Part 1

:00:09. > :00:17.The campaign is over, the polls are about to close. Time then to find

:00:18. > :00:18.out just how many surprises Theresa May's surprise election has in

:00:19. > :01:12.store. Hello and welcome to BBC Scotland's

:01:13. > :01:18.general election results coverage, live from our headquarters at

:01:19. > :01:22.Pacific key in Glasgow. Of course, we will cover all the big moments

:01:23. > :01:27.from around the country. Will Theresa May's gamble to call a snap

:01:28. > :01:31.election pay off, as she looks to strengthen her grip on power? And

:01:32. > :01:35.Jeremy Corbyn overtake in the race for Number Ten? Will Nicola Sturgeon

:01:36. > :01:41.repeat her party's remarkable results from two years ago? And can

:01:42. > :01:47.Tim Farron revive the fortunes of his Liberal Democrats? Up all night

:01:48. > :01:52.to help answer those questions are our political editor. Let's keep it

:01:53. > :01:54.simple. If you want to know who is winning the race for Number Ten,

:01:55. > :01:58.stay right here with us. If you want to know who's running in Scotland,

:01:59. > :02:03.stay with us. If you want to know what the results mean for Brexit and

:02:04. > :02:12.a second independence referendum, stay with us. Any minute now, we

:02:13. > :02:17.will have the exit poll. Helping us with graphics is David Henderson. We

:02:18. > :02:26.will be painting a picture with those results as they come in. This

:02:27. > :02:31.has been the UK's electoral map. Will the balance of power shift

:02:32. > :02:37.dramatically? Nothing could be certain. After a tumultuous few

:02:38. > :02:41.decades in politics. Stay with us to discover who will be the next Prime

:02:42. > :02:47.Minister holding the keys to Number Ten. With all the election headlines

:02:48. > :02:54.from Scotland across the UK, Jackie Bird. Look at the engine room of our

:02:55. > :02:59.coverage. The results come from here. We have a hotline to every

:03:00. > :03:06.count in Scotland. Here are some of the 700 counting staff at the

:03:07. > :03:10.Emirates arena. Seven Glasgow constituencies. Pictures from

:03:11. > :03:14.Dumfries where David Mundell will learn his fate. We will bring you

:03:15. > :03:18.the game changing moments and the best pictures. We will also follow

:03:19. > :03:24.the key players and commentators on social media. And they have all the

:03:25. > :03:28.gossip covered in our election cafe with Fiona. We are giving you an

:03:29. > :03:34.alternative to the politicians. We are brought together journalists

:03:35. > :03:40.from across the political spectrum. Spin doctors, bloggers and our own

:03:41. > :03:50.cartoonist. Follow us on social media. We have experts and

:03:51. > :03:55.politicians here. As you can see, Big Ben is fast approaching 10pm. So

:03:56. > :04:01.it won't be long before we find out who you have decided to send to

:04:02. > :04:14.Westminster. And of course who is going to be our next Prime Minister.

:04:15. > :04:21.Big Ben CHIMES. It is 10pm. The exit poll suggests the Conservatives will

:04:22. > :04:26.be the largest party after the 2017 general election. If it is correct,

:04:27. > :04:30.Theresa May will be short of an overall majority. Not the result she

:04:31. > :04:36.hoped for when she called this snap election. Let's get more details

:04:37. > :04:42.with Brian. Thank you. As a result of the poll, the prediction is the

:04:43. > :04:49.Conservatives will be on 314 seats, that is down 17. The same poll

:04:50. > :04:57.predicts labour around 266, up 34 seats. The SNP would have 34 seats,

:04:58. > :05:02.down 22. The Lib Dems on 14, that is up six. And 22 others, including

:05:03. > :05:10.three Plaid Cymru and one green. If these figures are correct, if,

:05:11. > :05:13.Theresa May would be 12 short of an overall majority. A worse position

:05:14. > :05:24.than she started the election with. Some caveats. It is a sample poll,

:05:25. > :05:28.30,450 people sampled. 144 polling stations, ten across Scotland. Real

:05:29. > :05:32.voters and the exit poll tells us what they actually said. We were

:05:33. > :05:37.updated with the details as they come in. Beer in mind, if these

:05:38. > :05:41.results are correct, Theresa May will not have the mandate she hoped

:05:42. > :05:47.for. If these results are correct, she will not be able to argue that

:05:48. > :05:51.she has given herself greater strength for the negotiations with

:05:52. > :05:55.the European Union. If these results are correct, Theresa May is going to

:05:56. > :06:02.face some pretty big questions from her own party. If they are correct.

:06:03. > :06:05.And astonishing exit poll. That cross to David Henderson in a moment

:06:06. > :06:09.to see what the House of Commons would look like if that Paul turned

:06:10. > :06:13.out to be correct, but first some immediate reaction from the

:06:14. > :06:24.politicians on our panel. I will start with the introductions. Jeanne

:06:25. > :06:28.Freeman from the SNP. Steve McColl from the Scottish Liberal Democrats.

:06:29. > :06:33.Murdo Fraser, if this is how the election turns out, then will it

:06:34. > :06:41.have been worth the There are a lot of ifs and buts in an election poll.

:06:42. > :06:50.In 2015, there was a suggestion would be hung parliament. We will

:06:51. > :06:56.need to wait and see. In Scotland, it shows the SNP on 34 seats. That

:06:57. > :07:02.would be an astonishing decline for the SNP who went into this election

:07:03. > :07:06.holding 56 out of 59 seats. To end up with 34 seats would really be a

:07:07. > :07:14.dramatic reverse for Nicola Sturgeon. I would agree with all the

:07:15. > :07:17.sandbox. If the exit poll is correct, it is an extraordinarily

:07:18. > :07:23.bad result for the Conservatives because Theresa May not only called

:07:24. > :07:26.this snap election with a majority, she called it with a significant

:07:27. > :07:31.lead in the polls and that result does not suggest that she has

:07:32. > :07:36.maintained that significant lead in the polls. From the SNP's point of

:07:37. > :07:42.view, if we have a majority of seats in Scotland, then that will be a

:07:43. > :07:48.good result for the SNP. In 2010, we only had six MPs. 2015 was an

:07:49. > :07:53.extraordinary probably once in a century result. We would hope for

:07:54. > :08:00.better than 34, I'm sure we will get better than 34, but it is not a

:08:01. > :08:05.disaster for the SNP. It is a disaster for the Tories to make. Is

:08:06. > :08:11.there any scenario looking at these numbers were Jeremy Corbyn might end

:08:12. > :08:16.up as prim minister? Let's wait and see. If these results turn out to be

:08:17. > :08:20.correct, that is important. What do we know? We know Theresa May had a

:08:21. > :08:26.disastrous campaign. I can't remember party leader as bad an

:08:27. > :08:30.election campaign as Theresa May. I would suggest Nicola Sturgeon

:08:31. > :08:35.couldn't find her fitting either. I am perhaps less surprised than

:08:36. > :08:43.others of the direction this Paul suggests. But we have learned in

:08:44. > :08:49.recent years that exit polls might throw up unexpected results. In

:08:50. > :08:55.Scotland, we were the prounion party. I am still hoping we can do

:08:56. > :09:01.well in Scotland. It would be interesting to know how many of

:09:02. > :09:10.those six seats that we are going up might be in Scotland. I hope several

:09:11. > :09:15.of them. Overall, I think the message here is for parties in

:09:16. > :09:18.government this looks like a bad result. For Theresa May in the

:09:19. > :09:23.United Kingdom going down. And for Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP in

:09:24. > :09:28.Scotland going down. To be honest, far more than I ever expected, if

:09:29. > :09:35.this is true. We were astonished by the exit poll two years ago and by

:09:36. > :09:37.and large it turned out to be largely accurate. To confirm, it is

:09:38. > :09:43.suggesting the Conservatives will be the largest party but short of an

:09:44. > :09:46.overall majority. David Tennant rock through what the House of Commons

:09:47. > :09:50.would look like if the poll turns out to be accurate. Let's look at

:09:51. > :09:58.the House of Commons chamber. This is how the exit poll to night would

:09:59. > :10:01.look if it is converted into MPs. On the blue benches, the Conservatives

:10:02. > :10:11.would sit as the largest party. The exit poll predicting the Tories

:10:12. > :10:17.would 314 seats. The largest party at Westminster. But we are set to

:10:18. > :10:23.lose 17 MPs in this election. On the site, the red of labour, set to

:10:24. > :10:30.remain the largest opposition party with 266 MPs. Their support is up.

:10:31. > :10:34.The expected to gain 34 MPs. We will be pleased to have made gains, but

:10:35. > :10:43.there is no majority in parliament for them. The next biggest party, a

:10:44. > :10:46.block of yellow for the SNP. 34 members of parliament. If that exit

:10:47. > :10:49.poll is converted into reality, there is a disappointing night in

:10:50. > :10:54.prospect for Nicola Sturgeon. Are party set to lose 22 of the seats

:10:55. > :11:00.they have held in Scotland. Then that sliver of Orange, the Lib Dems

:11:01. > :11:05.now have 14 MPs. A bit of a comeback, but no great breakthrough.

:11:06. > :11:08.Six more than last time. And the others, the parties of Northern

:11:09. > :11:15.Ireland, the Welsh nationalists and the Greens, 22 in total. Let's look

:11:16. > :11:21.at the all important finishing line. You can see the Tories look to have

:11:22. > :11:29.failed to win an overall majority. 326 is the magic number. Shot by 12

:11:30. > :11:33.members. Theresa May called the selection to tighten her grip for

:11:34. > :11:38.Brexit and tonight it looks as though that strategy has failed.

:11:39. > :11:43.Whilst she is still in charge of the largest party in the House of

:11:44. > :11:48.Commons, she will be disappointed. More reaction from our election cafe

:11:49. > :11:54.and see for the first time tonight, dealing to Fiona. We have had time

:11:55. > :11:57.to chew over those results. It is a prediction. Let's see how that

:11:58. > :12:04.marries what this lot have been writing about. Kevin Pringle,

:12:05. > :12:09.formerly of the SNP, your first reaction? This would be a dramatic

:12:10. > :12:13.setback for the Conservatives, particularly for Theresa May. She

:12:14. > :12:17.only went to the country to get an overwhelming majority. On these

:12:18. > :12:23.figures, no majority at all. It is hard to see how she could continue

:12:24. > :12:27.in her position. Of course, this is only a prediction. We can be very

:12:28. > :12:37.different when the results come in. For the SNP, that is a significantly

:12:38. > :12:40.smaller number than last time. But that smaller group would have a

:12:41. > :12:45.significant influence because if that is no overall majority then

:12:46. > :12:50.that is a potential balancing power situation. So yes smaller figure but

:12:51. > :12:55.possibly with more clout than we have seen in the last couple of

:12:56. > :13:01.years. It might be that these figures are adjusted as the real

:13:02. > :13:05.results come in. You have had your calculator out and are doing some

:13:06. > :13:12.thoughts. There was a gasp of surprise in the cafe. What are your

:13:13. > :13:16.thoughts? Theresa May wanted a coronation and on these figures she

:13:17. > :13:21.is getting a kicking. It is extraordinary. If these are anywhere

:13:22. > :13:28.near accurate, just a disastrous results were. We were imagining the

:13:29. > :13:39.other European leaders sniggering at these results, in a manner of

:13:40. > :13:44.schadenfreude. If it is true. If it is not true, we will be the ones who

:13:45. > :13:51.are getting the schadenfreude, won't we? What was your first reaction? I

:13:52. > :13:56.was astonished. With the usual caveats, it might not be accurate,

:13:57. > :14:01.if it is remotely accurate, Theresa May's position as prim minister is

:14:02. > :14:07.utterly untenable. She called an early election which she thought she

:14:08. > :14:10.would have a landslide majority, on the Labour side, critics of Jeremy

:14:11. > :14:15.Corbyn who insisted he is unelectable, it will be far more

:14:16. > :14:21.difficult to remove him now. Personally I think he should still

:14:22. > :14:26.be removed, but it is extraordinary. Back to your calculations. It is not

:14:27. > :14:30.just about words. Tonight the election cafe is about pictures.

:14:31. > :14:39.Neils Lawrence is with us. Yaz sketch does something.

:14:40. > :14:46.It is hilarious she has called the election and lost her majority. She

:14:47. > :14:52.did say strong and stable a lot of times. I don't think it has done the

:14:53. > :14:59.trick. We are also all about social media and people have been reacting

:15:00. > :15:07.on Twitter. One says, not again. Hung Parliament. SNP will win in

:15:08. > :15:15.Scotland. And David, hung Parliament, I'll take that. Very

:15:16. > :15:24.interesting. You can join in the conversation at BBC election cafe.

:15:25. > :15:28.Let's bring in Brian Taylor. If it turns out this mean, what does it

:15:29. > :15:32.mean for parties and the heads of parties. First the Conservatives

:15:33. > :15:39.don't have a majority in the House of Commons. There wouldn't be enough

:15:40. > :15:44.of Labour, the SNP and the Liberal Democrat to make an alliance. The

:15:45. > :15:51.Conservatives could govern as a minority. But they entered the

:15:52. > :15:55.election with the purpose of strengthening their mandate for

:15:56. > :16:00.European negotiations, which I always thought was piffle, I don't

:16:01. > :16:05.think the European nations will change their point of view. But it

:16:06. > :16:08.was said to strengthen the Prime Minister's hand in getting it past

:16:09. > :16:14.the House of Commons. The closing polls by the various companies

:16:15. > :16:23.suggesting a lead for the Tories of about 10 points in some, but only

:16:24. > :16:28.one in the one poll. Lord Ashcroft, the Conservative peer has done has a

:16:29. > :16:38.poll and he has scenarios based on projected turn out. He said the

:16:39. > :16:43.probable outcome is 363 seats for the Tories, or a majority of 76.

:16:44. > :16:51.That is a different picture from the exit poll. But if the exit poll is

:16:52. > :17:04.correct, I don't see how Theresa May can survive. Those pictures are from

:17:05. > :17:09.Islington North, Jeremy Corbyn's constituency. How would you read the

:17:10. > :17:14.exit poll. It almost certainly not be exactly like that. But they have

:17:15. > :17:17.a pretty good track record with exit polls, it will probably be close. It

:17:18. > :17:22.is at odds with some of the opinion polls we have had. But one, a number

:17:23. > :17:27.of advantages that those doing the exit polls have not just it is

:17:28. > :17:30.bigger numbers, it is people who have actually voted, but also the

:17:31. > :17:37.pollsters have struggled with what to do with those who are less likely

:17:38. > :17:41.to vote and having to wait for the data, you don't have that problem

:17:42. > :17:45.with an exit poll, because they have already voted. It may not be exact,

:17:46. > :17:52.but I would expect it to be close to that. Thank you both. Now let's get

:17:53. > :17:56.around the country. There are 17 declarations happening in our three

:17:57. > :18:04.biggest cities, the biggest in Glasgow. Let's cross there live and

:18:05. > :18:12.Aileen Clarke is at the Emirates stadium. Hi, well as you can see the

:18:13. > :18:16.sorting of the postal votes is well under way. And let me remind you of

:18:17. > :18:25.the kind of evening we had two years ago. Around here Nicola Sturgeon

:18:26. > :18:29.lined up what she called her Magnificent Seven, the SNP took

:18:30. > :18:36.every single Westminster seat and there were some very glum Labour

:18:37. > :18:44.faces. This time, six out of her Magnificent Seven ride again.

:18:45. > :18:49.Natalie McGarry isn't standing after being accused of embezzlement. And

:18:50. > :18:56.could this be where Labour starts a fight back to claw back what they

:18:57. > :19:00.lost so bitterly here two years ago. If the SNP are going to lose that

:19:01. > :19:03.many seats, is it possible they may lose one in Glasgow? They were

:19:04. > :19:09.confident they would hold on to them. But we will have to wait and

:19:10. > :19:16.see. Also appearing here we will have Patrick Harvie, something of a

:19:17. > :19:24.lone Ranger, the only green candidate. We will have to wait

:19:25. > :19:29.until about 3 o'clock. But it might well be worth staying up to wait on

:19:30. > :19:34.the Glasgow results this time. We will have the good, the bad and

:19:35. > :19:40.let's hope it doesn't get ugly and now let's head east to Edinburgh.

:19:41. > :19:44.Thank you. The first thing to say that is exit poll has caused a stir

:19:45. > :19:49.here in the counting room in Edinburgh. A lot of people on their

:19:50. > :19:54.phones trying to work out what those numbers mean for their respective

:19:55. > :20:01.parties, people in huddles down there on the floor and the

:20:02. > :20:10.volunteers carry on with their job. The first declaration we expect

:20:11. > :20:14.between 2 and 3. The last between 4 and 5. Fascinating to see what

:20:15. > :20:18.happens Marley in light of -- particularly in light of that exit

:20:19. > :20:23.poll. To focus on a couple. Edinburgh South is where Iain Murray

:20:24. > :20:27.won for Labour in 2015 when at the end of the night he was the only

:20:28. > :20:31.Labour MP left in Scotland. But he is pushing to win that seat.

:20:32. > :20:34.Fascinating to see what challenge he has from the SNP and the

:20:35. > :20:40.Conservatives in light of that exit poll. The other interesting seat

:20:41. > :20:45.here in Edinburgh West, that was one by Michelle Thompson in 2015, but

:20:46. > :20:48.she resigned the party whip for the SNP. That constituency will have a

:20:49. > :20:52.new MP. That is where the Liberal Democrats are fighting hard. We will

:20:53. > :21:01.find out at the end of the night five MPs to be elected here and a

:21:02. > :21:08.fascinating night ahead here and in Aberdeen. It will be interesting to

:21:09. > :21:14.see how that exit poll works out. This is a part of country where the

:21:15. > :21:21.Conservatives expected to do well. Five seats up for grab. Five that

:21:22. > :21:24.were held by the SNP in 2015. Early intelligence suggesting that

:21:25. > :21:28.Aberdeen South is looking very tight between the Conservatives and the

:21:29. > :21:35.SNP, who took the seat in 2015 from Labour. Aberdeenshire West and

:21:36. > :21:39.Kincardine, I'm told the Conservatives will be disappointed

:21:40. > :21:46.if they don't take that seat. It is a seat they took in the Scottish

:21:47. > :21:52.Parliament elections. The SNP not denying the possible they will lose

:21:53. > :21:59.that seat. And Gordon where Alex Salmond was elected and Banff and

:22:00. > :22:03.Buchan where there is signs of a switch in the fishing communities

:22:04. > :22:11.between the SNP and the Tories over Brexit. And I'm told that the turn

:22:12. > :22:15.out is high there. Thank you. We are going to continue to go around the

:22:16. > :22:18.country in just a moment. But let's just recap on the exit poll

:22:19. > :22:24.headlines with Jackie Bird. The headline is the result of that exit

:22:25. > :22:29.poll, which has predicted the Conservatives are the largest party,

:22:30. > :22:37.but they have lost their majority. They're on course to lose 17 seats.

:22:38. > :22:46.Let's show the figures. It puts the Conservatives on 314. That is down

:22:47. > :22:51.by 17. Labour is on 266. Up by 34. The SNP down by 22 on 34 and the

:22:52. > :22:57.Liberal Democrats are on 14 which would be up by 6. Others on 22.

:22:58. > :23:02.Reaction coming in thick and fast. Speaking a few moments ago, the UK

:23:03. > :23:07.Defence Secretary was cagey about predictions in general. Well, we

:23:08. > :23:13.didn't, I never believed the original poll showing us 20 points

:23:14. > :23:16.ahead. In an election you get a tightening between the parties, that

:23:17. > :23:21.was happening. But I think it is very early to start on the basis of

:23:22. > :23:27.what is a projection before we have had a single actual result. Let's

:23:28. > :23:30.wait and see. For the SNP, if we have a majority of seats in

:23:31. > :23:39.Scotland, then that will be a good result for the SNP. You know n 2010

:23:40. > :23:43.we only had six MPs. 2015 was an extraordinary, probably once in a

:23:44. > :23:48.century result. So 34 we would hope for better and I'm sure we will get

:23:49. > :23:52.better. But it is not a disaster for the SNP, but it is a disaster for

:23:53. > :23:57.the Tories tonight. There is a race to be the first constituency to

:23:58. > :24:03.declare first and they are literally racing in Sunderland. There they

:24:04. > :24:14.are. Let's look at the reaction on Twitter to that exit poll. The BBC's

:24:15. > :24:16.Andrew Neil said it would be a disastrous result for the

:24:17. > :24:36.Conservatives. Glenn. Every election night has its

:24:37. > :24:43.wow moment. Brian Taylor looks ahead to what those might be tonight.

:24:44. > :24:50.Elections, manifesto launches, claim and counter claim, the battle bus.

:24:51. > :24:54.Political spin. Media fact-checking. But in the final analysis a general

:24:55. > :24:57.election rests on one thing - that is winning in individual

:24:58. > :25:01.constituencies. So let's look at some of the most interesting

:25:02. > :25:06.contests in Scotland, bearing that the SNP start the night defending an

:25:07. > :25:17.astonishing 56 out of 59 constituencies. The most marginal

:25:18. > :25:23.seat is Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk. The Conservatives candidate

:25:24. > :25:30.is so confident he has quit his Holyrood seat. So will he end up on

:25:31. > :25:36.the green benches or are a red face? And other Tory hopes are Dumfries

:25:37. > :25:44.and Galloway and Perth and North Perthshire. How about Labour? Their

:25:45. > :25:56.biggie is to hold Iain Murray's seat in Edinburgh South. Labour hope to

:25:57. > :26:00.take East Lothian. Iain Gray held on to the equivalent Scottish

:26:01. > :26:06.Parliament seat. And there is Edinburgh east where the SNP

:26:07. > :26:17.candidate resigned. The Liberal Democrats, how about East

:26:18. > :26:26.Dunbartonshire. Other Liberal Democrat hopes are North East Fife,

:26:27. > :26:37.Edinburgh West and Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross. A final

:26:38. > :26:47.thought, can the Tories take Moray from Angus Robertson, the SNP's

:26:48. > :26:52.Westminster leader. The SNP vote was squeezed in the Holyrood elections.

:26:53. > :26:59.Can they go further? Privately Tories say that would be their

:27:00. > :27:07.Portillo moment, remember the defeat for Michael Portillo that epitomised

:27:08. > :27:14.the 1997 election. It coined a catch phrase, were you still up for

:27:15. > :27:20.Portillo. The SNP say dream on. Hey, why don't you stay up with us and

:27:21. > :27:26.see how it goes? More from Brian tonight. Some words from George

:27:27. > :27:33.Osborne, the former Chancellor, he said if the exit poll is right, that

:27:34. > :27:41.would be catastrophic for Theresa May and further criticism from Sir

:27:42. > :27:47.Craig Oliver suggesting her gamble has failed. Now around the country

:27:48. > :27:52.and look more at the prospects for the Conservatives in Scotland

:27:53. > :27:56.tonight. We will cross to the most marginal seat with Cameron butt

:27:57. > :28:02.until Kelso. First to Perth and Graham Stuart. Are the Tories in

:28:03. > :28:08.confident mood there? Yes, this is one of their top target seat and

:28:09. > :28:17.looks like being one of the most closely fought contests. Pete

:28:18. > :28:21.Wishart has a majority of just under 10,000, but he admitted he is

:28:22. > :28:27.running neck and neck with the Tories and that this contest is too

:28:28. > :28:31.close to call N a curious phrase, he warns voters of the dangers of

:28:32. > :28:39.waking up with a Tory MP on Friday morning. That Tory is the member of

:28:40. > :28:47.Parliament Iain donical, ical -- Duncan. He will be looking for a new

:28:48. > :28:51.job soon and if the bookies are to be believed, he has good chance of

:28:52. > :28:59.winning. So what is going on here? The SNP have had Dom Nance here for

:29:00. > :29:05.the -- dominance here for 20 years, but in the referendum, 60% of people

:29:06. > :29:10.voted against Scottish independence, making the area more unionist than

:29:11. > :29:14.average. But the first beneficiary of the polarisation of politics was

:29:15. > :29:19.Pete Wishart himself, he more than doubled his majority last time to

:29:20. > :29:28.just under 10,000, but recent election results have made grim

:29:29. > :29:36.reading for the SNP. In the Scottish Parliament elections John Swinney

:29:37. > :29:41.saw his majority slashed and if that trend continues and we saw the

:29:42. > :29:46.Conservatives take control of Perth and Kinross council f that

:29:47. > :29:49.continues, there is a chance Scotland's longest serving MP could

:29:50. > :29:59.be out of a job. We are expecting a declaration at around half pavs 3.

:30:00. > :30:13.It doesn't get any tighter than this. 320 last time around. Johan

:30:14. > :30:17.Lamont for the Conservatives is standing for the fourth time. Well

:30:18. > :30:20.this week, the Prime Minister and the First Minister were in the

:30:21. > :30:30.Borders fighting for every vote. The big question for many is where is

:30:31. > :30:34.the Michael Moore fought for the Liberal Democrats going to go this

:30:35. > :30:41.time? This time they have a little-known candidate. Ian Davidson

:30:42. > :30:51.is a local boy from Jabra. But Labour are a long way off the pace.

