26/11/2015

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:00:00. > :00:00.and we're devoting our programme tonight to it.

:00:07. > :00:11.The debate over military action in Syria.

:00:12. > :00:16.We have to hit these terrorists in their heartland right now.

:00:17. > :00:19.The Prime Minister set out the case for war.

:00:20. > :00:22.The Commons also heard the case against.

:00:23. > :00:27.Enemies to the right of of us, enemies to the left of it!

:00:28. > :00:32.We'll hear from those who've recently fled

:00:33. > :00:36.Islamic State's hub, the city of Raqqa.

:00:37. > :00:39.And we'll ask, will military action work?

:00:40. > :00:45.There's talk of meltdown in the Labour Party over the issue.

:00:46. > :00:49.Diane Abbott will be with us to set out her view.

:00:50. > :00:54.And we meet this family escaping Syria to come to Scotland.

:00:55. > :01:10.Syria is enduring a civil war that has now run longer than World War I.

:01:11. > :01:14.The country had a population of 22 million before it started.

:01:15. > :01:17.It's now reported to be down to 16.5 million.

:01:18. > :01:24.Seven million of those who remain are internally displaced.

:01:25. > :01:27.more than a quarter of a million people.

:01:28. > :01:29.It was complicated enough before last year,

:01:30. > :01:32.when the self-styled Islamic State declared a caliphate

:01:33. > :01:36.and overran territory that covered much of Syria and Iraq,

:01:37. > :01:41.but there are now clearly bad guys on both sides of the conflict.

:01:42. > :01:43.And the issue is whether Britain should get more involved

:01:44. > :01:47.in the fight against one of them in Syria - Isil.

:01:48. > :01:51.The Prime Minister set out why we should,

:01:52. > :01:53.and MPs had the chance to raise their concerns,

:01:54. > :01:58.We'll take the time to set out the key issues,

:01:59. > :02:00.but let's start by hearing from Allegra Stratton

:02:01. > :02:14.It is a caution, but today, whether or not

:02:15. > :02:18.numbers. The concerns of MPs caution, but today, whether or not

:02:19. > :02:22.the Prime Minister to the house with a 7-point response. There

:02:23. > :02:23.the Prime Minister to the house with 7 points back from Jeremy Corbyn,

:02:24. > :02:31.five points from 7 points back from Jeremy Corbyn,

:02:32. > :02:36.number, the 324 MPs needed to win a vote in Parliament. Statement, the

:02:37. > :02:40.Prime Minister! The Prime Minister set out his strategy, the seven

:02:41. > :02:45.points addressed in turn, why, why ask, why now, the legal basis,

:02:46. > :02:52.allies on the ground, overall strategy, and the end goal. Gogol

:02:53. > :02:55.allies on the ground, overall do face a fundamental threat to our

:02:56. > :02:58.security, we have to hit the securities in

:02:59. > :03:02.security, we have to hit the now. And we must not shirk our

:03:03. > :03:06.responsibility for security or hand it to others. Mr Speaker, throughout

:03:07. > :03:12.our history the United Kingdom has stood up to defend our values and

:03:13. > :03:18.our way of life. We can and we must do so again. Jeremy Corbyn had his

:03:19. > :03:22.seven questions. He later wrote to MPs opposing action, but in the

:03:23. > :03:26.chamber his reluctance was on show. The question must now be when

:03:27. > :03:32.extending the UK bombing from Iraq to Syria is likely to reduce or

:03:33. > :03:35.increase that thread. And whether it will counter or spread the terror

:03:36. > :03:39.campaign Isil is waging in the Middle East. But this man is

:03:40. > :03:43.something of a weather vane - the chair of the committee that said the

:03:44. > :03:48.Prime Minister the seven tests, he said this. It is now my personal

:03:49. > :03:54.view that, on balance, the country would be best served by this house

:03:55. > :03:58.supporting his judgment that the United Kingdom should play a full

:03:59. > :04:05.role in the coalition. But what are the numbers? Two, the UN resolution

:04:06. > :04:09.which many think authorises action, including some sitting behind Jeremy

:04:10. > :04:16.Corbyn, at odds with their leader. Candy confirmed that it does not

:04:17. > :04:21.just permit all necessary steps to be taking? -- can he confirm. But it

:04:22. > :04:27.actually calls upon member states to take all necessary steps. 70,000 is

:04:28. > :04:31.the number of moderate Syrian opposition troops the Prime Minister

:04:32. > :04:36.said would do the heavy lifting. Many doubted this number. The

:04:37. > :04:41.suggestion that there are 70,000 none Islamist moderate, credible

:04:42. > :04:45.ground forces, I have to say, is a revelation to me, and I suspect most

:04:46. > :04:49.other members in this house. The Prime Minister has talked about

:04:50. > :04:51.70,000 Free Syrian Army troops, how many of those are in the north-east

:04:52. > :05:02.of Syria on the front line against Syrian regime forces? And the fate

:05:03. > :05:07.of one man, President Assad. As in 2013, any idea of his removal is

