03/01/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.all the rugby union results, as well as a look ahead to the weekend's FA

:00:00. > :00:14.Cup third round. All that and more in 15 minutes after the papers.

:00:15. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing

:00:20. > :00:21.us tomorrow. With me are Alison Phillips, editor of the Mirror

:00:22. > :00:28.Weekend, and freelance Parliamentary correspondent Rob Merrick. Both of

:00:29. > :00:33.you refreshed from the festive break. The front pages.

:00:34. > :00:36.David Cameron's apparent frustration at the lack of female Conservative

:00:37. > :00:40.candidates for the next election is the Independent's lead story.

:00:41. > :00:43.The Daily Mail says GPs are being paid ?1500 a shift to work nights

:00:44. > :00:47.and weekends in overstretched A departments.

:00:48. > :00:50.The Financial Times highlights seven US technology firms which paid just

:00:51. > :00:55.?54 million in corporation tax in 2012.

:00:56. > :01:04."Mad Dad" is the headline on the Mirror. It shows a father and

:01:05. > :01:07.daughter almost swept away by a 20-foot wave in Cornwall.

:01:08. > :01:10.The Sun says Only Fools and Horses is set to make a comeback to our TV

:01:11. > :01:12.screens. The Daily Telegraph leads on a

:01:13. > :01:15.warning from the Business Secretary, Vince Cable, that rising house

:01:16. > :01:17.prices could cause another property bubble.

:01:18. > :01:20.The Times says developers could be allowed to destroy ancient woodland

:01:21. > :01:23.if they agree to plant 100 trees for each one felled.

:01:24. > :01:25.And The Guardian says that the increasing number of people with

:01:26. > :01:36.long-term medical problems is threatening to overwhelm the NHS.

:01:37. > :01:41.That is where we will start, with the Guardian and the cost of

:01:42. > :01:44.long-term care. 70% of the budget, is the subheading, goes to

:01:45. > :01:48.conditions like heart disease and diabetes. I suppose part of this is

:01:49. > :01:56.because we have an ageing population. Yes, and in years to

:01:57. > :02:00.come we will find we have an ageing population but also a population

:02:01. > :02:05.leading a more unhealthy lifestyle. Some of the diabetes illness is

:02:06. > :02:09.related to obesity, so there will be twin problems for the NHS to cope

:02:10. > :02:15.with. At the moment, we just can't see much hope that it is equipped to

:02:16. > :02:21.deal with this problem. Every day we hear more stories from A that it

:02:22. > :02:25.is creaking under the pressure. This says the NHS will have to have a

:02:26. > :02:29.rethink about how it cares for these patients. Short of casting them

:02:30. > :02:35.adrift, I do not know what that means. The interview does not

:02:36. > :02:40.provide answers. It is with somebody in charge of coping with people with

:02:41. > :02:43.long-term conditions for the NHS. It seems familiar because we have read

:02:44. > :02:49.this story many times but the figures are stark. 70% of the NHS

:02:50. > :02:53.budget goes on people with long-term conditions. I was struck by the

:02:54. > :02:56.quotes which give it the extra bite because the doctor says, he would

:02:57. > :03:02.say to the health care equivalent of climate change, which makes you

:03:03. > :03:06.think. It makes the point that lifestyle factors are reckoned to be

:03:07. > :03:11.part of the problem - smoking, drinking, overheating. Once you have

:03:12. > :03:16.developed diabetes of that sort through poor lifestyle, that is it.

:03:17. > :03:23.It is not going away. You can manage it but there is no cure. There are

:03:24. > :03:27.also societal issues, in that 1500 years ago, people would be cared for

:03:28. > :03:35.with their families. Now that has changed. There are also issues about

:03:36. > :03:41.the form of care from GPs. Many of those patients are shunted into

:03:42. > :03:45.hospital. There seem to be a lot of stalls in the health service and

:03:46. > :03:50.care homes, and these poor patients are slipping between the gaps. The

:03:51. > :03:54.suggestion is that GPs will have to take up the slack, but the way GPs

:03:55. > :04:01.operate, the way we access care, often through a GP, that will have

:04:02. > :04:03.to change to accommodate this. GPs have increasing independence under

:04:04. > :04:08.the changes the government has made so I do not know how easy it will be

:04:09. > :04:11.to persuade or force them to change how they operate. One of the

:04:12. > :04:14.criticisms of the government's health changes is that they

:04:15. > :04:17.concentrated on opening up the NHS to the private sector. Many critics

:04:18. > :04:23.would say that that missed the real target, this crisis which is about

:04:24. > :04:26.over one the NHS. There has been a suggestion that people would not get

:04:27. > :04:30.treatment if they did not change their habits. If they were a smoker

:04:31. > :04:35.they would be expected to stop smoking before they would get a lung

:04:36. > :04:39.transplant. There have been those suggestions, but in reality, is it

:04:40. > :04:42.going to happen? We are now looking at situations where pretty much from

:04:43. > :04:47.birth, even from pregnancy, you have babies being born witch doctors know

:04:48. > :04:51.will be prone to diabetes and obesity later in life. These are

:04:52. > :04:56.huge problems across society and it is a much bigger thing than just the

:04:57. > :05:01.NHS to deal with. Society will have to deal with these problems.

