14/04/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.director. And we hear from the last Liverpool team to win the title, and

:00:00. > :00:00.why he feels the race for the Premier League are still wide open.

:00:00. > :00:16.That is in Sportsday in 15 minutes, after the papers. Hello and welcome

:00:17. > :00:19.to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With

:00:20. > :00:22.me are Pippa Crerar, City Hall editor at the London Evening

:00:23. > :00:32.Standard, and Hugh Muir, diary editor of The Guardian. Tomorrow's

:00:33. > :00:35.front pages, starting with: the Financial Times leads with the

:00:36. > :00:37.crisis in the Ukraine. The paper says posturing by Moscow is

:00:38. > :00:40.highlighting just how disunited the West is, in trying to deal with the

:00:41. > :00:43.situation. George Osborne's Budget last month has failed to translate

:00:44. > :00:49.into potential Tory votes according to the Guardian's latest poll. The

:00:50. > :00:51.Metro leads with a warning by teachers that primary school

:00:52. > :00:53.youngsters are being left like "ghosts" at school for long hours

:00:54. > :00:56.because parents are too busy working. A warning from First Sea

:00:57. > :01:02.Lord that Scottish Independence would damage the navy is the lead in

:01:03. > :01:07.the Telegraph. More concern about the rising costs of housing is the

:01:08. > :01:10.Express top story. The Mail front page features more allegations of a

:01:11. > :01:16.Lib Dem cover up over the Cyril Smith scandal. The Independent

:01:17. > :01:20.claims the NHS is facing a financial crisis as early as next year,

:01:21. > :01:26.according to a report by a leading think tank. And the health service

:01:27. > :01:36.is also the lead in the Mirror which turns it attention to patient care

:01:37. > :01:47.in hospitals. We will start with the Telegraph. Threat if Scotland quits

:01:48. > :01:51.UK. They have got the first Sea Lord, saying a yes vote would weaken

:01:52. > :01:57.the defence of Scotland and the Navy. And we can put defence of the

:01:58. > :02:08.country overall `` we can defence of the country overall `` weaken the

:02:09. > :02:13.defence of the country overall. It is almost an appeal to the

:02:14. > :02:16.romanticism of it all. Not to go ahead and do this, because of the

:02:17. > :02:23.implications for defence. I'm not sure how much, how effective that is

:02:24. > :02:28.going to be. I'm not sure that in all the arguments we will have about

:02:29. > :02:32.the referendum, and the issues about Scotland, whether it says yes or

:02:33. > :02:38.no, I'm not sure this will really cut through. There seems to be an

:02:39. > :02:47.effort to push this. Defence has become a big part of this whole

:02:48. > :02:52.debate. Is there a sense that the Better Together campaign has done

:02:53. > :02:57.nothing but talk about what will be lost as a result of the breakup of

:02:58. > :03:01.the union, rather than what will be gained by staying together? Rumack

:03:02. > :03:09.this is a problem many have warned about for some time. It seems ``

:03:10. > :03:14.this is a problem many have warned about for some time. It seems,

:03:15. > :03:20.according to the secretary general's warnings last week that

:03:21. > :03:25.the security of the whole country will be put at terrible risk if

:03:26. > :03:28.Scotland becomes independent. It is a series of negative headlines. I

:03:29. > :03:32.think, actually, the significance of this cannot be overstated. This is

:03:33. > :03:38.yet another warning. Dire warning, Scots, your life will be terrible.

:03:39. > :03:42.Your security will be under threat, at your economy will collapse, if

:03:43. > :03:48.you go independent. I think it is working. I think that Alex Salmond

:03:49. > :03:55.has consistently been scaremongering. That has up until

:03:56. > :04:00.this point not had that much traction. It is now gaining

:04:01. > :04:05.traction. Many people in Scotland who are not necessarily in favour of

:04:06. > :04:09.an independent Scotland, are getting fed up with being dictated to by

:04:10. > :04:13.Westminster and told that things will fall apart if we go

:04:14. > :04:17.independent. There is a strong argument for self`determination.

:04:18. > :04:23.Many people are really starting to feel, it is a powerful phenomenon

:04:24. > :04:27.when you feel excluded and separated from what is going on at

:04:28. > :04:31.Westminster. It seems very far away. It's difficult to know how it could

:04:32. > :04:37.have been played differently. In a way, Scotland has the easier task.