:05:08. > :05:10.highly contentious. Any agreement will have to involve unpleasant

:05:11. > :05:17.people being involved, and not just people who would naturally be our

:05:18. > :05:24.allies, and Assad and other people may have 2 be involved. How will he

:05:25. > :05:29.avoid giving support or appearing to give support to Assad forces and

:05:30. > :05:35.becoming dependent on Assad forces, and how will he avoid that giving

:05:36. > :05:39.succour to Isil in its recruitment in the region? This is a really

:05:40. > :05:42.unusual parliamentary moment. The Prime Minister told us today he will

:05:43. > :05:48.only bring a vote if he thinks he will win it. That takes a lot of the

:05:49. > :05:53.jeopardy out of the vote, he will only bring a vote to this place if

:05:54. > :05:58.he is said and he will not lose. So can he get to that 324 majority?

:05:59. > :06:03.Well, if you imagine there is about 15 Tory rebels, they are cancelled

:06:04. > :06:08.out by 15 Labour rebels coming over to support the Prime Minister. Add

:06:09. > :06:11.in the DUP and top up that number with a few more Labour supporters,

:06:12. > :06:15.and the Prime Minister this evening probably does have his numbers.

:06:16. > :06:18.Let's pick up on some of those themes, Allegra is with me.

:06:19. > :06:20.The debate is clearly within as well as across parties,

:06:21. > :06:23.which brings us to what can only be called turmoil

:06:24. > :06:33.Diggers through what happened today. There was a meeting of the Shadow

:06:34. > :06:36.Cabinet. We expect that Jeremy Corbyn and the Shadow Chancellor

:06:37. > :06:42.will decide they cannot vote. It is, but we understand from this meeting

:06:43. > :06:46.that the majority of the people who spoke did so in favour of strikes,

:06:47. > :06:50.so far so simple, except for the fact that also suggested was the

:06:51. > :06:55.idea that there want there to be an absolute whipped vote in favour of

:06:56. > :06:58.strikes. In favour of strikes, as opposed to what you have heard about

:06:59. > :07:04.so far, a whip to vote against strikes. They were really pushing

:07:05. > :07:07.it. My understanding is, firstly, as you suggest, this would be

:07:08. > :07:11.extraordinary, because we think this would be the first time in recent

:07:12. > :07:15.memory that you have got a leader and his Shadow Chancellor boating to

:07:16. > :07:22.defy a whip, so why would they say that? -- voting macro. There is

:07:23. > :07:26.electable and it, the view that you cannot be the opposition and have

:07:27. > :07:32.heard everything and not doing anything about it. There is the

:07:33. > :07:36.principle of it, people like Vernon Coaker, who just believe it. And

:07:37. > :07:40.then there are those were fed up with Jeremy Corbyn, it is understood

:07:41. > :07:45.that Tom Watson, the deputy leader, who would be right there in the

:07:46. > :07:48.middle. Critically, in terms of this question about a whipped vote,

:07:49. > :07:53.personally I do not think it is a goer. They have until Monday to

:07:54. > :07:59.decide, but I think it is a negotiating position, they really

:08:00. > :08:00.want a free vote, and if they push for the whipped vote, the compromise

:08:01. > :08:02.is something in the middle. Well, the Shadow International

:08:03. > :08:04.Development Secretary, Diane Abbott, is here with me to discuss

:08:05. > :08:06.Labour's position on Syria, but before we do, Jo Cox,

:08:07. > :08:08.another Labour MP, who actually spoke out

:08:09. > :08:11.in support of intervention in the Commons today,

:08:12. > :08:25.joins us via Skype. Just take us through your position

:08:26. > :08:30.on this as of now, Jo. Thanks, just to clarify, I am as yet and decided,

:08:31. > :08:37.but I thought today was an important step forward with the Prime

:08:38. > :08:42.Minister. -- undecided. The Prime Minister presented a compelling case

:08:43. > :08:45.of the threat that Isis bases as in Britain. It is three years to late,

:08:46. > :08:49.it should not have taken a humanitarian crisis of this scale

:08:50. > :08:54.for the attacks in Paris to do that, but I welcome the fact that he had a

:08:55. > :08:58.comprehensive strategy today. My outstanding concerns relate to just

:08:59. > :09:03.how much emphasis the Government will give to dealing with the

:09:04. > :09:06.brutality of Assad, which cannot be separated from any strategy to

:09:07. > :09:11.tackle the horror of Isis. If you come to the view that we should get

:09:12. > :09:16.involved, we should bomb, would you see that as the kind of you that you

:09:17. > :09:21.would divide a party whip on if that was necessary? I think this has to

:09:22. > :09:25.be a matter of conscience for all MPs, and speaking to many colleagues

:09:26. > :09:30.on all sides of the house today, I think many share that view. Yeah, I

:09:31. > :09:36.think all of us have to think first and foremost about how do we keep

:09:37. > :09:40.Britain safe, but secondly how do we ensure that we protect Syrians who,