:05:02. > :05:04.Childhood obesity, schools try to talk about it but it is not schools

:05:05. > :05:10.that provide the food morning, noon and night. It is bigger than food.

:05:11. > :05:16.It is about exercise and people's feelings of self-worth. I will just

:05:17. > :05:22.echo that. I am not sure anyone has the answers. This story is trying to

:05:23. > :05:27.put it on the agenda. White crow just another NHS story we are

:05:28. > :05:34.reading about. Staying with the Guardian. We did not mean to go to

:05:35. > :05:37.see, is the headline here. This is the picture of two people who you

:05:38. > :05:46.can probably see. They look quite happy, really. Two residents of Shaw

:05:47. > :05:53.in West Sussex, watching as the river rises around their home. It is

:05:54. > :06:00.a fantastic picture because they look like they are on a boat.

:06:01. > :06:05.Extraordinary. There are any number of striking pictures. My favourite

:06:06. > :06:09.was someone who sent in photos of a 1p coin and the hailstones were

:06:10. > :06:14.bigger than that. But that is not as serious as the situation facing

:06:15. > :06:20.these two. If they are managing to watch, you look remarkably cheerful.

:06:21. > :06:24.Elsewhere, we saw the picture of a man holding his child as the waves

:06:25. > :06:29.came crashing in. There have been pictures which have shown the

:06:30. > :06:33.severity of the storms. People taking risks. The one thing we are

:06:34. > :06:38.advised not to do is to head to the coast and look at the waves, and yet

:06:39. > :06:42.people choose to do that. There are nine severe warnings, meaning a

:06:43. > :06:46.threat to life. The experts say the biggest threat to life is people who

:06:47. > :06:50.treat it as a tourist attraction and put themselves in the way of the

:06:51. > :06:58.waves. He does not hold much appeal to me, I have to say. I am happy to

:06:59. > :07:02.watch from the TV studio. Let's have a look at the Independent.

:07:03. > :07:06.Conservatives snub female candidates, says an exclusive indie

:07:07. > :07:12.Independent. Fewer than one in three women have been selected so far in

:07:13. > :07:16.Tory constituencies, a frustration for Cameron, we understand. This is

:07:17. > :07:19.an ongoing problem for the Prime Minister who does not seem to be

:07:20. > :07:23.able to get out of this problem. It is often said he has a problem with

:07:24. > :07:30.women, they must be having said to a Labour MP, calm down, dear. He has

:07:31. > :07:35.been criticised as being sexist. And he has a huge political problem, in

:07:36. > :07:38.that Labour's poll lead is largely explained by women voters switching

:07:39. > :07:42.to labour and turning away from the Conservatives. One way to win them

:07:43. > :07:46.back might be to increase the female representation in powerful

:07:47. > :07:48.positions, but this says that if the Conservatives do badly at the next

:07:49. > :07:55.general election he would end up with fewer women MPs. The

:07:56. > :07:58.composition of Cabinet is lacking. He has just about managed to get in

:07:59. > :08:04.more women than people who have been to Eton. Just about. It is a bit

:08:05. > :08:06.rich for him to be going on about activists not doing enough to

:08:07. > :08:11.Anchorage women. He is the boss and has to lead by example. If he

:08:12. > :08:14.believes he wants to have an equal Cabinet and an equal number of Tory

:08:15. > :08:18.MPs, he has to show through policy-making that that is what he

:08:19. > :08:24.believes. Could it be there are not enough women coming forward of the

:08:25. > :08:29.right quality? But then why not? Because they obviously feel they are

:08:30. > :08:32.not required, not wanted. There is a feeling that Conservative

:08:33. > :08:37.associations would still rather pick a man. That is the traditional way.

:08:38. > :08:46.Is that the case, or are we buying into a stereotype? Stereotypes are

:08:47. > :08:50.there for a reason. Plenty of women have come forward but remarkably few

:08:51. > :08:56.end up making it. There are only four of the 27 members of the

:08:57. > :08:59.Cabinet who are women, which is scandalously low, of course. The

:09:00. > :09:03.Prime Minister has taken to inviting ever more people to attend Cabinet

:09:04. > :09:09.on particular days, to bump up the number of women. That is a valid

:09:10. > :09:12.point. If you have a small number of women in Cabinet, that sends a

:09:13. > :09:16.message to grassroot activists that actually, we will have a few women

:09:17. > :09:21.to make it look OK, windowdressing, but we do not really believe in it.

