:00:00. > :00:00.England's women retain their 100% start to the World Cup qualifying
:00:00. > :00:15.campaign, when they took on the Ukraine. That is coming up in 15
:00:16. > :00:19.minutes. Hello, and welcome to our look ahead
:00:20. > :00:22.to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are
:00:23. > :00:26.Paul Johnson, deputy editor of The Guardian, and media commentator Tim
:00:27. > :00:29.Collins. Tomorrow's front pages, starting
:00:30. > :00:31.with The Express, leading with a report by MPs that condemns
:00:32. > :00:35.proposals to allow the taxman to take money out of people's bank
:00:36. > :00:38.accounts without their permission. That's also the lead in the
:00:39. > :00:41.Telegraph which says the Treasury plans, which would mean no court
:00:42. > :00:44.order is needed to take money from accounts, is 'very concerning' given
:00:45. > :00:53.the history of mistakes by HM Revenue and Customs. The FT goes
:00:54. > :00:55.with Barclay's announcement to cut 7,000 jobs in their investment
:00:56. > :00:59.banking division, sounding a retreat from a part of the business that was
:01:00. > :01:02.once at the heart of its operations. The Mirror has a story from a family
:01:03. > :01:06.who found their grandmother dead in an NHS hospital before staff
:01:07. > :01:09.realised. The Guardian leads with a highly critical report by MPs that
:01:10. > :01:12.calls for radical reform of oversight of the UKs intelligence
:01:13. > :01:15.agencies. And The Independent also leads with a report by MPs, this
:01:16. > :01:19.time criticising a lack of financial oversight of free schools by the
:01:20. > :01:22.Education Department. The Scotsman's picture story is that 'armoured
:01:23. > :01:25.cars' are ready to protect Nigel Farage when he makes a return visit
:01:26. > :01:27.north of the border. The Times declares ` It's official: the Great
:01:28. > :01:33.Recession has ended according to figures from a respected economic
:01:34. > :01:43.think tank. So let's begin. We will start with
:01:44. > :01:47.the express, talking about the idea that the taxman can read our bank
:01:48. > :01:50.accounts without our permission or a court order, this is how it is
:01:51. > :01:55.reporting it. HM revenue and Customs said that they have a track record
:01:56. > :02:00.of blunders, customers have been wrongly accused of owing tax, and
:02:01. > :02:04.they could take the tax, but if they own money, should they cough up?
:02:05. > :02:09.They should be pursued, and under the current system, they are, you
:02:10. > :02:15.should not have, this is what George Osborne is putting in place, but the
:02:16. > :02:18.ability for HM RC, an error riddled organisation, to read people 's bank
:02:19. > :02:24.accounts without a court order. Sometimes, possibly raiding joint
:02:25. > :02:33.accounts without the other half knowing. `` raid. The consequences
:02:34. > :02:36.could be serious, you could damage credit ratings, direct debits would
:02:37. > :02:40.balance, they could not pay their mortgages on time, it could be
:02:41. > :02:44.damaging indeed, I don't think it is the right response. We have a huge
:02:45. > :02:49.fiscal crisis, this is not the right thing to do. We would hope that the
:02:50. > :02:52.government gets the message, the problem is that we have been
:02:53. > :02:55.spending too much, and not taxing too little. Interesting timing, when
:02:56. > :02:59.everything is geared towards the election, this will be hugely
:03:00. > :03:02.unpopular with people. This was in the small print, as many
:03:03. > :03:08.controversial elements of the budget are, and last March, in George
:03:09. > :03:15.Osborne 's budget, it has taken the Treasury Select Committee to bring
:03:16. > :03:26.this to the forefront. The chair who says, in reference to the fact that
:03:27. > :03:31.we know that 5 million people are on the wrong tax codes, people need to
:03:32. > :03:35.ask for the right codes, and pay the right amounts in the first place. He
:03:36. > :03:39.is worried about vulnerable people and glitches in the system. People
:03:40. > :03:45.would find this offensive. How can he do this? The system is in place,
:03:46. > :03:52.but it doesn't always work properly. They do, very few people who ought
:03:53. > :03:56.to be paying tax escape from doing so completely. Those people who
:03:57. > :04:01.probably large`scale tax avoidance are not likely to have accessible
