Part Two

:00:00. > :00:00.people around him I think organisationally, pretty weak. What

:00:00. > :00:08.is going to happen to Brexit now? Theresa May called this election in

:00:09. > :00:12.order to pursue the kind of Brexit you wanted and it doesn't look as

:00:13. > :00:18.though she'll get the majority she wanted? What a huge error, to pick a

:00:19. > :00:23.remainor to lead a Brexit negotiation. Massive mistake. I

:00:24. > :00:26.think if we do get a Corbyn coalition, then Brexit is in some

:00:27. > :00:31.trouble. And if Brexit is in some trouble,

:00:32. > :00:36.will you come back into active politics and fight for what was

:00:37. > :00:40.voted for only last summer? I would have absolutely no choice but to do

:00:41. > :00:44.exactly that. That is interesting. We have to go.

:00:45. > :00:49.We may be able to come back to you. But we have a result.

:00:50. > :00:54.I here by give notice that the total number of votes given for each

:00:55. > :01:07.candidate at the election is as follows:

:01:08. > :01:39.Independent, 1,234. Green Party, 866. Liberal Democrats, 4,401.

:01:40. > :01:55.Labour Party, 25... APPLAUSE

:01:56. > :02:14.25,292. Conservative Party, 22... CHEERING

:02:15. > :02:36.22,876. The Socialist Party of Great Britain, 32. UK Independence Party,

:02:37. > :02:40.357. So Jane Ellison is defeated in Battersea. Labour takes Battersea.

:02:41. > :02:47.And the swing in Battersea, let's see what that is. 46% and a swing of

:02:48. > :02:54.10% from Conservative to Labour in an area that's almost 80% in favour

:02:55. > :02:59.of Remain. Just under 80% in favour of Remain. I want to go back to

:03:00. > :03:03.Nigel Farage, who we interrupted for that result. The last thing you said

:03:04. > :03:07.was tantalising. You said you'd have to come back into active politics,

:03:08. > :03:12.that's what you plan, is it? It's not what I plan. It's not what I

:03:13. > :03:16.want. I was thrilled to lead Ukip to pressure Cameron into offering the

:03:17. > :03:18.referendum, into working in that referendum campaign and into

:03:19. > :03:23.winning. We've triggered Article 50. I thought it was all done. Mrs May

:03:24. > :03:28.went for the big majority. She was found out, I think in this campaign.

:03:29. > :03:32.What's remarkable about Corbyn's achievement is he's getting

:03:33. > :03:35.Remainers in London voters for him. But he's getting Ukip voters around

:03:36. > :03:39.the rest of the country voting for him too. Of course, he's not going

:03:40. > :03:43.to be able to form a Government on his own, if it works out that way.

:03:44. > :03:48.If we get a coalition with him and the SNP and whoever else, then we

:03:49. > :03:55.may well be looking down the barrel of a second referendum. Is the whole

:03:56. > :03:59.Brexit campaign, the Brexit decision, is it all in jeopardy now,

:04:00. > :04:07.is the time table - does it mean anything any more? Well, let's see.

:04:08. > :04:11.There's a long way to go. But I do think this: Let's say the other

:04:12. > :04:16.result happens. Let's say May scrapes through with a small

:04:17. > :04:19.majority or forms a minority government I don't know, I'm not

:04:20. > :04:23.sure her credibility will be strong in Brussels. I think yes, the time

:04:24. > :04:27.table, whatever happens here, is likely to get pushed back. How

:04:28. > :04:31.confident are you that there'll still be what's called a hard Brexit

:04:32. > :04:37.thaw wanted and that you think you won a year ago? I was always a bit

:04:38. > :04:42.suspicious with Mrs May as to whether we get. It she was asked in

:04:43. > :04:46.the campaign repeatedly, having backed Remain did she now believe in

:04:47. > :04:51.Brexit, not once did she say yes. She just said she was carrying out

:04:52. > :04:57.the will of the people. This may prove to be unfinished business.

:04:58. > :05:03.Vicar of bray you think she is. I do, very much so. Yes, and in the

:05:04. > :05:07.end, I think, when Corbyn said that they would end free movement, when

:05:08. > :05:13.Corbyn said that under Labour we would leave, I think he kind of

:05:14. > :05:16.boxed off Brexit as an issue for Ukip voters, many of whom did not

:05:17. > :05:22.see the party as being relevant in this campaign. And ultimately the

:05:23. > :05:26.shock we're seeing here tonight is all about personality. Ukip voters

:05:27. > :05:30.want somebody they think is speaking for them. They want somebody who is

:05:31. > :05:34.for change and what Theresa May tried to do is try to be the

:05:35. > :05:38.establishment figure. Corbyn I thought through the campaign looked

:05:39. > :05:43.comfortable in his skin. He appeared to be enjoying trchlt the Prime

:05:44. > :05:48.Minister came -- the Prime Minister came across as insincere and Frankly

:05:49. > :05:52.robotic. An Dumar has a question for you -- Andrew Marr has a question

:05:53. > :05:55.for you. Do you think those very pro-Brexit, strong Brexit MPs in the

:05:56. > :06:00.Tory Party will try to remove Theresa May as Prime Minister? Yes.

:06:01. > :06:05.I also think - actually Andrew, I think on both sides of the debate

:06:06. > :06:08.within the Conservative Party the Prime Minister's credibility as

:06:09. > :06:13.leader of that party is fatally damaged. Thank you very much. Let's

:06:14. > :06:17.rejoin Emily. We have got another result. Another gain for Labour.

:06:18. > :06:22.From the Conservatives. This is their fourth gain of the night.

:06:23. > :06:27.Labour have yet to lose a seat but it's early days. You can see

:06:28. > :06:33.Stockton south puts Paul Williams in as the new MP for Labour here on 48%

:06:34. > :06:42.share of the vote. You can see what has helped that along, as Mr Farage

:06:43. > :06:46.was saying, Labour has picked up a lot of their vote. The Conservative

:06:47. > :06:51.share hasn't moved at all. The swing here It's pretty solid from

:06:52. > :06:55.Conservative to Labour. This was number 47 on the Labour target list.

:06:56. > :06:58.They were hoping it would be competitive here. An outside chance

:06:59. > :07:02.and they've picked tup. What I want to show you, because I've been

:07:03. > :07:06.referring to this at intervals through the night so far is how our

:07:07. > :07:11.exit poll compares to the results in so far. At one point it looked as if

:07:12. > :07:14.we might have to recalibrate because the Conservatives were much lower

:07:15. > :07:18.down on the exit poll than they were in real results. Now you can see

:07:19. > :07:24.based on the results so far, just under 50 results so far, you can

:07:25. > :07:27.actually see what's happened. The exit poll and the results so far are

:07:28. > :07:34.showing much more similar pictures now. Ukip down in both 12%. The SNP

:07:35. > :07:40.down 11 here. A bit further in real life and you can see what's happened

:07:41. > :07:45.more or less the Conservative and Labour votes evening out and proving

:07:46. > :07:49.the exit poll right so far. This is the result we've had in the last few

:07:50. > :07:54.moments. Ealing central and Acton held by Labour. An important seat

:07:55. > :07:58.this. The Greens stood aside to help Labour. Certainly she's on a

:07:59. > :08:02.whopping 60% share of the vote now. It was number two on the

:08:03. > :08:06.Conservative target list. But it looks as if Labour's having quite a

:08:07. > :08:11.good night in London, so far. Conservatives down eight. Labour up

:08:12. > :08:15.16%. They didn't need a very big swing to take this one. But you can

:08:16. > :08:23.see what's happened. It's gone massively towards Labour. A bit like

:08:24. > :08:27.that seat Putney, earlier, where Justine Greening held on. You're

:08:28. > :08:30.seeing big swings to Labour. The direction of travel certainly

:08:31. > :08:35.favours Labour in London so far tonight.

:08:36. > :08:39.If the exit poll is proving right, that has the Conservatives short of

:08:40. > :08:43.an overall majority. Boris Johnson, who has a vested interest in all

:08:44. > :08:48.this, of course, the Foreign Secretary, talking about the odds of

:08:49. > :08:52.his becoming Prime Minister have fall ton 5-1. He is -- fallen to

:08:53. > :08:58.5-1. Whether he's being asked questions or not I do not know. ...

:08:59. > :09:03.Contain themselves until they see - hello, how are you? Do you still

:09:04. > :09:11.want to be leader of your party, Boris? Yeah well, quite sensibly not

:09:12. > :09:22.answering any of that. Kirsty bring us up to date on what's going on in

:09:23. > :09:26.Scotland. Well, we are about to get our first Glasgow seat. The SNP

:09:27. > :09:30.seems to have held on by their finger nails, possibly with a

:09:31. > :09:35.majority of less than 100. Glasgow central, a swing to the SNP two

:09:36. > :09:40.years ago, that too may be in jeopardy. That's extraordinary

:09:41. > :09:43.because the council has just lost, the Labour council, has just lost to

:09:44. > :09:47.the SNP just a matter of months ago. Big change in Glasgow. Swings to

:09:48. > :09:51.Labour. We don't know yet whether or not Glasgow central will go to

:09:52. > :09:56.Labour. There's no doubt the SNP majority are going to be smashed.

:09:57. > :10:00.After that Angus vote, that result, there is this tantalising result,

:10:01. > :10:05.that if the exit poll was a little out, it could be the new

:10:06. > :10:09.Conservative MPs in Scotland which give Theresa May a slender majority.

:10:10. > :10:18.That would be extraordinary. Very much indeed. Well now we are at

:10:19. > :10:22.2. 10am. Our exit poll which we gave at 10pm has not been changed yet in

:10:23. > :10:26.the results we've had in. We've had 100 declared. We haven't yet gone

:10:27. > :10:31.from the exit poll to what we call a forecast, which is when the results

:10:32. > :10:39.that come in modify the exit poll. We're still saying Conservatives the

:10:40. > :10:48.largest party on 314. Labour on 266. The SNP on 34. The Liberal Democrats

:10:49. > :10:57.on 14. And Plaid Cymru on 3. The Greens on one. That's what we're

:10:58. > :11:01.holding for the moment. We're ten minutes late with our news on the

:11:02. > :11:02.hour, because so much is happening here in the election centre at the

:11:03. > :11:16.BBC. But let's now have our news. With more than 90 seats counted in

:11:17. > :11:18.the general election, Labour have gained three seats, one from the

:11:19. > :11:21.SNP? Scotland and three from the Tories.

:11:22. > :11:24.Labour have gained two seats - one from the SNP in Scotland and one

:11:25. > :11:29.An exit poll for the BBC, ITV, and Sky has predicted the Tories

:11:30. > :11:31.will be the biggest party - but that they won't win

:11:32. > :11:35.It says they will have lost 17 seats, while Labour

:11:36. > :11:40.The night began with a big projection, the exit poll.

:11:41. > :11:44.But remember, it's still just a forecast.

:11:45. > :11:47.It has the Conservatives as the largest party but short

:11:48. > :12:00.Labour have held Wrexham, an area Theresa May visited several times

:12:01. > :12:03.during the campaign. They held on in Darlington too, where only a

:12:04. > :12:11.marginal swing to the Tories was nothing like the kind of shift they

:12:12. > :12:14.need to fulfil Mrs May's hope of a big majority.

:12:15. > :12:18.The SNP could be on course to lose a number of seats. Just look at the

:12:19. > :12:24.mood in Hastings, hardly beaming confidence where the Home Secretary

:12:25. > :12:27.is defending her seat. I'm just quietly waiting and keeping on eye

:12:28. > :12:31.on everybody and everything. For some in Labour it's already a much

:12:32. > :12:37.better night than they'd hoped. Theresa May's authority has been

:12:38. > :12:41.undermined by this election. She is a damaged Prime Minister whose

:12:42. > :12:43.reputation may never recover. The exit poll suggests the Tories would

:12:44. > :12:45.have 314 seats, These exit polls have

:12:46. > :12:55.been wrong in the past. I think in 2015 they

:12:56. > :12:58.underestimated our vote. In a couple of elections before

:12:59. > :13:07.that, they overestimated our vote. It's the real votes that count

:13:08. > :13:11.though. There's the traditional race to see which constituency could

:13:12. > :13:14.declare first. But two other seats won by Labour in north-east England

:13:15. > :13:19.show the Tories have done better than the exit poll might have

:13:20. > :13:23.suggested. The festival of democracy has been on full show. Watch out for

:13:24. > :13:26.some upsets through the night. At least one minister's seat could be

:13:27. > :13:33.in question and Ukip's vote appears to be collapsing in places. Jeremy

:13:34. > :13:37.Corbyn arrived home in his North London constituency. If the exit

:13:38. > :13:43.poll is correct, a big if, he will have confounded the expectations of

:13:44. > :13:48.even some of his own MPs. While Theresa May's gamble to win big in a

:13:49. > :13:52.snap election will have failed. The truth, inside those ballot

:13:53. > :13:56.boxes, is still to be fully revealed.

:13:57. > :13:59.With the news of the exit poll, the pound has been falling

:14:00. > :14:02.against other currencies - including the dollar and the euro.

:14:03. > :14:07.Let's get the latest reaction now from Sharanjit Leyl in Singapore.

:14:08. > :14:14.That's right. The most immediate reaction in the markets as you say

:14:15. > :14:17.has been from the British pound falling nearly 2% against the US

:14:18. > :14:21.dollar after the exit poll suggested the Conservative Party could lose

:14:22. > :14:25.its Parliamentary majority. It had recovered a little bit on some

:14:26. > :14:29.evidence that the exit poll may not have been entirely accurate when we

:14:30. > :14:32.saw the first results come in. I've been speaking to analysts and they

:14:33. > :14:36.say it's likely the pound will continue falling through the day. A

:14:37. > :14:40.hung Parliament being the worst case scenario for the pound, given the

:14:41. > :14:45.political uncertainty it brings, because it complicates Brexit talks

:14:46. > :14:50.even further. Uncertainty is something markets and investors

:14:51. > :14:52.don't like. Having said all that, though, most Asian markets that have

:14:53. > :15:25.opened are higher but only just. Welcome back to our Election Centre.

:15:26. > :15:32.We are not yet doing it, but we are about I think to slightly increase

:15:33. > :15:36.but not by very much, the forecast for the Conservative seats. It's

:15:37. > :15:40.still going to be short of an overall majority. We'll get the

:15:41. > :15:45.figures in a moment. Laura? This seems to be being borne out in Tory

:15:46. > :15:50.headquarters. Ministers now do not expect to outperform the exit poll.

:15:51. > :15:53.That means privately, as we speak, there is acceptance and discussion

:15:54. > :15:58.of the fact that senior Tories do not now expect to have an overall

:15:59. > :16:05.majority. That means if of course by the morning that remains the same,

:16:06. > :16:11.Theresa May's roll of the dice looks to be one to have biggest political

:16:12. > :16:16.mistakes we may have seen for some time. Jeremy Corbyn smiling in his

:16:17. > :16:21.constituency. Like a Cheshire cat. He was elected by Labour Micks to

:16:22. > :16:25.the -- Labour members to the establishment. The Labour ministers

:16:26. > :16:29.tried to get rid of him, he was re-elected twice and now he looks to

:16:30. > :16:33.have achieved one of the biggest political upsets in many, many

:16:34. > :16:37.years. He's relished this campaign. You have seen day-by-day he's looked

:16:38. > :16:42.more confident as if he's enjoyed it more and more, and he has, from the

:16:43. > :16:45.time when he took on the Labour Leadership, believed that if given

:16:46. > :16:49.the chance, he could begin to put together a sort of coalition of

:16:50. > :16:55.young people of former Greens, people who'd moved away from the

:16:56. > :17:00.Labour Party in the late 2000s and that might possibly be some way

:17:01. > :17:03.towards getting Labour into power. Even 24 hours ago, even today,

:17:04. > :17:09.nobody in the Labour Party would predict this kind of result. Both

:17:10. > :17:16.the main parties got their numbers wrong if this is right. So what

:17:17. > :17:19.happens in your experience, at Westminster if Theresa May goes back

:17:20. > :17:22.without an overall majority in the House of Commons? I think the idea

:17:23. > :17:27.that the Tories would somehow give up on trying to hold on to power is

:17:28. > :17:31.for the birds. I think if she manages internally to stay on,

:17:32. > :17:36.she'll try to put together a Government with, the technical

:17:37. > :17:40.process is they'd put forward a Queen's Speech and get the others to

:17:41. > :17:51.vote them down. Here is another result.

:17:52. > :18:07.Angus Robertson, Scottish National Party, SNP, 18,478. Douglas Ross,

:18:08. > :18:12.Scottish Conservative and unionist, 22,

:18:13. > :18:18.CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. The Conservatives take that seat.

:18:19. > :18:23.Angus Robertson asking two questions on behalf of the SNP is out of the

:18:24. > :18:27.House and Douglases have there for the Conservatives. This is

:18:28. > :18:30.significant because the SNP have been the third biggest party in

:18:31. > :18:34.Westminster. So this is the equivalent of the Westminster leader

:18:35. > :18:39.of the Lib Dems losing at a different kind of election. The

:18:40. > :18:45.Tories pour huge resources into this, it seems to have paid off.

:18:46. > :18:49.There's the result. A majority for the Conservatives of just over

:18:50. > :18:54.4,000, taken from the SNP, the share of the vote 48% for the

:18:55. > :19:01.Conservatives, 39% for the SNP, 11% for Labour. We can see those figures

:19:02. > :19:12.there. Apparently we can't... I was going to show you them. 48%

:19:13. > :19:18.Conservative, 39 SNP, 11% Labour, 2% Lib Dems. There is the change. It's

:19:19. > :19:24.a swing from the SNP to the Conservatives of 14%.

:19:25. > :19:29.Angus Robertson, leader of the SNP in Westminster is out. The

:19:30. > :19:37.Conservatives take the seat. We have now had 122 declarations in and so

:19:38. > :19:41.far Labour are up 5, Conservatives down 2, the SNP are down 3. That is

:19:42. > :19:45.how we stand at the moment. We were talking about what is going

:19:46. > :19:49.to happen and perhaps we should just talk about that. We have just been

:19:50. > :19:53.rejoined by Peter Kellner, our election expert. Everybody around

:19:54. > :19:59.this table ought to be an expert by now, but what do you think? Plenty

:20:00. > :20:04.of practise recently. The SNP are down almost everywhere. We have had

:20:05. > :20:08.a result from Scotland, by about 15 or 16, they'll end up on the current

:20:09. > :20:12.form with about 35% of the vote, they'll be the largest party. They

:20:13. > :20:17.may have a majority of seats but Fuad together the votes from the

:20:18. > :20:22.Unionist Parties, Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrats, they will

:20:23. > :20:27.be almost outnumber votes of the SNP by almost 2-1. What do you deduce

:20:28. > :20:31.from that? This skills Scottish independence. Do you think voters

:20:32. > :20:41.were voting on the independence referendum? I think the SNP mandate

:20:42. > :20:44.to have a referendum, they still have a majority in the Scottish

:20:45. > :20:48.Parliament. They'll be the biggest party at Westminster of Scotland.

:20:49. > :20:52.The votes tell a story that I think independence... I'm hearing that

:20:53. > :20:56.Labour are also expecting to take Glasgow North East and wit question,

:20:57. > :20:59.the metaphorical question on the ballot paper in Scotland was about

:21:00. > :21:02.whether or not people wanted a second referendum, it was a

:21:03. > :21:10.different question being asked to in other parts of the country. We have

:21:11. > :21:29.a declaration coming from Greatkm Grimsby. Let us hear this. Liberal

:21:30. > :21:54.Democrat, 954. The Conservative Party candidate, 14,980. Ukip,

:21:55. > :22:04.1,648. Independent, 394. Labour Party, 17,545.

:22:05. > :22:12.APPLAUSE. So, there is the result from Great

:22:13. > :22:18.glimpse biwhich was nearly 50th in the Conservative hoped for. Labour

:22:19. > :22:25.held on to it. Majority of 2,565. Let us see what the change and swing

:22:26. > :22:32.was, 49% for Labour, it was up 1%, Conservative vote up 16%. Ukip vote

:22:33. > :22:37.down 20%. The swing, Labour to Conservative, just over 3%. This is

:22:38. > :22:40.another kind of the seats where the Tory state was they hoped to

:22:41. > :22:44.replicate everywhere, that the Ukip vote they expected was swinging

:22:45. > :22:49.across to them. That hasn't happened here. The numbers showed a huge drop

:22:50. > :22:52.in the Ukip vote. Clearly, lots of those voters went back to Labour

:22:53. > :22:56.rather than going across to the Tories. We mentioned it briefly

:22:57. > :23:01.earlier that perhaps it was a strategic mistake for the Tories to

:23:02. > :23:05.go very aggressively after that kind of vote rather than trying to... Why

:23:06. > :23:11.do you think that is? You have been travelling around listening to all

:23:12. > :23:18.of the constituents? I think there are a variety of reasons. Partly a

:23:19. > :23:21.misinterpretation of who Ukip voters were, it wasn't Allwright wing,

:23:22. > :23:30.there were plenty of traditional voters but also the Tory campaign's

:23:31. > :23:37.been full of missteps. Theresa May you turning over one of her policies

:23:38. > :23:42.which caused anxiety among older voters, people who are seen as small

:23:43. > :23:46.C Conservative, olders voters were worried about this and we saw the

:23:47. > :23:53.Labour Party cut through over police cuts. The awful terror attacks that

:23:54. > :23:55.have froze the campaign at two different moments, the Labour Party

:23:56. > :23:59.allowed to put together two issues, if you like, they were already

:24:00. > :24:03.campaigning hard on austerity, they put together with the issue of

:24:04. > :24:06.security and we heard that on the doorstep, that coming back, people

:24:07. > :24:09.were concerned about police cuts. I think that's probably one of the

:24:10. > :24:16.issues we have seen here that will have cut through, that took the

:24:17. > :24:19.shine off the Tories at early stages and the early confidence that people

:24:20. > :24:23.had in Theresa May. I said we were going to turn our exit poll into a

:24:24. > :24:29.forecast on the basis of the results we have had in, 137 now. We have

:24:30. > :24:34.still got 500 or so to go. Let us just see here on the facade of the

:24:35. > :24:44.House of Commons what we are now saying. Conservatives on 322, 396

:24:45. > :24:46.would give them an overall majority. Labour on 261, the Conservatives

:24:47. > :25:10.still the largest party. We have a result, Emily? Another

:25:11. > :25:14.Conservative gain in Scotland. A handsome majority of 3,359. This was

:25:15. > :25:18.128 on the target list, it wasn't within any of our sights, so they've

:25:19. > :25:22.done extraordinarily well. Interesting to see not just the SNP

:25:23. > :25:27.falling here but also Labour as well, maybe there's been a tactical

:25:28. > :25:31.vote, a unionist vote towards the Conservatives, they're up 21%. I

:25:32. > :25:37.said earlier we probably wouldn't be a bigger swing than the one we had

:25:38. > :25:41.in Angus, this is another 16% swing from the SNP to the Conservatives

:25:42. > :25:49.which land this one in safe Conservative territory. Tasmina act

:25:50. > :25:53.head-Sheikh in second place, she took it from Labour last time. The

:25:54. > :26:01.North West of England, this is Labour's fifth gain of the night,

:26:02. > :26:08.54% share of the vote, David Nuttall is pushed out, that rebellious

:26:09. > :26:14.Conservative MP is out and James Frith takes his place. 13% increase

:26:15. > :26:20.in the share of the vote there. You can see how handsome that is from

:26:21. > :26:24.the Conservative to Labour. One more that's just come in. Labour having a

:26:25. > :26:30.very good night in Scotland. As are the Conservatives, to be fair. A

:26:31. > :26:34.Labour gain from the SNP there in Midlothian on 36% to 34% share of

:26:35. > :26:39.the vote. Owen Thompson out, Danielle Rowley is in and you can

:26:40. > :26:43.see the drop in the SNP share of the vote, both those parties up. Lib

:26:44. > :26:50.Dems not making much movement here. And the swing there is also of 11%.

:26:51. > :26:55.We saw those ginormous swings of up to 40% towards the SNP last time

:26:56. > :26:59.around and it looks as though Labour and the Conservatives are starting

:27:00. > :27:03.to make some waves of their own north of the border in Scotland with

:27:04. > :27:09.the gains back, suggesting that they are trying to push into the long

:27:10. > :27:12.grass any talk of a second independence referendum. We'll come

:27:13. > :27:16.back to you when we have some more. Thank you very much, Emily. Some

:27:17. > :27:20.more comments from people. We are in an extraordinary situation where

:27:21. > :27:23.Lord Ashcroft, the former Conservative chairman's just put out

:27:24. > :27:49.a message saying: Kevin Maguire has tweeted a similar

:27:50. > :27:53.thing. Ruth Davidson, has sent a message out saying fantastic in

:27:54. > :27:56.Moray. So many, many Tories feeling that what they are doing in Scotland

:27:57. > :28:01.could be the difference between them being in Government and not.

:28:02. > :28:07.And interestingly, the Tories sofar tonight gained three in Scotland and

:28:08. > :28:11.have lost four in England. Exactly. The new forecast, 322 Conservative

:28:12. > :28:15.seats, still short of a majority, but politically, there's a big

:28:16. > :28:19.depinks between the original forecast of 314 on those numbers the

:28:20. > :28:23.Conservatives might well have failed to get a Queen's Speech through

:28:24. > :28:27.Parliament. With 322 if that is the final figure, and it could move

:28:28. > :28:31.either way, then it will be a Conservative Queen's Speech. They

:28:32. > :28:36.may need to butter up the Democratic Unionists in Northern Ireland but

:28:37. > :28:39.there's not an anti-Tory coalition of left and centre-left parties and

:28:40. > :28:44.Scottish Nationals and so on that could combine to defeat the Tories.

