03/03/2013

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:00:39. > :00:42.Good morning. A particularly good morning to Andrew Marr, who it is

:00:42. > :00:47.now back home after almost two months in hospital following a

:00:47. > :00:50.stroke. In case you haven't heard, he is continuing his rehabilitation

:00:50. > :00:53.at home and plans to be back at work later this year. In the

:00:54. > :00:57.meantime, a packed programme for you this morning after a week of

:00:57. > :01:02.political drama, most are played out in Hampshire. The papers are

:01:02. > :01:07.full of the fall-out this morning. To help us with that, not two but

:01:07. > :01:10.three insightful paper reviewers. Former Labour MP and Cabinet

:01:10. > :01:14.minister Clare Short, leading blogger, broadcaster and former

:01:14. > :01:18.Conservative candidate Iain Dale and the artistic director of

:01:18. > :01:21.London's Southbank Centre, Jude Kelly. In pretty much every paper

:01:21. > :01:25.today there is plenty on why the Tories failed to take Eastleigh and

:01:25. > :01:28.what they should do now. The Prime Minister says in the Telegraph

:01:29. > :01:36.there will be no lurch to the right. But many are calling for a change

:01:36. > :01:41.in direction. The other big news is Syria's President Assad rounding on

:01:41. > :01:47.the UK. There is also news from Mali that the mastermind behind the

:01:47. > :01:50.Algerian hostage crisis has been killed. There is an awful lot on

:01:50. > :01:54.William Hague's plate this morning. We will be looking for answers on

:01:54. > :01:58.several fronts. Despite much talk of Lib Dem knelt down and an MP

:01:58. > :02:04.that had to quit Parliament because he perverted the course of justice,

:02:04. > :02:08.the party did hang on to Eastleigh after a bruising battle. Tim Farron

:02:08. > :02:10.joins us to explain how they are going to work with their political

:02:10. > :02:15.bedfellows in the two years remaining before the General

:02:15. > :02:19.Election. The UK Independence Party came second. But were they the real

:02:19. > :02:23.winners in Eastleigh? Nigel Farage is here and he is predicting an

:02:23. > :02:27.earthquake in British politics. Plus, one of Hollywood's legendary

:02:27. > :02:30.leading men, Richard Gere, will be telling me why he has returned to

:02:30. > :02:33.the big screen after a long break for a thrilling Wall Street

:02:34. > :02:38.morality tale and why the Chinese government is, in his words,

:02:38. > :02:48.nothing more than the Mafia. There will be music from a young Texan

:02:48. > :02:54.

:02:54. > :02:59.hailed as the future by Barack All that and more coming up. First,

:02:59. > :03:02.the news. Good morning. The militant Islamist

:03:02. > :03:07.leader suspected of masterminding the attack on a gas plant in

:03:07. > :03:11.Algeria in which 37 hostages died, including six British workers, is

:03:11. > :03:16.reported to have been killed. Military commanders in trad say

:03:16. > :03:20.Mokhtar Belmokhtar was killed when their troops attacked an insurgent

:03:20. > :03:24.camp in Mali. His death was announced on Chadian state

:03:24. > :03:29.television but has not been confirmed by other sources.

:03:29. > :03:33.He was the man dubbed as uncatchable. He had developed

:03:33. > :03:38.strong ties across the Sahara and was able to operate across borders.

:03:38. > :03:45.He has been declared dead in the past, and once again beat

:03:45. > :03:50.uncatchable man is said to have been caught and killed. Officials

:03:50. > :03:54.from trad broke the news on state television. The senior army officer

:03:54. > :04:00.says that Chadian armed forces in Mali have destroyed the main base

:04:00. > :04:05.of the jihadis and terrorists in the mountains. He says they killed

:04:05. > :04:11.a number of terrorists, including Mokhtar Belmokhtar. Mokhtar

:04:11. > :04:16.Belmokhtar, trained with Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, returned home to

:04:16. > :04:21.Algeria in the 1990s. That is where he planned January's attack on a

:04:21. > :04:28.gas facility. Dozens of oil workers were taken hostage. At least 37 of

:04:28. > :04:33.them were killed. This is the second big claim in two days from

:04:33. > :04:38.the leaders in Trant. The Chadian President is seen here on Friday,

:04:38. > :04:43.claiming that Chadian troops killed another top R Claydon member, one

:04:43. > :04:49.of the most ferocious in the region. -- Al-Qaeda member. Apart from

:04:49. > :04:54.Chadian officials, there is no other confirmation that they have

:04:54. > :04:57.been killed. The Syrian President has accused

:04:57. > :05:02.Britain of being determined to militarised the situation in his

:05:02. > :05:07.country. In an interview for the Sunday Times, President Assad again

:05:07. > :05:10.insisted that he would not stand down or go into exile. It is

:05:10. > :05:14.estimated around 70,000 people have been killed since the conflict

:05:14. > :05:21.started almost two years ago. He said the British government would

:05:21. > :05:27.not be asked to play a role in easing the conflict. How can we

:05:28. > :05:31.expect to ask them to play a role, while it is determined to

:05:31. > :05:36.militarised the problem? How can you ask them to play a role in

:05:36. > :05:42.making the situation better, more stable, how can you expect them to

:05:42. > :05:50.make the violence less, while they want to send military supplies to

:05:50. > :05:56.terrorists? And they don't try to ease the dialogue between Syrians.

:05:56. > :05:59.This is not sensible. The Prime Minister has insisted the

:05:59. > :06:02.Conservatives will stick to their course, despite their performance

:06:03. > :06:07.in the Eastleigh by-election. The Conservatives came third behind

:06:07. > :06:10.the Liberal Democrats and UKIP. Writing in the Sunday Telegraph,

:06:10. > :06:14.David Cameron makes clear there will be no change of direction and

:06:14. > :06:18.he will stick to what he calls the common ground of British politics.

:06:18. > :06:22.Meanwhile, the Justice Secretary Chris Grayling has told the same

:06:22. > :06:26.newspaper that he expects a future Conservative government to scrap

:06:26. > :06:30.the Human Rights Act. He said the role of the European Court of Human

:06:30. > :06:34.Rights in UK affairs should be dramatically curtailed.

:06:34. > :06:38.Nurses say their warnings about failures in patient care are being

:06:38. > :06:41.ignored and many believe they are discouraged from speaking out. That

:06:41. > :06:45.is according to a new survey. Researchers for the Nursing Times

:06:45. > :06:49.spoke to more than 800 nurses. More than half said they had reported

:06:49. > :06:52.issues, but many found no appropriate action was taken in

:06:53. > :06:57.response. The Government says it is already taking measures to protect

:06:57. > :07:01.and support whistleblowers in the NHS.

:07:01. > :07:05.Rescuers in Florida have called off the search for Iron Man who

:07:05. > :07:09.disappeared into a sink hole which opened under his house. -- For a

:07:09. > :07:17.man. The Fire Service said there was no signs of life and ended

:07:17. > :07:20.attempts to find Jeff Bush. The wreckage will now be demolished.

:07:20. > :07:24.Neighbours have moved out and have been warned it may never be safe

:07:24. > :07:32.for them to return. I will be back with the headlines just before 10

:07:32. > :07:38.Now, the front pages this morning. Let's start with the Sunday Times.

