25/09/2014

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:00:00. > :00:00.league Castleford tigers hosted Warrington Wolves tonight. The best

:00:00. > :00:17.of it in Sportsday in 15 minutes after the papers. Welcome to our

:00:18. > :00:24.look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With us is

:00:25. > :00:29.broadcaster David Davies and Anne Ashworth, assistant editor of the

:00:30. > :00:36.Times. Tomorrow's front pages. The Guardian leads with the vote in the

:00:37. > :00:44.Commons tomorrow on whether the UK should join air strikes in I The

:00:45. > :00:50.Daily Telegraph says the FBI knows the identity of "Jihadi John," who

:00:51. > :00:56.murdered a British aid workers and two Ameri journalis The Express

:00:57. > :01:01.claim as spicy diet could hold the key to beating Alzheimer's. Let's

:01:02. > :01:06.begin with the recall of Parliament and this vote tomorrow on air

:01:07. > :01:14.strikes by Britain on Iraq. We begin with the Guardian's take on this.

:01:15. > :01:18.RAF jets ready to attack within 4 hours of the vote but Guardian's

:01:19. > :01:21.take on this. RAF jets ready to attack within 4 hours of the vote

:01:22. > :01:24.but not within Syria `` within 24 hours of the vote but not within

:01:25. > :01:27.Syria. It is a very serious and momentous evening. We had a month

:01:28. > :01:32.where it feels that all the news is very serious. Only a week ago we

:01:33. > :01:37.were looking forward to the vote on the future of the United Kingdom and

:01:38. > :01:41.now we are poised to go, start military action in Iraq. But there's

:01:42. > :01:45.nothing gung`ho about the statement that they are going to debate for as

:01:46. > :01:53.long as seven hours in Parliament tomorrow. We don't know quite what

:01:54. > :01:56.the aims are but it seems it will be limited action. What the aims are it

:01:57. > :02:02.is not clear there. Has been criticism of that. Somewhere in this

:02:03. > :02:06.piece it says there's no identifiable or achievable aims of

:02:07. > :02:10.this action, but there is all party support now, won by a careful

:02:11. > :02:12.campaign for this. Lift be a very interesting debate in Parliament

:02:13. > :02:16.tomorrow. In the past, David, there's been concern about the

:02:17. > :02:19.legality of action like this, but this is at the request of Iraq, so

:02:20. > :02:26.they think they are on safe ground. Absolutely. This story in the

:02:27. > :02:28.Guardian says the Cabinet handed clear advice from the Attorney

:02:29. > :02:34.General justifying the war's legality, it says. But just to

:02:35. > :02:39.reflect the point that Anne is making, the first sentence of the

:02:40. > :02:48.story, wary British MPs are expected today. The contrast is painted with

:02:49. > :02:55.last year's vote on getting involved in fighting Assad in Syria. When the

:02:56. > :03:04.Prime Minister surprisingly lost that vote. You've had during the day

:03:05. > :03:09.here on the BBC News Channel General Sir Michael Jackson, the former

:03:10. > :03:14.Chief of Staff, saying what is the long`term plan? But the answer to

:03:15. > :03:19.that question of course is, what is the alternative to what we are

:03:20. > :03:24.doing? Sit seriously nothing? If it is to push Islamic State back out of

:03:25. > :03:29.Iraq, doesn't that just park the problem in Syria? This will be in

:03:30. > :03:37.combination with the coalition action in Syria which is taking out

:03:38. > :03:42.the oil installations, a vital source of receive knew for ISIS. S

:03:43. > :03:45.taking out the oil installations, a vital source of receive knew for

:03:46. > :03:47.ISIS `` revenue for ISIS. If they can knock out many of those

:03:48. > :03:52.installations maybe it won't be so great to work for ISIS, which

:03:53. > :04:01.essentially is like a multinational crime corporation. People are paid

:04:02. > :04:04.handsomely. They are paid very well. Jordan has been complaining how well

:04:05. > :04:09.people have been paid to fight for ISIS a. We've got to hope that the

:04:10. > :04:15.action in Syria and Iraq work in tandem. We know it is going to last

:04:16. > :04:19.a long time. Michael Fallon has been warning today, years. Two to three

:04:20. > :04:27.years he suggested. But the solution to this lies in the region. The fact

:04:28. > :04:30.this is a multinational force. Perhaps some surprising countries

:04:31. > :04:36.involved in it up to this point. Who knows who else might come in as we

:04:37. > :04:44.go along. The transformation down there and the way that Iran now is

:04:45. > :04:48.so involved in what is the ultimate outcome of this, it is fascinating.