:28:45. > :28:51.So humiliated but they would carry on? Yes. Be but humiliated? Yes, but

:28:52. > :28:55.if it moves another few seats up, they could have a majority, another

:28:56. > :28:59.few seats down they may be out. We are in the area of small

:29:00. > :29:02.differences, we'll be up well into the morning because the final few

:29:03. > :29:06.results may determine the politics. I think that's absolutely right on

:29:07. > :29:10.that forecasting. We can be relatively confident that the

:29:11. > :29:13.unionist MPs in Northern Ireland would prop Theresa May up if the

:29:14. > :29:19.numbers are in that kind of zone. The big flaw in that argument is

:29:20. > :29:25.that her own authority would have been so damaged from chucking a ball

:29:26. > :29:29.into the roulette wheel and making such a strategic error. All right,

:29:30. > :29:33.thank you very much. We are going to go to Putney, then I want to talk to

:29:34. > :29:38.Margaret Beckett in Derby about Labour. Let's go to the Education

:29:39. > :29:43.Secretary Justine Greening in Putney. You only just scraped back

:29:44. > :29:48.in Putney, didn't you? Well, I'm delighted to have been

:29:49. > :29:51.re-elected as the MP for Putney, Roehampton and Southfield. It's

:29:52. > :29:55.always a tough battle here in London, that's what we have seen

:29:56. > :30:00.tonight. I think the other factor behind this is very much young

:30:01. > :30:04.people really for the first time in many years finally choosing to use

:30:05. > :30:08.the vote that they've got in the ballot box but yes, I'm delighted to

:30:09. > :30:12.be able to continue to serve my local community. What is it about

:30:13. > :30:20.the Conservative Party that doesn't appeal to young people? I think

:30:21. > :30:24.Labour very much offered young people something that was appealing

:30:25. > :30:29.to them in terms of the obvious policy around tuition fees, the fact

:30:30. > :30:36.that it's unaffordable, the IFS said it had a black hole in a way was not

:30:37. > :30:38.something that particularly necessarily dissuaded them from

:30:39. > :30:42.thinking it was a policy they wanted to vote for. It's early on in the

:30:43. > :30:48.evening and a lot of the seats that declare early now are more urban

:30:49. > :30:53.seats. I think it's worth pointing out that Battersea and Putney are

:30:54. > :30:56.the two seats in our country with the very youngest demographics, so

:30:57. > :30:59.we have particularly seen that perhaps coming through in the votes

:31:00. > :31:00.here. There is a very long way to go in this election through the course

:31:01. > :31:12.of the night. We have made the forecast of 322,

:31:13. > :31:15.short a majority. What's the future of the Tory Party and of Theresa May

:31:16. > :31:24.and the Brexit negotiations if that is the final result? Well, I don't

:31:25. > :31:28.think at this point it's particularly worthwhile getting into

:31:29. > :31:31.speculation. There are huge numbers of results to still come through. As

:31:32. > :31:35.I said at the beginning of this, London is always an incredibly hard

:31:36. > :31:39.fought political environment. Everybody knows that down here who's

:31:40. > :31:42.been out on the doorstep. I'm just delighted that I've been re-elected

:31:43. > :31:45.to represent my own community. It's one that I've represented for 12

:31:46. > :31:51.years. I think it's fantastic that I get the chance to continue to do

:31:52. > :31:58.that. Due expect a majority of 60, 70, 100, for the Conservatives? I

:31:59. > :32:01.think it was very difficult to tell exactly how the election would play

:32:02. > :32:06.out, not least because actually when you look at the polls, national

:32:07. > :32:10.polls, but in practice we all know that perhaps results have never been

:32:11. > :32:15.more regionally driven. Therefore the days that we can really look at

:32:16. > :32:19.a global picture of somehow was going on across the UK and rely on

:32:20. > :32:22.it to give us any kind of an accurate sense of what's really

:32:23. > :32:26.happening on the ground, I think are gone. We saw that in some of the

:32:27. > :32:31.poll that's were reported in the papers, this morning. I've often

:32:32. > :32:37.thought that in 2005, if you'd interviewed a thousand people in my

:32:38. > :32:41.constituency of Putney would you really see the swing that I was

:32:42. > :32:45.about to get to get elected, I don't know. It shows it's exceptionally

:32:46. > :32:49.hard in these political climates to see what's going on on the ground.

:32:50. > :32:52.That's what we're seeing tonight. Does it make sense in those

:32:53. > :32:56.circumstances to say I've concluded the only way to guarantee certainty

:32:57. > :32:59.and stability for the years ahead is to hold this election which I've

:33:00. > :33:07.said over and over again I won't hold. Words of the Prime Minister. I

:33:08. > :33:11.think the Prime Minister was right to recognise that Britain was in a

:33:12. > :33:18.very different place now than we were in 2015 and it was right to go

:33:19. > :33:22.to the country and to ask them the question about what their views

:33:23. > :33:26.were, what people's views were about the direction that they wanted for

:33:27. > :33:32.the future. It may be, what we're seeing in this vote, is that people

:33:33. > :33:37.are still in a debate about what that future direction should be. But

:33:38. > :33:42.it is very, very early days. So I think it's easy to pick on some

:33:43. > :33:46.results in some parts of the country and say that they are going to be

:33:47. > :33:52.massively representative. I suspect you'll continue to see some very

:33:53. > :33:55.locally driven results that will, on occasion, contrast, as we've seen

:33:56. > :33:58.the Conservatives doing very well in Scotland, less well in London and I

:33:59. > :34:03.think we'll have to see how this plays out through the night. Thank

:34:04. > :34:08.you very much. As I said we're joined from Derby now by Margaret

:34:09. > :34:14.Beckett. Good evening. If I'm not mistaken, you were one of the people

:34:15. > :34:17.who gave Jeremy Corbyn your support in the leadership for the Labour

:34:18. > :34:21.Party on the grounds there should be a fair contest and afterwards said

:34:22. > :34:28.you were a complete moron for having done it. Are you still a moron?

:34:29. > :34:34.Somebody else said that, I didn't think it was right to dissent. But

:34:35. > :34:38.yes, I agree that it was a good thing to widen the debate. Then I

:34:39. > :34:42.realised that it might be thought that I was suggesting that people

:34:43. > :34:47.should vote for someone who as Jeremy was, had no experience at all

:34:48. > :34:51.on the frontbench and so I made haste to say I think he should be

:34:52. > :34:55.part of the debate, I don't think he should necessarily be the leader.

:34:56. > :35:02.There you go. What do you make of what's happening? Well, there's no

:35:03. > :35:07.question that I think the two things that I don't think you can dispute

:35:08. > :35:11.about this election campaign, is that Jeremy has performed infinitily

:35:12. > :35:16.better than anybody, probably including Jeremy, ever expected he

:35:17. > :35:22.could. And that Theresa May has performed infinitily worse than

:35:23. > :35:26.anybody expected she could. It's the conventional wisdom but why is it

:35:27. > :35:30.conventional, because sometimes it's also wise, the British people don't

:35:31. > :35:38.tend to like having an election they didn't have to have. What is the

:35:39. > :35:42.consequence going to be if we're seeing a much weakened Prime

:35:43. > :35:47.Minister, a much damaged Conservative Party? At this stage,

:35:48. > :35:55.are you thinking there might be a Jeremy Corbyn Premiership? To be

:35:56. > :35:59.honest, what I'm principally thinking is I'm wondering, fearing I

:36:00. > :36:04.might say, whether I was pressient when we put our stuff away in the

:36:05. > :36:09.garage tonight, I said let's do it carefully, because you never know we

:36:10. > :36:16.might need it again soon. I missed what you said then, I had another

:36:17. > :36:20.voice in my ear. When we put aware our equipment from the car -- away

:36:21. > :36:25.the equipment from the car tonight, I said we better do it carefully

:36:26. > :36:29.because you never know we might need it again soon. It was a joke. I hope

:36:30. > :36:33.it will remain a joke. As far as the future of the Labour Party goes,

:36:34. > :36:38.clearly the people you would recognise as on the left of the

:36:39. > :36:42.party, the part of the party thaw don't occupy, are making the running

:36:43. > :36:45.now. Whether it's Jeremy Corbyn or somebody else, do you think this is

:36:46. > :36:52.the new direction Labour's going to go in? Listen, I have always

:36:53. > :36:56.regarded myself as being either soft left or centre left depending on how

:36:57. > :37:01.you define these terms. Then other people, if I may say so, usually in

:37:02. > :37:08.your profession have moved the goal posts around me. It seems to me I've

:37:09. > :37:15.stayed where I am nearly e all the time -- nearly all the time. How

:37:16. > :37:19.have we moved the goal posts? You say you're not on the left. Yes, I

:37:20. > :37:22.think I am on the left. I still think I am. Margaret Beckett, thank

:37:23. > :37:26.you very much for joining us. We've got two more results in. I just want

:37:27. > :37:30.to show you this one. There's so much churn overnight it seems that

:37:31. > :37:34.the Conservatives are taking seats in Scotland from the SNP and it

:37:35. > :37:40.seems now from the Lib Dems in England. This one is Southport where

:37:41. > :37:45.John Pugh stood down and maybe that helped the Conservatives. We don't

:37:46. > :37:48.know. Damian Moore has taken it. Not only have they taken it, but they

:37:49. > :37:52.have pushed the Lib Dems into third place here. They had this seat

:37:53. > :37:56.before. The Lib Dems are now in third place. Conservatives on 39%

:37:57. > :38:00.share of the vote. I can show you what that change looks like. Gains

:38:01. > :38:06.then for Labour and for the Conservatives. That's at the expense

:38:07. > :38:09.it seems of Ukip and the Lib Dems. This wasn't a particularly high

:38:10. > :38:14.Leave area. The Lib Dems would have hoped to do well here. Yet, both

:38:15. > :38:20.those parties, parties of Leave we now say, seem to have done better.

:38:21. > :38:24.The swing is 7. 6% towards the Conservatives. So a bit of a ray of

:38:25. > :38:29.light in England. Can I interrupt you for a result. We'll come back to

:38:30. > :38:43.you. A result from Renfrewshire east. SNP held. ... Returning

:38:44. > :38:48.officer for the east Renfrewshire constituency declare that the total

:38:49. > :39:00.number of votes given to each candidate was as follows: Scottish

:39:01. > :39:23.Conservative and Unionist, 21,496. Bloody hell. Scottish Labour Party,

:39:24. > :39:28.14,346. The total number of votes cast was 53,805. The total number of

:39:29. > :39:32.ballot papers rejected was 67. The ballot papers were rejected for the

:39:33. > :39:35.following reasons: For want... Something's a little bit awry with

:39:36. > :39:40.our system here. You should be able to see the SNP. The Conservatives

:39:41. > :39:46.have leapt two places to top the ballot here. SNP were on 23

:39:47. > :39:50.thousand. The Conservatives with 21,000 have taken the seat. I'm not

:39:51. > :39:58.sure what's happened to our figures. No doubt we can sort it out in a

:39:59. > :40:05.moment. Shall we go back to where we were, Emily. This was number one on

:40:06. > :40:09.the Plaid Cymru target list, and you can see what's happened here. They

:40:10. > :40:14.haven't gained it. Labour has held it on 42% share of the vote. Plaid

:40:15. > :40:17.Cymru has slipped down behind the Conservatives into third place. When

:40:18. > :40:21.we look at the swing, what might have been on a good night a swing

:40:22. > :40:26.towards Plaid Cymru, away from Labour, actually becomes a swing as

:40:27. > :40:31.you can see from the Conservatives to Labour. 2. 1%. We will hand back

:40:32. > :40:50.now. I think we have Renfrewshire east. We might even have

:40:51. > :40:57.Dunbartonshire east. ... 869. I, returning officer for the UK

:40:58. > :41:00.Parliamentary election, in the East Dunbartonshire county constituency

:41:01. > :41:06.here by give notice that the total notice of votes polled each

:41:07. > :41:14.candidate - He had a majority of just over 2,000 two years ago.

:41:15. > :41:27.Scottish Labour Party, 7,531. APPLAUSE

:41:28. > :41:38.Conservative and Unionist, 7,563. APPLAUSE

:41:39. > :41:49.Scottish National Party, 15,684. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 21...

:41:50. > :42:14.CHEERING 21,023. Joe Swinson, former minister

:42:15. > :42:17.in the coalition for the Liberal Democrats recovers Dunbartonshire

:42:18. > :42:25.east from John Nichol son, there on the right. Jo Swinson may make a

:42:26. > :42:31.speech, we don't know. The Lib Dems will be thrilled by that result.

:42:32. > :42:37.Because she was, when part of the coalition, seen as one of the more

:42:38. > :42:40.talented of the next generation. For the SNP, John Nicholson another big

:42:41. > :42:43.name for them gone. A prominent member of the SNP frontbench in

:42:44. > :42:48.Westminster, somebody who was very often put forward by the party. He

:42:49. > :42:53.loses his seat... Theresa May arriving at her count at Maidenhead

:42:54. > :43:00.with her husband there. She'll have heard all this news. She's safe in

:43:01. > :43:06.her seat in Maidenhead. Will anybody try to question her as she comes to

:43:07. > :43:10.the count? I'm sure they'll try. Whether she will answer is another

:43:11. > :43:17.question. She is looking pretty grim faced. Philip May smiling for the

:43:18. > :43:21.cameras. The only new thing that we've discovered by the Prime

:43:22. > :43:26.Minister is the naughtiest thing she ever did was walk through a wheat

:43:27. > :43:29.field as a child. Running through wheat fields was maybe the

:43:30. > :43:35.naughtiness of it. It seems this is a political disaster for her, this

:43:36. > :43:40.night. Back no Jo Swinson, who was a feisty performer when she was in the

:43:41. > :43:43.House of Commons, and could be a leader, potential leader. She's

:43:44. > :43:47.talked of that sometimes in Lib Dem circles. She is talked of in that

:43:48. > :43:50.way. Now she's back in Westminster. We'll see there's another former

:43:51. > :43:55.leader of the Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg arriving at his count. As

:43:56. > :43:59.I was saying, Labour sources have told me they expect to take Hallam

:44:00. > :44:05.from Nick Clegg. He's looking quite uneasy. She is looking very uneasy.

:44:06. > :44:09.He had a good campaign. A lot of people thought he spoke well on

:44:10. > :44:13.Brexit and all the rest of it, wanting the second referendum. I

:44:14. > :44:16.wonder if he'd be relieved though to perhaps not remain in the House of

:44:17. > :44:19.Commons having been leader of a small Liberal Democrat party. Since

:44:20. > :44:24.2015 there was speculation about whether or not he would actually

:44:25. > :44:27.stand again. I wonder, had this Parliament run to 2020, whether he

:44:28. > :44:32.would have stood again. The earlier election that was called meant he

:44:33. > :44:36.did stand again. You suspect that perhaps he will find other things to

:44:37. > :44:40.do. If your information is correct that he's lost, we need just to make

:44:41. > :44:43.sure that it is correct. We do. Labour sources have told me they're

:44:44. > :44:48.confident of taking it. Of course, until we hear it from the returning

:44:49. > :44:51.officer we can never be quite sure. Certainly his body language would

:44:52. > :44:55.suggest that. We're also hearing the result on a knife edge for Tim

:44:56. > :45:01.Farron, the Lib Dem leader too, potentially a recount there. Glasgow

:45:02. > :45:11.east. Held by the SNP. With a majority of 10,000.

:45:12. > :45:21.Thank you. The declaration will be made. Gone back to Sheffield.

:45:22. > :45:35.I am the returning officer at the election held on Thursday, June 2017

:45:36. > :45:43.do here by give notice the number of votes cast for each candidate at the

:45:44. > :45:53.election is as follows: Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrats, 19,756.

:45:54. > :45:58.APPLAUSE. Jarrad Omar radio, Labour Party,

:45:59. > :46:13.21,888... CHEERING AND APPLAUSE.

:46:14. > :46:37.Logan Robin, Green Party, 823. Ukip, 929. The Conservative Party

:46:38. > :46:46.candidate, 13,561. The Social Democrats party, 70. Spoilt papers

:46:47. > :46:51.89 and I here bideclare that Mr O'Mara has the seat. He looks quite

:46:52. > :46:54.saddened, Nick Clegg, by that. He was the man responsible for the

:46:55. > :46:58.great experiment in politics in going into the coalition with the

:46:59. > :47:02.Conservatives and paid a terrible price, his party did, and now

:47:03. > :47:07.tonight he's paid the price and does look what you might call almost

:47:08. > :47:16.visibly upset at having lost Sheffield Hallam. He does. He's been

:47:17. > :47:19.the candidate there for years. He took on the brutal wound from being

:47:20. > :47:23.part of the coalition. But to lose his seat, rather than being able to

:47:24. > :47:27.curtail his career at a time of his own choosing, is of course not what

:47:28. > :47:33.anyone would choose. All political careers end in failure don't they,

:47:34. > :47:37.but I wonder too for the Liberal Democrats, their USP at this

:47:38. > :47:42.election was that promise of a second referendum, but the most

:47:43. > :47:47.prominent exponent of that of all, Nick Clegg, has lost his seat, so

:47:48. > :47:52.we'll see through the night how that strategy of offering a second

:47:53. > :47:58.referendum's played out in different places. We have seen Jo Swinson, but

:47:59. > :48:01.it seems as though there's almost a different election taking place in

:48:02. > :48:05.Scotland. Lord Ashcroft was saying earlier that Scotland could have

:48:06. > :48:08.saved the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have now lost two

:48:09. > :48:13.seats in England but are picking up seats in Scotland. They expect to

:48:14. > :48:20.lose needs North West. We expect that to be a Labour gain too. This

:48:21. > :48:23.two tribes election playing out in extraordinarily different ways...

:48:24. > :48:27.How many Liberal Democrat seats do we have in so far? Our score board

:48:28. > :48:32.there is showing just one Liberal Democrat seat and no change, is that

:48:33. > :48:40.correct? I think that is right. Net one? Yes. I hope that is right. But

:48:41. > :48:45.they may well pick up Vince Cable's old seat, Twickenham, maybe one or

:48:46. > :48:47.two others in London. Ed Davey. The results we have had in from the

:48:48. > :48:52.south-west, the Liberal Democrats have gone further back. I don't

:48:53. > :48:56.think they'll pick anything up. As we said earlier, the Liberal

:48:57. > :49:00.Democrats would be happy to hold on to what they had and make a couple

:49:01. > :49:07.of gains. They weren't expecting much else. The victor there in

:49:08. > :49:12.Sheffield Hallam, Jarrad O'Mara speaking and we'll just hang on for

:49:13. > :49:15.a moment to see if we can hear Nick Clegg's speech. Let us just remind

:49:16. > :49:44.you of the figures here in Sheffield.

:49:45. > :49:51.The swing was from Liberal Democrat to Labour, 4%. Certainly a long

:49:52. > :49:57.speech being made there but I think he may be coming to the end. I hope

:49:58. > :50:04.Nick Clegg will be next to speak. I think it's worth hanging on for

:50:05. > :50:09.that. Voters tell polsters they want politicians to put nation before

:50:10. > :50:20.party, Nick Clegg did that massively after the 2010 election and it looks

:50:21. > :50:24.as if voters don't reward politicians who voters before party.

:50:25. > :50:27.I would like to invite Nick Clegg to say a few words, thank you.

:50:28. > :50:32.APPLAUSE. Thank you very much for this

:50:33. > :50:37.opportunity to say a few words and I would obviously like to start by

:50:38. > :50:43.congratulating see ya Jarrad on his spectacular victory. It's been the

:50:44. > :50:47.greatest privilege of my life to represent Sheffield Hallam for the

:50:48. > :50:51.last 12 years and I wish Jarrad O'Mara the best of luck in

:50:52. > :50:55.representing the families of communities in Sheffield Hallam with

:50:56. > :51:00.the dedication that they deserve. I also obviously want to fully endorse

:51:01. > :51:04.what Jarrad said about you as chief returning officer and all of you

:51:05. > :51:08.staff in once again conducting the elections across our great city so

:51:09. > :51:17.professionally. So thank you very much indeed. A huge special thanks

:51:18. > :51:22.from me to Penny Baker, my agent, Andy Sanger and to the whole team

:51:23. > :51:25.who not only supported me as ever so unflaggingly in this snap general

:51:26. > :51:30.election, but also in the 12 years in which I have served as an MP in

:51:31. > :51:34.Sheffield Hallam and prior to that my Liberal Democrat predecessor

:51:35. > :51:36.Richard Allan as well. Thank you, thank you from the bottom of my

:51:37. > :51:44.heart for everything that you have done. Thank you very much indeed. I

:51:45. > :51:49.in my time in Parliament, I've never shirked from a political battle,

:51:50. > :51:52.I've never retreated from the political battlefield, I've always

:51:53. > :51:56.sought to stand by the liberal values I believe in, but I of course

:51:57. > :51:59.have encountered this evening something that many people have

:52:00. > :52:03.encountered before tonight and I suspect many people will encounter

:52:04. > :52:08.after tonight which is in politics, you live by the sword and you die by

:52:09. > :52:12.the sword. But I would like if I may to say a couple of words about what

:52:13. > :52:18.faces the Parliament that is going to be a constitute in a few days'

:52:19. > :52:23.time in Westminster. It is a Parliament which, in my judgment,

:52:24. > :52:27.will not only face the excruciating task of trying to assemble a

:52:28. > :52:31.sensible Government for this country, will not only need to deal

:52:32. > :52:37.with the agonising decisions we face as a country as we navigate our way

:52:38. > :52:41.towards Brexit, but as a Parliament that is presiding over a deeply,

:52:42. > :52:47.deeply divided and polarised nation. We saw that in the Brexit referendum

:52:48. > :52:52.last year and we see it here again tonight. Polarised between left and

:52:53. > :52:58.right, between different regions and nations and areas of the country,

:52:59. > :53:03.but most gravely of all, this huge gulf now between young and old and,

:53:04. > :53:08.my only plea would be to all MPs, including Jarrad from all parties is

:53:09. > :53:12.this, that we will not pick our way through the very difficult times

:53:13. > :53:17.that our country faces if in the next Parliament MPs of all parties

:53:18. > :53:22.simply seek to amplify what divides them. We must try and reach out to

:53:23. > :53:30.each other to try and find common ground if we are to heal the

:53:31. > :53:34.profound divisions. If we do not, it's my judgment that our country

:53:35. > :53:41.will endure unprecedented hardship and difficulty in the years ahead

:53:42. > :53:46.and whatever party you are from... Commonly known as Vince Cable,

:53:47. > :54:01.Liberal Democrats, 34, CHEERING AND APPLAUSE.

:54:02. > :54:15.The Twickenham result. 34,969. Labour Party, 6,114.

:54:16. > :54:28.Conservative 25,207. APPLAUSE.

:54:29. > :54:35.So one goes down and, as one goes down, the other one comes up. Vince

:54:36. > :54:39.Cable, who was defeated at the last election for Twickenham, the Liberal

:54:40. > :54:43.Democrat, Business Secretary in the coalition, has retaken Twickenham.

:54:44. > :54:46.He will have heard of what has happened to Nick Clegg, he may not

:54:47. > :54:51.have heard what Nick Clegg was saying, a rather moving speech about

:54:52. > :54:55.the future of young people in the political system and the future that

:54:56. > :55:00.the new House of Commons faces and the problems. Vince Cable is back. I

:55:01. > :55:04.suppose... The electorate gives with one hand and takes away with the

:55:05. > :55:08.other within moments of each other. Let's also remember a very, very

:55:09. > :55:14.knife edge result in Westmoreland where Tim Farron, the current party

:55:15. > :55:19.leader, is facing potential defeat. There is chatter about a recount. If

:55:20. > :55:21.that were to happen, lo and behold, prominent Liberal Democrat Vince

:55:22. > :55:29.Cable's just walked back into Westminster. With a huge majority.

:55:30. > :55:32.Let us go to Lucy Manning. Hello from Tim Farron's count where

:55:33. > :55:36.it's pretty much on a knife edge. We have a recount here. It's a bundle

:55:37. > :55:39.recount so they are not going through every single vote, but

:55:40. > :55:43.they're looking at the bundles, there seems to be some votes that

:55:44. > :55:49.haven't been counted. It seems a bit of a mess down there, but what it

:55:50. > :55:52.tells us is that this vote is tight. I was told initially perhaps a few

:55:53. > :55:57.hundred votes in it, that's Tim Farron, the Liberal Democrat leader

:55:58. > :56:01.who had a majority of nearly 9,000. I think whatberg seeing as the night

:56:02. > :56:09.develops is that potentially it's a bit dicey for the Liberal Democrats,

:56:10. > :56:17.not as good as it looked originally. Nick Clegg's lost his seat. -- I

:56:18. > :56:23.think what we are seeing. They need to get more in Scotland for this to

:56:24. > :56:26.be a good night for Tim Farron. If he doesn't do well, there'll be

:56:27. > :56:29.questions about his leadership for the Liberal Democrats.

:56:30. > :56:32.Thank you very much. We'll come back to you when I can. I was watching

:56:33. > :56:38.Theresa May's face as she went into her count. I wonder if on the basis

:56:39. > :56:41.of these results she might actually voluntarily stand down as leader of

:56:42. > :56:47.the Conservative Party? I think at this stage that's quite a leap. She

:56:48. > :56:50.didn't make it public ever but it was plain she had ambitions to take

:56:51. > :56:56.office to be Prime Minister for quite some time. I think if she ends

:56:57. > :57:04.up at the stage where the forecast is with support from the DUP where

:57:05. > :57:09.the Tories look significantly more viable and there could be an

:57:10. > :57:11.alliance, I think the chances of her rescinding the opportunity to put

:57:12. > :57:15.together a Government are very slim. How long she could stay on doing

:57:16. > :57:20.that though without making big changes is a different question and

:57:21. > :57:25.I expect, if the result ends up in this territory by the morning,

:57:26. > :57:30.she'll have to make changes and broaden out. We have had a result

:57:31. > :57:42.from Glasgow North East. Let us take that. Scottish Liberal Democrats

:57:43. > :57:53.637. Scottish National Party, 13,395.

:57:54. > :58:02.Scottish Labour Party, 13,637. Scottish Conservative and Unionist

:58:03. > :58:18.Party, 4,106. I declare that Glasgow North East

:58:19. > :58:21.constituency is in Labour's hands. We'll have the figures there in a

:58:22. > :58:27.moment. A Labour gain at the expense of the

:58:28. > :58:33.SNP in north-east Glasgow. Now I'm determined to go and join Mishaal

:58:34. > :58:35.Hussain who has an extremely appropriate guest, considering what

:58:36. > :58:43.we have been talking about, with the Liberal Democrats.

:58:44. > :58:47.Thank you, I'm sitting here with Sir Menzies Campbell and Lord pickles.

:58:48. > :58:53.Let's talk about your thoughts on seeing Nick Clegg lose his seat in

:58:54. > :58:57.that way? With great dignity and pointing up in a very sharp way the

:58:58. > :59:01.fact that these elections with producing, not the kind of unity

:59:02. > :59:07.which the Prime Minister hoped for, but division north and south, young

:59:08. > :59:12.and old. Nick Clegg's served his country and his party with great

:59:13. > :59:23.distinction. He took a bold step in 2010 in the public interest, he got

:59:24. > :59:31.very little credit for that. Even after the quite tumultuous events of

:59:32. > :59:34.2015, he buckled down and did, as was pointed out, spear headed the

:59:35. > :59:39.campaign in relation to the European Union. Your party is in the position

:59:40. > :59:43.today of having lost his seat, the seat of your current leader Tim

:59:44. > :59:49.Farron is looking doubtful but you have had Vince Cable re-elected, Jo

:59:50. > :59:53.Swinson also re-elected. What do you think the future holds, if the party

:59:54. > :59:57.is in a position of looking for a new leader? Who will it turn to? I'm

:59:58. > :00:02.not going to get into that speculation, but one can point to

:00:03. > :00:08.the fact that after I resigned and before Nick Clegg was elected, Vince

:00:09. > :00:10.Cable was the interim leader. So he has some understanding of leadership

:00:11. > :00:17.and what the responsibilities are. But it's very good for the party to

:00:18. > :00:21.have a genuinely heavy hitter back in the Parliamentary party. Let's

:00:22. > :00:23.not forget Jo Swinson, one to have most talented of the younger

:00:24. > :00:26.generation of MPs of any party. Back in the House of Commons? And the

:00:27. > :00:33.fact she's back in the House of Commons is a great advantage.

