:00:00. > :00:00.a big drop when you look at what the DUP candidate got which was 13,000.
:00:00. > :00:14.We will pore over those in more detail surely. Chris, your thoughts.
:00:15. > :00:18.What Newton was saying is panning out, we are seeing the voters
:00:19. > :00:26.flocking to the DUP and Sinn Fein. This will be the highest ever vote
:00:27. > :00:31.for the DUP. They got 225,000 votes in March and they have now added
:00:32. > :00:38.50,000. Sinn Fein is in line for its highest ever vote. Clearly
:00:39. > :00:44.Nationalists have looked at the SDLP and decided that they will call time
:00:45. > :00:48.on them. One of the stories will be the tactical decision that Colum
:00:49. > :01:00.Eastwood made. Just to explain these pictures. This is the count centre
:01:01. > :01:09.in Omagh leisure centre. Michelle Gildernew, she looks pretty please
:01:10. > :01:13.with herself. It was on the cards that if Sinn Fein were able to get
:01:14. > :01:18.the nationalist to turn out, they would win that seat. I think even
:01:19. > :01:23.Unionist accepted that. It looks like Sinn Fein have won back that
:01:24. > :01:28.seat, which was a number one target. I think South Down was probably on
:01:29. > :01:35.the cards, Foyle is the real surprise and it shows the dire state
:01:36. > :01:40.of the SDLP. In one sense, to lose one seat would be misfortune, two to
:01:41. > :01:49.be curlers, three is utterly calamitous. It now means, where do
:01:50. > :01:51.they SDLP go? Similarly, word of the Ulster Unionist goal? It looks like
:01:52. > :01:55.they were registered the worst percentage share of the vote
:01:56. > :02:01.probably ever. You might have thought they could have come back in
:02:02. > :02:05.a Stormont election but the trends here are irresistible. I think a
:02:06. > :02:10.Stormont election would make it worse for them. Just pick up on the
:02:11. > :02:17.figures, as far, just referring to them there are moment or two ago, as
:02:18. > :02:24.far as Neary and Ahmad is concerned, still a big collapse in the Ulster
:02:25. > :02:30.Unionist vote. In 2010, it was 8500, so it is down to half of what it
:02:31. > :02:35.was. There was only one candidate... That ties in with what is happening
:02:36. > :02:46.elsewhere. In the seat that Unionist could not win, they all tended to
:02:47. > :02:50.line up behind the DUP. We hear that Theresa May has gone to Conservative
:02:51. > :02:55.Party headquarters rather than Downing Street. I gave a little bit
:02:56. > :03:02.of false information there. Alex Maskey... There will be trouble
:03:03. > :03:09.ahead for Theresa May. Do you think she can hang on? It is none of my
:03:10. > :03:13.business. I would have to say, she called an election on a very
:03:14. > :03:18.specific purpose and it has dismally failed and in any other situation,
:03:19. > :03:23.she would be gone by tomorrow. Simon Hamilton, welcome. Thank you for
:03:24. > :03:33.joining us at a moment of high drama. I have to ask you about going
:03:34. > :03:39.back, not you personally, but the party going back to Westminster with
:03:40. > :03:42.ten seats, you have added two on before, did you think in your
:03:43. > :03:48.wildest dreams that you would get that result? It is a phenomenal
:03:49. > :03:54.result. We had a sense that people were moving in our direction, that
:03:55. > :03:58.our message of sending a strong team to Westminster, to register support
:03:59. > :04:03.for the union, especially on the back of a disappointing Assembly
:04:04. > :04:08.election, it was a wake-up call for many unionists and they have rallied
:04:09. > :04:15.to the DUP. Some phenomenal results, to take the three Belfast seats, but
:04:16. > :04:19.even away from that, if you go to places like West Tyrone, Mid Ulster
:04:20. > :04:23.and Newry and Armagh, not seats we were likely to win, but we have
:04:24. > :04:35.posted huge totals for our candidates. Alex Easton in North
:04:36. > :04:42.Down. Alex represents a neighbouring constituency to mine in the
:04:43. > :04:48.Assembly. It is an endorsement. We have a declaration for Fermanagh and
:04:49. > :05:01.South Tyrone. The eligible electorate was 70,000 601. The votes
:05:02. > :05:13.polled were 53,000 714. The valid votes were 53,000 488. The invalid
:05:14. > :05:21.votes were 226. And the percentage turnout was 76.08%. I, Martin Fox,
:05:22. > :05:24.as the deputy returning officer for the Fermanagh and South Tyrone
:05:25. > :05:30.constituency hereby declare that at the election, the number of votes
:05:31. > :05:40.for each candidate was as follows. Noreen Campbell, Alliance Party,
:05:41. > :05:59.886. Tom Elliott, Ulster Unionist Party, 24,000 355. Mary Garrity,
:06:00. > :06:00.SDLP, 2587. Michelle Gildernew, Sinn Fein, 25,000 200...
:06:01. > :06:37.CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. That is 25,000 230. Tanya Jones,
:06:38. > :06:41.Green Party, 423. I declare that Michelle Gildernew is returned to
:06:42. > :06:56.serve in Parliament for the Fermanagh and South Tyrone
:06:57. > :07:01.constituency. So, Michelle Gildernew has won Fermanagh South Tyrone for
:07:02. > :07:05.Sinn Fein, taking the seat from the outgoing MP, Tom Elliott of the
:07:06. > :07:11.Ulster Unionist Party. The DUP did not run a candidate. Quick bit of
:07:12. > :07:17.mathematics, I think her majority is 875. I think that is right. We are
:07:18. > :07:23.going to hear what she has to say. She has made her way quickly up to
:07:24. > :07:27.the platform. Lots of Sinn Fein supporters are very pleased with the
:07:28. > :07:33.result. I first of all want to thank Martin Fox and his staff here for
:07:34. > :07:39.what has been a bruising year for the Omagh Electoral Office, two
:07:40. > :07:44.elections in less than six months. A tough toll on all of our families. I
:07:45. > :07:50.commend Martin Fox and his staff. I wanted, and the other candidates and
:07:51. > :07:55.it was a very positive campaign and I know we tried to get our message
:07:56. > :07:59.across that there was a lot of fear and anxiety, particularly about
:08:00. > :08:05.Brexit and what it will mean for us here, not just the closure of border
:08:06. > :08:09.rolls, tariffs and delays but potentially fracking and all sorts
:08:10. > :08:14.of complications that we do not need. People did vote with their
:08:15. > :08:19.hearts and heads and voted in huge numbers for Sinn Fein in this
:08:20. > :08:22.election on the basis of the fear and anxiety that Brexit and a
:08:23. > :08:27.referendum result has produced and also the anger that the failure to
:08:28. > :08:32.accept the majority in favour of staying in Europe, that we have here
:08:33. > :08:37.in the six counties. I want to also congratulate my other Sinn Fein
:08:38. > :08:43.candidates, I cannot believe I am being returned to Westminster along
:08:44. > :08:55.with Elisha McCallion. Brilliant, well done. We are also joined by
:08:56. > :09:12.Chris Hazzard and I think that is seven. Who could forget, the main
:09:13. > :09:18.man, Barry McElduff? I want to thank Jemma Dolan my election agent, I
:09:19. > :09:21.want to thank Sean and all of the people. This campaign has been
:09:22. > :09:26.characterised the amount of goodwill and support there is right across
:09:27. > :09:31.Ireland. It was unprecedented and I will be spending the rest of my life
:09:32. > :09:35.doing payback canvasses all over Ireland, because without you, we
:09:36. > :09:41.could not have done will be dead and team Sinn Fein is a very proud
:09:42. > :09:44.tonight and we are all each and everyone of us and equal part of
:09:45. > :09:51.that team and I am proud and humbled to be here as part of Team Sinn Fein
:09:52. > :09:52.tonight. I want to thank Michelle O'Neill for the part that she has
:09:53. > :10:06.played. CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. I want to
:10:07. > :10:13.thank my family, Jimmy and the wee ones. Mummy and daddy, my entire
:10:14. > :10:20.family, all of the people who were involved in this election, a special
:10:21. > :10:30.mention to their cabin crew, because without you...
:10:31. > :10:35.APPLAUSE. We polled 25,000... Something like that. But I want to
:10:36. > :10:40.acknowledge the hundreds of people who applied and were not able to get
:10:41. > :10:45.their postal vote and we have a lot of frustrated and angry people who
:10:46. > :10:49.if we had lost the seat by a narrow margin would have blamed themselves
:10:50. > :10:52.and that is not fair and we need to recognise that people, especially
:10:53. > :10:57.here when people are working away from home at university or unwell,
:10:58. > :11:02.we need to get a system that works for everyone because some of our
:11:03. > :11:05.most vulnerable are sitting at home tonight worrying and here's their
:11:06. > :11:09.vote was the one that did not get us over the line. For the hundreds of
:11:10. > :11:14.people who missed out on a post or proxy vote, I want to thank you
:11:15. > :11:25.because you tried your best. APPLAUSE. We have huge challenges
:11:26. > :11:29.ahead, let us not be mistaken, I have not heard what is going on
:11:30. > :11:33.across the water but Tory austerity is going to really impact upon the
:11:34. > :11:40.most vulnerable people in our community and it is our job to work
:11:41. > :11:43.on behalf of everyone, not just the working poor are other nonworking
:11:44. > :11:49.prayer, but the most vulnerable. The people who are concerned about the
:11:50. > :11:54.environment and jobs, pylons in Armagh, the lack of broadband, there
:11:55. > :11:57.is still a lot of work to be done in this constituency, it will not be
:11:58. > :12:04.easy over the next number of years, but I can tell you this, I and Team
:12:05. > :12:11.Sinn Fein are up for the challenge and just before I finish. I was not
:12:12. > :12:14.prepared to write anything down, just in case. I also want to give
:12:15. > :12:24.special mention to the people who camped out in Fermanagh and South
:12:25. > :12:29.Tyrone, because you know every corner of Fermanagh and South Tyrone
:12:30. > :12:33.and you know all the challenges. I will think of something and wish I
:12:34. > :12:40.had said it. I want to say, everybody, say, good night.
:12:41. > :12:51.Michelle Gildernew obviously delighted to have won the seat back,
:12:52. > :12:57.a majority of 875. Her vote was up on two years ago but so was Tom
:12:58. > :13:03.Elliott's, who despite that has lost the seat. Hopefully we will hear
:13:04. > :13:10.from him. We will stick with this for a moment or two more. Can anyone
:13:11. > :13:17.see Tom Elliott? Maybe he's not going to speak. We will see, if he
:13:18. > :13:23.pops up we will try and take it. Let's come back to my panel and we
:13:24. > :13:27.have been joined by Danny Kennedy of the Ulster Unionist Party, so let's
:13:28. > :13:33.go to you. Not the result you were hoping for. You had to seats at
:13:34. > :13:39.Westminster, you lost Danny Kinahan earlier and that finishes off a
:13:40. > :13:43.pretty wrong light for your party. We're very disappointed the loss of
:13:44. > :13:52.John, disappointed for Tom and for the party, disappointed for unionism
:13:53. > :13:56.and also in a funny way for the entire electorate Fermanagh and
:13:57. > :14:00.South Tyrone because they now have no representation at Westminster.
:14:01. > :14:07.But that's what a majority of people there voted for. That's part of the
:14:08. > :14:12.democratic process but it is a matter of regret for me that in
:14:13. > :14:16.constituencies mostly west of the barn there will be no
:14:17. > :14:26.representation. That is a fact of life. What is the message to the
:14:27. > :14:32.Ulster Unionist Party and the SDLP, no longer members of the House of
:14:33. > :14:39.Commons, so no SDLP, no UUP, a stronger DUP and Sinn Fein, what
:14:40. > :14:44.does that tell us? The backdrop to this election was an Assembly poll
:14:45. > :14:47.in March and there has been a reaction in the unionist population
:14:48. > :14:54.who have gravitated towards the larger unionist party. Because they
:14:55. > :15:00.believed it could deliver for them. They believed they were potentially
:15:01. > :15:09.a stronger force against the rise of Sinn Fein. That doesn't mean, with
:15:10. > :15:14.respect to anybody, and end in my view to the Ulster Unionist Party.
:15:15. > :15:18.We are still a significant presence in the Assembly where we are
:15:19. > :15:27.potentially entitled to ministerial seats. We have considerable
:15:28. > :15:37.representation in local councils and we will have to look again for a
:15:38. > :15:44.better day but we have been squeezed and unbelievably in this election
:15:45. > :15:51.and I congratulate the DUP. Alex Maskey, 24,355 people voted for Tom
:15:52. > :15:54.Elliott in Fermanagh South Karen. They wanted someone to represent
:15:55. > :15:59.them in discussions in Westminster to do with Brexit and other things,
:16:00. > :16:07.how does Michelle Gildernew represent them? Michelle has done
:16:08. > :16:12.effectively for a number of years, as an MP and MLA. She is part of
:16:13. > :16:22.what we would call team Sinn Fein. We have 30 members of the Doyle and
:16:23. > :16:26.seven senators. We are members of a state which the British Government
:16:27. > :16:32.will have to negotiate their Brexit deal with, so I would rather have
:16:33. > :16:38.representation in Dublin than in London, where the voices of MPs have
:16:39. > :16:42.been ignored, so the lesson is that people in the nationalist community
:16:43. > :16:45.and perhaps beyond have recognised the work Sinn Fein has been doing on
:16:46. > :16:51.the ground, we have been an effective party giving leadership,
:16:52. > :16:58.working with governments of all hues, whether Tory or British Labour
:16:59. > :17:04.or Irish. You could be more effective if you took your seats in
:17:05. > :17:11.Westminster. They just finished the last count of 18 seats and Sinn Fein
:17:12. > :17:17.took another seat and Michelle Gildernew brought the last seat, all
:17:18. > :17:22.our votes went up so the nationalist community have had a big debate in
:17:23. > :17:28.this election, abstention probably featured more in this campaign than
:17:29. > :17:30.others and Nationalists are not prepared to be treated as
:17:31. > :17:37.second-class in the Assembly which is why we collapsed it and they are
:17:38. > :17:41.not to sit in Westminster and be ignored, so Nationalists have turned
:17:42. > :17:47.their back on Westminster and that is something people will have to
:17:48. > :17:52.come to terms with. We have been joined now by the successful
:17:53. > :17:58.candidate in Fermanagh South Tyrone, Michelle Gildernew, MP for Fermanagh
:17:59. > :18:02.South Tyrone, so congratulations. You have tasted success before and
:18:03. > :18:11.feet. How does it feel tonight or this morning? It's all very surreal.
:18:12. > :18:16.The whole Westminster experience here at Omagh Leisure Centre is like
:18:17. > :18:21.an out of body experience happening to somewhere else, so whether it's a
:18:22. > :18:25.defeat for success, yet surreal and I am so proud and humbled to be part
:18:26. > :18:31.of Sinn Fein and return to the Westminster seat, this historic seat
:18:32. > :18:36.in Fermanagh South Tyrone with another six colleagues who are there
:18:37. > :18:42.to fly the flag for Fermanagh South Tyrone and it is a huge honour. Some
:18:43. > :18:46.people will say you were only half their because you don't properly
:18:47. > :18:55.take your seat and those who voted for Tom Elliott, 24,355, I've just
:18:56. > :19:00.been talking to Alex Maskey about this in the studio and I asked them
:19:01. > :19:04.how you would represent those people who voted for Tom Elliott and to do
:19:05. > :19:09.want someone to work to killing their views and their needs on the
:19:10. > :19:16.floor of the chamber? What is your message to them? I want to welcome
:19:17. > :19:22.Alex's comments, I got the tail end of it, he had no small part to play
:19:23. > :19:28.in the 2010 election. I think we have to look at the 25,000 plus
:19:29. > :19:32.people who voted Sinn Fein, the thousands of people who like Alex
:19:33. > :19:40.said rejected the floor of the House politics. It is highly relevant and
:19:41. > :19:46.very little of the business bike goes on at Westminster is relevance
:19:47. > :19:51.to us. We need a strong voice for everyone and nobody has a better
:19:52. > :19:55.track record of representing everyone in Fermanagh South Tyrone
:19:56. > :20:02.than I have, so I will represent the people who voted for Tom and also
:20:03. > :20:08.for the SDLP and Alliance, but we have to send a strong message not
:20:09. > :20:13.just to London to Belfast, Dublin and Brussels that we have a voice
:20:14. > :20:17.that needs to be listened to and the people have spoken in their
:20:18. > :20:22.thousands, they have rejected the idea Brexit and the notion of what
:20:23. > :20:29.it means to people here. There are almost 300 water crossings, many in
:20:30. > :20:32.Fermanagh South Tyrone and I cannot comprehend what it would mean if
:20:33. > :20:39.they read four to five border were to pop-up around my constituency and
:20:40. > :20:45.the untold damage it would do to people's lives so we have a strong
:20:46. > :20:50.mandate. Congratulations, good to talk to you, I imagine there will be
:20:51. > :20:56.a party in Omagh so I don't want to keep you back. A lot of people
:20:57. > :21:02.waiting to shake your hand. I will come to the panel again in the
:21:03. > :21:06.moment but before I do, one declaration we haven't seen his
:21:07. > :21:11.Newry and Armagh, Mickey Brady held onto the seat for Sinn Fein. It was
:21:12. > :21:17.happening while a rush of other seats were being declared so let's
:21:18. > :21:24.look at the figures as they were announced for the Newry and Armagh
:21:25. > :21:29.seek a short time ago. I is deputy returning officer for Newry and
:21:30. > :21:34.Armagh I hereby declare that at the election the number of votes for
:21:35. > :21:45.each candidate was as followed. Mickey Brady, Sinn Fein, 25,000 666.
:21:46. > :22:04.CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. Jackie Coade, Alliance Party, 1256.
:22:05. > :22:28.William Irwin, DUP, 13100 and 77. CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. Justin
:22:29. > :22:39.McNulty, SDLP, 9055. Sam Nicholson, UUP, 4425. I declare that Mickey
:22:40. > :22:47.Brady is returned to serve in Parliament for the Newry and South
:22:48. > :22:51.Armagh constituency. Thank you. Success is therefore a Mickey Brady
:22:52. > :23:00.and a warm embrace from Conor Murphy, who served as the attempt he
:23:01. > :23:06.there be for Mr Brady took over. We say congratulations to Mickey Brady,
:23:07. > :23:12.all 18 seats down declared in Northern Ireland. A couple of bits
:23:13. > :23:17.of news, Nick Clegg, the former Lib Dem leader has lost his seat, Home
:23:18. > :23:23.Secretary Amber Rudd is currently engaged in a recount and we have
:23:24. > :23:27.just had a notification in the last couple of seconds that Alex Salmond,
:23:28. > :23:34.Ford dealer of the SNP, has lost his seat, he is out so something names
:23:35. > :23:39.are losing their seats in Westminster tonight. We will pick up
:23:40. > :23:45.on a bit of that with my panel shortly but before we do any more of
:23:46. > :23:47.that, let's get another look at the picture here and across the water
:23:48. > :23:57.from Mark Simpson. Thank you. It's been a long night,
:23:58. > :24:01.just look at that time, 4:30am but here in our virtual Westminster, how
:24:02. > :24:10.interesting will it be easier in the next couple of weeks? If we look at
:24:11. > :24:15.England, there is a lot of blue but not the sea of blue that Theresa May
:24:16. > :24:20.expected. Let's look at the scores on the doors. The Conservatives are
:24:21. > :24:27.ahead but they are well short as things stand, of 326, the Magic
:24:28. > :24:31.number where they would be sure of an overall majority, the latest
:24:32. > :24:37.forecast is that they will be short so we could have a hung parliament,
:24:38. > :24:42.which brings the DUP into play. Let's look at Northern Ireland. If
:24:43. > :24:47.anything tells the story of the night, it's what you were looking
:24:48. > :24:59.at, a sea of Green west of the band, Sinn Fein, a sea of red East of the
:25:00. > :25:05.river ban for DUP and North towel being held by Sylvia Hermon. There
:25:06. > :25:10.is the DUP on top, tempted, they only got eight last time, Sinn Fein
:25:11. > :25:18.with seven seats, they only got four last time and Sylvia Hermon holding
:25:19. > :25:22.on in North Down. Five new faces in Westminster, not all of them taking
:25:23. > :25:30.their seats but one new face will be in Foyle, Elisha McCallion in Foyle.
