
:58:11. > :58:17.locked that for the next 12 hours. Thanks very much. Good luck on the
:58:18. > :58:24.night. Thanks, Andrew. You will be in your constituency, TV
:58:25. > :58:26.appearances? I will do TV and rush back to my constituency. And you are
:58:27. > :58:31.in Oxfordshire? Yeah. Thanks to all our guests, especially
:58:32. > :58:35.Ed Vaizey and David Lammy. There is no Daily Politics tomorrow
:58:36. > :58:43.as it's polling day. Broadcasters do nothing on election
:58:44. > :58:45.day, it is convention and the rules as well. Polling day tomorrow.
:58:46. > :58:48.But remember you'll be able to watch all the election results come
:58:49. > :58:51.in from 10pm on BBC One and I'll be back on Friday on BBC One
:58:52. > :58:54.from 7am and through the day, getting all the reaction
:58:55. > :59:07.here in Westminster, so do join me then. Bye bye.
:59:08. > :59:11.I've had enough... ..alternative facts.