18/11/2013

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:00:17. > :00:28.Tonight: The gap in the finances of an independent Scotland. A think

:00:29. > :00:36.tank warns that spending will be cut off taxes will be raised. A tenfold

:00:37. > :00:42.increase in hotel room prices for the Commonwealth Games. There did

:00:43. > :00:46.not seem to be anything available, and what was available has several

:00:47. > :00:55.zeros on the end of the normal price.

:00:56. > :01:03.Also: The Aberdeen -based finance company that has become the largest

:01:04. > :01:07.in Europe. He is one of the greatest rugby players from Scotland, we

:01:08. > :01:14.speak to Gavin Hastings as he prepares to be inducted to the world

:01:15. > :01:20.hall of fame. And we join the stars of film and television on the red

:01:21. > :01:23.carpet. A highly respected think tank has

:01:24. > :01:31.warned that an independent Scotland will need to cut public spending or

:01:32. > :01:36.increase taxes. The Institute for Fiscal Studies says that an ageing

:01:37. > :01:43.population and declining North Sea revenues will lead to severe

:01:44. > :01:46.financial challenges. We already knew that the United Kingdom's

:01:47. > :01:53.finances are in a bad way with the deficit to a high and debt rising

:01:54. > :01:58.fast. The independent Scotland would inherit a share of that. Economists

:01:59. > :02:03.say that the challenges would worsen. The amount that has to be

:02:04. > :02:09.squeezed out of spending at nearly 2% of national income would you more

:02:10. > :02:14.than twice that of the UK. To illustrate what that means, the

:02:15. > :02:22.institute says there could be an 8% cut on public services spending or a

:02:23. > :02:32.rise in taxes. That would be eight years from now, after completing

:02:33. > :02:38.austerity measures. Jam tomorrow? What about today's evidence? An

:02:39. > :02:40.ageing population with fewer immigrants is one reason that

:02:41. > :02:45.Scottish finances look more challenging than Britain's. Oil

:02:46. > :02:53.revenue would help for now but it does seem to be in long-term

:02:54. > :02:57.decline. Something needs to be done. Something to cope with what we know

:02:58. > :03:04.is highly likely to happen, in particular, the ageing of the

:03:05. > :03:10.population. It is seen by some as evidence that nationalist promises

:03:11. > :03:14.are too good to be true. You need to meet everyday costs as well as

:03:15. > :03:20.meeting the cost of a rising population. Independence is all

:03:21. > :03:25.about the opportunity to get out of that type of situation and create an

:03:26. > :03:28.economic future based on greater prosperity for people in Scotland,

:03:29. > :03:39.tackling the inherent inequality ovulated and. -- of the United

:03:40. > :03:44.Kingdom. The Scottish government will look back more than 30 years

:03:45. > :03:49.when setting out the case. It will make estimates on how much higher

:03:50. > :03:55.incomes could have been if the model had been that of other small

:03:56. > :04:06.independent nations. By the time of the recent financial crunch it would

:04:07. > :04:13.have been 900 rounds Peterhead. -- ?900 per head.

:04:14. > :04:19.You can see more on this on BBC Two at 11pm.

:04:20. > :04:23.Visitors to Glasgow for the Commonwealth Games can expect to pay

:04:24. > :04:31.up to ten times the normal price of a hotel. Organisers say they expect

:04:32. > :04:40.prices to come down but as our Commonwealth reporter has been

:04:41. > :04:46.finding out, they could be in for a shock. Construction work continues

:04:47. > :04:53.in Glasgow. Another new hotel. One of many. 12,000 hotel rooms will be

:04:54. > :04:57.filled across this city for the Commonwealth Games. But how much

:04:58. > :05:02.will it cost and how easy are they to find? This fire secured tickets

:05:03. > :05:08.for the boxing and has already booked his flights. -- this fan. But

:05:09. > :05:18.when he tried to book accommodation... I was in a daze.

