:00:00. > :00:00.England to win their first World. `` qualifier in. We will find out how a
:00:00. > :00:00.spat led to two writers being disqualified in Spain. That is all
:00:00. > :00:19.in Sportsday, in 15 minutes, after the papers. Hello and welcome to our
:00:20. > :00:21.look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are
:00:22. > :00:24.Beth Rigby, deputy political editor of the Financial Times, and John
:00:25. > :00:29.Kampfner, director of the Creative Industries Federation. Tomorrow's
:00:30. > :00:32.front pages, starting with: The Times reports that a leading
:00:33. > :00:39.economist is warning Scottish voters of financial disaster if they vote
:00:40. > :00:43.for independence. The front page of the Daily Mail is devoted to the
:00:44. > :00:45.Royal pregnancy and the referendum with paper saying that Gordon Brown
:00:46. > :00:49.is leading a desperate fight`back by the no campaign. The Guardian has
:00:50. > :00:51.Gordon Brown as the saviour of the Union campaign. The Scotsman says
:00:52. > :00:57.the fight for Scotland's future is now neck and neck. Another royal
:00:58. > :00:59.baby headline from the Mirror, which focuses on the Duchess of
:01:00. > :01:02.Cambridge's acute morning sickness. The Metro manages to merge the
:01:03. > :01:12.referendum and royal story ` the paper asks if the pregnancy news can
:01:13. > :01:15.save the union. And the Sun tells the story of the royal baby in
:01:16. > :01:26.inimitable fashion ` it's headline, 'The Bun'. And then Arrow, in case
:01:27. > :01:34.you are unsure of where that might be. `` an arrow. The battle to save
:01:35. > :01:37.Britain, Gordon Brown launched a last`ditch attempt to save the
:01:38. > :01:40.faltering union last night. The problem is a lot of people have
:01:41. > :01:46.already voted. Absolutely. You know when certain newspapers site with no
:01:47. > :01:52.irony that Gordon Brown is their saviour, you have both newspapers,
:01:53. > :01:59.very much wearing their hearts on their sleeves, the Mail in
:02:00. > :02:05.particular, but others as well being uncritical of Labour politicians in
:02:06. > :02:12.their sort of patriotic mantle, to save the union. You can be equally
:02:13. > :02:18.confident that if Scotland does go independent, and the union falls or
:02:19. > :02:24.whatever you want to describe it, the recriminations will be
:02:25. > :02:31.absolutely vicious. Yes, I mean I suppose one could say that the no
:02:32. > :02:37.campaign have just been too complacent, have they? Well, there
:02:38. > :02:41.was concern in a few months ago that Alistair Darling wasn't the right
:02:42. > :02:45.person to lead the campaign, that he lacked, as people have talked about
:02:46. > :02:50.in more recent weeks, the passion. The passion to win over the people
:02:51. > :02:54.that he had all the head arguments, all the intellectual arguments about
:02:55. > :03:01.currency, about financial institutions, about jobs etc, but
:03:02. > :03:05.did he have the heart? Could he win the Scottish hearts from Alex
:03:06. > :03:10.Salmond? The concern now is that they have left it right to the
:03:11. > :03:14.wire, that they thought that it was going to be a pretty straight round
:03:15. > :03:23.to victory for the pro` unionists. And now suddenly everyone has woken
:03:24. > :03:26.up with this electrifying poll by YouGov over the weekend, which
:03:27. > :03:30.suggest that for the first time this year the yes campaign had edged into
:03:31. > :03:38.the lead, and pulls out tonight say it is neck and neck. So we have gone
:03:39. > :03:44.from it could never happen, to in ten days time, 300 years of union
:03:45. > :03:50.could be over. What is that mean for England, Scotland, Westminster,
:03:51. > :03:56.currency, financial institutions, what does it mean for 600,000
:03:57. > :04:01.Scots? No one seems to know. That is the bizarre thing. It could happen,
:04:02. > :04:07.it is a possibility. And no one really seems to know what it means
:04:08. > :04:11.is, fundamentally. I mean the Scottish Daily Mail is saying the ?2
:04:12. > :04:20.billion tartan panic, if we go to that one, share prices wiped off the
:04:21. > :04:23.share price today, stocks tumbling, all because of the uncertainty of
:04:24. > :04:31.something that could very well happen. We were saying earlier,
:04:32. > :04:36.there is no contingency planning in Whitehall, in the event of a yes
:04:37. > :04:44.vote. The rapper Kuch and, not just for Scotland but for the rest of the
:04:45. > :04:51.UK `` repercussions. Every aspect of the future of Westminster, what
:04:52. > :04:56.happens to the Scottish seats, what happens to the entire weight the
:04:57. > :05:03.country is run. At the other part is, at the very most, if the no
:05:04. > :05:10.campaign does manage to sort of galvanise or frighten people and
:05:11. > :05:16.they win in the end by 5347, or 52 `48, or whatever, even then things
:05:17. > :05:20.are going to change. They have already committed to massively more
:05:21. > :05:24.power. But also the extent to which we have seen it with the rise of
:05:25. > :05:27.UKIP, the extent of the antipolitics. You have the three