:04:38. > :04:42.It is a romantic argument they can put forward. And they are trying to

:04:43. > :04:45.counter that with a very pragmatic argument. One will always be more

:04:46. > :04:51.appealing than the other. Maybe that is why they're relying so heavily on

:04:52. > :04:54.the dangers. You have to hope there is a bit of the other side as well.

:04:55. > :05:04.David Cameron will have been warned that he needs the English to

:05:05. > :05:10.convince the Scots. He can't, but you can get others to do it for him.

:05:11. > :05:18.UK draws battle lines on nuclear weapons, trying to stay longer a yes

:05:19. > :05:28.vote. Again, if you say yes to independents, what Alex Salmond says

:05:29. > :05:35.will come to pass will not happen. `` to independence. This is a speech

:05:36. > :05:38.being given tomorrow. In the same speech, he makes remarks about

:05:39. > :05:48.nothing being off limit with regards to negotiations. Nothing is cut and

:05:49. > :05:55.dry. One MP said last week that negotiations for a yes vote... Or

:05:56. > :06:03.that seems not to be what is happening here. It is always one of

:06:04. > :06:09.those totem issues rather than more substantive. What is interesting is

:06:10. > :06:14.the tone and the fact that the Cabinet minister suggesting that

:06:15. > :06:22.there might be more to... More room to manoeuvre. Is there a sense that

:06:23. > :06:31.the Scots have realised the jig is up? That membership of the European

:06:32. > :06:36.Union, Trident, all of that is up for discussion, and is not as cut

:06:37. > :06:44.and dried as the Better Together Campaign suggest. Do they suspect it

:06:45. > :06:47.is all bluster for the debate? We have a story a few days ago about

:06:48. > :06:53.the currency, saying the argument was not cut and dry. The government

:06:54. > :06:58.found that alarming. It was in their interest to say it was. They do have

:06:59. > :07:03.a credibility problem. That is why the warnings, they can either

:07:04. > :07:11.recalibrate it and make a campaign which is more optimistic, which can

:07:12. > :07:23.get more `` Audette more and more apocalyptic `` or get. The front

:07:24. > :07:30.page of the Scotsman, with the Defence Secretary, they might be

:07:31. > :07:42.related. It is really important for both parties. That's the thing. If

:07:43. > :07:47.it is a yes vote, and Scotland goes independent, I don't see how David

:07:48. > :07:51.Cameron can survive. An English MP has always been careful about

:07:52. > :07:56.getting too involved. But can they take Labour in Scotland for granted?

:07:57. > :08:02.Suddenly labour will be in a position where they cannot win a

:08:03. > :08:10.general election again. George III went mad. Maybe that is not the

:08:11. > :08:16.right president. Ukraine calls for UN peacekeepers. Members here of the

:08:17. > :08:24.pro` Russia mob storming a police station. I wonder what the West can

:08:25. > :08:27.do. More sanctions perhaps, but that is really not going to have an

:08:28. > :08:39.effect, is it? Or Mac problem we not. The West is in a quandary ``

:08:40. > :08:43.probably not. The West is in a quandary. As we were saying earlier,

:08:44. > :08:53.the big problem is that no one quite knows Russia's endgame, and whether

:08:54. > :08:58.there is a desire for more territory to be brought back into the fold.

:08:59. > :09:07.And whether it is more than muscle flexing. Whether it has a strategic

:09:08. > :09:12.dynamic. Further than his backyard. Until they get their head around

:09:13. > :09:15.exactly what is going on there, it will be very difficult for anyone to

:09:16. > :09:19.actually take action which will have any impact on Moscow. You have a

:09:20. > :09:25.sense of world leaders playing the time. Don't really know what to do

:09:26. > :09:33.about Vladimir Putin so they are just playing for time to sit down

:09:34. > :09:35.and work it out. To worked their way through it. They don't really know

:09:36. > :09:41.how to handle that. They don't know his endgame, I don't know that any

:09:42. > :09:46.of the world leaders can say they have spoken to him and have a sense

:09:47. > :09:50.of how his mind works. Until they can do that, until they can get a

:09:51. > :10:01.sense of where he is going and why he is doing it, they are playing

:10:02. > :10:10.catch up. We will stay with that... We will go to the Metro actually.

