26/05/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.action from Novak Djokovic's first round contest. Plus, Brendan

:00:00. > :00:00.Rodgers's contract with Liverpool. That's coming up in 15 minutes after

:00:00. > :00:19.the papers. Hello and welcome to our look ahead

:00:20. > :00:21.to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are

:00:22. > :00:23.journalist and blogger Susie Boniface aka the Fleet Street Fox,

:00:24. > :00:33.and Kiran Stacey, political correspondent for the Financial

:00:34. > :00:36.Times. Good evening to you both. Before we have an in`depth look at

:00:37. > :00:40.the papers, let's have a quick preview. The Financial Times says

:00:41. > :00:43.David Cameron has embarked on a diplomatic offensive to persuade

:00:44. > :00:46.European leaders to change course on the EU.Nigel Farage is pictured with

:00:47. > :00:49.an empty pint glass on his head in the Telegraph and it reports that

:00:50. > :00:54.business leaders are calling for a new deal with Europe.

:00:55. > :00:57.European leaders to change course The Guardian pictures Nick Clegg and

:00:58. > :01:00.questions whether he is leading the Liberal Democrats to a wipeout.The

:01:01. > :01:03.Times reports that Ukip is to step up its assault on Labour's

:01:04. > :01:05.heartlands. While The Scotsman says recriminations flew in Holyrood

:01:06. > :01:09.after Ukip won its first European seat in Scotland. Nick Clegg's

:01:10. > :01:11.prospects are the lead on The Independent. It says the Liberal

:01:12. > :01:15.Democrat leader is fighting for survival. The Daily Mail also

:01:16. > :01:17.considers the pressure on Mr Clegg after the party's performance in the

:01:18. > :01:20.European elections. Finally, the Daily Express gives readers the

:01:21. > :01:36.seven golden rules to help people fight Alzheimers. The express their

:01:37. > :01:40.trying to be different. The front pages, as you would imagine, are

:01:41. > :01:45.dominated by the fallout of the European elections. A tough read

:01:46. > :01:52.over breakfast for Mr Clegg particularly the Mail, the face of a

:01:53. > :01:59.leader at bay, says the headline. I am feeling sorry for him. If he

:02:00. > :02:04.stays as leader, possibly the worst 12 months of his life. People get

:02:05. > :02:10.this right up to election. When he leads the Lib Dems into the guns,

:02:11. > :02:13.which will happen in May 2015, they face almost certain obliteration, it

:02:14. > :02:17.will be his fault that matter what and will be laboured as Nick Clegg

:02:18. > :02:22.should have gone and didn't go. If he stays, it will be a torrid time.

:02:23. > :02:26.There was talk today or suggestions he could stay on as deputy PM but

:02:27. > :02:35.resigned as leader of the party which would be even more suicidal.

:02:36. > :02:40.There is a whole tumbler website of pictures of Nick Clegg looking sad.

:02:41. > :02:50.Another hundred pages of images today. He is a toxic issue for a lot

:02:51. > :02:54.of voters. For him to say that if any dilemmas would be addressed by

:02:55. > :02:58.me going, of course I would do it. Not to understand he is the main

:02:59. > :03:02.dilemma is stupid and obtuse and he is seeing what is obvious in front

:03:03. > :03:07.of him. The Daily Mail are trying to pressure him to go with headlines

:03:08. > :03:12.like that. That is how a lot of journalists would like this to pan

:03:13. > :03:18.out. He made it clear to Vicki Young that he has no plans to go. Why have

:03:19. > :03:25.Lib Dems suffered the most in the European elections? He took a bold

:03:26. > :03:30.plan at this European election. Usually, at a European election,

:03:31. > :03:34.they do well because they talk about everything apart from Europe. They

:03:35. > :03:38.talk about potholes and road repairs and bin collections and make it all

:03:39. > :03:42.about local issues. They are good at sourcing out and getting a good

:03:43. > :03:47.reputation. This time, Nick Clegg thought, this won't work. I will do

:03:48. > :03:52.this, its OK, it is under control. I will do an overtly pro`European push

:03:53. > :03:56.because there is a group of people who believe we should be in the EU

