0:00:39 > 0:00:40Good morning, everyone.
0:00:40 > 0:00:42I'm Sarah Smith.
0:00:42 > 0:00:45Welcome to the Sunday Politics - your essential guide to the biggest
0:00:45 > 0:00:46political stories of the week.
0:00:46 > 0:00:50Coming up on today's show...
0:00:50 > 0:00:52Ahead of a crucial EU summit, is Theresa May on the brink
0:00:52 > 0:00:55of a breakthrough on Brexit?
0:00:55 > 0:00:59Or, after a slightly torrid week, is she in danger of being
0:00:59 > 0:01:01overtaken by events?
0:01:01 > 0:01:03The ex-Labour minister Alan Milburn quits as chairman
0:01:03 > 0:01:06of the Social Mobility Commission, saying he has "little hope"
0:01:06 > 0:01:08the current government can make the "necessary" progress.
0:01:08 > 0:01:10What does this mean for a Prime Minister who vowed
0:01:10 > 0:01:13to fight against the "burning injustice" of inequality?
0:01:13 > 0:01:16And, we speak to the academic who's carrying out economic "wargaming"
0:01:16 > 0:01:21scenarios for the Labour party, in the event it wins power.
0:01:21 > 0:01:24People are going to trust us with their jobs and their pensions
0:01:24 > 0:01:26and their livelihoods.
0:01:26 > 0:01:28We've got to show we know what we're doing.
0:01:28 > 0:01:34This seems like common sense to me.
0:01:34 > 0:01:37In London, he is the man with the plan but can mayor,
0:01:37 > 0:01:40Sadiq Khan's vision for the capital really solve the housing crisis?
0:01:47 > 0:01:49Yes, all that coming up in the programme.
0:01:49 > 0:01:53And to help guide me through all the week's
0:01:53 > 0:01:55twists and turns, I'm joined by Tom Newton Dunn,
0:01:55 > 0:01:57Isabel Oakeshott, and Steve Richards.
0:01:57 > 0:02:00Now, the breaking news this morning is the resignation of Alan Milburn -
0:02:00 > 0:02:03the ex-Labour minister who, for the last five years, has chaired
0:02:03 > 0:02:04the Social Mobility Commission.
0:02:04 > 0:02:06He says the Government is too preoccupied with Brexit
0:02:06 > 0:02:08to focus on social justice.
0:02:08 > 0:02:13We'll be assessing the significance of that in a moment.
0:02:13 > 0:02:16But first, if that relationship has turned sour for the Prime Minister,
0:02:16 > 0:02:20it wasn't the only one this week.
0:02:20 > 0:02:23Like all relationships, our liaison with our European neighbours
0:02:23 > 0:02:27has had its ups and downs.
0:02:27 > 0:02:31Theresa May wants a deep and special partnership after Brexit.
0:02:31 > 0:02:35Thus far, money has been the main obstacle to
0:02:35 > 0:02:38an amicable divorce.
0:02:38 > 0:02:41This week, a possible breakthrough.
0:02:41 > 0:02:44He once said "the EU could go whistle if they
0:02:44 > 0:02:48asked for too much," now he's practically dancing with joy.
0:02:48 > 0:02:51It's a fantastic opportunity now to get going.
0:02:51 > 0:02:54Others are always harder to please.
0:02:54 > 0:02:57It is not worth nearly 50 billion sterling.
0:02:57 > 0:03:03No deal is better than a bad deal and this is a very bad deal indeed.
0:03:03 > 0:03:05Brussels may be on board with the divorce bill but
0:03:05 > 0:03:07there's trouble over the Irish border.
0:03:07 > 0:03:11If the UK offer is unacceptable for Ireland, it will
0:03:11 > 0:03:16also be unacceptable for the EU.
0:03:16 > 0:03:19Reports suggest Stormont could be given more power to agree bespoke
0:03:19 > 0:03:21trading arrangements with the Republic but that, in turn,
0:03:21 > 0:03:25enraged Theresa May's partners in Parliament.
0:03:25 > 0:03:28The DUP could walk out of their marriage of convenience
0:03:28 > 0:03:31with the Tories if the Government allows Northern Ireland to diverge
0:03:31 > 0:03:36from the rest of the UK.
0:03:36 > 0:03:39If there is any hint that in order to placate Dublin and the EU,
0:03:39 > 0:03:41they are prepared to have Northern Ireland treated differently
0:03:41 > 0:03:48than the rest of the United Kingdom, then they can't rely on our vote.
0:03:48 > 0:03:49But it was the "special relationship" that came
0:03:49 > 0:03:53under most strain.
0:03:53 > 0:03:55As Donald Trump re-tweeted Islamophobia videos,
0:03:55 > 0:03:58posted by the far right group, Britain First.
0:03:58 > 0:04:01Denounced by Downing Street, the President took to Twitter again,
0:04:01 > 0:04:03telling Theresa May directly, "Don't focus on me,
0:04:03 > 0:04:08we are doing just fine."
0:04:08 > 0:04:11The Prime Minister on a surprise trip to the Middle East was plunged
0:04:11 > 0:04:13into a very public row.
0:04:13 > 0:04:15I'm very clear that re-tweeting from Britain
0:04:15 > 0:04:19First was the wrong thing to do.
0:04:19 > 0:04:25The May-Trump mini break in the UK might be off.
0:04:25 > 0:04:27I certainly don't think he should be should be coming next year.
0:04:27 > 0:04:31Next year is supposed to be a happy event for the Royal family.
0:04:31 > 0:04:33We certainly don't want Trump turning up in the middle
0:04:33 > 0:04:34of all of that.
0:04:34 > 0:04:37Meanwhile, Labour leader and GQ magazine cover model declared
0:04:37 > 0:04:41himself to be an enemy of greedy bankers.
0:04:41 > 0:04:45So, when they say, we're a threat, they're right.
0:04:45 > 0:04:47We are a threat to a damaging and failed
0:04:47 > 0:04:51system that's rigged for the few.
0:04:51 > 0:04:53The Prime Minister's closest political
0:04:53 > 0:04:56friend stood in for her at the dispatch box on Wednesday
0:04:56 > 0:04:58while she was abroad but fresh questions emerged later
0:04:58 > 0:05:00in the week about whether he'd used a Parliamentary
0:05:00 > 0:05:06computer to view pornography some nine years ago.
0:05:06 > 0:05:09Theresa May will meet be EU Commission President
0:05:09 > 0:05:11Jean-Claude Juncker tomorrow.
0:05:11 > 0:05:13They will discuss the revised offer on the divorce
0:05:13 > 0:05:15bill and whether talks can now move on to trade
0:05:15 > 0:05:17post-Brexit.
0:05:17 > 0:05:20It has not been an easy relationship with leaks from
0:05:20 > 0:05:22previous meetings finding their way into the German press.
0:05:22 > 0:05:32Hopefully, they can put all of that behind them.
0:05:32 > 0:05:37So, we will talk through one of the top stories for the week with our
0:05:37 > 0:05:41panel in the studio. We are going to be looking ahead to what is
0:05:41 > 0:05:45happening in Brussels. The Prime Minister is going over for a working
0:05:45 > 0:05:48lunch with Jean-Claude Juncker tomorrow. We are always saying we
0:05:48 > 0:05:53have reached a critical stage in the negotiations.Is it a critical
0:05:53 > 0:06:00point? It is. It is endgame of chapter one. There are two chapters,
0:06:00 > 0:06:05divorce and then trade. This is the end of the first half, at the 43rd
0:06:05 > 0:06:11minute. It is probably 0-0. We need to get over the line and into
0:06:11 > 0:06:16half-time and into the second half. Wyatt is so critical is the Prime
0:06:16 > 0:06:21Minister, in the next few days, she cannot wait till the 14th or 15th of
0:06:21 > 0:06:27December, have to choose to govern is to choose. One side is saying
0:06:27 > 0:06:32this is what we will act set to move on to the second phase and the
0:06:32 > 0:06:37Eurosceptics will say, we will not access to any of that. She has to
0:06:37 > 0:06:44get off the fence. One is what they will do about easy JN the other
0:06:44 > 0:06:50about the Irish border. To divert or not diverged?This is only the end
0:06:50 > 0:06:56of the first half of the process. If the EU agrees we can move onto the
0:06:56 > 0:07:02second half. That is not guaranteed, is it?Tom's analogy, I will not go
0:07:02 > 0:07:11too far with it because I'm not a football expert. Brexiteers feel it
0:07:11 > 0:07:19is more like 1-0 to the EU. There is a circulation today, leave means
0:07:19 > 0:07:25leave, which is signed by eminent business people and academics. Only
0:07:25 > 0:07:29a few MPs, about five of them on now. We were discussing this earlier
0:07:29 > 0:07:33and Tom made the point it is quite a hostile thing for a Tory MP to sign
0:07:33 > 0:07:38a letter like this. Many more agree with the contents of the letter,
0:07:38 > 0:07:44which sets out the set of conditions the PM must not agree to, in their
0:07:44 > 0:07:49view, must not capitulate to as the negotiation goes forward. It is
0:07:49 > 0:07:53about when free movement of people ends and we retain the power to go
0:07:53 > 0:07:58to WTO if all else fails.We be discussing this further with our
0:07:58 > 0:08:04guests and find out what the EU had think about it. The other big news
0:08:04 > 0:08:07of the morning is that Alan Milburn resigned from the social mobility
0:08:07 > 0:08:19commission. He told and remarked earlier why. -- Andrew Marr.
0:08:19 > 0:08:21In various social mobility roles, I've served a Labour Prime Minister,
0:08:21 > 0:08:24a coalition Prime Minister, and now, a Conservative one.
0:08:24 > 0:08:27I've done so because I care deeply about the issue and I believe
0:08:27 > 0:08:28that it matters profoundly to the country.
0:08:28 > 0:08:31I've reached the conclusion, sadly, that with the current government,
0:08:31 > 0:08:33there is little if any hope of progress being made
0:08:33 > 0:08:35towards the fairer Britain that the Prime Minister
0:08:35 > 0:08:36has talked about.
0:08:36 > 0:08:38The Government, probably for understandable reasons,
0:08:38 > 0:08:40is focused on Brexit, and seems to lack the bandwidth
0:08:40 > 0:08:43to be able to translate the rhetoric of healing social division
0:08:43 > 0:08:48and promoting social justice into a reality.
0:08:48 > 0:08:51That is a pretty damning statement, the Government does not have the
0:08:51 > 0:08:58bandwidth to do with anything other than Brexit.It is true. Brexit is
0:08:58 > 0:09:02sucking up all political energy much practical energy in Whitehall.
0:09:02 > 0:09:07Beyond that, the significance of this is not huge. I think these
0:09:07 > 0:09:12commissions float uneasily in government. If you make policy on
0:09:12 > 0:09:16social justice, you can do that within a government department if
0:09:16 > 0:09:21you are serious about it. I think it was set up partly with good
0:09:21 > 0:09:25intentions in the coalition period, partly to break off the Blairites
0:09:25 > 0:09:30from Labour and get them involved with these so called modernising
0:09:30 > 0:09:36Conservative project, and the fact that it is ending, I don't think in
0:09:36 > 0:09:40itself is significant. But he is absolutely... By the way they were
0:09:40 > 0:09:44never entirely clear on policy terms. The fact he said I am not a
0:09:44 > 0:09:51status quo nor am I with Theresa May, what are going to be the
0:09:51 > 0:09:55mediating agencies? There are some huge issues to address. Whether this
0:09:55 > 0:10:00was the appropriate way to do it in the first place, I have doubts about
0:10:00 > 0:10:02it.Thank you for that.
0:10:02 > 0:10:05Well, to pick up on all of that, I'm joined by the former
0:10:05 > 0:10:07Conservative leader, Michael Howard.
