Steingrimur Sigfusson - Iceland's Finance Minister

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:00:10. > :00:17.Burma's campaigners. Now it is time for HARDtalk.

:00:17. > :00:22.Three years ago, Iceland was on its knees. A tiny nation ruined by

:00:22. > :00:28.financial hubris. Today its economy is growing again, anger and despair

:00:29. > :00:32.are now tempered by tentative signs of recovery. But there is a problem.

:00:32. > :00:36.Iceland has not paid the bill for the financial havoc caused by its

:00:37. > :00:42.risk-addicted banks. My guest today is Iceland's finance minister,

:00:42. > :00:47.Steingrimur Sigfusson. If Iceland is serious about seeking EU

:00:47. > :00:57.membership, isn't it time to get serious about meeting its

:00:57. > :01:13.

:01:14. > :01:17.Steingrimur Sigfusson, in Reykjavik, welcome to HARDtalk. Good morning.

:01:17. > :01:21.My first question for you, I referred to the meltdown in Iceland

:01:21. > :01:26.three years ago, what is the state of the economy today? Are you still

:01:26. > :01:31.in intensive care are ought -- for our new recovering? We're

:01:31. > :01:35.definitely recovering and making a lot of progress. We successfully

:01:35. > :01:39.completed the IMF standby arrangement programme this end of

:01:39. > :01:43.August. We re-entered the international capital markets in

:01:43. > :01:49.the June and successfully issued $1 billion. There are many signs both

:01:49. > :01:54.internally and also externally proving that Iceland has come a

:01:54. > :02:00.long way since October 2008. But of course the problems are not over.

:02:00. > :02:05.We're not out of the woods entirely. This has not come without sacrifice

:02:05. > :02:10.and cost to the Icelandic population. We will talk about

:02:10. > :02:15.sacrifice and cost in a moment but sticking with the notion that you

:02:15. > :02:20.have staged a remarkable recovery. You have got growth expected it of

:02:20. > :02:26.2.5% this year. Many people in the EU would regard that as a triumph

:02:26. > :02:29.right now. It is that contrast with the EU that I am interested in. You

:02:29. > :02:32.in Iceland have taken decisions over the past three years that

:02:32. > :02:39.would have been impossible inside the EU. Do you think that there is

:02:39. > :02:44.a lesson there? You are right. In terms of having our own currency

:02:44. > :02:48.that has devalued and created a very handsome, competitive

:02:48. > :02:55.advantage for our exports and competitive industries. That is one

:02:55. > :02:59.factor. Also through these the economy adapted very quickly to

:02:59. > :03:06.changed circumstances. We also ran a rather UN traditional programme

:03:06. > :03:13.with the IMF and did it our own way. It's we are protected our message

:03:13. > :03:20.in such a way to bring the as line -- the Icelandic society as softly

:03:20. > :03:24.as possible through this. We are a Nordic society after all and we

:03:24. > :03:29.want to prove that. In many ways it has helped Iceland to be small,

:03:29. > :03:33.independent. After all, it is quicker to turn a small boat around

:03:33. > :03:39.then a big ship. And to have our own tools and beans to work

:03:39. > :03:43.ourselves out of this. It has made a difference. Some would say that

:03:43. > :03:48.it has helped being small and adaptable, but it has also helped

:03:48. > :03:52.in a way, being irresponsible. Unlike a country like Ireland,

:03:52. > :03:56.which saw an obligation as a state to take on the terrible debts of

:03:56. > :04:03.his private banks, Iceland took a very different view and said to the

:04:03. > :04:08.banks, you go past, we will not bail you out. This had nothing to

:04:08. > :04:13.do with irresponsibility. The fact of the matter was the banks were

:04:13. > :04:19.far to cook -- fight to beat for the small economy of ice plant to

:04:19. > :04:25.even attempt to rescue them. -- the economy of Iceland. It was not a

:04:25. > :04:29.matter of free choice. It was simply like this. The banks, with

:04:29. > :04:33.extensive international operations, and with a balance sheet about ten

