19/10/2013

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:00:00. > :00:00.should leave the UK takes place next September. I will be back with a

:00:00. > :00:00.full bulletin at the top of the hour. Now on BBC News Dateline

:00:00. > :00:24.London with Gavin Esler. Hello and welcome to Dateline

:00:25. > :00:28.London. The British economy on the road to

:00:29. > :00:30.recovery ` so why do so many people still feel the pinch? Selling

:00:31. > :00:34.Britain in China. And the Norwegian national involved in the killings in

:00:35. > :00:37.Kenya. Why? My guests today are ` Mustapha

:00:38. > :00:40.Karkouti of Gulf News, Isabel Hilton of China Dialogue, Agnes Poirier of

:00:41. > :00:50.Marianne and Ashis Ray who is an Indian writer. Welcome to you.

:00:51. > :00:54.Unemployment in Britain is going down and growth forecasts are. But

:00:55. > :00:59.all over Britain there are signs of people being squeezed. A charity

:01:00. > :01:06.report suggests that the number of people using food banks, do we face

:01:07. > :01:14.a crisis and living standards? The Labour Party is saying that. Yes, I

:01:15. > :01:16.think that is absolutely right. Although the figures of late show a

:01:17. > :01:24.modest improvement, I think basically there are two points that

:01:25. > :01:30.remain. One, unemployment is still around 7.7%, which is much too high.

:01:31. > :01:34.Secondly, the size of the UK economy today is still more than 3% smaller

:01:35. > :01:42.than what it was at the time of the meltdown in 2008. That said, I think

:01:43. > :01:48.during the periods of Britain after that your, it is true to say that a

:01:49. > :01:55.section of the rich have become richer, and a section of the pure

:01:56. > :02:00.have become cooler. The next `` net result of this is being felt.

:02:01. > :02:07.Utility costs have gone up, food prices have gone up, petrol prices

:02:08. > :02:13.are still high. Condensation of it all is causing distress in the

:02:14. > :02:20.market. `` condemnation. It could have been much worse. It is not

:02:21. > :02:23.Spain, it is not 25% unemployment. It is not as bad as it could have

:02:24. > :02:31.been and there are those who would seek it is true is `` living

:02:32. > :02:35.standards have been squeezed. People are taking real wage cuts and have

:02:36. > :02:41.done for several years. It is interesting that you say 7.7%

:02:42. > :02:46.unemployment is still too big. In France it is more than 10%. I think

:02:47. > :02:52.it shows the nature of the labour market in the UK is very flexible.

:02:53. > :02:58.Therefore it will bounce back much quicker than the French labour

:02:59. > :03:06.market, which is very tight and controlled. On the other hand, it is

:03:07. > :03:10.interesting because we have got relatively better figures. On the

:03:11. > :03:14.other hand in the street of London, rubbish is less collected than it

:03:15. > :03:19.used to be. In my street is to be three times a week, now it is once a

:03:20. > :03:23.week. The local library has closed. So they are sturdy policies have had

:03:24. > :03:34.a massive impact, in terms of daily life. `` austerity. The real cuts

:03:35. > :03:42.have not begun yet. Absolutely. Of course, I think we should talk about

:03:43. > :03:47.the house market, which in the last year has rose by 10%, especially in

:03:48. > :03:53.London. The nature of the British economy seems to be based on

:03:54. > :03:58.speculation, on properties in London. It is so frightening,

:03:59. > :04:04.because London, in the last 15 years I have been in London, it is such a

:04:05. > :04:10.vibrant Cosmopolis. In a generation we could be having a discussion so

:04:11. > :04:18.far away from London, the BBC could be somewhere in Scotland, because we

:04:19. > :04:23.cannot afford to live in London. That may need to be negotiated.

