04/10/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.The International Monetary Fund cuts its forecast for UK

:00:00. > :00:00.economic growth next year, and the pound hits a 31-year

:00:07. > :00:30.But the Prime Minister insists the economy is fundamentally strong.

:00:31. > :00:34.At the Conservative Party Conference, Theresa May

:00:35. > :00:37.acknowledges there will be "bumps in the road" for the UK economy

:00:38. > :00:43.In Syria, the failure of a ceasefire has led to renewed

:00:44. > :00:46.suffering for the country's children.

:00:47. > :00:49.And it's World Ballet Day - a classical art form

:00:50. > :01:09.In Birmingham today, Theresa May responded to that IMF forecast by

:01:10. > :01:10.reasserting that the UK economy remains in good shape, despite

:01:11. > :01:13.Brexit induced jitters. The prospect of a second referendum

:01:14. > :01:16.has been described as a Sword of Damocles hanging over

:01:17. > :01:18.the Scottish economy. Here's our Westminster

:01:19. > :01:31.Correspondent, Nick Eardley. It's a topic which has left some

:01:32. > :01:38.confused. Mark my word, we will make breakfast... Brexit a success. He

:01:39. > :01:41.might have been left with egg on his face, but the Conservatives argued

:01:42. > :01:48.the UK could make more of a success of Brexit fan of the Welsh leader

:01:49. > :01:53.did of sound bite this morning. At a session celebrating the UK union,

:01:54. > :01:57.David Mundell used his speech to see Scotland's relationship with the

:01:58. > :02:01.rest of the UK would be crucial. It would be that strong, stable broad

:02:02. > :02:06.shoulders of the UK that carry our country through the coming years.

:02:07. > :02:11.But one thing I want to be absolutely clear on. We will

:02:12. > :02:14.negotiate as United Kingdom. Leave as the United Kingdom. And face the

:02:15. > :02:21.future together as the United Kingdom. The UK Government admits

:02:22. > :02:27.Brexit would be risk-free. But he thinks there's a threat. As we look

:02:28. > :02:34.to EU exit, remember that Scotland's trades over four times more with the

:02:35. > :02:39.rest of the EU than with the EU. This is a bedrock of support that

:02:40. > :02:45.can only come from being part of the UK. Some things have been made clear

:02:46. > :02:50.him in Bellingham. The UK Government intends to bleed on all Brexit

:02:51. > :02:54.talks, and it fully expect Scotland to leave the EU at the same time as

:02:55. > :02:58.the rest of the UK. So, what happens next? Is David Mundell right, or

:02:59. > :03:02.does got the need to rethink its relationship with the UK to maintain

:03:03. > :03:06.its relationship with Europe? Likely to influence that debate is the

:03:07. > :03:10.economic influence of Brexit. Some warnings and that French today. The

:03:11. > :03:15.pound fell to a 31 year low against the dollar, and the IMF has cut its

:03:16. > :03:18.growth forecast for the UK next year. The Prime Minister thinks

:03:19. > :03:22.Brexit is an opportunity. She has pledged to make a success of it. But

:03:23. > :03:26.she also admits it won't all be plain sailing. The process of

:03:27. > :03:30.leaving the European Union is going to be one which will take complex

:03:31. > :03:35.negotiations with the EU. I'm very clear that we want to get the radio

:03:36. > :03:39.for the UK. As I said, it's not going to be plain sailing and there

:03:40. > :03:41.will be some bumps in the road. We should always remember that the

:03:42. > :03:46.fundamentals of the UK economy are strong. We have the fifth largest

:03:47. > :03:49.economy in the world. Employment is a record high and we have been one

:03:50. > :03:54.of the fastest-growing economies over recent years. As we look ahead

:03:55. > :04:00.to the deal will have with European Union, and claim we want the best

:04:01. > :04:04.deal for British business and here in the UK. Many of the Conservative

:04:05. > :04:07.faithful think the future is bright outside the EU. But questions and

:04:08. > :04:09.many of them still remain on the road to Brexit.

:04:10. > :04:11.The International Monetary Fund has given its latest forecast

:04:12. > :04:14.It's warned that overall economic recovery remains

:04:15. > :04:16."weak and precarious" but predicts growth this year of 3.1%,

:04:17. > :04:21.The IMF has raised its prediction for UK GDP growth this

:04:22. > :04:25.year to 1.8%, but cuts the figure for 2017 to 1.1%.

