09/07/2012

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:00:14. > :00:21.Tonight, the Olympic symbol has always been five intersecting rings,

:00:21. > :00:26.might a more appropriate thing be five fattening doughnuts. As the

:00:26. > :00:31.athletes prepare to gather in London. An angry cardiologist asks

:00:31. > :00:35.why some key sponsors are linked to obesity and unhealthy eating.

:00:35. > :00:40.find is fascinating that the Olympics chooses to be associated

:00:40. > :00:46.with sugary drinks, fast food, and alcohol. We speak to an olympian

:00:46. > :00:51.and marketing man. Cuts in benefits and making work

:00:51. > :00:55.pay, an ally of David Cameron wants to means test pensions and cut Sure

:00:55. > :01:00.Start for children. What is the difference between a

:01:00. > :01:03.cess pit and our banking system? Paul Mason knows.

:01:03. > :01:06.A key official at the Bank of England testifies, somebody's

:01:06. > :01:10.reputation is going to get flushed away.

:01:10. > :01:13.And having failed with electoral reform, Nick Clegg is on the eve of

:01:13. > :01:23.the first major Government defeat over House of Lords reform, at the

:01:23. > :01:26.

:01:26. > :01:33.hands of Tory MPs. Good evening, the Olympic Moto is

:01:33. > :01:40.Citius, Altius, Fortius, faster, higher, stronger. Why are some of

:01:40. > :01:46.the key sponsors of the greatest sporting events in the worlds,

:01:46. > :01:56.McDonalds, Coca-Cola and Heineken, likely to be associated with the

:01:56. > :01:58.

:01:58. > :02:03.motto, fatter, et cetera. The logos of those associated with the

:02:03. > :02:09.Olympic Games are responsible for some heart disease.

:02:09. > :02:13.We turn to a cardiologist and see what he has to say.

:02:13. > :02:17.Over the last 30 years, processed food has taken over the British

:02:17. > :02:23.diet. And over the past 30 years, obesity

:02:23. > :02:27.has more than doubled. Now, as London prepares to host a

:02:27. > :02:35.global sporting celebration, processed food has taken over the

:02:35. > :02:37.Olympics. It is a scandal the food and drink industry, are high-

:02:37. > :02:42.profile sponsors of the Olympic Games. The Olympics are supposed to

:02:42. > :02:45.be about fitness, and health, and to associate them with products,

:02:45. > :02:51.which are damaging our health, particularly our children's health,

:02:51. > :02:55.is quite wrong. A human heart is a thing of

:02:55. > :03:00.simplicity and wonder. It is designed to pump blood around your

:03:00. > :03:06.body, at 60 beats per minute, for close on 80 years. Unless, you live

:03:06. > :03:12.on a diet of processed food. I work at the Heart Attack Centre

:03:12. > :03:22.in London's Royal Free Hospital, where we have witnessed an

:03:22. > :03:22.

:03:23. > :03:26.explosion of diet-related diseases. By 2050, 90% of Britain --

:03:26. > :03:30.Britain's population will be overweight. And treating obesity

:03:30. > :03:34.will cost the NHS �45 billion a year. The UK is on the verge of a

:03:34. > :03:40.major public health disaster, the cost of which could dwarf that of

:03:40. > :03:44.alcohol and tobacco, and even cripple the NHS. What is the most

:03:44. > :03:47.important factor? Sugar and carbohydrates added to processed

:03:47. > :03:50.food. I believe what we eat is killing us.

:03:50. > :03:56.This is not the same old warning about junk food. I'm much more

:03:56. > :04:00.concerned about all processed food. Processed foods contain few of the

:04:00. > :04:04.natural nutrients we need to survive, yet are loaded with added

:04:04. > :04:10.sugars and carbohydrates that the body does not need. So the body

:04:10. > :04:19.converts them to fat. If you look at when the obesity

:04:19. > :04:24.epidemic took off in the UK, late 1970 early 1980s, our consumption

:04:24. > :04:30.of processed food has increased in parallel. It is not an add on to

:04:30. > :04:35.real food, it is our entire diet. Zoe Harkumhas studied the rise of

:04:35. > :04:40.processed food in our diet, she says we have it all wrong. Bodies

:04:40. > :04:45.know how to process butter, meat and eggs, but it has no idea what

:04:45. > :04:50.to do with all the added sugars appearing in processed foods.

:04:50. > :04:55.is the only thing that humans digest that has no nutritional

:04:55. > :04:58.value, no protein, vitamins or minerals, it is unique in that

:04:58. > :05:03.respect. In terms of sugar, we eat it on top of what we should be

:05:03. > :05:07.eating, in which case it can make us fat, or we eat it instead of

:05:07. > :05:11.what we are eating, in which case it leaves us nutritionally

:05:11. > :05:14.deficient, so we end up sick, so we are getting fat and sick at the

:05:14. > :05:20.same time. Globally, diet-related diseases

:05:20. > :05:24.kill 35 million every year. That is five-times more than tobacco.

:05:24. > :05:29.Whilst big food companies continue to make huge profits, in Britain,

:05:29. > :05:34.the bill is borne by the NHS and the taxpayer.

:05:34. > :05:38.In the shadow of the Olympic stadium, doctors are facing an

:05:38. > :05:44.epidemic of diabetes. Within the borrowing of Newham, we

:05:44. > :05:49.are probably seeing -- borough of Newham, we are probably seeing

:05:49. > :05:55.doubling of patients with type two diabetes in the last ten years. 40-

:05:55. > :06:00.50% of the consultations in the practice are related to diabetes or

:06:00. > :06:04.the complication. I have come to a GP's surgery, just two miles from

:06:04. > :06:11.the Olympic Park. The doctor says the majority of his resources

:06:11. > :06:16.already go towards fighting diet- related illness.

