06/01/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.body. We will also have the latest in the League Cup and the latest

:00:00. > :00:00.from the BDO world darts Championship. That is after the

:00:00. > :00:13.papers. -- The Papers. Hello and welcome to our look ahead

:00:14. > :00:17.to what the the papers will be With me are the political

:00:18. > :00:20.commentator Lance Price and Bronwyn Curtis, from the Society

:00:21. > :00:32.of Business Economists. We will start with the Financial

:00:33. > :00:36.Times which says the Chancellor George Osborne warns that unless

:00:37. > :00:40.tough economic reforms are stuck to, it could mark the beginning of the

:00:41. > :00:46.decline for the British economy. He cites the Chinese slowdown and

:00:47. > :00:55.plummeting oil prices as two crucial factors. The I talks about five

:00:56. > :01:02.extremists it says have slipped out of the country despite travel bans.

:01:03. > :01:05.The Metro has a story that exams have been altered amid concerns that

:01:06. > :01:10.Muslim children fasting during Ramadan will be unable to produce

:01:11. > :01:13.their best work. That story is also on the front page of the Daily Mail

:01:14. > :01:17.and there is a picture of Prince George of on his first day to

:01:18. > :01:22.nursery. The Daily Express warns Britain will

:01:23. > :01:25.freeze with snow and subzero temperatures heralding the start of

:01:26. > :01:30.proper winter weather. The Guardian leads on North Korea's

:01:31. > :01:35.claims it has tested a hydrogen bomb.

:01:36. > :01:39.There are doubts about the type of device that was detonated.

:01:40. > :01:43.The Telegraph says the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump

:01:44. > :01:47.has threatened to withdraw nilly 700 millions of pounds of investment in

:01:48. > :01:51.Scotland as he hits back at attempts to ban him from the country.

:01:52. > :01:58.Lance, we will start with the Guardian. Defiant Hilary Benn, still

:01:59. > :02:03.Shadow Foreign Secretary declares I have not been muzzled. The

:02:04. > :02:09.suggestion is that part of the deal for him staying in his post would

:02:10. > :02:13.not be as this difference as he has been in declaring his opposition to

:02:14. > :02:18.certain elements of the Labour leadership's policies. But he is

:02:19. > :02:21.saying he has not been muzzled. I spent much of the afternoon down at

:02:22. > :02:26.Westminster. I have spoken to some of the people at the centre of the

:02:27. > :02:31.story. Those around Hillary Benn are absolutely adamant that not only has

:02:32. > :02:36.he not signed up to any new terms of agreement or be muzzled as it might

:02:37. > :02:42.have been described, but he was never even asked to do so. I think

:02:43. > :02:45.there has been a lot of very let's say I'm helpful briefing, both

:02:46. > :02:53.before, during and after this lengthy and rather preposterous at

:02:54. > :02:56.times reshuffle. That is another piece of disinformation that has

:02:57. > :03:04.been thrown into the pot. He will carry on as before. Bronwen, with

:03:05. > :03:09.your outsider eyes, if you don't mind me saying that, what does this

:03:10. > :03:17.look like to you? They are opposition, they are supposed to be

:03:18. > :03:21.keeping checks and balances on the Conservatives and we have all this

:03:22. > :03:27.going on. I see this over and over and I think, not again. Coming from

:03:28. > :03:33.the outside, when I was in business and I had people, I wanted the best

:03:34. > :03:37.people around me. I wanted to employ the best people. Even if they don't

:03:38. > :03:41.agree with you. What you should be able to do, if you are a leader and

:03:42. > :03:47.if you are good enough, and I always hoped I was good enough, to bring

:03:48. > :03:51.them all along with you, so you really can be an effective business,

:03:52. > :03:58.opposition, government, whatever it is. I find this a little bit

:03:59. > :04:02.surprising, and a bit unnerving that did he not have the best people

:04:03. > :04:08.before? Does he have the best people now? That is an important point

:04:09. > :04:11.because normally reshuffles are there to clear away the dead wood.

