05/02/2013

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:00:09. > :00:11.try telling that to people who may be... Tonight on Newsnight Scotland,

:00:11. > :00:16.the SNP government publishes some more of its roadmap towards

:00:16. > :00:21.independence. Will the prospects of an Independence Day in March 2016

:00:21. > :00:24.overshadow the yes campaign's chances? Or open up the prospect of

:00:24. > :00:28.the sunlit uplands of rule from Holyrood? We'll hear the pros and

:00:28. > :00:31.cons from a panel of politicians. Good evening. The document's called

:00:31. > :00:33."Scotland's Future: from the Referendum to Independence and a

:00:33. > :00:35.Written Constitution" and they're suggesting it's a response to the

:00:35. > :00:38.electoral commission's request for information about what will

:00:39. > :00:42.actually happen after the referendum, depending on the result.

:00:42. > :00:46.If it's a yes, according to this paper, most of the mechanics can be

:00:46. > :00:51.dealt with at Holyrood in about 16 months. So independence day could

:00:51. > :01:00.come before the scheduled 2016 Scottish election. The SNP's

:01:00. > :01:06.opponents say this is just more pie in the sky. Steven Godden reports.

:01:06. > :01:11.Wandering along the banks of the Clyde, it seems faintly absurd to

:01:11. > :01:16.mention Scotland in the same breath as Mauritius, the tropical climate

:01:16. > :01:20.seems a world away. But we now know that depending on the outcome of

:01:20. > :01:25.next year's referendum, the two countries could have something in

:01:25. > :01:33.common. The same could be said of Tunisia

:01:33. > :01:39.or Greece. These are countries that celebrate independence during the

:01:39. > :01:45.month of March. Today we learned that if Scots vote yes,

:01:45. > :01:50.Independence Day will also arrive in March in the year 2016, followed

:01:50. > :01:57.by elections to the new independent parliament two months later.

:01:57. > :02:02.Critics say that timetable is absurd. 13 countries have gone

:02:02. > :02:08.through the process of becoming independent following a referendum,

:02:08. > :02:14.the average timescale was 15 months. If all these other countries can do

:02:14. > :02:18.it, why not Scotland? The document is one peppered with

:02:18. > :02:28.historical references, German reunification is an example of

:02:28. > :02:29.

:02:29. > :02:34.speedy transition. Abraham Lincoln also makes an appearance.

:02:34. > :02:38.They say the content would be for the Scottish people to decide, but

:02:38. > :02:43.there are suggestions include enshrining a ban on nuclear weapons

:02:43. > :02:48.and controls on military power. That could be a positive thing that

:02:48. > :02:52.brings the country together after the referendum. People will

:02:52. > :02:56.disagree during the referendum, but afterwards it is important be built

:02:56. > :03:00.to get their what Adam -- independent Scotland is going to

:03:00. > :03:06.become. After what would happen immediately

:03:06. > :03:13.after I just phoned, the paper invokes the spirit of the in --

:03:13. > :03:21.Edinburgh agreement. Establishing what they call a transitional

:03:21. > :03:25.platform would require the UK Government to transfer authority

:03:25. > :03:31.for the Treasury, the court, and retaining the monarchy. There would

:03:31. > :03:41.also be negotiations with international bodies including the

:03:41. > :03:42.

:03:42. > :03:51.EU. The Act of Union of 70 no seven would have to be dissolved, -- 70

:03:51. > :03:54.No 7. There will have to be negotiations, Westminster have to

:03:54. > :04:01.ascent following a verdict from the Scottish people. The details can

:04:01. > :04:04.then go through the people that really matter. The people elected

:04:04. > :04:10.by the people to the Scottish Parliament.

:04:10. > :04:15.Opponents are not impressed. When the SNP cannot tell us what their

:04:15. > :04:20.position now is on currency or pensions or defence caught Europe,

:04:20. > :04:25.they are asking us to believe that they could put all this through in

:04:25. > :04:30.a matter of months. It beggars belief, and it flies in the face of

:04:30. > :04:37.all expert opinion. They are fewer than 300 words to

:04:37. > :04:41.explain the complex task of unravelling a 300 year old union,

:04:41. > :04:46.and establishing a new defence force and security services.