:00:34. > :00:40.I worked a lot with Nick Clegg and government. I always found him to be

:00:41. > :00:46.a thoroughly decent man. I remember talking to a couple of years out

:00:47. > :00:51.from the election, and he recognised that the Liberal Democrats would pay

:00:52. > :00:57.a price for being in coalition. He worked hard with us. We know that

:00:58. > :01:00.ministers are no longer expecting an overall majority. The latest

:01:01. > :01:06.forecast we have seized the Conservatives ending the night on

:01:07. > :01:11.322 seats, short of a majority. That means a deal will have to be done.

:01:12. > :01:15.You said of Theresa May that she is the worst person in the world to do

:01:16. > :01:22.a deal with. Finish the quote. And the quote is, if you make a

:01:23. > :01:24.reasonable request, she will generally back it. What that means

:01:25. > :01:31.in terms of Brexit and putting together a government, if people

:01:32. > :01:36.come with outlandish ideas, she won't play. She'll will always go

:01:37. > :01:40.for the national interest. If it is a reasonable process, we are in for

:01:41. > :01:50.an interesting few days. What went wrong for you? We lost seats. That

:01:51. > :01:58.is what went wrong. Wide? We have seen a bigger increased in the youth

:01:59. > :02:03.vote. -- increase. Mr Corbyn managed to get the excitement of that. It

:02:04. > :02:10.was straightforward pork barrel politics. We will pay for your fees

:02:11. > :02:16.and write off your debt. That will prove to be extraordinarily

:02:17. > :02:21.expensive would he attempt to do so. I suspect we may have another

:02:22. > :02:26.general election. I would like to say a word about Scotland. It is

:02:27. > :02:32.quite remarkable. The SNP losing to Labour and the Lib Dems, and losing

:02:33. > :02:37.to the Conservatives. Both of your parties have been saved to some

:02:38. > :02:41.extent by Scotland. Yes. When you think of the dominance after 2015,

:02:42. > :02:45.it is quite extraordinary. There is a reason for it. That is the fact

:02:46. > :02:54.that simply people don't want a rerun of the Independence

:02:55. > :02:59.Referendum. Thank you both. We are keeping an eye and Jeremy

:03:00. > :03:06.Corbyn in Islington. We have another important result.

:03:07. > :03:11.This is a shock result. It is a game for Labour from the Conservatives in

:03:12. > :03:16.Ipswich. In Suffolk. There is no other red territory around for

:03:17. > :03:22.miles. Trueblue Tory country. It is the seat of Ben Gummer, who just

:03:23. > :03:27.five days ago was rumoured to be the new Brexit secretary. Ben Gummer,

:03:28. > :03:30.not only a cabinet office minister, but who has been instrumental in

:03:31. > :03:35.writing some of the Conservative Party manifesto, in planning some of

:03:36. > :03:39.this election campaign, he is now out. I was on the campaign trail

:03:40. > :03:45.with him a couple of years ago, when he almost expected to lose them. He

:03:46. > :03:51.held on in 2015. He has now lost to Sandy Martin. Islington North

:03:52. > :03:55.declaration. It is a very, very safe seat for Jeremy Corbyn. We will

:03:56. > :04:02.listen to it. And then hopefully hear from Mr Corbyn.

:04:03. > :04:10.The election of the member of Parliament for Islington North on

:04:11. > :04:15.Thursday June the 8th 2015. I been the acting returning officer the

:04:16. > :04:21.election of a member of Parliament to the Islington North constituency

:04:22. > :04:24.do hereby give notice that the number of votes recorded for each

:04:25. > :04:46.candidate at the said election is as follows. Keith Angus, Liberal

:04:47. > :05:05.Democrats, 4946. Suzanne Nandy, Independent, 41. James Toby Clark,

:05:06. > :05:13.Conservatives, 6871. Jeremy Bernard Corbin, Labour party, 4000 -- 40000

:05:14. > :05:37.and 86. Michael Adam Foster, 208. Keith

:05:38. > :05:48.Graham Fraser, UK Independence Party, 413.

:05:49. > :05:59.Nigel Barrow, the official monster raving loony party, 106.

:06:00. > :06:11.James William Martin, known as Bill Martin, the Socialist party GB, 21.

:06:12. > :06:27.Andrew is Mendoza, the commonest league, seven. Caroline Russell,

:06:28. > :06:37.Green Party, two to nine. -- 2229. The total number of ballot papers

:06:38. > :06:41.rejected is as follows. Voting for more candidates than the voter was

:06:42. > :06:49.entitled to, 40. Being on Marker Hotel devoid, 82. The turnout was

:06:50. > :06:53.73.6%. I do hereby declare that Jeremy Bernard Corbin is duly

:06:54. > :06:54.elected to serve as member of Parliament for the Islington North

:06:55. > :07:19.constituency. -- Jeremy Corbyn. Thank you very much. I first of all

:07:20. > :07:24.want to thank Lesley and her staff for the way this election has been

:07:25. > :07:27.conducted. I know all the pressures that are put under the staff to

:07:28. > :07:31.achieve this. Thank you very much to you and all the staff here tonight.

:07:32. > :07:35.And all those that run our democratic services in this borough.

:07:36. > :07:40.I also want to particularly thank the police further work today. And

:07:41. > :07:44.their work last night in helping to ensure that the crowds were all

:07:45. > :07:47.safe, but also, all the work they did last weekend during the horrors

:07:48. > :07:55.of the attack that took place on London Bridge and the borrower. It

:07:56. > :07:59.shows the importance of fully staffed police service. I do thank

:08:00. > :08:07.the police further work last night -- last weekend and today. It is an

:08:08. > :08:12.enormous honour to be elected to represent Islington North for the

:08:13. > :08:15.ninth time in Parliament. And I'm very, very honoured and humbled by

:08:16. > :08:20.the size of the vote that has been cast for me tonight as the Labour

:08:21. > :08:25.candidate. And I pledge to represent the people of Islington North in the

:08:26. > :08:29.best weather I possibly can. And to continue to learn from them as well

:08:30. > :08:33.as represent them at the same time, because I believe representation is

:08:34. > :08:37.as much about listening as about telling other people. And so I do

:08:38. > :08:43.thank the people their support. I also want to say a huge thank you to

:08:44. > :08:46.Islington North Labour party, two our agent Catherine Sloan, and all

:08:47. > :08:50.the other people who've worked so hard in this campaign. And

:08:51. > :08:53.unfortunately, are maybe fortunately for them, I have been on the road

:08:54. > :08:58.for the last six weeks, so they have been holding the fort. I am very

:08:59. > :09:05.grateful to them for all they have done. I am also very grateful to all

:09:06. > :09:11.of my family, and to my wife, and to all the people that have worked so

:09:12. > :09:15.hard in our team at Labour Party head office, as well as in the

:09:16. > :09:19.constituency office here, for achieving this incredible result

:09:20. > :09:22.tonight in Islington, and the results that are coming in from all

:09:23. > :09:27.over the country. In terms of Islington, this is the highest

:09:28. > :09:31.turnout at any election is in Islington since 1951. It is the

:09:32. > :09:34.largest ever vote received for a winning candidate ever in the

:09:35. > :09:38.history of this borrower. I of it, very humble and grateful to the

:09:39. > :09:50.people of Islington for this great result. This election was called in

:09:51. > :09:57.order for the Prime Minister to gain a large majority in order to assert

:09:58. > :10:00.her authority. And the election campaign has gone on for the past

:10:01. > :10:04.six weeks. I have travelled the whole country. I have spoken at

:10:05. > :10:09.events and rallies all over the country. And you know what? Politics

:10:10. > :10:13.has changed. And politics is not going back into the box where it was

:10:14. > :10:18.before. What has happened is people have said they have had quite enough

:10:19. > :10:23.of austerity politics. They have had quite enough of cuts in public

:10:24. > :10:27.expenditure, underfunding the health service, schools, the education

:10:28. > :10:30.service, and not giving our young people the chance they deserve in

:10:31. > :10:37.our society. And I'm very, very proud of the campaign that my party

:10:38. > :10:40.has run, our manifesto for the many not the few. And I'm very proud of

:10:41. > :10:46.the results coming in all over the country tonight, of people voting

:10:47. > :10:48.for hope, voting for hope for the future, and turning their backs on

:10:49. > :10:56.austerity. CHEERING.

:10:57. > :11:02.And so if there is a message from tonight's result, it is this. The

:11:03. > :11:07.Prime Minister called the election because she wanted a mandate. When

:11:08. > :11:11.the mandate she has got is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost

:11:12. > :11:16.support and lost confidence. I would've that Tsenov to go,

:11:17. > :11:19.actually, and make way for a government that will be truly

:11:20. > :11:28.representative of all the people of this country.

:11:29. > :11:31.And so, we await the rest of the results. But I can assure you of

:11:32. > :11:36.this. In the new parliament we will do everything we can to ensure that

:11:37. > :11:40.everything we have said in this campaign, and everything that is

:11:41. > :11:45.included in our manifesto, is put before Parliament, so that this

:11:46. > :11:50.country can be a different and, I believe, fundamentally better place.

:11:51. > :11:55.The participation in this election by many who have not participated in

:11:56. > :11:58.elections before shows the determination to do something very

:11:59. > :12:03.differently in this country. And take a different stance towards the

:12:04. > :12:08.rest of the world. And I'm very proud of what we have achieved here

:12:09. > :12:13.in Islington. I'm very proud of the campaign our party as waste in this

:12:14. > :12:18.election campaign. And I'm very confident of the future of the

:12:19. > :12:23.future that we will grow even faster and further, and that we will be

:12:24. > :12:29.able to carry out those pledges in our manifesto. To properly fund

:12:30. > :12:34.health, education, social care, and give all of our young people a real

:12:35. > :12:39.chance for a future, free from debt and full of opportunity. To the

:12:40. > :12:44.people of Islington, I say thank you very much indeed. To the people of

:12:45. > :12:47.this country, I say thank you to all those who have given such support

:12:48. > :12:50.and such confidence in the Labour Party, and thank you to all those

:12:51. > :12:56.all over the country who fought so hard for this day. We will carry on

:12:57. > :13:00.because we believe in a better future for all. Thank you all very

:13:01. > :13:07.much indeed. CHEERING.

:13:08. > :13:11.Jeremy Corbyn says it is time for Theresa May to go and make way for

:13:12. > :13:17.them. We have not had the count from Maidenhead. We will stay with

:13:18. > :13:21.Maidenhead. When we get the count at least we will be there for the

:13:22. > :13:25.count. No doubt Theresa May will have some words to say about the

:13:26. > :13:29.outcome of the election as a whole. Or maybe she will just stick to

:13:30. > :13:33.thank you. It will be interesting to see if she does. She has been

:13:34. > :13:37.criticised for not being fulsome in the campaign, giving very little

:13:38. > :13:43.detail of what she plans to do. She is not the kind of politician, one

:13:44. > :13:48.of the criticisms levelled at her, who is nimble. That has caused such

:13:49. > :13:53.trouble. This is a fascinating night. I am

:13:54. > :13:59.going to take you to Scotland. We have 15 Labour gains. This one from

:14:00. > :14:04.the SNP in East Lothian. Once again we are seeing it is turning out to

:14:05. > :14:13.be a tough night for the SNP. Gains for the Conservatives. Not quite as

:14:14. > :14:19.dramatic swing as we saw in those earlier Tory gains. 8.5%. This is

:14:20. > :14:24.much more than they needed. This was gained in the Scottish parliament by

:14:25. > :14:30.Labour. They will be very pleased to have this. Gordon Brown's old seat

:14:31. > :14:36.of Kirkcaldy. We thought it was safe. It was taken last time round.

:14:37. > :14:44.Roger Morlan is out and Lesley Laird takes his place. Very tightly

:14:45. > :14:50.fought. The 23,000 majority under Gordon Brown. The SNP toggled on

:14:51. > :14:58.9000. This is a slim majority. 259. They got this on more than a 9%

:14:59. > :15:02.swing. 9.7%. Two more games for the Conservatives. This time it is

:15:03. > :15:11.Aberdeen South. It has been taken from Callum McCaig of the SNP. This

:15:12. > :15:15.was number 97 on their target list. 15%, the swing. We have seen the

:15:16. > :15:21.Conservatives in the region. 15 to 16% when they are taking those seats

:15:22. > :15:28.from the SNP. Labour were in second place. It was thought to be a Tory

:15:29. > :15:32.target. And Eire and Carrick. We thought it was safe SNP. You can see

:15:33. > :15:40.what has happened. The Conservatives on 40%. The SNP moving backwards,

:15:41. > :15:45.down 15%. This was gained from Labour in 2015. That kind of

:15:46. > :15:47.churning going from Labour to the SNP to the Conservatives shows that

:15:48. > :16:05.Scotland is up in the air. And also Peterborough and Bedford.

:16:06. > :16:11.Am told that Labour is expecting to win Canterbury in Kent. That has

:16:12. > :16:16.been held by the Conservatives since 1918. If that is confirmed, that

:16:17. > :16:22.would be the most dramatic example yet of a seat that looked impossible

:16:23. > :16:25.for Labour, unless we saw significant youth turnout. The big

:16:26. > :16:31.question was that we didn't know how the electorate would answer it, the

:16:32. > :16:42.younger part of the electorate who traditionally have stayed at home,

:16:43. > :16:47.seem to have turned out in droves. What have you got there? Bath is an

:16:48. > :16:52.interesting one. Chris Patten famously lost here in 1952. This is

:16:53. > :16:56.an up moment for the Lib Dems on a night which has brought gains and

:16:57. > :17:00.losses for them and some sad faces in Sheffield Hallam when Nick Clegg

:17:01. > :17:07.lost. But the Lib Dems have gained this one, the seat of Bath, from the

:17:08. > :17:13.Conservatives. They needed a 4.1% swing. They have got it on a 9.8%

:17:14. > :17:24.swing to the Lib Dems. Ukip got 7% of the vote here and that has gone

:17:25. > :17:31.now. You were just talking about Peterborough. This was number 16 on

:17:32. > :17:37.the Labour target list, very tightly fought. Just a percentage point

:17:38. > :17:41.between them. Ukip stood down here again, which the Tories might have

:17:42. > :17:50.thought would help them retain the seat, but it has gone on a swing

:17:51. > :17:53.towards Labour of 2.7%. Nobody would forget Chris Patten's face when he

:17:54. > :17:58.was chairman of the Conservative Party and fought the campaign but

:17:59. > :18:02.lost his own seat. That was in 1992. Here is Maidenhead. There is the

:18:03. > :18:08.Prime Minister on the left. We will hear the result of the Maidenhead

:18:09. > :18:13.vote. No risk of losing the seat. But there is a risk to her political

:18:14. > :18:21.future. Look at the array of candidates. Stay with us why we hear

:18:22. > :18:35.how each of them has done. UK Independence Party, 871.

:18:36. > :18:55.Independent, 16. Lord bucket head, 249. Hill, Anthony

:18:56. > :19:12.Charles, known as Tony Hill, Liberal Democrats, 6540. Hope, Alan, the

:19:13. > :19:30.official Monster Raving Loony Party, 119. Andrew Knight, animal welfare

:19:31. > :19:35.party, 282. Me, Theresa May, the Conservative Party candidate, 37,000

:19:36. > :19:49.718. -- 37,718. Patrick Meek Donald,

:19:50. > :20:25.Labour Party, 11200 and 61. -- 11261. The just political party,

:20:26. > :20:40.52. Bobby Smith, three. Grant Smith, independent, 152. Victor Edmonds,

:20:41. > :20:48.Christian peoples Alliance, 69. Green Party, 907. The number of

:20:49. > :20:58.ballot papers rejected was as follows. Want of official Mark,

:20:59. > :21:06.zero. Voting for more candidates than the vote was entitled to, 19.

:21:07. > :21:12.Writing or mark by which the voter could be identified, three. Being

:21:13. > :21:24.unmarked or wholly void for uncertainty, 86. Rejected in part,

:21:25. > :21:36.zero. Total rejected votes, 108. I hereby declare that Theresa May, the

:21:37. > :21:40.Conservative Party candidate, has been elected. That is a good example

:21:41. > :21:44.of what English democracy throws up in these seats where the Prime

:21:45. > :21:48.Minister is. You get every Tom, Dick and Harry coming in on standing. I

:21:49. > :21:57.reckon they made ?5,000 in lost deposits. But here is Theresa May to

:21:58. > :22:01.speak. Thank you very much. First of all, on behalf of myself and all of

:22:02. > :22:05.the candidates, may I thank the returning officer and all her staff

:22:06. > :22:10.for the hard work they have put in today in running this election in

:22:11. > :22:15.the Maidenhead constituency. Can I also thank the police, who have had

:22:16. > :22:22.an extra job here tonight in ensuring the security of this event.

:22:23. > :22:24.And thank you to all those who have once again supported me as the

:22:25. > :22:31.member of Parliament for Maidenhead. It is a huge honour and a privilege

:22:32. > :22:35.to be elected as the member of Parliament for this constituency,

:22:36. > :22:39.and I pledge that I will continue to work for all my constituents, as I

:22:40. > :22:46.have done over the period that I have been your member of Parliament.

:22:47. > :22:51.This is a wonderful constituency and I look forward to continuing to work

:22:52. > :22:53.with you and to see further improvements for the lives of those

:22:54. > :22:59.living in the Maidenhead constituency. As we look more widely

:23:00. > :23:04.across the country, returns are of course still coming in. We have yet

:23:05. > :23:10.to see the full picture emerging. Votes are still being counted. But

:23:11. > :23:14.at this time, more than anything else, this country needs a period of

:23:15. > :23:20.stability. If, as the indications have shown, the Conservative Party

:23:21. > :23:26.has won the most seats and probably the most votes, it will be incumbent

:23:27. > :23:30.on us to ensure that we have a period of stability and that is what

:23:31. > :23:34.we will do. I would like to thank all of those across the country who

:23:35. > :23:42.have voted for the Conservative Party today. As we ran this

:23:43. > :23:46.campaign, we set out to consider the issues that are the key priorities

:23:47. > :23:51.for the British people - getting the Brexit deal right, ensuring that we

:23:52. > :23:56.both identify and show how we can address the big challenges facing

:23:57. > :24:00.our country, doing what is in the national interest. That is always

:24:01. > :24:07.what I have tried to do in my time as a member of Parliament. And my

:24:08. > :24:12.resolve to do that is the same this morning as it always has been. As we

:24:13. > :24:20.look ahead and we wait to see what the final results will be, I know

:24:21. > :24:26.the country needs a period of stability. Whatever the results are,

:24:27. > :24:32.the Conservative Party will ensure that we will fulfil our duty in

:24:33. > :24:38.ensuring that stability so that we can all go forward together. Thank

:24:39. > :24:44.you. A curious choice of words. The country needs a period of stability,

:24:45. > :24:49.suggesting that it is not a full parliament she is thinking of. I

:24:50. > :24:53.think that is true. Ministers privately now say that clearly, they

:24:54. > :24:58.do not expect to outperform the exit poll. We saw a very shaky Theresa

:24:59. > :25:02.May there, who does not expect to be walking back into Downing Street

:25:03. > :25:05.with a majority. Of course, it will only be in the hours to come that we

:25:06. > :25:11.can confirm whether that is the case. But I think her wording

:25:12. > :25:16.certainly implied that very heavily. She said there are still votes to be

:25:17. > :25:21.counted, but if we are the largest party with the largest number of

:25:22. > :25:27.votes, she said very carefully, it would be incumbent upon us to form a

:25:28. > :25:30.government. So in the Prime Minister's own words, she chose to

:25:31. > :25:35.mention the formulation that suggests a hung parliament - the

:25:36. > :25:41.largest number of votes and the largest number of seats. But that is

:25:42. > :25:44.half the story. She inherited a lead of 100 seats over Labour. She will

:25:45. > :25:50.probably end up with a lead of 50 seats over Labour. She inherited a

:25:51. > :25:57.seven percentage point lead over Labour in the last popular vote. So

:25:58. > :26:01.yes, she is factually correct, the Conservatives are ahead on votes and

:26:02. > :26:06.seats, but by only about half the Amanda David Cameron achieved two

:26:07. > :26:12.years ago. She now has to contend with the horror of her Parliamentary

:26:13. > :26:15.party. James Forsyth, the political editor of the Spectator, tweeted, do

:26:16. > :26:21.not underestimate the fury of the Parliament drew party. They are

:26:22. > :26:27.spitting. So Theresa May now has to try and find a way of communicating

:26:28. > :26:31.that she is the right leader, if she believes she is. Tim Farron has

:26:32. > :26:35.retained his seat, the leader of the Liberal Democrats. What has happened

:26:36. > :26:40.over the last hour is that we have revised our forecast down a bit from

:26:41. > :26:46.the Conservatives' point of view. Jeremy, you have those figures.

:26:47. > :26:52.Let's look inside our virtual House of Commons. It is revised in the

:26:53. > :26:56.Conservatives' they've very slightly. We started the night by

:26:57. > :27:04.saying the exit poll had them on 314. It is now tempered by some of

:27:05. > :27:09.the results we have had in. We have now got them on 318, down 13 seats

:27:10. > :27:14.from the last general election two years ago but up from where we

:27:15. > :27:18.started. Crucially, it is not crossed the line of three to six,

:27:19. > :27:27.which is just above half the number of MPs in the House of Commons --

:27:28. > :27:30.326. So it looks like the Conservatives will not have their

:27:31. > :27:37.majority in the House of Commons. We have slightly adjusted the Labour

:27:38. > :27:43.figure, up one. The SNP are on 32, a bad night for them. The Liberal

:27:44. > :27:47.Democrats, notwithstanding the Tim Farron news we just had, not doing

:27:48. > :27:52.as well as we thought at the start of evening. Plaid Cymru are still

:27:53. > :28:02.there with their three seats on the greens with their once it. -- the

:28:03. > :28:07.greens with their once it. All kinds of other mathematics start to come

:28:08. > :28:14.in. Sinn Fein MPs could be six by the end of the night. Take those six

:28:15. > :28:22.away because they don't attend the House of Commons. The Conservatives

:28:23. > :28:26.are still not quite there, but it brings it a tiny bit closer. The DUP

:28:27. > :28:33.may have nine MPs by the end of the night. There are natural allies for

:28:34. > :28:37.the Conservatives in this situation. So if you add the nine to the

:28:38. > :28:41.Conservatives' 318, you get 327. But take a whirl around the House of

:28:42. > :28:48.Commons with me now. Yes, there is a lot of blue. But a strengthened

:28:49. > :28:51.Labour Party, a diminished SNP, a few more Lib Dems. It is really

:28:52. > :28:59.going to be very complicated politics in here with many more

:29:00. > :29:04.hours of conversation to come. It did go up to 322 at one point, so

:29:05. > :29:14.the Conservative figure is moving around. Eastbourne has been taken by

:29:15. > :29:21.the Liberal Democrats. Nick Robinson is in Islington. Let's join him

:29:22. > :29:25.before he has to do the today show. It is extraordinary being here at my

:29:26. > :29:31.local leisure centre and Jeremy Corbyn's local national centre, a

:29:32. > :29:34.place where he has come for election after election. The result has

:29:35. > :29:37.always been predictable and just as predictable has been the fact that

:29:38. > :29:42.no one beyond these walls would listen to a single word he said. And

:29:43. > :29:45.yet that figure, the maverick, stood on a stage here and effectively

:29:46. > :29:52.called on the Prime Minister to quit and make him Prime Minister instead

:29:53. > :29:57.and suddenly, that doesn't sound absurd. Contrast that with the face

:29:58. > :30:02.of Theresa May, the look of a woman defeated, heavily made up as if she

:30:03. > :30:05.had been in tears earlier, her voice cracking at times, I thought,

:30:06. > :30:09.declaring that she would provide the stability the country needed. But

:30:10. > :30:13.nothing like what she said she wanted to do, which was to have that

:30:14. > :30:17.big majority which would deliver the country a strong mandate to

:30:18. > :30:29.negotiate and deliver Brexit. We're going to Boston and Skegness.

:30:30. > :30:40.Paul Nuttall, the leader of Ukip, fighting that seat.

:30:41. > :30:45.Matthew Warman, 27,000 271. The number of ballot papers rejected was

:30:46. > :30:50.as follows. Voting for more candidates than the vote was

:30:51. > :30:57.entitled to, 11. A pretty humiliating defeat for Paul

:30:58. > :31:06.Nuttall. 3308 only. Boston and Skegness. The highest area of Vote

:31:07. > :31:17.Leave macro. Nearly three quarters voted to leave. Not giving him any

:31:18. > :31:23.traction for Ukip. Let's go back to Nick Robinson. It will be no

:31:24. > :31:29.surprise to you that Paul Nuttall did not do very well in Boston. Only

:31:30. > :31:35.got 3000 votes. Just finish the point you were making. Sorry to have

:31:36. > :31:38.interrupted you. Even a few hours ago when I was outside Jeremy

:31:39. > :31:45.Corbyn's house, they were looking at those results to see just how much

:31:46. > :31:49.will we have managed to cut Theresa May's majority. When they arrived

:31:50. > :31:53.for the count, people were seriously asking questions about whether they

:31:54. > :31:57.might be the largest party. About whether Jeremy Corbyn might in

:31:58. > :32:02.certain circumstances be our next Prime Minister. I don't think that

:32:03. > :32:05.is their central expectation but I know they have left this building to

:32:06. > :32:10.give that proper and serious thought. They know that he is now in

:32:11. > :32:13.play. That's the decisions he makes will matter not just for the future

:32:14. > :32:21.direction of the Labour Party, but the future direction of the country.

:32:22. > :32:25.Just a few weeks ago that would have seemed completely implausible not

:32:26. > :32:29.just to most commentators but to Mr Corbyn himself. He has been placed

:32:30. > :32:32.in a position of power ahead of perhaps the most difficult political

:32:33. > :32:37.negotiations this country has seen since the Second World War. A

:32:38. > :32:44.position of power he never, ever dreamt of. You were hearing Theresa

:32:45. > :32:49.May. What do you think she will actually do know? Clearly she is

:32:50. > :32:52.severely damaged by this result, particularly when she called an

:32:53. > :32:57.election after she said she wouldn't. She has an election that

:32:58. > :33:01.batters her reputation in the course of the campaign and the result.

