:00:00. > :00:00.presidents pay tribute to the fallen soldiers of the First World War, 100
:00:00. > :00:15.years after Germany declared hostilities against France.
:00:16. > :00:20.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing
:00:21. > :00:26.us tomorrow. Sitting worryingly close to each other, that daily
:00:27. > :00:30.Mirror's deputy political editor James Lyons and the Daily
:00:31. > :00:36.Telegraph's senior correspondent Christopher Hope. I can't work out
:00:37. > :00:42.the pecking order! Tomorrow's front pages: The Independent says UKIP
:00:43. > :00:47.could force Labour out of many key seats.
:00:48. > :00:50.The Metro leads on the air strike at the school in Gaza.
:00:51. > :00:55.The Guardian has the same story and a picture of the Common Wealth games
:00:56. > :00:59.closing ceremony. Short and sweet. Let's start with
:01:00. > :01:04.the Independent. A political story for you to get your teeth into.
:01:05. > :01:14."Miliband warned of UKIP threat to Labour majority". An academic warns
:01:15. > :01:16.of the right`wing party's potential to take working`class
:01:17. > :01:20.constituencies. I remember reading last week about another piece of
:01:21. > :01:24.work that said UKIP only needed to take 9% of the vote in the general
:01:25. > :01:28.election and it would put Ed Miliband into Downing Street. That's
:01:29. > :01:33.what Ed Miliband's team believe and hope but the truth about UKIP, which
:01:34. > :01:38.some of the Labour Party may have been slow to wake up too, is that
:01:39. > :01:42.they can cause mayhem for all of the parties. They're taking away votes
:01:43. > :01:46.from the Lib Dems, for goodness' sake stop if you can imagine the
:01:47. > :01:49.type of person who goes from voting Nick Clegg at the last election to
:01:50. > :01:54.Nigel Farage on this one... Those people do exist and they are a
:01:55. > :01:58.problem for the Lib Dems. This highlights that there are seats,
:01:59. > :02:02.predominantly in traditional working class Labour seats where UKIP will
:02:03. > :02:06.pose a big threat and competition come the next election. They've
:02:07. > :02:21.singled out one here, Ashfield, where Glorietta Piero is the one of
:02:22. > :02:23.the rising stars of labour. `` Gloria Di Piero. I think she will be
:02:24. > :02:30.safe because she's working extra hard. There are places like great
:02:31. > :02:33.Grimsby where Austin Mitchell, or Austin Haddock as he was known when
:02:34. > :02:39.he changed his name briefly, where they could cause a problem. The
:02:40. > :02:42.danger for Labour is that those people who they've attracted from
:02:43. > :02:46.the Conservatives will be tempted to go back to the Conservatives as the
:02:47. > :02:50.election gets nearer because they don't want Ed Miliband Downing
:02:51. > :02:58.Street and they may hold on Labour votes and then shed the Tories. If
:02:59. > :03:01.UKIP to such a diverse section of voters, nobody is really going to
:03:02. > :03:06.going to want to state clearly what the outcome is going to be. You
:03:07. > :03:11.could call them the "none of the above" party. They are protest party
:03:12. > :03:14.and will eat into both parties. Be wary of any of these national
:03:15. > :03:20.projections. They need to win 24% of the vote to get an MP, so it is a
:03:21. > :03:23.low starting base. What they are banking on is doing really well in
:03:24. > :03:27.the East Midlands and the coastal areas, where they have strong
:03:28. > :03:34.council support from the May elections and the year before last.
