:00:10. > :00:16.Welcome back to Outside Source. Let's look through the top stories.
:00:17. > :00:20.A new report by the UN accounts staggering violence in Iraq. It
:00:21. > :00:24.details thousands of civilian deaths and atrocities carried out by
:00:25. > :00:28.so-called Islamic State. China's economy is growing now at
:00:29. > :00:31.the slowest rate for 25 years and critics are saying actually the
:00:32. > :00:35.Chinese data could be unreliable. Growth could be even slower than
:00:36. > :00:39.reported. We're also going to turn to Flint in
:00:40. > :00:43.Michigan. We're showing you this water because it has far too much
:00:44. > :00:47.lead in. It a state of emergency has been declared. We will look at that
:00:48. > :00:51.story. In sport, we concentrate on the
:00:52. > :01:06.tennis. Nadal is out and Venus Williams.
:01:07. > :01:12.Now next I want to look at a new website launched by the UK
:01:13. > :01:16.Government, designed to prevent school children from being rad cried
:01:17. > :01:21.by -- radicalised by extremists. The site has information for teachers,
:01:22. > :01:24.parents too and there's advice on how to spot signs that pupils are
:01:25. > :01:26.being targeted. Let's look at what difference a site
:01:27. > :01:44.like this could make. Captured on camera for ever. The
:01:45. > :01:53.three schoolgirls who were enticed to Syria. The education secretary
:01:54. > :01:58.ought and anti-radicalisation message to their school, but can a
:01:59. > :02:07.simple website make a difference. I think they website would help. It
:02:08. > :02:23.would help teachers to engage with parents and the community. If a
:02:24. > :02:32.Muslim girl aged 15 or 16 decides she wants to wear the niqab because
:02:33. > :02:39.she is becoming a woman, can that be interpreted as a sign of
:02:40. > :02:50.radicalisation? It could be a warning. Today the education
:02:51. > :03:00.secretary promised to back any school that banned children from
:03:01. > :03:03.covering their face. Sometimes children can be influenced by
:03:04. > :03:07.friends and family. At a local charity I met young people. Did they
:03:08. > :03:19.believe government advice would influence parents? Some people are
:03:20. > :03:26.on social networking sites because they have more friends on them.
:03:27. > :03:33.Parents could take that in a wrong way. Is there a danger in over
:03:34. > :03:40.interpreting some of those simple signs? Yes, definitely. Take me for
:03:41. > :03:47.example, I am growing a beard. People might take it the wrong way
:03:48. > :03:52.and overthink it too much. Schools are in the front line, but some
:03:53. > :03:59.teachers fear they are being turned into policemen. There is a fine line
:04:00. > :04:01.it's been protecting children and alienating the communities the
:04:02. > :04:09.government wants to reach. If you were watching a view minutes ago,
:04:10. > :04:15.you would have seen me pull up this copy from the New York Times. Sarah
:04:16. > :04:23.Pailin is going to endorse Donald Trump. We have just got through to
:04:24. > :04:29.Kathie Kay in our Washington bureau. We will speak to her in five or ten
:04:30. > :04:35.minutes time. In the meantime, let's talk about tennis. The Australian
:04:36. > :04:41.open is up and running. Already, some surprises. But they Nadal is
:04:42. > :04:52.out. This is what he said after the game. I am feeling myself that I am
:04:53. > :04:58.not ready for it. The year has been a different story. I have been
:04:59. > :05:10.playing and practising great. Working so much. It is tough when
:05:11. > :05:15.you work so much and arrive at an important event and you are out.
:05:16. > :05:24.Let's speak to the BBC sports centre. There was talk for Nadal --
:05:25. > :05:31.of Nadal passing Federer in terms of grand slams, but that is looking
:05:32. > :05:36.unlikely. He was beaten today by his compatriot and friend Fernando
:05:37. > :05:42.Verdasco. It is only the second time he has gone out in the second round
:05:43. > :05:46.of eight grand slam, but he spent all of 2015 without a grand slam
:05:47. > :05:53.title, which is the first time it has happened since 2004. Last year
:05:54. > :05:59.he only won three ATP tour titles, the lowest number since 2004. But in
:06:00. > :06:03.context, he has been out for times in the last six years with injuries.