:06:16. > :06:19.Diabetes is a multiorgan, multisystem disease, leading to

:06:19. > :06:23.heart attacks, strokes and amputation, treating it early is

:06:23. > :06:28.vital. We are seeing patients present with other conditions, like

:06:28. > :06:32.high blood pressure-related to the diabetes, high levels of

:06:32. > :06:39.cholesterol, some long-term complication of diabetes, which is

:06:39. > :06:45.affect the eyes, the kidneys, with chronic kidney disease. Every day

:06:45. > :06:53.the NHS has to battle the effects of sugary foods, and the marketing

:06:53. > :06:57.campaigns used to push them. Surely the Olympics should be sorting this

:06:57. > :07:03.out. I find is obscene that the Olympics

:07:03. > :07:06.is associated itself with sugary drinks, fast food and alcohol, and

:07:06. > :07:11.fast food. The sponsors can't be held accountable for Britain's

:07:11. > :07:15.health, but they send a dreadful message being associated with the

:07:15. > :07:21.games. I'm not the only one who thinks so? I think it is shocking

:07:21. > :07:26.that companies like McDonalds's, Coca-Cola, Cadbury's and Heineken

:07:26. > :07:32.are the main food sponsors. These are products which are all very

:07:32. > :07:38.well as a treat. But what Olympic sponsorship allows them to do is

:07:38. > :07:43.promote their brand, and insinuate their way into people's Dail yiey

:07:43. > :07:47.day yet. Whether you are looking at obesity -- daily diet. Whether you

:07:47. > :07:54.are looking at obesity, or people's dental problems, whether you are

:07:54. > :07:58.even looking at the rising youth alcohol issue, these companies are

:07:58. > :08:03.the culprits. They shouldn't be such prominent sponsors of the

:08:03. > :08:06.Olympics. Diane Abbott is not only shadow

:08:06. > :08:12.public Health Minister, she's also an East End MP.

:08:12. > :08:16.In the 19th century, the poor faced illnesses like cholera, and typhoid,

:08:16. > :08:19.today, with inner city areas, effectively fresh food deserts, and

:08:19. > :08:26.childhood obesity levels rocketing, the health of Britain's poor is

:08:26. > :08:31.still determined by class. Obesity is now a disease of poverty.

:08:31. > :08:36.When you look at the statistics, as I have done, what you find is

:08:36. > :08:41.obesity is a bigger problem for people on lower incomes. For

:08:41. > :08:45.instance, just recently we found out that the largest number, and

:08:45. > :08:50.the rising number, of gastric band operations, for people who are

:08:50. > :08:54.heavily obese, are amongst the people with the lowest income. Once

:08:54. > :08:57.upon a time, poor people couldn't get enough to eat, nowadays poor

:08:57. > :09:03.people's health is threatened by obesity.

:09:03. > :09:09.In Newham, the largest McDonald's in the world has been built, in the

:09:09. > :09:12.Olympic Park. It is 30,000-square feet inside, and will seat over

:09:12. > :09:19.1500 people. That the London Olympics allows this kind of food

:09:19. > :09:24.such prominence, is, in my opinion, disastrous for public health.

:09:24. > :09:29.I avoided excess sugars and sugary products, I try to keep to fairly

:09:29. > :09:37.normal, mother would tell you, fresh vegtables rules that kind of

:09:37. > :09:41.thing. Athletes don't base their diet on processed food. One of the

:09:41. > :09:47.Olympic greats tells me even 30 years ago he was avoiding it.

:09:47. > :09:51.the Olympic Games people would take a lot of sugary products and it was

:09:51. > :09:55.free, and you see athletes pump on the weight in the games. I noticed

:09:55. > :09:58.that and avoided it. Weaning ourselves off fast food and sugary

:09:58. > :10:04.drifrpbgs, appears to be a problem for the International Olympic

:10:04. > :10:09.Committee too. We know the negative health impact, obesity, of

:10:09. > :10:13.processed foods and sugars, I suppose the IOC, now, have a really

:10:13. > :10:18.challenging situation. Yes, they need the money from the sponsors,

:10:18. > :10:25.and that money has come in, and really helped. But more than that,

:10:25. > :10:31.they have benefited for many years of the reach these sponsors had

:10:31. > :10:34.into new market places. To children, and others. It isth has really

:10:34. > :10:40.helped. Now their challenge -- and it has really helped. Now their

:10:40. > :10:44.challenge is how to deal with the health impact of that. But there

:10:44. > :10:48.seems little sign that the Olympic movement will move away from its

:10:48. > :10:55.current sponsors. Indeed, when challenged, the London organisers

:10:55. > :10:59.talk of the financial black hole their absence would cai. -- create.

:10:59. > :11:03.But obesity will open up a much bigger black hole in the NHS's

:11:03. > :11:06.budget. It may not be a priority for the London Olympics, but the

:11:06. > :11:15.costs of obesity are foremost in the mind of all of us who work to

:11:15. > :11:19.improve public health. Obviously we asked to speak to

:11:19. > :11:22.someone from the London organising committee, and the IOC, as well as

:11:22. > :11:24.the sponsors mentioned in that report, but no-one was made

:11:24. > :11:27.available. There is plenty of statements from all of them on our

:11:27. > :11:32.website, broadly saying that all is well, and the Olympics would not

:11:32. > :11:36.happen without their support. We can speak to the cardiologist you

:11:36. > :11:41.saw in that report, Michael Payne, former director of marketing for

:11:41. > :11:50.the international Olympic Committee, and CRACKING, the rower, who twice

:11:50. > :11:55.won Olympic -- James Cracknell, who won gold twice for Britain.

:11:55. > :12:03.Surely there is other manufacturers? It is a broader

:12:03. > :12:06.lifestyle agenda of people getting active, to do with obesity.

:12:06. > :12:12.Associating the epitomy of health with foods that make people obese,

:12:12. > :12:17.there is a mixed message there? McDonald's from when they started

:12:17. > :12:22.to become a sponsor of the Olympics sake how do you broaden the agenda.

:12:22. > :12:27.They introduced salads, and the testing of salads and the

:12:27. > :12:30.broodening of the menu started at the Olympics. Same with Coca-Cola,

:12:30. > :12:34.sports drinks, and sugar-free drinks, started with the Olympics.

:12:34. > :12:38.It is not just kies of the revenue and funding these companies bring,

:12:38. > :12:43.not just to the games but the TV and sport. But the programmes, in

:12:43. > :12:47.Germans of Go-active that they run. You wouldn't accept cigarette money,

:12:47. > :12:51.would you? The IOC was the first to drop that. Or weapons manufacturers.