0:10:07 > 0:10:11Thank you for coming in. Let's start with the claim by Alan Milburn that
0:10:11 > 0:10:15the Government does not have the time or capacity to do anything
0:10:15 > 0:10:20other than Brexit. That must be a concern to you as well.I think he
0:10:20 > 0:10:25is wrong. I share his concern about social mobility. When I was the
0:10:25 > 0:10:29leader of the Conservative Party used to make speeches about the
0:10:29 > 0:10:32British dream and the importance of social mobility. There is always
0:10:32 > 0:10:43more to be done but we have actually made a lot of progress. Can I give
0:10:43 > 0:10:45you some examples? We would all agree that education is key to
0:10:45 > 0:10:49social mobility. We have 1.9 million children now, 1.9 million children
0:10:49 > 0:10:54more than in 2010 in good or outstanding schools.His complaint
0:10:54 > 0:10:59was not that nothing has been done since 2010 but nothing can be done
0:10:59 > 0:11:05now.It is still happening. Income inequality is at its lowest level
0:11:05 > 0:11:12for 30 years. More taxes being paid than under the Labour years. One of
0:11:12 > 0:11:18the worst things that can happen to a child is to live in a workless
0:11:18 > 0:11:21household. The number of workless households has been shrinking. And
0:11:21 > 0:11:29implement is at its lowest level since 1975.-- unemployment. Theresa
0:11:29 > 0:11:33May, when she became Prime Minister last year, said this is a country of
0:11:33 > 0:11:38burning injustice.It is. There is always more to be done. You say it
0:11:38 > 0:11:42is in the past. This morning we have had an announcement that a
0:11:42 > 0:11:47considerable amount of extra money will be devoted in helping children
0:11:47 > 0:11:54facing mental health challenges in our schools. That is important as
0:11:54 > 0:11:57well in relation to social mobility. Of course there is more to be done.
0:11:57 > 0:12:00I think quite a lot of progress has been made on social mobility and
0:12:00 > 0:12:06should not forget that.Let's move on to wrecks it. You will have read
0:12:06 > 0:12:12reports that she will offer a divorce bill somewhere between 40
0:12:12 > 0:12:16billion and 50 billion euros, maybe slightly more. You said back in
0:12:16 > 0:12:19April that you would be astonished if the bill was anything like 50
0:12:19 > 0:12:26billion euros for the you must be producer prize.We all started off
0:12:26 > 0:12:34with aspirations. -- you must be pretty surprised. I do not know what
0:12:34 > 0:12:39the sum will be. Whatever it is it will be a fraction of the amount we
0:12:39 > 0:12:43have paid into the European Union over the last 40 years and would pay
0:12:43 > 0:12:50into the European Union for the next 40.You are now fairly relaxed about
0:12:50 > 0:12:56something around this mark?I have confidence in the Prime Minister and
0:12:56 > 0:13:00David Davis. I want to let them decide what is the best deal. I'm
0:13:00 > 0:13:06confident we'll get a good deal. I'm confident in the Prime Minister and
0:13:06 > 0:13:11David Davies.You know the more money we spend on the divorce the
0:13:11 > 0:13:21more bashes nevertheless many we have to spend on other things. Our
0:13:21 > 0:13:25guest last week felt it had to be delivered to keep faith in the
0:13:25 > 0:13:31process.In the budget a few days ago the Government promised more
0:13:31 > 0:13:37than an extra £350 million for the health service, running into almost
0:13:37 > 0:13:43£2 billion.They did not promise that in the budget?Over time, more
0:13:43 > 0:13:47money will be available when we are out. These payments, I don't know
0:13:47 > 0:13:52what the sum would be, are going to be spread out over many years. The
0:13:52 > 0:13:56annual bill will not be anything like that. In the end there will be
0:13:56 > 0:14:02more money to spend on the health service and other desirable things
0:14:02 > 0:14:05because we will not have to make this very large, annual contribution
0:14:05 > 0:14:10we were making.You have always been a committed Eurosceptic. Do not
0:14:10 > 0:14:14worry that the European Union seem to be having it their way? They
0:14:14 > 0:14:19wanted to discuss divorce before the trade deals. We agreed to that. The
0:14:19 > 0:14:24divorce bill seems to have gone up substantially since Theresa May was
0:14:24 > 0:14:27speaking in her Florence speech. They are getting what they want as
0:14:27 > 0:14:33we are going through the process and we seem to be capitulating.I do not
0:14:33 > 0:14:38think that is fair. There is a huge amount of posturing, which always
0:14:38 > 0:14:42goes on in negotiations. The approach of the European Union is in
0:14:42 > 0:14:48breach of Article 50. Article 50 says the arrangements for the
0:14:48 > 0:14:53departure of a member state have to take into account the future
0:14:53 > 0:14:57relationship of that state with the European Union. You cannot take
0:14:57 > 0:15:00something into account if you are not prepared to talk about it. They
0:15:00 > 0:15:06are in breach of Article 50. That is the approach they have chosen. I am
0:15:06 > 0:15:12confident. I think we will move forward to the next phase, to pursue
0:15:12 > 0:15:15Tom's analogy, I hope they will not be injury time at the end of the
0:15:15 > 0:15:28first half and I hope we will get an agreement this month and then we can
0:15:28 > 0:15:30start talking turkey.Do you agree with the leave means leave letter in
0:15:30 > 0:15:33the paper today without demanding the UK be free to sign employment
0:15:33 > 0:15:37trade deals and note end to restriction is by the European Court
0:15:37 > 0:15:44of Justice?I share the aspirations contained in the letter.You did not
0:15:44 > 0:15:52sign it.No.Did they ask you to? No. I am not inclined to make
0:15:52 > 0:15:57demands at this stage. I think they should be allowed to get on with the
0:15:57 > 0:16:00negotiations. I have confidence in their ability to do so. I'm
0:16:00 > 0:16:04confident that in the end will get a good deal in the interests of the UK
0:16:04 > 0:16:08and of the European Union because there is a great commonality of
0:16:08 > 0:16:13interest between the two of us to have a good relationship, a deep and
0:16:13 > 0:16:18special relationship the Prime Minister has spoken of.You are
0:16:18 > 0:16:22trying not to be a back-seat driver. As a former leader of the Tory Party
0:16:22 > 0:16:26you probably understand how annoying that will be that you are an
0:16:26 > 0:16:31interested party entitled to your view on this. Iain Duncan Smith is
0:16:31 > 0:16:35in the papers saying how important it is to end the authority of the
0:16:35 > 0:16:45European Court of Justice. Is that a red line for you?
0:16:45 > 0:16:48I have every confidence in the Prime Minister and in David Davis and I
0:16:48 > 0:16:52think they will end up with a good deal.They're just going to pick up
0:16:52 > 0:16:58with our panel here. Listening to Michael Howard there, very carefully
0:16:58 > 0:17:04trying not to step on the Prime Minister's toes, but clearly he
0:17:04 > 0:17:08shares some sympathy with people who do want to put some red lines on
0:17:08 > 0:17:12her?I know Michael Howard is a forensic follower of politics, so
0:17:12 > 0:17:16I'm surprised he is completely confident about Theresa May
0:17:16 > 0:17:20delivering this, given that when she returned from the last summit, when
0:17:20 > 0:17:24she made her House of Commons statement, she was clear, to my
0:17:24 > 0:17:28surprise, actually, that during the transition, I am not surprised in
0:17:28 > 0:17:32how it turned out but I am surprised she was so clear, that the European
0:17:32 > 0:17:37court would hold some sway. It has two, because if the transition is to
0:17:37 > 0:17:42be effective, it means one way or another we will still sort of be in
0:17:42 > 0:17:45the single market and Customs union for a time and therefore the
0:17:45 > 0:17:50European court will hold some sway. And she said it. I saw Jacob
0:17:50 > 0:17:55Rees-Mogg's response of horror. But she did say it. And so that is
0:17:55 > 0:17:57already I think part of the equation. So the response of her
0:17:57 > 0:18:07Brexiteers on this will be pivotal. Iain Duncan Smith is not alone in
0:18:07 > 0:18:09being absolutely resolute that the ECJ will have nothing to do with
0:18:09 > 0:18:13Britain?Absolutely, and I think that the concern amongst the harder
0:18:13 > 0:18:20line Brexiteers is that this transitional arrangement is a
0:18:20 > 0:18:22continuation of the status quo, and that it might even slip. Now, the
0:18:22 > 0:18:25Prime Minister has try to be reassuring on that, and there have
0:18:25 > 0:18:31been indications it might slip a few weeks but definitely not longer. But
0:18:31 > 0:18:38I think that Brexit MPs want more assurances that this will not end up
0:18:38 > 0:18:41just being kicked into the long grass.Will those assurances be
0:18:41 > 0:18:44given?I don't think they will be. She is going to have to compromise.
0:18:44 > 0:18:50The other choice is to walk away. A perfectly admirable choice but it is
0:18:50 > 0:18:53a choice she needs to make. The interesting question is, what do
0:18:53 > 0:18:59these people plan to do about it? What does Michael Howard plan to do
0:18:59 > 0:19:07if the £45 billion bill, which he is now accepting, it would appear, the
0:19:07 > 0:19:12four MPs and some other quite senior party figures, what do they plan to
0:19:12 > 0:19:15do if the Prime Minister compromises? Will they vote against
0:19:15 > 0:19:22it, will they put their considerable legislative weight, which Michael
0:19:22 > 0:19:25Howard could do in the House of Lords, against it?Even though
0:19:25 > 0:19:30you're being very diplomatic today, is there a point at which you would
0:19:30 > 0:19:34speak out if something you saw as fundamentally unacceptable occurred?
0:19:34 > 0:19:40That is a very hypothetical question, Sarah!The idea that you
0:19:40 > 0:19:43might find something out of Brussels being unacceptable is hypothetical?
0:19:43 > 0:19:50Lets wait and see. I have said and I am in danger of repeating myself, I
0:19:50 > 0:19:54have every confidence in the Prime Minister and in David Davis. I think
0:19:54 > 0:20:00we will end up with a good deal. You would in expect in negotiations like
0:20:00 > 0:20:06this an awful lot of posturing.Let me into you because I need to ask
0:20:06 > 0:20:11you about one other thing before we go. Damian Green, you will know
0:20:11 > 0:20:16there have been more stories reported this week around the
0:20:16 > 0:20:17accusation that he viewed pornography on a Parliamentary
0:20:17 > 0:20:22computer, something he absolutely resolutely denies. If it is
0:20:22 > 0:20:25discovered that he wasn't telling the truth when he told the Prime
0:20:25 > 0:20:30Minister he hadn't done this, would it be a resigning matter?I don't
0:20:30 > 0:20:34know, that is another hypothetical question. Damian was my
0:20:34 > 0:20:37Parliamentary neighbour for many years, he has denied it and I
0:20:37 > 0:20:41believe him and I agree with those very senior figures yesterday who
0:20:41 > 0:20:46condemned the leaking of information by these retired police officers. I
0:20:46 > 0:20:52think that's a very serious matter indeed. Policing in this country is
0:20:52 > 0:21:03based on trust between the police and the public. And if we have...
0:21:03 > 0:21:08Michael Howard, thank you very much for talking to us.
0:21:08 > 0:21:11The EU has warned Theresa May that she must satisfy Irish demands,
0:21:11 > 0:21:13if the Brexit negotiations are to move forward this week.
0:21:13 > 0:21:15But ahead of a crucial meeting between Theresa May
0:21:15 > 0:21:18and Jean-Claude Juncker tomorrow, it seems there is still work to do.
0:21:18 > 0:21:20Here's the Irish Foreign Minister, Simon Coveney,
0:21:20 > 0:21:26speaking this morning.
