09/08/2017

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:00:07. > :00:09.North Korea versus the USA - the language on both sides

:00:10. > :00:18.But is there any logic to actual military action by either side?

:00:19. > :00:21.The world woke up to what felt like a serious prospect that we'll

:00:22. > :00:25.However, we may take heart from the fact that there

:00:26. > :00:32.One of the problems Trump faces is, as belligerent and as inflammatory

:00:33. > :00:34.as his rhetoric gets, it's actually pretty

:00:35. > :00:40.We'll ask if strong words have value, or raise the chance of some

:00:41. > :00:54.It was like pulling teeth to get information, but European expenses

:00:55. > :00:57.were published today. Do they tell us anything we need to know?

:00:58. > :01:01.# Ar ben waun Tredegar mae ffrwythau o bob rhyw

:01:02. > :01:06.Is it Government's job to promote it,

:01:07. > :01:09.and is it a help or hindrance to the nation?

:01:10. > :01:11.And we look at electro-fishing, a way of disturbing bottom-dwelling

:01:12. > :01:22.Yes, it's like pins and needles in your fingers.

:01:23. > :01:35.Hello, President Trump didn't just shock the world last night,

:01:36. > :01:39.with his words of fire and fury aimed at North Korea,

:01:40. > :01:41.he also shocked some of his advisors apparently,

:01:42. > :01:44.as he was ad libbing rather than giving agreed lines.

:01:45. > :01:47.That's according to the New York Times.

:01:48. > :01:50.But even before the President had spoken, North Korea had

:01:51. > :01:53.issued its own threat, saying the country is carefully

:01:54. > :02:01.examining a plan to strike the American territory of Guam.

:02:02. > :02:02.Just more words on their side, of course.

:02:03. > :02:05.At one level, you might worry that the words will run out,

:02:06. > :02:10.But you might ask why it's just words, and not weapons yet?

:02:11. > :02:13.Could it be that both sides know their own limitations in any

:02:14. > :02:25.Our diplomatic editor Mark Urban has been working through the logic.

:02:26. > :02:33.American carriers exercising off Korea. But these pictures were taken

:02:34. > :02:37.in May, and none of them are there now. The President seems out of sync

:02:38. > :02:43.with his military and his top diplomats. Today, he emphasised the

:02:44. > :02:46.defensive nature of US precautions. I think what the President was

:02:47. > :02:50.reaffirming his that the United States has the capability to fully

:02:51. > :02:55.defend itself from any attack and defend our allies. And we will do

:02:56. > :03:01.so. The American people should sleep well at night. Tillerson is in tune

:03:02. > :03:05.with generations of American statesman who stuck to Teddy

:03:06. > :03:11.Roosevelt's Maxim, speak softly and carry a big stick. But one reason he

:03:12. > :03:15.can be sanguine is because America's stick is not being brandished right

:03:16. > :03:20.now. America is not in a position to strike. It is only carrier in the

:03:21. > :03:27.area of Korea docked in Japan at the end of an operational tour. Bombers

:03:28. > :03:31.in Guam may have got the North's attention, but while the US has a

:03:32. > :03:34.feud is aircraft in range that could mount a limited strike, none of the

:03:35. > :03:39.broader preparations you would expect are visible. I don't think

:03:40. > :03:47.there is a credible military option for the US to try to suppress North

:03:48. > :03:51.Korea's nuclear programme. It would invite an unthinkable retaliation.

:03:52. > :03:55.To think that Seoul, South Korea's capital, is in artillery range, to

:03:56. > :03:59.think that US bases are in the cross hairs, to think that allies, who are

:04:00. > :04:04.very nervous at the moment, are also in the cross hairs. One of the

:04:05. > :04:07.problems R-Truth faces is, as belligerent and inflammatory as the

:04:08. > :04:13.rhetoric gets, it is pretty difficult to use the stick. And

:04:14. > :04:19.America's stick, even when brandished, is not as big as it used

:04:20. > :04:24.to be. It could still strike North Korea, and hard. But poor aircraft

:04:25. > :04:30.availability, reduced stocks of bombs and missiles, mean readiness

:04:31. > :04:35.for a major conflict is poor. Add to that the vast size of North Korea's

:04:36. > :04:38.Armed Forces, presenting hundreds of thousands of possible targets, many

:04:39. > :04:44.pointing to the south, America's ability to control any ensuing

:04:45. > :04:49.escalation is limited. Its Defence Secretary has said as much. General

:04:50. > :04:57.Mattis has been public in the statements he has made about just

:04:58. > :05:03.how significant the military risks would be going forward with any kind

:05:04. > :05:11.of pre-emptive strike. He has made those statements on the record and

:05:12. > :05:18.he has talked about just how brutal any kind of military activity would