:05:28. > :05:33.main parties all saying please vote no. These are all the arguments, and
:05:34. > :05:38.people are sticking their fingers up at them and saying yes. The entire
:05:39. > :05:47.ranks of Fleet Street are saying please vote no, and everybody is
:05:48. > :05:50.anti` power. But what is interesting about the way the Scottish Daily
:05:51. > :05:54.Mail have done the story, the Guardian have got the financial
:05:55. > :05:58.fallout, and the FT have let on that tonight. Up until this point there
:05:59. > :06:02.was always, you mustn't leave because this could happen. This
:06:03. > :06:07.could happen, you could be worse off, you could lose jobs. Business
:06:08. > :06:11.refused for months and months, and have consistently refused, to
:06:12. > :06:15.actually come out in favour of the pro` unionist campaign for fear of
:06:16. > :06:21.upsetting their customers, of getting a backlash from the SNP, and
:06:22. > :06:26.pro`independence politicians. So everyone has sat on their hands and
:06:27. > :06:32.left it to Alistair Darling to do the heavy lifting. But what you are
:06:33. > :06:37.seeing now is 2.5 billion wiped off financial institutions today, the
:06:38. > :06:43.pound falling to a ten month low. So what you are now seeing, the FT is
:06:44. > :06:46.reporting that the banks are saying some people are actually moving
:06:47. > :06:51.their deposit from Scotland to England as of the uncertainty. And
:06:52. > :06:56.this is the reality of the financial chaos that could happen. And as you
:06:57. > :07:02.have said, Paul Krugman, the Economist, and Nobel prizewinner,
:07:03. > :07:05.has warned that Scots could face financial disaster. It is not just
:07:06. > :07:08.politicians peddling the line now. It is not just politicians peddling
:07:09. > :07:11.the line now. Exactly, you are beginning to see the reality of what
:07:12. > :07:16.could happen. And I wonder if that might shift... Well it might do, but
:07:17. > :07:22.it could equally go the other way. It could equally be the sort of,
:07:23. > :07:29.well, the point I was making before, if the forces of the power, big
:07:30. > :07:44.money, big politics, tell me to do X, I'll do why. The Guardian had
:07:45. > :07:47.Scottish firms, potentially shipping down to London wholesale, because
:07:48. > :07:52.they want a bank of last resort, the Bank of England. Going back to the
:07:53. > :07:55.point you are making a little earlier, about the sort of rubber
:07:56. > :08:01.hitting the road and this might actually make the Scots
:08:02. > :08:04.belligerent, all this talk about the economy and dire warnings about at
:08:05. > :08:14.all, that sort of stuff, after the first debate, Alistair Darling and
:08:15. > :08:20.Alex Salmond, that Alistair Darling won, all the stuff about not be able
:08:21. > :08:23.to keep the Sterling, opinion polls showed that the Scottish people or
:08:24. > :08:25.those in the polls, thought it was a bluff. They did not think that
:08:26. > :08:31.Westminster would follow through on that and take the Queen's head of
:08:32. > :08:38.the money they have. The fact is, as you were saying, the evidence is,
:08:39. > :08:43.that could well happen. `` off. That could change. The reality is that
:08:44. > :08:48.people could start taking their money out of Scotland. Fear of
:08:49. > :08:53.capital flight, if I were Scottish, I would be really concerned about
:08:54. > :08:58.that. Because the financial services sector is huge in Scotland, it is
:08:59. > :09:02.the driver of the economy in Edinburgh. And they have all these
:09:03. > :09:09.companies wondering whether they will stay or whether they will come
:09:10. > :09:13.back. And actually, the head of the, the economic heads of credit
:09:14. > :09:17.Suisse, one of the big investment banks, says there is a clear risk at
:09:18. > :09:21.the moment in being part of the capital structure of the Scottish
:09:22. > :09:24.financial institutions. Investors are factoring that in. That is why
:09:25. > :09:29.all the share prices have come off so heavily today. He says the issue
:09:30. > :09:34.will not be keeping Scotland in the pound, but keeping the pound in
:09:35. > :09:40.Scotland. The front of the Daily Telegraph, the Queen is urged to
:09:41. > :09:46.intervene. Which she won't. She is not allowed to, apparently. Why then
:09:47. > :09:53.would the Telegraph put that on its front page? Being urged. Being urged
:09:54. > :10:02.is one thing. I whom? By the Daily Telegraph? `` by whom. She will be
:10:03. > :10:07.in Balmoral, as is her usual routine, of the late summer and
:10:08. > :10:13.early autumn, that is the time the Prime Minister is there, is part of
:10:14. > :10:19.the standard routine which happens to coincide with the vote. But
:10:20. > :10:26.putting two and two together, there is nothing she can do. I mean her
:10:27. > :10:29.job is, and it will be very interesting to see, the other point
:10:30. > :10:33.is that if Scotland were to vote yes, there is so much details still
:10:34. > :10:38.to be negotiated. In amongst this predicted chaos, just what would...
