:00:17. > :00:22.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers
:00:23. > :00:25.With me are political commentator Jo Phillips and Nigel Nelson, political
:00:26. > :00:39.The longest serving political editor, is that right? Yes, for my
:00:40. > :00:45.sins. You will know a political story when you see one. Let's have a
:00:46. > :00:46.look before we dissect their front pages.
:00:47. > :00:48.The Observer reports security chiefs are warning Britain's counter-terror
:00:49. > :00:52.forces must be boosted if they are to cope with a Paris-style attack.
:00:53. > :00:55.The Sunday Telegraph says Britain looks set to join air strikes
:00:56. > :00:58.against Islamic State targets in Syria by Christmas.
:00:59. > :01:01.The Sunday Express also leads with Syria and says senior generals
:01:02. > :01:07.believe a full-scale offensive would wipe IS off the map in two weeks.
:01:08. > :01:10.And The Independent on Sunday asks "where do we go from here?"
:01:11. > :01:18.with Britain's response to the threat from terrorism.
:01:19. > :01:29.Bright, Jo and Nigel, who wants to begin? Britain prepares for war. It
:01:30. > :01:34.is certainly a grim front page with a photo of an RAF Tornado, one of
:01:35. > :01:38.the aircraft that would be used if we go into bombing raids against
:01:39. > :01:45.Syria. The story says ministers believe we will be warming Syria by
:01:46. > :01:50.Christmas. Downing Street in all The Papers say no date has been set and
:01:51. > :01:55.after failing to get a vote last time, Mr Cameron will want to make
:01:56. > :02:01.sure he has backing, but I think we will talk a little bit about the
:02:02. > :02:07.surveys that show a huge growing public support for action, but what
:02:08. > :02:12.this is really about is, what do you do apart from bombing raids? It has
:02:13. > :02:17.to be something on the ground and that is increasingly the message
:02:18. > :02:23.from the fence chiefs. Lord Dannatt is writing in the Telegraph, a
:02:24. > :02:28.former chief of staff of the army said the same thing the other day,
:02:29. > :02:32.you cannot just go win and do that, and I think we will now see some
:02:33. > :02:38.fast politicking. Deals that have to be done with people we might not
:02:39. > :02:45.necessarily choose to. By which you mean President Assad. That was the
:02:46. > :02:48.basis on which David Cameron last asked the House of Commons to
:02:49. > :02:55.authorise action in Syria and they said no. Then it was Assad and his
:02:56. > :03:01.forces, now we have a threat from Islamic State. I think Jo is right,
:03:02. > :03:05.things are moving at a huge rate, so with the UN resolution last night
:03:06. > :03:13.that is clearing the way to start bombing, Cameron meets Francois
:03:14. > :03:18.Hollande on Monday with a strategy on what the doing, President
:03:19. > :03:23.Hollande then goes to Washington and Moscow, so we can see it welding up
:03:24. > :03:29.but David Cameron still has to win a Commons vote and it is not yet
:03:30. > :03:32.certain. I am sure the whips are running around as we speak to check
:03:33. > :03:39.who is doing what but it is not certain. There is also this light
:03:40. > :03:43.misinterpretation of the UN resolution which was rapidly passed
:03:44. > :03:50.last night but did not come up with the chapters seven clause. I was
:03:51. > :03:55.talking to a UN expert on Saturday for BBC Radio four, who was
:03:56. > :04:03.convinced it does, and he says people are briefing in Newark, do
:04:04. > :04:08.not panic, this is symbolic but does not have any legal teeth, and the
:04:09. > :04:16.experts are saying, at least this one says it has got that authorities
:04:17. > :04:21.if people want to use it. It is open to interpretation and therefore
:04:22. > :04:25.misinterpretation. That adds to the nervousness amongst some, Nigel may
:04:26. > :04:33.say what are we getting ourselves into? The essential thing is Russia
:04:34. > :04:37.and China coming on board, only on Wednesday David Cameron said he
:04:38. > :04:43.thought the Russians would veto it, so he might go ahead without a UN
:04:44. > :04:47.resolution. The Westminster bet is where it moves to as far as David
:04:48. > :04:53.Cameron goes, but the problem is we are now talking about sending ground
:04:54. > :04:57.forces in and people are saying this was never on the cards before,
:04:58. > :05:03.people are making it clear in the vapours tomorrow, the military
:05:04. > :05:07.chiefs, Liam Fox that former Defence Secretary, you cannot win a war from
:05:08. > :05:13.the air, you have to be on the ground. Let's move on to pages two
:05:14. > :05:21.and three of the Independent on Sunday. They have done a whole of
:05:22. > :05:26.public opinion on the world's leaders, if they have a favourable
:05:27. > :05:31.view of the following leaders, and poor Francois Hollande, to be fair
:05:32. > :05:39.is doing better but still a long way behind our back Obama, who has not
:05:40. > :05:45.taken the lead on this. Interesting that Angela Merkel is split down the
:05:46. > :05:56.middle. Vladimir Putin is the world's favourite baddie. Like
:05:57. > :06:04.Marmite! You were thinking of venture might. Barack Obama is not
:06:05. > :06:12.figuring in what is going on, this is a European thing, Putin is going
:06:13. > :06:18.to Barack. Russia has a pivotal role in what is happening in Syria
:06:19. > :06:25.because they are allies of President Assad and as Jeremy Greenstock, our
:06:26. > :06:29.former ambassador to the UN, he says the UK will have to learn to support
:06:30. > :06:36.the devil, and whether that is Russia or Assad, whether it is even
:06:37. > :06:41.Al-Qaeda forces and the Free Syrian Army and all sorts of other
:06:42. > :06:47.coalitions, but a coalition of the least worst options. Nigel, would
:06:48. > :06:53.you endorse the suggestion Cameron will unveil a plan within days? If
:06:54. > :06:59.there is going to bomb by Christmas we will need to get a vote through
:07:00. > :07:08.the House of Commons quickly. The express says they can beat jihad is
:07:09. > :07:17.within days. We only have the first page of it but it is military
:07:18. > :07:24.commanders training officers to beat Kurdish fighters, they support
:07:25. > :07:31.tougher British action in Syria, 60% favouring a ground war and that is a
:07:32. > :07:37.huge shed. The question is, as ever, this is one survey but is it
:07:38. > :07:46.indicative of a trend? And immediate reaction to events in Paris. We are
:07:47. > :07:50.now getting some idea of people stiffening their resolve and
:07:51. > :07:57.hardening to the idea we might have to do it. It would be a shift if
:07:58. > :08:01.that was sustained, given the Barack aftermath has been a sense that
:08:02. > :08:06.British public opinion would not wear boots on the ground.