:33:02. > :33:08.Where does that leave her in the Tory party and in Parliament? There

:33:09. > :33:11.are two answers. Where does it leave her in her mind? Probably doing her

:33:12. > :33:18.duty. In other words, forming a government. If she has the most

:33:19. > :33:22.seats and the most votes. The second question is, where does it leave her

:33:23. > :33:25.in the minds of her own Cabinet, her own party? Will they take the view

:33:26. > :33:30.that she has gambled and lost big-time, and therefore has to be

:33:31. > :33:36.punished for it? The difficulty with that scenario is wondering who would

:33:37. > :33:40.replace. If the Tory party were looking for a charismatic figure who

:33:41. > :33:44.could give hope to the public at a future election, they would turn to

:33:45. > :33:48.Boris Johnson, no doubt. If instead the job is not about winning the

:33:49. > :33:52.election but the job is about doing a deal in Europe about those

:33:53. > :33:57.negotiations, Boris Johnson would be regarded as deeply implausible, not

:33:58. > :34:00.just in Brussels but by many others Cabinet colleagues. And that is the

:34:01. > :34:04.place the Tories now find themselves. Do they focus on the

:34:05. > :34:11.talks in Europe or do they focus on the possibility of another election

:34:12. > :34:15.sometime soon, which Theresa May, it looks impossible for her to run

:34:16. > :34:21.again. And if she did, she would surely lose.

:34:22. > :34:25.There is never any lack of ambition on the Tory backbenches. Let's be

:34:26. > :34:29.clear about that. But exactly as Nick points out, this is a very

:34:30. > :34:33.curious position the Tories find themselves in. They ran on

:34:34. > :34:38.competence, and being a safe pair of hands. Theresa May became Prime

:34:39. > :34:41.Minister because she was the last grown-up left standing after the

:34:42. > :34:47.Tory bloodbath over the referendum. But what do they do know? How can

:34:48. > :34:54.they try in another general election to cling back that message of hope?

:34:55. > :34:57.Ishii in a position to change her government? Is she in a position to

:34:58. > :35:05.get rid of the Exchequer, which everybody said she would want to do,

:35:06. > :35:09.after screwing up the budget? It will be much more pressed upon her

:35:10. > :35:13.to take the Council of other people. There will be speculation about

:35:14. > :35:17.whether or not she can cling on as the party leader. One senior Tory

:35:18. > :35:22.has just said to me in terms of asking her if she can stay on, the

:35:23. > :35:27.point is with Brexit looming over everything, it is a pretty bad time

:35:28. > :35:31.to mock about. And I think our first instinct would be to try to convey

:35:32. > :35:40.that message and stay on. Let's have the latest games. Pretty dramatic

:35:41. > :35:43.gains for Labour. Warwick and Leamington, the kind of seat you

:35:44. > :35:49.would expect Labour to take if there were winning the election. This is a

:35:50. > :35:54.bellwether. Labour won it under Tony Blair is three times. David Cameron

:35:55. > :36:03.won twice. A close share of the vote. A Labour game. They needed a

:36:04. > :36:08.6-point 5% swing. They have done it on 7.6. Astonishing to have taken

:36:09. > :36:12.this. Number 68 on their target list. Canterbury the same. This has

:36:13. > :36:20.been Conservatives since World War I. It had a majority of 9700. Not

:36:21. > :36:26.only that, Julian Brazier, the Conservative MP, has been here since

:36:27. > :36:30.1987. Rosie Duffield has just outed him in the seat of Canterbury in

:36:31. > :36:36.Kent. Not where you would expect a lot of Labour to appear. An extra

:36:37. > :36:41.ordinary surge in their share, up 20%. And you can see the

:36:42. > :36:47.Conservatives have made a tiny gains. That swing has been quite

:36:48. > :36:52.dramatic. 9.3. You can see further down my list a lot of the Lib Dem

:36:53. > :37:04.holes. Tom Brake thought he might be in danger. It is a very Leave part

:37:05. > :37:08.of south London. But he stays in there. He once said it could be the

:37:09. > :37:12.hardest election he has ever fought. It may well have been. You can see

:37:13. > :37:20.what kind of a swing it has been. Just towards the Conservatives of

:37:21. > :37:26.2.2. -- 0.2. Kingston has been taken by Ed Davy for the Lib Dems. Some of

:37:27. > :37:33.these old faces, Vince cable, Ed Davey, coming back in. 4124

:37:34. > :37:37.majority. Ed Davy will be very pleased to take this. A rather

:37:38. > :37:40.bittersweet night for the Lib Dems. They are seeing a former leader like

:37:41. > :37:47.Nick Clegg loses seat but some of the former MPs from last time around

:37:48. > :37:51.gained their seats. The Lib Dems have been making gains. Tim Farron

:37:52. > :37:58.we talked about. Not only has he held on in Westmoreland, but the

:37:59. > :38:02.9000 majority cut to 777. A massive swing in this part of the world away

:38:03. > :38:08.from the Lib Dems towards the Conservatives. He has held on. One

:38:09. > :38:13.more I just want to bring you. Norfolk North, Norman Lamb thought

:38:14. > :38:20.he might be in danger. But he has, pop -- probably on a personal

:38:21. > :38:26.popular vote, stays. The Green Party did not stand. That may have helped

:38:27. > :38:33.the Lib Dems. A 0.7% swing towards the Conservatives but he did well to

:38:34. > :38:39.hang on. One more. Case in -- Caithness Sutherland and Easter

:38:40. > :38:47.Ross. The Lib Dems lost that seat in 2015. The SNP came in. The SNP

:38:48. > :38:53.gained it from third place. It is now Jamie Stone who replaces the Lib

:38:54. > :38:58.Dem John Thurso. He takes the seat back for the Lib Dems in Scotland.

:38:59. > :39:01.They are having a pretty good night. All the Unionist parties having a

:39:02. > :39:07.pretty good night against the SNP in Scotland. Let's have a look at that

:39:08. > :39:10.swing and see what has happened. Again, a pretty sturdy swing towards

:39:11. > :39:18.the Lib Dems from the SNP in Scotland. You can see all the Lib

:39:19. > :39:25.Dem gains here. Some of them are holes and some of them have been

:39:26. > :39:35.taken. Holds. Amber to extraordinary results for Labour. We are joined by

:39:36. > :39:39.Alex Salmond. First of all, your own result. Do you think you have held

:39:40. > :39:46.on? We will just have to wait and see. I feel we are sometime away

:39:47. > :39:51.from a result yet. It is a very large rural constituency as very --

:39:52. > :39:56.as well as a varied and rule one. Ballot boxes have to travel a long

:39:57. > :40:03.way in these parts. What you make of the net loss of 14 seats so far for

:40:04. > :40:09.the SNP? Yeah, but that is off the tsunami of 2015. I don't think I

:40:10. > :40:12.expected that to be repeated. I'm an old-fashioned type of politician and

:40:13. > :40:16.you are an old-fashioned type of interview. I reckon you win

:40:17. > :40:21.elections by winning more seats and more votes than any of the other

:40:22. > :40:26.parties. It looks like the SNP will have more seats in Scotland than the

:40:27. > :40:30.Unionist parties combined. On that measure the SNP will win the

:40:31. > :40:36.election. You call them the Unionist parties. They have made huge inroads

:40:37. > :40:41.into the SNP position. What were you, 56 in the last house of

:40:42. > :40:48.Commons? Yeah. There are two things. But the opinion polls didn't see was

:40:49. > :40:53.a late recovery in the Labour Party's fortunes. Ironically that

:40:54. > :40:58.was based on people impressed by Jeremy Corbyn. Many Yes supporters.

:40:59. > :41:06.Ironically again, that has cost the SNP some seats. Winning more seats

:41:07. > :41:09.than any other party is important in politics. Theresa May would love to

:41:10. > :41:15.be in a position now where she could say she is going to win a majority

:41:16. > :41:18.of seats across the UK. Given that the SNP looked like we might just

:41:19. > :41:22.have done it again in Scotland, you have to accord the SNP some credit

:41:23. > :41:28.despite losing some important colleagues. Does it make a second

:41:29. > :41:33.referendum on independence more likely are less likely? I think

:41:34. > :41:38.there will be a second Independence Referendum. It is a question of

:41:39. > :41:46.timing. A third irony of politics is that this -- SNP group will be going

:41:47. > :41:50.into a parliament where it looks as if it will be very influential

:41:51. > :41:54.indeed. That influence will be used on behalf of Scotland and on behalf

:41:55. > :41:58.of Scottish democracy to defend the Scottish Parliament. People in

:41:59. > :42:03.Scotland have the right to expect, if they elect SNP MPs in large

:42:04. > :42:06.numbers, they will turn out to be influential in the next Parliament.

:42:07. > :42:14.That looks at what is gone to happen. You don't yet know what is

:42:15. > :42:20.going to happen over Brexit. You wanted to remain in the EU. That may

:42:21. > :42:27.still be possible, I suppose, if Parliament is in total confusion. Do

:42:28. > :42:33.you think there is a chance of the SNP... Yeah, on a balanced

:42:34. > :42:37.parliament we would be in a position of great influence. We would seek a

:42:38. > :42:42.progressive alternative to Tory rule. Let's talk plainly. If there

:42:43. > :42:47.is no Conservative majority, Theresa May will not be Prime Minister

:42:48. > :42:50.within the next 48 hours. You couldn't possibly survive having

:42:51. > :42:54.called an election unnecessarily, failed to win a majority in

:42:55. > :42:59.continuous Prime Minister. Boris Johnson is already on manoeuvres. It

:43:00. > :43:02.doesn't surprise me. It certainly doesn't surprise me giving the --

:43:03. > :43:08.given the glaring deficiencies of Theresa May which have been exposed

:43:09. > :43:10.on this election campaign. The SNP will use their position of

:43:11. > :43:15.substantial influence to get the best deal they can for Scotland and

:43:16. > :43:19.make sure we don't fall off that Brexit cliff edge which Theresa May

:43:20. > :43:24.was careering the country towards. What do you make of what she said in

:43:25. > :43:28.Maidenhead? If they have the largest number of seats and the largest

:43:29. > :43:34.popular vote, their responsibility, their duty, is to restore stability.

:43:35. > :43:41.That doesn't sound as if she is quitting any time soon. It sounded

:43:42. > :43:50.like bravado to me. Consistency has not been one of the hallmarks of Mrs

:43:51. > :43:54.May over recent weeks. This declaration, I shall continue

:43:55. > :43:58.regardless of the verdict of the people, is total nonsense. It isn't

:43:59. > :44:04.clear, David, who has won this election. That is certainly true.

:44:05. > :44:07.But it is very, very clear who has lost the election. That is the Prime

:44:08. > :44:12.Minister. She should face the consequences. Thank you. As we were

:44:13. > :44:17.talking, you could see Nicola Sturgeon, the Beaver of the SNP in

:44:18. > :44:21.Scotland at her account. We are going to go to Twickenham. And

:44:22. > :44:28.joined Vince Cable. He took this seat. Vince Cable: -- good evening,

:44:29. > :44:33.congratulations on your victory. You said it would be a tough fight and

:44:34. > :44:35.you pulled it off. What do you make of the position of the Liberal

:44:36. > :44:44.Democrats now and their role in the new parliament? Within the last few

:44:45. > :44:47.minutes we have heard we have held Carshalton in Kingston, I believe

:44:48. > :44:51.Richmond is hanging by a thread. We're down to three figures. We are

:44:52. > :44:56.doing well in London. We are doing extremely well in Scotland. Norman

:44:57. > :45:02.Lamb has held on in very difficult circumstances. Tim Farron. We are

:45:03. > :45:06.going to get a significant increase in our Parliamentary party. We are

:45:07. > :45:11.still mid teens. We have made very clear in terms of the big picture

:45:12. > :45:14.that we are not going into coalition are packeds with other parties.

:45:15. > :45:17.Obviously we want to be constructive. Be an opposition party

:45:18. > :45:29.that gives constructive criticism. Clearly, the whole Brexit approach

:45:30. > :45:34.is going to have to be rethought, and we will contribute to that.

:45:35. > :45:37.Personal care also became a big issue. It is now clear that parties

:45:38. > :45:43.will have to work together rather than shout at each other in this

:45:44. > :45:47.different political landscape. How do you think Brexit can be

:45:48. > :45:53.rethought? The mantra has been that Brexit means Brexit, meaning you

:45:54. > :45:58.can't be in the single market. You are saying that can be turned on its

:45:59. > :46:07.head? Well, the phrase Brexit means Brexit was always nonsense. It was

:46:08. > :46:12.always possible to pursue a form of Brexit that means keeping the

:46:13. > :46:18.customs union and keeping a lot of the collaborative arrangements that

:46:19. > :46:23.have been very good for the UK. That is the kind of approach we will have

:46:24. > :46:26.to rethink. The hard Ukip style Brexit that Theresa May had adopted

:46:27. > :46:30.is no longer a viable option. But are you saying it will not be

:46:31. > :46:36.politically possible for her to pursue that if she doesn't have a

:46:37. > :46:42.majority in the House of Commons? Well, we don't know the arithmetic,

:46:43. > :46:44.but to take an obvious point, the Government were proposing to

:46:45. > :46:49.introduce a Great Repeal Bill that would have got rid of a lot of

:46:50. > :46:54.regulatory aspects of the European Union around a single market. I

:46:55. > :46:57.doubt that in the current House of Commons that has been elected

:46:58. > :47:03.tonight, that that will be feasible. They will have to compromise. They

:47:04. > :47:09.will have to find a way of accommodating the concerns of the

:47:10. > :47:12.48% who voted to remain. Well just watching pictures of the Prime

:47:13. > :47:16.Minister returning to London from Maidenhead. Vince Cable, what is

:47:17. > :47:23.your reaction to Nick Clegg's defeat in Sheffield? I am very sad for him.

:47:24. > :47:29.I had a defeat two years ago and it is painful. He will be looked upon

:47:30. > :47:34.by historians as a major figure. With hindsight, the period of

:47:35. > :47:37.coalition government was a period of stability and competent, successful

:47:38. > :47:42.government. He was one of the main architects of that and deserves

:47:43. > :47:45.credit for it. He will be a big loss to us and to Parliament because of

:47:46. > :47:54.his expertise and understanding of European issues. Thank you for

:47:55. > :48:01.joining us. We have now had 439 seats in and we have 211 to go.

:48:02. > :48:04.Labour have gained 20. The Conservatives are down nine. The

:48:05. > :48:17.Liberal Democrats are up four and the SNP are down 14. Ukip down one.

:48:18. > :48:20.It looks as if the Conservatives will have 44% of the vote at the end

:48:21. > :48:26.of the night across Great Britain. That is what Tony Blair got in his

:48:27. > :48:31.landslide in 1997. 44% was what Margaret Thatcher got in her

:48:32. > :48:36.landslide in 1983. Remember the Conservative vote is up, so why are

:48:37. > :48:43.they doing so badly? Because we are back to party politics in England.

:48:44. > :48:49.When you had three parties, 40% gave you a landslide. Into party

:48:50. > :48:53.politics, 44% looks grim. But in terms of the actual share of the

:48:54. > :48:56.vote, Theresa May can look Tony Blair and Margaret Thatcher in the

:48:57. > :49:01.face and say, I matched what you did. I am trying to think when I

:49:02. > :49:09.party got over 50% in the two party system. I think it is only about

:49:10. > :49:13.once since the war. Yes, but the two-party politics is crucifying the

:49:14. > :49:17.Conservative hopes of getting a majority. Their absolute vote is not

:49:18. > :49:24.that bad. Let's find out what is happening in Hastings. John Hunt is

:49:25. > :49:25.in Hastings. Is it true that there is a recap of what was Amber Rudd's

:49:26. > :49:43.seat? -- a recount? Can you hear me? This is Hastings, David. There is a

:49:44. > :50:05.recount going on. I am so sorry. Basically, the difference between

:50:06. > :50:09.votes is a few hundred. This is the constituency of the Home Secretary,

:50:10. > :50:14.Amber Rudd. She had a majority of over 4700 and it looks like at best,

:50:15. > :50:21.that has been diminished to something in the hundreds, if at

:50:22. > :50:25.all. So there is going to be a recount. It looks like there will

:50:26. > :50:35.not be a result for another hour or two here. It was 1955 that the

:50:36. > :50:41.Conservatives got 49.3% of the vote. Now we can go to Nicola Sturgeon,

:50:42. > :50:52.with a bit of luck. The First Minister of Scotland. You are

:50:53. > :50:56.currently down I don't know how many seats, it has just disappeared from

:50:57. > :51:03.my screen for some extraordinary reason. How many seats do you reckon

:51:04. > :51:09.you have lost? We are still waiting for the final tally. But we will

:51:10. > :51:15.have won more seats than the other parties combined. The SNP has won

:51:16. > :51:21.this election in Scotland. It will be our second best ever result in a

:51:22. > :51:25.Westminster election. That said, yes, we are disappointed to have a

:51:26. > :51:31.number of losses, not least the loss of Angus Robertson, who has been an

:51:32. > :51:35.outstanding MP for Murray and an exceptional leader of the SNP group

:51:36. > :51:38.in the House of Commons. So we have won this election, but we have some

:51:39. > :51:44.reflection to do on the reasons why we also suffered some losses. Is it

:51:45. > :51:48.right to say you have won the election? It is a UK election we are

:51:49. > :51:55.talking about. You got more seats in Scotland. But it is pretty damaging

:51:56. > :51:57.for you to have lost seats both to the Conservatives and the Liberal

:51:58. > :52:05.Democrats and to Labour, who were thought to have been wiped out in

:52:06. > :52:09.Scotland before this election. I am not trying to downplay the losses.

:52:10. > :52:15.But I do think it is legitimate to say the SNP has won the election in

:52:16. > :52:19.Scotland. We will have more seats in Scotland than all of the other

:52:20. > :52:23.parties combined and more votes than any other party. So by any

:52:24. > :52:29.definition, that is a winning of the election in Scotland. There have

:52:30. > :52:33.been a number of factors at play. There has been a late surge to

:52:34. > :52:38.Jeremy Corbyn across the UK, including in Scotland, which was not

:52:39. > :52:43.necessarily detected in the polls in the same way that it was elsewhere

:52:44. > :52:48.in the UK. Clearly, there is a post-Brexit uncertainty and

:52:49. > :52:54.independence is a factor in that. I will reflect on that in the days to

:52:55. > :52:59.come. Tonight is also a disaster for Theresa May. She called this

:53:00. > :53:02.election voluntarily. She didn't need to. She thought she could

:53:03. > :53:06.steam-roll the opposition and cruised to a landslide victory and

:53:07. > :53:09.she has left tonight facing a disastrous election results. We will

:53:10. > :53:14.need to wait and see how the final results look in terms of what that

:53:15. > :53:18.means for the government of the UK. I hope the SNP can play a part in a

:53:19. > :53:24.progressive alternative to a Tory government, but we will have to see

:53:25. > :53:29.how the final results tally. You want both independent and you want

:53:30. > :53:37.to remain in the EU. Both those aims, have they been improved by

:53:38. > :53:40.this result and if so, how? Well, I will take time to reflect on this.

:53:41. > :53:44.It is four o'clock in the morning and like all politicians, I have not

:53:45. > :53:49.had any sleep in quite some time. So I am not going to rush to hasty

:53:50. > :53:54.judgments. But clearly, there is thinking for me to do about the SNP

:53:55. > :53:58.result. I am not going to lose sight of the fact that the SNP has won

:53:59. > :54:03.this election, but I am going to gloss over the fact that we have

:54:04. > :54:09.suffered some losses. Once we know the final result tomorrow, it is

:54:10. > :54:13.likely that the SNP will be the third largest party in Westminster,

:54:14. > :54:18.as we were in the last Parliament, if we can, we will want to be part

:54:19. > :54:22.of a progressive alliance that is an alternative to the Tories. But that

:54:23. > :54:27.will depend on how the arithmetic looks when the final results are in.

:54:28. > :54:33.And I use slightly chastened when you say you have won the election

:54:34. > :54:37.when you don't have over 50% of the popular vote in Scotland? It is only

:54:38. > :54:46.the electoral system that allows you to say you are the largest party. Is

:54:47. > :54:53.anybody listening to me right now is not going to hear someone try to

:54:54. > :55:01.overplay the SNP results. But when we have emerged with more votes and

:55:02. > :55:06.more seats than the other parties, it is OK to point to the fact that

:55:07. > :55:10.the SNP has won the election here. Before 2015, the largest number of

:55:11. > :55:15.seats the SNP had ever had was 11. Going into the 2015 election, we had

:55:16. > :55:20.six. We are likely to end up with about 30 when the final results are

:55:21. > :55:25.counted. So I am trying to be straight with you. I am not trying

:55:26. > :55:29.to gloss over some disappointing losses. But I think I am and have a

:55:30. > :55:35.point of the fact that we have won the election. I will reflect on the

:55:36. > :55:40.losses when we have analysed the reasons for that. No one could

:55:41. > :55:44.accuse you of being anything other than straight with us, Nicola

:55:45. > :55:51.Sturgeon. Thanks for talking to us. Let's go to Northern Ireland now.

:55:52. > :55:54.First of all, shots of the Prime Minister, coming back from

:55:55. > :56:03.Maidenhead and presumably going to Number Ten Downing Street. The

:56:04. > :56:13.Northern Ireland story is interesting. We have the four main

:56:14. > :56:21.parties, five in all. Chris Payne is there. Fill us in on what has

:56:22. > :56:28.happened and what you think will happen in Northern Ireland? It has

:56:29. > :56:32.been an extraordinarily good night for the biggest two parties in

:56:33. > :56:35.Northern Ireland. The Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Fein. Their

:56:36. > :56:39.vote has surged. It has been a disastrous night for the nationalist

:56:40. > :56:44.SDLP. They went into this election with three seats. They have lost all

:56:45. > :56:49.three, their entire representation in the House of Commons. Not all of

:56:50. > :56:54.the results from Northern Ireland are in yet, but on the basis of what

:56:55. > :56:58.we have, I reckon the DUP are looking at ten seats, their best

:56:59. > :57:05.ever result in a Westminster election. Sinn Fein could be on for

:57:06. > :57:14.at least six, probably seven. Another seat has been won by an

:57:15. > :57:21.independent lady, Sylvia Hermon. The DUP are in a strong position. Their

:57:22. > :57:25.leader said the DUP would make their presence felt in the next

:57:26. > :57:29.Parliament. He referenced a number of issues such as counterterrorism,

:57:30. > :57:36.security, Brexit, the DUP in a strong pro-Brexit platform in this

:57:37. > :57:41.election, but also the future in Northern Ireland. The DUP think it

:57:42. > :57:44.has increased their hand when it comes to negotiations to restore the

:57:45. > :57:49.Stormont government which has not operated since January. The DUP will

:57:50. > :57:58.be in a strong position as a Brexit party and with Sinn Fein not taking

:57:59. > :58:02.their seats in the House of Commons. Yes, they have made that clear. No

:58:03. > :58:05.matter how tight things get in the House of Commons, Sinn Fein said

:58:06. > :58:10.that candidate stood on an abstention is ticket, therefore

:58:11. > :58:16.there is no way Sinn Fein will be taking their seats. With an increase

:58:17. > :58:21.in Sinn Fein's representation on six seats, it looks like they are likely

:58:22. > :58:24.to take a seventh in Fermanagh South, currently run by the Ulster

:58:25. > :58:29.Unionist Party. Ulster Unionist sources tell me they are worried

:58:30. > :58:34.about that seat. They have already lost their other seat to the DUP. So

:58:35. > :58:38.with Sinn Fein not taking their seats in the House of Commons and

:58:39. > :58:41.the SDLP losing their seats, it means there will no longer be any

:58:42. > :58:47.nationalist MPs from Northern Ireland sitting in the House of

:58:48. > :58:51.Commons and the vast majority, ten out of 11 MPs from Northern Ireland

:58:52. > :59:00.sitting in the House of Commons will be pro-Brexit. And you say they will

:59:01. > :59:03.play a hard game with the Prime Minister. They will be in a strong

:59:04. > :59:09.position with the Tory party not having an overall majority, to get

:59:10. > :59:13.what they want. That's right. Speaking to senior members of the

:59:14. > :59:17.DUP, they are emphasising that they realised they might be in an

:59:18. > :59:22.important position with regards to the stability of the country going

:59:23. > :59:27.into Brexit negotiations, and they will go into discussions in that

:59:28. > :59:32.spirit. However, the DUP are used to negotiations. Politics in Northern

:59:33. > :59:38.Ireland operates on negotiations a lot of the time. In the last

:59:39. > :59:41.election in 2015, a big part of their platform was that they

:59:42. > :59:44.expected there to be a hung parliament and that they would be

:59:45. > :59:48.best placed if they maximised their representation to get the best deal

:59:49. > :59:52.for Northern Ireland. This time, they were not expecting a hung

:59:53. > :59:55.parliament at all, didn't make it a big part of their campaign. But

:59:56. > :59:57.tonight, they have realised that they are in a strong position. Thank

:59:58. > :00:11.you. A word. Quick one person who is

:00:12. > :00:17.enjoying this evening more than his former colleagues is George Osborne.

:00:18. > :00:23.Now editor of the Evening Standard. He said today the worst thing she

:00:24. > :00:29.has done is no longer running through a wheat field. We have got a

:00:30. > :00:34.Dutch MEP who said Cameron gambled and lost, may gambled and lost, the

:00:35. > :00:39.Tory party beginning to look like a casino. This is one of the running

:00:40. > :00:48.themes of the night. We have got the front page of The Times newspaper.

:00:49. > :00:52.It is pretty brutal. Theresa May's big gamble fails. That will be the

:00:53. > :00:59.theme of all the headlines tomorrow. She has taken a massive gamble and

:01:00. > :01:05.it has backfired. Let's go to Wales. Sian Lloyd. All of the Cardiff

:01:06. > :01:11.Castles have finished and the results are in. They are all now

:01:12. > :01:16.Labour MPs. Cardiff North has been regained by Labour. It is a huge

:01:17. > :01:19.scalp. It was seen more as a safe Tory seat coming into this election.

:01:20. > :01:24.What we have seen in Wales is that Labour have held onto their seats

:01:25. > :01:28.and they have increased their majority, and they have taken seats

:01:29. > :01:33.from the Conservatives. They have taken the veil of clue it, they have

:01:34. > :01:41.taken Gower and Cardiff North. They have exceeded expectations that exit

:01:42. > :01:45.poll. Opinion polls said the Conservatives would do very well.

:01:46. > :01:50.There was still a suggestion of that in the exit poll. Labour has

:01:51. > :01:56.defended well. They haven't just defended, they have made games. We

:01:57. > :02:01.have been hearing from senior people who have been saying it has been

:02:02. > :02:05.down to two things. The Welsh Labour brand they have campaigned --

:02:06. > :02:10.campaign so strongly on. And also Jeremy Corbyn as well. They seem to

:02:11. > :02:12.be coming together. And the Conservatives in Wales already

:02:13. > :02:18.saying that they perhaps should have been fighting more on a Welsh

:02:19. > :02:24.Conservative brand. Those are the things we're hearing at the moment.

