18/11/2012

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:01:32. > :01:34.Labour seizes Corby, the Tories get a drubbing, and the Lib Dems lose

:01:34. > :01:44.their deposit. And now our Police and Crime Commissioners are elected,

:01:44. > :01:44.

:01:44. > :41:27.Apology for the loss of subtitles for 2382 seconds

:41:27. > :41:31.just how will they change the Hello, and welcome to Sunday

:41:31. > :41:41.Politics East, I'm Etholle George. Later, Labour regains Corby, with a

:41:41. > :41:41.

:41:41. > :41:48.swing of almost 13%. We have stood as a one-inch a candidate for in

:41:48. > :41:51.one nation Labour Party. -- in one nation candidate for in one nation

:41:51. > :41:54.Labour Party. And the region's Police and Crime Commissioners'

:41:54. > :41:57.plans for their forces. But first, let me introduce our guests of the

:41:57. > :42:00.week, Richard Bacon, Conservative MP for South Norfolk, Simon Wright

:42:00. > :42:03.the Liberal Democrat MP for Norwich South, and Steve Morphew, Norwich

:42:03. > :42:06.Labour Party president. Let's start with our soundbite of the week, now

:42:06. > :42:14.a jury has decided that former Luton MP Margaret Moran falsely

:42:15. > :42:19.claimed �53,000 in expenses. This is what she had to say at the time.

:42:19. > :42:26.I do not want my constituents to think there is something dodgy,

:42:26. > :42:32.there was not. I say that hand on heart. I would not. I am trying to

:42:32. > :42:37.do a good job for my constituents and to give 110%.

:42:38. > :42:42.Has justice been done, others went to jail? Margaret Moran is a shadow

:42:42. > :42:46.of the person she was, she is a broken woman. Her health has

:42:46. > :42:52.probably suffered, she has a reputation in tatters she won never

:42:52. > :42:58.recover from. On the just decide come up when Ron Dearing has been

:42:58. > :43:03.done, it should be identified and brought out -- wrong doing. One of

:43:03. > :43:07.the reasons I am other MPs came in was because of the disillusionment

:43:07. > :43:12.that there was with the political system because of the degree of

:43:12. > :43:18.scandals associated with expenses. What is so important now is that

:43:18. > :43:23.those of us in government today do what we can to clean up the system.

:43:23. > :43:27.Does it seem fair that stress brought on by the subject being

:43:27. > :43:33.involved in investigation means they do not pay the penalty? That

:43:33. > :43:39.is difficult because what is most important is that wrong doing it

:43:39. > :43:44.comes to surface, and help you punish people is separate. But it

:43:44. > :43:51.cannot go on acknowledged and she will have to pay a price. Does this

:43:51. > :43:57.draw a line under this sorry business of expenses? The decision

:43:57. > :44:03.over whether someone is fit to stand trial or not is not something

:44:03. > :44:08.politicians should interfere with. We have over 200 new MPs since the

:44:08. > :44:12.last election and in much more open approach to expenses. Not as open

:44:13. > :44:17.as I would like, and would like there to be instant publication of

:44:17. > :44:20.expenses, so there is still more to do. -- I would like.

:44:20. > :44:23.Now to Labour's romp home in the Corby by-election. Andy Sawford,

:44:23. > :44:28.won a majority of almost 7,800, with a huge 12.7% swing to Labour

:44:28. > :44:32.in the bell-weather seed. -- seat. The results also put a smile on the

:44:32. > :44:35.faces of UKIP supporters in the town. But was this just a flash in

:44:35. > :44:44.the pan, or is there something more profound in this result? Here is

:44:44. > :44:50.Andrew Sinclair. It is easy to dismiss Corby as just

:44:50. > :44:57.another by-election result that has not really matter. Parties do

:44:57. > :45:01.always lose ground. But Corby was always going to be different. The

:45:01. > :45:06.industrial town and the rolling countryside Borrie microcosm of the

:45:06. > :45:13.whole country. Politicians believe that what people think here

:45:13. > :45:18.reflects what everybody is thinking. The economy is important to me.