:07:38. > :07:42.The main story is a clampdown on NHS care for migrants. They say it

:07:42. > :07:47.is pitching for the populist vote. There are preparations to limit the

:07:47. > :07:55.access of immigrants to free health care. It is amid concerns that the

:07:55. > :07:58.NHS is being abused by new arrivals. And top head condemns Hot Fuzz

:07:58. > :08:05.parents. And coverage of The Duchess of Cambridge, what you

:08:05. > :08:11.might call a little bump. The Observer, doctors cry foul at NHS

:08:11. > :08:16.privatisation by stealth. Jessica Ennis, the Olympic Stadium. The

:08:16. > :08:22.Independent, I tried to tell them. This is a doctor that wrote to warn

:08:22. > :08:26.a private out-of-hours health service that its poor care would

:08:26. > :08:32.cause a serious clinical incident. A baby died of pneumonia after his

:08:32. > :08:37.case was downgraded to routine. James Bulger killer groomed me for

:08:37. > :08:43.sex. The Sunday People, a story about an MP that apparently took a

:08:43. > :08:53.Viagra pill and grope somebody. BhS starts 165,000 people to death.

:08:53. > :08:53.

:08:53. > :08:59.These are new and shocking figures, says the Sunday Express. -- the NHS.

:08:59. > :09:04.And Curly Watts, coming back after 10 years away. The Daily Mail, they

:09:04. > :09:12.are talking about a great day for British justice. That is as Tereza

:09:12. > :09:21.make vows to take the UK out of the human Court of Human Rights. Sorry,

:09:22. > :09:24.What shall we start with? It's a long time since I have read all the

:09:24. > :09:32.papers and I feel they are deteriorating and becoming more and

:09:32. > :09:38.more salacious. A fine way to start! Shall we give up now? First

:09:38. > :09:41.story, Eastleigh? That is dominating the papers. A survey of

:09:41. > :09:48.lots of wise heads about what the Tory party can do to get trust back.

:09:48. > :09:51.If you read the suggestions, you have to conclude they cannot do it.

:09:51. > :09:56.The economy is going to be bad for a long time, there are more and

:09:56. > :09:59.more cuts to come. I think it is inevitable that people will not

:10:00. > :10:04.vote Tory or Lib Dem. I think Labour will come back and they will

:10:04. > :10:07.not be able to do much. This happened under Tony Blair, how can

:10:07. > :10:12.Tony Blair regain the trust of the British people? He was elected

:10:13. > :10:16.twice afterwards, so it is not impossible. He got massive

:10:16. > :10:20.parliamentary majorities, which I am sure David Cameron would settle

:10:20. > :10:24.for. This story in a Sunday Times, they have done an analysis of the

:10:24. > :10:28.aftermath of Eastleigh. There is no doubt about it, for the

:10:28. > :10:32.Conservatives it is a disastrous result. It is no good any Tory MP

:10:32. > :10:37.or media pretending otherwise. The question is what to do about it.

:10:37. > :10:41.The one thing they shouldn't do is try to out UKIP UKIP. They cannot

:10:41. > :10:46.do it. But the evidence in the papers is that is what they are

:10:46. > :10:50.trying to do. You have the NHS migrant story, the potential

:10:50. > :10:54.abolition of the European Court of Human Rights. Saying that we will

:10:54. > :11:00.not change and then feeding out these right-wing stories? They say

:11:00. > :11:03.it is a coincidence. Coincidences do not often happen in politics.

:11:03. > :11:08.Especially that one about the European Convention of Human Rights,

:11:08. > :11:13.that is a long way away, if at all, it would go into the Conservative

:11:13. > :11:18.manifesto. But it must be being put out at the moment? Cameron has said,

:11:18. > :11:20.we are not going to move to the right. At the same time, all of the

:11:20. > :11:25.stories are suggesting they are going to go to the right, even

:11:25. > :11:29.those from papers that claim they don't want to. Most people think it

:11:29. > :11:36.is quite a sensible thing to do. I'm not sure that most people do.

:11:36. > :11:39.Most Tories would. Yes. It's a difficult story. So many people

:11:39. > :11:43.conflate Europe with the European Court of Human Rights and they are

:11:43. > :11:48.not the same thing. Tory MPs, a lot of them, think that David Cameron

:11:48. > :11:52.is the problem. He is not the problem, he is an assets to the

:11:52. > :11:56.Tory party. The problem is the Conservative Party itself. Douglas

:11:57. > :12:01.Carswell has an interesting article in the Mail on Sunday, it says it

:12:02. > :12:08.is like HMV, it has not kept with the times. In Eastleigh, they had

:12:08. > :12:11.37,000 votes in 2002. They had 1500 members. They now have 100, most of

:12:11. > :12:15.whom are over 70. This should not have been a surprise. They had done

:12:15. > :12:20.nothing to build up their organisation. All of the parties

:12:20. > :12:24.are losing members. That is true, but the Liberal Democrats had every

:12:24. > :12:28.single councillor, a good election- winning machine. If the Tories

:12:28. > :12:31.cannot win a by-election when you have the Chris Huhne thing in the

:12:31. > :12:36.background, the Lord Rennard allegations, what are we going to

:12:36. > :12:40.do about it? We will be talking that later -- talking about that

:12:40. > :12:44.later in the programme. This is a story about food. I'm not sure I am

:12:44. > :12:50.allowed to say this, but every single paper carries these huge

:12:50. > :12:53.adverts from Tesco. The really big conviction adverts, saying that we

:12:53. > :12:57.completely take the blame for the way that food supplies have been

:12:57. > :13:01.tampered with, ignored or used to drive down the price of food and we

:13:01. > :13:07.are going to change all that. I have had a text message from them,

:13:08. > :13:13.I don't know if other people half. E-mails as well. Next to this we

:13:13. > :13:21.have a whole thing about insects being the planet's next food source.

:13:21. > :13:25.Although it sounds funny, it sounds creepy, this is in the Sunday Times,

:13:25. > :13:30.what they are really talking about is the fact that the investigation

:13:30. > :13:39.into the use of insects across the world is that this probably will be

:13:39. > :13:45.the next source of food. Over my dead body! I ate horse when I was

:13:45. > :13:52.in France, if we had known that is what it was, we would not have been

:13:53. > :13:56.shocked. Honey is actually bee vomit! Because people are so picky

:13:56. > :13:59.about what they think is proper food and what they think is not

:13:59. > :14:05.proper food, some of the food chains that could be astonishingly

:14:05. > :14:12.helpful, insects being one, we have ignored them for years. I predict

:14:12. > :14:16.that we will be eating worms, before they eat us. The President

:14:16. > :14:21.of Syria, giving a rare interview. Really putting the boot into

:14:21. > :14:24.Britain. He used to be a doctor in London. He was not meant to be the

:14:24. > :14:28.President, and then the elder brother killed himself in a road

:14:28. > :14:33.accident and suddenly he is back there. Everybody thought he was a

:14:33. > :14:36.liberal, a humane man, he worked in the health service and he will

:14:36. > :14:45.reform Syria. They talked about a Damascus spring when he went back.

:14:45. > :14:50.His wife is very glamorous. I think it is thought that it is a regime

:14:50. > :14:59.in such a state that it is unreform a ball. But he is saying you are

:14:59. > :15:03.arming Al-Qaeda, giving them weapons. And he says, if you are

:15:03. > :15:11.considering giving imams, how could you ever go to the negotiating

:15:11. > :15:15.table after doing that? It is something that many dictators do,

:15:15. > :15:19.the ability to be completely persuasive to themselves. It's

:15:19. > :15:29.interesting, the way that he attacks Britain. I think that is a

:15:29. > :15:30.