:09:41. > :09:45.of course, are suffering untold horrors as we speak, and this crisis

:09:46. > :09:50.and our strategy has to be about a political transition in Syria that

:09:51. > :09:55.ultimately ends the conflict. Very briefly, it may be, I don't know,

:09:56. > :09:59.but in your constituency, your local members responsible for running your

:10:00. > :10:02.local party, they may take a different view and come to a

:10:03. > :10:08.different conclusion to you. Do you see it as important to listen to

:10:09. > :10:13.them autistic to your own view? I mean, I have been talking to party

:10:14. > :10:17.members about this issue for many, many months, and there is a

:10:18. > :10:22.divergent views among party members, as amongst the public. I

:10:23. > :10:26.feel that it is my responsibility to listen to that diversity of views,

:10:27. > :10:37.but ultimately take a view as to what I think we'll keep Britain safe

:10:38. > :10:42.from the threat of Isis. Thank you very much indeed. Diane Abbott,

:10:43. > :10:45.should Jo Cox vote with her conscience on this issue? I think

:10:46. > :10:51.what we should all do is look at what will make British people safe,

:10:52. > :10:55.first and foremost, as parliamentarians, that must be our

:10:56. > :11:00.concern, but on the Shadow Cabinet today, which I was actually at! I

:11:01. > :11:06.think it was a bit more balanced than the people who came out and

:11:07. > :11:10.briefed Allegra. We agree that we have to vote to keep Britain safe,

:11:11. > :11:15.we have to go back to our constituencies, talk to friends,

:11:16. > :11:19.families and party members. We have agreed to speak to constituents,

:11:20. > :11:24.friends, families and party members and come back on Monday and take a

:11:25. > :11:28.decision. But this notion of the Shadow Cabinet as some kind of

:11:29. > :11:31.workers' collective, which can decide the whipping, I have been in

:11:32. > :11:36.Parliament for 28 years, I have never heard that, that would be an

:11:37. > :11:41.innovation! Who decides which way it is whipped? You know as well as I

:11:42. > :11:45.do, the leader consults with colleagues and the whips' office,

:11:46. > :11:49.very important, but it is the leader, so how is the Shadow Cabinet

:11:50. > :11:55.going to decide that?! Does everybody agree on that? As far as I

:11:56. > :12:07.know, there is no president macro for the Shadow Cabinet trying to

:12:08. > :12:12.throw down their leader. -- precedent. The YouGov polls show

:12:13. > :12:16.that 70% of party members are against bombing. But it shows that

:12:17. > :12:20.59% of the public are in favour, so which should members listen to,

:12:21. > :12:25.membership of the party or the public out there? The point I am

:12:26. > :12:30.making is that there has been a lot of talk of split in the party, but

:12:31. > :12:37.the party members and Jeremy are united, the issue is with MPs. But

:12:38. > :12:40.aren't MPs responsible to voters? We are all responsible to the

:12:41. > :12:44.electorate, we all have a responsibility, as I said at the

:12:45. > :12:48.beginning, to keep the British people safe. I disagree with Jo, I

:12:49. > :12:58.do not think David Cameron has made the case. Who are the ground forces

:12:59. > :13:00.supposed to be? The real danger, and I do not think there is public

:13:01. > :13:03.support for this, as we will get drawn into a land war in Syria.

:13:04. > :13:07.There will have to be a free vote, won't there? Is it possible that the

:13:08. > :13:11.leader of the party can vote a different way to the foreign

:13:12. > :13:16.spokesman of the party, Hilary Benn, on an issue of going to war, and for

:13:17. > :13:19.both of them to stay in their posts? Many people will think it is not

:13:20. > :13:25.conceivable, Hilary Benn and Jeremy Corbyn to be imposed and vote on

:13:26. > :13:28.different sides on this. Many people think it is not conceivable that the

:13:29. > :13:36.Shadow Cabinet can decide the whipping. We will come together on

:13:37. > :13:38.Monday and arrive at a unified position in the interests of the

:13:39. > :13:41.British people. Jeremy Corbyn said today, we are going to come back on

:13:42. > :13:45.Monday, have a discussion and come to a collective view, but the view I

:13:46. > :13:48.have, and I will only accept, is that I will not vote for military

:13:49. > :13:55.action. That is not very polite, is it? He is showing leadership, making

:13:56. > :13:59.his position clear. When the Shadow Cabinet members said, what a

:14:00. > :14:04.surprise, no, he said it at the beginning of the meeting. You said

:14:05. > :14:09.earlier that this is a very unusual situation, I have been here two

:14:10. > :14:09.times before, when the drums of war are beating

:14:10. > :14:16.times before, when the drums of war there seems to be this irresistible

:14:17. > :14:20.pressure for British intervention. I have been here before, I never

:14:21. > :14:22.thought I would be here for a third time of asking. I do not believe

:14:23. > :14:26.that bombing without a time of asking. I do not believe

:14:27. > :14:30.diplomatic strategy, without troops on the ground will actually cut of

:14:31. > :14:49.the head of the snake that is Isis and bring peace to Syria.