:04:12. > :04:17.You might want to get somebody better into their post but these are

:04:18. > :04:23.very good performers. These are some of the brightest people on Labour's

:04:24. > :04:25.front bench who appeared to pose a threat real or imaginary to Jeremy

:04:26. > :04:33.Corbyn. They are people that any Labour leader would want. Who is at

:04:34. > :04:41.fault for this? Does the blame for the handling of this whole thing I

:04:42. > :04:45.at Seamus Milne's door? He is the director of communications. There

:04:46. > :04:49.are questions being asked publicly about Seamus Milne. Labour should

:04:50. > :04:52.have been out there campaigning on the floods and rail fares and the

:04:53. > :04:57.health service and all sorts of things which really matter to

:04:58. > :05:02.people. The story was allowed to run and run, including the threat to

:05:03. > :05:05.Hilary Benn's position. If this position was never under threat,

:05:06. > :05:11.they had plenty of opportunity to kill that story if they had wanted

:05:12. > :05:15.to. They kept it going. It was badly handled if media terms but also in

:05:16. > :05:26.political terms. It has been pretty shabby. North Korea's hydrogen bomb

:05:27. > :05:31.sends shock waves through the UN. It is not the first time they have done

:05:32. > :05:37.it, I think it is the fourth time they have set off some sort of

:05:38. > :05:43.nuclear device, shall we say. No one is clear if it is the more powerful

:05:44. > :05:49.hydrogen bomb or the common or garden atom bomb. That is bad

:05:50. > :05:53.enough! Apparently, the seismic measurement was such that it

:05:54. > :05:58.probably was not a hydrogen bomb. The interesting thing about this

:05:59. > :06:04.particular article is it is talking about how will the UN react to this.

:06:05. > :06:10.It is the first time that China has joined in the global protest against

:06:11. > :06:15.this nuclear test. They are looking now at what they are going to do. I

:06:16. > :06:21.think in this article the UN ambassador for Japan is saying the

:06:22. > :06:26.UN needs to do something quickly, in terms of sanctions. They're already

:06:27. > :06:28.20 entity is and I think 12 individuals who have sanctions

:06:29. > :06:35.against them, and I think they want increase that. Normally, North

:06:36. > :06:40.Korea, they set off some kind of device or they fire a missile across

:06:41. > :06:45.the Straits of two pan, they do this to get attention and they do this to

:06:46. > :06:54.try and get concessions from the international community. -- the

:06:55. > :06:56.Straits of Japan. Setting of a hydrogen bomb will have the opposite

:06:57. > :06:58.effect and tighten sanctions against? And there have been

:06:59. > :07:03.previous stories where they appear to stop doing this sort of thing to

:07:04. > :07:06.get sanctions lifted, but once again it raises questions about how

:07:07. > :07:10.effective these sanctions can ever be, and whether or not the nutcases

:07:11. > :07:15.who run countries like North Korea really care. Those at the top are

:07:16. > :07:19.already subject to sanctions so you add another 20 names to the list,

:07:20. > :07:24.does that make any difference at all to the intentions of the regime? It

:07:25. > :07:34.may well be a publicity stunt. They want to be noticed, they want to be

:07:35. > :07:39.taken seriously. They probably like the fact the UN Security Council has

:07:40. > :07:41.to be formed in response to them. This shows the weakness of the

:07:42. > :07:48.United Nations rather than the strength.