0:21:26 > 0:21:31There is no desire in Ireland to delay this process. But at the same
0:21:31 > 0:21:33time we have irresponsibility as a government to represent the
0:21:33 > 0:21:37interests on the island of Ireland, north and south. Let's not forget
0:21:37 > 0:21:40that next year will be the 20th anniversary of the Good Friday
0:21:40 > 0:21:44Agreement, which is the basis for the peace process, and relations
0:21:44 > 0:21:48between Britain and Ireland on the island of Ireland. And we believe
0:21:48 > 0:21:54that as an island, Ireland is uniquely vulnerable and exposed to a
0:21:54 > 0:21:59potential bad outcome from Brexit.
0:21:59 > 0:22:01With me now is the Shadow International Trade
0:22:01 > 0:22:06Secretary, Barry Gardiner.
0:22:06 > 0:22:09Obviously, it is absolutely crucial that a resolution is found to this
0:22:09 > 0:22:13problem - what is Labour's position? I think you have to proceed here on
0:22:13 > 0:22:17the basis of principles. The first principle is, do nothing that
0:22:17 > 0:22:21damages the peace process. The second principle is, do nothing that
0:22:21 > 0:22:27averages the economy. And by that I mean both the economy and Northern
0:22:27 > 0:22:33Ireland, in Ireland as a whole and in the UK and Ireland as a whole.
0:22:33 > 0:22:39Now, that means that we have to... But that's the impossible conundrum,
0:22:39 > 0:22:42how to do all of those things at once?It can't be impossible,
0:22:42 > 0:22:45because we've got to do it. Of course it is being made much more
0:22:45 > 0:22:49difficult by the government's red lines on this. And the government
0:22:49 > 0:22:54has stated very publicly and clearly that it wants to come out of the
0:22:54 > 0:22:57customs union and the single market. And of course, what actually creates
0:22:57 > 0:23:01checks at the border is when you have regulator we variants and when
0:23:01 > 0:23:05you have product standards that are different. So, that means that you
0:23:05 > 0:23:09have to check what's coming in and out for any tariffs that you wish to
0:23:09 > 0:23:15impose. Now, that's why it has been, I think and my party thinks, foolish
0:23:15 > 0:23:20to have removed the structural possibilities which lie in the
0:23:20 > 0:23:25customs union or the single market, from what the government's
0:23:25 > 0:23:30negotiating position is.That's very interesting, because I can see
0:23:30 > 0:23:33clearly, and so can the Irish government, exactly how staying in
0:23:33 > 0:23:36the customs union and the single market would help resolve the
0:23:36 > 0:23:40question for the island of Ireland, but also it raises questions for the
0:23:40 > 0:23:43United Kingdom. It is also interesting because if we have a
0:23:43 > 0:23:46look at what you say back in July, who didn't sound quite as pleased
0:23:46 > 0:23:52about the single market, when you said we would in effect become a
0:23:52 > 0:23:57vassal state, obliged to pay into the EU budget and having even less
0:23:57 > 0:24:00sovereignty than we do now - you weren't so keen on the single market
0:24:00 > 0:24:03then?I am not so keen on the single market membership as opposed to
0:24:03 > 0:24:07being a member of the EU. Single market membership without being a
0:24:07 > 0:24:11member of the EU means that you do not have a say in the rules which
0:24:11 > 0:24:16you have to abide by.But we're leaving the EU, let's take that as a
0:24:16 > 0:24:21given.Let's talk about where we are going forward. I was setting out
0:24:21 > 0:24:26very clearly, and I don't think you would disagree with what I said, I
0:24:26 > 0:24:29was setting out very clearly the applications of leaving the EU in
0:24:29 > 0:24:33the way that the government had set out. And those implications are
0:24:33 > 0:24:38clear. I believe I set them out correctly. Where we are now is, we
0:24:38 > 0:24:43have to find a solution to this problem. Simon Coveney was actually
0:24:43 > 0:24:46earlier very clear in saying that you don't have to have a full
0:24:46 > 0:24:53solution in phase one, but there has to be the real expectation that
0:24:53 > 0:24:58we're going to be able to resolve it in phase two. The first thing that
0:24:58 > 0:25:01both sides need to say here is that we will look at the Common Travel
0:25:01 > 0:25:04Area, which has existed since 1922, and that should be part and parcel
0:25:04 > 0:25:07of the deal going forward. The second element that I think is
0:25:07 > 0:25:14really important here is to understand precisely what the peace
0:25:14 > 0:25:18settlement was, when in the Good Friday Agreement in 1998 we set out
0:25:18 > 0:25:23that there should be no security checks at the border. That was
0:25:23 > 0:25:26critically important. But of course, security checks in those days were
0:25:26 > 0:25:30in place because of the situation, the military, paramilitary
0:25:30 > 0:25:35situation. But when those security checks were taken away, because we
0:25:35 > 0:25:41were members of the single market and because we were members of the
0:25:41 > 0:25:44customs union, there were no additional customs checks. Now, to
0:25:44 > 0:25:47say that you order the Good Friday Agreement and have no security
0:25:47 > 0:25:52checks, with all the military paraphernalia that goes with that,
0:25:52 > 0:25:59does not mean that you cannot have typified customs checks. But those
0:25:59 > 0:26:02customs checks will only be put in place if the government wants to
0:26:02 > 0:26:08deregulate. My party doesn't. My party doesn't want to deregulate, we
0:26:08 > 0:26:14don't want to impose these terrorists. The government is in a
0:26:14 > 0:26:17bind here, because most of the key players around of Brexit want to
0:26:17 > 0:26:21deregulate, and that means there have to be tariffs, and that means
0:26:21 > 0:26:24they have to be imposed at a border. Jeremy Corbyn yesterday refused to
0:26:24 > 0:26:29rule out the possibility of a second referendum on our EU membership - is
0:26:29 > 0:26:34it now the Labour Party's policy that we might vote again on this?
0:26:34 > 0:26:37No, it's not.Why did he say we have not made any decision on a second
0:26:37 > 0:26:41referendum?That precisely says that it is not, because policy because we
0:26:41 > 0:26:48have not made a decision on it!You could make a decision Ameobi not to
0:26:48 > 0:26:51have a second referendum?Let's be absolutely upfront about this. The
0:26:51 > 0:26:56idea that you would have a second referendum, I think you would say
0:26:56 > 0:26:59you were going to have a second referendum. Like the Liberal
0:26:59 > 0:27:03Democrats have done. That would be to encourage the EU to give you the
0:27:03 > 0:27:09worst possible deal that there was, so that when you're then voted on
0:27:09 > 0:27:14it, everybody would say, we can't possibly go there. The key thing, in
0:27:14 > 0:27:20my view, is that it was always foolish, always foolish, to have a
0:27:20 > 0:27:2450% class one referendum. Because if you are trying to...That's what we
0:27:24 > 0:27:29had, we are now looking at the future. I'm talking about the
0:27:29 > 0:27:34future. It sounds like Jeremy Corbyn is saying it is a possibility that
0:27:34 > 0:27:39Labour might call for one?I am trying to answer your question. I am
0:27:39 > 0:27:43not trying to avoid it. When we go forward, if we were to have another
0:27:43 > 0:27:46referendum on the same lines as we have had, and it were to be 52-48
0:27:46 > 0:27:52the other way, what would that achieve hammered absolutely nothing.
0:27:52 > 0:27:56It would then be game on for a third or fourth referendum. The only way
0:27:56 > 0:27:59in which in my view you could possibly contemplate a second
0:27:59 > 0:28:02referendum would be if you had a threshold which I believe should
0:28:02 > 0:28:07have been there in the first place of a two thirds majority. But that I
0:28:07 > 0:28:10stress is not Labour Party policy, it is not something that we've
0:28:10 > 0:28:18decided, and Jeremy Corbyn articulated that yesterday.Have you
0:28:18 > 0:28:21spoken to Diane Abbott, who has written to two constituents in the
0:28:21 > 0:28:26past month saying she would make the case for a second referendum?Diane
0:28:26 > 0:28:30has already said that letter was poorly worded Pozzo, as she called
0:28:30 > 0:28:36it. I will not make any further comment on it.
0:28:36 > 0:28:39The Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell, came in for a bit
0:28:39 > 0:28:41of flak recently when he admitted that Labour was preparing
0:28:41 > 0:28:44for possible negative scenarios, such as a run on the pound,
0:28:44 > 0:28:47if it wins power.
0:28:47 > 0:28:52Speaking on the fringes of his party's conference, he said
0:28:52 > 0:28:54he was carrying out "war game-type scenario planning" in the event
0:28:54 > 0:28:56of an election victory.
0:28:56 > 0:28:57John McDonnell, the man helping Mr McDonald.
0:28:57 > 0:28:59Well, the man helping Mr McDonnell do that is
0:28:59 > 0:29:00the academic Richard Barbrook.
0:29:00 > 0:29:03He's also the man behind 'Games for the Many' -
0:29:03 > 0:29:04the political gaming studio that produced CorbynRun.
0:29:04 > 0:29:10Ellie Price went along to meet him.
0:29:10 > 0:29:12You may have seen some of these during the election.
0:29:12 > 0:29:15In May Bot, the gamer helps the PM shoot, run and slide
0:29:15 > 0:29:16her way to dystopia.
0:29:16 > 0:29:20And then downloaded 150,000 times in the first week of
0:29:20 > 0:29:22the campaign alone, Corbyn Run, which sees Jeremy Corbyn shaking
0:29:22 > 0:29:25down bankers to pay for policy pledges.
0:29:25 > 0:29:27And it's one of the things the Labour leadership think can win
0:29:27 > 0:29:30them the next election.
0:29:30 > 0:29:38It put an idea out there that you can actually
0:29:38 > 0:29:42engage in politics in a way which is both a good laugh,
0:29:42 > 0:29:44enjoy the game.
0:29:44 > 0:29:46But actually it is quite stimulating as well.
0:29:46 > 0:29:48What happened was, that prompted ideas about a
0:29:48 > 0:29:49fair taxation system and the policies that
0:29:49 > 0:29:50were being launched.
0:29:50 > 0:29:52It's new creative way into ideas.
0:29:52 > 0:29:55Are you worried that the Tories will catch on?
0:29:55 > 0:30:00They most probably will catch on.
0:30:00 > 0:30:04But it's not just about the medium, it is about the message as well.
0:30:04 > 0:30:05Richard, what is happening here?
0:30:05 > 0:30:06It's a games jam. Right.
0:30:06 > 0:30:08People are coming together to make app games,
0:30:08 > 0:30:11laptop games, board games, getting ready for the local elections in May
0:30:11 > 0:30:12to propagate Labour's message.
0:30:12 > 0:30:13And is it really working?
0:30:13 > 0:30:16You have 50-odd people here, that's hardly going to change the world.
0:30:16 > 0:30:17No.
0:30:17 > 0:30:22I'm from the punk generation.
0:30:22 > 0:30:23I'm from the punk generation.
0:30:23 > 0:30:26The first time I saw the Sex Pistols, there were 40 or 50
0:30:26 > 0:30:27people in the room.
0:30:27 > 0:30:30Then, in the late-80s, I went to the very early raves
0:30:30 > 0:30:32and again there were very small groups of people.
0:30:32 > 0:30:34Yet, in both cases, these cultures, you start off
0:30:34 > 0:30:36with small groups of people and they can suddenly
0:30:36 > 0:30:38become a mass phenomenom.
0:30:38 > 0:30:40And, I'm reliably informed, it isn't just for computer geeks.
0:30:40 > 0:30:42Yes, we've got people here who are activists and have
0:30:42 > 0:30:45never coded in their lives and they're using tools,
0:30:45 > 0:30:49with which you can make games with no coding skills.
0:30:49 > 0:30:51I'm not sure I believe you but here is a challenge.
0:30:51 > 0:30:53Can you make me a game?