:06:04. > :06:10.Talking about his age, people are saying he could be getting old. He
:06:11. > :06:15.is 30, but Roger Federer is 34. It is too soon to say. Let us see what
:06:16. > :06:23.happens during the clay season and the French open, which he has won
:06:24. > :06:26.nine times. I was surprised when I heard about the Nadal result, but
:06:27. > :06:34.less surprised to hear that the Ms Williams did not make it three. She
:06:35. > :06:41.is the eighth seed and is a seven times grand slam champion. Her fire
:06:42. > :06:46.was heavily strapped and she was struggling. She is the oldest player
:06:47. > :06:52.at the age of 35. She has struggled with illness. Years. It seemed last
:06:53. > :06:57.year she may have found some form and return to the top ten for the
:06:58. > :07:05.first time in five years, but she is not the player she was. She has not
:07:06. > :07:16.won a grand slam since 2008. One top seed, Simona Halep is out. Her
:07:17. > :07:20.opponent beat into sets and she cried on court because just a feud
:07:21. > :07:25.months ago she is that she going to hang up her rackets and become a
:07:26. > :07:30.fruit and vegetable farmer. Instead, she has beaten the second seed at
:07:31. > :07:35.the Australian open. Great stuff. The farming can wait. If at first
:07:36. > :07:52.you don't succeed, try and try and try again. That could apply to the
:07:53. > :07:56.opponents for the welterweight belt. This is what they said at the press
:07:57. > :08:02.conference. Despite will be different than the first to
:08:03. > :08:13.altercations we have had. -- this fight. It is going to be a great
:08:14. > :08:20.fight. I know he wants to win badly and so do I. I am so happy. I am
:08:21. > :08:29.hanging up my gloves after this fight because what I have done. I am
:08:30. > :08:35.sure I will feel sad after that, but you know, that is life. Not all the
:08:36. > :08:41.time you keep on fighting. Not all the time you are in the ring, but
:08:42. > :08:45.this time I think, I remember when I started boxing, I started boxing
:08:46. > :08:59.because I wanted to help my family, my mother. Now I want to help my
:09:00. > :09:07.countrymen, the Filipino people. So April the night before their last
:09:08. > :09:14.fight. A quick up dates on the fee first gamble. It turns out Sepp
:09:15. > :09:26.Blatter is still being paid a full salary. -- the Fifa scandal. He is
:09:27. > :09:28.still being elected president and is entitled to receive his
:09:29. > :09:34.remuneration. All this despite the fact that blatter is banned from all
:09:35. > :09:41.football related activity over the payment made to Michel Platini. We
:09:42. > :09:50.must emphasise that both men denied doing anything wrong. Let turned to
:09:51. > :09:54.the faculties in athletics. There is no one you would want to hear from
:09:55. > :10:01.more than Michael Johnson. He has been talking about the IAAF
:10:02. > :10:11.corruption allegations. We have spent several years now with
:10:12. > :10:15.athletics being top of mind when doping in sport comes around and
:10:16. > :10:19.that is partially due to the fact we probably catch more people in our
:10:20. > :10:24.sport than others catching their sports, but at the same time, that
:10:25. > :10:28.conversation has change from whether or not this athlete or that athletes
:10:29. > :10:35.may be doping. I can't think of anything worse than the idea that
:10:36. > :10:39.the very people who have been entrusted to protect clean athletes
:10:40. > :10:43.and protect and grow the sport have been involved in allowing people to
:10:44. > :10:48.destroy the sport and allowing those athletes who may be have been dirty
:10:49. > :10:54.and have tested positive to take medals and prize-money and glory
:10:55. > :10:57.from the real victims which are those clean athletes. I would never
:10:58. > :11:06.have thought we would be sitting here in a situation which is as bad
:11:07. > :11:13.as the Fifa scandal, where athletics could be seen as corrupt, even
:11:14. > :11:17.worse. The real victims in this situation with athletics, if you
:11:18. > :11:22.think about the victims it is worse because the victims here are those
:11:23. > :11:25.athletes that never had the opportunity to stand on the podium
:11:26. > :11:31.and they should have. Michael Johnson there on the today
:11:32. > :11:36.programme. Later, we will hear about Europe is back longest ice road. It
:11:37. > :11:49.is in Estonia. We will speak to someone who has driven on it. Now,
:11:50. > :11:52.famously, or infamously, the pollsters got it wrong in the
:11:53. > :11:58.general election. Today it was revealed why.
