24/11/2013

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:00:39. > :00:49.Good morning. Labour has been hit hard by scandals at the Co-op. Ed

:00:50. > :00:53.Miliband says the Tories are mudslinging. We speak to Grant

:00:54. > :00:57.Shapps. We are still talking about banks in

:00:58. > :01:12.trouble. I haven't the regulators got the message?

:01:13. > :01:17.He used to have a windmill on his roof, but has planned to make the

:01:18. > :01:19.Conservative Party more cuddly been ditched?

:01:20. > :01:24.And on Sunday Politics Scotland. Hot off the press - the blueprint for

:01:25. > :01:27.independence is published on Tuesday and the Scottish government names

:01:28. > :01:33.the day the country becomes independent if we vote yes.

:01:34. > :01:36.Helen Lewis and Nick Watt. They'll be tweeting faster than England

:01:37. > :01:40.loses wickets to Australia. Yes, they're really that fast.

:01:41. > :01:43.First, some big news overnight from Geneva, where Iran has agreed to

:01:44. > :01:48.curb some of its nuclear activities in return for the partial easing of

:01:49. > :01:51.sanctions. Iran will pause the enrichment of uranium to weapons

:01:52. > :02:01.grade and America will free up some funds for Iran to spend. May be up

:02:02. > :02:04.to $10 billion. A more comprehensive deal is supposed to be done in six

:02:05. > :02:09.months. Here's what President Obama had to say about this interim

:02:10. > :02:14.months. Here's what President Obama agreement. We have pursued intensive

:02:15. > :02:19.diplomacy, bilaterally with the Iranians, and together with our

:02:20. > :02:23.partners, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia and China,

:02:24. > :02:29.as well as the European Union. Today, that diplomacy opened up a

:02:30. > :02:35.new path towards a world that is more secure, a future in which we

:02:36. > :02:41.can verify that Iraq and's nuclear programme is peaceful, and that it

:02:42. > :02:45.cannot build a nuclear weapon. President Obama spoke from the White

:02:46. > :02:51.House last night. Now the difficulty begins. This is meant to lead to a

:02:52. > :02:57.full-scale agreement which will effectively end all sanctions, and

:02:58. > :03:00.end Iran's ability to have a bomb. The early signs are pretty good. The

:03:01. > :03:06.Iranian currency strengthened overnight, which is exactly what the

:03:07. > :03:14.Iranians wanted. Inflation in Iraq is 40%, so they need a stronger

:03:15. > :03:18.currency. -- information in Iran. France has played a blinder. It was

:03:19. > :03:21.there intransigence that led to this. Otherwise, I think the West

:03:22. > :03:27.would have led to a much softer deal. The question now becomes

:03:28. > :03:33.implementation. Here, everything hinges on two questions. First, who

:03:34. > :03:38.is Hassan Rouhani? Is he the Iranians Gorbachev, a serious

:03:39. > :03:44.reformer, or he's here much more tactical and cynical figure? Or,

:03:45. > :03:47.within Iran, how powerful is he? There are military men and

:03:48. > :03:54.intelligence officials within Iran who may stymie the process. The

:03:55. > :03:59.Western media concentrate on the fact that Mr Netanyahu and the

:04:00. > :04:04.Israelis are not happy about this. They don't often mention that the

:04:05. > :04:09.Arab Gulf states are also very apprehensive about this deal. I read

:04:10. > :04:19.this morning that the enemies of Qatar and Kuwait went to Saudi king.

:04:20. > :04:25.-- the MAs row. That is the key thing to watch in the next couple of

:04:26. > :04:30.weeks. There was a response from Saudi Arabia, but it came from the

:04:31. > :04:34.Prime Minister of Israel, who said this was a historic mistake. The

:04:35. > :04:38.United States said there would be no enrichment of uranium to weapons

:04:39. > :04:42.grade. In the last few minutes, the Iranian Foreign Minister has tweeted

:04:43. > :04:51.to say that there is an inalienable right -- right to enrich. The key

:04:52. > :04:56.thing is the most important thing that President Obama said in his

:04:57. > :05:00.inaugural speech. He reached out to Iran. It failed under President

:05:01. > :05:07.McKenna jab. Under President Rouhani, there seems to be progress.

:05:08. > :05:11.There is potentially now what he talked about in that first inaugural

:05:12. > :05:17.address potentially coming through. In the end, the key issue - and we

:05:18. > :05:22.don't know the answer - is the supreme leader, not the president.

:05:23. > :05:27.Will the supreme leader agreed to Iran giving up its ability to create

:05:28. > :05:32.nuclear weapons? This is the huge ambiguity. Ayatollah Khamenei

:05:33. > :05:38.authorise the position that President Rouhani took to Geneva.

:05:39. > :05:44.That doesn't mean he will sign off on every bit of implementation over

:05:45. > :05:49.the next six months. Even when President Ahmadinejad was president,

:05:50. > :05:55.he wasn't really President. We in the West have to resort to a kind of

:05:56. > :06:05.Iranians version of the study of the Kremlin, to work out what is going

:06:06. > :06:12.on. And the problem the president faces is that if there is any

:06:13. > :06:16.sign... He can unlock these funds by executive order at the moment, but

:06:17. > :06:21.if he needs any more, he has to go to Congress. Both the Democrat and

:06:22. > :06:28.the Republican side have huge scepticism about this. And he has

:06:29. > :06:32.very low credibility now. There's already been angry noises coming

:06:33. > :06:36.from quite a lot of senators. It was quite strange to see that photo of

:06:37. > :06:40.John Kerry hugging Cathy Ashton as if they had survived a ship great

:06:41. > :06:51.together. John Kerry is clearly feeling very happy. We will keep an

:06:52. > :06:53.eye on this. It is a fascinating development.

:06:54. > :06:56.More lurid details about the personal life of the Co-op Bank's

:06:57. > :07:01.disgraced former chairman, the Reverend Paul Flowers. The links

:07:02. > :07:04.between Labour, the bank and the wider Co-op movement have caused big

:07:05. > :07:08.problems for Ed Miliband this week, and the Conservatives have been

:07:09. > :07:12.revelling in it. But do the Tory allegations - Ed Miliband calls them

:07:13. > :07:22."smears" - stack up? Party Chairman Grant Shapps joins us from Hatfield.

:07:23. > :07:31.Welcome to the programme. When it comes to the Co-op, what are you

:07:32. > :07:35.accusing Labour of knowing and when? I think the simple thing to say here

:07:36. > :07:41.is that the Co-op is an important bank. They have obviously got into

:07:42. > :07:45.difficulty with Reverend flowers, and our primary concern is making

:07:46. > :07:48.sure that that is properly investigated, and that we understand

:07:49. > :07:51.what happened at the bank and how somebody like Paul Flowers could

:07:52. > :07:57.have ended up thing appointed chairman. You wrote to edge Miliband

:07:58. > :08:04.on Tuesday and asked him what he knew and when. -- you wrote to Ed

:08:05. > :08:07.Miliband. But by Prime Minister's Questions on Wednesday, David

:08:08. > :08:14.Cameron claims that you knew that Labour knew about his past all

:08:15. > :08:21.along. What is the evidence for that? We found out by Wednesday that

:08:22. > :08:26.he had been a Labour councillor, Reverend Flowers, and had been made

:08:27. > :08:30.to stand down. Certainly, Labour knew about that, but somehow didn't

:08:31. > :08:37.seem to think that that made him less appropriate to be the chairman

:08:38. > :08:43.of the Co-op bank. There was no evidence that Mr Miliband or Mr

:08:44. > :08:48.Balls knew about that. I ask you again, what are you accusing the

:08:49. > :08:58.Labour leadership of knowing? We know now that he stood down for very

:08:59. > :09:00.inappropriate images on his computer, apparently. You are

:09:01. > :09:05.telling me that they didn't know. I am not sure that is clear at all. I

