23/05/2014

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:00:00. > :00:15.They ignored him, they dismissed him and taked him, it didn't work . What

:00:16. > :00:21.will the established parties try next to stop the relentless rise of

:00:22. > :00:25.UKIP. Obama's Treasury Secretary said he had to bail out the bankers

:00:26. > :00:29.to save the world. He was the Sheriff and he tells us he was

:00:30. > :00:35.dealing with a bunch of cowboys. We had a wild west financial system.

:00:36. > :00:46.There were a lot of mistakes in oversight and risk management and a

:00:47. > :00:52.lot of imprudence, absolutely. She became the poster girl for a more

:00:53. > :00:57.modern, tolerant, inclusive Europe when she won Eurovision. Why are so

:00:58. > :01:02.many voters about to vote for parties that are none of the above.

:01:03. > :01:09.We will ask her tonight what she makes of that.

:01:10. > :01:16.Nigel Farage promised a political earthquake in the local and European

:01:17. > :01:22.elections, we won't know the euro results until Monday night. UKIP

:01:23. > :01:25.certainly caused enough tremors to shake the other parties. We have the

:01:26. > :01:29.headlines. Let me give you the big picture of

:01:30. > :01:33.what happened today, because this is arguably the day that England went

:01:34. > :01:37.into a four-party political system. If I go into the kind of councils

:01:38. > :01:40.that the stories were defending tonight and I update it with these

:01:41. > :01:48.results you can see what has happened. West Lancashire has gone

:01:49. > :01:55.into no overall control. Amber Valley will be a particular feather

:01:56. > :02:00.in the cap, tight low-fought at a Westminster parliamentary level. It

:02:01. > :02:04.is old mining country in Derbyshire. These are the councils Labour was

:02:05. > :02:08.defending, I will update you and show you what will happen, Great

:02:09. > :02:12.Yarmouth has gone into no overall control. This is why, UKIP picking

:02:13. > :02:17.up ten seats on the council here which snatched it out of Labour's

:02:18. > :02:21.hands. What about the Lib Dem, they have had a pretty rough night. If I

:02:22. > :02:25.update this they have lost a quarter of their councils tonight, just

:02:26. > :02:29.eight up. Kingston upon Thames has gone to their partners in

:02:30. > :02:33.Government, the Conservatives. Portsmouth has gone into no overall

:02:34. > :02:39.control. We don't have a button for UKIP because they haven't got a

:02:40. > :02:43.council, it is mathematically impossible for them to do it. If I

:02:44. > :02:46.compare the kind of places where they have been doing well tonight,

:02:47. > :02:51.they are pretty much all over the country. All over England, that is.

:02:52. > :02:54.In Portsmouth they were fighting the Lib Dems, they have gained six seats

:02:55. > :02:59.on the council there. In Rotherham they were fighting Labour, up ten

:03:00. > :03:03.seats there. They were fighting the Tories in Basildon and Essex, up 11

:03:04. > :03:08.seats there, an extraordinary night for this party who have really come

:03:09. > :03:12.of age. They call thselves the fox in the Westminster chickens. Let's

:03:13. > :03:16.see how long the fox lasts and where it goes now. The Tories didn't do

:03:17. > :03:21.well yesterday, but David Cameron's usual party critics have remained

:03:22. > :03:25.untypically silent. Labour didn't do at all badly and in London did much

:03:26. > :03:28.better than expected. But Ed Miliband's critics have been

:03:29. > :03:32.anything but silent. Maybe because there was a number of seats Labour

:03:33. > :03:36.has to win to form the next Government where its performance

:03:37. > :03:40.ranged from lacklustre to poor, and one common theme links the Tories

:03:41. > :03:43.and Labour was the disruptive influence UKIP had on their fortunes

:03:44. > :03:49.across England. We have been to the old Middle

:03:50. > :03:53.England railway town of Swindon, this report contains flash

:03:54. > :03:59.photography. Pushing, pulling, disrupting,

:04:00. > :04:05.contorting, changing the contours of the political map. UKIP hasn't won

:04:06. > :04:10.councils outright anywhere. But Mr Farrage is squeezing votes, almost

:04:11. > :04:16.everywhere. T conversations going on last night, one in Westminster going

:04:17. > :04:21.amongst the commentators and Tory MPs who still see it as the old

:04:22. > :04:25.left-right divide, and the other conversation was goes on in Swindon.