:25:31. > :25:36.Sinn Fein have taken the seat of the SDLP, only a small majority but it
:25:37. > :25:42.was enough to take the seat of the former SDLP leader Mark Durkan.
:25:43. > :25:46.Moving over, we can see another new face who will take place in
:25:47. > :25:53.Westminster, Emma Little Pengelly in South Belfast, again lost by the
:25:54. > :26:00.SDLP but this time it was the DUP taking advantage. A real pattern has
:26:01. > :26:05.emerged to night, a real 2-party Northern Ireland with the DUP
:26:06. > :26:10.dominating one side of the river ban, Sinn Fein dominating the other,
:26:11. > :26:14.that's the story of the night and well done to the counters, we have
:26:15. > :26:20.all 18 seats counted and it's not even five a.m..
:26:21. > :26:27.They have had a busy night, as have we. It is flashed up that Kate how
:26:28. > :26:32.we, from Belfast, the MP for Vauxhall, has held her seat. She was
:26:33. > :26:36.in our fight for that and it looked like she may be in difficulty, I
:26:37. > :26:41.don't know what happened in the current but in the run-up there was
:26:42. > :26:46.speculation she might lose it but she has held her seat. I will come
:26:47. > :26:50.back to my panel for proper discussion and we will bring things
:26:51. > :26:57.to a close in the next ten minutes or thereabouts, but let's hear more
:26:58. > :27:02.analysis and number crunching from Mark Davenport and Nicholas Whyte in
:27:03. > :27:06.our results hub. During this campaign we had talked
:27:07. > :27:11.about whether there should be our border poll in the future. To some
:27:12. > :27:16.extent it that like we had a mini border poll with voters rushing to
:27:17. > :27:23.the two big parties, there we have what Mark has been telling us, the
:27:24. > :27:28.DUP with ten, Sinn Fein with seven and only Sylvia Hermon surviving but
:27:29. > :27:29.let's look at the vote share and the percentages and talk me through
:27:30. > :27:44.this. This is the best result ever in
:27:45. > :27:49.terms of vote share. . It is the worst result ever for both the SDLP
:27:50. > :27:54.and the Ulster Unionists. Do you see this as the endgame for them? They
:27:55. > :28:01.will have to think about their future strategy. The SDLP 20 years
:28:02. > :28:08.ago was getting the same number of votes as Sinn Fein. Look at the
:28:09. > :28:14.change here. This is a remarkable result for both of the big parties
:28:15. > :28:19.but in raw numbers, the DUP outdid the E in Paisley results of many
:28:20. > :28:26.years ago when he was standing as an MEP. In every seat with the DUP were
:28:27. > :28:31.standing, Sinn Fein added more voters who have never voted before.
:28:32. > :28:41.These columns do not tell the entire story. We are seeing votes, people
:28:42. > :28:48.who voted in the Assembly election, and it has come out at least as much
:28:49. > :28:56.for the DUP as Sinn Fein. Let us look at the swings on both side.
:28:57. > :29:02.Unionism first, a whopping eight percentage swing for the Ulster
:29:03. > :29:09.Unionist to the DUP. There are a couple of cases that contributed to
:29:10. > :29:15.this including Newry and Armagh. We can do the same again, as similar
:29:16. > :29:20.story, Leicester Matic in percentage terms but more dramatic in terms of
:29:21. > :29:25.seats. Part of the problem here is that the SDLP has been squeezed
:29:26. > :29:32.pretty tightly and remained strong in south Belfast and South down.
:29:33. > :29:43.They have been wiped out. Looking again at the graph of how these
:29:44. > :29:49.major parties are standing, just finally, we will look at who is Top
:29:50. > :29:56.of the Pops across Northern Ireland, our five poll toppers, there are
:29:57. > :30:05.from the DUP and Sinn Fein. Ian Paisley taking the number one. There
:30:06. > :30:13.is some change, there is the top five. Thank you very much. I
:30:14. > :30:21.mentioned that Kate wholewheat has held onto her seat in Vauxhall and
:30:22. > :30:27.then all of a sudden, Kate has popped up and I can talk to her. She
:30:28. > :30:31.is at the Cannes centre in Lambeth. Good evening and congratulations. I
:30:32. > :30:35.was talking about your couple of minutes ago. There was a lot of chat
:30:36. > :30:37.about you been under pressure but I think you will be pleased with those
:30:38. > :30:51.numbers. Completely got a huge big increase
:30:52. > :30:59.in my majority that was good. We fought a positive campaign, one
:31:00. > :31:03.party fought and nasty campaign. The people of Vauxhall came out in their
:31:04. > :31:07.thousands, particularly a lot of young people and I got a really good
:31:08. > :31:11.majority and I am delighted because it was a positive message that we
:31:12. > :31:17.were putting forward. Both locally and with the Labour manifesto. Just
:31:18. > :31:20.to be clear, I do not want to pick through the details, but just for
:31:21. > :31:27.the benefit of people who do not know, you were supportive of Brexit
:31:28. > :31:30.and the Liberal Democrats were mounting a campaign to try and
:31:31. > :31:38.unseat you because they disagreed with you. You saw them off. Did you
:31:39. > :31:43.feel vulnerable? No, what I found sad this time is I have always had
:31:44. > :31:47.good campaigns were people get on well and we have differences on
:31:48. > :31:52.policies, but this time the Liberal Democrats did have a personalised
:31:53. > :31:57.target. They felt that everyone who voted Remain in Lambeth, that
:31:58. > :32:01.somehow they would all want a second referendum and vote Liberal Democrat
:32:02. > :32:06.and that did not happen. They are spent us by about six times what we
:32:07. > :32:09.spent and they brought in all sorts of people. They brought in Nick
:32:10. > :32:15.Clegg and I thought if he had spent more time in his own constituency,
:32:16. > :32:21.he might not have lost his seat. They also brought in Bob Geldof and
:32:22. > :32:26.all these Remain star is and the people in my area, Labour voters and
:32:27. > :32:29.supporters and people who never voted Labour before came out and
:32:30. > :32:34.voted for me and I was delighted. It shows that most people want to get
:32:35. > :32:39.on with just getting a good deal now and do not want a second referendum.
:32:40. > :32:45.Many congratulations, good to talk to you. I did not realise you were
:32:46. > :32:52.counting your votes, I thought you always did at the next day. We have
:32:53. > :32:59.moved with the times. I am out of date. We stay up all night, just
:33:00. > :33:05.like you. You're looking very well, a lot better than some of the people
:33:06. > :33:11.around my table. Danny Kennedy, congratulations. I will have to miss
:33:12. > :33:17.the Azerbaijan match. That was a pity. I will let you go and
:33:18. > :33:22.celebrate. Thank you very much. Lovely to talk to you. We are
:33:23. > :33:28.bringing the programme to a close in about five minutes. Very quickly,
:33:29. > :33:33.Simon, you have an increased mandate and so do Sinn Fein, does that give
:33:34. > :33:36.you a mandate now to do a deal as far as Northern Ireland are
:33:37. > :33:40.concerned? We went into this election and said to the people of
:33:41. > :33:44.Northern Ireland that we wanted them to vote for us not just to return a
:33:45. > :33:49.strong team to Westminster, or register their support for the union
:33:50. > :33:53.but to strengthen our hand to enter negotiations commencing next week.
:33:54. > :34:01.We still want to have devolution up and running, and the message coming
:34:02. > :34:05.back on the doors, they wanted to see us get back onto the right track
:34:06. > :34:13.after disappointing result in March but they did want to see devolution
:34:14. > :34:18.up and running. Alex, quick thought? I think it is important that we try
:34:19. > :34:22.to knuckle down and get the institutions re-establish. Whatever
:34:23. > :34:24.result there is at Westminster, it will be constrained to work within
:34:25. > :34:31.the Good Friday Agreement and that is something that is immovable. The
:34:32. > :34:33.question of who would be First Minister has not arisen, there was a
:34:34. > :34:41.possibility that Sinn Fein could take it, but would the DUP have been
:34:42. > :34:48.prepared for second place? That map shows that Sinn Fein hold every
:34:49. > :34:57.border seat. The importance of Brexit on their national psyche is
:34:58. > :35:03.clearly underscored by that. I think the outcome of this election is less
:35:04. > :35:08.likely to get a deal at Stormont because of the uncertainty in the
:35:09. > :35:13.national budget. Thank you all very much for your forbearance. A
:35:14. > :35:18.fascinating few hours. It has been a roller-coaster six hours, the SDLP
:35:19. > :35:22.and the UUP have lost all their MPs, the DUP have ten seats, to more than
:35:23. > :35:29.last time, seven Seas for Sinn Fein, to more than last time with big wins
:35:30. > :35:33.in Foyle and South Down and the retaking of Fermanagh and South
:35:34. > :35:37.Tyrone. Theresa May faces some big questions over the next few hours
:35:38. > :35:40.and it looks as if she has failed to secure any sort of useful majority
:35:41. > :35:44.in the Commons. Who would have thought that when she called this
:35:45. > :35:48.election on Easter Tuesday? Plenty to talk about in the days and weeks
:35:49. > :35:52.ahead, from all of us, thank you for your company and have a very good
:35:53. > :36:22.morning. From all of us, goodbye. To the DUP candidate, Alex Easton,
:36:23. > :36:32.you have done terrifically well, but I have one. To be called po-faced by
:36:33. > :36:41.Northern Aaron's answer to Jerry Mita and... Unionism has at wake up
:36:42. > :36:47.-- Northern Ireland's answer to Jeremy Paxman. When you lose, you
:36:48. > :37:03.find out a lot about yourself. Keep counting the votes.
:37:04. > :37:15.We are certainly witnessing history. Thinking about how people like John
:37:16. > :37:18.and Patsy taken the sort of results. -- like John and Pat Hume. Martin,
:37:19. > :37:43.we did this for you. seat for Labour. One more which
:37:44. > :37:48.again suggests what we were saying about Ruth Davidson in Scotland, who
:37:49. > :37:57.is emerging as the real bright spark of the Conservatives tonight. 48% to
:37:58. > :38:01.is emerging as the real bright spark 39%, Conservative gain in the Cedar
:38:02. > :38:12.Banff and Buchan. Alex Salmond held this EP Fourie became leader and
:38:13. > :38:19.went on to hold the seat of Gordon. We have seen all the drama of the
:38:20. > :38:22.swing in the Tory gains. This is the biggest one we have seen tonight.
:38:23. > :38:27.20% from the SNP to the Conservatives. You can see why
:38:28. > :38:33.Nicola Sturgeon were starting to sound less sure about the position
:38:34. > :38:38.of independence for Scotland. We have a result coming in. Laura, you
:38:39. > :38:43.want to say something. Iain Duncan Smith is waiting with Michelle
:38:44. > :38:53.Hossain. After that very clear call from the former minister, Anna
:38:54. > :38:57.Soubry, ... Let's interrupt you. This is held by Simon Kirby, the
:38:58. > :39:05.Conservatives. Doktor Haze, independent, 212. Simon
:39:06. > :39:16.Kirby, Conservative Party, 18,000 -- 18 835. Lloyd Russell-Moyle, Labour
:39:17. > :39:26.party, 28,000 703. Emily Louise tester, Liberal Democrat, 1457. A
:39:27. > :39:29.pretty sensational victory for Labour in Brighton Kemptown. Simon
:39:30. > :39:36.Kirby defeated by something like a majority of nearly 10,000. That is
:39:37. > :39:41.another minister gone. We have seen ministers go to night. I was just
:39:42. > :39:44.saying before we went to the result, there is clearly turmoil inside the
:39:45. > :39:51.Tory ranks. We heard Anna Soubry essentially calling Theresa May to
:39:52. > :39:54.go. Consider your position. That is cold for summary should leave.
:39:55. > :40:01.Another Tory source has just told me that Theresa May is 50-50 to go
:40:02. > :40:08.tomorrow. One source, I stress, but a good source. Another minister has
:40:09. > :40:14.just messaged me saying, as William Hague said, the Tory party is
:40:15. > :40:20.absolute monarchy registered by regicide. That is the territory we
:40:21. > :40:24.are now in. They are ruthless. The thing with Theresa May is, if
:40:25. > :40:28.somebody looks like a loser, it even though she is on course to be the
:40:29. > :40:32.biggest party, the Tories are ruthless if a leader looks like they
:40:33. > :40:37.can't deliver. There is clearly a lot of turmoil. I will not make any
:40:38. > :40:43.firm predictions about what she may do. She is meeting with her advisers
:40:44. > :40:52.right now. Michelle Hossain is upstairs.
:40:53. > :40:56.Iain Duncan Smith this year. As is a former Labour Party adviser. Should
:40:57. > :41:02.you consider her position? It would be a grave error to suddenly going
:41:03. > :41:07.into the turmoil after the result. We need some stability right now. We
:41:08. > :41:13.have to figure out what the final result is and then, can we lead a
:41:14. > :41:17.government, that is the critical question to ask. These things have
:41:18. > :41:20.to be decided. You can't say you are going to have a leadership election.
:41:21. > :41:26.That would plunge everything into turmoil. Are you saying she should
:41:27. > :41:31.have a period of time and then she could step down? No. I am saying
:41:32. > :41:36.that we need to make that might find it for the result is. Whether it is
:41:37. > :41:40.feasible to put the government together. We don't know that yet. We
:41:41. > :41:48.don't know the final result. If that is feasible, then that changes the
:41:49. > :41:52.complexion of what we are dealing with. And then the party has to
:41:53. > :41:56.meet, they have to talk to her and decide whether this is what she
:41:57. > :42:00.wants to do. And if she does, frankly, we need that stability. I
:42:01. > :42:04.am not in favour of launching these kind of off the cuff vendettas. I
:42:05. > :42:11.think the truth is we need to stay calm and stable. It can't be
:42:12. > :42:16.business as usual, can it? People must be annoyed you have ended up in
:42:17. > :42:20.this position. It is clearly not going to be business as usual. The
:42:21. > :42:25.irony is this result is full of peculiar things. Poll rating has
:42:26. > :42:29.gone up but we have got the worst result. People like me have had
:42:30. > :42:34.higher vote shares but a smaller majority. We have lost colleagues
:42:35. > :42:38.around the country. Of course there is turmoil. But the key point here
:42:39. > :42:45.is the next 24-hour is we need stability. But we don't want is any
:42:46. > :42:46.kind of rush to say change, leave, let's see with the results are and
:42:47. > :42:57.whether we can form the Gutman. Ayesha Hazarika, in 2015 the Labour
:42:58. > :43:03.vote share was 30%. Jeremy Corbyn has achieved over 40%. It has been
:43:04. > :43:06.an extraordinary night for Labour. I think there were Labour MPs up and
:43:07. > :43:11.down the country wondering if they would survive the night. Jeremy
:43:12. > :43:17.Corbyn ran the opposite of the Theresa May campaign. It was open
:43:18. > :43:21.and full of hope and popular, and he was visible. It is incredible that
:43:22. > :43:26.we are in this situation. Theresa May called this election and was 20
:43:27. > :43:29.points ahead in the polls. She called it on leadership and now we
:43:30. > :43:34.are having conversations about whether she will still be around in
:43:35. > :43:37.the morning. In February, you said the only way Jeremy Corbyn could
:43:38. > :43:44.save the Labour Party was by stepping down. I completely got it
:43:45. > :43:49.wrong, along with a lot of people. But what he has done brilliantly is
:43:50. > :43:53.for people hope. This country has been sick of seven years of
:43:54. > :44:00.austerity rule, and they wanted a change. They wanted somebody to
:44:01. > :44:03.offer them hope. Credit where credit is due, I hold my hands up and say I
:44:04. > :44:08.was one of the people who got it wrong. The Labour manifesto as well,
:44:09. > :44:14.particularly in contrasts of the Tory manifesto, which didn't offer
:44:15. > :44:21.anything and was a shambolic U-turn on the dementia tax. Was it a
:44:22. > :44:25.dreadful campaign? It clearly wasn't the greatest campaign, or we would
:44:26. > :44:28.be in a different position now. The key element is that there will be
:44:29. > :44:38.time for my party to have a look through what didn't go right and
:44:39. > :44:48.what went wrong. Theresa May, having gone into the election, found her
:44:49. > :44:53.position diminished. Right now, all my colleagues need to just take a
:44:54. > :44:57.deep breath and not go on the media. They need to keep quiet until we
:44:58. > :45:03.have figured out where we are. The oldest rule in the book is, no way
:45:04. > :45:08.your starting point is. I want Theresa May to stay for that reason.
:45:09. > :45:14.Do you fear that Brexit may not be delivered, or not the sort of Brexit
:45:15. > :45:17.you would like? I just want Brexit. We will see what that means. The
:45:18. > :45:25.Labour Party has already said they were signed up to Brexit. The Labour
:45:26. > :45:29.Party position has been good on Brexit, but it is extraordinary to
:45:30. > :45:33.think that she started this whole campaign saying "My leadership will
:45:34. > :45:37.be strong and stable", and she is the one now facing leadership
:45:38. > :45:43.challenges. She has had a stinker of a campaign. It happens. Nothing is
:45:44. > :45:50.perfect, but I do want stability and I want her to stay. You want
:45:51. > :45:55.something strong and stable. I will just settle for stability right now.
