23/01/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.Australia. They have to wait until Sunday in Hobart to get their chance

:00:00. > :00:17.to clinch the series. That in 15 minutes after the papers.

:00:18. > :00:22.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing

:00:23. > :00:26.us tomorrow. With me Caroline Daniel, the editor of the weekend

:00:27. > :00:31.Financial Times, and Torcuil Crichton, the Westminster editor at

:00:32. > :00:34.the Daily Mail. We will start with the Independent. It says that GM

:00:35. > :00:40.super foods could be grown in Britain as early as this year. The

:00:41. > :00:43.Telegraph says that David Cameron believes a recovery for all is under

:00:44. > :00:48.way, with wages rising more quickly than inflation. Onto the Guardian,

:00:49. > :00:51.its leading on the Newsnight interview with the Bank of England

:00:52. > :00:57.governor, who has said interest rates will not be rising any time

:00:58. > :01:01.soon. The Express has news of a new treatment for diabetes. The

:01:02. > :01:04.Financial Times is also leading on Mark Carney, who has been forced to

:01:05. > :01:10.abandon his policy of linking interest rates to unemployment. And

:01:11. > :01:12.the Daily Mail reports on claims that pensioners with cancer are

:01:13. > :01:20.being written off as too old to treat. Lots of news coming out of

:01:21. > :01:28.Davos, where the rich and the good and not so good are gathering. The

:01:29. > :01:32.Prime Minister is there. He apparently, according to the Daily

:01:33. > :01:35.Telegraph, is hailing the start of a recovery for all. And that is

:01:36. > :01:39.following on these figures that have been released this evening by the

:01:40. > :01:43.government that suggests people 's take-home pay, for 80% of the

:01:44. > :01:49.population, is actually outstripping inflation. This is David Cameron's

:01:50. > :01:53.attempt to have a win-win headline. He is trying to take on Ed

:01:54. > :01:57.Miliband's concerns about standards of living, saying that wages are

:01:58. > :02:00.starting to rise again. This is the kind of headline George Osborne has

:02:01. > :02:04.been waiting for four months, as have the Financial Times. But there

:02:05. > :02:15.are still some concerns beneath the headlines. Although he does say that

:02:16. > :02:17.wages are rising for lots of people, we also know that over the last

:02:18. > :02:20.year, average earnings have only gone up by 0.9%, that is below

:02:21. > :02:22.inflation. The idea this is a dramatic rebound for everyone and

:02:23. > :02:25.it's all going to get better from here on in, there are some caveats

:02:26. > :02:30.here. It's the Government trying to have its cake and eat it. We've seen

:02:31. > :02:33.unemployment go down to almost 7%, good news for everyone. The growth

:02:34. > :02:39.figures are going to be revised. This is the Government realising it

:02:40. > :02:44.is not just about the economy, they are also going to have to fight it

:02:45. > :02:47.on the cost of living, which is where Ed Miliband is camped out

:02:48. > :02:53.right now. Cameron hails recovery for all. Does it feel like it in

:02:54. > :02:56.your pocket? No matter what the figures might suggest, and we can

:02:57. > :03:02.discuss and argue over the figures, the question is, do people feel they

:03:03. > :03:06.have enough money to pay the bills? Welcome to Britain where food prices

:03:07. > :03:11.are going up, energy prices are going up, SSE put their prices up by

:03:12. > :03:16.8% and, what do you know, their profits go up by 8%. We have kids

:03:17. > :03:20.who worked 21 hours a week in Tesco, can't get more. We have construction

:03:21. > :03:25.companies are putting their builders at arm's-length payroll company so

:03:26. > :03:28.they can avoid paying tax. It's an on the waterfront economy. That's

:03:29. > :03:34.true, but there is a genuine bounce happening. If you look at the car

:03:35. > :03:41.industry, we reported this week that Britain had made more than 1.5

:03:42. > :03:46.million cars last year. It's the highest number since 2007. That's a

:03:47. > :03:49.genuine number. It put Britain on track to become the third-largest

:03:50. > :03:54.producer in Europe. More and more people are buying new cars going

:03:55. > :04:01.out. Things must be sort of going OK. The Government, its figures

:04:02. > :04:06.tonight, it is saying if you take into account tax cuts up to April

:04:07. > :04:10.2013, that year people are taking home more pay. Yeah, and if you've