:05:19. > :05:23.be, how close Seoul is, for example. So, bereft of a big stick, or one

:05:24. > :05:29.that could be run dished credibly, anyway, you think the President

:05:30. > :05:38.might moderate his tone. -- brandished credibly. North Korea's

:05:39. > :05:43.threats to the United States, if they make more, they will be met

:05:44. > :05:53.with fire and fury, like the world has never seen. Why carry on with

:05:54. > :05:57.such language? Maybe he is playing hard cop to China's soft? But North

:05:58. > :06:02.Korea's nukes have changed calculation is. The idea that North

:06:03. > :06:06.Korea's bomb is a reality, that soon it will have the ability to deliver

:06:07. > :06:09.that bomb across the world, the idea that North Korea identifies that

:06:10. > :06:14.bomb with its own survival and will not give it up voluntarily, it is a

:06:15. > :06:18.simple idea, but one of the most difficult to stomach, because it

:06:19. > :06:21.offends the whole notion of America's uncontested global

:06:22. > :06:25.leadership and its deep commitment to inhibit in the proliferation of

:06:26. > :06:29.what it sees as rogue states. With North Korea now threatening a US

:06:30. > :06:34.base in NICE, the war of words may have taken on a life of its own.

:06:35. > :06:36.Some de-escalation, at least verbal, is now vital.

:06:37. > :06:39.We'll assess the North Korean threat shortly, but it has

:06:40. > :06:43.focused attention on Guam - for unwelcome reasons.

:06:44. > :06:45.Guam itself is a petite, attractive, island in the Pacific,

:06:46. > :06:48.around 6000 miles off the coast of California.

:06:49. > :06:51.It's only about 25 miles long, and four miles wide

:06:52. > :06:59.Almost a third of it is actually occupied by the US military.

:07:00. > :07:00.The population of about 160,000 has US citizenship,

:07:01. > :07:04.but Guam is not a US state - it was nabbed by the Americans

:07:05. > :07:09.Apart from US military, tourism is one of its main

:07:10. > :07:14.industries, for reasons that are quite understandable.

:07:15. > :07:16.The territory does not get to vote in US elections,

:07:17. > :07:19.but it does have a non-voting member of the House of Representatives.

:07:20. > :07:22.She is Madeleine Bordallo, and I spoke to her earlier

:07:23. > :07:28.about Donald Trump's handling of North Korea.

:07:29. > :07:36.I'm one of these where I think we can solve

:07:37. > :07:41.Coming on with harsh words like the President did,

:07:42. > :07:44.it's very dangerous to go through something like that.

:07:45. > :07:47.I understand that maybe the North Korean leader did not even

:07:48. > :07:50.understand exactly what "fire and fury" means.

:07:51. > :07:59.I feel that we've been through threats with North Korea before.

:08:00. > :08:02.Our former President, Obama, had to deal diplomatically with this

:08:03. > :08:07.leader and other countries in the region.

:08:08. > :08:15.And, you know, people say, well, people are calm on Guam.

:08:16. > :08:20.We have a great number of military bases.

:08:21. > :08:23.We have two major military bases on Guam and we have a large

:08:24. > :08:31.We have the THAAD missile defence operation there,

:08:32. > :08:34.which I was able to get a couple of years ago when these

:08:35. > :08:41.So, we've been told by the military, by Secretary Mattis and Admiral

:08:42. > :08:45.Harris that they were going to take good care of Guam if anything

:08:46. > :08:54.So, I'm putting my faith in that the military will take good

:08:55. > :08:59.You say Jim Mattis and the others, the defence establishment,

:09:00. > :09:01.say to you on Guam, look, we'll protect you,

:09:02. > :09:06.Not quite a part of the United States, but a territory

:09:07. > :09:12.Well, for one thing, you say we're not part

:09:13. > :09:16.But I feel, even though we're not, we're an insular area,

:09:17. > :09:24.They have said, well, they're ramping up their military activity.

:09:25. > :09:32.And now, already, we are hearing that they're beginning to ramp up.

:09:33. > :09:35.And when they spoke to me, they always tell me, you know,

:09:36. > :09:39.of our close proximity to North Korea.

:09:40. > :09:42.Our island would be a very strategic area to ramp up military

:09:43. > :09:50.THAAD, that missile protection system, does that work?

:09:51. > :09:55.Does it give you a sense of security?

:09:56. > :10:00.It's giving me the sense of security.

:10:01. > :10:02.They've been through a number of tests and briefings,

:10:03. > :10:05.and I understand that every one of the briefings has

:10:06. > :10:13.You say you don't like this kind of tough talking that's going on.

:10:14. > :10:16.I wonder what you think the Americans should be doing?