:04:46. > :04:51.We are promised yet more of this in the months to come. I'll be

:04:51. > :04:56.expected to simply sit by our radio every morning waiting for their

:04:56. > :05:01.latest announcement? Than backdrop is the Electoral

:05:01. > :05:05.Commission's call for what will happen after the referendum. UK

:05:05. > :05:13.ministers say they will share information but not Prix negotiate

:05:13. > :05:16.independence. Here is the Scottish Government predicting the date of

:05:16. > :05:24.Scotland's independence, we are getting the cart before the horse.

:05:24. > :05:28.Let us debate the big issues, they are what matters to people across

:05:28. > :05:33.the country. The Scottish Government say they

:05:34. > :05:38.will set out a range of proposals ahead of the White Paper on

:05:38. > :05:42.independence due this year. Meanwhile, next week the UK

:05:42. > :05:50.Government was set to put forward the first in a number of papers of

:05:50. > :05:52.their own. Scrutinising documents is set to become a popular pastime.

:05:52. > :05:55.I'm joined now from Edinburgh by Liberal Democrat leader Willie

:05:55. > :05:58.Rennie, and by Stewart Maxwell of the SNP. Scottish Greens co-

:05:58. > :06:04.convener Patrick Harvie is here in Glasgow, and the Labour MP Gordon

:06:04. > :06:12.Banks is in London. Gordon, what do you make of this

:06:12. > :06:16.timetable? The whole document shows how out of touch the SNP are. You

:06:16. > :06:20.heard the comments from Alistair Darling about the big questions not

:06:20. > :06:25.be answered. I have been at a business event tonight with

:06:25. > :06:30.Scottish businesses, and I can tell they SNP that this is not that talk

:06:30. > :06:35.of the event tonight, the businesses want to know from the

:06:35. > :06:45.SNP what is going to happen in relationship to the currency,

:06:45. > :06:46.

:06:46. > :06:50.borders, defence. The SNP have presided over this launched today

:06:50. > :06:58.whilst they are also presiding over a collapse in the NHS, falling

:06:58. > :07:05.College numbers... They are falling because they are not funding

:07:05. > :07:15.colleges. Patrick, apart from the idea of a written constitution

:07:15. > :07:17.

:07:17. > :07:22.which was announced on while ago, we get another document which is

:07:22. > :07:28.almost entirely about process and not substance. I thought the level

:07:28. > :07:33.of detail was about right. I am not somebody who normally gives the

:07:33. > :07:37.First Minister a lot of praise when he does not deserve it, but I quite

:07:37. > :07:43.welcome this document. We want to give people confidence that if

:07:43. > :07:51.Scotland votes Yes for independence, it will not just be carved up by

:07:51. > :07:55.one political party or even all the parties, we want a process that is

:07:55. > :08:00.inclusive, involving all the people in Scotland in shaping the kind of

:08:00. > :08:04.country that an independent Scotland would become. The

:08:04. > :08:09.Government's idea of floating suggestions like incorporating

:08:09. > :08:13.human rights treaties, a ban on weapons of mass destruction, into a

:08:13. > :08:20.written constitution, I think that is a good starting point for this

:08:20. > :08:29.debate. I will want to contribute ideas myself. Are you looking

:08:29. > :08:34.forward to joining in this process as you but now being invited to?

:08:34. > :08:37.would be responsible politicians in this slim circumstance we were an

:08:37. > :08:42.independent nation. What was missing today was any indication

:08:42. > :08:47.that the SNP might lose the referendum. The Electoral

:08:47. > :08:53.Commission did not want to know the process for Jess, they wanted it

:08:53. > :08:58.for know. But if they lose their referendum, nothing different

:08:58. > :09:06.happens. You cannot begin -- blame them for saying if we win it, quite

:09:06. > :09:11.a lot happens. We eat are in favour of home rule in a federal UK. -- we

:09:11. > :09:17.are in favour. We would like to see the SNP admitting they would join

:09:17. > :09:25.in the consensus that we develop after the referendum.