:04:26. > :04:33.The traditional conversation that UKIP only takes from the Tories was

:04:34. > :04:38.disproved here. But UKIP only takes from the Tories, right? Wrong, here

:04:39. > :04:42.in Swindon and dispondent Labour, whose leader in this town Ed

:04:43. > :04:51.Miliband forgot, failed to take the council. The kind they desperately

:04:52. > :04:57.need. We lost votes to UKIP in the target seats, and that's cost us. A

:04:58. > :05:00.depressing picture for Labour, because Swindon's the kind of seat

:05:01. > :05:04.that's tight when general elections come round, where, in a normal

:05:05. > :05:08.political cycle Ed Miliband should be well ahead. What do you think

:05:09. > :05:14.about Ed Miliband though, he came here earlier in the week? You are

:05:15. > :05:21.making a terrible face? Not great deal. He's not a leader. He's not a

:05:22. > :05:25.leader? Normally we vote Labour, he's not the best man for the job.

:05:26. > :05:29.He's not the best man for the job? They should have picked his brother.

:05:30. > :05:33.What did you vote yesterday? Conservative? Why? It is better the

:05:34. > :05:39.devil you know, you have to give people time to sort the country out.

:05:40. > :05:44.Yeah. If we keep swapping and changing you have to start from the

:05:45. > :05:48.beginning again. UKIP seem to be willing to tell the truth straight

:05:49. > :05:51.up. People had questions, especially Nigel Farage, he answered the

:05:52. > :05:54.questions in a way that makes you feel you are getting the answers you

:05:55. > :05:58.want, he's not lying to you. Labour only needed one net gain here to

:05:59. > :06:02.knock out the Tories, but with thousands of votes peeling away to

:06:03. > :06:08.UKIP it didn't happen. The party did gain seats around the country, but

:06:09. > :06:15.nothing like the number needed to look solidly and credibly like they

:06:16. > :06:20.might win next year. Labour did grab councils from the Tories in London

:06:21. > :06:26.and were top in some target seats. But a shaky national first place is

:06:27. > :06:29.not enough to top this. The strategists at the top of the party

:06:30. > :06:32.called it wrong, we should have taken the fight to UKIP from the

:06:33. > :06:36.beginning and we never did. We have not done as well as we should have

:06:37. > :06:40.done in both the presentation of our policies and the organisation. I

:06:41. > :06:45.lost count the number of people canvassing over the last, especially

:06:46. > :06:50.the last two or three days that said you will need a big kicking. Even

:06:51. > :06:54.hints from Labour's top table they were too late to catch on. People

:06:55. > :06:56.want tougher controls in immigration and reform in Europe, we have been

:06:57. > :07:02.making those arguments in this election. We have to do so more

:07:03. > :07:07.loudly over the next year. But for the leader, who has been in politics

:07:08. > :07:10.man and boy, it is nothing to do with him or his campaign, but

:07:11. > :07:15.something that has been brewing for years. I think in some parts of the

:07:16. > :07:19.country we have had discontent building up for decades about the

:07:20. > :07:23.way the country has been run, and about the way our economy works. And

:07:24. > :07:27.people feeling that the country just doesn't work for them. What you are

:07:28. > :07:32.seeing is some parts of the country is people turning to UKIP has an

:07:33. > :07:37.expression of that discontent. The prize for the saddest faces of these

:07:38. > :07:41.elections though must go to the Lib Dems. Wiped out in some cities,

:07:42. > :07:46.losing all their councillors in Manchester. The Greens taking their

:07:47. > :07:54.place as the official opposition in Liverpool. Losing overall more than

:07:55. > :07:59.a third of their grassroots base. But Nick Clegg also appears to

:08:00. > :08:02.believe it is not really mainstream politicians' fault. It is just that

:08:03. > :08:09.what they have done has made voters grumpy. I certainly accept that

:08:10. > :08:12.there is a very strong anti-politics mood around, by the way not only in

:08:13. > :08:15.our country but in many other parts of Europe as well. I think we will

:08:16. > :08:19.see that in the European elections in the days to come. Of course also

:08:20. > :08:23.being part of a Government that has had to take extraordinarily

:08:24. > :08:27.difficult and sometimes down right unpopular decisions over the past

:08:28. > :08:33.four years, to get the economy back on track. But here is the curious

:08:34. > :08:37.thing, no, not Nigel Farage having a beer and a fag, that seems to happen

:08:38. > :08:44.almost whenever there is a camera around. But today's numbers point to

:08:45. > :08:51.him having a smaller share of the national vote than at last year's

:08:52. > :08:56.council elections. But he's so emboldened by his gains in places

:08:57. > :09:03.like Essex, finally Farrage has vowed he will try his luck as an MP.

