25/07/2014

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:00:17. > :00:28.Welcome to our lookahead at the papers. Let us take a look at the

:00:29. > :00:38.front pages. The Daily Mail says police will seize the mobile phones

:00:39. > :00:45.of every driver in a car crash. Almost half the population...

:00:46. > :00:48.The Financial Times marks the economy returning to the size it was

:00:49. > :00:54.before the financial crisis. The Guardian reports on expensive

:00:55. > :01:00.housing developments segregating less wealthy neighbours.

:01:01. > :01:04.The Times says the US is urgently investigating reports that Islamist

:01:05. > :01:11.militants in Iraq have gotten I hold of surface`to`air vessels that can

:01:12. > :01:14.bring down a commercial jet. The Scotsman pictures Daniel Wallace

:01:15. > :01:28.with Scotland's seventh Commonwealth Games cold metal. `` gold medal.

:01:29. > :01:30.And the mother of three might be to make `` a three`year`old who killed

:01:31. > :01:39.her son. New missile threat raises fears for

:01:40. > :01:43.airline passengers. It has only been a week since the Malaysian airlines

:01:44. > :01:50.plane came down over the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine. Now the

:01:51. > :01:53.US says it is looking into Islamist militants in Iraq who have managed

:01:54. > :02:00.to obtain a surface`to`air missile. Extraordinary. Planes still fly over

:02:01. > :02:09.areas where there is conflict. That is why this is a strong and striking

:02:10. > :02:14.story. Of your paper. I should express an interest here. It says a

:02:15. > :02:22.popular route passes over a key stronghold in the self declared

:02:23. > :02:30.Islamic caliphate. It quotes a Lieutenant`Colonel, a former SS ``

:02:31. > :02:35.SAS member. He makes an important point that civilian jets should not

:02:36. > :02:39.fly over active war zones that could use high altitude air defence

:02:40. > :02:43.systems. This is an issue of very serious concern. We are seeing the

:02:44. > :02:49.level of civilian aircraft and harrowing images. This is something

:02:50. > :02:55.that people will be deeply concerned about. One would expect air`traffic

:02:56. > :02:58.control taking into account these concerns to change the roots of

:02:59. > :03:06.aircraft so they did not go over these areas. It is about whether...

:03:07. > :03:11.The United States is investigating whether they obtained the missiles.

:03:12. > :03:13.There is no evidence they have. Intelligence sources are very

:03:14. > :03:18.concerned. I am sure they are concerned about a lot of things.

:03:19. > :03:22.They are investigating. It says the Pentagon has ordered American

:03:23. > :03:27.special forces to confirm whether or not they possess these weapons. I am

:03:28. > :03:34.not sure whether I am full of hope about what they will find. There is

:03:35. > :03:41.a difference with Ukraine. The separatists had already shot down

:03:42. > :03:47.planes. They had already shot down military planes. There is no

:03:48. > :03:59.evidence that this will happen. I am not sure `` saying that they should

:04:00. > :04:02.not take cautions. There will be extra fuel costs, and that is the

:04:03. > :04:09.risk that airlines will need to make. Those are the airlines that

:04:10. > :04:15.directed their planes away from the Ukraine and took the hit of the

:04:16. > :04:18.extra costs. I am not saying it is not happening, but this is an

:04:19. > :04:25.example of the newspaper moving the story along. Qualified credit. I

:04:26. > :04:30.take that while it is on offer. Moving on to the express. Ed

:04:31. > :04:40.Miliband, the only film style I'd like is Wallace, says Ed Miliband.

:04:41. > :04:51.How much is a gamble is this? Saying, I am just an ordinary man?