:30:52. > :30:58.I have been Ruth Davidson a few times in the Borders. I spoke to

:30:59. > :31:02.Calum Kerr at the SNP. He said at the beginning of the campaign he

:31:03. > :31:09.felt like the second horse in this race. Now they are feeling very

:31:10. > :31:19.positive. Not the only fight in town. We are counting the votes for

:31:20. > :31:25.the Holyrood seat that Johan Lamont give up to stand for Westminster.

:31:26. > :31:31.Thank you, back to you as the night unfolds. At the last general

:31:32. > :31:33.election, Scotland returned just one Conservative MP, the Scottish

:31:34. > :31:37.Secretary David Mundell. Is he confident of holding his seat and

:31:38. > :31:42.perhaps helping the Tories paint the size of Scotland blue? Let's find

:31:43. > :31:57.out in the company of Reeva Lord Of in Dumfries.

:31:58. > :32:08.I don't think he is hearing is at the moment. We will come back to

:32:09. > :32:16.him. The first base for the Conservatives is to hold onto

:32:17. > :32:27.Dumfries and when two additional seats. Let's get more of an overview

:32:28. > :32:32.of the election. We have lots of ways to show the results. Here is

:32:33. > :32:40.our electoral map and it reveals who has been chosen to represent voters.

:32:41. > :32:45.The colours sure who did best at the last election. Yellow across so much

:32:46. > :32:52.of Scotland. Blew across so much of England. It shows with the Tories

:32:53. > :32:55.are strongest. Red patches are the heartlands for a Labour. This

:32:56. > :33:00.picture emerged from the 2015 election. But the exit poll tonight

:33:01. > :33:05.shows the pattern is set to change. These constituencies are not all the

:33:06. > :33:12.same size, but if he were, this is how they would look. This map shows

:33:13. > :33:18.all 650 parliamentary seat across the UK as if they are identical in

:33:19. > :33:23.shape and size. A different picture. Tonight, we are starting from zero.

:33:24. > :33:28.The UK is a blank slate. And we will focus in on Scotland to see how the

:33:29. > :33:36.parties are feeling here. Will the SNP's dominance continued? Will

:33:37. > :33:39.rivals gain ground at their expense? We will fill it up through the night

:33:40. > :33:43.as the result is poor in. The leaders of the political parties

:33:44. > :33:46.have fought a long campaign as they fight for power. They will be really

:33:47. > :33:55.know and all they can do is wait for the results. There is Tim Farron.

:33:56. > :34:01.Nicola Sturgeon. Jeremy Corbyn. Theresa May. Will she get the

:34:02. > :34:07.increased majority she is looking for? If the exit poll is to be

:34:08. > :34:12.believed, she hasn't. Will she stay on as Prime Minister? In House of

:34:13. > :34:17.Commons, we will show you how these results play out. We will crunch the

:34:18. > :34:24.numbers to see if the Tories will remain dominant here. The number of

:34:25. > :34:28.MPs from each party is almost certain to change. There is a

:34:29. > :34:33.winning line that any party has to cross to win the majority of seats.

:34:34. > :34:39.According to the exit poll, the Tories are just short. Bad news for

:34:40. > :34:44.them as they bid to form a government. We have lots more tricks

:34:45. > :34:50.up our sleeve. All becoming clearer as the night unfolds. Keep watching.

:34:51. > :34:55.As we get results, the experts will crunch the numbers and continue to

:34:56. > :34:59.update the forecast for how many seats each of the parties may have

:35:00. > :35:02.and whether we will have a situation where one party is the largest but

:35:03. > :35:07.short of an overall majority or whether one party will make it over

:35:08. > :35:15.that winning line and be able to form a government on its own with

:35:16. > :35:20.the votes that it needs to get the work done that it wants to in the

:35:21. > :35:23.House of Commons. Let's cross to the cafe. This was the election that no

:35:24. > :35:30.one really saw coming and I think that was the exit poll that not many

:35:31. > :35:35.people saw coming. Gasps in the cafe. We spoke around the tables of

:35:36. > :35:47.the issues people were voting on. On Twitter, you revealed you decided

:35:48. > :35:53.very last minute to go for SNP and change to Labour. I believe in

:35:54. > :35:57.Scottish independence. I have supported the SNP in the past. As

:35:58. > :36:01.much as I was pretty sure I was going to vote SNP today, once I was

:36:02. > :36:10.in the polling booth, I felt like taking a punt. Different things

:36:11. > :36:15.informed voter behaviour. I know that I want and what I don't want.

:36:16. > :36:20.Other things go on. Divisions in our culture, people who annoy us on

:36:21. > :36:26.Twitter. When I started to put the cross on the box, I imagined it was

:36:27. > :36:33.a very small hand going over the mouth of Pete Wishart. There is

:36:34. > :36:41.something about the yes movement I support but has not been there. And

:36:42. > :36:49.Jeremy Corbyn essentially calls my Bluff. He calls the bluff of the

:36:50. > :36:53.Tories and also his own party. It is the same with the Nationalist

:36:54. > :37:00.movement. What he proposes is something that is genuinely

:37:01. > :37:04.left-wing. Something of genuine substance. I appreciate the

:37:05. > :37:09.restrictions on the SNP. I think they are for medical political

:37:10. > :37:16.force. If there is another independence referendum, I am behind

:37:17. > :37:21.them. But this vote today, I decided to vote Labour. It is a prediction

:37:22. > :37:25.and the SNP would still be the largest party in Scotland. You drew

:37:26. > :37:32.breath when the exit poll results were announced? After the initial

:37:33. > :37:36.gasp, it fits in with the anything can happen in politics which seems

:37:37. > :37:46.to be prevailing across the world. Once the initial shock settles and

:37:47. > :37:50.you hear the warnings of exit polls, you think, we have those SNP seats

:37:51. > :37:59.gone? Is that the Tories, is it Labour? It will be fascinating to

:38:00. > :38:04.see how the vote goes. What issues do you think people were voting on?

:38:05. > :38:13.Darren says he voted for Jeremy Corbyn to do something radical. I

:38:14. > :38:23.think Indy ref to play a factor. I think they have taken the chance to

:38:24. > :38:29.have a say in health and education. I think there is a huge cross-border

:38:30. > :38:35.divide. Size of the border, we heard a lot of discussion about the

:38:36. > :38:41.dementia tax, capping care costs. Means testing cold-weather payments

:38:42. > :38:46.which might not apply north of the border. When you see the Scottish

:38:47. > :38:51.leader debates, you saw health and education coming into that, even

:38:52. > :38:55.though Westminster MPs will not have a say on those issues. I agree with

:38:56. > :38:59.Darren and Allison that there has been a huge movement for taking a

:39:00. > :39:04.punt and doing something different. I will be curious to know what

:39:05. > :39:08.proportion of the vote is the youthful. How much of this is young

:39:09. > :39:11.people who have been mobilised for the first time because there's been

:39:12. > :39:17.a lot of action on Twitter trying to get people out there. Maybe it has

:39:18. > :39:23.worked. Lots more to unfold overnight. All the reaction from our

:39:24. > :39:30.journalists, spin doctors and our cartoonists. If you want to join the

:39:31. > :39:33.conversation, please do. Follow us on Twitter. In a moment, we will get

:39:34. > :39:40.a sense of how that exit poll might play out in Scotland, but first we

:39:41. > :39:48.will try again to speak to our reporter in Dumfries. We had a power

:39:49. > :39:53.surge here, which cost our communications to fall off the air.

:39:54. > :39:58.That is why I was not able to speak to you. I couldn't hear you. We are

:39:59. > :40:03.wondering now whether there will be any other sort of surge in the South

:40:04. > :40:09.of Scotland. Two constituencies are being counted in Dumfries. Dumfries

:40:10. > :40:16.and Galloway is enormous. All the way from Stranraer in the West right

:40:17. > :40:21.across to Dumfries. Then an equally large constituency which is

:40:22. > :40:25.Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale. It goes from ten miles

:40:26. > :40:32.south of the Edinburgh city border all the way down to the border with

:40:33. > :40:40.England at Gretna. It is the seat of David Mundell, the Scottish

:40:41. > :40:43.Secretary. He is of course the only Scottish Tory MP from the last

:40:44. > :40:49.Parliament. Will he be joined by any others? If the polls are to be

:40:50. > :40:54.believed, we may well see a Tory MP in Dumfries and Galloway. The Tories

:40:55. > :41:00.have pulled steadily over the last few years, about 16,000 votes in

:41:01. > :41:07.2010 and 2015. Last time around the SNP took the Dumfries Galloway

:41:08. > :41:13.seat by increasing their vote from something like 6000 up to 23,000.

:41:14. > :41:20.There was a collapse of Russell Brown's vote for Labour. The SNP

:41:21. > :41:24.pushed David Mundell very hard in the Dumfriesshire seats. He has a

:41:25. > :41:29.majority of less than 800. The Greens stood in that seat last time

:41:30. > :41:33.and got around about that number of votes. They are not standing this

:41:34. > :41:38.time and predictions were that those votes might go to the SNP and they

:41:39. > :41:45.can take the seat, it doesn't look so likely no. How ironic would it be

:41:46. > :41:49.if, when the dust has settled tomorrow, if the Tory government in

:41:50. > :41:58.Westminster was propped up by Tory MPs in Scotland after all of the

:41:59. > :42:03.jibes throughout the 1980s and 90s of Labour MPs propping up the Labour

:42:04. > :42:09.Party at Westminster? A fascinating account ahead of us. I don't think

:42:10. > :42:13.we will get a result until 5am for either seat. Thank you. The

:42:14. > :42:18.bookmakers amongst others are expressing surprise at the exit

:42:19. > :42:23.poll. Ladbrokes have already changed their odds of artists having a new

:42:24. > :42:29.Prime Minister within the course of 2017, the odds of Theresa May being

:42:30. > :42:36.replaced, 4-5. Let's bring in Brian Taylor. Give us more of a sense of

:42:37. > :42:41.how this exit poll would play out in Scotland. This is an exit poll by

:42:42. > :42:52.Ipsos MORI for the free broadcasters, BBC, ITV and sky. SNP

:42:53. > :42:59.on 34, down 22. At that level, if it is down 22, that is quite remarkable

:43:00. > :43:04.drop I have to say, the state of the campaign, but at that level they

:43:05. > :43:11.would be losing some of the key seats that would come into play,

:43:12. > :43:15.like Murray, Angus, Perth and North Perth. You could even be talking

:43:16. > :43:20.about losing Paisley and Renfrewshire South, Mhairi Black's

:43:21. > :43:26.seat, to Labour. It is that level. 22 losses is not just the South of

:43:27. > :43:30.Scotland which were expected, the North East Fife that was possible

:43:31. > :43:34.and East Dunbartonshire which was talked about. You're bringing in

:43:35. > :43:39.pretty big names as well. By stating those names, the very scope of those

:43:40. > :43:43.defeats, perhaps it adds to the scepticism one might have with

:43:44. > :43:49.regard to the fact the exit poll is just that, just a sample. We have

:43:50. > :43:54.been talking a lot about this campaign in Scotland about the

:43:55. > :43:58.possibility of the Conservatives winning back seats that we haven't

:43:59. > :44:03.held for a very long time. But if the SNP were to lose 22 seats, it

:44:04. > :44:08.sounds like all opposition parties might be in for a good night?

:44:09. > :44:18.There may well be more caveats with respect to Scotland, there were

:44:19. > :44:23.fewer counting stations used in the exit polls. But some of the seat by

:44:24. > :44:28.seat analysis that the pollsters have identified seem to suggest that

:44:29. > :44:36.most of gains for Labour are not in Scotland. But in England mainly,

:44:37. > :44:41.perhaps in Wales also. But it may well be the case that Labour has a

:44:42. > :44:45.good night over all, but not in Scotland. Look how fast they're

:44:46. > :44:50.getting votes into the counting station in Sunderland. Sunderland is

:44:51. > :44:54.always part of the country that works really hard to try and bring

:44:55. > :45:01.us one of the first declarations. Let's bring in our political panel

:45:02. > :45:09.again. I couldn't help noticing a smile on Douglas Alexander's face

:45:10. > :45:14.when Brian mentioned Marie Black. Who defeated you two years ago. I

:45:15. > :45:18.was knocking on the doors in the seat last night and I was out this

:45:19. > :45:22.morning and I picked up two changes. First, I had a very strong memory of

:45:23. > :45:27.people saying, I'm sorry, I'm not going to vote for you, but for

:45:28. > :45:32.Nicola. One of the most remarkable changes just in the last couple of

:45:33. > :45:36.years is that people are saying, I'm not voting for that woman. The

:45:37. > :45:41.collapse in personal support for Nicola Sturgeon was striking to me

:45:42. > :45:45.on the doorsteps in Paisley and there was a sense that people were

:45:46. > :45:50.still making up their mind last night and I couldn't remember a past

:45:51. > :45:56.election where literally on the eve of the poll people were shifting,

:45:57. > :46:02.they were saying, I voted SNP and I'm voting Labour. Some say I'm

:46:03. > :46:07.thinking about voting Labour, but I'm not sure. But the movement was

:46:08. > :46:11.away from the SNP. In that sense I'm probably a little less surprised

:46:12. > :46:16.than the panel, because if the results are this accurate, not only

:46:17. > :46:20.has Theresa May lost kr credibility, but we are seeing Nicola Sturgeon

:46:21. > :46:25.lose almost half her seats, it would be a significant shift from the

:46:26. > :46:28.British nationalism that Theresa May was arguing for and the Scottish

:46:29. > :46:34.nationalism that Nicola Sturgeon argued for. Have you picked up a

:46:35. > :46:40.change in attitude towards Nicola Sturgeon as head of your party, as

:46:41. > :46:47.First Minister, a shift in how people were approaching this

:46:48. > :46:52.election? No, I haven't. I think for a party that's been in government in

:46:53. > :46:56.Scotland for ten years, the level of support for the party and the

:46:57. > :47:03.government and what we are doing there is extraordinarily strong and

:47:04. > :47:07.remains strong. That singles out the government in Scotland from a lot of

:47:08. > :47:13.the UK parties who have been in government for that length of time.

:47:14. > :47:17.I want to say just one other, I think important caveat, because I'm

:47:18. > :47:23.struggling to think where these 22 seats would go. And my point is

:47:24. > :47:29.this, that as I understand it and Brian and Nicola will correct me if

:47:30. > :47:34.I'm wrong, as I understand it, only ten polls stations were in that

:47:35. > :47:41.sample from Scotland. That's correct. That is a bit of a caveat.

:47:42. > :47:45.To be fair we have been caveating the poll. But if you're going

:47:46. > :47:50.backwards in the election rather than forwards, which has been the

:47:51. > :47:55.pattern for at least ten years, would it be fair of your opponents

:47:56. > :48:02.to say that we have passed peak Nat and you no longer have momentum? No,

:48:03. > :48:06.even if you accept the exit poll, 34 is still the majority of seats in

:48:07. > :48:11.Scotland and I tell you what that also says, the unionist parties, in

:48:12. > :48:22.particular the Conservatives, stood entirely on a platform of no to indy

:48:23. > :48:26.ref two. Ignoring the scrutiny of the Tories and that will have

:48:27. > :48:31.absolutely failed. In terms of Scotland, a win's a win, if the SNP

:48:32. > :48:39.have more seats, would they be entitled to push for a second

:48:40. > :48:45.referendum? Oh Glenn if I go into a casino with 56 pound and I come out

:48:46. > :48:51.with 34, I ain't a winner. The SNP started with 56 seats, and 50% of

:48:52. > :48:57.the vote. Even if they're nowhere near as down as the poll suggests,

:48:58. > :49:00.if it drops half, it shows the people in Scotland are saying to the

:49:01. > :49:04.SNP, we don't think much of your record in government and you have

:49:05. > :49:08.been in government ten years and you see from the discussions... Do you

:49:09. > :49:14.think people will have voted on that, although it is a UK poll? Yes,

:49:15. > :49:18.it is clear from the BBC debate and what we have been finding on the

:49:19. > :49:22.doorstep, people are concerned about the SNP's record in Government and

:49:23. > :49:28.the message that comes back that people are saying, why don't you get

:49:29. > :49:36.back to the day job. And why obsess over independence. People don't want

:49:37. > :49:41.another independence referendum. If it is half of what the poll

:49:42. > :49:45.suggests, that knocks back the independence referendum for a long

:49:46. > :49:52.time. Nonsense, if the SNP win a majority of seats in Scotland, we

:49:53. > :49:57.will have won a majority of seats at Holyrood and won more council seats

:49:58. > :50:01.only a short time ago. And then we will have won the majority of seats

:50:02. > :50:05.at the Westminster election and people banging on about independence

:50:06. > :50:13.was all you guys, it wasn't us. You chose to stands on that. Is going to

:50:14. > :50:21.matter is vote share. Your vote share... That is a knock for a

:50:22. > :50:29.second independence referendum. I'm going to bring in Nichol Steven.

:50:30. > :50:35.Your thoughts. It is two elections and astonishing in Scotland and it

:50:36. > :50:39.is incredible across the UK. Theresa May and Murdo probably won't dwell

:50:40. > :50:46.on this, he will focus on Scotland, but she has gone from strong and

:50:47. > :50:49.stable to meek and mangled, her very future as Prime Minister is under

:50:50. > :50:54.threat. In Scotland we will have a lot of local by-election and there

:50:55. > :50:57.is a prospect of Labour and the Conservatives and the Liberal

:50:58. > :51:05.Democrats doing well. We expect to do well in Edinburgh West and North

:51:06. > :51:08.East Fife. You are predicting wins. If they're correct, I'm confident

:51:09. > :51:13.there will be wins for us in Scotland. I'm sure of that. The SNP

:51:14. > :51:18.going into reverse as dramatically as they have is significant. A lot

:51:19. > :51:32.more to talk about. I want to cross to Paisley and or reporter Fiona

:51:33. > :51:38.Walker with news from Renfrewshire. You're probably wondering about

:51:39. > :51:45.Marie Black, people say it would be a surprise if she lost her seat. But

:51:46. > :52:00.people are wary about their predictions. But this is the stage

:52:01. > :52:07.where Douglas alexander was unstaged by Marie Black. She was the youngest

:52:08. > :52:17.MP and she has criticised Wech. Women and children. Her majority is

:52:18. > :52:23.five and a half thousand. Her constituency here is Paisley and

:52:24. > :52:32.Renfrewshire North. They were both traditionally as safe Labour seats

:52:33. > :52:37.as you go get. They went to SNP. The majority is 9,000 and probably is

:52:38. > :52:42.safer. His people are confident. But we have seen politics turned on its

:52:43. > :52:46.head so many times, there is no predictions being made here. It is

:52:47. > :52:54.all down to the numbers and those numbers are on the table. We will

:52:55. > :52:59.bring them to you around 2.30. We will back to you if you get any

:53:00. > :53:04.further details. Let's catch up on the headlines now and cross to

:53:05. > :53:12.Jackie Bird. Thank you. Conservative and Labour figure have reacted

:53:13. > :53:17.cautiously to the exit poll, but there seems to be a specific

:53:18. > :53:22.Scottish dimension to the poll regarding the SNP figures,

:53:23. > :53:29.predicting the party would be down 22 seats to 34. We have been told it

:53:30. > :53:35.is very tight, suggesting a 50/50 split in many Scottish seats. So

:53:36. > :53:40.bear in mind. Stuart Hosie reacted to the exit poll. The main story

:53:41. > :53:49.from it if it's accurate is Theresa May has given up a majority, we now

:53:50. > :53:54.have again 314 Tories and 314 others and 22 from the Northern Irish

:53:55. > :54:00.parties. That is an extraordinary thing. For Theresa May to call the

:54:01. > :54:09.election for narrow party advantage and then if these numbers are

:54:10. > :54:17.correct to blow it incredibly. Labour will be up to 266 seats. John

:54:18. > :54:23.McDonnell voiced scepticism of the figures but said it showed the

:54:24. > :54:28.strength of their campaign. We tried to have a positive campaign modelled

:54:29. > :54:33.around Jeremy's character, you remember his slogan was honest

:54:34. > :54:37.politics, straight talking, that is what we have tried to to. If it

:54:38. > :54:40.reflected in this support, it changes the nature of political

:54:41. > :54:46.discourse in our country. I think people have got fed up with the

:54:47. > :54:52.yah-boo politics and the nasty tactics. A positive campaign if it

:54:53. > :54:58.comes out like this, I think it will improve politics over all. There is

:54:59. > :55:03.a battle for No 10, but also a battle to declare between Sunderland

:55:04. > :55:07.and Newcastle, where they have employed young volunteers for that

:55:08. > :55:11.human chain. We expect a declaration about half past 11. The pound has

:55:12. > :55:21.fallen after the exit poll cast doubt on whether the Conservatives

:55:22. > :55:30.would win an over all majority. The pound fell to around $1.27 at one

:55:31. > :55:58.point. More reaction. Caroline Lucas said:

:55:59. > :56:11.I ashum that is shocked happy, rather than shocked horrified. -

:56:12. > :56:18.assume. Now over to David to look at some of the battlegrounds in

:56:19. > :56:26.England. Some MPs are lucky enough to win by a mile each time. But some

:56:27. > :56:29.face epic battles. Let's look at some of the battleground

:56:30. > :56:34.constituency are the sitting MP has a majority of less than 10%. They

:56:35. > :56:40.could matter in what could be a tight election. Let's start with the

:56:41. > :56:51.most marginal seat, here it is, Gower in South Wales.

:56:52. > :57:10.The Conservative's Byron Davis squeaked home. The the margin 0.05%.

:57:11. > :57:17.And in Scotland, the candidate is a well kent face, David Mundell. The

:57:18. > :57:20.SNP are snapping at his heels with a majority of 0.8%. The Tories under

:57:21. > :57:26.pressure. But Labour seats are at risk too. Let's look just south of

:57:27. > :57:31.the Lake District. There is Barrow. Labour Party in fighting has

:57:32. > :57:36.affected campaigning. John Woodcock, the incumbents is a critic of Jeremy

:57:37. > :57:43.Corbyn and he is under pressure from the Tories as he tries to defend a

:57:44. > :57:49.majority of 0.9% of the vote. That is too close for comfort. This is

:57:50. > :57:53.the Brexit election and nowhere highlights where that has caused

:57:54. > :58:01.votes to swing more than Richmond, it is a wealthy part of West London

:58:02. > :58:07.and it was a safe Tory seat, but last autumn the Tory MP Zac

:58:08. > :58:11.Goldsmith forced a by-election over a local issue, Heathrow expansion.

:58:12. > :58:16.And he lost his seat. There was a massive swing to the Liberal

:58:17. > :58:22.Democrats, who asked voters to pass their verdict on Brexit. He is back

:58:23. > :58:28.and can he regain the seat or has that bird flown for good? And let's

:58:29. > :58:33.head to the English Midlands and Corby, that is known as Little

:58:34. > :58:40.Scotland, because so many Scots came to Corby for its steelworks, this is

:58:41. > :58:49.known as a bell weather, the vote tends to mirror 2 UK vote. -- the UK

:58:50. > :58:53.vote. We will look at some of the more marginal seats in Scotland

:58:54. > :58:55.later. There is a tough battle in some. But its all to play for right

:58:56. > :59:09.across the UK tonight. Back to you. Let's cross to Elgin in the Moray

:59:10. > :59:14.constituency where Angus Robertson is defending. How will he do to

:59:15. > :59:24.night? Craig Anderson is the man in the know. Lossiemouth is a few miles

:59:25. > :59:30.down the road. It was the birthplace of Ramsay MacDonald, Britain's first

:59:31. > :59:35.Labour Prime Minister. Year, it is a two horse race. The MP for the past

:59:36. > :59:42.16 years has been the SNP's Angus Robertson. He is the deputy leader,

:59:43. > :59:47.and their spokesman at Westminster. Defending a majority of over 9000.

:59:48. > :59:59.He certainly boosted his profile of late. Even dispassionate observers

:00:00. > :00:04.have received his performance higher than Jeremy Corbyn's in attacking

:00:05. > :00:09.the Conservative government led by Theresa May. Murray voted decisively

:00:10. > :00:13.against independence in the 2014 referendum and it was the one area

:00:14. > :00:21.in Scotland that came within a whisker of voting for Brexit. Just

:00:22. > :00:27.0.2 percentage points in its. So with allegiances to fishing and

:00:28. > :00:33.farming, Douglas Ross for the Conservatives might be preferred. He

:00:34. > :00:38.has been a Conservative councillor for several years. Last year when he

:00:39. > :00:47.stood in the Scottish Parliamentary elections he increased Conservative

:00:48. > :00:52.vote by 18%. Reducing the SNP majority to just 3000. In the last

:00:53. > :00:58.council elections last month, the Tories overall got the highest share

:00:59. > :01:05.of the vote. The Tories have seen getting the scalp of Angus Robertson

:01:06. > :01:12.as something that is due to the hearts and achievable. Ruth Davidson

:01:13. > :01:18.and Nicola Sturgeon have been here in Moray to try and boost their

:01:19. > :01:22.candidates' standing in the Paul. And it all may swing on the turnout.