:15:30. > :15:35.surrogate for attacking America. Should Britain be intervening more?

:15:35. > :15:39.I think the question is how we protect the people. There are

:15:39. > :15:45.masses of refugees in Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey, having a terrible

:15:45. > :15:50.time. We talk of humanitarian corridors? Indeed. That is an

:15:50. > :15:53.alternative to arming the opposition. There is a problem, it

:15:53. > :15:57.was an uprising of the people but nasty elements are getting in there

:15:57. > :16:01.and it is dangerous for everybody. But I think we should look at the

:16:01. > :16:05.no-fly zone and better health for the refugees. Then there is the new

:16:05. > :16:13.leader of the opposition that wants to talk. I think we should get

:16:13. > :16:23.behind him and get into talks. years after Iraq, is that putting

:16:23. > :16:28.

:16:28. > :16:36.The US don't want any more wars. The Britain got burned. I think

:16:36. > :16:40.from our Government's point of view, there is a growing sense of trying

:16:40. > :16:45.to pacify in these countries. Libya went as well as it could. We will

:16:45. > :16:50.see what happens in five years' time. But there is hypocrisy. Far

:16:50. > :16:56.more people are being killed in Syrian than Libya. We did it in

:16:56. > :17:02.Libya, but not Syria. Some silly people are talking about war in

:17:02. > :17:07.Iran, but protecting the people, not advocating a war. I'm not

:17:07. > :17:15.advocating that we get involved in a war. I'm talking about hypocrisy.

:17:15. > :17:20.Some people are saying - if there, why not here?

:17:20. > :17:27.Another story about Lord Rennard, who dominated the papers last week.

:17:27. > :17:31.Well the Independent have a whizz pering campaign, talk about that. -

:17:31. > :17:37.- whispering campaign. That his old enemies are coming out

:17:37. > :17:40.and taking a stab at him. And the people who have made the

:17:40. > :17:46.allegations, they are credible. When you see them on television,

:17:46. > :17:50.you see what agenda do they have, other than pointing this out. The

:17:50. > :17:55.police involvement. There is no law that has been broken here. Whatever

:17:55. > :18:01.he is alleged to have done, I cannot see any excuse... I want to

:18:01. > :18:11.add, firstly no-one in the country has ever heard of him. Does that

:18:11. > :18:11.

:18:11. > :18:16.matter? Why is it such a big story? He had a powerful role. When I was

:18:16. > :18:23.younger, men were always trying to grope young women. It doesn't make

:18:23. > :18:26.it right. No and things are changing, so it is ro gres. This is

:18:26. > :18:29.because at the moment there is a desire to shift the boundaries of

:18:29. > :18:34.what is acceptable. In the crossfire are all the stories of

:18:34. > :18:37.people being accused or have perpetrated issues around

:18:37. > :18:42.harassment. It is a moment when public attitude to trying to change,

:18:42. > :18:47.for the better. I think there will be... But there is a problem here

:18:47. > :18:51.that on this story and the cardinal Keith O'Brien story, we kind of

:18:51. > :18:55.assume they are builty. The general public will assume there is no

:18:55. > :19:00.smoke without fire. -- they are guilty. It is an unhelpful

:19:00. > :19:04.development in civil society where we automatically assume built.

:19:04. > :19:08.story, your story about the festival at the South Bank. Well,

:19:08. > :19:11.this is the third year to celebrate International Women's Day. It

:19:11. > :19:15.celebrates all kinds of achievements of women and the way

:19:15. > :19:20.that women in civil society still have progress to make. We have got

:19:20. > :19:23.some fantastic performers from all over the world, some of whom are

:19:23. > :19:31.living in marginalised conditions and some celebrating massive

:19:31. > :19:37.progress. We have a person coming to talk about how the impact of a

:19:37. > :19:42.shooting changed the debate in Pakistan. But the main thing in

:19:42. > :19:45.recent years is that women and men want to talk about gender equality

:19:45. > :19:49.in society. And part of the relationship with this is that they

:19:49. > :19:54.want to move the goalposts about how the discussions happen. I think

:19:54. > :20:00.it is a great thing. Gender equality with women living under

:20:00. > :20:03.pressure to be sexually available, to work harder than men so they can

:20:03. > :20:07.be at home with their children. these things have to be discussed.

:20:07. > :20:11.When you are trying to change society, there are swings and

:20:11. > :20:19.roundabouts and slings and arrows. You need to have a lot of debating

:20:19. > :20:25.opportunities. I think the move for feminism was a more dignified life

:20:25. > :20:30.for all of us. It is not a finished story? I'm saying nothing.

:20:31. > :20:35.You have to say something. I can't, you have run out of time. It has to

:20:35. > :20:38.be about men and women. Speak. Fortunately, I think you are in

:20:38. > :20:43.luck. I want to say something - this issue of somebody being guilty

:20:43. > :20:47.before they are proved guilty, it is a tremendous problem about smear

:20:47. > :20:51.campaigns in general. It is also true, very often on the other side

:20:51. > :20:55.of the issue, one of the reasons why women find it difficult to get

:20:55. > :20:59.rape convictions are people so nervous of men being accused of

:20:59. > :21:08.something they haven't done, they end up never really convicting so

:21:08. > :21:13.many men of rape when kshual rape has -- casual rape has happened at

:21:13. > :21:16.enormous proportions. But this story has gone too far.

:21:16. > :21:22.Well there was a smattering of sunshine in parts of the country

:21:22. > :21:29.yesterday and a definite hint of springtime ahead. What is the

:21:29. > :21:31.outlook for the week ahead? Over outlook for the week ahead? Over

:21:31. > :21:35.now to the Weather Centre? More tastes of spring over the next

:21:36. > :21:41.few day bus compared to yesterday not so much sunshine around.

:21:41. > :21:44.If you have plans for the outdoors, it is largely dry. A few spots of

:21:44. > :21:49.rain in parts of Shetland and Hebrides.

:21:49. > :21:55.You can see the satellite. The area peaking out is west Wales. A

:21:55. > :21:59.glorious morning after a frsty start. Sunshine continues. -- a

:21:59. > :22:03.frosty start. Most places will sit under cloudy

:22:03. > :22:06.skies but in central and eastern areas not as chilly as recent days.

:22:06. > :22:14.Dry through the night and with cloud around not as cold as last

:22:14. > :22:18.night. A patchy frost to take us into Monday. Chilly for your Monday

:22:18. > :22:23.morning commute and rather cloudy but a dry morning commute. If

:22:23. > :22:28.anything, through Monday we'll see more sunshine win through. England

:22:28. > :22:33.and Wales will see good spells of hazy sunshine which will help to

:22:33. > :22:38.lift the temperature. Feeling cool around eastern coasts with the wind

:22:38. > :22:42.coming off a chilly North Sea. Warmer still into Tuesday. Feeling

:22:42. > :22:46.pleasant in parts of England and Wales. By Wednesday see swap the

:22:46. > :22:56.sunshine for the cloud and a bit of patchy rain. I give with one hand

:22:56. > :22:57.

:22:57. > :23:00.patchy rain. I give with one hand The Liberal Democrats were jubilant

:23:00. > :23:02.after holding on to Chris Huhne's seat at the Eastleigh by-election

:23:02. > :23:04.on Thursday, but the pictures that dominated the papers afterwards

:23:04. > :23:07.were of Nigel Farage, the UK Independence Party leader,

:23:07. > :23:10.celebrating in style. They may not have won Eastleigh but UKIP'S

:23:10. > :23:14.strong showing in a constituency where they had little track record

:23:14. > :23:19.has given them a boost. So after winning 28% of the vote and pushing

:23:19. > :23:22.the Tories into third place, was it rather more than a protest vote?

