:00:00. > :00:00.Bank and Israel. Coming up in the film review, the
:00:00. > :00:18.X`Men come back to fight another battle of future past. ``The Film
:00:19. > :00:22.Review. Hello and welcome to our look ahead
:00:23. > :00:24.to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are
:00:25. > :00:31.Yasmin Alibhai`Brown, columnist from the Independent and Martin Bentham
:00:32. > :00:35.from the London Evening Standard. They have swapped places, if you are
:00:36. > :00:38.not confused, I am! Tomorrow's front pages, starting with The Observer,
:00:39. > :00:41.claiming that the UKIP leader, Nigel Farage, will use his party's local
:00:42. > :00:44.election success as a springboard to draw up 20 parliamentary seats to
:00:45. > :00:46.target at next year's general election. The Independent on
:00:47. > :00:49.Sunday's front page gives coverage to calls for Nick Clegg, the Lib Dem
:00:50. > :00:52.leader, to stand down. The Sunday Telegraph reports on the ongoing row
:00:53. > :00:56.over Prince Charles' comments about Russia's President Vladimir Putin.
:00:57. > :00:59.The Sunday Times leads on a story about calls from some Conservative
:01:00. > :01:03.MPs for an early referendum on Britain's membership of the EU. The
:01:04. > :01:07.Mail on Sunday devotes it's entire front page to a picture of the man
:01:08. > :01:12.suspected of killing six people in a series of drive`by shootings. And
:01:13. > :01:15.the Express also covers the shooting, but it's main story
:01:16. > :01:19.relates to the rising value of the pound, which the paper says is good
:01:20. > :01:31.news for British holiday`makers. So let's begin. We will start with
:01:32. > :01:38.some of the inside pages of The Sun, saying how UKIP will put Ed number
:01:39. > :01:46.ten. A poll boosts Labour because they will defect to the other
:01:47. > :01:51.parties. `` will put Ed Miliband in number ten. This is the poll by Lord
:01:52. > :01:54.Ashcroft, the Conservative peer who does a lot of polling for the
:01:55. > :02:01.Conservative party to see how they stand. He has looked at these 26 key
:02:02. > :02:05.seats and found that there would be a 12% labour advantage in those
:02:06. > :02:12.seats. Therefore, it runs down a whole raft of them here in the
:02:13. > :02:19.graphic, as it shows here, they will be gaining a great number of the
:02:20. > :02:22.Conservative target seats and various Labour target seats that the
:02:23. > :02:27.Conservatives would have to win. What he is saying is that because
:02:28. > :02:36.UKIP are taking some votes from the Tories, that will therefore allow
:02:37. > :02:40.Labour to win Tory seats. The overall effect is that according to
:02:41. > :02:47.this 83 Tory MPs could lose their seats in what is described as an
:02:48. > :02:53.election night bloodbath. We were talking last night about how if the
:02:54. > :02:56.whole of the UK had voted and the results from the local elections...
:02:57. > :03:03.Labour would have ended with 31% of the vote which would not have been
:03:04. > :03:08.enough. You cannot extrapolate, fewer people turn up for local
:03:09. > :03:13.elections. There was a low turnout. Not as low as we have known it
:03:14. > :03:19.before. On the same page there was an interesting column by Louise
:03:20. > :03:29.Mensch who was a Tory MP and has now left. She says this and I agree with
:03:30. > :03:33.that. She talks about that conservatives can make a comeback. I
:03:34. > :03:38.am not a Tory. I think we know that! I would vote for the Tories to
:03:39. > :03:44.keep out UKIP, I would. I would do that. What she says is that there is
:03:45. > :03:50.a way of the Conservatives being taken seriously and what she calls"
:03:51. > :03:56.the sexist, racist party not getting its way" . That is an important
:03:57. > :04:01.message. Coming from an ex` Tory MP. A very good column, read it! We do
:04:02. > :04:05.not know, that those who have voted to send a message to the main
:04:06. > :04:10.parties in the local elections, would be as bold in the general
:04:11. > :04:13.election. We don't. Of course, it is more difficult for UKIP, you can
:04:14. > :04:17.vote for it UKIP councillor who could have a chance of getting in,
:04:18. > :04:21.it would be harder for them to get a Westminster seat. When it comes to
:04:22. > :04:25.the serious matter of the government, it could be that you
:04:26. > :04:28.could be that UKIP effect is less potent than in this election. On the
:04:29. > :04:34.other hand, we would not take that for granted. When you have a lot of
:04:35. > :04:38.fairly tight seats, at every election, there are always a lot. It
:04:39. > :04:41.does not take a great deal of movement in each of those seats to
:04:42. > :04:44.change the election result quite dramatically. That is one of the key
:04:45. > :04:49.thing is, it is hard to predict this in the coming general election. They
:04:50. > :04:54.need good candidates, as far as we know, we have Christine and Neil
:04:55. > :04:58.Hamilton among their favourite people. There are some problems
:04:59. > :05:03.here. Nigel Farage is a brilliant politician. But, do they have them?