:45:56. > :46:04.She remains Prime Minister and the country has to come first. For
:46:05. > :46:08.anyone watching, if you are Prime Minister, stay put and then we can
:46:09. > :46:12.figure out what our position is. Iain Duncan Smith and Ayesha
:46:13. > :46:16.Hazarika, thank you. We are joined now from stricken by
:46:17. > :46:21.Chuka Umunna, one of those who were rather critical of the leadership of
:46:22. > :46:28.Jeremy Corbyn and indeed voted him out. Congratulations on your
:46:29. > :46:32.victory, first of all. Your vote went up by 12,000 or something. But
:46:33. > :46:36.let's cut to the chase. What do you make of what has happened? You and
:46:37. > :46:46.many others misjudged Jeremy Corbyn, didn't you? First of all, the Prime
:46:47. > :46:50.Minister held this election for naked party political reasons. It
:46:51. > :46:55.was opportunism writ large, and she wanted a personal mandate to pursue
:46:56. > :47:00.an extremely job destroying Brexit. And she has been denied that. I am
:47:01. > :47:06.delighted about that. Let's be frank about the reason she has been denied
:47:07. > :47:13.that. It isn't just that she ran a terrible campaign and clearly is not
:47:14. > :47:18.up to campaigning by being with people and talking to them about the
:47:19. > :47:21.issues, whereas Jeremy is absolutely at home campaigning, talking to
:47:22. > :47:29.people, getting involved in the debate. But the reason why many
:47:30. > :47:33.people will have changed their minds, the reason I voted no
:47:34. > :47:38.confidence last year was that I was angry because I felt we could have
:47:39. > :47:42.done more to ensure that we got a Remain vote in that referendum. But
:47:43. > :47:47.the effect of Jeremy running this kind of campaign, positive,
:47:48. > :47:50.optimistic, dynamic, engaging young people, putting forward policies, we
:47:51. > :47:53.saw looked loved that from the Tories and as ie she just said, the
:47:54. > :47:57.one big thing people will remember about the Tory manifesto is the
:47:58. > :48:03.dementia tax. But the effect of actually putting forward this agenda
:48:04. > :48:09.has thwarted Theresa May's attempts to pursue a hard Brexit. I give
:48:10. > :48:14.Jeremy and the entire Labour team full credit for that, because it was
:48:15. > :48:19.a solid, good national campaign and we have amazing local operations. I
:48:20. > :48:23.temper this just by making this observation, which is that the
:48:24. > :48:27.Labour Party was founded 117 years ago by Keir Hardie and others, not
:48:28. > :48:30.only to be the representative of workers in parliament, but to govern
:48:31. > :48:35.in their interests too. We don't know what will happen because we
:48:36. > :48:39.don't know the final numbers or whether Labour will be part of
:48:40. > :48:43.whatever comes out of this. But it is a positive step forward to
:48:44. > :48:54.government today. Ultimately, we must get into government in the
:48:55. > :48:58.future to make our values real. If you were now offered a position back
:48:59. > :49:04.in the Shadow Cabinet, assuming it is still a Shadow Cabinet, would you
:49:05. > :49:09.accept it? I have never been asked to serve in the Shadow Cabinet under
:49:10. > :49:17.Jeremy before. But I want to get Labour back into government. I can
:49:18. > :49:23.work in any way to make that happen. I would not rule out being part of a
:49:24. > :49:28.Shadow Cabinet if I was asked. I don't presume that I will be asked,
:49:29. > :49:36.but I intend to play a full role in making sure we do what we need to do
:49:37. > :49:40.to deliver on our values. My guess is that you began this campaign
:49:41. > :49:45.thinking that at the end of it, there might be a vacancy for the
:49:46. > :49:53.leadership of the Labour Party, and that has now been postponed. I
:49:54. > :49:57.wouldn't describe it as my dream. I did not dream of having the majority
:49:58. > :50:01.that Labour activists have just secured here in Streatham. My wife
:50:02. > :50:03.was here with me earlier and she asked me at the beginning of the
:50:04. > :50:06.campaign not to make any predictions, because she said before
:50:07. > :50:10.the last general election, you thought Labour would end up in
:50:11. > :50:13.government and you didn't. You thought the Remain side would win
:50:14. > :50:17.the EU referendum campaign, and then you assured me we wouldn't see a
:50:18. > :50:20.president Donald Trump and we do. She said, I am not going to believe
:50:21. > :50:24.predictions from you and I don't think you make any. For the start of
:50:25. > :50:28.this campaign, I went on the Daily Politics and other programmes and
:50:29. > :50:37.people ask, do you think Labour will win? And I have said, anything is
:50:38. > :50:43.possible. What this illustrates is... Chuka Umunna, thank you much.
:50:44. > :50:52.I want to hear the result from Hastings and see whether Amber Rudd
:50:53. > :50:59.has held on. Liberal Democrats, 1885. Michael Sheridan Phillips,
:51:00. > :51:13.Ukip, 1479. Amber Rudd, the Conservative Party candidate, 25668.
:51:14. > :51:19.Nicholas John Wilson, independent, 412. The total number of ballot
:51:20. > :51:23.papers rejected was 97. The turnout was 70%. Therefore, I give public
:51:24. > :51:25.notice that Amber Rudd is duly elected as the member of Parliament
:51:26. > :51:32.for the Hastings and write constituency. So the Home Secretary
:51:33. > :51:39.holds onto her seat. There was talk that it would be difficult for her,
:51:40. > :51:42.but she holds on. I would like to thank the returning officer and the
:51:43. > :51:46.fantastic counting agents who have done the job twice this evening. We
:51:47. > :51:52.are grateful to you for staying late and doing a professional job. I
:51:53. > :51:57.would also like to thank my team who have done a fantastic job supporting
:51:58. > :52:01.me and making sure we had a good turnout on the day. I would
:52:02. > :52:06.particularly like to thank the Labour candidate, who I know well
:52:07. > :52:11.and I am sure will continue in his role as leader of the council. Thank
:52:12. > :52:18.you for a fair fight. I am deeply honoured to have been re-elected for
:52:19. > :52:23.now for the third time by the residents of Hastings and Rye. This
:52:24. > :52:27.is a fantastic place to live and work and I hope I will continue to
:52:28. > :52:32.build on the great opportunities and the great regeneration that has been
:52:33. > :52:35.taking place in this area, improving our schools, improving our NHS and
:52:36. > :52:39.getting the infrastructure investment that we need. This is
:52:40. > :52:44.what matters to me and this is what I hope to continue to deliver for
:52:45. > :52:55.the fantastic constituency of Hastings and Rye. So Amber Rudd,
:52:56. > :52:59.with the seagulls behind her. She was generally seen to have had a
:53:00. > :53:03.good campaign. Is there a possibility that she might be in the
:53:04. > :53:11.line for becoming leader of the Conservative Party? She has been
:53:12. > :53:15.talked about. But having had such a narrow result and having been a big
:53:16. > :53:18.part of a campaign that is judged to be a disaster, it looks harder for
:53:19. > :53:25.her now than it would have done a couple of weeks ago. At that time,
:53:26. > :53:32.she would have been top of the list. She was widely tipped to be Theresa
:53:33. > :53:40.May's next Chancellor if Theresa May ends up staying on. She was
:53:41. > :53:44.certainly considered as a potential leadership candidate in the future.
:53:45. > :53:54.But I wonder whether her judgment on this campaign and her role in it
:53:55. > :53:59.makes that less likely. She was the Prime Minister's understudy and she
:54:00. > :54:07.is a formidable character. She is a Remainer, but widely respected.
:54:08. > :54:14.Let's see what Nigel Farage has been up to in the last couple of hours.
:54:15. > :54:17.He has stormed back into the political conversation. In a sense,
:54:18. > :54:21.he never went away, but with Paul Nuttall as the leader of Ukip having
:54:22. > :54:26.a bad result, Nigel Farage has been vocal. He said tonight that Article
:54:27. > :54:29.50 had been triggered and we were on our way. May has put this in
:54:30. > :54:35.jeopardy. Even David Davis is now making Brexit concessions. There is
:54:36. > :54:39.a clear mood developing from lots of people who were fervent Brexiteers,
:54:40. > :54:42.including Iain Duncan Smith, that they are annoyed at what is
:54:43. > :54:46.happening. That is Nigel Farage's quote. Paddy Ashdown has also
:54:47. > :54:51.weighed in on the issue of Brexit. The former Lib Dem leader says if
:54:52. > :54:56.this election was about Brexit, must we not conclude that Britain has
:54:57. > :54:59.rejected Mrs May's hard Brexit? So there are lots of people on inside
:55:00. > :55:04.of the Brexit camp trying to use this result is a way of casting
:55:05. > :55:09.judgment on the Brexit referendum of 2016. Chris Evans, editor of the
:55:10. > :55:13.Daily Telegraph, is also talking about the softening of Brexit. He
:55:14. > :55:17.says the DUP are already outlining terms for a soft Brexit as the price
:55:18. > :55:23.for propping up the Tories. And the Financial Times says it is almost as
:55:24. > :55:32.if Theresa May looked at Hillary's campaign and said, let's do that.
:55:33. > :55:38.That is as cruel as you can get. Here is the latest Daily Mail front
:55:39. > :55:45.page. Theresa May of course had huge support from most of the British
:55:46. > :55:49.press. One of her main spin doctors is a former Daily Mail political
:55:50. > :55:57.editor. They are very disappointed at the result. And they say there
:55:58. > :56:06.are fears of Brexit chaos. Emily, another result? Look at Enfield
:56:07. > :56:10.Southgate. This was where we had the Portillo moment in 1997 and you can
:56:11. > :56:17.see what has happened. It has been a Labour gain from the Conservatives
:56:18. > :56:24.again. In Portillo's day, there was a 15,000 majority. Labour has taken
:56:25. > :56:32.it on a 4000 majority. Come back to me! Have a glass of water. That is a
:56:33. > :56:37.fascinating seat. It is outer London, not in London, where you
:56:38. > :56:40.have lots of students and very trendy left. Enfield Southgate is
:56:41. > :56:47.not the home of the trendy Islington left. Enfield Southgate is a sort of
:56:48. > :56:51.Middle Britain seat that happens to be in the south-east. And there we
:56:52. > :56:54.see a big Labour gain. At the beginning of the night, we never
:56:55. > :57:02.would have thought we would see that kind of swing. Let me pick up here.
:57:03. > :57:06.Don't choke to death this time. Sangakkara it is the excitement of
:57:07. > :57:09.the night, or maybe a stray blueberry. 9.7% swing from the
:57:10. > :57:13.Conservatives to Labour in this seat, which really was a moment in
:57:14. > :57:24.1997. We are looking at places that Blair
:57:25. > :57:28.won for the first time. Some of these are on the chart for the first
:57:29. > :57:33.time since then. It is extraordinary to think of these different
:57:34. > :57:37.characters, Tony Blair and Jeremy Corbyn, but to see the same kind of
:57:38. > :57:44.places cropping up. The next one is Keighley. Again, quite far down the
:57:45. > :57:49.Labour targets. It is a neck and neck vote between the Labour Party
:57:50. > :57:55.and the Conservatives, but enough for a Labour to gain it. A big drop
:57:56. > :58:00.in the Ukip vote. They needed a 3.1% swing. You can see what has
:58:01. > :58:05.happened. They have taken it, just, on a 3.3% swing. Some quite
:58:06. > :58:09.interesting ones. Derbyshire Northeast has been a gain for the
:58:10. > :58:14.Conservatives. It was 18 on their list. Lee Rowley pushing out
:58:15. > :58:22.Natascha Engel, quite a well-known name for Labour. You can see a 4.8%
:58:23. > :58:28.swing from Labour to the Conservatives. That is the seat just
:58:29. > :58:32.outside Chesterfield. Broadly the kind of seats we are seeing turned
:58:33. > :58:36.red to are ones that very few people would have had on any kind of
:58:37. > :58:40.rational target list at the beginning of the night. They are
:58:41. > :58:45.places taking a lot of us by surprise.
:58:46. > :58:50.John Woodcock is the Labour MP for Barrow and Furness. His majority,
:58:51. > :58:55.squeaking in at 209. A special adviser to Gordon Brown. Everybody
:58:56. > :59:01.is having their words thrown back at them tonight. Words I want to throw
:59:02. > :59:05.baguette you are, Labour is on course for an historic and
:59:06. > :59:14.catastrophic defeat. So what went right for Labour?!
:59:15. > :59:18.Well, David I have no idea! And I'm not sure anyone who you will have on
:59:19. > :59:22.this programme actually genuinely has an idea either. And if they say
:59:23. > :59:29.that they do, I think they are probably winging it. There have been
:59:30. > :59:36.utterly extraordinary results. In places where Labour has struggled,
:59:37. > :59:41.we have gained ground. In Canterbury we have produced an incredible
:59:42. > :59:45.victory out of nowhere. I don't know what is going on in British
:59:46. > :59:53.politics. I think the one thing which is clear is that this is wide
:59:54. > :59:58.open. There is a space and there is a need for a progressive force to
:59:59. > :00:05.take the country forward and give them more hope than that which has
:00:06. > :00:10.been said over these last couple of years by the Conservative
:00:11. > :00:16.government. And that force we have shown overnight can be the Labour
:00:17. > :00:20.Party. I am deeply, deeply proud. Unexpectedly, I have to say. But I
:00:21. > :00:26.am deeply proud to be returned as one of their MPs. Can you sign up to
:00:27. > :00:32.the kind of policies that Jeremy Corbyn has been promoting, when you
:00:33. > :00:35.actually clearly thought they were completely wrong, wrong for the
:00:36. > :00:40.Labour Party, but much more importantly, wrong for the country?
:00:41. > :00:47.Well, the Labour Party has always been a Broadchurch. And probably
:00:48. > :00:52.never broader than it has been at the moment. One of the things which
:00:53. > :01:02.gave me so much heart locally was the way that local party members who
:01:03. > :01:06.were deeply aggrieved by what I said about the leader, they all came
:01:07. > :01:14.together in this campaign to get us over the line and to keep a Labour
:01:15. > :01:18.MP, to keep me here. And that shows, actually, that we can unite and
:01:19. > :01:21.there will be a huge question, of course, for the party as to what
:01:22. > :01:28.direction we take. What vision we put forward. But this result shows
:01:29. > :01:34.that we can do it. Actually, there is not the appetite in this country
:01:35. > :01:39.for the paucity of vision, the lack of hope, the doing down of our
:01:40. > :01:42.country, that we have seen from this Conservative government over the
:01:43. > :01:46.last couple of years. People want change. And we have an opportunity
:01:47. > :01:51.to provide that. And that is brilliant. Thank you bring much
:01:52. > :02:00.indeed. It is time for another update on the news. Let's have that
:02:01. > :02:06.with the forecast of the moment showing... We can show it? We can't.
:02:07. > :02:10.I don't know if we can or not. Can we show the forecast, they are
:02:11. > :02:17.asking? I don't know. They haven't got it. We haven't got the forecast.
:02:18. > :02:23.We have the news. Good morning. With less than 50
:02:24. > :02:28.seats still to be declared, the outcome of the general election is
:02:29. > :02:31.still uncertain. Labour has done better-than-expected. Although the
:02:32. > :02:35.Conservatives looked like being the biggest party, they are not likely
:02:36. > :02:40.to get a majority. Jeremy Corbyn has called for Theresa May to resign.
:02:41. > :02:43.The Prime Minister says the country needs stability. The night saw Alex
:02:44. > :02:52.Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their seats. Tom Bateman's port contains
:02:53. > :02:56.flash photography. -- report. She called this election early, a
:02:57. > :03:05.political gamble, the hope that she would transform the Tories' fragile
:03:06. > :03:08.majority with a huge win. Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up
:03:09. > :03:15.even worse off without even a majority. If, as the indications
:03:16. > :03:18.have shown, if this is correct, that the Conservative Party won the most
:03:19. > :03:23.seats and probably the most votes, then it would be incumbent on us to
:03:24. > :03:29.make sure we have that period of stability, and that is exactly what
:03:30. > :03:34.we will do. You can see what the Labour leader makes of these results
:03:35. > :03:37.so far. A man whose campaign confounded expectations, beaming
:03:38. > :03:42.smiles, with Labour on course for a far better night than many thought.
:03:43. > :03:47.The Prime Minister call the election because she wanted a mandate. Will a
:03:48. > :03:54.mandate she has got is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost
:03:55. > :04:00.votes and lost confidence. I would have thought that's enough to go,
:04:01. > :04:04.actually. In Battersea, Labour had ousted a government Minister on a
:04:05. > :04:08.swing of 10%. There have been Labour gains elsewhere. In Stockton South
:04:09. > :04:15.from the Conservatives and in Scotland, Rutherglen from the SNP.
:04:16. > :04:22.It is not just the Tories suffering. In Sheffield, former Lib Dem leader
:04:23. > :04:24.Nick Clegg lost his seat. I have encountered this evening something
:04:25. > :04:29.that many people have encountered before tonight and I suspect many
:04:30. > :04:33.people encounter after tonight, which is that you live by the sword
:04:34. > :04:38.and by thy -- die by the sword in politics. The night began with a
:04:39. > :04:41.projection, the exit poll. It had the Conservatives as the largest
:04:42. > :04:46.party but short of an overall majority. It put the Tories on three
:04:47. > :04:57.other than 14 seats, down 17. Labour would be up 34 seats. The SNP down
:04:58. > :05:01.to 34 MPs. The Lib Dems on 14. The SNP have lost big names on a
:05:02. > :05:05.disappointing night compared with their Scottish landslide two years
:05:06. > :05:09.ago. Deputy leader Angus Robertson was ousted by the Conservatives.
:05:10. > :05:14.Former leader Alex Salmond lost his seat as well. Now one of Theresa
:05:15. > :05:20.May's on MPs is laying the blame on her. She is in a difficult place.
:05:21. > :05:23.She is a very talented woman and she doesn't shy from difficult
:05:24. > :05:27.positions. But she now obviously has to consider your position. V
:05:28. > :05:32.Festival of democracy has been on is full show, as have the upsets.
:05:33. > :05:36.Theresa May has left her constituency count. The election
:05:37. > :05:40.campaign has been an unpredictable journey. Already some Labour
:05:41. > :05:44.opponents are saying tonight it should bring the end of the road for
:05:45. > :05:51.her premiership. But there is still a way to go and more votes still to
:05:52. > :05:55.be counted. The pound's position on currency markets has weakened
:05:56. > :06:00.following early results. Overnight sterling suffered one of its biggest
:06:01. > :06:04.falls since January, sinking to a low of almost 2% against the dollar
:06:05. > :06:08.as the euro. A clearer picture of the markets will emerge when trading
:06:09. > :06:12.opens across Europe. And the final results of the election coming. Time
:06:13. > :06:19.for the weather. Good morning. This is how we ended
:06:20. > :06:22.the day in Highland Scotland. For much of Scotland and Northern
:06:23. > :06:26.Ireland it was a wet day on Thursday. Today we saw the rain in
:06:27. > :06:31.Scotland petering out. Showers heading eastwards. Much prior across
:06:32. > :06:34.Northern Ireland. Some sharp showers across western England and Wales.
:06:35. > :06:39.They will become heavily for the released this afternoon, as they
:06:40. > :06:43.will in parts of Scotland. We are talking hail and risk of thunder.
:06:44. > :06:48.Much drier and brighter with some sunshine for the West. It will feel
:06:49. > :06:52.warmer well. It doesn't last. As we go through the evening, more rain of
:06:53. > :06:57.the Atlantic. Wetter for Northern Ireland. As we move into Saturday,
:06:58. > :07:02.for Scotland. The South and east probably not seeing that much rain.
:07:03. > :07:06.Still quite muggy and one. The rain clears further north to reveal
:07:07. > :07:11.sunshine and showers. Eventually that weather front clears all parts
:07:12. > :07:14.going from Saturday to Sunday. Sunday day of sunny spells and
:07:15. > :07:16.showers. That is a look of the weather.
:07:17. > :07:39.Let's return to David Dimbleby. Dawn has broken over Westminster.
:07:40. > :07:44.And a cruel dawn for the Tory party. After the results that have come in,
:07:45. > :07:48.we have still got 44 to come in. A lot of talk from sources within the
:07:49. > :07:55.Tory party about Theresa May's future. We have had the call for her
:07:56. > :07:59.to go. Pretty much a call for her to go from Anna Soubry, a backbencher,
:08:00. > :08:05.famously outspoken. People Laura Kuenssberg have been speaking to
:08:06. > :08:08.have said something needs to be done fairly dramatically and swiftly.
:08:09. > :08:15.There is another interesting aspect. The votes have gone back to the two
:08:16. > :08:20.main parties, Conservative and Labour. Not since 1970 have both
:08:21. > :08:28.parties had over 12 million people voting for them. The current rate is
:08:29. > :08:33.Labour on 12 million and 100,000, the Conservatives on 12 million and
:08:34. > :08:38.6000. The smaller parties, the Liberals, and all the other parties,
:08:39. > :08:44.had given way to a 2-party vote, which in a way is like that campaign
:08:45. > :08:47.was. There were two very clearly distinct messages being given from
:08:48. > :08:51.the Conservatives on the one hand with Theresa May saying strong and
:08:52. > :08:54.stable and all that, and Jeremy Corbyn on the other hand saying,
:08:55. > :08:59.there is another way. Less austerity, more spending,, the
:09:00. > :09:02.government should do this and that. There was a poor rises and on the
:09:03. > :09:08.parties and it seems the voters have been attracted to the polarisation.