:09:04. > :09:09.I haven't done a lot, just bought a pint of beer, there we are! What

:09:10. > :09:14.won't be on offer to UKIP is a deal with those people he doesn't call

:09:15. > :09:17.Conservative. Governing parties normally take a hammering in local

:09:18. > :09:22.elections and David Cameron's party did lose councils, but the

:09:23. > :09:26.performance was lacklustre, not disastrous. Yet listen closely,

:09:27. > :09:31.there is no dismissing UKIP's support any more. Now he shares

:09:32. > :09:36.their pain. We have got to work harder and really deliver, on issues

:09:37. > :09:38.that are frustrating people and frustrating me like welfare reform

:09:39. > :09:42.and immigration and making sure people really benefit from this

:09:43. > :09:45.recovery. We will be working flat out to demonstrate that we do have

:09:46. > :09:54.the answers to help hard working people. But it is not clear those

:09:55. > :09:59.hard working people, or anyone else busy getting on with the day-to-day

:10:00. > :10:03.even wants to be persuaded. UKIP's performance is more a tremor than

:10:04. > :10:07.the promised earthquake, but in towns like Swindon they know they

:10:08. > :10:15.had a tangible effect. There is too much of this towing the party line.

:10:16. > :10:19.There is too much of being what they think is right rather than being

:10:20. > :10:23.right. We get being told we are wrong for saying what people think.

:10:24. > :10:27.Why wouldn't you, it is not racist or anything, it is what people

:10:28. > :10:31.think. UKIP hasn't won the election, but in a sense no-one really has,

:10:32. > :10:36.they have been pretty dismal for all the main parties. If anything is

:10:37. > :10:39.victorious it is perhaps the argument that the current crop of

:10:40. > :10:48.Westminster politicians doesn't connect let alone convince people in

:10:49. > :10:51.the rest of the country. Sunday's results of the European elections

:10:52. > :10:56.could see UKIP squeeze into first place. But voters are yet to answer

:10:57. > :11:07.if our politics are permanently bent out of shape. She looked like Mary

:11:08. > :11:14.Poppins and came straight back to the studio! How are the three main

:11:15. > :11:19.parties going to react to UKIP? All of their performances have gone

:11:20. > :11:23.pretty soggy, we need to keep it in perfective, the way their votes

:11:24. > :11:26.added up had a tangible effect in Swindon and others. The Lib Dems for

:11:27. > :11:30.them it is really a question of grin and bear it, they don't really have

:11:31. > :11:33.much choice. I think they are quite resolved on that. For the

:11:34. > :11:36.Conservatives, interestingly, the newer by-election is coming at us

:11:37. > :11:40.thick and fast, that is next week, although there are a couple of

:11:41. > :11:43.noises off tonight, broadly speaking their discipline seems to be

:11:44. > :11:46.holding. And David Cameron is already responding quite far in

:11:47. > :11:50.policy terms to the threat from UKIP, whether on welfare, tougher

:11:51. > :11:53.language on immigration or that referendum promise. What is

:11:54. > :11:56.happening, it is toughest, and we are seeing toughest already for

:11:57. > :12:01.Labour. Partly because some of the private anxieties about how to deal

:12:02. > :12:04.with UKIP, which have been there, have already spilt out into public.

:12:05. > :12:09.You heard Ed Balls clearly saying they have to be stronger on

:12:10. > :12:12.immigration, and Tessa Jowell, that very loyal Labour figure, and very

:12:13. > :12:16.well known said this afternoon that Ed Miliband was absolutely not on

:12:17. > :12:20.top of the bill from the checkout. A rather pointed remark at how he

:12:21. > :12:23.handled the campaign in the last few weeks. For Labour this is

:12:24. > :12:28.potentially a very dangerous moment. Ed Miliband is nowhere near the kind

:12:29. > :12:33.of comfortable level he needs to be at, above 35% in order really to be

:12:34. > :12:37.looking like somebody who could be walking through the steps of Number

:12:38. > :12:40.Ten next year. Let's discuss the state of the

:12:41. > :12:45.politics after these elections with Jeremy Hunt for the Conservatives,

:12:46. > :12:50.and Chuka Umunna for Labour. Welcome both of you let me come to you first

:12:51. > :12:53.Jeremy. The Tories haven't been quite scrutinised yet, let's look at

:12:54. > :12:58.the result, you need to increase your share of the vote from the 36%

:12:59. > :13:01.you got in 2010 to win in 2015, but you are falling back, your national

:13:02. > :13:05.share of the vote projected yesterday was under 30%, and there

:13:06. > :13:09.is only a year to go? Well actually I don't agree with that. Of course