:04:24. > :04:29.There is clearly a London or south`east economy and there are

:04:30. > :04:33.other economies which are very different. House prices are not

:04:34. > :04:38.going up everywhere. If you look at the high streets in eventual areas,

:04:39. > :04:43.you will see the recession, people have closed shops. I wanted to go

:04:44. > :04:48.back to the question of the longer term future, good news on

:04:49. > :04:53.unemployment figures. However, the reports that are coming out now,

:04:54. > :04:57.will reveal that poverty is more widespread amongst the working

:04:58. > :05:00.people. His family is that have to choose between heating their homes

:05:01. > :05:08.and eating, often have working parents was up ``. That is because

:05:09. > :05:14.we have seen this appalling squeeze on what people get paid for their

:05:15. > :05:20.work and the transfer of wealth for a very tiny elite. If you haul out

:05:21. > :05:24.of society in this way, how are people supposed to do the

:05:25. > :05:29.consumptions, do the spending that you want to get your economy booming

:05:30. > :05:35.again? We do not have the money. The charity who looked at food banks

:05:36. > :05:41.this week, say they are figures show three times more people using food

:05:42. > :05:44.banks than a year ago. The people involved in those charitable things

:05:45. > :05:47.are doing great work. But are we going down the road of the United

:05:48. > :05:52.States where food banks become permanent parts of our lives? It

:05:53. > :06:02.seems to become the trend. If you look at the next group of cuts,

:06:03. > :06:08.they've all in constituencies that are pure. Around London and the

:06:09. > :06:23.south`east you have an untouched area. Would you not expect that

:06:24. > :06:28.public sector cuts would fall on people who use public services?

:06:29. > :06:32.Absolutely. Those are the most honourable people in our society. If

:06:33. > :06:37.we are going to do this, we have to accept that we will recreate a

:06:38. > :06:49.society that we left behind. `` vulnerable. It is not the poor

:06:50. > :06:57.getting poor necessarily. It is the middle class being affected because

:06:58. > :07:03.wages are not going up and the cost of living has rocketed at the same

:07:04. > :07:05.time. It is not just the poor who are affected, it is in large section

:07:06. > :07:10.of the middle`class who are also being hit. The lifestyle you might

:07:11. > :07:15.have had ten or 15 years ago, you cannot sustain that now because of

:07:16. > :07:24.the cost of living. This is one aspect. The other aspect, the common

:07:25. > :07:28.`` economic gap between regions in the country is highlighted in this

:07:29. > :07:35.new project which is very widely debated, HS2. The new high`speed

:07:36. > :07:41.train that will connect with London in the north of England. This will

:07:42. > :07:52.make the northern area, regions, even more for `` poor. So they have

:07:53. > :08:00.to be thing, especially now, between us and the next election, they have

:08:01. > :08:07.to this right, the politicians. Fundamentally, wages have not kept

:08:08. > :08:11.up with the cost of living. You have this problem of low wages and even

:08:12. > :08:14.trainee wages, because as a difficult number of people are

:08:15. > :08:20.working as trainees rather than as fully employed people. I was in

:08:21. > :08:24.Holland couple of weeks ago, the standard of their infrastructure is

:08:25. > :08:31.magnificent. I come back to London, I try to `` drive to Oxford, the

:08:32. > :08:38.state of the motorway is miserable. Why is that happening? Cannot more

:08:39. > :08:50.people be employed in that area? One of the big shocks, is energy prices

:08:51. > :09:00.going up. 9%, 8%, depending on who your supplier is. We have the story

:09:01. > :09:07.of ministers saying we are British, we only have to put on more layers.

:09:08. > :09:15.We cannot afford hearing, so add another jumper. `` heating. In the

:09:16. > :09:20.same style of Jeremy Hunt seeing the NHS is not measuring up to caring

:09:21. > :09:25.for the old people, why do not we do like the Chinese and every family

:09:26. > :09:38.should actually have some shelter and feature owned `` feed your own

:09:39. > :09:42.old parents. They are building the biggest old age care homes in the

:09:43. > :09:48.world. People have gone to the city 's leaving elderly parents wrap ``

:09:49. > :09:54.behind. That family structure has broken down in the last few years.

