07/01/2016

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:00:00. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:18. > :00:20.With me are Rowena Mason, the political correspondent

:00:21. > :00:23.at the Guardian and Ben Chu, the Economics Editor

:00:24. > :00:37.And we will start with the Financial Times. The turmoil on the global

:00:38. > :00:44.financial markets. And the Metro reports on the killing

:00:45. > :00:50.of Sian Blake and her children. And the Daily Express talks about house

:00:51. > :00:54.prices and the cold weather. And Whitehall signing of an official

:00:55. > :00:58.letter from the top medic questioning weather striking junior

:00:59. > :01:06.doctors would be available to help in the event of a Paris style terror

:01:07. > :01:13.attack. And the Daily Telegraph says that there are now he state alcohol

:01:14. > :01:19.guidelines. And The Guardian with that advice, no more than one pint

:01:20. > :01:29.per day for men. And Times talks about that Syrian town of macro

:01:30. > :01:33.three -- of Madaya, with people dying of starvation.

:01:34. > :01:43.And we will start with the markets turmoil. Global markets and fresh

:01:44. > :01:48.term I'll -- fresh turmoil. Big sell-offs in China, then followed by

:01:49. > :01:54.not quite as big but sizeable sell-offs in European and American

:01:55. > :01:58.markets. China, the equity market there, people think this is

:01:59. > :02:02.all-important, but not that important. What is important is the

:02:03. > :02:07.slowing of the Chinese economy affecting the rest of the world.

:02:08. > :02:11.People reading into what is happening in the financial markets

:02:12. > :02:22.as a proxy indicator for that. That is why people are getting upset and

:02:23. > :02:30.not help that the Chinese are making matters worse, but I think what they

:02:31. > :02:34.will do is put more of the state money into the markets tomorrow to

:02:35. > :02:42.try and prop it up. Which is what was done last summer when there was

:02:43. > :02:45.an equally big sell-off. Politically, we have had the

:02:46. > :02:50.Chancellor George Osborne saying that these sort of headwinds from

:02:51. > :02:54.China and other markets around the world, developing markets

:02:55. > :02:57.particularly, will cause ructions for the British economy, some

:02:58. > :03:02.suggesting cynically he is basically putting his excuses out there ahead

:03:03. > :03:07.of time or when he potentially does not meet his deficit reduction

:03:08. > :03:12.targets? Rob Lee al little of that, he said that is a dangerous cocktail

:03:13. > :03:17.of different factors that could be negative for the UK economy. --

:03:18. > :03:22.probably little of that. And warning in advance of anything going wrong,

:03:23. > :03:26.an insurance policy, so if things turn out all right he can claim

:03:27. > :03:32.credit and if it goes wrong you will say that it's not his fault, it is

:03:33. > :03:37.all these things happening abroad. And the factor of the opposition as

:03:38. > :03:43.well, the Conservatives have quite a lead in most opinion polls against

:03:44. > :03:49.Labour on economic matters. It helps them as the Chancellor to suggest

:03:50. > :03:53.that he is in the best party to deal with any difficult economic

:03:54. > :03:57.circumstances ahead. But the Chinese economy, you alluded to the problems

:03:58. > :04:02.that existed last summer, so we know the Chinese economy has gone through

:04:03. > :04:06.a bumpy patch but the Autumn Statement, on November the 5th,

:04:07. > :04:12.suggested everything would be rosy with the British economy, an extra

:04:13. > :04:17.?25 billion not used to offset the deficit, but used in various tax

:04:18. > :04:20.breaks? Yes, forecasts have unchanged, and George Osborne was

:04:21. > :04:28.not seeing the British economy will slow down but carry reasonably, this

:04:29. > :04:32.is sort of an if that is some kind of headwinds that has not been

:04:33. > :04:36.factored into the forecast that throws everything off kilter, that

:04:37. > :04:43.is what he is alluding to, but nothing in the economic data for the

:04:44. > :04:46.UK. There is slight slowdown but nothing that would cause anyone to

:04:47. > :04:51.say this has changed dramatically since last month or even last

:04:52. > :04:56.summer. And The Independent, revealing how Whitehall officials

:04:57. > :05:00.sexed up the case against junior doctors, we know they will

:05:01. > :05:04.potentially strike on Tuesday, the first of three stoppages they are

:05:05. > :05:10.planning. But an interesting take on the whole situation? Yes, and this

:05:11. > :05:16.will make the tense and Phoebe Ryle atmosphere over the we junior

:05:17. > :05:25.doctors feel they have been treated even worse. It appears that the

:05:26. > :05:32.director of NHS England was consulting with Jeremy Hunt about

:05:33. > :05:35.this letter he released in November, which was questioning whether junior

:05:36. > :05:40.doctors would be available if there was a strike on the day of Paris

:05:41. > :05:46.style terror attack. And it was shortly after the terror attack.