:04:11. > :04:14.got a mortgage and your mortgage interest rates are very low, then

:04:15. > :04:17.maybe you have a bit more cash. Or to buy these cars, people are

:04:18. > :04:23.digging into their own savings or they are going to the banks and get

:04:24. > :04:29.another credit. We know where that ends up. It's taken a while to come,

:04:30. > :04:33.but the growth figures are still way below the economic output that the

:04:34. > :04:37.UK used to have before the recession. Yes, it's great news and

:04:38. > :04:41.I'm not going to knock it, I'm really relieved to see recovery

:04:42. > :04:47.starting to come back, but there are still caveats and we shouldn't give

:04:48. > :04:51.Cameron too much fun. Clearly this is a victory of sorts for labour and

:04:52. > :04:55.for Ed Miliband because they've positioned themselves on this cost

:04:56. > :04:58.of living issue and the Conservatives now are having to

:04:59. > :05:04.address that issue. Will this kind of thing work? They are coming at it

:05:05. > :05:08.hard. We saw Osbourne saying that the minimum wage ought to rise to

:05:09. > :05:13.?7. Not that he's in charge of it, not that it's going to happen until

:05:14. > :05:20.after 2015, when he hopes he will be re-elected. There's a recognition

:05:21. > :05:23.that people are hurting. If you are Ed Balls or George Osborne, I think

:05:24. > :05:27.I know who is going to wake up feeling happier looking at the front

:05:28. > :05:36.pages tomorrow out of the two of them. Mike microbe the Financial

:05:37. > :05:41.Times. Six months ago it was said if the rate of unemployment falls to

:05:42. > :05:46.7%, then he would consider raising interest rates. He's not doing that

:05:47. > :05:52.now, so that policy is dead in the water. It's the biggest story to

:05:53. > :05:57.come out of Davos. I like the choice of language. His big idea is set to

:05:58. > :06:03.bite the dust. This was the policy that if unemployment fell to below

:06:04. > :06:10.7%, it fell to 7.1% this week and in Scotland it is below 7%, he would

:06:11. > :06:14.then look at rising -- raising the interest rates, which would be bad

:06:15. > :06:21.news for borrowers everywhere, but would keep the lid on inflation. He

:06:22. > :06:28.has now turned round in an interview saying, forget it. Is his

:06:29. > :06:31.credibility shot or is he simply adapting to the changed

:06:32. > :06:34.circumstances of the economy? That is his line, but the fact is it is

:06:35. > :06:38.embarrassing for the Bank of England. In terms of their

:06:39. > :06:42.forecasting policy and their ability to predict the future. When Mark

:06:43. > :06:46.Carney arrived on the job, he said in August, when he announced this

:06:47. > :06:50.plan about how he was going to govern the Bank of England policy,

:06:51. > :06:53.they forecast at that point that you wouldn't get to 7% unemployment

:06:54. > :06:59.until mid-2016. A few months later they changed that to mid-2015. Now

:07:00. > :07:05.we're looking at a potentially happening this year. But everyone

:07:06. > :07:10.got that wrong. That is true, but that's a pretty big miss. That was

:07:11. > :07:15.the sort of cornerstone of his policy. He linked it explicitly to

:07:16. > :07:17.unemployment numbers. Now he is broadening it out saying it's not

:07:18. > :07:23.just about unemployment rates, he's looking at the wider economy as

:07:24. > :07:27.well. He is making clear this matters to you and I, the interest

:07:28. > :07:32.rate side. He is not saying that interest rates are poised to rise.

:07:33. > :07:35.The whole point about the problem is that the country is facing is that

:07:36. > :07:40.there is a massive lack of confidence. People won't go out and

:07:41. > :07:43.spend, company bosses won't go out and hire and invest in new plants.

:07:44. > :07:48.Him saying interest rates will not rise until unemployment reaches 7%

:07:49. > :07:58.gave people confidence. In fact, that forward guidance has caused the

:07:59. > :08:01.increase... In car sales and everything else. I like Carney

:08:02. > :08:07.because he's already got excuses lined up. He says, we are wrong, but

:08:08. > :08:13.we'd rather be wrong in the right direction. I like the cut of his

:08:14. > :08:17.jib. He's a very political Bank of England governor. He didn't hesitate

:08:18. > :08:21.to come out against Ed Miliband's plan. He's going to Scotland next

:08:22. > :08:27.week. I'm really interested to hear what he has to say about Alex

:08:28. > :08:31.Salmond's currency plans. And I love the fact that George Osborne is

:08:32. > :08:35.letting it be known at Davos that he is relaxed about interest rates

:08:36. > :08:39.rising. I would expect some business groups and households to say, we are

:08:40. > :08:43.not very relaxed about it, we got loads of big debt still. I suspect

:08:44. > :08:49.he isn't relaxed about the interest rate rise. But then that's just me.