:45:18. > :45:25.Corby needs a real boost. There are hardly any jobs, the foreigners are

:45:25. > :45:30.getting them. Immigration is a big issue in this town. Jobs and the

:45:30. > :45:34.economy were the main issues. The Tories spoke about the falling

:45:34. > :45:40.unemployment figures and growth in investment as a sign of things were

:45:40. > :45:44.turning a corner, voters did not agree. Labour talked about creating

:45:44. > :45:48.jobs and focused on public services, the switching off of street lights

:45:48. > :45:52.and the threat to the local hospital. They do not think the

:45:52. > :45:55.Government is listening gone public services and they think they're a

:45:55. > :46:01.major threat to Kettering General Hospital and they want a government

:46:01. > :46:05.to build public services and a river for everybody. Immigration

:46:05. > :46:09.was a serious concern. UKIP has said no other parties were

:46:09. > :46:13.listening, one reason why it did so well. Eastern European immigration

:46:13. > :46:20.has a massive knock-on effect to so many things and that is what people

:46:20. > :46:25.wanted to talk about. It affects the NHS, housing, jobs, and

:46:26. > :46:31.schooling. So if PPCs does reflect what the country is thinking,

:46:31. > :46:38.should politicians do more than dismiss results? -- so with Corby.

:46:38. > :46:42.A constituency that so dramatically throughout labour two years ago

:46:42. > :46:45.seems now willing to give the party another chance, is this mid-term

:46:45. > :46:48.blues or the start of something bigger?

:46:48. > :46:53.Just a few minutes ago, I spoke to Andy Sawford and asked him why he

:46:53. > :46:58.believes he won in Corby. Can I start by saying how proud I am that

:46:58. > :47:05.people across Corby put their trust in me? We won because we worked

:47:05. > :47:11.hard across the constituency to rebuild trust from the voters, and

:47:11. > :47:15.refocused on their priorities. We had a big listening exercise and

:47:15. > :47:21.people want action on the economy. They feel let down by David Cameron.

:47:21. > :47:25.Two years ago, a lot of people who voted for me this week just to

:47:25. > :47:30.David Cameron and they feel let down, so this is a big moment for

:47:30. > :47:34.Labour and it shows we are reconnecting with voters. We have

:47:34. > :47:38.heard what people had to say and they said there are problems that

:47:38. > :47:45.need addressing locally, youth unemployment, the issue of

:47:45. > :47:50.regeneration, how will you deliver? What I have said about unemployment

:47:50. > :47:55.is that fighting for jobs here is my top priority, particularly for

:47:55. > :48:00.young people, so I will call for alternative economic policies in

:48:00. > :48:07.Parliament and I will say we should have a tax on bonuses for bankers

:48:07. > :48:11.and a guarantee for younger people and jobs. I will work hard locally

:48:11. > :48:15.with businesses, the council and other organisations to make sure we

:48:15. > :48:18.match the skills young people have all with good jobs becoming

:48:18. > :48:23.available to do everything we can to support local businesses to grow

:48:23. > :48:31.and create jobs. Concerns over immigration have surfaced during

:48:31. > :48:35.this campaign, how will you address those? One of the big issues in

:48:35. > :48:39.Corby in particular and across this constituency of the number of

:48:39. > :48:44.agency workers there are recruited from overseas on local people do

:48:44. > :48:50.not feel they have had a fair chance to find work and apply for a

:48:50. > :48:57.job. So I have promised to try to stop agencies just recruiting from

:48:57. > :48:59.overseas. I think that is wrong. And joining us now is Professor

:48:59. > :49:03.Paul Whiteley, from the Department of Government at the University of

:49:03. > :49:05.Essex. The first by-election win for 15 years, do you think it is

:49:05. > :49:07.the beginning of the end for David Cameron?

:49:07. > :49:12.Obviously, Labour is going to be very cheerful about this and I

:49:12. > :49:18.think there was an element of punishing the Conservatives over

:49:18. > :49:24.the withdrawal of Louise Mensch, that was so quick. The present

:49:24. > :49:29.economic climate is one of the key factors driving first and unless we

:49:29. > :49:34.see more prosperity and growth, I think Labour will continue to take

:49:34. > :49:36.places in by-elections -- driving first.