:14:50. > :14:56.there have to be boots on the ground to complement any bombing,

:14:57. > :14:58.The Prime Minister says we can't wait

:14:59. > :15:01.for the politics to fall into place, we must take action now,

:15:02. > :15:03.but he agrees bombing won't work alone.

:15:04. > :15:05.But as we've said, the conflict is complicated -

:15:06. > :15:07.countries more and less friendly to us are involved,

:15:08. > :15:10.united in hating Isil, implacably opposed on the issue of Assad,

:15:11. > :15:15.or on the Kurds, or on Sunni-Shia tensions.

:15:16. > :15:53.Mark Urban is here to explain some of the intricacies.

:15:54. > :16:15.Most of Syria, it's the Assad army or one of the rebel groups.

:16:16. > :16:19.David Cameron today talked about 70,000 moderate rebels.

:16:20. > :16:23.Experts don't disagree wildly on the number,

:16:24. > :16:31.rather it's dozens of non-jihadist groups

:16:32. > :16:34.with politics from the fundamentalist to democrats,

:16:35. > :16:42.Foreign forces might play all sorts of roles,

:16:43. > :16:47.including sealing Turkey's border with Syria.

:16:48. > :16:50.Without foreign ground forces, pressure will be limited,

:16:51. > :17:04.Is there any cause for optimism on military action?

:17:05. > :17:10.Well, just recently there's actually been one important

:17:11. > :17:14.development, and that's the battle to hit Islamic State's finances

:17:15. > :17:18.by attacking its income from clandestine oil exports.

:17:19. > :17:24.The trade is carried by tanker trucks that sell oil and

:17:25. > :17:27.refined products to both the Syrian government and Turkish middlemen.

:17:28. > :17:29.Russia has recently launched air strikes

:17:30. > :17:35.So in recent days, the Americans have also been

:17:36. > :17:41.hitting the tanker convoys and oil markets,

:17:42. > :17:43.strafing and blowing up tankers in this footage.

:17:44. > :17:45.They've actually got rather competitive with the Russians,

:17:46. > :17:58.But Islamic State still has the options of taxing local people

:17:59. > :18:01.more heavily and raising more from sympathisers abroad.

:18:02. > :18:14.So what is the key, what are the keys to moving forward? You could go

:18:15. > :18:17.for an internationally negotiated deal leading to a UN resolution,

:18:18. > :18:19.international peacekeeping forces. You might call that

:18:20. > :18:21.the Bosnian model. regional consensus,

:18:22. > :18:30.simply isn't there. This week we've seen

:18:31. > :18:34.the sharp escalation of tension between two key players -

:18:35. > :18:36.Russia and Turkey. advanced long-range

:18:37. > :18:43.anti-aircraft missiles at its base in Syria

:18:44. > :18:47.that could be used to shoot down Turkish fighters if there was

:18:48. > :19:05.a repeat of Tuesday's incident. Although there has been some talk

:19:06. > :19:09.through the so-called Vienna progress, unless you can get Assad

:19:10. > :19:13.backed by Russia, the rebel groups backed by the Gulf states, Turkey,

:19:14. > :19:17.unless you can get them closer together, you know, there isn't

:19:18. > :19:22.going to be a meaningful change in the situation. We know Russia says

:19:23. > :19:24.it is hitting IS, but so many of the strikes have been against the

:19:25. > :19:29.moderates that David Cameron was talking about today, and frankly,

:19:30. > :19:33.unless you crack that central conundrum of Assad and the rebel

:19:34. > :19:37.groups, people will carry on supporting IS, and everything

:19:38. > :19:39.America does, and by extension Britain, will be peripheral to that

:19:40. > :19:42.central question. Thanks, Mark.

:19:43. > :19:44.Now in the Commons today, the intervention of one man

:19:45. > :19:45.was important. He is Crispin Blunt, chair of the

:19:46. > :19:48.Foreign Affairs Select Committee. His committee had written a report

:19:49. > :19:50.sceptical of military action, but Mr Blunt now says his

:19:51. > :19:53.reservations have been dealt with and he is in support,

:19:54. > :20:03.and he's here with us. Good evening to you. This sounds

:20:04. > :20:07.like a morass, you were sceptical, you said there had to be some kind

:20:08. > :20:10.of provisional political arrangement to provide boots on the ground, to

:20:11. > :20:17.provide something to fill the gap if you get rid of Isil. What has

:20:18. > :20:20.changed? What has satisfied you? Vienna has changed things. If you

:20:21. > :20:25.look at the conclusions of the Vienna meeting on the 14th of

:20:26. > :20:28.November, you can see the route to a transition process, and the

:20:29. > :20:32.significance of Vienna is that you have got all the key countries

:20:33. > :20:36.around the table, the Iranians and the Saudis, a process led by the

:20:37. > :20:39.Americans and the Russians. And the key elements to that agreement