:09:06. > :09:09.have heard conflicting reports. There is a much bigger argument

:09:10. > :09:14.about what they knew and when. There was a much bigger issue here. This

:09:15. > :09:19.morning, Ed Miliband has said that they don't have to answer these

:09:20. > :09:22.questions and that these smears. This is ludicrous. These are

:09:23. > :09:26.important questions about an important bank, how it ended up

:09:27. > :09:33.getting into this position, and how a disastrous Britannia -- Italia

:09:34. > :09:40.deal happen. -- Britannia deal happened. And we need to know how

:09:41. > :09:43.the bank came off the rails. To be accused of smears for asking the

:09:44. > :09:48.questions is ridiculous. I am just trying to find out what you are

:09:49. > :09:54.accusing Labour of. You saying that the Labour leadership knew about the

:09:55. > :10:03.drug-taking? Sorry, there was some noise here. I don't know what was

:10:04. > :10:07.known and when. We do know that Labour, the party, certainly knew

:10:08. > :10:12.about these very difficult circumstances in which he resigned

:10:13. > :10:17.as a councillor. I think that the Labour Party knew about it. We knew

:10:18. > :10:21.that Bradford did, but not London. Are you saying that Ed Miliband knew

:10:22. > :10:25.about the inappropriate material on the Reverend's laptop? It is

:10:26. > :10:33.certainly the case that Labour knew about it. But did Mr Miliband know

:10:34. > :10:40.about it, and his predilection for rent boys? He will need to answer

:10:41. > :10:45.those questions. It is quite proper to ask those questions. Surely,

:10:46. > :10:48.asking a perfectly legitimate set of questions, not just about that but

:10:49. > :10:53.about how we have ended up in a situation where this bank has made

:10:54. > :10:59.loans to Labour for millions of pounds, that bank and the Unite

:11:00. > :11:06.bank, who is connected to it. And how they made a ?50,000 donation to

:11:07. > :11:10.Ed Balls' office. Ed Balls says that was nothing to do with Reverend

:11:11. > :11:16.Flowers, and yet Reverend Flowers said that he personally signed that

:11:17. > :11:20.off. Lots of questions to answer. David Cameron has already answered

:11:21. > :11:26.them on Wednesday. He said that you now know that Labour knew about his

:11:27. > :11:29.past all along. You have not been able to present evidence that

:11:30. > :11:35.involve Mr Miliband or Mr Balls in that. So until you get that, surely

:11:36. > :11:39.you should apologise? Hang on. He said that Labour knew about this,

:11:40. > :11:45.and they did, because he stood down as a councillor. If Ed Miliband

:11:46. > :11:50.didn't know about that, then why not? This was quite a serious thing

:11:51. > :11:54.that happened. The wider point is about why it is that when you ask

:11:55. > :11:57.perfectly legitimate questions about this bank, about the Britannia deal,

:11:58. > :12:08.and about the background of Mr flowers, why is the response, it is

:12:09. > :12:11.all smears? There are questions about how Labour failed to deal with

:12:12. > :12:15.the deficit and how it hasn't done anything to support the welfare

:12:16. > :12:24.changes, but there is nothing about that. Let us -- lets: To the wider

:12:25. > :12:32.picture of the Co-operative Bank. Labour wanted the Co-op to take over

:12:33. > :12:37.the Britannia Building Society, and it was a disaster. Do you accept

:12:38. > :12:44.that? The government of the day has to be a part of these discussions

:12:45. > :12:49.for regulatory reason. The government in 2009 - Ed Balls was

:12:50. > :12:55.very pleased... But you supported that decision. There was a later

:12:56. > :13:00.deal, potentially, for the Co-op to buy those Lloyds branches. There was

:13:01. > :13:07.a proper process and it didn't go through just recently. If there had

:13:08. > :13:14.been a proper process back in 2009, would the Britannia deal have gone

:13:15. > :13:19.through? First, you accept that the Tories were in favour of the

:13:20. > :13:23.Britannia take over. Then your Chancellor Osborne went out of his

:13:24. > :13:26.way to facilitate the purchase of the Lloyds branches, even though you

:13:27. > :13:34.had no idea that the Co-op had the management expertise to become a

:13:35. > :13:40.super medium. Correct? The difference is that that deal didn't

:13:41. > :13:47.go through. There was a proper process that took place. Let's look

:13:48. > :13:53.at the process. There was long indications as far back as January

:13:54. > :13:58.2012 that the Co-op, as a direct result of the Britannia take over

:13:59. > :14:02.which you will party supported, was unfit to acquire the Lloyds

:14:03. > :14:09.branches. By January 2012, the Chancellor and the Treasury ignored

:14:10. > :14:12.the warnings. Wide? In 2009, there was political pressure for the

:14:13. > :14:16.Britannia to be brought together. Based on the information available,

:14:17. > :14:20.this was supported, but that process ended up with a very, very

:14:21. > :14:26.problematic takeover of the Britannia. Wind forward to this

:14:27. > :14:29.year, and when the same types of issues were being looked at for the

:14:30. > :14:34.purchase of the Lloyds deal, the proper process was followed, this

:14:35. > :14:38.time with us in government, and that purchase didn't go through. It is

:14:39. > :14:41.important that the proper process is followed, and when it was, it

:14:42. > :14:51.transpired that the deal wasn't going to be done. But it was the

:14:52. > :14:56.Treasury and the Chancellor who were the cheerleaders for the acquisition

:14:57. > :14:59.of the Lloyds branches. But there was a warning that the Co-op did not

:15:00. > :15:03.have enough capital on its balance sheet to make those acquisitions,

:15:04. > :15:09.but instead of heeding those warnings, your people went to

:15:10. > :15:14.Brussels to lobby for the requirements to be relaxed - why on

:15:15. > :15:18.earth did you do that? Our Chancellor went to argue for all of

:15:19. > :15:22.Rajesh banking, not specifically for the Co-op. He was arguing for the

:15:23. > :15:28.mutuals to be given a special ruling. The idea was to make sure

:15:29. > :15:33.that every bank in Britain could have a better deal, particularly the

:15:34. > :15:37.mutuals, as you say. That is a proper thing for the Chancellor to

:15:38. > :15:41.be doing. We could go round in circles here, but in the end, there

:15:42. > :15:45.was not a takeover of the Lloyds branches, that is because we

:15:46. > :15:50.followed a proper process. Had that same rigorous process been followed

:15:51. > :15:54.in 2009, the legitimate question to ask is whether the Co-op would have

:15:55. > :15:58.been -- would have taken over the Britannia. That is a proper question

:15:59. > :16:02.to ask. It is no good to have the leader of the opposition say, as

:16:03. > :16:05.soon as you ask any of these questions about anything where there

:16:06. > :16:10.is a problem for them, they come back with, oh, this is all smears.

:16:11. > :16:13.There are questions to ask about what the Labour government did, the

:16:14. > :16:19.debt and the deficit they left the country with, the way they stopped

:16:20. > :16:23.work from paying in this country. The big question your government has

:16:24. > :16:27.two answer is, why, by July 2012, when it was clear there was a black

:16:28. > :16:32.hole in the Co-op's balance sheet, your government re-confirmed the

:16:33. > :16:37.Co-op as the preferred bidder for Lloyds - why would you do that?