:04:26. > :04:30.It forecasts weaker growth in the USA and says the Brexit vote

:04:31. > :04:31.I've been speaking to Fabien Zuleeg, Chief Executive

:04:32. > :04:40.of the European Policy Centre, and the economist Vicky Pryce.

:04:41. > :04:48.It is obvious they are still very worried. Leros are some factors

:04:49. > :04:52.which are keeping growth down in the world economy. One of the most

:04:53. > :04:58.important things is well trained. Which has simply not been picking up

:04:59. > :05:01.as it should do at this point of the cycle. That is happening mainly

:05:02. > :05:06.because of geopolitical tensions and commodity price declines. A number

:05:07. > :05:10.of companies are really not growing very fast at all. Normally, trader

:05:11. > :05:14.should be growing faster, considerably faster, than world

:05:15. > :05:17.growth. The fact that it isn't is keeping world growth itself quite

:05:18. > :05:22.subdued. I think that makes the whole environment in which any of

:05:23. > :05:30.those events which could unsettle it could upset it much more risky for

:05:31. > :05:34.the future. Fabien, the IMF looks different countries and different

:05:35. > :05:38.projections. For the UK, the forecast for this year was OK. But

:05:39. > :05:43.for next year, they are predicting a slight dip. Was not something you

:05:44. > :05:46.would have expected in the post Brexit environment? I think we are

:05:47. > :05:52.going to see the impact of the Brexit process. At the moment, we

:05:53. > :05:56.are still talking about a process. We haven't had Brexit yet. The full

:05:57. > :06:02.impact is not going to, not even next year, but beyond that. Vicky,

:06:03. > :06:07.the IMF mentioned the difficulties of being anti-immigration and

:06:08. > :06:12.anti-trade, and raising those big political issues. Are those really

:06:13. > :06:16.going to be the decider is, do you think, of economic, particularly in

:06:17. > :06:20.the next year? Those points are very important that they are making. What

:06:21. > :06:23.we have seen is that the world is becoming a bit more protectionist.

:06:24. > :06:27.When economies are not doing very well done everyone becomes more

:06:28. > :06:32.nationalistic they see what is going on right now in the US with the

:06:33. > :06:34.presidential elections. Of course, you get that protectionist sentiment

:06:35. > :06:42.coming through. It's quite worrying, if you at the meeting that took

:06:43. > :06:46.place in September by the G20 when they raised protectionism as one of

:06:47. > :06:49.the areas they wanted to combat. They in fact argued that they are

:06:50. > :06:56.doing a lot to reduce it. In reality, as we know from various

:06:57. > :06:59.reports, 70% of all the recent protectionist measures came from G20

:07:00. > :07:06.countries. One of the things the IMF is worried about is also the UK and

:07:07. > :07:09.Brexit and the way in which trade relationships with Europe will take

:07:10. > :07:16.quite some time to unravel and to lead to a conclusion where we get to

:07:17. > :07:21.beat again. But certainly worries them. If the developed countries to

:07:22. > :07:24.form protection policies, what is the impact on the developing

:07:25. > :07:29.countries who are trying to trade and increase their trade? That is

:07:30. > :07:32.the real concern. That trade is simply not going to pick up as fast

:07:33. > :07:36.as it should if everybody is just trying to look after themselves.

:07:37. > :07:41.There is an added issue which is that the financial sector itself has

:07:42. > :07:51.also reach wrenched considerably following big financial choices. --

:07:52. > :07:54.has also curtailed following the big financial trenches. It is one of the

:07:55. > :07:57.reasons we have seen trade growth nothing like what it should be

:07:58. > :08:02.because finance has simply not been forthcoming. The effort of the

:08:03. > :08:07.central banks all around the world, particularly the European Central

:08:08. > :08:11.Bank, has been to put in -- to ensure the finance actually

:08:12. > :08:17.materialises. Without that, we are going to be finding very low growth

:08:18. > :08:22.in the world economy as a whole. Those protectionist measures, if

:08:23. > :08:26.anything, will increase. Fabien, you are currently advising the Scottish

:08:27. > :08:29.Government on Brexit. How was that process going and how different is

:08:30. > :08:36.the situation for Scotland within the UK? At the moment, we're looking

:08:37. > :08:42.at different options, how Scotland's interest in the EU can be protected.