:23:22. > :23:26.Nigel Farage joins me. You must be kick yourself. If you had stood,

:23:26. > :23:29.you could be sitting here as UKIP's first Member of Parliament. We had

:23:29. > :23:33.a very good candidate in Diane James. There is no evidence I would

:23:33. > :23:37.have got any more votes than her. Really? None whatsoever. The reason

:23:37. > :23:41.I didn't stand, is I want to lead the party into the European

:23:41. > :23:46.elections which take place next year, where I believe that we can

:23:46. > :23:50.cause a really historic result. So, we didn't quite get over the line.

:23:50. > :23:53.The postal vote system in by- elections really does count against

:23:53. > :23:58.us, because there isn't time to reach everybody. But, look, no

:23:58. > :24:02.complaints, we are delighted. It is our best of refer parliamentary

:24:02. > :24:06.performance. I think there is every reason to believe there is more to

:24:06. > :24:11.come. If you had stood and won that seat, you could have, if it was

:24:12. > :24:16.really a protest vote you could have lost it clearly at the next

:24:16. > :24:21.election. The protest vote is the default for the establishment.

:24:21. > :24:29.yourself admitted a protest vote. I heard you on the day after. Yes,

:24:29. > :24:35.some people who voted UKIP used it as a chance to stick two fingers up.

:24:35. > :24:41.But 83% of ue skip voters, it has been said, were sending a message

:24:41. > :24:45.to the party -- UKIP. You cannot put a cigarette paper between them

:24:45. > :24:50.on policy. There is nothing to choose, and no-one speaks for us,

:24:50. > :24:53.is what the UKIP voters say. They vote for UKIP on policy. We are

:24:53. > :24:59.saying to people, that we are putting in front of them is a

:24:59. > :25:02.Commons sense idea of how we should control our borders. Of what our

:25:02. > :25:08.relationship with Europe should be and what we should be doing about

:25:08. > :25:11.the looming energy crisis. People vote for UKIP because they see us

:25:11. > :25:17.offering policy solutions. But a lot of them - there was an element

:25:17. > :25:23.of protest vote. They were voting UKIP because they wanted it stop

:25:23. > :25:27.other parties. It was a rejection of the current political class,

:25:27. > :25:31.where it comes to Romania and Bulgaria having full access to

:25:31. > :25:35.Britain next year, all they want to do is sweep it under the carpet. We

:25:35. > :25:41.are prepared to talk about it. next challenge, the local elections

:25:41. > :25:44.in May. You polled about 17% of the vote last time. Give us your

:25:44. > :25:49.predictions? Are we going to see 28% of the vote? We'll fight them

:25:49. > :25:52.on a bigger scale than ever before. I'm hoping we'll put 2,000

:25:52. > :25:55.candidates into the field. As a party we need it establish

:25:55. > :25:58.breakthroughs. The difficulty for UKIP is our support comes from

:25:58. > :26:01.across the spectrum. If you read today's Sunday papers you would

:26:01. > :26:05.think there is a pitch battle between UKIP and the Conservative

:26:05. > :26:08.Party going on. Only one-third of our vote in Eastleigh came from the

:26:08. > :26:11.Conservatives. Two-thirds came from Liberal Democrats, Labour and

:26:12. > :26:15.people who had not voted for anybody for the last 20 years.

:26:15. > :26:19.We'll fight broadly in these elections. We have some ideas where

:26:19. > :26:22.we are going to target and what we need to do in May is make

:26:22. > :26:27.breakthroughs. You really do. You raised your increase of the vote

:26:27. > :26:31.last time around but it translated to one more or. That's your proib.

:26:31. > :26:36.You may get the headlines and take large shares of the votes but it is

:26:36. > :26:41.not translating yet, is it? No, we live under a first past the post

:26:41. > :26:44.system. Normally new parties that come along have a geographical bias,

:26:44. > :26:49.the Scottish National Party, or they draw from a certain segment of

:26:49. > :26:54.the population, be it poor people or rich people and UKIP draws were

:26:54. > :26:57.across the board. Our strength is we exist everywhere. We can do well

:26:58. > :27:01.everywhere in the country but our weakness is we don't have the

:27:02. > :27:06.hotspots where we have clusters of elected councillors. What about

:27:06. > :27:09.television debates. Do you think off strerning case now, or not?

:27:09. > :27:13.Well -- do you think you have a stronger case now? Which will think

:27:13. > :27:19.that depends. Drm has said no. would rather not debate anything.

:27:19. > :27:25.- David Cameron has said no. have to make breakthroughs on local

:27:25. > :27:30.elections and we'll be judged on the European elections in 2014.

:27:30. > :27:35.Quite honestly, if we were at this kind of level, heading up to 2015,

:27:35. > :27:39.fob excluded from those debates would be ludicrous. -- to be

:27:39. > :27:41.excluded. In the papers this mornings there is talk about the

:27:41. > :27:45.European Convention on Human Rights and limiting access to immigrants

:27:45. > :27:49.on the NHS but the Conservatives potentially if they go forward with

:27:49. > :27:52.that will take out the wind out of yourless sails. Jam tomorrow. We

:27:52. > :27:56.hear from the Conservatives promises of what we might do if

:27:56. > :27:59.they win the general election. As we heard the same promises before

:28:00. > :28:05.the election of 2010. The real problem that the Conservatives have

:28:05. > :28:09.got isn't UKIP. The real problem is their own supporters, they look at

:28:09. > :28:14.a Conservative Party that used to talk about wealth creation, low tax,

:28:14. > :28:16.enterprise it. Talks now about gay marriage and windfarms. When these

:28:16. > :28:22.promises are made. No-one believes them any more.

:28:22. > :28:24.1234 thank you very much. -- thank you.

:28:24. > :28:27.Now, listening to that was the President of the Liberal Democrats,

:28:27. > :28:29.Tim Farron, who spent a considerable amount of time in

:28:29. > :28:33.Eastleigh out and about helping to For his party.

:28:33. > :28:38.And he joins me now from his home in Cumbria. You must be exhausted

:28:38. > :28:42.after the week you've had and somewhat relieved. You held on.

:28:42. > :28:46.More than relief. I thought this was a by-election where there was

:28:46. > :28:50.no score-draw. No away point on the table. We either lost by a bit and

:28:50. > :28:54.it was dreadful or we won by however much and it would be almost

:28:54. > :28:56.unspeakable triumph. It is a game- changing result for us from

:28:57. > :28:59.Eastleigh for the Liberal Democrats. Although it is only a by-election

:28:59. > :29:05.and it is important to emphasise it doesn't mean absolutely everything,

:29:05. > :29:08.but you can read a lot from Eastleigh with regard to seats like

:29:08. > :29:13.Eastleigh. In other words the other 56 seats the Liberal Democrats hold.