:12:51. > :12:56.You accept beer money, but not whiskey money? Not spirits, you can

:12:56. > :12:59.go after every industry. Before you know it you will say not cars

:12:59. > :13:04.because they impact the environment, not airlines, and sports clothing

:13:04. > :13:08.made in India. Do you think athletes care about this, the IOC

:13:08. > :13:12.President said in the FT today, that there is a question mark over

:13:12. > :13:17.whether to continue with McDonald's? As within athlete there

:13:17. > :13:21.is people in society, and they will always fall down the gap. I don't

:13:21. > :13:29.think people who watch the Olympics will assume that as a fast food

:13:29. > :13:32.chain and a drinks chain sponsoring them, that those are the products

:13:32. > :13:41.the athletes live on. When you are training, you wouldn't have much of

:13:41. > :13:46.that in your diet? Athletes need to have self-discipline, but also, in

:13:46. > :13:52.the 20 years I was an athlete, I consumed a lifetime of food. I had

:13:52. > :13:56.6,000 calories a, as opposed to 2,000. I had 60 years of food in 20

:13:56. > :13:59.years. Not processed food? No, but you also have to live. Everything

:13:59. > :14:06.in moderation is good. The most important thing an athlete can do

:14:06. > :14:12.is when they stop competing, is that they don't change shape, they

:14:12. > :14:16.don't balloon in weight. So they don't eat this stuff? They keep

:14:16. > :14:20.moving, you know, as long as you burn off more calories than you put

:14:20. > :14:24.in, and you do eat the sensible things. You don't want to show you

:14:24. > :14:28.are just healthy and fit because that's what you needed to do in

:14:28. > :14:34.order to win. You need to have that as a guiding principle in life to

:14:34. > :14:38.make the most of it. Would you accept that if you don't companies

:14:38. > :14:41.to sponsor the Olympics, there might not be an Olympics, and it

:14:41. > :14:46.helps people and encourages people to take part in sport, which is

:14:46. > :14:51.part of a healthy lifestyle, it is good, in other words? Firstly, I

:14:51. > :14:54.would like to say that I don't believe we need to rely purely on

:14:54. > :14:58.food companies that promote unhealthy foods for the Olympics.

:14:58. > :15:01.Secondly, I want to pick up this point about physical activity, it

:15:01. > :15:07.is an interesting one. From my perspective, I think it is

:15:07. > :15:10.something that is used quite well by the food industry, almost to

:15:10. > :15:14.deflect from their own culpability and marketing to children, if you

:15:14. > :15:17.look at the data and evidence, over the last 30 years the physical

:15:17. > :15:21.activity levels have increased slightly. That may sound odd, but

:15:21. > :15:26.all the data, when we have looked at this, suggests that our

:15:26. > :15:31.overconsumption of cheap sugary and cheap junk foods is the main thing

:15:31. > :15:36.to contribute to obesity. To put it in context for you vooers, if I was

:15:36. > :15:39.to have a barf chocolate, a pact of crisps and a burger and chips

:15:39. > :15:46.washed down with a fizzy drink, I would have to run for five hours to

:15:46. > :15:50.run off the calories. To talk about physical activity isn't there.

:15:50. > :15:54.Clearly there is a benefit to these companies in associating themselves

:15:54. > :15:58.with the healthy living of athletes, that is why they do it. But it is

:15:58. > :16:02.phoney, isn't it? In a way the Olympics is saying this is OK, you

:16:02. > :16:07.are endorsing it? It is not phoney at all. I think the whole issue is

:16:07. > :16:10.whether you take any of these products in some moderation. The

:16:10. > :16:13.programmes that these sponsors are running, without it, in terms of

:16:13. > :16:18.not just from the funding of the game, but the programmes around the

:16:18. > :16:22.world, in getting kids active. The Government's are cutting back, they

:16:22. > :16:25.are not putting the funding in. just heard the doctor saying, the

:16:25. > :16:31.question of exercise, you would have to exercise and run for five

:16:31. > :16:36.hours to burn off those calories? Would we be better off saying let's

:16:36. > :16:43.not have the Olympics. That is not what we are saying, it is we would

:16:43. > :16:47.be better off if the sponsors were other people? Where is the queue of

:16:47. > :16:50.people to sponsor the games, they don't exist. Each company, every

:16:50. > :16:54.time the Olympics come along, you get a call saying you can't have

:16:54. > :16:58.this company and that company. If the IOC took that position and

:16:58. > :17:04.walked away from all the companies, game over, no Olympics, no support

:17:04. > :17:07.for support. The challenge -- sport. The challenge is to make sure these

:17:07. > :17:12.companies understand their responsibility and the way the IOC

:17:12. > :17:21.has told them. Are you literally a spoil sport, if you had your way

:17:21. > :17:25.there might be no Olympics? I don't agree with that. Let's look at the

:17:25. > :17:29.statistics, in 204, the World Health Organisation announced that

:17:29. > :17:33.obesity was a global epidemic, yet eight years later we have the

:17:33. > :17:36.Olympics, on our own turf, and the statistics tell us that we have now

:17:36. > :17:40.one in three children, by the age of nine, who are overweight or

:17:40. > :17:44.obese. So, these called intervention about physical

:17:44. > :17:46.activity, as far as I'm concerned, the most effective intervention

:17:46. > :17:50.needs to be a public health strategy that targets the

:17:50. > :17:53.population as a whole. You have to remember, the Olympic Games is the

:17:53. > :17:57.most effective international marketing platform in the world.

:17:57. > :18:02.This will go out to over 200 countries, reaching billions of

:18:02. > :18:07.people. We have the main sponsors associated with unhealthy foods. In

:18:07. > :18:12.particular, I'm most concerned about the children.

:18:12. > :18:15.James, there is comments from the head of the IOC, suggesting there

:18:15. > :18:19.may be some reconsidering here. Most people have not heard of him,

:18:19. > :18:22.they have heard of you and other athletes, don't you think you have

:18:22. > :18:25.a responsibility, not just not to get fat in your old age because you

:18:25. > :18:28.are not training so much, but to set some example while you are

:18:28. > :18:34.training, because you are a role model? There is a responsibility.

:18:34. > :18:40.And there is also a responsibility that we have as a society. Because

:18:40. > :18:44.the hugely complex issues here, just to say it is the sporting

:18:44. > :18:50.event every four years and the sponsors cause the obesity children.