:05:47. > :05:51.That made junior doctors angry, questioning their professionalism

:05:52. > :05:54.and sense of duty. They said, of course, they would come in and help

:05:55. > :06:00.if that sort of thing happened during a strike, no one would be

:06:01. > :06:05.denied treatment. What I think we'll Ryle people up is this sense of

:06:06. > :06:13.Jeremy Hunt, our political figure, collaborating with an independent

:06:14. > :06:20.Whitehall figure, who is part of the medical establishment that should be

:06:21. > :06:28.neutral. The suggestion from the article is this letter was sexed up

:06:29. > :06:32.to suggest that junior doctors, because they were on strike, would

:06:33. > :06:41.not be able to cope or deal with potentially bothering coming in,

:06:42. > :06:48.some have argued, if there was a Paris style terror attacks. Yes, and

:06:49. > :06:52.offensive to doctors that if there was an emergency they would not

:06:53. > :06:59.help, going against the ethos of their profession. Interesting that

:07:00. > :07:03.he is supposed to be an independent figure, and the charge levelled

:07:04. > :07:07.against Professor Sir Bruce Keogh tonight, but he has not disowned

:07:08. > :07:14.what he has done, he has said, yes of course, representing NHS England,

:07:15. > :07:18.having a duty of care against patients. Why should they not

:07:19. > :07:24.consult about how to frame the issue of what is at stake if junior

:07:25. > :07:28.doctors do go on strike? It is an interesting debate. I'm not sure

:07:29. > :07:33.what side I come down on, I can see it from the junior doctors' point of

:07:34. > :07:38.view, but this senior civil servant has to put patients first, and maybe

:07:39. > :07:45.it is reasonable that he coordinated with the Health Secretary on this

:07:46. > :07:52.matter. Let's go to the Times, Ken Livingstone, Labour slaps down him

:07:53. > :07:58.for putting Nato status in doubt. A lot of toing and froing about the

:07:59. > :08:03.status of Labour's defence policy on the shadow ventures as to whether or

:08:04. > :08:07.not these should support the removal of Triton, supporting military

:08:08. > :08:16.action in Syria, I'm no controversy over Nato status as well. It was a

:08:17. > :08:21.sharp left controversy, because Khan Livingstone -- Ken Livingstone said

:08:22. > :08:27.this at lunchtime, talking about the defence review he is helping to

:08:28. > :08:32.cheer, and he said they would want to look at Nato, but he did not

:08:33. > :08:39.think it was that big a deal, because the cold War is over now.

:08:40. > :08:43.Something we would want to look at, Britain's membership of Nato, alarm

:08:44. > :08:52.bells, silence, white incendiary words! I think those alarm bells did

:08:53. > :08:57.go off in the Labour headquarters and it was a very short space of

:08:58. > :09:03.time and a statement came out which said that the defence review was not

:09:04. > :09:08.looking at Britain's membership of Nato, it has definitely been agreed

:09:09. > :09:13.in the top levels of the party that this is not a subject up for debate.

:09:14. > :09:19.But is there a lot of confusion on the part of some members of the

:09:20. > :09:24.public as to where Labour stands defence wise? The leader is

:09:25. > :09:29.committed pacifist, making that clear, but a member of the Stop the

:09:30. > :09:35.War Coalition, you have him voting against air strikes in Syria, and

:09:36. > :09:40.the Labour front bench team did vote for that, and he is not for the

:09:41. > :09:49.removal of Trident and yet the message loud and clear following

:09:50. > :09:55.what Ken Livingstone alluded to that they will maintain Britain's

:09:56. > :09:58.membership of Nato. Welcome to new politics. Contradiction is the name

:09:59. > :10:02.of the game. But they are struggling to get the policy. That is why Ken

:10:03. > :10:08.Livingstone was put on this committee about renewing Trident,

:10:09. > :10:13.and white Emily Thornberry is on it, because Jeremy Corbyn is trying to

:10:14. > :10:18.shift the party in the direction he wants to go. He does not want a war

:10:19. > :10:26.on two France, shutting down the Nato issue, and knows that getting

:10:27. > :10:39.of Trident is enough of a challenge. -- two fronts. It is old politics,

:10:40. > :10:44.he wants to help the party along. And to the Daily Telegraph, health

:10:45. > :10:53.chiefs... Sorry, going over to David Cameron on the brink of an EU

:10:54. > :10:59.benefit curve. He has been touring European capitals to drum up support

:11:00. > :11:04.about Britain's status within the European Union. It looks like he has

:11:05. > :11:12.been getting some good sounding? Yes, suggestions that within the EU

:11:13. > :11:16.they are proposing this back door ghetto option for them on migrant