:08:07. > :08:11.Circumstances have changed because of Paris, but I think politicians
:08:12. > :08:16.might have more thought this time than last time, so the key thing
:08:17. > :08:22.Cameron will have to produce is, what happens afterwards? We cannot
:08:23. > :08:28.leave states to descend into civil war as we did with Libya, Iraq and
:08:29. > :08:34.we will have to see in Afghanistan. Pity the Chilcott report will not be
:08:35. > :08:39.out in time! That is not so much about intervention in Syria at about
:08:40. > :08:48.defending Europe. That is how he will fetch it. I am assuming, he
:08:49. > :08:54.will be listening to these military voices. It is clear they know what
:08:55. > :09:00.they are doing and they know how to win. It is whether we want to do
:09:01. > :09:06.with. Let's look at the Observer, this is the other side of this, not
:09:07. > :09:10.so much what you'd do in Syria and whether you do anything but what you
:09:11. > :09:15.might need to go back here to make the UK's safe, given that Islamic
:09:16. > :09:22.State seems willing to take the battle to western Europe. The
:09:23. > :09:27.Observer is talking about the comprehensive spending review on
:09:28. > :09:31.Wednesday, and the police want, especially counterterrorism police,
:09:32. > :09:37.they want the kind of resources they need to do the job, ?200 billion,
:09:38. > :09:45.and are worried George Osborne might take it away and given to defence.
:09:46. > :09:49.We know we need that kind of material, George Osborne still wants
:09:50. > :09:54.to stay on target for his ?10 billion savings by 2020, he will
:09:55. > :10:00.have to do sleight of hand to achieve that. It will be a battle
:10:01. > :10:06.between defence and the Home Office because if the defence review is
:10:07. > :10:11.tomorrow, isn't it? Then you have CSR on Wednesday, so if you give
:10:12. > :10:15.this money for fighting terrorism that should come out of defence,
:10:16. > :10:21.perhaps it is the time to say to the police force, maybe we need a
:10:22. > :10:25.national lease force. Given the controversy at the creation of a
:10:26. > :10:33.lease Scotland's... Police England might be too far. 43 in England and
:10:34. > :10:41.Wales, it seems ludicrous, a small country does not need 43 police
:10:42. > :10:48.forces and two in London. Metropolitan Police and city police.
:10:49. > :10:52.As you know. In the old days of Fleet Street, now all journalists
:10:53. > :10:57.drink water but in the days when they got drug at night, the city
:10:58. > :11:02.police would take them just over the border, away from Fleet Street, the
:11:03. > :11:08.Met with, long and put them back again into the city area, they would
:11:09. > :11:13.go backwards and forwards all night. By which time they had sobered up
:11:14. > :11:19.and nobody had to deal with that! Let's go back to the Telegraph, this
:11:20. > :11:28.comes out of another BBC programme, songs of praise. This is the
:11:29. > :11:35.Archbishop of Canterbury in a PC has done for songs of praise, who said
:11:36. > :11:40.the attacks in Paris left him asking white God wasn't there and he said
:11:41. > :11:46.it is a chink in his armour and I think that is incredibly honest. I
:11:47. > :11:52.think he is a terrific Archbishop because he has had a life outside,
:11:53. > :11:57.he has been... He has beat on the side of Mammon as well, but I think
:11:58. > :12:03.it is brave to say his faith was tested. There I say, if this had
:12:04. > :12:11.been Rowan Williams saying it, for Robert Runcie, some of The Papers
:12:12. > :12:17.might have taken it, it says something about the personality of
:12:18. > :12:23.the man. He is likeable. He is a modern Archbishop. I think Rowan
:12:24. > :12:29.Woodhouse the same sort of thing, there are occasions in the matter
:12:30. > :12:34.how about you are that you out, the one thing the church hate is
:12:35. > :12:39.complacency. Doubt is fine but people who do not care they worry
:12:40. > :12:43.about, so to have Justin Welby say that the facts, he does not have the
:12:44. > :12:48.answers, I think that is very honest. Does it make either of you
:12:49. > :12:57.out or are you not religious? I'm not. I am but I know what doubt is,
:12:58. > :13:02.I think that complacency thing is the worst kind of response, you want
:13:03. > :13:08.to engage and then decide which way to go. You have to wonder, given
:13:09. > :13:15.these atrocities in the name of a religion, it makes you doubt that. I
:13:16. > :13:20.would have liked to ask him if he could forgive them. A good question
:13:21. > :13:26.for eight all a lot interview with the Archbishop. Thank you both very
:13:27. > :13:32.much. We will be back again in Endatime for another look at the
:13:33. > :13:40.newspapers and we might have some more front pages by them. At 11pm,
:13:41. > :13:42.Brussels is on high alert after receiving intelligence on a possible
:13:43. > :13:43.attack with weapons and explosives,