26/12/2015

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:00:19. > :00:21.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:22. > :00:24.With me are Robert Fox, who's the defence correspondent

:00:25. > :00:33.for the London Evening Standard, and the broadcaster Anna Raeburn.

:00:34. > :00:43.The Observer has a picture of a flooded street

:00:44. > :00:47.in West Yorkshire and it reports that many have fled their homes.

:00:48. > :00:49.The Sunday Express leads with that story, calling it

:00:50. > :01:07."The Day Britain went under" is the Mail on Sunday's headline.

:01:08. > :01:22.We mention The Mail on Sunday there but we did not see the picture,

:01:23. > :01:29.although if we're lucky we can it now. It says it all, doesn't it? The

:01:30. > :01:36.UK has been hit by the worst floods in decades. Devastating images of

:01:37. > :01:40.ruin. You can't help thinking please can we have a better plan than the

:01:41. > :01:47.one that we put in place that we thought we would get away with and

:01:48. > :01:58.we didn't. It looked very wet in that picture. The Observer has a

:01:59. > :02:03.similar picture on the front page. We always think that we should have

:02:04. > :02:07.done more, but in this case we hoped... We had the floods and we

:02:08. > :02:12.had a plan and we hope that it would be enough, but sadly it was not. Now

:02:13. > :02:18.we are faced with something we have not seen before in there we are

:02:19. > :02:30.seeing flooding in big cities. Leeds, York, Rochdale. We have an

:02:31. > :02:34.arrangement that doesn't work. It has worked the second time around

:02:35. > :02:38.slightly better but that is no consolation to people who have been

:02:39. > :02:48.flooded for the third time. But the weather has changed and it is

:02:49. > :02:52.raining harder. Whatever it is, the climate change deniers may as well

:02:53. > :03:00.pack up and go away now. Something is happening. This is weird weather,

:03:01. > :03:10.when extraordinary phenomenon are coming along. They are now part of a

:03:11. > :03:13.regular pattern. Governments have taken a minimalist views as was

:03:14. > :03:20.clear last year when we saw the floods on the Somerset levels. The

:03:21. > :03:23.resources required are going to be enormous and we have half a

:03:24. > :03:30.battalion of trips out at the moment. If this goes on, we will

:03:31. > :03:37.have two new parts of our public service and reserves and have to be

:03:38. > :03:43.paid for by the government. All our European allies have this. As a

:03:44. > :03:46.farmer 's son I can say that another thing that is happening which is

:03:47. > :03:50.which is dangerous is that the soil is now saturated. In medieval times

:03:51. > :03:55.this was brilliantly described in the time of the great poet Monty,

:03:56. > :04:02.whose anniversary we have this year, it rained so hard that the grass

:04:03. > :04:08.turned yellow and the earth was poisoned for years. -- Dante. It is

:04:09. > :04:14.a phenomenon that farmers will recognise and that is where we are.

:04:15. > :04:18.If it is your home or your business, in it time it time and time again is

:04:19. > :04:28.miserable. I have not experienced this myself. My earliest memory is

:04:29. > :04:33.from the 1950s with my mother saying that there were a turtle floods and

:04:34. > :04:38.that even if they got everything dry it would still think. -- there were

:04:39. > :04:42.terrible floods. We're at people's businesses and the fact that the

:04:43. > :04:47.insurance companies will not pay for everything and money will need to be

:04:48. > :04:51.found. We have just spent ?2.5 million buying things that we do not

:04:52. > :05:00.need. That is a reference to buying things in the shops. -- ?3.5

:05:01. > :05:03.million. Another story about Michael Fallon

:05:04. > :05:12.sounding off here. What is he is talking about? The Defence Secretary

:05:13. > :05:15.is reading from behind because there has been a lot about this saying

:05:16. > :05:22.that he wants the European Convention on Human Rights

:05:23. > :05:33.cancelled, particularly where the armed services are concerned,

:05:34. > :05:39.because there is a huge backlog of compensation claims, some trivial

:05:40. > :05:46.and some very serious, including things related to unlawful killings,

:05:47. > :05:53.lifetime damage to health, and so on, and these are going to go on and

:05:54. > :06:03.on. I am very divided and sceptical about this because you are going to

:06:04. > :06:07.need some sort of legislation. I know this has been mismanaged for

:06:08. > :06:11.two decades and I know that the commanders and senior civil servants

:06:12. > :06:17.and judges are as much did they as the politicians because they were

:06:18. > :06:22.told that this was going to happen. He is complaining about ambulances

:06:23. > :06:26.chasing lawyers. He is complaining about ambulance chasing lawyers

:06:27. > :06:30.quite rightly in one sense, because it is a lucrative industry.

:06:31. > :06:36.Unfortunately, the timing of this and the mouth from which it comes...