:04:33. > :04:38.times the economy of Iceland, it was totally impossible that we

:04:38. > :04:43.could have rescued them. It was real irresponsibility of the

:04:43. > :04:49.political class of a whole, of which you are a part, to let that

:04:49. > :04:53.happen in the first place. You were living in a fantasy land. We did a

:04:53. > :04:57.lot of mistakes in the year leading up to the collapse of the banks. We

:04:58. > :05:00.have looked that in the eye. We have looked in the mirror. We had a

:05:00. > :05:05.very thorough investigation launched by the parliament that

:05:05. > :05:10.showed us the weaknesses, the mistakes that were done in the

:05:10. > :05:14.years before. I am not saying that we are not, that we do not carry

:05:14. > :05:20.responsibility. But when it comes to the banks, Iceland did not have

:05:20. > :05:23.a choice. We had to do something along the lines that we dig in

:05:23. > :05:31.October 2008 when we pulled the emergency law in place to avoid a

:05:31. > :05:36.total meltdown of the Icelandic economy. It would not have helped

:05:36. > :05:41.anybody if Iceland had completely fallen apart. The rescue operation

:05:41. > :05:46.since October 2008 at the end of the day will also benefit those who

:05:46. > :05:52.had lent Iceland Bunny. objected to my use of the word,

:05:52. > :05:55.irresponsibility. But if you do not mind I will stick with that word.

:05:55. > :06:03.You have received as a nation over the last three years billions and

:06:03. > :06:10.billions of dollars in support from the IMF, the EU, the Nordic

:06:10. > :06:15.countries, the UK, the Netherlands and Germany. As a result your

:06:15. > :06:19.economy is showing signs of improvement. But as the economy

:06:20. > :06:25.improves, you do not appear to be prepared to assume the

:06:25. > :06:31.responsibilities to those people who Iceland still owes money to.

:06:31. > :06:38.must correct you. We have not got a single penny from the EU. On the

:06:38. > :06:43.contrary. Individual member states of the EU have given money, or at

:06:43. > :06:48.least financial guarantees. It is like this. We entered the IMF

:06:48. > :06:52.programme and got some funding from them, and then the Nordic countries,

:06:52. > :06:55.and Poland and the Faroe Islands contributed to financing the

:06:56. > :07:00.programme. Nobody has given us anything. These are loans we will

:07:00. > :07:09.fully repay. When it comes to the dispute between the ice land, the

:07:09. > :07:17.UK and the Netherlands, that has been a difficult case. It's but

:07:17. > :07:24.what we did in October 2008 through the emergency law was to safeguard

:07:24. > :07:30.the depositors of failed banks as much as possible. We made the

:07:30. > :07:36.deposits the priority. The good news is that the economy -- the

:07:36. > :07:41.recovery is improving. The least as -- the latest figures are 100%. It

:07:41. > :07:51.is almost certain that in the coming years the whole principle

:07:51. > :07:52.

:07:52. > :08:02.amount will be repaid. That is not the point. There has been a report

:08:02. > :08:03.

:08:03. > :08:07.from the surveillance Authority. The point ears, the rules down you

:08:07. > :08:13.to pay 20,000 euros compensation to any depositor who lost money in an

:08:13. > :08:17.Icelandic bank. You did not do that. It fell to the British and

:08:17. > :08:21.Netherlands governments because you would not do it. The EU now bio

:08:21. > :08:31.millions of dollars, billions I should say, to the UK and

:08:31. > :08:33.

:08:33. > :08:37.Netherlands, but you are refusing to say it -- to pay. It is like

:08:37. > :08:42.this. We were not in the position. The bank failed and it could not

:08:42. > :08:48.pay out. We were not in the position immediately after to pay

:08:48. > :08:56.out that money. The UK and the Netherlands authorities decided to

:08:57. > :09:00.do so themselves. They calm things down. We have all the time being

:09:00. > :09:05.willing to try to negotiate to try to find a solution to this. But we

:09:05. > :09:09.have pointed out that nowhere in this directive or anywhere in the

:09:09. > :09:13.European regulations does it state that there is a state guarantee

:09:14. > :09:17.behind this. That legal dispute has been at the core of this all the

:09:17. > :09:21.time. But the rulings have gone against you. They have looked at

:09:21. > :09:25.this carefully. You objected. The most recent ruling from the

:09:25. > :09:33.ultimate surveillance Authority is that you were wrong and they had

:09:33. > :09:37.given you three months to meet your obligations. Will you do it?