:16:38. > :16:41.Well, look, the good thing is, we can discuss this until the cows come

:16:42. > :16:45.home, but there is going to be a proper, full investigation, so we

:16:46. > :16:50.will find out what happened, all the way back. So, we will be able to get

:16:51. > :16:54.to the bottom of all of this. Grant Shapps, the only reason the Lloyds

:16:55. > :17:00.deal did not go ahead was, despite the Treasury cheerleading, when

:17:01. > :17:02.Lloyds began its due diligence, it found that there was indeed a huge

:17:03. > :17:08.black hole in the balance sheet and that the Co-op was not fit to take

:17:09. > :17:13.over its branches. That wasn't you, it wasn't the Government, it was not

:17:14. > :17:19.the Chancellor, it was Lloyds. You were still cheerleading for the deal

:17:20. > :17:23.to go ahead... Well, as I say, a proper process was followed, which

:17:24. > :17:27.did not result in the purchase of the Lloyds branches. At that proper

:17:28. > :17:32.process been followed with the purchase of the Britannia, under the

:17:33. > :17:37.previous government... Which you supported. Yes, but it may well be

:17:38. > :17:40.that under that previous deal, there was a excess political pressure

:17:41. > :17:49.perhaps put on in order to create that merger, which proved so

:17:50. > :17:54.disastrous. The Tories facilitated it, Grant Shapps, they allowed it to

:17:55. > :17:58.go ahead. I have said, we are going to have a proper, independent

:17:59. > :18:02.review. What I cannot understand is, when you announce a robber,

:18:03. > :18:09.independent review, the response you get to these serious questions. The

:18:10. > :18:14.response is, oh, this is a smear. It is crazy. We are trying to answer

:18:15. > :18:24.the big questions for this country. We have done all of that, and we are

:18:25. > :18:26.out of time. The Reverend Flowers' chairmanship of the Co-op bank was

:18:27. > :18:32.approved by the regulator at the time, which no longer exists. It was

:18:33. > :18:35.swept away by the coalition government in a supposed revolution

:18:36. > :18:39.in regulation. But will its replacement, the Financial Conduct

:18:40. > :18:48.Authority, be different? Adam has been to find out. Come with me for a

:18:49. > :18:53.spin around the Square mile to find out how we regulate our financial

:18:54. > :18:57.sector, which is almost five times bigger than the country's entire

:18:58. > :19:03.annual income. First, let's pick up our guide, journalist Iain Martin,

:19:04. > :19:09.who has just written a book about what went so wrong during the

:19:10. > :19:11.financial crisis. The FSA was an agency which was established to

:19:12. > :19:16.supervise the banks on a day-to-day basis. The Bank of England was

:19:17. > :19:19.supposed to have overall responsible at for this to Bolivia the financial

:19:20. > :19:24.system and the Treasury was supposed to take an interest in all of these

:19:25. > :19:30.things. The disaster was that it was not anyone's call responsibility, or

:19:31. > :19:33.main day job, to stay alert as to whether or not the banking system as

:19:34. > :19:37.a whole was being run in a safe manner. And so this April, a new

:19:38. > :19:47.system was set up to police the City. Most of the responsibly delays

:19:48. > :19:50.here, with the Bank of England, and its new Prudential Regulation

:19:51. > :19:54.Authority. And the Financial Services Authority has been replaced

:19:55. > :20:00.with the new Financial Conduct Authority. Can we go to the

:20:01. > :20:05.financial conduct authority, please? Canary Wharf, thank you. Here, it is

:20:06. > :20:08.all about whether the people in financial services are playing by

:20:09. > :20:13.the rules, in particular, how they treat their customers. This place

:20:14. > :20:17.has got new powers, like the ability to ban products it does not like, a

:20:18. > :20:21.new mandate to promote competition in the market, the concept being,

:20:22. > :20:26.more competition means a better market, plus the idea that a new

:20:27. > :20:33.organisation rings a whole new culture. Although these are the old

:20:34. > :20:38.offices of the FSA, so maybe not quite so new after all. It has also

:20:39. > :20:42.inherited the case of the Co-op bank and its disgraced former chairman

:20:43. > :20:45.the Reverend Paul Flowers. The SCA will be part of the investigation

:20:46. > :20:50.into what happened, which will probably involve looking at its own

:20:51. > :20:54.conduct. One member of the Parliamentary commission into

:20:55. > :20:59.banking wonders whether the new regulator, and its new boss, are up

:21:00. > :21:04.to it. I have always said, it is not the architecture which is the issue,

:21:05. > :21:08.it is the powers that the regulator has, and today, it does not seem to

:21:09. > :21:14.me as if there is any increase in that. And with the unfolding scandal

:21:15. > :21:21.at the Co-op, it feels like the new architecture for regulating the City

:21:22. > :21:24.is now facing its first big test. And the chief executive of the

:21:25. > :21:30.Financial Conduct Authority, the SCA, Martin Wheatley, joins me now.

:21:31. > :21:33.Welcome to The Sunday Politics. The failure of bank regulation was one

:21:34. > :21:39.of the clearest lessons of the crash in 2008, and yet two years later, in

:21:40. > :21:45.2010, Paul Flowers is allowed to become chairman of the Co-op - why

:21:46. > :21:49.have we still not got the regulation right? We have made a lot of changes

:21:50. > :21:53.since then. We have created a new regulator, as you know. At the time,

:21:54. > :21:57.we still had a process which allowed somebody to be appointed to a bank

:21:58. > :22:01.and they would go through a challenge, but in the case of Paul

:22:02. > :22:03.Flowers, there was no need for an additional challenge when he was

:22:04. > :22:10.appointed to chairman, because he was already on the board. But going

:22:11. > :22:15.from being on the board to becoming chairman, that is a big jump, and he

:22:16. > :22:19.only had one interview? That is why today, it would be different. But

:22:20. > :22:24.the truth is, that was the system at the time, the system which the FSA

:22:25. > :22:28.operated. He was challenged, we did challenge him, and we said, you do

:22:29. > :22:32.not have the right experience, but at the time, we would not have

:22:33. > :22:35.opposed the appointment. What we needed was additional representation

:22:36. > :22:40.of the board of people who did have banking experience. You can say that

:22:41. > :22:45.that was then and this is now, but up until April of this year, it was

:22:46. > :22:48.still the plan for the Co-op, under Mr Flowers, and despite being

:22:49. > :22:54.seriously wounded by the Britannia takeover, to take on 632 Lloyds

:22:55. > :22:58.branches. That was the Co-op's plan. They needed to pass our test

:22:59. > :23:02.as to whether we thought they were fit to do that, and frankly, they

:23:03. > :23:07.never passed that test. It was not the regulator that stopped them? It

:23:08. > :23:11.was. We were constantly pushing back, saying, you have not got the

:23:12. > :23:13.capital, you have no got the systems, and ultimately, they

:23:14. > :23:19.withdrew, when they could not answer our questions. You were asking the

:23:20. > :23:24.right questions, I accept that, but all of the time, the politicians on

:23:25. > :23:28.all sides, they were pushing for it to happen, and I cannot find

:23:29. > :23:34.anywhere where the regulator said, look, this is just not going to

:23:35. > :23:37.happen. I cannot comment on what the politicians were doing, but I

:23:38. > :23:40.continue what we were doing, which was constantly asking the Co-op,

:23:41. > :23:45.have you got the systems in place, have you got the people, have you

:23:46. > :23:48.got the capital? And they didn't. But it only came to a head when

:23:49. > :23:52.Lloyds started its own due diligence on the bank, and they discovered

:23:53. > :23:57.that it was impossible for them to take over the branches, it was not

:23:58. > :24:02.the regulator... In fairness, what we do is ask the questions, can you

:24:03. > :24:06.do this deal? And we kept pushing back, and we never frankly got

:24:07. > :24:13.delivered a business plan which we were happy to approve. Is the SCA

:24:14. > :24:24.going to launch its own inquiry into what happened? -- the FCA. The

:24:25. > :24:28.Chancellor has announced what will be a very broad inquiry. There are a

:24:29. > :24:34.number of specifics which we will be able to look at, relating to events

:24:35. > :24:38.over the last five years. Could there be a police investigation? I

:24:39. > :24:42.think the police have already announced an investigation. I am

:24:43. > :24:46.talking about into the handling of the bank. It depends. There might

:24:47. > :24:55.be, if there is grim low activity, which we do not know yet. You worked

:24:56. > :25:02.at the FS eight, didn't you? I did. Some of those people who were signed

:25:03. > :25:08.off on the speedy promotion of Mr Flowers, are they now working

:25:09. > :25:11.there? Yes, we have some. I came to join the Financial Services

:25:12. > :25:17.Authority, to lead it into the creation of the new body, the SCA.