:02:25. > :02:28.Plaid Cymru, we're not exactly sure what sort of night it grin to be

:02:29. > :02:38.them. They have been relegated into third place. Labour increased their

:02:39. > :02:47.majority from 229 to most 5000 in Ennis Mone. -- Ynys Mon. There is a

:02:48. > :02:53.recount in Ceredigion. It is close between the Liberal Democrats and

:02:54. > :02:57.Plaid Cymru. There may not be any Morra Liberal Democrats in Wales. It

:02:58. > :03:04.is a recount. We now have a look at how things

:03:05. > :03:16.stand. Go to New Broadcasting House. The BBC headquarters. The

:03:17. > :03:24.Conservatives on 318. Labour on 267. This is a projection. The SMP on 32.

:03:25. > :03:26.The Liberal Democrats on 11. The Conservatives still the largest

:03:27. > :03:35.party but well short of an overall majority. I'm not quite sure how

:03:36. > :03:42.many seats in but a lot of seats in. We haven't got them all up. 484

:03:43. > :03:45.seats in. Just after four o'clock in the morning let's have the news.

:03:46. > :03:56.Here is rigid chakra Barty. Hello. With most 500 seats declared

:03:57. > :04:00.in the general election, Labour has done far better than many expected

:04:01. > :04:04.but the outcome remains uncertain. The Conservatives are on course to

:04:05. > :04:07.be the biggest party but without an overall majority. Jeremy Corbyn

:04:08. > :04:11.called on Theresa May to resign as your Mac. But Mrs May said the

:04:12. > :04:21.country needed a period of stability. Tom Bateman has the

:04:22. > :04:27.latest. She called this election early, a political gamble, the hope

:04:28. > :04:34.that she would transform the Tories' fragile majority with a huge win.

:04:35. > :04:46.Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off, without

:04:47. > :04:49.even a majority. If the Conservative Party have won the most seats and

:04:50. > :04:53.the most votes, it will be incumbent on us to make sure we have that

:04:54. > :05:00.period of stability. That is what we will do. You can see what the Labour

:05:01. > :05:04.leader makes of the results so far. A man his campaign confounded many

:05:05. > :05:13.expectations, beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a far better

:05:14. > :05:18.night than many thought. The Prime Minister called the election because

:05:19. > :05:22.she wanted a mandate. She has got lost seats, lost votes, lost support

:05:23. > :05:26.and lost confidence. I would've thought that is enough to go,

:05:27. > :05:28.actually, and make way for a government that will be truly

:05:29. > :05:35.representative of all of the people this country.

:05:36. > :05:39.In Battersea, Labour have ousted a government minister on a swing of

:05:40. > :05:45.10%. There have been Labour gains elsewhere in Stockton South and in

:05:46. > :05:52.Scotland. Senior figures already appeared delighted. Theresa May's

:05:53. > :05:55.authority has been undermined by this election. She is a damaged

:05:56. > :06:02.Prime Minister whose reputation may never recover. Just look at the mood

:06:03. > :06:06.in Hastings. Hardly beaming confidence where the Home Secretary

:06:07. > :06:17.is defending her seat. I'm just quietly waiting. It is not just the

:06:18. > :06:23.Tories suffering. In Sheffield, the Lib Dems former leader Nick Clegg

:06:24. > :06:27.has lost his seat. The light began with a big projection. The exit poll

:06:28. > :06:32.studied closely by the politician. Remember, it is still just a

:06:33. > :06:36.forecast. It had the Conservatives as the largest party but short of an

:06:37. > :06:43.overall majority. The Tories would have three and 14 seats, down 17 on

:06:44. > :06:51.two years ago. It puts Labour on 266, up 34. The SNP would get 34 and

:06:52. > :06:54.the Lib Dems 14. It was right to go to the country and ask them the

:06:55. > :06:59.question about what their views work, what people's views were about

:07:00. > :07:02.the direction they want for the future. There is encouraging news

:07:03. > :07:11.for the Conservatives in Scotland. They have taken the seat of SNP

:07:12. > :07:16.Westminster leader Angus Robertson. Democracy has been on full show.

:07:17. > :07:20.Ministers under threat, senior SNP figures gone, the Ukip vote

:07:21. > :07:24.collapsing in many places. Theresa May has left her constituency count.

:07:25. > :07:29.The election campaign has been an unpredictable journey for her.

:07:30. > :07:32.Already some Labour opponents saying tonight it should mean the end of

:07:33. > :07:40.the road for her premiership. But remember, there is still a way to go

:07:41. > :07:43.and more votes to be counted. The projected result of the vote has

:07:44. > :07:51.seen the pound weakened. Let's get the latest from Sharanjit Leyl. Tell

:07:52. > :07:56.us more? That is right. The most immediate reaction on the markets

:07:57. > :08:01.has been from the British pound. Sterling falling nearly 2% against

:08:02. > :08:04.the US dollar after the exit poll suggested the Conservative Party

:08:05. > :08:10.could lose its overall majority. The good news is that it continues to

:08:11. > :08:14.hold around the dollar and 27 mark. It hasn't fallen any further.

:08:15. > :08:19.Analysts say it is likely the pound will continue weak through the day

:08:20. > :08:23.because these early results suggest no clear winner. Given the political

:08:24. > :08:28.uncertainty that brings, the Brexit process could become to get it

:08:29. > :08:32.further. That is an uncertainty that markets and investors don't like.

:08:33. > :08:39.But having said that, most Asian markets at the moment are trading

:08:40. > :08:42.higher. The Nikkei up almost 1%. The Australian and Hong Kong markets

:08:43. > :08:46.fairly flat. No clear direction on how Asia is reacting. Thank you.

:08:47. > :09:06.Back to David. Welcome back to the election Centre.

:09:07. > :09:10.Welcome back to the house of commons, where we are now

:09:11. > :09:19.forecasting 318 for the Conservatives. Short of the

:09:20. > :09:21.majority. Labour on 267. There are many, many stories to be told

:09:22. > :09:27.tonight about what has happened. And Emily has a list of seats that have

:09:28. > :09:32.changed hands which we haven't yet caught up with.

:09:33. > :09:37.Labour is having a very good night in England. Leeds North West, Labour

:09:38. > :09:41.has taken from the Lib Dems. They needed a 3.4% swing to take this.

:09:42. > :09:49.They have doubled it. Nearly an 8-point swing. Greg Mulholland is

:09:50. > :09:53.out. Let me take you to Lincoln. This is the oldest constituency seat

:09:54. > :09:58.in the entire country. Founded in 1263. It is a Labour gain from the

:09:59. > :10:05.Conservatives. It has been pretty much a bellwether since the October

:10:06. > :10:08.election of 1974. Karen Lee has replaced Karl McCartney. Have a look

:10:09. > :10:14.at this change overnight. Labour up eight points. Ukip down ten. They

:10:15. > :10:23.got doubled the swing here as well. They needed 1.5 and they have got a

:10:24. > :10:29.3% swing. This is number 11 on the Labour target list. A tiny majority.

:10:30. > :10:34.806. If you want to see what that looks like as a swing, nearly 5%.

:10:35. > :10:41.Tony Blair won here for a Labour three times. Graham Evans is out,

:10:42. > :10:47.Mike Amesbury said. Some good news for the Conservatives in Scotland.

:10:48. > :10:50.Three seats they have taken from the SNP, Aberdeenshire West, Stirling

:10:51. > :10:54.and Berwickshire, which borders the one they're already had before this

:10:55. > :10:59.election, and you can see these tremendous swings away from the SMP

:11:00. > :11:07.towards the Conservatives. 14%, 11% and 11%. Everything has been up in

:11:08. > :11:17.the years since 2015. Some of those humongous swings of 13, 14%. One

:11:18. > :11:22.more. I will end with this. Edinburgh West has been gained by

:11:23. > :11:25.the Lib Dems. They are having a mixed night. A better night in

:11:26. > :11:34.Scotland. The Lib Dems taking this from the SNP. A swing 5.8%. On the

:11:35. > :11:39.back of these results what he can say is the one Tory having an

:11:40. > :11:47.excellent night is Davidson. We joined now by Jacob Rees Mogg. Ie

:11:48. > :12:00.When Somerset or Bristol? Are you in Taunton? I'm in Somerset. In Bath

:12:01. > :12:06.Bath University. You held your seat? I have, yes. Tell us about your view

:12:07. > :12:10.of what has happened? Was the Prime Minister guilty of hubris by running

:12:11. > :12:17.for this election when she said she wasn't going to? Is the result a

:12:18. > :12:24.disaster for the Conservative Party? No, neither of those things is true.

:12:25. > :12:29.And election was going to be inevitable after the Brexit result

:12:30. > :12:33.and of having a new Prime Minister. The new Prime Minister required a

:12:34. > :12:36.mandate. It was merely a question of time. As for the Conservative Party,

:12:37. > :12:40.we seem to be starting out today where we finished before the last

:12:41. > :12:44.parliament was dissolved. There isn't much change but there is some

:12:45. > :12:48.rotation. I think that will probably mean we continue to form the

:12:49. > :12:54.government. It is not a disaster but it is not as good as it could have

:12:55. > :12:57.been. It is quite strange to say you are where you were before this

:12:58. > :13:01.election when you did have a majority of 17 before the election.

:13:02. > :13:08.You know don't have a majority, it seems. Well, we haven't had all the

:13:09. > :13:14.seats in yet. It is not an enormous change. It is within the margin of

:13:15. > :13:18.error. She said she wanted to guarantee certainty and stability

:13:19. > :13:20.for the years ahead. Does this guarantee certainty and stability

:13:21. > :13:26.for more than a couple of months, perhaps? The British people are

:13:27. > :13:29.decided on the parliament they want and that is their right to do so. To

:13:30. > :13:41.be governed according to their democratic world. The certainty and

:13:42. > :13:46.security of the BBC reporting of the election. I congratulate you on your

:13:47. > :13:50.tenth successive election night. You may have an 11th in October. Time

:13:51. > :13:55.will tell. Leaving that aside for the moment, what do you think the

:13:56. > :14:02.Prime Minister should do about the Brexit negotiations due to start in

:14:03. > :14:07.11 days? Can it be pursued as nothing has happened? The Prime

:14:08. > :14:10.Minister is the Prime Minister and will pursue these negotiations. The

:14:11. > :14:15.very straightforward fact is that we leave the European Union at the end

:14:16. > :14:24.of 2019 and negotiations are a prelude to that. Whether we have had

:14:25. > :14:29.any negotiations are not, we leave in 2019. That is part of our law and

:14:30. > :14:34.the European treaties. Willoughby opposition in the Parliamentary

:14:35. > :14:37.party? You are a loyal supporter of the Prime Minister. But there will

:14:38. > :14:41.be people in the Conservative Party will feel this is a terrible error

:14:42. > :14:46.to have the election and it has done the party terrible damage, and she

:14:47. > :14:49.should take the blame because it was her decision, walking on the hills

:14:50. > :14:55.of Wales, that lead you where you are tonight? But I think the thing

:14:56. > :14:58.to remember is that George Osborne is no longer a member of the

:14:59. > :15:03.parliamentary party. He stood down. And although he may throw rocks from

:15:04. > :15:06.the Evening Standard, he is not in the House of Commons to cause

:15:07. > :15:11.trouble there. Why'd you mention George Osborne in particular? There

:15:12. > :15:12.are many others in the Tory party. I think you know what I am talking

:15:13. > :15:22.about. I am smiling because you have

:15:23. > :15:26.already reported his comments. Mrs May will have a good deal of

:15:27. > :15:32.support. She has only been the leader for under a year. She got in

:15:33. > :15:36.on contested. I don't think the Conservative Party is so fickle that

:15:37. > :15:42.it would not continue to back the Prime Minister. There appears to be

:15:43. > :15:45.somebody dismantling the set behind you and I don't want you to suffer

:15:46. > :15:56.the humiliation of being alone in the open air in some godforsaken

:15:57. > :16:07.part of Bath! I think the day the Lord gave us is ended. Thank you for

:16:08. > :16:10.joining us. Despite Jacob Rees Mogg's avowed loyalty to the Prime

:16:11. > :16:16.Minister, there is a conversation going on among the Conservatives.

:16:17. > :16:23.One former minister has said to me they find it hard to see how she can

:16:24. > :16:27.stay after this result. Even for a week? Tomorrow will potentially be a

:16:28. > :16:34.very eventful day. It will depend on the final numbers. Does it look like

:16:35. > :16:38.with Northern Irish votes, she can comfortably be in government? We are

:16:39. > :16:46.still in this situation where it feels very fragile. They used to be

:16:47. > :16:53.an old rule in the Conservative Party that senior members would come

:16:54. > :16:57.along and say to you in Number Ten, I'm sorry, your time is up, as they

:16:58. > :17:02.did to Margaret Thatcher. Do you think they might say that to her

:17:03. > :17:05.tomorrow? It is too early to say, but there are conversations among

:17:06. > :17:11.the Tory party going on at 4am over what to do tomorrow. It is not a

:17:12. > :17:17.question of everyone telling Theresa May, bad luck, you made a gamble and

:17:18. > :17:22.it didn't go as you expected but we will stand behind you. It is going

:17:23. > :17:25.to be more complicated. As a minimum, we are going to see demands

:17:26. > :17:31.saying that she must widen her circle. She must move away from this

:17:32. > :17:36.iron grip she has held within a tiny circle of trust. People may be

:17:37. > :17:40.calling for her to go. One minister is urging everybody to have a good

:17:41. > :17:46.night's sleep and a solution will be found that will not involve having

:17:47. > :17:50.another election. The Tories are pragmatists. It is not a good moment

:17:51. > :17:55.to change leader with the Brexit negotiations about to start. But we

:17:56. > :18:00.saw a very shaky Theresa May imply heavily that she will try to put a

:18:01. > :18:04.government together, but there are going to be real strains inside the

:18:05. > :18:08.Tory party that are already emerging in conversations tonight about

:18:09. > :18:12.whether they should take a different course of action. I am not saying

:18:13. > :18:16.she's going to be out in the morning, but it is not going to be a

:18:17. > :18:20.straightforward as Jacob Rees Mogg cheerily saying, of course we will

:18:21. > :18:23.line up behind the Prime Minister. We have pictures of Jeremy Corbyn

:18:24. > :18:33.arriving back home. He is the beneficiary of all this. And we have

:18:34. > :18:39.a declaration coming from Alex Salmond's constituency. I was going

:18:40. > :18:52.to ask you about Nick Timothy as well. There goes Mr Corbyn into his

:18:53. > :19:01.house. He was the result -- here is the result from Gordon. David Evans,

:19:02. > :19:18.Scottish Liberal Democrats, 6230. Scottish Labour Party, 6340. Alex

:19:19. > :19:34.Salmond, Scottish National Party, SNP, 19353.

:19:35. > :19:46.55 ballot papers were rejected. Total votes, 53740. Colin James

:19:47. > :19:51.Clark is duly elected to serve in the UK Parliament. So the

:19:52. > :19:54.Conservatives take Gordon and Alex Salmond, former leader of the SNP,

:19:55. > :20:00.loses his seat in the House of Commons. We heard from him a moment

:20:01. > :20:07.ago and here is the victorious Conservative candidate. Thank you to

:20:08. > :20:15.Jim savage in Aberdeenshire Council for tonight's count. When did Alex

:20:16. > :20:26.Salmond go into the House of Commons? I think in 1987 or 1992. He

:20:27. > :20:33.was leading until the referendum on independence. The Conservatives came

:20:34. > :20:39.not just from third place, but a distant third place a few years ago,

:20:40. > :20:42.11.7%. Under the old rules, they would have lost their deposits two

:20:43. > :20:48.years ago and now they have won deceit. It is remarkable. Those of

:20:49. > :20:54.us who watch Scottish politics closely have known from local

:20:55. > :20:58.election results in May that indeed, the SNP's vote was pivoting in

:20:59. > :21:02.Scotland away from the north-east, an area of traditional strength for

:21:03. > :21:06.the SNP, towards west central Scotland, towards Glasgow, towards

:21:07. > :21:10.the places where the independence vote was highest. And conversely,

:21:11. > :21:13.the advancing Conservative support which has been evident in Scotland

:21:14. > :21:19.for the last 12 months was also strong in the north-east. An

:21:20. > :21:24.interesting thing about the north-east is that despite the high

:21:25. > :21:32.SNP vote their traditionally, it was not an area that voted in favour of

:21:33. > :21:37.yes in 2014. And Murray in particular, which Angus Robertson

:21:38. > :21:42.lost, was the constituency which almost voted for Brexit. Let's leave

:21:43. > :21:48.Scotland and look at the UK as a whole. Are we heading for a hung

:21:49. > :21:52.parliament? I think in truth now, the chances of the Conservatives

:21:53. > :21:56.having an overall majority are no more than that. It is beginning to

:21:57. > :22:01.look highly likely that the Conservatives will not have 326

:22:02. > :22:05.seats. That said, given that the DUP will probably have ten seats in

:22:06. > :22:10.Northern Ireland, some of the talk we have heard about putting together

:22:11. > :22:14.a progressive alternative will not work. They will not have the

:22:15. > :22:20.numbers. Nobody is going to be happy with the result. We have a

:22:21. > :22:24.declaration from Holburn and St Pancras, and also from Plymouth.

:22:25. > :22:35.Keir Starmer was re-elected, by the way. Here is Plymouth. Oliver Newton

:22:36. > :22:40.Colville, the Conservative Party candidate, 17,000 806. Richard

:22:41. > :23:01.Michael Ellison, UK Independence Party, 1148. Luke Pollard, Labour

:23:02. > :23:12.and co-operative party, 23808. The Green Party, 540. The number of

:23:13. > :23:23.rejected ballot papers was 83. So Labour oust the Conservatives from

:23:24. > :23:26.Plymouth at, a seat famously in the past that David Owen had it. Alan

:23:27. > :23:35.Clark for the Conservatives had it. Now it is back in Labour's hands. He

:23:36. > :23:44.was a candidate therein 2015 and the Conservatives took it in 2010. We

:23:45. > :23:47.can now join Ruth Davidson, I hope, the leader of the Scottish

:23:48. > :23:55.Conservative Party. You are looking extremely cheerful, and no surprise

:23:56. > :24:02.in view of the results you have had. Let's deal with Scotland. What do

:24:03. > :24:05.you make of the inroads there? This is a historic night for the Scottish

:24:06. > :24:09.Conservatives. We haven't taken multiple seats here for more than 20

:24:10. > :24:14.years. The first election I could vote in was in 1997, when I was in

:24:15. > :24:19.the first year at university and I had to watch the results in the

:24:20. > :24:26.student union as I didn't own a telly. I had to watch every

:24:27. > :24:29.Conservative seat in Scotland for, surrounded by 200 Labour people

:24:30. > :24:32.bellowing about the results. So I have waited a long time for us to

:24:33. > :24:38.come back and I am proud of my team. We have fought so hard from the

:24:39. > :24:44.Highlands and back again. There is a lot of noise behind you, but I hope

:24:45. > :24:48.you can hear me. Is the problem for the Conservative Party in the UK as

:24:49. > :24:56.a whole that Theresa May doesn't have the lustre that attaches itself

:24:57. > :25:00.to you in Scotland? Well, I know it is getting late, David, but I didn't

:25:01. > :25:06.expect such competent! I think we can leave my lustre somewhere else

:25:07. > :25:08.if that is all right. We had a clear message in this campaign, which was

:25:09. > :25:12.about the big issue in Scotland right now, which was the issue of

:25:13. > :25:17.Nicola Sturgeon trying to ram through a second independence

:25:18. > :25:23.referendum in March. Theresa May was right to tell her, not now. And the

:25:24. > :25:26.people of Scotland were able to give their verdict on that. You have seen

:25:27. > :25:32.the number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref two is dead in

:25:33. > :25:37.Scotland. I don't know what you think I was referring to. I was

:25:38. > :25:40.referring to political lustre! You may have had a different

:25:41. > :25:44.interpretation. Looking at what has happened to the Tory party,

:25:45. > :25:52.something was clearly wrong about the decision to call an election,

:25:53. > :25:55.wasn't it? Well, we still have hundreds of results to come in, many

:25:56. > :26:00.of them in rural constituencies, where we know there is a high

:26:01. > :26:04.Conservative vote. So it is a bit premature before we see the whole

:26:05. > :26:08.picture. I could hear Professor Curtice and even his poll didn't

:26:09. > :26:17.look at what the Scottish Conservatives were going to do. But

:26:18. > :26:21.it does look as if we have scored in the mid-40s, possibly even higher

:26:22. > :26:25.than Tony Blair's landslide election in terms of share of the vote. So

:26:26. > :26:29.there is a lot of information to unpack from tonight and I am not

:26:30. > :26:36.sure that this time in the morning is the time to do it. Would you like

:26:37. > :26:42.to leave the Conservative Party? Dashed when would you like to lead

:26:43. > :26:46.this Conservative Party? I already live the Scottish Conservative

:26:47. > :26:50.Party. I know, but I am asking if you would like to lead the

:26:51. > :26:54.Conservative Party in the UK. If I wanted to be in the UK Parliament, I

:26:55. > :26:58.would have stood in a UK constituency. I have a job to do

:26:59. > :27:03.here. I lead the main opposition in the Scottish parliament. I have four

:27:04. > :27:06.years to turn us into a credible alternative government for Scotland.

:27:07. > :27:13.Last year, we stopped the SNP having a majority and we doubled our

:27:14. > :27:16.results in the local government elections. We are able to make

:27:17. > :27:19.significant gains and we will be challenging Nicola Sturgeon for the

:27:20. > :27:25.government of Scotland in four years' time. But can I tempt you one

:27:26. > :27:28.more time not to become the leader of the Tory party in the UK as a

:27:29. > :27:32.whole, but to look at the problem the Tory party faces at Westminster

:27:33. > :27:38.and how you think that will work out? There is going to be a wedge of

:27:39. > :27:45.SNP MPs there, 33 at the current rate. It sounds as if there is going

:27:46. > :27:52.to be a hung parliament. Do you think this spells danger for the

:27:53. > :27:58.Tory party as a whole? And that might reflect on the Tory party in

:27:59. > :28:02.Scotland in the end. I don't think the Labour Party can rely on the

:28:03. > :28:06.SNP. Their history shows that they can't. The SNP helped bring down the

:28:07. > :28:11.Labour government, which allowed Margaret Thatcher to become Prime

:28:12. > :28:15.Minister. So there is lots to be unpacked from this evening. But we

:28:16. > :28:19.have learned from Scotland that referendums shake up the snow globe

:28:20. > :28:23.of party politics. We have seen it with the Scottish referendum. The

:28:24. > :28:27.rest of the UK has seen it with having an election after a Brexit

:28:28. > :28:34.referendum. Sometimes, it takes time for the flex to fall. So let's take

:28:35. > :28:38.a bit of time to see where we are as a country. We still have hundreds of

:28:39. > :28:45.seats to be declared. The time for analysis is later. Ruth Davidson,

:28:46. > :28:54.thank you. We actually have 100 seats to be declared. From our

:28:55. > :29:00.helicopter, we see pictures of Theresa May coming to the

:29:01. > :29:03.Conservative Party headquarters. She would have been expecting to be

:29:04. > :29:10.cheered on by staff lined up on the steps to greet her, even if the

:29:11. > :29:14.majority was 40 or 50. We should use a drone for these shots, not a

:29:15. > :29:20.helicopter. It is very out of date to use a helicopter. She is going

:29:21. > :29:29.into Conservative Party headquarters in Smith Square, near the House of

:29:30. > :29:34.Commons. It is slightly around the corner. They moved out of Smith

:29:35. > :29:36.Square with the old symbolic building and the famous pictures of

:29:37. > :29:47.Margaret Thatcher hang out of the window. But the contrast to the Tory

:29:48. > :29:54.expectations... She will have had gone there to watch the results come

:29:55. > :29:59.in. But why did she not go back to Downing Street? There is a question.

:30:00. > :30:02.Traditionally, the leaders would watch in the party headquarters, in

:30:03. > :30:08.anticipation of their glorious walk back to triumph up Downing Street in

:30:09. > :30:22.the morning, by which point people like me are waiting for them.

:30:23. > :30:30.Margaret Thatcher and John Major went back to Conservative Party

:30:31. > :30:35.headquarters. She is right. Jeremy Vine, let's have a look at the

:30:36. > :30:40.popular vote. Why don't we take a look at the projected national

:30:41. > :30:47.share? It is always a big moment. We try to give you where we think the

:30:48. > :30:54.percentages will be. 550 seats in. We are flashing the gains. Maybe

:30:55. > :30:59.less dramatic than it looks when we go through them one at a time. A lot

:31:00. > :31:04.of seats stay the way they are. But a seat like Canterbury going to

:31:05. > :31:08.Labour with a 10,000 majority previously, that is extraordinary.

:31:09. > :31:15.Stroud as well. Some red flashing in England. A lot of gains for the

:31:16. > :31:23.Liberal Democrats, Labour and the Conservatives, which changes the

:31:24. > :31:28.terrain. That is how the map looks. Let's turn to the percentages. This

:31:29. > :31:32.is how we think the night will enter up. We have enough results now to

:31:33. > :31:42.give you these. The Conservatives on 43%. Labour on 40%. The Liberal

:31:43. > :31:47.Democrats on 8%. Ukip on just 2%. And the Green Party on 2%. The

:31:48. > :31:50.interesting thing about this election outside Scotland is the way

:31:51. > :31:54.that so many votes are just aggregated around the two main

:31:55. > :31:59.parties. With this Labour 40%, even though they have lost the election,

:32:00. > :32:03.that is higher than one of the percentages Tony Blair got when he

:32:04. > :32:11.won and election. A remarkable figure. 43 for the Conservatives.

:32:12. > :32:17.Let's look at the change from last time. The Conservatives are up six.

:32:18. > :32:24.They have had a reverse in many senses but they are up six. Labour's

:32:25. > :32:32.increase is more dramatic. Up 10% on 2015. The explanation is here. The

:32:33. > :32:37.crash in the Ukip vote. It is so dramatically down. It has released a

:32:38. > :32:41.lot of voters into the system. A lot of assumptions had been they would

:32:42. > :32:46.go straight to the blue party but quite a few of them have gone to

:32:47. > :32:51.Labour. The Lib Dems not relieve benefiting. They are just up 1% on

:32:52. > :32:57.what was a terrible election result for them last time. Their vote seems

:32:58. > :33:01.to be focused this election. There we go. Labour have made a tremendous

:33:02. > :33:05.advance in this election. The Conservatives remain the winners. To

:33:06. > :33:15.see the second placed party getting 40% is really remarkable. Thank you.

:33:16. > :33:21.Yes. Let's go to Broxtowe and join Anna Soubry. Good morning. Here we

:33:22. > :33:26.are, down the other end of the lens. You scraped in in Broxtowe.

:33:27. > :33:36.Congratulations. You are under a thousand majority. Remember the

:33:37. > :33:42.first time I got elected here the majority was 389. In my terms, the

:33:43. > :33:47.majority of 800 isn't bad. You always lived dangerously, we know

:33:48. > :33:52.that. I should have got much more. That is the whole point. What do you

:33:53. > :33:57.make of the decision to call this election and its consequence? There

:33:58. > :34:03.was a of merit in calling it. Theresa May wanted her own mandate.

