09/09/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.champion Michael Schumacher leaves hospital. That's all in Sportsday in

:00:00. > :00:19.15 minutes. Welcome to our look ahead to what

:00:20. > :00:23.the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are the pensions

:00:24. > :00:29.consultant and the Government's older workers business champion, Ros

:00:30. > :00:33.Altmann and the Evening Standard columnist Mihir Bose. The telegraph

:00:34. > :00:37.is saying that the Prime Minister has warned that independence is a

:00:38. > :00:42.leap in the dark that would punish future generations. Party leaders

:00:43. > :00:46.take the high road says the Guardian, reflecting on the decision

:00:47. > :00:51.of the main party leaders to travel to Scotland in pursuit of votes. The

:00:52. > :00:55.Independent says Britain faces a constitutional crisis, after a poll

:00:56. > :00:59.for the paper suggested that MPs in Scotland would help clinch a victory

:01:00. > :01:02.at the next general election, even if Scotland votes to become an

:01:03. > :01:06.independent country. The Financial Times is claiming that

:01:07. > :01:10.investors are pulling money out of Scotland ahead of the referendum.

:01:11. > :01:16.The paper also has a picture there from the launch of Apple's iPhone 6

:01:17. > :01:19.in America. The Metro leads with a story that Shaun Wright, the Police

:01:20. > :01:22.and Crime Commissioner responsible for Rotherham, has been warned that

:01:23. > :01:28.special powers will be called for to force him out of his job if he

:01:29. > :01:35.carries on refusing to quit. We will start with the big story of

:01:36. > :01:40.the week, next week, the next decade potentially, the Guardian, party

:01:41. > :01:44.leaders take the high road, Salmond derides panic in the 'No' campaign.

:01:45. > :01:47.Carney issues warning on currency union. The three main Westminster

:01:48. > :01:51.party leaders are heading to Scotland tomorrow to see what they

:01:52. > :02:03.can do to convince the Scots not to vote yes. And the sense of panic, I

:02:04. > :02:06.guess comes from the fact that PMQ's won't happen. It's going to be

:02:07. > :02:14.abandoned by the Prime Minister and the leader of the Opposition while

:02:15. > :02:17.they all go to Scotland. I think the tone of the way Cameron and the

:02:18. > :02:23.other leaders have started talking just in the last couple of days is

:02:24. > :02:27.beginning to engage in that emotional level, to really help make

:02:28. > :02:32.the case that we all want to be stronger together, that we all want

:02:33. > :02:37.Scotland to remain part of the family of the United Kingdom, as it

:02:38. > :02:44.were, rather than just assuming that it's all going to be fine. The

:02:45. > :02:48.complacency is gone and there is this understanding that the campaign

:02:49. > :02:52.has not engaged at the right level. Now you have the Bank of England

:02:53. > :02:56.governor, Mark Carney, stepping in saying you can't have the pound.

:02:57. > :03:01.It's not compatible without being part of the United Kingdom. So all

:03:02. > :03:08.the big guns are coming out there trying to make the case. Mark Carney

:03:09. > :03:16.didn't say it was impossible. He said it was going to be tricky, sort

:03:17. > :03:21.of. Alistair Darling was Incompatible. Asked by Salmond and

:03:22. > :03:25.he said yes, you can adopt the pound, just as Panama uses the

:03:26. > :03:29.dollar, the point is... A former Chancellor, he should know his

:03:30. > :03:35.stuff. The point is that if you have the pound and don't have control of

:03:36. > :03:40.economic policy, as we saw with the euro currency, what happened. The

:03:41. > :03:48.problem here, the Guardian says the high road, whatever the result, this

:03:49. > :03:52.whole debate raises questions about our political establishment. In the

:03:53. > :03:57.last few days, we are talking about a federal system of government. We

:03:58. > :04:01.haven't had that in this country. There's been no debate in England,

:04:02. > :04:06.forget Scotland, no debate in Wales ` do we want a federal system. As

:04:07. > :04:10.the opinion polls suddenly show what look like a certain No vote into

:04:11. > :04:14.what might well be a possible Yes vote, suddenly all sorts of ideas

:04:15. > :04:18.are coming up. The question is ` what have the politicians been doing

:04:19. > :04:22.for so long? Both Cameron and the Labour and the Lib Dems. Maybe we

:04:23. > :04:30.should always have had a federal system. How can it be that you have

:04:31. > :04:34.one MP from the governing party in Westminster in Scotland, one MP.