:25:18. > :25:27.We had people who were challenging and they did the job. There was not

:25:28. > :25:31.a requirement to approve the role as chairman. There was not even a

:25:32. > :25:36.requirement to interview at that stage. What we did do was to require

:25:37. > :25:48.that he was interviewed, and that the Co-op should get additional

:25:49. > :25:52.experience. One of the people from the old organisation, who signed up

:25:53. > :25:55.on the promotion of Mr Flowers to become chairman is now a

:25:56. > :26:03.nonexecutive director of the Co-op, so how does that work? Welcome he

:26:04. > :26:06.was a senior adviser to our organisation, one of the people who

:26:07. > :26:11.made the challenges, and who said, you need more experience on your

:26:12. > :26:15.board. Subsequently he then went and joined the board. Surely that should

:26:16. > :26:20.not be allowed, the regulator and the regulated should not be like

:26:21. > :26:24.that. Well clearly, you need protection, but we have got to get

:26:25. > :26:28.good people in, and frankly, we want the industry to have good people in

:26:29. > :26:33.the industry, so there will be some movement between the regulator and

:26:34. > :26:36.industry. We all wonder whether you have the power or even the

:26:37. > :26:39.confidence to stand up if you look at all of the really bad bank

:26:40. > :26:44.decisions recently, politicians were behind them. It was Gordon Brown who

:26:45. > :26:49.pushed the disastrous merger of Lloyds and RBS. It was Alex Salmond

:26:50. > :26:54.who egged on RBS to buy the world. All three main parties wanted the

:26:55. > :26:58.Co-op to buy Britannia, even though they did not know the debt it would

:26:59. > :27:01.inherit, and all three wanted the Co-op to buy the Lloyds branches -

:27:02. > :27:07.how do you as a regulator stand up to that little concert party? Well,

:27:08. > :27:11.that political pressure exists, our job at the end of the day is to do a

:27:12. > :27:16.relatively technical job and say, does it stack up? And it didn't, and

:27:17. > :27:19.we made that point time and time again to the Co-op board. They did

:27:20. > :27:23.not have a business case that we could approve. The bodies on left

:27:24. > :27:30.and right -- the politicians on left and right gave the Co-op special

:27:31. > :27:35.support. They may have done, but that was not you have made a warning

:27:36. > :27:39.about these payday lenders, but I that was not you have made a warning

:27:40. > :27:42.think what most people would like to see is a limit put on the interest

:27:43. > :27:47.they can charge over a period of time - will you do that? We have got

:27:48. > :27:52.a whole set of powers for payday lenders. We will bring in some

:27:53. > :27:56.changes from April next year, and we will bring in further changes as we

:27:57. > :28:00.see necessary. Will you put a limit on the interest they can charge?

:28:01. > :28:05.That is something we can study. You do not sound too keen on it? Well,

:28:06. > :28:10.there are a lot of changes we need to make. One change is limiting

:28:11. > :28:12.rollovers, limiting the use of continuous payment authorities.

:28:13. > :28:18.Simply jumping to one trigger would be a mistake. Finally, an issue

:28:19. > :28:22.which I think is becoming a growing concern, because the Government is

:28:23. > :28:26.thinking of subsidising them, 95% mortgages are back - should we not

:28:27. > :28:32.be worried about that? I think we should if the market has the same

:28:33. > :28:37.experiences that we had back in 2007 - oh wait. We are bringing a

:28:38. > :28:42.comprehensive package in under our mortgage market review, which will

:28:43. > :28:52.change how people lend and will put affordability back at the heart of

:28:53. > :28:55.lending decisions. -- 2007-08. You have not had your first big

:28:56. > :29:01.challenge yet, have you? We have many challenges.

:29:02. > :29:06.It was once called the battle of the mods and the rockers - the fight

:29:07. > :29:08.between David Cameron-style modernisers and old-style

:29:09. > :29:12.traditional Tories for the direction and soul of the Conservative Party.

:29:13. > :29:21.But have the mods given up on changing the brand? When David

:29:22. > :29:24.Cameron took over in 2005, he promoted himself as a new Tory

:29:25. > :29:30.leader. He said that hoodies need more love. He was talking about

:29:31. > :29:34.something called the big society. He told his party conference that it

:29:35. > :29:38.was time to that sunshine win the day. There was new emphasis on the

:29:39. > :29:43.environment, and an eye-catching trip to a Norwegian glacier to see

:29:44. > :29:49.first-hand, supposedly, the effects of global warming. This week, party

:29:50. > :29:52.modernise and Nick bone has said that the party is still seen as an

:29:53. > :30:00.old-fashioned monolith and hasn't done enough to improve its appeal.

:30:01. > :30:06.The Tories have put some reforms into practice, such as gay marriage,

:30:07. > :30:11.but they have put more into welfare reform band compassionate

:30:12. > :30:16.conservatism. David Cameron wants talked about leading the greenest

:30:17. > :30:25.government ever. Downing Street says that the quote in the Son is not

:30:26. > :30:29.recognised, get rid of the green crap. At this point in the programme

:30:30. > :30:32.we were expecting to hear from the Energy and Climate Change Minister,

:30:33. > :30:37.Greg Barker. Unfortunately, he has pulled out, with Downing Street

:30:38. > :30:43.saying it's for ""family reasons"". Make of that what you will. However,

:30:44. > :30:47.we won't be deterred. We're still doing the story, and we're joined by

:30:48. > :30:52.our very own mod and rocker - David Skelton of the think-tank Renewal,

:30:53. > :30:57.and Conservative MP Peter Bone. Welcome to you both. I'm glad your

:30:58. > :31:01.family is allowed you to come? David Skelton, getting rid of all the

:31:02. > :31:06.green crap, or words to that effect, that David Cameron has been saying.

:31:07. > :31:10.It is just a sign that Tory modernisation has been quietly

:31:11. > :31:16.buried. I do think that's right. Modernisation is about reaching out

:31:17. > :31:21.to the voters, and the work to do that is now more relevant than ever.

:31:22. > :31:27.We got the biggest swing since 1931, and the thing is we need to do more

:31:28. > :31:33.to reach out to voters in the North. We need to reach out to non-white

:31:34. > :31:39.voters, and show that the concerns of modern Britain and the concerns

:31:40. > :31:42.of ordinary people is something that we share. And what way will racking

:31:43. > :31:47.up electricity bills with green levies get you more votes in the

:31:48. > :32:33.North of England? We have to look at ways to reduce energy bills.

:32:34. > :32:43.The UI happy that the party made gay marriage must a symbol of its

:32:44. > :32:52.modernisation? -- are you happy. David Cameron was recorded as a

:32:53. > :32:57.rebel at one point. It is often said this is a split between old and

:32:58. > :33:01.young, it is actually a split between religious and nonreligious.

:33:02. > :33:08.I think it is a misinterpretation of what happened. Is the modernisation

:33:09. > :33:13.agenda on retreat? Well, what is modernisation? The Tory party is

:33:14. > :33:20.always moving on. Seven years ago, in my part of the world, we got

:33:21. > :33:26.three councillors and the age of 21 elected. Only a few months ago, a

:33:27. > :33:32.25-year-old was chosen to fight Corby for the Conservative Party.

:33:33. > :33:40.The Tory party is moving on. You have found three young people. Hang

:33:41. > :33:46.on a minute. Three in one patch is not bad. What do you say?

