16/09/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.Many apologies for that, some gremlins in the system.

:00:07. > :00:09.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

:00:10. > :00:13.Joining us from Glasgow this evening is Torcuil Crichton, the Westminster

:00:14. > :00:16.Editor for the Daily Record, and here with me is Hugh Muir,

:00:17. > :00:36.The mac congratulations on the new job. We will start with the papers.

:00:37. > :00:39.``. Women could prove decisive factor, according to the Telegraph

:00:40. > :00:41.and the Metro has families of two Britons paying tribute to loved ones

:00:42. > :00:43.killed in the Thai resort. The Financial Times reports two

:00:44. > :00:46.of the mobile operators that contributed to the demise of Phones

:00:47. > :00:48.4U are in talks with the administrator to

:00:49. > :00:51.buy parts of the company. As well as reporting

:00:52. > :00:53.on the referendum, the Guardian carries a story that US ground

:00:54. > :01:07.troops could be sent to Iraq. Those are some front pages and we

:01:08. > :01:13.will start with the Guardian. I will start with you, this is your paper.

:01:14. > :01:21.The Scottish independence would, NHS leaked fuel campaign clashes. Whose

:01:22. > :01:25.hands with the NHS be safer in, independent Scotland or with the

:01:26. > :01:31.union? This is an issue that has come to the forefront again today?

:01:32. > :01:35.Were getting very much to the endgame and both sides are trying to

:01:36. > :01:42.focus on what they can see as the critical issues that might get them

:01:43. > :01:46.over the line. The NHS has been at the heart of this and the feeling

:01:47. > :01:51.throughout has been that the Labour vote amongst the old no voters will

:01:52. > :01:58.settle this on the NHS Israeli important to them and both sides are

:01:59. > :02:03.keen to show that they will be more protective of the NHS and you can

:02:04. > :02:08.guarantee the NHS will be safe. What the no campaign has got today is

:02:09. > :02:17.this league that they say they have that shows, that purports to show

:02:18. > :02:23.there would be heavy cuts in the NHS even with independence and the yes

:02:24. > :02:26.campaign says we can guarantee the NHS in Scotland, the only way to

:02:27. > :02:31.guarantee the NHS in Scotland and the no campaign is pouring cold

:02:32. > :02:37.water on that with this league helping them to do that with a

:02:38. > :02:40.whistle`blower. In the next 48 hours the SNP will have a much different

:02:41. > :02:48.interpretation of that and they will make their own claims for the NHS.

:02:49. > :02:53.This issue shows just how tense and fraught this is getting and will

:02:54. > :03:01.get. Yes, it will get worse, and Torcuil Crichton, the SNP makes

:03:02. > :03:05.clear that if the NHS as far as Scotland is concerned stays within

:03:06. > :03:10.the rebate of Westminster, in terms of funding, then there will always

:03:11. > :03:17.be the potential for cuts in the future? Or creeping privatisation?

:03:18. > :03:19.That is a good point? It is one that will infuriated the Labour Party

:03:20. > :03:25.because of the roof has been any game changer in this long campaign

:03:26. > :03:29.over two years and with less than two days left to go, it is an alex

:03:30. > :03:34.Salmond has turned the danger of leaving the United Kingdom into a

:03:35. > :03:42.story of the danger of staying with the UK. And the Tories `` the story

:03:43. > :03:47.using this is the claim that the NHS will be privatised if you stay in

:03:48. > :03:53.the union. And that seems to have had an effect on his Labour voters

:03:54. > :03:57.at the SNP need to get over the finish line and that infuriates

:03:58. > :04:03.Labour because Labour knows that the NHS in Scotland is fully devolved,

:04:04. > :04:06.the only people who can privatise it in Scotland or the Scottish

:04:07. > :04:10.government. So they have been fighting back hard on that and this

:04:11. > :04:15.story today in the Guardian picks up on a story that was in the Glasgow

:04:16. > :04:17.Herald this morning showing that NHS management in Scotland under

:04:18. > :04:22.devolution and the Scottish government face ?450 million of cuts

:04:23. > :04:28.over the next two years. They will have to cut back and close wards and

:04:29. > :04:33.hospitals and reorganise things. And Labour say this is a silver bullet

:04:34. > :04:36.that shows that it is the SNP themselves cutting back on health

:04:37. > :04:43.spending and not the UK government. And the SNP have hit back but this

:04:44. > :04:45.makes the case for independence, but with one click in the box on

:04:46. > :04:52.Thursday you'll be free from austerity changes. The Daily

:04:53. > :04:58.Telegraph, women give the no campaign eight boost, according to

:04:59. > :05:03.The Daily Telegraph poll. And the position of women, which side the

:05:04. > :05:08.majority will come down on. That has been pretty influential in

:05:09. > :05:15.determining a lot of opinion polls? I am sure that Alistair Darling will

:05:16. > :05:20.be delighted by this because right from the outset, he has been helping

:05:21. > :05:25.that he could, with that very pragmatic approach, appeal to women.