:08:43. > :08:46.Of course, Scotland have some specific concerns with its

:08:47. > :08:52.relationship to the EU, but also with regards to the global trade

:08:53. > :08:56.situation. WTO rules are being affected by Brexit as well. We are

:08:57. > :09:00.looking at all of these implications and advising the government

:09:01. > :09:05.accordingly. The fall in sterling that we saw today, how much is that

:09:06. > :09:09.adding to the uncertainty looking forward? I think what we are seeing

:09:10. > :09:14.now is exactly what was expected. There would be quite a significant

:09:15. > :09:18.devaluation of sterling, but even more so that we are actually seeing

:09:19. > :09:21.volatility in the market because of the uncertainty to do with the

:09:22. > :09:26.political process, which is unfolding. I would expect that we

:09:27. > :09:30.are going to continue to see quite a bit of change in the sterling

:09:31. > :09:34.exchange rate to the euro, depending on how markets judge the likelihood

:09:35. > :09:38.of a hard Brexit Borisov Brexit. What kind of a deal do you think

:09:39. > :09:45.Scotland could end up getting, and how much are you considering the

:09:46. > :09:48.difference that it could make if Scotland was independent? Firstly,

:09:49. > :09:52.this is about determining what the UK negotiation position is going to

:09:53. > :09:56.be. There are some interests which ought to be protected for the UK as

:09:57. > :10:00.a whole. Which is also in the interest of Scotland. If that is the

:10:01. > :10:07.route the UK Government is going to go down, I think then the prospect

:10:08. > :10:11.of a Scottish independence referendum is probably not on the

:10:12. > :10:15.horizon. However, if the UK Government goes for a very hard

:10:16. > :10:20.Brexit, I think it will be one of the things which will be considered.

:10:21. > :10:23.Vicky, you were at the Conservative Party conference in Birmingham, you

:10:24. > :10:27.have been attending some of the fringe events. Theresa May was very

:10:28. > :10:32.firm today that she wasn't overly concerned about the fall in sterling

:10:33. > :10:36.in particular. She seems to be giving a very confident face going

:10:37. > :10:41.forward. What were you picking up in the mood of the events you have been

:10:42. > :10:45.at? I think there is certainly confusion about what sort of exit

:10:46. > :10:50.we're going to have. Whether it will be a hard Brexit or some people call

:10:51. > :10:56.it a clean Brexit. Or whether we will still be trying to negotiate

:10:57. > :11:04.after we repeal the act which tied us to the European community. In

:11:05. > :11:08.fact, what it means in terms of negotiating which rules we keep and

:11:09. > :11:12.which rules we get rid of, that would be a long process. People

:11:13. > :11:16.realise that would be the case. What we know is that the economy is

:11:17. > :11:22.likely to slow down next year and we know that interest rates are going

:11:23. > :11:30.to stay low. What this means is that sterling will still be leak. --

:11:31. > :11:33.still be weak. There will be costs people eventually, inflation going

:11:34. > :11:38.up. What we have seen is the boss had taken Philip Hammond's quite

:11:39. > :11:42.seriously when he talked himself about to march was times coming

:11:43. > :11:49.ahead. And needing, in fact, to ensure that the economy continues to

:11:50. > :11:55.survive all that and offering to do more in terms of infrastructure and

:11:56. > :11:59.also housing. We've seen in the mood being one that says, yes, good so

:12:00. > :12:07.far. Sterling has been helpful. For the moment. But there is a lot to

:12:08. > :12:10.watch out for. Not everyone has understood it, there is still a lot

:12:11. > :12:14.of positive talk about everything being absolutely fine. I think that

:12:15. > :12:18.is forgetting the realities of what is happening in the markets and how

:12:19. > :12:21.people would react in terms of investment and so on. But I think it

:12:22. > :12:26.will eventually get through to people that we are going to have

:12:27. > :12:29.some difficult times and the institutions that we've got, the

:12:30. > :12:33.Bank of England, the Treasury and so on, going to the ones that have to

:12:34. > :12:39.do things to ensure that the economies of the entire British

:12:40. > :12:45.Islands do reasonably well in the next year. Fabien, what do you think

:12:46. > :12:49.will be the utmost priority for Scotland? Do you think you will be

:12:50. > :12:53.access to the single market? I think it goes further than access. The

:12:54. > :12:57.real priority of membership of the single market. That looks very

:12:58. > :13:05.unlikely given the stance on freedom of movement, which has taken us up.

:13:06. > :13:10.And also abiding by the rules. Membership of the single market is

:13:11. > :13:14.the optimal situation. Negotiating at is on a sector by sector basis.