:09:55. > :09:58.The Chancellor of the Exchequer led a delegation to China this week to

:09:59. > :10:07.present Britain as the land of opportunity for Chinese businesses.

:10:08. > :10:17.Where the Chinese press and how far does the British approach go?

:10:18. > :10:20.I think the Chinese have been impressed with the eagerness of the

:10:21. > :10:27.Chancellor to sell whatever he could. The Chinese, traditionally,

:10:28. > :10:32.have like their visitors to be coming from tributary states. I

:10:33. > :10:35.think he fitted in perfectly well. The first encounter, the first

:10:36. > :10:40.trading counter between Britain and China broke down over Lord

:10:41. > :10:52.McCartney's refusal to koto. We have made up for this will stop ``. Both

:10:53. > :10:56.`` we have been trying to sell to the Chinese since the 17th century

:10:57. > :11:03.and we have not been doing very well. Germany does very well, there

:11:04. > :11:07.are things the Chinese want to buy. Britain seems to be schizophrenic.

:11:08. > :11:11.Every now and then a British politician will discover China as if

:11:12. > :11:14.it hadn't been there all along. If he had stayed longer he would

:11:15. > :11:20.discover there are other foreign businesses doing better than ours.

:11:21. > :11:26.Been there longer, tried longer. I have grave reservations over some of

:11:27. > :11:31.the dealings that were announced, like the idea that the Chinese would

:11:32. > :11:36.take a majority stake in infrastructure projects like a

:11:37. > :11:41.nuclear power station. I would think these would be a national debate

:11:42. > :11:50.which we have not had. How did the French do in this? Will the ``

:11:51. > :12:03.brilliantly? No, not at all. We were trying to sell assets. We are trying

:12:04. > :12:15.to interest the Chinese into buying our car companies. When George

:12:16. > :12:21.Osborne said Britain and China are both ancient civilisations. Boris

:12:22. > :12:29.Johnson and George Osborne, it reminds people of Mr Bean, this

:12:30. > :12:31.double act. When you think that China is investing three times more

:12:32. > :12:35.in Australia than they do in Britain. France and Britain are very

:12:36. > :12:44.small business opportunities for China. Better late than never? Yes,

:12:45. > :12:55.we do very well on tourism. The French do. Yes. We found recently

:12:56. > :13:02.that Chinese tourists flock to Paris and they spend millions and

:13:03. > :13:06.millions. London is losing the battle on the tourism front. So that

:13:07. > :13:12.is something that perhaps Osborne could work on. That is something

:13:13. > :13:19.that Chinese people have been complaining about for ages. Because

:13:20. > :13:27.it is so difficult to get to London. Chinese students, you have a double

:13:28. > :13:32.language here. Bank regulation will help with China. On the other hand,

:13:33. > :13:37.Nigel Farage and all the talk about making Britain less immigrant

:13:38. > :13:45.friendly is not giving out the right message. I was the new land of

:13:46. > :13:51.investment opportunity for Britain. Has that been eclipsed? I was going

:13:52. > :13:54.to come to that. I sense a change of tack on part of the British

:13:55. > :14:01.government. When this government came into office, in 2010, India was

:14:02. > :14:05.the flavour of the season. Within ten weeks of Cameron becoming prime

:14:06. > :14:10.minister, he went to India with a flag which said, we want a special

:14:11. > :14:17.relationship with India. What has happened is this, in terms of trade

:14:18. > :14:22.going on between the two countries, it has gone up and they will achieve

:14:23. > :14:25.the target of doubling trade within the five`year period of this

:14:26. > :14:30.government. But where I think Britain is a little does appointed

:14:31. > :14:34.as in the area of exports, particularly exports of military

:14:35. > :14:37.hardware. That is a result of political differences between the

:14:38. > :14:43.two countries. The second area, where I think there is an element of

:14:44. > :14:48.this is, there was an expectation that there would be a major second

:14:49. > :14:58.tranche of Indian investments in Britain, which was very successful.

