:00:00. > :00:17.premiership play`off final and in rugby, news regarding two of
:00:18. > :00:20.England's fly halves. Welcome to our look ahead at what
:00:21. > :00:28.the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me on Beth Rigby and
:00:29. > :00:34.John Kampfner. Let us have a look at some of the front pages. Starting
:00:35. > :00:37.with the Financial Times. The Bank of England is close to raising
:00:38. > :00:40.interest rates. The Daily Telegraph is reporting
:00:41. > :00:45.that 15 million British users of eBay have to change their passwords
:00:46. > :00:50.after a security breach. The Independent is wondering if
:00:51. > :00:55.David Cameron and Boris Johnson will be stars of the European elections.
:00:56. > :00:57.The Guardian says an internal Liberal Democrat briefing paper is
:00:58. > :01:03.warning senior officials that the party could be completely wiped out
:01:04. > :01:15.in the European elections. The Metro also leads on the bridge
:01:16. > :01:20.of eBay users online. `` breach. The Daily Mail says Russian
:01:21. > :01:24.diplomats will demand an explanation from the Foreign Office after Prince
:01:25. > :01:29.Charles reportedly likened Vladimir Putin to Adolf Hitler. The Express
:01:30. > :01:34.says more than half a month's rainfall could fall tomorrow. The
:01:35. > :01:39.worst weather being experienced in the south.
:01:40. > :01:43.The Times as is at least 400 people a night are sent home from hospital
:01:44. > :01:49.between 11pm and 6am to relieve pressure on wards.
:01:50. > :02:00.Starting with a big event, the elections. UKIP polled to win the
:02:01. > :02:04.European elections. A disaster for the Tories and Lib Dems. We were
:02:05. > :02:15.pondering if the Sun has lost its Mojo. It is not bad. Moving swiftly
:02:16. > :02:24.on, one of the interesting things he had when it does the breakdown of
:02:25. > :02:32.the vote, if you add together the vote of the two main parties, that
:02:33. > :02:38.is less than 50%. When was the last time that happened? The two
:02:39. > :02:48.recognised main political parties got less than 50% in any national
:02:49. > :02:55.vote. If you add in projected turnout, which is likely, what is
:02:56. > :03:00.the proportion of people who actively cast their ballots for
:03:01. > :03:06.either of the two main parties, it really does throw into question not
:03:07. > :03:11.just two comes out that well on Thursday night, but generally the
:03:12. > :03:20.state of our politics. People are fed up and this uncharted, they feel
:03:21. > :03:28.this affect it. `` this uncharted. The Sun says that if they do come on
:03:29. > :03:33.top, it has been labour or UKIP who would top, they would be the first
:03:34. > :03:39.party to top eight national ballot without having a single local MP.
:03:40. > :03:46.This is going to be a really seminal moment in British politics. People
:03:47. > :03:55.are very disillusioned out there. They are turning to UKIP. People in
:03:56. > :04:02.the north of England, heartland labour voters, they are turning to
:04:03. > :04:09.UKIP. In the south`east we seek disaffected Tory voters are turning
:04:10. > :04:12.to UKIP. The question is whether Nigel Farage can go to areas where
:04:13. > :04:18.they have a show of strength and turn this from a European election
:04:19. > :04:22.success into something bigger. The three main political parties are the
:04:23. > :04:35.very worried that he might be able to do that. The challenge will be to
:04:36. > :04:45.try and keep the parties together. I think MPs are going to be spooked.
