27/10/2015

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:00:00. > :00:00.coming off the back of a fifth defeat of the season on the weekend.

:00:00. > :00:15.That's all in Sportsday in 15 minutes after the papers.

:00:16. > :00:18.Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

:00:19. > :00:21.With me are France 24 journalist Benedicte Paviot,

:00:22. > :00:24.and the author and sports writer for the Times, Matthew Syed.

:00:25. > :00:34.The Guardian leads with the Chancellor hinting he will soften

:00:35. > :00:37.the impact of tax credit cuts after the defeat in the House of Lords.

:00:38. > :00:40.The Metro says a woman who lost her husband

:00:41. > :00:59.and son in the whale boat tragedy has been recovering in hospital.

:01:00. > :01:02.The main story in the Telegraph is a warning by

:01:03. > :01:05.David Cameron that an exit from the European Union could cost Britain

:01:06. > :01:09.The Mirror claims the Tories are spending millions from taxpayers'

:01:10. > :01:11.money on Swedish steel while there have been British job losses.

:01:12. > :01:14.The FT says personal details of more than 600,000 customers were

:01:15. > :01:17.stolen from UK companies last year - highlighting weaknesses in the

:01:18. > :01:29."For your eyes only," is the splash in the Times, referring to the

:01:30. > :01:32.access the paper has been granted to the GCHQ headquarters in Cheltenham.

:01:33. > :01:35.The Express leads with new research suggesting cutting out sugar,

:01:36. > :01:37.without having to reduce calories, can boost your health

:01:38. > :01:40.And the Independent features a picture entered in this year's

:01:41. > :01:56.So, let's kick off, and Benedict, we are talking about the front of the

:01:57. > :02:00.Guardian first of all, and George Osborne ready to change tack on tax

:02:01. > :02:04.credits, I wonder how far he would change tack, we don't quite know

:02:05. > :02:09.yet. We don't bite we will find out when he gives his Autumn Statement.

:02:10. > :02:15.-- butter. I think that is the 25th of November. It is interesting to

:02:16. > :02:18.see across the papers the various words used, the war between the

:02:19. > :02:25.Government and the House of Lords, and, indeed, the position of the

:02:26. > :02:30.Government and the determination, the word is robust, determined, so,

:02:31. > :02:38.publicly, George Osborne, the chancellor, is giving this "I'm not

:02:39. > :02:44.changing anything, " however, it is clear there is some wiggle room. And

:02:45. > :02:49.of course, this has damaged the image of this Government,

:02:50. > :02:55.nevertheless a government that is democratically elected. It seems the

:02:56. > :02:58.Treasury lives will be burning, not only tonight, but before the debate

:02:59. > :03:04.on Thursday, which I think we can predict will be quite nasty. At we

:03:05. > :03:10.are talking about 3 million people who will start to lose ?1000 per

:03:11. > :03:14.year. Matthew, it is a strange story, because it is about tax

:03:15. > :03:18.credits, which affect the poorest in the country, but it is also a story

:03:19. > :03:22.about the House of Lords, and whether that needs to be changed and

:03:23. > :03:25.reformed, the fact that an unelected chamber can exercise a power to

:03:26. > :03:30.block something that came from the elected chamber. It is a double

:03:31. > :03:34.story, but in a kind of ironic way, it is a get out of jail card for

:03:35. > :03:40.him, it will shape into a major political controversy. I think it is

:03:41. > :03:46.overdoing it a bit. This gives him the opportunity to soften the blow.

:03:47. > :03:50.This was a cut to some of the hardest working and poor families.

:03:51. > :03:56.And he can blame it on the Lords. This isn't a U-turn! You think he

:03:57. > :04:00.wanted to soften it anywhere? There is no doubt that massive pressure

:04:01. > :04:04.was mounting on George Osborne, not least from backbench MPs, to soften

:04:05. > :04:08.the blow. The pitch at the general election was that they were behind

:04:09. > :04:14.hard-working families. People who go to work on the minimum wage, going

:04:15. > :04:17.to be hit ?1300 per year?! In an ironic way, I think this will help

:04:18. > :04:22.the Conservatives. You are right, even though I think it is

:04:23. > :04:26.iniquitous, I think it is ludicrous that an unelected chamber can defy

:04:27. > :04:33.the elected will of the majority party in the Commons. Interesting.