:05:26. > :05:31.The feeling was... That very approach but lots of women off? It

:05:32. > :05:37.still does! I think that he has been thinking they would be looking

:05:38. > :05:42.through this lost and making the decision based on the hard, cold

:05:43. > :05:46.facts and that has been the criticism of this, there have been

:05:47. > :05:52.too many cold, hard facts and know the romance of the campaign or the

:05:53. > :06:00.grand vision. Of staying within the UK. Part of his reasoning for having

:06:01. > :06:03.a campaign like that is to try to get flat facts about what will

:06:04. > :06:07.happen to individual households, what will happen to people that hold

:06:08. > :06:14.the purse strings in the family? It might be old`fashioned but that is

:06:15. > :06:22.how the policy sees things. He will be pleased that this survey of 150

:06:23. > :06:30.Scots and within that, the six team % lead for the no vote amongst

:06:31. > :06:37.women. That is directly contrasted by the figures for men, 47 no and 53

:06:38. > :06:44.yes. That does look like women could hold the key here. There seems to

:06:45. > :06:47.be, according to this, and this is just one poll, suggesting that women

:06:48. > :06:52.are moving a little bit more towards the no campaign but isn't it perhaps

:06:53. > :06:59.problematic that so late in the day, we're getting this shift for

:07:00. > :07:05.Alistair Darling and Cameron and Westminster, happening so late? I

:07:06. > :07:09.will tell you something, Alistair Darling will not be pleased with

:07:10. > :07:17.this tonight, this is one of three polls in the Telegraph shows 58`42,

:07:18. > :07:21.the Scotsman has 48`52 and the Daily Mail has 58, 42. That is too close

:07:22. > :07:25.to call and Alistair darling and want to be 20 points ahead and they

:07:26. > :07:29.are in the fight of their lives. Darling says this would always go to

:07:30. > :07:37.the wire and it does look as if it is going to. More women have been

:07:38. > :07:44.persuaded back into the no camp by this Rauch of economic stories in

:07:45. > :07:49.the past week and because they are coming around to making their

:07:50. > :07:54.decision that perhaps a more rational and cautious decision about

:07:55. > :07:58.finance and the way things go, I am not a sociologist, I cannot explain

:07:59. > :08:05.why women more than men are less inclined to vote independence but

:08:06. > :08:10.these are very tight, 52, 48, with just 36 hours left to go. It shows

:08:11. > :08:17.the result to play for. Before we go, let his move to The Times. MPs

:08:18. > :08:24.warn of a Dalyan. That goes to the fact that for many people in the

:08:25. > :08:29.union, it should not be this close? And the stakes have been made, no

:08:30. > :08:34.question? As a result, we get all of this time are being thrown at the

:08:35. > :08:37.yes camp, devo max, super Max, some would suggest. And MPs in England

:08:38. > :08:48.are talking about rebelling. This week has been extraordinary,

:08:49. > :08:53.the things that the no campaign have had to promise to Scotland. What

:08:54. > :08:58.will annoy particularly English MPs is the promise they will retain the

:08:59. > :09:01.Barnett formula, the funding formula Scotland has seen to benefit from

:09:02. > :09:05.disproportionately. Tory MPs have always hated that formula and they

:09:06. > :09:10.have talked about getting rid of it. Even Lord Barnett himself thinks

:09:11. > :09:16.it's an old`fashioned formula. The idea that the Tories have had to say

:09:17. > :09:21.they will keep the formula will infuriate the backbenches of David

:09:22. > :09:24.Cameron. Keeping the Barnett formula was something Gordon Brown, Nick

:09:25. > :09:33.Clegg and Ed Miliband is the way to keep the union. It has been

:09:34. > :09:40.extraordinary in two senses. In the daily record we got all three party

:09:41. > :09:45.leaders, to sign a pledge, a promise to keep the Scottish Parliament, to

:09:46. > :09:49.give it more powers, and to ensure an equal and fair distribution of

:09:50. > :09:54.funding across the UK and that includes keeping the Barnett

:09:55. > :09:59.formula. And for very good reason, it gives Scotland because of the

:10:00. > :10:04.sparsity of its population, a bigger share. It is surprisingly Tory MPs

:10:05. > :10:10.in Westminster have kept a lid on the rebellion till now. Hopefully

:10:11. > :10:18.you will both be back for a full ten, 12 minutes in about one hour's

:10:19. > :10:19.time. Thank you for that. Stay with us on BBC News because it's time for

:10:20. > :10:37.the sport. Hello and welcome to sports day.

:10:38. > :10:40.This is what is coming up on the programme. Liverpool begin their

:10:41. > :10:47.Champions League campaign with a victory but they leave it late to

:10:48. > :10:48.beat Ludogorets. Defeat for Arsenal in Germany in their opening group