0:30:53 > 0:30:54Yes, I can.
0:30:54 > 0:31:03The challenge begins.
0:31:03 > 0:31:04OK.
0:31:04 > 0:31:05I'm done.
0:31:05 > 0:31:06That took less than half an hour.
0:31:06 > 0:31:07Can I see it?
0:31:07 > 0:31:08Yeah, of course.
0:31:08 > 0:31:12You go up to John and he says, "We're making games to change the
0:31:12 > 0:31:13face of politics."
0:31:13 > 0:31:16Then you go up to Jeremy and he says, "for the many,
0:31:16 > 0:31:17not the few."
0:31:17 > 0:31:20OK, so it's not exactly Super Mario but Labour are looking
0:31:20 > 0:31:22at another kind of gaming, so-called war-gaming.
0:31:22 > 0:31:24Considering possible future scenarios.
0:31:24 > 0:31:26Something John McDonnell talked about at the last
0:31:26 > 0:31:29Labour Conference.
0:31:29 > 0:31:34What if there is a run on the pound, what happens if
0:31:34 > 0:31:36there is this concept of capital flight?
0:31:36 > 0:31:38I don't think there will but you never know
0:31:38 > 0:31:42so we've got a scenario planned for that.
0:31:42 > 0:31:45Richard is also part of the Shadow Treasury
0:31:45 > 0:31:48war-gaming team, who are expected to meet again in the next few weeks.
0:31:48 > 0:31:51If people are going to trust us with their jobs and their pensions
0:31:51 > 0:31:53and their livelihoods, we've got to show
0:31:53 > 0:31:54we know what we are doing.
0:31:54 > 0:31:58This seems like common sense to me.
0:31:58 > 0:32:02From games jams like these, Labour hoped to create a campaign
0:32:02 > 0:32:05tool that will take them to the next level - Downing Street.
0:32:05 > 0:32:08If politics is a game, there are novel ways to play.
0:32:08 > 0:32:14And Richard Barbrook joins me now.
0:32:14 > 0:32:18Thanks for coming in. John McDonnell said the conference he was working
0:32:18 > 0:32:23with you are looking at different scenarios I possibly around on the
0:32:23 > 0:32:29pound. It caused huge amount of controversy. Can you understand why?
0:32:29 > 0:32:34I was actually. Surprised that people are surprised that political
0:32:34 > 0:32:38parties are not doing this. The military, the civil service,
0:32:38 > 0:32:43Corporation Banks, they all do this. The surprise was one would imagine
0:32:43 > 0:32:46that a Labour government neither hoped nor predicted there would be a
0:32:46 > 0:32:54run on the pound and capital flight. Given the fanaticism of the present
0:32:54 > 0:32:58government, probably when we get elected, the pound would likely go
0:32:58 > 0:33:05up. You need to think about these problems beforehand. There are
0:33:05 > 0:33:09potential difficulties to foresee. You can scenario plan for those. You
0:33:09 > 0:33:14can read about problems coming up ahead and you can talk about them
0:33:14 > 0:33:20but actually to experience in a game like atmosphere, the pressures of
0:33:20 > 0:33:23making decisions... You can identify problems and think about solutions,
0:33:23 > 0:33:28try out ideas. If it does not work you can reiterate again and again
0:33:28 > 0:33:33and again.When the Treasury does something like this, with very
0:33:33 > 0:33:37complex statistical models and huge amounts of data, can you feed it
0:33:37 > 0:33:45into a scenario?You can on that basis. What you can do more is test
0:33:45 > 0:33:49the team coming together and seeing how it responds under pressure. A
0:33:49 > 0:33:53good example, if you think about the National Health Service. If it were
0:33:53 > 0:33:57a flu pandemic they would have to think about how to reallocate
0:33:57 > 0:34:01resources. There would be sickness amongst staff, more people going to
0:34:01 > 0:34:04hospitals and you get together a group of people responsible for
0:34:04 > 0:34:08running the NHS. You put them together and put them through a
0:34:08 > 0:34:14three-hour simulation of it and that is the same sort of thing we are
0:34:14 > 0:34:17doing. We are looking at what happens when Labour gets in, the
0:34:17 > 0:34:20first 100 days in power, for the first budget, what would you do?
0:34:20 > 0:34:25Whether it is a run on the pound or something, you create pressures and
0:34:25 > 0:34:31problems for them to create the idea of how they have to operate as a
0:34:31 > 0:34:35team.Does that give you the opportunity to stress test some of
0:34:35 > 0:34:39the more radical policies that Labour came up with in the last
0:34:39 > 0:34:43manifesto like nationalising the water companies or electricity firms
0:34:43 > 0:34:54or something like that?It is only maybe in this media bubble in
0:34:54 > 0:34:56Britain that we think neoliberalism is the only alternative.Those are
0:34:56 > 0:35:00to mainstream for you to bother about?I said the initial simulation
0:35:00 > 0:35:04as any of the first 100 days we are looking at how we would put together
0:35:04 > 0:35:12a budget. That is not really what the focus is. It is making it
0:35:12 > 0:35:16happen, the decision-making process. That is what you are trying to train
0:35:16 > 0:35:19people for. The military does this, the civil service does this put up
0:35:19 > 0:35:26if you do not do this you are in a very bad position. The election, the
0:35:26 > 0:35:29Liberal Democrats did no contingency planning as to what would happen if
0:35:29 > 0:35:35there were a hung parliament but the civil service did. They ripped
0:35:35 > 0:35:39people into becoming a junior appendage of the Tory Party with the
0:35:39 > 0:35:45disastrous results that came from that.Is this the kind of
0:35:45 > 0:35:48discussions that a Shadow Cabinet would be having in the run-up to the
0:35:48 > 0:35:53general election anyway? That is that fundamental job of an
0:35:53 > 0:35:59opposition.This is a fundamental method of doing it. You are just
0:35:59 > 0:36:03surprised that a political parties doing this. If you are the military
0:36:03 > 0:36:08or the civil service you use this tool. You are just surprised... I am
0:36:08 > 0:36:12surprised that you are surprised. The other thing you are doing
0:36:12 > 0:36:18separate from the war game scenario, the apps and the games go further --
0:36:18 > 0:36:26which you say can further political engagement, are they really
0:36:26 > 0:36:37spreading a message?A good example is the Jeremy Corbyn ran.I have
0:36:37 > 0:36:44played that. It is about mugging bankers in the streets.Why we have
0:36:44 > 0:36:49austerities is about the tax cuts. You reverse that and you campaign
0:36:49 > 0:36:51fuel social programme. In doing so, it shows that you are more
0:36:51 > 0:36:56successful in raising revenue can unlock certain pledges and people
0:36:56 > 0:37:02join your campaign.Stay there if you will. I will come to the panel.
0:37:02 > 0:37:06Do you think this sounds like a useful, political tool, to sit there
0:37:06 > 0:37:11in a game like atmosphere and work hard to intimate radical programme
0:37:11 > 0:37:15for government?Yes. It sounds sensible and not the only thing they
0:37:15 > 0:37:21are doing. I can see them Maya city of John McDonnell was to speak aloud
0:37:21 > 0:37:27in any context about a potential run on the pound. -- naivete. To prepare
0:37:27 > 0:37:34for eventualities, prepare for the first 100 days by using all kinds of
0:37:34 > 0:37:40devices, is highly sensible.Even if it has been publicised to working
0:37:40 > 0:37:45with games developers.You kept going on about military, war-gaming
0:37:45 > 0:37:50exercises. I am co-authoring a book on defence at the moment. In one of
0:37:50 > 0:37:56the most important recent war-gaming exercises we did with the Americans,
0:37:56 > 0:38:00we were wiped out within a day because our targeting policy was so
0:38:00 > 0:38:05outdated. I think the fear in the city is exactly that would happen
0:38:05 > 0:38:11economically because your economic policy is so outdated.I will let
0:38:11 > 0:38:17you respond to that and ask you another question as well.She is
0:38:17 > 0:38:24just the Tory Troll.I'm not a member of the Tory Party. No reason
0:38:24 > 0:38:32to be impolite to people. If Morgan Stanley came here and said we want
0:38:32 > 0:38:38to game out what a Labour government would mean for business, would you
0:38:38 > 0:38:43do that?I would not do it but I would be very surprised if they are
0:38:43 > 0:38:49not already doing that.Thank you for coming in to talk to us.
0:38:49 > 0:38:50It's coming up to 11:40am.
0:38:50 > 0:38:52You're watching the Sunday Politics.
0:38:52 > 0:38:54Coming up on the programme...
0:38:54 > 0:38:56We sent the Sunday Politics moodbox - our unscientific poll
0:38:56 > 0:38:58featuring plastic balls - to South West London.
0:38:58 > 0:38:59After polling suggested the Conservative Party
0:38:59 > 0:39:01aren't seen as "caring", we asked people in
0:39:01 > 0:39:03Putney what they value more in politicians -
0:39:03 > 0:39:04competence or compassion?
0:39:04 > 0:39:06I think that anybody who is in parliament
0:39:06 > 0:39:09should be confident, otherwise they shouldn't be an MP in
0:39:09 > 0:39:15the first place, whatever party they are.
0:39:15 > 0:39:16-- competent.
0:39:16 > 0:39:17Do they have enough compassion?
0:39:17 > 0:39:18Hm?
0:39:18 > 0:39:19Do they have enough compassion?
0:39:19 > 0:39:21No.
0:39:21 > 0:39:23But then, who does have enough compassion these days?
0:39:23 > 0:39:24Hardly anybody, my dear.
0:39:24 > 0:39:31First though, it's time for the Sunday Politics where you are.
0:39:31 > 0:39:33Hello and welcome to the London part of the programme.
0:39:33 > 0:39:38I'm Ellie Price.
0:39:38 > 0:39:40Joining me for the duration, Heidi Alexander, Labour MP
0:39:40 > 0:39:43for Lewisham East, the Conservative MP for Croydon South,
0:39:43 > 0:39:46Chris Philp, and Lord Adonis, a former Labour minister,
0:39:46 > 0:39:48now a non-affiliated peer, who chairs the National Infrastructure
0:39:48 > 0:39:49Commission.
0:39:49 > 0:39:50Welcome to you all.
0:39:50 > 0:39:52It was the centrepiece of the 2012 Olympics,
0:39:52 > 0:39:55but the glory days of what's been renamed the London Stadium
0:39:55 > 0:39:56seem a long way off.
0:39:56 > 0:39:59This week the mayor, Sadiq Khan, agreed to take over the former
0:39:59 > 0:40:02Olympic stadium, and published a highly critical review
0:40:02 > 0:40:09of how it's being run.
0:40:09 > 0:40:12In it he blames the previous mayor Boris Johnson for saddling
0:40:12 > 0:40:15the taxpayer, not the tenants, West Ham United, with the bill
0:40:15 > 0:40:16for the stadium's transformation from exclusively hosting athletics
0:40:16 > 0:40:18to include football.
0:40:18 > 0:40:20He says that the costs were £133 million more
0:40:20 > 0:40:23than the incorrect estimates when West Ham signed the deal.
0:40:23 > 0:40:30And the stadium is now forecast to lose £24 million in 2017-18.
0:40:30 > 0:40:33Now, the mayor has agreed a deal with Newham Council to take over
0:40:33 > 0:40:34control of the stadium.
0:40:34 > 0:40:36Andrew, let's start with you.
0:40:36 > 0:40:37This was such a high-profile
0:40:37 > 0:40:42project - what's gone wrong?
0:40:42 > 0:40:45It's not a good idea in my experience for local authorities
0:40:45 > 0:40:46to start running stadia.
0:40:46 > 0:40:48This is the big moral of it.
0:40:48 > 0:40:50These are private enterprises, let's be frank, these football clubs,
0:40:50 > 0:40:53they make a lot of money, they don't really need the state
0:40:53 > 0:40:55to come in and help them, too.