:04:02. > :04:04.bank accounts. The problem is that once you have introduced the
:04:05. > :04:09.system, it potentially may have started off as something that is
:04:10. > :04:13.going to be aimed at the worst offenders but could become something
:04:14. > :04:20.that becomes almost automatically. `` automatic. Napoleon, I think, was
:04:21. > :04:27.beaten some time ago, and we still have income tax. The Chancellor says
:04:28. > :04:31.it is a small measure, targeting 17,000 people, that is how it is
:04:32. > :04:35.trailed in some newspapers. Before we know it, this could be how we all
:04:36. > :04:39.pay our taxes, I don't think that is sensible. The Times says that it is
:04:40. > :04:45.official, the great recession has ended, how are we going to
:04:46. > :04:50.celebrate? Does it depend on the country where you live? This is a
:04:51. > :04:56.two cheer story, rather than three cheers, it has taken six years to
:04:57. > :04:59.claw back this growth. Not to put an entire dampener on this, you have to
:05:00. > :05:05.look under the bonnet of the economy. Unemployment looks quite
:05:06. > :05:11.good, but once again, when we look at it, we know how many people are
:05:12. > :05:15.now categorised as self`employed and on zero our contracts. We know the
:05:16. > :05:19.potential problems of the housing bubble that could come. It was
:05:20. > :05:23.reported in the daily Telegraph a day or so ago, saying that 1%
:05:24. > :05:27.increases in interest rates, which we know is coming at some point, but
:05:28. > :05:32.we don't know when, it could knock 2% of the growth rate. We could be
:05:33. > :05:37.back to where we were in 2011. I like the fact that the man who was
:05:38. > :05:44.quoted in this, extensively, is called Jack Meaning. A marvellous
:05:45. > :05:50.name for someone who is a research fellow! Does this mean, that Mr
:05:51. > :05:54.Carney, at the Bank of England, he is under more pressure to put
:05:55. > :06:00.interest rates up? Savers have been moaning that interest rates have
:06:01. > :06:04.been low for a long time? Not least, because of what is expected, by the
:06:05. > :06:11.National Institute, that is anything but a pro` Tory think tank. They are
:06:12. > :06:16.saying that they expect the country to grow rapidly this year, faster
:06:17. > :06:19.than any other major colony. It could put pressure on interest
:06:20. > :06:23.rates, but inside of the story, it says that markets do not expect the
:06:24. > :06:31.first moved to come before April of next year. The general election is
:06:32. > :06:36.in May next year, we can assume that they will not go up three days
:06:37. > :06:40.beforehand. I am suggesting that no governor in the Bank of England will
:06:41. > :06:45.sensibly put interest rates up just before a general election. What is
:06:46. > :06:49.interesting about the story is that the recession was so deep, and so
:06:50. > :06:54.start, that inside of the Times story, they have pointed out that
:06:55. > :06:58.six years after the onset of the 1979 recession, the Margaret
:06:59. > :07:03.Thatcher recession, it was 8% bigger, and six years after the 1990
:07:04. > :07:08.recession, the John Major recession, the economy was 16% bigger, and six
:07:09. > :07:12.years after the 2008 recession, the Gordon Brown recession, it is only
:07:13. > :07:17.just back to where it was. If you look at this chart, although some of
:07:18. > :07:24.those who have more memories remember how bitterly fought the
:07:25. > :07:29.politics and economics were of the 1980s, actually, the drop from peak
:07:30. > :07:35.to trough in the 1980s was far far less than the drop from peak to
:07:36. > :07:40.trough in this recession in 2008. There was a 7% collapse in output,
:07:41. > :07:44.the worst we have had since the 1930s, that is why it has taken so
:07:45. > :07:51.long to crawl back to basically the starting line. How concerned will
:07:52. > :07:56.politicians be that everybody enjoys the benefits of the recovery? There
:07:57. > :08:01.are pockets which seem to be stubbornly refusing to budge. As we
:08:02. > :08:05.were saying, the nature of the employment market is showing that,
:08:06. > :08:09.people in part`time jobs, lone parents and so on, have stuck to the
:08:10. > :08:14.implement market and not drifted away. It is very uneven, it is an
:08:15. > :08:18.uneven recovery in that sense. Not only geographically but age wise.
