:00:00. > :00:00.Champions League between high in Munich and Real Madrid. All of that
:00:00. > :00:13.and more, in Sportsday, after The Papers.
:00:14. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
:00:20. > :00:21.bringing us tomorrow. With me are Jenni Russell, columnist at The
:00:22. > :00:32.Times, and Neil Midgley, media writer at the Daily Telegraph. The
:00:33. > :00:36.Express is leading on the search for the killer of Madeleine McCann. It
:00:37. > :00:41.claims that detectives are now ready to make arrests in the Algarve. The
:00:42. > :00:46.Telegraph is reporting on Bank of England figures, saying welfare
:00:47. > :00:50.reforms have riven up the number of self`employed, creating a new
:00:51. > :00:54.generation of entrepreneurs. The headline on the front of the
:00:55. > :00:59.Guardian is referring to the Metropolitan Police's hopes that
:01:00. > :01:03.Muslim and in might inform on family members determined to head to the
:01:04. > :01:07.war zone. The Metro leads on a court case involving a man who allegedly
:01:08. > :01:15.ran a ?5 million fraud scheme. The Times says a new union for classroom
:01:16. > :01:20.teachers is to be launched. The Sun has a picture of the Duchess of
:01:21. > :01:24.Cornwall, following the news that her brother has died after a fall in
:01:25. > :01:27.New York yesterday. That is also the lead on the front of the Daily Mail.
:01:28. > :01:36.The paper says the Duchess is devastated. We are going to start
:01:37. > :01:42.with the Telegraph. Benefits cuts lift self`employment, according to
:01:43. > :01:46.Bank of England figures. It is a good news story, isn't it? Well, if
:01:47. > :01:51.you read the Telegraph and you believed it, you would certainly
:01:52. > :01:55.think so. It is as if Britain has become a nation of people who are
:01:56. > :02:05.all starting new businesses. If so, wouldn't we all celebrate? They used
:02:06. > :02:08.to be claiming so much welfare that they had to have it, but now they
:02:09. > :02:15.are brilliant entrepreneurs, within nine months! Unfortunately, what the
:02:16. > :02:18.story is all about is, the Bank of England is saying that an enormous
:02:19. > :02:24.number of Britons are now self`employed, 4.5 million, and
:02:25. > :02:32.increase of 600,000 sinks 2010, so, one third of the new jobs created
:02:33. > :02:35.since 2010. `` since. If you go beyond this page, and I happen to
:02:36. > :02:39.have been writing about this recently, then the figures show that
:02:40. > :02:43.the self`employed are earning a great deal less than the employed,
:02:44. > :02:49.and incomes have fallen on average when to percent since 2006. So, very
:02:50. > :02:53.often, these are self`employed cleaners or construction workers or
:02:54. > :02:57.journalists who have lost their jobs, who are in fact finding work a
:02:58. > :03:01.lot more difficult to get. And self`employed is what you have to be
:03:02. > :03:06.if you have got a casual income and nobody is going to give you a job.
:03:07. > :03:11.It sounds great but it is not in reality. That is all true, but to my
:03:12. > :03:15.mind, it is better for people to be supporting themselves, even in low
:03:16. > :03:20.paid work, than it is for them to be on welfare. Both for them and for
:03:21. > :03:24.the state. I think people do have to get used to a certain amount of
:03:25. > :03:28.insecurity in their working life, that is just the world we live in.
:03:29. > :03:32.We no longer live in a world where you have a job for life, and a
:03:33. > :03:37.paternalistic employer and a fully funded pension scheme. There we
:03:38. > :03:41.would completely disagree, because you as a Conservative think that,
:03:42. > :03:45.and I as somebody more to the left think that the whole function of the
:03:46. > :03:52.welfare state ought to be to provide something of a trampoline, something
:03:53. > :03:56.to bounce you back into employment. It means that as happens in Sweden
:03:57. > :04:00.and Scandinavia, if you lose your job, then you get well supported in
:04:01. > :04:07.the temporary period between losing that job and finding another one.
:04:08. > :04:11.Clearly, if these people before that had to benefits, they were very well
:04:12. > :04:17.supported! There is nothing in this story which justifies this headline.
:04:18. > :04:21.Apart from the view expressed by the Bank of England. That is what
:04:22. > :04:26.justifies it. But actually, when you read what the Bank of England says,
:04:27. > :04:32.it is not borne out by the headline. It is not saying that actually this
:04:33. > :04:36.was cause and effect. Part of the rise in self`employment appeared to
:04:37. > :04:40.be a continuation of a longer term trend... It is possible that some of
:04:41. > :04:47.the increase had, about in reaction to benefit caps. Possible! Those are
:04:48. > :04:52.the words of the Bank of England, though. And only 38,000 families
:04:53. > :04:55.have been affected by the benefit caps, and the number of
:04:56. > :05:01.self`employed has gone up by 600,000. Neil, you have got a
:05:02. > :05:05.personal story, how has it been going for you, someone who is
:05:06. > :05:10.self`employed and making their own way in the world? Well, I hate to
:05:11. > :05:16.say, for me, it is absolutely fine at the moment. He is very talented.