:18:50. > :18:53.If the children under nine are obese, they will have had maximum

:18:53. > :18:57.two Olympic Games in that period. It is something as a society we

:18:57. > :19:01.need to make sure that there aren't people falling through the gaps,

:19:01. > :19:10.the same we support them in every other way. But it is absolutely

:19:10. > :19:14.crucial to change the way that we lead sedintary lives. There are

:19:14. > :19:17.other sponsors. The Olympics plays a part in that by encouraging you

:19:17. > :19:23.to get involved in sport? There are other sponsors other than the food

:19:23. > :19:26.and drink products. Whether it is the technology, whether it is the

:19:26. > :19:31.television company. There is so many other sponsors, but they are

:19:31. > :19:35.the ones with the money to fund it. Our Olympic warm-up continues

:19:35. > :19:38.tomorrow night with the first black power olympian, Tommy Smith, and to

:19:38. > :19:42.great fanfare, we will unveil our plans on how Newsnight will cover

:19:42. > :19:46.the games this summer. Throughout the year Newsnight is

:19:46. > :19:49.looking at the increasing cost of living in hard times, tonight we

:19:49. > :19:52.have a radical piece of thinking about what might be done. It comes

:19:52. > :19:55.from the Conservative thinker, Nick Boles, a close ally of David

:19:55. > :19:58.Cameron. He's suggesting something that many of his Conservative

:19:58. > :20:03.colleagues will regard as politically pose sonous, the

:20:03. > :20:06.scrapping of universal benefits, to better off pensioners, a deeper

:20:06. > :20:10.overhaul of housing benefits, and possible cuts to the Sure Start

:20:10. > :20:13.programme for young children. All with the aim, he says, of making

:20:13. > :20:23.Britain more productive and competitive, and in the end,

:20:23. > :20:25.

:20:25. > :20:29.increasing wages. We will debate it in a moment, first Allegra Stratton.

:20:29. > :20:35.It has been called the great stagnation, but you could call it

:20:35. > :20:40.the incredibly shrinking family budget. We just keep getting poorer.

:20:40. > :20:45.Disposable income for low-to-middle income homes will fall 8% by 2015

:20:45. > :20:51.then where do we go from there. For optimists it will take to the end

:20:51. > :20:55.of this decade to get back to where we were before the 2008 crash. For

:20:55. > :20:59.the gloomy among us, we go into 2020 earning what we earned in 2001.

:20:59. > :21:02.It is a mark of the size of the problem, that the Resolution

:21:02. > :21:07.Foundation, an independent think- tank, is kept busy by its scale,

:21:07. > :21:10.and what can be done about it. are saying a deterioration in some

:21:11. > :21:14.countries, a breakdown, in the relationship between overall

:21:14. > :21:18.economic growth, even in the good years, and the benefits flowing

:21:18. > :21:21.through to ordinary workers on middle or below middle pay. That is

:21:21. > :21:24.happening not just here in the UK, that is happening in a number of

:21:24. > :21:28.countries, particularly Anglo-Saxon countries, not just them, where in

:21:28. > :21:33.the past you would have seen quite a tight relationship where GDP went

:21:33. > :21:36.up, ordinary wages tended to go up with it, that has dissipated

:21:36. > :21:39.significantly, wherein some countries you see almost no

:21:39. > :21:45.relationship over the last 10-20 years, between economic growth on

:21:45. > :21:47.the one hand, and the benefits felt by someone on an ordinary pay pact.

:21:47. > :21:51.That is a massive change in an ordinary economy.

:21:51. > :21:54.The way to deal with it in the past is you would try to get a pay rise

:21:54. > :22:00.or work longer hours. A pay rise is difficult to imagine when you have

:22:00. > :22:04.real wage increases not due on the horizon until 2013, 14, working

:22:04. > :22:08.long hours is a diminished possibility. The people who want to

:22:08. > :22:11.work longer hours is running at its highest level since 1992. Then

:22:11. > :22:14.there are historical trends. The reason we have rising living

:22:14. > :22:18.standards over the last 40 years in large part due to women entering

:22:18. > :22:22.the work force. In the last ten years rising living standards have

:22:22. > :22:26.also been affected by tax credits. Neither of those things are due to

:22:26. > :22:30.be replicated. Now, a close ally of the Prime Minister, Nick Boles,

:22:30. > :22:34.also a parliamentary aide, has been doing some work on this, and in a

:22:34. > :22:44.speech tomorrow, but given to Newsnight, he issues this morning.

:22:44. > :22:52.

:22:52. > :22:56.Of the historic roots to increased earning, either a partner entering

:22:56. > :22:59.work, or one or other of a couple working more hours, Nick Boles says

:22:59. > :23:02.neither of the trends are sustainable, and if they were, we

:23:02. > :23:04.shouldn't want them to be. What will it do for our health and

:23:04. > :23:09.happiness if the only way to achieve a growing income is to work

:23:09. > :23:14.longer hours. His prescription could be described

:23:14. > :23:18.as an intense workout. Nick Boles wants to improve people's chances

:23:18. > :23:20.of earning a better wage through improving their skills. He wants to

:23:20. > :23:24.make us more competitive and productive.

:23:24. > :23:29.What does it mean? Nick Boles is saying that any policies that don't

:23:29. > :23:32.have a discernable impact on our productivity or competitiveness,

:23:32. > :23:36.they should go. For him it means that pensioner benefits for the

:23:36. > :23:39.very well off should go they next election, and Sure Start, and

:23:39. > :23:45.policies he doesn't think have a proven ability to keep us in work

:23:45. > :23:49.or better us at work, they should go through. You may just be

:23:49. > :23:52.digesting the last round of cuts, this is the taste of the next round

:23:52. > :23:55.to come. Nick Boles believes there should be

:23:55. > :23:58.growth in public spending, only where the productivity and

:23:58. > :24:03.competitiveness of the British people is improved. He believes

:24:04. > :24:10.there should be further cuts elsewhere, to ensure as a total,

:24:10. > :24:14.spending falls. He suggests the Chancellor should come up with

:24:15. > :24:24.policies that augment this thinking, and bin those that don't. It leads

:24:25. > :24:36.