:09:25. > :09:30.Stewart, there is not a word about what matters if you lose. Would you

:09:30. > :09:38.join with Willie Rennie and others in some sort of agreed form of more

:09:38. > :09:42.devolution in something like that? I am campaigning as well as my

:09:42. > :09:46.colleagues for a Yes vote, and we expect to win next year. But all

:09:46. > :09:52.reasonable politicians will work together for the better of the

:09:52. > :10:00.people of Scotland. That is what we would all do. One which you propose

:10:00. > :10:03.to do should you lose? -- what would you propose. You are

:10:03. > :10:09.expecting the other men to speculate what happens if you win,

:10:09. > :10:15.it does not seem unreasonable for you to speculate about what you

:10:15. > :10:19.would do if you lost. What a we are doing today and what we have done

:10:19. > :10:24.is respond to the reasonable request of the Electoral Commission

:10:24. > :10:31.to publish the pathway towards independence post yes vote. What

:10:31. > :10:41.they said was that that should be done for just -- of the Yes and No

:10:41. > :10:46.

:10:46. > :10:52.sides. They should go away and provide information... Can I ask if

:10:52. > :10:57.there is agreement on something factual, there is an election been

:10:57. > :11:02.2015, a general election. What happens if Scotland has already

:11:02. > :11:08.voted Yes to independence? Presumably the -- we vote for a

:11:08. > :11:16.bunch of MPs, and then on this Independence Day they say, that is

:11:16. > :11:23.it and they resign? Alex Salmond would have to tell you that, but I

:11:23. > :11:28.presume yes, Scotland would have to be governed in the period from 2015

:11:28. > :11:32.through to Independence Day, and part of that would be from Scotland

:11:32. > :11:37.sending electoral representatives to Westminster. And you would

:11:37. > :11:43.except but they should all step down? In the will of the Scottish

:11:43. > :11:47.people has been expressed as wishing to become an independent

:11:47. > :11:51.state, there would be no representation from Scotland done

:11:51. > :11:59.to the UK parliament because Scotland's affairs would be 100%

:11:59. > :12:08.managed by an independent country. So what if there was a narrow

:12:08. > :12:15.majority for independence and not a big turnout, and a majority of MPs

:12:15. > :12:19.returned in 2015 were from parties that did not want independence?

:12:19. > :12:27.we have been so strong in relation to the electoral commission in

:12:27. > :12:32.wanting to get the SNP to accept what they suggested, is that no

:12:32. > :12:39.player in this referendum can actually call file of the process.

:12:39. > :12:47.Stewart, that is your understanding, you would elect a bunch of MPs and

:12:47. > :12:52.they would resign. Patrick, did you understand what this constitutional

:12:52. > :12:57.platform is? The argument from the Scottish Government is that there

:12:57. > :13:02.would be a transition process. I think that is probably right. You

:13:02. > :13:08.need to have clearly a sense of momentum, as sense of building a

:13:08. > :13:13.constitution. It will not suddenly come into being overnight. In order

:13:13. > :13:21.to avoid a period when Government's power would be unfettered, Dennis

:13:21. > :13:27.to be a transition. His is easy to see this gradual transition of

:13:27. > :13:30.powers over bits, like the welfare system, but presumably any

:13:30. > :13:35.commitments that the British Government made in international

:13:35. > :13:42.affairs would be binding in Scotland as well? They would have

:13:42. > :13:48.effect in that time in Scotland... But for example should there be a

:13:48. > :13:58.major crisis in the Middle East, should Britain get involved?

:13:58. > :14:15.

:14:15. > :14:19.would have an effect in Scotland as It is not the SNP, or the Scottish

:14:19. > :14:21.Parliament could determine what happens next, it is the UK

:14:21. > :14:30.Parliament which it had the power to determine whether there is space

:14:30. > :14:34.to debate further devolution. About union membership of the European

:14:34. > :14:38.Union, there would bein the political landscape for the debate

:14:38. > :14:45.about the Scottish Parliament. Everybody will have to debate what

:14:45. > :14:52.will happen with yes vote. If there is a no vote, my fear is that it is

:14:52. > :14:57.2014 are nothing. He is trying to but in. Presumably, you would quite