:05:17. > :05:21.That is why he is on the programme! I do have a personal story, but it
:05:22. > :05:25.is quite unusual, because I am highly educated and I have a lot of
:05:26. > :05:28.experience in an industry, journalism, when people
:05:29. > :05:33.traditionally are self`employed. Freelancing is a thing. But if you
:05:34. > :05:39.are a cleaner, having to set up your own business, put leaflets through
:05:40. > :05:48.doors, then... Yes, I think it would be wrong to look at the stories of
:05:49. > :05:52.people like me. We should not be saying that people in very low paid
:05:53. > :05:57.jobs should be chuffed. Which was Jenni's point. It was, but even so,
:05:58. > :06:04.they are better off in low`paid jobs, for my mind, than they are on
:06:05. > :06:09.welfare. Staying with the Telegraph, Jenni, you have just said, you may
:06:10. > :06:14.be on the left of the political spectrum, but you now have an
:06:15. > :06:17.announcement to make to the 6.7 million viewers watching The
:06:18. > :06:22.Papers, no more wind farms if Tories win the election, and your
:06:23. > :06:27.announcement is? Well, this does tempt me to vote Tory, at least for
:06:28. > :06:30.a minute or two. What a brilliant idea. I think wind farms are
:06:31. > :06:34.blighting the countryside, and there is no evidence that they are any
:06:35. > :06:40.good at providing us with alternative energy. But if you are a
:06:41. > :06:50.self confirmed lefty, how come you are not green? I can be, but there
:06:51. > :06:56.is very little evidence that wind farms produce much energy. I was one
:06:57. > :06:58.of the first people to go and see a supposedly self`sufficient
:06:59. > :07:02.community, and he said the one thing which was a complete waste of time
:07:03. > :07:07.was wind turbines, which have only ever generated 15% of the energy
:07:08. > :07:14.which it was said they would. And we never have any way of saving the
:07:15. > :07:20.energy that they make. So, you still have to have the back`up supplies
:07:21. > :07:24.from orthodox energy supplies. But this is not just for lefties like
:07:25. > :07:29.Jenni, is it? It is shoring up your base, this is for those Tory voters
:07:30. > :07:34.who might be worried about, I don't know, UKIP, for instance? Yes, this
:07:35. > :07:38.is heartland Tory stuff and it comes at a time when the Tory led
:07:39. > :07:42.government is pushing through HS2 as fast as it can, which is going to
:07:43. > :07:46.lose at a lot of votes in the Tory shires to the north and north`west
:07:47. > :07:51.of London, as they cut through the Buckinghamshire countryside. The
:07:52. > :07:55.Tories do need to do something, I think, with that heartland vote, to
:07:56. > :08:02.say, we are still on your side in the countryside. But perversely,
:08:03. > :08:05.this announcement is made on the same day that the Tories have
:08:06. > :08:09.announced that you cannot stop people fracking underneath your land
:08:10. > :08:12.in the countryside by saying they are trespassing. Anybody who likes
:08:13. > :08:15.is going to be able to tunnel under your field, and I would have thought
:08:16. > :08:20.that would make people even more angry than the wind farm issue.
:08:21. > :08:27.Front page of the Guardian, optimism in industry at a 41 year high. Yes,
:08:28. > :08:33.a very odd story for the Guardian. You think the Guardian always talks
:08:34. > :08:37.down the nation?! No, but it is obviously a good news story for
:08:38. > :08:43.George Osborne. And this is going to be, the nub of the story is that not
:08:44. > :08:48.since 1973 has there been a higher level of optimism among
:08:49. > :08:52.manufacturers. So, it is plus 33, things are going to get better for
:08:53. > :08:57.them in the years to come. Well, firstly, that is very good economic
:08:58. > :09:00.news, and it is also good news for George Osborne, who has been saying
:09:01. > :09:05.that he is going to create a balanced recovery, and the recovery
:09:06. > :09:10.this time around is not going to be just built on debt and on the
:09:11. > :09:13.housing boom. And there is still evidence that George Osborne has
:09:14. > :09:18.been busy in the creating debt and a housing boom `` busily creating. But
:09:19. > :09:23.the fact that manufacturing now seems to be on the up will take yet
:09:24. > :09:31.another arrow out of Ed Miliband's quiver. Jenni, if the economy is
:09:32. > :09:35.doing so well, and manufacturing, which is actually only 10% of the
:09:36. > :09:40.economy, but the service sector figures are also pretty good as
:09:41. > :09:45.well, if that is doing well, then people's actual real wages could go
:09:46. > :09:48.up? Well, yes, they could. But the problem with the recovery is that
:09:49. > :09:52.all the official statistics show that it is the people at the top who
:09:53. > :09:55.are going to get most of the benefits from the recovery. In other
:09:56. > :09:59.words, whatever the recovery will be, it will be very unequally
:10:00. > :10:03.distributed, and that is shown by the Government own own projections.