:13:10. > :13:12.you are comparing it to what happened at the last election and

:13:13. > :13:15.since then we have had to take some very difficult decisions to deal

:13:16. > :13:19.with the deficit that we have inherited in many other areas. If

:13:20. > :13:23.you look at the recent trends, things have been moving much more in

:13:24. > :13:27.our direction. We got a higher share of the vote than a year ago. The

:13:28. > :13:31.polls have been closing. But you got a lower share of the vote than you

:13:32. > :13:34.got in 2010. To win the election next year you need a higher share

:13:35. > :13:38.you are going in the wrong direction? But this is what

:13:39. > :13:42.Conservative Governments do. We take difficult decisions at the start of

:13:43. > :13:45.a parliament, the decisions that are necessary in the long-term interests

:13:46. > :13:50.of the country. And those decisions are often not popular, but then as

:13:51. > :13:55.it gets closer to an election people start to see the fruits of those

:13:56. > :13:59.decisions. Why is it that gap has been closing. It is important, there

:14:00. > :14:03.is a lot of talk about the politics and strategyising, but we have one.

:14:04. > :14:08.Five million people who have jobs who didn't have jobs at the last

:14:09. > :14:11.election. They and their families are seeing their children going to

:14:12. > :14:13.academies and free schools, the standards are getting better, more

:14:14. > :14:16.doctors and nurses in the hospitals. The facts on the ground are

:14:17. > :14:19.changing, that is making it very difficult for Labour to put together

:14:20. > :14:24.their argument because they opposed so many of those changes. They may

:14:25. > :14:30.be changing but you only got 29% of the vote. Chuka Umunna, Labour's

:14:31. > :14:36.position, after four years of austerity, a flat-lining economy

:14:37. > :14:40.according to Ed Miliband, and you have only added two percentage

:14:41. > :14:45.points since 2010, the worst result in living memory? I thought we had a

:14:46. > :14:53.good set of results over the last 24 hours. 31%? Let me finish. On top of

:14:54. > :14:57.the councillors we had in 2010 we have 270-odd. Importantly we have

:14:58. > :15:03.got the biggest share of the vote in the areas boundaries to some of the

:15:04. > :15:06.key marginal seats, Carlyle, and in the south which importantly we need

:15:07. > :15:11.to be winning back support in, Ipswich, Hastings. You are only two

:15:12. > :15:15.percentage points ahead of the Tories, nationally. Of course we

:15:16. > :15:19.have to remember that most, many of the seats if you look at London, for

:15:20. > :15:23.example, that were contested yesterday were ones which were

:15:24. > :15:28.boosted by the turnout in 2010. These were kind of Labour areas. So

:15:29. > :15:32.you wouldn't expect to see quite the same performance in these seats. Let

:15:33. > :15:35.me say something that I think is very interesting about London.

:15:36. > :15:38.Because what Jeremy talked about is as people see the results on the

:15:39. > :15:43.ground. For example, growth. You will begin to see the pick-up in the

:15:44. > :15:46.Tory support. Now we know that 75% of the new jobs since 2010 have been

:15:47. > :15:49.created in London and the south-east. But you saw things in

:15:50. > :15:56.London, like, for example, the Tories losing their flagship

:15:57. > :15:59.council, Hammersmith and Fulham, the Prime Minister's favourite council

:16:00. > :16:04.falling to Labour. You have a London problem, you don't resonate with the

:16:05. > :16:09.young urban, and you don't resonate with ethnic minorities and you do

:16:10. > :16:12.badly in the capital? Let's look at London and the south-east, you have

:16:13. > :16:17.got southern seats, some of the less southern affluent areas that Labour

:16:18. > :16:21.need to win in like Thurrock, Gloucester and Worcester, where

:16:22. > :16:24.actually they did disappointingly badly. I asked you about the Tories

:16:25. > :16:29.in London not Labour in the south-east? Hammersmith and Fulham

:16:30. > :16:34.is a Labour-held seat, if Labour want to win the elections they need

:16:35. > :16:39.to win marginal seats, that is not what Hammersmith is. It is a bad

:16:40. > :16:43.example. Why are you doing badly in London? The truth is better doing

:16:44. > :16:48.better in London and better across the country. You are losing the

:16:49. > :16:52.affluent suburbs and the inner cities? Look at the areas that

:16:53. > :16:57.Labour need to win. They need to win councils like Plymouth, Swindon,

:16:58. > :17:01.they need to win places like Tamworth. What about Lancashire. It

:17:02. > :17:06.is not a geography lesson here, you can threw names at each other. There

:17:07. > :17:10.is a very important point, no opposition party has ever won a

:17:11. > :17:13.general election without being the biggest party in local Government.