:34:04. > :34:08.One year in with somebody else's manifesto, I think that completely

:34:09. > :34:15.made sense. You know my views about strengthening the Brexit hand. I'm

:34:16. > :34:19.afraid we ran a pretty dreadful campaign. That is probably me being

:34:20. > :34:25.generous. I can't explain exactly what has happened. As Jeremy has

:34:26. > :34:29.just identified, you have seen these incredible shares. In Broxtowe I put

:34:30. > :34:35.on more votes but Labour put on more votes as well. We are not quite sure

:34:36. > :34:40.where they came from. But we have won in Mansfield, an astonishing

:34:41. > :34:46.result. We failed to win deadly, Nottingham South and there is a

:34:47. > :34:51.recount in Nashville. The Labour MP had a majority of more than 7000.

:34:52. > :34:55.That is astonishing. A lot of it depends on the candidate and the

:34:56. > :34:59.campaign. And it depends on being a good sensible, moderate

:35:00. > :35:03.Conservative. You said you were being generous when you called it a

:35:04. > :35:10.dreadful campaign. In what sense was a dreadful campaign? Where'd you

:35:11. > :35:19.want me to begin? Anywhere you like. It was a dreadful campaign. Lots of

:35:20. > :35:23.parts of the manifesto are extremely good. If you're going to look at

:35:24. > :35:30.social care, you have to put that policy in, in a way that explains

:35:31. > :35:33.this is a good thing that you are going to do. When you talk about the

:35:34. > :35:37.changes you are going to make in school lunches, you start with the

:35:38. > :35:42.headline that says children from poorer families will now get two

:35:43. > :35:46.free meals a day. You don't start from the basis that some children

:35:47. > :35:50.will lose a free school mill. All the way along, those sorts of

:35:51. > :35:56.messages were appalling. And then the change of heart on social care,

:35:57. > :36:00.I'm afraid, deeply flawed Theresa May. They did not make her look a

:36:01. > :36:06.strong and stable Prime Minister and leaders she said she was. That was a

:36:07. > :36:10.very difficult and serious blow in terms of her own credibility. And

:36:11. > :36:14.the way the campaign was being run, which was about her and what she

:36:15. > :36:23.wanted to do. She put her mark absolutely on this campaign. Can she

:36:24. > :36:34.remain Prime Minister? That is a matter for her, David. That sounds

:36:35. > :36:42.like a no. It is bad. It is a matter for her. I think she is in a very

:36:43. > :36:47.difficult place. She is remarkable. She is a very talented woman. And

:36:48. > :36:51.she doesn't shy from difficult decisions. She has to consider her

:36:52. > :36:56.position. We haven't had all the results. We need to see where we

:36:57. > :37:00.are. Teresa did put her mark on the campaign. She takes responsibility

:37:01. > :37:04.for the running of the campaign as well. It was a tightly knit group

:37:05. > :37:11.and it was her group that when the campaign. Do you have any idea of

:37:12. > :37:18.who might take over as leader of the Conservative Party? Who would you

:37:19. > :37:26.like to see lead? You raised the issue. I am not going to get into

:37:27. > :37:30.that. I didn't, actually. You asked me if she could stay on and I said

:37:31. > :37:35.she needs to consider her position. I won't go further than that.

:37:36. > :37:40.Considering your position means you go, doesn't it? It is a dreadful

:37:41. > :37:48.night. I have lost some proper, sound, moderate of Conservatives --

:37:49. > :37:51.moderate. One nation Conservatives. We never thought at the beginning of

:37:52. > :37:56.this day that we would be in a position where we are actually

:37:57. > :38:00.losing seat and seat which we have held with excellent MPs over some

:38:01. > :38:04.considerable time. This is a very bad moment for the Conservative

:38:05. > :38:10.Party. And we need to take stock. Our leader needs to take stock as

:38:11. > :38:14.well. You have always been an opponent of Brexit and a believer in

:38:15. > :38:20.remaining in the EU. What happens to Brexit now? The announcement that we

:38:21. > :38:25.are leaving the EU has been made. Do you expect everything to change now?

:38:26. > :38:31.A departure more in the style that you might be able to accept, to

:38:32. > :38:38.succeed from the hard Brexit? Luck, I have accepted the result. One of

:38:39. > :38:42.the things that was released writing in the campaign in Broxtowe was that

:38:43. > :38:47.most people, very few people, had not accepted the result. Most people

:38:48. > :38:51.like me had accepted the result. A lot of people want are the result.

:38:52. > :38:56.But there was no desire to go back for a second referendum, no desire

:38:57. > :39:00.to go back on the result of almost a year ago. What people do want is

:39:01. > :39:10.they want a good deal and they want somebody who is good to get that

:39:11. > :39:12.good deal. We are in a very difficult position. You know my

:39:13. > :39:15.views. I put in my own literature that I believe in the single market

:39:16. > :39:18.and will make the case for the single market and will make the

:39:19. > :39:20.positive case for the benefits of immigration to this country, and I'm

:39:21. > :39:23.proud to have been elected on that manifesto in Broxtowe.

:39:24. > :39:30.Anna Soubry, thank you. Some results...

:39:31. > :39:35.I will start with Halifax, the place were Theresa May lobster manifesto.

:39:36. > :39:39.It should have been an easy game for the Conservatives. They only needed

:39:40. > :39:47.a 0.5% swing. It was number five on their target list. Labour has taken

:39:48. > :39:56.it with the majority of more than 5000. They have done astonishingly

:39:57. > :40:00.well. This is a part of the country were the Conservatives focused their

:40:01. > :40:05.energy. They were taken on a 5.1% swing. That was just a hold. You can

:40:06. > :40:11.see what happens in a place where they have done better. Colne Valley,

:40:12. > :40:14.a similar part of the world. We thought it was safe Conservative. It

:40:15. > :40:19.used to be a 3-way marginal. Possibly the loss that make the drop

:40:20. > :40:26.in the Lib Dem vote has helped Labour. Thelma Walker is the new MP.

:40:27. > :40:34.She has gained 13% more share of the vote. And this swing here is 5.5%,

:40:35. > :40:41.giving her a majority in this new seat for Labour. One more which

:40:42. > :40:45.again suggests what we were saying about Ruth Davidson in Scotland, who

:40:46. > :40:56.is emerging as the real bright spark of the Conservatives tonight. 48% to

:40:57. > :41:00.39%, Conservative gain in the Cedar Banff and Buchan. Alex Salmond held

:41:01. > :41:13.this EP Fourie became leader and went on to hold the seat of Gordon.

:41:14. > :41:19.We have seen all the drama of the swing in the Tory gains. This is the

:41:20. > :41:23.biggest one we have seen tonight. 20% from the SNP to the

:41:24. > :41:27.Conservatives. You can see why Nicola Sturgeon were starting to

:41:28. > :41:34.sound less sure about the position of independence for Scotland. We

:41:35. > :41:37.have a result coming in. Laura, you want to say something. Iain Duncan

:41:38. > :41:44.Smith is waiting with Michelle Hossain. After that very clear call

:41:45. > :41:52.from the former minister, Anna Soubry, ... Let's interrupt you.

:41:53. > :41:58.This is held by Simon Kirby, the Conservatives.

:41:59. > :42:08.Doktor Haze, independent, 212. Simon Kirby, Conservative Party, 18,000 --

:42:09. > :42:20.18 835. Lloyd Russell-Moyle, Labour party, 28,000 703. Emily Louise

:42:21. > :42:25.tester, Liberal Democrat, 1457. A pretty sensational victory for

:42:26. > :42:32.Labour in Brighton Kemptown. Simon Kirby defeated by something like a

:42:33. > :42:35.majority of nearly 10,000. That is another minister gone. We have seen

:42:36. > :42:40.ministers go to night. I was just saying before we went to the result,

:42:41. > :42:45.there is clearly turmoil inside the Tory ranks. We heard Anna Soubry

:42:46. > :42:50.essentially calling Theresa May to go. Consider your position. That is

:42:51. > :42:54.cold for summary should leave. Another Tory source has just told me

:42:55. > :43:01.that Theresa May is 50-50 to go tomorrow. One source, I stress, but

:43:02. > :43:07.a good source. Another minister has just messaged me saying, as William

:43:08. > :43:14.Hague said, the Tory party is absolute monarchy registered by

:43:15. > :43:19.regicide. That is the territory we are now in. They are ruthless. The

:43:20. > :43:23.thing with Theresa May is, if somebody looks like a loser, it even

:43:24. > :43:27.though she is on course to be the biggest party, the Tories are

:43:28. > :43:32.ruthless if a leader looks like they can't deliver. There is clearly a

:43:33. > :43:37.lot of turmoil. I will not make any firm predictions about what she may

:43:38. > :43:43.do. She is meeting with her advisers right now. Michelle Hossain is

:43:44. > :43:51.upstairs. Iain Duncan Smith this year. As is a

:43:52. > :43:56.former Labour Party adviser. Should you consider her position? It would

:43:57. > :44:01.be a grave error to suddenly going into the turmoil after the result.

:44:02. > :44:08.We need some stability right now. We have to figure out what the final

:44:09. > :44:13.result is and then, can we lead a government, that is the critical

:44:14. > :44:16.question to ask. These things have to be decided. You can't say you are

:44:17. > :44:22.going to have a leadership election. That would plunge everything into

:44:23. > :44:26.turmoil. Are you saying she should have a period of time and then she

:44:27. > :44:32.could step down? No. I am saying that we need to make that might find

:44:33. > :44:35.it for the result is. Whether it is feasible to put the government

:44:36. > :44:43.together. We don't know that yet. We don't know the final result. If that

:44:44. > :44:47.is feasible, then that changes the complexion of what we are dealing

:44:48. > :44:51.with. And then the party has to meet, they have to talk to her and

:44:52. > :44:55.decide whether this is what she wants to do. And if she does,

:44:56. > :45:00.frankly, we need that stability. I am not in favour of launching these

:45:01. > :45:06.kind of off the cuff vendettas. I think the truth is we need to stay

:45:07. > :45:11.calm and stable. It can't be business as usual, can it? People

:45:12. > :45:16.must be annoyed you have ended up in this position. It is clearly not

:45:17. > :45:20.going to be business as usual. The irony is this result is full of

:45:21. > :45:24.peculiar things. Poll rating has gone up but we have got the worst

:45:25. > :45:28.result. People like me have had higher vote shares but a smaller

:45:29. > :45:34.majority. We have lost colleagues around the country. Of course there

:45:35. > :45:38.is turmoil. But the key point here is the next 24-hour is we need

:45:39. > :45:44.stability. But we don't want is any kind of rush to say change, leave,

:45:45. > :45:49.let's see with the results are and whether we can form the Gutman.

:45:50. > :45:58.Ayesha Hazarika, in 2015 the Labour vote share was 30%. Jeremy Corbyn

:45:59. > :46:02.has achieved over 40%. It has been an extraordinary night for Labour. I

:46:03. > :46:07.think there were Labour MPs up and down the country wondering if they

:46:08. > :46:11.would survive the night. Jeremy Corbyn ran the opposite of the

:46:12. > :46:16.Theresa May campaign. It was open and full of hope and popular, and he

:46:17. > :46:21.was visible. It is incredible that we are in this situation. Theresa

:46:22. > :46:26.May called this election and was 20 points ahead in the polls. She

:46:27. > :46:29.called it on leadership and now we are having conversations about

:46:30. > :46:32.whether she will still be around in the morning. In February, you said

:46:33. > :46:37.the only way Jeremy Corbyn could save the Labour Party was by

:46:38. > :46:44.stepping down. I completely got it wrong, along with a lot of people.

:46:45. > :46:48.But what he has done brilliantly is for people hope. This country has

:46:49. > :46:52.been sick of seven years of austerity rule, and they wanted a

:46:53. > :46:59.change. They wanted somebody to offer them hope. Credit where credit

:47:00. > :47:05.is due, I hold my hands up and say I was one of the people who got it

:47:06. > :47:07.wrong. The Labour manifesto as well, particularly in contrasts of the

:47:08. > :47:15.Tory manifesto, which didn't offer anything and was a shambolic U-turn

:47:16. > :47:20.on the dementia tax. Was it a dreadful campaign? It clearly wasn't

:47:21. > :47:24.the greatest campaign, or we would be in a different position now. The

:47:25. > :47:27.key element is that there will be time for my party to have a look

:47:28. > :47:37.through what didn't go right and what went wrong. Theresa May, having

:47:38. > :47:47.gone into the election, found her position diminished. Right now, all

:47:48. > :47:52.my colleagues need to just take a deep breath and not go on the media.

:47:53. > :47:57.They need to keep quiet until we have figured out where we are. The

:47:58. > :48:04.oldest rule in the book is, no way your starting point is. I want

:48:05. > :48:09.Theresa May to stay for that reason. Do you fear that Brexit may not be

:48:10. > :48:13.delivered, or not the sort of Brexit you would like? I just want Brexit.

:48:14. > :48:20.We will see what that means. The Labour Party has already said they

:48:21. > :48:24.were signed up to Brexit. The Labour Party position has been good on

:48:25. > :48:28.Brexit, but it is extraordinary to think that she started this whole

:48:29. > :48:31.campaign saying "My leadership will be strong and stable", and she is

:48:32. > :48:39.the one now facing leadership challenges. She has had a stinker of

:48:40. > :48:46.a campaign. It happens. Nothing is perfect, but I do want stability and

:48:47. > :48:51.I want her to stay. You want something strong and stable. I will

:48:52. > :48:57.just settle for stability right now. She remains Prime Minister and the

:48:58. > :49:03.country has to come first. For anyone watching, if you are Prime

:49:04. > :49:09.Minister, stay put and then we can figure out what our position is.

:49:10. > :49:11.Iain Duncan Smith and Ayesha Hazarika, thank you.

:49:12. > :49:15.We are joined now from stricken by Chuka Umunna, one of those who were

:49:16. > :49:22.rather critical of the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn and indeed voted him

:49:23. > :49:28.out. Congratulations on your victory, first of all. Your vote

:49:29. > :49:33.went up by 12,000 or something. But let's cut to the chase. What do you

:49:34. > :49:42.make of what has happened? You and many others misjudged Jeremy Corbyn,

:49:43. > :49:46.didn't you? First of all, the Prime Minister held this election for

:49:47. > :49:51.naked party political reasons. It was opportunism writ large, and she

:49:52. > :49:56.wanted a personal mandate to pursue an extremely job destroying Brexit.

:49:57. > :50:00.And she has been denied that. I am delighted about that. Let's be frank

:50:01. > :50:05.about the reason she has been denied that. It isn't just that she ran a

:50:06. > :50:12.terrible campaign and clearly is not up to campaigning by being with

:50:13. > :50:18.people and talking to them about the issues, whereas Jeremy is absolutely

:50:19. > :50:22.at home campaigning, talking to people, getting involved in the

:50:23. > :50:29.debate. But the reason why many people will have changed their

:50:30. > :50:33.minds, the reason I voted no confidence last year was that I was

:50:34. > :50:38.angry because I felt we could have done more to ensure that we got a

:50:39. > :50:43.Remain vote in that referendum. But the effect of Jeremy running this

:50:44. > :50:46.kind of campaign, positive, optimistic, dynamic, engaging young

:50:47. > :50:50.people, putting forward policies, we saw looked loved that from the

:50:51. > :50:54.Tories and as ie she just said, the one big thing people will remember

:50:55. > :50:59.about the Tory manifesto is the dementia tax. But the effect of

:51:00. > :51:05.actually putting forward this agenda has thwarted Theresa May's attempts

:51:06. > :51:08.to pursue a hard Brexit. I give Jeremy and the entire Labour team

:51:09. > :51:14.full credit for that, because it was a solid, good national campaign and

:51:15. > :51:19.we have amazing local operations. I temper this just by making this

:51:20. > :51:23.observation, which is that the Labour Party was founded 117 years

:51:24. > :51:27.ago by Keir Hardie and others, not only to be the representative of

:51:28. > :51:29.workers in parliament, but to govern in their interests too. We don't

:51:30. > :51:34.know what will happen because we don't know the final numbers or

:51:35. > :51:40.whether Labour will be part of whatever comes out of this. But it

:51:41. > :51:43.is a positive step forward to government today. Ultimately, we

:51:44. > :51:55.must get into government in the future to make our values real. If

:51:56. > :51:57.you were now offered a position back in the Shadow Cabinet, assuming it

:51:58. > :52:04.is still a Shadow Cabinet, would you accept it? I have never been asked

:52:05. > :52:13.to serve in the Shadow Cabinet under Jeremy before. But I want to get

:52:14. > :52:17.Labour back into government. I can work in any way to make that happen.

:52:18. > :52:23.I would not rule out being part of a Shadow Cabinet if I was asked. I

:52:24. > :52:28.don't presume that I will be asked, but I intend to play a full role in

:52:29. > :52:36.making sure we do what we need to do to deliver on our values. My guess

:52:37. > :52:39.is that you began this campaign thinking that at the end of it,

:52:40. > :52:46.there might be a vacancy for the leadership of the Labour Party, and

:52:47. > :52:53.that has now been postponed. I wouldn't describe it as my dream. I

:52:54. > :52:57.did not dream of having the majority that Labour activists have just

:52:58. > :53:00.secured here in Streatham. My wife was here with me earlier and she

:53:01. > :53:02.asked me at the beginning of the campaign not to make any

:53:03. > :53:05.predictions, because she said before the last general election, you

:53:06. > :53:09.thought Labour would end up in government and you didn't. You

:53:10. > :53:12.thought the Remain side would win the EU referendum campaign, and then

:53:13. > :53:16.you assured me we wouldn't see a president Donald Trump and we do.

:53:17. > :53:20.She said, I am not going to believe predictions from you and I don't

:53:21. > :53:24.think you make any. For the start of this campaign, I went on the Daily

:53:25. > :53:27.Politics and other programmes and people ask, do you think Labour will

:53:28. > :53:38.win? And I have said, anything is possible. What this illustrates

:53:39. > :53:42.is... Chuka Umunna, thank you much. I want to hear the result from

:53:43. > :53:54.Hastings and see whether Amber Rudd has held on. Liberal Democrats,

:53:55. > :54:07.1885. Michael Sheridan Phillips, Ukip, 1479. Amber Rudd, the

:54:08. > :54:13.Conservative Party candidate, 25668. Nicholas John Wilson, independent,

:54:14. > :54:19.412. The total number of ballot papers rejected was 97. The turnout

:54:20. > :54:22.was 70%. Therefore, I give public notice that Amber Rudd is duly

:54:23. > :54:28.elected as the member of Parliament for the Hastings and write

:54:29. > :54:31.constituency. So the Home Secretary holds onto her seat. There was talk

:54:32. > :54:38.that it would be difficult for her, but she holds on. I would like to

:54:39. > :54:41.thank the returning officer and the fantastic counting agents who have

:54:42. > :54:46.done the job twice this evening. We are grateful to you for staying late

:54:47. > :54:53.and doing a professional job. I would also like to thank my team who

:54:54. > :54:56.have done a fantastic job supporting me and making sure we had a good

:54:57. > :55:02.turnout on the day. I would particularly like to thank the

:55:03. > :55:05.Labour candidate, who I know well and I am sure will continue in his

:55:06. > :55:13.role as leader of the council. Thank you for a fair fight. I am deeply

:55:14. > :55:17.honoured to have been re-elected for now for the third time by the

:55:18. > :55:23.residents of Hastings and Rye. This is a fantastic place to live and

:55:24. > :55:26.work and I hope I will continue to build on the great opportunities and

:55:27. > :55:31.the great regeneration that has been taking place in this area, improving

:55:32. > :55:34.our schools, improving our NHS and getting the infrastructure

:55:35. > :55:39.investment that we need. This is what matters to me and this is what

:55:40. > :55:46.I hope to continue to deliver for the fantastic constituency of

:55:47. > :55:55.Hastings and Rye. So Amber Rudd, with the seagulls behind her. She

:55:56. > :55:59.was generally seen to have had a good campaign. Is there a

:56:00. > :56:02.possibility that she might be in the line for becoming leader of the

:56:03. > :56:10.Conservative Party? She has been talked about. But having had such a

:56:11. > :56:14.narrow result and having been a big part of a campaign that is judged to

:56:15. > :56:21.be a disaster, it looks harder for her now than it would have done a

:56:22. > :56:26.couple of weeks ago. At that time, she would have been top of the list.

:56:27. > :56:35.She was widely tipped to be Theresa May's next Chancellor if Theresa May

:56:36. > :56:39.ends up staying on. She was certainly considered as a potential

:56:40. > :56:43.leadership candidate in the future. But I wonder whether her judgment on

:56:44. > :56:54.this campaign and her role in it makes that less likely. She was the

:56:55. > :57:03.Prime Minister's understudy and she is a formidable character. She is a

:57:04. > :57:09.Remainer, but widely respected. Let's see what Nigel Farage has been

:57:10. > :57:13.up to in the last couple of hours. He has stormed back into the

:57:14. > :57:17.political conversation. In a sense, he never went away, but with Paul

:57:18. > :57:21.Nuttall as the leader of Ukip having a bad result, Nigel Farage has been

:57:22. > :57:26.vocal. He said tonight that Article 50 had been triggered and we were on

:57:27. > :57:30.our way. May has put this in jeopardy. Even David Davis is now

:57:31. > :57:35.making Brexit concessions. There is a clear mood developing from lots of

:57:36. > :57:38.people who were fervent Brexiteers, including Iain Duncan Smith, that

:57:39. > :57:42.they are annoyed at what is happening. That is Nigel Farage's

:57:43. > :57:46.quote. Paddy Ashdown has also weighed in on the issue of Brexit.

:57:47. > :57:50.The former Lib Dem leader says if this election was about Brexit, must

:57:51. > :57:55.we not conclude that Britain has rejected Mrs May's hard Brexit? So

:57:56. > :58:00.there are lots of people on inside of the Brexit camp trying to use

:58:01. > :58:03.this result is a way of casting judgment on the Brexit referendum of

:58:04. > :58:08.2016. Chris Evans, editor of the Daily Telegraph, is also talking

:58:09. > :58:13.about the softening of Brexit. He says the DUP are already outlining

:58:14. > :58:19.terms for a soft Brexit as the price for propping up the Tories. And the

:58:20. > :58:24.Financial Times says it is almost as if Theresa May looked at Hillary's

:58:25. > :58:34.campaign and said, let's do that. That is as cruel as you can get.

:58:35. > :58:37.Here is the latest Daily Mail front page. Theresa May of course had huge

:58:38. > :58:44.support from most of the British press. One of her main spin doctors

:58:45. > :58:50.is a former Daily Mail political editor. They are very disappointed

:58:51. > :58:58.at the result. And they say there are fears of Brexit chaos. Emily,

:58:59. > :59:05.another result? Look at Enfield Southgate. This was where we had the

:59:06. > :59:09.Portillo moment in 1997 and you can see what has happened. It has been a

:59:10. > :59:19.Labour gain from the Conservatives again. In Portillo's day, there was

:59:20. > :59:26.a 15,000 majority. Labour has taken it on a 4000 majority. Come back to

:59:27. > :59:31.me! Have a glass of water. That is a fascinating seat. It is outer

:59:32. > :59:36.London, not in London, where you have lots of students and very

:59:37. > :59:42.trendy left. Enfield Southgate is not the home of the trendy Islington

:59:43. > :59:46.left. Enfield Southgate is a sort of Middle Britain seat that happens to

:59:47. > :59:50.be in the south-east. And there we see a big Labour gain. At the

:59:51. > :59:57.beginning of the night, we never would have thought we would see that

:59:58. > :00:01.kind of swing. Let me pick up here. Don't choke to death this time.

:00:02. > :00:05.Sangakkara it is the excitement of the night, or maybe a stray

:00:06. > :00:11.blueberry. 9.7% swing from the Conservatives to Labour in this

:00:12. > :00:17.seat, which really was a moment in 1997.

:00:18. > :00:24.We are looking at places that Blair won for the first time. Some of

:00:25. > :00:28.these are on the chart for the first time since then. It is extraordinary

:00:29. > :00:33.to think of these different characters, Tony Blair and Jeremy

:00:34. > :00:39.Corbyn, but to see the same kind of places cropping up. The next one is

:00:40. > :00:44.Keighley. Again, quite far down the Labour targets. It is a neck and

:00:45. > :00:48.neck vote between the Labour Party and the Conservatives, but enough

:00:49. > :00:54.for a Labour to gain it. A big drop in the Ukip vote. They needed a 3.1%

:00:55. > :01:01.swing. You can see what has happened. They have taken it, just,

:01:02. > :01:05.on a 3.3% swing. Some quite interesting ones. Derbyshire

:01:06. > :01:09.Northeast has been a gain for the Conservatives. It was 18 on their

:01:10. > :01:19.list. Lee Rowley pushing out Natascha Engel, quite a well-known

:01:20. > :01:23.name for Labour. You can see a 4.8% swing from Labour to the

:01:24. > :01:28.Conservatives. That is the seat just outside Chesterfield. Broadly the

:01:29. > :01:32.kind of seats we are seeing turned red to are ones that very few people

:01:33. > :01:36.would have had on any kind of rational target list at the

:01:37. > :01:39.beginning of the night. They are places taking a lot of us by

:01:40. > :01:44.surprise. John Woodcock is the Labour MP for

:01:45. > :01:52.Barrow and Furness. His majority, squeaking in at 209. A special

:01:53. > :01:57.adviser to Gordon Brown. Everybody is having their words thrown back at

:01:58. > :02:00.them tonight. Words I want to throw baguette you are, Labour is on

:02:01. > :02:07.course for an historic and catastrophic defeat. So what went

:02:08. > :02:14.right for Labour?! Well, David I have no idea! And I'm

:02:15. > :02:17.not sure anyone who you will have on this programme actually genuinely

:02:18. > :02:23.has an idea either. And if they say that they do, I think they are

:02:24. > :02:29.probably winging it. There have been utterly extraordinary results. In

:02:30. > :02:37.places where Labour has struggled, we have gained ground. In Canterbury

:02:38. > :02:41.we have produced an incredible victory out of nowhere. I don't know

:02:42. > :02:45.what is going on in British politics. I think the one thing

:02:46. > :02:53.which is clear is that this is wide open. There is a space and there is

:02:54. > :03:01.a need for a progressive force to take the country forward and give

:03:02. > :03:03.them more hope than that which has been said over these last couple of

:03:04. > :03:10.years by the Conservative government. And that force we have

:03:11. > :03:16.shown overnight can be the Labour Party. I am deeply, deeply proud.