:20:40. > :20:44.outlined the future type of state that Syria will be, it outlines the

:20:45. > :20:48.political process, the electoral process that will happen at the end

:20:49. > :20:52.of it, ensuring that Syrians who have been displaced are going to be

:20:53. > :20:56.part of the electorate. It outlines who will be supervising that

:20:57. > :21:00.process. Critically, amongst that, it commits the countries around the

:21:01. > :21:04.table, all of whom have different clients in this game, to bring their

:21:05. > :21:09.clients to the table. You can see the need for that. The Russians need

:21:10. > :21:12.an out, given what has happened in Turkey. I hear what you are saying,

:21:13. > :21:16.but the key thing the Prime Minister is saying is you have to have this

:21:17. > :21:21.all in place, but you cannot wait for that to be delivered, we have to

:21:22. > :21:25.shoot now, bomb now, fill all of that in later. And what we know is

:21:26. > :21:31.that the British contribution to air strikes in Syria is going to be

:21:32. > :21:34.marginal to all of this. The containment and the degrading of

:21:35. > :21:38.Isil within Syria is happening at the hands of the French, the

:21:39. > :21:43.Americans and the Russians. But why wouldn't we wait and see whether the

:21:44. > :21:46.politics fits into place? The question for the United Kingdom is

:21:47. > :21:52.whether it can be more influential on the politics as a full member of

:21:53. > :21:55.the coalition, or as a non-belligerent in Syria. That is

:21:56. > :21:59.the hypothesis, if we are a full part of the coalition, we will have

:22:00. > :22:05.more influence over that political process? That is one of the

:22:06. > :22:09.questions, and I would agree it is a marginal call. Having spoken to the

:22:10. > :22:13.Saudis, for example, and the MRI these in the course of the visit my

:22:14. > :22:20.committee has made in the last week, they are very keen that we should be

:22:21. > :22:24.in that coalition. -- the Emiratis. There is an element of our European

:22:25. > :22:28.and American allies saying, if you are not fully in this, we're not

:22:29. > :22:31.going to listen to what you have to say. There is also the zoo of

:22:32. > :22:37.solidarity with the French in the light of Paris, and our leaders feel

:22:38. > :22:40.that quite strongly. -- the issue. Since it is a marginal call, my

:22:41. > :22:45.belief is the House of Commons should give them the benefit of the

:22:46. > :22:49.doubt. Isil has got to be defeated, that is the bottom line. What

:22:50. > :22:53.happens if the judgment you are making that Vienna will lead to

:22:54. > :22:58.something does not happen, and other great morass, bombing people, a lot

:22:59. > :23:02.of enemies fighting around them? There are a lot of fundamental now

:23:03. > :23:05.widely Vienna process is going to produce something. The principal

:23:06. > :23:10.reason is that the Russians have now got themselves engaged, and they now

:23:11. > :23:15.need an out, otherwise they are going to be left in this... But

:23:16. > :23:18.there must be a risk that be and it doesn't lead anywhere, the risk of

:23:19. > :23:24.bombing first and waiting to see if it delivers. -- Vienna. The bombing

:23:25. > :23:28.is happening anyway, so the British role in the bombing is at the

:23:29. > :23:32.margins, there is a little bit of military utility for the Government

:23:33. > :23:37.to claim, which if it exists. If it is made too much of, it is an

:23:38. > :23:41.argument carrying too much weight, but there is some weight in that

:23:42. > :23:46.argument about the use of particular skills of the RAF and the Brimstone

:23:47. > :23:49.missile and intelligence acquisition kits they have got as part of the

:23:50. > :23:54.coalition. But the principle is you is about how Britain can be taken

:23:55. > :23:59.most seriously as a member of the coalition. -- the principal issue.

:24:00. > :24:06.One last one, we heard today of the 70,000 non-jihadi fighters, Free

:24:07. > :24:10.Syrian Army fighters. Could you name the leader of that group of

:24:11. > :24:15.fighters? Voice who do we phone? It is the current president of the

:24:16. > :24:20.Syrian National Coalition, that is the political body. So of one of

:24:21. > :24:24.them is breaking the Geneva Convention, we call him and say, can

:24:25. > :24:28.you deal with it? There is a process going on next week as the Saudis are

:24:29. > :24:32.holding a meeting of all the Syrian opposition groups to try to create a

:24:33. > :24:36.representative body for all these Syrian opposition groups and entered

:24:37. > :24:41.these talks with the Syrian government. That is actually another

:24:42. > :24:46.important part of the process, it shows that the political transition

:24:47. > :24:50.is active, there is a plan, and you can see a route to it because

:24:51. > :24:55.everybody's interests are in getting this done. If I can see the route

:24:56. > :24:59.and the Prime Minister can see the route, and he took a lot of time to

:25:00. > :25:02.answer my committee's questions, then my judgment is we need to give

:25:03. > :25:07.him the benefit of the doubt, because this is the bottom line - we

:25:08. > :25:11.have to take control of the territory from Isil. We are going to

:25:12. > :25:13.discuss this with some people who have local views if they agree.