0:40:55 > 0:40:58And of course, there was a big issue about what was going to be done
0:40:58 > 0:41:00within Olympic assets and so on.
0:41:00 > 0:41:03I think the lesson I draw from this is, let these football clubs,
0:41:03 > 0:41:04which have got these super business-alert directors,
0:41:04 > 0:41:08business incomes, let
0:41:08 > 0:41:12them sort these things out themselves and don't saddle
0:41:12 > 0:41:15taxpayers with having to deal with what could be for many,
0:41:15 > 0:41:18many decades now the debts which are left.
0:41:18 > 0:41:20So, Boris Johnson mishandled this, then?
0:41:20 > 0:41:23Well, he was mayor at the time but I'm not making a particularly
0:41:23 > 0:41:24part political point.
0:41:24 > 0:41:25Local authorities always
0:41:25 > 0:41:28like the idea of the glitz of having big stadia,
0:41:28 > 0:41:29and venues and so on,
0:41:29 > 0:41:31and they've got lots of big things to do.
0:41:31 > 0:41:33We're talking later in your programme about
0:41:33 > 0:41:38housing and transport - nobody else can do those.
0:41:38 > 0:41:40It's up to the local authorities and the government to do
0:41:40 > 0:41:42that, and they should concentrate on those.
0:41:42 > 0:41:45Heidi - Newham Council, the mayor very much involved in all of this?
0:41:45 > 0:41:46They're to blame?
0:41:46 > 0:41:47I don't think so.
0:41:47 > 0:41:50I think the report that Sadiq Khan has published this week shows that
0:41:50 > 0:41:55actually, the decisions that Boris Johnson took when he was mayor
0:41:55 > 0:41:57in response to the legal challenge which happened in 2011,
0:41:57 > 0:42:00I think he panicked and he was quick to say,
0:42:00 > 0:42:03we'll rent it out to West Ham, when perhaps he could have held back
0:42:03 > 0:42:05a little bit and adopted a more sensible negotiating position.
0:42:05 > 0:42:15So, some of the contracts massively underestimated the costs
0:42:15 > 0:42:17of transforming the stadium from the Olympic Stadium for
0:42:17 > 0:42:20use by West Ham Football Club.
0:42:20 > 0:42:23I think the cost of some of this retractable seating as well,
0:42:23 > 0:42:25and Boris Johnson's decision to have the Rugby World Cup
0:42:25 > 0:42:27there in 2015 added delay, disruption and cost.
0:42:27 > 0:42:30So, I do think that Boris Johnson has got some very serious
0:42:30 > 0:42:38questions to answer.
0:42:38 > 0:42:41Of course, we all know that he had his eye on developing
0:42:41 > 0:42:43career opportunities over the river in Westminster, so
0:42:43 > 0:42:44perhaps we shouldn't be so surprised.
0:42:44 > 0:42:46Chris - this doesn't make entirely comfortable reading,
0:42:46 > 0:42:47does it, for Boris Johnson?
0:42:47 > 0:42:50We shouldn't forget that in the few years since the Olympics,
0:42:50 > 0:42:51we've had some fantastic events there beside
0:42:51 > 0:42:55the Olympics themselves.
0:42:55 > 0:42:57We had the Athletics World Cup in 2017, the Rugby World Cup,
0:42:57 > 0:43:00and of course that whole part of his London has
0:43:00 > 0:43:01regenerated enormously, party down to the stadium.
0:43:01 > 0:43:03Those are all good things.
0:43:03 > 0:43:06I think the point Lord Adonis made was the most interesting one.
0:43:06 > 0:43:09The way this got set up initially in response to a court case,
0:43:09 > 0:43:12it wasn't really Boris's choice, but it was set up with the state
0:43:12 > 0:43:15essentially running this, taking the operational risk but also
0:43:15 > 0:43:18responsibility for all the revenue, so, naming rights and letting
0:43:18 > 0:43:25out the stadium for rock concerts and so on.
0:43:25 > 0:43:28It turns out the government, or the state, the Mayor of London,
0:43:28 > 0:43:31didn't do a very good job, and there is a real lesson
0:43:31 > 0:43:33there for those people who advocate nationalisation in other areas.
0:43:33 > 0:43:35The state running what are basically is business
0:43:35 > 0:43:36enterprises doesn't work.
0:43:36 > 0:43:39Sadiq Khan's line that he is now stepping in and taking it over I'm
0:43:39 > 0:43:41afraid to say is a bit disingenuous.
0:43:41 > 0:43:43Via the London Legacy Development Corporation, he has controlled
0:43:43 > 0:43:46this, because they own most of E20, the stadium owner.
0:43:46 > 0:43:49So, Sadiq Khan has had a year and a half to get this sorted out,
0:43:49 > 0:43:52and it is regrettable it has taken him that length of time
0:43:52 > 0:43:53to even look at this.
0:43:53 > 0:43:55So, all of this stuff about stepping in now
0:43:55 > 0:43:58is a bit of a gimmick, I'm afraid.
0:43:58 > 0:44:00He has only been mayor for not terribly long.
0:44:00 > 0:44:02Andrew Adonis - this all sounds like a catalogue of errors
0:44:02 > 0:44:04from various different parts -
0:44:04 > 0:44:06a public inquiry, what needs to be done?
0:44:06 > 0:44:08I don't think looking backwards is going to help much.
0:44:08 > 0:44:10On Chris's point, I agree with him in parts.
0:44:10 > 0:44:11I don't think...
0:44:11 > 0:44:13There's so many things we've got
0:44:13 > 0:44:14to sort out in London.
0:44:14 > 0:44:15A massive housing crisis...
0:44:15 > 0:44:25Surely someone should be held to account?
0:44:25 > 0:44:27Well, it was a unique set of circumstances to do
0:44:27 > 0:44:30with what you're going to do with Olympic assets.
0:44:30 > 0:44:33We don't host Olympic Games very often, so it was
0:44:33 > 0:44:34an unusual situation.
0:44:34 > 0:44:36But I don't think it's fair to criticise Sadiq.
0:44:36 > 0:44:37It was a hospital pass.
0:44:37 > 0:44:41There was no easy answer to this.
0:44:41 > 0:44:44And what he's trying to do is to make the best of it,
0:44:44 > 0:44:47and I think what he is proposing to do is about right.
0:44:47 > 0:44:50But the lesson I draw from this is not that the state should retreat
0:44:50 > 0:44:52from things which are important - housing, transport,
0:44:52 > 0:44:54welfare services, all hugely important -
0:44:54 > 0:44:56but running sports stadia, I don't think we need
0:44:56 > 0:44:57the Mayor of London
0:44:57 > 0:44:59to be doing too much of that in the future.
0:44:59 > 0:45:02I suspect this is something which will run and run.
0:45:02 > 0:45:04It has been 18 months in the drafting, but this week
0:45:04 > 0:45:07finally saw the Mayor of London launch his planning bible,
0:45:07 > 0:45:10a so-called London plan sets rules for all new building in the capital
0:45:10 > 0:45:13and offers guidance on everything from gender neutral toilets to a ban
0:45:13 > 0:45:14on fracking within the city limits.
0:45:14 > 0:45:17Most crucially, it's also a guide of how Sadiq Khan plans
0:45:17 > 0:45:18to end the housing crisis.
0:45:18 > 0:45:19Will it work?
0:45:19 > 0:45:20Andrew has this report.
0:45:20 > 0:45:21Barking Riverside in east London.
0:45:21 > 0:45:24One of the largest redevelopment sites in all of Western Europe.
0:45:24 > 0:45:26This site was first acquired for development in 1994.
0:45:26 > 0:45:28In that near quarter of a century, they've managed
0:45:28 > 0:45:33to build just 900 homes.
0:45:33 > 0:45:34to build just 900 homes.
0:45:34 > 0:45:39In fact it's almost an emblem for London's failure to deal
0:45:39 > 0:45:40with the housing crisis.
0:45:40 > 0:45:43But this week, the mayor was here to launch the London plan,
0:45:43 > 0:45:46his bible for all new housing developments in the capital.
0:45:46 > 0:45:48And with the arrival of a new London overground train station here,
0:45:48 > 0:45:53he thinks Barking Riverside can become a symbol of his success.
0:45:53 > 0:45:55Well, we're to build more than 10,000 homes,
0:45:55 > 0:45:57a community, seven schools, a good London overground extension,
0:45:57 > 0:46:02we're going ahead with that.
0:46:02 > 0:46:06Bus links here, cultural facilities here, opening up
0:46:06 > 0:46:10the river behind us, the ambition of the council is
0:46:10 > 0:46:11Barcelona on the Thames - why not?
0:46:11 > 0:46:15Across London, the mayor wants a target of 50% of new homes
0:46:15 > 0:46:18to be affordable housing, and to more than double
0:46:18 > 0:46:19the rate of house
0:46:19 > 0:46:21building to 66,000 homes a year.
0:46:21 > 0:46:23But is Sadiq Khan's new strategy really going to be
0:46:23 > 0:46:30enough to turn those numbers into a reality?
0:46:30 > 0:46:33Here is Meridian Water in Enfield, another vast 10,000-home site to be
0:46:33 > 0:46:44built on industrial, brownfield land.
0:46:53 > 0:46:55It was launched with great fanfare by the last mayor
0:46:55 > 0:46:57Boris Johnson back in 2015.
0:46:57 > 0:47:00But two years on, the future of this site doesn't quite look
0:47:00 > 0:47:01as rosy as it once did.
0:47:01 > 0:47:03Just ask Barratt homes, who were meant to be
0:47:03 > 0:47:05developing the land, pulled out on a deal thought
0:47:05 > 0:47:06to be worth £6 billion.
0:47:06 > 0:47:08Why?
0:47:08 > 0:47:10Well, they couldn't agree terms with the local authority.
0:47:10 > 0:47:11We're around here at the moment...
0:47:11 > 0:47:14Local Conservatives say the London plan could make it harder to sign
0:47:14 > 0:47:17a new deal with someone else, due to the mayor's 50%
0:47:17 > 0:47:19affordable housing target, which they say will make it harder
0:47:19 > 0:47:21for developers to make the site financially viable.
0:47:21 > 0:47:22It's clearly more challenging.
0:47:22 > 0:47:24The council is talking to its reserve bidder.
0:47:24 > 0:47:26But the goalposts have now changed from when Barratt won
0:47:26 > 0:47:28the development partner status, when the procurement
0:47:28 > 0:47:29was done several years ago.
0:47:29 > 0:47:32So, clearly, 50% is going to be a major challenge to deliver this,
0:47:32 > 0:47:36and it could mean that it may not ever come about at all.
0:47:36 > 0:47:37Brownfield land is expensive, complicated to build
0:47:37 > 0:47:39on and can be painfully slow.
0:47:39 > 0:47:42But the mayor has ruled out building on the green belt, and in fact,
0:47:42 > 0:47:45wants to increase the amount of green spaces in London.
0:47:45 > 0:47:47So, where exactly are all his new homes supposed to go?
0:47:47 > 0:47:51If you really want to tackle this problem, there is one silver bullet,
0:47:51 > 0:47:53and that is that you need to radically increase
0:47:53 > 0:47:54the supply of land.
0:47:54 > 0:47:57You can have targets for how many homes you want built a year.
0:47:57 > 0:48:02You can have targets for how many of them
0:48:02 > 0:48:06are so-called affordable, but unless you are going to allow
0:48:06 > 0:48:08the building on some of the green space in London,
0:48:08 > 0:48:11you are not going to crack this problem.
0:48:11 > 0:48:12Instead, the London plan has another radical solution.
0:48:12 > 0:48:14It scraps all limits on housing density.