:08:19. > :08:26.The young, and most barometers here, have done the worst. Then the more
:08:27. > :08:31.elderly. That is a significant factor. It is worth bearing in mind
:08:32. > :08:35.the contrast between us and the rest of Europe, in Spain, youth
:08:36. > :08:40.unemployment is over 50%. That is under the age of 30. I have someone
:08:41. > :08:44.working for me in Brussels who is a German undergraduate, she says she
:08:45. > :08:47.is the only one in her entire age group who left university a couple
:08:48. > :08:52.of years ago who is in work. Although there are undoubtedly
:08:53. > :08:57.problems with youth unemployment and prospects in Britain, we are much
:08:58. > :09:03.better than those in the Eurozone. Let's have a look at the
:09:04. > :09:07.Independent. The MPs savage lack of proper oversight, over ?1 billion
:09:08. > :09:10.has been spent on the free schools programme from Michael Gove, a
:09:11. > :09:18.rebuke from Margaret Hodge, among others. `` Margaret Hodge. Has this
:09:19. > :09:23.project not delivered? Having had a pop at Michael Gove and hour ago, I
:09:24. > :09:31.will defend him on this one! The Independent is, it is left wing to
:09:32. > :09:34.other newspapers, it's not surprising that they have taken this
:09:35. > :09:38.angle. They would be desperate to see free schools fail, as people on
:09:39. > :09:40.the left are, they want state`controlled monopolistic
:09:41. > :09:43.education to be the only option available to people who cannot
:09:44. > :09:51.afford it. Isn't proper oversight what they want to see? What they
:09:52. > :09:56.want to see is these problems in state schools, that is not the
:09:57. > :10:02.reason for having a state education system, but overall, free schools
:10:03. > :10:05.have raised standards, they have improved standards and exam results
:10:06. > :10:07.overall, they are doing extremely well in tackling some severe
:10:08. > :10:12.problems of social deprivation, where people have given up on what
:10:13. > :10:18.state which commission should provide. The numbers that are used
:10:19. > :10:24.here, some of them are the old Gordon Brown techniques `` state
:10:25. > :10:28.education. It is about 250 million a year out of each of the four years
:10:29. > :10:31.that this particular programme has been running. We know, from Sweden,
:10:32. > :10:42.not a massively right`wing country, a very strongly socially democratic
:10:43. > :10:47.country, there are huge improvements in standards. Margaret Hodge, I
:10:48. > :10:50.understand, she wants to knock this, you can pick out individual
:10:51. > :10:55.stories, there are some stories that are causing my eyebrows to go out,
:10:56. > :11:01.like the salary figures, weighted by individuals, but if we can make this
:11:02. > :11:05.work and put parents in charge, we could have important improvements ``
:11:06. > :11:09.the wages of certain individuals. We cannot criticise all free schools
:11:10. > :11:14.when you think it is a small number who are not doing well, and haven't
:11:15. > :11:17.been run properly. This is the redoubtable Margaret Hodge, this is
:11:18. > :11:23.the second story we have from a Select Committee tonight. Five of
:11:24. > :11:27.the national newspapers lead from stories of three select committees,
:11:28. > :11:32.it shows how a dynamic chairman with an energetic set up like the Select
:11:33. > :11:37.Committee, with the ability to call witnesses, it can be effective. But
:11:38. > :11:40.coming back to this, Margaret Hodge is fine, she can talk about proper
:11:41. > :11:47.financial accountability, but the broader worry, about free schools,
:11:48. > :11:50.is the necessity to enforce a broadly balanced curriculum, and the
:11:51. > :11:53.fears that are more widely felt about the ability to employ
:11:54. > :11:57.unqualified teachers, a lot of people are worried about that,
:11:58. > :12:03.whether they are on the left or right of this argument. Let's move
:12:04. > :12:08.on to the Scotsman, Farage is on the front cover of this. Armoured cars
:12:09. > :12:13.are ready to protect him on his return to Scotland, the paper says.