:33:47. > :33:54.Modernisation is about broadening our appeal and showing our values

:33:55. > :34:02.are modern and relevant to voters who have not thought about voting

:34:03. > :34:07.for us for decades. Modernisation is about boosting the life chances of

:34:08. > :34:20.the poorest, about better schools in poor areas. Modernisation and Tory

:34:21. > :34:28.party... We have always been for making poor people better. Was

:34:29. > :34:38.Margaret Thatcher moderniser? At the moment, if we were to get all the

:34:39. > :34:44.people who vote for UKIP to vote for us, we would have about 47% of the

:34:45. > :34:51.vote. We have to worry about voters in the North. We need to show that

:34:52. > :34:55.the other party for them. Going on a husky ride is not going to get

:34:56. > :35:00.somebody in Darlington to vote Tory. Adding an EU referendum will

:35:01. > :35:07.get them to vote Tory. We have to reach out, not by some London based

:35:08. > :35:16.in it, you have to broaden the base. -- based in heat. We need something

:35:17. > :35:22.which generally says we are on the side of poor voters, that they want

:35:23. > :35:26.to boost the life chances of the poorest. Do you not think that

:35:27. > :35:31.people who voted UKIP now do not share those aspirations? What they

:35:32. > :35:36.are cross about is that we are not doing enough to cut immigration, we

:35:37. > :35:42.have not got an EU referendum. We have to get the centre-right voting

:35:43. > :35:53.for us again. Do that, and we will have them voting for us. We did not

:35:54. > :35:58.win a majority at the last election because people thought we had not

:35:59. > :36:04.changed enough. People thought we were still a party of the rich. Is

:36:05. > :36:11.that not still the problem? People in the North seat you as a bunch of

:36:12. > :36:16.rich southerners. Which is why we have to do more... You are a bunch

:36:17. > :36:25.of rich southerners. We need to do more to show that we are building on

:36:26. > :36:30.helping the poorest. There is a perception that the leadership is

:36:31. > :36:37.rich, public school educated. I was educated at a public school. -- at a

:36:38. > :36:42.comprehensive school. We have to get more people from state education at

:36:43. > :36:55.the top. But you are going the other way. I think that is fair. And also

:36:56. > :37:04.the modernisers are Porsche. -- posh. Thank you both. It could have

:37:05. > :37:24.gone on for hours. Good morning. Coming up on the

:37:25. > :37:27.programme. Going to the presses. The Government prepares its long-awaited

:37:28. > :37:35.blueprint for independence. The launch dates please -- the launch

:37:36. > :37:39.takes place here in Glasgow. Will it answer the questions of the people

:37:40. > :37:46.in Scotland are asking? What will happen to the health care system. At

:37:47. > :37:51.the moment, we get prescription is. Will the new tax be better or worse

:37:52. > :37:55.for me? We'll be putting those questions and

:37:56. > :37:57.others to the Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon who's here in the

:37:58. > :38:00.studio. And need your history refreshed? The

:38:01. > :38:06.three-minute cartoon taking us through 300 years.

:38:07. > :38:09.It has been billed as the most detailed blueprint for an

:38:10. > :38:13.independent country that has ever been published. Journalists are

:38:14. > :38:20.eager to get their hands on the white paper. One of the details we

:38:21. > :38:24.have is the date of independence, optimistically pencilled in as the

:38:25. > :38:29.24th of March 2016. From the First Minister down we have been promised

:38:30. > :38:33.it will answer all the questions. Cue hearty laughter from sceptical

:38:34. > :38:37.opponents. Andrew Kerr has been to the printer to look at some notes

:38:38. > :38:41.and queries on independence. Somewhere at a secret location, but

:38:42. > :38:46.not this one, 20,000 copies of the White Paper will be printed and

:38:47. > :38:50.bound, all 670 pages of it. You would find something like this would

:38:51. > :38:55.appear on your doorstep at two o'clock in the afternoon, be printed

:38:56. > :38:59.overnight and delivered first thing in the morning.

:39:00. > :39:04.It will be an elegantly written historical documents setting out a

:39:05. > :39:09.blueprint for a new vision of Scotland, for those in favour of

:39:10. > :39:19.independence. For those opposed to independence, it will raise more

:39:20. > :39:25.questions than it can answer. We are talking about the Des campaign. They

:39:26. > :39:32.have been on the back foot. You win referendums on by attacking. He says

:39:33. > :39:37.it needs to deliver a simple message and answer the questions that all

:39:38. > :39:47.the Scottish ministers said it would. Opponents are ready to

:39:48. > :39:51.pounce. I and Daniel Johnson. I am going to vote to keep Scotland in

:39:52. > :39:57.Britain. My question is, would independence make life more

:39:58. > :40:03.conjugated for businesses in Scotland? It will mean two sets of

:40:04. > :40:10.laws, two sets of taxes and currencies.

:40:11. > :40:14.But for those in favour, it is an opportunity to show what an

:40:15. > :40:19.independent Scotland can do. I am voting yes for independence. I

:40:20. > :40:26.run a number of manufacturing businesses in Scotland, England and

:40:27. > :40:29.across Europe. My question is, given Scotland's strong financial position

:40:30. > :40:35.and our strong natural resources, how can we use that to support

:40:36. > :40:39.business, particularly manufacturing business to reverse the decline we

:40:40. > :40:44.have seen in manufacturing as part of the union?

:40:45. > :40:53.Economic growth, jobs and business is said to be at the heart of the

:40:54. > :41:01.paper. I'm David and I am voting yes. Would

:41:02. > :41:07.we still keep the pound, or would we have a different currency? My name

:41:08. > :41:12.is Kirsty and I am voting no. I want the truth about what will happen if

:41:13. > :41:18.we become independent, the truth on the economy. I will be voting no to

:41:19. > :41:24.the Scottish referendum and my question is, what is the situation

:41:25. > :41:30.with border control? I am voting yes in next year's referendum, I would

:41:31. > :41:37.like to see investment in renewable energy. My name is Michael, I am

:41:38. > :41:41.undecided how I will vote. Would we still have the monarchy in an

:41:42. > :41:48.independent Scotland? Well the answer is satisfying

:41:49. > :41:52.opponents? Unlikely. I'm joined here in the studio now by

:41:53. > :41:56.the Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon.

:41:57. > :42:00.Those people who want answers to their questions, they will have to

:42:01. > :42:06.plough through 600s of deep pages to get them?

:42:07. > :42:13.The document will be widely accessible, people can read it cover

:42:14. > :42:20.to cover, or dip in and out for particular issues. This is going to

:42:21. > :42:25.be the most comprehensive, detailed, well researched prospectus for the

:42:26. > :42:30.independence of our country that has ever been published. Is there a

:42:31. > :42:38.danger it will bamboozle people? I do not think so. All of the

:42:39. > :42:41.legitimate questions that have been asked their answered in the White

:42:42. > :42:46.Paper. More than answering questions, it will set the agenda

:42:47. > :42:53.for the remainder of this campaign. It is a positive vision for what an

:42:54. > :42:58.independent Scotland can achieve. My question to the no campaign is where

:42:59. > :43:06.is their equivalent? Project fear comes head to head with Project

:43:07. > :43:11.HOPE. You have set a date for independence day as it were, 18

:43:12. > :43:19.months after the referendum. Is that enough time to negotiate all of the

:43:20. > :43:25.detail? Yes, I believe it is. When the UK government got James

:43:26. > :43:31.Crawford, and legal expert to write an opinion for them, he said it was

:43:32. > :43:36.realistic. We have also looked a precedent in other countries. That

:43:37. > :43:45.is the average time skill from people opting to be independent. --

:43:46. > :43:53.timescale. And many other countries have made this journey. In setting

:43:54. > :43:59.out your prospectors, there will be negotiation. You may well have to

:44:00. > :44:06.compromise. What are your headlines when it comes to compromise?

