08/09/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.men's final at Flushing Meadows as well. We will find out how a spat

:00:00. > :00:38.led to two riders being disqualified.

:00:39. > :00:51.Our joy of baby number two. The words dominating the front page of

:00:52. > :00:55.the Daily Express. The Independent asks the pioneering treatment the

:00:56. > :01:00.five`year`old receives will ever make it to Britain. The Daily

:01:01. > :01:05.Telegraph claims the Queen is being urged to speak out over Scotland.

:01:06. > :01:07.The Guardian has Gordon Brown as the saviour of the union campaign. And

:01:08. > :01:27.another royal baby headline. Very clever, the chaps at the Metro.

:01:28. > :01:34.We will start with the Financial Times, though. This is your paper,

:01:35. > :01:43.your take on what has happened. One poll! How can that be? Suddenly,

:01:44. > :01:51.everyone has that Scotland could vote for

:01:52. > :01:56.independence in ten days time and I think the markets and politicians in

:01:57. > :02:04.Westminster, the polls had been wide, they did not appear to narrow

:02:05. > :02:11.dramatically, so there was a sort of view that, this will not happen. And

:02:12. > :02:15.suddenly, nervousness. Some of the retail barons are talking about

:02:16. > :02:20.people moving deposits away from Scotland, so now,

:02:21. > :02:25.to see the reality that if Scots do vote to leave the United Kingdom,

:02:26. > :02:29.whether there would be a flight of capital away from Scotland. One

:02:30. > :02:36.analyst says here, the issue will not keep Scotland in the pound, but

:02:37. > :02:42.keep the pound in Scotland. These institutions will be tested. As you

:02:43. > :02:46.said, it was all the financial institutions, such as The Royal Bank

:02:47. > :02:49.of Scotland and Lloyds banking group, with big domiciles in

:02:50. > :02:57.Scotland, that with the big losers today. The other point is what the

:02:58. > :02:59.international implications are an investors are worried because of

:03:00. > :03:10.Scotland votes for independence, what does that mean about Spain in

:03:11. > :03:17.Catalonia? The markets are concerned about wider ramifications. This is

:03:18. > :03:22.rubber hitting the road, isn't it? For 18 months`1 year, we have had a

:03:23. > :03:27.discussion about the principles. What the poor has suggested is that

:03:28. > :03:33.they could well decide to leave the union and as a result, we need

:03:34. > :03:42.details. The markets have no details on exactly what this might mean. You

:03:43. > :03:47.hit the no `` nail on something which is actually not correct. When

:03:48. > :03:55.you say we, it depends who we is and where you are. Well, certainly in

:03:56. > :04:04.Scotland. But in England, everybody been asleep. Including David

:04:05. > :04:10.Cameron? There is nobody to vote in England, and nor should there be,

:04:11. > :04:16.but the ramifications for the rest of the UK, for England plus or

:04:17. > :04:26.whatever else it will be called, are enormous. And also, the

:04:27. > :04:52.ramifications, it is not like... Say it is a No vote. They are already

:04:53. > :04:58.scrambling to increase the powers for Scotland, devolution becomes

:04:59. > :05:03.Devo Max. You could almost call independence light. You have still

:05:04. > :05:17.got the flag, the Queen, but once you start giving considerably more

:05:18. > :05:23.powers, which are still unclear, new pension powers, welfare powers,

:05:24. > :05:28.powers to raise old change tax regimes, what does that mean for the

:05:29. > :05:39.rest of British politics? What does it mean for the MPs sitting in

:05:40. > :05:44.Scottish constituencies? There will be no reason to have them, apart

:05:45. > :05:51.from the defence issue. Even if there is a No vote, the Constitution

:05:52. > :05:59.of the UK changes dramatically. Let's go to the Guardian. Brown to

:06:00. > :06:07.the rescue. It was Brown who was called, not Ed Miliband, not the

:06:08. > :06:11.Eden`educated Prime Minister. It was a man who was out of power for a

:06:12. > :06:18.number of years now who is seen as the saviour of the union. Ed

:06:19. > :06:23.Miliband's 's problem in Scotland as he is deeply unpopular there and so

:06:24. > :06:28.is David Cameron. The Tories are toxic and Scotland. There is no way

:06:29. > :06:36.the Conservative Party can lead this fight and there are no plans, even

:06:37. > :06:41.in these final stages, but to Scotland and Scotland and try and

:06:42. > :06:49.make the case. Alistair Darling. It is not him? It looks like the Yes

:06:50. > :06:56.campaign... Sorry, the No campaign is panicking and it has realised