:04:35. > :04:40.That is a very strong part of the problem and of the campaign. It goes

:04:41. > :04:44.to some of the divisions that there are within the United Kingdom as

:04:45. > :04:50.well. There are pockets in the north of England which are solidly Labour.

:04:51. > :04:55.They don't get a Tory MP. Pockets in the south where you will never get a

:04:56. > :05:01.Labour MP. It's solidly Tory. Also, the 'No' campaign have allowed

:05:02. > :05:06.Salmond to present Scotland as a victim. This country, which has been

:05:07. > :05:09.a victim of the English for so long, so the only way out is to have

:05:10. > :05:13.independence. When actually that should have been challenged from the

:05:14. > :05:16.beginning. A lot of Scots believe that though, clearly, according to

:05:17. > :05:21.the polls. That should have been chal epgd. No `` challenged. No,

:05:22. > :05:23.being together has brought enormous benefits to Scotland. You have

:05:24. > :05:27.people putting that opposite point of view to the Scots, who aren't

:05:28. > :05:31.trusted. You have a Prime Minister from the Conservatives who went to

:05:32. > :05:35.Eton. You have as Alex Salmond pointed out today, one of the most

:05:36. > :05:41.distrusted Labour leaders in the history of the party as far as the

:05:42. > :05:44.Scots are concerned. Whatever Westminster says, the Scots

:05:45. > :05:48.potentially could say, well, we don't trust you any way. Much of the

:05:49. > :05:52.debate from the 'No' campaign has been the economic cost. Economic

:05:53. > :05:56.costs, after a time, you bandy figures around like billions and

:05:57. > :06:01.millions, people ` it washes over. If you don't engage in people's

:06:02. > :06:07.emotion and say, why do you want to break up? It needs to be about

:06:08. > :06:10.hearts and minds not wallets. The divorce doesn't work if you're going

:06:11. > :06:14.to get enough of your spouse's money. That's a different argument.

:06:15. > :06:18.It depends on how the hearts and minds meet. There hasn't been, from

:06:19. > :06:23.the 'No' campaign, a good hearts and minds campaign. There hasn't been

:06:24. > :06:28.enough mutual respect. There hasn't been the respect that we have for

:06:29. > :06:33.the Scots. It's been more of a teacher and a pupil rather than...

:06:34. > :06:38.But maybe those people who are leaning towards yes have weighed all

:06:39. > :06:43.that up. Maybe there's a hidden vote of no, which hasn't surfaced The

:06:44. > :06:46.silent majority yet. . We shall see. All right, let's two to the

:06:47. > :06:51.Financial Times. Investors apparently pulling their cash out of

:06:52. > :06:54.Scotland. Well, are panicking. As you've said, until now, most people

:06:55. > :06:59.just assumed complacently that it was all going to be fine. Suddenly,

:07:00. > :07:04.investors are saying, oh, my God, this could really happen. Are they

:07:05. > :07:08.panicking, potentially, as you suggest, because of a Yes vote or

:07:09. > :07:11.because of the uncertainty surrounding whether or not it's

:07:12. > :07:18.going to be yes or no. Markets don't like uncertainty. There are actually

:07:19. > :07:23.genuine fears that if after the vote goes the way the opinion polls

:07:24. > :07:27.suggest now is possible, people start pulling their money out of

:07:28. > :07:31.Scotland, there may be currency controls put on. There may be

:07:32. > :07:36.capital controls put on. There may be, but there might not But they

:07:37. > :07:40.want their money out now. That seems to be what wealth managers are

:07:41. > :07:44.saying is driving a lot of people to say they'd rather get out now just

:07:45. > :07:48.in case. Then I can always bring it back again later. They're putting in

:07:49. > :07:54.clauses in property deals. That's right. If there is a Yes vote, we

:07:55. > :07:56.don't know what the consequences will be, property prices could go

:07:57. > :08:00.down. They're putting in clauses saying if there's a Yes vote, the

:08:01. > :08:08.property deal will be unstitched. We can change the price. All right, OK.