:10:39. > :10:43.I mean, in a way, you've got full independence still to be worked
:10:44. > :10:47.out. What is the role of the Queen? What is the role of the Sterling?
:10:48. > :10:52.What is the role of the nuclear deterrent? What is the role of
:10:53. > :10:57.embassies around the world? Security Council 's? All of that sort of
:10:58. > :11:06.stuff still to be negotiated. But if it is no, you still have another
:11:07. > :11:11.negotiation, which you could call independence ` lite. And when you
:11:12. > :11:15.start giving, they are all saying to Scotland is now what would you
:11:16. > :11:19.like, we will buy you off, give you whatever powers you like. What is
:11:20. > :11:23.going to happen to other parts of England as well? You look at the
:11:24. > :11:25.north`west, you look at the north`east who are discontented with
:11:26. > :11:28.the concentration of wealth and power in London, you are going to
:11:29. > :11:33.have further fallout within England itself. Tomorrow they will have this
:11:34. > :11:40.press conference, where all the leaders of the Scottish, the leaders
:11:41. > :11:45.of the main Scottish, sorry, the UK parties loop was Scottish leaders
:11:46. > :11:50.are going to lay out what this kind of timetable for devolution that
:11:51. > :11:54.Gordon Brown spoke of actually is `` UK parties' Scottish leaders. They
:11:55. > :11:57.have had a shock over the weekend, they roll out Gordon Brown tonight
:11:58. > :12:09.and that is the kind of headline to save the union. And tomorrow will be
:12:10. > :12:14.the detail of the devolutionary proposals and timetable. So there is
:12:15. > :12:21.some sort of plan. Strategy. They have got to try and get the momentum
:12:22. > :12:26.of the SNP now, to secure... They only have one full week of
:12:27. > :12:34.campaigning to go, just ten days. On to the Times. Britain to join the US
:12:35. > :12:41.led air strikes against ISIS militants next month.
:12:42. > :12:48.Fascinating that until the weekend story of the Scottish referendum
:12:49. > :12:52.when it was barely figuring, it was there and thereabouts. The stories
:12:53. > :13:00.were international ones. Israel, Gaza, Russia, Ukraine. The threat
:13:01. > :13:05.posed by Islamic State and what America did in terms of drones and
:13:06. > :13:14.airstrikes in northern Iraq. David Cameron has been hovering. This is
:13:15. > :13:24.the anniversary around Nel of the decision by the House of Commons to
:13:25. > :13:28.vote against airstrikes, against Bashar al`Assad who won year ago was
:13:29. > :13:37.public enemy number one, now he is our enemy's enemy. Over the summer,
:13:38. > :13:40.a few weeks ago, there were complaints that we couldn't
:13:41. > :13:48.contemplate it while parliament was back. They might well do some
:13:49. > :13:55.limited airstrikes. The big question, the equally big question,
:13:56. > :14:01.is what happens to the many dozens of British citizens who have signed
:14:02. > :14:07.up as jihadis for the fight? What will they do if and when they come
:14:08. > :14:17.back? Sorry, we will quickly go to the Daily Mirror. Kate's so sick. To
:14:18. > :14:28.seek for engagement, with morning sickness. She was hospitalised. She
:14:29. > :14:33.is being treated. In her last pregnancy... You have got to be
:14:34. > :14:38.pretty sick. I have had morning sickness and it is unpleasant but to
:14:39. > :14:45.be hospitalised... I imagine from the reports I have read that she is
:14:46. > :14:51.probably not at 12 weeks yet. At the time where you would normally tell
:14:52. > :14:56.people, because you have had your first scan and the baby seems OK.
:14:57. > :15:02.They have obviously rushed out the news because she is very ill. It
:15:03. > :15:07.must be tough for them in that most people don't want to tell anyone
:15:08. > :15:13.about the baby before 12 weeks. They have had to tell the world.
:15:14. > :15:18.Conspiracy theorist we're winking it to the Scottish independence issue.
:15:19. > :15:24.That is a conspiracy too far. Many thanks. Stay with us on BBC News
:15:25. > :15:28.because at midnight we will have more on the timetable set out by
:15:29. > :15:32.Gordon Brown to increase the power of the Scottish Parliament if voters
:15:33. > :15:42.reject independence. Coming up now, it is time for Sportsday.
:15:43. > :15:50.Hello and welcome to Sportsday. I'm Nina Warhurst. A terrific start for
:15:51. > :15:58.England in their Euro 2016 qualifying campaign in Switzerland.
:15:59. > :16:00.Marin Cilic has the upper hand against Kay Nishikori in the men's