:11:59. > :12:01.Here it is, ten o'clock, and we are saying the Conservatives
:12:02. > :12:04.As Big Ben struck ten on election night last year,
:12:05. > :12:07.there was a collective gasp at the exit poll.
:12:08. > :12:11.It put the Conservatives as the biggest party
:12:12. > :12:15.So different from the dead heat predicted in the run-up to polling
:12:16. > :12:17.day, pundits and politicians were astounded.
:12:18. > :12:20.An extraordinary night, if, if that exit poll is right.
:12:21. > :12:23.If this exit poll is right, Andrew, I will publicly eat my hat
:12:24. > :12:25.During the campaign, pollsters ask people how
:12:26. > :12:30.They got it wrong because, put simply, they spoke to too many
:12:31. > :12:32.Labour voters and too few Conservatives.
:12:33. > :12:38.So how can we trust pollsters in the future?
:12:39. > :12:42.Yes, we did get it wrong last time but we hope to get it
:12:43. > :12:46.We and all the other pollsters need to do a better job of contacting
:12:47. > :12:48.older people and younger people who are politically disengaged.
:12:49. > :12:51.To many people, opinion polls may not matter that much
:12:52. > :12:53.but to journalists and politicians they do, and repeated predictions
:12:54. > :12:56.of a hung parliament before the last election shaped the way parties
:12:57. > :12:58.ran their campaigns and defined the debate.
:12:59. > :13:03.The idea of Labour being in the SNP's pocket in a power-sharing
:13:04. > :13:05.deal was seized upon by the Tory campaign.
:13:06. > :13:10.Because of the focus on possible coalitions,
:13:11. > :13:16.some think polls and the media might have influenced voters.
:13:17. > :13:19.They certainly shape the election campaign in a scandalous way
:13:20. > :13:21.because the whole of that campaign, if you remember, was dominated
:13:22. > :13:24.by the likes of you speculating about a hung parliament.
:13:25. > :13:27.That is what all the officially-published opinion polls
:13:28. > :13:29.were predicting, rather than focusing on the much more
:13:30. > :13:36.probable outcome which was a Tory majority.
:13:37. > :13:38.But Labour's loss was more complex, according to its own
:13:39. > :13:45.It failed to connect with voters on issues like welfare
:13:46. > :13:49.and immigration, and didn't convince them on the economy.
:13:50. > :13:51.Actually, the policies were very popular, but people didn't know
:13:52. > :13:54.quite where they fitted, they did not have a feel
:13:55. > :13:57.for the overall picture of what a Labour government
:13:58. > :14:03.And at the end of an election, it is voters at the ballot box,
:14:04. > :14:05.not the opinion polls, which determine who gets
:14:06. > :14:40.This is programme at Crow. Our lead story is the UN reports that talks
:14:41. > :14:56.about atrocities in Iraq. This is what you have got coming up after
:14:57. > :15:03.Outside Source. Economic uncertainty is leading the ten o'clock news.