:05:19. > :05:24.What is available has several zeros at the end of the price.

:05:25. > :05:33.Comparing availability with ten random hotels outside of games time,

:05:34. > :05:37.the difference is huge. The average price is ?75 90 outside of the

:05:38. > :05:51.games. On the day of the opening ceremony, it goes up to ?362. The

:05:52. > :05:59.average jump is 410%. The hotels have allocations with

:06:00. > :06:06.companies. Touring groups. Those allocations will come back into the

:06:07. > :06:14.market. We expect that from January. But not all hoteliers are looking to

:06:15. > :06:24.cash in. Increasing prices is against our philosophy. This city is

:06:25. > :06:30.trusting and friendly, I think it gives a different picture.

:06:31. > :06:36.Big prices go hand-in-hand with big events. Just how big they are in

:06:37. > :06:45.Glasgow will only be known once the games are over.

:06:46. > :06:49.Still to come: Attempts to attract more visitors and boost income by

:06:50. > :06:54.helping tourists research the Scottish roots.

:06:55. > :07:02.A place in the Scottish squad for enthusiasm and finishing, we hear

:07:03. > :07:10.from Kris Boyd. And Gavin Hastings talks to us about the greatest

:07:11. > :07:15.regret of his career. A decade ago the company was on the

:07:16. > :07:21.brink of collapse. Today, Aberdeen asset management became Europe's I

:07:22. > :07:24.kissed independent fund manager. Their takeover of the Scottish

:07:25. > :07:29.Widows investment arm from Lloyds bank is the nickel so far in the

:07:30. > :07:32.career of Martin Gilbert, once described as a government committee

:07:33. > :07:46.is a sophisticated snake oil salesmen. -- is the pinnacle of the

:07:47. > :07:49.carrier. The company grew from being three

:07:50. > :07:58.men in an office to being the largest in Europe. It now manages

:07:59. > :08:06.funds worth ?350 billion. I never thought we would reach 1

:08:07. > :08:13.billion, let alone 350. It is just staggering. In those days you did

:08:14. > :08:18.not think that so much wealth existed in the world. It has been a

:08:19. > :08:23.fantastic journey. But in 2002 the company faced near

:08:24. > :08:29.financial collapse. Investors lost millions. Martin Gilbert appeared

:08:30. > :08:36.before a Commons select committee accused of being a sophisticated

:08:37. > :08:43.snake oil salesmen. We put a low risk warning on it. How you react to

:08:44. > :08:50.adversity is what makes you as a person. That is what made us as a

:08:51. > :08:57.company. It made us the resilient company we are today. The deal with

:08:58. > :09:02.Lloyds banking group means it can now compete with the largest

:09:03. > :09:06.American fund managers. But any takeover will lead to concerns over

:09:07. > :09:11.job cuts in Edinburgh, were both companies have headquarters. Martin

:09:12. > :09:16.Gilbert however says the deal is good for Scotland and will bring

:09:17. > :09:20.more business to the city. The law is to be changed on school

:09:21. > :09:25.closures. The Scottish government says it wants to make the process

:09:26. > :09:31.more transparent. Our education correspondent is with us. What is

:09:32. > :09:36.changing? It follows concerns about removal school closures. The

:09:37. > :09:46.government wants to make sure parents and communities are better

:09:47. > :09:49.informed. -- rural school closures. The changes include clearer

:09:50. > :09:54.financial information to set out the case. It is to guarantee confidence

:09:55. > :09:59.amongst parents and communities regards the decision making process,

:10:00. > :10:05.even if the decision is inevitably going to be controversial. There is

:10:06. > :10:09.also the question of how to appeal against a decision to shut a

:10:10. > :10:15.school. The government want to establish an independent review

:10:16. > :10:25.body. The thinking is to try to offer reassurance. The real test

:10:26. > :10:30.will be the next time any council proposes widespread closures. Let's

:10:31. > :10:35.wait and see. Some of the country's most historic

:10:36. > :10:41.courts have begun a move to cut costs. The Sheriff Court in Rothesay

:10:42. > :10:49.had one of its last sittings today. There are claims that the closure

:10:50. > :10:54.could compromise security. The ferry to the mainland takes 45 minutes.