:44:07. > :44:14.Trident? The currency coach Mark -- the currency? The SNP position on

:44:15. > :44:18.Trident is well known, we want to see it removed from Scotland as

:44:19. > :44:25.quickly and safely as that can happen. That is one of the key

:44:26. > :44:29.issues are the heart of this debate. The choice between spending billions

:44:30. > :44:34.of pounds on nuclear weapons that nobody wants, can never be used

:44:35. > :44:40.because it would devastate humanity, or investing those resources in the

:44:41. > :44:45.things that people of Scotland want. What we have set out other

:44:46. > :44:52.reasonable, rational and responsible cases. But you may not get your own

:44:53. > :44:57.way and all of these things? How confident argue that you can get the

:44:58. > :45:02.currency you want? Is there a fallback position? We set out the

:45:03. > :45:06.position that they believe is in the best interests of Scotland, and the

:45:07. > :45:14.best interests of the United Kingdom, the rest of the United

:45:15. > :45:28.Kingdom. Scotland is the second biggest... Our exports make a

:45:29. > :45:33.substantial contribution to the UK balance of payments, they will not

:45:34. > :45:38.want to lose that. This issue about assets and liability, they have to

:45:39. > :45:43.be taken as two sides of the same coin. The pound is as much

:45:44. > :45:48.Scotland's as the rest of the UK. If the UK government want Scotland to

:45:49. > :45:52.take responsibility for its share of the debt, they have to accept the

:45:53. > :46:00.responsibility of sharing of assets. But you cannot guarantee this? There

:46:01. > :46:10.are two categories of policy choices in the White Paper. The things that

:46:11. > :46:14.will be negotiated, that current Scottish government will be leading

:46:15. > :46:19.those negotiations, and these matters on currency and the European

:46:20. > :46:23.Union will form the starting point of an independent Scotland. But

:46:24. > :46:27.there is no guarantee on the currency. Wouldn't a sensible

:46:28. > :46:32.position be to have a fallback? We will be in a currency union because

:46:33. > :46:39.it is in the best interests of Scotland and the UK. Alistair

:46:40. > :46:43.Carmichael said we would not be able to watch Doctor Who in an

:46:44. > :46:49.independent Scotland. The real campaign entirely approach -- the no

:46:50. > :47:00.campaign's entire approach is to make people frightened. But is the

:47:01. > :47:04.low fallback position? The key point is that a currency union is

:47:05. > :47:09.overwhelmingly in the best interests of the UK, so to accept Alistair

:47:10. > :47:13.Carmichael's point you would have to accept that the UK government would

:47:14. > :47:18.argue a position that was against his own interests. That does not

:47:19. > :47:24.make any sense. Your previous White Paper talked about joining the

:47:25. > :47:29.euro. The fiscal commission has done an extensive piece of work on

:47:30. > :47:35.currency options in in an independent Scotland. The best

:47:36. > :47:44.option, they concluded, was to retain sterling. We do not favour

:47:45. > :47:49.going into the euro and we have made that abundantly clear. The other key

:47:50. > :47:54.point that has to be stressed is that there is no way an independent

:47:55. > :47:57.Scotland could be forced into the euro. The conditions for you got

:47:58. > :48:02.membership is voluntary condition. Scotland cannot be forced into the

:48:03. > :48:06.euro and anybody who argues that is being misleading. We are told that

:48:07. > :48:13.the prospectus on Tuesday will tell us what you are likely to offer from

:48:14. > :48:34.the 2016 election in Scotland. Art civil servants join up -- are civil

:48:35. > :48:39.servants join up... Igbo -- it will transfer and it illustrate the way

:48:40. > :48:45.that the Scottish government will choose to make the Scottish people

:48:46. > :48:50.welfare. That is the exciting thing about this debate. We will get the

:48:51. > :48:56.government is that we've fought for. In 2016, I will be campaigning for

:48:57. > :49:01.an SNP government, but the other parties will be able to put forward

:49:02. > :49:06.their position. Scotland will be guaranteed to get the government it

:49:07. > :49:09.votes for, rather than having a Tory government that they did not vote

:49:10. > :49:13.for. That was the Deputy First Minister

:49:14. > :49:16.Nicola Sturgeon. Joining me now live from London is the Scottish

:49:17. > :49:22.Secretary, Alistair Carmichael. We are getting a prospectus of how

:49:23. > :49:28.Scotland would evolve through the rest of this decade. RB going to get

:49:29. > :49:32.a similar prospectus from you? You have been getting this for months as

:49:33. > :49:37.part of the positive case of Scotland remaining part of the

:49:38. > :49:44.United Kingdom. We have published a series of analysis papers,

:49:45. > :49:50.exceptionally well researched. But you are not telling us what will

:49:51. > :49:54.happen to mark you are not allowed to characterise what has been a

:49:55. > :49:58.substantial piece of work which has outlined a very positive benefits

:49:59. > :50:05.that come to Scotland from being part of the United Kingdom.

:50:06. > :50:13.Recently, the tremendous amount of money that comes to Scotland to go

:50:14. > :50:18.into research in our universities. That is part of the benefit that

:50:19. > :50:33.they get from being part of the United Kingdom. There will be no

:50:34. > :50:42.action on the Barnett formula until the economy has stabilised. But

:50:43. > :50:47.there is a campaign, local government chiefs in England are

:50:48. > :50:53.pushing the UK Treasury to snap the Barnett formula. Do you anticipate a

:50:54. > :50:59.position where Scotland may get less money further down the line? I can

:51:00. > :51:08.only tell you that for the first see above future the Barnett formula

:51:09. > :51:12.remains. -- foreseeable future. The simplest way of getting rid of it is

:51:13. > :51:15.to vote yes and for Scotland to become an independent nation because

:51:16. > :51:23.that is the end of the Barnett formula. Do you think the formula is

:51:24. > :51:28.too generous to Scotland? I think it has served the UK very well for a

:51:29. > :51:32.long time. It has evolved in that, we know, will continue to evolve,

:51:33. > :51:37.and unless there is something that is demonstrably wet are able to

:51:38. > :51:46.serve that purpose it stays. -- better able. The Chancellor has said

:51:47. > :51:55.that posterity will continue for some time. The ISS said that the UK

:51:56. > :52:08.will be running a deficit for many years. -- the IFS. In order to get

:52:09. > :52:12.to the same point we are in in the UK then taxes would have to go up

:52:13. > :52:20.and cuts would have to go beyond what we have already seen. Is it

:52:21. > :52:24.still your position that a currency union post independence is

:52:25. > :52:35.unworkable? Is that a political or economic position? If Scotland walks

:52:36. > :52:43.away from the UK it walks away from the pound. Why would an independent

:52:44. > :52:46.Scotland want to enter into a currency union where they had

:52:47. > :52:54.subcontracted their ability to set interests rates and so on? What is

:52:55. > :53:01.in it for the rest of the UK to put themselves forward as the last

:53:02. > :53:06.resort for banks over which they have no control? Currency unions are

:53:07. > :53:11.very difficult to make work. You see that in the Eurozone, they rely on

:53:12. > :53:24.fiscal and Lettergull integration. Independence is is about political

:53:25. > :53:39.disintegration. Carl Wingrove -- car when Jones came to Edinburgh to say

:53:40. > :53:44.exactly that. -- Carwyn. In the event of a currency union not

:53:45. > :53:52.happening, what will be the plan be? People in Scotland want to know.