:24:36. > :24:41.He also proposes re-examining Sure Start children's centres. He says

:24:41. > :24:44.they have no measurable impact. Improving competitiveness is

:24:44. > :24:48.clearly desirable, but analysts point out, that wages may not have

:24:48. > :24:53.gone up as GDP has, because companies have chosen to make

:24:53. > :24:59.larger profits. There are a number of different factors behind it, one

:24:59. > :25:02.of these is we have seen a large scale increase for wage

:25:02. > :25:06.inequalities. The top half of earners, are seeing an ever-larger

:25:06. > :25:09.slice of the cake going to them. That is part of T we have also seen,

:25:09. > :25:15.particularly over recent years, a growth in the share of GDP going to

:25:15. > :25:21.business, in the form of profits. That happened in the UK in the 200

:25:21. > :25:25.0s, there is another squeeze on the pay pact bit of GDP. What of Boles'

:25:25. > :25:28.view that tax credits haven't work to get us into work. When it comes

:25:29. > :25:33.to social security, the tax credit system, I think two things are

:25:33. > :25:37.rather important here, first of all, the tax credit system for people in

:25:38. > :25:42.work, of course it is redistribute today poor families, but it is also

:25:42. > :25:45.helping to move them into work. It is good for productivity, it is

:25:45. > :25:48.worth being clear that whilst this Government has taken some money out

:25:48. > :25:52.of those budgets, they are still more generous than they were back

:25:52. > :25:56.in 1997, before the last Labour Government really started putting

:25:56. > :26:00.significant amounts of extra money into the tax credit system.

:26:01. > :26:05.Families running up the down escalator to build living standards

:26:05. > :26:09.back up. Leading politicians are now lending a hand, it sounds a

:26:09. > :26:15.simple task, but it is actually as ideolgical as it gets.

:26:15. > :26:25.Nick Boles is with us, as is the former Labour minister, Lord Adonis,

:26:25. > :26:27.

:26:27. > :26:32.and the editor of a sister organisation for mums net.

:26:32. > :26:38.How much of this will feature in the next Conservative manifesto?

:26:38. > :26:40.don't know, I'm thinking out loud. We live in an age where we face

:26:40. > :26:44.uncomfortable choices. Politicians have to be straight with people.

:26:44. > :26:48.None of us want to do any of the stuff I talked about, we would all

:26:48. > :26:51.love the ship to go rolling on as it has, people get better off and

:26:51. > :26:55.the state providing lots of stuff. It is not possible, it is not

:26:55. > :27:00.honest, and I'm hoping others will pitch in with their ideas. David

:27:00. > :27:04.Cameron, and Iain Duncan Smith and George Osborne and others are not

:27:04. > :27:10.being honest with us? We have done a lot, nobody has accused the

:27:10. > :27:14.coalition of not having taken radical and difficult steps with

:27:14. > :27:17.educational maintenance allowance. Are they listening when you are

:27:17. > :27:20.transmitting? I don't know, I haven't given the speech yet.

:27:20. > :27:25.you see some merit in this, the stagnation of living standards, or

:27:25. > :27:28.wages not keeping up with prices, is causing real problems to just

:27:28. > :27:33.about everybody. This may be, in the long-term, a way of tackling

:27:33. > :27:36.it? I'm not exactly sure what Nick is proposing. But the general theme

:27:36. > :27:39.of improving the productivity of the economy is vital. The root

:27:39. > :27:43.problem is high levels of unemployment. The I can't remember

:27:43. > :27:48.I have been paying close attention to recently youth unemployment,

:27:48. > :27:58.youth unemployment of a million, 24% of under-24-year-olds

:27:58. > :28:02.unemployed. We have to give a kick start to the youth market. So not

:28:02. > :28:07.giving benefits to very well off pensioners, Mick Jagger doesn't

:28:07. > :28:11.need it, does he? We should be providing subsidised jobs for the

:28:11. > :28:16.long-term youth unemployment. It is quality of spending, education

:28:16. > :28:19.standards aren't high enough and not a proper apprenticeship route.

:28:19. > :28:23.He's pointing out that politicians are great at spending money, but

:28:23. > :28:26.finding money, he has found some money, and it is a hard choice?

:28:26. > :28:29.is the old politics that Nick is talking about, the hard bit is

:28:29. > :28:35.simply about finding money. The hard bit is producing programmes

:28:35. > :28:38.that work. Where are the apprenticeship programmes for those

:28:38. > :28:42.not going to university. Where are the subsidises jobs, which the

:28:42. > :28:45.Government says it is providing, it won't provide figures forks the

:28:45. > :28:52.long-term youth unemployment. You have to have a Government machine

:28:52. > :29:01.that works and it doesn't work well enough. What do you think people

:29:01. > :29:07.joining Mumsnet and Gransnet, what will they think, that the better

:29:07. > :29:11.off pensioners et cetera? I think it is hard to argue that Mick

:29:11. > :29:16.Jagger needs pensions, people on the websites would accept that

:29:16. > :29:20.those on pensions of �60,000 plus shouldn't get universal benefits.

:29:20. > :29:24.The problem then comes where the cut-off comes. Only 10% of

:29:24. > :29:30.pensioners have an become of over �30,000. So you are talking about

:29:30. > :29:33.people probably with incomes of between �11,000-�30,000, you have

:29:33. > :29:36.to decide where you you are going to make that cut. We know that

:29:36. > :29:40.whenever you have means testing, you get a cliff edge, and very

:29:40. > :29:44.often the wrong people fall off the cliff. Do you think there is some

:29:44. > :29:48.merit in universal benefits because they are for everybody, there is no

:29:48. > :29:54.stigma and that is the traditional argument? We know the take-up is

:29:54. > :29:59.better, they are cheaper to run and they are efficient. The politics

:29:59. > :30:03.are pretty poisonous. The Tory plans here are to axe pensioners

:30:03. > :30:07.benefits on the front page, it is the granny tax all over again.

:30:07. > :30:11.Whenever you argue this you are the nasty party? This is what has got

:30:11. > :30:14.us into this mess, where we have the biggest budget deficit of any

:30:14. > :30:18.OECD country, and yet we have all the social problems that Andrew has

:30:18. > :30:21.been referring to and everything else. The fact is, it is because we

:30:21. > :30:25.have had a series of Governments, and I am afraid the last Labour

:30:25. > :30:29.Government was good at making choices about spending money and

:30:29. > :30:32.badly about getting the money. Maybe it is true of your Government,

:30:32. > :30:35.it is not practical politics? Government has been more radical

:30:35. > :30:39.and been willing to court unpopularity, through a series of

:30:39. > :30:42.decisions to begin to get the deficit under control.