:13:15. > :13:16.It is far more difficult and far more costly. Fabien and Vicky, thank

:13:17. > :13:19.you both very much for joining us. In the Syrian city of Aleppo,

:13:20. > :13:21.heavy bombardment has resumed following the collapse

:13:22. > :13:23.of the recent ceasefire. The United Nations has called

:13:24. > :13:25.for an immediate end to the bombing of eastern Aleppo

:13:26. > :13:27.by Syrian Government The latest official figures show

:13:28. > :13:32.that 106 children have been killed in the rebel-held areas

:13:33. > :13:37.in just over a week. The BBC's special correspondent

:13:38. > :13:39.Fergal Keane reports on the growing His report does contain

:13:40. > :14:00.some distressing images Tenderness from a father who must

:14:01. > :14:08.watch the slow wasting of his child's body. His son, aged 11, was

:14:09. > :14:29.wounded in an air strike. His stomach was ripped open.

:14:30. > :14:35.He is trapped by the siege. A child starving because of the damage to

:14:36. > :14:41.his bowel and the absence of proper intrusion. And constantly wary of

:14:42. > :14:45.new bombing. -- absence of proper nutrition. Hospitals have come under

:14:46. > :14:55.sustained attack with only basic facilities doctors struggle. This

:14:56. > :15:01.seven-year-old suffers will stop -- this seven-year-old suffers. "Good

:15:02. > :15:08.Boy, were almost finished", the doctor says.

:15:09. > :15:17.He is taken home. His grandmother wants to get into Turkey. Listen to

:15:18. > :15:33.the sound of rockets landing before she speaks.

:15:34. > :15:44.There is an irrepressible longing for normality. Risking the walk to

:15:45. > :15:49.school with friends. The children are taught in the basement in the

:15:50. > :15:55.hope they might be safer from falling bombs. But really, nowhere

:15:56. > :16:16.in eastern Aleppo is safe. He has already lost a close friend.

:16:17. > :16:27.Aleppo's agony began four years ago. But it has escalated dramatically.

:16:28. > :16:33.The city's East is a claustrophobic hell from which there is now no

:16:34. > :16:40.escape. Before the latest encirclement, many fled. Children

:16:41. > :16:45.losing their homes and country. We met some of them in the valley.

:16:46. > :16:55.The siege represents just the first problem, because even if they manage

:16:56. > :17:02.to escape, the children face a new trap. They crossed the mountains

:17:03. > :17:12.behind me and arrived in Lebanon on. A trauma of war in a world where

:17:13. > :17:22.they are hemmed in. This child arrives in Aleppo three days ago,

:17:23. > :17:32.crossing on a mule with a severe heart condition. She has joined her

:17:33. > :17:41.grandchildren. This cousin's father was killed by a sniper in Aleppo.

:17:42. > :17:55.This is the paradox of memory. It offers comfort and Spain. -- and

:17:56. > :18:01.pain. Abdul cannot work because of injury. So his 14-year-old daughter

:18:02. > :18:19.works in the field all day everyday to support the family.

:18:20. > :18:26.Cluster bombs, bunker busters, barrel bombs, phosphorus bombs. They

:18:27. > :18:31.had all been dropped hair. The Syrian Government and its Russian

:18:32. > :18:35.allies have dropped them. 106 children have been killed in just

:18:36. > :18:41.over a week. The Kremlin says rebels are deliberately using populated

:18:42. > :18:51.area and rejects claims of war crimes. We are taking most streets

:18:52. > :18:56.precautions so that we don't hit civilians by any chance. If this

:18:57. > :19:01.happens, we are very sorry, but we need to investigate each and every

:19:02. > :19:05.accusation. I'd never seen anything so blatant as these heightened

:19:06. > :19:11.attacks upon children. Everybody knows that as long as these kind of

:19:12. > :19:14.attacks with these massive explosive weapons take place children will be

:19:15. > :19:17.killed. It cannot be denied that this will be the result. Though

:19:18. > :19:21.these attacks should stop immediately.

:19:22. > :19:37.There are enough treaties, Lars and promises to protect the children. --

:19:38. > :19:43.treble. The problem is, those with power do not care to enforce the

:19:44. > :19:46.laws. That is the tragedy of the children of Aleppo.

:19:47. > :19:48.Fergal Keane reporting on the plight of Aleppo's children.

:19:49. > :19:50.Ballet is revered by those who follow it,

:19:51. > :19:52.and perhaps misunderstood by those who don't.

:19:53. > :19:54.In an attempt to gain the appreciation of a wider

:19:55. > :19:57.audience, ballet companies from around the world today took

:19:58. > :20:01.to the internet to stream rehearsals and performances live.