:17:14. > :17:18.We are going to be the biggest party in local Government. That's fine.

:17:19. > :17:22.And we a growing in our support. History is not great lesson here, we

:17:23. > :17:27.are now a four-party system. You only have one seat in Scotland, no

:17:28. > :17:31.seats in the single major northern city and you are now losing out in

:17:32. > :17:35.the suburbs and the inner cities of the capital, you are not even a

:17:36. > :17:40.National Party any more? I totally disagree with that, look at Pendel

:17:41. > :17:45.in Lancashire and the key battle grounds of the Midlands, places like

:17:46. > :17:49.Tamworth. Birmingham edge basten to, Birmingham Northfield, where we won

:17:50. > :17:52.seats off Labour if there was a general election today. We are

:17:53. > :17:55.actually doing extremely well. It is very, very tough. We have to

:17:56. > :17:58.understand after the difficult decisions we have taken over the

:17:59. > :18:02.last three years that it is not going to be a popularity contest at

:18:03. > :18:06.this stage. But in the end, in the end, what the British people are

:18:07. > :18:10.looking for is substance. That is Moy point, it is very -- my point,

:18:11. > :18:14.it is very important the substance on the ground is a growing economy,

:18:15. > :18:20.better schools and hospitals. Let me put a point to you. Your cost of

:18:21. > :18:24.living Crisis Line, it isn't really working is it? It is not really

:18:25. > :18:32.cutting through, retail sales are soaring. Consumer confidence is at

:18:33. > :18:38.its highest level since 1978, if there was cost of living crisis none

:18:39. > :18:45.that have would be true? If you asked most people do they feel more

:18:46. > :18:49.well off or if they are not facing a squeeze. They are absolutely facing

:18:50. > :18:54.a squeeze on their living standards. There is parts of the country where

:18:55. > :18:58.there is an imbalanced recovery, 54% of GDP growth has come from London

:18:59. > :19:02.and the south-east. If you go to the south west and the north-east they

:19:03. > :19:05.don't recognise the picture. You can have the data argument, but if you

:19:06. > :19:08.look at the situations many people are facing they don't feel a hell of

:19:09. > :19:12.a lot better off now. Overall you wouldn't get the rise in retail

:19:13. > :19:16.sales if the whole country was in a cost of living crisis? The question

:19:17. > :19:21.is how do people feel, how is that translating. They are showing how

:19:22. > :19:26.they feel spending in the shots? The point is people are learning ?1,600

:19:27. > :19:34.less than in 2010. On election day it was revealed that net immigration

:19:35. > :19:38.last year rose by 50,000 to 212,000, you promised it would fall below

:19:39. > :19:43.100,000 by-election day. That is clearly not going to happen. Doesn't

:19:44. > :19:48.that broken promise by a mainstream party explain why UKIP are doing so

:19:49. > :19:51.well? We are frustrated it is taking so long to deal with the immigration

:19:52. > :19:57.level. We have it down a third from the peak levels in 2005. One of the

:19:58. > :20:00.reasons it is rising is we happen to be one of the most successful

:20:01. > :20:03.economies in the Europe and we're tracting people from other --

:20:04. > :20:07.attracting people from other European countries. We are dealing

:20:08. > :20:10.with the issues by making sure that people who should be paying for

:20:11. > :20:15.their NHS care are properly paying for it and making sure people can't

:20:16. > :20:21.claim benefits unfairly. It is important to say we recognise there

:20:22. > :20:25.is frustration that people feel. Teresa May is a successful and tough

:20:26. > :20:29.Home Secretary, I wouldn't want to bet against her delivering on

:20:30. > :20:32.targets. I would bet against her and bet with you it won't happen.

:20:33. > :20:36.The great financial crash of our age was six years ago, we are living

:20:37. > :20:41.with its conscupss. The banks got bailed out with public money, but

:20:42. > :20:46.millions of tax-payers were held below the water line.