0:48:14 > 0:48:17More homes are going to be squeezed onto the little space we have,
0:48:17 > 0:48:20much of which is coming to the suburbs.
0:48:20 > 0:48:23We have 54 high-rise blocks already.
0:48:23 > 0:48:25So, if you look at our borough, it's split very much
0:48:25 > 0:48:26into different segments.
0:48:26 > 0:48:31I think it's about how you use design to make place work.
0:48:31 > 0:48:33For years, politicians of all stripes have lined up
0:48:33 > 0:48:35to promise Londoners housing numbers that have never been built.
0:48:35 > 0:48:38The question is whether Sadiq Khan can do something different.
0:48:38 > 0:48:40Well, we've got it here, all 500 pages of it.
0:48:40 > 0:48:46It's quite a weighty tome.
0:48:46 > 0:48:48I've also got James Murray, the Deputy Mayor for
0:48:48 > 0:48:50housing, joining us.
0:48:50 > 0:48:53Hello, James.
0:48:53 > 0:48:56James, Londoners are very used to promises of extra affordable
0:48:56 > 0:48:58housing being announced.
0:48:58 > 0:49:00Ken Livingstone had the same target, in fact, 50%
0:49:00 > 0:49:02of new homes being affordable.
0:49:02 > 0:49:07He didn't manage it - why do you think you will?
0:49:07 > 0:49:10What the mayor has set out in the draft London plan,
0:49:10 > 0:49:15it's hugely ambitious, it's very bold, it's showing how
0:49:15 > 0:49:17we can build 65,000 homes a year, 50% of them being affordable,
0:49:17 > 0:49:19without building on green belt.
0:49:19 > 0:49:21But it is hugely ambitious.
0:49:21 > 0:49:22But ambitious often means unachievable.
0:49:22 > 0:49:28We're really clear that we need government
0:49:28 > 0:49:30support if we're going to get these built.
0:49:30 > 0:49:34Part of the London plan is how we're going to start turning things around
0:49:34 > 0:49:35around from the mess that we inherited from
0:49:35 > 0:49:38Boris Johnson, where there was just 13% affordable housing and no homes
0:49:38 > 0:49:39for social rent...
0:49:39 > 0:49:41Let's focus on your plans, though.
0:49:41 > 0:49:43You saw in the film there that having affordable housing can put
0:49:43 > 0:49:45off developers and actually...
0:49:45 > 0:49:48I notice you've still got your policy to let developers go ahead
0:49:48 > 0:49:50with planning just 35% affordable homes if they don't
0:49:50 > 0:49:53take a public subsidy - that's sort of a concession,
0:49:53 > 0:49:54isn't it?
0:49:54 > 0:49:57We make no apologies for being very bold and ambitious
0:49:57 > 0:49:58about affordable housing.
0:49:58 > 0:50:01Because when you talk to Londoners about what they need,
0:50:01 > 0:50:04what's really clear is that people need more affordable homes,
0:50:04 > 0:50:07genuinely affordable homes that people can trust are affordable
0:50:07 > 0:50:12and help people who are struggling to rent or buy.
0:50:12 > 0:50:14So, we're setting an ambitious target of 55% overall,
0:50:14 > 0:50:16which is a combination of private led developments, public sector
0:50:16 > 0:50:18land, homes we can invest in using the investment
0:50:18 > 0:50:20secured in government.
0:50:20 > 0:50:22For developers, a lot of the conversations we've been
0:50:22 > 0:50:25having over the last 18 months have centred on them wanting certainty.
0:50:25 > 0:50:27If we can say, look, if you can get at least
0:50:27 > 0:50:2935% affordable housing, you can fast track through
0:50:29 > 0:50:31the planning system, get building within two years
0:50:31 > 0:50:34and hopefully everyone's a winner.
0:50:34 > 0:50:41One of the key issues in this plan is this idea of not
0:50:41 > 0:50:43building on the green belt, but concentrating on existing land,
0:50:43 > 0:50:45on brownfield sites - they're not easy to build
0:50:45 > 0:50:46on, though, are they?
0:50:46 > 0:50:49It's going to be very challenging.
0:50:49 > 0:50:52But what we've done through the drafting of the London
0:50:52 > 0:50:55plan is done a really extensive look across London at where
0:50:55 > 0:50:57all of the capacity is.
0:50:57 > 0:51:00That's really why the London plan is so bold and so ambitious this
0:51:00 > 0:51:02time around, because it's really pushing the densities,
0:51:02 > 0:51:04it's really saying, what can we get on the brownfield sites
0:51:04 > 0:51:06that we have within London?
0:51:06 > 0:51:08And crucially, how can we make sure that every borough
0:51:08 > 0:51:09in London plays its part?
0:51:09 > 0:51:11So, it's not just about one borough being overdeveloped,
0:51:11 > 0:51:13and others not developing at all.
0:51:13 > 0:51:16This is about everywhere in London playing its part in delivering those
0:51:16 > 0:51:19thousands of homes that we need.
0:51:19 > 0:51:22The issue, though, density is go to be a problem
0:51:22 > 0:51:28for both of you and your constituents, isn't it?
0:51:28 > 0:51:31People in suburbs don't particularly want to live in high density areas?
0:51:31 > 0:51:33And building on people's back happens, as the plan suggests,
0:51:33 > 0:51:38is definitely not a good idea.
0:51:38 > 0:51:39What London needs is action not words.
0:51:39 > 0:51:41We've had a lot of words from politicians.
0:51:41 > 0:51:43What we need are more homes being built.
0:51:43 > 0:51:46We saw a couple of examples in the film, in Enfield,
0:51:46 > 0:51:48for instance, where the developer, Barratt homes, was poised to build
0:51:48 > 0:51:50thousands and thousands of units on a brownfield site,
0:51:50 > 0:51:52but they pulled out because the affordable
0:51:52 > 0:51:55housing target was too high and it was financially not viable.
0:51:55 > 0:51:57I fully accept the need to build affordable housing.
0:51:57 > 0:52:00But the way you make housing affordable is to build more of it.
0:52:00 > 0:52:03Under Sadiq Khan, housing starts have gone down by 23% compared
0:52:03 > 0:52:06to Boris Johnson's last year, and even worse, housing association
0:52:06 > 0:52:08and council housing starts have gone down by 21%.
0:52:08 > 0:52:10So we need action, not words.
0:52:10 > 0:52:17You wanted to interject, that wasn't the reason that
0:52:17 > 0:52:19You wanted to interject, that wasn't the reason for that
0:52:19 > 0:52:20Barratt's example...?
0:52:20 > 0:52:23I think we need to be clear on a few things.
0:52:23 > 0:52:24Firstly, building on gardens.
0:52:24 > 0:52:27As I'm sure you probably know, people are always allowed to put
0:52:27 > 0:52:29forward planning applications for gardens that they own.
0:52:29 > 0:52:31What we're saying is that if people bring forward those applications,
0:52:31 > 0:52:34we want the green to be reprovided in the development or nearby,
0:52:34 > 0:52:37and crucially we want more homes to be built so that more Londoners
0:52:37 > 0:52:39can benefit from the development that happens.
0:52:39 > 0:52:43One of the crucial points to say here, Chris, is that you're part
0:52:43 > 0:52:45of a government who talks about building more housing,
0:52:45 > 0:52:48but the first time we met, you lobbied me to stop a development
0:52:48 > 0:52:49going ahead in your local area.
0:52:49 > 0:52:50Because it was inappropriate.
0:52:50 > 0:52:52So, how are we supposed to get up to...
0:52:52 > 0:52:54Let me answer that directly.
0:52:54 > 0:52:55Can I answer the question?
0:52:55 > 0:52:58There are sites in London like the one in Enfield that has
0:52:58 > 0:53:00fallen over on your watch, like Croydon town centre,
0:53:00 > 0:53:02like Old Oak Common, like Barking Riverside,
0:53:02 > 0:53:04that we should bring forward, instead of inappropriate areas
0:53:04 > 0:53:06like the one that you referred to just then.
0:53:06 > 0:53:09The one that you tried to block.
0:53:09 > 0:53:12Can I just say, I think Chris talks a good came here.
0:53:12 > 0:53:16But what James has just alluded to is that politicians have to stand
0:53:16 > 0:53:17up and be counted on this issue.
0:53:17 > 0:53:21You know, there is a tendency to say, not at the end of my road,
0:53:21 > 0:53:22not in my back garden.
0:53:22 > 0:53:23London needs more homes.
0:53:23 > 0:53:26If you would just let me finish.
0:53:26 > 0:53:29One second, Chris.
0:53:29 > 0:53:32You talk about people needing action and not words.
0:53:32 > 0:53:35What we need is action from government.
0:53:35 > 0:53:39When I first became an MP in 2010, the first act of the coalition
0:53:39 > 0:53:43government was to cut the national affordable house-building
0:53:43 > 0:53:46programme by 63%.
0:53:46 > 0:53:48Anything that Theresa May has announced in the last year
0:53:48 > 0:53:51or so is playing at the edges of this problem.
0:53:51 > 0:53:55We saw a budget where the Chancellor was pussyfooting around with saying,
0:53:55 > 0:53:58we're going to do a review into planning permissions...
0:53:58 > 0:54:01We need real investment and we need investment on a large scale.
0:54:01 > 0:54:05We need five times as much investment in genuinely affordable
0:54:05 > 0:54:09homes than is going at the moment.
0:54:09 > 0:54:11We also need some space.
0:54:11 > 0:54:13I would like to bring Andrew Adonis in on this.
0:54:13 > 0:54:16Andrew, you saw in the film - the silver bullet would be
0:54:16 > 0:54:17building on the green belt?
0:54:17 > 0:54:18We're not short of space.
0:54:18 > 0:54:21There's masses of brownfield land which can be built on.
0:54:21 > 0:54:31But brownfield land is not easy to build on, is it?
0:54:40 > 0:54:43A key requirement is, you need to be able to get to it.
0:54:43 > 0:54:46And one of the big challenges we face in large parts of London
0:54:46 > 0:54:47is poor connectivity.
0:54:47 > 0:54:49It is no accident that what is driving the development
0:54:49 > 0:54:51of Barking Riverside now is the extension of
0:54:51 > 0:54:52the London Overground.
0:54:52 > 0:54:54It spent ten years being a desert, that site.
0:54:54 > 0:54:55I've been there.
0:54:55 > 0:54:58You go to Barking, then you to catch a bus,
0:54:58 > 0:54:59and it's ten 20 minutes.
0:54:59 > 0:55:01It could be half an hour in the rush hour.
0:55:01 > 0:55:04Of course people won't live there if they can't get to work.
0:55:04 > 0:55:07Once it's two stops from Barking on the overground with direct
0:55:07 > 0:55:09links all across London, which you'll get, that place
0:55:09 > 0:55:10will be transformed.
0:55:10 > 0:55:13Across the parties we've realised that over the last ten years.
0:55:13 > 0:55:15Crossrail is opening next year, the Elizabeth line.
0:55:15 > 0:55:17It will transform housing densities in the stations around.
0:55:17 > 0:55:19There are plans the mayor has taken forward, which the Government
0:55:19 > 0:55:21is supporting for Crossrail 2.
0:55:21 > 0:55:23That will be the new North-South line in London.
0:55:23 > 0:55:25That could itself unlock 200,000 homes, most of them
0:55:25 > 0:55:27on brownfield sites, but which at the moment
0:55:27 > 0:55:28are very hard to get to.
0:55:28 > 0:55:29Very quickly, James.
0:55:29 > 0:55:30Briefly, if you will.
0:55:30 > 0:55:32This accusation that you are going to ruin
0:55:32 > 0:55:34the suburbs that, in effect.
0:55:34 > 0:55:35This whole plan is anti-suburbs?
