:00:18. > :00:24.Good evening and welcome to our look ahead at what the papers will be
:00:25. > :00:32.bringing us tomorrow. Welcome to my guests. Thanks for being with us.
:00:33. > :00:38.Let's have a look at the front pages. The Financial Times claims
:00:39. > :00:43.officials in Berlin will do everything in their power to stop
:00:44. > :00:47.the UK leaving the EU. David Cameron is writing in the
:00:48. > :00:51.Telegraph that Britain's drive for EU reforms are on track and insists
:00:52. > :00:56.he can do business with Jean`Claude Juncker. Elton John joined the
:00:57. > :00:59.debate about gay members of the clergy. He says that he believes
:01:00. > :01:04.Jesus would allow same`sex priest to marry.
:01:05. > :01:08.The Express says deferring a state pension could leave thousands of
:01:09. > :01:14.people better off in the long run. The Guardian has Dolly Parton, who
:01:15. > :01:17.made her sparkly debut at Glastonbury today.
:01:18. > :01:21.And The Daily Mail claiming the Prince of Wales is trying to
:01:22. > :01:26.influence former Labour ministers on a range of issues, from climate
:01:27. > :01:30.change to alternative medicine. The Times says plans to merge income
:01:31. > :01:34.tax and national insurance will be a key part of the next Conservative
:01:35. > :01:38.manifesto. And the Independent says David
:01:39. > :01:41.Cameron's European allies have warned him that his threats about
:01:42. > :01:45.Britain leaving an unreformed EU could backfire.
:01:46. > :01:51.Let's take a look at some of the stories. We start with the Times and
:01:52. > :01:55.this headline that George Osborne's grand plan is to join up the tax
:01:56. > :02:00.system. This is all about the idea of merging National Insurance and
:02:01. > :02:06.income tax? We have two separate tax in `` tax systems. Income tax is
:02:07. > :02:09.reasonably straight award. You are in a certain amount, you pay a
:02:10. > :02:14.certain amount. National insurance is more complicated. This idea
:02:15. > :02:16.appears to be a Conservative plan which will be in their next
:02:17. > :02:21.manifesto for the election next year, where you would merge them
:02:22. > :02:26.together. You would have a single percentage that you pay. It will
:02:27. > :02:31.worry a lot of people if they see this because for example the paper
:02:32. > :02:36.says if you were earning 40%, your tax rate would go up to 52%. That's
:02:37. > :02:39.how much they are taking anyway, it's just that it would be that much
:02:40. > :02:45.more transparent. From the conservative point of view, it is
:02:46. > :02:51.more sensible to have one system because you can talk about lowering
:02:52. > :02:55.VAT. People, governments in the past, abused national insurance as a
:02:56. > :02:58.stealth tax. None of us really understood it. But if it was a
:02:59. > :03:05.simple percentage, that debate would be slightly more... Easier to
:03:06. > :03:09.understand. This article points out that party strategists say you would
:03:10. > :03:11.need quite a big public awareness campaign because the headline
:03:12. > :03:17.numbers would change and people might think, hang on, this looks
:03:18. > :03:22.like a lot of tax I'm paying. It's great to believe we have a
:03:23. > :03:25.transparent government and telling people what they are paying and what
:03:26. > :03:34.that percentage is a good idea but if you suddenly find out you pay...
:03:35. > :03:37.If you pay half of your earnings, that is a lot. But national
:03:38. > :03:40.insurance has been reduced or increased in the past and people
:03:41. > :03:44.don't know if they are better off or not. We are only now coming out of
:03:45. > :03:50.the downturn. Suddenly people paying more tax. I'm not sure it's a good
:03:51. > :03:56.idea. A big PR campaign is a good idea. But for the long`term I think
:03:57. > :04:00.it will be good news, if we can get the IT to work. This would be a huge
:04:01. > :04:04.IT project that previous governments and this government have not done
:04:05. > :04:07.well with. We are still dealing with universal credit. The Ministry of
:04:08. > :04:11.Justice today announced it spent a lot of money on you `` on attack
:04:12. > :04:16.system that won't go anywhere. It's a nice idea to have transparent
:04:17. > :04:20.government but I'm not sure the technology exists yet to make such a
:04:21. > :04:23.thing possible. The other point the Times make is that is appalled that
:04:24. > :04:30.suggests the business world is supportive of this. `` that the
:04:31. > :04:37.business world is supportive. I think the point of IT is good.
:04:38. > :04:41.Government should not do IT projects unless they are absolutely sure they
:04:42. > :04:47.will work. We know all the stories that have been going on for decades.
:04:48. > :04:54.For the game that you get for doing this, the downside could be very
:04:55. > :04:59.significant. It would be disastrous if our tax system suddenly fell. And
:05:00. > :05:08.you have to put up taxes to cover that! ISIS declares the creation of
:05:09. > :05:15.its own is a mixed eight. This is the proclamation by Islamic
:05:16. > :05:20.extremists ISIS, but they have proclaimed the establishment of a
:05:21. > :05:26.caliphate was the empire with an extreme religious and political
:05:27. > :05:30.leader. It's news in that we didn't know how far ISIS was going to go.