:03:35. > :03:40.They may try to get a handful of MPs. Any opinion poll at this stage
:03:41. > :03:45.is too far out, isn't it, to be trusted? They always used to say
:03:46. > :03:50.that whoever is ahead of Christmas will win so let's wait and see what
:03:51. > :03:53.happens at Christmas. What's happened in British politics is
:03:54. > :03:56.we're seeing a real fracturing where it isn't just UKIP the shrug of the
:03:57. > :04:00.greens are taking votes away from the Lib Dems and Labour. It's going
:04:01. > :04:05.to be very difficult for anyone to get a majority. Everyone is
:04:06. > :04:12.expecting a hung parliament as the most likely outcome. You could
:04:13. > :04:15.rewrite that introduction to say "Tory victory" quite easily and it
:04:16. > :04:20.could equally be true. Thanks for saying that. Let's look ahead to the
:04:21. > :04:25.commemorations here and in other parts of Europe tomorrow of the
:04:26. > :04:30.beginning of the First World War. The picture is of headstones at a
:04:31. > :04:36.British ceremony in France and the quote at the top is extremely
:04:37. > :04:41.moving. "I look from time to time at the pictures my father's mate posted
:04:42. > :04:49.him from France. Come and join us, they wrote. They all died in the
:04:50. > :04:53.war, my father's friends. " It will be a sombre day tomorrow and normal
:04:54. > :05:00.politics will be suspended because tomorrow is a huge day. The idea of
:05:01. > :05:06.lamps going out across Europe is interesting, to symbolise this huge
:05:07. > :05:09.sacrifice 100 years ago. A lot of encouragement on social media for
:05:10. > :05:14.people to take part and show their respects. It is a great way to try
:05:15. > :05:21.to make a connection. Particularly for younger people and kids today,
:05:22. > :05:24.because it isn't like there are people alive now who can tell them
:05:25. > :05:31.about a first hand so it's important to do something dramatic for them to
:05:32. > :05:36.Copperhead. Let's look at the Metro. UN outrage as Gaza school is hit
:05:37. > :05:39.again. The secretary general cause the strike criminal. The US State
:05:40. > :05:43.Department say they are appalled at the attack. This seems much stronger
:05:44. > :05:48.language from both the UN and the US. Yes, the UN has been sounding
:05:49. > :05:55.pretty tough on this for a while and the US has worded some of the more
:05:56. > :06:01.tragic incidents such as this one but this is definitely a toughening
:06:02. > :06:07.of the line from the British government. People have seen Ed
:06:08. > :06:13.Miliband calling on the Government to step up to the mark, stand up to
:06:14. > :06:16.Israel and say what is happening in Gaza is an acceptable and calling
:06:17. > :06:22.out David Cameron. That's led to a huge political row today but we saw
:06:23. > :06:26.Philip Hammond coming out and using rather stronger language than he
:06:27. > :06:30.might have done had Ed Miliband not stood up and said what he did. He
:06:31. > :06:35.was on it and early, Miliband, to be fair to him. He went out to Israel
:06:36. > :06:40.last year and he has been really firm on this story, trying to sound
:06:41. > :06:45.out... His trip was in stark contrast to the Prime Minister's,
:06:46. > :06:50.the trip the Prime Minister did quite recently. He stood up and gave
:06:51. > :06:51.a speech in the Connecticut, the Israeli parliament, which was
:06:52. > :06:59.completely uncritical and had no tough messages. `` in the Knesset.
:07:00. > :07:05.There wasn't a word about the need to engage. Isn't it easier for the
:07:06. > :07:12.leader of the is to say those things than the Prime Minister? Yes, he can
:07:13. > :07:15.because the UK is obviously looking to the US for their support for
:07:16. > :07:23.Israel and wondering what he can get away with saying. The pictures are
:07:24. > :07:28.so appalling, it's hard. It's hard to be critical of Ed Miliband for
:07:29. > :07:33.raising it. I appreciate it's hard to play politics with it but it
:07:34. > :07:37.speaks to some of the horrors felt by people. David Cameron was saying
:07:38. > :07:42.very similar things in 2006 when he was in opposition. The thing that
:07:43. > :07:47.struck me was the sense of disbelief expressed by the UN workers that it
:07:48. > :07:52.was another school, despite the fact that 33 times the UN has explained
:07:53. > :08:00.where the ball are, or where they congregated, and yet still this
:08:01. > :08:02.supposedly accurate shelling as... There are credible reports that
:08:03. > :08:10.Hamas are using these schools as weapons dumps and to fire rockets
:08:11. > :08:14.from there into Israel. Israel say that they've had intelligence that
:08:15. > :08:21.there was a terrorist on a motorbike that they were trying to target and
:08:22. > :08:25.everything has got caught up. It's hard to... It easy for us here to
:08:26. > :08:31.try to rationalise things. It's just read full, really. Israel are
:08:32. > :08:36.pushing that very hard against the footage we're seeing, justifying
:08:37. > :08:39.last night's suggestion that a soldier had been taken hostage and
:08:40. > :08:43.then the soldier turned out to have died. That was a story on the BBC
:08:44. > :08:49.and other networks today, saying, was that really the case? It's a PR
:08:50. > :08:57.battle as much as anything else for Israel to try to keep going without
:08:58. > :09:05.upsetting America any more. The guardian paper has a story about
:09:06. > :09:08.women's refuges being closed and support for the most honourable
:09:09. > :09:18.women and children being put back by almost 40 years. And this is before
:09:19. > :09:24.all of the cuts starting to bite. This is a council cut so although
:09:25. > :09:27.they are trying to make it into a western story, with a picture of
:09:28. > :09:33.Theresa May, it is choices made by councils. This is a council
:09:34. > :09:37.decision. The Guardian has pulled together a number of councils who
:09:38. > :09:41.have closed the centres and take on local choices. If you were a
:09:42. > :09:46.conservative, you would be saying this was an example of localism and
:09:47. > :09:50.local priorities. If you've had a 25 present budget cut, which councils
:09:51. > :09:52.across Britain have, and the Government are refusing to ring
:09:53. > :09:57.fence the money for this kind of facility, if you are forcing town
:09:58. > :10:04.hall chiefs to make a choice between providing social care for vulnerable
:10:05. > :10:08.and elderly people or social workers to protect children and this kind of
:10:09. > :10:17.provision, that isn't really a choice. The first ones you mentioned
:10:18. > :10:22.and statutory. The rules around social care are being rewritten, as
:10:23. > :10:25.you know, about what level of help you are allowed. It's being
:10:26. > :10:28.rewritten as we speak and a lot less people will get care because of it.