:03:57. > :04:02.and they don't have a party fighting in their corner. For voters wanting

:04:03. > :04:07.to stay in the EU, stayed at home or were happy to vote for the Labour

:04:08. > :04:10.Party because they think they are pro`European as well. Unfortunately,

:04:11. > :04:14.Lib Dem voters don't want to be in the EU. They vote Lib Dem for

:04:15. > :04:21.different reasons, particularly in the south`west. I don't think the

:04:22. > :04:27.strategy worked. Don't you think the televised debates was a kick in the

:04:28. > :04:31.face? He did so badly compared to Nigel Farage. He won a lot of people

:04:32. > :04:37.over at the general collection. People didn't know who he was until

:04:38. > :04:42.the debate. In 2010, he was the bloke who seems nicer, more human, a

:04:43. > :04:48.bit different. Now he gets the same thing from Nigel Farage. The they

:04:49. > :04:52.say they have got hold of a poll that will show he will lose his

:04:53. > :04:57.seat. `` the Guardian have written him off. Others say they don't know

:04:58. > :05:00.where this came from and that it has been leaked for political reasons

:05:01. > :05:07.and say that the local elections on Thursday show it was nonsense. He

:05:08. > :05:15.won't lose Sheffield Hallam. I am 99%. Having grown up there, I know.

:05:16. > :05:22.Note it down. This has been a Lib Dem seat for years. Before that, it

:05:23. > :05:27.was a Tory seat. It is a nice, leafy, wealthy part of Sheffield,

:05:28. > :05:32.not the socialist People's Republic of Sheffield that we think of the

:05:33. > :05:34.rest of the city as. I have read a piece by the Labour candidate saying

:05:35. > :05:39.that they don't think they will win it either. You have to wonder, given

:05:40. > :05:44.the Lib Dem reaction, who undertook this poll and why and why have they

:05:45. > :05:48.leak it to the Guardian? There are people in the Lib Dems who are

:05:49. > :05:54.trying to do something. What is important is that no big guns have

:05:55. > :05:58.come out and said, he needs to go. That is because his main opponent is

:05:59. > :06:02.Vince Cable, who is conveniently in China and is at this moment, we

:06:03. > :06:06.might want to get a comment out of him. Whenever there is a leadership

:06:07. > :06:10.challenge or argument in any of the parties, the main contender absence

:06:11. > :06:13.themselves as quickly as possible. John Major, when Margaret Thatcher

:06:14. > :06:19.had problems, had his wisdom teeth done. If a politician doesn't want

:06:20. > :06:24.to be quoted on the TV, it is because it is important. He decided

:06:25. > :06:31.to release a statement instead of going on camera. We will find out

:06:32. > :06:36.more of Nigel Farage on the front page of the times. He likes to hold

:06:37. > :06:42.an empty pint glass on his head to celebrate. He probably doesn't mind

:06:43. > :06:48.that photo. He posed for it. He invites photographers to the pub and

:06:49. > :07:01.AE range it with the pub owners. `` a range it. It is done on purpose.

:07:02. > :07:06.`` arrange. I can't imagine anyone who intends to be a world leader

:07:07. > :07:10.doing that. He has already said he is setting his sights on

:07:11. > :07:18.Westminster, of course he the headline, Farage set his sights on

:07:19. > :07:22.Labour heartlands. He has 12 months to win people over on Europe for

:07:23. > :07:26.Westminster. As we know, local elections, the voting in local

:07:27. > :07:31.elections, doesn't reflect what happens on general election day.