:01:23. > :01:30.If there is a high turnout and the SNP managed to get their vote out,

:01:31. > :01:34.then Angus Robertson may hold on. If the turnout is low, we could be

:01:35. > :01:38.facing a major upset for the party which has held the seat for the past

:01:39. > :01:44.30 years. You will see behind me those baskets are empty. As the

:01:45. > :01:53.night progresses, they will contain the verified votes and it will be

:01:54. > :01:59.easy for us to see who is in the lead. It will be fascinating. Thank

:02:00. > :02:12.you. Let's bring in our panel once again. Tell us more about the exit

:02:13. > :02:18.poll and the implications of that. The exit poll is based on

:02:19. > :02:22.probability. We have sampled people coming out of the polling stations

:02:23. > :02:28.and compared it with vote shares last time around. The tend to sample

:02:29. > :02:36.in the same places. Some of them are more likely to go than others.

:02:37. > :02:43.Within Scotland, they are confident, 90%, that the SNP will lose 11

:02:44. > :02:50.seats. The other 11 comes more in terms of our balance of probability.

:02:51. > :02:55.Including the two Paisley seats. It is possible that Labour might pick

:02:56. > :03:01.up the seat again. But they are less certain or confident about it. One

:03:02. > :03:05.thing we haven't spoken about this evening so far is turnout.

:03:06. > :03:10.Everywhere I have been today, it has been pouring. It is likely to have

:03:11. > :03:16.an impact. There is also a question of differential turnout. Something

:03:17. > :03:23.which has been concerning SNP candidates has been the idea of a

:03:24. > :03:26.differential turnout. They could identify potential voters, but could

:03:27. > :03:31.they turn them out with the same enthusiasm when they won those 56

:03:32. > :03:40.seats? Or would individual rivals in individual seats, Tories, Labour and

:03:41. > :03:45.Lib Dems, will they manage to enthuse their support more than the

:03:46. > :03:49.SNP can do? It is not just turnout, it is differential turnout as well.

:03:50. > :03:53.Those who have turned out to vote in Sunderland are having their votes

:03:54. > :03:58.counted at rapid speed because Sunderland is keen to be first with

:03:59. > :04:03.a declaration from anywhere the UK. You will have seen the high security

:04:04. > :04:11.in place at that particular account. Let's talk a bit more about the exit

:04:12. > :04:15.poll in a broader UK context. We spoke about some of the seats that

:04:16. > :04:27.might be vulnerable in Scotland, but what about in England? The

:04:28. > :04:31.prediction is the Lib Dems would potentially win four seat in

:04:32. > :04:35.Scotland. Some could go from the Conservatives to Labour. It is a

:04:36. > :04:39.sample and it could be wrong completely or slightly. Under the

:04:40. > :04:46.scenario of the exit poll, Labour could be picking up the likes of

:04:47. > :04:51.Croydon, Brighton and Enfield. Also the old seat for Ed Balls. They

:04:52. > :05:04.might be taking that back. Worcester. Direct. Not picking up

:05:05. > :05:10.Twickenham, where Vince Cable was standing. And keen to get more

:05:11. > :05:16.detail from one of the constituencies in England. Let's

:05:17. > :05:22.cross to Tooting in London. Held by Justine Greening. Defended by her.

:05:23. > :05:31.What are you hearing, Clive? Three counts here in Wandsworth. Putney is

:05:32. > :05:34.Justine Greening's constituency. Cabinet minister for the

:05:35. > :05:39.Conservatives, big figure in the party. 10,000 majority in pretty

:05:40. > :05:43.unassailable. For the Conservatives, that is more than likely a

:05:44. > :05:49.Conservative hold. The other two constituencies to be counted here

:05:50. > :05:54.could be very interesting indeed. Tooting and Battersby. Tooting,

:05:55. > :05:57.Sadiq Khan's old constituency. Now the Mayor of London. In the

:05:58. > :06:04.by-election, it was held by the Labour Party but with the majority

:06:05. > :06:08.reduced to just over 6000. Was in Alan can't. The Conservatives have

:06:09. > :06:16.coveted Tooting for the last two election cycles. Money and resources

:06:17. > :06:21.into the area. If the overall exit poll is anything to go by, it

:06:22. > :06:26.suggests the Labour Party have managed to hold on to Tooting.

:06:27. > :06:30.Battersby is interesting. Conservative, held by Jane Ellison,

:06:31. > :06:36.a majority of about 8000 but that has been described as being on a

:06:37. > :06:41.knife edge. Again, going back to the exit poll, that could suggest the

:06:42. > :06:45.Labour Party may have made inroads there and take on that particular

:06:46. > :06:51.seats. The other interesting thing about that Battersby area is it as

:06:52. > :06:55.part of a Romanian area in south London. The 40 to stay in the

:06:56. > :07:03.European Union. That feeling could be tonight that a lot of voters

:07:04. > :07:07.anxious about a possible hard Brexit, which some are suggesting

:07:08. > :07:11.the Conservatives might be pushing for if you don't get the right deal

:07:12. > :07:16.they want from the Brexit talks, those voters may well have decided

:07:17. > :07:24.to go with the Labour candidate. Very interesting times here in south

:07:25. > :07:28.London. Clive, thank you. Let's go to our first declaration. It has

:07:29. > :07:30.come not from Sunderland but Newcastle Central. Labour have held

:07:31. > :08:12.Newcastle Central. Labour's vote is up ten percentage

:08:13. > :08:23.points in Newcastle Central. Conservatives also up but not by as

:08:24. > :08:35.much as. Ukip is down 11. A couple of years ago, we can see there is a

:08:36. > :08:42.2.1% swing for Labour. A good result for Chi Onwurah. Returned with an

:08:43. > :08:48.increased swing. The projection of the swing is not quite as the exit

:08:49. > :08:58.poll would have suggested. Perhaps we begin, only one result, but let's

:08:59. > :09:05.caveat this further. Swing to Labour is not as big as the exit poll would

:09:06. > :09:14.suggest. More fun to come! Let's cross to Glenrothes. Good evening,

:09:15. > :09:21.Laura. Good evening. Three constituencies to be declared. All

:09:22. > :09:27.of them SNP at the moment. We will watch two of them closely indeed.

:09:28. > :09:35.North East Fife held for almost 30 years. Sir Menzies Campbell for the

:09:36. > :09:39.Liberal Democrats. Stephen Gethins one the SNP with the majority of

:09:40. > :09:44.4000. The Lib Dems have been trying hard to win the seat back. The local

:09:45. > :09:48.candidate has been a councillor cure for decades and she thinks that with

:09:49. > :09:52.her experience and teaching background, she will appeal to

:09:53. > :09:59.student voters from the University of St Andrews, there is a lot of

:10:00. > :10:03.farming and agriculture here. North East Fife will definitely be one to

:10:04. > :10:09.watch, particularly after Willie Rennie took the seat for the

:10:10. > :10:16.Scottish Parliament election last year. Glenrothes, a big majority

:10:17. > :10:20.held for the SNP. Not sure if they will be any change. Kirkcaldy and

:10:21. > :10:26.Cowdenbeath will be one to watch. Labour stronghold under Gordon Brown

:10:27. > :10:31.for many years. Taken by the SNP two years ago but made at target seat by

:10:32. > :10:35.the Scottish Labour Party this time around. We will watch to see if they

:10:36. > :10:41.can take over that majority. In terms of reaction to the exit poll

:10:42. > :10:45.tonight, I have spoken to and SNP MSP who was surprised at the

:10:46. > :10:49.apparent loss of seats which seemed possible for the SNP. She said that

:10:50. > :10:55.wasn't what we had been hearing on the doorstep and one of the

:10:56. > :10:58.candidates tonight for the SNP has said he was surprised as well and

:10:59. > :11:05.they had been expecting similar numbers to last time around. We will

:11:06. > :11:11.know the results from here hopefully between 3am and 4am. North East Fife

:11:12. > :11:23.is likely to be the one to watch. Let's go up north to Dingwall.

:11:24. > :11:31.Dingwall is the place where there were something like a parliament in

:11:32. > :11:37.the past. This is a Highland football academy. Next door to the

:11:38. > :11:43.Ross County ground. With a training and developing of the future World

:11:44. > :11:49.Cup winners takes place. Inverness, Nairn and Strathspey. Lochaber.

:11:50. > :11:57.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross. Were talking about the tenth

:11:58. > :12:03.most marginal seat in Scotland. If the exit poll is to be believed,

:12:04. > :12:06.that will be in play and so might be other two. This was a liberal

:12:07. > :12:15.country, then Liberal Democrat country. For a huge period of time.

:12:16. > :12:20.Danny Alexander, Charlie Kennedy. All three seats were lost to the SNP

:12:21. > :12:25.last time around. Could the Lib Dems get lucky or victorious tonight?

:12:26. > :12:34.Could Labour or the Conservatives come back into play? We'll have to

:12:35. > :12:42.wait a week to find out. The logistics of this are enormous. We

:12:43. > :12:48.are talking about all the way north of Ullapool, east to Cromarty,

:12:49. > :12:54.across to the Isle of Skye. And of course Ron and egg. We have to get

:12:55. > :13:03.the ballots back from there. -- the islands of rum and egg. A bit of a

:13:04. > :13:08.week. I will leave you with this. North Skye and Lochaber is

:13:09. > :13:17.physically the largest constituency in the UK Parliament. The smallest

:13:18. > :13:30.constituency by size is what? Why might it be in play tonight? You're

:13:31. > :13:34.asking me that live on air! Islington North? Where Jeremy Corbyn

:13:35. > :13:41.is standing. The Liberal Democrats are challenging the SNP and seeking

:13:42. > :13:46.to regain a seat they previously held is in Dunbartonshire East.

:13:47. > :13:51.Let's go to the count. Jamie McIvor is in Bishopbriggs.

:13:52. > :14:02.It is a small constituency compare to one the Ken was describing, all

:14:03. > :14:06.the ballot boxes have arrived in Bishopbriggs and the papers have

:14:07. > :14:13.being verified. It will be interesting here, the SNP is

:14:14. > :14:15.defending a wafer thin majority in Scottish terms of just 2,000. The

:14:16. > :14:22.Liberal Democrats have been pouring a lot of time and effort into this

:14:23. > :14:26.seat in the hope that the former MP Jo Swinson will be on her way back

:14:27. > :14:32.to Westminster. The last time the SNP surged from fourth to first here

:14:33. > :14:37.and what was interesting was that Swinson increased her vote, but the

:14:38. > :14:42.SNP vote came from a relatively low level and surged right out in front.

:14:43. > :14:48.Who are the two main candidates here? Well, the incumbent is John

:14:49. > :14:56.Nicholson, one of the most high profile of the SNP intake of 2015.

:14:57. > :15:00.You may remember him as a former television presenter who presented

:15:01. > :15:11.breakfast news. But since he has been an MP he has been a high

:15:12. > :15:19.profile SNP MP. His main challenger is the previous incumbent, Jo

:15:20. > :15:22.Swinson, she was the MP from 2005 until 2015 and served in the

:15:23. > :15:27.coalition government and seen as a rising star within the Liberal

:15:28. > :15:32.Democrats. But the Liberal Democrats are hoping it is Jo Swinson's

:15:33. > :15:38.personal popularity that may see her on the way back to Westminster. One

:15:39. > :15:42.interesting question is whether the anti-SNP vote here is converging

:15:43. > :15:47.around the Liberal Democrats or whether the Labour and Conservative

:15:48. > :15:51.vote will hold up. While the SNP here have been arguing, as they have

:15:52. > :15:54.been in other places, if you don't want to see a Conservative

:15:55. > :15:58.government, the best thing to do is vote SNP. But we expecting the

:15:59. > :16:03.result around 3 o'clock and certainly in view of that dramatic

:16:04. > :16:09.exit poll, the SNP will be very happy indeed if they hold on here,

:16:10. > :16:14.while the Liberal Democrats will be disappointed if nay don't make

:16:15. > :16:18.Scottish names to Webbing. Thank you Scottish names to Webbing. Thank you

:16:19. > :16:24.-- to Westminster. Now another result. We have two MPs in the UK.

:16:25. > :16:29.They're both Labour. The result from Sunderland South. Labour holding,

:16:30. > :16:45.Bridget Phillipson. On a turn out of 61%. So Labour with

:16:46. > :17:06.59% of the vote. The Labour vote is up 4 and the

:17:07. > :17:13.Conservative vote up 11 and the vote for Ukip down heavily 16 points.

:17:14. > :17:21.What do you think of that result? A good result for Bridget Phillipson.

:17:22. > :17:25.It is a victory for Labour, but not as big a victory as the exit poll

:17:26. > :17:28.would indicate. That would indicate a better result for the

:17:29. > :17:35.Conservatives than the exit poll said. The exit poll talked of Tories

:17:36. > :17:41.down 17 seats and Labour up 34. It may still be borne out. But the

:17:42. > :17:46.first two, Tyneside and wearside coming in and as so often Tyneside

:17:47. > :17:52.winning the battle to be first. But neither is indicating in line with

:17:53. > :17:59.the exit poll in the terms of extents of a Conservative decline.

:18:00. > :18:04.This is one of most Brexity parts of the UK but the people seem to be

:18:05. > :18:09.abandoned Ukip and the Tories are benefitting. There is that question

:18:10. > :18:14.of leave and remain and the question that the Tories it would seem might

:18:15. > :18:19.be doing better in, from the exit poll, in seats where they were

:18:20. > :18:23.marginally in the lead. Again it is a question of probabilities, if you

:18:24. > :18:31.take the straight swing, it produces a result of Labour up 34 and Tories

:18:32. > :18:37.down 17. If the trend is not as is, if the turn out is not as is, you

:18:38. > :18:47.get a very different picture, so we keep saying, it is a sample, not a

:18:48. > :18:51.result. With the two results, it is probably two early to revise the

:18:52. > :18:57.exit poll. But we will keep an eye on that. I want to cross to

:18:58. > :19:02.Edinburgh and speak to Tommy Shepherd, who is defending a

:19:03. > :19:07.constituency in the east of the city. In his two years in the House

:19:08. > :19:13.of Commons challenged for the deputy leadership of the SNP. Do you

:19:14. > :19:17.believe the exit poll? I don't know, Glenn. Two years ago we had a

:19:18. > :19:21.similar poll that predicted the same thing, a hung Parliament and we all

:19:22. > :19:27.spent a few hours getting excited about it and then it didn't happen.

:19:28. > :19:32.So I'm, I think I'm on the side of let's wait and see. I know from what

:19:33. > :19:35.Brian said the first couple of results have people walking back

:19:36. > :19:39.from the exit polls. Maybe that is good for keeping interest alive in

:19:40. > :19:48.these hours before we know anything at all. But I think we will have to

:19:49. > :19:51.wait and see. If it were true it would be a catastrophic night for

:19:52. > :19:56.the Conservatives and a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of

:19:57. > :20:01.victory. If it is true, then she will be gone by the morning. If

:20:02. > :20:07.you're going backwards to Tex tent that this -- to the extent this poll

:20:08. > :20:11.suggests, and losing 22 seats, wouldn't that be a big for your

:20:12. > :20:17.hopes of a second independence referendum? Yes, it will still be a

:20:18. > :20:22.landslide and won more seats than any party in Scotland and won the

:20:23. > :20:28.general election and had it not been for the absolutely remarkable result

:20:29. > :20:32.two years ago, people would have said it was a phenomenal result. So

:20:33. > :20:38.the dogs in the street knew they weren't going to win all 56 seats

:20:39. > :20:41.that we won the last time. Let's see how many we win, but the SNP is

:20:42. > :20:45.winning and will win the general election in Scotland and the

:20:46. > :20:50.Conservatives have failed to get a mandated in Scotland for their

:20:51. > :20:53.austerity policies and their attempts to block Scottish people

:20:54. > :20:57.having a choice in their future once we know what Brexit means. Do you

:20:58. > :21:06.think it would happen in those circumstances? Do I think what would

:21:07. > :21:14.happen. A second independence referendum? Well, we are convinced

:21:15. > :21:17.of the need to have a second referendum, once we know what the

:21:18. > :21:21.Brexit deal is and people see the shape of the United Kingdom that

:21:22. > :21:24.emerges, of course people should have the opportunities to decide if

:21:25. > :21:28.that is what they want and that is the United Kingdom they voted to be

:21:29. > :21:34.part of, or whether they should take powers into their own hands and seek

:21:35. > :21:40.to be self-governing nation. That is for the Scottish people and not Ruth

:21:41. > :21:43.Davidson or Theresa May to prevents them having that choice. Of course

:21:44. > :21:47.it is for the UK to decide whether they transfer the power tosecond

:21:48. > :21:56.independence referendum. We will talk about that later no doubt.

:21:57. > :22:02.Thank you very much. Now let's cross to David Henderson for a look at

:22:03. > :22:06.polling. Tonight's exit poll points to an exciting night, but throughout

:22:07. > :22:12.election campaigns, opinion polls appear almost daily and at the last

:22:13. > :22:15.general election just two years ago they were completely wrong as they

:22:16. > :22:19.predicted a win for the Labour Party. That prompted questions about

:22:20. > :22:24.the way pollsters make their predictions. The approach has

:22:25. > :22:29.changed as a result, but it is still hard to know which company to trust

:22:30. > :22:33.as their current predictions vary. Looking at Scotland in a moment, but

:22:34. > :22:38.here is the average poll of polls, looking at the Conservatives and

:22:39. > :22:43.Labour, the biggest UK parties. It shows how people said they would

:22:44. > :22:48.vote in April after the election was called. Then in May. And in June at

:22:49. > :22:52.that end. You can see the Conservatives with a pretty solid

:22:53. > :22:58.lead throughout. But there is a dip for the Tories there. Just before

:22:59. > :23:03.Theresa May had to make an embarrassing U-turn on social care.

:23:04. > :23:07.By contrast, Labour's popularity seems to have grown as the months go

:23:08. > :23:11.on. The red line on the graph heading up which suggests their

:23:12. > :23:15.strategy of putting Jeremy Corbyn out there with the public seems to

:23:16. > :23:21.have been working. But take a look at this, different polls tell us

:23:22. > :23:25.different things and this YouGov poll received a lot of publicity,

:23:26. > :23:32.pointing to a gap between the Tories and Labour being very close. You can

:23:33. > :23:36.see they're only 4% between them. So while most pomster -- pollsters

:23:37. > :23:43.claim Theresa May became more popular once the election was called

:23:44. > :23:50.and then dipped, YouGov has seen Mrs May's lead to be much less solid

:23:51. > :23:54.throughout the campaign. And it chimes with tonight's exit poll too.

:23:55. > :23:59.This is the average poll of polls for voters in Scotland and very

:24:00. > :24:05.interesting, you can see the SNP dominant still, far and away the

:24:06. > :24:11.most popular party. But in the latest poll the lead has tumbled and

:24:12. > :24:17.look at the support it used to get and the voters are appearing to have

:24:18. > :24:22.gone not to the Tories as many said but to the red, the Labour Party.

:24:23. > :24:26.Jeremy Corbyn's campaign perhaps gaining traction in Scotland too and

:24:27. > :24:30.reflected in the exit poll. Whatever they disagree on, the polls all

:24:31. > :24:35.point to the Conservatives returning as the main party, and the SNP

:24:36. > :24:39.winning the most Scottish seats, but if those polls are to be believed,

:24:40. > :24:46.the election could be a set back for both Theresa May and Nicola

:24:47. > :24:59.Sturgeon. Now let's cross to Aileen Clarke in Glasgow. You have got a

:25:00. > :25:04.guest? Yes, let me introduce to you, Frank McAveety, a former MSP, are

:25:05. > :25:13.you going to take back any seats tonight? It is far too early to make

:25:14. > :25:17.any predictions. If the exit poll is to be believed, the ball is back in

:25:18. > :25:21.play and hopefully our candidates in Glasgow put up a fantastic fight and

:25:22. > :25:26.will demonstrate there is a serious pressure from Labour in the city of

:25:27. > :25:31.Glasgow to the SNP vote that they received in 2015. From the SNP, when

:25:32. > :25:36.they won the seats, they did so with some style. There are stonking

:25:37. > :25:41.majorities here, do you think you will win a seat or will you get

:25:42. > :25:43.close? Again it is hard. I have seen some returns that indicate that we

:25:44. > :25:48.are back in the fight and if you said to me, after those levels of

:25:49. > :25:51.majorities, that Labour would be this close, two years later, I think

:25:52. > :25:56.people would have been saying that is not going to be the case. So we

:25:57. > :26:01.are back in the fight and people have put out fantastic campaigns,

:26:02. > :26:05.and the reality if the exit poll is to be believed is Theresa May is

:26:06. > :26:09.holed below the water line in the UK and the SNP look as if they're going

:26:10. > :26:14.to lose a substantial number of seats in Scotland. So a message has

:26:15. > :26:17.been sent to the SNP and the First Minister that preoccupation with

:26:18. > :26:23.another independence referendum is affecting the SNP vote and we in the

:26:24. > :26:27.Labour Party have gave the most radical programme we have put

:26:28. > :26:31.forward in recent generations and that has resonated with people who

:26:32. > :26:36.have been hurting because of the the Tory governments. What has made the

:26:37. > :26:38.difference between the council elections and here, Labour is no

:26:39. > :26:43.longer in control of Glasgow council, it is the SNP that are

:26:44. > :26:54.running it now. That was skraus few weeks ago. We were told six months

:26:55. > :26:59.ago the SNP would be a shoe in for a joshgts majority council. But

:27:00. > :27:04.they're a minority council. What people have seen in this election is

:27:05. > :27:10.a Labour programme that has resonated with what the concerns of

:27:11. > :27:13.the public and messages about how we improve public services and make

:27:14. > :27:17.sure people get the best chance in life. That message has come through

:27:18. > :27:23.and it was clear for the many and not the few. The SNP was unfocussed

:27:24. > :27:28.and the Tory message was untrue by the weakness of the Prime Minister.

:27:29. > :27:32.A shift I think we have a chance to show that, in Glasgow, Labour's back

:27:33. > :27:38.in the game and if we win some seats that would be amazing. Let's see. We

:27:39. > :27:46.will see how much you're back in the game when the votes are counted. I

:27:47. > :27:49.will try and get you an SNP guest. They're a bit tight-lipped at the

:27:50. > :27:57.moment. That might tell you something at the moment. Thank you.

:27:58. > :28:04.Now to Fiona and see who her guests are in the cafe. The caffeine is

:28:05. > :28:14.flowing and we have a surprising exit poll and it is just an exit

:28:15. > :28:20.poll. I have Kevin McKenna, I wish there had been a camera on the cafe

:28:21. > :28:25.when the exit poll was announced, there was a lot of surprise. What is

:28:26. > :28:32.your reaction? We woke up and realised that the, that a long night

:28:33. > :28:37.would get more interesting. We are actually hearing more astounding

:28:38. > :28:43.indications of what might be happening in Scotland with massive

:28:44. > :28:49.SNP majorities and one could go to Labour F that does indicate a Labour

:28:50. > :28:53.surge in Scotland rather than a Conservative surge, you wonder if it

:28:54. > :28:58.is a case of what might have been in Jeremy Corbyn's camp, if he does

:28:59. > :29:02.stop Theresa May getting an over all majority, he might be thinking to

:29:03. > :29:10.himself, if the Labour in Scotland had got its act together what could

:29:11. > :29:14.have happened nationally? That is interesting. I'm joined by a former

:29:15. > :29:21.advisor to Scottish Labour. What do you think of that points?

:29:22. > :29:29.Firstly, oppositions don't win elections, governments lose them.