:04:49. > :04:55.Some extraordinary allegiances you would never have dreamt of. O Met's

:04:56. > :04:58.move to the Metro. Terror alert on New York and Paris Subways. The

:04:59. > :05:04.White House is playing this down very much, but news of this came

:05:05. > :05:08.from the Prime Minister of Iraq, because they believe they've got

:05:09. > :05:14.this intelligence from captured Islamic State extremists, who say

:05:15. > :05:21.that a strike was planned. We don't know how imminent though. It is all

:05:22. > :05:25.quite vague, but the premier of Iraq has thought it worth mentioning. I

:05:26. > :05:29.suppose this strengths the case for action. A lot of things are coming

:05:30. > :05:38.together to support the vote tomorrow. On action in Parliament.

:05:39. > :05:46.But it isn't just people in Iraq who are suffering the most appalling

:05:47. > :05:52.way. Paris, London and... Obvious targets. You would think so. I think

:05:53. > :05:56.people will be scared by this sort of stuff, which isn't a reason, I'm

:05:57. > :06:01.not suggesting that people if this information exists, that people

:06:02. > :06:06.should not be alerted to it. But I think most people recognise the

:06:07. > :06:10.threat very clearly. But it isn't just a local threat in reaction it

:06:11. > :06:15.has international consequences for us as well. Let's look at the

:06:16. > :06:21.Telegraph, another strand to this story. We know the true identity of

:06:22. > :06:26."Jihadi John," claims the FBI, but they are not telling us. They are

:06:27. > :06:31.not, but there is in the middle of this story, I mentioned earlier

:06:32. > :06:36.General Sir Mike Jackson, the former Chief of the General Staff. Here we

:06:37. > :06:41.have Air Chief Marshal Sir Michael Graydon, a former head of the RAF,

:06:42. > :06:44.warning that Britain's Air Force will struggle to mount a sustained

:06:45. > :06:49.campaign because it has been cut back to the bare bonus. He says the

:06:50. > :06:58.RAF is at rock bottom after years of cuts. Let's be, as Britain

:06:59. > :07:02.presumably now gets involved in all this action, and Michael Fallon

:07:03. > :07:07.talked about two to three years, are we in a position to be involved for

:07:08. > :07:13.two to three years? I'm sure people will be asking tomorrow in

:07:14. > :07:18.Parliament, if there's a lack of combat aircraft, how long can we

:07:19. > :07:21.sustain the campaign for? And it has to have diminishing returns. Once

:07:22. > :07:26.you've taken out the obvious targets, what do you do next? We are

:07:27. > :07:32.in uncharted territory here. Overshadowed by the fears and

:07:33. > :07:39.concerns and the bad outcomes of previous conflicts. It is beyond me.

:07:40. > :07:47.It is rather like it is simplistic but it makes the point, how do you

:07:48. > :07:52.fight a part of a war? This all roads lead too Syria in this is

:07:53. > :07:55.really what I'm saying. Is I suspect that tomorrow's vote in the House of

:07:56. > :07:59.Commons will be followed in the not too distant future by another vote,

:08:00. > :08:04.which extends this into Syria. But it has to be a separate vote. It is

:08:05. > :08:08.quite a restricted motion. Which will be a relief to a lot of people

:08:09. > :08:14.tomorrow having to make the decision. EU moves to block

:08:15. > :08:20.buy`to`let mortgages, in the Express. Accidental landlords are

:08:21. > :08:25.going to be hit. If you are renting a house I think that hearted from a

:08:26. > :08:28.parent or you've both had a flat before you got married and you are

:08:29. > :08:33.representing it out. Anybody who is a landlord, not as in a business but

:08:34. > :08:37.as a reluctant or accidental landlord, nobody knows how many of

:08:38. > :08:41.these there are, and how much they borrow, but they are going to find

:08:42. > :08:48.it much more difficult in future to be able to get a mortgage. They are

:08:49. > :08:52.going to have to undergo the same tough affordability checks that

:08:53. > :08:56.other borrowers face. It seems we don't know how many there are.