:09:09. > :09:14.They are getting two very clear and distinct messages. We will now look
:09:15. > :09:18.at how the parties stand. Let's do that. We started many hours
:09:19. > :09:23.ago in our virtual Downing Street and we give you our exit poll. A lot
:09:24. > :09:26.of people were saying on social media it can't be right. The
:09:27. > :09:32.forecast, with only about 44 seats to go, is very close to what we were
:09:33. > :09:39.saying at five minutes to ten. The Conservatives falling short. 318 we
:09:40. > :09:43.think now. Let's look at Labour. Quite a long way back but exceeding
:09:44. > :09:47.all expectations. That is the point about the Labour performance. They
:09:48. > :09:50.have done better than even they thought as we have heard from some
:09:51. > :09:55.of the extraordinary interviews we have heard. 318 for the
:09:56. > :09:58.Conservatives. You will see where these individual paving stones,
:09:59. > :10:02.which are all individual constituencies, where they are
:10:03. > :10:07.darker blue we have not got a result. Back here we have got those
:10:08. > :10:13.results in. It is just the darker blue. Most are solid blue. Not many
:10:14. > :10:18.more results. The ones we're waiting for, places like Kensington,
:10:19. > :10:24.Richmond Park, Crawley, Dumfries, Winchester, Thirsk, Truro, St Ives
:10:25. > :10:28.etc, still waiting for them. The exit polls stabilised with these
:10:29. > :10:34.results. 318, the Conservatives short of an overall majority. 650
:10:35. > :10:39.MPs in the House of Commons, so you need just over half to be in
:10:40. > :10:42.control. Theresa May will not be. She will have to find friends in the
:10:43. > :10:48.House of Commons. It will be the Liberal Democrats this time. Have a
:10:49. > :10:51.look at the Labour line. You could say the Labour result is no better
:10:52. > :10:57.than Gordon Brown did when he lost the 2010 election. They have got a
:10:58. > :11:01.handsome share of the vote. Part of that is rather surprising numbers of
:11:02. > :11:05.Ukip voters going to Labour, which commentators did not predict. Also,
:11:06. > :11:10.younger voters. I'm sure we will find out many of them have been
:11:11. > :11:15.involved in the election. Labour 262, that's what we are now
:11:16. > :11:25.forecasting, just down four from what we said at 10pm. These early
:11:26. > :11:32.seats that we are still waiting for. Hendon, Ilford North, Dudley... Most
:11:33. > :11:40.of these lines are solid red, solid blue. This is the situation. What a
:11:41. > :11:43.blow for Theresa May, to call an election when she was 16 points
:11:44. > :11:47.clear in the polls, thinking about the landslide of 100 and she didn't
:11:48. > :11:52.even get an overall majority. It is politically devastating for her.
:11:53. > :12:00.That is why we just saw Jeremy Corbyn giving the thumbs up.
:12:01. > :12:07.Amazing. John Curtice, you are being a bit cautious about your exit poll,
:12:08. > :12:12.not your exit poll, the BBC, sky, ITV exit poll, I have to say that
:12:13. > :12:16.for copyright reasons... This combined exit poll. You were being
:12:17. > :12:21.courses at the beginning, saying maybe it is not quite as bad as that
:12:22. > :12:26.for the Tories. -- cautious. It now looks like you were spot on? One
:12:27. > :12:30.always has to be cautious because the truth is one knows the
:12:31. > :12:34.fragility. Two years ago we underestimated the Tory target by 18
:12:35. > :12:39.seats. It looks as though this time we might be possibly three seats
:12:40. > :12:45.out, but that is about it. It looks as though our forecast is going to
:12:46. > :12:47.prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in the end of the most accurate exit
:12:48. > :12:58.poll yet. We will wait to see. Is there any possibility of it not
:12:59. > :13:03.being a hung parliament now? There is no way the Conservatives can get
:13:04. > :13:09.to the 326 mark. There is going to be a hung parliament. Plus some of
:13:10. > :13:15.the questions Laura was raising about Theresa May's future. It is
:13:16. > :13:20.worth remembering that the international academic extra says
:13:21. > :13:24.that calling snap elections often doesn't work, because voters ask
:13:25. > :13:29.themselves, hang on, what is it that is coming around the corner that
:13:30. > :13:34.they are trying to hide from us? If you think about the snap elections
:13:35. > :13:37.we have had in the UK in the past, 1970, Harold Wilson suddenly went to
:13:38. > :13:43.the country when he thought the June tweet polls had turned in his
:13:44. > :13:45.favour. He lost. In February in 1974, Edward Heath went to the
:13:46. > :13:51.country suddenly because of the miners strike. He lost. Now very
:13:52. > :13:56.suddenly and unexpectedly indeed, Theresa May has gone to the country.
:13:57. > :14:00.Her party has not managed to lose, but maybe we will find that she has
:14:01. > :14:05.ended up the loser of this election. She should have talked to you before
:14:06. > :14:16.she decided to do it! If she had read the international literature,
:14:17. > :14:19.it shows that although being able to call an election when you think it
:14:20. > :14:23.is a good idea might seem an advantage, if you try to call an
:14:24. > :14:30.election very early in a parliament, it can rebound on you. Laura, we
:14:31. > :14:35.know that she has a tight circle of political advisers ma Fiona Hill and
:14:36. > :14:39.Nick Timothy in particular. She must have consulted them. They are the
:14:40. > :14:44.ones who must take the blame for this. I understand she is currently
:14:45. > :14:49.closeted with them in Tory HQ, discussing their next moves. One
:14:50. > :14:55.minister has said to me, I don't think she has to go, but things will
:14:56. > :15:00.have to change. There will be demands from inside the 1922
:15:01. > :15:05.committee and among ministers that she must change her style of
:15:06. > :15:14.working. She must expand beyond that tiny group of people. That is where
:15:15. > :15:23.the discussion is. But is she capable of changing her way of
:15:24. > :15:27.working? She doesn't seem to move an inch without Nick Timothy and Fiona
:15:28. > :15:31.Hill telling her what to do. She's famed for her stubbornness. She
:15:32. > :15:34.could try to cast that as being resolute. That is what she tried to
:15:35. > :15:37.do in this election, boasting that she could be a bloody difficult
:15:38. > :15:46.woman. But if you will not change your mind and you have made the
:15:47. > :15:51.wrong decision, it is not great. We are joined by Simon Hamilton from
:15:52. > :15:55.the Democratic Unionist Party in Northern Ireland and the member of
:15:56. > :16:02.the Northern Ireland Assembly. I think you now have eight for the
:16:03. > :16:09.DUP? We increased our seats from eight in the last parliament to ten.
:16:10. > :16:14.You are clearly going to be a potentially attractive partner to a
:16:15. > :16:20.Tory Prime Minister who doesn't have an overall majority. What are you
:16:21. > :16:24.going to be asking for? Well, the results are still coming in and we
:16:25. > :16:32.will soon know what the final shape of the parliament is. Let's see what
:16:33. > :16:36.the final result is. The impact of Northern Ireland will be not just in
:16:37. > :16:39.respect of the Democratic Unionist Party, but also Sinn Fein, who don't
:16:40. > :16:43.take their seats in Westminster, which will have an impact on the
:16:44. > :16:53.overall working majority in parliament. First and foremost, the
:16:54. > :16:59.DUP will be looking to achieve our goals in respect of the best deal
:17:00. > :17:02.for Northern Ireland. We are also mindful of our responsibilities in
:17:03. > :17:07.terms of the national political scene. This is a difficult time for
:17:08. > :17:11.the UK. There are a lot of challenges, particularly with
:17:12. > :17:15.respect to terrorism and a attack on democracy in the last few weeks, but
:17:16. > :17:20.also the challenges and opportunities that Brexit presents
:17:21. > :17:25.and the need to get not just a good deal for Northern Ireland, but a
:17:26. > :17:35.good deal for the UK. Laura, you watch Westminster closely. Can you
:17:36. > :17:38.interpret for me what the DUP position would actually mean in
:17:39. > :17:43.terms of votes in the House? What kind of pressure will they be able
:17:44. > :17:48.to bring? Significant pressure. In the last Parliament, the DUP were
:17:49. > :17:51.able to do privately call shots on some issues. But if there were to be
:17:52. > :17:57.any sort of backsliding on Brexit, what would you consider to be
:17:58. > :18:01.something unacceptable? We have already heard that there may be Tory
:18:02. > :18:06.MPs calling for a reconsideration of the idea of staying in the single
:18:07. > :18:12.market. Would that be something you would consider as acceptable in the
:18:13. > :18:16.Brexit negotiations? Northern Ireland has particular circumstances
:18:17. > :18:23.in respect of Brexit, because we have a border with Ireland which
:18:24. > :18:29.will be the UK's border with the European Union after Brexit. The UK
:18:30. > :18:32.will be leaving the EU, but there are particular circumstances shaped
:18:33. > :18:38.by our history, geography and economy that we want to see
:18:39. > :18:43.reflected in any deal. That is something we would be talking very
:18:44. > :18:47.early to a new government about. Is it clear to you that you would only
:18:48. > :18:50.do a kind of vote by vote understanding or would you consider
:18:51. > :18:56.something more formal with the Conservatives? Let's see what
:18:57. > :19:00.happens over the next few hours. Clearly, our votes will be
:19:01. > :19:05.important. In the last Parliament, our votes were not needed in the way
:19:06. > :19:08.they may be in the new parliament. On a range of issues, we were able
:19:09. > :19:12.to take a position which was consistent with our policies as a
:19:13. > :19:15.party but were also in the best interests of the people of Northern
:19:16. > :19:25.Ireland, and we will continue to do that. You are in favour of leaving
:19:26. > :19:30.the EU. What kind of border do you want with the South? We want to see
:19:31. > :19:34.a frictionless border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of
:19:35. > :19:38.Ireland. There are a lot of movements on a daily basis between
:19:39. > :19:41.people who work on both sides of the border and a lot of movements in
:19:42. > :19:49.respect of the economy and trade. The rest of the UK remains our
:19:50. > :19:52.biggest seller 's market. So you think people who worry about that
:19:53. > :19:57.border and think that for instance, in terms of immigration into the UK,
:19:58. > :20:05.it is an open door from the Republic into the north, they are wrong? The
:20:06. > :20:08.Common travel area has existed between Northern Ireland and the
:20:09. > :20:16.Republic of Ireland since the 1920s. There has been a lot of talk in the
:20:17. > :20:22.last year about the creation of a hard border. That is not something
:20:23. > :20:26.we want. Sorry to interrupt, but were talking about Polish workers
:20:27. > :20:30.and Romanian workers coming from the EU who have open access at the
:20:31. > :20:33.moment to the mainland of Britain. They will surely be able to come
:20:34. > :20:38.into the Republic through Northern Ireland and into Britain. I know you
:20:39. > :20:43.have had a common border with the South, but that is going to allow
:20:44. > :20:50.anyone to come from anywhere in Europe into the mainland of Britain,
:20:51. > :20:56.isn't it? The detail of how it would work in practice would have to be
:20:57. > :21:01.worked out through the course of the next number of years as we go
:21:02. > :21:05.through the Article 50 process. We want a good deal for Northern
:21:06. > :21:10.Ireland as we exit the European Union. We were reassured by what the
:21:11. > :21:13.Prime Minister, David Davis and other Cabinet members said about
:21:14. > :21:17.their desire not to see a hard border. That is something we don't
:21:18. > :21:21.want on the Dublin government don't want to see that either. Brussels
:21:22. > :21:27.officials have also said that, so there is a recognition of the
:21:28. > :21:30.circumstances of Northern Ireland. That is something we will want to be
:21:31. > :21:40.dealt with early in the new parliament. Mr Hamilton, thank you.
:21:41. > :21:45.You mentioned David Davis. We have been trying to get Boris Johnson to
:21:46. > :22:02.talk to us. No. David Davis? No. Philip Hammond? No. Senior figures
:22:03. > :22:07.in the Tory party stumm, unlike Mishal's guests. Were ordered by
:22:08. > :22:09.Alistair Campbell, former director of Downing Street implications and
:22:10. > :22:14.the Guardian journalist Paul Mason. Paul, did you dare to hope for these
:22:15. > :22:19.sorts of games for Labour? Yes. I knew as soon as we did the left-wing
:22:20. > :22:22.manifesto that we could get back to 35%. I'm not sure what the final
:22:23. > :22:28.percentage will be, but it looks like we are on 12 million votes for
:22:29. > :22:33.Labour, which is pushing close to what the first two Tony Blair
:22:34. > :22:38.results were. What has then it is the severe deprivation across the
:22:39. > :22:44.areas of Britain that are voting for us. 12 million people picked up the
:22:45. > :22:48.Daily Mail and the # And read these headlines about Corbyn and McDonnell
:22:49. > :22:53.being Marxist terror supporters and threw them mentally in the bin.
:22:54. > :22:58.So for you, it was the anti-austerity election? Absolutely.
:22:59. > :23:04.I was campaigning in Plymouth, the home of the Trident submarine, or
:23:05. > :23:08.where they refurbish them. It looks like Labour will win both Plymouth
:23:09. > :23:13.seats. Even to that military community, home of the Royal Marine
:23:14. > :23:19.commandos, it is desperate out there in many working class communities,
:23:20. > :23:23.and nobody in politics has noticed. You are making it sound like a win,
:23:24. > :23:29.which it isn't. Alastair Campbell, what do you think? It has been an
:23:30. > :23:32.extraordinary night. I do think that an election that Theresa May called
:23:33. > :23:39.to strengthen her position, because she looked at the numbers on Jeremy
:23:40. > :23:43.Corbyn and thought it was unlosable, and she has lost. She cannot survive
:23:44. > :23:48.for long in the position she has got. I think Jeremy Corbyn is onto
:23:49. > :23:51.something in relation to how deep the austerity is going and the
:23:52. > :23:58.public saying they want something better. As you mentioned, Mishal, it
:23:59. > :24:05.is important to emphasise that she has lost and Labour hasn't won. The
:24:06. > :24:11.country is essentially still saying, we don't really want either of you.
:24:12. > :24:14.But they are doing it at a time when a government has to go into the most
:24:15. > :24:20.difficult negotiations that any government has had since the war.
:24:21. > :24:27.For your party, it means that Blairism is even more firmly part of
:24:28. > :24:31.the past. Jeremy Corbyn's wing of the party will lead it for the
:24:32. > :24:36.foreseeable future. Well, I want and hope that the Labour Party can
:24:37. > :24:39.encapsulate and encompass all of that space. The only way the Labour
:24:40. > :24:46.Party will get back into winning and having a Labour Prime Minister is if
:24:47. > :24:51.you have that coalition that has the left, but also has the centre
:24:52. > :24:58.ground. I want to get over this new, old, Blair, Brown macro thing.
:24:59. > :25:02.History has put us in an amazing edition. Of course we haven't won
:25:03. > :25:06.and we have to facilitate a stable conservative/ DUP government forming
:25:07. > :25:11.itself, because this country is under attack from terror. So what
:25:12. > :25:15.Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry are signalling about looking... We
:25:16. > :25:24.don't know what the final arithmetic is. But in the next 12 hours, Amber
:25:25. > :25:30.Rudd has to carry on being Home Secretary. You are right that Labour
:25:31. > :25:34.now needs to learn from this. I would like to see some of those big
:25:35. > :25:41.hitters from the brown and Blair era come into the Shadow Cabinet, reset
:25:42. > :25:46.the balance within Labour, re-look at what our offer on Brexit is. We
:25:47. > :25:51.have won this is committed to Brexit. That is how you win in
:25:52. > :25:55.places like Manchester and Bolton. But the kind of Brexit now has to be
:25:56. > :26:02.one that embraces an engagement with Europe. One of her big mistakes was
:26:03. > :26:09.that since the referendum, she has governed for the 40% with two
:26:10. > :26:13.fingers up to the 52%. You cannot govern for the country with such a
:26:14. > :26:19.big decision to be pursued like that. So no matter what
:26:20. > :26:22.configuration, there will have to be a much more consensual approach to
:26:23. > :26:29.what Britain's relationship with Europe becomes.
:26:30. > :26:37.Let's join Yvette Cooper in Wakefield. Thank you for joining us
:26:38. > :26:43.at this early hour of the morning. You are safely back in your seat.
:26:44. > :26:47.You were one of those who wanted to leave the Labour Party. What do you
:26:48. > :26:51.make of what has happened and what lessons does it contain for people
:26:52. > :26:58.like you on the right or the centre of Labour? I think it is great that
:26:59. > :27:04.we're winning back constituencies for and we are seeing hard work
:27:05. > :27:10.across the country. I applaud the work Jeremy, Tom, members and
:27:11. > :27:13.activists have been doing across the country to win back those
:27:14. > :27:19.constituencies. We have also had a small number of losses, that is very
:27:20. > :27:24.sad. People like Natascha Engel have been fantastic MPs in Parliament.
:27:25. > :27:29.But overall we have seen some great results. But of course what it means
:27:30. > :27:33.now is it looks like this is a hung parliament. I think that Theresa May
:27:34. > :27:38.called this as a referendum on herself and she has lost that. I do
:27:39. > :27:42.not see how she can carry on because I don't see she has a mandate for
:27:43. > :27:47.the manifesto she set out. That means it will be quite complicated
:27:48. > :27:51.in terms of what happens now. We have to keep up the pressure in
:27:52. > :27:57.terms of what we should be doing. We need to stand up for people to get a
:27:58. > :27:59.Labour government. And you are no happy with Jeremy Corbyn's
:28:00. > :28:06.leadership where you were not before? We had leadership elections
:28:07. > :28:15.in the party. That is how we do things. Jeremy Corbyn won twice. And
:28:16. > :28:19.that is why we had the whole party come together as part of this
:28:20. > :28:23.campaign, the all party campaigning across the country. I have been to
:28:24. > :28:27.about 20 constituencies across the country campaigning for those Labour
:28:28. > :28:34.candidates. It is great to see many of them elected this morning. What
:28:35. > :28:42.is happening behind you? Who is being applauded? Jon Trickett was
:28:43. > :28:52.just making his speech. He has been re-elected as the MP for Handsworth.
:28:53. > :28:55.-- Hemsworth. You were wrong about the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. It
:28:56. > :28:59.turns out he is a better leader than anybody else you could have
:29:00. > :29:05.produced. I you happy to serve in a shadow cabinet with him, indeed if
:29:06. > :29:12.he becomes Prime Minister serving cabinet with him? You back onside? I
:29:13. > :29:16.think we have all been working together in this election. We have
:29:17. > :29:22.been fighting for every vote, every single member of the party, every
:29:23. > :29:26.single candidate. We have been doing so together. That has been really
:29:27. > :29:31.important. That is why we have won support right across the country, a
:29:32. > :29:35.broad range of support. I think you would certainly agree it would be
:29:36. > :29:40.very presumptuous of me or anybody else to talk about what happens
:29:41. > :29:46.next. That is for the party. The one thing that should happen next is
:29:47. > :29:49.that Theresa May, I do think, cannot carry on as Prime Minister when she
:29:50. > :29:54.has lost what was a referendum she called on herself. We haven't seen
:29:55. > :29:59.the strong and stable claims that she made. We have seen the complete
:30:00. > :30:04.opposite happened. We have this really important Brexit
:30:05. > :30:13.negotiations? To start in about 11 days. -- due to start. There will
:30:14. > :30:16.have to be more transparency. There will have to be more negotiations
:30:17. > :30:20.and discussions in Parliament itself. There will have to be a
:30:21. > :30:26.proper, wide-open debate about what kind of Brexit Britain and the
:30:27. > :30:29.British government is pursuing. They can't do things the old ways and
:30:30. > :30:34.think they can get away with it after this election result. Thank
:30:35. > :30:40.you. We have now got a 29 seats still to declare. And we are now
:30:41. > :30:45.able, officially, so to speak, to say there is going to be, at the end
:30:46. > :30:51.when everything is in, there is going to be a hung parliament. No
:30:52. > :30:58.surprise there. With the Conservatives as the larger party.