:06:37. > :06:39.The timing is because they are questioning our position with

:06:40. > :06:42.regards to Europe and this does sound like a loyal Cabinet member

:06:43. > :06:48.backing up his leader because that is the position that Michael Fallon

:06:49. > :06:52.will take, this is something that people feel strongly about and

:06:53. > :06:56.everything is fair in love and war, but it isn't. There are ways to

:06:57. > :07:01.conduct these things. It is distasteful to find him trying to

:07:02. > :07:05.cut the soft now when there are cases in the pipeline. It looks as

:07:06. > :07:08.if he has counted up the cases and decided we cannot afford it so let's

:07:09. > :07:13.get out of Europe and cancelled the legislation. A lot of this is

:07:14. > :07:21.related to the Court of Human Rights and the Council of Europe, which is

:07:22. > :07:26.not the same thing. People will say that it is taxpayers' money and with

:07:27. > :07:32.compensation cases pending on over the case that very trivial... But we

:07:33. > :07:35.have to go back to the phrase that was just used saying that it could

:07:36. > :07:39.be managed better, this is a wasteful way to manage it. This

:07:40. > :07:45.allows a lot of people to make money from it. The French don't have it

:07:46. > :07:51.because when Lord Guthrie was chief of the defence staff he was told not

:07:52. > :07:59.to, but he should have insisted that we have ED regularisation. The

:08:00. > :08:08.conditions of the battlefield are not the same as those domestic UK.

:08:09. > :08:12.It will be an endless point of argument and it is a very big

:08:13. > :08:21.industry now so it will be fought tooth and nail. The Sunday Express

:08:22. > :08:26.has a story on its inside page that is headlined, Christian genocide

:08:27. > :08:31.warning. We spoke about this before we came on air and your view that it

:08:32. > :08:36.is something people do not speak about. We do not speak about it

:08:37. > :08:39.because we like to think we are nice people and we don't have to see

:08:40. > :08:44.genocide in the same breath as Christian but it was very

:08:45. > :08:51.interesting. MPs and peers were for the government to declare the

:08:52. > :08:59.persecution of Kristiansen Syria is genocide. They say that this will

:09:00. > :09:02.help prosecute for war crimes. Genocide is not random killing but

:09:03. > :09:08.the systematic killing or serious farming of people because they are

:09:09. > :09:13.part of the recognisable group. There is no doubt in our minds that

:09:14. > :09:17.the targeting of Christian and other minorities by Islamic State falls

:09:18. > :09:22.within that definition. Justin Welby, the Archbishop of Canterbury,

:09:23. > :09:26.mention this when he said that they were only interested in themselves

:09:27. > :09:30.and that anyone could be killed. He talked about girls being sold into

:09:31. > :09:39.sexual slavery and men getting killed. Do you think this will

:09:40. > :09:46.appeal, the warning that goes out from the Archbishop of Canterbury?

:09:47. > :09:49.Do you think it will make a difference? Is there any sort of

:09:50. > :09:54.sense in which this could be held back? It is part of a terrible

:09:55. > :09:58.situation. I am very worried because I have visited these kinds of

:09:59. > :10:02.Christian communities over many years and they are in a minority,

:10:03. > :10:14.but they have been an important minority. The Armenian community are

:10:15. > :10:23.essential to the business there. In Damascus there were Jews and all

:10:24. > :10:26.kinds of minorities. But they are now being persecuted and it is very

:10:27. > :10:32.interesting because controversy still continues about the Armenian

:10:33. > :10:38.genocide. At least 1 million died this year in 2015 100 years ago and

:10:39. > :10:44.they are getting it again, like the Jews they had been a very successful

:10:45. > :10:48.diaster and it is part of civilisation that grew out of the

:10:49. > :10:55.religions of the book. This is the most frightening thing about Isis

:10:56. > :11:07.and Al-Qaeda. The Prophet did not speak of arms but of hospitality and

:11:08. > :11:10.kindness. We are getting into a situation where there will be no

:11:11. > :11:18.questions. In the place where they hung on for two millennia vendor

:11:19. > :11:24.will not be. The cream is looking forward to 2016 when she will be 90

:11:25. > :11:34.and therefore she will not have to work so hard. -- Queen. The firm is

:11:35. > :11:39.readjusting itself, the Royal firm as George II called it. It is

:11:40. > :11:42.becoming more like a headquarters. They are doing marvellous things

:11:43. > :11:50.like the exhibitions at the gallery... I wonder whether the

:11:51. > :11:56.Queen would recognise the phrase whether she's going to spend more

:11:57. > :12:01.time unless some of her family. The story says she's going to spend less

:12:02. > :12:07.time at Buckingham Palace. But she doesn't like very much. She is

:12:08. > :12:12.happier at Windsor or Sandringham or Balmoral. She is elderly and she was

:12:13. > :12:18.to spend more time quietly. She was to spend more time in space. Most of

:12:19. > :12:24.the horses will be at Windsor and that is good for her. This is a

:12:25. > :12:28.gentle story suggesting that Her Majesty is getting older and the

:12:29. > :12:35.younger generation are coming up and she's going to spend less time in

:12:36. > :12:36.Buckingham Palace X. Thank you to you both.

:12:37. > :12:41.Thank you to both my guests, you'll both be back at 11.30pm

:12:42. > :12:51.for another look at the stories making the news tomorrow.

:12:52. > :12:56.At 11pm, w'll got more on the heavy rains and flooding that has forced

:12:57. > :12:58.hundreds of homes to be evacuated as rivers burst their banks

:12:59. > :13:00.after torrential rain in Northern England.

:13:01. > :13:04.Coming up next, Nick Hope looks ahead to Rio 2016 and assesses