:25:14. > :25:16.Crispin Blunt, thank you. We hate to call the city of Raqqa

:25:17. > :25:18.in Syria the capital of the Islamic State,

:25:19. > :25:26.as IS is not a state. by talking to those

:25:27. > :25:32.who've managed to get out. Raqqa has been one of the main

:25:33. > :25:40.targets of coalition air strikes. The city is touted by Isis

:25:41. > :25:44.as the almost Utopian capital Tonight, though, we speak to

:25:45. > :25:49.refugees who fled the city who say At first people thought that Isis

:25:50. > :25:56.was their saviour, but within a month

:25:57. > :25:59.everything changed. You can see a beheaded corpse

:26:00. > :26:04.at every other street corner. The eastern city, believed to have

:26:05. > :26:07.a population of around 400,000, was the first provincial capital

:26:08. > :26:13.to fall to initially moderate rebel forces before Isis took it over

:26:14. > :26:19.from them in late 2013. They turned the city's landmarks

:26:20. > :26:22.into symbols of brutality. The once bustling plaza

:26:23. > :26:25.around the clock tower is now Roundabouts are at times filled

:26:26. > :26:32.with the decapitated heads of opponents, and churches

:26:33. > :26:37.like this one have been taken over. The city has also been pounded

:26:38. > :26:41.by air strikes by Assad, by the western-led coalition,

:26:42. > :26:46.and most recently by the Russians. Refugees who fled the city

:26:47. > :26:48.in the last few weeks sent us videos

:26:49. > :26:51.describing their experiences. They have had to hide

:26:52. > :26:55.their identities. whereas the Russians

:26:56. > :27:01.mainly targeted civilians. Isis hide in underground shelters

:27:02. > :27:11.with their families. A few went to places like Palmyra,

:27:12. > :27:17.but others stayed in Raqqa. Isis have trumpeted their medical

:27:18. > :27:19.and education facilities, but the refugees say Isis isn't even

:27:20. > :27:28.providing them with the basics. Electricity and water were

:27:29. > :27:37.only available two hours a day But once Isis took control, we only

:27:38. > :27:41.got half an hour of electricity a day and water every

:27:42. > :27:43.couple of days. Food is really expensive and you

:27:44. > :27:46.have to wait at the bakery all day just to get

:27:47. > :27:48.a loaf of bread. Isis control large parts of

:27:49. > :27:54.the east of Syria around Raqqa, but Kurdish and moderate Syrian rebels

:27:55. > :27:56.have been advancing in the north, They now control Ain Issa,

:27:57. > :28:04.30 miles north of Raqqa, and there are rumours

:28:05. > :28:07.of an assault on Raqqa. But Kurdish forces have been accused

:28:08. > :28:11.of atrocities against local Arabs and are unlikely to be welcomed

:28:12. > :28:16.in the city. We're between a rock

:28:17. > :28:21.and a hard place. they've stepped up their control

:28:22. > :28:26.of the city. We were told it is now much

:28:27. > :28:29.harder to leave Raqqa and hardly anyone

:28:30. > :28:32.can use the internet. How Isis rule their capital

:28:33. > :28:35.could prove their undoing, but no-one knows

:28:36. > :29:05.who will replace them. So how might life there advance

:29:06. > :29:07.if Isil were displaced? the Chief of Staff to the President

:29:08. > :29:12.of the Syrian Opposition Council, from Moscow, Katya Mavrenkova,

:29:13. > :29:14.an editor at Russia Today. And here in the studio

:29:15. > :29:16.is Hassan Hassan, author of Isis:

:29:17. > :29:23.Inside the Army of Terror. First of all, what is your view

:29:24. > :29:30.about the decision Britain is making? Well, there is a special

:29:31. > :29:36.importance for a British role in Syria, because the UK supports the

:29:37. > :29:42.struggle for freedom and democracy. That is why the Syrian people, I

:29:43. > :29:50.think that they will welcome British involvement in Syria. Catania, how

:29:51. > :29:56.about you? Well, if you expect me to speak on behalf of of the

:29:57. > :30:00.government, they have made it clear they would welcome for efforts to

:30:01. > :30:04.fight Isil, whether it would be the US, the UK, and the Russian

:30:05. > :30:11.government has been calling for a grand coalition to fight against

:30:12. > :30:17.Isis. OK, agreement there, Hassan, are you in favour? I think the UK

:30:18. > :30:21.should be involved in the campaign, firstly because it helps the UK to

:30:22. > :30:25.be more involved on the ground, and that helps in practical things like

:30:26. > :30:35.gathering intelligence, but also to be involved, be part of, you know,

:30:36. > :30:49.any solution, any political solution to the conflict. So you all agree

:30:50. > :30:54.that we should get involved. Do you think if that meant Assad staying in

:30:55. > :31:00.power for a few extra months you would be happy with that? If Assad

:31:01. > :31:05.stays in power, no problem in Syria would be solved. The war will

:31:06. > :31:10.continue. Assad is actually the start of this problem, that he waged

:31:11. > :31:17.a war against the people and he continues with that war until now.