:10:29. > :10:32.There's also the question of the level of provision for vulnerable
:10:33. > :10:37.children. There is a suggestion from this article that some of these safe
:10:38. > :10:44.houses are being closed because they don't take in male victims. I don't
:10:45. > :10:47.know how easy it is to have male and female victims in the same place. I
:10:48. > :10:57.couldn't see explained in the copy we have here is why a woman's refuge
:10:58. > :11:00.would have to take men. Further into the article it says a new focus is
:11:01. > :11:06.on providing accommodation for male victims, which has led to funding
:11:07. > :11:09.being cut for women's refuges. It is right that we acknowledge that men
:11:10. > :11:13.can be victims of this kind of abuse that it is awful that you have to
:11:14. > :11:18.make a choice between one gender or another. While not dismissing it in
:11:19. > :11:23.anyway, the numbers of men who fall victim to this are much smaller so
:11:24. > :11:28.there is clearly an issue around how you provide that kind of protection.
:11:29. > :11:33.But what happens to these women and children who have nowhere to go?
:11:34. > :11:39.Potentially they'll have to stay in a place where they are in danger.
:11:40. > :11:51.I'm sure there will be some sort of temporary provision like B It's
:11:52. > :11:56.difficult. The answer might be to make this area statutory so that it
:11:57. > :12:03.isn't subject to these whims of a counsellor. It's difficult. Not a
:12:04. > :12:07.lot of levity in the papers of late so let's give thanks to the
:12:08. > :12:09.Commonwealth Games and a glittering finish with Kylie Minogue in an
:12:10. > :12:17.extraordinary pair of boots and a headdress. Chris was glued to
:12:18. > :12:21.Kylie's boots before we came on! He didn't know any of the tunes that he
:12:22. > :12:26.liked the boots. Not a look that many of us can pull off! After the
:12:27. > :12:29.Gold Rush, the game store to a close and the president of the
:12:30. > :12:35.Commonwealth Games Federation says it is the best Games ever. It had to
:12:36. > :12:39.be after India. That one went over budget and was a bit of a disaster.
:12:40. > :12:45.This has been a really good kart games and we should be proud of it
:12:46. > :12:48.and England won the medals table. It did indeed! It sounded like Glasgow
:12:49. > :12:52.was a great place to be a visitor. It sounded buzzing. I was very
:12:53. > :12:56.envious listening to and watching the coverage and remembering what it
:12:57. > :13:05.was like to be privileged enough to be in London during the Olympics. It
:13:06. > :13:09.completely tipped it down today! Apparently there were binmen on
:13:10. > :13:11.parade at the closing ceremony. I loved the tea cakes at the opening
:13:12. > :13:16.ceremony so I would have liked to catch those! No sooner have they
:13:17. > :13:20.closed than we are starting to talk about legacy. Will we see much of
:13:21. > :13:25.that? The question is still hanging over the Olympic Games. Slightly
:13:26. > :13:30.different in that they were using a lot of existing infrastructure
:13:31. > :13:34.there, not building the same big, new stadiums. One of the depressing
:13:35. > :13:39.thing is, or disappointing things, about the Olympics is the fact that
:13:40. > :13:43.here we are after hosting such a magnificent Games and people are
:13:44. > :13:47.less active and doing less sport. That's it for The Papers this hour
:13:48. > :13:52.but James and Christopher will be back with us again, we think, at
:13:53. > :13:54.11:30pm but it all depends on the camera crew games on the closing
:13:55. > :14:00.ceremony and the news but we'll be here doing something. Stay with us.
:14:01. > :14:02.At 11pm, more on the suspected Israeli missile strike close to the
:14:03. > :14:04.UN run school in Gaza.