:07:32. > :07:39.This will be tough. 2009, at UKIP got to 17%. 2010, they got 3% in the

:07:40. > :07:43.general election. Can Farage do something different this time and

:07:44. > :07:48.build up enough support to take a Westminster seat? I think that he

:07:49. > :07:53.can. Things are different this time, UKIP voters are enthused and

:07:54. > :07:58.committed enough to go and vote UKIP again even at a general election. Is

:07:59. > :08:04.it still a protest vote? it is. But not one that will go away. People

:08:05. > :08:07.genuinely want to protest. They will want to protest at the general

:08:08. > :08:13.election as well. The question will be, if and when they do win at

:08:14. > :08:16.Westminster, do they do what the Greens do and fall apart because

:08:17. > :08:19.their leader isn't so active in leading the policy and making sure

:08:20. > :08:25.the structures are in place? What does one seat make do anyway? You

:08:26. > :08:29.wrote a paper in the mirror after the local elections but it applies

:08:30. > :08:33.to the European elections because there was a 33% turn out to the vote

:08:34. > :08:35.and you made an interesting point that there is still 30 million

:08:36. > :08:41.people in this country that didn't vote for any of this. In fact, they

:08:42. > :08:44.didn't vote at all. When people like David Cameron say that we have the

:08:45. > :08:48.message of the EU, are they correct? Of course not. They aren't

:08:49. > :08:52.speaking to the populace. They haven't heard what we all think.

:08:53. > :08:57.There are 46 million registered voters and only 16 million voted. If

:08:58. > :09:03.they voted, it could be a different result. We don't know. They haven't

:09:04. > :09:05.come out to vote. You wrote and local elections have a much lower

:09:06. > :09:13.turnout than general elections. `` euro. They are just as important,

:09:14. > :09:17.though they are seen as less than important. When we talk about a

:09:18. > :09:23.surge in UKIP and landslides and that there is a earthquake in

:09:24. > :09:27.British politics, there is actually an ever expanding sinkhole expanding

:09:28. > :09:32.at all of these politician's feet, Farage, Cameron, Clegg, they have

:09:33. > :09:36.had a kick in the face from voters, saying we are not interested in any

:09:37. > :09:40.of you. If you are a disillusioned voter, there is the zest and that

:09:41. > :09:43.you vote for UKIP. If you compare that with the total electorate,

:09:44. > :09:47.fewer than one in ten people voted for UKIP. The other nine are still

:09:48. > :09:51.disillusioned for some reason and are not coming out to vote for

:09:52. > :09:56.anyone. That is a huge issue. If we cannot raise the turnout, and the

:09:57. > :10:00.2010 general election turnout was only 65%, which was historically

:10:01. > :10:05.low, there will be a lack of democracy. We can't criticise

:10:06. > :10:09.countries like China, Saudi Arabia or Zimbabwe if in our own we don't

:10:10. > :10:15.vote ourselves. Let's look at the Scotsman, there was a surprise

:10:16. > :10:21.result. Even the UKIP candidate, David Coburn, looked surprised in

:10:22. > :10:26.that photo. That is a great photo. They have won a seat for Scotland,

:10:27. > :10:31.UKIP about. He goes to show that the more people that vote, the more

:10:32. > :10:37.realistically vault can be, the more reflective it can be `` UKIP there.

:10:38. > :10:42.The Scottish the SNP has always said that UKIP doesn't have a place in

:10:43. > :10:46.Scottish politics and this proves it wrong. One year ago, Nigel Farage

:10:47. > :10:53.was in Edinburgh and the reception was so hostile he had to take refuge

:10:54. > :10:57.in a pub. Had to take refuge... Go to the Winchester and wait this one

:10:58. > :11:01.out. It is clearly true that they find it much more difficult in

:11:02. > :11:04.Scotland and there is a much less Eurosceptic, anti`immigration vote

:11:05. > :11:09.there. Are they tapping into something we have seen in the rest

:11:10. > :11:13.of the UK? Will this become a much larger part of Scottish politics? If

:11:14. > :11:17.so, Alex Hammond's for your saying that they aren't various cottage

:11:18. > :11:27.this lot, they are racist, won't work `` they aren't very Scottish.