:10:17. > :10:19.Because it is a problem, and it is going to be difficult

:10:20. > :10:24.Indeed, they did try to negotiate with the North Koreans and persuade

:10:25. > :10:27.them not to have a nuclear programme all those years ago,

:10:28. > :10:33.What is the approach that you would take?

:10:34. > :10:41.I don't know that this current President has done any

:10:42. > :10:48.I don't know what kind of meetings have been set up, and everything.

:10:49. > :10:50.But, you know, to comment about fire and fury,

:10:51. > :10:55.It's just not making anybody comfortable

:10:56. > :11:07.I really think, I've worked many years in politics and I believe

:11:08. > :11:17.I think that talking out things can bring about a peaceful solution.

:11:18. > :11:28.So what should we make of the mixed signals we're hearing from America -

:11:29. > :11:32.I'm joined from across the Atlantic by Jon Finer.

:11:33. > :11:35.Until January, he was chief of staff for Secretary of State John Kerry

:11:36. > :11:40.Also with us from Washington is Peter Feaver, who held positions

:11:41. > :11:42.on America's National Security Council under both Presidents Bush

:11:43. > :11:58.Good evening to you. Jonathan, what would John Kerry be doing if he was

:11:59. > :12:03.Secretary of State? He would be the best person to answer this question,

:12:04. > :12:07.but I have to believe, as a big believer, as a secretary Kerry is,

:12:08. > :12:14.in the power of diplomacy, even diplomacy backed by force, but to

:12:15. > :12:17.achieve dramatic objectives, that he would be doing a version of what

:12:18. > :12:21.secretary Tillerson has been doing and saying in recent days, making

:12:22. > :12:25.clear the real consequences that would come to the North Korean

:12:26. > :12:29.regime if it continues down the path it is on, but also sending

:12:30. > :12:33.reassuring signals to our allies and keeping open the possibility of

:12:34. > :12:37.diplomatic process to try to de-escalate the confrontation. Not

:12:38. > :12:41.rattling the Sega with provocative statements in public. You said you

:12:42. > :12:48.would tell them what would happen to them if they carry on, what would

:12:49. > :12:51.happen to them? I think the deterrent messages, this is what the

:12:52. > :12:56.messaging is about. It is about deterring bad behaviour by the North

:12:57. > :13:03.Korean regime. They are best carried directly and privately. Not carried

:13:04. > :13:07.in a public form, where they can very easily be misinterpreted. We

:13:08. > :13:10.spend a lot of time and energy, I'm sure Peter can speak to this as

:13:11. > :13:13.well, trying to interpret the statements that come out of

:13:14. > :13:16.Pyongyang, much of which involves rhetoric that we choose to discount

:13:17. > :13:21.because it is so over the top. But much of which we don't really know

:13:22. > :13:25.how to understand. We are in a situation that is very unusual for

:13:26. > :13:28.the United States. We have our own administration, not just anyone, but

:13:29. > :13:33.our own President, that are very difficult, not just for the rest of

:13:34. > :13:36.the world or even Americans to interpret, but, much more of

:13:37. > :13:39.concern, for the North Korean government to interpret. That can

:13:40. > :13:44.lead to misunderstandings. The only thing worse than choosing to go to

:13:45. > :13:49.war in this situation would be stumbling into a war that neither

:13:50. > :13:53.side wants. Peter, could there be strategy or clever tactics in this

:13:54. > :13:58.kind of rhetoric that we had from Donald Trump yesterday? The fact it

:13:59. > :14:01.was rather different to the rhetoric from Rex Tillerson, good cop, bad

:14:02. > :14:08.cop, I don't know what is going on. Is something clever going on? There

:14:09. > :14:13.are some plausible rationales. The President could be saying we have

:14:14. > :14:16.tried for 30 years, moderate rhetoric, and it hasn't worked,

:14:17. > :14:22.let's try some source for the goose. The language that the President used

:14:23. > :14:25.against Kim Jong-un is the kind of language you hear from North

:14:26. > :14:30.Koreans. It could also be the case that he is trying to rattle the

:14:31. > :14:33.Chinese, who very much fear this escalation spiral that John was

:14:34. > :14:36.talking about, and who have a lot of Lovren Joe Byrne North Korea. He

:14:37. > :14:42.could be trying to alarm the Chinese into taking action on economic

:14:43. > :14:47.sanctions rant. -- they have a lot of leveraged over North Korea. The

:14:48. > :14:50.President took his own national security team by surprise with his

:14:51. > :14:57.rhetoric. So it is clear that the team had not drafted this rhetoric.

:14:58. > :15:01.If there was this calculation, it was the President's own.