:10:11. > :10:16.The ghost children. Moves to elongate the school day. This shows

:10:17. > :10:24.that phenomenon. At its most extreme, ten hours a day at school.

:10:25. > :10:31.Of course, it is a difficult issue. Parents have two work. The way the

:10:32. > :10:35.economy is, you have to work. And what you do about your children?

:10:36. > :10:39.Many will leave their children at school for these long school days.

:10:40. > :10:43.Can schools cope with that? Are their resources to make sure that

:10:44. > :10:49.people are being looked after for those long days? There's an argument

:10:50. > :10:58.about whether children at four should be in school at all? You look

:10:59. > :11:02.at most countries, like the United States, where formal education

:11:03. > :11:06.begins at six. You then say, are you talking about a formal school

:11:07. > :11:12.environment, or being away from home, as being a problem. And then

:11:13. > :11:18.what about working parents? Because 9am to 5pm is currently not a long

:11:19. > :11:23.working day. If you have to commit an hour at either end of the day,

:11:24. > :11:31.you suddenly need to find care for your children from 8am to 6pm. How

:11:32. > :11:44.else can parents, when you consider that in London, ?14,000 a year for a

:11:45. > :11:51.nursery place is standard. How can you possibly afford that? London has

:11:52. > :11:57.the highest rate of mothers not returning to work in the country,

:11:58. > :12:01.because of the cost of childcare. You can understand the appeal of

:12:02. > :12:07.breakfast clubs and after`school clubs, which are much cheaper. You

:12:08. > :12:15.can also see why schools might be wary. Because they are required to

:12:16. > :12:20.step up and put on this extra provision, without resources.

:12:21. > :12:28.Teachers might ask about having to work these extra days, and they may

:12:29. > :12:33.end up like ghosts. This is an arresting headline in the Mirror.

:12:34. > :12:43.Stay the night in a hospital, and you are more likely to die. Yes,

:12:44. > :12:51.they have investigated and the upshot is that 59% of nurses on

:12:52. > :12:56.night shifts are unable to deliver copper care because of cuts. It is

:12:57. > :13:03.not in terms of their relationship with the government. They have gone

:13:04. > :13:08.big on it. Politically, the NHS is a hot potato, always is coming up to

:13:09. > :13:14.the election. You will read some of this, and no one will be

:13:15. > :13:19.particularly surprised, they talk about the best and worst times to be

:13:20. > :13:26.in hospital in terms of level of care. We will see more of this

:13:27. > :13:35.overcoming months. Every other in we love to talk about this. In some

:13:36. > :13:48.ways, it is politically toxic. Going on to The Independent. Financial

:13:49. > :13:53.crisis in 2015. Like the story in the Mirror, is this a surprise? We

:13:54. > :14:03.are always hearing about the dire financial straits of NHS trusts. No

:14:04. > :14:10.political party wants to make dramatic cuts. The electorate have a

:14:11. > :14:19.strong emotional bond with the NHS. We all love it. No one wants to take

:14:20. > :14:23.the axe to it. But can it go on growing irrespective? Can we go on

:14:24. > :14:28.throwing money at new treatments and new drugs as patient expectations

:14:29. > :14:36.increase? We were talking about this earlier, and suggested middle

:14:37. > :14:50.management was the answer. Cut back on them. If you decentralise the

:14:51. > :14:56.system, you by definition need good managers. That has been a problem

:14:57. > :14:59.for the NHS. At least with centralisation you have a level of

:15:00. > :15:06.central expertise to rely on. You don't have that in a de` centred NHS

:15:07. > :15:10.Trust. They are being left to their own devices and getting into

:15:11. > :15:15.trouble. You can't take it back and renationalise it, and no government

:15:16. > :15:21.would want to do that. That is what is apparent. These kinds of

:15:22. > :15:30.statistics and financial crises, and it happens again and again and

:15:31. > :15:34.again. This government does not have an ants are two square that circle.

:15:35. > :15:42.According to the happy captain dependent, the next government must

:15:43. > :15:44.choose between cuts and extra spending. `` according to The