:05:04. > :05:06.That could be the case, that they lack that candidates. It probably
:05:07. > :05:12.is. But if they take 2000 or 3000 votes, and there is a protest vote,
:05:13. > :05:17.this poll suggests, and one of the great fears that is motivating Tory
:05:18. > :05:20.MPs and worrying Labour MPs, that a few thousand votes to UKIP could
:05:21. > :05:25.make the difference between a Labour or Tory win. It could have a big
:05:26. > :05:28.impact through the country. In the next general election. All of these
:05:29. > :05:35.unintended consequences are very interesting. Let's have a look at
:05:36. > :05:39.another potential consequence in the Sunday express. Osborne targets
:05:40. > :05:43.voters in the North. An exclusive here, saying that George Osborne is
:05:44. > :05:47.bound to make the Conservative party the alternative in the north. This
:05:48. > :05:51.is where the Conservatives want to capitalise, I'm Labour losses in
:05:52. > :06:02.their traditional heartlands. It is a real mixup. There are some
:06:03. > :06:09.difficult places for Labour. Rotherham was one. If you look at
:06:10. > :06:15.the history that, it is not a happy picture. It is very particular to
:06:16. > :06:19.Rotherham. MPs have not been entirely honest, et cetera.
:06:20. > :06:22.Interestingly, in the same piece, they would like David Davis to take
:06:23. > :06:30.on UKIP. Because he is straight talking, he is not an Eton boy, and
:06:31. > :06:36.it sounds like a lot of people who have voted for UKIP. This is the
:06:37. > :06:42.man, Martin, who lost the leadership battle as we remember, to David
:06:43. > :06:46.Cameron. He did, and yes, he might have a role, although I do not think
:06:47. > :06:51.that he is entirely popular within the leadership of the Tory party.
:06:52. > :06:54.Whether he gets the chance to come in is another matter. Going back to
:06:55. > :07:00.the Osborne thing here, she talks about targeting Northern voters and
:07:01. > :07:04.so on. `` he talks. It is a huge gap for the Tories. They do not have a
:07:05. > :07:12.big gap in any of the northern cities. In rural and `` in rural
:07:13. > :07:17.areas, they have some MPs. Although he wants to target the voters, it
:07:18. > :07:20.does not say how they will do it. Of course they want to do it and need
:07:21. > :07:23.to because they cannot be a party entirely. They have not had the time
:07:24. > :07:28.to think about how they can do it, it has only been a couple of days.
:07:29. > :07:32.The North need not pay any more taxes before the next election, or
:07:33. > :07:38.something like that! The Independent on Sunday looks at the pack ``
:07:39. > :07:43.impact on Liberal Democrats. In a bid to oust Nick Clegg, some of his
:07:44. > :07:46.colleagues, and one of them we spoke to tonight, sticking their necks
:07:47. > :07:53.out, saying he is nice, but he has to go. Will it be the downfall of
:07:54. > :07:57.him? The local elections, are they traditionally the downfall of a
:07:58. > :08:02.party leader? Not always are not necessarily. It is so close to the
:08:03. > :08:05.election it will be very difficult for the Liberal Democrats to
:08:06. > :08:11.jettison Nick Clegg and they might have been Vince Cable in his place.
:08:12. > :08:13.Will that solve their problems? I don't know. Schweinsteiger will
:08:14. > :08:24.fight the election for them, they have to go with that. `` macro ``
:08:25. > :08:32.Nick Clegg will fight for them. It will have an impact on how the
:08:33. > :08:37.election will go for them. If they lose their MEPs, which people are
:08:38. > :08:41.predicting, then there will be a big crisis, I think, in the Liberal
:08:42. > :08:45.Democrat party. The Liberal Democrats have given us a response
:08:46. > :08:49.tonight. A spokesman for the party saying that these concerns will be
:08:50. > :08:53.taken seriously over the leadership issue, but the party should not have
:08:54. > :08:57.its message to supported over need is infighting. After a difficult
:08:58. > :09:01.election, some colleagues will have concerns but we should discuss them
:09:02. > :09:07.collectively, as the Liberal Democrats do. We knew that the
:09:08. > :09:10.elections would be tough and it is disappointing that dedicated
:09:11. > :09:20.councillors have lost their seats. Miklik's made the case for Europe ``
:09:21. > :09:25.Nick Clegg has made. We had those divisive TV and radio debate is not
:09:26. > :09:28.so long ago. We will move away, finally, from the elections. Not for
:09:29. > :09:35.long, we have European election results tomorrow. The Sunday Times,
:09:36. > :09:39.parents sue for term time holidays. A group of families are mounting a
:09:40. > :09:42.legal challenge against Michael Gove 's crackdown on families taking
:09:43. > :09:46.holidays during term time. Not so long ago, you could take a week or
:09:47. > :09:50.two, asked a head teacher for permission, but they are trained to
:09:51. > :09:57.stab attack and parents are unhappy. It has been going on for a long
:09:58. > :10:07.time, `` they are trying to crack down. 200,000 parents have signed
:10:08. > :10:12.this petition but every year, 24,000 children skip school every day to go
:10:13. > :10:16.on family breaks. You can understand why, costs go up over the holidays.