:29:30. > :29:33.Theresa May has had a terrible night. Equally, Nicola Sturgeon and

:29:34. > :29:38.the SNP have had a fairly terrible night. If exit polls are to be

:29:39. > :29:43.believed, they will lose a lot of seats. Iran opera and pretty

:29:44. > :29:48.unfocused campaign. I hope the exit polls are about right, but it is a

:29:49. > :29:55.long way to go now. Where do Scottish Labour go from here? Kezia

:29:56. > :29:58.Dugdale had a lot to do when she took over. Recovery has to go

:29:59. > :30:03.through this point. We have to be here at some point in order to get

:30:04. > :30:07.to the recovery we need of getting about half of the people who went

:30:08. > :30:14.over to the SNP to come back to Labour. Are things Scottish Labour

:30:15. > :30:19.will be encouraged and optimistic. As the results come in, we will see

:30:20. > :30:25.how optimistically ought to be. Just predictions at the moment. You are

:30:26. > :30:32.one of those gasping. I wish we had cotula on camera. I think if there

:30:33. > :30:37.is a labour bounce, it is very much about Jeremy Corbyn. I spoke to a

:30:38. > :30:39.lot of SNP activists this week who said on the actual doorsteps week

:30:40. > :30:46.they were hearing from a lot of people that people wanted to see a

:30:47. > :30:50.way back from Labour. They were not sure, still undecided. In some ways,

:30:51. > :30:56.you can see that maybe SNP supporters on the left wing of the

:30:57. > :31:01.party may be very tempted by what Jeremy Corbyn had to offer and by

:31:02. > :31:10.the overall thought of a Jeremy Corbyn moment, if you like. Our

:31:11. > :31:15.guests earlier literally decided to go radical at the last moment and

:31:16. > :31:19.vote for Jeremy Corbyn. Is the young vote playing into that? I think the

:31:20. > :31:25.young vote in England and Wales has a lot to do with this. Jeremy

:31:26. > :31:29.Corbyn's manifesto had a lot to offer young people. If they were

:31:30. > :31:34.brought out to vote, maybe this will have made a huge difference. Tuition

:31:35. > :31:39.fees, anti-austerity, very interesting to see how England and

:31:40. > :31:45.Wills have voted in this as well. For a long time, I think we have

:31:46. > :31:48.felt that has been addressed and maybe there will be more thought

:31:49. > :31:55.throughout the United Kingdom and it will be very interesting to see how

:31:56. > :32:00.this changes things. Kevin has coordinated his tie with my suit.

:32:01. > :32:06.Lots more to come. Someone who has been up and down the highways and

:32:07. > :32:11.byways of Scotland is neck. He has arrived in the election cafe. I

:32:12. > :32:17.think a more interesting night than any of us thought. I think there is

:32:18. > :32:21.a feeling with most of the parties at the moment that they are treating

:32:22. > :32:27.the exit poll with a dose of scepticism. The SNP are not quite at

:32:28. > :32:33.the point where they are realistically entertaining they

:32:34. > :32:36.could lose 22 seats. The Tories think the early tallies around the

:32:37. > :32:41.country are looking pretty good for them. We have been optimistic across

:32:42. > :32:47.the country. Confident, not quite. That is starting to change in some

:32:48. > :32:50.key areas. David Mundell is predicting they could win all three

:32:51. > :32:57.seats in the South of Scotland. One of them is his. My sources tell me

:32:58. > :33:05.it is looking good for the party in Perth. That is a fascinating seat.

:33:06. > :33:12.The SNP have held it since 1997. Pete Wishart was the MP. He is a

:33:13. > :33:16.high-profile member of that old SNP group at Westminster. Taking that

:33:17. > :33:21.would be a big result. Labour at the moment are playing down the idea

:33:22. > :33:26.they can make massive gains in Scotland. They think the majorities

:33:27. > :33:32.in some places are just too big. East Lothian, optimistic. Better

:33:33. > :33:35.than expected in Rutherglen and Hamilton West. Lib Dems are quiet

:33:36. > :33:40.for now but some people in North East Fife are suggesting it is a

:33:41. > :33:46.close race there between the Lib Dems and the SNP. I will get you

:33:47. > :33:50.more caffeine if you keep digging. Deal? An interesting night. If you

:33:51. > :33:54.want to join in the conversation, let us know what you think or ask

:33:55. > :34:02.any of our cafe customers what they think. I didn't get the message

:34:03. > :34:06.about colour coordination, Alastair Walker Matt. Let's cross to Jackie

:34:07. > :34:09.Bird for the headlines. The first results are in. Newcastle

:34:10. > :34:19.won the race against Sunderland to be the first seat to declare. Called

:34:20. > :34:21.for a Labour with a 2% swing. Sunderland declared a Labour hold

:34:22. > :34:24.but with a small swing to the Conservatives. We have a bit of a

:34:25. > :34:29.wait for the first Scottish seats. Let's look at how the party's share

:34:30. > :34:36.of the vote in Scotland has changed over the last 20 years. Cast your

:34:37. > :34:41.mind back to 1997, New Labour sweeps to power. This man enters Number Ten

:34:42. > :34:50.and cool Britannia is born. Labour are on 45% in Scotland. SNP with 22.

:34:51. > :34:59.Conservatives slightly below but with no MPs north of the border.

:35:00. > :35:04.2001, foot and mouth which delays the election by a month. Labour

:35:05. > :35:10.Sierra goes down slightly. Tony Blair remains a Number Ten. William

:35:11. > :35:18.Hague resigns. The SNP are down slightly, but look at the Liberal

:35:19. > :35:23.Democrats. Their sheer increases. 2005, the Iraq war takes its toll on

:35:24. > :35:27.Tony Blair at the ballot box. An historic third term, but the

:35:28. > :35:32.majority slashed. The Liberal Democrats are on the rise, taking 62

:35:33. > :35:40.seats across the UK. Their best showing since the 1920s in Scotland.

:35:41. > :35:47.We saw their share increased from 16.5% up to 22.5%. 2010, Gordon

:35:48. > :35:51.Brown loses the UK election but Labour finds success in Scotland

:35:52. > :35:56.where it increases its share of the vote. The Tories and Lib Dems go

:35:57. > :36:03.into form a coalition government. Then the game changer. The

:36:04. > :36:12.independence referendum in 2014 and the SNP record an astonishing

:36:13. > :36:19.victory the following year. The other three parties get one solitary

:36:20. > :36:25.MP each. The question is whether the SNP can repeat their remarkable

:36:26. > :36:29.performance. Is not, who will gain at their expense? Looking at

:36:30. > :36:37.Twitter, Armando Ianucci is calling for a government of national unity

:36:38. > :36:43.to deal with Brexit. The son of Sir Malcolm Rifkind is that the

:36:44. > :36:51.projected SNP losses are wrong. Finally David Torrance reminding us

:36:52. > :36:56.that there were doubtful reactions in 2010 and 2015 which both proved

:36:57. > :37:01.to be right. Let's bring in our political panel

:37:02. > :37:06.once again and pick up on the campaign that has just been fought.

:37:07. > :37:09.We haven't spoken about that yet. Obviously in calling the election,

:37:10. > :37:12.Theresa May said it would be the Brexit election but we haven't

:37:13. > :37:20.learned a thing about she would do to deliver Brexit for the UK. I

:37:21. > :37:28.think I have been two different campaigns. Size of the border,

:37:29. > :37:34.focused on Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn. Brexit is featured, but it

:37:35. > :37:38.is about the record of the UK Government and immigration. Security

:37:39. > :37:42.and terrorism. The campaign in Scotland has been entirely

:37:43. > :37:48.different. Much more focused on personalities of Nicola Sturgeon,

:37:49. > :37:52.Ruth Davidson, Kezia Dugdale and Willie Rennie and issues have been

:37:53. > :38:00.different. The issues have been, should we have a second independence

:38:01. > :38:05.referendum? And the SNP are defending a record of ten years. Do

:38:06. > :38:10.you accept that Theresa May has been far less than the strong and stable

:38:11. > :38:18.leader that she started out this campaign saying she would be?

:38:19. > :38:23.Theresa May is not a natural media performer in the way that some

:38:24. > :38:28.unlike Ruth Davidson is. Let's not start writing political obituaries

:38:29. > :38:35.until we get results and. And exit poll is an exit poll. From the first

:38:36. > :38:40.two results, it looks like it might be a bit. If you set out to have an

:38:41. > :38:48.election in order to increase your majority and feel to do that, surely

:38:49. > :38:52.you can't hang around? There are lots of hypotheticals they are. If

:38:53. > :38:58.she doesn't make progress, does she have to She will still be Prime

:38:59. > :39:01.Minister. Assuming we come out as the largest party, there is a job to

:39:02. > :39:09.be done to form a government every don't have a majority. But there is

:39:10. > :39:18.a long way to go. Do have confidence in Theresa May in

:39:19. > :39:21.no circumstances? Yes. You're not a natural supporter of Jeremy Corbyn,

:39:22. > :39:28.but have you been surprised at how well he has done? I think he has had

:39:29. > :39:32.a very spirited and strong campaign if the exit polls are to be

:39:33. > :39:38.believed. Trying to make sense of that, it is because the policies

:39:39. > :39:42.offered were properly supported by the population, contrary to some of

:39:43. > :39:47.their critics. Of popular document with popular policies. I did not

:39:48. > :39:52.support Jeremy Corbyn from leadership. But he brought a degree

:39:53. > :39:56.of authenticity to his campaigning. He genuinely believes the manifesto

:39:57. > :40:01.on which he stood. I think that helps explain the response he

:40:02. > :40:04.received. People are tired of inauthenticity that Theresa May

:40:05. > :40:10.manifested in interview after interview. She would give sound

:40:11. > :40:13.bites about being strong and stable and everything else. With Jeremy

:40:14. > :40:19.Corbyn, what you see is what you get. He has been arguing for these

:40:20. > :40:25.politics for many years. Comfortable in his skin. That authenticity

:40:26. > :40:27.carries. If we see the kind of numbers the exit poll suggests, I

:40:28. > :40:33.think there are some powerful lessons. Or the last ten years, the

:40:34. > :40:38.SNP have had the momentum. One of the reasons was because they were

:40:39. > :40:43.very good at Freeman elections. In 2015, it was stronger for Scotland.

:40:44. > :40:47.One of the things that is intriguing about this campaign is even the SNP

:40:48. > :40:56.couldn't decide what it was about. Was it about independence? Was it

:40:57. > :41:01.about Brexit? A second independence referendum? Defending the record in

:41:02. > :41:08.government? If the party cannot decide what the election is about,

:41:09. > :41:11.you should not be surprised that supporters can't decide. Playback

:41:12. > :41:14.from your point of view, if there was any chance of Jeremy Corbyn been

:41:15. > :41:22.Prime Minister, would you be happy for that to happen? Would you

:41:23. > :41:27.support him in that office? I want to see a Labour government.

:41:28. > :41:32.It is why I've been knocking on doors. I'm not sure I could sum up

:41:33. > :41:37.in a sentence what the SNP's message in this campaign has been. Has it

:41:38. > :41:42.been difficult to try and frame that message? I don't think so. I think

:41:43. > :41:46.we were very clear on what our message was. The Prime Minister

:41:47. > :41:51.called a snap election in order to have a stronger hand in Europe. She

:41:52. > :41:57.has failed in that. One of the big questions to come out of this UK

:41:58. > :42:03.election is exactly how is the UK going to negotiate anything very

:42:04. > :42:07.much in Europe? Sum it up in a sentence. What was your core pitch?

:42:08. > :42:12.In terms of Brexit, our argument was and always has been that Scotland's

:42:13. > :42:16.position should be taken account of in UK negotiations and Scotland

:42:17. > :42:20.should have a place at the negotiating table. That has been

:42:21. > :42:24.consistently sporran. The UK Government has actually refused to

:42:25. > :42:29.even discuss it. And what we have said is that we want to be part of

:42:30. > :42:34.the single market, we want to have better controls over immigration and

:42:35. > :42:40.Scotland. I understand your position. It's not very snappy. I

:42:41. > :42:45.think it was snappy. The problem was we had to fight part of that

:42:46. > :42:48.election in response to an argument about a second independence

:42:49. > :42:53.referendum which was not actually an argument that we set out in the

:42:54. > :42:58.first place. You demanded it two months before because you weren't

:42:59. > :43:07.getting your way over Brexit! No, no. Nicola Sturgeon was ignored.

:43:08. > :43:11.Theresa May came to Scotland and said you will be part of all this.

:43:12. > :43:15.None of that happened. She didn't even read the very clear exposition

:43:16. > :43:19.the Scottish Government and the parliament voted for 2 cents to

:43:20. > :43:25.Theresa May about our position in Europe. The First Minister said, if

:43:26. > :43:28.you are not going to listen to us, the deal you negotiate will be a

:43:29. > :43:34.hard Brexit and the people of Scotland have the right to choose in

:43:35. > :43:39.no circumstances what they want to do. That was what we said. Thank

:43:40. > :43:46.you. Nickel Stephen, we will come to you next time. Let's cross to the

:43:47. > :43:50.constituency that Amber Rudd is defending. What are you hearing?

:43:51. > :43:58.If the election was judged on smiles, then the Labour Party will

:43:59. > :44:04.have been successful here. They're ecstatic and the looks on the the

:44:05. > :44:08.faces of Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats are looking very

:44:09. > :44:12.stressed and worried. Labour say they have had a fantastic campaign

:44:13. > :44:20.and a snap election was called, an election they were not prepared for,

:44:21. > :44:23.but they have been able to mobilise 2,000 volunteers and canvassed more

:44:24. > :44:27.homes than they have done before. They put that down to Jeremy Corbyn.

:44:28. > :44:30.They say the vote is up for them. But they're unable to predict if it

:44:31. > :44:39.is enough. The Conservatives say they have had a positive campaign.

:44:40. > :44:44.They say that Amber Rudd has a strong vote in the county areas. It

:44:45. > :44:47.is more the town areas that tend to swing to Labour. The Liberal

:44:48. > :44:52.Democrats say their vote has been squeezed to Labour and they're

:44:53. > :44:59.worried about even losing that are deposit. Thank you. We have got two

:45:00. > :45:05.results so far, both Labour holds in the north-east of England and more

:45:06. > :45:10.results to come. But let's go live to Kirkwall, where the count is well

:45:11. > :45:15.under way for the Orkney Shetland constituency and in fact we will go

:45:16. > :45:23.to Hugh Williams there in a moment. That is where the former Scottish

:45:24. > :45:29.Secretary Alistair Carmichael is defending the constituency. And

:45:30. > :45:32.let's bring in Nichol Stephen, what are you hearing about that and other

:45:33. > :45:38.seats where you hope to make progress? If the opinion poll, sorry

:45:39. > :45:45.accurate, then we should win Orkney accurate, then we should win Orkney

:45:46. > :45:50.Shetland. We did well in Orkney Shetland in the Scottish Parliament

:45:51. > :45:55.elections and I would find it difficult to believe there could be

:45:56. > :46:02.a problem there. What is more fascinating, is which of seats we

:46:03. > :46:08.have held before, whether we can win some m or all of those back. I would

:46:09. > :46:13.predict that we are going to do well tonight. It will be good news in

:46:14. > :46:18.Scotland. Better news for the Liberal Democrat in Scotland than

:46:19. > :46:22.the rest of the UK. But it is still too early to say. I should say that

:46:23. > :46:26.on the business of working with other parties, which actually is

:46:27. > :46:32.something that well you know you have shared power in what was then

:46:33. > :46:36.the Scottish Executive and now the Scottish Government and the party

:46:37. > :46:39.has shared power at Westminster the Conservatives, but tonight the

:46:40. > :46:44.Liberal Democrats are tweeting to say no coalitions no, deals that,

:46:45. > :46:50.position aparchltly -- apparently is firm. I was looking back at those

:46:51. > :46:53.heady days when the hibds were in second place -- Liberal Democrats

:46:54. > :46:57.were in second place in Scotland in election after election. It was

:46:58. > :47:02.remarkable. Then the big change was the coalition with the Conservatives

:47:03. > :47:06.and I think the experience you might recall, the coalitions in Scotland

:47:07. > :47:10.with the Labour Party our performance from election to

:47:11. > :47:15.election remained strong in the coalition years. So we didn't have

:47:16. > :47:20.the same reversal. But there was a big reversal for the party in 2015

:47:21. > :47:24.and what happened as was clearly shown in Scotland as well. So we

:47:25. > :47:27.have got to move back from that and move up. We started that process in

:47:28. > :47:31.the Scottish Parliament elections, winning back seats, I think we will

:47:32. > :47:37.win back more tonight. We will see how yo do. I'm not sure Renfrewshire

:47:38. > :47:41.east is one constituency where you're in contention. That is being

:47:42. > :47:48.defended by the SNP. That is unlikely. And what a picture. Is

:47:49. > :47:55.that really Alex Salmond? Is that how we can expect him to appear. His

:47:56. > :48:02.future career! On our screens later. Wow. That is the count in Aberdeen.

:48:03. > :48:05.I was talking about refer Frewshire East where the SNP are defending a

:48:06. > :48:10.strong challenge from the Conservatives, who took the

:48:11. > :48:16.equivalent seat in the Holyrood election and a prominent figure

:48:17. > :48:22.standing for the Labour Party in blare McDougall, who ran the Better

:48:23. > :48:29.Together campaign. Let's get the details and go live to Suzanne Allan

:48:30. > :48:36.in Clarkston. How are things happening. Welcome to the count for

:48:37. > :48:39.Renfrewshire East, probably Scotland's only three-way marginal

:48:40. > :48:46.between Labour, the SNP and the Tories. The incumbent is Kirsten

:48:47. > :48:52.Oswald who won the seat two years ago from Jim Murphy, leader of the

:48:53. > :48:58.Labour Party in Scotland, now he had held the seat since 1996. So he had

:48:59. > :49:02.it for 18 years. He won it in that Labour landslide of Tony Blair's

:49:03. > :49:09.Government in 1997. But the Tories have a good track record here. They

:49:10. > :49:12.held the seat previously. Not as Renfrewshire East, but as Eastwood

:49:13. > :49:22.so, they're feeling confident. Now, there are other factors at play

:49:23. > :49:28.here. As you mentioned, Jackson Carlaw won the seat in 2016 and

:49:29. > :49:30.blare McDougall, who won the Better Together campaign against

:49:31. > :49:36.independence is the candidate for the Labour Party. Now, other things

:49:37. > :49:38.to point out, the Scottish council elections last month, the

:49:39. > :49:43.Conservatives were the largest party. But they don't form the

:49:44. > :49:53.administration. It is a Labour/SNP coalition. This area was staunchly,

:49:54. > :49:58.63%, against independence. 74% Remain in the recent referendum.

:49:59. > :50:03.Now, can it will you from speaking to people, they say the prounion

:50:04. > :50:07.parties have been leafletting like mad, especially the Conservatives,

:50:08. > :50:12.they say they are up there every second day, a lot of canvassers,

:50:13. > :50:18.Labour probably coming in second and a bit less from the SNP. But with

:50:19. > :50:23.such a strong prounion vote, that bodes well for the SNP, because that

:50:24. > :50:27.could split the vote. We spoke to all three parties earlier, none

:50:28. > :50:33.would be drawn, it was a bit too early for them to say. But the most

:50:34. > :50:40.confident did seem to be the SNP. Now, we can cross to Haddington and

:50:41. > :50:46.Pauline McLean. We are not going do that just yet. We are seeing

:50:47. > :50:58.pictures from Glenrothes and the counts in Fife. And a third

:50:59. > :50:59.declaration from Sunderland Central. Labour's Julie Elliot holding

:51:00. > :51:48.Sunderland Central. Ukip seems to be the main loser. The

:51:49. > :51:53.Liberal Democrats up one. The swing in in Sunderland central is from

:51:54. > :51:58.Labour to the Conservatives of 2.3%. That is consistent with the first

:51:59. > :52:02.result, Brian Taylor. Two things to draw attention to, first, the Tory

:52:03. > :52:07.result, the Tory vote, is better than the exit poll would suggest.

:52:08. > :52:11.Labour is winning the seat, as they won in Newcastle, but the Tory vote

:52:12. > :52:17.is holding up better than the exit poll would indicate. That is a

:52:18. > :52:22.reversal. The Ukip votes, Sunderland famously set the trend for Brexit

:52:23. > :52:29.for Britain voting as a whole to leave the EU and changed the nature

:52:30. > :52:33.of British politics, Ukip are not the beneficiaries, perhaps voters

:52:34. > :52:38.are saying, job done, or perhaps they're saying Ukip is in the past.

:52:39. > :52:45.But even in Sunderland where it was a big Leave vote and they might vote

:52:46. > :52:55.Ukip to hold the negotiator's feet to the fire. In central Central it

:52:56. > :53:04.is 14.3 off and down in Houghton down. Neil Hamilton who leads Ukip

:53:05. > :53:08.in the Welsh Assembly he has rather understatingly the party's vote is

:53:09. > :53:17.being squeezed. That is how he is putting it. It is a pretty big

:53:18. > :53:24.squeeze so far. I promised news from the nielss and Hugh -- Northern

:53:25. > :53:30.Isles and hue Williams is there. What you tell us. If you want to

:53:31. > :53:38.understand this constituency perhaps we shouldn't be in the magnificent

:53:39. > :53:43.facilities at the school, but at the Haar pour sfrooet, where -- harbour

:53:44. > :53:48.Street where work started on a new sea wall and flood defence to

:53:49. > :53:52.prevent Kirkwall from being inundated by storms. If you're a

:53:53. > :53:55.Liberal Democrat supporters in the Orkney Shetland constituency, you

:53:56. > :53:59.know only too well what that feels like. Two years ago, you were

:54:00. > :54:05.watching the SNP vote creep higher and higher and higher and higher and

:54:06. > :54:13.threatening to overwhelm Alistair Carmichael's majority. He hung on,

:54:14. > :54:17.but only just by 817 votes. Considerably down by 9,000 votes on

:54:18. > :54:23.the majority that he had won in 2010. So has that SNP surge

:54:24. > :54:28.subsided? Perhaps as the exit poll is suggesting it is a bit. That is

:54:29. > :54:32.an issue we will watch in seats around the country. There are

:54:33. > :54:37.factors that make this count interesting, not least the court

:54:38. > :54:45.case from 2015 about Alistair Carmichael's involvement in what

:54:46. > :54:49.became known as French Gate. He leaked a memo that purported to

:54:50. > :54:54.reveal the contents of a conversation between Nicola Sturgeon

:54:55. > :54:58.after the French embarrass door. A group of constituents argued if

:54:59. > :55:05.voters had known of his part in the authorising of the leaking of that

:55:06. > :55:08.memo, he might not have won. So they called for result to be annulled.

:55:09. > :55:14.They went to a special election court and judges there ruled clearly

:55:15. > :55:19.that Mr Carmichael had lied. But they said, it had been a political

:55:20. > :55:25.lie, not a false statement about his character or conduct. And that was

:55:26. > :55:33.the strict test in law. So if you're an Alistair Carmichael fan, you say

:55:34. > :55:40.your man won. If you're an opponent, you may say he won the court case,

:55:41. > :55:43.but he wasn't vindicated. Alistair Carmichael will hope what happened

:55:44. > :55:49.after that in the Holyrood vote where Tavish Scott and Liam McArthur

:55:50. > :55:55.increased their vote was proof that the Liberal Democrat brand wasn't

:55:56. > :56:01.damaged in this constituency. But Mr Carmichael's main rival for the

:56:02. > :56:06.vote, for the position as MP for Orkney Shetland, is Miriam Brett

:56:07. > :56:09.from the SNP. He is a Jung high-flyer in the party and she is

:56:10. > :56:17.from Shetland and she plays the fiddle. Will all of that be enough

:56:18. > :56:27.to guarantee her even more votes than the late Dena Ski got? And

:56:28. > :56:30.there have been voters even member of other parties who have been

:56:31. > :56:37.willing to lend the Liberal Democrats their support. Holding

:56:38. > :56:46.tight to nurse for fear of finding something worse as the great

:56:47. > :56:50.Hillaire Belloc put it. But there are signs that Conservatives might

:56:51. > :56:55.be willing to vote Conservative and perhaps that is the knock on effect

:56:56. > :57:00.of Ruth Davidson's stance that she and the Conservatives are the

:57:01. > :57:05.guarantors of the union. This was one of the most no voting seats in

:57:06. > :57:10.Scotland in the independence referendum and one of most Remain

:57:11. > :57:17.voting seats in the Brexit vote. Hugh Williams live from Kirkwall.

:57:18. > :57:22.And now to the election cafe. Lots to talk about. This election seemed

:57:23. > :57:29.to start off about constitutional politics. Theresa May's desire to

:57:30. > :57:34.shore up support for Brexit. How did it pan out over the campaign. Was it

:57:35. > :57:40.about Brexit or independence? We have Jenny Davidson. What is your

:57:41. > :57:45.thoughts? I think in Scotland the constitutional issues have been

:57:46. > :57:50.bigger than in the UK. We saw domestic issues taking over in the

:57:51. > :57:55.UK like the dementia tax and free school meals and the pensions and

:57:56. > :58:02.winter fuel payments. These became the big issues. In Scotland although

:58:03. > :58:08.the SNP's record has been brought up, the issues of of a second

:58:09. > :58:14.independence referendum had fuelled a lot of if... If the poll is

:58:15. > :58:19.correct and the SNP lose 22 seats, a lot of that I think has been to do

:58:20. > :58:23.with people just being fed up with elections and referendums and not

:58:24. > :58:27.ready to vote on that again. David Torrance, you have had a smile on

:58:28. > :58:36.your face and even chuckling already. What about, is it Brexit or

:58:37. > :58:40.indyref2 or another? There was a lot of absence of chat about Brexit,

:58:41. > :58:44.that was the premise of the election being called. There was little

:58:45. > :58:49.discussion of that. Of course, remember the whole point of this was

:58:50. > :58:53.to boost the Prime Minister's authority, strengthen her hand going

:58:54. > :58:59.into Brexit negotiations. If she ends up with a slight majority, her

:59:00. > :59:04.authority is shot. Perhaps she will be saved by the sheer turmoil of

:59:05. > :59:12.having a Tory leadership election before the negotiations start. But

:59:13. > :59:19.she emerges weakened in Scotland and as has been said indyref2 was be big

:59:20. > :59:23.dynamic. Most people found that in seats like Moray, where you would

:59:24. > :59:31.expect Brexit to be a factor that again that was absent.