:29:13. > :29:18.Perhaps those other 20 or 30 or a few more Liberal Democrat

:29:18. > :29:24.Conservative-held seats where the Liberal Democrats are second. It

:29:24. > :29:27.has showed us that it was a tough thing to go into Government, the

:29:27. > :29:31.alternative was worse but you can campaign from the sidelines. But it

:29:31. > :29:34.was far from a triumph. Your vote plummeted. You lost I think half of

:29:34. > :29:38.the people who voted for you, in the general election, they didn't

:29:38. > :29:42.vote for you this time. Sow fission I'm guessing you have read the

:29:42. > :29:46.papers this last week. We managed to win an election during the

:29:46. > :29:50.backdrop of that. If the Tories can't beat us after the week we've

:29:50. > :29:55.had, crumbs. It is massive for us and massive for the Conservatives

:29:55. > :29:58.to come third in a two-horse race. But you were dug. In Eastleigh

:29:58. > :30:08.where you hold the seats, it is very much your seat. Nationally you

:30:08. > :30:16.

:30:16. > :30:20.Here, Liberal Democrats work hard on the ground and communicate with

:30:20. > :30:25.people regularly, not just when there is an election. That is why

:30:25. > :30:30.you cannot read into the EC result much for the majority of the seats

:30:30. > :30:34.in the country. You can read a lot about what it is like in seats that

:30:34. > :30:38.Liberal Democrat target. It is a good result, but we need to not be

:30:38. > :30:43.complacent about it. Mike point is that nationally you still poll very

:30:43. > :30:48.badly, not looking great ahead of a General Election? Nigel Farage and

:30:48. > :30:53.I were on the same side of beat AV referendum. That was a nice thing

:30:53. > :30:57.to do. We did not win, however. It reminds us that we have a system

:30:57. > :31:02.that does not reward you want the number of votes you get. Our job is

:31:02. > :31:06.to make sure that, while the system is unfair, we have to make sure we

:31:06. > :31:10.use it to the best of our advantage. Eastleigh shows that Lib Dem

:31:10. > :31:14.fortresses are firm. More than any other by-election I have taken part

:31:14. > :31:19.in, there were national issues on the agenda. The national issue,

:31:19. > :31:23.predominantly, was about taxation. The Liberal Democrats are for

:31:23. > :31:28.fairer tax, lower tax for middle- income and low-income people. It

:31:28. > :31:31.was interesting that we managed to cut through on that. With does

:31:31. > :31:35.affirm fortresses you referred to, does that mean that it gives you

:31:35. > :31:41.more muscle in negotiations with your coalition partners? I would

:31:41. > :31:44.hope so. The message with Eastleigh is that it is not popular to offer

:31:44. > :31:49.tax cuts to the wealthy, which I think George Osborne is minded to

:31:49. > :31:52.do. It is popular, not only popular, but sensible, to give tax cuts to

:31:52. > :31:56.people on middle incomes and the lowest incomes. It is fair but it

:31:56. > :32:02.would also help the economy. People on low incomes spend the money that

:32:02. > :32:05.they have, rich people blow it on villas in Tuscany. In the run-up to

:32:05. > :32:09.the budget are we going to see the Lib Dem hand firmly on what is

:32:09. > :32:13.announced? Are we going to see you resisting moves to cut welfare to

:32:13. > :32:17.shore up the defence budget, for example? That would be a ludicrous

:32:17. > :32:21.thing to do. I heard Philip Hammond making those comments. At a time

:32:21. > :32:24.like this, to think it is more important to be investing money

:32:24. > :32:27.into a Trident or something like that, rather than protecting people

:32:27. > :32:33.that are the least well-off in our society, that would be morally

:32:33. > :32:38.wrong as well as economic see stupid. -- economically stupid. We

:32:38. > :32:41.also need to be magnanimous, it is just an election. David Cameron

:32:41. > :32:45.must be tempted to remain on the centre ground, or to move towards

:32:46. > :32:49.it, and not listen to voices from the right. That would be a foolish

:32:49. > :32:54.thing for the country. If he listens to advice from me, it would

:32:54. > :32:57.be a foolish thing for the Conservative Party. If, head of a

:32:57. > :33:00.General Election, one of the key things you will have to do is to

:33:00. > :33:03.make it clear that you may be in a coalition but you are very

:33:03. > :33:07.different in your approach, one of the ways you could do that is the

:33:07. > :33:13.mansion tax. Will you be voting with Labour on the mansion tax?

:33:13. > :33:17.They are keen to push this through. Labour have, interestingly, tried

:33:17. > :33:23.to copy a lot of our ideas. They put a plan through to Parliament on

:33:23. > :33:26.an opposition debate to support a mansion tax. That is an interesting

:33:26. > :33:34.thing. We normally take those notions as the mischief that they

:33:34. > :33:40.are. You could have a real impact. We vote with them? We are all ears,

:33:40. > :33:43.I would say. We are not going to be lured into a parliamentary trap by

:33:43. > :33:47.Labour, but sometimes you have to take things at face value.

:33:47. > :33:53.Richard Gere's film career has seen him play his fair share of heart-

:33:53. > :34:00.throbs. He also does a fine line in moral ambiguity. Ever since his

:34:00. > :34:04.early success in American Gigolo, he has been adept at exploring

:34:04. > :34:10.human nature. In his latest film, are the Triage, he is a billionaire

:34:10. > :34:15.money man hurtling toward self- destruction. He told me why, after

:34:15. > :34:19.a former career break, he came back to play Robert Miller, the kind of

:34:19. > :34:25.Wall Street demon that people love to hate. He is an interesting guide.

:34:25. > :34:30.He is one of those iconic characters, the punching bag of the

:34:30. > :34:35.moment, these rich financial guys that seemed to have it all together.

:34:35. > :34:40.But we pretty effectively deconstructing over two hours.

:34:40. > :34:42.Hopefully we see the human being bare. We don't have to admire

:34:42. > :34:47.everything about him, but I think we can recognise him as ourselves

:34:47. > :34:52.in many ways. You did some pretty extensive research in preparing for

:34:52. > :34:55.this role? People think it was all about learning the terms of the

:34:55. > :35:00.financial markets and understanding at all. The reality is that I don't

:35:00. > :35:04.think they understand it. I don't think they could understand or

:35:04. > :35:14.explain financial instruments, derivatives, insurance on insurance,

:35:14. > :35:16.

:35:16. > :35:22.etc. I'm interested in finding the Did you want our investors to go

:35:22. > :35:27.bankrupt? He wanted people to get really hurt? It is my job! John?

:35:27. > :35:37.It's illegal. And I am your partner. You're not my partner, you work for

:35:37. > :35:37.

:35:37. > :35:47.me. That's right, you work for me. There is a certain cowboy element,

:35:47. > :35:49.

:35:49. > :35:53.I think, in these guys. There is a gambler, a risk-taker. They are

:35:53. > :35:57.looking for the cattle that goes off to the right so they can go

:35:57. > :36:01.running after it. They are thinking out of the box. That is where the

:36:01. > :36:06.energy is, there is a certain drug or taking a chance, gambling and

:36:06. > :36:09.losing, possibly. But with a loss you will fix it somehow, you will

:36:09. > :36:14.come back. The adrenalin rush of that stuff is the make-up I found

:36:14. > :36:20.of these guys. You play him, we start almost rooting for him. We

:36:20. > :36:28.almost like the guy, we want him to come out of this? I apologise!

:36:28. > :36:32.people said this to you? You are almost giving the human side?

:36:32. > :36:36.Friends were very angry with me, you do want to hate these guys.

:36:36. > :36:40.They are the devil incarnate in our lives. But I don't think you could

:36:40. > :36:44.sustain a study of this guy, Robert Miller, for two hours without

:36:44. > :36:49.seeing a human being there. If you did not see what makes him

:36:49. > :36:52.successful, beyond being ruthless. There is real charm. There are

:36:52. > :37:01.human qualities of warmth and awareness. He is aware of what he

:37:01. > :37:10.is doing. We see him many times measuring what he is going to do.