:04:46. > :04:51.You are going to be looking to the 2015 election nervously. It is quite
:04:52. > :04:56.late on in the day for them to topple their leaders. They have got
:04:57. > :05:04.to try and keep the parties under control. Find a strategy that might
:05:05. > :05:08.win. I suspect there are very few people in the wider public who would
:05:09. > :05:13.be able to name another UKIP representative. Anyone else. This
:05:14. > :05:22.party has been built on the shoulders of one man. More to the
:05:23. > :05:27.point, everybody who does, a number of figures who have tried to attach
:05:28. > :05:38.themselves, have got themselves and the party into trouble. They racist,
:05:39. > :05:44.they this, are they not? It produces a bad headline. Over the last few
:05:45. > :05:51.months, Fleet Street has got its teeth in. Before they saw him as an
:05:52. > :05:59.amusing pantomime artist. They are doing proper reporting on him and
:06:00. > :06:08.his people. Every story. It is like, the more that she is attacked
:06:09. > :06:14.by what he calls the established elite media, the more it plays into
:06:15. > :06:20.this whole image of the man against the establishment. I know they are
:06:21. > :06:26.very different animals, but why did it not work for Sarah Pailin? Why
:06:27. > :06:33.has it worked so well for Nigel Farage? We are talking about a
:06:34. > :06:37.different set of circumstance, but that sense that he is an outsider,
:06:38. > :06:39.that he is attacking the establishment, tapping into that
:06:40. > :06:50.sense that people feel disenfranchised. She included
:06:51. > :06:59.because of all kinds of things. `` imploded. Nobody is thinking that
:07:00. > :07:06.Nigel Farage will be deputy. Nigel Farage claimed he was tired and put
:07:07. > :07:12.forward other reasons for what he said. Talking about remaining is the
:07:13. > :07:18.way that he did. `` Romanians. None of that has affected him. The point
:07:19. > :07:24.about Nigel Farage is you cannot take him out of the context where he
:07:25. > :07:30.is operating. He is operating in a postrecession country were people
:07:31. > :07:36.have been feeling really pressed. We are only just coming through that.
:07:37. > :07:43.It is a crisis that has thrown the entire European project into doubt.
:07:44. > :07:46.A lot of hard questions have been raced across all European countries
:07:47. > :07:59.about the European Union, immigration. It has played into his
:08:00. > :08:04.particular brand of politics. On to the Guardian. It is the Liberal
:08:05. > :08:11.Democrats who could have a lot of problems as a result of UKIP's
:08:12. > :08:18.success. Although, there will be pleased to know that in this exit
:08:19. > :08:25.poll, in this poll on the eve of the election, it says that they are
:08:26. > :08:30.going to get three MEPs. The poll is predicting that they will come in
:08:31. > :08:38.behind the Greens. They will not completely be wiped out. The one
:08:39. > :08:44.silver lining for the Lib Dems, is everybody will be factoring what
:08:45. > :08:53.happens over the next few days. They will be working out how that will
:08:54. > :09:03.impact on the general election. The Lib Dems are notionally going to
:09:04. > :09:09.fight 615 seats. But if I was a seat beyond number 60, I might as well
:09:10. > :09:15.put my feet up. They will be focusing on 40, 50, 60 seats. They
:09:16. > :09:25.did so well in the easterly by`election. The other point I would
:09:26. > :09:30.make about the Lib Dems in coalition is that they have been really bashed
:09:31. > :09:37.about. They have been universally derided in the press. And yet as a
:09:38. > :09:44.party they have remained incredibly disciplined. They are going to have
:09:45. > :09:49.another drop in the polls, but what has been incredible has been this
:09:50. > :09:58.show of strength and this unity they have demonstrated. It may not get
:09:59. > :10:02.them anywhere? They could still, after all of this, it is a question
:10:03. > :10:09.of a lot of hypotheticals, they could still be powerbrokers in a
:10:10. > :10:17.year. It depends on the government. If they do not implode in the next
:10:18. > :10:23.few weeks. There is not much sign, there is always wrong doings in any
:10:24. > :10:28.political setup. But as long as that is not go farther, they will focus
:10:29. > :10:39.on a few dozen seats. Staying with the Guardian. Police Federation. One
:10:40. > :10:46.man who was at this speech given by Theresa May, he felt as if they were
:10:47. > :10:52.being told off by a schoolmistress. The job of a school teacher is to
