:00:00. > :00:00.had their first gold in the pool and we will have all the drama from the
:00:00. > :00:00.velodrome as Joanna Rowsell won her first major title. That is coming up
:00:00. > :00:22.in 15 minutes. Welcome to our look ahead to what
:00:23. > :00:30.the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.
:00:31. > :00:33.With me are Matthew Syed from the Times and Tony Grew, Parliamentary
:00:34. > :00:37.Many of the front pages are already in.
:00:38. > :00:39.The Mail says police will seize the mobile phones
:00:40. > :00:42.of every driver involved in a car crash, as part of a crackdown
:00:43. > :00:51.have had their day" according to the new Planning Minister,
:00:52. > :00:55.He says almost half the population is now in favour of new housing.
:00:56. > :00:58.The Financial Times marks the economy returning to the size it
:00:59. > :01:01.The Guardian reports that expensive housing developments in London are
:01:02. > :01:03.segregating less well`off tenants from wealthier homeowners by forcing
:01:04. > :01:07.The Times says the US is urgently investigating reports Islamist
:01:08. > :01:09.militants in Iraq have got hold of surface`to`air missiles which
:01:10. > :01:13.Major airlines are still flying over the conflict zone,
:01:14. > :01:17.The Express claims that a group of suspected illegal migrants have
:01:18. > :01:24.been arrested for trying to sneak out of the UK.
:01:25. > :01:31.Let's begin with the Financial Times. They have a pretty graph for
:01:32. > :01:36.us to look at. Longest slump in a century ends, Osborne hails
:01:37. > :01:45.milestone, Tories by election pay`out, Miliband looks at image
:01:46. > :01:48.politics. It depends whether you believe this that this tax, if I can
:01:49. > :01:54.say the word, because some people are casting doubt on whether we are
:01:55. > :02:02.out of the woods `` the statistics. We are, it has taken us a long time
:02:03. > :02:04.to get here. I believe them. The question is not whether the
:02:05. > :02:09.statistics say people have come out of the recession but does life
:02:10. > :02:14.you'll better for people, that will decide if the Tories can hold on.
:02:15. > :02:18.Labour's desertion is that while we may be out of a recession and things
:02:19. > :02:23.are getting better, that cost of living squeeze is still going on and
:02:24. > :02:27.people do not feel things are going better for them in their lives. How
:02:28. > :02:35.confident the electorate are in May 2015 will be a factor in how people
:02:36. > :02:41.vote. The key statistic that Tony has missed, although it is correct
:02:42. > :02:46.the economy is slightly eager than it was when the recession first hit,
:02:47. > :02:52.because the population has grown, GDP per person or income per capita
:02:53. > :02:58.has gone down by 4%, and that is one reason people feel squeezed. Looking
:02:59. > :03:03.forward, it is well established among forecasters that the economy
:03:04. > :03:09.will grow faster in the UK than any other major economy by 3.2% this
:03:10. > :03:13.year. That presents Labour with a challenge, even on competence Tories
:03:14. > :03:18.are scoring higher than Labour and that is a strong indicator of how
:03:19. > :03:23.people vote. Labour are saying it is not as good as it might seem but
:03:24. > :03:28.they have to start articulating a more positive vision of how they are
:03:29. > :03:34.trusted with the economy, how they will build faster growth and build
:03:35. > :03:40.the economy. I was lucky enough to be at the Labour international
:03:41. > :03:43.Holocene forum last Sunday, and Ed Miliband gave a speech saying they
:03:44. > :03:49.are not going back to new Labour but they are not going back to old new
:03:50. > :03:53.Labour, and they are aware that fiscal confidence is key, they have
:03:54. > :04:00.to convince the voters they will not have a convinced of the tax and
:04:01. > :04:05.spend policies. You could argue about that, borrow and spend
:04:06. > :04:10.policies. They had that last time around, borrowing to invest and then
:04:11. > :04:14.they breached it. I'm not sure all the markets will take those
:04:15. > :04:18.assertions seriously. If you look at the fact the economy is back to what
:04:19. > :04:25.it was, economic growth has been pretty much zero over the last six
:04:26. > :04:32.years. Between the second century ET and 1800, global economic growth was
:04:33. > :04:35.zero. The reason it began picking up was because of the Industrial
:04:36. > :04:41.Revolution and market economics. They have driven economic growth and
:04:42. > :04:45.that is that rain Tony Blair took new Labour onto, he talked about
:04:46. > :04:53.growth and tax efficiency and that resonated and made sense. In terms
:04:54. > :04:59.of contact, 200 years is not bad. To be fair it was 2000 years, we went
:05:00. > :05:03.back to BC there. I don't think you can blame Ed Miliband for that and
:05:04. > :05:09.Tony Blair was lucky to come in as the economy was starting to bloom.