:14:59. > :15:01.But something even bigger, better, more companies coming into Britain

:15:02. > :15:07.and investing in this country. This hasn't happened as a result of the

:15:08. > :15:18.slowdown in the economy. Therefore I see this change of tactics. China is

:15:19. > :15:28.the flavour of the season. The goal was a flavour of the season for a

:15:29. > :15:34.while. China now is the only country which has cash. They have no

:15:35. > :15:41.problem, they have no debts. No matter how reluctant the western and

:15:42. > :15:45.British politicians are in dealing with China, eventually they will go

:15:46. > :15:53.there, they will open their door for that money, at the end, no matter

:15:54. > :16:00.how reluctant they are. You might be of the 1930s bank robber, who was

:16:01. > :16:06.once asked why he robbed banks. He replied, because that is where the

:16:07. > :16:19.money is. It is true. The Chinese have had an outward investment

:16:20. > :16:25.policy for years. This country is the only one to have allowed Chinese

:16:26. > :16:34.investment. The Chinese would never allow that, the Americans would

:16:35. > :16:41.never allow it. It is not a good commercial deal, so why are the

:16:42. > :16:45.Chinese interested? The Chinese invest where there is technology

:16:46. > :16:53.they wish to acquire, so they can compete in the markets and probably

:16:54. > :17:00.destroyed their original partner. This in the easy as is a little over

:17:01. > :17:03.eight. One of the Al`Shabab killers

:17:04. > :17:05.involved in the attack on a Nairobi shopping mall was identified as a

:17:06. > :17:09.Somali`born Norwegian national. Why is it that some people who grow up

:17:10. > :17:12.amid all the freedoms of a tolerant Western culture end up loathing that

:17:13. > :17:20.culture so much? It is a question we asked here and it is asked in France

:17:21. > :17:26.as well. Do you have any ideas why these people are dislocated from

:17:27. > :17:41.both their original background and this one? Use needs absolute. I

:17:42. > :17:47.think today, Western democracy does not give absolutes to young people.

:17:48. > :17:53.I was brought up in France and was probably the last generation to

:17:54. > :17:56.begin and that absolute. It was the French republic's ideals. But in the

:17:57. > :18:24.West, Britain has relative of the problem is a twisted concept of

:18:25. > :18:29.Islam or Christianity. Competing religions such as Christianity and

:18:30. > :18:38.Islam, that does provide the search for the absolute. I think perhaps we

:18:39. > :18:43.should learn from that and make democracy, stand up to our values

:18:44. > :18:51.and transform democracy. It is a fight. If you look at the

:18:52. > :19:03.recruitment in extreme religious cult is, it shoots up at the age of

:19:04. > :19:08.late teens, early adult hood. Five or six years later, they tend to

:19:09. > :19:16.leave. We have had home`grown terrorism here. So did we. If you

:19:17. > :19:21.take adolescent alienation and the search for something that appears to

:19:22. > :19:25.give you all the answers, it is explicable by these people are

:19:26. > :19:31.attracted to the terrorist organisations. They carry foreign

:19:32. > :19:35.passports and a British or region passport as a much better bet if you

:19:36. > :19:42.are going to Kenya, for example. By the time these jazzmen go to

:19:43. > :19:50.Somalia, they are in the hands of the organisation, they are in.

:19:51. > :19:53.Treated. They are as vulnerable target group.