:10:53. > :10:58.tell recalcitrant pupils off. The Police Federation has been a basket
:10:59. > :11:08.case. It has massively failed to serve the public. Theresa May is
:11:09. > :11:13.quite a divisive figure. I reckon 98% of the population will agree
:11:14. > :11:17.with this message that she has given the Police Federation. Sort
:11:18. > :11:26.yourselves out and if you do not, we will legislate. There was also this
:11:27. > :11:32.suggestion in what she was saying, the suggestion that it is a few
:11:33. > :11:41.rotten apples within the force. It is more than that. She is
:11:42. > :11:46.painting... We had a look on your website and looked at how she
:11:47. > :11:49.delivered the speech. It was incredibly powerful. She is the a
:11:50. > :11:54.politician at the height of her power. What she could play two in
:11:55. > :11:58.the tons of this speech, a speech that no other Home Secretary would
:11:59. > :12:03.have dared to have done, there has been a string of scandals around the
:12:04. > :12:11.police that has undermined their legitimacy. She is coming at it from
:12:12. > :12:14.a strong position. Also, she is a politician that is waiting in the
:12:15. > :12:22.wings with her eye on the leadership of the Conservative party. She wants
:12:23. > :12:29.to make a stand. She wants to challenge the vested interests. That
:12:30. > :12:38.is what she was doing today to great effect. I think she knows the public
:12:39. > :12:44.are on her side. On to the Financial Times. The Bank of England is edging
:12:45. > :12:53.closer to an early rate rise. It is not a matter of if, but when. A lot
:12:54. > :12:59.of quarters of economic recovery, inflation is going up, property
:13:00. > :13:04.prices are going up worryingly quickly. The Bank of England are
:13:05. > :13:12.looking at whether or not to raise this base rate from its historically
:13:13. > :13:17.low rate of 1.5%. This is going to be a massive moment when it happens.
:13:18. > :13:28.What I think is interesting about this is what it means politically in
:13:29. > :13:33.the election year. When people are getting back on their feet, everyone
:13:34. > :13:40.is feeling a bit more comfortable. The Tories are going to fight the
:13:41. > :13:43.election on the economic recovery. George Osborne does not want to see
:13:44. > :13:49.interest rates go up and mortgages go up. This is going to be a smack
:13:50. > :13:58.in the face for people who have struggled with their cost of living.
:13:59. > :14:01.It is not up to him. They always say that the year before elections is
:14:02. > :14:07.the worst time to do anything difficult. The Bank of England might
:14:08. > :14:14.have thought of doing it a few months ago. Particularly in the
:14:15. > :14:23.south`east. If they do not do it now, it will probably be a bit late.
:14:24. > :14:30.Some would disagree that it is unsustainable. Let us end with the
:14:31. > :14:38.Daily Telegraph. Do you buy things on eBay? I have been known to. I got
:14:39. > :14:42.a call from my bank, saying that somebody had gone walkabout with my
:14:43. > :14:48.credit card. Nothing to do with this. It is this whole idea of data
:14:49. > :15:00.going astray and everybody using a few passwords. I always forget my
:15:01. > :15:06.passwords. This is a huge story. Particularly as it is alleged in one
:15:07. > :15:11.of the papers that it took them several months to actually tell
:15:12. > :15:17.people. I spoke to an analyst that said he was amazed this would
:15:18. > :15:24.happen. Considering what eBay deals with, he says it was fairly easy,
:15:25. > :15:30.what the hackers did. The other thing that concerns me about this
:15:31. > :15:37.story, obviously eBay owned a massive transactional firm. If you
:15:38. > :15:43.are an eBay user, this story fills me with total trade. It would be
:15:44. > :15:53.really interesting to see how this affects the brain. `` total dread.
:15:54. > :16:07.`` affects the brand. They have got to under `` 200 33 million accounts.
:16:08. > :16:14.`` 233. It is a good reminder that we do not take security seriously. I
:16:15. > :16:19.am changing my password. I nearly taxed into my partner to tell him to
:16:20. > :16:24.do it between paper runs. `` text into.
:16:25. > :16:33.It has been great having you on. Thank you. Stay with us. Much more
:16:34. > :16:49.coming up at the top of the hour. Now it is time for Sportsday.
:16:50. > :16:53.Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me, Ore Oduba. Coming up tonight:
:16:54. > :16:54.England's Under`17s