:09:22. > :09:27.Is there not an issue about who would want to be an MP for the

:09:28. > :09:35.reputational reasons, that MPs get criticised a lot, and also the hours

:09:36. > :09:38.that they keep? Many women... They have maybe hours more child

:09:39. > :09:44.friendly. If you look at the statistics, you have more Labour

:09:45. > :09:48.women MPs than conservatives. It cannot be purely about that and must

:09:49. > :09:54.be something about the way they are operating. It is not regarded as

:09:55. > :09:57.desirable. Often women decide to quit, perhaps less because of the

:09:58. > :10:01.hours and more about the way that Parliament operates. Everybody has

:10:02. > :10:07.seen Prime Minister 's questions, and it is so match and appeals less

:10:08. > :10:10.to women. Then there is the idea of positive discrimination, having

:10:11. > :10:13.quotas, which many women are uncomfortable with. They want to be

:10:14. > :10:19.picked because they are the best, not because of their gender. The

:10:20. > :10:24.first issue should be that if as a party they are putting forward women

:10:25. > :10:30.friendly policies and have a proper attitude towards women, away from

:10:31. > :10:33.the calm down, dear, mentality, which seems pervasive, that should

:10:34. > :10:39.be the first step. If they truly do want to do something about it.

:10:40. > :10:43.Ancient woods face axe in drive for homes. Government plan to offess

:10:44. > :10:48.loss of habitat, the idea that if you fell one tree in an ancient

:10:49. > :10:53.woodland a developer would have to plant 100 others to replace it.

:10:54. > :10:59.Ancient woodland, of course, dear to our hearts and with environmental

:11:00. > :11:04.reasons for good cause. We are reading about property prices and

:11:05. > :11:08.how the price of an average property has gone up yet again, so we're

:11:09. > :11:11.under pressure to build more houses. Yes, ancient woodland is something

:11:12. > :11:16.that really touches people's hearts. The last time I was here I got

:11:17. > :11:20.ticked off by somebody for suggesting that ancient woodland

:11:21. > :11:23.might have to go to make sure for a train line. I will be more careful

:11:24. > :11:28.this time. I thought it was a striking story that you could fell

:11:29. > :11:32.ancient trees, you know, simply by planting new ones. I suppose I find

:11:33. > :11:35.that surprising. I certainly think it's going to be politically

:11:36. > :11:39.dangerous for the Government. Everybody remembers that one of the

:11:40. > :11:42.most high-profile U-turns the Government has made was over the

:11:43. > :11:46.sale of woodland, of course. That was perhaps the first time there was

:11:47. > :11:50.a huge internet campaign, massive groundswell of opinion against that

:11:51. > :11:54.which forced the Government to think again. That was over the issue of

:11:55. > :11:58.woodland. Keep being told that Britain is one of the least wooded

:11:59. > :12:02.countries in Europe, with the land that's not under ancient woodland,

:12:03. > :12:05.can't we find somewhere else to build houses? It's terribly sad.

:12:06. > :12:08.It's not just the number of trees you'd be losing, it is the part of

:12:09. > :12:12.the history of that area. It's the part of the story of what that area

:12:13. > :12:16.has given to its local community and its local area. Once that has gone,

:12:17. > :12:19.that's gone forever. Yes, you'd get the same number of trees, by

:12:20. > :12:22.offsetting and planting elsewhere, but you're never going to recreate

:12:23. > :12:27.that history and that environment and all the natural habitat that's

:12:28. > :12:36.been in there for 400 years. Since 1600. And the biodiversity, the

:12:37. > :12:39.Flora and fauna that makes its home there. But we have a massive problem

:12:40. > :12:42.with house prices but there are brown field sites that need to be

:12:43. > :12:47.looked at and land owners holding onto land that need to be looked at.

:12:48. > :12:53.Let's look at the Sun: It makes you smile the most you read this

:12:54. > :13:00.headline: Lovely jubly, TV exclusive says the Sun, Only Fools to return.

:13:01. > :13:05.Clearly the BBC thinks that there is an audience out there to bring it

:13:06. > :13:08.back. I get two emotions. The first, the warm glow that everybody feels,

:13:09. > :13:14.almost everybody's favourite programme and it would be great if

:13:15. > :13:19.it returned. I read that The Script will be read by John Sullivan's son,

:13:20. > :13:25.John is the creator, so we can only hope that The Script writing genius

:13:26. > :13:29.is genetic there. The second emotion is worry that most reunions don't

:13:30. > :13:33.end happy. Monty Python, everybody is a bit uneasy about that. When the

:13:34. > :13:38.Stone Roses reformed people were queuing to get out of the gig early.

:13:39. > :13:42.The conditions inside. Would you be happen why I to see them back? I

:13:43. > :13:47.think the last two Christmas specials they did, they weren't as

:13:48. > :13:51.funny, towards the end. When people think about only fools and horses,

:13:52. > :13:54.the great moments when he fell through the bar hatch, they were

:13:55. > :13:58.just hillarious and whether you could match that, who knows. , it

:13:59. > :14:01.ain't what it used to be. We'll see. It will be on TV in the spring,

:14:02. > :14:05.we're told. That's the papers for this hour. Allison and Rob will be

:14:06. > :14:09.back again with us at 11. 30pm for another look at the stories making

:14:10. > :14:24.the front pages. Now on BBC News, it's time for Sportsday.

:14:25. > :14:30.And welcome to Sportsday. I'm Lizzie Greenwood-Hughes. Waking up to a

:14:31. > :14:34.whitewash? England will resume day two of the final Ashes Test in under

:14:35. > :14:40.an hour's time, 318 runs behind Australia. It's Arsenal v Tottenham

:14:41. > :14:44.in a big weekend of FA Cup action.