:30:59. > :31:05.The largest party. Labour on 262. But remember, the Conservatives need
:31:06. > :31:08.326. So far from guaranteeing certainty and stability for the
:31:09. > :31:17.years ahead, Theresa May called this election and she has lost 17
:31:18. > :31:24.majority in favour of a hung parliament that has her on 318 only.
:31:25. > :31:28.Yes, we are just contemplating that inside our virtual parliament.
:31:29. > :31:32.Remember in 2010 when the Conservatives got 306 seats and they
:31:33. > :31:35.needed friends. They looked to the Liberal Democrats and you got the
:31:36. > :31:44.coalition. What may happen this time? Let me just show you the
:31:45. > :31:51.numbers here. Remarkably similar to the numbers we give you at the start
:31:52. > :31:57.of the night. 318, Conservative, 262 Labour. I'm going to show you how it
:31:58. > :32:02.would work if the Conservatives say to the DUP, the Democratic Unionist
:32:03. > :32:09.Party, help us. They haven't got the crucial 326 seats. How does it work?
:32:10. > :32:16.We take out, first of all, how do you get this to line up again? It
:32:17. > :32:21.doesn't matter if we see you. While you do that, let me explain. Here
:32:22. > :32:30.are the parties. The Conservatives, 308. We are looking for 326. It is
:32:31. > :32:36.pretty simple now. We undertake the DUP and we have got them down as
:32:37. > :32:41.ten. Add them to it. They are there. It is pretty, pretty close. It is
:32:42. > :32:46.very painful for Theresa May. It is that simple thing of saying to the
:32:47. > :32:52.DUP, will you help us? For Theresa May to reach out and ask them to at
:32:53. > :32:55.least get the Queen's speeds through. That arrangement involves
:32:56. > :33:00.all kinds of trade having to be made. Yvette Cooper saying there
:33:01. > :33:05.will be more focus on what is said and done in and around the chamber
:33:06. > :33:10.of the House of Commons. It could be done. A pretty simple calculation.
:33:11. > :33:13.They got close enough to the line to only need the support of the DUP.
:33:14. > :33:19.Let's see what this looks like inside the house of Commons. We had
:33:20. > :33:23.the Conservatives short. You can see the finishing line. Three than 26
:33:24. > :33:29.seats needed. They haven't made it. It is a hung parliament. They use
:33:30. > :33:37.the DUP to get across the line. Take a look at the opposition benches.
:33:38. > :33:41.Labour on 262. The SNP on 35. The Lib Dems recovering a bit. You can
:33:42. > :33:44.see the other parties. We have filled out the Northern Ireland
:33:45. > :33:49.parties. Labour exceeding all expectations. If you have a whirl
:33:50. > :33:54.around the House of Commons, you will see it is dominated, as before,
:33:55. > :34:01.by blue. But of course the crucial thing, the action around this line,
:34:02. > :34:05.this 327 line danger is the problem for Mrs May. That is why she will
:34:06. > :34:11.need help to pass laws and govern, if indeed she stays in power. And if
:34:12. > :34:15.she doesn't stay in power, those who like a little bit of history at 20
:34:16. > :34:21.to six in the morning, she will be the shortest term Prime Minister 's
:34:22. > :34:32.since Andrew Bonar Law, the Conservative Prime Minister, who
:34:33. > :34:39.served 210 days from 1922 to 1923. She has done 230 days. Nothing to be
:34:40. > :34:42.proud of. And the absolutely upside-down version of what he
:34:43. > :34:46.thought was kind to happen. She was expecting to be the first
:34:47. > :34:50.Conservative leader for 30 years to have a proper Conservative majority.
:34:51. > :34:56.Don't forget, David Cameron only made coalition in 2010. In 2015 he
:34:57. > :35:01.had a puny majority. This is the upside-down version of what Theresa
:35:02. > :35:04.May was anticipating. At the beginning of the campaign I remember
:35:05. > :35:09.there were a lot of opinion polls saying that people infinitely
:35:10. > :35:13.preferred her to Jeremy Corbyn. By quite big margins. Even if they
:35:14. > :35:18.didn't like the Conservative Party. People assumed it was her style,
:35:19. > :35:22.they liked are not being flashy, the light are not being as flashy as
:35:23. > :35:27.David Cameron, showing his toes off on an Instagram with his wife on
:35:28. > :35:31.holiday. She wasn't that kind of woman. A very private. She went on
:35:32. > :35:36.television and revealed nothing except that her husband put at the
:35:37. > :35:43.dustbins. People like that rectitude. Absolutely. We heard on
:35:44. > :35:47.the doorstep that people thought she wasn't like the other Tories, she
:35:48. > :35:54.was in the past boy. She was like during child's head teacher. She was
:35:55. > :35:58.calm, she had authority. I think one of the things that really hurt was
:35:59. > :36:01.not just the social care policy and the manifesto that frankly panicked
:36:02. > :36:07.a lot of elderly Conservative voters, it was probably largely due
:36:08. > :36:12.to the presentation not the actual policy. It panicked her. And then
:36:13. > :36:21.she changed her mind. That idea that she was stable, that she was
:36:22. > :36:24.resolute, but she had authority, was hugely undermined by the fact she
:36:25. > :36:29.did a U-turn on manifesto within days. That had never happened
:36:30. > :36:35.before. Secondly, the issue of police cuts in the wake of the
:36:36. > :36:40.terror attacks came up the rails in the closing days of the campaign.
:36:41. > :36:44.Just as you would normally expect the Conservatives to respond, the
:36:45. > :36:48.electorate to respond more positively to the Conservatives on
:36:49. > :36:52.security, traditionally a plus for them, in reverse, it appears to have
:36:53. > :36:56.gone the other way. So again, on the result and on the reaction of the
:36:57. > :37:03.campaign, a topsy-turvy election in that sense. It was weird, the
:37:04. > :37:06.turnabout on the care for people in their homes. It was absolutely clear
:37:07. > :37:13.reading the manifesto that what she was saying was, you can keep your
:37:14. > :37:19.last ?100,000, but you will pay for the rest of your care. There was no
:37:20. > :37:23.mention that you wouldn't have to pay more than 70 5000. Yet when they
:37:24. > :37:28.suddenly said, we will put that in so you can keep 100, and you won't
:37:29. > :37:35.have to pay more than 75, she just couldn't bring herself to say it was
:37:36. > :37:39.a change. You say the old people may not have been too worried but it was
:37:40. > :37:44.the fact that clearly everybody knew she had changed her position. The
:37:45. > :37:49.public are much more forgiving than Westminster. The concept of a
:37:50. > :37:53.U-turn. If you front up to it. In human life, everybody makes
:37:54. > :37:58.mistakes, finally you put your hands up and say, that is what happened.
:37:59. > :38:01.Theresa May stood there at repeated press conferences, answering
:38:02. > :38:05.question after question, saying nothing has changed, nothing has
:38:06. > :38:09.changed. We'll knew something had changed. We reported it. The public
:38:10. > :38:15.completely knew something had changed. That undermined her brand
:38:16. > :38:19.of not being like the rest. What is it with this nick, Timothy and Fiona
:38:20. > :38:26.Hill, that they can take on one side and say, don't give way, which is
:38:27. > :38:31.presumably what they were doing? Presumably she will have felt that.
:38:32. > :38:34.They are a core trio that I worked together for years. But to present
:38:35. > :38:40.her as not being able to make a wrong mind up is not fair. In our
:38:41. > :38:45.last couple of years at the Home Office, the to -- two of them had
:38:46. > :38:49.already left. The story is too tempting to imagine as a politician
:38:50. > :38:53.having strings pulled by people behind the scenes. The thing about
:38:54. > :38:57.Theresa May is she is extremely self-contained. She doesn't trust
:38:58. > :39:01.people easily. Since she moved into Number 10 people have been saying,
:39:02. > :39:05.she will have to broaden her circle. You can run that kind of tight ship
:39:06. > :39:11.if you are in a department. At Number 10, you have to be nimble.
:39:12. > :39:15.What we saw in this campaign, that was the one thing Theresa May seemed
:39:16. > :39:21.not capable of doing, was being nimble. The next 24-hour is she
:39:22. > :39:26.needs to survive. She is gone to need to be nimble. I understand she
:39:27. > :39:29.has been talking the Tory staff. Apparently her mood was calm,
:39:30. > :39:35.sombre. She didn't directly address the issue of her future. She didn't
:39:36. > :39:40.say she was going to stay, we will carry on together. The application
:39:41. > :39:48.of course not mentioning it is that she hasn't made of her mind. -- made
:39:49. > :39:53.up her mind. I will come back to you in a minute. This is a list of seats
:39:54. > :39:59.still to declare. Have a look at this. The Tories have to win all of
:40:00. > :40:09.these bar one. All of these bar one. There is the less. These are all
:40:10. > :40:14.being counted at the moment. They have taken Devon West and torrid.
:40:15. > :40:19.They have to take all of them bar one. If they lose two, it is a hung
:40:20. > :40:28.parliament. That is why we are forecasting a hung parliament.
:40:29. > :40:34.What reaction have you got? Not just social media.
:40:35. > :40:40.I am text on relentlessly. I text it a former Tory minister, can she
:40:41. > :40:47.survived? I will not telling the utilities. The response was, I doubt
:40:48. > :40:51.it. As Laura has been reporting and discussing, this election was called
:40:52. > :40:55.about the single issue of Brexit. Theresa May wanted a mandate to
:40:56. > :40:59.connect -- to negotiate with conviction. It is clear looking at
:41:00. > :41:07.what we are seeing on social media that people who backed Remain, they
:41:08. > :41:18.are very much emboldened. We have a declaration from Ashfield.
:41:19. > :41:35.Gloria Del Piero, 21,000 285. Tony Harper, Conservative Party, 20800
:41:36. > :41:48.and 44. Green Party candidate, 398. Putting people before politics,
:41:49. > :41:56.4612. Ray Young, Ukip, for the number of ballot papers rejected...
:41:57. > :42:00.Gloria Del Piera has been there since 2010. A former political
:42:01. > :42:05.correspondent for television. Once described as Tony Blair's favourite
:42:06. > :42:14.broadcaster. She has held onto Ashfield. The previous majority was
:42:15. > :42:15.8000. This is down in the hundreds. But anywhere, Ashfield has been
:42:16. > :42:33.held. Ashfield in Nottinghamshire. The Remainers, people like Ed
:42:34. > :42:37.Miliband, were meant to be vanquished by this election. The
:42:38. > :42:40.idea was that by getting a big mandate, Theresa merguez cover their
:42:41. > :42:45.ambitions. But actually, these guys are massively happy about this
:42:46. > :42:48.result. Ed Miliband has put out a message in the last hour saying, we
:42:49. > :42:53.know Theresa May can't now negotiate Brexit for Britain because she told
:42:54. > :42:57.us losing a majority would destroy her authority, and it has. Pretty
:42:58. > :43:04.brutal stuff from Ed Miliband. There are lots of people who are almost
:43:05. > :43:08.celebrity opponents of Brexit. Simon Schama, the historian, is one of
:43:09. > :43:14.them. He has put out a message saying hard Brexit is dead ma May on
:43:15. > :43:18.life support. Democracy is alive and kicking, a great thing. We are going
:43:19. > :43:20.to have lots of complex battles inside the Conservative Party and
:43:21. > :43:24.the House of Commons over the next few weeks, but that is not the only
:43:25. > :43:28.battle. The other 27 members of the European Union will be looking at
:43:29. > :43:32.this result. I think they agreed with Theresa May's analysis. Had she
:43:33. > :43:35.got a big increase in her majority, she would have had a stronger
:43:36. > :43:42.bargaining position. Now it is much weaker. Whoever runs the government
:43:43. > :43:47.over the next few weeks and months will find it much harder to get any
:43:48. > :43:56.deal out of the other 27 members. But if their mandate is weaker here,
:43:57. > :44:00.the strongest contingent in the Conservative Party is the
:44:01. > :44:05.Eurosceptics. So with a weaker mandate, there are potentially more
:44:06. > :44:09.likely to push her around and therefore a hard Brexit could be
:44:10. > :44:13.back on the table. Let's hear from the Conservative Party, a man who
:44:14. > :44:16.contended for the Conservative Party leadership until he dropped out,
:44:17. > :44:24.Stephen Crabb, who has held his Welsh seat by just over 300, down
:44:25. > :44:30.from 5000 or so. Thank you for joining us. Tell us what you think
:44:31. > :44:37.of the state of affairs for your party and which direction it should
:44:38. > :44:41.now go in? I have not been able to follow the full unfolding results or
:44:42. > :44:45.what the current state of the arithmetic is of what the new
:44:46. > :44:48.parliament will be but clearly, something has gone awry here. We set
:44:49. > :44:52.out on this election campaign wanting to provide the country with
:44:53. > :44:56.more stability and more unity ahead of the Brexit negotiations, and we
:44:57. > :45:01.are emerging with a situation in parliament where there are more
:45:02. > :45:05.divisions and less stability. So we clearly need to take stock of what
:45:06. > :45:08.has gone on and think about what these big overarching challenges
:45:09. > :45:12.with the Brexit negotiations, and take time to rethink what the
:45:13. > :45:19.correct approach is in the national interest. Can the Prime Minister
:45:20. > :45:23.hang on? Is absolutely she can. I don't know what the current state of
:45:24. > :45:27.affairs is with the number of seats being won, but if she is the leader
:45:28. > :45:32.of the largest party, there is a duty upon her as Prime Minister to
:45:33. > :45:36.seek to form a viable government. The last thing we should be doing
:45:37. > :45:39.right now while the election results are still coming in, is called for
:45:40. > :45:47.more political turbulence and knee jerk decisions. We need to be calm
:45:48. > :45:52.about this. Theresa May clearly understands the seriousness of the
:45:53. > :45:58.situation. But we should avoid hasty decisions that add to the
:45:59. > :46:04.instability. Leaving aside the leadership, in terms of policy, you
:46:05. > :46:10.are stored Remainer -- a staunch Remainer. You don't want to see
:46:11. > :46:14.Britain leave the EU in difficult circumstances and go into the World
:46:15. > :46:18.Trade Organisation. Do you think this election will have a salutary
:46:19. > :46:26.effect on the decisions that are made about Brexit as a Remainer?
:46:27. > :46:29.Well, I voted for Remain, but I understood the result of the
:46:30. > :46:36.referendum last year and recognised the need to strike a pragmatic and
:46:37. > :46:42.realistic Brexit position. I think it is important to avoid falling
:46:43. > :46:46.back on this hard edge Brexit relying on World Trade Organisation
:46:47. > :46:50.rules. And yes, one of the messages from the results tonight will be
:46:51. > :46:53.that the government needs to seek a balanced, pragmatic approach, strike
:46:54. > :46:59.that deal with the European Union if we can. Ideally, given that it is
:47:00. > :47:03.unlikely that there will be one party with an overall majority, we
:47:04. > :47:08.need to be trying to forge as much cross-party consensus on this as
:47:09. > :47:11.possible. Stephen Crabb, thank you. While you were talking, we were
:47:12. > :47:16.watching Zac Goldsmith at Richmond Park, where there appear to have
:47:17. > :47:20.been two recounts. He is looking very chirpy. That is him, the blond
:47:21. > :47:23.fellow in the background, who is fighting the Conservative cause
:47:24. > :47:30.against the Liberal Democrats, who took over his seat in a by-election.
:47:31. > :47:41.Let's hear from our reporter there if we can. We can't. So we will
:47:42. > :47:46.leave him there, mulling over whatever it is that has happened,
:47:47. > :47:49.and go to North East Fife. It is difficult to interpret people's
:47:50. > :47:59.faces. And we have lost North East Fife as well. But I'm sure everyone
:48:00. > :48:07.will come back in time. So we have a hung parliament, we think. 20 seats
:48:08. > :48:15.to go now and the Tories are on 306. We think they will end up at 318. Is
:48:16. > :48:22.it time to remind ourselves of what happens with a hung parliament? I am
:48:23. > :48:26.sure it is. The technical rules. Who governs while it is resolved? The
:48:27. > :48:33.incumbent Prime Minister is still in office. Whatever happens with the
:48:34. > :48:39.Tory party, the government in power gets the first chance to form a
:48:40. > :48:42.government. If they can't do that and they try to put something
:48:43. > :48:46.forward to the Commons and it fails, then the Prime Minister has to
:48:47. > :48:57.resign. We may not get to that territory. We will have to leave
:48:58. > :49:14.your lecture. We are going to Southampton. The Conservative
:49:15. > :49:18.candidate, 16006. If Labour hold this one, it is a hung parliament.
:49:19. > :49:40.Independent, 680. Southampton independent, 716. Labour
:49:41. > :49:43.Party, 27509. That is it. He has increased his agility, so it is a
:49:44. > :49:49.hung parliament. The Tories had to take that one if they were to have
:49:50. > :49:53.any chance of reaching 326. They now don't. We forecast a hung parliament
:49:54. > :49:57.and it now is a hung parliament. This is the official moment where we
:49:58. > :50:02.can say Theresa May's gamble has spectacularly backfired. She has
:50:03. > :50:08.lost the majority she inherited from David Cameron. She herself is in a
:50:09. > :50:10.vulnerable position at a time when whoever is in charge faces the most
:50:11. > :50:22.competitive political task in decades. Astonishing. You can go
:50:23. > :50:29.back to reading your rules. So the Prime Minister is still entitled.
:50:30. > :50:34.Does she go to the palace? No. I think she still will go to the
:50:35. > :50:37.palace. There still has to be a formal request after a general
:50:38. > :50:42.election. Then she goes back to the House of Commons. A vote of
:50:43. > :50:50.confidence then? That would be up to the 1922 committee. But what will
:50:51. > :50:56.she do as Prime Minister? The first move would be to put forward what
:50:57. > :50:59.she plans to do. Parliament State opening is on the 19th of June, so
:51:00. > :51:04.she would try to put forward a Queen's Speech and essentially dare
:51:05. > :51:08.the other parties to vote you down. It may be that things are moving so
:51:09. > :51:11.fast that we might not get there but technically, the largest party is
:51:12. > :51:14.entitled to put forward a Queen's Speech and see what the other
:51:15. > :51:18.parties make of it. On these numbers, it may be that if Theresa
:51:19. > :51:28.May makes it through the Tory grinder, her Queen's Speech would go
:51:29. > :51:36.through and then she could carry on, albeit very much damaged but still
:51:37. > :51:41.in charge. But it is too straightforward to say she has to
:51:42. > :51:47.get it through Parliament, because the opposition parties might not
:51:48. > :51:53.want to force another election now or form another government. So they
:51:54. > :51:59.can call back or abstain. They can do all sorts of things. Let her stew
:52:00. > :52:07.in her own juice for a bit. She has already voiced that up on her own
:52:08. > :52:15.petard. There we go, two analogies! The rules create the backdrop of all
:52:16. > :52:18.of this. But the political mood is more important. Where there is a
:52:19. > :52:25.will, there's a way. If the party allows her to stay and she wants to
:52:26. > :52:33.carry on when she's so damaged, then maybe she can. But somebody in 11
:52:34. > :52:37.days' time has to go and speak to Mr Barnier about leaving. So who does
:52:38. > :52:40.that? If Theresa May stays on, you would assume it would be David
:52:41. > :52:45.Davis, if he doesn't get moved to another job. But it would be an
:52:46. > :52:49.astonishing thing where whoever it is turned up opposing the other 27
:52:50. > :52:55.countries around the table. Emily has more results for us. We know it
:52:56. > :53:02.is now a hung parliament, but let's see what has come in. I wonder if we
:53:03. > :53:06.are starting to feel the pace of the shy Remainer in these results. This
:53:07. > :53:11.is Chipping Barnet, a north London suburb by showing that although
:53:12. > :53:17.Theresa Villiers has kept the seat, look at the swing, again away from
:53:18. > :53:25.her towards Labour of 6.9%. Same sort of direction as the one we saw
:53:26. > :53:29.with Justine Greening in Putney. They are holding on here.