:59:32. > :59:38.Was a too dominant in Scotland? There was a strong reaction against

:59:39. > :59:45.that. -- was indyref2 dominant in Scotland? If these results are

:59:46. > :59:49.correct and the exit poll is right, I think it is more to do with what

:59:50. > :59:53.happened in the UK and why. Particularly with the Labour

:59:54. > :59:57.manifesto which captured the imagination of many Scots who in the

:59:58. > :00:01.past had been lending votes to the SNP who might have been Labour

:00:02. > :00:05.voters in the past. Caused a lot of them to rethink their allegiance and

:00:06. > :00:13.wondered whether it made sense to vote SNP from Westminster when the

:00:14. > :00:16.SNP hasn't got a chance of becoming a government. I not vote for Labour

:00:17. > :00:22.if they are in with a shout? That is only of that exit poll is correct.

:00:23. > :00:27.We saw on social media a lot of people worked out and urging young

:00:28. > :00:32.people to go and vote. That may well be what his fondness at the last

:00:33. > :00:37.moment. It is not just us who have been caught short, the political

:00:38. > :00:46.parties themselves didn't detect this was happening. If the SNP has

:00:47. > :00:51.lost 22 seats, that'll be a very significant blow to Nicola Sturgeon.

:00:52. > :00:58.The irony is she could end up having the balance of power in Westminster

:00:59. > :01:05.at the same time. How did this play out in Scotland? I think it is true.

:01:06. > :01:10.Talking to voters, it was clear that even now Brexit was an issue,

:01:11. > :01:15.Scotland voted to remain, that was a weak remain vote and we can now see

:01:16. > :01:24.that. The remain vote was nowhere near as strong across the United

:01:25. > :01:30.Kingdom as he thought. 22% were solid remain. I would say the same

:01:31. > :01:33.in Scotland. If you look back to this time last year, we were talking

:01:34. > :01:38.about what this meant for Scottish independence. Some of us sitting

:01:39. > :01:46.around this table were predicting a shift amongst middle class voters

:01:47. > :01:49.who voted to remain switching to the SNP. We have almost seen the

:01:50. > :01:54.opposite now. Almost certainly the SNP losing support in heartland

:01:55. > :02:02.areas like Moray where there was a strong remain vote. They have lost

:02:03. > :02:06.support amongst what would have been tend to voters. We've seen that

:02:07. > :02:11.before hand. Constitutional politics have played out in strange and

:02:12. > :02:19.unusual ways. Lots to talk about your. All about words and pictures.

:02:20. > :02:24.What have you got for us? For most of the night I have been thinking

:02:25. > :02:32.about Willie Rennie. Win or lose, he has probably had the most fun during

:02:33. > :02:36.the campaign. I had him to chew on for a little bit. Then I thought

:02:37. > :02:43.about risk because it looks like she might get a couple more seats. The

:02:44. > :02:48.Tories might lose a bit of a majority downsize, but I think we

:02:49. > :02:59.will never hear the end of it in First Minister's Questions. I was

:03:00. > :03:08.thinking about Kezia Dugdale from Scottish Labour and how she might

:03:09. > :03:16.take some of the credit. That's just my opinion. Join in the conversation

:03:17. > :03:20.using our hash tag. We have another result to bring you from the

:03:21. > :03:24.north-east of England. Newcastle East. Labour has held with Nick

:03:25. > :03:30.Brown, very prominent figure in the Labour Party, with a significant

:03:31. > :03:52.majority. The Conservatives are second.

:03:53. > :04:07.Compared to two years ago, Labour are up 18%.

:04:08. > :04:15.There is a swing from conservatives to Labour. The Conservatives have

:04:16. > :04:59.held Swindon north. That's the swing from conservatives

:05:00. > :05:09.to Labour in Swindon north. Let's cross live to Aberdeen and the

:05:10. > :05:14.reporter. A little update. Gordon, Alex Salmond's constituency. It

:05:15. > :05:18.might be getting interesting. The Conservatives are happy with what

:05:19. > :05:23.they've seen from the early ballot boxes. So are the Lib Dems. That

:05:24. > :05:27.could mean two things. The Conservatives could be doing really,

:05:28. > :05:34.really well in Gordon. It could also mean that, as was predicted, strong

:05:35. > :05:39.Lib Dem and Tory votes could split the vote and let Alex Salmond

:05:40. > :05:42.through the middle. That's all we know at the moment. The

:05:43. > :05:52.Conservatives are quite confident, as they are with Aberdeenshire west.

:05:53. > :05:56.Also apparently quite confident about Aberdeenshire south. Let's

:05:57. > :06:04.cross to Paisley and Fiona Walker. Things are going to night, the

:06:05. > :06:09.atmosphere is changing. To begin with, everybody was talking about

:06:10. > :06:18.Mhairi Black, the youngest MP retaining her seat. The exit poll

:06:19. > :06:24.came in, in Paisley and Renfrewshire South, the exit poll suggested that

:06:25. > :06:32.Labour would take it from the SNP. Very close indeed. That means that

:06:33. > :06:40.we are watching these piles very closely. Behind me, Alison Dowling

:06:41. > :06:45.for Labour and Mhairi Black for the SNP, those piles are going up neck

:06:46. > :06:52.and neck. The observers around the room are watching closely and we

:06:53. > :06:57.will be watching them closely for you as well. Thank you for the

:06:58. > :07:02.update. I should say that David Mundell, the Conservative Scottish

:07:03. > :07:06.Secretary, is defending his seat says he is optimistic. Optimistic

:07:07. > :07:12.that a historic note is on the cards. He might be focusing

:07:13. > :07:19.particularly on the south of Scotland. He doesn't tell us what he

:07:20. > :07:24.thinks is going on in the rest of the country. We will continue to go

:07:25. > :07:31.wrong the country and pick up all developments that we have. Shortly,

:07:32. > :07:37.we will cross to Haddington for news of the East Lothian count. Let's

:07:38. > :07:44.bring in the panel once again. Douglas Alexander, on Haddington

:07:45. > :07:50.being the V Slovene, prior to the exit poll, that was really the one

:07:51. > :07:57.seat that Labour was targeting and helping to pick up in Scotland. Has

:07:58. > :08:00.that changed? Certainly, the evidence suggests that the work

:08:01. > :08:07.we've done in others it across the country could deliver the seats

:08:08. > :08:14.rather than simply cut majorities. If the exit poll proves to be

:08:15. > :08:16.accurate, we will have exceeded, not just our own expectations, the

:08:17. > :08:26.expectations of all commentators looking at the election. A proof

:08:27. > :08:32.work with the other on the panel. What's the extent of Tory ambition

:08:33. > :08:40.north of the border? There is no limit. We started... Alex Salmond's

:08:41. > :08:44.seat? It's in play. It's looking close in Angus. These are seats that

:08:45. > :08:54.the SNP have held with thumping majorities. A majority in prison

:08:55. > :08:59.just shy of 10,000. If we were to potentially take Alex Salmond's

:09:00. > :09:03.seat, the fact that spin discussed, shows how well the Conservatives

:09:04. > :09:20.have done. -- a majority in Perth just shy 10,000. All sorts

:09:21. > :09:26.of transport is being used to make sure that the votes are counted.

:09:27. > :09:30.Let's get more from the East Lothian count, Labour will bring to win back

:09:31. > :09:40.the seat and SNP defending. Pauline McLean. What are you hearing? As you

:09:41. > :09:46.know, East Lothian has been seen as a microcosm of Scotland. Some in

:09:47. > :09:52.different parts of it, a nuclear power station, a university, mining,

:09:53. > :09:58.farming, fishing. You can imagine the range of issues and opinions.

:09:59. > :10:07.SNP's George Kerrigan took the seat two years ago, it was until then a

:10:08. > :10:14.Labour seat dating back until it was created three decades before. They

:10:15. > :10:19.really believe that they have a chance, Labour, Kezia Dugdale has

:10:20. > :10:22.been here. She's been here three times for visits. We are noticing

:10:23. > :10:30.denied that there is a sizeable Labour presence. -- we are noticing

:10:31. > :10:33.tonight that there is a sizeable Labour presence. They haven't said

:10:34. > :10:38.anything officially but we have seen them around and they believe they

:10:39. > :10:43.are in with a chance. He mentioned earlier about the constitution. In

:10:44. > :10:48.terms of local campaigning, although East Lothian had one of the highest

:10:49. > :10:53.no votes in Scotland, the issues talked about our more about

:10:54. > :10:58.transport, schools, things that mean things to local people and less so

:10:59. > :11:06.about the constitution. There is only one count, only one seat to be

:11:07. > :11:11.declared. The count, as you can see behind me, is well underway. Talking

:11:12. > :11:16.to the returning officer, Andrew you heard it from other returning

:11:17. > :11:23.officers, the getting so used to it, the routine, there been so many

:11:24. > :11:27.elections recently. They are going as quickly and efficiently as they

:11:28. > :11:36.can. Thanks, pulling. Let's go to Dunbartonshire East. Jamie McCart in

:11:37. > :11:46.Bishopbriggs. -- Jamie McIvor. It's certainly getting interesting. The

:11:47. > :11:52.SNP has a wafer thin majority here in Scottish terms. Also, the MP is

:11:53. > :12:00.one of the highest profile from the class of 2015. He used to present a

:12:01. > :12:08.TV programme for teenagers. It looks as though his future as an MP he is

:12:09. > :12:15.open to question. I've spoken to some Lib Dems that they feel are

:12:16. > :12:19.cautiously optimistic that Jo Swinson has one. Some conservative

:12:20. > :12:24.activists have said they would say they are 100% sure that Jo Swinson

:12:25. > :12:32.has one. Certainly, it looks interesting here. Things can change

:12:33. > :12:36.between now and the declaration. We are expecting an exciting culture.

:12:37. > :12:45.As things stand, it looks as though this got mighty on fully paid. --

:12:46. > :12:53.might be on a Matt Kuchar. Let's cross the Jackie Bird. We are

:12:54. > :13:03.expecting the first Scottish seat in the small avarice. Last time, it

:13:04. > :13:09.was, ... They are analysing the share and these things. A handful of

:13:10. > :13:19.seats have been declared sufferer. All holds for Labour. And the

:13:20. > :13:27.Conservatives in England. The exit poll has declared some wins for

:13:28. > :13:34.Labour. It doesn't take in consideration the postal votes. It

:13:35. > :13:40.looks like turnout is up by about 5-6%. How does that compare with

:13:41. > :13:46.recent elections? There have been a view. Turnout in Scotland hit a

:13:47. > :13:57.record high, 2014, the independence referendum. The following year, the

:13:58. > :14:05.general election. UK figure was 66% and in Scotland, feelings run high

:14:06. > :14:11.and it was 71%. 2016, the Holyrood vote, turnout went down. 55%. The

:14:12. > :14:19.highest vote in any Scottish election since the first. 2016, 67

:14:20. > :14:26.as then voted. The EU referendum. The figure in the UK was higher at

:14:27. > :14:33.72. The Scottish Council elections, down to just under 50%. A quick look

:14:34. > :14:45.at the newspapers. Only headlines. The Scottish Daily Mail says... The

:14:46. > :14:54.Scotsman is questioning the Prime Minister's future. Mayhem sums up

:14:55. > :15:01.the outcome of the exit poll. Ukip have fallen substantially in seats

:15:02. > :15:11.sufferer. He accuses Theresa May of jeopardising Brexit. Let's go to

:15:12. > :15:15.Jeanne Freeman with us for the SNP tonight. What do you from colleagues

:15:16. > :15:20.around the country? Not that much different from what you're reporting

:15:21. > :15:29.on it. There are some cards which are tight. I understand that in

:15:30. > :15:40.Hannah Bardell's constituency in the Livingston that we are ahead. Also

:15:41. > :15:47.in that, logged in. In some councils, as the piles mount up, it

:15:48. > :15:52.looks tight in some places and OK in others. We just have to wait and

:15:53. > :16:01.see. What would your best guess be for a total number of SNP seats? I'm

:16:02. > :16:07.not going to start giving you numbers, I do think the SNP will win

:16:08. > :16:13.a majority of seats. I think that'll be a good result for us and will see

:16:14. > :16:19.a great deal about the strength of our party. Our role in any future

:16:20. > :16:25.Brexit talks for Scotland, it is critical that Scotland is under.

:16:26. > :16:29.Let's bring in the new member in the political panel. The former First

:16:30. > :16:36.Minister of Scotland. How do you see this night shaping up? First of all,

:16:37. > :16:40.the exit poll has given a remarkable course to the whole exercise.

:16:41. > :16:44.Against predictions, it doesn't seem to be working out into reason's

:16:45. > :16:51.style. I'm impressed with two things. There's no doubt that the

:16:52. > :16:55.Labour Party manifesto started to make an impact. That's been

:16:56. > :16:58.reflected in the early result. I'm pleased that the Brexit mania and

:16:59. > :17:04.the rest of the Conservative Party to go for maybe a hard Brexit may

:17:05. > :17:09.have been checked. It's early but I take comfort out of both issues.

:17:10. > :17:19.Also remarkable, the predictions in Scotland seem remarkable relative to

:17:20. > :17:25.the polls taken. The whole result, if it carries on as it is, Scotland

:17:26. > :17:31.may be in a state of flux and Britain, too. Handing over both,

:17:32. > :17:37.Britain and Scotland, the whole question of Brexit. -- hanging over

:17:38. > :17:41.both. A startling night and something for all parties. Do you

:17:42. > :17:49.detect a Labour comeback in Scotland? My oppression is that, it

:17:50. > :17:55.depends on seat, -- my prediction is that it depends on seats. The

:17:56. > :17:59.Conservative campaign was negative. That was their intention. Whether

:18:00. > :18:08.you like Jeremy Corbyn or not, the manifesto make an impact. I suspect

:18:09. > :18:12.that north of the border it hid some Labour people. We don't know until

:18:13. > :18:19.still receive the final Scottish results. -- north of the border it

:18:20. > :18:27.hit some Labour people. It is the smallest electorate in the UK, in

:18:28. > :18:33.the Western Isles, they managed to give us a result fairly early in the

:18:34. > :18:40.course of the election campaign. Murdo Fraser, we've been talking

:18:41. > :18:45.about the differences in both the campaign and the outcome potentially

:18:46. > :18:50.in Scotland compared to other parts of the UK. What is your sense, at

:18:51. > :18:55.this stage, of the decision that Theresa May took to call a snap

:18:56. > :19:00.election? Was it the right thing to do? You have to remember that

:19:01. > :19:04.Theresa May was under a lot of pressure. Nicola Sturgeon and others

:19:05. > :19:09.said that she doesn't have a mandate to be Prime Minister. They

:19:10. > :19:13.criticised when called a general election to get precise that magic.

:19:14. > :19:19.We have to see what the results are. We have to see what the results are.

:19:20. > :19:23.-- to get that mandate. You can't write a review of a book until you

:19:24. > :19:29.naughty last chapter. Let's wait and see what the results. -- until you

:19:30. > :19:33.naughty last at chapter. It's interesting that the exit polls

:19:34. > :19:40.haven't reflected the actual results so far.

:19:41. > :19:53.The Maidenhead. The right that some of the early results suggest that

:19:54. > :19:59.the exit poll is over estimating the Labour Party vote, that some of them

:20:00. > :20:05.suggest it is underestimating the Labour Party vote. It is not yet a

:20:06. > :20:08.clear pattern, we only have a handful of constituencies, it is

:20:09. > :20:16.suggesting a pattern but it is not clear. Seven declarations. Turnout

:20:17. > :20:24.is up in every one of them. 4-5 points. Newcastle East shows a

:20:25. > :20:34.higher Labour votes than the exit poll would suggest, but Sunderland,

:20:35. > :20:41.the Labour Party are up but so are the Tories. Ukip are collapsing,

:20:42. > :20:46.they are down 12-15 points. That matters in the north west of England

:20:47. > :20:51.and in the Midlands, where seats could be determined by whether the

:20:52. > :20:57.Ukip bulk lapses, does it collapsed to the Conservatives sold in a

:20:58. > :21:05.disbar 's way. -- collapsed to the Conservatives or in a more dispersed

:21:06. > :21:10.way. Tonight we will see the outcome of some local battles fought across

:21:11. > :21:16.the country. Each constituency is unique so many crude liver and

:21:17. > :21:29.upset. So we can take a trip around Scotland. 30 years ago, Morey was a

:21:30. > :21:33.Tory heartland but now Angus Robertson has a real fight on his

:21:34. > :21:40.hands, the Conservatives are on the rise. Most of the voters here

:21:41. > :21:49.rejected Scottish independence and the Brexit campaign performed more

:21:50. > :21:56.strongly in Morey than anywhere else in Scotland. -- Moray. In Edinburgh

:21:57. > :22:04.South, this is Labour's only seat in Scotland. Ian Murray was the sole

:22:05. > :22:08.survivor two years ago. The SNP triumphant last time around, can

:22:09. > :22:14.they finish the job and as Tim? In the Scottish Borders, Berwickshire,

:22:15. > :22:21.Roxburgh and Selkirk, a beautiful part of the countryside. An

:22:22. > :22:26.intriguing battle. This used to be a Liberal stronghold with the Tories

:22:27. > :22:32.at their heels, but two years ago the Liberal vote collapsed. There

:22:33. > :22:41.were just 300 votes in it last time. Will a Lib Dem comeback squeeze the

:22:42. > :22:47.SNP? It is all to play for. In west Central Scotland East

:22:48. > :22:51.Dunbartonshire, there are the wealthy Glasgow suburbs of milk guy

:22:52. > :22:56.and they spend. The Lib Dems held this for a decade before they were

:22:57. > :23:04.swept away two years ago. The selection sees a repeat of that

:23:05. > :23:10.contest. Jo Swinson aims to defeat John Nicholson of the SNP. She wants

:23:11. > :23:16.to return and he wants to stay. North and east we can look at a

:23:17. > :23:20.tough fight in Aberdeen South, containing some of Scotland's

:23:21. > :23:26.wealthiest neighbourhoods. But its fortunes have changed with the price

:23:27. > :23:31.of oil. The SNP are now facing a huge challenge from the

:23:32. > :23:37.Conservatives, who need a 7-.5% swing to take the seat and write a

:23:38. > :23:43.new chapter in Scottish politics. We will be watching to see that happens

:23:44. > :23:49.here and across the country. Now to Perth and an update from there. We

:23:50. > :23:59.have just had the turnout figure here and it is impressive, but still

:24:00. > :24:05.down from 2015 where 74% turned out. BBC projections are showing a 99%

:24:06. > :24:11.chance of Iain Duncan overturning the SNP and his 10,000 majority

:24:12. > :24:15.here. The Conservatives do not believe that figure is accurate,

:24:16. > :24:23.neither side is prepared to call it at the moment. John Swinney has been

:24:24. > :24:28.looking rather glum as he walks around the sports centre. It is

:24:29. > :24:35.difficult to tell if that is due to the overall SNP pitcher or just the

:24:36. > :24:41.seat. We are expecting a declaration here at TV-am which is earlier than

:24:42. > :24:53.we had thought. I will hold you to that. One of the MSPs representing

:24:54. > :24:59.that part of the country has joined us, from the Conservatives. Are you

:25:00. > :25:05.optimistic for a win there are? It has been a very good campaign in

:25:06. > :25:11.that seat and we are quietly optimistic. If that is how it turns

:25:12. > :25:14.out, Jean Freeman, what would be your explanation for one of your

:25:15. > :25:25.most established Members of Parliament losing his seat? In that

:25:26. > :25:30.constituency the Tory narrative in Scotland as they sought to frame it

:25:31. > :25:35.was around there being the prospect for a second independence

:25:36. > :25:39.referendum, which is not true. That seems to have gained some traction

:25:40. > :25:46.there and people wanted to vote on those terms. If that explains the

:25:47. > :25:51.rise in Tory support in areas where you are head to head with them, is

:25:52. > :25:57.there something else going on in areas where we are hearing the

:25:58. > :26:03.Labour Party are picking up? It is interesting, the appeal seems to be

:26:04. > :26:10.the radical nature of Jeremy Corbyn's manifesto. What is

:26:11. > :26:15.interesting about that is that some of the radical things and that

:26:16. > :26:19.manifesto are policies that the SNP are already enacting in Scotland,

:26:20. > :26:27.like tuition fees and winter fuel allowance. Maybe that has had some

:26:28. > :26:33.appeal to some people. We need to see how that pans out. There was a

:26:34. > :26:39.period where the SNP campaign to the left of Labour, but at this election

:26:40. > :26:46.Labour were further to the left. No, because what is in Labour's

:26:47. > :26:51.manifesto are things that the SNP are already doing. He is also

:26:52. > :26:56.talking about nationalising industries... Transport Minister has

:26:57. > :27:02.already began those conversations in terms of the rail network in

:27:03. > :27:08.Scotland. Not to nationalise it, to make it possible for a public sector

:27:09. > :27:17.better... It is still about putting it into public sector hands. In many

:27:18. > :27:23.areas where Jeremy Corbyn's pledges are there, they are already facts in

:27:24. > :27:31.Scotland. I do not agree that his manifesto is left of the SNP because

:27:32. > :27:37.we are already doing it. It has had an impact. Speaking to people

:27:38. > :27:41.inside, there is no doubt, setting aside considerations of leadership,

:27:42. > :27:46.there has been an impact with the manifesto. If the exit poll is

:27:47. > :27:53.predicting the loss of 22 seats for the SNP, will that fault of the left

:27:54. > :27:59.or the right? Will Labour take advantage of this? It could be that

:28:00. > :28:04.the Lib Dems are going to get if you seats. That is a question I would

:28:05. > :28:10.like to pose. The exit poll is being questioned but it is often accurate.