:15:02. > :15:12.Does confusion or mixed messaging ever have a place to play in dealing

:15:13. > :15:17.with a adversary? Well President Trump believes the United States has

:15:18. > :15:24.been too predictable and during the campaign he criticised President

:15:25. > :15:30.Obama for being too predictable, predictable that he would make

:15:31. > :15:37.concessions he said. Trump was unpredictable and there is the mad

:15:38. > :15:43.men theory that president Nixon was said to develop, where Kissinger

:15:44. > :15:49.would meet with foreign leader, saying, you can trust me, but we

:15:50. > :15:55.don't know what president Nixon will do. But it is a very dangerous game

:15:56. > :16:02.to play and it is best done if all the team has gamed it out. Have

:16:03. > :16:06.thought about it. Jonathan, the, you mentioned the risk of a

:16:07. > :16:14.miscalculation that causes a mistake into conflict. Talk us through that

:16:15. > :16:21.and how it could occur in the worst case? I think there are two

:16:22. > :16:27.dangerous scenarios for the United States, the president is a proponent

:16:28. > :16:33.of the theory strategic ambiguity, but that only works if there is a

:16:34. > :16:37.strategy behind it and there is a plan to implement on and take

:16:38. > :16:44.advantage of the ambiguous situation. The risk is that the

:16:45. > :16:48.president makes these statements and the North Koreans say it is just

:16:49. > :16:54.bluster and continue and call the president's bluff and then the

:16:55. > :16:58.credibility of the president's threats is diminished or the North

:16:59. > :17:03.Koreans take it too seriously and believe he is on the cusp of

:17:04. > :17:09.launching an attack and decide it is in their best interest to move first

:17:10. > :17:13.and you are in this conflict that neither sides wants. Because it is

:17:14. > :17:19.in neither sides' interest to go to war, but it happens any way. At this

:17:20. > :17:23.stage, what is the best way to de-escalate this and settle it down

:17:24. > :17:27.and get back to where we were three years ago? Well there is two things

:17:28. > :17:35.that are concerning about where we are now. First, the administration

:17:36. > :17:39.has said that it is intolerable that North Korea possesses a nuclear

:17:40. > :17:45.weapon. Well, they already possess one. So that kind of language,

:17:46. > :17:51.declaring what is already a fact intolerable backs the president into

:17:52. > :17:56.a corner. The second thing is the president threatened North Korea

:17:57. > :18:02.with more if North Korea continued to make verbal threats. Well verbal

:18:03. > :18:11.threats is the daily activity of the North Korean Government. I think he

:18:12. > :18:15.would have been wiser to narrow it down to behaviour like missile

:18:16. > :18:21.launches. The president may have backed himself into a corner. What

:18:22. > :18:23.could happen... We have to leave it there. Thank you both very much

:18:24. > :18:26.indeed. At a time when elites are viewed

:18:27. > :18:28.rather suspiciously, those in power need to be careful

:18:29. > :18:31.that their official expenses do not MPs here have never quite

:18:32. > :18:35.recovered since their So, is the EU Commission

:18:36. > :18:40.about to get a caning for its expenses, two months

:18:41. > :18:44.of which were published today? The Commission has been coy

:18:45. > :18:47.about releasing more data than that of January and February 2016,

:18:48. > :18:49.and that was forced out of them after a complaint

:18:50. > :18:54.to the European Ombudsman. Among the items we now know about,

:18:55. > :18:58.a 27,000 euro bill for a two-day In fairness, there were nine

:18:59. > :19:08.of them in the delegation. At a commission press conference

:19:09. > :19:25.today, the spokeswoman was put These details were obtained by a

:19:26. > :19:30.Spanish NGO, why doesn't the commission make the expenses public?

:19:31. > :19:33.We do publish mission expenses when ever we are asked to provide

:19:34. > :19:39.information. You have the whole budget of the EU that contains a

:19:40. > :19:41.section with expenses, namely heading five, that is available to

:19:42. > :19:51.you how much we spend. Helen Darbishire is the executive

:19:52. > :19:53.director of Access Info Europe, the NGO which has been pushing

:19:54. > :19:56.the European Commission for three John Redwood is the Conservative MP

:19:57. > :20:07.for Woking and is with me. Give us the back ground and how hard

:20:08. > :20:11.it was and what efforts you had to go to and what stalling there was

:20:12. > :20:17.when you asked for the expenses? Good evening, Evan. We first filed a

:20:18. > :20:23.request about three years ago. We realised that no one had asked for

:20:24. > :20:26.this information and to correct what the spokesperson said in the

:20:27. > :20:33.conference today, the information isn't actually available. We used

:20:34. > :20:36.the equivalent of the EU's equivalent of the British Freedom of

:20:37. > :20:42.Information Act and asked for this. We got some total numbers at first.