:31:18. > :31:25.Assad also is buying oil from Isis, helping the finance of Isis.

:31:26. > :31:36.Yesterday the US Treasury department made sanctions against some of the

:31:37. > :31:42.regime figures that they are financing Isis by buying oil from

:31:43. > :31:47.them. Assad is a major cause of the humanitarian problem in Syria, as

:31:48. > :31:51.well as the rise and expansion of Isis. The Syrian people themselves,

:31:52. > :31:58.they cannot fight Isis. They are the boots on the ground actually. They

:31:59. > :32:01.cannotifies Isis effectively unless they protect themselves and they are

:32:02. > :32:06.also protected from the Assad bombing against them. OK, so let me

:32:07. > :32:12.interrupt there. Assad has to go. You think Assad has to go. What

:32:13. > :32:18.about Russia, Katia. Is Russia going to be able to sit down with Monze,

:32:19. > :32:21.are and come to some kind of agreement, or not, on what you have

:32:22. > :32:26.just heard? Before answering that question I would like to go back

:32:27. > :32:29.briefly to your previous question. As I said, Russia would welcome

:32:30. > :32:35.joining efforts with anyone who would like to fight against Isis.

:32:36. > :32:39.Although Roisin assists that bombing other countries like, say, Syria and

:32:40. > :32:44.Iraq should only be happening with the permission of the Government in

:32:45. > :32:50.those countries. As you know, Russia is carrying out its campaign in

:32:51. > :32:54.Syria after the invitation of the legitimate Syrian Government, Bashar

:32:55. > :32:59.al-Assad, whereas the US is doing it without the permission of the

:33:00. > :33:02.Government whatsoever. They would welcome only if they got an

:33:03. > :33:06.agreement from the Syrian Government. As for Bashar al-Assad

:33:07. > :33:10.staying in power, in contrast to what the West has been accusing

:33:11. > :33:14.Russia of, supporting President Assad and trying to keep him in

:33:15. > :33:18.power, Russia has been saying all along that it is not Russia's goal

:33:19. > :33:22.to keep Bashar al-Assad in power. Russia has been saying it is up to

:33:23. > :33:28.the Syrians to decide their own future. Like the previous speaker

:33:29. > :33:33.was saying, there is a fight against Isis currently going on in Syria.

:33:34. > :33:37.Just like President Putin said, combining efforts with those forces

:33:38. > :33:41.who are fighting Isis on the ground is key to all those coalition

:33:42. > :33:45.efforts. Right, everybody agrees, combining the forces is very

:33:46. > :33:51.important, but it is whether you can agree on the terms on which you are

:33:52. > :33:55.going to do it. Hassan, do you think the Vienna process can get these two

:33:56. > :34:02.to agree enough that we get a joint Army, if you like? I don't think so,

:34:03. > :34:06.and I think the disproportional focus on the Vienna talks and a

:34:07. > :34:12.political process to deal with this situation in Damascus is in many

:34:13. > :34:17.ways a waste of time. Because we are wasting so many opportunities of

:34:18. > :34:20.doing things on the ground elsewhere in the country that could engineer a

:34:21. > :34:26.situation... Sorry, who on the ground? Who is going to do it on the

:34:27. > :34:37.ground if it is not the Syrian Government Army and the Free Syrian

:34:38. > :34:44.Army? There are plenty of opportunities. I had a Skype call

:34:45. > :34:49.with one of the commanders who was driven out of eastern Syria because

:34:50. > :34:53.of Isis. Instead of going to hang out in Turkey or go as refugees

:34:54. > :34:58.elsewhere outside the country, what are they doing now? They are

:34:59. > :35:02.fighting Isis on the front lines in it lip, Aleppo and southern Syria.

:35:03. > :35:07.These are the forces that you can work with. There are plenty of those

:35:08. > :35:14.forces. OK, that's a different plan from the one Crispin Blunt was

:35:15. > :35:17.telling us about. Monze, are, this conflict seemed to have been dogged

:35:18. > :35:24.by the fact that there hasn't been agreement on who is the worst. Who

:35:25. > :35:30.is the worst enemy for you, Assad or ice is? They are both committing

:35:31. > :35:36.crimes against humanity. They are both committing war crimes. And they

:35:37. > :35:40.are both killing the Syrian people and oppressing the Syrian people

:35:41. > :35:46.every day. So for the Syrians they are both the enemies and think have

:35:47. > :35:51.to be destroyed for the Syrian people. But the biggest fight the

:35:52. > :35:54.Syrian people are having now is with Assad. Assad is attacking

:35:55. > :36:01.everywhere, bombing the cities, bombing the villages. They are the

:36:02. > :36:05.Iranian Revolutionary Guard and militia are helping on the ground.