:09:37. > :09:42.disagree with the surveillance Authority. Now the case rests with

:09:42. > :09:48.them. But as I say, the good news is that payments will start soon

:09:48. > :09:54.and the principal amount will be recovered from the bank. You do not

:09:54. > :09:59.know that. You cannot be quite sure what the assets are and you cannot

:09:59. > :10:04.be quite sure whether they will meet the real, huge numbers that

:10:04. > :10:09.you owed to the UK and the Netherlands. And indeed to town

:10:09. > :10:12.councils to the UK who are crying out for finance, and they have many

:10:12. > :10:22.millions of dollars locked in Icelandic accounts which are now

:10:22. > :10:27.

:10:27. > :10:36.been collected and the outlook is good. We are optimistic that the

:10:36. > :10:40.recovery will be 100%. The deposits are the main priority. By making

:10:40. > :10:45.them priority claims, we safeguarded the depositors,

:10:45. > :10:53.including the British communities and charities, including what the

:10:53. > :10:58.UK and Netherlands authorities paid out, including the top pops. In all

:10:58. > :11:01.fairness, this should be looked at as well. Without getting too

:11:01. > :11:06.technical, you cannot even guarantee that they will be

:11:06. > :11:13.priority creditors, because other creditors are now looking at that

:11:13. > :11:18.pile of money that the bank will eventually have to pay back and

:11:18. > :11:23.saying, why give priority to the depositors and councils and

:11:23. > :11:28.charities? They want a piece of it. You cannot be sure that they will

:11:28. > :11:33.not win their legal argument. are right. We will get a court

:11:33. > :11:38.ruling on this any day now. All we are optimistic that it will for our

:11:38. > :11:42.way. The District Court of Reykjavik will confirm the validity

:11:42. > :11:46.of this law. But I would like to mention there is another side to

:11:46. > :11:53.this. If we're going deeply into the contact between the UK and

:11:53. > :11:58.Iceland, the actions taken against us in the UK in October 2008 were

:11:58. > :12:04.very harmful for ice land. They froze out assets using anti-

:12:04. > :12:10.terrorism law. We have just got a report showing what this cost the

:12:10. > :12:15.general Icelandic businesses -- businesses. It's there potential

:12:15. > :12:25.trade was broken. They suffered a loss of reputation. The figures

:12:25. > :12:26.

:12:26. > :12:34.amount to something something -- to something like $5 billion. I am

:12:34. > :12:41.speaking both about... With respect, should not the Icelandic people as

:12:41. > :12:46.a halt realise that they hacked to take a huge hit because of the

:12:46. > :12:49.collective responsibility -- irresponsibility that believed it

:12:49. > :12:54.could become a major player in international banker. Every single

:12:54. > :12:58.person in your country had to pay a price for that. Yes. And there is

:12:58. > :13:04.not much fairness in that. The ordinary people in Iceland and

:13:04. > :13:07.guilty of nothing in this respect. But you are right. The leaders, in

:13:07. > :13:13.banking, in businesses, they carry a huge responsibility for the

:13:13. > :13:18.things that happened in Iceland. I am not trying to blame anybody else.

:13:18. > :13:22.We must face the fact that we carry the main responsibility. I was

:13:22. > :13:27.Leader of the Opposition in the years leading up to this. I tried

:13:27. > :13:33.to warn and criticise but there were very few of us and we were not

:13:33. > :13:38.much listened to. I want to stop you there. We will get two more of

:13:38. > :13:43.your political thoughts in a minute. Let's focus on the immediate future

:13:43. > :13:47.and the European Union. You have said that you do not recognise the

:13:47. > :13:50.rules which the surveillance Authority has imposed on you when

:13:50. > :13:54.it comes to paying back the debt. You say you do not recognise those

:13:54. > :13:58.rules. In that context, how on earth can Iceland proceed with an

:13:58. > :14:08.EU membership application when you are not even agreeing to be bound

:14:08. > :14:09.