:05:31. > :05:34.Lots of ground has been taken in Iraq at the Iraqi army has been
:05:35. > :05:37.fighting back. This is surprising in terms of how bold they want to be
:05:38. > :05:41.and what their ambitions are. Ramadan started yesterday. This
:05:42. > :05:49.might be interesting for the Islamic world to hear, but I think it is
:05:50. > :05:53.disturbing because these are bold ambitions from what is still a
:05:54. > :06:04.terrorist group. It is concerning. We don't yet know how far this will
:06:05. > :06:10.It sends a message to other Islamic groups, that they are the big guys.
:06:11. > :06:15.This is Isis, they are saying that they have won the territory. If you
:06:16. > :06:18.want to look, this is the good aspiration that has been part of
:06:19. > :06:22.Islamic fundamentalism for a long time. `` great aspiration. They have
:06:23. > :06:27.said to the people of Iraq that they are the people who can deliver. It
:06:28. > :06:32.is done so quickly. For a long time, people hadn't even heard of Isis, to
:06:33. > :06:35.come from there to here, it is scary how quickly they are moving forward.
:06:36. > :06:41.They have a quote from Charles Lister, he said that this
:06:42. > :06:44.announcement is likely to be the most significant development in
:06:45. > :06:49.international jihad is since 9/11. People are saying that although it
:06:50. > :06:57.is a bold statement, it should not be underestimated `` jihadism. We
:06:58. > :07:04.have heard although the Iraqi army have regained much of Tikrit. That
:07:05. > :07:09.is disputed. Land seems to be changing hands quickly, it is
:07:10. > :07:13.difficult to see how stable any army gains will be in the face of
:07:14. > :07:20.terrorist groups that are moving quickly. With Ramadan starting,
:07:21. > :07:24.there will be some subsidence to a degree in the hostilities in Iraq,
:07:25. > :07:28.that probably gives Isis time to consolidate the ground which holds,
:07:29. > :07:32.one of the problem is that there has been up until now is that it is good
:07:33. > :07:35.at taking things but less good at defending them. There is probably
:07:36. > :07:39.now a period where there is less intensity to the fighting, and it
:07:40. > :07:44.can consolidate those gains they have made. To the Independent,
:07:45. > :07:51.Cameron is empty threat to the EU, there is the suggestion that, for
:07:52. > :07:54.all of his posturing and hard lining on European countries, warning David
:07:55. > :07:58.Cameron and his threats about the British people leaving the EU, if it
:07:59. > :08:05.is not reformed, that could backfire? This is what we have in a
:08:06. > :08:13.lot of the papers, the wash up from last week, there is a story in the
:08:14. > :08:18.Financial Times about Germany being more conciliatory. There is no doubt
:08:19. > :08:23.that some countries, like Germany, want the UK to remain part of the
:08:24. > :08:28.European project is that moves up to speeds. But, there are more
:08:29. > :08:32.ambivalent about whether Britain is part of it or not. I think there is
:08:33. > :08:36.a limit to what David Cameron can achieve. In terms of opening up the
:08:37. > :08:39.single market in things like competition, competition, services,
:08:40. > :08:42.there is a lot of willingness across the board to give some things that
:08:43. > :08:47.Britain wants. On freedom of movement, for the people, that is a
:08:48. > :08:52.no no. It will be a big problem for David Cameron, if you look at all of
:08:53. > :08:59.the polls and focus groups, anti` Europeanism is about immigration
:09:00. > :09:03.now. That'll make the people vote in 2017, I don't see how Cameron can
:09:04. > :09:11.win many concessions on that. There are suggestions that he, himself, is
:09:12. > :09:15.extending the olive branch to Jean`Claude Juncker, and he can work
:09:16. > :09:19.with this man now, that is what he is saying. Last week, there was a
:09:20. > :09:23.lot of hot air. David Cameron has to do business with this man, a lot of
:09:24. > :09:26.the other governments have rallied around him anyway. It is the
:09:27. > :09:29.question as to whether this is the direction of travel, and they have
:09:30. > :09:33.to work with this person. You are right, there's little room for
:09:34. > :09:38.manoeuvre, in what it is that they can retract from the referendum not.