:36:06. > :36:11.The Russians are helping. By the way the Russians are not bombing Isis

:36:12. > :36:18.but the moderate rebels. They are helping Assad. So this war, the war

:36:19. > :36:21.that Assad is waging against the people is very oppressive on the

:36:22. > :36:28.people much more than what Isis is doing. As for the enemies, they are

:36:29. > :36:32.both enemies and they have to go. I'm so sorry, I'm afraid we are out

:36:33. > :36:37.of time. I thank you all very much indeed. We are going to see how

:36:38. > :36:39.complicated it is to get political agreement.

:36:40. > :36:41.We've heard a lot of argument this evening.

:36:42. > :36:44.But a reminder now of how the consequences of the suffering

:36:45. > :36:47.A second charter plane full of vulnerable refugees

:36:48. > :36:49.arrived today, this time in Newcastle.

:36:50. > :36:52.David Cameron has offered 20,000 places over the next five years -

:36:53. > :36:54.we are still early in the process of taking people in.

:36:55. > :36:57.You may or may not know that Newsnight is following the fortunes

:36:58. > :37:01.Katie Razzall went to Jordan to meet one of the families who

:37:02. > :37:04.reached Newcastle today, and she's also caught up with another family

:37:05. > :37:32.It's their first week in a strange many places to visit. New tastes,

:37:33. > :37:40.new smells. For a family who fled Syria for Jordan and now have a new

:37:41. > :37:45.home in Scotland. Tar-tan. Tartan. Having first met the family as they

:37:46. > :37:49.prepared to leave Jordan, 000 they are on British soil, and here on the

:37:50. > :38:03.Scottish streets what little English they know is being tested. Is it a

:38:04. > :38:07.relief to be here? For now to protect them the Scottish council is

:38:08. > :38:17.supporting the family won't let us film them at home. So we took them

:38:18. > :38:22.on their first day trip to Glasgow. They want to record everything. A

:38:23. > :38:27.family all too aware of their luck. Deemed vulnerable enough for

:38:28. > :38:52.resettlement by UNHCR, Britain offered refuge.

:38:53. > :39:00.Nourallah needs a jaw operation. It was shadow nerd a rocket attack on

:39:01. > :39:08.their Syrian home. Laith and Bayhas are his nephews. Their father died

:39:09. > :39:12.in Syria. This family's life won't begin properly until residency

:39:13. > :39:18.papers come through. Then school, doctors appointments and language

:39:19. > :39:25.classes will begin. What did you learn? Ship... Monkey. Crocodile.

:39:26. > :39:30.But even a good day is tingeed with sadness. It is complicated but her

:39:31. > :39:43.first children by her first marriage are stuck in Syria.

:39:44. > :39:51.We took the family to a Glasgow institution, the ubiquitous

:39:52. > :39:54.restaurant for Scottish fare, in line with their religious

:39:55. > :40:05.traditions. Vegetarian haggis there. When you first arrived here, what

:40:06. > :40:19.struck you? How does it compare with your old home in Jordan? Even in the

:40:20. > :40:24.safety of the UK, the adult don't want to talk about Syrian politics,

:40:25. > :40:28.about air strikes or regime change. Fearful for relatives still in

:40:29. > :40:32.Syria. But I wanted to know how the Paris attacks and changing attitudes

:40:33. > :41:04.to refugees affected them as they left Jordan.

:41:05. > :41:11.When we spoke in Amman, I remember you said to me, probably you

:41:12. > :41:15.wouldn't be able to go back to Syria and that Britain would be your new

:41:16. > :41:20.home. First impressions, it is early days, but do you still feel that

:41:21. > :41:38.this is a place you'll be able to call home now you're here?

:41:39. > :41:43.Many Syrian refugees don't want to leave the Middle East. But five

:41:44. > :41:48.years of war means resettlement is their only option. Like another

:41:49. > :42:00.Syrian family, I met in Jordan, who arrived in the UK today. Marwan, the

:42:01. > :42:12.head of the household, showed me around their Jordanian home. They

:42:13. > :42:18.had so little, no money for medicine for Marwan's health problems, or to

:42:19. > :42:28.pay for school. Goodbye... Goodbye. One boy... One boy. Nour is eight,

:42:29. > :42:33.his sister is partially deaf, and she is 16. The boys, Omar and

:42:34. > :43:23.Mohammed, they fled their home west of Damascus more than two years ago.

:43:24. > :43:57.Despite it all, until recently they still believed they would go home.

:43:58. > :44:03.They may never see Syria again. But as they left Jordan for Newcastle

:44:04. > :44:08.this morning there was optimism too for a better future. We hope to meet

:44:09. > :44:19.them again soon as they begin their new life. We will be staying in

:44:20. > :44:21.touch with the families. Emily will be in the chair tomorrow, Black

:44:22. > :44:35.Friday. Have a very good night. Good evening. After a mild day on

:44:36. > :44:38.Thursday, Friday brings us a transition to much cooler conditions

:44:39. > :44:41.from the north-west. We've got this active cold front pushing in

:44:42. > :44:42.initially across Northern