:19:54. > :19:57.This week we have had moderate British Muslims who have condemned

:19:58. > :20:02.attacks, being told in a Al`Shabab video that they could be targets

:20:03. > :20:11.too, for preaching that Islam is a moderate religion, a religion of

:20:12. > :20:17.peace. One imam told me that these people are lunatics and he has

:20:18. > :20:26.received a death threat. There is no doubt that they are lunatics. The

:20:27. > :20:39.thing about this, as you pointed out about the home`grown terrorists. If

:20:40. > :20:42.you go back to the 1970s and 1980s, there were very exciting

:20:43. > :20:55.organisations. They attract the use, the young people. They come to

:20:56. > :21:00.the Middle East and get training. They all did that. The thing is, you

:21:01. > :21:07.have to try and deal with this, but as well, you have to deal with the

:21:08. > :21:14.problems over the world. The extreme injustice that is going on in Africa

:21:15. > :21:19.or in the Arab world. There are cases all over the world. We have to

:21:20. > :21:26.find a solution. You can't go on now. If you take the Middle East,

:21:27. > :21:31.since 1948 until now, people are exhausted, they are tired. You are

:21:32. > :21:38.pushing people to the edges of extremism. So they will use these as

:21:39. > :21:47.excuses and carry on such atrocious operations, like the one we saw a

:21:48. > :21:52.couple of weeks ago. I think first of all, while Western policy in

:21:53. > :21:59.general and European policy included in this, has been generous in terms

:22:00. > :22:09.of immigration, there has been no policy or thinking until quite late

:22:10. > :22:14.of immigration. Multiculturalism as a concession granted by indigenous

:22:15. > :22:20.communities to immigrant communities has failed. The reason is simple.

:22:21. > :22:25.Unless you encourage an immigrant community to integrate with the

:22:26. > :22:30.indigenous society, there there will be a separatism. And that separatism

:22:31. > :22:37.is what we are witnessing in Europe, in Britain, in Norway. This

:22:38. > :22:43.is a classic case, because, isolated as they are, not growing up in the

:22:44. > :22:52.education as they should be, and they get angry after a while. In

:22:53. > :22:59.this case, this young man who was of Somali origin, or Norwegian National

:23:00. > :23:04.Mao, 23 years old, he has been an angry young man for some time. He

:23:05. > :23:11.has displayed anger at Norway, he has been leaning on extremism for a

:23:12. > :23:15.while. He has got into trouble several times, his father has been

:23:16. > :23:22.worried about what he has been doing. This is the kind of example

:23:23. > :23:31.which is they're all over. I think Europe, including Britain, is

:23:32. > :23:34.sitting on a powderkeg. If you are describing the French model versus

:23:35. > :23:41.the multi`cultural model in Britain. And like to hear more

:23:42. > :23:48.about, do you think we should have stricter rules? That you have to

:23:49. > :23:53.speak the language and accept certain cultural norms. That might

:23:54. > :24:01.mean something about dress and not wearing thinner cap. Even freedom of

:24:02. > :24:11.speech has limits and you cannot incite hatred or murder. I could see

:24:12. > :24:15.an imam inciting hatred and nobody was raising an eyebrow. It is

:24:16. > :24:25.British tolerance, but that tolerance would not be tolerated in

:24:26. > :24:35.France. In the last 30 years, France has been looking towards Britain,

:24:36. > :24:46.instead of making the case for what it had been very good at, that is to

:24:47. > :24:50.say, a common destiny. If multiculturalism in riches further a

:24:51. > :24:53.culture, then that's fine. One example, when the East African

:24:54. > :25:00.Indians came here and started opening their shops until late, it

:25:01. > :25:04.revolutionised this country, in terms of its shopping habits. Today,

:25:05. > :25:10.all major outlets stay open to late. It has been a boon to the British

:25:11. > :25:19.economy. That is in Richmond, that is welcome, but separatism is not.

:25:20. > :25:25.We have to be very careful here, we're talking about individual

:25:26. > :25:27.cases. These are a tiny minority, but the majority of immigrants

:25:28. > :25:30.coming to the West are living very happily.

:25:31. > :25:34.That's it for Dateline London for this week. We're back next week at

:25:35. > :25:35.the same time. And you can of course comment on the programme on Twitter.

:25:36. > :26:11.Goodbye. Plenty of whether this weekend, but

:26:12. > :26:18.it would be a wash`out, because the sun will make an appearance, and

:26:19. > :26:19.when it does, temperatures will be quite warm for the time of