:53:30. > :53:43.Dumfriesshire is the one that has been held for the Conservatives. It
:53:44. > :53:50.does start to look like a rejection of independence, whether you are
:53:51. > :53:55.talking about the Scottish referendum, or maybe a start of the
:53:56. > :53:59.shy Remain vote in England. We have seen some extraordinary swings in
:54:00. > :54:04.Scotland on a summer of 20%. This is not as big, but it is still pretty
:54:05. > :54:17.hefty, and 11 point swing towards the Conservatives away from the SNP.
:54:18. > :54:25.Even when you see the old, let's look at the change. The Ukip vote is
:54:26. > :54:29.again deeply down, Labour making those gains which holds the seat for
:54:30. > :54:33.the Conservatives. In Scotland, we are seeing a real rejection of
:54:34. > :54:37.independence, with all the parties taking away from the SNP. Will we
:54:38. > :54:41.start to interpret the same sort of movement in some of the gains that
:54:42. > :54:45.Labour is making from the Conservatives? So it could be that
:54:46. > :54:50.one of the effects of this election will be to give hope to the 48% who
:54:51. > :54:55.voted Remain in the referendum last summer? They will think there is now
:54:56. > :55:04.something to play for again. You have heard the Remainers saying the
:55:05. > :55:07.48% felt forgotten. Perhaps over the course of this year, the Remainers
:55:08. > :55:16.are the ones who have felt their voice was ignored and it is starting
:55:17. > :55:19.to come through. This is the voice of the shy Remainers, but they have
:55:20. > :55:23.not decamped en masse to the Lib Dems. It was the Lib Dem strategy to
:55:24. > :55:26.relentless target the 40% in the hope that they would all come over
:55:27. > :55:38.to the yellow column, but that has not happened, interestingly. Well,
:55:39. > :55:45.the 326 seats that the Tories needed if they were to have a majority,
:55:46. > :55:51.even a minuscule one, is now impossible. So it is a hung
:55:52. > :55:57.parliament. The Conservatives have 309 seats. Labour 258. There is no
:55:58. > :56:05.way the Conservatives can go to 326. That is how it is at the moment. We
:56:06. > :56:12.have not shown the other parties. I don't think we have even mentioned
:56:13. > :56:18.whether the Green Party won in Brighton. We are still waiting for
:56:19. > :56:22.that result, Caroline Lucas. That is how things are. It is a hung
:56:23. > :56:26.parliament, and that's the story. And it has taken us from ten
:56:27. > :56:31.o'clock, when it was quite astonishing to get the exit poll, to
:56:32. > :56:38.now, just before six o'clock, to be certain that that is how things are.
:56:39. > :56:43.Peter. In the light of the referendum a year ago, Scotland was
:56:44. > :56:47.doing one thing, London was doing one thing, and the rest of England
:56:48. > :56:50.and Wales. It is like that tonight. These three quite different
:56:51. > :56:56.operations. Scotland, a massive swing from SNP to Conservative. In a
:56:57. > :57:00.huge swing to Labour, especially in the Tory marginals. The rest of
:57:01. > :57:06.England and Wales, a small swing to Labour. So once again, the shadow of
:57:07. > :57:11.Brexit and the referendum is telling in these results. A while ago,
:57:12. > :57:15.Southgate went back to Labour. The remarkable thing is that it was
:57:16. > :57:18.actually in line with all the other Conservative marginals in London.
:57:19. > :57:20.The surprising thing is that it was not a surprise in terms of what was
:57:21. > :57:28.happening in London tonight. Cordova it is six o'clock and some
:57:29. > :57:37.of you will have had your alarm clocks winging in your ear. You will
:57:38. > :57:41.be will wanting to know what happened. The news from the Election
:57:42. > :57:47.Centre, it is a hung parliament. Theresa May, having gone to get what
:57:48. > :57:52.she called certainty and stability for the years ahead, has totally
:57:53. > :57:56.failed. She had a majority of 17 when this election was called a few
:57:57. > :58:01.weeks back, she now doesn't have a majority at all. From her point of
:58:02. > :58:07.view, it's a total disaster. It was a call she made and it fell flat.
:58:08. > :58:12.That's how things are. For the next hour and the rest of the day, we
:58:13. > :58:16.will discuss the ramifications. All sorts of ramifications, whether she
:58:17. > :58:22.stays on this, what happens on policy. 11 days from now, we have to
:58:23. > :58:26.start discussing with EU the terms of Brexit. If you are yawning and
:58:27. > :58:31.about to do your morning exercises, that is the news for you.
:58:32. > :58:36.Up here with me, two people whose job it is to decipher these messages
:58:37. > :58:40.into newsprint and onto the airwaves.
:58:41. > :58:48.Let's start with the point a moment ago, Andrew, do you think this was
:58:49. > :58:54.the voice of the shy Remainer coming back? I said earlier I thought there
:58:55. > :58:59.was an element of the angry Remainer who had been ignored for most of the
:59:00. > :59:03.campaign, expressing itself in some of the results. There is a lot to
:59:04. > :59:08.this result, but the big headline is this is the most stunning reversal
:59:09. > :59:12.of fortunes. Just a month ago, the local elections, it now appears to
:59:13. > :59:21.be the Jurassic in love. Labour was absolutely hammered at those
:59:22. > :59:24.elections. -- the Jurassic era. Fast forward now, stunningly better
:59:25. > :59:32.results for Jeremy Corbyn, when most expected, including me, and most of
:59:33. > :59:34.his MPs... Some of that is obviously down to the dreadful Conservative
:59:35. > :59:40.campaign, but credit where it is due, Labour has run a very effective
:59:41. > :59:44.campaign, confounding so many expectations. Until a minute to ten
:59:45. > :59:50.last night, many Labour MPs were waiting to come out anticipating a
:59:51. > :59:55.dreadful drubbing. Some who have appeared on this programme over the
:59:56. > :59:58.course of the evening, perhaps preparing to launch leadership
:59:59. > :00:05.campaigns. All that is for the birds now. What do you think this was
:00:06. > :00:08.about? I think we are all going to concentrate on Theresa May falling
:00:09. > :00:13.short in her gamble, but we should not miss the big driver, that Jeremy
:00:14. > :00:19.Corbyn did vastly better than people expected and had analysed. His idea
:00:20. > :00:25.was Ed Miliband did not energise people beyond the ordinary people
:00:26. > :00:29.who vote in elections, and we can do that with a new message. Everybody
:00:30. > :00:33.outside their group thought that was an eccentric theory, it wouldn't
:00:34. > :00:38.happen. They were right, we were wrong. That is one of the big
:00:39. > :00:44.drivers of the election. People thought Labour would get 30%, it got
:00:45. > :00:49.above 40%. No one saw that coming. That is a bigger feature of the
:00:50. > :00:52.election. Why would that happen? One of the reasons is obviously Remain
:00:53. > :01:16.versus Leave. When David Cameron had the election in 2015,
:01:17. > :01:18.real income growth was going up. Now it is going down. Everything
:01:19. > :01:21.political science tells you, you have to make the election about
:01:22. > :01:23.something else. She tried to make it about the Brexit negotiations, but
:01:24. > :01:25.it ended up being a lot about austerity. Not an election winning
:01:26. > :01:28.number of voters for Labour. Mr Corbyn and his team were right, they
:01:29. > :01:32.seem to have been proved correct in attaching onto the idea that after
:01:33. > :01:37.seven years, a lot of the public is heartily sick of austerity. Even if
:01:38. > :01:42.they did not think plausible the whole Labour programme... Is it a
:01:43. > :01:54.campaign when not much could have been done? It is worth noting Labour
:01:55. > :01:57.did not actually win the election. The really interesting question is,
:01:58. > :02:03.is there a way of taking the excitement Jeremy Corbyn brings to
:02:04. > :02:05.the campaign and linking it with feeling they could actually govern,
:02:06. > :02:09.which would then produce the extra votes that would allow them to
:02:10. > :02:13.actually win a majority themselves? Because it is important not to be
:02:14. > :02:17.carried away by expectations and think that Labour won the election.
:02:18. > :02:21.In circumstances where the economy was going backwards and there was a
:02:22. > :02:27.Remain feeling, of course they fall short, so we need to analyse that
:02:28. > :02:32.too. What are you hearing from within the party about Theresa May's
:02:33. > :02:36.future? Because everyone is busy, I am not hearing one way or another,
:02:37. > :02:40.but if you fight an election because you want a mandate and you don't get
:02:41. > :02:44.a mandate, that puts your position in question. The problem for the
:02:45. > :02:47.Conservative Party is there is no majority in the Conservative Party
:02:48. > :02:53.that would then command a majority on Brexit in the Commons, and in the
:02:54. > :02:57.Lords actually. Where they would go and where the Conservative Party
:02:58. > :03:02.would go is different. The leadership on a platform to
:03:03. > :03:08.govern... There is also the personal factor with Mrs May. I have watched
:03:09. > :03:11.other Prime Ministers go through this. David Cameron said before the
:03:12. > :03:17.referendum result he would not resign as Prime Minister. He woke up
:03:18. > :03:22.and realised the loss of authority and that he could not carry on
:03:23. > :03:26.plausibly in those circumstances. She will obviously be considering,
:03:27. > :03:31.the people closest to her, most of all her husband... If enough of them
:03:32. > :03:35.want me to carry on, would it be worth it? Having tried to sell
:03:36. > :03:41.myself in this way and been rejected by the people, do I want to try and
:03:42. > :03:45.go hand to mouth, knowing that a lot of my party are absolutely furious
:03:46. > :03:47.with me, having to cut day by day deals with the Ulster Unionists? I
:03:48. > :03:58.wonder. Thank you. Let's turn to the Green Party. They
:03:59. > :04:05.have in effect only one candidate with a chance of winning. It is of
:04:06. > :04:10.course Caroline Lucas, co-leader of the Greens in Brighton Pavilion.
:04:11. > :04:14.Worth thinking for a moment for those people who voted Green, if she
:04:15. > :04:20.does get in, we will get the result in a moment, over half a million
:04:21. > :04:24.people voted Green, so she represents half a million of the
:04:25. > :04:31.electorate. 13 million voted Conservative and they get 310 seats.
:04:32. > :04:40.12.5 million voted Labour and they get 258. The Lib Dems get 12. Under
:04:41. > :04:46.half a million, the SNP get 34. Over half a million and the Greens get
:04:47. > :04:52.one. Worth reflecting on. Let's get the result from Brighton Pavilion
:04:53. > :05:03.and see whether she did actually to represent...
:05:04. > :05:16.The Brighton Boolean constituency is as follows. Ian Buchanan, 630, Ukip.
:05:17. > :05:28.Solomon Curtis, Labour Party... Caroline Lucas, Green Party, 30,149.
:05:29. > :05:37.Emma Warman, Conservatives... The number of other papers rejected were
:05:38. > :05:47.as follows. Mark identifying vote, three. Unmarked, 133. The total
:05:48. > :05:57.rejected votes come 154. So Caroline Lucas has increased her majority.
:05:58. > :06:02.She is up by 6722. A majority of nearly 15,000. Here she is, the
:06:03. > :06:07.co-leader of the Green Party. Thank you so much to the returning officer
:06:08. > :06:11.and his amazing staff tonight. Thank you to the other candidates. Thank
:06:12. > :06:15.you to my really amazing campaign team and the Legion of volunteers
:06:16. > :06:24.who did so much in this campaign. Going well beyond the call of duty.
:06:25. > :06:28.I want to say a huge thank you to Matt, Gabriel, my campaign manager
:06:29. > :06:33.and my agent, you have been so fantastic. Thank you so much. Thank
:06:34. > :06:37.you to my amazing family, as ever, always with me every step of the
:06:38. > :06:41.way. And most of all, thank you to the wonderful people of Brighton
:06:42. > :06:45.Pavilion, whom it has been such an honour and privilege to serve. Thank
:06:46. > :06:54.you for putting your faith in me again. Caroline Lucas, winning her
:06:55. > :07:02.seat in Brighton Pavilion again. At 6.10, time for some news. Dawn has
:07:03. > :07:09.broken. A fine day. And my goodness, down there in those few square miles
:07:10. > :07:13.around Westminster, the people coming back, the people in Downing
:07:14. > :07:17.Street, the people in Tory party head office, the Labour Party
:07:18. > :07:24.offices, yak yak yak, trying to decide what on earth to do. All of
:07:25. > :07:32.our BBC yak gag yakkers will be going down there, including Laura
:07:33. > :07:37.Kuenssberg. Not quite yet, but shortly. At some point, we expect
:07:38. > :07:42.Theresa May to come out. I'm not sure whether she is back in there
:07:43. > :07:51.already, but it is on mornings like this that back entrances to official
:07:52. > :07:56.buildings come into their own. Waving from the window...
:07:57. > :08:03.John Major in defeat was televised making a live speech to staff, a
:08:04. > :08:08.gracious speech, when he lost in 1997. It's normal to go back to
:08:09. > :08:14.Central office. It's not normal to be completely hidden away.
:08:15. > :08:20.Westminster Abbey, the end east there, and the Union Flag flying
:08:21. > :08:25.over the House of lords. -- the East end there.
:08:26. > :08:34.Let us not be deflected any further by the beauty of this scene of
:08:35. > :08:36.London and the dawn, and let's instead have the latest news. With
:08:37. > :08:40.Louise Minchin. Theresa May's decision
:08:41. > :08:44.to call a snap general election has backfired,
:08:45. > :08:48.and there will be a hung parliament. With only a handful of seats left
:08:49. > :08:50.to declare, the Conservatives have Labour has done better than expected
:08:51. > :08:56.in the general election, and Jeremy Corbyn has called
:08:57. > :08:59.for Theresa May to resign. The Prime Minister says
:09:00. > :09:01.the country needs stability. The night saw both Alex Salmond
:09:02. > :09:05.and Nick Clegg lose their seats. Our political correspondent
:09:06. > :09:07.Tom Bateman's report A political gamble -
:09:08. > :09:17.the hope that she would transform the Tories' fragile advantage
:09:18. > :09:21.in Parliament with a huge win. But the smiles of the campaign
:09:22. > :09:25.trail have vanished. Forecasts suggest the Conservatives
:09:26. > :09:28.may end up even worse off, If, as the indications have shown,
:09:29. > :09:34.if this is correct, that the Conservative Party has won
:09:35. > :09:38.the most seats, and probably the most votes, then it will be
:09:39. > :09:42.incumbent on us to ensure we have that period of stability,
:09:43. > :09:48.and that is what we will do. And you can see what
:09:49. > :09:50.the Labour leader makes A man whose campaign
:09:51. > :09:56.confounded many expectations. Beaming smiles, with Labour
:09:57. > :09:58.on course for a far better The Prime Minister called
:09:59. > :10:03.the election because Well, the mandate she's got
:10:04. > :10:10.is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost support,
:10:11. > :10:13.and lost confidence. I would have thought
:10:14. > :10:18.that is enough to go, actually. In Battersea, Labour
:10:19. > :10:21.have ousted a government There have been Labour gains
:10:22. > :10:27.elsewhere - in Stockton South from the Conservatives,
:10:28. > :10:40.and in Scotland, And just look at the mood during the
:10:41. > :10:47.count in Hastings. Home Secretary Amber Rudd only just scraped home by
:10:48. > :10:49.346 votes. It's not just the Tories suffering.
:10:50. > :10:52.In Sheffield, the Lib Dem's former leader Nick Clegg has lost his seat.
:10:53. > :10:55.I, of course, have encountered this evening something that many people
:10:56. > :10:57.have encountered before tonight, and I suspect many people
:10:58. > :10:59.will encounter after tonight, which is in politics you live
:11:00. > :11:03.by the sword and you die by the sword.
:11:04. > :11:11.The night began with a projection - the exit poll.
:11:12. > :11:17.This morning, with most seats counted, the BBC forecast has the
:11:18. > :11:21.Conservatives as the largest party but short of an overall majority.
:11:22. > :11:27.Labour are on course to increase their number of seats by around 30.
:11:28. > :11:30.The SNP have lost big names on a disappointing night compared with
:11:31. > :11:34.their Scottish landslide two years ago. Angus Robertson was ousted by
:11:35. > :11:40.the Conservatives, and their former leader Alex Salmond lost his seat
:11:41. > :11:45.too. One of Theresa May's own MPs is laying the blame on her. She is in a
:11:46. > :11:48.very difficult place. She is a remarkable, talented woman and she
:11:49. > :11:53.does not shy from difficult decisions but she has to consider
:11:54. > :11:59.her position. Democracy has been on full show. So have the upsets. Now
:12:00. > :12:04.an unpredictable journey for Theresa May as dawn breaks on renewed
:12:05. > :12:07.political uncertainty. As she arrives at her party HQ, she knows
:12:08. > :12:11.there are those saying this result should bring the end of the road for
:12:12. > :12:14.a Premiership. The seating arrangement in this place has
:12:15. > :12:16.changed significantly, or because Theresa May asked you to decide. Now
:12:17. > :12:34.she has the answer. The pound has fallen sharply, as
:12:35. > :12:39.traders react to the results. A clearer picture of the markets will
:12:40. > :12:43.continue to emerge when trading opens across Europe. In other news,
:12:44. > :12:48.1-1 is investigating the terror attack at London Bridge in which
:12:49. > :12:51.eight people died have made another arrest. A 29-year-old man was
:12:52. > :12:58.detained in east London, bringing the total number of people in
:12:59. > :13:07.custody to five. 12 others were released without charge.
:13:08. > :13:16.The Trump administration has denied allegations by James Comey that the
:13:17. > :13:19.president tried to impede an investigation into last year's
:13:20. > :13:24.presidential election. Mr Trump's lawyers said the testimony finally
:13:25. > :13:30.confirm publicly that the president was not under investigation.