:30:42. > :30:47.reversing, not implementing the 3p extra on fuel. This is not a

:30:47. > :30:51.Government that immediately you say this is going to take courageous

:30:52. > :30:58.decisions of the type you said? completely overhauled tuition fees

:30:58. > :31:02.so students now have to pay �9,000 a year, and scrapped educational

:31:02. > :31:06.maintenance allowances. These were all things people valued and mostly

:31:06. > :31:11.young people who were paid those. It is not fair to say we weren't

:31:11. > :31:15.brave. And more bravery is needed. Hopefully people will come up with

:31:15. > :31:18.an idea more palatable. More bravery is needed, and perhaps the

:31:18. > :31:23.headlines fail to understand the sophistication of the argument?

:31:23. > :31:27.is the absence of growth causing the pressure on the welfare date,

:31:27. > :31:30.the absence of growth since the 2008 crisis. I agree we have to

:31:30. > :31:35.make the economy more productive, we have to get more people into

:31:35. > :31:39.jobs, and get them sustainably into jobs, earning higher wages. So, of

:31:39. > :31:42.course, the economy is in a much healthier state. Could you defend

:31:43. > :31:48.all the universal benefits for some that don't need them, could you

:31:48. > :31:53.defend them, all of them? Obviously there needs to be continuing debate.

:31:53. > :31:57.This shouldn't be cast in aspic. These aren't easy decisions to be

:31:57. > :32:01.made, nor are they simplistic. of the things people like to see

:32:01. > :32:06.the occasions where politicians might agree and form consensus on

:32:06. > :32:09.things, is that at all possible? there is going to be a consensus,

:32:09. > :32:13.it requires a Government that is prepared to seek to promote

:32:13. > :32:19.consensus. We have been debating long-term care over the last two

:32:19. > :32:24.years now there still hasn't been a consensus generated by that. A lot

:32:24. > :32:28.further to go. People are now more resistant to any cuts in living

:32:28. > :32:31.standards, if you are told in a few years time younger people will have

:32:32. > :32:34.higher wages, and you have to pay the electricity bill this week, it

:32:34. > :32:39.is difficult? One of the things worrying about this, and worries a

:32:39. > :32:42.lot of our members. Is there seems to be an underlying resentment of

:32:42. > :32:46.older people. And a sense that older people are some how selfish

:32:46. > :32:52.or greedy and not productive. One in three working families relies on

:32:52. > :32:55.grandparents for childcare. We know that grandparents and older people,

:32:55. > :33:03.contribute, net, more than �4 billion a year to the economy. It

:33:03. > :33:11.is ridiculous to say that older people are not a productive part of

:33:11. > :33:14.the economy. I agree we need big thinking. A huge issue about older

:33:14. > :33:18.people's contribution to society, we know social care is a big issue,

:33:18. > :33:23.and the Government is not addressing the problem. The debate

:33:23. > :33:27.is what does it mean to age well in the 21st century, there is no

:33:27. > :33:32.answer to that. There is a debate about where older people among us

:33:32. > :33:38.fit in and what it means to be old in 291st century? Agree with that,

:33:38. > :33:41.-- I agree with that, there are no debates about a lot of important

:33:41. > :33:45.questions in this country. Most people at work have been stagnant

:33:45. > :33:49.for over ten years, through the period of growth. And unless we

:33:49. > :33:52.make Government spending focus on those things that actually supports

:33:52. > :33:56.people to gain skills, supports people to make investments in

:33:56. > :34:00.infrastructure and in research. Unless we do that, we are going to

:34:00. > :34:03.fail the next 100 years, not just the next two or three. The trouble

:34:03. > :34:08.with that it is jam tomorrow? their kids and grand kids, they

:34:08. > :34:13.want their lives to be better than the lives they had. It is jam

:34:13. > :34:16.tomorrow and cuts today. That is the world we are in.

:34:16. > :34:19.The deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Paul Tucker, effectively

:34:19. > :34:23.exonerated the Shadow Chancellor, Ed Balls, and other former Labour

:34:23. > :34:28.ministers, from charges that they had asked him to lean on Barclays

:34:28. > :34:31.Bank in the rate-fixing skam scandal. He shot holes in the

:34:31. > :34:35.allegations made by George Osborne last week in a heated Commons

:34:35. > :34:39.debate. We have been dipping a toe into what Mr Tucker described as a

:34:39. > :34:45.cesspit. This is Barclays.

:34:45. > :34:51.This is a cesspit. Today the second in command at the Bank of England

:34:51. > :34:54.poured a bit dollop of approbium on to Barclays and the entire LIBOR

:34:54. > :34:58.market. You can't be confident of anything about learning about this

:34:58. > :35:03.cesspit. For those not used to Central Bank terminology, the word

:35:03. > :35:07."cesspit", is not normally used to describe a major bank, or financial

:35:07. > :35:12.market. This was Mr Tucker fighting back furiously against a PR

:35:12. > :35:17.offensive, by Barclays, that it sought to put him, and senior

:35:18. > :35:21.Labour politicians, in the frame. When Barclays boss, Bob Diamond,

:35:21. > :35:26.resigned last week, the bank released a note of his conversation

:35:26. > :35:30.with Paul Tucker. At issue, why did this man, Jerry Del Missier, end up

:35:30. > :35:38.thinking, he had been instructed to manipulate LIBOR by Paul Tucker.

:35:38. > :35:48.Does that file note of 29th of October, 2008, accurately reflect

:35:48. > :35:48.

:35:49. > :35:54.the conversation with him that you had? Not completely. It would help

:35:54. > :36:00.to explain...Why Don't we do it in stages. Is there anything in that,

:36:00. > :36:05.that is wrong? The last sentence gives the wrong impression, yes.

