10/12/2015

Download Subtitles

Transcript

:00:00. > :00:00.good night at White Hart Lane. We will also hear from Alastair Cook on

:00:00. > :00:00.who might open the batting with him in South Africa, on Sportsday after

:00:00. > :00:21.The Papers. Welcome to our look ahead to what

:00:22. > :00:27.the papers will bring us tomorrow. With me are the Guardian's political

:00:28. > :00:30.correspondent Rowena Mason and the Independent's economics editor Ben

:00:31. > :00:35.Chu. Let's look at the front pages, starting with the Telegraph, leading

:00:36. > :00:39.with our top story at the BBC, the delayed decision on airport

:00:40. > :00:43.expansion. The paper says the CBI has branded it gutless. The same

:00:44. > :00:47.story dominating the Times front page with claims that the owner of

:00:48. > :00:55.British Airways could threaten to give up on Heathrow. The Metro

:00:56. > :00:57.reports on more wet weather misery in Cumbria, describing residents

:00:58. > :01:01.fleeing their village as flooding returned. The Independent says

:01:02. > :01:06.private investors are being enticed to purchase rooms in care homes. Obi

:01:07. > :01:11.in women is as dangerous as terror threat in the Daily Mail after

:01:12. > :01:15.comments by England's Chief Medical Officer. The Guardian leads with the

:01:16. > :01:19.latest in a series of allegations about the retailer Sports Direct.

:01:20. > :01:25.The express claims that the number of asylum seekers coming to the UK

:01:26. > :01:28.has increased 60% in three months. We will start, Rowena, with the

:01:29. > :01:32.Telegraph and a story that broke in the last couple of hours, the

:01:33. > :01:36.government has now confirmed it will not take the decision on whether to

:01:37. > :01:41.have another runway or an extension to Heathrow until next summer. Many

:01:42. > :01:46.people are upset about that. A lot of people. We did suspect this would

:01:47. > :01:51.happen, the story was leaked out in troops and drabs over the last week,

:01:52. > :01:56.but nevertheless, my e-mail inbox was flooded with statements from

:01:57. > :02:02.various serious business groups, I ensure Ben's was as well, saying

:02:03. > :02:06.they are disgusted and frustrated, and yet again they just want

:02:07. > :02:10.certainty. If you are a cynic comic you would say this is all to do with

:02:11. > :02:16.a certain Mr Goldsmith, a certain race for City Hall in London, and a

:02:17. > :02:20.final decision suggesting that perhaps it should be Heathrow that

:02:21. > :02:25.gets the extra runway or an extension, that would potentially

:02:26. > :02:28.scupper his chances of winning. They have given this explanation which is

:02:29. > :02:32.all about air quality, they need to do more tests on air quality before

:02:33. > :02:39.they make a decision, which will take time, but it is really a green

:02:40. > :02:43.figleaf, as you intimated. The mayoral elections... That is what it

:02:44. > :02:52.is about in your view? Is that Goldsmith pledged to resign as an MP

:02:53. > :02:55.if they gave the go-ahead to Heathrow, he is standing for the

:02:56. > :02:58.London mayoralty. If they took the decision now he would have to resign

:02:59. > :03:03.and it would take the wind out of the Tory campaign for London mayor.

:03:04. > :03:08.It is not what they want. It sits a lot of people, Labour as well,

:03:09. > :03:14.because Sadiq Khan is against it as well. It is a very predictable thing

:03:15. > :03:18.they have done, albeit one that is quite embarrassing for the minister

:03:19. > :03:22.because they did say, they set up the Howard Davies Review two years

:03:23. > :03:29.ago, they said they would take the decision after the election, and

:03:30. > :03:32.they have discovered it is still politically contentious, surprise,

:03:33. > :03:36.surprise, now had picked it out for six months and will probably find

:03:37. > :03:40.another reason to do it in six months -- kicked it out. Boris

:03:41. > :03:44.Johnson, the current mayor, doesn't think it should be Heathrow, Sadiq

:03:45. > :03:47.Khan thinks it should be Gatwick, Zac Goldsmith doesn't think it