:37:10. > :37:16.He does it, it's a bad trice, but a human traits. Pretty Woman is one

:37:16. > :37:21.of the films that made your name... Speaking of red dresses! There you

:37:21. > :37:25.go, I had not thought of that. What a connection. This was a film they

:37:25. > :37:32.really have to convince you to do? I didn't get it, I didn't

:37:32. > :37:40.understand it. First of all, I thought it was just a suit. You can

:37:40. > :37:46.get any body, put him in a suit, I Would you consider spending the

:37:46. > :37:51.week with me? I will pay you to be at my beck and call. Look, I would

:37:51. > :38:01.love to be your beck and call girl. You are a rich, good-looking guy.

:38:01. > :38:04.

:38:04. > :38:08.You could get any of those goals Then I met Juliet. I took a phone

:38:08. > :38:12.call and she was writing something down on a piece of paper. She

:38:12. > :38:17.turned it around and it said, please do this. How could you

:38:17. > :38:22.resist? It ended up being one of the best experiences I have had.

:38:22. > :38:26.could have been so different for you. You were a talented gymnast,

:38:26. > :38:30.you went to university on a gymnastics scholarship. You were a

:38:30. > :38:34.talented musician, trumpet, piano and guitar? If I stayed with

:38:34. > :38:40.gymnastics, I would not be speaking to you right now. We could have

:38:40. > :38:45.seen you at the Olympics? Highly unlikely. But you were good? I was

:38:45. > :38:50.OK, enough to get me into college. Music? Music is OK. I was surprised

:38:50. > :38:54.how many times I have brought music into movies. Music is definitely a

:38:55. > :38:59.part of my life, it is still there, hours-a-day. Do you play with other

:38:59. > :39:03.people on your own? It is out of the marketplace, out of anybody

:39:03. > :39:08.else's world. It is what I want, whenever I want to do it. You had

:39:08. > :39:13.something like 100 guitars that you sold off? You are going to make me

:39:13. > :39:18.cry. This is the weeping moment you have been waiting for. She is going

:39:18. > :39:24.to make me cry. Is there a Kleenex here? You sell them, though? For $1

:39:24. > :39:29.million? Yes, it went right into the Tibetan work. I wanted to ask

:39:29. > :39:36.you about that as well. You have been very, very active in that. 30,

:39:36. > :39:43.40 years. What to do make, nowadays, of Washington, Hollywood rolling

:39:43. > :39:47.out the carpet, in Krishan LEA, -- increasingly, to Chinese leaders?

:39:47. > :39:52.Do you feel let down? It's understandable. We have to create

:39:52. > :39:56.tracks where people can balance these things. The reality is that

:39:56. > :40:01.China needs owes as much as we need them, economically. They are in the

:40:01. > :40:05.system now. They cannot pull out. What we have to do is be unified.

:40:05. > :40:10.If we do care about human rights, and we do care about the rural poor,

:40:10. > :40:18.we have to stick together. The Chinese government, the Communist

:40:18. > :40:23.Party, it is really skillful at separating countries. We have to be

:40:23. > :40:27.careful about this. There is not the danger that economic muscle

:40:27. > :40:31.overshadows human rights? Of course it does, that we have to be clear

:40:31. > :40:34.about his. On a one-to-one basis, there is not a person I have ever

:40:34. > :40:38.met that was not on the side of the Tibetans, or the Chinese people,

:40:38. > :40:45.which are in the same state and have the same issues. The Demon

:40:45. > :40:51.here is the Chinese Communist Party. It behaves like a mafia. Actor and

:40:51. > :40:56.activist Richard Gere. The civil war in Syria has been

:40:56. > :41:00.raging for two years. 1 million people have fled the country as

:41:00. > :41:05.refugees. Last week, America announced they were giving $60

:41:05. > :41:09.million in what they are calling non-lethal aid to Syrian opposition

:41:09. > :41:15.groups, the first direct supplies to the rebels. But what they really

:41:15. > :41:19.want is weapons. Will they get them? I am joined by William Hague.

:41:19. > :41:23.$60 million from America, will you be matching that? We will be giving

:41:23. > :41:28.more assistance. Money? I will announce in Parliament what that

:41:28. > :41:35.will consist of. That will involve more equipment to help save lives

:41:35. > :41:40.in Syria. Many people have been killed in this conflict, by the

:41:40. > :41:44.Assad regime. We will be doing more and we will have to steadily do

:41:44. > :41:48.more, faced with this situation. The longer this goes on, the

:41:48. > :41:52.greater the danger that extremism takes hold, the greater the danger

:41:52. > :41:59.of destabilising neighbouring countries. I saw that for myself in

:41:59. > :42:04.Lebanon, 10 days ago. The greater the extreme humanitarian distress

:42:04. > :42:08.involved. We cannot just sit on the sidelines and watch those.

:42:08. > :42:11.Britain will be giving money, will be giving some money to match what

:42:11. > :42:16.America has done to provide non- lethal equipment? We will be doing

:42:16. > :42:19.more. What we're doing is co- ordinated. Yes, it is co-ordinated

:42:19. > :42:23.with the United States and other allies. I have had a lot of

:42:23. > :42:26.discussions with John Kerry about this. We will be doing more and we

:42:27. > :42:30.will have to steadily do more if there is no diplomatic or political

:42:30. > :42:35.breakthrough. The situation in Syria now is too dangerous to the

:42:35. > :42:44.peace and security of that entire region. And, thereby, the world, to

:42:44. > :42:47.ignore it. We will continue to give enormous amounts in it to relieve

:42:47. > :42:50.humanitarian distress. But we will have to do more to assist the

:42:50. > :42:55.opposition on the ground. You used that word, more, several times

:42:55. > :42:58.already. You're not saying it translates into money. Could

:42:58. > :43:03.translate into arms eventually? don't think we can rule that out

:43:03. > :43:07.for the future. I will not be announcing arms to the Syrian

:43:07. > :43:12.opposition this week. We have agreed in the European Union last

:43:12. > :43:17.week amendments to the arms embargo, to allow others to send a wider

:43:17. > :43:21.range of non-lethal equipment that will do more to save lives. A wider

:43:21. > :43:26.range... But this is military equipment? You are allowed to send

:43:27. > :43:31.flak jackets, night-vision goggles, armoured vehicles? You will

:43:31. > :43:34.understand that I am going to explain the details to Parliament.

:43:34. > :43:39.I believe very strongly in ministers making announcements to

:43:39. > :43:43.Parliament. I don't rule out anything for the future. If this is

:43:43. > :43:47.going to go on for months or years, and it has gone on for two already,

:43:47. > :43:51.tens of thousands of people more are going to die. Countries like

:43:51. > :43:55.Iraq and Jordan are going to be destabilised. It is not something

:43:55. > :43:59.that we can ignore. I know people say, why do we have to do anything

:43:59. > :44:04.or be involved? These are the reasons. We cannot sit it out in

:44:04. > :44:07.Syria. You cannot sit it out, you say you will not rule out giving

:44:07. > :44:11.alms to the Syrian opposition. How do you ever know, if that happens,

:44:11. > :44:16.how do you know whose hands these end up in? The opposition is not

:44:16. > :44:23.some homogenous group? I am not saying we are doing that. But you

:44:23. > :44:25.haven't excluded it. If ever we get into that situation, the risks of

:44:25. > :44:31.arms falling into the wrong hands is one of the great constraints and

:44:31. > :44:35.one of the reasons we do not do it now. But these are a balance of

:44:35. > :44:39.risks. You can reach that point where humanitarian need is so great

:44:39. > :44:43.that you have to do something new in order to save lives. That is why

:44:43. > :44:47.I do not rule it out of the future. You will have seen is into this

:44:47. > :44:51.morning, a very rare interview the President Assad has given. He

:44:51. > :44:55.talked about bullying Britain. How Britain is fanning the flames. He

:44:55. > :45:05.says, how can we expect Britain to make the violence less when they

:45:05. > :45:06.