:05:10. > :05:12.If you're lucky enough to comment when the economy is booming you have
:05:13. > :05:17.a lot of money to spend on and schools, like David Cameron you
:05:18. > :05:23.comment touring a recession you have to have a focus. Growth is the key
:05:24. > :05:27.economic issue. Without growth you were not have the money to spend and
:05:28. > :05:37.that is that rain Labour need to get off too. Staying with the FT, lunch
:05:38. > :05:44.`` Russia launches Mack attack. As a headline goes, that is pretty good.
:05:45. > :05:46.The West is invading the `` threatening further sanctions
:05:47. > :05:53.against Russia because of Ukraine and Moscow is hitting back at the
:05:54. > :05:56.cheeseburgers. They are saying the hygiene standards of the products
:05:57. > :06:03.sold by McDonald's do not meet Russian standards. What is brilliant
:06:04. > :06:07.is that this is supposed to be an independent Russia consumer
:06:08. > :06:14.protection agency and one gets the impression it may not be quite as
:06:15. > :06:18.independent as one may hope. This agency banned Latvian sprats during
:06:19. > :06:25.a real dispute with reader, Georgian wine during another war and Polish
:06:26. > :06:34.port, so it may just be that it is a political ruse, am I being cynical?
:06:35. > :06:40.No. But it struck me that it is 25 years since McDonald's began
:06:41. > :06:43.operating in Russia and I am told this was an iconic image, Russians
:06:44. > :06:48.queueing in wet square to go to McDonald's. `` in red Square. You
:06:49. > :06:54.worry they might be moving slightly backwards. A big Mack and fries to
:06:55. > :07:02.anyone who can pronounce the name of the agency correctly. That is not
:07:03. > :07:10.bad. I like the accent. Do I get the fries? I have thrown myself there
:07:11. > :07:16.with me terrible joke. I fear ending up in welfare says Esther McVey.
:07:17. > :07:26.This is the former TV presenter who is very telegenic, as they argue,
:07:27. > :07:30.part of the raft of women brought in during the reshuffle and she says
:07:31. > :07:37.she feared one day she could fall on hard times and end up on benefits.
:07:38. > :07:47.This is a big change in tone. I am still smiling at raft of women,
:07:48. > :07:53.there was a lot about that. Floating on the Thames. There was speculation
:07:54. > :07:57.she would be promoted to Cabinet, she can attend Cabinet but she is
:07:58. > :08:03.still a Minister of State and we were told she would do be doing more
:08:04. > :08:07.TV and being the face of the party. She is a woman from Liverpool, she
:08:08. > :08:12.looks different to the Tories and now it seems she is sending out a
:08:13. > :08:18.different message to her boss Iain Duncan Smith. One area in which the
:08:19. > :08:23.Tories are keen to shore up their image is women voters, so it is
:08:24. > :08:27.interesting Esther McVey saying she fears having to go on benefits and I
:08:28. > :08:31.suspect that is up here a lot of women will share and that is quite
:08:32. > :08:37.she is putting out this message. I agree with a lot of that but I think
:08:38. > :08:41.her point is a good one, in a dynamic economy where people have to
:08:42. > :08:46.change jobs, we should not vilify people on benefits. That has been
:08:47. > :08:51.the tone for a long time under Iain Duncan Smith. All of us at some
:08:52. > :08:57.stage may have to go on benefits. And none of us is very far away from
:08:58. > :09:01.needing to go on benefits. Especially in the media, and she is
:09:02. > :09:05.saying we should think of it as a way of nurturing people back into
:09:06. > :09:08.work, and that may resonate with people who were scared about losing
:09:09. > :09:15.their job. It has moved from morality, Iain Duncan Smith's
:09:16. > :09:20.argument was that it was immoral to leave people on benefits and now it
:09:21. > :09:28.is about empathy and what people may consider dominant traits. ``
:09:29. > :09:37.feminine traits. Femininity, so be a male construct. At million pound
:09:38. > :09:44.boost to the taxpayer through RBS. Its state has surged through ?3.3
:09:45. > :09:49.billion. We paid ?43 billion for this so I am not sure how excited we
:09:50. > :09:55.should be. 81% of the bank is owned by the taxpayer. We bought the
:09:56. > :10:04.shares at ?500 and they are still only at 360 4p. `` 500 p. Maybe we
:10:05. > :10:07.will get our money back one day but Matthew may know more about this