:20:02. > :20:04.But can such high-tech actions boost this most graceful of art-forms

:20:05. > :20:35.Ballet in all its current colourful glory. The Nutcracker looks

:20:36. > :20:44.effortless. Companies have been streaming their performances live on

:20:45. > :20:48.Facebook. Filmed live here in the company's Glasgow studios. They are

:20:49. > :20:53.here training and rehearsing for several hours every day. Commitment

:20:54. > :20:59.is 100%. Unfortunately, ballet is not a mass participation art home.

:21:00. > :21:07.Can World Ballet Day change that? Social media is one way dancers can

:21:08. > :21:14.reach out to new audiences. We did a live webcast from this chilling. It

:21:15. > :21:21.tells us connect to the audiences and for our audiences to know the

:21:22. > :21:24.dancers. As the repertoire we are promoting, the younger boys, the

:21:25. > :21:31.variety of repertoire. It allows us to get instant feedback as well. --

:21:32. > :21:38.the younger voice. Otherwise we wouldn't be able to get to these

:21:39. > :21:42.people. Ballet companies continue to diversify into contemporary dance

:21:43. > :21:48.and traditional ballet can be old hat, it said. What about those

:21:49. > :21:55.dancers starving themselves traditionally? This instructor says

:21:56. > :22:04.it is changing. More classical, the classical domain, it is about

:22:05. > :22:11.everybody, perfect lines. Now, we are doing so much more I feel.

:22:12. > :22:15.Different types of dancing that they should maybe, maybe I am naive, but

:22:16. > :22:26.maybe it is less and less. A place in Scotland's National

:22:27. > :22:30.Ballet is a price for many young dancers. The company is able to

:22:31. > :22:35.attract talented individuals from around the world. There are several

:22:36. > :22:44.companies in France, but the UK dance scene is greater. I think it

:22:45. > :22:49.is amazing that European dancers and people from all around the world are

:22:50. > :22:54.coming. The stamina is clear in the autumn season. Why aren't these

:22:55. > :22:57.dancers lauded like athletes? I used to play as Joe and rules football

:22:58. > :23:06.industry while I was training for a fair few years -- Australia. I chose

:23:07. > :23:13.ballet because it is more difficult because you have to make it look

:23:14. > :23:17.easy. That is the difference between us and footballers, that is 90

:23:18. > :23:22.minutes on a pitch breathing heavily the entire time. You have to be

:23:23. > :23:33.cleaned with the ball. Latin dance you have to make it look as if it is

:23:34. > :23:36.effortless. -- in ballet. They need to marry stamina with elegance this

:23:37. > :23:37.autumn. And perhaps inspire a whole new audience.

:23:38. > :23:40.Now, joining me to discuss the day's big stories are Marianne Taylor

:23:41. > :23:48.from The Herald and Peter Geoghegan, who's a journalist and author.

:23:49. > :23:58.A few things. But we were talking about the IMF forecast for global

:23:59. > :24:03.and UK growth that we heard about today. The ink to Brexit. Any

:24:04. > :24:07.surprise, Marianne, that in the news next year we could see growth in the

:24:08. > :24:13.UK dipping slightly as a result of uncertainty. This IMF latest info

:24:14. > :24:21.had something for everybody. If you are prone wrecks since it is clear

:24:22. > :24:30.that it over at its initial focus. That would happen immediately after,

:24:31. > :24:42.an immediate recession. -- pro Brexit. On the other hand, I am not

:24:43. > :24:47.shocked about the forecast for 2017. It is dependent on whether or not

:24:48. > :24:54.the UK is able to go into the single market. That is very key. That will

:24:55. > :24:58.be what the IMF are thinking about. Paul, hard to predict anything

:24:59. > :25:05.increasingly because of the certainty? I guess for anyone

:25:06. > :25:11.looking at it. As Marianne said, if you are prone Brexit, you would say

:25:12. > :25:17.that. Before the Brexit vote they said that and now the has not in.

:25:18. > :25:23.Now it shows it, it is a terrible decision, they say. The economic

:25:24. > :25:30.shots bull sharks take a long time to hit. Make banking bust hasn't

:25:31. > :25:36.changed my life will stop it years down the line, a spirited ice,

:25:37. > :25:44.people lost their houses, financial collapse, business concerns. Most of

:25:45. > :25:49.the signs are ready negative really. Rebound because predictions were so

:25:50. > :25:55.poor, the pound has sunk to a 31 year low. The stock market has

:25:56. > :25:59.boomed. Of course it is booming because it is in that tells you

:26:00. > :26:09.nothing. Chinese companies, minor British companies they are investing

:26:10. > :26:14.in because it is so cheap. We have lost control because it is so cheap.