:08:57. > :08:59.Surely you would be able to Claridges I am a landlord as a

:09:00. > :09:04.business rather than just by accident. It is a very strange piece

:09:05. > :09:10.of EU legislation, of which this is the consequence. I can almost hear

:09:11. > :09:14.Nigel Farage as we speak, saying what on earth has this got to do

:09:15. > :09:20.with the EU? You might well ask that. It is an extraordinarily

:09:21. > :09:23.bebuildering move, but whatever happens, we know that mortgages are

:09:24. > :09:27.getting tougher to get. There are lots more questions asked of anybody

:09:28. > :09:30.wanting to borrow, and currently buy to let loans are not covered by that

:09:31. > :09:48.legislation. Is that not the responsibility of

:09:49. > :09:52.the British Parliament? You know I cannot answer that! Let's go to the

:09:53. > :09:57.business pages. Bank on brink of raising interest rates. This will

:09:58. > :10:01.strike fear into the lot of people if they are lumbered with those

:10:02. > :10:09.mortgages. Mortgages are likely to rise in the near future, nearer than

:10:10. > :10:17.we might have thought. Is this not the biggest delayed drop story of

:10:18. > :10:23.our lifetime? ! They had to dust it off. I rather like Mark Carney and

:10:24. > :10:29.the job that he is doing in succession to Sir Mervyn King, who I

:10:30. > :10:36.also thought was in excellent governor. We seem to be every week,

:10:37. > :10:43.every month he says there are going to arrive dash`mac they are going to

:10:44. > :10:47.rise. He is running around the still United Kingdom saying the same thing

:10:48. > :10:53.that we have known for ages. Central need to be enigmatic and the like to

:10:54. > :10:56.keep you guessing. We all know interest rates are going to go up.

:10:57. > :11:00.He seems to suggest it might be sooner than we thought but the

:11:01. > :11:05.increases will be limited and gradual. He is absolutely pledging

:11:06. > :11:08.that. I do not think there is going to be a quick up words surge. It

:11:09. > :11:14.will be small increases but everybody needs to be ready for

:11:15. > :11:19.this. It is inevitable and it might happen early next year. But if they

:11:20. > :11:23.are not ready, they are living on another planet because we have been

:11:24. > :11:28.told for however long that it is going to be either side of

:11:29. > :11:32.Christmas. People have become habituated to record low rates. It

:11:33. > :11:36.has been going on for so long that people, I think, some people will be

:11:37. > :11:40.shocked and other prudent people will not and I am sure you are

:11:41. > :11:49.amongst them. We are the prudent people today! The Guardian, sorry, I

:11:50. > :11:53.need to go back to the Guardian and a story about GB waiting times,

:11:54. > :12:01.which are national disgrace according to the chair of the Royal

:12:02. > :12:07.College of GPs. When she says so, you have to start worrying, don't

:12:08. > :12:10.you? GPs say that they are trying to manage this problem as best they

:12:11. > :12:14.can. Sobering statement because she said the biggest risk is that some

:12:15. > :12:19.people don't get an appointment, call away and are better stop other

:12:20. > :12:24.people have got a serious illness, the symptoms seem better and then

:12:25. > :12:27.they did not go back again and that serious illness is not caught early

:12:28. > :12:31.and that is the problem. If people are waiting for a week they give up

:12:32. > :12:37.and think they don't feel that well but have to put up with it and then

:12:38. > :12:42.present in Accident and Emergency with very serious conditions. That

:12:43. > :12:46.is what is happening. We are always encouraged to take action sooner

:12:47. > :12:50.rather than later for early diagnosis and early intervention. If

:12:51. > :12:54.you cannot get an appointment, it is difficult. I have to wonder why the

:12:55. > :13:02.proportion of patients waiting at least a week has gone from 13% in

:13:03. > :13:10.2011, we are told, to 16% in July of this year. This pressure on the GP

:13:11. > :13:17.surgeries which most of us see in our local communities month in month

:13:18. > :13:24.out or however often you go to see your GPs, I still think that there

:13:25. > :13:29.are a lot of people who are generally healthy who could have

:13:30. > :13:34.telephone consultations who still prefer to pick up... I would prefer

:13:35. > :13:42.to pick up the phone and go and see my GP but I think I do get it that

:13:43. > :13:48.there are people who need to see their GP personally much more than I

:13:49. > :13:50.do and I think a telephone consultation is perfectly

:13:51. > :13:55.acceptable. It would save a lot of time. That is it from the moment but

:13:56. > :13:59.there is a lot more to discuss. We will be back at 11:30pm for another

:14:00. > :14:12.look at the stories making the front pages tomorrow. Up next, sports day.

:14:13. > :14:16.The Ryder Cup captains have revealed their pairings

:14:17. > :14:20.for the opening fourballs at Gleneagles, as the competition