:10:08. > :10:15.than me because he has more investments. I don't have shares in
:10:16. > :10:21.RBS. You rate taxpayer, you do. I do, but I seem to remember that the
:10:22. > :10:26.way the bank were structured, they split it into a good bag and bad
:10:27. > :10:30.bank, so the toxic elements were in the bad bank and it seems to have
:10:31. > :10:35.brought to an extent. I agree it hasn't come back to its 2008
:10:36. > :10:39.valuation that the amount the taxpayer is in for is significantly
:10:40. > :10:44.reduced. It may be worth saying this is a good news story. It says it is
:10:45. > :10:49.good news that after the hard work of the British people, that is a
:10:50. > :10:55.different story. Let's move on to the Daily Mail. Police to seize
:10:56. > :10:59.mobile is in every car crash. Crackdown in calls and texting at
:11:00. > :11:05.the wheel. This seems like a sensible thing to do. Totally, and
:11:06. > :11:10.every time I am cut up on the road and look at the person, it seems to
:11:11. > :11:17.be someone on the phone so it seems a rational thing to do to deter faux
:11:18. > :11:23.news at the wheel. Before coming on I took a look at the academic
:11:24. > :11:29.evidence, and a lot of the weight put on trying to deter the use of
:11:30. > :11:34.mobile phones is based on a 1997 study which may have been superseded
:11:35. > :11:40.by a study in California three or four days ago, where they looked at
:11:41. > :11:45.the change in Californian laws after 2000 but `` mobile phones were
:11:46. > :11:49.banned and they do not think the ban has had much of an effect on
:11:50. > :11:55.motoring safety. That sounds very counterintuitive. I also looked at a
:11:56. > :12:00.meta` studies. What is a meta` study? It collates evidence from
:12:01. > :12:07.different studies to get a more robust finding and they also didn't
:12:08. > :12:11.seem to think, I find this... Evidentially it is unnecessary but
:12:12. > :12:17.they will do it anyway. It is fair to say it is ambiguous. I was at a
:12:18. > :12:23.lunch with the Transport Secretary. He gets to so many places. Patrick
:12:24. > :12:28.McLoughlin was saying that one death on the roads is too many, but the UK
:12:29. > :12:33.has done well in cutting the amount of deaths from drunk driving, people
:12:34. > :12:37.not wearing seat belts, but he was worried about the rise of incidents
:12:38. > :12:42.and people being killed in accidents because of mobile phones. This is
:12:43. > :12:47.not just coming from Meta data or politicians, this is the police
:12:48. > :12:51.saying they want this to happen and there is talk of increasing penalty
:12:52. > :12:55.points. I am not sure how practical it will be for police to seize every
:12:56. > :13:12.mobile phones but I think it is a move in the right direction. to
:13:13. > :13:15.something that is being stopped from happening in New York, according to
:13:16. > :13:25.this article. The mayor of his `` of New York has
:13:26. > :13:28.set this. This has been going on in London for a wild. I'm a people that
:13:29. > :13:41.live in tower blocks were the first eight floors... Councils. Building
:13:42. > :13:56.houses for various reasons. Developers are building houses, and
:13:57. > :14:00.what comes from that is as segregation, the apartheid and
:14:01. > :14:04.housing. The article says there is a justification for this from the
:14:05. > :14:10.point of view of the property developer. What they're talking is a
:14:11. > :14:13.single development with two different doors, but what has
:14:14. > :14:17.happened far more often is having the prestige development and then
:14:18. > :14:22.building the social housing in a different part of London come on
:14:23. > :14:26.that is a different part of London, two different sites, but what the
:14:27. > :14:34.developers have responded to, not unexpectedly, if they have the same
:14:35. > :14:38.insurance, glass, slick, carpets, the service charge for those in
:14:39. > :14:43.social housing would be far higher, so they say they are doing it to
:14:44. > :14:47.mitigate the cost of the service, and they would say that. It is
:14:48. > :14:55.really going again social cohesion, that this policy was supposed to
:14:56. > :15:00.create. We will come back again with Tony and Matthew and lots more
:15:01. > :15:05.statistics at half past 11. Stay with us, because coming up next, we
:15:06. > :15:30.will go over the day's sports. Hello and welcome to
:15:31. > :15:42.Commonwealth Games Sportsday.