:45:07. > :45:12.want to send military supplies to $:/STARTFEED. He is presiding over

:45:12. > :45:17.the slaughter and we are, Britain, are sending food and blankets and

:45:17. > :45:21.med dl supplies to the people there in his name. We are sending medical

:45:21. > :45:29.supplies to look after the people abused by the soldiers working for

:45:29. > :45:33.this man. Like Brahimi bra, who is a softly-spoken diplomat - Brahimi.

:45:33. > :45:37.That Assad thinks and is told by his inner circle that all of this

:45:37. > :45:41.is an international conspiracy, not the rebellion and revolt of his own

:45:41. > :45:46.people. I think this will go down as one of the most delusional

:45:46. > :45:51.interviews any national lieder has given in modern times. -- leader.

:45:51. > :45:57.He has a point in one sense: is this going to end the conflict? If

:45:57. > :46:00.we go down that path and the rebels are armed, there is no guaranteed

:46:00. > :46:04.it would end the conflict? saying we have to do what we can to

:46:05. > :46:08.save lives, lives he is bringing to a terrible end. Of course, we'll

:46:08. > :46:12.never waiver in trying to seek a diplomatic and political solution

:46:12. > :46:16.to the situation in Syria. He has now had two years of opportunities

:46:16. > :46:24.to sit down in real dialogue and has refused every opportunity to do

:46:24. > :46:28.so. Even though the national coalition, their leader, the

:46:28. > :46:33.opposition leader, Mr Al-Khatib, bravely offered dialogue with the

:46:33. > :46:37.Assad regime, they have not taken that up. We'll never stop pursuing

:46:37. > :46:41.that. There isn't a military-only solution. The Russian Foreign

:46:41. > :46:44.Minister will be here in London in the next ten days and we'll have

:46:44. > :46:47.another major discussion about Syria, to see whether we can make

:46:47. > :46:51.some diplomatic breakthrough, but there is no sign of that at the

:46:51. > :46:54.movement hence we have to do more to try to protect people, protect

:46:54. > :46:59.civilen life in Syria and neighbouring countries. -- civilian

:46:59. > :47:03.life. Let's turn to the subject of Eastleigh. What went wrong for the

:47:03. > :47:08.Tories? Well I think something went wrong for all of the main political

:47:08. > :47:12.parties. Not UKIP. They are not main. We must take seriously

:47:12. > :47:16.people's concerns in by-election results but the statistics of by-

:47:16. > :47:20.elections, as you know, can be argued in every direction. I was

:47:20. > :47:23.elected in a by-election 24 years ago. The result in my constituency

:47:23. > :47:27.in the following five general elections has borne no resemblance

:47:27. > :47:30.at all to that by-election result. It is dangerous to extrapolate from

:47:30. > :47:39.by-election bus as the Prime Minister said in his particle this

:47:39. > :47:43.morning, there are people who know the country was going downhill with

:47:43. > :47:49.Labour, so they are not voting Labour. So you are brushing it off.

:47:49. > :47:53.Complacent? No, we are not, people are impatient for us to sort these

:47:53. > :47:59.things out. I think what we have to do is make sure we follow-up and

:47:59. > :48:02.comun Kate properly the things we are succeeding in as a Government.

:48:02. > :48:06.-- communicating. Of the the immigration figures came out, down

:48:06. > :48:10.by one-third. Welfare spending bringing brought under control. 2

:48:10. > :48:13.million people lifted out of income tax. You know full-well that the

:48:14. > :48:17.criticism of the Conservatives right now is that they are not in

:48:17. > :48:21.touch with their grass roots. You are not in touch with your core

:48:21. > :48:25.supporters. All kinds of coverage in the papers today. One over the

:48:25. > :48:30.weekend - put simply this is just one newspaper, "Electors are sick

:48:30. > :48:37.and tired of a guilded out of touch Metropolitan elite which seems more

:48:37. > :48:41.concerned about posturing over gay marriage, overseas aid and

:48:41. > :48:45.windmills than helping those whose income is shrinking every month."

:48:45. > :48:47.That's the main problem, isn't it? I don't think it is. David Cameron

:48:47. > :48:52.has argued that the Conservative Party must stay on the common

:48:52. > :48:56.ground. Not the middle ground? it is not about try ang lating a

:48:56. > :48:59.point in politics about us and other parties and it is certainly

:48:59. > :49:02.not about a lurch in any direction. It is about making a success of

:49:02. > :49:06.these things that this Government, in the most challenging

:49:06. > :49:10.circumstances of any Government in modern times, given the inheritance

:49:10. > :49:13.we were left, has set about doing. Bringing down the deficit by one-

:49:13. > :49:16.quarter. Brenging down the rate of business tax sharply. -- bringk

:49:17. > :49:20.down. Freezing council tax for three years. Having more

:49:20. > :49:28.apprenticeships than we have ever had before. We have one million

:49:28. > :49:32.more private sector jobs. Stkpwhroo look at UKIP. Some of the - -- Look

:49:32. > :49:39.at UKIP some people seem to be drawn to them because of the fears

:49:39. > :49:42.of immigrations, particularly numbers of Romanians and Bulgarians

:49:42. > :49:47.coming to this country next you have estimates. How many do you

:49:47. > :49:53.think there Will be coming or is it scare among snerg No we don't have

:49:53. > :49:57.estimates. The figures came out this week, immigration down by one-

:49:57. > :50:02.third. I'm talking about Romanians and Bulgarians. I know but there

:50:02. > :50:06.are no secret estimates. We have the figures of what is happening,

:50:06. > :50:09.coming down thanks to the policies of the government. In a by-election

:50:09. > :50:13.people can have an indulgence but a general election is a choice. At

:50:13. > :50:17.the next general election, do people want a Government that has

:50:17. > :50:20.really brought down immigration, this one? Or a Labour Government

:50:20. > :50:25.that threw open the doors completely. Let me ask you two

:50:25. > :50:31.points: first of all, by Romanians and Bulgarians are you saying you

:50:31. > :50:35.have no idea, there are no assessments, you have no clue.

:50:35. > :50:40.Migration Watch is saying 250,000 people over the next five years.

:50:40. > :50:44.don't think anybody can give you a forecast. The European Union is the

:50:44. > :50:48.free movement of people and British people benefit enormous will from

:50:48. > :50:51.that. Yes, we will have that but we will be careful to make sure that

:50:51. > :50:55.benefit tourism comes to an end. That has to be tackled so people

:50:55. > :50:59.are not drawn to one - not drawn to our country or any country in

:51:00. > :51:04.particular, just by being attracted by the benefits system. Migration

:51:04. > :51:09.Watch's figures, you think it is impossible to guess, it is

:51:09. > :51:13.nonsense? I think it is guesswork. That is worrying, so you have no

:51:13. > :51:18.clue how many people are going to come to this country next year?