:09:39. > :09:42.What the Berlin press was talking about was that they have to focus on
:09:43. > :09:46.economic growth in the EU, that is important for governments. You can
:09:47. > :09:49.see why Jean`Claude Juncker was supported for that. David Cameron is
:09:50. > :09:52.smart enough to say that he has let his wounds, they have made peace
:09:53. > :09:56.amid the phone call, let's get on with business. We were chatting
:09:57. > :10:01.before we came on air, if we come to the Financial Times now, the story
:10:02. > :10:04.is the polar opposite. This says that Germany pledges to keep the UK
:10:05. > :10:10.in Europe. You made reference to this. The German finance minister
:10:11. > :10:13.said that letting Britain leave would be unimaginable, and that they
:10:14. > :10:17.will do everything in their power to keep us in. On one hand, there is a
:10:18. > :10:21.warning that there will not be that many sweeteners, but the suggestion
:10:22. > :10:28.is that there will be some? The chairman position, `` the German
:10:29. > :10:32.position, I was talking to a senior German, and they said that the point
:10:33. > :10:36.of Germany is that they will do whatever they can to keep you in,
:10:37. > :10:39.but don't ask us to choose between you and the EU. That is how it is
:10:40. > :10:43.best characterised, they want Britain to stay, they don't like the
:10:44. > :10:47.idea of an EU without Britain in it. If the requests and the demands from
:10:48. > :10:55.Britain are too great, Germany, as you saw with Jean`Claude Juncker,
:10:56. > :10:58.will not side with us. Let's turn our attention is to something
:10:59. > :11:03.different now, this is the Daily Mail, how Charles influenced key
:11:04. > :11:07.policies. This is a result of BBC Radio 4's documentary, three former
:11:08. > :11:14.Labour ministers have talked about how Prince Charles bit their ear on
:11:15. > :11:18.certain quality issues, and got them to change their minds, particularly
:11:19. > :11:23.David Blunkett on, schools. He consorted with Labour ministers on
:11:24. > :11:27.issues, including climate change and grammar schools, that was topical at
:11:28. > :11:32.the time, this was several years ago. In terms of asked why this is
:11:33. > :11:36.interesting, Prince Charles rightly is engaged with a lot of groups on
:11:37. > :11:40.the ground, NGOs, and understandably, he has views on
:11:41. > :11:44.these things. The question as to why he should be interfering, or
:11:45. > :11:47.advising or sharing his views with government ministers is maybe not a
:11:48. > :11:53.bad thing. They may not have taken his advice, I am not clear why it is
:11:54. > :11:57.a story, other than this is a monarchy in waiting. There is no
:11:58. > :12:01.defined role for a monarchy in waiting. Naturally, he will be
:12:02. > :12:04.interested in different things and share those viewpoints. Whether the
:12:05. > :12:10.ministers take those views or not, that is up to them. Why shouldn't
:12:11. > :12:15.they? They make the point, the Daily Mail makes the point that the Queen
:12:16. > :12:21.never makes her views known on controversial issues. There is
:12:22. > :12:29.something saying that it is not the role of the monarchy to express
:12:30. > :12:34.views. Occasionally she has expressed views, I see no reason why
:12:35. > :12:36.he shouldn't have views. He has been unsuccessful in getting his
:12:37. > :12:41.viewpoints adopted by the government, that is a good thing as
:12:42. > :12:44.well, I don't know why we are so upset with him having thoughts.
:12:45. > :12:48.It'll be interesting to watch the documentary, to see how those views
:12:49. > :12:54.are conveyed. And see different conversations like this can happen.
:12:55. > :13:01.It is a Radio 4 documentary, it went out this afternoon, and it is
:13:02. > :13:05.available on iPlayer. The story was picked up by the papers, and these
:13:06. > :13:08.letters, the black spider letters, the handwritten ones. People have
:13:09. > :13:11.said that they should be allowed to see them, as members of the public,
:13:12. > :13:17.and see what he is writing to people. It is a slippery slope, once
:13:18. > :13:21.you show those, what more do you show? Advice to ministers, that has
:13:22. > :13:25.been a red line. And policy advice to ministers, they do not publish
:13:26. > :13:29.and would not publish stuff like that. There is this court case, the
:13:30. > :13:32.Guardian is fighting it with the Cabinet office at the moment, to
:13:33. > :13:37.release those letters. They will be fun to look at, I don't know... I
:13:38. > :13:41.don't think we will learn a great deal. We cannot let the paper review
:13:42. > :13:45.go without referring to the picture on lots of the front pages, we are
:13:46. > :13:50.looking specifically at the Independent, a glorious picture of a
:13:51. > :13:54.sparkly Dolly Parton, playing at Glastonbury in front of 100,000
:13:55. > :14:01.people. It made her feel like a rockstar. I bet that she didn't get
:14:02. > :14:05.muddy! Wearing white is a tough choice at Glastonbury. There are
:14:06. > :14:08.people who will really enjoy this. It is closing night at Glastonbury.
:14:09. > :14:14.She is the closing event. People hung around for this, clearly, she
:14:15. > :14:26.was a good draw. And something to pull in. People suggested that she
:14:27. > :14:31.had more people singing along to her then Arcade Fire. Although there is
:14:32. > :14:34.some controversy, some people are saying that she was not singing
:14:35. > :14:40.live, but her management said that she did. Glastonbury like to throw
:14:41. > :14:44.in the spanner into the works. She survived the mud, and put smiles on
:14:45. > :14:48.people 's faces despite the guru. I think she wrote a muddy song as
:14:49. > :14:56.well! Have a listen to that on you Tube, if possible. `` the goo. ``
:14:57. > :14:59.YouTube. That's it for The Papers this hour.
:15:00. > :15:03.Thank you, Zamila Bunglawala and Oliver Wright. Stay with us here on
:15:04. > :15:05.BBC News: At midnight, GPs with a poor record in detecting cancer
:15:06. > :15:07.could be named under government proposals. But coming up next it's
:15:08. > :15:09.time for World Cup