:49:36. > :49:45.Is there anything about Corby intrinsically that makes it such an

:49:45. > :49:50.important seat? It is not exactly a marginal, but

:49:50. > :49:55.it is close and that is why it is interesting politically in

:49:55. > :50:01.elections. Seats like that swing towards the party that is likely to

:50:01. > :50:05.be most successful in the long-run. You can make too much of by-

:50:05. > :50:09.elections because there are sometimes spectacular swings and

:50:09. > :50:18.this can disappear in a general election, but it is a sign of the

:50:18. > :50:25.times. What about the position of UKIP and the Liberal Democrats been

:50:25. > :50:29.beaten into 4th place? elections for the PCCs has been

:50:29. > :50:33.terrible for the Lib Dems and UKIP is snapping at the heels of the

:50:33. > :50:38.Conservatives and this will affect the politics of the next couple of

:50:38. > :50:43.years, especially in the context where there are a majority of

:50:43. > :50:47.people who would leave the European Union if we had a referendum. This

:50:47. > :50:53.has changed in comparison with 10 years ago. So this will be quite an

:50:54. > :50:57.issue. Richard Bacon, this was a terrible result for you, the people

:50:57. > :51:01.of Corby feel let down by the Conservatives.

:51:01. > :51:06.It is a by-election and you can make too much of them. It is an

:51:06. > :51:10.interesting result and we have to take notice but it is common for

:51:10. > :51:15.party's mid-term to lose by- elections and we had the factor of

:51:15. > :51:21.Louise Mensch. But she lost by a great deal, should we not read

:51:21. > :51:27.something into that? -- but you lost. The swing to Labour was less

:51:27. > :51:32.than in the crew and Norwich by- election. It is commonplace for

:51:32. > :51:36.governments taking tough decisions to lose elections. We are doing

:51:36. > :51:40.this because we were left in such a mess by it the Labour Party.

:51:40. > :51:42.Simon, it was a shocking result for the Lib Dems and it's not the only

:51:42. > :51:46.recent by-election, UKIP are overtaking you in the polls. It was

:51:46. > :51:51.a bad result but a Liberal-Democrat candidate has been working hard in

:51:52. > :51:56.Corby. The experience of party is not in the front running for a by-

:51:56. > :52:01.election is that you get squeezed out. UKIP did exceptionally well

:52:01. > :52:05.because there was a factor of Europe that emerged. But you also

:52:05. > :52:10.need to look at the fact that Labour hammered away to get the

:52:10. > :52:14.biggest result here. There was another factor with Corby, the

:52:15. > :52:18.media were talking this up as a constituency where you can draw the

:52:19. > :52:25.mood of the nation, so it was important for Labour to get the

:52:25. > :52:32.best result. In that context, somebody is going to be squeezed

:52:32. > :52:37.out. But she came 4th! Nobody was saying that we were in the running

:52:37. > :52:39.for running it, we were always going to get squeezed out by the

:52:39. > :52:45.bigger organisations. Steve, why did you lose Corby in

:52:46. > :52:50.the first place? Because we lost the confidence of the country and

:52:50. > :52:54.we are starting to regain the confidence and that was a good

:52:54. > :52:59.indication. When you have been in politics for a while, you know when

:52:59. > :53:09.the wind has changed. It looks as though the wind is blowing our way,

:53:09. > :53:09.

:53:09. > :53:13.I knew when it was against us before and I know it is for us now.

:53:13. > :53:19.Professor, do you believe -- Was this a vote for Labour, or a

:53:19. > :53:23.vote against the Conservatives? big issue is the economy and of the

:53:23. > :53:29.coalition can show this is improving, they may be able to

:53:29. > :53:33.repeat the exercise of Barack Obama we do this successfully in the

:53:33. > :53:39.presidential elections. If this continues to flop line, the

:53:40. > :53:44.coalition are likely to lose the election -- flat line. This must be

:53:44. > :53:48.a big worry for the Conservatives. The economy will play a big factor

:53:48. > :53:52.in whether we are returned and there have been signs of economic

:53:52. > :53:55.groves with nearly 1 million jobs created in the last two years.

:53:55. > :53:59.Richard, you've got a lot of work to do to win over people before the

:53:59. > :54:01.next election, and there is still 80% of the cuts to come.

:54:01. > :54:11.government has to live within its means and cannot spend money it

:54:11. > :54:11.

:54:11. > :54:21.does not have. The know at the last government left said, sorry, --

:54:21. > :54:23.

:54:23. > :54:30.sorry, there is no money. -- note. People understand that the

:54:30. > :54:33.government has to live within its own means.

:54:33. > :54:36.Now to our other elections this week - for the new role of Police

:54:36. > :54:38.and Crime Commissioners. You can see from the map that all our

:54:38. > :54:40.forces have Conservative Commissioners, except for one

:54:40. > :54:44.Independent in Norfolk and one Labour Commissioner in Bedfordshire.