:15:04. > :15:10.There will be a bumpy year ahead for the global economy. As I was just
:15:11. > :15:15.mentioning, look who says Donald Trump will be the best next
:15:16. > :15:22.president of the United States. This coming from the New York Times who
:15:23. > :15:30.broke the story, but it is now on his website. Sarah Pailin is
:15:31. > :15:41.endorsing Donald Trump. But I speak to catty came, live from the US. Did
:15:42. > :15:52.you see this one coming? It is quite a pairing. Sarah Pailin, die-hard
:15:53. > :15:59.conservative, a woman who can rally massive crowds. It is an unusual
:16:00. > :16:04.pairing. She is conservative and has Christian credentials. He has been
:16:05. > :16:08.seen as less conservative. For example, he has supported a national
:16:09. > :16:14.health system for the United States, comparing it to Canada and Scotland.
:16:15. > :16:18.That is a kind of thing she would hate. Politically, they are not the
:16:19. > :16:23.same. Stylistically, they are similar. They love the limelight,
:16:24. > :16:29.they have both in reality show stars, they get the crowds, they
:16:30. > :16:35.like speaking of the calf, saying things that are outrageous. In some
:16:36. > :16:39.ways, these two have been public soul mates for a long time and it is
:16:40. > :16:46.not that much of a surprise and it is a big deal for Donald Trump.
:16:47. > :16:54.When she joined John McCain on the ticket she was a boost, but that
:16:55. > :16:59.only lasted a few weeks. So how much of a boost is she really? The reason
:17:00. > :17:06.I think it's a big deal is the timing of this. We're ten days from
:17:07. > :17:16.the aye what Caucasus. Iowa. He's feeling the pinch with Ted Cruz. Ted
:17:17. > :17:22.Cruz gaining in the polls. That's causing Donald Trump some worry. He
:17:23. > :17:26.wants to make sure he wins Iowa. Sarah Palin's endorsement could be
:17:27. > :17:29.the boost that pushes him into a late surge in that state. That would
:17:30. > :17:34.be very important for him. I'm not sure if she brings in a massive
:17:35. > :17:38.amount of new supporters. She's a conservative. I suspect that people
:17:39. > :17:42.that like Sarah Palin already like Donald Trump. I think it's the
:17:43. > :17:46.momentum. It's the buzz. It's the fact that we are all talking, once
:17:47. > :17:52.again, about Donald Trump, and not about that guy who is competing with
:17:53. > :17:56.him Ted Cruz. Thank you very much. Have a good programme. That's live
:17:57. > :18:03.from the World News America studio in Washington DC. We're going to
:18:04. > :18:06.stay? The US d -- stay in the US and focus on Flint in Michigan. There's
:18:07. > :18:11.a major environmental disaster playing out. It's to do with the
:18:12. > :18:14.town's water supply. It's become severely contaminated with lead
:18:15. > :18:23.because of an ageing pipeline system.
:18:24. > :18:29.The birthplace of General Motors, Flint, Michigan, is a symbol of
:18:30. > :18:40.industrial decline. Now a new danger - its water. Melissa, once a healthy
:18:41. > :18:44.mother of three, blames her family's recent health problems on the city's
:18:45. > :18:49.water. It was in the fall of 2014 we started to lose our hair, all five
:18:50. > :18:55.of us. We started to develop rashes on our arms and face. It wouldn't go
:18:56. > :18:58.away. It hurt. So you know, we'd ask questions, and they'd tell us the
:18:59. > :19:02.water is just harder, it's fine. Come in here and get some water. It
:19:03. > :19:08.was far from fine. Her children's blood tests revealed high exposure
:19:09. > :19:13.to lead. So how did Flint's water supply become contaminated? To save
:19:14. > :19:17.money, the city stopped pumping water from Detroit and started
:19:18. > :19:24.pumping it from the Flint River. The problem is it's a lot more
:19:25. > :19:27.corrosive, damaging Flint's ageing pipes and leeching lead into the
:19:28. > :19:31.water supply. The state didn't acknowledge there was lead in the
:19:32. > :19:35.water until September, a year-and-a-half after the switch.