:04:52. > :04:56.That is probably a conscious uncoupling from the Tony Blair

:04:57. > :05:06.years, where it is all sparkle. Ed Miliband is complaining about Ed ``

:05:07. > :05:10.politicians talking about image. It is if few late for him to try and

:05:11. > :05:13.convince the people that he is focusing on the material. But we

:05:14. > :05:17.have got the election campaign, and this may turn people. People do not

:05:18. > :05:25.like the idea that there political leaders are sleek. David Cameron has

:05:26. > :05:29.spent too much time courting the media, commenting on things that he

:05:30. > :05:37.should not. For me, the media of this is when Tony Blair was

:05:38. > :05:42.commenting on the trail of a character who does not exist except

:05:43. > :05:48.in Coronation Street. How much do you pander to what the papers tell

:05:49. > :05:52.you you are interested in. I do not think Ed Miliband's image problem

:05:53. > :05:58.has got much to do with people not thinking he has ideas of substance.

:05:59. > :06:06.I agree with about half of that. Maybe 55%. The real problem is when

:06:07. > :06:10.a politician is having to explain to the public why they are not terribly

:06:11. > :06:15.keen on them. Ed Miliband is somebody we are not keen on the

:06:16. > :06:20.moment. If you were to focus on substance, we would like more.

:06:21. > :06:26.Ronald Reagan says when politicians have to make those kind explanations

:06:27. > :06:32.about their image, they are losing. I think this is a risk for Ed

:06:33. > :06:37.Miliband. I think Tony is right. It goes into the clear division at the

:06:38. > :06:59.moment between David Cameron and Ed Miliband. What does he need to do?

:07:00. > :07:09.He should start working on policy. If he wants to be seen as a policy

:07:10. > :07:12.person, he should talk about policy. One thing that is really important

:07:13. > :07:19.in politics is that voters are not stupid. I'm not saying Labour's

:07:20. > :07:24.policies are stupid, just that you have to convince people that your

:07:25. > :07:29.policies, no party and your leader are already fit for government. But

:07:30. > :07:32.in the television age, the way you express policies and the way people

:07:33. > :07:37.think about how you do that, the body language that you bring to

:07:38. > :07:40.bear, all of that fits into an image that is going to generate a certain

:07:41. > :07:51.reaction from the public and drive votes. Police will seize mobile

:07:52. > :07:59.phones in every car crash in a crackdown on texting at the wheel.

:08:00. > :08:04.It seems common sense. Is does. To my mind, it is a sensible policy.

:08:05. > :08:10.Based on anecdotal evidence that I have seen, driving around the

:08:11. > :08:16.streets of London, when people bump into you, it's often when they are

:08:17. > :08:19.distracted by their phone. But looking at the evidence, there is

:08:20. > :08:24.robust evidence coming out of America, that when California banned

:08:25. > :08:29.the use of mobile phones in cars, it did not have a significant effect on

:08:30. > :08:33.the number of accidents even when you look at traffic news and so on.

:08:34. > :08:36.There are other surveys that present a slightly different picture. It

:08:37. > :08:41.seems that the evidence is ambiguous. There is concern among

:08:42. > :08:46.the police that they are seeing a rise in this. 40 years ago, you

:08:47. > :08:50.would be surprised if you had crashed your car and the police

:08:51. > :08:53.officer asked if you had been wearing your seatbelt or had been

:08:54. > :08:59.drinking. Today, none of us would be surprised. Whether they have to

:09:00. > :09:11.seize your phone... It might be in the records anyway. It might act as

:09:12. > :09:18.a deterrent. The Guardian. Poor doors. The segregation of inner`city

:09:19. > :09:22.flatulence. Poorer residents are being forced to use different

:09:23. > :09:33.entrances in the same building. `` the segregation of inner`city flat

:09:34. > :09:41.dwellers. I do see the point that people living in the same building

:09:42. > :09:44.should use the same entrance. I take the point about community cohesion,

:09:45. > :09:48.that we all live in the same society. That was only 55 minutes

:09:49. > :09:59.that took! I'm material. I have been thinking about it. Now you can take

:10:00. > :10:03.the we are all the same line. When developers are putting prime

:10:04. > :10:08.developments in London, they often create social housing in a different

:10:09. > :10:12.part of London. It is not just a different door to the development,

:10:13. > :10:16.it is the social housing in a different part of the geography.