:03:48. > :03:54.should be Heathrow, the only people who seem to think it should be

:03:55. > :03:58.Heathrow are Heathrow and Mr Davies. But Davies is perhaps the man who

:03:59. > :04:04.matters the most. Well, it is still possible for David Cameron to

:04:05. > :04:09.override what Howard Davies has said because in his report he did still

:04:10. > :04:12.leave other options on the table, saying Gatwick was viable. The

:04:13. > :04:16.statement the government put out this evening was interesting in that

:04:17. > :04:20.it did not mention the word Heathrow, it just said "We want more

:04:21. > :04:26.a court capacity in the south-east, there are several viable options

:04:27. > :04:32.recommended and we will decide later on". So it is possible that the wind

:04:33. > :04:36.could be blowing more in the direction of Gatwick. They are happy

:04:37. > :04:40.tonight, the chief executive there, he was well chuffed! Going on to the

:04:41. > :04:48.Independent, Ben, very interesting story, your front page, scandal of

:04:49. > :04:51.buy to let care homes. This is an interesting story, a care home

:04:52. > :04:56.provider in the North of England, relatively small but with a quite

:04:57. > :05:00.ominous business model, is telling investors, if you put up money we

:05:01. > :05:04.will build a care home and you will basically have the right to the

:05:05. > :05:10.proceeds of individual rooms. This is where this buy to let concept

:05:11. > :05:14.comes from. As well as having the right to the revenues of individual

:05:15. > :05:21.rooms it seems to promise investors 10% annual returns, which is

:05:22. > :05:25.incredibly high. So this draws attention to quite an ominous, as I

:05:26. > :05:31.say, development in terms of who controls these care homes, but also,

:05:32. > :05:34.will these care homes be viable? If they are promising those returns can

:05:35. > :05:38.they live up to them? Will they squeeze the quality of care of the

:05:39. > :05:45.residents in order to make those returns? Or put up the prices? Yes,

:05:46. > :05:49.there are lots of quite scary imprecations of running a care home

:05:50. > :05:54.on that high-risk business model. Rowena, the fact is, this isn't

:05:55. > :06:05.illegal, though. No, it doesn't seem to be, and the sector is one which

:06:06. > :06:12.is sadly quite unregulated. It does seem incredibly high, a 10% return.

:06:13. > :06:17.Looks like the rate of an Icelandic banks not long ago! It is a time

:06:18. > :06:25.when care homes are suffering council cuts, a lot of squeeze on

:06:26. > :06:29.their profits, so, I suppose it underlines the pressures care homes

:06:30. > :06:34.are under, but they have to think of these wheezes, but hopefully it is

:06:35. > :06:40.quite a small area of business they have moved into for now. Onto the

:06:41. > :06:45.Guardian. The prime minister ready to soften stance on benefits for

:06:46. > :06:48.migrants, he has been in Poland today, and the Polish by Minister

:06:49. > :06:54.made it clear she didn't agree with him. Absolutely. It seems to be

:06:55. > :07:02.preparing for a retreat, unsurprisingly. The Prime Minister

:07:03. > :07:07.last month outlined his four main menu of reforms he wants, and a key

:07:08. > :07:10.one was this toughening up on the benefits that people who move across

:07:11. > :07:14.borders in the EU can receive in the state they go to, so in the UK

:07:15. > :07:19.people from Poland or wherever would not be able to get tax credits for a

:07:20. > :07:23.period of time before they can collect them. He has run into

:07:24. > :07:28.serious resistance on this, not least from the Polish government,

:07:29. > :07:33.and now the Guardian's line is that he seems to be rolling back from

:07:34. > :07:40.that and saying, maybe my demands will not be as concrete or as strict

:07:41. > :07:43.as I intimated last month. So that suggests he may be able to come back

:07:44. > :07:50.with something, but will it be enough to satisfy the folk in the

:07:51. > :07:54.backbenches? Quite. He has come up with his four demands he wants from

:07:55. > :08:00.the Yukon but I think the only one the public is that keen on and

:08:01. > :08:05.interested in is the one about curbing benefits for migrants, that

:08:06. > :08:08.is the big prize for him. So it is not very surprising that he is