:20:43. > :20:48.But there was a reluctance to give us the details of expenditure. So we

:20:49. > :20:52.have had quite a battle trying to use arguments as to why we should be

:20:53. > :20:58.given this and finally we have been given the ex-pensions for the first

:20:59. > :21:07.two -- expenses for the first two months of 2016. We asked for, in

:21:08. > :21:14.fact 120 requesters asked for the expenses of of 2016. John Redwood,

:21:15. > :21:20.are you shocked by this, we have the private jet to Italy. There was a

:21:21. > :21:24.bill for foreign affairs representative to get to a summit.

:21:25. > :21:28.Does that shock you? No, I suspected that was going on all along. I

:21:29. > :21:33.remember when I negotiated for Britain many years ago I went on the

:21:34. > :21:39.normal public transport fare, but there was a lot of Executive jets,

:21:40. > :21:44.including one for commissioners. So it doesn't surprise me. All the time

:21:45. > :21:48.British taxpayers are helping to pay for the bill as we will until we

:21:49. > :21:51.leave. Its a matter of concern and they should be as transparent as the

:21:52. > :21:55.United Kingdom Government has to be in telling people where the money is

:21:56. > :22:00.spent and why. Helen, were you shocked when you saw the figures,

:22:01. > :22:08.only the two months and we don't know if it was a high or low month,

:22:09. > :22:13.did you think they looked high? No, I didn't think they're that high

:22:14. > :22:18.actually. I did a comparison with David Cameron's expenditure for the

:22:19. > :22:28.same period and whereas for the commissioner the average is b about

:22:29. > :22:36.one and half thousand, David Cameron was four and a half. Theresa May's

:22:37. > :22:42.in yo 17 are over ?6,000 a mission. It is important to keep a

:22:43. > :22:45.perspective, I don't know how many people have asked how much did

:22:46. > :22:54.Theresa May's trip to visit Donald Trump cost? It cost about ?43,000

:22:55. > :22:58.and includes taking an RAF plane for which the British taxpayer has to

:22:59. > :23:03.pay. So these expenses are quite... Reasonable and in line with what we

:23:04. > :23:08.would be expecting Government officials around Europe to be paying

:23:09. > :23:14.for similar kinds of trips. Is that fair, because actually, yeah,

:23:15. > :23:22.British ministers do fly on RAF planes, they go to North Holt and

:23:23. > :23:27.jump on a Government plane. It not a comparison to compare a head of a

:23:28. > :23:30.Government with a commissioner, a commissioner is a senior official,

:23:31. > :23:36.the heads of state and governments are the senior people in the EU. And

:23:37. > :23:39.we don't send our senior officials or ministers around on anything

:23:40. > :23:45.other than public transport flights at normal fares. But it is not a

:23:46. > :23:49.major item. I think the bigger item is the lack of transparency and that

:23:50. > :23:55.these are very big budgets and we are having to pay a lot for them and

:23:56. > :23:59.one of main reasons people voted to leave the EU, we want that money

:24:00. > :24:02.back, because we need it for hospitals and social care and other

:24:03. > :24:08.thins where we would like to spend more and the sooner we are out, the

:24:09. > :24:13.sooner we get that money back and it is important we don't go on paying

:24:14. > :24:18.for this. Helen, this is going to get into the Brexit debate, most

:24:19. > :24:24.people will tend to feel, whatever the figures, they are high, they may

:24:25. > :24:35.hear you say it is normal, but people say you never need to take a

:24:36. > :24:42.private jet. Just go the next day. I think that the question of the

:24:43. > :24:46.amount, it is a very small amount. It is about ?90,000 per country that

:24:47. > :24:50.has been contributed to the costs of these expenses and there haven't

:24:51. > :24:55.been that many private jets used. We see a lot of ordinary planes being

:24:56. > :24:59.taken as well. I do agree the transparency issue is important and

:25:00. > :25:03.it is unfortunately that the commission didn't make this

:25:04. > :25:08.information public sooner. It is the lack of transparency that can lead

:25:09. > :25:13.to a skewed debate about what is actually the European does, the

:25:14. > :25:18.value and the way it is working within pretty reasonable budgets to

:25:19. > :25:22.do everything it does. What we are doing now from access info Europe is

:25:23. > :25:28.calling on the commission to step up and make public all of this

:25:29. > :25:35.information and put it online so that any citizen can check and see

:25:36. > :25:36.how much is being spent. As the British Government does. Thank you

:25:37. > :25:38.both very much. We did ask for someone

:25:39. > :25:41.from the European Commission to join us tonight, but nobody

:25:42. > :25:43.was available. In a statement, they said private

:25:44. > :25:45.air travel was only allowed for Commissioners when no commercial

:25:46. > :25:47.alternative was available and that Commissioners had only made

:25:48. > :25:49.28 private 'air taxi' The Welsh Government has set out

:25:50. > :25:56.plans to change the way it promotes This is a sensitive area of public