:14:09. > :14:11.by the rules of the EU economic space that you currently reside in?

:14:11. > :14:18.It is a disagreement about interpretation. The courts will

:14:18. > :14:27.sort that out. It's that is not the first time in the world's history

:14:27. > :14:31.that you disagree on interpretation Iceland is trying to convince the

:14:31. > :14:35.European Union that you want membership. You need to dig a

:14:35. > :14:39.little bit deeper into the Icelandic psyche. You do you want

:14:39. > :14:43.to be members of the European Union at all. He wanted a bit of short-

:14:44. > :14:48.term protection. You decided to appeal to the European Union for

:14:48. > :14:56.membership. Now that things have gotten better people have decided

:14:56. > :15:02.that they have a lot of very sticky Rolls. -- roles. The question of

:15:02. > :15:07.membership has always been a very controversial one. It has nothing

:15:07. > :15:15.to do with how we stand economically for the time being. It

:15:15. > :15:21.will always be a very controversial case for Iceland. This is because

:15:21. > :15:28.of our vital interest in the agricultural and officially sectors.

:15:28. > :15:35.-- fisheries. Once you have a clear interpretation that is not disputed,

:15:35. > :15:42.no-one is talking about anything else. There is a dispute. That

:15:42. > :15:52.needs to be sorted out. No way in the directors' does it stand that

:15:52. > :15:53.

:15:53. > :15:57.there is a state guarantee behind the deposits. You explained that.

:15:58. > :16:02.You try to tell me that is simply a technical difference. The European

:16:02. > :16:12.Union application will go ahead. But just get down to the nitty-

:16:12. > :16:13.

:16:13. > :16:22.gritty. You personally believe it would be a mistake, don't you?

:16:22. > :16:27.My party do not think it will be beneficial for Iceland to join.

:16:27. > :16:33.That would be at the Oreste donation. This question has to be

:16:33. > :16:43.solved. Havel future relations between the Iceland and the

:16:43. > :16:43.

:16:43. > :16:53.European Union be and in what form? We are members of the market but

:16:53. > :16:54.

:16:54. > :17:03.not a full member. So we can have our Fisheries and agricultural.

:17:03. > :17:13.us go to the reasons for membership. Many believe it the idea isn't

:17:13. > :17:15.

:17:15. > :17:21.saying. -- is insane. You're talking about radical reform of the

:17:21. > :17:26.banking system. You would have to play by the EU's rules. You get to

:17:26. > :17:31.fisheries. 200 mile fishing limit. Exclusive rights within that zone.

:17:31. > :17:41.A massively successful fishing industry. That would go to. Why

:17:41. > :17:43.

:17:43. > :17:52.would anyone in your country want to be in the EU? We are part of the

:17:52. > :17:59.inner markets. We look at a lot of rules and regulations. We are

:17:59. > :18:05.integrated in many ways. We have to make a decision on whether to go or

:18:05. > :18:12.become a full member. The European Union is our biggest market. 70% of

:18:12. > :18:18.our exports go to Europe. We are a European nation. How we build up

:18:18. > :18:22.our contact with Europe is an important issue that we need to

:18:22. > :18:25.work through. You signed up to a government which officially wanted

:18:25. > :18:33.to join the European Union, not because he believed in it but

:18:33. > :18:39.because he wanted a senior person Cabinet. It was pure politics. You

:18:39. > :18:46.do not believe in this at all. decided to put it to Parliament,

:18:46. > :18:51.whether there was a majority in parliament to apply. We were fully

:18:51. > :18:55.committed to that process. At the end of the day it is up to the

:18:55. > :18:59.Icelandic people to decide. That is the democratic way to settle their

:18:59. > :19:05.question like that. Maybe I am misreading them. The poll suggests

:19:05. > :19:13.that at least 60% of Icelanders have said that they do not want to

:19:13. > :19:19.be in the European Union. You are right. There is strong opposition.