:10:04. > :10:07.I think this story is significant because it might actually say George
:10:08. > :10:10.Osborne's political career, and if it carries on, could make an
:10:11. > :10:14.enormous difference to whether or not the Tories win the next
:10:15. > :10:19.election. So far, the boom has been based entirely on debt and housing,
:10:20. > :10:22.and everyone has pointed out that if it continues, it is unsustainable,
:10:23. > :10:25.because people are running down their savings in order to spend,
:10:26. > :10:34.because real wages have not gone up. And the Government has been waiting
:10:35. > :10:38.in a furious of not understanding about why companies will not invest,
:10:39. > :10:42.because it has needed them to invest, otherwise the recovery is
:10:43. > :10:49.going to run out of steam. These are the best figures since 1973, and we
:10:50. > :10:56.know what happened the next year. Moving onto the Express. Camilla is
:10:57. > :11:03.devastated, as brother dies in fall. He died in what looks like a really
:11:04. > :11:08.freak accident in New York. Yes, this is the kind of thing which you
:11:09. > :11:12.expect to happen on a ski slope and not a pavement. When I first read
:11:13. > :11:16.it, I thought perhaps he fell off a balcony, but apparently he simply
:11:17. > :11:21.slipped on a pavement and injured his head so badly that he was dead
:11:22. > :11:30.within a very short space of time. What can you say about this? He led
:11:31. > :11:36.a very colourful life, he was romantically linked with many famous
:11:37. > :11:40.women. Including Caroline Kennedy. He had an amazing life, and a
:11:41. > :11:44.fantastic conservationist as well, by all accounts. Anyway, let's go to
:11:45. > :11:56.the Telegraph. Atheists urged to be tolerant? This is a story which is
:11:57. > :12:01.running about whether Britain is a Christian country. It has an
:12:02. > :12:05.established church. Nick Clegg says it is flaming the obvious that
:12:06. > :12:08.Britain is built on Christian traditions. I think we are all
:12:09. > :12:13.agreed that Britain is at its heart a Christian country. In its
:12:14. > :12:18.constitution, Britain is a Christian country. The Queen is the head of
:12:19. > :12:24.the established church. That is not what a lot of people say who do not
:12:25. > :12:28.go to church. That is where the different shades of argument come
:12:29. > :12:34.in. And now there is the argument about whether people of different
:12:35. > :12:40.faiths are offended, the question is what the atheists should do.
:12:41. > :12:47.Apparently, the atheists are being to gung ho in expressing their
:12:48. > :12:54.views. Secularism is increasingly, as you point out, the order of the
:12:55. > :12:58.day in the country at large. I am an atheist and I think it is a
:12:59. > :13:02.statement of fact that Britain is a Christian country, not just because
:13:03. > :13:07.of its traditions but because of its history. We have been arguing over
:13:08. > :13:10.the Christian religion in this country for 2000 years. I live a
:13:11. > :13:18.mile away from one of the oldest Saxon churches in England. It has
:13:19. > :13:20.been there for more than 1000 years. It is through beautiful. The fact
:13:21. > :13:24.is, this is a country where its literature and history and the
:13:25. > :13:29.landscape is shaped around the quarrels of the Christian faith. But
:13:30. > :13:34.do you as an atheist need to be more tolerant? I am very tolerant of the
:13:35. > :13:38.Christian faith. I do not see what this argument is about. The quarrel
:13:39. > :13:43.I have here is with this letter which says the Church of England as
:13:44. > :13:48.an established church had fostered liberal values in Britain for
:13:49. > :13:52.centuries will stop soon after Henry VIII founded the Church, Mary was
:13:53. > :13:57.burning Protestants then Elizabeth was doing the same for Catholics. I
:13:58. > :14:01.do not know much about our liberal values in that sense. We have
:14:02. > :14:05.arrived at them now but that is not what we fostered. Thank you. You
:14:06. > :14:17.will be back in an hour to look at the stories in tomorrow's additions.
:14:18. > :14:20.There will be more on the fact that injuries and file and figures are
:14:21. > :14:25.down for the UK. Now it is time for Sportsday.
:14:26. > :14:29.`` injury and violence figures.