:53:53. > :53:54.Would a yes vote not be an endorsement of the decisions the

:53:55. > :53:59.Scottish Government have put into their White Paper? Is it not

:54:00. > :54:05.incumbent on you and other politicians to make that work? If

:54:06. > :54:09.there is a yes vote I am not going to be part of the negotiation

:54:10. > :54:13.because as a Scottish Member of Parliament I will not be determining

:54:14. > :54:17.what the negotiating position will be for the remainder of the UK. You

:54:18. > :54:23.can't possibly expect that to be the case. You would expect ministers in

:54:24. > :54:33.Westminster to our -- to negotiate in good faith. What the Scottish

:54:34. > :54:37.Government have to be honest about is to acknowledge those issues over

:54:38. > :54:43.which they have control, such as the future shape of health care or

:54:44. > :54:46.whatever. And those issues on which they can only express and

:54:47. > :54:57.aspiration. Currency union is one, NATO membership. Once there is a

:54:58. > :55:01.negotiation nothing is guaranteed. A negotiation has to produce something

:55:02. > :55:05.workable for both sides. You can't just say that because the Scottish

:55:06. > :55:09.Government have put it in their White Paper that it is necessarily

:55:10. > :55:15.going to happen. That is not how negotiation works. You mentioned the

:55:16. > :55:25.new year. Can you give a guarantee that by the end of the decade the UK

:55:26. > :55:29.will still be in the U -- the EU? I don't think we can give a

:55:30. > :55:34.guarantee, any more than the Scottish Government can. As long as

:55:35. > :55:39.Scotland is part of the UK then this trend -- the case for keeping the UK

:55:40. > :55:44.as part of the European Union is strengthened. If Scotland walks away

:55:45. > :55:48.from the UK then it walks away from things like European Union

:55:49. > :55:54.membership. She would have to negotiate her way back in. There are

:55:55. > :56:00.other countries in Europe who have interests for there own domestic

:56:01. > :56:05.reasons for making that difficult. Alistair Carmichael, thank you for

:56:06. > :56:09.joining us. Brian Taylor has been listening to

:56:10. > :56:16.Nicola Sturgeon and Alistair Carmichael and joins us live. 670

:56:17. > :56:22.pages, is this to silence the critics of the yes campaign who say

:56:23. > :56:25.they have been vague? Yes, they could have gone for a slim volume

:56:26. > :56:31.but they have gone for one which sets out what they believe is all of

:56:32. > :56:40.the detail. The final section of that, 150 pages, will be a question

:56:41. > :56:44.and answer section, with all of the questions they have had from members

:56:45. > :56:50.of the public. Will those answers satisfy everybody? That is a

:56:51. > :56:54.different question. One of the fundamental elements of the debate

:56:55. > :56:56.is that first of all there can be no guarantees about an independent

:56:57. > :57:00.Scotland but also you heard the point about the European Union,

:57:01. > :57:07.there can be no guarantees generally with regard to politics and life in

:57:08. > :57:11.these troubled times. That is a challenge for those who are

:57:12. > :57:25.advocating change, but on the one hand the other side only have to

:57:26. > :57:29.offer continuation. When we look at the detail contained in this, which

:57:30. > :57:40.areas are likely to come under most scrutiny? The economy is the issue

:57:41. > :57:43.that will determine this. At a time of uncertainty, as we are at the

:57:44. > :57:55.moment, people require reassurance, some form of their concerns being

:57:56. > :57:58.assuaged. That is why I think there will be considerable detail on

:57:59. > :58:07.welfare and pensions, provision for childcare, etc. Do you think the

:58:08. > :58:13.better together campaign will come up with anything new as a result of

:58:14. > :58:21.this? They will be sticking with their themes, not to be pejorative.

:58:22. > :58:26.In some ways the basic questions and answers, basic concerns are fairly

:58:27. > :58:33.well-known in this referendum, it is simply a question of expounding them

:58:34. > :58:42.so people absorb them. An intriguing aspect is the nature of the White

:58:43. > :58:49.Paper, philosophical as well as pragmatic. A Labour Secretary of

:58:50. > :58:55.State set up proposals to be decided by a Labour government. Alex Salmond

:58:56. > :58:58.says the White Paper is a prospectus. They are entitled if

:58:59. > :59:03.there is a mandate from the people to see that delivered in concert

:59:04. > :59:09.with the UK Government. The UK Government say it is a wish list, a

:59:10. > :59:15.starting point for negotiations. Even if there is a yes vote they say

:59:16. > :59:19.that they are not entitled to have that currency zone. It sounds like

:59:20. > :59:21.anything real argument but it is actually the core of the debate

:59:22. > :59:31.about how and whether the white vapour will be put into practice. --

:59:32. > :59:38.the White Paper. How much detail are we really going to get next year?

:59:39. > :59:45.Each of the main opposition parties at Holyrood, they have commission is

:59:46. > :59:55.looking at this in terms of what powers for Holyrood. Do I think

:59:56. > :59:59.there will be a single coherent -- alternative to Westminster? I don't

:00:00. > :00:04.think so. But I think they will find a common point in some way, perhaps

:00:05. > :00:08.the idea of a convention post-referendum that will say,

:00:09. > :00:18.change there will be, without giving every single detail. Perhaps giving

:00:19. > :00:25.more tax powers as a counterpoint to independence. Thank you very much.

:00:26. > :00:30.With what we hear is well over 600 pages of information, we may end up

:00:31. > :00:34.with little time for reflection on how we reached this landmark on the

:00:35. > :00:45.road to referendum. Here is a quick reminder of the story so far.

:00:46. > :00:50.Why are we going round in circles? We are trying to find a way to

:00:51. > :00:56.Scotland's future. Just around the next bend in the road, Scots get a

:00:57. > :01:01.vote on who runs the country. We know who runs the country, the

:01:02. > :01:06.bankers. No, it is a vote on who makes the laws and gets to decide

:01:07. > :01:12.who -- how the government's money is spent. We already decide how to do

:01:13. > :01:18.that. Yes, but many of the big decisions, like going to war, are

:01:19. > :01:24.made in London. What happens if the Scots don't agree with the English

:01:25. > :01:30.or the Welsh? The ones who have the most votes get their way. What is

:01:31. > :01:38.all this about change now? Where to start? How about the ancient Picts

:01:39. > :01:48.keeping the Romans away? Perhaps more recently. 700 years ago we sent

:01:49. > :01:52.them home to think again. How about 1707, when the Scottish Parliament

:01:53. > :02:00.voted the former union with England to popular acclaim. That is not what

:02:01. > :02:05.I remember from history lessons. It all goes into the mix. Some say in

:02:06. > :02:09.the 300 years following the act of union Scotland suffered and many had

:02:10. > :02:14.to leave and Scottish culture was diminished in favour of English.

:02:15. > :02:19.Others point out that the Scots did rather well out of the empire. Some

:02:20. > :02:24.fought for it, others administered it, some made a pile of cash out of

:02:25. > :02:30.trading with it. We are running out of time and you have not mentioned

:02:31. > :02:35.Alex Salmond or the SNP. The Lilly 50 years it grew from being a small

:02:36. > :02:42.band of others and sisters to one of -- to winning a few political

:02:43. > :02:47.skirmishes. They got a 1967 by-election breakthrough. All the

:02:48. > :02:52.while, Scots' sense of there own identity was picking up. In 1999 the

:02:53. > :02:58.Scottish Parliament was created and Donald Dewar became its first first

:02:59. > :03:02.Minister. In 2007, led by Alex Salmond, the SNP claimed victory in

:03:03. > :03:07.the Scottish Parliament for the first time. If we wanted

:03:08. > :03:11.independence, why not voted -- vote on it? Or though they were the

:03:12. > :03:19.largest party they did not have enough seats to win a vote for a

:03:20. > :03:25.referendum. -- or though. Alex Salmond said he did not want a

:03:26. > :03:30.referendum immediately. He has decided on 24 March 2016. Does he

:03:31. > :03:35.need time to make the case for a yes vote? Maybe he thought the economy

:03:36. > :03:42.would be sorted out by then. He wanted to make sure the referendum

:03:43. > :03:50.is legally watertight. So there is agreement on independence? Far from

:03:51. > :03:54.it, Westminster and Holyrood have agreed on how the Scots would run

:03:55. > :04:00.their affairs. Have the Scots agreed on that? We will find out on 24

:04:01. > :04:05.March 2016. That is the point of the vote, remember?