:04:34. > :04:36.Let's talk about the FT, the Financial Times. Now, they've got a

:04:37. > :04:41.front-page story, a couple of stories we're gonna talk about, the

:04:42. > :04:46.door open for lower surplus target to lessen the impact of the tax

:04:47. > :04:51.credit cuts, tell us about that, Benedict. Yes, actually, I was

:04:52. > :04:55.looking at that also in the Guardian, because it talks about the

:04:56. > :05:00.fact that Mr Osborne's gonna dig deep and it could be that he will

:05:01. > :05:05.lower his target of delivering a ?10 billion surplus by 2019 -2020, and

:05:06. > :05:11.that the figure will be revised downwards. So, by how much? Of

:05:12. > :05:15.course, that's what everybody's gonna way to find out, but what the

:05:16. > :05:19.3 million are waiting to find out is, the transition between the

:05:20. > :05:27.national living wage and losing their 1000-1300 per year, that is a

:05:28. > :05:30.reality that they are unclear. What is slightly being lost in the

:05:31. > :05:35.coverage of the story is the fact that what has been happening, by

:05:36. > :05:40.these tax credits, introduced originally by Gordon Brown and the

:05:41. > :05:43.Labour government, and Ed Balls, is very much the fact that this was

:05:44. > :05:49.subsidising employers who are underpaying people. And that's not

:05:50. > :05:53.acceptable. I suppose, Matthew, one of the interesting things is that

:05:54. > :05:58.George Osborne's had a good time at the party conference, didn't he,

:05:59. > :06:01.sort of seen widely as David Cameron's potential successor, but

:06:02. > :06:05.things haven't quite gone his way this week, and some people in the

:06:06. > :06:10.party blamed his handling of this, in the way it was put to the House

:06:11. > :06:13.of Lords, because it gets a bit technical, but if he had done it as

:06:14. > :06:19.a financial measure, the Lords couldn't have blocked it in the way

:06:20. > :06:23.they did. It's gonna be interesting. David Cameron has preannounced he's

:06:24. > :06:28.gonna leave Number Ten, so there will be jockeying for position.

:06:29. > :06:31.George Osborne, everything he does, is viewed through the prism of

:06:32. > :06:35.becoming potential Prime Minister, and almost all of that choreography,

:06:36. > :06:43.alongside Theresa May and Boris Johnson, R -- are jockeying for this

:06:44. > :06:48.position. He is smart in the way he is softening the blow. He could have

:06:49. > :06:52.said, look, we're gonna lose cash if we soften it, so we will have to

:06:53. > :06:57.renege on the commitment to cutting middle class and Inheritence Tax, he

:06:58. > :07:03.is loosening the fiscal stance, as you say, not posting the 10 billion

:07:04. > :07:06.surplus, so he's given himself more money to play with by being less

:07:07. > :07:10.rigourous on the surplus. Interestingly coverage he's getting

:07:11. > :07:14.as well, the whole image of trying to be not just the economic

:07:15. > :07:18.chancellor, but China, we saw, of course, with the contracts as well,

:07:19. > :07:23.but really in the headlines a lot of the time. But also some damage and

:07:24. > :07:28.fallout from that. How he handles it will be good. Let's look at the FT

:07:29. > :07:32.and the dark web and after the whole TalkTalk cyber attack, which was

:07:33. > :07:39.causing a lot of alarm, now we have heard from the FT, 600,000 British

:07:40. > :07:44.customers' data stolen, up for grabs on the dark web, we're told.

:07:45. > :07:48.Extraordinary, and you can buy a set of people's details for $30 each, it

:07:49. > :07:54.is just extraordinary, it would allow you to take somebody's

:07:55. > :07:58.identity. Very scary stuff, and done not just by, possibly, allegedly, a

:07:59. > :08:01.15-year-old in a bedroom, but actually, when we are told all the

:08:02. > :08:07.time there are not just deals but the majority of the week in which we

:08:08. > :08:08.connect with companies now is not only just giving security

:08:09. > :08:14.information that involves your date of birth, address, et cetera, it is

:08:15. > :08:19.all up for grabs. We've got to learn to be more careful? Frightening!

:08:20. > :08:24.What worries me, imagine we skilled ourselves on precisely the best way

:08:25. > :08:27.to protect our personal security, obviously we want to trust Corp is

:08:28. > :08:31.when we trust them with our identity, but what about

:08:32. > :08:35.ourselves?! This is an arms race. You could have the most

:08:36. > :08:40.sophisticated tool and at some point a young teenager, who understands

:08:41. > :08:46.his or her way around the security firewalls, and you're gonna get

:08:47. > :08:51.caught. On that, there is a rather nice cartoon, isn't there, Benedict,

:08:52. > :09:03.in the Daily Mail. Fabulous, page five, and -- he looks like a

:09:04. > :09:09.four-year-old, oh, look darling, he has just hacked into his first

:09:10. > :09:14.company! What is worrying, also, is it is not just be companies, and

:09:15. > :09:18.this has been said by not just people who have been flogging or

:09:19. > :09:24.selling antivirus software, but by a lot of security experts, the UK's

:09:25. > :09:28.very exposed, it is not just the only country, but it's not just

:09:29. > :09:32.companies, because what criminals are targeting is lower down, in a

:09:33. > :09:36.sense, the food chain, so it is small and medium-sized companies as

:09:37. > :09:41.well who have a lack of resilience. It doesn't surprise me in some ways,

:09:42. > :09:45.though this is just a 15-year-old under suspicion, it doesn't surprise