:11:17. > :11:21.benefits, the major sticking point when it comes to him getting the

:11:22. > :11:26.negotiation deals, he wants to ban migrants from getting benefits for

:11:27. > :11:33.four years after first coming to the UK. The suggestion that he might,

:11:34. > :11:38.that that might also apply to Britain's when turning 18 until 22,

:11:39. > :11:43.that they might be given compensation for this in another

:11:44. > :11:46.way, a sort of special deal given to them by the Chancellor and allowed

:11:47. > :11:52.by the EU. Part of the deal, whatever he suggests, that could be

:11:53. > :11:58.the case for new migrants and has to be part of the deal that Britons are

:11:59. > :12:03.affected in the same way? Yes, and would be compensated in another way.

:12:04. > :12:07.What is being suggested anyway. And floated in this piece this means it

:12:08. > :12:13.could be done, the deal could be done quickly, maybe at the February

:12:14. > :12:19.council. We have a story in The Guardian that negotiations are not

:12:20. > :12:21.going as smoothly as he might have wanted, and it might slip into

:12:22. > :12:25.March, affecting the timetable for the Hall EU referendum and make slip

:12:26. > :12:31.further into the summer. What will his backbenchers think? I suspect

:12:32. > :12:36.they will not be convinced. But some real ironies in this, the first is

:12:37. > :12:40.young people have had it particularly hard over the past

:12:41. > :12:45.eight years and this compromise will hit them again. There could be some

:12:46. > :12:49.compensation for it but the principle is the will be

:12:50. > :12:53.discriminated against to get this deal. The second irony is no

:12:54. > :13:00.evidence that clamping down on migrant benefits will affect migrant

:13:01. > :13:05.flows. The presumption this is what is drying them in with no evidence.

:13:06. > :13:09.The people against the EU that think the real problem is people coming in

:13:10. > :13:13.and we need this deal to stop them, that is not supported by the facts,

:13:14. > :13:18.not achieving what everyone hopes it will. And if there is some slippage

:13:19. > :13:25.in terms of getting the deal that means the referendum itself... No

:13:26. > :13:30.date anyway but the consensus was it was beginning to form around June or

:13:31. > :13:35.July but seems to be later in the year, maybe September? Yes, some of

:13:36. > :13:41.their anti-EU campaigners have prepared for the referendum to be as

:13:42. > :13:47.soon as 170 days, which puts it in June. If Cameron cannot get a deal

:13:48. > :13:53.at the next EU summit, if it slips to March, it will take even longer

:13:54. > :13:57.for all the preparations to be done. And certain limits under electoral

:13:58. > :14:04.law that you have to have for the campaign. The summer holidays start,

:14:05. > :14:08.I think in Scotland starting even earlier, so if it gets beyond the

:14:09. > :14:18.point of March he will have to hold it in September. The political

:14:19. > :14:24.problem will be some people around the in camp are worried the migrant

:14:25. > :14:34.crisis could affect things. Finally, to Guardian. Do you like a tipple?

:14:35. > :14:39.Some white wine? Note The Guardian is seeing cutting drinking 21 pen

:14:40. > :14:48.per day is the best for men. -- cutting drinking to a pint a day.

:14:49. > :14:55.According to guidelines, no alcohol is safe, the first guideline in 20

:14:56. > :15:00.years, and none is safe and you should cut your limit from 21 units

:15:01. > :15:09.to about 14. The ceiling has been brought down. Nanny state is the

:15:10. > :15:15.accusation. Certainly the allegation from the Daily Telegraph. And the

:15:16. > :15:21.Institute for Economic Affairs. I think they have a point. As long as

:15:22. > :15:26.you drink modestly. But a hugely in the downward direction for the

:15:27. > :15:32.recommended limits. Nanny state for me. Angry you might have to go down

:15:33. > :15:43.to a pint a day to keep your liver in check? I could live with that.

:15:44. > :15:48.Help chiefs attacked over nanny state guide, but incumbent upon any

:15:49. > :15:53.society to protect citizens and offer advice that will keep them in

:15:54. > :15:58.one piece? They have obviously got good evidence and research behind

:15:59. > :16:03.this, but I think a lot of people will find it pretty alarming,

:16:04. > :16:07.probably why it is on the front of so many papers. It will be

:16:08. > :16:13.eye-catching, I'm just glad it came out after Christmas, when a lot of

:16:14. > :16:22.people are doing the right January and May be some incentive to carry

:16:23. > :16:27.on. -- dry January. Maybe that is why it came out this time of year.

:16:28. > :16:29.Thank you both very much. More to come on BBC News, but now it is

:16:30. > :16:37.Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday -

:16:38. > :16:42.I'm Mike Bushell. The suspended Uefa

:16:43. > :16:45.president, Michel Platini,