:28:11. > :28:15.This question between left and right and the SNP and Labour, there are

:28:16. > :28:20.things that Jeremy Corbyn has put in the manifesto that would never be in

:28:21. > :28:28.an SNP manifesto. In terms of the bigger issues, the Post Office,

:28:29. > :28:32.public ownership of the railways, these are common sense issues,

:28:33. > :28:39.clamping down on utilities. That has had an impact. We cannot do it

:28:40. > :28:49.because we do not have the powers. To be honest with you, there is a

:28:50. > :28:55.bit of a myth that the SNP have an ideological grip on the left. I've

:28:56. > :28:58.my a lot of what they have done, but Jeremy Corbyn has re-focused the

:28:59. > :29:05.Labour Party to where it might have been in previous times. The Scottish

:29:06. > :29:09.Labour Party does not support Jeremy Corbyn. I want to catch up with

:29:10. > :29:17.fewer now and her guests in the election cafe. The exit poll has got

:29:18. > :29:22.everyone talking here and if they were feeling sleepy before they are

:29:23. > :29:28.now wide awake. We have a man who might be able to tell us how

:29:29. > :29:36.accurate it is, he is from Ipsos Mori. How accurate do you think it

:29:37. > :29:41.is? The truth is that we do not know how accurate it is at this stage,

:29:42. > :29:47.but we do know it was done exactly the same way as in 2015 where it

:29:48. > :29:54.turned out to be quite robust. In 2015 it's slightly undercooked the

:29:55. > :30:01.Tories, they were predicted to be short of an overall majority which

:30:02. > :30:05.they then just about got. It is a clear indication and I think the

:30:06. > :30:10.confidence lies and the fact it was done the same as two years ago and

:30:11. > :30:15.if you repeat something in the same way and it was accurate before, we

:30:16. > :30:20.can have some confidence in it, I think. Has anything you have heard

:30:21. > :30:26.tonight so far given you any doubts about its accuracy? I understand

:30:27. > :30:31.there is an argument going on between panellists then in London,

:30:32. > :30:37.but we do not have enough data yet coming in from the few declarations

:30:38. > :30:42.that we have got, so we need to wait a little bit longer. The more data

:30:43. > :30:49.out we have, the more confident we can be in it being accurate or

:30:50. > :30:59.otherwise. Could you describe how it works? During the campaign we will

:31:00. > :31:05.get numerous opinion polls that aim to find out what people will do on

:31:06. > :31:10.Election Day, but with the exit poll we go to polling stations and we

:31:11. > :31:16.question people about what they have just done rather than what they are

:31:17. > :31:20.going to do. The other advantage it has is that we do not have to worry

:31:21. > :31:28.about what turnout will be because these people have already voted. We

:31:29. > :31:33.do not have to estimate what turnout will be across the country, we do

:31:34. > :31:38.not need to worry about that because we are talking to people who have

:31:39. > :31:42.already bolted. We have people at polling stations around the country

:31:43. > :31:48.and they will be Aske and people to go away and replicate what they have

:31:49. > :31:55.just done, it is like another private vote. You will hang people

:31:56. > :32:00.are ballot paper the same as what they are just had and they will be

:32:01. > :32:10.given the opportunity to replicate that. That is when the magic

:32:11. > :32:14.happens. We will be back very soon. Someone who has been up and down the

:32:15. > :32:19.highways of Scotland and has been on the fallen is with us. What are you

:32:20. > :32:23.hearing on the ground? The Labour Party are sounding more optimistic

:32:24. > :32:30.and they now think that at some point this evening we will that true

:32:31. > :32:36.Mac new seats in Scotland. They are more optimistic than they were an

:32:37. > :32:41.hour ago. -- they will win new seats in Scotland. Moray is another

:32:42. > :32:47.fascinating seat. The Conservatives are hoping they can tap into a high

:32:48. > :32:52.number of Leeds supporters there. It sounds like it is close and the

:32:53. > :32:56.Tories think they are in with a chance. The Lib Dems are flagging up

:32:57. > :33:00.Edinburgh Western East Dunbartonshire as seats where they

:33:01. > :33:06.think they might be doing well, but it is very early. If you want to

:33:07. > :33:11.hear about any of these things you can contact us using the hashtag

:33:12. > :33:20.below. Turnout from Renfrewshire East is 76%. We are also hearing

:33:21. > :33:27.news of possible recount in and right. We feature that constituency

:33:28. > :33:32.earlier because that is where Amber Rudd is defending. We have been

:33:33. > :33:38.talking about the Labour Party's hopes in Scotland, there were hoping

:33:39. > :33:45.to hold the seat in Edinburgh South and perhaps pick up East Lothian. We

:33:46. > :33:49.can go to Haddington and the MSP for East Lothian, Iain Gray. Is this a

:33:50. > :33:59.Westminster seat you will be in tonight? You know what I am going to

:34:00. > :34:05.say, it is too early to tell, we have only started counting the

:34:06. > :34:11.votes. We have had a good Election Day, despite the rain. We are

:34:12. > :34:15.confident that our boat has stayed with us and it has come out in good

:34:16. > :34:22.numbers and we have to see if that isn't enough. One thing we are

:34:23. > :34:28.certain of is that people in East Lothian are telling us they have had

:34:29. > :34:33.enough of the SNP, even those that have been supporting them in recent

:34:34. > :34:36.elections are fed up with the idea of a second referendum and they

:34:37. > :34:43.believe Nicola Sturgeon should get on with her day job. If the exit

:34:44. > :34:48.poll is correct, as I have heard, it will be a bad night for a Nicola

:34:49. > :34:54.Sturgeon in Scotland and Ford to reason me. If we can contribute to

:34:55. > :35:05.I'm hearing is that the party is confident, labour, that they will

:35:06. > :35:10.win through rural seats in Scotland. It looks like the SNP still finishes

:35:11. > :35:22.as the majority party after this election. If the SNP, I understand

:35:23. > :35:27.the exit poll predicted that they might lose over 20 seats. That would

:35:28. > :35:32.be a massive defeat for Nicola Sturgeon. I don't think she will be

:35:33. > :35:39.able to dress that up in any shape or form. It means that her

:35:40. > :35:44.relentless pursuer will of another independence referendum, using

:35:45. > :35:51.Brexit as the disc is, has been roundly rejected. -- using Brexit as

:35:52. > :35:59.the excuse. If you're on the way up in Scotland, is that as a result of

:36:00. > :36:07.Jeremy Corbyn and his manifesto? Or is it as the result of the work of

:36:08. > :36:14.Kezia Dugdale? The manifesto is interesting. A lot of the ideas were

:36:15. > :36:22.in our Holyrood manifesto a few years ago. It's proven popular. The

:36:23. > :36:29.campaign that Jeremy Corbyn has fought has had benefits, without

:36:30. > :36:34.doubt, in East Lothian. Kezia Dugdale has been in East Lothian on

:36:35. > :36:43.a number of occasions and earlier today was part of our team's going

:36:44. > :36:48.out to get Labour voters out to vote. That has helped to preserve

:36:49. > :36:56.vote up tonight. Hopefully far enough to helpers gained East East

:36:57. > :37:00.Lothian. Reviewing from Nigel Farage. He says that if you believe

:37:01. > :37:08.the exit polls, Brexit is under threat. Evidence that Ukip itself is

:37:09. > :37:12.under threat to some extent. Thanks very much. Let's look at for

:37:13. > :37:21.constituencies. Three from the north-east. This is where results

:37:22. > :37:26.are declaring first. Sunderland South, Labour victory. You wouldn't

:37:27. > :37:35.expect anything else there. The Conservatives are also up 11. Labour

:37:36. > :37:42.are up for -- are up for Mac. You could do 16%. This area voted

:37:43. > :37:57.heavily leave in the Brexit referendum. Sunderland Central,

:37:58. > :38:07.let's take a look at the change. Conservatives upturn. Ukip down 14

:38:08. > :38:11.points. Newcastle upon Tyne Central, the same pattern. You understand why

:38:12. > :38:23.Nigel Farage is making these comments. Labour victory. Just to

:38:24. > :38:28.prove it isn't just in the north-east. Let's switch to Swindon

:38:29. > :38:32.North. A Conservative seat. Conservative victory in Swindon.

:38:33. > :38:41.They hold this seat. Here is the change. Tories up three, Labour up

:38:42. > :38:49.11 and Ukip down 12. The Ukip analysis placed an ad is that

:38:50. > :38:54.perhaps it's job done. -- placed on that is that perhaps. They took the

:38:55. > :38:59.victory in Brexit, so they would see, they no longer need a victory.

:39:00. > :39:05.Nigel Farage's point is that if Theresa May said this would give us

:39:06. > :39:12.a mandate for negotiations and to drive the Brexit through a sceptical

:39:13. > :39:22.comments. Perhaps those two reasons for calling the election have had

:39:23. > :39:27.the fleet carried from under them. Let's bring you another couple of

:39:28. > :39:32.comments from around the country. Bishoo from the BBC's political

:39:33. > :39:40.editor -- we are hearing from the BBC's political editor that the

:39:41. > :39:45.candidate in Battersea is going to lose out. That would be two UK

:39:46. > :39:54.Government ministers losing their seats. Let's bring in the political

:39:55. > :39:58.panel. Let's hear from the Lib Dem. What are you picking up? I'm picking

:39:59. > :40:06.up that in Scotland the results are close. However dress it up, the fact

:40:07. > :40:10.that they are likely to lose a significant number of seats is

:40:11. > :40:16.hugely bad news. However they dress it up, Nicola Sturgeon did decide to

:40:17. > :40:20.launch indyref2 just before the unexpected election was called. That

:40:21. > :40:26.was her time of choosing. It has been a big issue in constituencies

:40:27. > :40:35.when the Lib Dems had been fighting to take back our seats. I will

:40:36. > :40:39.report -- the whispers are either at prounion parties might have

:40:40. > :40:45.cancelled each other out. This is a real concern. The Conservatives, as

:40:46. > :40:46.you know, have been buoyant throughout the campaign. Sucking up

:40:47. > :40:53.how well they are doing in Scotland. how well they are doing in Scotland.

:40:54. > :40:59.-- talking up how well. They have been talking about seats they have a

:41:00. > :41:06.good chance and also places where Lib Dems are second place. It would

:41:07. > :41:09.be a huge tragedy if both Conservative and Lib Dems went up

:41:10. > :41:16.but if neither places they had enough to defeat the SNP. Let's

:41:17. > :41:26.cross the Darlington. -- to Darlington. Hello. This is very

:41:27. > :41:32.close to declaring their result. This has been a safe Labour seat for

:41:33. > :41:38.many years. It's been one that the Conservative Party has been

:41:39. > :41:44.targeting. Close any 2015 election. Jennifer Chapman won with 43% of the

:41:45. > :41:50.share. 35% to the Conservative candidate. It's looking to be a

:41:51. > :41:58.Labour hold if you base it on the ballot papers. The Red Wings versus

:41:59. > :42:04.the blue and white. Looking like a Labour seat. Interesting story in

:42:05. > :42:08.the north-east. Turnout is up 5%. You see that story across the

:42:09. > :42:14.north-east and. This is an area that has overwhelmingly footed to leave

:42:15. > :42:17.the EU. Lots of people wondering what that will mean and how that

:42:18. > :42:24.will play out in the general election. Lots of people working in

:42:25. > :42:28.the public sector here. In this constituency, into 7% of people are

:42:29. > :42:34.employed in the public sector. The Labour manifesto to get rid of the

:42:35. > :42:39.cap on pay rises for public sector workers will have influenced how

:42:40. > :42:43.people have voted. We haven't had the official confirmation but it

:42:44. > :42:50.looks like a Labour hold. Thanks for that. Let's go directly to

:42:51. > :42:57.Stornoway. The Western Isles constituency. Instruments sing

:42:58. > :43:07.noises. Let's say good to Andy Smith on us. -- interesting noises. From

:43:08. > :43:13.the Western Isles, it is turning into in interesting contest. Plus

:43:14. > :43:18.ten, Angus MacNeil had a majority of 4100. This time it's getting quite

:43:19. > :43:22.close. Even SNP supporters are saying it's getting too close to

:43:23. > :43:33.call. It could be written in the hundreds. It's interesting, five

:43:34. > :43:38.candidates, Tory, Lib Dem and the Scottish Christian Party. Since the

:43:39. > :43:46.1970s, it has been a two horse race between Labour and SNP have held it

:43:47. > :43:52.with anger spread when you'll -- since Angus -- with anger spreading

:43:53. > :43:59.McNeill. A lot of worried looks from the SNP. With the bulk of the faults

:44:00. > :44:07.Mac being counted, they are saying it could be within the hundreds. --

:44:08. > :44:20.the bulk of the votes being counted. Only one, the votes came ashore on a

:44:21. > :44:24.risky -- on Eriskay. The bundle for sure later but at the moment, it

:44:25. > :44:32.looks like it would be an interesting night in Stornoway.

:44:33. > :44:40.Kindly confirm the timescale? We think that the last boxes will be in

:44:41. > :44:56.Stornoway airport, being blown up from the Benbecula. We should have

:44:57. > :45:02.the result hopefully about 2am, unless there is a recount. Thank you

:45:03. > :45:07.very much. It could be an interesting night in the Western

:45:08. > :45:12.Isles. We are hearing that the declaration from Darlington might

:45:13. > :45:20.come in the next 20 minutes or so. That will be one to watch. If Labour

:45:21. > :45:25.holding in Darlington, it looks like it could be a very good night for

:45:26. > :45:32.them. Anthony McDonald called in Middlesbrough. The results are

:45:33. > :45:38.coming a bit faster. -- Anthony McDonald holding in Middlesbrough.

:45:39. > :45:44.Let's cross teasel bright. -- crisscrossed to East Kilbride,

:45:45. > :45:52.Strathaven and Lesmahagow. It might be a bit early for that actually.

:45:53. > :45:59.Brian Taylor, your thoughts. Darlington is intriguing. It was a

:46:00. > :46:05.Labour feed but it was Michael Fallon's suit. It's been a

:46:06. > :46:10.Conservative battle ground of late. If Labour are entrenched there, it

:46:11. > :46:17.tells us that Labour are entrenched there. It doesn't tell us much more

:46:18. > :46:24.about the UK. Who is the more socialist of the two? A line

:46:25. > :46:32.creeping into the SNP narrative recently. It was used by Nicola

:46:33. > :46:40.Sturgeon. She said that of the Jeremy Corbyn manifested, it has

:46:41. > :46:49.stolen for the SNP. If the vote for the SNP, he vote for people that

:46:50. > :46:56.will implement the manifesto, not -- her implication being that Kezia

:46:57. > :47:02.Dugdale and the Scottish Labour wouldn't implement it. He also had

:47:03. > :47:06.the SNP debate, she targeted labour directly in terms of the business of

:47:07. > :47:12.whether or not Kezia Dugdale had been vacillating over the subject of

:47:13. > :47:16.a referendum. The SNP's objective throughout the last decade has been

:47:17. > :47:21.not just the counter or take on the Labour Party but to supplant them.

:47:22. > :47:27.Some results from England. Middlesbrough. Let's start with

:47:28. > :47:53.Broxburn, in fact. A Conservative hold.

:47:54. > :48:06.Let's see if we can get a breakdown of that result. King pair to what

:48:07. > :48:14.happened two years ago, the Tories are up six, Labour ten and you keep

:48:15. > :48:25.losing 16%. -- and you keep losing 16%.

:48:26. > :49:27.How as the pitcher is shaping up across the country? It is mostly

:49:28. > :49:37.grey because most suits have not declared. There are only a small

:49:38. > :49:43.number of declarations there. And the north of England the dots are at

:49:44. > :49:48.Labour red. There are no dots in Scotland because we are waiting for

:49:49. > :49:53.the first declaration. This takes every constituency and makes

:49:54. > :49:58.everyone of them the same size. The UK does not look like it normally

:49:59. > :50:05.does, but it allows us to get a sense of the developing pitcher. We

:50:06. > :50:10.can catch up with the owner who is in our election cafe. How many cups

:50:11. > :50:17.of Coffey have you had? I have had four cups. There are plenty of

:50:18. > :50:23.things to talk about here. We have been thinking about the moments of

:50:24. > :50:30.the campaign. We had the girl and boy jobs and running through the

:50:31. > :50:35.fields of wheat. We had a TV debate without the main parties and photo

:50:36. > :50:43.shoots with farm animals. To talk about the moments in this campaign,

:50:44. > :50:49.what were your best bet is? It is difficult to see what has been the

:50:50. > :50:57.best, it has been tepid and carefully managed, which is why in

:50:58. > :51:01.terms of best bits it was the moments where the politicians looked

:51:02. > :51:09.uncomfortable, because they were too comfortable during the campaign. So

:51:10. > :51:14.for me, the leaders' debates, their interaction with the audience, this

:51:15. > :51:19.campaign has been about members of the public who have managed to get

:51:20. > :51:24.politicians under scrutiny. Also the boy and girl jobs and the robotic

:51:25. > :51:32.moments running through the fields of hay, everyone was asking what was

:51:33. > :51:39.going on. Whether any memorable moments in this campaign? The best

:51:40. > :51:44.bet was the end of the campaign. It is the worst general election I can

:51:45. > :51:49.recall covering. The most significant moment was the dawning

:51:50. > :51:56.that Theresa May was an average politician. Everyone thought that

:51:57. > :52:03.she was good to have a big majority, but she could not get out of first

:52:04. > :52:10.gear and Jeremy Corbyn made himself look very good. She is the story of

:52:11. > :52:15.this campaign. She will probably pay with her job. Surprising exit poll

:52:16. > :52:25.results. I'd you picking up anything at this point? It is broadly in line

:52:26. > :52:31.with what we expected. 22 SNP losses in Scotland might be more than what

:52:32. > :52:36.happens in the end. Some people are expecting 15-20, but it is a bad

:52:37. > :52:47.night for the SNP and a dreadful night for Theresa May. Were there

:52:48. > :52:52.any memorable moments for you? There were people turning white in the

:52:53. > :53:01.spin room when the exit poll dropped, from every party. The SNP

:53:02. > :53:10.turned white. A Labour person who is no fan of Jeremy Corbyn also. I

:53:11. > :53:16.disagree with Paul and Kirsty, I was struck by the energy and the surge

:53:17. > :53:22.in Jeremy Corbyn's campaign and how Theresa May started to fall apart,

:53:23. > :53:33.she gave some terrible TV interviews. It was probably the last

:53:34. > :53:38.thing she wanted to do, faces television camera. You are former

:53:39. > :53:44.spin doctor for the Labour Party, what are your thoughts? Labour

:53:45. > :53:51.people are astonished. For Scottish Labour it is a boost, but I still

:53:52. > :53:56.don't quite believe it. I want to see these results and hear the

:53:57. > :54:00.declarations, but it is a Jeremy Corbyn bones that has given Labour

:54:01. > :54:09.the left, not the Scottish Labour campaign. We will have a camera on

:54:10. > :54:16.your faces when the results come in. Someone who knows the north-east of

:54:17. > :54:21.Scotland well, that is an interesting part of the country.

:54:22. > :54:29.What are you hearing? It looks like it is going to go Tory. Some of the

:54:30. > :54:35.more interesting constituencies have been Aberdeen South. From what we

:54:36. > :54:43.are hearing, the Jeremy Corbyn bones might save his seat. Angus Robertson

:54:44. > :54:48.up in Moray, that vote is on a knife edge. There is a possibility of the

:54:49. > :54:53.Tories getting in. Equally in Gordon, I don't think Alex Salmond

:54:54. > :55:03.will be in trouble. We have got results. The number of books given

:55:04. > :55:15.to each candidate was as follows. The UK Independence Party 1180.

:55:16. > :55:20.Jenny Chapman, the Labour Party, ten to 2681.

:55:21. > :55:47.APPLAUSE . And Marie Carrie, Liberal

:55:48. > :56:01.Democrat, 1031. The Conservative Party, 19401. The Green Party

:56:02. > :56:08.candidate, 524. Thereby give public notice the can Chapman -- give

:56:09. > :56:19.public notice that Jenny Chapman is elected for this constituency.

:56:20. > :56:26.Labour hold Darlington, Jenny Chapman with 22681 folks. This was a

:56:27. > :56:40.seat where the Conservatives were challenging hard. Kevin with 1180.

:56:41. > :56:51.The Green Party interest. It turned out of 68%. This is the vote share.

:56:52. > :56:58.A battle between the two big parties and the others were tiny shares of

:56:59. > :57:06.the vote. Labour are up eight last time, so are the Conservatives, Ukip

:57:07. > :57:10.are down ten. Between the two big parties there is a very slight swing

:57:11. > :57:20.from the Liberal party to the Conservatives, but both parties are

:57:21. > :57:29.up significantly. The Liberal Democrats have been squeezed, the

:57:30. > :57:33.vote is down 2.5, and the Ukip vote has disgraced to oblivion. This is a

:57:34. > :57:42.pattern that is emerging in the north-east of England. There is a

:57:43. > :57:46.Labour increase, a Conservative increase that is not aligned with

:57:47. > :57:51.the exit poll, but we need to see if that is repeated in the two battle

:57:52. > :57:57.grounds across the Midlands where seats will change hands. Are we

:57:58. > :58:04.looking at a return to 2-party politics? Yes, in England. I think

:58:05. > :58:12.we will see something different in Scotland. There is a collapsed in

:58:13. > :58:16.the Ukip vote that seems to be sometimes splitting to Labour

:58:17. > :58:21.sometimes to the Conservatives, sometimes even lately can

:58:22. > :58:25.Darlington. What is striking is the extent to which the Liberal

:58:26. > :58:30.Democrats are making no games are tall and sometimes they're losing

:58:31. > :58:34.votes, and the Greens do not seem to be making any inroads either. I

:58:35. > :58:40.expect to see something distinctive in Scotland. We can cross to Jackie

:58:41. > :58:50.Bird for an update on the election headlines so far. Based on the exit

:58:51. > :58:54.poll that we got earlier, there have been suggestions of a hung

:58:55. > :59:00.Parliament. The last time there was a hung Parliament was in 1974 and

:59:01. > :59:05.there was another election several months later. The possibility of a

:59:06. > :59:08.hung Parliament has not been welcomed by Ken Clarke from the

:59:09. > :59:15.Conservative Party. The worst outcome would be a hung Parliament.

:59:16. > :59:22.The worst outcome for the United Kingdom would be a weak Government.

:59:23. > :59:28.We have to see where we get to. The first Scottish result is imminent by

:59:29. > :59:34.why we wait let us look at what the SNP are defending, 56 out of

:59:35. > :59:41.Scotland's 59 constituencies. The exit poll put them on 34, a loss of

:59:42. > :59:47.22, a lot of scepticism about the accuracy of that poll. We can look

:59:48. > :59:55.at the three seats they did not win last time. David Mundell holds

:59:56. > :59:59.Dumfries with a majority of just 798. It could be shaky because the

:00:00. > :00:03.Scottish Greens are not standing there. If their votes go to the

:00:04. > :00:10.Nationalists maybe that's it could fall. Edinburgh South, the Labour

:00:11. > :00:18.Party's only Scottish MP, a majority of just over 2500. Will he benefit

:00:19. > :00:26.from the Jeremy Corbyn bones? And there is a score to settle in Orkney

:00:27. > :00:28.and Shetland, the only seat of the Liberal Democrats. Alistair

:00:29. > :00:33.Carmichael had his troubles there over a leaked memo that ended in a

:00:34. > :00:37.court battle. SNP supporters did not win that battle but they will be

:00:38. > :00:48.hoping to beat him at the ballot box tonight. The daily record headline

:00:49. > :00:53.now. This is The Times. Talking about the gamble of holding a snap

:00:54. > :01:00.election to give her a 44 Brexit. Those the gauche Asians begin in ten

:01:01. > :01:09.days. -- those negotiations will begin. We are still waiting for the

:01:10. > :01:18.first Scottish declaration. We are very patient. We are alive in till

:01:19. > :01:24.9am to make sure we have this election fully covered. We're going

:01:25. > :01:29.to cross around the country for updates from our reporters who are

:01:30. > :01:39.watching the votes stack up. We can start in Elgin for the Moray count.

:01:40. > :01:46.I have been talking to party activists and this is a two horse

:01:47. > :01:51.race in Moray. The SNP against the Conservatives. On paper this should

:01:52. > :01:56.be easy for the SNP to hold, Angus Robertson is the leader in

:01:57. > :02:02.Westminster and had a 9000 majority. But Hocking to people it is the

:02:03. > :02:08.Conservatives who are smiling and the SNP by looking more worried. You

:02:09. > :02:14.can probably see behind we were they are putting the verified papers.

:02:15. > :02:19.That is unscientific at this stage cause there is a lot more to play

:02:20. > :02:25.for and more to count and verify, but the votes are stacking up how

:02:26. > :02:32.you can see this is a two horse race between Douglas Ross and Angus

:02:33. > :02:40.Robertson, who has been the MP here since 2001. His is a scalp that the

:02:41. > :02:46.Tories would love to take, one of their key seats they would like to

:02:47. > :02:52.take, not because it is close but because they have been stung by the

:02:53. > :02:58.affected this Angus Robertson in his criticism of Theresa May. If they

:02:59. > :03:03.could do that that would be a major upset in a seat that the SNP have

:03:04. > :03:09.held for many years. Angus Robertson, the party's reader in

:03:10. > :03:15.Westminster and deputy leader as a whole, someone who has a very high

:03:16. > :03:21.profile questioning the Prime Minister every week. This is a seat

:03:22. > :03:25.the SNP should be holding, but the evidence in the way that the votes

:03:26. > :03:33.are stacking up makes it appear quite close. Now we can cross to

:03:34. > :03:44.Dingwall. Have you any update for us?

:03:45. > :03:59.want to focus on the Golden Coast, the incumbent MP was Paul and there

:04:00. > :04:03.have been following is owed between members of his piety. There have

:04:04. > :04:09.been controversies over the stances he is taking on hunting, shooting

:04:10. > :04:17.and fishing. Given it is the tenth most marginal in Scotland, there may

:04:18. > :04:25.be a political obituary for him, or not. The whispers here are that the

:04:26. > :04:30.Liberal Democrats, who came second last time, and the Conservatives are

:04:31. > :04:39.concerned that they have cancelled each other out, that the prounion

:04:40. > :04:43.parties have cancelled each other out, you do not need to win a

:04:44. > :04:50.majority just need to be the biggest loser. He could afford to get less

:04:51. > :04:57.if the other two parties have cancelled each other out. It is very

:04:58. > :05:03.early and it is a situation where the only people who are convinced

:05:04. > :05:07.that they have lost otherwise that are winning, but they don't know

:05:08. > :05:16.that for sure yet. I think we will know for sure when my stomach starts

:05:17. > :05:25.to rumble at the back of 4am or 5am in the morning.

:05:26. > :05:33.New members of our panel. Ross Greer from the Scottish Green Party. Henry

:05:34. > :05:42.McLeish from Labour. Liz Smith from the Conservatives. The new SNP

:05:43. > :05:48.minister, Derek Mackay. The campaign manager, as well. If you lose up to

:05:49. > :05:53.22 seat, it will all be your fault? If the exit polls are correct, that

:05:54. > :05:59.still a good result. Building on the sixth seeds we had a three years

:06:00. > :06:04.ago. That would still be a good result. Trying to repeat the success

:06:05. > :06:12.of 2015 was going to be difficult. This was an election chosen by the

:06:13. > :06:16.Prime Minister. You'll recognise the lady in the centre of those

:06:17. > :06:24.pictures. The youngest MP in the last Parliament, Mhairi Black.