:04:06. > :04:12.You are watching Sunday Politics Scotland, let's cross for the news

:04:13. > :04:19.from Reporting Scotland. Good afternoon. 24 March 2016 will

:04:20. > :04:25.be the day Scotland becomes independent if there is a yes vote.

:04:26. > :04:29.The White Paper will soon be printed before publication on Tuesday.

:04:30. > :04:40.Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said if it came -- said

:04:41. > :04:43.they would the currency union but Alistair Carmichael said it would be

:04:44. > :04:48.unworkable. Falkirk Labour party is set to elect

:04:49. > :04:53.a new chair. It is believed Stephen Deans will not stand for re-election

:04:54. > :04:57.when the post is contested. He is a Unite union convener who was accused

:04:58. > :05:04.of vote rigging in Falkirk and was later cleared.

:05:05. > :05:08.independent if there is a yes vote. Now if you're named David and you

:05:09. > :05:11.live in Aberdeen, you could take part in a record-breaking,

:05:12. > :05:15.carol-singing extravaganza. At three o'clock at the city's Mercat Cross,

:05:16. > :05:20.a David-only choir will sing what else but Once in Royal David's City.

:05:21. > :05:24.Choristers must be at least seven years old. The event will coincide

:05:25. > :05:27.with the Christmas lights switch on. Now let's take a look at the

:05:28. > :05:30.weather, here's Gillian. years old. The event will coincide

:05:31. > :05:34.Another mostly dry afternoon, but a fair degree start to it with

:05:35. > :05:38.freezing fog patches slow to shift, especially around the Glasgow area.

:05:39. > :05:43.The cloud will tend to think and break through the day and there will

:05:44. > :05:54.be some sunshine getting through. It will be called where that -- cold.

:05:55. > :05:59.That's it. Our next update is at 6.20. Back To Gary. Thanks Andrew.

:06:00. > :06:04.Now in a moment, we'll be discussing the big events coming up this week,

:06:05. > :06:08.but first, let's take a look back at the Week in Sixty Seconds.

:06:09. > :06:12.The think tank, Institute for Fiscal Studies, said an independent

:06:13. > :06:15.Scotland would need to cut spending or increase taxes to sustain its

:06:16. > :06:18.finances. Meanwhile the Scottish government published its paper on

:06:19. > :06:22.economic policy choices and independence. It suggested cutting

:06:23. > :06:26.corporation tax to spark a Scottish jobs boom. Welsh First Minister

:06:27. > :06:31.Carwyn Jones said he would veto the creation of a sterling currency zone

:06:32. > :06:38.if Scotland left the UK. If one part decides to leave, that is their

:06:39. > :06:55.decision. The bill legalising same-sex

:06:56. > :06:59.marriage in Scotland passed the first of three hurdles in Parliament

:07:00. > :07:01.in the face of continued opposition from the Church of Scotland and

:07:02. > :07:04.Catholic Church. Prestwick Airport passed into public

:07:05. > :07:08.ownership after the Scottish government bought it for the pound.

:07:09. > :07:11.It is expected to continue to operate as normal with no job

:07:12. > :07:16.losses. It is going to be a busy week in

:07:17. > :07:29.politics. Let's look at that and some of the stories making the

:07:30. > :07:33.headlines today. My guests this week are former Labour MSP Pauline

:07:34. > :07:36.McNeill and Murray Ritchie, who used to be the political editor at the

:07:37. > :07:41.Herald. Several other papers feature the

:07:42. > :07:50.White Paper. 670 pages. The SNP trying to answer all the questions

:07:51. > :07:58.people have? You can download it, you do not have to pay for it? I

:07:59. > :08:05.will try and read it all. But I was hoping for an executive summary?

:08:06. > :08:13.17,000 words. We know that a lot of people have questions and this is an

:08:14. > :08:19.attempt to address them. It is a landmark moment in the referendum

:08:20. > :08:25.debate. Nicola Sturgeon has said this will answer all the questions

:08:26. > :08:32.people have. The problem for the yes campaign is that it will not answer

:08:33. > :08:37.all the questions because there will be a lot of assertions in the White

:08:38. > :08:47.Paper, not the answer is that people are looking for. It may not satisfy

:08:48. > :08:52.people like you who do not supported. It will provide detail

:08:53. > :08:56.which is good and positive for the debate, but whatever your position

:08:57. > :09:00.on the independence referendum, we do know that on key issues like

:09:01. > :09:06.currency, and independent Scotland would not have an agreement, just an

:09:07. > :09:19.assertion that it would be part of the currency. I do think that the --

:09:20. > :09:25.that we are at a critical point where the arguments will intensify.

:09:26. > :09:31.I think the White Paper will be aimed at those who have not made

:09:32. > :09:43.their minds up. There can be no guarantees, as in life. I think some

:09:44. > :09:52.of the arguments have been fairly settled, such as the one about the

:09:53. > :10:04.European Union, but others can be resolved as well. Carwyn Jones does

:10:05. > :10:11.not have a veto. There is a lot of nonsense being talked on this. The

:10:12. > :10:15.currency is probably the issue which is going to cause the yes campaign

:10:16. > :10:23.the most trouble. Having said that, I think that when the White Paper

:10:24. > :10:33.comes out, we. The -- we. To see the fightback on the yes campaign. I

:10:34. > :10:42.think Alex Salmond's approach is I have not yet begun to fight. Talking

:10:43. > :10:50.about Falkirk, there will be our vote today to elect a new chairman.

:10:51. > :10:57.This has been a real difficulty. Falkirk has had an unfortunate

:10:58. > :11:06.history. Since we're back when Dennis Cameron was not selected as a

:11:07. > :11:14.candidate. I think the Labour Party has to get this sorted out. They

:11:15. > :11:20.have an all women short list there. Some really good candidates. It is

:11:21. > :11:26.up to Scottish Labour to win back the trust of people by sorting what

:11:27. > :11:31.has been happening. There are still questions about what actually

:11:32. > :11:38.happened. We do not know what happened. When you have a scandal,

:11:39. > :11:44.that is bad enough, but when you have a cover-up, which appears to be

:11:45. > :11:50.happening, that is even worse, it is a bigger scandal. Labour have

:11:51. > :11:57.suffered the selection procedure difficulties for as long as I can

:11:58. > :12:05.remember. It happens up and down the country. The need to get it sorted.

:12:06. > :12:12.Ed Miliband is taking a real chance if he is trying to hush it up. We

:12:13. > :12:18.have the date for the Cowdenbeath by-election, to replace Helen Eadie.

:12:19. > :12:24.This will be the second by-election in Fife in three months, how

:12:25. > :12:31.optimistic are you of your party's chances? You cannot take anything

:12:32. > :12:38.for granted in a by-election. We will be working hard to win the

:12:39. > :12:45.trust of people. The sad loss of Helen Eadie, very popular,

:12:46. > :12:50.hard-working person. She left a legacy there, but the approach that

:12:51. > :13:01.Labour will take at any by-election is to put forward its plans for the

:13:02. > :13:10.country. You do not always know what the issues are people will be. In

:13:11. > :13:20.the last by-election, schools became a big issue. Helen Eadie was a

:13:21. > :13:31.popular meat -- popular member. She was a decent person. In these

:13:32. > :13:37.circumstances, I think that Labour would be a very strong position.

:13:38. > :13:50.January is not a good month for campaigning. Yes, and by-elections

:13:51. > :13:56.can be difficult where parties have suffered a scandal, but not this

:13:57. > :13:58.one. And that is it for now. Goodbye.