:08:50. > :08:54.Onto the Guardian. Road cameras. Privacy fear over 26 million images

:08:55. > :08:59.taken daily by road cameras. The Guardian has really been pushing the

:09:00. > :09:04.whole issue of secrecy and surveillance over the last few

:09:05. > :09:10.months. This story is very close to that. It's another data privacy

:09:11. > :09:13.story. I was wondering what Chris Huhne might feel reading this

:09:14. > :09:20.story, about whether we can now go back in time to what might have been

:09:21. > :09:25.caught on that road camera. That bloke who was caught driving the car

:09:26. > :09:31.with his hands behind his head at 60 mph. There will be great things on

:09:32. > :09:37.that database. Do I care that my car has been caught speeding? We've all

:09:38. > :09:43.been caught speeding at one time. The Guardian have spent a year

:09:44. > :09:47.campaigning against the invasion of privacy by the CIA and MI6. Who

:09:48. > :09:54.needs these guys, we've got speed cameras! They are storing 17 billion

:09:55. > :09:57.images. A number of these cameras has doubled on the roads. As a

:09:58. > :10:01.driver, I'm more concerned about that than the privacy implications.

:10:02. > :10:09.I thought non-Muslim had filming them anyway. A sort of placebo. --

:10:10. > :10:18.thought non-them had film in them anyway. Having done the failed Tiger

:10:19. > :10:22.Tiger bombing down there in London, they then went on the run. They were

:10:23. > :10:27.picked up, the number plate was picked up on these cameras. Too late

:10:28. > :10:34.to stop them going to Glasgow airport, but the cops were on to

:10:35. > :10:37.them. For some people, potentially the Guardian, they would argue that

:10:38. > :10:40.these things are on the road and are supposed to be catching speeding and

:10:41. > :10:45.traffic offences. If the images are being used for other things then

:10:46. > :10:51.that is an invasion of privacy. Conversely you could say it is

:10:52. > :10:56.looking after us all. Let's go on to the Independent. Treasury officials

:10:57. > :11:06.to warn public of risks of leaving the EU. What is this detailing? I

:11:07. > :11:12.quite like this story. The Government is getting civil servants

:11:13. > :11:15.to get ready briefing notes for the possible referendum on the EU,

:11:16. > :11:21.giving people the facts on the arguments against Britain leaving

:11:22. > :11:27.the EU. This outrages anti-union paean and Eurosceptic MPs, who say

:11:28. > :11:33.it is officials attempting to scare the public in favour of a yes vote.

:11:34. > :11:36.For me, it echoes of the early days of the current Scottish referendum

:11:37. > :11:39.debate, where you've got Whitehall and Westminster pumping up these

:11:40. > :11:43.papers on reasons for Scotland not to leave Britain, and the SNP

:11:44. > :11:49.government saying, you are just trying to scare people as Project

:11:50. > :11:53.fear. The UK Government is getting ready to enter that. The European

:11:54. > :11:57.debate is almost an empty room now. The only people in it are people

:11:58. > :12:06.talking about leaving. The people who are talking about staying...

:12:07. > :12:11.It's a slightly odd headline to say civil servants will play a critical

:12:12. > :12:14.role setting out the economic risks. Of course they should. They should

:12:15. > :12:19.be weighing up the pros and cons of a big change in public policy. What

:12:20. > :12:23.is interesting behind this story is in the last week or two, you've seen

:12:24. > :12:28.a lot more pro-European debate come out. More big companies come out,

:12:29. > :12:33.people like JPMorgan warn about the risks if British business pulled out

:12:34. > :12:38.of the EU. I think this is in some ways part of a wider debate. You are

:12:39. > :12:42.seeing more noise around the pro-European campaign. These guys

:12:43. > :12:47.are late to the party. We've had more than a year now, a UKIP

:12:48. > :12:50.bandwagon rolling, and anti-immigration bandwagon rolling

:12:51. > :12:57.will stop the narrative is all about... You've even got George

:12:58. > :13:01.Osborne throwing red meat to the Tories. The idea that putting some

:13:02. > :13:06.facts together is going to scare the public into a yes vote seems a

:13:07. > :13:16.rather surreal argument, when everyone is worried about UKIP.