:13:31. > :13:33.He has also called for Mr Comey to be prosecuted for leaking
:13:34. > :13:53.Mr Comey has now admitted that he is one of these leakers. He has now
:13:54. > :13:57.admitted that he unilaterally and surreptitiously made unauthorised
:13:58. > :14:01.disclosure to the press. Back to election news in a couple of
:14:02. > :14:04.moments, after an update on the weather, with Matt Taylor. Good
:14:05. > :14:10.morning. Good morning. Overall, a sunny story
:14:11. > :14:13.for most of you today. But you might need your umbrella just in case,
:14:14. > :14:25.there will be some chicks in the forecast. The showers will be moving
:14:26. > :14:32.eastwards during the day. But some gaps in between the showers. With a
:14:33. > :14:36.bit more sunshine then yesterday, it will probably feel just a touch
:14:37. > :14:41.warmer. Tonight, temperatures will hold up, with cloud spilling in once
:14:42. > :14:49.again. That will be bringing rain into many areas for the start of
:14:50. > :14:53.Saturday. The driest and brightest of the weather will be across parts
:14:54. > :14:57.of the Midlands, East Anglia and the south-east of England. Quite a humid
:14:58. > :15:02.day tomorrow. Sunday, driest again in the south-east corner. Further
:15:03. > :15:05.north and west, it will feel a little bit cooler. Time now to hand
:15:06. > :15:26.you back to David Dimbleby. Welcome back. Where is the Prime
:15:27. > :15:33.Minister, and what is she up to? Ben Wright is outside Tory party
:15:34. > :15:38.headquarters. Good morning. Good morning. We believe she is now in No
:15:39. > :15:45.10, having spent quite a long time here at Tory HQ mulling over what to
:15:46. > :15:48.do next. She did talk to Tory staffers just before she left and I
:15:49. > :15:53.understand she said things would be different, but the Tories would
:15:54. > :15:58.continue to be a party which works for everyone. I am told there was no
:15:59. > :16:01.mention about her own intentions, weather she will stay or go. One
:16:02. > :16:08.source in there told me that her mood was down, sombre but calm. I'm
:16:09. > :16:13.told that she has left here and gone to Downing Street. There are a. Of
:16:14. > :16:18.Tory party staffers trudging out, looking pretty desolate. They
:16:19. > :16:23.thought this would be a morning of jubilation and celebration. I was
:16:24. > :16:26.with the Tory battle bus this week, going around Labour held seats which
:16:27. > :16:31.they thought would all be turning blue this morning. None of them were
:16:32. > :16:36.expecting this. Things will change, meaning...? Laura Kuenssberg has
:16:37. > :16:42.been talking about, she would have to change the way she does things -
:16:43. > :16:47.could that be what she meant, or could it mean, you may not have me
:16:48. > :16:52.around any more? I think it is more likely to be the former. She will be
:16:53. > :16:57.well aware that as this campaign has progressed, there have been a
:16:58. > :17:01.growing degree of frustration and anger I think within Tory party
:17:02. > :17:04.ranks, the Parliamentary Conservative ranks, about how she
:17:05. > :17:09.runs the show, how this campaign was conducted, I think there is real
:17:10. > :17:11.anger not just about social care and how that policy unravelled within a
:17:12. > :17:16.couple of days and had to be amended, but also the offerings on
:17:17. > :17:21.tensions, benefits, on the triple lock, on the repeated mantra that
:17:22. > :17:25.all Britain needed was strong and stable leadership, a campaign built
:17:26. > :17:30.entirely around Theresa May. There was a lot of disquiet, particularly
:17:31. > :17:34.in the last couple of weeks, about how this campaign had been wrong and
:17:35. > :17:38.what it said about how Theresa May runs her inner circle. I think there
:17:39. > :17:43.had already been demands for that to change. Had she won this election
:17:44. > :17:46.comfortably and carried on as Prime Minister in the months and years
:17:47. > :17:49.ahead, I think she would have been forced to make some changes on that
:17:50. > :17:54.front. That might be watching was referring to. You say you were on
:17:55. > :17:58.the campaign bus, and I know there was a lot of talk about, for
:17:59. > :18:04.instance, Jeremy Corbyn would go and speak to 1000 people, or 2000
:18:05. > :18:09.people, and she would go into an empty factory, where 12 workers were
:18:10. > :18:13.brought out to listen to her - was it actually like that, is that how
:18:14. > :18:17.it felt, that she wasn't making any real eye contact with people, wasn't
:18:18. > :18:25.arguing her case, was keeping away from the crowds? Not entirely fair.
:18:26. > :18:30.I went to some of the factory visits, where often the workers in
:18:31. > :18:36.these places were given no clue as to who was about to turn up, they
:18:37. > :18:39.were just told a VIP was about to appear, and they were quite stand to
:18:40. > :18:42.see the Prime Minister. She would then stay for up to half an hour,
:18:43. > :18:47.taking any questions they wanted to ask. When you are in the workplace
:18:48. > :18:50.setting, it is a bit odd quizzing the Prime Minister with no notice
:18:51. > :18:55.of. But there was a degree of interaction. What there wasn't was
:18:56. > :18:58.any of the colour and Carnival and the mass rallies that we saw from
:18:59. > :19:03.Jeremy Corbyn. The Tory campaign was entirely different. On the whole,
:19:04. > :19:10.Theresa May made the same short speech to 100, that's 200 Tory
:19:11. > :19:15.activists who had been bussed into a venue, with messages given to them
:19:16. > :19:20.by Tory party staffers, and it was often white hard to find a pulse on
:19:21. > :19:24.this Tory campaign. It was not exciting, it was just a robotic
:19:25. > :19:30.thing, driven, rammed home message, which did not change, really, join
:19:31. > :19:34.the campaign. I think they will feel it did the job in terms of getting
:19:35. > :19:38.the message onto the television screens, that was what the campaign
:19:39. > :19:41.was about. It was only in the last couple of days that it had some feel
:19:42. > :19:44.of a general election campaign, it had more pace, there were rallies
:19:45. > :19:51.where Theresa May became more animated. But it felt a strange
:19:52. > :19:55.campaign inside the bubble of it. Interesting picking up on what Ben
:19:56. > :20:03.Wright was saying, inevitably, the blame game inside Tory headquarters
:20:04. > :20:06.has already started. This campaign, like the previous ones, was run by
:20:07. > :20:13.Lynton Crosby, the Australian suppose it my stroke. Sources inside
:20:14. > :20:18.Tory HQ are telling me that Crosby's team did not understand Theresa May.
:20:19. > :20:22.They did not get her, they did not understand her. They walked in with
:20:23. > :20:28.their prepared attack lines about the coalition of chaos, and strong
:20:29. > :20:31.and stable... And then what was describes me as sensible people who
:20:32. > :20:36.knew Theresa May asked for changes in species and told Crosby that the
:20:37. > :20:42.strong and stable slogan had become a joke, all those suggestions were
:20:43. > :20:45.basically pushed out. Of course, everybody is now trying to rewrite
:20:46. > :20:50.history and saying, of course I said it was going to be a disaster! But
:20:51. > :20:53.it seems the public have rejected that much more controlled kind of
:20:54. > :20:58.campaigning, very similar to what David Cameron did. Theresa May did
:20:59. > :21:03.not play it any different to what David Cameron did under Lynton
:21:04. > :21:07.Crosby. But it seems that model did not fit for her, a very different
:21:08. > :21:13.kind of politician, and that kind of campaign just didn't work. Kamal
:21:14. > :21:18.Ahmed, very briefly, and I will come back to you for the wider
:21:19. > :21:22.implications - Stirling, what has happened, can you afford to go on
:21:23. > :21:25.holiday any more? Just about, David, I'm sure you will be able to afford
:21:26. > :21:31.it. I was asking on behalf of the US! We were here on Brexit night,
:21:32. > :21:37.and the market has once again shown its unerring ability to misjudge
:21:38. > :21:41.election outcomes. The market was positioned for a pretty solid
:21:42. > :21:45.Theresa May majority. That didn't happen. From the moment of the exit
:21:46. > :21:54.poll, Stirling has been weak, it has fallen by up to 2%. It has slightly
:21:55. > :21:59.rallied. But if we think about where the economy is, when politics hits
:22:00. > :22:06.the uncertainty button, the economy keeps going. Real incomes are still
:22:07. > :22:09.falling, rove has slowed down, and now the uncertainty around the
:22:10. > :22:14.direction of travel for the Government on tackling these big
:22:15. > :22:17.economic issues has only increased, overlaid on the Brexit issue and how
:22:18. > :22:22.the Government is going to negotiate with Europe in this tight time
:22:23. > :22:26.frame. That is going to mean a weaker pound, investors being more
:22:27. > :22:35.nervous about the UK. At the same time as, in the Eurozone, for
:22:36. > :22:40.example, growth has increased, and in America, growth is coming back.
:22:41. > :22:44.And so, for investors, they have got options, where they put their money.
:22:45. > :22:49.Lowball capital is global capital. And that will be the worry for
:22:50. > :22:54.investors and businesses in the UK about, we have this period of
:22:55. > :22:57.uncertainty, overlaid on Brexit, that is only going to cause the UK
:22:58. > :23:01.economy more problems, and those deep-seated problems, like real
:23:02. > :23:05.incomes falling will not be tackled by the Government, because the
:23:06. > :23:13.Government will not be clear on what its political approach will be.
:23:14. > :23:18.Let's have a look at these seats. The updated prediction now,
:23:19. > :23:24.remember, the Conservatives needed 326 to have a majority, they're 12
:23:25. > :23:30.short, and Labour is on 260. We have not looked at for some time, for
:23:31. > :23:34.people who have just got up and want to see it, some of the key
:23:35. > :23:40.constituencies which told the story tonight - can we do that? It has
:23:41. > :23:43.been a night of the big beasts with some pretty poignant losses, and one
:23:44. > :23:48.of those was in Sheffield Hallam. Nick Clegg saying that he never
:23:49. > :23:51.shirk from fighting political battles and that he stood up in the
:23:52. > :23:54.national interest to form that coalition with the Conservatives.
:23:55. > :24:00.But here, you can see what happened possibly as a result of that, or
:24:01. > :24:07.possibly as a result of Labour straightening here. The seat has
:24:08. > :24:14.been taken from the click by Labour. It was on the Labour target list but
:24:15. > :24:21.there was quite forlorn moment, watching Nick Clegg realise that his
:24:22. > :24:27.political future, in terms of his constituency MP work, had ended
:24:28. > :24:32.tonight. So, a 4% swing to Labour from the Lib Dems. We also saw Angus
:24:33. > :24:40.Robertson, was always on that list, the SNP leader in Westminster, often
:24:41. > :24:44.called, in the old days, the voice of real opposition to the
:24:45. > :24:47.Conservatives, in the days when the SNP were not taking Labour very
:24:48. > :24:53.seriously. He has lost his seat, been replaced by Douglas Ross for
:24:54. > :24:57.the Conservatives. Gordon, a real big beast here, Alex Salmond, losing
:24:58. > :25:04.this seat. He took it from the Lib Dems, and now the Conservatives have
:25:05. > :25:09.taken it from the SNP. So, that loss of some big figures. In Twickenham,
:25:10. > :25:15.Vince Cable is back for the Lib Dems. They have lost Nick Clegg, but
:25:16. > :25:23.possibly Vince Cable coming in there again. Hastings, Amber Rudd, the
:25:24. > :25:30.Home Secretary, just holding on, after two recounts in which she
:25:31. > :25:35.looked vulnerable. And Caroline Lucas has increased majority, she
:25:36. > :25:46.has virtually doubled it, she is now at nearly 15,000 majority, an
:25:47. > :26:03.astonishing personal performance for a very popular Ringleader as well as
:26:04. > :26:09.MP. -- very popular Green leader. We have an announcement coming...
:26:10. > :26:21.Scottish Labour Party, 4026. Scottish National Party, 13,743.
:26:22. > :26:42.Tony Macklin is capable Scottish Conservative unionist party, 10,088.
:26:43. > :26:49.Scottish Liberal Democrats, 13,741. Independent Sovereign Democratic
:26:50. > :26:54.Briton, 224. The total number of ballot papers allocated, 41,822...
:26:55. > :27:12.So, the SNP holds on by two votes! The Liberal Democrats very nearly
:27:13. > :27:16.took the seat. Can I thank you for your ordinary efforts tonight in
:27:17. > :27:23.what has been quite an extraordinary evening. Thank you to you. Can I
:27:24. > :27:26.thank Elizabeth, Tony and Rosalind for a well fought campaign, thank
:27:27. > :27:40.you for the campaign that we fought. It has been a close one, it's fair
:27:41. > :27:44.to say! Can I also thank the volunteers, first of all my
:27:45. > :27:48.extraordinary team, thank you. Second, the volunteers from every
:27:49. > :27:52.political party that make democracy work, and have been trudging around
:27:53. > :27:57.in the pouring rain today. You have my thanks as well. And finally,
:27:58. > :28:03.presiding Officer, on a personal note, my wife had a baby halfway
:28:04. > :28:08.through this election. She has been an absolute hero. Thank you. We will
:28:09. > :28:15.leave five Northeast. The last election as close as that was Mark
:28:16. > :28:18.oaten, in Winchester, way back. He had a majority of two and there was
:28:19. > :28:21.a legal challenge and the election was fought again, and he then won.
:28:22. > :28:30.By a landslide. Barry Gardiner, the shadow
:28:31. > :28:38.international Trade Secretary. He joins us from Brent North. Good
:28:39. > :28:45.morning. Good morning. So what do you make of all this? It has been an
:28:46. > :28:48.extraordinary night. If you look back seven weeks to what was being
:28:49. > :28:59.predicted in the broadsheets, the Prime Minister expected a floodgate,
:29:00. > :29:03.a tsunami. She was looking at a 120-150 seat majority, and she said
:29:04. > :29:10.she needed this in order to be able to negotiate in Europe a good Brexit
:29:11. > :29:14.deal for the UK. We are now in a situation which is far less about
:29:15. > :29:23.which party is up and down, it's much more about the fact that in a
:29:24. > :29:31.week, we will be the -- starting negotiations. She has gambled and
:29:32. > :29:36.has lost. It is written that has lost, because she will go into that
:29:37. > :29:43.negotiation and be considered a laughing stock with those whom she
:29:44. > :29:49.has to negotiate with. -- it is Britain that has lost. Have you
:29:50. > :29:58.spoken to Jeremy Corbyn, your party leader? John McDonnell? Not since
:29:59. > :30:02.the election results, no. You didn't expect this to happen, did you? You
:30:03. > :30:09.are taken by surprise, like many other Labour Party people? Sorry, I
:30:10. > :30:14.was working to win this election... I said you didn't expect it to
:30:15. > :30:19.happen. I didn't take anything for granted, but I have to say I didn't
:30:20. > :30:23.have an expectation, because there are real storms sweeping across
:30:24. > :30:29.British politics. Rex it was one of them. This was a general election
:30:30. > :30:33.which proved very difficult for the Conservatives. -- Brexit was one of
:30:34. > :30:38.them. In terms of their manifesto, but also it was blighted by the
:30:39. > :30:43.appalling events of Manchester and London Bridge. So there are very
:30:44. > :30:49.different, swirling measures that meant this was a very difficult
:30:50. > :30:53.election to predict. So what I concentrated on was the manifesto we
:30:54. > :30:59.had, the clarity of our policies, my belief that they were the right
:31:00. > :31:03.actions to take to help people in this country who really needed a
:31:04. > :31:09.change of government. And needed a fairer society. And I deeply, deeply
:31:10. > :31:15.disappointed that we didn't manage achieve a Labour victory so we could
:31:16. > :31:21.put those policies into effect. Put it this way, are you concerned...
:31:22. > :31:27.You talked about Brexit talks starting in 11 days. You think the
:31:28. > :31:33.Prime Minister will have to go? Do you expect to still be on the
:31:34. > :31:36.opposition benches, facing a Prime Minister supported maybe by the
:31:37. > :31:42.Northern Ireland parties? What do you think the future in Parliament
:31:43. > :31:47.is? Look, probably there are only two people who know that. Theresa
:31:48. > :31:51.May and her husband. She is in the driving seat in this, but of course
:31:52. > :31:58.she has lost the confidence of her party. That is very, very clear. It
:31:59. > :32:02.really is a matter of what she can broker within the Conservative
:32:03. > :32:06.Party. But this is a time when she should be focusing on what she can
:32:07. > :32:11.broker within Europe. That is why it's so deeply damaging to our
:32:12. > :32:16.nation. Politics is not a game between the political parties. It's
:32:17. > :32:19.ultimately supposed to be about the benefit of the British people, and
:32:20. > :32:26.she has put that all in jeopardy by this, and she has lost. Barry
:32:27. > :32:30.Gardiner, thank you for joining us. He started by describing it as an
:32:31. > :32:35.extraordinary night. I have pulled out three tweets which tell the
:32:36. > :32:40.story succinctly. The first, from Fraser Nelson, the editor of the
:32:41. > :32:46.Spectator. If Corbyn does take Labour to 40%, he will have done
:32:47. > :32:57.more to increase the party vote share since Clement Attlee in 1945.
:32:58. > :33:03.The second, Mark Wallace. An of the record quote from a Tory MP, we
:33:04. > :33:06.basically ran the Remain campaign, it was just about doom and disaster
:33:07. > :33:12.if you vote the other way. Recriminations about how inside Tory
:33:13. > :33:17.HQ they are thinking about what went wrong. And now the more panoramic,
:33:18. > :33:22.major story of this evening which we will talk about for months and years
:33:23. > :33:26.ahead. Harry Smith, a 94-year-old Labour activist who served in the
:33:27. > :33:32.Second World War, very trenchant online. He says, this morning,
:33:33. > :33:36.Britain's Young have shown they can become the greatest generation of
:33:37. > :33:40.the 21st century. You have my respect. This has been about young
:33:41. > :33:46.people coming out and swinging party towards Jeremy Corbyn and taking
:33:47. > :33:51.many of us buy supplies. Thanks. We know that the Prime Minister has
:33:52. > :34:00.gone back to Number Ten. -- many of us by surprise. Jeremy Vine is
:34:01. > :34:04.outside. People are waking up and wondering what we have been through
:34:05. > :34:09.with this extraordinary result. Let's take you through it, how by
:34:10. > :34:17.hour. Until 2am, the first handful of seats, you can see that seats
:34:18. > :34:24.Labour thought were maybe on the edge of being marginal, Hartlepool,
:34:25. > :34:29.the Vale of Clwyd, they stayed Labour. Labour were defending their
:34:30. > :34:32.territory. The Conservatives took Angus in Scotland, which it look
:34:33. > :34:40.like they had no prospect of doing, on paper. At 3am, let's see what we
:34:41. > :34:45.knew. By this stage, looking at the Labour line, they have taken
:34:46. > :34:49.Sheffield Hallam, Nick Clegg is out of the House of Commons. Glasgow
:34:50. > :34:56.North East goes Labour. An interesting result in Scotland.
:34:57. > :35:02.Ipswich goes from blue to red. Very interesting. The Conservatives
:35:03. > :35:05.hanging on to what they have got, Cleethorpes for example, but they
:35:06. > :35:09.would expect to hang onto those kinds of seats. What are they doing
:35:10. > :35:13.to move them forward? Nothing outside Scotland at all.
:35:14. > :35:23.At 4am, you can see Batley and Spen for Labour, the late Jo Cox's
:35:24. > :35:29.constituency that came back as Labour. In London, Labour posted
:35:30. > :35:33.quite high percentages in places like Vauxhall and Brent and
:35:34. > :35:36.Hammersmith and Dagenham. Underpinning this idea that in
:35:37. > :35:42.Remain seats, particularly those with lots of young voters, Labour
:35:43. > :35:45.were doing very well indeed. Scotland was constantly offsetting
:35:46. > :35:52.the bad news for the Conservatives in the meantime. Aberdeenshire West,
:35:53. > :35:56.Stirling, Berwickshire, all going to the Conservatives in Scotland,
:35:57. > :36:01.against any predictions made. At 5am, we are nearly there...