:03:17. > :03:22.Unexpectedly, I have to say. But I am deeply proud to be returned as

:03:23. > :03:28.one of their MPs. Can you sign up to the kind of policies that Jeremy

:03:29. > :03:31.Corbyn has been promoting, when you actually clearly thought they were

:03:32. > :03:37.completely wrong, wrong for the Labour Party, but much more

:03:38. > :03:43.importantly, wrong for the country? Well, the Labour Party has always

:03:44. > :03:47.been a Broadchurch. And probably never broader than it has been at

:03:48. > :03:53.the moment. One of the things which gave me so much heart locally was

:03:54. > :04:01.the way that local party members who were deeply aggrieved by what I said

:04:02. > :04:06.about the leader, they all came together in this campaign to get us

:04:07. > :04:13.over the line and to keep a Labour MP, to keep me here. And that shows,

:04:14. > :04:17.actually, that we can unite and there will be a huge question, of

:04:18. > :04:23.course, for the party as to what direction we take. What vision we

:04:24. > :04:30.put forward. But this result shows that we can do it. Actually, there

:04:31. > :04:34.is not the appetite in this country for the paucity of vision, the lack

:04:35. > :04:37.of hope, the doing down of our country, that we have seen from this

:04:38. > :04:41.Conservative government over the last couple of years. People want

:04:42. > :04:44.change. And we have an opportunity to provide that. And that is

:04:45. > :04:53.brilliant. Thank you bring much indeed. It is time for another

:04:54. > :05:00.update on the news. Let's have that with the forecast of the moment

:05:01. > :05:06.showing... We can show it? We can't. I don't know if we can or not. Can

:05:07. > :05:12.we show the forecast, they are asking? I don't know. They haven't

:05:13. > :05:18.got it. We haven't got the forecast. We have the news.

:05:19. > :05:22.Good morning. With less than 50 seats still to be declared, the

:05:23. > :05:27.outcome of the general election is still uncertain. Labour has done

:05:28. > :05:30.better-than-expected. Although the Conservatives looked like being the

:05:31. > :05:35.biggest party, they are not likely to get a majority. Jeremy Corbyn has

:05:36. > :05:40.called for Theresa May to resign. The Prime Minister says the country

:05:41. > :05:44.needs stability. The night saw Alex Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their

:05:45. > :05:53.seats. Tom Bateman's port contains flash photography. -- report. She

:05:54. > :05:57.called this election early, a political gamble, the hope that she

:05:58. > :06:04.would transform the Tories' fragile majority with a huge win. Forecasts

:06:05. > :06:08.suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off without even a

:06:09. > :06:15.majority. If, as the indications have shown, if this is correct, that

:06:16. > :06:18.the Conservative Party won the most seats and probably the most votes,

:06:19. > :06:22.then it would be incumbent on us to make sure we have that period of

:06:23. > :06:27.stability, and that is exactly what we will do. You can see what the

:06:28. > :06:33.Labour leader makes of these results so far. A man whose campaign

:06:34. > :06:38.confounded expectations, beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a

:06:39. > :06:41.far better night than many thought. The Prime Minister call the election

:06:42. > :06:49.because she wanted a mandate. Will a mandate she has got is lost

:06:50. > :06:54.Conservative seats, lost votes, lost votes and lost confidence. I would

:06:55. > :06:59.have thought that's enough to go, actually. In Battersea, Labour had

:07:00. > :07:04.ousted a government Minister on a swing of 10%. There have been Labour

:07:05. > :07:09.gains elsewhere. In Stockton South from the Conservatives and in

:07:10. > :07:14.Scotland, Rutherglen from the SNP. It is not just the Tories suffering.

:07:15. > :07:21.In Sheffield, former Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg lost his seat. I have

:07:22. > :07:24.encountered this evening something that many people have encountered

:07:25. > :07:29.before tonight and I suspect many people encounter after tonight,

:07:30. > :07:34.which is that you live by the sword and by thy -- die by the sword in

:07:35. > :07:37.politics. The night began with a projection, the exit poll. It had

:07:38. > :07:41.the Conservatives as the largest party but short of an overall

:07:42. > :07:50.majority. It put the Tories on three other than 14 seats, down 17. Labour

:07:51. > :07:56.would be up 34 seats. The SNP down to 34 MPs. The Lib Dems on 14. The

:07:57. > :08:01.SNP have lost big names on a disappointing night compared with

:08:02. > :08:05.their Scottish landslide two years ago. Deputy leader Angus Robertson

:08:06. > :08:10.was ousted by the Conservatives. Former leader Alex Salmond lost his

:08:11. > :08:15.seat as well. Now one of Theresa May's on MPs is laying the blame on

:08:16. > :08:19.her. She is in a difficult place. She is a very talented woman and she

:08:20. > :08:23.doesn't shy from difficult positions. But she now obviously has

:08:24. > :08:28.to consider your position. V Festival of democracy has been on is

:08:29. > :08:32.full show, as have the upsets. Theresa May has left her

:08:33. > :08:34.constituency count. The election campaign has been an unpredictable

:08:35. > :08:39.journey. Already some Labour opponents are saying tonight it

:08:40. > :08:43.should bring the end of the road for her premiership. But there is still

:08:44. > :08:51.a way to go and more votes still to be counted. The pound's position on

:08:52. > :08:55.currency markets has weakened following early results. Overnight

:08:56. > :09:00.sterling suffered one of its biggest falls since January, sinking to a

:09:01. > :09:03.low of almost 2% against the dollar as the euro. A clearer picture of

:09:04. > :09:07.the markets will emerge when trading opens across Europe. And the final

:09:08. > :09:14.results of the election coming. Time for the weather.

:09:15. > :09:18.Good morning. This is how we ended the day in Highland Scotland. For

:09:19. > :09:21.much of Scotland and Northern Ireland it was a wet day on

:09:22. > :09:26.Thursday. Today we saw the rain in Scotland petering out. Showers

:09:27. > :09:30.heading eastwards. Much prior across Northern Ireland. Some sharp showers

:09:31. > :09:33.across western England and Wales. They will become heavily for the

:09:34. > :09:39.released this afternoon, as they will in parts of Scotland. We are

:09:40. > :09:42.talking hail and risk of thunder. Much drier and brighter with some

:09:43. > :09:47.sunshine for the West. It will feel warmer well. It doesn't last. As we

:09:48. > :09:53.go through the evening, more rain of the Atlantic. Wetter for Northern

:09:54. > :09:57.Ireland. As we move into Saturday, for Scotland. The South and east

:09:58. > :10:01.probably not seeing that much rain. Still quite muggy and one. The rain

:10:02. > :10:06.clears further north to reveal sunshine and showers. Eventually

:10:07. > :10:10.that weather front clears all parts going from Saturday to Sunday.

:10:11. > :10:14.Sunday day of sunny spells and showers.

:10:15. > :10:27.That is a look of the weather. Let's return to David Dimbleby.

:10:28. > :10:38.Dawn has broken over Westminster. And a cruel dawn for the Tory party.

:10:39. > :10:43.After the results that have come in, we have still got 44 to come in. A

:10:44. > :10:48.lot of talk from sources within the Tory party about Theresa May's

:10:49. > :10:56.future. We have had the call for her to go. Pretty much a call for her to

:10:57. > :10:59.go from Anna Soubry, a backbencher, famously outspoken. People Laura

:11:00. > :11:04.Kuenssberg have been speaking to have said something needs to be done

:11:05. > :11:11.fairly dramatically and swiftly. There is another interesting aspect.

:11:12. > :11:16.The votes have gone back to the two main parties, Conservative and

:11:17. > :11:20.Labour. Not since 1970 have both parties had over 12 million people

:11:21. > :11:28.voting for them. The current rate is Labour on 12 million and 100,000,

:11:29. > :11:32.the Conservatives on 12 million and 6000. The smaller parties, the

:11:33. > :11:37.Liberals, and all the other parties, had given way to a 2-party vote,

:11:38. > :11:43.which in a way is like that campaign was. There were two very clearly

:11:44. > :11:48.distinct messages being given from the Conservatives on the one hand

:11:49. > :11:50.with Theresa May saying strong and stable and all that, and Jeremy

:11:51. > :11:55.Corbyn on the other hand saying, there is another way. Less

:11:56. > :11:59.austerity, more spending,, the government should do this and that.

:12:00. > :12:01.There was a poor rises and on the parties and it seems the voters have

:12:02. > :12:09.been attracted to the polarisation. They are getting two very clear and

:12:10. > :12:15.distinct messages. We will now look at how the parties stand.

:12:16. > :12:19.Let's do that. We started many hours ago in our virtual Downing Street

:12:20. > :12:22.and we give you our exit poll. A lot of people were saying on social

:12:23. > :12:27.media it can't be right. The forecast, with only about 44 seats

:12:28. > :12:31.to go, is very close to what we were saying at five minutes to ten. The

:12:32. > :12:39.Conservatives falling short. 318 we think now. Let's look at Labour.

:12:40. > :12:43.Quite a long way back but exceeding all expectations. That is the point

:12:44. > :12:47.about the Labour performance. They have done better than even they

:12:48. > :12:51.thought as we have heard from some of the extraordinary interviews we

:12:52. > :12:54.have heard. 318 for the Conservatives. You will see where

:12:55. > :12:57.these individual paving stones, which are all individual

:12:58. > :13:02.constituencies, where they are darker blue we have not got a

:13:03. > :13:08.result. Back here we have got those results in. It is just the darker

:13:09. > :13:13.blue. Most are solid blue. Not many more results. The ones we're waiting

:13:14. > :13:17.for, places like Kensington, Richmond Park, Crawley, Dumfries,

:13:18. > :13:23.Winchester, Thirsk, Truro, St Ives etc, still waiting for them. The

:13:24. > :13:30.exit polls stabilised with these results. 318, the Conservatives

:13:31. > :13:34.short of an overall majority. 650 MPs in the House of Commons, so you

:13:35. > :13:39.need just over half to be in control. Theresa May will not be.

:13:40. > :13:42.She will have to find friends in the House of Commons. It will be the

:13:43. > :13:47.Liberal Democrats this time. Have a look at the Labour line. You could

:13:48. > :13:51.say the Labour result is no better than Gordon Brown did when he lost

:13:52. > :13:56.the 2010 election. They have got a handsome share of the vote. Part of

:13:57. > :14:01.that is rather surprising numbers of Ukip voters going to Labour, which

:14:02. > :14:04.commentators did not predict. Also, younger voters. I'm sure we will

:14:05. > :14:11.find out many of them have been involved in the election. Labour

:14:12. > :14:17.262, that's what we are now forecasting, just down four from

:14:18. > :14:28.what we said at 10pm. These early seats that we are still waiting for.

:14:29. > :14:33.Hendon, Ilford North, Dudley... Most of these lines are solid red, solid

:14:34. > :14:39.blue. This is the situation. What a blow for Theresa May, to call an

:14:40. > :14:43.election when she was 16 points clear in the polls, thinking about

:14:44. > :14:48.the landslide of 100 and she didn't even get an overall majority. It is

:14:49. > :14:52.politically devastating for her. That is why we just saw Jeremy

:14:53. > :15:00.Corbyn giving the thumbs up. Amazing. John Curtice, you are being

:15:01. > :15:08.a bit cautious about your exit poll, not your exit poll, the BBC, sky,

:15:09. > :15:12.ITV exit poll, I have to say that for copyright reasons... This

:15:13. > :15:15.combined exit poll. You were being courses at the beginning, saying

:15:16. > :15:21.maybe it is not quite as bad as that for the Tories. -- cautious. It now

:15:22. > :15:25.looks like you were spot on? One always has to be cautious because

:15:26. > :15:30.the truth is one knows the fragility. Two years ago we

:15:31. > :15:34.underestimated the Tory target by 18 seats. It looks as though this time

:15:35. > :15:38.we might be possibly three seats out, but that is about it. It looks

:15:39. > :15:44.as though our forecast is going to prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in

:15:45. > :15:51.the end of the most accurate exit poll yet. We will wait to see.

:15:52. > :15:58.Is there any possibility of it not being a hung parliament now? There

:15:59. > :16:04.is no way the Conservatives can get to the 326 mark. There is going to

:16:05. > :16:10.be a hung parliament. Plus some of the questions Laura was raising

:16:11. > :16:15.about Theresa May's future. It is worth remembering that the

:16:16. > :16:19.international academic extra says that calling snap elections often

:16:20. > :16:23.doesn't work, because voters ask themselves, hang on, what is it that

:16:24. > :16:27.is coming around the corner that they are trying to hide from us? If

:16:28. > :16:32.you think about the snap elections we have had in the UK in the past,

:16:33. > :16:36.1970, Harold Wilson suddenly went to the country when he thought the June

:16:37. > :16:42.tweet polls had turned in his favour. He lost. In February in

:16:43. > :16:48.1974, Edward Heath went to the country suddenly because of the

:16:49. > :16:51.miners strike. He lost. Now very suddenly and unexpectedly indeed,

:16:52. > :16:56.Theresa May has gone to the country. Her party has not managed to lose,

:16:57. > :17:00.but maybe we will find that she has ended up the loser of this election.

:17:01. > :17:09.She should have talked to you before she decided to do it! If she had

:17:10. > :17:15.read the international literature, it shows that although being able to

:17:16. > :17:19.call an election when you think it is a good idea might seem an

:17:20. > :17:26.advantage, if you try to call an election very early in a parliament,

:17:27. > :17:30.it can rebound on you. Laura, we know that she has a tight circle of

:17:31. > :17:34.political advisers ma Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy in particular. She must

:17:35. > :17:39.have consulted them. They are the ones who must take the blame for

:17:40. > :17:45.this. I understand she is currently closeted with them in Tory HQ,

:17:46. > :17:48.discussing their next moves. One minister has said to me, I don't

:17:49. > :17:55.think she has to go, but things will have to change. There will be

:17:56. > :17:59.demands from inside the 1922 committee and among ministers that

:18:00. > :18:09.she must change her style of working. She must expand beyond that

:18:10. > :18:13.tiny group of people. That is where the discussion is. But is she

:18:14. > :18:22.capable of changing her way of working? She doesn't seem to move an

:18:23. > :18:26.inch without Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill telling her what to do. She's

:18:27. > :18:30.famed for her stubbornness. She could try to cast that as being

:18:31. > :18:33.resolute. That is what she tried to do in this election, boasting that

:18:34. > :18:37.she could be a bloody difficult woman. But if you will not change

:18:38. > :18:46.your mind and you have made the wrong decision, it is not great. We

:18:47. > :18:50.are joined by Simon Hamilton from the Democratic Unionist Party in

:18:51. > :18:54.Northern Ireland and the member of the Northern Ireland Assembly. I

:18:55. > :19:05.think you now have eight for the DUP? We increased our seats from

:19:06. > :19:10.eight in the last parliament to ten. You are clearly going to be a

:19:11. > :19:13.potentially attractive partner to a Tory Prime Minister who doesn't have

:19:14. > :19:20.an overall majority. What are you going to be asking for? Well, the

:19:21. > :19:23.results are still coming in and we will soon know what the final shape

:19:24. > :19:32.of the parliament is. Let's see what the final result is. The impact of

:19:33. > :19:35.Northern Ireland will be not just in respect of the Democratic Unionist

:19:36. > :19:40.Party, but also Sinn Fein, who don't take their seats in Westminster,

:19:41. > :19:48.which will have an impact on the overall working majority in

:19:49. > :19:52.parliament. First and foremost, the DUP will be looking to achieve our

:19:53. > :19:58.goals in respect of the best deal for Northern Ireland. We are also

:19:59. > :20:02.mindful of our responsibilities in terms of the national political

:20:03. > :20:06.scene. This is a difficult time for the UK. There are a lot of

:20:07. > :20:11.challenges, particularly with respect to terrorism and a attack on

:20:12. > :20:13.democracy in the last few weeks, but also the challenges and

:20:14. > :20:19.opportunities that Brexit presents and the need to get not just a good

:20:20. > :20:27.deal for Northern Ireland, but a good deal for the UK. Laura, you

:20:28. > :20:34.watch Westminster closely. Can you interpret for me what the DUP

:20:35. > :20:39.position would actually mean in terms of votes in the House? What

:20:40. > :20:43.kind of pressure will they be able to bring? Significant pressure. In

:20:44. > :20:47.the last Parliament, the DUP were able to do privately call shots on

:20:48. > :20:52.some issues. But if there were to be any sort of backsliding on Brexit,

:20:53. > :20:56.what would you consider to be something unacceptable? We have

:20:57. > :21:01.already heard that there may be Tory MPs calling for a reconsideration of

:21:02. > :21:05.the idea of staying in the single market. Would that be something you

:21:06. > :21:11.would consider as acceptable in the Brexit negotiations? Northern

:21:12. > :21:19.Ireland has particular circumstances in respect of Brexit, because we

:21:20. > :21:22.have a border with Ireland which will be the UK's border with the

:21:23. > :21:29.European Union after Brexit. The UK will be leaving the EU, but there

:21:30. > :21:32.are particular circumstances shaped by our history, geography and

:21:33. > :21:37.economy that we want to see reflected in any deal. That is

:21:38. > :21:43.something we would be talking very early to a new government about. Is

:21:44. > :21:46.it clear to you that you would only do a kind of vote by vote

:21:47. > :21:50.understanding or would you consider something more formal with the

:21:51. > :21:54.Conservatives? Let's see what happens over the next few hours.

:21:55. > :21:59.Clearly, our votes will be important. In the last Parliament,

:22:00. > :22:04.our votes were not needed in the way they may be in the new parliament.

:22:05. > :22:08.On a range of issues, we were able to take a position which was

:22:09. > :22:12.consistent with our policies as a party but were also in the best

:22:13. > :22:21.interests of the people of Northern Ireland, and we will continue to do

:22:22. > :22:27.that. You are in favour of leaving the EU. What kind of border do you

:22:28. > :22:30.want with the South? We want to see a frictionless border between

:22:31. > :22:33.Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. There are a lot of

:22:34. > :22:37.movements on a daily basis between people who work on both sides of the

:22:38. > :22:41.border and a lot of movements in respect of the economy and trade.

:22:42. > :22:48.The rest of the UK remains our biggest seller 's market. So you

:22:49. > :22:52.think people who worry about that border and think that for instance,

:22:53. > :23:00.in terms of immigration into the UK, it is an open door from the Republic

:23:01. > :23:03.into the north, they are wrong? The Common travel area has existed

:23:04. > :23:12.between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland since the 1920s.

:23:13. > :23:15.There has been a lot of talk in the last year about the creation of a

:23:16. > :23:22.hard border. That is not something we want. Sorry to interrupt, but

:23:23. > :23:25.were talking about Polish workers and Romanian workers coming from the

:23:26. > :23:30.EU who have open access at the moment to the mainland of Britain.

:23:31. > :23:34.They will surely be able to come into the Republic through Northern

:23:35. > :23:37.Ireland and into Britain. I know you have had a common border with the

:23:38. > :23:42.South, but that is going to allow anyone to come from anywhere in

:23:43. > :23:52.Europe into the mainland of Britain, isn't it? The detail of how it would

:23:53. > :23:55.work in practice would have to be worked out through the course of the

:23:56. > :24:01.next number of years as we go through the Article 50 process. We

:24:02. > :24:06.want a good deal for Northern Ireland as we exit the European

:24:07. > :24:09.Union. We were reassured by what the Prime Minister, David Davis and

:24:10. > :24:14.other Cabinet members said about their desire not to see a hard

:24:15. > :24:16.border. That is something we don't want on the Dublin government don't

:24:17. > :24:21.want to see that either. Brussels officials have also said that, so

:24:22. > :24:27.there is a recognition of the circumstances of Northern Ireland.

:24:28. > :24:31.That is something we will want to be dealt with early in the new

:24:32. > :24:39.parliament. Mr Hamilton, thank you. You mentioned David Davis. We have

:24:40. > :24:52.been trying to get Boris Johnson to talk to us. No. David Davis? No.

:24:53. > :25:03.Philip Hammond? No. Senior figures in the Tory party stumm, unlike

:25:04. > :25:05.Mishal's guests. Were ordered by Alistair Campbell, former director

:25:06. > :25:09.of Downing Street implications and the Guardian journalist Paul Mason.

:25:10. > :25:14.Paul, did you dare to hope for these sorts of games for Labour? Yes. I

:25:15. > :25:18.knew as soon as we did the left-wing manifesto that we could get back to

:25:19. > :25:23.35%. I'm not sure what the final percentage will be, but it looks

:25:24. > :25:27.like we are on 12 million votes for Labour, which is pushing close to

:25:28. > :25:33.what the first two Tony Blair results were. What has then it is

:25:34. > :25:40.the severe deprivation across the areas of Britain that are voting for

:25:41. > :25:45.us. 12 million people picked up the Daily Mail and the # And read these

:25:46. > :25:49.headlines about Corbyn and McDonnell being Marxist terror supporters and

:25:50. > :25:54.threw them mentally in the bin. So for you, it was the

:25:55. > :26:00.anti-austerity election? Absolutely. I was campaigning in Plymouth, the

:26:01. > :26:04.home of the Trident submarine, or where they refurbish them. It looks

:26:05. > :26:09.like Labour will win both Plymouth seats. Even to that military

:26:10. > :26:13.community, home of the Royal Marine commandos, it is desperate out there

:26:14. > :26:19.in many working class communities, and nobody in politics has noticed.

:26:20. > :26:23.You are making it sound like a win, which it isn't. Alastair Campbell,

:26:24. > :26:29.what do you think? It has been an extraordinary night. I do think that

:26:30. > :26:31.an election that Theresa May called to strengthen her position, because

:26:32. > :26:39.she looked at the numbers on Jeremy Corbyn and thought it was unlosable,

:26:40. > :26:44.and she has lost. She cannot survive for long in the position she has

:26:45. > :26:47.got. I think Jeremy Corbyn is onto something in relation to how deep

:26:48. > :26:52.the austerity is going and the public saying they want something

:26:53. > :27:01.better. As you mentioned, Mishal, it is important to emphasise that she

:27:02. > :27:06.has lost and Labour hasn't won. The country is essentially still saying,

:27:07. > :27:11.we don't really want either of you. But they are doing it at a time when

:27:12. > :27:15.a government has to go into the most difficult negotiations that any

:27:16. > :27:20.government has had since the war. For your party, it means that

:27:21. > :27:27.Blairism is even more firmly part of the past. Jeremy Corbyn's wing of

:27:28. > :27:32.the party will lead it for the foreseeable future. Well, I want and

:27:33. > :27:35.hope that the Labour Party can encapsulate and encompass all of

:27:36. > :27:40.that space. The only way the Labour Party will get back into winning and

:27:41. > :27:46.having a Labour Prime Minister is if you have that coalition that has the

:27:47. > :27:53.left, but also has the centre ground. I want to get over this new,

:27:54. > :27:57.old, Blair, Brown macro thing. History has put us in an amazing

:27:58. > :28:03.edition. Of course we haven't won and we have to facilitate a stable

:28:04. > :28:07.conservative/ DUP government forming itself, because this country is

:28:08. > :28:12.under attack from terror. So what Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry

:28:13. > :28:20.are signalling about looking... We don't know what the final arithmetic

:28:21. > :28:25.is. But in the next 12 hours, Amber Rudd has to carry on being Home

:28:26. > :28:29.Secretary. You are right that Labour now needs to learn from this. I

:28:30. > :28:32.would like to see some of those big hitters from the brown and Blair era

:28:33. > :28:43.come into the Shadow Cabinet, reset the balance within Labour, re-look

:28:44. > :28:47.at what our offer on Brexit is. We have won this is committed to

:28:48. > :28:52.Brexit. That is how you win in places like Manchester and Bolton.

:28:53. > :28:57.But the kind of Brexit now has to be one that embraces an engagement with

:28:58. > :29:03.Europe. One of her big mistakes was that since the referendum, she has

:29:04. > :29:08.governed for the 40% with two fingers up to the 52%. You cannot

:29:09. > :29:15.govern for the country with such a big decision to be pursued like

:29:16. > :29:18.that. So no matter what configuration, there will have to be

:29:19. > :29:20.a much more consensual approach to what Britain's relationship with

:29:21. > :29:31.Europe becomes. Let's join Yvette Cooper in

:29:32. > :29:37.Wakefield. Thank you for joining us at this early hour of the morning.

:29:38. > :29:43.You are safely back in your seat. You were one of those who wanted to

:29:44. > :29:46.leave the Labour Party. What do you make of what has happened and what

:29:47. > :29:55.lessons does it contain for people like you on the right or the centre

:29:56. > :29:59.of Labour? I think it is great that we're winning back constituencies

:30:00. > :30:06.for and we are seeing hard work across the country. I applaud the

:30:07. > :30:09.work Jeremy, Tom, members and activists have been doing across the

:30:10. > :30:14.country to win back those constituencies. We have also had a

:30:15. > :30:19.small number of losses, that is very sad. People like Natascha Engel have

:30:20. > :30:24.been fantastic MPs in Parliament. But overall we have seen some great

:30:25. > :30:29.results. But of course what it means now is it looks like this is a hung

:30:30. > :30:33.parliament. I think that Theresa May called this as a referendum on

:30:34. > :30:37.herself and she has lost that. I do not see how she can carry on because

:30:38. > :30:41.I don't see she has a mandate for the manifesto she set out. That

:30:42. > :30:46.means it will be quite complicated in terms of what happens now. We

:30:47. > :30:53.have to keep up the pressure in terms of what we should be doing. We

:30:54. > :30:56.need to stand up for people to get a Labour government. And you are no

:30:57. > :31:01.happy with Jeremy Corbyn's leadership where you were not

:31:02. > :31:09.before? We had leadership elections in the party. That is how we do

:31:10. > :31:15.things. Jeremy Corbyn won twice. And that is why we had the whole party

:31:16. > :31:19.come together as part of this campaign, the all party campaigning

:31:20. > :31:22.across the country. I have been to about 20 constituencies across the

:31:23. > :31:28.country campaigning for those Labour candidates. It is great to see many

:31:29. > :31:36.of them elected this morning. What is happening behind you? Who is

:31:37. > :31:42.being applauded? Jon Trickett was just making his speech. He has been

:31:43. > :31:51.re-elected as the MP for Handsworth. -- Hemsworth. You were wrong about

:31:52. > :31:54.the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. It turns out he is a better leader than

:31:55. > :32:00.anybody else you could have produced. I you happy to serve in a

:32:01. > :32:08.shadow cabinet with him, indeed if he becomes Prime Minister serving

:32:09. > :32:12.cabinet with him? You back onside? I think we have all been working

:32:13. > :32:15.together in this election. We have been fighting for every vote, every

:32:16. > :32:21.single member of the party, every single candidate. We have been doing

:32:22. > :32:25.so together. That has been really important. That is why we have won

:32:26. > :32:30.support right across the country, a broad range of support. I think you

:32:31. > :32:33.would certainly agree it would be very presumptuous of me or anybody

:32:34. > :32:39.else to talk about what happens next. That is for the party. The one

:32:40. > :32:45.thing that should happen next is that Theresa May, I do think, cannot

:32:46. > :32:50.carry on as Prime Minister when she has lost what was a referendum she

:32:51. > :32:54.called on herself. We haven't seen the strong and stable claims that

:32:55. > :33:00.she made. We have seen the complete opposite happened. We have this

:33:01. > :33:09.really important Brexit negotiations? To start in about 11

:33:10. > :33:12.days. -- due to start. There will have to be more transparency. There

:33:13. > :33:17.will have to be more negotiations and discussions in Parliament

:33:18. > :33:21.itself. There will have to be a proper, wide-open debate about what

:33:22. > :33:25.kind of Brexit Britain and the British government is pursuing. They

:33:26. > :33:29.can't do things the old ways and think they can get away with it

:33:30. > :33:35.after this election result. Thank you. We have now got a 29 seats

:33:36. > :33:42.still to declare. And we are now able, officially, so to speak, to

:33:43. > :33:45.say there is going to be, at the end when everything is in, there is

:33:46. > :33:51.going to be a hung parliament. No surprise there. With the

:33:52. > :33:57.Conservatives as the larger party. The largest party. Labour on 262.