:54:44. > :54:47.Average turnout here was 15%. But 85 out of 100 of you decided not to

:54:47. > :54:50.vote at all. And in several of our counties, almost 3% of ballot

:54:50. > :55:00.papers were spoiled, many of those defaced by people criticising the

:55:00. > :55:00.

:55:00. > :55:05.elections. Despite this, those elected have high hopes of success.

:55:05. > :55:10.Have six Alexei Commissioner with the lowest mandate in the country.

:55:10. > :55:15.-- Essex collapse a Commissioner. This is what the government does

:55:15. > :55:20.and money will be tight, but if we are to get everybody pulling

:55:20. > :55:28.together, their real opportunities. Labour go ahead in Suffolk but it

:55:28. > :55:34.is a Tory win. Most important is to get the police plan ready for

:55:34. > :55:38.public scrutiny. The only Labour police and crime Commission that

:55:38. > :55:43.wins in Bedfordshire in the east. The turnout has been disappointing

:55:43. > :55:47.and it has been because of the timing, people are not sufficiently

:55:47. > :55:51.informed about it, and because of the obstacles the government chose

:55:51. > :55:58.to put in the way of allowing the parties and the candidates to

:55:58. > :56:02.inform people about the elections. Thames Valley Alexis for a

:56:02. > :56:07.Conservative Commissioner up on the second ballot -- it lacks. As long

:56:07. > :56:12.as you sit on top, you will reduce crime. You need to put resources

:56:12. > :56:18.where they are required and make sure the officers are in the right

:56:18. > :56:22.place, and you drive up performance. Northamptonshire, which also had a

:56:23. > :56:27.by-election, had the highest regional turnout. I am promising a

:56:27. > :56:32.voice so there is a leader of the criminal justice system for the

:56:32. > :56:36.first time, there is a directly the leader -- directly elected leader,

:56:36. > :56:42.and people in the middle who have never been victims up but no police

:56:42. > :56:48.will turn up. A former MP wins for Cambridgeshire on the second ballot.

:56:48. > :56:54.We have to put together the whole operation, it is new. I intend to

:56:54. > :57:00.set up office away from the police headquarters to show my neutrality.

:57:00. > :57:06.That is going to be a task, and I have to look at the staff that we

:57:06. > :57:12.have and do some reorganisation. Hertfordshire's turnout was 14.5%,

:57:12. > :57:16.just below the average in the east. It is important to shake up crime

:57:16. > :57:20.reduction, working together with partnerships to make sure the safe

:57:20. > :57:25.place is an even safer place to live and work and I am looking

:57:25. > :57:33.forward to that. The only Independent is the elected in

:57:33. > :57:38.Norfolk. I am going to see places in Suffolk and see if they will

:57:38. > :57:41.carry on collaboration. This was the former Tory chairman of the

:57:41. > :57:45.police authority. Steve Morphew, you, of course, were

:57:45. > :57:48.standing as the Labour candidate in Norfolk. In the build-up to this

:57:48. > :57:50.election, it emerged you failed to declare an interest in a charity

:57:50. > :57:54.which was awarded �36,000 by a cabinet committee, of which you

:57:54. > :57:57.were chairman. You issued a statement saying you had done

:57:57. > :58:04.nothing wrong, but this is your first opportunity to give your side

:58:04. > :58:09.of the story. It is an allegation that it

:58:09. > :58:13.happened and I have disputed it and I have asked the council to

:58:13. > :58:17.investigate because it is serious. But most people are surprised it

:58:17. > :58:24.emerged at the time and in the way it did, but I am treating it

:58:24. > :58:28.seriously. You are concerned about the recording of minutes of

:58:28. > :58:33.meetings where apparently you wanted to make it plane it you

:58:33. > :58:38.declared an interest, it yes? Having been on the Council for 15

:58:38. > :58:42.years and declared an interest on numerous occasions, I could not

:58:42. > :58:50.conceive by had not declared an interest, but I want to make sure

:58:50. > :58:55.that is the case. Did you check the minutes? The meeting was in March

:58:55. > :58:58.and I left the council immediately afterwards. The next meeting was in

:58:58. > :59:08.June and I have not seen a copy of the minutes, the first time I saw

:59:08. > :59:12.