:07:49. > :07:54.Onto the I, Bronwyn, five more extremist slipped out of the UK? How

:07:55. > :08:00.difficult is it to get out of the UK? Clearly quite easy, even if you

:08:01. > :08:04.have a passport. Your passport is checked on the way in, but I cannot

:08:05. > :08:08.remember the last time my passport was checked on the way out and that

:08:09. > :08:14.is the problem. You do have your photograph taken now and I'm sure

:08:15. > :08:18.they're not instigated enough to have face recognition that sort of

:08:19. > :08:24.thing. Also, if you warn these people that they should be handing

:08:25. > :08:31.in their passports, I think, if I was a terrorist, I would be getting

:08:32. > :08:36.out of the country. I think they will have to tighten it up. The

:08:37. > :08:40.pressure is really being put on Theresa May now and the Home Office

:08:41. > :08:49.over this. The question is what do you do? Theresa May has indicated

:08:50. > :08:51.they will introduce passport checks on exits from the UK but that in

:08:52. > :08:56.itself does not mean anything. As an island nation it is easy enough to

:08:57. > :09:00.slip out of the country. How far do you go in the other direction? It is

:09:01. > :09:05.worth noting that of the five people the story talks about, three of them

:09:06. > :09:08.are supposed to have been killed in drone strikes since they left.

:09:09. > :09:12.Clearly, it is preferable to make sure they don't leave in the first

:09:13. > :09:15.place. Do you start putting electronic tag some people so you

:09:16. > :09:20.can monitor them electronic way to find out where they are? The person

:09:21. > :09:24.at the centre of all this had not been before a judge. He was only on

:09:25. > :09:30.police bail. They're always questions about how far you can go.

:09:31. > :09:39.Onto the Financial Times. Osborne warns of a risk -- cocktail of risks

:09:40. > :09:44.over China and the slump in oil. I think the global economy is in for a

:09:45. > :09:49.bumpy ride and what he's saying is a lot of these are external. China, we

:09:50. > :09:56.have seen the stock markets have really taken a beating this week

:09:57. > :10:01.over the slowdown in China, the slump in oil prices, oil prices

:10:02. > :10:07.below $35 for the first time in 25 years. Tensions we have talked about

:10:08. > :10:12.between Saudi Arabia and Iran and therefore, they won't get together

:10:13. > :10:17.in Opec and perhaps try and push oil prices up. What he's saying is,

:10:18. > :10:23.don't forget there a crisis, we are not through it yet, we still have to

:10:24. > :10:28.deal with austerity and we cannot let it go. Is he saying we are going

:10:29. > :10:33.to miss another deficit reduction target? I think he's indicating

:10:34. > :10:37.that. There was a comment at Christmas that the growth figures

:10:38. > :10:43.were better than he thought, now he looks like the opposite is the case.

:10:44. > :10:46.Bronwyn is the expert not me, there are huge shocks like the situation

:10:47. > :10:51.in China, the fall in the price of oil, and how is a bit more austerity

:10:52. > :10:56.Britain is supposed to protect us from that, I don't understand. I

:10:57. > :11:01.think one of the problems is if growth slows then you don't get the

:11:02. > :11:08.tax revenues in, and so if you let off the brakes, it all starts to

:11:09. > :11:11.balloon out again. All right. We will end it finally on the Daily

:11:12. > :11:17.Telegraph. Trump's ?700 million threat to the UK. Basically, some of

:11:18. > :11:20.his comments in the United States have ruffled feathers around the

:11:21. > :11:23.world, as he runs for the leadership of the Republican party and to be

:11:24. > :11:34.contender for the White House. Some Brits are suggesting he

:11:35. > :11:46.Basically, this is his threat. But he is

:11:47. > :11:49.million and I am not going to do that. He is running a business, so

:11:50. > :11:57.obviously, his business requires him to invest in what he already has in

:11:58. > :12:05.Scotland. Could he be making that up? Donald Trump makes a lot of

:12:06. > :12:08.threats! He seems to have a poor understanding of how British

:12:09. > :12:12.democracy works. There may be a debate in the House of Commons but

:12:13. > :12:16.he will not be banned from coming here so this will not arise. You

:12:17. > :12:22.will both be back in an hour's time. Thank you. Stay with us on BBC News.

:12:23. > :12:23.Much more, not but now it is time for