:10:55. > :10:58.People have a strong sense of community and self-sufficiency. They

:10:59. > :11:03.mounted a campaign against proposals to close the Sheriff Court and

:11:04. > :11:08.transfer cases to Greenock, a ferry and train ride away. The campaign

:11:09. > :11:12.was led by the island newspaper which said that justice will not be

:11:13. > :11:19.seen to be done as it cannot cover cases in Greenock in the future. It

:11:20. > :11:22.is just another example of the best interests of the local community

:11:23. > :11:27.being disregarded in favour of financial arguments. Which are

:11:28. > :11:32.debatable at best. Quite apart from the financial arguments there was

:11:33. > :11:37.also the public safety implication. Both sides in a case must travel to

:11:38. > :11:42.court on the same ferry. Bute could become a less safe place to live as

:11:43. > :11:48.a result. The court is not busy, healing on

:11:49. > :11:54.average two criminal cases per week. Closing it will save around ?6,000

:11:55. > :11:57.every year. But local solicitors say that will be far outweighed by

:11:58. > :12:02.increased costs to police in having to go across to Greenock for trials

:12:03. > :12:08.in the future, and witness expenses from the legal aid budget. Lawyers

:12:09. > :12:11.reject Court service claims that video technology could help some

:12:12. > :12:18.witnesses avoiding having to travel to Greenock. That, interim, will

:12:19. > :12:24.lead to less people reporting crime and cooperating with the police. The

:12:25. > :12:31.police are concerned. It will have a huge impact on a struggling police

:12:32. > :12:34.force on the island. The flatpack furniture is put up when the local

:12:35. > :12:39.council is not using the room. The court service insist the closure

:12:40. > :12:45.will improve services across Scotland. It is about investing in

:12:46. > :12:49.the proper facilities, about making sure that in future we have the

:12:50. > :12:55.right technology to allow people to play a role in the justice system.

:12:56. > :13:03.He has rejected a last-minute campaign to keep some court cases in

:13:04. > :13:09.Rothesay. A priest who wrote about a culture

:13:10. > :13:16.of homosexual bullying in the Catholic church has been suspended.

:13:17. > :13:19.Father Matthew Despard Is now the subject of a disciplinary process.

:13:20. > :13:31.Dozens of parishioners walked out of John Ogilvie Church in protest at

:13:32. > :13:36.his treatment. A patient slipped off an operating table at the Western

:13:37. > :13:42.general in May, whilst unconscious. In another incident a surgical swab

:13:43. > :13:47.was left inside a patient. More than 1000 staff will now undergo training

:13:48. > :13:52.measures. Licensing boards in the south-west

:13:53. > :13:59.being asked to call time on the new pub and of licence applications in

:14:00. > :14:03.Dumfries and Stranraer. NHS Dumfries and Galloway say they are spending

:14:04. > :14:09.about ?40 million every year dealing with drink related illness. Bus

:14:10. > :14:13.users in Edinburgh have been using the country's first smart ticket

:14:14. > :14:29.John Ogilvie first smart -- first smart ticket

:14:30. > :14:37.app. It starts with the bosses. When the tram enters the service, the

:14:38. > :14:44.same app can be used regardless of whether you are on a bus or a tramp.

:14:45. > :14:49.A campaign to showcase the world-famous border horse festivals

:14:50. > :14:56.has been launched. It will bring together the events from the 11

:14:57. > :15:00.border towns. There are more stories from your

:15:01. > :15:07.area and all the latest news and analysis on BBC Scotland's website.

