:00:00. > :00:13.Oscar Pistorius. Rugby Union, five matches to talk about and all that
:00:14. > :00:16.and more in 15 minutes. Hello and welcome to our look ahead
:00:17. > :00:22.to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are
:00:23. > :00:27.Sue Matthias, Editor of the Financial Times Weekend Magazine and
:00:28. > :00:32.political journalist, Rob Merrick. Thank you for being here. Tomorrow's
:00:33. > :00:35.front pages, starting with... The Daily Mail leads on a warning from
:00:36. > :00:39.the SNP's former deputy leader that Scottish banks will be broken up and
:00:40. > :00:44.oil giant BP nationalised to punish them for backing the No campaign.
:00:45. > :00:48.The FT has the same story, and says the Better Together campaign claims
:00:49. > :00:56.the threats show the ugly side of their rivals.
:00:57. > :01:00.The Guardian has a new poll which suggests that the gap between the
:01:01. > :01:05.yes and no camps is still just 2% of voters but seventeen percent are
:01:06. > :01:14.saying they don't know. The Scotsman says the poll is on a knife edge
:01:15. > :01:23.with anticipations of a turnout of 88% for the vote. The Times reports
:01:24. > :01:26.that fears about the referendum vote have triggered the biggest sell`off
:01:27. > :01:28.of British investments since the collapse of the Wall Street Bank,
:01:29. > :01:31.Lehman brothers in 2008. The Independent carries a dramatic
:01:32. > :01:35.portrait of Ian Paisley, who's died at the age of 88. The Daily Record
:01:36. > :01:37.devotes part of its front page to Oscar Pistorius's conviction for
:01:38. > :01:40.shooting and killing his girlfriend but says the Paralympian may never
:01:41. > :01:43.go to prison. And The Mirror leads on the news that animal lovers have
:01:44. > :01:56.raised over one million pounds for the dogs home in Manchester that was
:01:57. > :02:07.badly damaged by a suspected arson attack. So now will talk about this
:02:08. > :02:11.one, the fact that this menacing intervention as it is described by
:02:12. > :02:16.the Daily Mail is coming from the former deputy leader of the SNP.
:02:17. > :02:23.This will not be helpful for the Yes campaign. Of course not. I work at
:02:24. > :02:36.Westminster and I have seen many of my colleagues had to `` go to
:02:37. > :02:42.Scotland in the last few days and these sorts of things have been
:02:43. > :02:51.thrown around. The idea that companies will need to bend to their
:02:52. > :02:59.knee to a greater power. Key is that the SNP's former deputy leader is
:03:00. > :03:07.being talked of here. I don't think Alex Salmond will be trying to drive
:03:08. > :03:13.the oil companies out of Scotland. I think what we will see, is more of
:03:14. > :03:21.this before the end of the referendum campaign is through. This
:03:22. > :03:28.does give the No campaign some more ammunition to say that businesses
:03:29. > :03:32.are safe in an independent Scotland. They are already saying
:03:33. > :03:39.that this shows how ugly it has got. I think so and the language is
:03:40. > :03:44.getting more heated on each side. It is happening day by day and you sort
:03:45. > :03:50.of wonder where it will end up. When we get to the vote, what rhetoric is
:03:51. > :03:54.going to be used. I noticed this quote from a leading Scottish banker
:03:55. > :04:03.earlier this week who was saying, what is next? A plague of locusts
:04:04. > :04:14.descending on Scotland? I think the issue really is that everybody needs
:04:15. > :04:22.to calm down slightly and take a more sober stock of the situation. I
:04:23. > :04:28.think the background picture is that, there is going to be
:04:29. > :04:37.uncertainty about the financial future of Scotland. Uncertainty in
:04:38. > :04:42.all sorts of ways. What would more devolution look like in the event of
:04:43. > :04:47.a No vote and how easy would it be to break the union up in the event
:04:48. > :04:53.of a Yes vote? It would be very interesting from a journalistic
:04:54. > :05:03.point of view. Let's look at this one. Five days to go. A number one
:05:04. > :05:09.German bank warns that a Yes vote would trigger a new depression. They
:05:10. > :05:16.are warning that it would be a big mistake for the world economy since
:05:17. > :05:28.the decision would have global ramifications. That is cataclysmic.