0:55:35 > 0:55:37There is an emphasis in the plan on good design
0:55:37 > 0:55:40and that is whether you are building in the suburbs or in central
0:55:40 > 0:55:43or inner London, right across London we want to see well-designed,
0:55:43 > 0:55:44high density housing.
0:55:44 > 0:55:47We are very clear that everywhere in London needs to play a part.
0:55:47 > 0:55:49That includes even places in Chris's constituency,
0:55:49 > 0:55:51where he needs to get with the programme and start
0:55:51 > 0:55:53building more housing rather than blocking developments,
0:55:53 > 0:55:55where we can get more homes for Londoners.
0:55:55 > 0:55:57Right, we'll have to leave it there, I'm afraid.
0:55:57 > 0:55:59I know you'd like to come back in.
0:55:59 > 0:56:00I certainly would.
0:56:00 > 0:56:03Some of that's not accurate but I'll let it go for now.
0:56:03 > 0:56:04Thank you, James.
0:56:04 > 0:56:05Thanks, James Murray, for joining us.
0:56:05 > 0:56:09I'm sorry to bring it up on what is a day off for most,
0:56:09 > 0:56:11but picture the morning commute, as you squeeze into a bus
0:56:11 > 0:56:14or are forced to nestle into some stranger's armpit on a train.
0:56:14 > 0:56:16You've probably come to an obvious conclusion.
0:56:16 > 0:56:18More and more people seem to be using public transport.
0:56:18 > 0:56:20Actually, according to the stats, you're wrong.
0:56:20 > 0:56:21London's population is increasing.
0:56:21 > 0:56:24Its economy is growing and jobs continue to be created.
0:56:24 > 0:56:26That's why so much new transport infrastructure is planned
0:56:26 > 0:56:28from the Bakerloo line extension to the proposed Crossrail 2,
0:56:28 > 0:56:31with more people and more jobs, the use of public transport ought
0:56:31 > 0:56:32to be on the rise.
0:56:32 > 0:56:34Except, if you look at the latest official figures, it's not.
0:56:34 > 0:56:37Rail journeys in London and the south-east were down almost
0:56:37 > 0:56:405% this year, and bus journeys have fallen by 6% in
0:56:40 > 0:56:42the last three years.
0:56:42 > 0:56:44As for the tube, there were 13 million fewer underground
0:56:44 > 0:56:47journeys this year than last.
0:56:47 > 0:56:51It's a bit of a mystery.
0:56:51 > 0:56:53I'm not sure anybody knows what the reason behind this fall
0:56:53 > 0:57:00in transport use is.
0:57:00 > 0:57:04It looks as if it's something to do with the change in the pattern
0:57:04 > 0:57:05of how people use their lives.
0:57:05 > 0:57:07Perhaps they've got fed up with the Southern Railway
0:57:07 > 0:57:10and the strikes and they've decided to work at home more,
0:57:10 > 0:57:13or just change their entire pattern of approach to work.
0:57:13 > 0:57:15The traditional pattern of commuting from outer London into offices
0:57:15 > 0:57:18in the centre is being disrupted by the rise of people working
0:57:18 > 0:57:19from home and elsewhere.
0:57:19 > 0:57:23Places like the Collective in Brent, where people not only work but live.
0:57:23 > 0:57:28You can imagine what it would take for me to get an office in the City.
0:57:28 > 0:57:35I'd need shirts for the office, then the amount I'd have
0:57:35 > 0:57:38to pay would be much, much greater and I would be alone
0:57:38 > 0:57:40sitting in an office working by myself.
0:57:40 > 0:57:42Suddenly, the physical office is becoming more and more redundant.
0:57:42 > 0:57:45The data shows another people who are working remotely is rising.
0:57:45 > 0:57:48Our business is built on the idea that the way we work,
0:57:48 > 0:57:53the way we live and the way we play is changing fundamentally.
0:57:53 > 0:57:56If I look at our demographic, people between the ages of 22-35,
0:57:56 > 0:57:58the numbers of freelancers is increasing fairly rapidly.
0:57:58 > 0:58:02There may be other causes.
0:58:02 > 0:58:06Road congestion has consistently slowed buses down.
0:58:06 > 0:58:08Cycling, too, is on the rise.
0:58:08 > 0:58:10Whatever the case may be, there are implications for Transport
0:58:10 > 0:58:11for London's finances.
0:58:11 > 0:58:13Their yield this year may fall in cash terms.
0:58:13 > 0:58:19That, of course, means there's less money for future investment.
0:58:19 > 0:58:21And it will begin to beg questions about how long a fares
0:58:21 > 0:58:23freeze could be sustained.
0:58:23 > 0:58:26But the mayor says, it's actually the fares freeze
0:58:26 > 0:58:33that's the solution.
0:58:33 > 0:58:35We've seen in London, where we've frozen TfL fares
0:58:35 > 0:58:37on the London overground, usage has gone up.
0:58:37 > 0:58:39Compare and contrast London Overground with
0:58:39 > 0:58:41the suburban lines - Southern, South-east
0:58:41 > 0:58:43and South-western, where it has gone down by 5%.
0:58:43 > 0:58:47In a statement, Transport for London told us they have significantly
0:58:47 > 0:58:49reduced their operating costs, by £153 million.
0:58:49 > 0:58:57But there are many challenges ahead for London's transport planners.
0:58:57 > 0:58:58It's counter-intuitive stuff, isn't it?
0:58:58 > 0:59:00Andrew Adonis, what do you make of these figures?
0:59:00 > 0:59:02We need to break it down into different parts.
0:59:02 > 0:59:06Bus usage has been really seriously hit by congestion.
0:59:06 > 0:59:11Average bus speeds in Central London now are lower than they were with
0:59:11 > 0:59:15the horse and carriage, before the First World War.
0:59:15 > 0:59:20The number 11 bus goes through Central London at an average
0:59:20 > 0:59:23now of three and a half miles an hour - you could walk faster.
0:59:23 > 0:59:26Is that what people are doing? I think some people are.
0:59:26 > 0:59:27Particularly when they get into Central London.
0:59:27 > 0:59:29They are walking that last bit.
0:59:29 > 0:59:30That needs to be sorted out.
0:59:30 > 0:59:32There are good reasons for it.
0:59:32 > 0:59:34I am a great supporter of the cycle superhighways.
0:59:34 > 0:59:37We've got to have modern cycling infrastructure but we have not yet
0:59:37 > 0:59:39sorted out all of the associated traffic movements around it.
0:59:39 > 0:59:41I think that needs to be worked through.
0:59:41 > 0:59:44It's also part of the reason why I'm strongly in favour of bus
0:59:44 > 0:59:47prioritisation and doing more to get cars out of Central London.
0:59:47 > 0:59:49I think the plans to pedestrianise completely Oxford Street,
0:59:49 > 0:59:56which has now been mooted for ten years, when the Elizabeth line opens
0:59:56 > 0:59:58and you'll have huge numbers coming out of Bond Street
0:59:58 > 1:00:00and Tottenham Court Road Stations, those sorts of policies
1:00:00 > 1:00:02will be important.
1:00:02 > 1:00:04Then you need the buses to terminate around those stations.
1:00:04 > 1:00:06In the case of the tube and the overground,
1:00:06 > 1:00:10it's a bit more of a mystery.
1:00:10 > 1:00:12Tony is onto something there.
1:00:12 > 1:00:15We have had some of the worst strikes in the history of London
1:00:15 > 1:00:17commuting in the summer.
1:00:17 > 1:00:20That is one of the busiest sets of commuter lines into London.
1:00:20 > 1:00:24That has been so disruptive that I think, what has actually happened,
1:00:24 > 1:00:29it has instilled new patterns of working where, in order not to be
1:00:29 > 1:00:31subject to the absolute chaos and confusion of Southern Rail,
1:00:31 > 1:00:34people have started working at home more or at least for at least two
1:00:34 > 1:00:36or three days a week more.
1:00:36 > 1:00:38They have changed their working patterns.
1:00:38 > 1:00:39In time that may be a good thing.
1:00:39 > 1:00:42Heidi, this presents a bit of a problem for TfL's revenues.
1:00:42 > 1:00:44If people are not paying for their fares, how
1:00:44 > 1:00:46are you going to pay for investment in rail?
1:00:46 > 1:00:49Interestingly, I had a conversation with someone at the GLA this morning
1:00:49 > 1:00:52about this and they said they have actually seen some pick-up
1:00:52 > 1:00:54in passenger numbers in the last couple of months
1:00:54 > 1:00:57and that the revenue for TfL is ahead of budget in terms
1:00:57 > 1:01:00of what was predicted.
1:01:00 > 1:01:08But, yeah, it will be a huge challenge to balance the books.
1:01:08 > 1:01:11As that video showed, I think we have already in the last year,
1:01:11 > 1:01:16Sadiq has managed to reduce the operating costs by 153
1:01:16 > 1:01:20million through reducing layers of management,
1:01:20 > 1:01:24rationalising their accommodation, that sort of thing.
1:01:24 > 1:01:26I agree with what Andrew has said.
1:01:26 > 1:01:29There are a lot of different reasons for this.
1:01:29 > 1:01:32I think of my own journey into work, which is absolutely horrendous
1:01:32 > 1:01:37on South-eastern Trains.
1:01:37 > 1:01:40My husband stopped using the train network altogether.
1:01:40 > 1:01:42I want to bring in Chris on this.
1:01:42 > 1:01:43What do you make of all of this?
1:01:43 > 1:01:48I was a bit surprised.
1:01:48 > 1:01:50On Southern Trains to Croydon, and on the tubes, it
1:01:50 > 1:01:51still feels pretty crowded.
1:01:51 > 1:01:53I was surprised to see those figures.
1:01:53 > 1:01:54I think Andrew is right.
1:01:54 > 1:01:56The RMT strikes, 40 days of strikes on Southern,
1:01:56 > 1:01:58has had a crippling effect on Croydon residents and residents
1:01:58 > 1:02:00up and down the Brighton main line.
1:02:00 > 1:02:01That would have contributed.
1:02:01 > 1:02:04Also, to be honest, Sadiq Khan promised during the mayoral election
1:02:04 > 1:02:09that not a single Londoner would pay a penny more in 2020 but, in fact,
1:02:09 > 1:02:11he has put up fares, contrary to his promise,
1:02:11 > 1:02:14on Travelcards and Oyster cards.
1:02:14 > 1:02:18I'm really sorry to say we're out of time.
1:02:18 > 1:02:23I'm going to have to hand back to Sarah.
1:02:27 > 1:02:28Welcome back.
1:02:28 > 1:02:34Tom, Isabel and Steve are still with me.