:36:05. > :36:08.He has impuned my insteingity. there was more, last week the

:36:08. > :36:14.Chancellor, George Osborne, provoked fury in the Commons, with

:36:14. > :36:20.an interview in the Spectator, in which he said Ed Balls was clearly

:36:20. > :36:27.involved in pressuring the bank to manipulate LIBOR, with other

:36:27. > :36:35.accusations at aides of Gordon Brown. These assertions seemed to

:36:35. > :36:43.be swept away. Did anyone urge you to. Absolutely not. Did Shriti

:36:43. > :36:47.Vadera ever ask you to lean on Barclays or any bank to lure the

:36:47. > :36:51.LIBOR submissions? No. What's more, I don't think I spoke to Shriti

:36:51. > :36:55.Vadera throughout this whole period at all. Did Ed Balls ever ask you

:36:55. > :36:59.to lean on Barclays or any other bank? No. Or any other Government

:36:59. > :37:04.minister? No. Labour tonight demanded an apology and restrax

:37:04. > :37:09.from George Osborne. It is just a shame that -- Retraction from

:37:09. > :37:13.George Osborne. It is a shame the Chancellor doesn't have the biggest

:37:13. > :37:16.of character to come forward and admit he was misleading in those

:37:16. > :37:18.allegations. Sources close to the Chancellor said they were

:37:18. > :37:21.dismissing Labour's call, there would be no apology, and those

:37:21. > :37:25.close to Gordon Brown still had questions to answer. And Paul

:37:25. > :37:28.Tucker too came in for a hard time, confronted with minutes, that

:37:28. > :37:31.showed a committee he had chaired had seemed to recognise that

:37:31. > :37:36.somebody was doing something wrong with LIBOR, he said it didn't

:37:36. > :37:41.really mean that? This doesn't look good, Mr Tucker. I have to tell you.

:37:41. > :37:47.It doesn't look good. We have in the minutes, and in the

:37:47. > :37:52.15th of November 2007, what appears, to any reasonable person, to be a

:37:52. > :37:57.clear indication of low-balling, about what nothing was done.

:37:57. > :38:01.thought was a malfunking market, not a dishonest market. Today was

:38:01. > :38:04.just another step on the road to finding out the truth about LIBOR.

:38:04. > :38:07.At the end of it, we still don't know whose representation is going

:38:07. > :38:14.down the pan. When you wake up in the morning and

:38:14. > :38:17.contemplate the day ahead, in the middle of a horrible wet come here,

:38:18. > :38:23.an economic crisis and the defeat of Andy Murray, it is unlikely the

:38:23. > :38:29.future of the House of Lords will come to mind, except if you are a

:38:29. > :38:32.parliamentarian. The other place debated the issue among stress in

:38:32. > :38:35.the coalition. 70 Tories threatening to vote against t and

:38:35. > :38:39.tomorrow, this plan so dear to the Liberal Democrats, could turn into

:38:39. > :38:43.the first major defeat for the coalition. Is it doomed? I don't

:38:43. > :38:46.think the Government expect to win the vote. I don't think that the

:38:46. > :38:53.Liberal Democrats even expect to win it now, it is the scale of the

:38:53. > :38:59.extent to which they lose it. Political journalism, hyperbole, I

:38:59. > :39:03.think we would be in a new phase for the coalition. So far you had

:39:03. > :39:06.have things -- have had things in the coalition put through, they

:39:06. > :39:10.have gone through with it and tried to enact it. This is now, many

:39:10. > :39:14.Liberal Democrats are saying, the first instance of things not going

:39:14. > :39:18.into action. That means game on for them, in terms of, in future, they

:39:18. > :39:23.don't know quite over what, but in future they will say, you didn't

:39:23. > :39:31.support us on this, we won't support you on. That we haven't had

:39:31. > :39:37.it that clearly so far. With us is the Conservative MP, Nadine Dorries,

:39:37. > :39:46.and the Lib Dem minister, Jeremy brown, who supports it. This is a

:39:46. > :39:50.Conservative bill, piloted by a Conservative minister. Why are you

:39:50. > :39:54.not supporting it? It was not in the manifesto, a commitment to look

:39:54. > :39:58.not go ahead of the bill was in there. It wasn't in the bol

:39:58. > :40:02.coalition agreement to come forward with a bill to reform the House of

:40:02. > :40:05.Lords. Ultimately it is damaging to the constitution, and damaging

:40:05. > :40:08.long-term to the Conservative Party. Which is why many Conservatives are

:40:08. > :40:14.opposed to this. It is almost inconceivable we would have a House

:40:14. > :40:17.of Lords that would become a Senate, elected by PR, with a greater

:40:17. > :40:21.political mandate than any MP in the House of Commons, and the

:40:21. > :40:24.Commons would remain "first past the post". It is a way of getting

:40:24. > :40:28.PR in through the back door. What would be the sanctions or

:40:28. > :40:33.consequences for the coalition, and for the Government, if this fails

:40:33. > :40:37.tomorrow, because of a major rebellion, which David Cameron

:40:37. > :40:40.can't control? There are consequences. The worst types of

:40:40. > :40:44.coalitions nobody agreeing on anything, so you agree to do

:40:44. > :40:48.nothing. The best type of coalitions, and this one has

:40:48. > :40:53.achieved this, is when you are more than the sum of your parts, and you

:40:53. > :41:00.have a mutual trust and faith in each other. There is a reciprocol

:41:00. > :41:03.nature to that relationship. There is a contract, if you like. The

:41:03. > :41:06.coalition agreement is be a agreement between the parties -- is

:41:07. > :41:11.an agreement between the two parties. What will be the

:41:11. > :41:16.consequences? You have to act in good faith to your partner. We know

:41:16. > :41:19.the consequences. Let's see what happens tomorrow. Because, what has

:41:19. > :41:23.been striking, I think, in the two years of the coalition so far, is

:41:23. > :41:27.the Liberal Democrats have behaved with, if you like, let me, a

:41:27. > :41:31.maturity. What would you actually do? I think parties in Government

:41:31. > :41:35.have to have maturity and discipline, and act with good faith

:41:35. > :41:39.to their coalition parties. Richard Reeves has said what they would do.