:11:28. > :11:30.They have had it up to here. It is interesting, a clever man so that

:11:31. > :11:34.when the people reject the elite, the elite band of people, not

:11:35. > :11:37.themselves for having turned people off voting, they say it is the

:11:38. > :11:41.peoples vote for not agreeing with them, which is what Clegg is doing

:11:42. > :11:44.today. To show how the picture of the European Union has changed

:11:45. > :11:52.overnight. The Independent has a out. Is of Germany's first neo`Nazi

:11:53. > :11:58.MEP. A lot of right`wing groups have managed to get seats. A lot of anti`

:11:59. > :12:02.European establishment seats. It's not only the UK. Interestingly, in

:12:03. > :12:07.the EU they are bad at cooperating with each other. One of the things

:12:08. > :12:10.people have voted UKIP in in this country is that they hope that

:12:11. > :12:15.perhaps they will withdraw us from the EU or do something about

:12:16. > :12:19.immigration and open borders. If every UK seat in the European

:12:20. > :12:24.Parliament were cooperating, that is still less than 10% of the total in

:12:25. > :12:27.the EU bloc, therefore for Nigel or anyone else to control legislation

:12:28. > :12:33.or block legislation, they have to form coalitions with other parties

:12:34. > :12:36.in the EU. There has been a surge, but they haven't actually got that

:12:37. > :12:41.much influence, have a? Not individually. They would have to

:12:42. > :12:45.gang up together. They will coalitions between the far right

:12:46. > :12:49.parties, the peoples party in Denmark, perhaps the Front National,

:12:50. > :12:55.and then you wonder who you sit next to and who is OK and who isn't at

:12:56. > :12:59.one point does the neo`Nazi vote become important `` People's Party.

:13:00. > :13:01.The other important thing about the elections in Germany is that Angela

:13:02. > :13:07.Merkel is an election winning machine. Her party actually won the

:13:08. > :13:09.majority of the MEP vote. It is interesting what is happening in

:13:10. > :13:15.France and Germany, particularly France, is that they are the two

:13:16. > :13:19.countries seen as the drivers of the European Union. They are seen as the

:13:20. > :13:26.country that supported and want it. `` support it. Let's look at the

:13:27. > :13:29.front page of the Daily Telegraph. Nigel Farage's pint glass photo

:13:30. > :13:34.there again. We will get to know a bit more about the leader of UKIP

:13:35. > :13:40.from his wife. It is interesting. Someone has buttonholed Mrs Farage

:13:41. > :13:43.at the victory party. It was ill`advised because of the people

:13:44. > :13:48.you have that UKIP. The chances of someone saying something wrong in

:13:49. > :13:52.UKIP during a party is quite high. He isn't like this at home

:13:53. > :13:56.apparently, he is not extroverted. He drinks and smokes too much and

:13:57. > :14:00.she worries he doesn't eat Ropley. He can't use a computer and most

:14:01. > :14:03.interestingly, there is no time for a family life and they have four

:14:04. > :14:06.children `` he doesn't eat properly. They watch him on the telly when

:14:07. > :14:13.they want to see him. That is a bit mean. It is interesting. Is it a PR

:14:14. > :14:20.gaffe masse warps, you have let Mrs Farage speak. Or, is it a well

:14:21. > :14:25.calculator thing to do. `` PR gaffe? We a problem he has is that

:14:26. > :14:31.he doesn't attract female voters. `` won the problem he has. If we see

:14:32. > :14:36.him as a family man, or not one who sees his kids often, but if we see

:14:37. > :14:40.his wife, his vulnerabilities... He goes to sleep when he comes home.

:14:41. > :14:47.One thing we can be sure Roz is that from now on, UKIP will be under more

:14:48. > :14:52.scrutiny than they ever have been `` we can be sure of. The level of

:14:53. > :14:59.scrutiny in the media they have had. They aren't used to regular,

:15:00. > :15:04.constant checking up on by local journalists, broadcast and print

:15:05. > :15:10.journalists. We have to leave it there. Many thanks to Susie and

:15:11. > :15:16.Ciaran. And, thanks to you for tuning in. Stay with us on BBC News.

:15:17. > :15:20.At midnight, the political fallout of UKIP's success at the expense of

:15:21. > :15:21.other parties in the European elections. Coming up next, it is

:15:22. > :15:40.time for Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday, I'm

:15:41. > :15:42.Karthi Gnanasegaram. The headlines this evening: Backing Brendan

:15:43. > :15:45.Rodgers, Liverpool give their manager a new long`term contract

:15:46. > :15:54.after finishing as runners up in the Premier League. A shock for Stan,

:15:55. > :15:55.the Australian Open Champion fails to