:59:12. > :59:14.them was a couple of minutes ago. Professor Broadening it out, the

:59:14. > :59:21.lowest turnout in a national election, does this damage

:59:21. > :59:28.democracy? The electoral system helped 12 people who are

:59:28. > :59:33.Independent to be elected. If it had been first past the post, the

:59:33. > :59:38.Conservatives would have won in Norfolk and Labour would have won

:59:38. > :59:43.in Suffolk. So the system made a difference. But the striking thing

:59:43. > :59:48.about this is the terrible turnout. Frankly, the government promoted

:59:48. > :59:51.this, I think it is a good idea, but they did not sell it and they

:59:51. > :59:53.should have done. The public had no desire for this

:59:53. > :00:01.post, demonstrated by the turnout and the thousands of defaced ballot

:00:01. > :00:05.papers, why have the Conservatives pushed this policy? The government

:00:05. > :00:09.did not promote it as well as it should have done, and there was a

:00:09. > :00:14.clear sense on the part of some people who spoiled their ballot

:00:14. > :00:19.papers that this was an overt attempt to politicise the police. I

:00:19. > :00:23.think that was not correct, but there was a big concern about that

:00:23. > :00:30.and the fact that so many Independents was elected was also

:00:30. > :00:40.because of a sense that there were some Independents people of good

:00:40. > :00:43.

:00:43. > :00:45.character with experience who deserved a chance.

:00:45. > :00:48.An in-depth investigation into the dire voter turnout is being

:00:48. > :00:51.launched by the Electoral Commission, isn't this a blot on

:00:51. > :00:55.the government which you are part of? It is disappointing we did not

:00:55. > :00:59.see a higher turnout. It was introduced as part of the coalition

:00:59. > :01:05.agreement and it is only right that the Liberal Democrats support that,

:01:05. > :01:08.but we were not very enthusiastic about this proposal. But we do

:01:08. > :01:12.support greater accountability and transparency in the police, but

:01:12. > :01:15.this system does not appear to have caught the imagination of the

:01:15. > :01:17.public. You must have believed in the role,

:01:17. > :01:23.isn't it a good thing to have democratically elected

:01:23. > :01:27.commissioners? I did not support a role, I supported the importance of

:01:27. > :01:32.police and crime reduction and I have always said it was the issues

:01:32. > :01:36.I was standing for and I opposed the creation of the role because of

:01:36. > :01:41.the politicisation. The Elf -- the overwhelming majority of the

:01:41. > :01:47.country have rejected a flagship government policy it in a way that

:01:47. > :01:51.is dangerous for democracy because people are actively excluding

:01:51. > :01:55.themselves from the democratic process. Everybody has to listen,

:01:55. > :01:59.the government, the media, and the public need to look at how we

:02:00. > :02:09.tackle this to make sure this does not happen again. This is bad news

:02:09. > :02:14.for the country. Do you think it will improve policing? Home Office

:02:14. > :02:19.did a survey asking about the existing arrangements for political

:02:19. > :02:23.control and nobody had heard about the police authorities. That is

:02:23. > :02:29.unlikely to happen in this case. Some of these people will become

:02:29. > :02:34.prominent and so it will be good. think there is a good chance it

:02:34. > :02:40.will, it will take some time to gain public confidence, but there

:02:40. > :02:44.is a chance it will succeed. It has the potential to, but the new PCCs

:02:44. > :02:48.have to prove themselves and if they do, they will see a higher

:02:48. > :02:57.turnout. Asked the right questions, came up with the wrong answers,

:02:57. > :03:07.they need to review it. In time, we will see what the

:03:07. > :03:08.

:03:08. > :03:10.outcome will be. And we've just got time to see what has come to light

:03:10. > :03:12.this week, in Deborah McGurran's political roundup, all in 60

:03:12. > :03:17.seconds. This MP voted against Labour's

:03:18. > :03:22.calls to cut fuel duty. I would not support them if I was not confident

:03:22. > :03:27.the government were going to listen. The Tories' campaign manager was

:03:27. > :03:32.forced to apologise for appearing to encourage a rival candidate in

:03:32. > :03:37.the Corby by-election. He has been guilty of Scilly back in. This man

:03:37. > :03:40.will not be charged for his spending while he ran Essex county

:03:40. > :03:47.council after it was revealed he but more than a quarter of a

:03:47. > :03:53.million pounds on his credit card. I went to London mostly by train.

:03:53. > :03:58.Were well opening Peterborough's new station, the Transport Minister

:03:58. > :04:03.let this slept. It has improved in at the time since I came, because

:04:03. > :04:11.the entrance was very dark. And in the jungle, Nadine diaries revealed

:04:11. > :04:13.her metal. -- Dorries. That's all we've got time for.