:51:18. > :51:25.am saying it would be guesswork. The important thing is to Mick sure

:51:25. > :51:29.people aren't drawn artificially into Britain -- make sure. Most

:51:29. > :51:34.Bulgarian and Romanian people don't live in Britain, that's not where

:51:34. > :51:38.their diaspora has gone. That can be of some reassurance. But there

:51:38. > :51:43.isn't a magic or secret figure. We should continue to bring down the

:51:43. > :51:47.total of immigration into this country. And put people off come?

:51:47. > :51:50.There is a story in one of the Papeers this morning saying new

:51:50. > :51:55.immigrants will potentially have their access to the NHS limited. --

:51:55. > :51:58.in the papers. It is important that there aren't artificial perverse

:51:58. > :52:02.incentives for people to come to the UK. So you are looking at it?

:52:02. > :52:05.Yes, we are looking in Government at what more we can do to make sure

:52:05. > :52:09.that is controlled. That that is fair across Europe. And I think

:52:09. > :52:12.people would expect us to do that. That's absolutely right. Again

:52:12. > :52:15.something that never happened over the last Government and the next

:52:15. > :52:20.general election will be a choice between tackling these sorts of

:52:20. > :52:24.things, or the last Government that never did any of it. And you would

:52:24. > :52:31.curb benefits for new immigrants? Benefit tourism can't be allow. We

:52:31. > :52:35.are getting the benefit system under control. We are introducing a

:52:35. > :52:38.cap on benefits, so no family on benefits can receive more than the

:52:38. > :52:41.average household can receive by going out to work. These are

:52:41. > :52:45.essential reforms, our reforms of housing benefit. Essential reforms

:52:45. > :52:49.of the benefit system. The next jeng election is a choice - do you

:52:49. > :52:52.want -- general election. Do you want to go back to Ed Balls running

:52:52. > :52:56.the economy and no discipline or do you want the difficult challenges,

:52:56. > :53:01.the hard work we are having to put in to make these changes? Ity

:53:01. > :53:05.people want the changes. Difficult challenges, looking ahead, a Budget

:53:05. > :53:08.with a Spending Review, defence cuts and welfare cuts. Do you think

:53:08. > :53:12.welfare cuts is the way to go? will have to wait for the Spending

:53:12. > :53:15.Review. We have worked hard and Iain Duncan Smith has done a

:53:15. > :53:19.brilliant job bringing the benefit system under control. Philip

:53:19. > :53:24.Hammond has done a difficult job balancing the books. And he has

:53:24. > :53:27.made it clear he can take no more. Well, we will - of course,

:53:27. > :53:31.ministers will discuss the next spending round over the next few

:53:31. > :53:35.weeks and months. Any announcements on that you will have to wait for.

:53:35. > :53:38.My colleagues are doing an outstanding piece of work in making

:53:38. > :53:43.sure that this country can live within its means. We have brought

:53:43. > :53:48.down the deficit by one-quarter and we have to go on doing it. We won't

:53:48. > :53:52.be diverted by by-elections or local elections. We can't be.

:53:52. > :53:56.me ask you about another big story, the European Convention on Human

:53:56. > :53:59.Rights. Are we potentially leaving that? That will be something in the

:53:59. > :54:02.Conservative manifesto? We have already sought reform of the

:54:02. > :54:05.European Court of Human Rights with some success over the last couple

:54:05. > :54:08.of years. I think the stories you have seen today are speculation

:54:08. > :54:13.about a future manifesto. It is a couple of years away. We are

:54:13. > :54:16.getting well ahead of ourselves on that. Not true? It is speculation

:54:16. > :54:19.about a future manifesto. I cannot give you any more than that. I must

:54:19. > :54:24.ask you one thing about Mali overnight and the reports that the

:54:24. > :54:27.lead ever, the man behind the Algerian crisis, the crisis at the

:54:27. > :54:31.gas plant, has been killed. Is that a significant step towards getting

:54:31. > :54:35.the sort of terrorism in North Africa under control? It would be a

:54:35. > :54:41.blow to terrorism. These are frorps Chadian soldiers who have been

:54:41. > :54:45.doing a lot of fighting in northern Mali. -- reports from. We cannot

:54:45. > :54:48.confirm that. I stress that it. Would be a blow to terrorism and

:54:48. > :54:52.the criminal network around this man but it doesn't mean the

:54:52. > :54:55.problems of Mali will be at an end. There is a lot to do to promote a

:54:55. > :54:59.political process in Mali. Elections, legitimate Government

:54:59. > :55:05.and so on. That work has to go on. Thank you very much.

:55:05. > :55:09.Now, over to Sian for the news headlines.

:55:09. > :55:13.Thank you. The President of the Liberal Democrats, Tim Farron has

:55:13. > :55:17.described the party's victory in the Eastleigh by-election as a gym-

:55:17. > :55:20.change result. He said it vindicated the decision to go into

:55:20. > :55:25.coalition. -- game had of changing. He warned 9 Conservatives they

:55:25. > :55:31.would be foolish to lurch to the right. Eye kip same second. Its

:55:31. > :55:36.leader Nigel farge insisted that success couldn't be dismissed as a

:55:36. > :55:39.protest vote. -- UKIP's leader, Nigel Farage. They vote UKIP on

:55:40. > :55:43.policy. We are saying to people we are putting in front of them is a

:55:43. > :55:47.common sense idea of how we should control our borders, of what our

:55:47. > :55:50.relationship with Europe should be and what we should be doing about

:55:50. > :55:53.the looming energy crisis. Foreign Secretary has said the

:55:53. > :55:57.British Government will do more to help the opposition forces in Syria.

:55:57. > :56:02.William Hague will anounges details to Parliament this week of --

:56:02. > :56:07.announce details to Parliament of a wider range of non-lethal equipment

:56:07. > :56:16.to be sent there. He said the UK did not rule out arming the rebels

:56:16. > :56:22.at some stage in the future if the situation continued to deteriorate.

:56:22. > :56:26.A terrorist leader, who is thought to have ordered the attack on a gas

:56:26. > :56:28.plant. Has been chilled in Chad. It has been reported that Mokhtar

:56:28. > :56:32.Belmokhtar has been killed. There has been no independent

:56:32. > :56:37.confirmation of his death. That's all from me. The next news on BBC

:56:37. > :56:42.One is at midday. Back to Sophie in a moment but first here is what is

:56:42. > :56:47.coming up after this show. Join us live from St Albans where we will

:56:47. > :56:54.be asking should protesters be sued. We have two No Dash for Gas

:56:54. > :57:03.activists who are facing a �5 million claim.

:57:03. > :57:09.And we will ask should you die, in honour for St Alban.

:57:09. > :57:17.Time has almost beaten us this morning. But here, right now, Gary

:57:17. > :57:25.clarbg junior, with Ain't Messin' Round. -- Gary Clark Junior.

:57:26. > :57:35.# I don't believe in competition # Ain't nobody else like me around

:57:36. > :57:37.

:57:37. > :57:43.# I don't need your imposition # Continue ain't that hard to

:57:43. > :57:51.figure it out # Give it up yeah

:57:51. > :58:01.# Play cool # Give it up, yeah

:58:01. > :58:04.

:58:04. > :58:14.# Play cool # Give it up now

:58:14. > :58:47.

:58:47. > :58:57.# Give it up, yeah # Play it cool

:58:57. > :59:01.