:08:09. > :08:14.And going onto the independent now. Still on the same story. Yes, three

:08:15. > :08:17.on the big one tonight. Britain faces constitutional crisis at the

:08:18. > :08:25.next election. What's this about? This is about what might happen,

:08:26. > :08:29.let's say Scotland votes yesser, but Scotland doesn't actually become

:08:30. > :08:33.independent till 2016. But br that, there's an election to be had. That

:08:34. > :08:37.election could see the Labour Party come into power, with a big, big

:08:38. > :08:41.majority in Scotland. Because from what we can read from the opinion

:08:42. > :08:45.polls, it seems the polls have come closer because a lot of Labour

:08:46. > :08:49.supporters have been swinging in favour of the Yes vote. Having voted

:08:50. > :08:53.for independence, the same sup porters, it would seem, will then

:08:54. > :08:57.switch back to their party and of course, you have this odd situation,

:08:58. > :09:04.Ed Miliband in Number Ten and within a year, Scotland goes and of course,

:09:05. > :09:08.he loses hi majority. `` his majority. We are in a position of

:09:09. > :09:12.ifs now. I don't know the 2015 election would be put back a year. I

:09:13. > :09:16.don't know if it can be. I'm not sure. I don't think that's That's

:09:17. > :09:21.the constitution possible. Al crisis, what will happen. It will be

:09:22. > :09:26.very odd that an independent Scotland or voters in an independent

:09:27. > :09:29.Scotland will be voting for a UK Parliament which within the next

:09:30. > :09:34.year will not mean anything to the people in Scotland. It's an

:09:35. > :09:39.extraordinary There are lots situation. Of ifs and buts in so

:09:40. > :09:43.many possible scenarios if this actually happens. That's right. Wow

:09:44. > :09:47.have thought by now, I mean at this point, all of this would have been

:09:48. > :09:55.worked out or discussed or thought about at least. It's happening at

:09:56. > :09:57.the last That's perhaps is minute. A signifier of the problem some people

:09:58. > :10:01.would suggest with the 'No' campaign. That it was too

:10:02. > :10:07.lackadaisical. And the question was wrongly phrased in a sense. You have

:10:08. > :10:13.to say, "no" in order to stay. And also, why wasn't devo max, which is

:10:14. > :10:17.what is now being proposed, why wasn't it on the paper. It's what

:10:18. > :10:22.the Scottish Nationalists wanted ` a third option. Very odd. That's a big

:10:23. > :10:26.political mistake. Well, the 'No' campaign are saying it is on the

:10:27. > :10:34.ballot now. Ten days before the polls? Yeah.

:10:35. > :10:41.That points towards what Mr Salmond was saying. Let's go to the

:10:42. > :10:44.Guardian. Back to that. Very interesting, we are going to get the

:10:45. > :10:49.long`awaited verdict in the murder trial of Oscar Pistorius. This

:10:50. > :10:54.article at the bottom of the Guardian says, the trial says a lot

:10:55. > :10:58.about modern day South Africa. Yes. This article is actually one of the

:10:59. > :11:03.things the Guardian does best. It is delving into the background of this.

:11:04. > :11:07.It is not just Oscar Pistorius on trial. But it is pointing out is

:11:08. > :11:13.that this is South Africa itself, and its system, on show. We have got

:11:14. > :11:19.a black judge, we have got a white defendant, if you like, calling her

:11:20. > :11:27.mad. We have got `` calling her mad. We have got all of these changes

:11:28. > :11:30.that have happened since `` calling her madam. We have got all of these

:11:31. > :11:34.changes that have happened since apartheid. We have had some bungling

:11:35. > :11:37.on the part of the police, but overall this analysis is very

:11:38. > :11:40.interesting, because it points at this is about much wider issues then

:11:41. > :11:47.what happened in that bedroom on that night. And it is a verdict, of

:11:48. > :11:50.course, that millions of people around the world have been

:11:51. > :11:55.expecting. Yes, not since OJ Simpson have we had something like this. And

:11:56. > :12:00.also, it is being televised, and we have seen, as Roz said, a black

:12:01. > :12:06.woman being addressed as madam, but also to show, as horrible as the

:12:07. > :12:10.event was, which is being discussed, it shows that actually, the rainbow

:12:11. > :12:13.nation has worked, in that sense. A lot of people said when Nelson

:12:14. > :12:19.Mandela was released, this will not work. There will be bloodshed. South

:12:20. > :12:23.Africa will not make it work. But actually, this judge is a township

:12:24. > :12:28.woman. She was imprisoned during the days of apartheid, for protesting.

:12:29. > :12:34.OK, we have run out of time. We will be back later. Back at 11:30pm for

:12:35. > :12:37.another look at the stories. Many thanks.

:12:38. > :12:53.Stay with us, because it is time for Sportsday.

:12:54. > :13:01.Welcome to Sportsday. I had lines this evening, bailed out. Wales need

:13:02. > :13:03.the world's most expensive football to avoid a massive upset against

:13:04. > :13:04.Andorra in that European