:20:47. > :20:51.A New York bank regulator suddenly found it was his job to save the

:20:52. > :20:57.world. He has written a book called Stress Test, about it. He took the

:20:58. > :21:03.job as US Treasury Secretary, some what reluctantly, and saw the

:21:04. > :21:07.biggest banking bail out in history. He South Africans not just shaping

:21:08. > :21:12.economic policy and managing financial markets, he has an

:21:13. > :21:23.unparalleled understanding of the current economic crisis in all of

:21:24. > :21:32.its depth, complexity and urgency. Timothy Geigtner spent a year

:21:33. > :21:37.fighting crises, he earned a name as the "go-to man" in difficulties. The

:21:38. > :21:42.financial markets across the globe are in turmoil. He was head of the

:21:43. > :21:46.New York fed when the roof fell in six years ago, he was complicit in

:21:47. > :21:50.the decision not to bail out Lehman Brothers, which many have blamed for

:21:51. > :21:54.making the financial crisis worse. President Obama made him Treasury

:21:55. > :21:58.Secretary when he won the White House in 2008. By his own admission

:21:59. > :22:02.even he wasn't sure he was the right man to take the helm of an economy

:22:03. > :22:08.on the brink of a financial meltdown. Within weeks of taking the

:22:09. > :22:15.job he oversaw the second wave of bail outs, another $350 billion. He

:22:16. > :22:21.was criticised for being too close to Wall Street, and for going easy

:22:22. > :22:25.on the bankers, though he wasn't one himself. When he stood down last

:22:26. > :22:30.year, some gave him credit for saving the day. Others complained he

:22:31. > :22:34.bailed out the bankers who caused the crisis, while leaving as

:22:35. > :22:37.casualties ordinary householders under water and drowning. When I

:22:38. > :22:42.spoke to him in New York this afternoon, I asked him why nobody

:22:43. > :22:46.had ever been held culpable for the crash. There were a lot of causes

:22:47. > :22:51.for the crisis, a lot of regulatory failure, a lot of bad behaviour, a

:22:52. > :22:55.lot of predatory lending, some pretty badly designed rules. We had

:22:56. > :23:02.a kind of wild west financial system. You had a ring side seat at

:23:03. > :23:08.the wild west, why didn't you see it coming? I talked openly about what

:23:09. > :23:12.we saw and missed, I tried to point out during the years of the boom

:23:13. > :23:15.what we were seeing in the United States which was a set of

:23:16. > :23:19.vunerabilities, classic vunerabilities you see preceding

:23:20. > :23:23.financial crises. What happened in the United States is we had a system

:23:24. > :23:27.where finance outgrew the protections we put in place after

:23:28. > :23:32.the Great Depression. Alongside the banking system we had this diverse

:23:33. > :23:37.mix of shadow banks, non-banks, risky forms of finance that had no

:23:38. > :23:42.constraints on risk and no protection against runs and panic.

:23:43. > :23:45.That is what made the crises not so hard to anticipate, but so hard to

:23:46. > :23:51.pre-empt and manage when the panic started. You argue that the banks

:23:52. > :23:55.had to be bailed out to avoid a financial meltdown, I understand

:23:56. > :24:02.that. Once they had been bailed out, why were the bankers responsible not

:24:03. > :24:05.then held accountable? What we did in the United States it is a

:24:06. > :24:08.different strategy than adopted not just in the Great Depression but

:24:09. > :24:13.most countries around the world in the crisis. We forced a lot of

:24:14. > :24:16.restructuring in our system, and we recapitalised it very aggressively

:24:17. > :24:19.and dramatically, we thought that was the best way to make sure the

:24:20. > :24:24.economy will benefit from the oxygen you need to grow as you come out of

:24:25. > :24:27.this thing. Then we moved very quickly to put in place a

:24:28. > :24:32.dramatically reformed set of constraints on risk, much more

:24:33. > :24:39.modern and sophisticated and design set of risks, passed those

:24:40. > :24:42.remarkably quickly. And we tried to defend the foundation for a tougher

:24:43. > :24:46.enforcement response. Most people look at the scale of the enforcement

:24:47. > :24:50.response to date and it is now changing, and said they don't feel

:24:51. > :24:54.it was adequate given the level of pain. I understand it, that is in

:24:55. > :24:58.some ways a measure of the fact that we allowed a system to grow up

:24:59. > :25:04.without a well designed set of rules and we are trying to fix that. What

:25:05. > :25:08.would have been wrong with a bit of Old Testament vengence? Nothing,

:25:09. > :25:11.that is what prosecutors across the country have gone trying to do in

:25:12. > :25:15.their careful way. I tried to explain in the face of a panic, with

:25:16. > :25:20.the type of Great Depression like damage that was ahead of us at that

:25:21. > :25:24.point. You first have to make sure you land the plane safely so you

:25:25. > :25:29.protect many innocents from the risk of mass unemployment. You bailed out

:25:30. > :25:34.the bankers and the banks that caused the crash, but you refused to