:06:57. > :07:01.they have not produced the goods. It is partly also a head and heart

:07:02. > :07:04.thing. If you say no to anything, they are relentlessly negative

:07:05. > :07:11.measures. It's like saying to your children, don't do this! There

:07:12. > :07:17.hasn't been, which has been one of the major flaws in this campaign,

:07:18. > :07:24.there has been no sort of compelling, romantic reason, no

:07:25. > :07:30.passion. Watching Gordon Brown tonight, it's interesting, you

:07:31. > :07:36.showed passion up there. Some of the other members of the No campaign

:07:37. > :07:42.perhaps lacked it. There were stories knocking around. We did a

:07:43. > :07:47.story on December about concerns within senior Tory circles about

:07:48. > :07:56.Alistair Darling, was he the right guy to do this? He won the first

:07:57. > :08:07.debate. When he won that first debate... It didn't really affect

:08:08. > :08:11.the polls. But he won it on a very sort of technical discussion about

:08:12. > :08:18.the fate of sterling which Alex Salmond got himself hooked on. If

:08:19. > :08:25.you learn from your mistakes after one debate, you make sure it you do

:08:26. > :08:32.it differently second time around, and as soon as he made sure that, he

:08:33. > :08:36.wiped the floor against Alistair Darling against a much more

:08:37. > :08:43.emotional basis which, after all, is the way the vast majority of voters

:08:44. > :08:50.vote. The starting position was that the No campaign had a 45`50% polling

:08:51. > :08:55.at the beginning, a year ago or something, and the Yes campaign was

:08:56. > :09:00.kind of languishing around 20%. It was always going to narrow. As

:09:01. > :09:03.Nicola Sturgeon said, we have momentum. They always started with a

:09:04. > :09:10.big block that would get chiselled away. But the surprising thing has

:09:11. > :09:19.been the way it is not chipping away, it is just collapsing. Getting

:09:20. > :09:23.Gordon Brown... It is now, let's try anything. Nick Clegg had a press

:09:24. > :09:26.conference where they were launching manifesto things and it felt like

:09:27. > :09:31.the politicians in Westminster really do not know what else to

:09:32. > :09:37.throw the Scots to try and entice them to stay. The Telegraph is

:09:38. > :09:43.talking about the Queen being urged to intervene. Let's go on to the

:09:44. > :09:49.Daily Express. Jihadist is planning carnage on the streets of Britain.

:09:50. > :09:56.Isn't it interesting, before the poll on devolution, that for the

:09:57. > :10:01.last month or two, it has been foreign stories that have

:10:02. > :10:13.dominated, whether Iraq /Syria and the new caliphate as planned by ISIS

:10:14. > :10:17.or whether it was Israel /Gaza or Russia/Ukraine. Those were the only

:10:18. > :10:25.stories in town. This is a kind of British end to it which is a British

:10:26. > :10:32.`based jihadist is not only employing terrorist methods and

:10:33. > :10:36.beheading journalists and aid workers, but according to this take

:10:37. > :10:43.on David Cameron's statement, they are planning bombings and other

:10:44. > :10:48.terrorism campaigns in the UK. The only sort of cautionary note is that

:10:49. > :10:58.you can never prove a negative, particularly when it comes to

:10:59. > :11:05.terrorism. So it is quite easy for journalists, partly pandering to

:11:06. > :11:06.security services, to say, be very scared. Something could happen all

:11:07. > :11:15.the time. It is the Prime Minister is saying

:11:16. > :11:18.this. This is all about his statement in the House of Commons

:11:19. > :11:26.about the NATO summit, there is nothing new in this. We have known

:11:27. > :11:32.for a few weeks, they have increased the security level, what is

:11:33. > :11:37.interesting, maybe 500 of these, what they think of as British

:11:38. > :11:41.jihadists in Iraq and Syria, and the question is, when they come back,

:11:42. > :11:49.are they a threat? The government have been very clear that they think

:11:50. > :11:52.is it `` that there is a threat, but they have not said what their actual

:11:53. > :12:01.plan is to deal with these people, and whether you go revoke their

:12:02. > :12:07.passport, make them stateless, should you even do that? President

:12:08. > :12:09.Obama is making the statement is Mara about his broad`based placidly

:12:10. > :12:33.to deal with `` strategy to deal constrained with that. Thanks for

:12:34. > :12:43.joining us. At the top of the Alp we are going to have much more on the

:12:44. > :12:47.timetable that Gordon Brown and `` at the top of the hour we are going

:12:48. > :12:51.to have much more on the timetable that Gordon Brown has set out for

:12:52. > :12:52.further Scottish devolution. And now we have the sports