:10:17. > :10:21.This apartheid has been going on for some time. The whole rationale for

:10:22. > :10:26.having social housing among prime real estate is for social cohesion,

:10:27. > :10:30.though people to mingle, for social barriers to break down and to create

:10:31. > :10:34.mutual understanding. Even though developers essentially say that if

:10:35. > :10:39.you share the common parts, the service charge for the socialising

:10:40. > :10:45.will be higher, and they would say that, wouldn't they? It does hit at

:10:46. > :10:53.the basic rationale of the policy. In London, the poorer rich have

:10:54. > :10:57.always mixed cheek by jowl. Is a very stark bit of segregation, isn't

:10:58. > :11:07.it? It is much to do with the way it is being reported. You have got half

:11:08. > :11:14.in the `` you have got tough in the last hour. Esther McVey fears ending

:11:15. > :11:19.up on welfare. We will probably see quite a bit of her in the run`up to

:11:20. > :11:22.the election. She says she fears that she could fall on hard times

:11:23. > :11:24.and end up living on benefits and she is calling for more tolerance

:11:25. > :11:30.towards people who do claim benefits. This is quite a change in

:11:31. > :11:37.the sort of... The Conservative approach to benefits claims. Iain

:11:38. > :11:40.Duncan Smith, who has been making most of the running on this since

:11:41. > :11:44.the election, has had a very different tone. There is often a

:11:45. > :11:49.sense of vilification of people on benefits, on welfare, that they are

:11:50. > :11:53.doing something wrong and are not self`reliant. And that has

:11:54. > :11:57.stigmatised welfare. This is clearly an image thing. They have a woman

:11:58. > :12:01.from the north of England, who speaks in a different way to Iain

:12:02. > :12:05.Duncan Smith, saying that people on benefits need to be nurtured back

:12:06. > :12:09.into work. It seems that independent of the tone, it is a sensible point.

:12:10. > :12:13.In a modern and dynamic economy where people change jobs, most

:12:14. > :12:20.people will end up on benefits at some point. And this is an important

:12:21. > :12:23.way of making sure that people do not feel they are on the scrapheap,

:12:24. > :12:29.that they have the opportunity to move on to something better. Isn't

:12:30. > :12:32.it a bit late for that message? I think that the Tories have looked at

:12:33. > :12:35.their market research and it has told them that this is affecting

:12:36. > :12:41.them badly and they have decided to change the mood music, if not the

:12:42. > :12:48.policy. How to squirm your way into Cambridge. Cambridge University

:12:49. > :12:50.giving us access to videos of admission interviews that

:12:51. > :12:55.prospective students have to go through to try to debunk the myths

:12:56. > :13:06.of just how awful the process can be. You won't to Oxford, Matthew.

:13:07. > :13:09.similarly nerve wracking. It was nerve wracking. I went to a state

:13:10. > :13:19.school and never thought I would end up in Oxford. I was in a room with a

:13:20. > :13:22.communist and a philosopher. It is intimidating if you are not used to

:13:23. > :13:26.justifying an intellectual argument in front of two academics. We were

:13:27. > :13:31.talking about employment and voluntary and involuntary

:13:32. > :13:35.employment. One said if he were to put a gun to my head and then leave

:13:36. > :13:39.this room or I will shoot you and you subsequently left, would that be

:13:40. > :13:43.a voluntary or involuntary act? We spent the next half hour debating

:13:44. > :13:49.the philosophical niceties of what constitutes a free act. Going back

:13:50. > :13:50.to the story, it is a good idea to show people what it is like because

:13:51. > :13:59.it can be intimidating and people should practice before they do it.

:14:00. > :14:01.They do these days. Everything that is wrong with our political culture

:14:02. > :14:09.in one anecdote. It tells you about the sort of people who write

:14:10. > :14:14.for and read the Times. What do you mean? It is this classic... Why am I

:14:15. > :14:20.reading and almost 5`page about one university in this

:14:21. > :14:37.country? It is just the Oxford and Cambridge elite. And they

:14:38. > :14:44.say is: We are Leeds. Thank you for joining us. And at midnight, we will

:14:45. > :14:45.have more on the economy. Time for the latest from the Commonwealth

:14:46. > :14:56.Games.