:26:15. > :26:24.If you are going on holiday or exploit the pounds... It is a hard

:26:25. > :26:29.one. It is hard for anyone. There are so many things that you cannot

:26:30. > :26:36.know. It is hard to know how your hopes and fears and future plans

:26:37. > :26:41.will be impacted. If there is no entry into the single market we will

:26:42. > :26:48.see, I think, confidence Trainer way. We might see wage cuts, job

:26:49. > :26:56.losses. -- drain away. These things will hit people very very badly. How

:26:57. > :26:59.this will impact on their thoughts as for England as opposed to

:27:00. > :27:05.Scotland and what that will mean for each of the nations, that is an

:27:06. > :27:08.interesting factor too. In Scotland today we had a fiery debate in the

:27:09. > :27:16.Scottish Parliament about finance and the finance secretary, Derek

:27:17. > :27:21.Mackay, coming under pressure for showing contempt of Parliament. The

:27:22. > :27:25.timing of the budget because of the Autumn Statement coming so late on

:27:26. > :27:31.the 23rd of December is only getting three weeks for the opposition to

:27:32. > :27:37.scrutinise. Is this a problem that you think? I think it is an issue.

:27:38. > :27:42.But what I would also say it, I am quite pleased to see some real

:27:43. > :27:48.actual, fiery talk around this. Often Holyrood over the years has

:27:49. > :27:53.been accused of being weak on scrutiny. There is no second chamber

:27:54. > :28:02.as an example of the committee system has been a bit weak. I like,

:28:03. > :28:07.I have enjoyed, the demands of more time for scrutiny. They are right to

:28:08. > :28:11.do so. I can see we are in a high position, they are in a higher

:28:12. > :28:18.position. They are waiting for the Autumn Statement. On the other hand,

:28:19. > :28:21.MSPs needs time to scrutinise this hard. Holyrood and I have thought

:28:22. > :28:27.for some time it needs more measures. More time, is that

:28:28. > :28:35.something to look at seeing as the Autumn Statement is later? Tying

:28:36. > :28:40.into Brexit, a professor from Dundee appearing in front of Hollywood's,

:28:41. > :28:45.more power is coming to Holyrood she was saying if that is how it turned

:28:46. > :28:52.out. They might be the need for more scrutiny down the line. Tonight,

:28:53. > :28:58.another debate on US television. The vice president candidates. Do we

:28:59. > :29:03.know much about them? I am not going to lie, I have never heard of either

:29:04. > :29:06.of them. I did see a report where most Americans that they interviewed

:29:07. > :29:13.haven't heard of them either. Unless you are Sarah Payne, as a vice

:29:14. > :29:16.presidential candidate you will not be on the radar. Especially when it

:29:17. > :29:28.is Donald Trump against Hillary Clinton. Taking up a lot of the

:29:29. > :29:34.oxygen. Tim Kaine, here's ancestors are many Irish Americans. Many

:29:35. > :29:39.politicians have claimed Irish ancestry. But he has a proper link.

:29:40. > :29:45.His great-grandfather is near my home town. I did a feature, his

:29:46. > :29:51.fourth and fifth cousin, I was shown the cattle shed in which is great

:29:52. > :29:57.great-grandfather was born. I spoke to his dad. He was a lovely man. It

:29:58. > :30:01.was interesting, he remembers growing up in Kansas. A real

:30:02. > :30:07.straight businessman, his grandfather. It was fascinating to

:30:08. > :30:11.go back and see where he came from. He described himself as boring, so

:30:12. > :30:21.maybe boring is good in this context. Trump's running mate is

:30:22. > :30:23.described as a the rest Republican. Given the stature of their running

:30:24. > :30:31.mates, the people they are behind, in this election being stale and now

:30:32. > :30:38.is not a bad thing. Two suburban dads. Will you stay up or watch the

:30:39. > :30:44.highlights? Highlights, I think. Even the political anoraks will not

:30:45. > :30:46.stay up all night for this one! The debates will be on the BBC from 2am.

:30:47. > :30:50.Shelly will be here tomorrow night at the usual time so do

:30:51. > :31:05.JOHNNY CASH: # You can run on for a long time

:31:06. > :31:15.# Sooner or later God'll cut you down

:31:16. > :31:19.# Tell the rambler, the gambler, the backbiter

:31:20. > :31:23.# Tell 'em that God's gonna cut 'em down... #