1:02:34 > 1:02:38Let's talk about a couple of the interviews we heard earlier in the
1:02:38 > 1:02:42programme. Let's start with Michael Howard. He was putting up a very
1:02:42 > 1:02:46strong defence of Damian Green and harsh criticism of the police who
1:02:46 > 1:02:52had been speaking out saying they had reservations about what Damian
1:02:52 > 1:02:57Green had been doing with his Parliamentary computer. We surprised
1:02:57 > 1:03:03at that, is about?Not at all. There is much support for Damian Green,
1:03:03 > 1:03:07including Labour MPs. It is in relation to how the police have
1:03:07 > 1:03:11behaved over this. There is discomfort among MPs about how the
1:03:11 > 1:03:15police were involved in this. Most people will have forgotten the
1:03:15 > 1:03:18various dramas around that some years ago when police were invited
1:03:18 > 1:03:23into the Commons over a leak investigation. MPs feel that was no
1:03:23 > 1:03:28place for officers to be and they are uncomfortable about the leaking
1:03:28 > 1:03:31of this confidential information. I think the question now is whether
1:03:31 > 1:03:36Damian Green has lied about what he did although she is ago. To me,
1:03:36 > 1:03:41personally, and too many Tory MPs, whether or not he viewed pawn ten
1:03:41 > 1:03:48years ago or however long it was ago, it was clearly inappropriate
1:03:48 > 1:03:51behaviour on an office computer. Perhaps if he had acknowledged it
1:03:51 > 1:03:55and said he was going through a hard time, he might get away with it. If
1:03:55 > 1:03:59it is proven he lied and he is finished, whether or not there are a
1:03:59 > 1:04:04lot of sympathetic MPs over the way he is being treated here.It is
1:04:04 > 1:04:10interesting how many MPs are sympathetic. David Davis has
1:04:10 > 1:04:19threatened to resign from the Cabinet is Damian Green went.This
1:04:19 > 1:04:24goes back ten, 15 years of Tory Party history. David Davis, Damian
1:04:24 > 1:04:29Green and Theresa May or worked very closely together. They were
1:04:29 > 1:04:33horrified about the immigration papers leaks. It was proven to be a
1:04:33 > 1:04:35pretty bad thing that was done and the police apologise. Moving on to
1:04:35 > 1:04:43where we are now, it strikes me that Theresa May is downed if she does
1:04:43 > 1:04:48find Damian Green for being a cover-up rather than the crime
1:04:48 > 1:04:52himself, he has made a series of statements about pornography on his
1:04:52 > 1:04:56computer, it is not the possession but how he tried to disguise it was
1:04:56 > 1:05:01there. If she fires him, then she will have terrible troubles with the
1:05:01 > 1:05:04likes of David Davis and people furious in the party, Andrew
1:05:04 > 1:05:09Mitchell furious that the police are calling the shots. If she does not
1:05:09 > 1:05:14fire him, as some ministers in government, some Tory MPs, who think
1:05:14 > 1:05:22it is impossible for him to stay on with the mess as it currently is and
1:05:22 > 1:05:25his inconsistencies. She has made this worse for herself by sitting
1:05:25 > 1:05:28on, if not the full report but the substance of it for some time now.
1:05:28 > 1:05:33You think surely has the report that has not looked at it yet.She has
1:05:33 > 1:05:36not seen the full report but has been kept up to date with where it
1:05:36 > 1:05:42is going and what the findings are. She has been forced to take a very
1:05:42 > 1:05:46tough decision, like Angela Merkel always has and survived in politics
1:05:46 > 1:05:52very well, by simply not taking that decision, sometimes it works
1:05:52 > 1:05:58brilliantly and events work-out but sometimes it gets deeper.Barry
1:05:58 > 1:06:02Gardner was talking about Labour's EU policies was that he would not
1:06:02 > 1:06:06rule out a second referendum. He made it clear it was not party
1:06:06 > 1:06:11policy at the moment. I was asking about Jeremy Corbyn saying he would
1:06:11 > 1:06:16not rule out a second referendum. Saying it was a possibility if there
1:06:16 > 1:06:21was a two thirds threshold on it, which is a new idea.The position of
1:06:21 > 1:06:25the Labour Party, and the smart one for the time being, is to do what
1:06:25 > 1:06:31Harold Wilson used to call keep all options open. If there are big cries
1:06:31 > 1:06:38for another referendum, opinion polls from some of them who voted
1:06:38 > 1:06:42Brexit when they see a deal, the Labour leadership will come around
1:06:42 > 1:06:46and say they will support a referendum. They are being wholly
1:06:46 > 1:06:50pragmatic about this, as most opposition parties are when dealing
1:06:50 > 1:06:55with Europe. Before 97, Tony Blair was in favour of the single currency
1:06:55 > 1:07:01but loving the pound. This ambiguity is a feature of politics in Europe.
1:07:01 > 1:07:09They are in a broadly smart position for now.Ambiguity, some might call
1:07:09 > 1:07:18it inconsistency.I call it cynicism myself.Can it work for them?It is
1:07:18 > 1:07:22extraordinary cynical. I have seen some lame polls of small samples
1:07:22 > 1:07:26which purport to show there is a contingency of people who want
1:07:26 > 1:07:31another referendum. It comes down to how you phrase the question. This
1:07:31 > 1:07:35was the biggest democratic mandate for a decision to be taken that we
1:07:35 > 1:07:40have had in history. Most people just want Brexit to get gone. I
1:07:40 > 1:07:45think there is an extraordinary 50 quid Brexit at the moment, even
1:07:45 > 1:07:49amongst the people who wanted to happen. People wanted over with nets
1:07:49 > 1:07:58get on with building the new feature for the country. -- and let's get
1:07:58 > 1:08:00on.
1:08:00 > 1:08:03Now, you know how the old cliche goes: if you're not a Liberal
1:08:03 > 1:08:04when you're young then you've no heart.
1:08:04 > 1:08:06And if you're not a Conservative when you're old,
1:08:06 > 1:08:08then you've no brain.
1:08:08 > 1:08:10Well, it seems the Conservative Party might be getting a bit
1:08:10 > 1:08:11worried it's true.
1:08:11 > 1:08:13According to a report in The Guardian this week,
1:08:13 > 1:08:16party chiefs were concerned after surveys of public opinion
1:08:16 > 1:08:18showed that while Conservatives are seen as more credible
1:08:18 > 1:08:20on their policies, Labour are well ahead amongst voters when it
1:08:20 > 1:08:21comes to compassion.
1:08:21 > 1:08:23But can that be right, and which matters more
1:08:23 > 1:08:25to the British public ?
1:08:25 > 1:08:28We sent reporter Emma Vardy out into the cold with our rather
1:08:28 > 1:08:33unscientific moodbox.
1:08:33 > 1:08:35Tories have been told that polling suggests that people think
1:08:35 > 1:08:38Conservatives are competent when it comes to their policies but not
1:08:38 > 1:08:41caring enough when it comes to their values.
1:08:41 > 1:08:44So, we're in the Tory marginal of Putney to ask people
1:08:44 > 1:08:49what's more important, competence or compassion?
1:08:49 > 1:08:50Compassion.
1:08:50 > 1:08:52Why is that?
1:08:52 > 1:08:54Because it affects all of us.
1:08:54 > 1:08:59Compassion.
1:08:59 > 1:09:01I think they forget that it is real people they are
1:09:01 > 1:09:03governing, it is not just about the budget.
1:09:03 > 1:09:06It is about the budget, obviously, balancing the books, but
1:09:06 > 1:09:09I think you need to think about the little people, like these two.
1:09:09 > 1:09:10Like these.
1:09:10 > 1:09:13Competence, surely.
1:09:13 > 1:09:15Because if they are not, then we're going to
1:09:15 > 1:09:18need even more compassion because there will be even more people
1:09:18 > 1:09:19suffering.
1:09:19 > 1:09:20Thank you so much.
1:09:20 > 1:09:21Thank you.
1:09:21 > 1:09:25There are a lot of competent people who can take care of a job
1:09:25 > 1:09:27but a lot of these competent people don't really have compassion.
1:09:27 > 1:09:28It has to be competence.
1:09:28 > 1:09:30It has to be.
1:09:30 > 1:09:31Why competence?
1:09:31 > 1:09:33At the end of the day, obviously compassion is
1:09:33 > 1:09:38extremely important but due to the state our finances are in,
1:09:38 > 1:09:40competence has to be the way to go, unfortunately.
1:09:40 > 1:09:42Competence, I think.
1:09:42 > 1:09:42Why's that?
1:09:42 > 1:09:46Well, because they seem to be paid
1:09:46 > 1:09:49very well and don't have a lot of competence and fail this country
1:09:49 > 1:09:52miserably.
1:09:52 > 1:09:59People need to have a heart.
1:09:59 > 1:10:01If they're competent and don't have a heart, it's worthless.
1:10:01 > 1:10:02Competence.
1:10:02 > 1:10:04You can't have fools running the country.
1:10:04 > 1:10:06Well, I think that anybody who is in parliament
1:10:06 > 1:10:07should be conpetent.
1:10:07 > 1:10:09Otherwise you shouldn't be an MP in the first
1:10:09 > 1:10:10place, whatever party they are.
1:10:10 > 1:10:12Do they have enough compassion?
1:10:12 > 1:10:13No.
1:10:13 > 1:10:15But then who does have enough compassion these days?
1:10:15 > 1:10:16Hardly anybody, my dear.
1:10:16 > 1:10:19Should politicians do it from the heart, do you think?
1:10:19 > 1:10:20No.
1:10:20 > 1:10:22And I think they should do it from the heart.
1:10:22 > 1:10:25I think they just swerve everything.
1:10:25 > 1:10:28I am a heart on my sleeve man and I love that honesty,
1:10:28 > 1:10:29that genuine feel, enthusiasm.
1:10:29 > 1:10:30I can tell you are.
1:10:30 > 1:10:31I'm feeling the warmth.
1:10:31 > 1:10:32Thank you very much.
1:10:32 > 1:10:33Pleasure.
1:10:33 > 1:10:36Seems like it could be time for the Tory Party to
1:10:36 > 1:10:38enter the season of goodwill.
1:10:38 > 1:10:40Here in Putney, it was a narrow victory
1:10:40 > 1:10:50over competence for compassion.
1:10:50 > 1:10:55Emma in Putney. Let's bring the discussion into the studio. Are the
1:10:55 > 1:11:03Tories right? M BBC and is competent and not compassionate? Does it
1:11:03 > 1:11:07matter?The bigger worry is that they are not being seen as competent
1:11:07 > 1:11:12and that is fatal for a government. The two are connected full study
1:11:12 > 1:11:17cannot be compassionate because that involves public spending if you are
1:11:17 > 1:11:24not competent. With respect to the brilliant film, it is a slight
1:11:24 > 1:11:30juxtaposition. Many Tory MPs return from the last election saying we are
1:11:30 > 1:11:36seen again as the mean party. I was getting endless complaints about
1:11:36 > 1:11:41school cuts, health cuts and so on. But competence is the key. If you
1:11:41 > 1:11:48lose that, you're doomed as the Government.Time for Theresa May to
1:11:48 > 1:11:54start hugging huskies?That so well. I broadly agree with Steve,
1:11:54 > 1:11:59obviously you have to be competent. This is a huge problem for the Tory
1:11:59 > 1:12:02Party, particularly among young voters thought it was high time the
1:12:02 > 1:12:08Tory Party stopped letting labour monopolise the moral high ground on
1:12:08 > 1:12:12everything. Apart from the fact I'm sure he believes it in his heart
1:12:12 > 1:12:17when you are seeing figures like Michael Gove really embracing
1:12:17 > 1:12:20so-called softer causes like environmentalism and animal welfare.
1:12:20 > 1:12:28The Tories must do that to win over young voters.They have did do that.
1:12:28 > 1:12:32Can they do it?Compassion versus competence is the age of problem the
1:12:32 > 1:12:37Tory Party have had for years and it is the same with the Labour Party.
1:12:37 > 1:12:44Tony Blair pulled that trick brilliantly in 1997. The Tories can
1:12:44 > 1:12:53do that. But it will not shift the barometer too much. To make inroads
1:12:53 > 1:12:57on compassion, the Tories will have to reorganise whether money is in
1:12:57 > 1:13:02Britain and help out younger people, the socially immobile. That is where
1:13:02 > 1:13:09the problem is. They have no money and no majority. If you cannot get
1:13:09 > 1:13:12stuffed through the House of Commons you cannot change the country. That
1:13:12 > 1:13:17is where they will be stuck until the next election.Thank you all for
1:13:17 > 1:13:23being with us this afternoon.
1:13:23 > 1:13:25That's all for today - thanks to all my guests
1:13:25 > 1:13:27and my three amigos here.
1:13:27 > 1:13:29Join me again next Sunday at 11 here on BBC One
1:13:29 > 1:13:30for more Sunday Politics.
1:13:30 > 1:13:37Until then, bye-bye.