:25:57. > :26:01.policy and inevitably any Those keen on Welsh feel that

:26:02. > :26:06.one innocuous-sounding proposal to abolish the job

:26:07. > :26:11.of Welsh Language Commissioner and replace it with

:26:12. > :26:13.a Welsh Language Commission is a threat to the identity

:26:14. > :26:19.and culture of Welsh speakers. The Government has talked

:26:20. > :26:22.of the bureaucracy of the current So should they be trying to make

:26:23. > :26:28.life easier for non-Welsh companies, or should they be doing more

:26:29. > :26:33.for the language? Before we discuss that,

:26:34. > :26:35.let us infuse some In 1901, half the population

:26:36. > :26:44.of Wales could speak the language. Now the figure

:26:45. > :26:46.is not even a quarter - And only around half of those people

:26:47. > :26:55.are fluent in Welsh. According to the official census

:26:56. > :26:57.figures, all the Welsh speakers What is true though,

:26:58. > :27:01.is that there's been growth in Welsh speaking since the introduction

:27:02. > :27:07.of the Welsh Language Act in 1993. With me now is Ruth Dawson,

:27:08. > :27:09.Wales Editor of The Conversation news website, and the novelist

:27:10. > :27:26.Julian Ruck is in Carmarthen. Ruth, you're, you feel strongly

:27:27. > :27:30.about Welsh, how many v how much of it do you speak. Not very much. Can

:27:31. > :27:37.I do the basics. What is the importance of it as a small Welsh

:27:38. > :27:43.speaker, a Welsh person? It is a huge part of the culture and I wish

:27:44. > :27:46.I could speak more Welsh and I think the Government drive is fantastic

:27:47. > :27:53.for showing how important the language is for the people of Wales.

:27:54. > :28:00.I just like I say, I wish I could speak more myself! Is it possible

:28:01. > :28:05.that actually most people in Wales are a bit like Ruth, they sort of

:28:06. > :28:10.believe in the language, sfren they don't really -- esfren nay don't

:28:11. > :28:18.really speak it. Let me firstly say I have nothing against a Welsh

:28:19. > :28:23.speaker, but the statistics that you use, they don't, they cloud over

:28:24. > :28:29.whether someone can read or write the language. Now, as far as I'm

:28:30. > :28:35.concerned, the expense to the taxpayer that is the English

:28:36. > :28:40.taxpayer ass well as the Welsh is far outraged by the number of people

:28:41. > :28:46.who can speak it. You're talking about 150 odd million a year. Now,

:28:47. > :28:55.would say to someone who is dependent on the health service that

:28:56. > :28:59.you have got to wait because X, YZ, they won't with p be happy if they

:29:00. > :29:04.know the money is going to Welsh language. You know, it is, nobody

:29:05. > :29:09.has mentioned in the news reports about Mary Hughes the Welsh language

:29:10. > :29:14.commissioner being an ex-chair woman of the Welsh Language Society. Now,

:29:15. > :29:17.that is a conflict of interest and shouldn't be allowed. But that is

:29:18. > :29:29.the extent of the situation. Is this a classic liberal position,

:29:30. > :29:31.she says nobody should be discouraged from speaking Welsh,

:29:32. > :29:35.everybody should be allowed to speak Welsh, and we will see how many

:29:36. > :29:40.people choose to speak it, how many have it as a hobby, how many speak

:29:41. > :29:42.it as their main language, how companies independently decide how

:29:43. > :29:47.to speak it. Is there not something to be said for that? In an ideal

:29:48. > :29:51.world, everybody would be left to their own devices and pick up Welsh

:29:52. > :29:56.naturally and get on with it. They might choose not to? They might

:29:57. > :30:02.think, it is not to me, why do I need to pick it up, if they don't

:30:03. > :30:09.want to? Languages are not the easiest thing to learn. But I do

:30:10. > :30:13.think that people need help. I mean, for as long as I've been alive, the

:30:14. > :30:22.Welsh government and people of Wales have been encouraged to speak Welsh.