:05:29. > :05:32.We are talking about this intervention from bankers and
:05:33. > :05:41.leaders of large retail chains and, the fact is, the only thing that is
:05:42. > :05:49.really certain is that uncertainty. There is nothing economist hates
:05:50. > :05:57.more than uncertainty `` economists hate more. You may possibly have a
:05:58. > :06:02.self`fulfilling prophecy. There is no doubt that it will be a big cost
:06:03. > :06:08.to Scotland. The people of Scotland must recognise that data is not a
:06:09. > :06:15.scare story. It is a big leap from that to another great procession,
:06:16. > :06:22.however. They may wonder at the bank saying that since the banks caused
:06:23. > :06:28.the recession in the first place. There is the ability of political
:06:29. > :06:33.organizations to stand on their own and that is the argument. What will
:06:34. > :06:39.make the difference? If someone doesn't know which way to vote or
:06:40. > :06:45.whether to vote at all in the next few days, what will encourage them?
:06:46. > :06:51.Is it scare tactics? You just wonder which way it will make people go. I
:06:52. > :06:58.think if I was a Scottish voter right now, I would have probably
:06:59. > :07:03.been a little bit fed up with the general tone of the argument and the
:07:04. > :07:10.debate. The tone coming from south of the border in particular. The No
:07:11. > :07:15.campaign has been criticized for being too negative and failing to
:07:16. > :07:21.paint a positive emotional vision of why we should be a union. I think
:07:22. > :07:28.the Prime Minister tried to do it but for me, it didn't work. It is
:07:29. > :07:40.like he is clinging to the ankle of a wife who is marching out the door
:07:41. > :07:46.yelling" Please stay! " . If they only need a few voters to get over
:07:47. > :07:54.the edge... They are expecting 88% turnout and 98% registered. When you
:07:55. > :08:03.think of how dismal the turnout is formed collections in the UK `` for
:08:04. > :08:10.elections in the UK. You would think it was the end of the world. The
:08:11. > :08:15.gloves are off now. Many comments saying that everyone needs to stick
:08:16. > :08:18.together. A great deal of comments on social media as we have seen in
:08:19. > :08:32.the last few weeks to stop the Guardian. This shows the No vote is
:08:33. > :08:35.in front but only by two points. Just a couple of percentage points
:08:36. > :08:43.one way or the other depending on which poll you read. We both work at
:08:44. > :08:47.in newspapers and we know there has to be a momentum but the polls don't
:08:48. > :08:53.really say that. They are all nearly identical. What they tell us is that
:08:54. > :09:01.nobody is significantly up or down in the last few days. It is
:09:02. > :09:06.impossible to call. This is seen as good for the No campaign but it
:09:07. > :09:13.could be a disaster. It will go down to the wire. 17% of people on this
:09:14. > :09:18.poll don't know how to vote and it could be in their hands. Absolutely
:09:19. > :09:29.and many of them are very young voters. What difference might not
:09:30. > :09:32.make? `` might that make? It will be on a knife edge and it will be
:09:33. > :09:37.interesting to see what happens in the next few days if the whole
:09:38. > :09:45.temperature cools down. You might get a little more clarity. It is so
:09:46. > :09:47.important. The consequences are so great in the consequences are so
:09:48. > :09:52.great interview of George Osborne, whichever way it goes, that he has
:09:53. > :09:59.decided to call off the trip to the G 20 in Australia. It seems that no
:10:00. > :10:05.one has taken it very seriously until these last few weeks. When the
:10:06. > :10:08.Prime Minister came back from holiday, he was even asked if he had
:10:09. > :10:15.actually watched the second debate and he didn't even watch it. There
:10:16. > :10:19.was football on that night. I was watching it but I thought the Prime
:10:20. > :10:26.Minister might have paid attention. Away from the Scottish referendum. A
:10:27. > :10:36.look at the Sun. Emblazoned across the front page. Oscar Teets justice
:10:37. > :10:42.is how the Sun sees what has happened in Pretoria today ``
:10:43. > :10:49.cheats. He has been cleared of the murder of Reeva Steenkamp. Finding
:10:50. > :10:54.him guilty of culpable homicide. Not a verdict we would ever have here.