:15:08. > :15:13.So-called ancestral tourism could earn Scotland billions of pounds.

:15:14. > :15:15.Tourist chiefs have been told that capitalising on the growing number

:15:16. > :15:19.of foreigners researching their roots and those drawn by next

:15:20. > :15:23.year's major events like the Ryder Cup could mean big business. A case

:15:24. > :15:30.of who do you think you are and how much do you think he will spend?

:15:31. > :15:35.-- you will. Scotland's cultural heritage is already a big draw for

:15:36. > :15:44.visitors. There is increasing in charge -- interest. This museum in

:15:45. > :15:49.Sutherland is already capitalising on the interest, only this year at

:15:50. > :15:56.attracting 2000 visitors to a series of events. Over the last ten years,

:15:57. > :16:02.we have seen a significant increase, not just in the numbers of

:16:03. > :16:09.people involved in ancestral research, but also the age. It has

:16:10. > :16:14.become of its trendier. Something like 50 million people worldwide can

:16:15. > :16:23.claim Scottish ancestry and that is a big market. Go to the places, it

:16:24. > :16:27.makes it much more exciting. A lot of people said they get a sense of

:16:28. > :16:35.the family spirit in that particular area. Museum exhibitions are all

:16:36. > :16:41.well and good, but one thing that strikes people who come here soon --

:16:42. > :16:44.seeking their roots is the desire to establish a personal connection with

:16:45. > :16:49.the place they have chosen to visit. It could be -- it could be a

:16:50. > :16:54.Matheson from Canada. Within ten minutes, we could be on the phone to

:16:55. > :16:59.them and you will be sitting in our cafe having a cup of the with new

:17:00. > :17:03.relatives you did not know about. Next year, visitors will be flooding

:17:04. > :17:07.into Scotland for events like the Ryder Cup and the Commonwealth

:17:08. > :17:13.Games. Attracting some of them to research their roots could spread

:17:14. > :17:21.the economic benefit further afield. Let's have a look at the sport.

:17:22. > :17:25.Good evening. Scotland manager Gordon Strachan says he has turned

:17:26. > :17:30.to Kris Boyd for his enthusiasm and finishing. Three years after he last

:17:31. > :17:33.played for his country, the Germanic striker admits it is a great

:17:34. > :17:42.surprise to be back in the national squad. -- kill my neck.

:17:43. > :17:51.He was back amongst the goals for Scotland, although it was only a

:17:52. > :17:59.training session. As a footballer, there is nothing prouder. It is a

:18:00. > :18:05.great honour. I look forward to it. That wasn't always the case. He

:18:06. > :18:09.didn't want to play for his country under George Burley, he last played

:18:10. > :18:13.three years ago. He feels he has learned a lot since then. I have a

:18:14. > :18:23.better appreciation of the game. It is not just about you. It is about

:18:24. > :18:29.the 14. -- 14. There's no doubting his prowess. With Rangers, he was

:18:30. > :18:33.the all-time top scorer with 164 goals and then 18 games for

:18:34. > :18:37.Scotland, he scored seven times. His return to his club team followed

:18:38. > :18:43.unsuccessful spells in Turkey and America. I think he brings

:18:44. > :18:51.enthusiasm. It is great. And he is finishing. We all know he has

:18:52. > :18:55.limitations, we all know what he likes. He wouldn't be starting

:18:56. > :18:57.tomorrow, he knows that. But he could get on. Chances of that have

:18:58. > :19:14.improved, with... Six Australian players including

:19:15. > :19:20.Nick Cummings had been suspended for Saturday's test against Scotland.

:19:21. > :19:24.They had been out drinking the night before their match against Ireland.