:12:14. > :12:18.They are supposed to protect him from protests. Family friends does
:12:19. > :12:22.he have in Scotland? All of us, when we first saw the front pages, we
:12:23. > :12:26.thought it was a joke. As you unpack it, it turns out to be less of a
:12:27. > :12:30.joke. The first thing to note is that, my eyebrows went up when I saw
:12:31. > :12:34.the headline, they are talking about the far right making plans for
:12:35. > :12:40.Nigel. They are not talking about UKIP but an organisation I had never
:12:41. > :12:47.heard of, it is called "Britain first". They are quite right wing,
:12:48. > :12:53.and it is not UKIP asking for the armoured cars, or the police, this
:12:54. > :12:55.is the far right group trying to get some publicity for themselves. If
:12:56. > :13:01.you dig back into the history, the last two times that Farage has gone
:13:02. > :13:04.to Scotland, I am not a UKIP supporter, you could play a key role
:13:05. > :13:11.in taking me out of Polmont, I owe them no favours whatsoever. He was
:13:12. > :13:16.not physically assaulted but abused `` Parliament. He had to flee into a
:13:17. > :13:20.pub. I think if you do not agree with UKIP, whether you are in
:13:21. > :13:23.Scotland or England, which have a civil debate and not have one where
:13:24. > :13:26.even a political leader who we do not agree with is held down, shouted
:13:27. > :13:31.out, abused, and told where he can put the union jack, all of that has
:13:32. > :13:37.happened to him. He is a legitimate leader of a party, and if those who
:13:38. > :13:48.disagree debate at, do not shout him down. `` debate with him. The phrase
:13:49. > :13:57."armoured cars" is' is, that means it could not be true. Farage travels
:13:58. > :14:05.with a couple of mind is these days since he was hit over the head with
:14:06. > :14:09.a placard. We did an interview with him last week, he is relaxed about
:14:10. > :14:14.having those minders. He thinks it is probably a necessity of any party
:14:15. > :14:17.leader who is gaining the National Forum in the way that he is. And
:14:18. > :14:28.such predominance in a recognisable character. A comment from each of
:14:29. > :14:40.you. Comments that ethnic minority voters will flock to UKIP. Tell that
:14:41. > :14:42.to Lenny Henry. 99.4% of UKIP supporters are white and most
:14:43. > :14:47.studies have shown they are far less tolerant of ethnic minorities and of
:14:48. > :14:53.immigrants. This is wishful thinking. This is very much a part
:14:54. > :14:59.of what is clever strategy for Nigel Farage, saying, don't believe in the
:15:00. > :15:05.line. I'm going to get minority voters. Everyone knows which pool he
:15:06. > :15:10.fishes from. So much to talk about. We have run out of time. It bubbly
:15:11. > :15:17.my fault. Paul and Tim, lovely to see you both. `` it is a bubbly my
:15:18. > :15:22.fault. The latest of the abducted schoolgirls from Nigeria as some of
:15:23. > :15:36.those who escaped tell their story. Coming up next, it is time for
:15:37. > :15:40.Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday. I'm Karthi Gnanasegaram.
:15:41. > :15:43.The headlines this evening: Pushing for promotion to the Premier League,
:15:44. > :15:44.it's Championship play`off time and Derby have the early advantage
:15:45. > :15:45.against