:25:35. > :25:40.bail out the homeowners who were the casualties, why? That is a deep

:25:41. > :25:45.misperception. Think about what happens in financial panics. To

:25:46. > :25:50.protect people from the catastrophe of mass unemployment, huge loss of

:25:51. > :25:52.wealth, business failure, mass foreclosure, you have to do

:25:53. > :25:56.everything necessary, and this is the first obligation to prevent

:25:57. > :26:01.collapse of the financial system. It is like the power grid, if you let

:26:02. > :26:06.the lights go out nothing is possible. We did it not because we

:26:07. > :26:10.had any interest or desire to protect the banks from their

:26:11. > :26:14.mistakes, and we did have a lot of failure. As we learned from the

:26:15. > :26:21.Great Depression and the crises that Folaued, you first had to do that if

:26:22. > :26:26.you had any hope of reducing risk to victims. The US economy hasn't

:26:27. > :26:33.pepped up that much, it is still a pretty anaemic recovery? The thing

:26:34. > :26:36.about crises, after the trauma and the imbalances of the boom, as you

:26:37. > :26:41.come out of it, as you bring down debt, as people save more, as you

:26:42. > :26:46.work through the big overinvestment in housing, as you bring down

:26:47. > :26:51.leverage, that makes growth slower, it is inescapably, it is partly why

:26:52. > :26:57.you need to have a lot of sustained fiscal support as you come out of a

:26:58. > :27:08.crisis. We had two additional head winds, prep mature and -- pram prep

:27:09. > :27:13.mature, and we had a few shocks. The British economy is now growing

:27:14. > :27:17.faster than the American economy and creating a lot more jobs relative to

:27:18. > :27:20.the American economy, why do you think that is? Because of the

:27:21. > :27:24.strategy we adopted, we got our economy growing again very quickly,

:27:25. > :27:28.and if you look at the pace of growth in the United States and how

:27:29. > :27:38.far we have come relative to you know just say the peak before the

:27:39. > :27:41.crisis, we're actually far ahead of most of the other economies that got

:27:42. > :27:45.caught in the crisis. Again, you know, we are still living with a lot

:27:46. > :27:50.of challenges as a country. And it will take a sustained period of

:27:51. > :27:53.better policy outcomes from Washington to help make a difference

:27:54. > :27:58.on those things. I would take our challenges, I would prefer our

:27:59. > :28:02.challenges to those of most of the countries, most of the major

:28:03. > :28:09.economies in the world. Now, he's the rock star French economist whose

:28:10. > :28:13.book Capital In The 21st century became a best seller. Passionate

:28:14. > :28:19.politicians started to devise policies to tackle his thesis that

:28:20. > :28:23.capitalism inevitably led to ever greater inequalities, he has been

:28:24. > :28:26.tipped to win a Nobel Prize for his work. Tonight the statistical basis

:28:27. > :28:30.of what he wrote has been called into question by the Financial

:28:31. > :28:34.Times. Our economics correspondent is here. Do tell us more? I think

:28:35. > :28:44.this book in the last few weeks sort of became the economics equivalent

:28:45. > :28:50.of James Joyce's Uylesses, lots of people talking about it and not

:28:51. > :28:54.everyone reading it. The Financial Times writer has read it and gone

:28:55. > :28:57.back to the sores and asked a lot -- sources and asked a lot of

:28:58. > :29:05.questions. He thinks he has found a lot of biggerors in the book. Some

:29:06. > :29:10.of them are that Mr Picitty has copied sources over and got them

:29:11. > :29:15.wrong, that happens. Some of the errors look a lot more serious, this

:29:16. > :29:20.is the important thing to remember about his Capital in the 21 Century,

:29:21. > :29:24.it was call for a global tax and wealth. And the charitable

:29:25. > :29:31.interpretation is not everyone agreed with that. What most

:29:32. > :29:35.economists said the biggest achievement was assembling the data

:29:36. > :29:39.over three centuries. He claims that wealth inequality has been rising

:29:40. > :29:43.for the last few decades. He took the numbers for Sweden, France and

:29:44. > :29:46.the UK, add them all together and divide them by three, that is using

:29:47. > :29:52.a simple rather than a weighted average, that is something you get

:29:53. > :29:55.marked down for in a GCSE mas exam. That is a problem. What is more

:29:56. > :30:00.interesting for the political debate in Britain is what the FT and Chris

:30:01. > :30:06.Giles is saying about the UK economy. On Picketty's figures the

:30:07. > :30:10.top 10% have been taking more of national wealth since 1980s, it