:13:17. > :13:24.Living apart, apparently, maybe the secret to a marriage. I think it is

:13:25. > :13:33.Mia Farrow... Actually, they lived apart, very famously. That clearly

:13:34. > :13:37.didn't work for them. The Batman director. Do you know something we

:13:38. > :13:42.don't? These things are always hard to manage over a long time. This

:13:43. > :13:47.promises more than it delivers. It does say 700,000 people in Britain

:13:48. > :13:50.live happily apart. But it says a lot of them have a family in the

:13:51. > :13:53.country, the husband works in London. I don't think that

:13:54. > :13:58.necessarily means they are living apart. Someone is working incredibly

:13:59. > :14:03.hard in London during the week and probably can't afford a big house.

:14:04. > :14:07.It is a very Sunday kind of story on the front page of a daily. You get

:14:08. > :14:12.these statistics from which you can extrapolate a pattern or trend, and

:14:13. > :14:19.then you stick in a psychologist or expert to back-up the statistics,

:14:20. > :14:24.that you can be happy living apart, I call is living alone, and, bingo,

:14:25. > :14:29.there is a story. I don't know if it is a story for the front page, but I

:14:30. > :14:33.guess they wanted to lighten it up. We are going to go back to The

:14:34. > :14:39.Guardian. Actually, we are going onto the Daily Mirror. I have no

:14:40. > :14:42.idea what the story is. It is Justin Bieber, I am being told. It is also

:14:43. > :14:52.on the front of the Guardian. Busted, Justin Bieber. No shame,

:14:53. > :15:01.that is a different story. Busted, cuffed, drug bust Bieber.

:15:02. > :15:04.Bbc.co.uk/thebigquestions I think if you have 15 million followers on

:15:05. > :15:07.Twitter, the second most followed person in the world, people are

:15:08. > :15:12.going to be interested in this story and talking about it. For me, the

:15:13. > :15:18.question is if it is slightly and organised bit of criminality to make

:15:19. > :15:24.him change his brand image. We have seen that with Miley Cyrus, a Disney

:15:25. > :15:29.star gets reinvented as a controversial, edgy youngster. His

:15:30. > :15:35.father was apparently there all along, on the sidelines as he drove

:15:36. > :15:39.his Lamborghini. He could go to jail, though? We have not got there

:15:40. > :15:45.yet, but I think there will be a lot of debate about what is behind the

:15:46. > :15:48.story. He looks edgy, he looks like a jailbird, he is smiling in his

:15:49. > :15:54.mugshot. It may be an attempt to rebrand him. It may be that he is a

:15:55. > :15:59.teenager out of control. But a yellow Lamborghini? He is not cool

:16:00. > :16:04.in my book. You are saying this is part of a concerted campaign and

:16:05. > :16:10.this has happened in the past, he is getting to 19, so perhaps he is

:16:11. > :16:14.getting beyond those years. The grand old age of 19. He is growing

:16:15. > :16:21.out of the teenybopper situation. One would suggest that the majority

:16:22. > :16:24.of those that follow him on Twitter are of a certain age. But he is

:16:25. > :16:30.trying to appeal to a wider audience? He is worth about $150

:16:31. > :16:33.million. I think you can afford to have as many yellow Lamborghini is

:16:34. > :16:37.as he likes. What's interesting is that his reputation has started to

:16:38. > :16:42.diminish in terms his actual success as a pop star. Has it? Is not

:16:43. > :16:49.selling as many records? Not as many as he was a few years ago. He has

:16:50. > :16:53.?150 million to spend, so I think he has probably learned to drive his

:16:54. > :16:58.car fast. He rented the car, it wasn't even his. Talking of

:16:59. > :17:02.Caroline, we are going to be back in a hour's time for a look at the

:17:03. > :17:05.headlines behind the stories. At the top of the hour we are going to have

:17:06. > :17:11.the latest on the Government claiming that take-home pay has

:17:12. > :17:13.actually gone up, in real terms, for most people in Britain. Now time for

:17:14. > :17:28.Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday. I'm

:17:29. > :17:29.Mike Bushell, the headlines