:19:19. > :19:24.This is a controversial case. There was always bound to be so. No doubt

:19:24. > :19:33.some of the recent events in Europe and in how contact with Europe have

:19:33. > :19:42.not helped support membership. I am referring to the problems that the

:19:42. > :19:49.euro is facing. I think that at the end of the day it, how successful

:19:49. > :19:53.the euro is it will solve this problem. Why is the mood in your

:19:53. > :20:02.country so sour, but in many ways you can argue that you dodge table

:20:02. > :20:11.at? -- dodged a table at. Your economy is recovering. Yet the

:20:11. > :20:17.public mood is angry and the sour. Why? That is a good question. This

:20:17. > :20:22.was a major shock to Iceland. We thought we were very rich. The

:20:22. > :20:31.standard of living was going up. We had a big party in Iceland after

:20:31. > :20:35.the millennium. It was a big shock. We woke up one morning and if our

:20:35. > :20:45.Prime Minister was on TV telling us that the country might become

:20:45. > :20:45.

:20:45. > :20:51.bankrupt. It was a big change. A lot of people were hurt. A lot of

:20:51. > :20:55.innocent people that carried no responsibility, living in the house

:20:55. > :21:00.and trying to deal with their finances were taking a hit.

:21:00. > :21:04.keeps saying these people bear no responsibility. Is that a

:21:04. > :21:09.indication that you believe it is right to push ahead with the legal

:21:09. > :21:13.proceedings against the former Prime Minister, who we had in the

:21:13. > :21:17.show a year or two ago and hundreds of other people, bankers,

:21:17. > :21:27.politicians, civil servants who appear to be under investigation.

:21:27. > :21:31.Do you personally want to see individuals put behind bars? That

:21:31. > :21:36.would be according to our laws and constitution. That is the only way

:21:36. > :21:41.to sort things like that out. We have to stick to the law. I'm just

:21:41. > :21:46.asking a more philosophical point. Do believe it is important to get

:21:46. > :21:54.rid of this sour mood, this anger in Reykjavik and Iceland, to see

:21:54. > :21:58.people punished and may be imprisoned? It needs to be done. I

:21:58. > :22:04.do not Lockett as a sacrifice a punishment to make people at ease

:22:04. > :22:08.with things. We need to as a society work through this by

:22:09. > :22:17.getting his things behind us and are focusing on the future. It will

:22:17. > :22:21.take time. It was a big psychological, political shock. As

:22:21. > :22:28.I analyse the situation today, our economy is definitely improving and

:22:28. > :22:35.recovering. Economic way, things a looking better and better. The

:22:35. > :22:42.problem that stands today is perhaps 25% economic all but 75%

:22:42. > :22:47.psychological. I will quote you the words of a political scientist who

:22:47. > :22:52.has been looking at the truth committee you have had. He says

:22:52. > :22:57.that what we have learned is that in Iceland we have had a mix of be,

:22:57. > :23:00.greed, incompetence -- incompetence, nationalism, youthful risk-taking

:23:00. > :23:08.and a kind of collective superiority complex. The truth is

:23:08. > :23:18.that we in Iceland lost sight of their roots and our values. There

:23:18. > :23:24.is a lot of truth in that. We as a people have to honestly face that.

:23:24. > :23:30.We went off track. Completely of track in many ways. It is not just

:23:30. > :23:38.a question of responsibility. We as a people also need to look this in

:23:38. > :23:45.the eye. That does not mean that the ordinary people are responsible.

:23:45. > :23:48.But many joined in. Even the media, and the bigger parliamentary

:23:48. > :23:58.investigation expenses for a while. How was this dealt with? We have to

:23:58. > :23:58.

:23:58. > :24:03.follow the law. We have to shoulder that responsibility. Not just

:24:03. > :24:11.because we want to punish them but because that is how power law and

:24:11. > :24:20.constitution works. We need to join a forces. We have not made a lot of