:30:23. > :30:26.I had it at school, but I didn't pick up enough of it, my education

:30:27. > :30:30.was not enough, and then is to be a bigger push to make sure more people

:30:31. > :30:34.are using the language every day. There is the key. You can go to a

:30:35. > :30:38.Welsh medium school and come out of it, and you cannot speak Welsh. What

:30:39. > :30:53.is the point in all of the money? It's nonsense. S4C is down, radio

:30:54. > :31:00.Cymru is down, all of it is down. The money they are pumping in is not

:31:01. > :31:05.making more people speak Welsh, that is a fact. I think you will find

:31:06. > :31:09.across the board in Wales, a lot of English-language Welsh media has

:31:10. > :31:12.lost its audience as well. There are new forms of Welsh language media,

:31:13. > :31:19.especially online, that are building up a new audience, especially in

:31:20. > :31:23.that category. Is there an issue around economic development? Is it a

:31:24. > :31:27.deterrent to English companies, or international companies, that have

:31:28. > :31:29.no Welsh speakers at all, in investing in Wales, putting

:31:30. > :31:36.something in Wales, if they are thinking, my goodness, we are going

:31:37. > :31:40.to have all of these Welsh language issues? If we are deciding between a

:31:41. > :31:44.Welsh region or an English region, it could tip the balance? I can't

:31:45. > :31:48.speak from experience, but I don't think that is the case. The Welsh

:31:49. > :31:51.government has done a lot of work to encourage international companies to

:31:52. > :32:01.come to Wales. They don't see it as a barrier at all. Hold on, this is a

:32:02. > :32:05.nationalist argument. Nationalism turns companies, whether they be

:32:06. > :32:09.small, medium or large, it turns them away. You say to a company,

:32:10. > :32:14.come and work in Wales, and then you give them a massive bill to convert

:32:15. > :32:19.everything to Welsh. They are going to take a hike. And it is a hike

:32:20. > :32:21.left. Thank you very much indeed. If you happened to be

:32:22. > :32:24.a fish that likes to dwell at the bottom of the north sea -

:32:25. > :32:27.like plaice or sole - which do you think you'd prefer,

:32:28. > :32:30.as a way of being raised from the sea bed and scooped

:32:31. > :32:32.into a net to be caught Would you opt to be dragged up

:32:33. > :32:37.into the net by a huge metal cable, which is the current and legal

:32:38. > :32:39.method of catching Or would you opt to be disturbed

:32:40. > :32:43.by an electric shock, that stirs you from the depths,

:32:44. > :32:46.into the human food chain? Well, this latter method is called

:32:47. > :32:48.pulse fishing, or electro fishing, and although illegal in the EU,

:32:49. > :32:51.a number of experimental licenses So many, in fact, that the vast

:32:52. > :32:57.majority of the commercial Dutch beam-trawling fleet

:32:58. > :33:01.now "electro-fish". It's not to the liking of British

:33:02. > :33:03.fishermen and environmentalists. James Clayton went to

:33:04. > :33:05.the Netherlands to find out more about this experimental

:33:06. > :33:17.form of fishing. You don't really associate

:33:18. > :33:24.disruptive innovation with fishing. However, what's going

:33:25. > :33:26.on in the North Sea could well But there's a snag - the technique

:33:27. > :33:33.is incredibly controversial and Welcome to pulse or

:33:34. > :33:42.electro-fishing - the saviour of fishing, or the fracking

:33:43. > :33:45.of the ocean, depending on your Den Helder on the northern tip

:33:46. > :33:57.of the Netherlands and trawlers are making their weekly

:33:58. > :34:00.trip back to port to deliver their For hundreds of years,

:34:01. > :34:06.these boats used a method Large chains are dragged

:34:07. > :34:14.behind the boat on the seabed to raise mainly flat fish

:34:15. > :34:21.from under the sand. Greenpeace has described

:34:22. > :34:24.this traditional beam-trawling method

:34:25. > :34:25.as one of the most The friction of these chains means

:34:26. > :34:36.that fishermen need a lot of diesel So much so in fact that

:34:37. > :34:43.with high oil prices a decade ago, many trawlermen

:34:44. > :34:49.went out of business. But the Dutch are an innovative

:34:50. > :34:52.bunch and a group of locals came up with a plan -

:34:53. > :34:55.rather than dredging up the bottom, they would simply pass an electric

:34:56. > :34:57.field over the surface and stun

:34:58. > :35:09.the fish up from the bottom. It's not like you put

:35:10. > :35:12.your fingers in. Pim Visser represents

:35:13. > :35:13.some of the fishermen. They just tow these electrodes

:35:14. > :35:23.just over the bottom. This doesn't have the current

:35:24. > :35:35.and this has the current. You might be thinking this kind

:35:36. > :35:41.of fishing must be regulated in The catching of marine

:35:42. > :35:52.organisms using methods incorporating the use

:35:53. > :35:53.of explosives, poisoning or stupefying substances or electric

:35:54. > :36:01.currents shall be prohibited. But pulse fishing

:36:02. > :36:03.is allowed under an experimental licence, with research

:36:04. > :36:05.continuing into its short and undertaking research

:36:06. > :36:17.into pulse fishing. We have done a lot of experiments

:36:18. > :36:20.on a suite of organisms ranging from ragworm

:36:21. > :36:25.to shellfish, fish species, sharks and rays and in

:36:26. > :36:28.general we don't very, we don't find an effect,

:36:29. > :36:30.or very limited effect and there are some exceptions

:36:31. > :36:32.and the one exception You have a larger cod,

:36:33. > :36:38.it is not so much the smaller cod, when you have larger cod,

:36:39. > :36:41.then in some instances Apparently, for that size

:36:42. > :36:47.of cod, the electric stimulation is too much

:36:48. > :36:48.and then their muscles,

:36:49. > :36:59.their own muscles break the spine. They aren't actually electrocuted