:10:17. > :10:20.The Prime Minister was saying that he thinks that holiday companies are
:10:21. > :10:28.cashing in. That is quite ridiculous for a Conservative to say that! Try
:10:29. > :10:34.to go on holiday at a particular time, things go up at weekends
:10:35. > :10:40.rather than during the week. This is an absurd case to take up. Policies
:10:41. > :10:46.are policies, children should not be taken out during term time. The
:10:47. > :10:51.problem is, what has happened, is that since they have recording,
:10:52. > :10:56.quite a long time ago now, statistics on truancy and
:10:57. > :11:01.authorised, unauthorised absences. Schools are measured on truancy, and
:11:02. > :11:05.this counts as truancy. As you were saying, they used to be some
:11:06. > :11:10.discretion shown if your child was turning up regularly and they were
:11:11. > :11:15.performing well and so on at school. A blind eye would be turned. There
:11:16. > :11:19.is also a class issue. There have been many cases of poorer families,
:11:20. > :11:24.working class families, being fined for truancy of their children. Some
:11:25. > :11:28.head teachers would recognise the difference between a family having a
:11:29. > :11:32.holiday and not having a holiday. Then they would say...? There should
:11:33. > :11:36.be room for everybody. Taking children out of school is a bad
:11:37. > :11:45.idea. We have all wanted to do it and I have done it, and I understand
:11:46. > :11:48.that. It is not a good idea. If we are finding some parents, I did the
:11:49. > :11:52.other parent should get away with it. What if it is an extended
:11:53. > :11:56.holiday to see family overseas and could be regarded as educational?
:11:57. > :12:01.There are some schools who are finding ?500 each family who does
:12:02. > :12:06.this. They had to add that into the cost. It is an expensive business.
:12:07. > :12:11.Let's move on to the Observer, fair trade goods, not helping the poor.
:12:12. > :12:15.Sales of certain fair trade products are not benefiting poor farm
:12:16. > :12:20.workers. Profits are failing to trickle down to much of the
:12:21. > :12:24.workforce. This is not what we are led to believe happens with fair
:12:25. > :12:31.trade. You get more for your bag of coffee if it has but mark on it? It
:12:32. > :12:37.is unfortunate and disturbing. `` has that mark. Having read the full
:12:38. > :12:42.story, it turns out that part of this is down to the fact that the
:12:43. > :12:47.fair trade providers are operating in marginalised areas, they tend to
:12:48. > :12:55.be smaller operators, and there are suggestions that what is compared
:12:56. > :12:59.here is small farmers against bigger operations who have efficiencies,
:13:00. > :13:03.and a scale, and maybe that is why the money does not get down to the
:13:04. > :13:07.staff, because they cannot afford to pay the money. On the other hand,
:13:08. > :13:11.maybe those farmers would not be in business at all if they were not
:13:12. > :13:15.supported by the fair trade people. It would be terrible if people
:13:16. > :13:18.stopped buying fair trade products because of this. This is the
:13:19. > :13:23.difficulty, use it, then I will not spend my money. That would be awful.
:13:24. > :13:28.There is a helpful article inside of the Observer which lets us know
:13:29. > :13:34.where to turn if we want to be ethical shoppers. Again, that could
:13:35. > :13:39.rest... And reassure people. There will be a knee`jerk reaction. Before
:13:40. > :13:43.we finish with a little cartoon and give the last word to Matt, let's go
:13:44. > :13:53.back to a reference that Yasmin made. Two MPs in Rotherham, not
:13:54. > :13:59.being entirely honest, potentially. I assume you were referring to Denis
:14:00. > :14:03.McShane, who admitted to filing false receipts. We are not referring
:14:04. > :14:13.to anyone else from that part of the country. We just need to be
:14:14. > :14:24.absolutely watertight on that. Finally, the last word, conflating
:14:25. > :14:29.two different stories. I voted UKIP, says a man in the pub with a
:14:30. > :14:36.pint in his hand. To be honest, I paid eight Bulgarian to do it for
:14:37. > :14:44.me. This is what happens. We talk about this all the time. I often
:14:45. > :14:52.seem to have a remaining cabdriver giving me here. `` Rumanian. We have
:14:53. > :14:58.a lot of drivers from all over the world taking the home. Thank you
:14:59. > :15:04.very much. Thank you for coping with all of the election fallout. That is
:15:05. > :15:07.the papers. At that date, a man has been arrested after a shooting at
:15:08. > :15:09.the Jewish Museum in Brussels in which three people died. Coming up,
:15:10. > :15:38.it is time for the film review. Welcome to the Film Review. Taking
:15:39. > :15:40.us through the latest releases is Mark