:09:46. > :09:50.me that teenagers are over it with the Internet. I look at my three and

:09:51. > :10:01.one-year-old children and they are better on the iPad, I mean, my

:10:02. > :10:10.daughter calls it the I-are-pad. My younger daughter just watches Peppa

:10:11. > :10:14.Pig. I wonder if your three-year-old is reading the pages on the European

:10:15. > :10:19.Union...? I suspect no. But it will affect him or her. David Cameron

:10:20. > :10:24.talking about sort of starting their stay in campaign for the EU, warning

:10:25. > :10:30.about it not being a land of milk and honey outside the EU. And up

:10:31. > :10:35.until this point he hasn't come out with that level of emphasis, because

:10:36. > :10:40.he is playing a dual role, he wants to visit his European partners

:10:41. > :10:46.saying he thinks there is a risk we're gonna leave, yet he wants

:10:47. > :10:50.people in this country to think we are not getting out of here. It is

:10:51. > :10:57.extremely difficult. He is walking a difficult tightrope. He has said -

:10:58. > :11:00.this is fundamental - if you are not a member of a club but you have to

:11:01. > :11:05.obey the rules of the club but have no say in what they're gonna D,

:11:06. > :11:09.that's problematic. Interestingly, the Norway Foreign Minister has said

:11:10. > :11:14.it would work for the UK. This would be disastrous. We are still gonna

:11:15. > :11:19.have immigration and these kinds of things. Benedict, what would France

:11:20. > :11:24.think if we left the EU? The official position, whether they are

:11:25. > :11:29.conservatives or left-wing socialist, they think it would be

:11:30. > :11:36.very sad and a big mistake for Britain to do that, so they want the

:11:37. > :11:41.UK to remain in. Obviously, it can't be what a lot of French people think

:11:42. > :11:45.is by a sort of black mailing or dictating that Britain will dictate,

:11:46. > :11:49.it has to play its role. You know, I think in France, as you go to

:11:50. > :11:55.certain things that remind people of where certain things have come from,

:11:56. > :11:59.I know it is decried in this country sometimes, I think it is a useful

:12:00. > :12:03.reminder, because so many of the EU stories are negative stories. And

:12:04. > :12:08.actually, it kind of amuses me but doesn't, when British people say

:12:09. > :12:12.they're going to Europe, no, you are in Europe, I don't know if it is

:12:13. > :12:16.breaking news to people but it is a huge economic market and an

:12:17. > :12:22.interesting one at that. Stay in! Lots of people Tour Europeans in the

:12:23. > :12:26.world of premiership football, including a certain Portuguese

:12:27. > :12:31.gentleman, Jose Mourinho, have another defeat for Josie -- lots of

:12:32. > :12:37.Europeans in the world of premiership football. Jose Mourinho

:12:38. > :12:40.on the ropes and the i, well, they have, Jose Mourinho loses again. You

:12:41. > :12:45.have a comment in the Times tomorrow, you have a minute to give

:12:46. > :12:49.us your thoughts. I am so glad. Truly... A truly explored return

:12:50. > :12:53.around, Jose Mourinho considered to be perhaps the greatest football

:12:54. > :12:55.manager in the world, they were languishing in the Premier League

:12:56. > :13:00.table with another defeat in the League Cup tonight. To my mind, this

:13:01. > :13:07.goes to the heart of a big problem in his management style, he tries to

:13:08. > :13:11.create a sense of permanent crisis. Everybody's against us, the

:13:12. > :13:15.referees, the Doctor... The journalists and media! I think this

:13:16. > :13:20.has progressively diminishing returns. After a while, it is like

:13:21. > :13:24.having too much sugar, I think he is beginning to lose the players. The

:13:25. > :13:28.column I write tomorrow... Is it right? The players say they love

:13:29. > :13:32.him! The PR people are told to say that. It is off the record briefings

:13:33. > :13:36.when they say they have had enough. In my column, people have said that

:13:37. > :13:40.he is shaping Chelsea and the owner, but my argument is the manager isn't

:13:41. > :13:44.easy to shame, because if you look at his history, his part of the

:13:45. > :13:52.dubious privatisations in the Yeltsin era, his litigation with

:13:53. > :13:54.Berezovsky to deal with Yeltsin, to get the mineral wealth of the

:13:55. > :14:02.Russians, in exchange for TV coverage, it is a real mess. The

:14:03. > :14:06.special one. Neither Robin. We will see whether it happens or not.

:14:07. > :14:10.Benedict and Matthew, thank you so much. Coming up next, it's time for

:14:11. > :14:20.Sportsday -- neither of them. Hello and welcome to Sportsday,

:14:21. > :14:24.I'm Azi Farni. The headlines this evening:

:14:25. > :14:26.More Pressure on Mourinho, as holders Chelsea lose at Stoke

:14:27. > :14:31.in the Capital Cup. Arsene Wenger's side are outgunned

:14:32. > :14:34.by Championship club