:06:25. > :06:28.Looking happy, perhaps confident. She is defending the constituency in

:06:29. > :06:33.Renfrewshire. A little while before they result from there. We heard

:06:34. > :06:40.earlier, a bit closer perhaps than last time. It seems that it's not

:06:41. > :06:45.just the Conservatives that put your party under pressure this election.

:06:46. > :06:51.Not even just the Conservatives Lib Dems but can you confirm that there

:06:52. > :06:57.are areas where it may be that Labour are making games? -- making

:06:58. > :07:02.games? There's been an onslaught of all parties on the SNP. Evidence of

:07:03. > :07:08.tactical voting. We've got a good and strong campaign. It looks like a

:07:09. > :07:15.bad election for Theresa May. She Stornoway majority and it was an

:07:16. > :07:19.election she chose to have. -- she's thrown away her majority. It's been

:07:20. > :07:24.catastrophic. In terms of the Labour Party. Some thought that this would

:07:25. > :07:33.hasten the departure of Jeremy Corbyn Arab books as this, if the

:07:34. > :07:42.exit poll is correct, it looks like Jeremy Corbyn is here to stay. --

:07:43. > :07:49.Jeremy Corbyn and it looks as if. It is reckoned that the exit poll might

:07:50. > :07:58.have underestimated the extent of Conservative support. We will see.

:07:59. > :08:02.In the final days of the campaign, the First Minister started to turn

:08:03. > :08:14.her fire on Labour. We view picking up this bounce and increase in

:08:15. > :08:20.support? It was evidence that the Tory party had lost Mendham. To

:08:21. > :08:26.reason they were struggling and not having a good campaign. -- Theresa

:08:27. > :08:29.May were struggling. Labour were the beneficiaries of that. It appears

:08:30. > :08:33.there may have been more support for the Labour Party that was

:08:34. > :08:39.unexpected. We will see the distribution of votes in Scotland.

:08:40. > :08:45.If we win and hold 34 seats, I would see that as a success. If it's a

:08:46. > :08:50.majority of seats, it looks as if the Tories may well have lost their

:08:51. > :08:57.majority across the UK. Liz Smith, if it turns out like that, or if the

:08:58. > :09:04.position for Conservatives is a registered majority, could Theresa

:09:05. > :09:10.May remain as Prime Minister? -- is a reduced majority. We can't say

:09:11. > :09:15.that that is definitely going to happen. Some interesting results

:09:16. > :09:21.coming through. It could well be that we have a majority at the end

:09:22. > :09:30.of the night. In Scotland, I think there's been a different dynamic in

:09:31. > :09:37.this collection. This has been an onslaught between unionist parties

:09:38. > :09:42.against the Nationalists. That dynamic will play well for the

:09:43. > :09:46.Conservatives in Scotland. Ruth Davidson has filed an excellent

:09:47. > :09:53.campaign. She is articulated what the public has wanted to hear about

:09:54. > :10:01.the battle between nationalists and unionists. It was set in the Evening

:10:02. > :10:07.Standard 's, edited by George Osborne, that your party had

:10:08. > :10:12.reservations about the way in which Theresa May has run the campaign.

:10:13. > :10:16.What were they? That's incorrect entirely. All Conservatives in

:10:17. > :10:21.Scotland... You think it's been a brilliant campaign? They have

:10:22. > :10:26.definitely been issues. To reason they would admit that. Some have

:10:27. > :10:31.been picked up clearly. -- to reason they would admit that. There hasn't

:10:32. > :10:34.been a division at all. Many of the issues in the general election

:10:35. > :10:40.campaign, about Brexit and the international dimensions as well as

:10:41. > :10:46.to do with public services, I don't think you'll do any divisions

:10:47. > :10:49.whatsoever. -- you'll find any divisions. Let's find a legal

:10:50. > :10:54.perspective. We talked about some of the factors that might have led to

:10:55. > :11:01.an increase in support for the Liberal party. -- a Labour

:11:02. > :11:08.perspective. How might that pan out? We'll wait until we see the final

:11:09. > :11:14.results. We've got to fight into this that there is great volatility.

:11:15. > :11:18.In the States, in Western democracies, Scotland, Britain.

:11:19. > :11:25.Loyalty to parties has gone? It has in a sense. It would be important

:11:26. > :11:32.not to dismiss the fact that you had really the clash of extremes in the

:11:33. > :11:38.way, with respect, a unionist and if you want a Ford unionist vote

:11:39. > :11:43.Conservative. Corbyn has reintroduced a manifesto which

:11:44. > :11:51.doesn't go back to class -based idea but starts to throw up ownership,

:11:52. > :12:01.attacks on its territory. -- on austerity. The bounce to Labour, if

:12:02. > :12:05.so, that has been about the manifesto and changing the dynamic

:12:06. > :12:10.within the election. What about the point that Derek Mackay mate that

:12:11. > :12:15.some people, perhaps including, hoped that this election would be so

:12:16. > :12:21.bad for Labour that you could change of leader and start anew? I was in

:12:22. > :12:29.the House of Commons first a long time with Jeremy. I know him well.

:12:30. > :12:32.At election time, it is my party. I thought the manifesto was

:12:33. > :12:36.particularly good and I think what happened, remains to be seen, in

:12:37. > :12:43.Scotland, lots of the love discounted Jeremy Corbyn. -- a lot

:12:44. > :12:47.of people that discounted Jeremy Corbyn. They've seen the manifesto

:12:48. > :12:56.and changed their minds. I wouldn't like anybody to discount the fact

:12:57. > :12:59.that, setting aside Jeremy Corbyn and his characteristics, the

:13:00. > :13:07.manifesto has shifted. It'll be interesting to see how that works

:13:08. > :13:16.both North and South of the border. I want to cost another interview. --

:13:17. > :13:25.cross to another injury. We are going to the Ukip politician. Is

:13:26. > :13:36.this seat the election that finished you get? -- finished Ukip? OK, I'm

:13:37. > :13:41.going to ask that first question again because he can't your answer.

:13:42. > :13:47.I might need to come back to you when we sort this out. Let's hear

:13:48. > :13:51.from Ross Greer. You were only standing in three constituencies in

:13:52. > :13:55.Scotland. How do you think you've done? It looks like a success.

:13:56. > :13:58.You've won? LAUGHTER

:13:59. > :14:02.BELL Not quite.

:14:03. > :14:08.We knew we had to run a focused campaign. As a smaller party can't

:14:09. > :14:14.knock on really no stores and ask for a check, that is challenging for

:14:15. > :14:22.us. Our revolt is up significantly. -- our revolt back is up. First past

:14:23. > :14:27.the post takes time. In Glasgow zero, we are well ahead of where we

:14:28. > :14:38.were in Brighton. I will interrupt you for a declaration. I hereby give

:14:39. > :14:49.motors -- notice of the results of the Rutherglen and time at a barber

:14:50. > :14:59.constituency. The electorate was 80,098. The total votes cast were

:15:00. > :15:06.said does 901029 -- was 50900 and 29. The percentage of total bouts

:15:07. > :15:14.cast was 63%. The number of ballot papers rejected was 57. I hereby

:15:15. > :15:20.give notice that the total number of votes polled for each candidate at

:15:21. > :15:37.the election was as follows. Robert Edward Brown, Scottish Lib Dems,

:15:38. > :15:47.2158. Andy Dixon, Independent, 371. Margaret Ferrier, Scottish National

:15:48. > :15:49.Party, 18,836. Jerod Killen, labour and corporate of party, 19,000...

:15:50. > :16:29.CHEERING Jerod Killen, Labour and cooperative

:16:30. > :16:31.party. Ann Le Blond Scottish Conservatives and unionist, named as

:16:32. > :16:40.an 41. LAUGHTER

:16:41. > :16:51.Caroline Santos Ukip, forge and 65. I declare that Gerard Killen is

:16:52. > :16:56.therefore elected to serve in the United Kingdom Parliament. Well,

:16:57. > :17:05.there's our first result in Scotland and the seat is changing hands.

:17:06. > :17:30.Labour are back in Rutherglen and Hamilton West.

:17:31. > :17:37.Party had taken seats from the SNP? Scotland.

:17:38. > :17:44.I'd like to take tribute to my predecessors. Both will be as

:17:45. > :17:45.delighted as me that Rutherglen and Hamilton West has returned to

:17:46. > :17:57.Labour. CHEERING

:17:58. > :18:03.My sincere thanks goes to my election agent Lindsay Hamilton, my

:18:04. > :18:10.amazing team, my husband and family and to James Kelly and Monica Lynn

:18:11. > :18:16.in further support in this campaign. This result is a rejection of

:18:17. > :18:27.austerity. And a rejection of a divisive seconded and referendum.

:18:28. > :18:32.Above all, this result is a vote for a progressive manifesto and a fresh

:18:33. > :18:40.start for Rutherglen and Hamilton West. I am well aware that it was a

:18:41. > :18:46.coalition of altars who elected me despondent. -- of full?. April that

:18:47. > :18:53.have always voted Labour... And that you and your MP in Rutherglen and

:18:54. > :18:57.Hamilton West. Gerard Killen. A local councillor and now the MP for

:18:58. > :19:02.that constituency. The first result from Scotland's offer this evening.

:19:03. > :19:13.A quick word with Brian Taylor. I might need to interrupt you.

:19:14. > :19:21.James Kelly, who is a Labour MSP from the area, tipped this to be a

:19:22. > :19:26.seat that would change hands, and nobody paid him much heed, it turns

:19:27. > :19:31.out he has been right. Remarkable result for Labour. What do you make

:19:32. > :19:36.of that Nicola? A big surprise, not on the cards from the opinion poll,

:19:37. > :19:41.it was Labour's eighth target seat in Scotland. So if it is winning its

:19:42. > :19:46.eighth target seat it could be a good night for Labour. Let us get

:19:47. > :19:52.some reaction from Henry McLeish, were you expecting that No it is an

:19:53. > :19:56.excellent result. It is a good campaign and it's a very good

:19:57. > :19:59.candidate. Think as Nicola has been saying, you will see some patchy

:20:00. > :20:01.results throughout Scotland, but nevertheless, this is very

:20:02. > :20:07.significant and the point has been made, if in has been won, there are

:20:08. > :20:10.potentially others. There is how significant the change in the vote

:20:11. > :20:16.in Rutherglen is. The Labour vote has only gone up by a couple of

:20:17. > :20:21.percentage points but the SNP vote has gone down significantly. Down 16

:20:22. > :20:25.point, the main beneficiaries the Conservatives up 12, but they

:20:26. > :20:30.weren't really ever the contenders in that constituency, slight changes

:20:31. > :20:36.in the votes for the other party, the turn out 64%. We may be able to

:20:37. > :20:38.bring you the swing in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West

:20:39. > :20:47.constituency, let us take a look at that. It is from the SNP to Labour,

:20:48. > :20:53.of 8.9%. A rot result from an SNP point of view. I feel for Margaret

:20:54. > :20:58.Ferrier, she was a good much. I think she deserved to win, a close

:20:59. > :21:03.majority at 265. We would have wanted to hold that seat but that is

:21:04. > :21:05.a disappointing result, but as I say, a close majority,

:21:06. > :21:09.congratulations to the Labour candidate and I feel for Margaret.

:21:10. > :21:12.She was an excellent MP. How do you read the change in vote there, the

:21:13. > :21:16.big increase in the Conservative vote and the big drop in the SNP

:21:17. > :21:22.vote, what does it tell us about how the election might go for you in

:21:23. > :21:26.Scotland? Too premature to say, I suspect within, this will be

:21:27. > :21:28.complex, how people vote in different constituencies, I don't

:21:29. > :21:33.think you can read too much at this stage. Thank you very much indeed

:21:34. > :21:36.for the moment. Perhaps a quick word with Liz Smith, just on that

:21:37. > :21:43.increase in the Conservative vote. You were never expecting to win this

:21:44. > :21:46.seat, but, you have a big she'll on your face. You will have a bigger

:21:47. > :21:50.smile when it suggested the Tory vote might have been 19,000. I am

:21:51. > :21:53.delighted I think we will see a number of seats where perhaps the

:21:54. > :21:59.Conservatives are not the main contenders where the vote is being

:22:00. > :22:03.pushed up, and, you know, I am optimistic, we will win good seats

:22:04. > :22:08.across Scotland but we will see an increase in the vote as well. Let us

:22:09. > :22:12.hear from your colleague David Mundell, the Secretary of State for

:22:13. > :22:16.Scotland. He is live in Dumfries, with one result to go, obviously,

:22:17. > :22:22.you can't make too many predeck should bes but if your vote is up in

:22:23. > :22:29.a seat like Rutherglen and Hamilton West, are you starting to think you

:22:30. > :22:32.could be on for a good night? I am very positive about tonight. I think

:22:33. > :22:36.we will see the Conservatives make significant progress across

:22:37. > :22:40.Scotland. I think we will see a pattern emerge, that pattern will be

:22:41. > :22:45.increased Conservative support, and a decrease in SNP support. I think

:22:46. > :22:51.it is becoming increasingly clear the SNP bubble has burst in the last

:22:52. > :22:54.two election, the Scottish Parliament and council check

:22:55. > :22:58.election, the SNP vote has been done, that down, it is replicated

:22:59. > :23:02.tonight. It is clear why that is. People across Scotland don't want

:23:03. > :23:06.another divisive independence referendum, and Nicola Sturgeon

:23:07. > :23:10.herself has gone from being a figurehead in Scotland, to being

:23:11. > :23:13.somebody that ordinary voters across Scotland deeply dislike. If you can

:23:14. > :23:20.give us some clarity on what is happening to the SNP, can you also

:23:21. > :23:23.give us the same clarity as to why UK-wide, accuse coring to the exit

:23:24. > :23:29.poll the Conservatives are not doing what Theresa May set out to do? --

:23:30. > :23:34.according. I think the results obviously in

:23:35. > :23:38.England are quite varied. The results I have seen, some of those

:23:39. > :23:43.are clearly not in line with that exit poll and I think we will have

:23:44. > :23:47.to have a lot more results from England, before we can see a pattern

:23:48. > :23:52.or any sort of pattern emerging, see whether there is in fact a

:23:53. > :23:56.Conservative majority or not. We are showing pictures at the moment,

:23:57. > :24:01.sorry to interrupt. From colleagues across Scotland. Sorry to interrupt

:24:02. > :24:06.David Mundell. We are showing pictures of Amber Rudd, the Home

:24:07. > :24:10.Secretary, defending the Hastings and Rye constituency, I think there

:24:11. > :24:15.is is a lot of nervousness from a Conservative point of view there.

:24:16. > :24:23.What are you hearing, might you lose a cabinet colleague tonight? I don't

:24:24. > :24:29.know what the result is there, glen, I understand that there was a

:24:30. > :24:33.recount, but that is consistent with very varied results across England.

:24:34. > :24:37.We have seen results, I saw earlier in your programme, where the

:24:38. > :24:42.Conservative vote actually went up in a number of seats, so I think

:24:43. > :24:46.until we get a pattern, we won't know what the outcome is going to be

:24:47. > :24:51.in England, what the outcome is going to be overall in the UK, what

:24:52. > :24:55.I think I am certain of, because I am much closer to those facts and

:24:56. > :24:59.much closer to those involved, is that the Conservatives are going to

:25:00. > :25:03.make significant progress in Scotland, at the expense of the SNP.

:25:04. > :25:07.OK. Thank you very much for talking to us at this early stage in the

:25:08. > :25:12.evening. It may be we will speak to you much later when we know a lot

:25:13. > :25:16.more. David Mundell live from Dumfries, Brian is desperate to come

:25:17. > :25:21.in. A couple of tiny thing, the swing that had been, the swing that

:25:22. > :25:25.will be expected as a result of the exit poll, was 7.5 from the SNP to

:25:26. > :25:29.Labour. It is actually nine, so it is a bit more than the exit poll

:25:30. > :25:33.would suggest, so it is in line but slightly lower and maybe the exit

:25:34. > :25:37.poll is forecasting the SNP to take 34 seats and to lose 22 as a

:25:38. > :25:41.consequence. Another lit thing, a straw in the wind that might be

:25:42. > :25:45.interesting, no one party, the Labour Party won the seat, but no

:25:46. > :25:48.one party emerged as the dominant challenger to the SNP, because the

:25:49. > :25:53.Tory vote is up, but so is the Liberal Democrat vote. Of the pro

:25:54. > :25:57.union parties only Ukip, who are having a dreadful night registered a

:25:58. > :26:01.decline in vote. That could be important because it could, there

:26:02. > :26:04.could be constituencies where the pro union parties contest each

:26:05. > :26:08.other, as to who is the main challenger to the SNP, and the SNP

:26:09. > :26:13.MP comes through the middle. Thank you very much. Let us cross to the

:26:14. > :26:18.cafe. The election cafe, and Fiona. We are going to get you some

:26:19. > :26:24.immediate reaction to that. Everyone was gathered round the TV to watch

:26:25. > :26:31.that result, among them was Kevin Pringle former of the SNP. What went

:26:32. > :26:34.wrong? It was disappointing and commiserations to Margaret Ferrer

:26:35. > :26:39.but congratulations to Ged Killen the new Labour MP. It has been a

:26:40. > :26:43.closely fought contest, a narrow majority, I expect that will set a

:26:44. > :26:46.pattern for the night of a lot of seats being won on relatively small

:26:47. > :26:51.majorities. What has happened to the SNP? How can you explain that?

:26:52. > :26:55.Obviously comes from a very high base, two years ago the SNP won 95%

:26:56. > :26:58.of all the seats in Scotland. That is unrepeatable. So it was always

:26:59. > :27:04.going to come down to something smaller than that. The exit poll

:27:05. > :27:09.indicates 34, we will need to find out. That is the reality. Of course

:27:10. > :27:13.the other parties in a four party system in Scotland. It is not

:27:14. > :27:17.sustainable for one par toy have 95% of the seats. There is a rebalancing

:27:18. > :27:21.and congratulations to the new Labour MP. Where do the countries

:27:22. > :27:27.stand with indyref2, what will Nicola Sturgeon do about that next?

:27:28. > :27:31.That was on the other side of the Brexit negotiation process, what is

:27:32. > :27:35.fascinating about the result UK-wide tonight, if the exit poll is to be

:27:36. > :27:38.believed, if the Tories don't have an overall majority, everything is

:27:39. > :27:42.up for grabs in a House of Commons where potentially the opposition are

:27:43. > :27:46.in the majority, so I think if opposition parties work closely

:27:47. > :27:50.together, then the focus, the immediate focus is those Brexit

:27:51. > :27:54.negotiation, and having a more sensible outcome than otherwise

:27:55. > :27:59.would be the case, in other words, for example, potentially working

:28:00. > :28:03.across parties to secure the UK's place in the single European market.

:28:04. > :28:07.That is immediate work in hand an independence referendum is on the

:28:08. > :28:11.other side of that process, that is the job where I think something can

:28:12. > :28:18.be achieved of significance for Scotland, but with the SNP having a

:28:19. > :28:23.smaller but influential part in a hung parliament. Angela Haggerty,

:28:24. > :28:30.you were standing necks to me when that result came through, I think

:28:31. > :28:34.you said oof. Perhaps a result not many people could have predicted. A

:28:35. > :28:37.big surprise for you. Yes, I think this whole election is going to be

:28:38. > :28:40.the big surprise that nobody saw come, if you go back to the

:28:41. > :28:44.beginning we thought we were going to be talking about how many seats,

:28:45. > :28:48.how big the landslide was going to be for Theresa May, I suspect, in

:28:49. > :28:52.Scotland, what we thought we would be talking ability here was the Tory

:28:53. > :28:55.resurgence, what we might be talking about is what is going on with

:28:56. > :28:59.Labour, which seems to be the thing that nobody really saw coming, and I

:29:00. > :29:04.think it very much seems to be the Corbyn effect, I was surprised

:29:05. > :29:08.actually, in recent days how many pro independence people I have seen

:29:09. > :29:11.saying they were going to vote Labour. They still consider

:29:12. > :29:15.themselves to be pro independence but they were very taken by Jeremy

:29:16. > :29:21.Corbyn's manifesto. And I think when you look at that, and in terms of

:29:22. > :29:26.the indyref2 campaign was about the ho picks of hope, of vision, of

:29:27. > :29:30.radical change, Jeremy Corbyn's very much in tune with that as well. When

:29:31. > :29:33.you look at it in that framing, rather than the nationalist framing

:29:34. > :29:36.we do, and understand that there is a lot of nuance within that

:29:37. > :29:42.independence movement, I think you could have seen a lot of pro indie

:29:43. > :29:46.votes going to Labour. It will be fascinating to see what the find

:29:47. > :29:50.votes are and what the vote share looks like when the count comes in.

:29:51. > :29:55.A lot of happy Labour faces here tonight. I am with a happy man, Tom

:29:56. > :29:58.Harris, a former Labour MP. I asked him how he felt within that

:29:59. > :30:01.independence movement, I think you could have seen a lot of pro indie

:30:02. > :30:03.votes going to Labour. It will be fascinating to see what the find

:30:04. > :30:06.votes are and what the vote share looks like when the count comes in.

:30:07. > :30:09.A lot of happy Labour faces here tonight. I am with a happy man, Tom

:30:10. > :30:11.Harris, a former Labour MP. I asked him how he felt earlier on within

:30:12. > :30:14.that independence movement, I think you could have seen a lot of pro

:30:15. > :30:17.indie votes going to Labour. It will be fascinating to see what the find

:30:18. > :30:20.votes are and what the vote share looks like when the count comes in.

:30:21. > :30:23.A lot of happy Labour faces here tonight. I am with a happy man, Tom

:30:24. > :30:26.Harris, a former Labour MP. I asked him how he felt earlier on and he

:30:27. > :30:29.said "I'm speechless but I will think of something to say when you

:30:30. > :30:31.come to me." Have you thought of that I was delighted at the result.

:30:32. > :30:34.That was tremendous. You have to remember that the mind-set of the

:30:35. > :30:36.Labour Party in the aftermath of 2015. I was on the 40 Louisianaing

:30:37. > :30:39.candidate, looking at the size of the majority, we just didn't believe

:30:40. > :30:41.that it was going to take anything less than a generation to be back in

:30:42. > :30:44.contention of these seats and tonight, two years after that

:30:45. > :30:46.dreadful White Paper out, we are seeing -- wipe out we are seeing

:30:47. > :30:48.Labour gapes where never expected them. I have poken to Labour people

:30:49. > :30:51.through this campaign, no of whom predicted we would do anything

:30:52. > :30:54.holding on to Edinburgh South, and if things go the way we think they

:30:55. > :30:56.might be going, Labour could be the second placed party in Scotland.

:30:57. > :31:00.With maybe six or seven seat, that is just, you know, tremendous. You

:31:01. > :31:07.are not a fan of Corbyn. I am not. Is he not, due some, given him his

:31:08. > :31:11.due? No, think what has been said is right, that he has a certain

:31:12. > :31:18.attraction particularly to young radical minded people, and I will

:31:19. > :31:22.give him his due, that is one of his benefits, I, from there are other

:31:23. > :31:26.reasons I don't trust Jeremy Corbyn, but I am not going to take away the

:31:27. > :31:30.fact that at least part of Labour's resurgence is down to him tonight.

:31:31. > :31:34.Interesting point. I think it will be a fascinating point. We will be

:31:35. > :31:39.hear all night. Join the conversation. We will stay up all

:31:40. > :31:48.night together. We are hearing word from Cameron Buttle in Kelso, he is

:31:49. > :31:51.hearing from SNP sources that the Berwickshire Roxburgh constituency

:31:52. > :31:54.has gone or will go to the Conservatives, apparently the

:31:55. > :31:58.Liberal Democrat vote there has moved over to the Conservatives. Let

:31:59. > :32:04.us cross to Jackie Bird for more of the election headlines.

:32:05. > :32:08.Let us recap. The first Scottish seat has been declared and delivered

:32:09. > :32:14.a defeat for the SNP. Labour are back in Rutherglen with a swing of

:32:15. > :32:25.nearly 9%, this is what their new MP had to say. This result is a

:32:26. > :32:32.rejection of austerity. And a rejection of a divisive second

:32:33. > :32:39.independence referendum. Above all, this result is a vote for a

:32:40. > :32:43.progressive manifesto, and a fresh start for Rutherglen and Hamilton

:32:44. > :32:48.West. A lot of speculation that the Home Secretary Amber Rudd could be

:32:49. > :32:52.in trouble in Hastings and Rye, and suggestions from the BBC's political

:32:53. > :32:57.editor Laura Kuenssberg that Nick Clegg could go from his seat

:32:58. > :33:00.Sheffield Hallam. Let us look at a few more familiar face, Vince Cable,

:33:01. > :33:04.former Business Secretary and the Tory Liberal Democrat coalition, he

:33:05. > :33:08.is hoping to take Twickenham for the Liberal Democrats. He said bring it

:33:09. > :33:13.on, let us see if he is still confident later. He could end up

:33:14. > :33:18.adds lead gern if the rumours are true. Esther McVey is the candidate

:33:19. > :33:23.in Tatton following George Osborne's decision to swap careers and then we

:33:24. > :33:29.have Zac Goldsmith hoping to return as a Tory MP. He quit of his par

:33:30. > :33:33.ties support for the expansion of Heathrow Airport and Liberal

:33:34. > :33:39.Democrat Jo Swinson is looking to win her seat back from the SNP. On

:33:40. > :33:43.twitter BuzzFeed is recording that the Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson,

:33:44. > :33:45.Glenn, is already on manoeuvres as they say in political circles

:33:46. > :34:13.regarding the Tory leadership. The to Paisley. Live Alison Jane

:34:14. > :34:22.Darling Scottish Labour Party 14,000...