:19:25. > :19:28.The Scots are still licking their wounds after a punishing defeat to

:19:29. > :19:33.South Africa. The players know where improvements need to be made before

:19:34. > :19:37.meeting in Australia. It would be a massive game. Gilbert have a

:19:38. > :19:42.dominant display. It will be tough, there's no question about that. The

:19:43. > :19:48.solution for us is simple, fix the set piece and breakdown and we are

:19:49. > :19:52.capable of beating them. The 30-year-old has reached the third

:19:53. > :19:56.round up at Wimbledon and the Australian open and enjoyed 12 years

:19:57. > :20:04.of Team GB in the Fed cup. It has not been easy. It has taken time to

:20:05. > :20:08.finally decide to retire, but I think when you have on your body

:20:09. > :20:14.around the court the way I have for 16 years, I think my body is saying

:20:15. > :20:18.that it is time to pack it in. Just one Scottish premiership game at the

:20:19. > :20:25.weekend source and Mirren beat Ross County by 2-1.

:20:26. > :20:29.It was a controversial game. You can see more of the goals and

:20:30. > :20:35.action from that game plus more sport stories and all the latest

:20:36. > :20:46.news on BBC sport Scotland's website.

:20:47. > :20:50.What happened there? Here we are. Gavin Hastings has achieved so much

:20:51. > :20:55.in world rugby. There is one standout moment that he says is his

:20:56. > :21:01.biggest regret. He is being inducted into the World Hall of Fame, 61 caps

:21:02. > :21:05.for Scotland. He went on to captain both his country and the British and

:21:06. > :21:10.Irish Lions in a glittering career. He has been reliving the highs and

:21:11. > :21:15.lows with our reporter. It is a walking made countless

:21:16. > :21:22.times, both as a player and a leader. Murrayfield, a home from

:21:23. > :21:28.home. Running out here with the pipes and

:21:29. > :21:34.drums and the crowd is an amazing experience. After coming through age

:21:35. > :21:38.grade and university teams, he made the jersey his own. His greatest

:21:39. > :21:46.moment came in 1990 when the grand slam decider against England. No

:21:47. > :21:47.secrets or hidden gems. It was a conviction that we were going to

:21:48. > :22:04.win. 18 months later, the glory turned to

:22:05. > :22:10.personal despair in the World Cup semifinal. If I could change one

:22:11. > :22:17.thing, it would be that kick. Whether we would go on to win that

:22:18. > :22:22.game, we will never know. Could you have won the World Cup? Probably.

:22:23. > :22:27.Nearly 20 years after his retirement, the rugby world still

:22:28. > :22:33.fondly remembered as one of Scotland's greatest players. It is a

:22:34. > :22:40.thing that puts a smile on your face. You can give yourself a pat on

:22:41. > :22:46.the back and say, it is lovely. And it is lovely, it is fantastic. I

:22:47. > :22:53.feel very honoured. Some great memories there.

:22:54. > :22:57.We stay with awards. It may have rained a bit on the red carpet, but

:22:58. > :23:04.some of the biggest names in film and television attended last night

:23:05. > :23:12.the Scottish BAFTAs. Many were among the stars.

:23:13. > :23:16.From Brian Cox to Kelly MacDonald. From the big to the small screen and

:23:17. > :23:21.all those who work behind the scenes. This is a celebration of the

:23:22. > :23:25.whole industry. It was a strong year for

:23:26. > :23:32.documentaries. This one about motor neuron disease won best director.

:23:33. > :23:41.Another 13 behind BBC's Scotland's documentary Sins Of Our Fathers.

:23:42. > :23:45.This film based on the memoirs of a former Glasgow gangster won the

:23:46. > :23:49.audience vote. I don't make films for critics. I

:23:50. > :23:56.make them for people who go and enjoy cinema. This is much more

:23:57. > :24:02.important. Handing out the prizes, the star of one of the most talked

:24:03. > :24:13.about stars in Scotland. He stars in outlander. There are 20 million

:24:14. > :24:20.people that have bought the books. There are a lot of followers around

:24:21. > :24:27.the world. We will see how it goes, it is a massive world and Scotland

:24:28. > :24:31.gets to present it. From one of Scotland's best known actors to

:24:32. > :24:34.another. Richard Wilson has appeared on stage and screen for the best

:24:35. > :24:42.part of 50 years, most famously as Victor Meldrew. Last night, he did

:24:43. > :24:50.not believe it. It is very special. It is so nice to have this towards

:24:51. > :24:53.the end of one's career. But my career, I am still working, I'm

:24:54. > :25:06.still going strong. I hope it does not mean the end, as it were.