:37:00. > :37:06.and the Dutch are so confident the technology is safe they rigged

:37:07. > :37:11.up a rather unscientific experiment. You can just put your hand in,

:37:12. > :37:15.it is absolutely, this is the pulse. Everything about this

:37:16. > :37:22.looks slightly... Fine, it is just

:37:23. > :37:28.electrodes and water. Yes, it's sort of like

:37:29. > :37:46.pins and needles. Open and close your hand and you can

:37:47. > :37:55.feel the difference. The bigger you are,

:37:56. > :37:57.the more you get. So the issue is if you were a big

:37:58. > :38:00.cod, and you run past that, then your body starts going

:38:01. > :38:03.into spasm and things like that? The whole week they

:38:04. > :38:20.have about 20 cods. 40 kilograms of cod,

:38:21. > :38:25.compared to tonnes of plaice and sole is not a lot

:38:26. > :38:29.in the grand scheme of things and there are other good arguments

:38:30. > :38:32.to say that pulse fishing is more environmentally friendly

:38:33. > :38:33.than beam fishing. The carbon emissions are

:38:34. > :38:35.significantly lower and the sea bed But many environmentalists

:38:36. > :38:43.aren't happy. It's possible that it

:38:44. > :38:45.is better than beam trawling and influenza is better

:38:46. > :38:47.than bubonic plague! Beam trawling is so

:38:48. > :38:49.fantastically damaging that it would be hard to conceive

:38:50. > :38:53.of anything worse than that. And what we have been told

:38:54. > :38:58.is this is an experiment. It is an experiment

:38:59. > :39:01.in the same way that Japanese scientific whaling

:39:02. > :39:03.is a scientific experiment - how many whales can we bring

:39:04. > :39:05.on board and what do they taste like once

:39:06. > :39:09.we have caught them? The problem with this experiment

:39:10. > :39:12.is there is no control area. There is no way of

:39:13. > :39:15.assessing the results The Dutch argue that

:39:16. > :39:21.the research they have conducted over many years into pulse

:39:22. > :39:25.fishing is scientifically rigorous. However - and this is important -

:39:26. > :39:28.it is still in the research phase. So if you look at all the trawlers

:39:29. > :39:33.here, one, two, three, four, five, are just coming into

:39:34. > :39:37.the dock this morning. And it begs the question -

:39:38. > :39:47.how many trawlers do you need to do At the moment there are about 79

:39:48. > :39:55.vessels that fish with the pulse gear and strictly speaking

:39:56. > :39:58.for research purposes, you don't But again, the reason why

:39:59. > :40:09.the Dutch Government has decided to do it in this manner,

:40:10. > :40:14.I think you have to ask them. We, as the international community,

:40:15. > :40:16.share a responsibility for But despite the main

:40:17. > :40:21.research institute Government told Newsnight:

:40:22. > :40:37.experimental trawlers, the Dutch We think

:40:38. > :40:39.the research is fine and the extra research will only underpin

:40:40. > :40:44.what we have already found. For Dutch fishermen,

:40:45. > :40:45.pulse fishing has been One told me a few years

:40:46. > :40:54.ago he was earning about 30,000 euros and he now

:40:55. > :41:00.takes home 70,000. 80% of the Dutch beam trawling fleet

:41:01. > :41:02.have now converted to pulse fishing and the research

:41:03. > :41:09.period will end in 2019. At which point, the EU

:41:10. > :41:11.will decide whether to But inevitably there are questions

:41:12. > :41:17.about whether the Dutch Government has allowed en masse

:41:18. > :41:20.a questionable form of fishing to operate in the North Sea

:41:21. > :41:33.for in part commercial reasons. But although the weather

:41:34. > :41:37.is not uniformly bright, it is still summer -

:41:38. > :41:40.so it's still Proms season. The last few weeks we've been

:41:41. > :41:43.bringing the Proms to you, Tonight we have the acclaimed German

:41:44. > :41:48.cellist Alban Gerhardt, playing the Sarabande

:41:49. > :41:51.from Bach's Sixth Cello Suite. He'll be at the Royal

:41:52. > :42:04.Albert Hall tomorrow. His cello is not far off being as

:42:05. > :42:07.old as Bach himself, it has been around for about 300 years.