:10:55. > :11:00.Something close to manslaughter. The suggestion is that it is injustice
:11:01. > :11:04.but he is still guilty of a very serious crime and could face
:11:05. > :11:12.prison. We don't know what is going to happen to him. The sentence could
:11:13. > :11:17.be anything from 15 years in jail to a fine or community service in which
:11:18. > :11:23.case he would walk free. If it is the latter, there will be an
:11:24. > :11:31.uproar. It is not going to convince people either way. I think there is
:11:32. > :11:40.overwhelming disbelief that he got off with culpable homicide. The
:11:41. > :11:45.judge seems to think that he could not have reasonably known that the
:11:46. > :11:51.person on the other side would be killed, on the other side of the
:11:52. > :12:01.door. For premeditated, he would have had to... It would imply that
:12:02. > :12:09.he fired shots knowing that he was firing at her and intending to kill
:12:10. > :12:18.her. Am I right about that? That was never approved. `` proved. The judge
:12:19. > :12:24.accepted that he firmly believed it was an intruder behind the door but
:12:25. > :12:43.the fact that he fired four shots is what gives the most Emmys. `` the
:12:44. > :12:49.most unease. What would the reaction be in South Africa if he got off
:12:50. > :12:59.completely? Goodness. I can't imagine. He is still he is only 27.
:13:00. > :13:08.It also draws attention to how much gun use there is in South Africa.
:13:09. > :13:15.Absolutely. And also, he is a very rich celebrity. A contrast is being
:13:16. > :13:19.drawn between a sports star in South Africa who was driving while high on
:13:20. > :13:30.drugs and killed some people. He got 25 years in jail for murder. Moving
:13:31. > :13:35.on. Talking about the other story on the front of the Sun. Not just the
:13:36. > :13:43.story but the way they have framed it. The pictures they have used.
:13:44. > :13:53.After arsonists killed 53, give a dog a home. There was a fire, 50
:13:54. > :13:58.dogs were killed and ?1 million poured in over the last 24 hours for
:13:59. > :14:07.this. You take issue with the way the Sun has done this. I did. I
:14:08. > :14:15.recall being on this programme not very long ago when we were
:14:16. > :14:24.discussing that evening, the Ukraine air disaster. It was the day after.
:14:25. > :14:32.And, the presentation was exactly the same, showing the victims of
:14:33. > :14:37.that awful tragedy and naming them, presenting them. And the Sun has
:14:38. > :14:42.done the same thing with dogs. There may be a difference between a front
:14:43. > :14:50.page that makes people feel uncomfortable but is effective and
:14:51. > :14:55.one that spurs positive action. People may be wondering which dog
:14:56. > :15:00.they would like to adopt. Hopefully they all find homes. That's it for
:15:01. > :15:05.The Papers this hour. Thank you Sue Matthias, Editor of the
:15:06. > :15:07.Times Weekend Magazine and political journalist Rob Merrick. Tributes are
:15:08. > :15:11.being paid to the Ian Paisley who has died at age 88. But coming up
:15:12. > :15:31.next it's time for Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday, I'm
:15:32. > :15:33.Lizzie Greenwood`Hughes. The headlines this evening: Yorkshire
:15:34. > :15:37.wind their first County Championship title for 13 years. St Helens have
:15:38. > :15:39.to wait to find out if they'll wind Super League's Leaders' Shield after
:15:40. > :15:41.narrowly losing tonight.