:34:23. > :34:38.APPLAUSE 876. Scottish Liberal Democrats

:34:39. > :34:51.1327. Amy Louise Robertson Scottish Conservative and Unionist 8120 J.

:34:52. > :35:02.The total number of ballot papers rejected was 59. The total number of

:35:03. > :35:10.votes was 41,000 771. Therefore I declare that Mhairi Black is duly

:35:11. > :35:12.elected as the member of Parliament for Paisley and Renfrewshire South

:35:13. > :35:20.constituency. CHEERING

:35:21. > :35:26.So Mhairi Black is back. She was the youngest MP in the last parliament.

:35:27. > :35:32.She is returning to the House of Commons as MP for Paisley and

:35:33. > :35:36.Renfrewshire South. And later thanked the returning officer and

:35:37. > :35:42.all the staff that made this as smooth as possible at short notice.

:35:43. > :35:54.I wanted to thank Denise was continuing... I'd like to thank the

:35:55. > :36:02.Labour candidates and at wish them the best. I want to give personal

:36:03. > :36:08.thanks to my family, my aunts and uncles, for their continued support

:36:09. > :36:17.personally and politically. To my staff, who are no doubt as happy as

:36:18. > :36:22.I am. They fought through all for every single last fall. You are the

:36:23. > :36:30.reason I am still standing. I'll never be able to thank you. The last

:36:31. > :36:37.few years, it's been an honour and a privilege. That is the result in

:36:38. > :37:10.Paisley. The SNP have held that constituency. Mhairi Black returns.

:37:11. > :37:23.Here is what has happened in the last two years. The big game in this

:37:24. > :37:37.constituency is the Conservatives, up 12%. -- the big gain. The SNP

:37:38. > :37:41.vote down but they hold the seat. The centre the Conservatives would

:37:42. > :37:46.be more interesting. Perhaps we will look at that later. -- the swing to

:37:47. > :37:52.the Conservatives. Let's get some reaction. Derek Mackay, a better

:37:53. > :38:02.result. She is a superstar for the SNP. I'm delighted. This was Douglas

:38:03. > :38:10.asked Douglas Alexander. The SNP vote might is down significantly.

:38:11. > :38:14.The Conservative vote is up by a lot. How do we do that shift?

:38:15. > :38:23.There's no doubt that it will be complex. The SNP has taken the

:38:24. > :38:30.council back, Renfrewshire Council. Held this seat. The Tories have had

:38:31. > :38:39.a fierce campaign against the SNP, as this pointed out. The other

:38:40. > :38:42.parties joining in. Ten years in Government. The timing of the

:38:43. > :38:49.election is not our choosing. We've held the seat in these

:38:50. > :38:55.circumstances. It was closely fought but the SNP held on. Disappointed

:38:56. > :38:58.not to see more progress from Labour? You will see this battered

:38:59. > :39:06.your attack. The SNP vote is breaking. -- you will see this

:39:07. > :39:12.pattern throughout the night. She is an impressive candidate and a lot of

:39:13. > :39:20.slave with younger people. -- a lot of sway with younger people.

:39:21. > :39:26.Personal qualities come through. Let's look at the bigger picture.

:39:27. > :39:33.Just two seats are declared sufferer in Scotland. Labour and SNP. --

:39:34. > :39:40.declared sufferer in Scotland. One of the most startling thing is for

:39:41. > :39:48.this is the sea of yellow body last couple of years. This reveals the

:39:49. > :39:53.dominance since the elections. Things were different before this

:39:54. > :39:59.point. Let's see how the map in 2010. David Cameron one for the

:40:00. > :40:05.first time. At that point, just six seats for the SNP. The rest of the

:40:06. > :40:16.Scotland, dominated by Labour. 41 MPs. Much of the Highlands held by

:40:17. > :40:23.the Lib Dems. In 2015, this was decisive. Labour's the situation and

:40:24. > :40:27.for the first time a big SNP presence at Westminster. Change is

:40:28. > :40:36.constant and politics. This could be a clue to the next big change. Local

:40:37. > :40:40.can elections held a thumping defeat from Labour. These are pricing thing

:40:41. > :40:46.was the rise of the Scottish Conservatives. -- the surprising

:40:47. > :40:55.thing. More than double their haul the last time. Here are the 2012

:40:56. > :41:00.results. The SNP did well. The Conservatives did nothing like so

:41:01. > :41:07.well. Tonight's exit poll could make us think the Scottish Conservatives

:41:08. > :41:12.will not see dramatic gains. Let's look more closely comparing 2012 to

:41:13. > :41:17.2017. You can see what a breakthrough there has been. 2017

:41:18. > :41:22.meant something for the Conservatives in Scotland. Their

:41:23. > :41:29.opposition to a second independence referendum possibly meaningful. Many

:41:30. > :41:35.thought this pattern might be repeated tonight in this general

:41:36. > :41:40.election. Let's look at the votes so far in Scotland. Just two

:41:41. > :42:16.declarations so far. Dundee City Council for, but

:42:17. > :42:23.interesting indications. -- on the seats we had so far. I've just been

:42:24. > :42:28.hearing from some SNP sources down here, they think they've lost it.

:42:29. > :42:38.They think they've lost Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk.

:42:39. > :42:42.They vote has held Straughan but the Lib Dem vote seems to have gone to

:42:43. > :42:45.the Conservatives. Labour's Ian Davidson thinks Labour are doing

:42:46. > :42:53.well but that John Lamont hazard by 5000. -- has it by 5000. Carolyn

:42:54. > :42:59.Burgess says she thinks they might be looking at fourth place behind

:43:00. > :43:03.Labour. John Lamont is famously tight-lipped. He is beating down the

:43:04. > :43:11.middle there. I asked him what he thinks and he said he was remaining

:43:12. > :43:21.tight-lipped. Thanks for the update. That's in Kelso. Let's dig up with

:43:22. > :43:24.Liz Smith on that. This is the most marginal constituency on the

:43:25. > :43:31.country. If you weren't winning, your campaign would be something of

:43:32. > :43:37.a disaster. John is a superb candidate. He deserves this victory.

:43:38. > :43:45.I'm sure it will be a good one. He was an MSP until recently. There are

:43:46. > :43:53.3-4 Conservative MSP is contending in this election. The many in your

:43:54. > :43:57.party regard Westminster as the bigger prize? One of the things

:43:58. > :44:02.about the Scottish revival for the Conservatives as we see the local

:44:03. > :44:08.councils as being important and tonight will prove that the results

:44:09. > :44:12.will be strong across the board. One of the interesting things about some

:44:13. > :44:17.of the results in terms of the percentage of the swing, that'll be

:44:18. > :44:23.indicated in those of seats across Scotland. That's been a strong

:44:24. > :44:28.Unionist message we've played well in this election. Given that the

:44:29. > :44:32.Conservatives... Let's get a declaration... It's in... Oh, we'll

:44:33. > :44:41.bring you details of the result in the constituency where Justin

:44:42. > :44:46.Greening is defending. In London. In just a short while. Picking up Brian

:44:47. > :44:53.Taylor on the results in Scotland so far. The way in which despite the

:44:54. > :44:57.fact, because of the fact, that three parties campaigned on a

:44:58. > :45:03.prounion ticket, that has perhaps confused voters in terms of uniting

:45:04. > :45:11.behind one candidate if they didn't want the SNP. These parties try to

:45:12. > :45:14.say that there are a couple of seats that we are challenges. Vote for us

:45:15. > :45:23.there and ignore the rest. Other parties just hinted at tactical

:45:24. > :45:28.voting. It doesn't seem to have worked in the sense that no single

:45:29. > :45:37.contender emerged in and Renfrewshire South. The SNP was ten

:45:38. > :45:46.points off. In Scotland, SNP vote is 13.2% of the price -- pace. Labour

:45:47. > :45:53.vote is actually down. The Tories are up 11.9%. That is reflected in

:45:54. > :45:56.Berwickshire, they will win others. Berwickshire, they will win others.

:45:57. > :46:05.-- they won't just when Berwickshire. Those pictures from

:46:06. > :46:10.Aberdeen. The Conservative camp. They are feeling quite chirpy in

:46:11. > :46:22.that part of the country. Aberdeen South is a target for them. We were

:46:23. > :46:32.talking earlier but -- about Aberdeen. Tory MSP Ross Thomson. He

:46:33. > :46:38.is prominent in campaigning for us to leave the EU. Let's pick up with

:46:39. > :46:45.Nicola McEwan. Where is the exit poll? In Scotland, the exit poll God

:46:46. > :46:49.that the other way round. They expected the SNP to hold onto

:46:50. > :47:00.Rutherglen but Toulouse Mhairi Black's seat. -- but to lose Mhairi

:47:01. > :47:05.Black. Turnout is up in England. Let's just stop you there. A

:47:06. > :47:11.declaration for Lanark and Hamilton East. We will have that shortly.

:47:12. > :47:16.That is imminent, I'm told. We will cross there as soon as that comes

:47:17. > :47:24.in. Carry on. Turn out looking like the highest in England overall since

:47:25. > :47:29.1997. Significantly down in Scotland's offer. Some seats have

:47:30. > :47:34.integrated. Lower than the rest of the UK. -- some seats have not

:47:35. > :47:41.declared yet. We should remember that the result... It was a higher

:47:42. > :47:48.turnout in Scotland after the referendum. These are pictures from

:47:49. > :47:54.Bishopbriggs. Dunbartonshire East count is taking place there. That is

:47:55. > :47:58.Jo Swinson. She was the MPs there and is hoping to be there again. In

:47:59. > :48:06.order for that to happen, she needs to defeat the SNP candidate John

:48:07. > :48:11.Nicolson, a high-profile figure for his party over the last couple of

:48:12. > :48:18.years. We will be new pictures of him when BCM. We know that the

:48:19. > :48:26.deputy leader of the SNP Angus Robertson has arrived. He says wait

:48:27. > :48:31.and see. Not giving too much away about how he thinks these

:48:32. > :48:43.constituency will go. We also have pictures of Pete Wishart. He is

:48:44. > :48:50.fighting a tough fight in Perth and North Perthshire. It might well be a

:48:51. > :48:57.seat that the SNP loses the Conservatives. A high-profile

:48:58. > :49:01.candidate in Ian Duncan, the MEP. Let's bring you some more details of

:49:02. > :49:11.results coming in. Dunbartonshire West. The SNP have held.

:49:12. > :49:24.Labour second there. The Conservatives third, and the liberal

:49:25. > :49:33.Democrats in fourth. The turn out in Dunbartonshire west

:49:34. > :49:40.65%, the SNP with 43% of the vote. 38 for Labour. Compared to last

:49:41. > :49:44.time, the SNP vote down, down 16%, Labour up 6, the bigger

:49:45. > :49:53.beneficiaries the Conservative, up so percentage points on last time.

:49:54. > :49:57.So, the swing there 11.3% from the SNP, to Labour and once again it may

:49:58. > :50:01.be worth us coming back to some of the swings to the Conservatives in

:50:02. > :50:07.these seats, given the rise in their vote. Now, we can speak to a winner,

:50:08. > :50:13.one of the few MPs that we have in Scotland, she is Mhairi Black and

:50:14. > :50:17.she has been re-elected as she joins us live from her count.

:50:18. > :50:22.Congratulations, a bit a relief? Thanks very much. Yes, I suppose,

:50:23. > :50:29.you know, if anybody was to be told they had a yob for another five

:50:30. > :50:32.years I think that is good news. And there were reports recently that you

:50:33. > :50:36.weren't happy with the House of Commons and maybe you wouldn't want

:50:37. > :50:40.to stay, with this snap election you took a decision to fight on, have

:50:41. > :50:46.you still got a lot to do and if so what is it you want to achieve ore

:50:47. > :50:51.the next five years? Well, I think firstly it is important to say that

:50:52. > :50:54.all of those stories were grossly overexaggerated. When I signed up to

:50:55. > :51:02.to be the representative for this area I meant it and although I make

:51:03. > :51:08.ho secret about the fact I find Westminster archaic I think we have

:51:09. > :51:12.to get involved in it. I am glad to be reelected to go back down and

:51:13. > :51:15.continue, the austerity is not working, it is not benefitting

:51:16. > :51:19.people's lives whatsoever, the people it is benefitting, are the

:51:20. > :51:23.ones who you could argue need it lest least, so I think that is the

:51:24. > :51:27.main goal for us, going down to Westminster, and certainly it is my

:51:28. > :51:32.main goal. We have some results from across the UK, and obviously, the

:51:33. > :51:38.exit polls suggesting Labour doing far better than perhaps might

:51:39. > :51:47.otherwise have been expected, would you welcome should it be possible, a

:51:48. > :51:50.Jeremy Corbyn Premiership? Oh yes, I mean I think it's it is a similar

:51:51. > :51:56.question, given the fact that quite a lot of the Labour manifesto was

:51:57. > :52:00.almost exactly copied from the SNP's Scottish Government manifesto. I

:52:01. > :52:04.mean, we have been very consistent, not just from 2015 but when this

:52:05. > :52:08.election kicked off we would be prepared to work with anyone in

:52:09. > :52:12.terms of a progressive alliance, a, you know, working for progressive

:52:13. > :52:15.policies, and I think that we could, we, put it this way we would be more

:52:16. > :52:20.likely to find that with Jeremy Corbyn than Theresa May.

:52:21. > :52:23.Good to talk to you Mhairi Black, live from the count in Paisley,

:52:24. > :52:31.congratulations to you once again. We are hearing that there is a

:52:32. > :52:35.recount in Perth, and that is where we can join Graham Stewart who has

:52:36. > :52:41.all the details for us. What exactly are you hearing from the count

:52:42. > :52:46.there? Well, the Returning Officer has confirmed it is indeed a recount

:52:47. > :52:52.here, and the candidates have said that there are only 36 votes in it.

:52:53. > :52:57.So that recount is under way now, and that explains why both sides,

:52:58. > :52:59.the SNP and the Tories here, have been keeping so tight-lipped all

:53:00. > :53:05.nigh. They have said it is on a knife-edge and boy, are they right.

:53:06. > :53:09.So, that 2.00 declaration I promised you earlier will not be happen,

:53:10. > :53:12.there is a recount on its way and straight after that announcement, a

:53:13. > :53:17.deathly hush here at the Sports Centre, nobody is sure how this is

:53:18. > :53:23.going to turn out. Wow, 36 votes would be aer have very close result

:53:24. > :53:28.indeed. I don't know if either of our SNP or Conservative panellist,

:53:29. > :53:32.which way is it? I don't know, but as somebody who didn't win a

:53:33. > :53:36.Westminster election, with only 48 votes I know exactly how they will

:53:37. > :53:41.be feeling just now. We are both agreed to reserve our position on

:53:42. > :53:47.this matter. You don't know either. I have no idea. When it gets town do

:53:48. > :53:52.36 it is you know so tight. Does that surprise you it is as close?

:53:53. > :53:56.Think it was a key seat for the Tories to take, I think they had

:53:57. > :54:00.high expectations to take it, so interesting but it is so close,

:54:01. > :54:05.hopefully the counters have been accurate in their next round and get

:54:06. > :54:11.the result, the right way. Indeed. OK, lots of talk about Nick Clegg's

:54:12. > :54:16.constituency, in Sheffield Hallam, and that he may be under

:54:17. > :54:19.considerable pressure in that particular seat, obviously, the

:54:20. > :54:22.former leader of the Liberal Democrats, and former Deputy Prime

:54:23. > :54:27.Minister, that would be a significant loss for the Liberal

:54:28. > :54:31.Democrat, he is also the party's Brexit spokesperson. We are hearing

:54:32. > :54:37.from Amber Rudd, who is under pressure in Hastings and Rye, she is

:54:38. > :54:41.saying that she is confident but not complacent of holding her seat.

:54:42. > :54:46.Another Scottish declaration to confirm for you, from Kilmarnock and

:54:47. > :54:54.louden, the SNP holding that constituency Alan Brown, he has been

:54:55. > :55:10.reelected there. The result 19690 votes. Labour's Laura Dover second.

:55:11. > :55:19.The turn out there, 63%. So the SNP with 42% of the vote, Labour on 29,

:55:20. > :55:28.the Conservatives on 27, the Liberal Democrats on 2. And compared to

:55:29. > :55:31.2015, the SNP vote down 13% in Kilmarnock, Labour down 1, the

:55:32. > :55:41.Conservatives up 14. And the Liberal Democrats vote up slightly as well.

:55:42. > :55:45.So, the SNP to Labour swing is 5.9%, but the biggest gain in terms of

:55:46. > :55:49.vote share of course, to the Conservative, quick reaction to that

:55:50. > :55:54.result, and the others that we have had so far from Brian Taylor.

:55:55. > :55:59.Conservatives up, up, up and the forecast is they will take Angus,

:56:00. > :56:03.regaining a seat for some time has been an SNP. I recall when the

:56:04. > :56:08.Westminster constituency was held by Peter Fraser, you have to go back

:56:09. > :56:11.quite a wile while, through Mike Weir and beyond, to see a time when

:56:12. > :56:16.the Tories were doing that, the swings they are getting across, the

:56:17. > :56:20.vote gains rather they are getting across the other constituencies,

:56:21. > :56:24.would signal that will not be entirely on its own, it's a good

:56:25. > :56:30.victory for the Tories. And a quick word from do you. I think Angus, I

:56:31. > :56:35.think has been declared now and Dundee East is a hold for the SNP,

:56:36. > :56:38.no surprise in Dundee East. Particularly, there is an irony here

:56:39. > :56:43.in that the Conservatives seem to be doing well in Scotland, because they

:56:44. > :56:47.didn't fight it ass a UK contest, they fought it ass a Scottish

:56:48. > :56:51.contest and you were almost banking on voters seeing it in that way too.

:56:52. > :56:59.It seems to reinforce the constitutional issue. Let us confirm

:57:00. > :57:03.some of these results for you. Yes, the Angus constituency has gone to

:57:04. > :57:10.the Conservatives. Here are the details. So the Conservatives

:57:11. > :57:16.gaining Angus from the SNP, Kirstene Hair, the winner there, with 18448.

:57:17. > :57:20.She stood at the Holyrood election hast year, and was unsuccessful but

:57:21. > :57:26.she is now on her way to Westminster, as the new MP for

:57:27. > :57:32.Angus, defeating the SNP's Mike Weir, a veteran of the House of

:57:33. > :57:36.Commons, 15503 voters to him. Labour's William Campbell third. The

:57:37. > :57:43.Liberal Democrat's Clive Sneddon in fourth.

:57:44. > :57:52.A turn out in Angus of 63%. So here are the details.

:57:53. > :58:04.Now, look at how that has changed since 2015. The Tory vote is up 17%.

:58:05. > :58:08.The SNP vote down 16. Labour up 4, and the Liberal Democrats up

:58:09. > :58:16.slightly. So, a swing in Angus, of 16.3% from

:58:17. > :58:20.the SNP, to the Conservatives. There is the result from Dundee

:58:21. > :58:24.East. The SNP have held in Dundee East. East. Perhaps their safest

:58:25. > :58:31.seat in the country if I remember correctly. The SNP's Stewart Hosie,

:58:32. > :58:38.former deputy leader of the party re-elected.

:58:39. > :58:56.The Conservatives Eleanor Price in second place, with 11746.

:58:57. > :59:02.This used to be Labour held territory, they are now in third

:59:03. > :59:05.place there, the SNP with a 43% vote share. The Conservatives on 27.

:59:06. > :59:12.Labour pushed into third place on 26. The Liberal Democrats on 4.

:59:13. > :59:16.The SNP vote down 17%. Even in Dundee East, an SNP stronghold, the

:59:17. > :59:21.Tory volt up 12 there, Labour up 6 and the Liberal Democrats up

:59:22. > :59:27.slightly. So the swing in Dundee East. From

:59:28. > :59:30.the SNP to the Conservatives, of 14.6%, but Stewart hosier is

:59:31. > :59:34.re-elected and will be making his way back to the House of Commons.

:59:35. > :59:39.Here is the picture across Scotland so far, the SNP have four seat, but

:59:40. > :59:43.they are down two. Labour have one and that is is a gain for them. The

:59:44. > :59:48.Conservatives have won the Angus seat, we have been reporting on it.

:59:49. > :59:59.That is up one, a gain for them and six MPs so far elected in Scotland.

:00:00. > :00:05.We can cross to the Argyll and Bute count. One of the largest

:00:06. > :00:13.constituencies, the most geographically channelling, Andreas

:00:14. > :00:20.Wolf is there. What are you hearing? Yes, result isn't expected here

:00:21. > :00:26.until about 5.30. A short while ago Brendan O'Hara the MP here until a

:00:27. > :00:30.short while ago walked in, and he wasn't looking very happy, it seems

:00:31. > :00:38.as if it is going to be a very very close run between the SNP and the

:00:39. > :00:43.Tories, Gary mull screen any is the candidate, and that would be very

:00:44. > :00:50.interesting, because the Tories haven't held this seat till, they

:00:51. > :00:54.haven't been holding this seat here since 1987. Although it was a

:00:55. > :00:59.slightly different constituency at that point as well. And it is also

:01:00. > :01:05.looking interesting further down the scale, so to say, this seat was held

:01:06. > :01:09.by the Liberal Democrats for 28 years, until 2015, and Alan Reid was

:01:10. > :01:14.the MP here for a number of years, he stood against in this election,

:01:15. > :01:19.and it is now not even clear whether he will come in in third place or

:01:20. > :01:25.maybe the Labour candidate Michael Kelly will have beat him to the

:01:26. > :01:31.third place. Now Michael Kelly is a rather young candidate, and only

:01:32. > :01:34.this week, he walked out of a hustings, so, it is definitely the

:01:35. > :01:39.Corbyn effect that we are seeing there as well. Really an interesting

:01:40. > :01:47.night, and we are in for the long-haul here. Thank you very much.

:01:48. > :01:52.Often the last constituency to declare in Scotland, in UK General

:01:53. > :01:57.Election, and just to underline the news that we had there, the sense is

:01:58. > :02:03.it is the Conservatives that are challenging the SNP hard, not the

:02:04. > :02:05.Liberal Democrats, who used to hold the Argyll and Bute constituencies,

:02:06. > :02:08.very interesting developments from there and across the country. Let us

:02:09. > :02:13.catch up with our political panel. Your thoughts on the results we have

:02:14. > :02:20.had so far. Yes, some good results in terms of the hold, Martin

:02:21. > :02:26.Docherty, Alan Brown, that Dundee West result for Stuart hosier as

:02:27. > :02:32.well. For the SNP. Disappointing, about Angus, of course, that

:02:33. > :02:37.constituency, Mike Weir. 15th safe seats He was a stall warts for the

:02:38. > :02:41.party and a strong force in Westminster. Looking at the results

:02:42. > :02:46.so far it is close to a number of the opinion polls round 40 odd

:02:47. > :02:48.percent, and you know, maybe there is that tactical vote towards the

:02:49. > :02:54.Conservatives that we have discussed. We touched upon the Tory

:02:55. > :02:59.campaign, one reflection I would make, though, is that Ruth I think,

:03:00. > :03:03.Ruth Davidson did depart from the UK campaign, and I think she was really

:03:04. > :03:07.uncomfortable with the Tory manifesto. Uncomfortable with the

:03:08. > :03:14.social policies, you could see that when she was pushed hard on issued

:03:15. > :03:18.on matter, I don't think she was comfortable with the campaign they

:03:19. > :03:21.were fighting. Theresa May went into reverse gear calling the election

:03:22. > :03:25.and moving away from her manifesto position, so it is an interesting

:03:26. > :03:29.divergence between Scotland and the rest of the UK.

:03:30. > :03:39.If you're losing your 15th safest seat in Scotland, perhaps the exit

:03:40. > :03:44.poll is right. If it is right and the SNP holds 54 seats, that's still

:03:45. > :03:53.a victory and it's still way more than... Losing their momentum? We

:03:54. > :03:57.more than the 12 seats we health before 2015. It could be the case

:03:58. > :04:01.that some pro-independence voters have gone to the Labour Party. We

:04:02. > :04:02.shared support in