:33:58. > :34:05.But remember, the Conservatives need 326. So far from guaranteeing

:34:06. > :34:13.certainty and stability for the years ahead, Theresa May called this

:34:14. > :34:19.election and she has lost 17 majority in favour of a hung

:34:20. > :34:23.parliament that has her on 318 only. Yes, we are just contemplating that

:34:24. > :34:28.inside our virtual parliament. Remember in 2010 when the

:34:29. > :34:32.Conservatives got 306 seats and they needed friends. They looked to the

:34:33. > :34:36.Liberal Democrats and you got the coalition. What may happen this

:34:37. > :34:43.time? Let me just show you the numbers here. Remarkably similar to

:34:44. > :34:50.the numbers we give you at the start of the night. 318, Conservative, 262

:34:51. > :34:56.Labour. I'm going to show you how it would work if the Conservatives say

:34:57. > :35:02.to the DUP, the Democratic Unionist Party, help us. They haven't got the

:35:03. > :35:10.crucial 326 seats. How does it work? We take out, first of all, how do

:35:11. > :35:15.you get this to line up again? It doesn't matter if we see you. While

:35:16. > :35:24.you do that, let me explain. Here are the parties. The Conservatives,

:35:25. > :35:30.308. We are looking for 326. It is pretty simple now. We undertake the

:35:31. > :35:36.DUP and we have got them down as ten. Add them to it. They are there.

:35:37. > :35:40.It is pretty, pretty close. It is very painful for Theresa May. It is

:35:41. > :35:47.that simple thing of saying to the DUP, will you help us? For Theresa

:35:48. > :35:51.May to reach out and ask them to at least get the Queen's speeds

:35:52. > :35:56.through. That arrangement involves all kinds of trade having to be

:35:57. > :36:00.made. Yvette Cooper saying there will be more focus on what is said

:36:01. > :36:04.and done in and around the chamber of the House of Commons. It could be

:36:05. > :36:10.done. A pretty simple calculation. They got close enough to the line to

:36:11. > :36:14.only need the support of the DUP. Let's see what this looks like

:36:15. > :36:19.inside the house of Commons. We had the Conservatives short. You can see

:36:20. > :36:24.the finishing line. Three than 26 seats needed. They haven't made it.

:36:25. > :36:30.It is a hung parliament. They use the DUP to get across the line. Take

:36:31. > :36:37.a look at the opposition benches. Labour on 262. The SNP on 35. The

:36:38. > :36:39.Lib Dems recovering a bit. You can see the other parties. We have

:36:40. > :36:46.filled out the Northern Ireland parties. Labour exceeding all

:36:47. > :36:49.expectations. If you have a whirl around the House of Commons, you

:36:50. > :36:54.will see it is dominated, as before, by blue. But of course the crucial

:36:55. > :37:01.thing, the action around this line, this 327 line danger is the problem

:37:02. > :37:06.for Mrs May. That is why she will need help to pass laws and govern,

:37:07. > :37:10.if indeed she stays in power. And if she doesn't stay in power, those who

:37:11. > :37:18.like a little bit of history at 20 to six in the morning, she will be

:37:19. > :37:23.the shortest term Prime Minister 's since Andrew Bonar Law, the

:37:24. > :37:31.Conservative Prime Minister, who served 210 days from 1922 to 1923.

:37:32. > :37:38.She has done 230 days. Nothing to be proud of. And the absolutely

:37:39. > :37:40.upside-down version of what he thought was kind to happen. She was

:37:41. > :37:46.expecting to be the first Conservative leader for 30 years to

:37:47. > :37:52.have a proper Conservative majority. Don't forget, David Cameron only

:37:53. > :37:55.made coalition in 2010. In 2015 he had a puny majority. This is the

:37:56. > :37:59.upside-down version of what Theresa May was anticipating. At the

:38:00. > :38:04.beginning of the campaign I remember there were a lot of opinion polls

:38:05. > :38:08.saying that people infinitely preferred her to Jeremy Corbyn. By

:38:09. > :38:13.quite big margins. Even if they didn't like the Conservative Party.

:38:14. > :38:18.People assumed it was her style, they liked are not being flashy, the

:38:19. > :38:23.light are not being as flashy as David Cameron, showing his toes off

:38:24. > :38:28.on an Instagram with his wife on holiday. She wasn't that kind of

:38:29. > :38:31.woman. A very private. She went on television and revealed nothing

:38:32. > :38:39.except that her husband put at the dustbins. People like that

:38:40. > :38:42.rectitude. Absolutely. We heard on the doorstep that people thought she

:38:43. > :38:47.wasn't like the other Tories, she was in the past boy. She was like

:38:48. > :38:54.during child's head teacher. She was calm, she had authority. I think one

:38:55. > :38:57.of the things that really hurt was not just the social care policy and

:38:58. > :39:03.the manifesto that frankly panicked a lot of elderly Conservative

:39:04. > :39:08.voters, it was probably largely due to the presentation not the actual

:39:09. > :39:12.policy. It panicked her. And then she changed her mind. That idea that

:39:13. > :39:20.she was stable, that she was resolute, but she had authority, was

:39:21. > :39:24.hugely undermined by the fact she did a U-turn on manifesto within

:39:25. > :39:28.days. That had never happened before. Secondly, the issue of

:39:29. > :39:34.police cuts in the wake of the terror attacks came up the rails in

:39:35. > :39:40.the closing days of the campaign. Just as you would normally expect

:39:41. > :39:43.the Conservatives to respond, the electorate to respond more

:39:44. > :39:47.positively to the Conservatives on security, traditionally a plus for

:39:48. > :39:53.them, in reverse, it appears to have gone the other way. So again, on the

:39:54. > :39:59.result and on the reaction of the campaign, a topsy-turvy election in

:40:00. > :40:03.that sense. It was weird, the turnabout on the care for people in

:40:04. > :40:08.their homes. It was absolutely clear reading the manifesto that what she

:40:09. > :40:13.was saying was, you can keep your last ?100,000, but you will pay for

:40:14. > :40:18.the rest of your care. There was no mention that you wouldn't have to

:40:19. > :40:23.pay more than 70 5000. Yet when they suddenly said, we will put that in

:40:24. > :40:27.so you can keep 100, and you won't have to pay more than 75, she just

:40:28. > :40:35.couldn't bring herself to say it was a change. You say the old people may

:40:36. > :40:40.not have been too worried but it was the fact that clearly everybody knew

:40:41. > :40:44.she had changed her position. The public are much more forgiving than

:40:45. > :40:49.Westminster. The concept of a U-turn. If you front up to it. In

:40:50. > :40:53.human life, everybody makes mistakes, finally you put your hands

:40:54. > :40:57.up and say, that is what happened. Theresa May stood there at repeated

:40:58. > :41:01.press conferences, answering question after question, saying

:41:02. > :41:05.nothing has changed, nothing has changed. We'll knew something had

:41:06. > :41:09.changed. We reported it. The public completely knew something had

:41:10. > :41:15.changed. That undermined her brand of not being like the rest. What is

:41:16. > :41:20.it with this nick, Timothy and Fiona Hill, that they can take on one side

:41:21. > :41:25.and say, don't give way, which is presumably what they were doing?

:41:26. > :41:30.Presumably she will have felt that. They are a core trio that I worked

:41:31. > :41:34.together for years. But to present her as not being able to make a

:41:35. > :41:40.wrong mind up is not fair. In our last couple of years at the Home

:41:41. > :41:44.Office, the to -- two of them had already left. The story is too

:41:45. > :41:48.tempting to imagine as a politician having strings pulled by people

:41:49. > :41:52.behind the scenes. The thing about Theresa May is she is extremely

:41:53. > :41:56.self-contained. She doesn't trust people easily. Since she moved into

:41:57. > :42:00.Number 10 people have been saying, she will have to broaden her circle.

:42:01. > :42:07.You can run that kind of tight ship if you are in a department. At

:42:08. > :42:11.Number 10, you have to be nimble. What we saw in this campaign, that

:42:12. > :42:17.was the one thing Theresa May seemed not capable of doing, was being

:42:18. > :42:20.nimble. The next 24-hour is she needs to survive. She is gone to

:42:21. > :42:25.need to be nimble. I understand she has been talking the Tory staff.

:42:26. > :42:30.Apparently her mood was calm, sombre. She didn't directly address

:42:31. > :42:35.the issue of her future. She didn't say she was going to stay, we will

:42:36. > :42:41.carry on together. The application of course not mentioning it is that

:42:42. > :42:50.she hasn't made of her mind. -- made up her mind. I will come back to you

:42:51. > :42:55.in a minute. This is a list of seats still to declare. Have a look at

:42:56. > :43:03.this. The Tories have to win all of these bar one. All of these bar one.

:43:04. > :43:09.There is the less. These are all being counted at the moment. They

:43:10. > :43:14.have taken Devon West and torrid. They have to take all of them bar

:43:15. > :43:22.one. If they lose two, it is a hung parliament. That is why we are

:43:23. > :43:30.forecasting a hung parliament. What reaction have you got? Not just

:43:31. > :43:35.social media. I am text on relentlessly. I text it

:43:36. > :43:40.a former Tory minister, can she survived? I will not telling the

:43:41. > :43:46.utilities. The response was, I doubt it. As Laura has been reporting and

:43:47. > :43:51.discussing, this election was called about the single issue of Brexit.

:43:52. > :43:55.Theresa May wanted a mandate to connect -- to negotiate with

:43:56. > :44:02.conviction. It is clear looking at what we are seeing on social media

:44:03. > :44:08.that people who backed Remain, they are very much emboldened. We have a

:44:09. > :44:19.declaration from Ashfield. Gloria Del Piero, 21,000 285. Tony

:44:20. > :44:34.Harper, Conservative Party, 20800 and 44. Green Party candidate, 398.

:44:35. > :44:51.Putting people before politics, 4612. Ray Young, Ukip, for the

:44:52. > :44:56.number of ballot papers rejected... Gloria Del Piera has been there

:44:57. > :45:01.since 2010. A former political correspondent for television. Once

:45:02. > :45:04.described as Tony Blair's favourite broadcaster. She has held onto

:45:05. > :45:12.Ashfield. The previous majority was 8000. This is down in the hundreds.

:45:13. > :45:27.But anywhere, Ashfield has been held. Ashfield in Nottinghamshire.

:45:28. > :45:32.The Remainers, people like Ed Miliband, were meant to be

:45:33. > :45:36.vanquished by this election. The idea was that by getting a big

:45:37. > :45:41.mandate, Theresa merguez cover their ambitions. But actually, these guys

:45:42. > :45:44.are massively happy about this result. Ed Miliband has put out a

:45:45. > :45:49.message in the last hour saying, we know Theresa May can't now negotiate

:45:50. > :45:53.Brexit for Britain because she told us losing a majority would destroy

:45:54. > :46:00.her authority, and it has. Pretty brutal stuff from Ed Miliband. There

:46:01. > :46:03.are lots of people who are almost celebrity opponents of Brexit. Simon

:46:04. > :46:08.Schama, the historian, is one of them. He has put out a message

:46:09. > :46:13.saying hard Brexit is dead ma May on life support. Democracy is alive and

:46:14. > :46:16.kicking, a great thing. We are going to have lots of complex battles

:46:17. > :46:20.inside the Conservative Party and the House of Commons over the next

:46:21. > :46:24.few weeks, but that is not the only battle. The other 27 members of the

:46:25. > :46:28.European Union will be looking at this result. I think they agreed

:46:29. > :46:32.with Theresa May's analysis. Had she got a big increase in her majority,

:46:33. > :46:36.she would have had a stronger bargaining position. Now it is much

:46:37. > :46:41.weaker. Whoever runs the government over the next few weeks and months

:46:42. > :46:52.will find it much harder to get any deal out of the other 27 members.

:46:53. > :46:54.But if their mandate is weaker here, the strongest contingent in the

:46:55. > :47:00.Conservative Party is the Eurosceptics. So with a weaker

:47:01. > :47:05.mandate, there are potentially more likely to push her around and

:47:06. > :47:09.therefore a hard Brexit could be back on the table. Let's hear from

:47:10. > :47:12.the Conservative Party, a man who contended for the Conservative Party

:47:13. > :47:20.leadership until he dropped out, Stephen Crabb, who has held his

:47:21. > :47:25.Welsh seat by just over 300, down from 5000 or so. Thank you for

:47:26. > :47:29.joining us. Tell us what you think of the state of affairs for your

:47:30. > :47:36.party and which direction it should now go in? I have not been able to

:47:37. > :47:41.follow the full unfolding results or what the current state of the

:47:42. > :47:45.arithmetic is of what the new parliament will be but clearly,

:47:46. > :47:48.something has gone awry here. We set out on this election campaign

:47:49. > :47:51.wanting to provide the country with more stability and more unity ahead

:47:52. > :47:55.of the Brexit negotiations, and we are emerging with a situation in

:47:56. > :48:00.parliament where there are more divisions and less stability. So we

:48:01. > :48:05.clearly need to take stock of what has gone on and think about what

:48:06. > :48:07.these big overarching challenges with the Brexit negotiations, and

:48:08. > :48:11.take time to rethink what the correct approach is in the national

:48:12. > :48:18.interest. Can the Prime Minister hang on? Is absolutely she can. I

:48:19. > :48:24.don't know what the current state of affairs is with the number of seats

:48:25. > :48:26.being won, but if she is the leader of the largest party, there is a

:48:27. > :48:32.duty upon her as Prime Minister to seek to form a viable government.

:48:33. > :48:36.The last thing we should be doing right now while the election results

:48:37. > :48:40.are still coming in, is called for more political turbulence and knee

:48:41. > :48:47.jerk decisions. We need to be calm about this. Theresa May clearly

:48:48. > :48:51.understands the seriousness of the situation. But we should avoid hasty

:48:52. > :48:56.decisions that add to the instability. Leaving aside the

:48:57. > :49:03.leadership, in terms of policy, you are stored Remainer -- a staunch

:49:04. > :49:09.Remainer. You don't want to see Britain leave the EU in difficult

:49:10. > :49:14.circumstances and go into the World Trade Organisation. Do you think

:49:15. > :49:22.this election will have a salutary effect on the decisions that are

:49:23. > :49:25.made about Brexit as a Remainer? Well, I voted for Remain, but I

:49:26. > :49:30.understood the result of the referendum last year and recognised

:49:31. > :49:36.the need to strike a pragmatic and realistic Brexit position. I think

:49:37. > :49:41.it is important to avoid falling back on this hard edge Brexit

:49:42. > :49:44.relying on World Trade Organisation rules. And yes, one of the messages

:49:45. > :49:50.from the results tonight will be that the government needs to seek a

:49:51. > :49:55.balanced, pragmatic approach, strike that deal with the European Union if

:49:56. > :49:58.we can. Ideally, given that it is unlikely that there will be one

:49:59. > :50:04.party with an overall majority, we need to be trying to forge as much

:50:05. > :50:07.cross-party consensus on this as possible. Stephen Crabb, thank you.

:50:08. > :50:12.While you were talking, we were watching Zac Goldsmith at Richmond

:50:13. > :50:16.Park, where there appear to have been two recounts. He is looking

:50:17. > :50:19.very chirpy. That is him, the blond fellow in the background, who is

:50:20. > :50:26.fighting the Conservative cause against the Liberal Democrats, who

:50:27. > :50:37.took over his seat in a by-election. Let's hear from our reporter there

:50:38. > :50:40.if we can. We can't. So we will leave him there, mulling over

:50:41. > :50:45.whatever it is that has happened, and go to North East Fife. It is

:50:46. > :50:50.difficult to interpret people's faces. And we have lost North East

:50:51. > :50:59.Fife as well. But I'm sure everyone will come back in time. So we have a

:51:00. > :51:10.hung parliament, we think. 20 seats to go now and the Tories are on 306.

:51:11. > :51:16.We think they will end up at 318. Is it time to remind ourselves of what

:51:17. > :51:22.happens with a hung parliament? I am sure it is. The technical rules. Who

:51:23. > :51:27.governs while it is resolved? The incumbent Prime Minister is still in

:51:28. > :51:32.office. Whatever happens with the Tory party, the government in power

:51:33. > :51:38.gets the first chance to form a government. If they can't do that

:51:39. > :51:41.and they try to put something forward to the Commons and it fails,

:51:42. > :51:45.then the Prime Minister has to resign. We may not get to that

:51:46. > :52:04.territory. We will have to leave your lecture. We are going to

:52:05. > :52:15.Southampton. The Conservative candidate, 16006. If Labour hold

:52:16. > :52:26.this one, it is a hung parliament. Independent, 680.

:52:27. > :52:39.Southampton independent, 716. Labour Party, 27509. That is it. He has

:52:40. > :52:43.increased his agility, so it is a hung parliament. The Tories had to

:52:44. > :52:48.take that one if they were to have any chance of reaching 326. They now

:52:49. > :52:52.don't. We forecast a hung parliament and it now is a hung parliament.

:52:53. > :52:57.This is the official moment where we can say Theresa May's gamble has

:52:58. > :53:02.spectacularly backfired. She has lost the majority she inherited from

:53:03. > :53:07.David Cameron. She herself is in a vulnerable position at a time when

:53:08. > :53:12.whoever is in charge faces the most competitive political task in

:53:13. > :53:20.decades. Astonishing. You can go back to reading your rules. So the

:53:21. > :53:30.Prime Minister is still entitled. Does she go to the palace? No. I

:53:31. > :53:33.think she still will go to the palace. There still has to be a

:53:34. > :53:37.formal request after a general election. Then she goes back to the

:53:38. > :53:44.House of Commons. A vote of confidence then? That would be up to

:53:45. > :53:49.the 1922 committee. But what will she do as Prime Minister? The first

:53:50. > :53:56.move would be to put forward what she plans to do. Parliament State

:53:57. > :53:59.opening is on the 19th of June, so she would try to put forward a

:54:00. > :54:04.Queen's Speech and essentially dare the other parties to vote you down.

:54:05. > :54:07.It may be that things are moving so fast that we might not get there but

:54:08. > :54:10.technically, the largest party is entitled to put forward a Queen's

:54:11. > :54:13.Speech and see what the other parties make of it. On these

:54:14. > :54:21.numbers, it may be that if Theresa May makes it through the Tory

:54:22. > :54:28.grinder, her Queen's Speech would go through and then she could carry on,

:54:29. > :54:36.albeit very much damaged but still in charge. But it is too

:54:37. > :54:40.straightforward to say she has to get it through Parliament, because

:54:41. > :54:47.the opposition parties might not want to force another election now

:54:48. > :54:53.or form another government. So they can call back or abstain. They can

:54:54. > :54:59.do all sorts of things. Let her stew in her own juice for a bit. She has

:55:00. > :55:07.already voiced that up on her own petard. There we go, two analogies!

:55:08. > :55:14.The rules create the backdrop of all of this. But the political mood is

:55:15. > :55:20.more important. Where there is a will, there's a way. If the party

:55:21. > :55:25.allows her to stay and she wants to carry on when she's so damaged, then

:55:26. > :55:33.maybe she can. But somebody in 11 days' time has to go and speak to Mr

:55:34. > :55:36.Barnier about leaving. So who does that? If Theresa May stays on, you

:55:37. > :55:40.would assume it would be David Davis, if he doesn't get moved to

:55:41. > :55:44.another job. But it would be an astonishing thing where whoever it

:55:45. > :55:51.is turned up opposing the other 27 countries around the table. Emily

:55:52. > :55:55.has more results for us. We know it is now a hung parliament, but let's

:55:56. > :56:00.see what has come in. I wonder if we are starting to feel the pace of the

:56:01. > :56:05.shy Remainer in these results. This is Chipping Barnet, a north London

:56:06. > :56:10.suburb by showing that although Theresa Villiers has kept the seat,

:56:11. > :56:17.look at the swing, again away from her towards Labour of 6.9%. Same

:56:18. > :56:25.sort of direction as the one we saw with Justine Greening in Putney.

:56:26. > :56:38.They are holding on here. Dumfriesshire is the one that has

:56:39. > :56:44.been held for the Conservatives. It does start to look like a rejection

:56:45. > :56:50.of independence, whether you are talking about the Scottish

:56:51. > :56:55.referendum, or maybe a start of the shy Remain vote in England. We have

:56:56. > :57:00.seen some extraordinary swings in Scotland on a summer of 20%. This is

:57:01. > :57:09.not as big, but it is still pretty hefty, and 11 point swing towards

:57:10. > :57:19.the Conservatives away from the SNP. Even when you see the old, let's

:57:20. > :57:24.look at the change. The Ukip vote is again deeply down, Labour making

:57:25. > :57:29.those gains which holds the seat for the Conservatives. In Scotland, we

:57:30. > :57:32.are seeing a real rejection of independence, with all the parties

:57:33. > :57:37.taking away from the SNP. Will we start to interpret the same sort of

:57:38. > :57:41.movement in some of the gains that Labour is making from the

:57:42. > :57:46.Conservatives? So it could be that one of the effects of this election

:57:47. > :57:49.will be to give hope to the 48% who voted Remain in the referendum last

:57:50. > :57:54.summer? They will think there is now something to play for again. You

:57:55. > :58:03.have heard the Remainers saying the 48% felt forgotten. Perhaps over the

:58:04. > :58:06.course of this year, the Remainers are the ones who have felt their

:58:07. > :58:15.voice was ignored and it is starting to come through. This is the voice

:58:16. > :58:19.of the shy Remainers, but they have not decamped en masse to the Lib

:58:20. > :58:22.Dems. It was the Lib Dem strategy to relentless target the 40% in the

:58:23. > :58:34.hope that they would all come over to the yellow column, but that has

:58:35. > :58:39.not happened, interestingly. Well, the 326 seats that the Tories needed

:58:40. > :58:44.if they were to have a majority, even a minuscule one, is now

:58:45. > :58:52.impossible. So it is a hung parliament. The Conservatives have

:58:53. > :59:00.309 seats. Labour 258. There is no way the Conservatives can go to 326.

:59:01. > :59:08.That is how it is at the moment. We have not shown the other parties. I

:59:09. > :59:11.don't think we have even mentioned whether the Green Party won in

:59:12. > :59:18.Brighton. We are still waiting for that result, Caroline Lucas. That is

:59:19. > :59:22.how things are. It is a hung parliament, and that's the story.

:59:23. > :59:26.And it has taken us from ten o'clock, when it was quite

:59:27. > :59:32.astonishing to get the exit poll, to now, just before six o'clock, to be

:59:33. > :59:38.certain that that is how things are. Peter. In the light of the

:59:39. > :59:42.referendum a year ago, Scotland was doing one thing, London was doing

:59:43. > :59:46.one thing, and the rest of England and Wales. It is like that tonight.

:59:47. > :59:50.These three quite different operations. Scotland, a massive

:59:51. > :59:56.swing from SNP to Conservative. In a huge swing to Labour, especially in

:59:57. > :00:00.the Tory marginals. The rest of England and Wales, a small swing to

:00:01. > :00:07.Labour. So once again, the shadow of Brexit and the referendum is telling

:00:08. > :00:11.in these results. A while ago, Southgate went back to Labour. The

:00:12. > :00:14.remarkable thing is that it was actually in line with all the other

:00:15. > :00:17.Conservative marginals in London. The surprising thing is that it was

:00:18. > :00:22.not a surprise in terms of what was happening in London tonight.

:00:23. > :00:28.Cordova it is six o'clock and some of you will have had your alarm

:00:29. > :00:37.clocks winging in your ear. You will be will wanting to know what

:00:38. > :00:41.happened. The news from the Election Centre, it is a hung parliament.

:00:42. > :00:47.Theresa May, having gone to get what she called certainty and stability

:00:48. > :00:52.for the years ahead, has totally failed. She had a majority of 17

:00:53. > :00:57.when this election was called a few weeks back, she now doesn't have a

:00:58. > :01:03.majority at all. From her point of view, it's a total disaster. It was

:01:04. > :01:07.a call she made and it fell flat. That's how things are. For the next

:01:08. > :01:11.hour and the rest of the day, we will discuss the ramifications. All

:01:12. > :01:18.sorts of ramifications, whether she stays on this, what happens on

:01:19. > :01:22.policy. 11 days from now, we have to start discussing with EU the terms

:01:23. > :01:24.of Brexit. If you are yawning and about to do your morning exercises,

:01:25. > :01:33.that is the news for you. Up here with me, two people whose

:01:34. > :01:34.job it is to decipher these messages into newsprint and onto the

:01:35. > :01:43.airwaves. Let's start with the point a moment

:01:44. > :01:49.ago, Andrew, do you think this was the voice of the shy Remainer coming

:01:50. > :01:54.back? I said earlier I thought there was an element of the angry Remainer

:01:55. > :01:58.who had been ignored for most of the campaign, expressing itself in some

:01:59. > :02:03.of the results. There is a lot to this result, but the big headline is

:02:04. > :02:07.this is the most stunning reversal of fortunes. Just a month ago, the

:02:08. > :02:11.local elections, it now appears to be the Jurassic in love. Labour was

:02:12. > :02:21.absolutely hammered at those elections. -- the Jurassic era. Fast

:02:22. > :02:25.forward now, stunningly better results for Jeremy Corbyn, when most

:02:26. > :02:30.expected, including me, and most of his MPs... Some of that is obviously

:02:31. > :02:36.down to the dreadful Conservative campaign, but credit where it is

:02:37. > :02:40.due, Labour has run a very effective campaign, confounding so many

:02:41. > :02:44.expectations. Until a minute to ten last night, many Labour MPs were

:02:45. > :02:48.waiting to come out anticipating a dreadful drubbing. Some who have

:02:49. > :02:53.appeared on this programme over the course of the evening, perhaps

:02:54. > :02:58.preparing to launch leadership campaigns. All that is for the birds

:02:59. > :03:04.now. What do you think this was about? I think we are all going to

:03:05. > :03:09.concentrate on Theresa May falling short in her gamble, but we should

:03:10. > :03:14.not miss the big driver, that Jeremy Corbyn did vastly better than people

:03:15. > :03:20.expected and had analysed. His idea was Ed Miliband did not energise