:36:02. > :36:09.The Conservatives get the result of Hastings. Amber Rudd, the Home
:36:10. > :36:13.Secretary's constituency. That was very, very close. She would not have
:36:14. > :36:18.been expecting to be in that nip and tuck fight in Hastings, but that was
:36:19. > :36:22.the case with quite a few Conservative seats. Meanwhile, OK,
:36:23. > :36:27.Labour are behind by doing much better than anyone expected. They
:36:28. > :36:30.take Enfield, Southgate off the Conservatives, the history of that
:36:31. > :36:36.seat with Michael Portillo being kicked out by Tony Blair's party in
:36:37. > :36:41.1997. A 10% swing for Labour in that seat. By six o'clock, let's bring on
:36:42. > :36:45.the rest. The Conservatives are ahead, but we knew by this stage
:36:46. > :36:53.they weren't going to make the finishing line of 326. They took
:36:54. > :36:58.Southampton, chipping barnet, but they would never have expected to be
:36:59. > :37:08.in trouble in those safe seats. Labour at this point, you can see
:37:09. > :37:12.Southampton, Gloria de Piero's seat. Hove had been assumed to be pretty
:37:13. > :37:23.marginal but Labour took it. Held it. So what a situation. We are very
:37:24. > :37:29.near the line. We have not yet got every seat. If they are dark blue,
:37:30. > :37:37.dark red, we don't know the final result. Truro, Cornwall Southeast,
:37:38. > :37:41.Crewe, Cornwall North, Kensington... But the one thing we do know, the
:37:42. > :37:49.Conservatives cannot make this 326 line. That is just over half the
:37:50. > :37:52.total number of MPs in the House of Parliament. They can't do it, and
:37:53. > :37:59.therefore it has been a terrible, terrible mistake for Theresa May to
:38:00. > :38:02.throw away the majority won by David Cameron in 2015. Yes, Labour have
:38:03. > :38:06.come second but they have done far better than almost anyone expected.
:38:07. > :38:14.David, that is the story. Amazing. Laura Kuenssberg, our political
:38:15. > :38:18.editor, has been sitting here since ten o'clock last night. You have to
:38:19. > :38:22.go to Downing Street. Do we know when Theresa May is speaking? We
:38:23. > :38:26.thought it might be ten o'clock, but we are told it is not, so I'm going
:38:27. > :38:34.to go, in case it is sooner than that. Just summarise for us how you
:38:35. > :38:40.think things stand, and the way you think politics will develop at
:38:41. > :38:43.Westminster over the next few days? Unquestionably, a total political
:38:44. > :38:49.disaster for Theresa May. This is on her, it was her decision to do it. A
:38:50. > :38:54.huge success were Jeremy Corbyn. Not the largest party but he has
:38:55. > :38:58.massively outperformed expectations. -- for Jeremy Corbyn. He has
:38:59. > :39:03.achieved far more than he himself thought. The hat-trick, if you like.
:39:04. > :39:12.He won the lass ship against expectation. -- the Labour
:39:13. > :39:19.leadership. He survived the contest. He has performed better than Labour
:39:20. > :39:22.in 2015 and 2010. A huge success. For us, we know the Tories are the
:39:23. > :39:26.largest party and they have the right to try and form the
:39:27. > :39:30.Government. They are tantalisingly close to actually getting a
:39:31. > :39:35.majority, and they would have a workable majority because we know
:39:36. > :39:42.the Northern Ireland Unionist MPs would come alongside them. But we do
:39:43. > :39:47.not know at the moment if Theresa May is the person to try to form
:39:48. > :39:52.that government. It may be her. She may be forced to stay on as a sort
:39:53. > :39:56.of caretaker and do some kind of deal behind-the-scenes about
:39:57. > :40:01.standing down later on. She may decide to quit after this
:40:02. > :40:05.humiliation. Or she may be privately being forced to do so right now. So
:40:06. > :40:09.we know the result but we don't know for sure who our Prime Minister is
:40:10. > :40:14.going to be. Tell us about Jeremy Corbyn's character. He must be tough
:40:15. > :40:21.as old boots having gone through that campaign, having been monster
:40:22. > :40:27.by the press. -- monstered by the press. 80% of his own MPs against
:40:28. > :40:32.him. In visible on the backbenches all of his career, generally known
:40:33. > :40:37.for voting against everything... A protester, indeed. The one thing we
:40:38. > :40:42.have always known about Jeremy Corbyn is he thrives on campaigning.
:40:43. > :40:47.He has been a protester, a campaigner. He was a political
:40:48. > :40:51.outsider. The gamble for the Labour Party was whether an outsider could
:40:52. > :40:55.ever have enough appeal to the floating voter, the person in the
:40:56. > :40:59.middle. Watching him over the last couple of years, even though he has
:41:00. > :41:03.had brickbats thrown at him by his own party, you see he has drawn
:41:04. > :41:07.energy from the campaigning that he has had to do. Day by Day in this
:41:08. > :41:12.campaign, it was almost like he was plugging in a charger to the crowd
:41:13. > :41:17.to get his energy to keep him going. That's what we have seen here. A
:41:18. > :41:22.protester turned campaigner that has been reinforced. How will he take to
:41:23. > :41:29.success? A whole different ball game. He has had success in his own
:41:30. > :41:34.way. On one of the last days of campaigning, he said it's not just
:41:35. > :41:39.about electing MPs. My normal campaigning and convention you say,
:41:40. > :41:45.it's only about electing MPs, that is the point. Most people thought it
:41:46. > :41:50.is eight crackpot view, not about winning, but most people would say
:41:51. > :41:55.it is a movement. But that formula has got the Labour Party further
:41:56. > :42:01.along the line than its last couple of leaders. Quite something. An
:42:02. > :42:05.amazing achievement, but clearly they are not the largest party. No
:42:06. > :42:10.question it is the Tory party that will try to form the Government. So
:42:11. > :42:14.while Labour have had an extremely good night, it's not the situation
:42:15. > :42:20.that somehow he has actually been able to overthrow that. But once
:42:21. > :42:24.again, just as in 2015, just as in the referendum, the Great British
:42:25. > :42:27.public have thrillingly, audaciously, boldly reminded the
:42:28. > :42:32.political established that they are the ones who call the shots. That is
:42:33. > :42:38.why these nights are so exciting. Laura Kuenssberg, you had better get
:42:39. > :42:43.down to Number Ten. We are going to go down there to join John Pienaar,
:42:44. > :42:50.waiting for you to arrive. Good morning to you. I suppose the
:42:51. > :42:53.obvious question is, first of all, do you have any news about what the
:42:54. > :42:54.Prime Minister is going to do? And secondly, what are your reflections
:42:55. > :43:07.on the campaign? The news is that there is no news.
:43:08. > :43:22.It is anyone's guess, about what the Prime Minister will do after this
:43:23. > :43:28.most Phyrric of election victories. We will find out when she makes that
:43:29. > :43:33.statement. I was in contact by text with a senior Tory figure just a few
:43:34. > :43:39.moments ago, asking, would Theresa May be soldiering on, and the answer
:43:40. > :43:43.was, no idea. I think he would have been speaking for an awful lot of
:43:44. > :43:47.people when he said that. Suggesting not too subtly that she should fall
:43:48. > :43:51.on her sword, one person saying. Another figure in the party, Jacob
:43:52. > :43:54.Rees Mogg am saying, we need that stability, she needs to stick
:43:55. > :43:59.around. And then, another member of the 1922 Committee, the tribal
:44:00. > :44:03.odours of the Tory party, his position was, this is the wrong time
:44:04. > :44:07.to go, with the Brexit negotiations just a few days away. We will wait
:44:08. > :44:12.and see. We will have that statement before too long. I would imagine, if
:44:13. > :44:14.she sticks around, we will see a significant change in her way of
:44:15. > :44:18.running the party and the government. Not just because she
:44:19. > :44:23.will see that is necessary but because I think the party around her
:44:24. > :44:27.will be insisting that that is what happens, and that will take a number
:44:28. > :44:30.of different forms, I think. You will see the Prime Minister being
:44:31. > :44:35.pressed to listen much more carefully to the party at large, to
:44:36. > :44:40.her MPs, to the tribal elders of the 1922 Committee. In Whitehall, around
:44:41. > :44:43.here, there are very senior civil servants who say privately that they
:44:44. > :44:49.want to see their departments, their voices, not just heard but he did in
:44:50. > :44:52.number 10 Downing Street. We know how Theresa May relies very closely
:44:53. > :44:56.on a very small circle of close senior advisers. Many people feel
:44:57. > :45:01.excluded from all of that fish you will see MPs and senior civil
:45:02. > :45:05.servants in a more deferential sort of way looking for that circle to be
:45:06. > :45:11.widened, for the listening to be made rather more attentive and for
:45:12. > :45:15.what they say to be responded to. All of that is for the future. And
:45:16. > :45:21.while, today, we will hear from the Prime Minister a little later on,
:45:22. > :45:25.having absorbed what has happened overnight, telling us weather she is
:45:26. > :45:28.going to carry on. Meanwhile, the Labour Party will be considering its
:45:29. > :45:32.own future, which now looks so very different. We have had a realignment
:45:33. > :45:38.of British politics overnight - and that's not overstating it. Thank you
:45:39. > :45:42.very much indeed, that was a great help to us. We will be back in the
:45:43. > :45:49.street when the Prime Minister comes out to speak. Can we look at a
:45:50. > :45:54.summary of how things stand? Yes. Imagine if you were a normal person,
:45:55. > :45:58.if you stayed up to watch the exit poll at ten clock and a new thought,
:45:59. > :46:02.I will go to bed and wake up in the morning and see what has happened.
:46:03. > :46:06.That exit polls which John Curtice brought us suggested the
:46:07. > :46:11.Conservatives would be on about 314 seats, Labour would be on 256. It is
:46:12. > :46:15.impossible for you to imagine the kind of turmoil which all of us in
:46:16. > :46:22.the studio have been through, wondering just how accurate that
:46:23. > :46:26.would be. Well, look. At this time of the morning, coming up to seven
:46:27. > :46:35.o'clock, these are the seats which are in, and they are nearly all
:46:36. > :46:41.counted. The Conservatives sitting on 313 - they have lost 12. Labour
:46:42. > :46:48.sitting on 260 - they have made gains of 29 so far with six or seven
:46:49. > :46:53.still remaining. The SNP on 35, we predicted they would be down by 22,
:46:54. > :46:58.they have lost 21. The Lib Dems we said would be on 12, and they have
:46:59. > :47:03.done just that. What I want to do is to show you what this looks like as
:47:04. > :47:09.a percentage of the vote. Suddenly, it all becomes an extraordinary and
:47:10. > :47:18.stock story when you tell it, as we have been looking at it, in terms of
:47:19. > :47:22.these poll numbers. Labour, just two percentage points behind the
:47:23. > :47:28.Conservatives. The SNP on only 3%, even though they have all of those
:47:29. > :47:35.seats in Scotland. And the Greens, only one point behind them, even
:47:36. > :47:40.though they just have that one seat. But this is the moment which is
:47:41. > :47:46.quite a triumph for our exit pollsters. This is what we brought
:47:47. > :47:59.you at the beginning of the night. This is what we suggested. Showing
:48:00. > :48:04.Labour up, Ukip and the SNP down, amongst others. That is what we gave
:48:05. > :48:08.you. We held our breath, we tried not to tremble when we showed you
:48:09. > :48:12.the results on air. And these are the results, with nearly all of them
:48:13. > :48:22.in. And you can see just how similar those patterns are. Labour up 10%,
:48:23. > :48:26.the Conservatives up 6% and the other is pretty much in line. So
:48:27. > :48:30.this is the moment where you will probably want to turn to John
:48:31. > :48:33.Curtice with a big pat on the back. John Curtice is beaming with
:48:34. > :48:40.pleasure, hearing that. Does the exit poll deserve a pat on the back?
:48:41. > :48:44.Well, I hope you found it useful and that it helped to inform your
:48:45. > :48:47.coverage during the course of the night, David. The crucial thing
:48:48. > :48:50.about the exit polls is not necessarily whether it is right or
:48:51. > :48:54.wrong, but it gives people a guide as to what the results might be. You
:48:55. > :48:58.will remember that actually, very early in the night, it was not clear
:48:59. > :49:02.that it was right, because most of the results came in from the
:49:03. > :49:06.north-east, particularly Newcastle and Sunderland, and the exit polls
:49:07. > :49:10.overestimated how Labour would do in that part of the world. But while
:49:11. > :49:14.that was going on, we were hearing all sorts of commentary about what
:49:15. > :49:18.was going on in seats further south, particularly crucial marginal seats.
:49:19. > :49:22.And it was fairly clear to us early on that we have got the broad
:49:23. > :49:26.picture right. And therefore hopefully it means that the
:49:27. > :49:31.programme started off on the right leg. But it is not just me, I have a
:49:32. > :49:35.wonderful set of colleagues here who have done an awful lot of computer
:49:36. > :49:39.programming and hard work, not just tonight but all the way through the
:49:40. > :49:43.election campaign. And of course, the interviewers from Ipsa Smillie
:49:44. > :49:48.and JFK, stood outside polling stations, in some cases in inclement
:49:49. > :49:55.weather, collecting the data. We could not have got this right but
:49:56. > :49:59.for the data they collected, which fruit for the most part to be highly
:50:00. > :50:04.accurate. So you're just the front man? I hope I might have contributed
:50:05. > :50:08.something to the analysis, and my colleagues might agree! But without
:50:09. > :50:16.their support, I would not be...! You're just the public face! Sky,
:50:17. > :50:20.ITV, BBC... The reason it is a co-operative poll is because we used
:50:21. > :50:25.to get it, everybody had a different one and then blame the other lot for
:50:26. > :50:30.getting it wrong. John, thank you very much and congratulations on it.
:50:31. > :50:36.Let's join Michelle for a moment up in the gods. I am sitting here with
:50:37. > :50:38.David Lammy MP, Labour MP for Tottenham, comfortably re-elected
:50:39. > :50:44.earlier on. Congratulations on that. You have been a prominent Remain
:50:45. > :50:49.campaigner, you voted against the triggering of Article 50 - want to
:50:50. > :50:53.ask what you think tonight means for the Brexit process. George Osborne
:50:54. > :50:58.has said hard Brexit is now in the bin. I think George Osborne is
:50:59. > :51:00.right. Theresa May had committed to leaving the single market, she had
:51:01. > :51:05.committed to leaving the customs union. She asked the country to back
:51:06. > :51:10.her, give her a bigger majority, that now lies in tatters. There has
:51:11. > :51:16.to be now a different course. And I might say that MPs like Ken Clarke,
:51:17. > :51:23.like Anna Soubry, MPs that do not want a hard Brexit, are emboldened
:51:24. > :51:27.within the party, with such a small minority government which
:51:28. > :51:30.effectively she has to form. In a sense, you voted against triggering
:51:31. > :51:35.Article 50, Jeremy Corbyn, your leader, took a different position -
:51:36. > :51:39.in the end, his approach, perhaps that was one of the keys to holding
:51:40. > :51:44.together the disparate groups of Labour voters and delivering this
:51:45. > :51:47.result. My view remains largely the view of London, and you have seen a
:51:48. > :51:53.massive Remain position here in London, where Labour have done well.
:51:54. > :52:00.But of course, across the country it looks like Jeremy Corbyn got it
:52:01. > :52:06.right. His assessment was, we have to have a Brexit but broadly, it has
:52:07. > :52:12.to be a soft Brexit. And that has shined in the country. That's why
:52:13. > :52:16.those predictions that we would lose the north of England, that white
:52:17. > :52:20.working-class Britain had deserted Labour, this morning were proved
:52:21. > :52:23.wrong. Jeremy and the Labour Party have kept those seats in Yorkshire,
:52:24. > :52:28.the north-east and north-west. Against your expectations but are we
:52:29. > :52:32.actually my view was always the expectation that those Ukip voters
:52:33. > :52:36.would just go to the Conservatives was an overstatement. I know why
:52:37. > :52:45.colleagues feared it, but actually, we have seen a third of those voters
:52:46. > :52:49.coming over to Labour. I'm joined now by Peter Hennessy, who has
:52:50. > :52:56.arrived with a book called The Cabinet Manual. Just describe to us,
:52:57. > :53:02.is the process of continuing the governments of Britain complex or is
:53:03. > :53:07.it straightforward? I rarely leave home without this Cabinet manual,
:53:08. > :53:11.but it is quite complicated. Politics can always make a
:53:12. > :53:18.difference to the prescribed drills. After a night of political
:53:19. > :53:22.convulsion, I fear for Mrs May. My old friend John Ramsey, historian of
:53:23. > :53:24.the Conservative Party, once describe the Tory leadership as
:53:25. > :53:29.autocracy tempered by assassination. The big question is, will she be
:53:30. > :53:33.assassinated by her own hand, by other people sounds, sooner rather
:53:34. > :53:38.than later? It's going to be the most extraordinary day. For the last
:53:39. > :53:42.briefing elections, we have had a drill laid out, we never had it
:53:43. > :53:46.before. But there is a drill for it in here, the ministers resigning
:53:47. > :53:50.either individually or on behalf of their own government. What about not
:53:51. > :53:54.resigning, with a minority government, is there a drill for
:53:55. > :53:58.that? There's several drills, they're all in here. Several drills?
:53:59. > :54:03.Several possibilities, whether you do a deal, whether you have a line
:54:04. > :54:07.of confidence, or whether you try and soldier it out as the largest
:54:08. > :54:12.single party. But I think she will go and call upon the Queen, if she
:54:13. > :54:16.follows Ted heath's pattern in 1974, he went to see the Queen to explain
:54:17. > :54:20.what he was going to try to do over the weekend, in terms of doing deals
:54:21. > :54:23.with the Liberals and a few from Northern Ireland, so I think that
:54:24. > :54:29.President will probably be followed, but who knows? We are coming up to
:54:30. > :54:34.seven o'clock, and there is a shift change coming now. That they just
:54:35. > :54:43.work it out. Jeremy Vine is staying, yes? Michelle, your work is done...
:54:44. > :54:47.And you're going home. Emily? Staining. You're staying right
:54:48. > :54:56.through the day. Are you staying or going? Going. And you're going? Not
:54:57. > :55:04.home, I'm going back to... We have got jobs to do, David! We have got
:55:05. > :55:07.day jobs! We have been on the air all the way through the night, it
:55:08. > :55:12.has been the most fascinating night, I don't think any of six, when we
:55:13. > :55:18.sat down here, when I got that exit poll in that secret room out the
:55:19. > :55:22.back and we looked at it aghast, we could not believe it, in fact I will
:55:23. > :55:27.put it on eBay one day! Nothing had prepared us for it. Politics is
:55:28. > :55:32.always surprising, who politics is exciting. And one of the complaints
:55:33. > :55:36.often, particularly among young people, is that they find it boring.
:55:37. > :55:40.This election showed that young people can be energised by politics.
:55:41. > :55:44.That's really what Jeremy Corbyn managed to do, he managed to get
:55:45. > :55:48.people really involved and intrigued by it and seeing a different way of
:55:49. > :55:53.doing politics, not just the same old way. And I said earlier on that
:55:54. > :55:59.here the fascinating thing is that we have reverted effectively to a
:56:00. > :56:02.two-party system, an absolute binary choice between the Tory party and
:56:03. > :56:07.the Labour Party, the other parties have fallen aside. For the first
:56:08. > :56:15.time since 1970, we have 13.5 million Tory, nearly 13,000,004
:56:16. > :56:19.Labour. So, the bulk of voters - and we still have to find out who they
:56:20. > :56:23.were, what the young kid, what the old did, what the people in the
:56:24. > :56:27.towns in the cities did, all that stuff - but nevertheless, we have
:56:28. > :56:31.moved back towards two-party politics. All to play for no,
:56:32. > :56:34.because Theresa May, as we have been saying, must be under extreme
:56:35. > :56:39.pressure, having originally called this election, the guaranteed
:56:40. > :56:45.certainty and stability for the years ahead. Our coverage carries on
:56:46. > :56:48.on BBC One throughout the day. There will be all kinds of developments
:56:49. > :56:52.and Huw Edwards will be back in the chair here to take us through the
:56:53. > :56:56.afternoon and no doubt into this evening, as we work out the
:56:57. > :56:57.ramifications of what has happened. But