:25:07. > :25:11.As winter weather descends that have a look at the weather.

:25:12. > :25:17.Technically it is still autumn, but it will feel like winter. A lot of

:25:18. > :25:21.talk about snowfall. Most of us won't see the white stuff, it is ice

:25:22. > :25:30.that we are concerned about. There is a yellow warning in place. We

:25:31. > :25:34.still have these showers pushing in which will be wintry. Some sleet and

:25:35. > :25:40.snow on high ground, occasionally to low levels. It will be clear and

:25:41. > :25:44.cold for most of the country. A widespread frost. Temperatures sub

:25:45. > :25:49.zero for most. Maybe holding up around the coast. A cold start

:25:50. > :25:53.tomorrow. It will be icy and frosty. Then we tend to lose the showers

:25:54. > :25:58.across the west coast and the North East. There is a lot of sunshine in

:25:59. > :26:04.the forecast. Don't let that fool you, it will be a cold day. By mid

:26:05. > :26:09.afternoon, maybe just two or three Celsius at best. Add on a wind,

:26:10. > :26:14.it'll feel colder. Then we will see cloud working in from the Highlands.

:26:15. > :26:17.The sunshine will hopefully last the further east you are and the cloud

:26:18. > :26:22.rolling into wards Orkney and Shetland and Inverness as we had

:26:23. > :26:26.through the afternoon. As the rain comes in, it will meet the cold air

:26:27. > :26:30.and initially turned to snow over high ground, then turned back to

:26:31. > :26:35.rain. The wind is the next big feature. We have another warning in

:26:36. > :26:39.force, a yellow warning, it is early as it is for Wednesday, but we will

:26:40. > :26:46.see some storm force gusts across the northern and western isles. It

:26:47. > :26:49.is all thanks this pressure system. Notice the tightly packed isobars.

:26:50. > :26:55.The rain in the South Clays on Wednesday. A number of showers

:26:56. > :27:00.around. The winds will be very strong on the west coast.

:27:01. > :27:07.Temperatures will be seven, but will feel colder. Thursday is better,

:27:08. > :27:12.were less windy for a start. My goodness, tomorrow is going to be

:27:13. > :27:17.very cold. That is the forecast. A reminder of tonight's main news.

:27:18. > :27:20.Two leading Internet companies are to introduce changes to make it

:27:21. > :27:23.harder for people to access images of child sex abuse.

:27:24. > :27:28.Google and Microsoft says that it means that more than 100,000 search

:27:29. > :27:34.terms will not direct people to illegal content.

:27:35. > :27:38.A highly respected think tank has warned that an independent Scotland

:27:39. > :27:43.would need to cut public spending or increase taxes to ensure that its

:27:44. > :27:45.economy was on a sustainable footing.

:27:46. > :27:50.The Institute for Fiscal Studies said an ageing population and

:27:51. > :27:53.declining revenues will lead to severe financial challenges. A woman

:27:54. > :27:56.has pleaded guilty to murdering three men and dumping their bodies

:27:57. > :28:01.in a stitch. Joanna Dennehy from Peter Brock also

:28:02. > :28:06.admitted the attempted murder of two other men. Victims were found in

:28:07. > :28:09.March and April and all three had been stabbed. That is Reporting

:28:10. > :28:13.Scotland. From everyone around the country and

:28:14. > :28:16.on our Glasgow team, enjoy your evening.