:30:11. > :30:14.turns out he has used to do that tax records. They are numbers that

:30:15. > :30:19.specifically say they are not for that purpose. If you used office fo

:30:20. > :30:23.national statistics numbers you don't get that. Everyone will be

:30:24. > :30:27.pouring over the data it is out in the public, has he responded? Chris

:30:28. > :30:31.Giles has fired the starting begun and he has responded, he sent a

:30:32. > :30:36.letter to the FT, the stone of the letter is it is a bit defensive. In

:30:37. > :30:39.his defence, the only reason the FT can do that is he put all of that

:30:40. > :30:42.information in the public domain. If he was trying to hide something he

:30:43. > :30:46.has done it badly. What is interesting tonight is a change in

:30:47. > :30:50.tone. He's saying he wants to debate the numbers, there is lots of

:30:51. > :30:55.sources, let's have debate. That is very different from a few weeks ago

:30:56. > :31:00.which is you might agree with me or not but the numbers spook for

:31:01. > :31:04.themselves. As usual the contrary Brits had to be different and voted

:31:05. > :31:08.yesterday in the elections for the European Parliament, most of Europe

:31:09. > :31:11.doesn't vote until Sunday. There has been a euro-wide poll this month

:31:12. > :31:17.which results in a different result from the one likely to be unveiled

:31:18. > :31:28.on Sunday night. One outraged Russian politician even said "it's

:31:29. > :31:38.the end of Europe". This night is dedicated to everyone who believes

:31:39. > :31:48.in a future of peace and freedom. You know who you are. We are unity,

:31:49. > :31:52.and we are unstoppable. She joins me now, welcome. You got a great

:31:53. > :31:56.reception on the night that you won. But wouldn't it be true to say there

:31:57. > :32:02.are many social issues, Europe is quite deeply divided? Yeah, you know

:32:03. > :32:07.this night was a very special one, as you have seen in the little

:32:08. > :32:15.video. It is funny for me because Europe voted in such a tolerant way.

:32:16. > :32:19.For you? For me, and now it seems that a bit has changed. I think it

:32:20. > :32:23.was a big statement at the Eurovision night. But I think it

:32:24. > :32:27.just needs more than one statement. And there were some politician its,

:32:28. > :32:30.particularly in Russia and Turkey, they were very critical, even wrote

:32:31. > :32:34.about your victory, what did you make about that? First I really have

:32:35. > :32:41.to say this is a very big honour for me. Because they think that I'm that

:32:42. > :32:46.powerful to burst a whole coup, so thank you. I can understand that.

:32:47. > :32:54.Since you won and we saw on the night how the audience loved it, but

:32:55. > :33:00.have you been on the wrong end of abuse since, have people been nasty

:33:01. > :33:08.or tweeting or Facebooking? You know I'm used to that, from the first day

:33:09. > :33:13.of my career I had to fight against intolerance. You know most of the

:33:14. > :33:17.people got it now, they understood that this is not a joke, that I'm

:33:18. > :33:22.serious about what I think and say. But there are still people out there

:33:23. > :33:28.who have to change some minds. Are you winning? Well I hope so that we

:33:29. > :33:35.can win. You know I really believe in that we all can change something.

:33:36. > :33:38.So do you think that in some way the votes that you got, people were

:33:39. > :33:45.sending a political statement by voting for you? I think, you know at

:33:46. > :33:54.the end of the day it is a singing contest, so by all mbeliefs and what

:33:55. > :33:58.I said, if I had not that song I wouldn't have won. Besides that it

:33:59. > :34:03.was a political statement. Especially you see it in Russia, I'm

:34:04. > :34:08.number one on the iTunes charts. Even with a leadership that is not

:34:09. > :34:12.very tolerant? Yes. And that's a huge thing for me, actually. It just

:34:13. > :34:18.shows me that there are so many people out there believe in a future

:34:19. > :34:22.without discrimination. What about a political career, have you thought

:34:23. > :34:27.about that? Not really. I'm an artist, I speak out my beliefs, but

:34:28. > :34:32.I'm going to stick with singing. What are you going to do next? We're

:34:33. > :34:37.working on music, obviously, because this is the love of my life. But I

:34:38. > :34:40.will continue talking about my opinions. We are glad you came on

:34:41. > :34:46.and gave them to us tonight. Thank you. That is all we have time for, I

:34:47. > :34:53.will be back with the Sunday Politics 11.00 on BBC One. There

:34:54. > :34:54.will be a BBC Newsnight special on Sunday night, don't miss that, good

:34:55. > :34:58.night.