:19:36. > :19:40.They didn't ask for government help until last week. President Obama has
:19:41. > :19:43.now declared a state of emergency. We found some really hot pockets
:19:44. > :19:48.where the lead levels were the worst. The paediatrician who helped
:19:49. > :19:50.exroz the lead problem says residents would live with the
:19:51. > :19:55.consequences for the rest of their lives. It affects their cognition.
:19:56. > :20:00.So their thinking, it drops children's IQ. It drops their IQ
:20:01. > :20:06.points. So imagine what this has done to an entire population? We
:20:07. > :20:10.have shifted that IQ curve down. In a largely black sitsy, a sense of
:20:11. > :20:16.betrayal -- City, a sense of betrayal and anger. Film maker
:20:17. > :20:19.Michael Moore said what many were thinking, this wouldn't have
:20:20. > :20:25.happened anywhere else. This is not just a water crisis, it's a racial
:20:26. > :20:30.crisis. It's a poverty crisis. Relying on donated water, resz dents
:20:31. > :20:35.fetch all the -- residents fetch all the bottles they can carry, a
:20:36. > :20:39.routine that's wearing thing but -- thin, but one they have to get used
:20:40. > :20:46.to. It may be years before the water is safe to drink again.
:20:47. > :20:50.Now just in case you've just joined me, let me just reiterate the
:20:51. > :20:56.breaking news we began the programme with, that Islamic State group has
:20:57. > :21:01.confirmed the death of Jihadi John. The UK and the US governments have
:21:02. > :21:06.been saying this is the case for a long while. This was due to a drone
:21:07. > :21:09.strike in early November. This is the first Islamic State has
:21:10. > :21:15.confirmed that he has been killed. He is the person allegedly appearing
:21:16. > :21:21.in several grotesque IS videos in which we see people being held by
:21:22. > :21:27.Islamic State, being beheaded. Next we turn to a story from
:21:28. > :21:30.Estonia, which our colleagues at Outside Source radio alerted us to.
:21:31. > :21:36.It's about Europe's longest ice road. Its about to open. It connects
:21:37. > :21:40.the Estonian mainland to an island, which is only open in the winter,
:21:41. > :21:48.for the obvious reason that's the only time the ice is thick enough.
:21:49. > :21:52.The director of the island's museum is here beautifully describing this
:21:53. > :21:56.extraordinary journey. This is not much scary. You don't
:21:57. > :22:00.feel actually being on the ice, you just know it. Below you have about
:22:01. > :22:06.20 metres of water, but it's quite safe. It is not glass ice. It is
:22:07. > :22:09.covered with snow. So you have a feeling of driving in the
:22:10. > :22:15.countryside on a big field rather than on ice. Actually it's very big
:22:16. > :22:20.and good feeling for an islander. We normally go by ships, by ferries,
:22:21. > :22:24.boats, and for a couple of months during the winter, to go by car,
:22:25. > :22:31.it's a very good feeling. The road is well prepared, very safe. There
:22:32. > :22:35.will be road signs. They will cut from the forests and put from the
:22:36. > :22:39.road so you can see where the road goes. There is a speed limit of 70
:22:40. > :22:43.kilometres per hour. What is interesting, it's not only the upper
:22:44. > :22:48.limit, but lower limit. You can't drive too slow. You must drive
:22:49. > :23:01.approximately the same speed all the time. Something mesmeric about that.
:23:02. > :23:10.That's all for now. I'll see you at the same time tomorrow. Bye-bye.
:23:11. > :23:13.Here's some of the stories on Sportsday this evening. There were
:23:14. > :23:18.eight FA Cup third round replays being played tonight. Eastleigh were
:23:19. > :23:20.the only non-league team left in the competition. They were