:41:39. > :41:42.Richard Reeves has said. Richard Reeves, head of strategy for the

:41:42. > :41:46.Liberal Democrats, until days a has said, quite clearly, that if this

:41:46. > :41:49.does not go through, the Liberal Democrats will not support the

:41:49. > :41:52.boundary changes. That is almost blackmail. The Liberal Democrats

:41:52. > :41:54.were given, it is political blackmail, Jeremy, they were told

:41:55. > :41:59.there was a deal, there was a coalition agreement. And the

:42:00. > :42:02.agreement was this, that in replacement, in exchange for AV

:42:02. > :42:08.referendum, for the Liberal Democrats, they would support

:42:08. > :42:13.boundary changes. The public said no the AV referendum. Is that

:42:13. > :42:18.blackmail? Of course it is not. And I have read this in newspaper, I

:42:18. > :42:24.think it is ridiculous. Richard Reeves said it, he was Nick Clegg's

:42:24. > :42:30.righthandman. If I had a contract with you, and I discharge my

:42:30. > :42:35.contractural obligations to me and I to you, I can't be accused of

:42:35. > :42:39.blackmailing, the person who has acted in bad faith is you not me in

:42:39. > :42:44.that situation. We did not have an agreement that in exchange for

:42:44. > :42:49.Lords reform there would be boundary reforms. It is a package

:42:49. > :42:53.as a whole. You lost AV, now you want Lords reform. I will give you

:42:53. > :42:56.an example. Will you support them on bound radio changes? Will you,

:42:56. > :42:59.will you support bound wry changes if you lose Lords reform in the

:42:59. > :43:04.Commons tomorrow? I'm answering the question, there is a package of

:43:04. > :43:09.measures, on the NHS, on health, on police, that constitutes the

:43:09. > :43:16.coalition agreement. You can't go along, and an a la carte menu

:43:16. > :43:20.taking the ones you like. Is this an answer? Just stick to boundary

:43:20. > :43:23.issues? This is crucial. You don't know what I'm going to say. Will

:43:23. > :43:29.you or will you not support them on boundary changes? I support the

:43:29. > :43:33.Government proposals as a whole. that a no then? Is that a yes or a

:43:33. > :43:38.no? Let me finish the sentence, I support, I'm a Government minister,

:43:38. > :43:42.I support the package, which is the coalition agreement. If one of the

:43:42. > :43:48.parties, within that agreement, reneges on their commitment to the

:43:48. > :43:53.package, that, of course. Lords reform is not in the package.

:43:53. > :43:56.have to look afresh. I'm committed to the coalition, I think it is

:43:56. > :43:59.essential to tackle the sorts of issues you have been discussing

:43:59. > :44:06.with Nick Boles, and the deficit this country faces. All the parties

:44:06. > :44:09.and people in the coalition have to act in good faith. This is not

:44:09. > :44:13.happy Government relationship, is it? That was an answer constructed

:44:13. > :44:16.out of nonsense. Lords reform is not in the coalition agreement.

:44:16. > :44:20.Everything you said was based on the substance of nothing. You were

:44:20. > :44:23.asked a very simple question, if tomorrow, the Lords reform bill is

:44:23. > :44:30.voted down, in the House of Commons, will you still support the

:44:30. > :44:33.Conservative Party on boundary changes. That is a yes or no. It is

:44:33. > :44:37.a ficticious? I have answered that. You support the package, one bit of

:44:37. > :44:41.it goes, you can't support the other? Give me a chance to explain.

:44:41. > :44:46.I will give you an example, directly elected police

:44:46. > :44:49.commissioners, constitutional change, not in the Lib Dem

:44:49. > :44:51.manifesto, but in the Conservative manifesto, it went into the

:44:51. > :44:54.coalition agreement, the Liberal Democrats supported it because we

:44:54. > :44:57.were honourable and disciplined about the coalition agreement and

:44:57. > :45:01.the Government as a whole. We hope that the Conservatives will be

:45:01. > :45:04.honourable and disciplined tomorrow as well. We will have to see. I'm

:45:04. > :45:08.not responsible for discipline in the Conservative Party. I want the

:45:08. > :45:15.coalition to be a success. Do you vote for some things that you

:45:15. > :45:19.weren't entirely for. There is something simple here, the police

:45:19. > :45:21.commissioners agreement was in the agreement for Lords reform. I don't

:45:21. > :45:24.know how long you can continue to say Lords reform is in the

:45:24. > :45:27.coalition agreement, it was not. I will be rebelling tomorrow, as will

:45:27. > :45:30.many of my colleagues, because we think it is bad for the

:45:30. > :45:38.Conservative Party, bad for the country. And David Cameron doesn't

:45:38. > :45:44.get that? It is bad for the parties interested. I have no idea, but I

:45:44. > :45:48.don't know why we are spending time discussing this when we have so

:45:48. > :45:52.many other problems. Would you like the coalition Government to end?

:45:52. > :45:54.won't end t will stay until 2015 there is nowhere to go. It will put

:45:54. > :46:04.it under extreme stress over the next few months.

:46:04. > :46:20.

:46:20. > :46:24.That's all tonight. We wanted to leave but news that NASA has

:46:25. > :46:27.released pictures of the Martian landscape taken by their Mars

:46:27. > :46:37.exploration Rover, which they described as the next best thing to

:46:37. > :46:49.

:46:49. > :46:54.being there, or, by the look of it, # The chances of anything coming

:46:54. > :47:04.from Mars # Are a million to one

:47:04. > :47:10.

:47:10. > :47:14.Simply put, there is more rain to come this week overnight, outbreaks

:47:14. > :47:17.of rain across many parts of the UK, heavy rain developing and targeting

:47:17. > :47:21.parts of the Midlands going into the morning. The north and East

:47:21. > :47:27.Midlands in particular becoming heavy and thundery downsupport r

:47:27. > :47:32.pours into the afternoon. -- downpours The afternoon. An amber

:47:32. > :47:35.warning for the Midlands. Further south, scattered heavy

:47:35. > :47:38.showers, maybe with rumbles of thunder. To end the afternoon

:47:38. > :47:42.across much of south-west England and Wales, although there is a lot

:47:42. > :47:47.of cloud around. Maybe with hints of brightness, it is mainly dry.

:47:47. > :47:51.There will be outbreaks of mainly light rain affecting North West

:47:51. > :47:54.England and for Northern Ireland showers here. Not a complete

:47:54. > :47:59.washout, there will be dry spells inbetween the showers. Dry weather

:47:59. > :48:02.for western fringes of Scotland. A lot of rain to come down the

:48:02. > :48:06.eastern side, persistent rain here that continues into Wednesday. The

:48:06. > :48:11.rain falling in Edinburgh, disappointingly cool for the time

:48:11. > :48:15.of year. The persistence of the rain may cause problems. Rainfall

:48:15. > :48:21.totals adding up. South on Wednesday in England and Wales,