:14:57. > :15:01.like the idea of a written constitution? That is what Liberal

:15:01. > :15:06.Democrats have campaigned for for some time. The SNP eight love

:15:06. > :15:11.talking about this. The love getting into the detail of when

:15:11. > :15:16.exactly we become independent, what relationship we will have. What we

:15:16. > :15:20.need to resolve are more substantial matters, what happens

:15:20. > :15:25.to the soldier who is in the UK Regiment and has to make a choice

:15:25. > :15:28.between fighting for a Scottish defence force and the remainder of

:15:28. > :15:35.the UK Defence Force? That is the kind of choice I do not think we

:15:35. > :15:39.should cut any soldier under. understand that is an issue but I

:15:39. > :15:43.am not clear about it being fair to criticise the Scottish government

:15:43. > :15:48.for not dealing with that issue in a document which does not even

:15:48. > :15:52.pretend to have anything to do with that? This is the stuff they laugh.

:15:52. > :16:02.They'll let for the chance after the Electoral Commission

:16:02. > :16:05.

:16:05. > :16:10.announcement. This is a flimsy... This is not a serious proposition.

:16:10. > :16:16.This is a flimsy 20 page document which talks about taking up the

:16:16. > :16:22.United Kingdom. This is not responsible. I an issue which has

:16:22. > :16:26.already come up, your critics say you have misunderstood what written

:16:27. > :16:31.constitutions are about. They are there to embody fundamental rights

:16:31. > :16:37.but also of things like three Higher Education, that should be

:16:37. > :16:41.the SNP manifest and not in the constitution. You are proposing

:16:41. > :16:48.things for a constitution which are SNP policy, that is slightly

:16:48. > :16:52.worrying. I've not sure it is worrying at all. We have said that

:16:52. > :16:59.political parties and sick Scotland in general should get involved in

:16:59. > :17:04.the process. But you do not embody in constitutions things which are

:17:04. > :17:08.about debate for political parties. I agree with that. But everyone

:17:08. > :17:14.should bring what they think should be in that constitution to the

:17:14. > :17:17.table and we can again. You do not understand, that is not what

:17:17. > :17:23.constitutions are. You do not have a meeting of different cart --

:17:23. > :17:27.different parties. I am not suggesting it is about to wins the

:17:27. > :17:33.election. We should all agree what should be the fundamental

:17:33. > :17:36.principles included in a written constitution by a future Scotland.

:17:36. > :17:41.I heard Patrick Harvie talking about many of them today and I

:17:41. > :17:47.agreed with them. You can have one sentence because they're out to end

:17:47. > :17:50.the programme. For a period of about a month, Scotland will have a

:17:50. > :17:56.new Defence Secretary and Foreign Secretary, even before the election

:17:56. > :18:04.for a new independent Scotland. That is a dangerous precedent.

:18:04. > :18:11.not again. Thank you very much. We have to leave it there. A quick

:18:11. > :18:21.look at the papers. The Scotsman covers Scotland's date with destiny.

:18:21. > :18:24.

:18:24. > :18:33.The Times leader on same-sex marriage. Good night. $:/ENDFEED.

:18:33. > :18:42.$:/STARTFEED. No end jet to the current cold spell. We have an

:18:42. > :18:50.Arctic winter contend with tomorrow. Plenty of hail and snow on high

:18:50. > :18:55.ground. It will brighten up for a time in the morning. Strong winds

:18:55. > :19:00.in western regions during the day. Showers across south-west England

:19:00. > :19:03.Showers across south-west England and Wales. Wintry showers on higher

:19:03. > :19:07.ground. Showers continue in Cornwall and Pembrokeshire.

:19:07. > :19:12.Elsewhere will have sunshine. Some brightness in Northern Ireland

:19:12. > :19:16.first thing but a few showers to contend with. Icy patches possible

:19:16. > :19:20.for northern England and Scotland. So showers in Northern Scotland

:19:20. > :19:28.which will accumulate. Wintry share was run-down eastern coast and

:19:28. > :19:34.regions. -- wintry showers down eastern coastal regions. Increasing

:19:34. > :19:40.sunshine, but it will feel bitter under that Arctic winter. Showers

:19:40. > :19:45.are accumulating in East Anglia on Wednesday night. The showers ease