:08:09. > :08:13.having to roll back from this idea of a four-year limit on benefits for

:08:14. > :08:17.migrants, because almost every other country in Europe is opposed to it

:08:18. > :08:23.and thinks it is discriminatory. The question is, can he find something

:08:24. > :08:26.else that will help? There has been the suggestion in recent days that

:08:27. > :08:33.they could be an emergency brake on migration especially designed for

:08:34. > :08:37.Britain. Whether Brussels over -- Brussels allows that to happen

:08:38. > :08:44.remains to be seen because we have this summit next week. OK, onto the

:08:45. > :08:49.Daily Express, Reina, continuing the theme of migrants, new surge in

:08:50. > :08:54.asylum seekers, 410,000 in just three months. Guess, it is probably

:08:55. > :09:02.hardly surprising, this, given the turmoil there has been in Syria, the

:09:03. > :09:06.Middle East and North Africa. The 410,000 is a big number but that is

:09:07. > :09:12.for the whole of the European Union, and the number, if you look at the

:09:13. > :09:19.UK alone, I think it is 12,000 between July and September. That is

:09:20. > :09:20.in the small print! That is an increase and highlights the

:09:21. > :09:26.difficulty that Cameron has of sticking to this target he will

:09:27. > :09:36.never make of only tens of thousands of migrants, net migrants coming to

:09:37. > :09:40.the UK, but... It is a consequence of the terrible war and turmoil

:09:41. > :09:45.there is in the world. And it feeds into that whole debate as well that

:09:46. > :09:49.we spoke about earlier, Ben, about the Prime Minister, as far as the

:09:50. > :09:54.public are concerned, getting some kind of result from Brussels on the

:09:55. > :09:58.amount of money given in benefits to migrants. If you are seeing one

:09:59. > :10:02.headline suggesting there are still more coming, another one saying he

:10:03. > :10:19.will have to roll back on that, that doesn't look good. This is a big

:10:20. > :10:22.problem with the debate. These are asylum seekers, not migrants, and

:10:23. > :10:25.they all get muddled together, the headline seem to be about people

:10:26. > :10:27.coming here, but it is important to make the distinction between people

:10:28. > :10:29.fleeing for their lives and people coming for economic reasons. The

:10:30. > :10:31.line can be blurred but it is important not to throw out the

:10:32. > :10:34.humanitarian imperative of taking in people fleeing for their lives. This

:10:35. > :10:36.goes to the point about the migrant thing. The economics of the prime

:10:37. > :10:39.minister's position, if we cut benefits for economic migrants they

:10:40. > :10:43.will not want to come, saying it is a pull factor. There is no evidence

:10:44. > :10:47.to suggest it is a big pull factor, the supposed generosity of the UK

:10:48. > :10:55.benefit system, so it is the Charente. He says he wants this

:10:56. > :11:00.concession from Europe but Stephen Miquel says it problem went have a

:11:01. > :11:04."Anyway, according to the Obi at. Our final story, the bake off his

:11:05. > :11:12.back but the celebrity one. Interesting faces there on the front

:11:13. > :11:19.of the express. Samantha Cameron, rowing, and Ed Balls. A fantastic

:11:20. > :11:23.line-up they have managed to get here with these political figures

:11:24. > :11:29.from both sides of the spectrum, you can imagine really good arguments!

:11:30. > :11:34.LAUGHTER. Not just going not know about cake. I am sure Mr balls will

:11:35. > :11:42.be very gentlemanly. He has a good sense of humour, he has a reputation

:11:43. > :11:47.for being a hard task masker in his Shadow Chancellor role, but he is a

:11:48. > :11:52.very funny chap and very genial so hopefully he will have good banter

:11:53. > :11:55.with Samantha. Samantha Cameron is not very talkative, we have not

:11:56. > :12:01.heard much from her. We know what happened when her husband spoke in

:12:02. > :12:07.the kitchen! We do, that's right! You got it, exactly! He said he

:12:08. > :12:10.wasn't standing again. Rowena and Ben will be back in an hour. Now it

:12:11. > :12:14.is time for Sportsday.