:00:17. > :00:18.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers
:00:19. > :00:22.With me are Tim Shipman, political editor of the Sunday
:00:23. > :00:28.Times, and Oliver Wright, political editor of the Independent.
:00:29. > :00:30.The Observer leads with figures from the World Health Organisation
:00:31. > :00:34.The health body declares it a global public health emergency, warning
:00:35. > :00:47.that poor air quality will overwhelm health services across the globe.
:00:48. > :00:49.The Sunday Express writes that millions of families can expect
:00:50. > :00:52.higher council tax bills and bigger cuts to public services
:00:53. > :00:54.because of Conservatives plans to reduce county council budgets.
:00:55. > :00:57.The Mail on Sunday headlines a poll which suggests
:00:58. > :01:04.the campaign for Britain to leave the EU is now six points ahead.
:01:05. > :01:07.It blames the Paris massacre, Cologne sex attacks and the Syrian
:01:08. > :01:11.The Telegraph unveils a new alliance of Conservative MPs
:01:12. > :01:19.that plans to push for Britain to stay within the EU.
:01:20. > :01:21.They warn against Britain leaping into the void.
:01:22. > :01:24.The Independent on Sunday has an exclusive interview with the head
:01:25. > :01:26.of Interpol, who says criminal gangs made ?4 billion last year
:01:27. > :01:31.And the Sunday Times leads with the terrorist attack in Burkina Faso
:01:32. > :01:49.We can begin with the Sunday Telegraph. Tim, earlier you were
:01:50. > :01:56.saying that you were saying that they were finding it hard to write
:01:57. > :01:58.about other than Europe. There are only three things Westminster is
:01:59. > :02:04.talking about. The Tories are talking about Europe and the future
:02:05. > :02:07.leadership of your party. And the Labour Party MPs are talking about
:02:08. > :02:12.the current leadership of their party. That is basically it. Europe
:02:13. > :02:17.is on the front of three national newspapers. This is a bit like the
:02:18. > :02:31.PeopleSoft of Judy and the Judaean 's people front. -- the people's
:02:32. > :02:35.front of Judaea. Splitters! The significance of this story is that
:02:36. > :02:39.David Cameron has finally found some allies and a new group that is
:02:40. > :02:42.imaginatively called conservatives for the reform of Europe, which does
:02:43. > :02:51.what it says on the tin, they want to stay in the EU. The former
:02:52. > :02:59.Policing Minister, he will run the script. He is a eurosceptic. But now
:03:00. > :03:10.he says we should stay in. It is a big deal for Cameron to land this
:03:11. > :03:14.by. -- land this. Where is the Conservative Party on Europe at the
:03:15. > :03:20.moment? All over the place? What David Cameron will try to do if he
:03:21. > :03:27.gets this successful negotiation, which many of us doubt he will be
:03:28. > :03:35.able to achieve in the next month or so... He will try and run quite a
:03:36. > :03:40.eurosceptic campaign to keep Britain within the EU. They will not
:03:41. > :03:48.suddenly start saying the EU is the best thing. He will be saying that
:03:49. > :03:53.he has a deal to give us some less Europe and so on balance, it is
:03:54. > :04:05.better to stay in. It is interesting to think how you get that message
:04:06. > :04:12.across. It would be a spin, a turnaround, that could put him in
:04:13. > :04:21.the Olympic figure skating! EU shock. The outer vote is 6% ahead.
:04:22. > :04:29.-- outvote. This is a significant shift. If you look back to before
:04:30. > :04:33.Christmas, there were some opinion polls that had them two or three
:04:34. > :04:39.points ahead. This is the largest survey that has suggested such a
:04:40. > :04:46.lead. I think that the polls will fluctuate quite a lot. This these
:04:47. > :04:53.talks about the coming sex attacks, the Syrian migrant crisis, the Paris
:04:54. > :04:57.terror attacks. -- the Cologne sex attacks. It does show that the
:04:58. > :05:01.referendum is at the mercy of events that David Cameron, control in this
:05:02. > :05:06.campaign. One reason why he wants to get a deal quickly in February
:05:07. > :05:11.rather than halfway through the year is that they are worried about the
:05:12. > :05:20.migrant crisis dominating the news agenda during the summer. There is a
:05:21. > :05:26.degree of bloody mindedness about this as well. There is a fear in
:05:27. > :05:31.Downing Street that if you get everybody telling people that we
:05:32. > :05:36.need to stay in, the main parties, the big businesses, part of the
:05:37. > :05:42.British public will push back against that. And some on the left
:05:43. > :05:46.are pretty anti-European, although for different reasons. They see it
:05:47. > :05:56.as a pro-business union. They hate the TT IP. That is the transatlantic
:05:57. > :06:03.trade partnership. Both agree a trade deal with the US. As it's
:06:04. > :06:07.David Cameron were not stressed enough about this, Boris Johnson has
:06:08. > :06:12.emerged. He is looming over everything. The poll says that if
:06:13. > :06:18.Boris supported the outcome thing, his lead would go -- the campaign's
:06:19. > :06:29.lead would go from 6.2 eight points. Both sides are desperate to get him.
:06:30. > :06:34.-- six points to eight point. In terms of the general public, the
:06:35. > :06:41.only person who is likely to be able to move a significant amount of
:06:42. > :06:48.votes is Boris Johnson. Nobody I have spoken to around Boris thinks
:06:49. > :06:55.that is what he is likely to do but there is an attempt to involve him.
:06:56. > :07:04.There is always a Boris angle. And he causes quite a lot of these Boris
:07:05. > :07:10.angle is. -- angles. He has written a lot about this himself. He is
:07:11. > :07:16.trying to extract as much political capital out of this decision as
:07:17. > :07:21.possible. He wants to be positioned where he can succeed David Cameron
:07:22. > :07:27.when he steps down. If he thinks is best chance is to lead the no
:07:28. > :07:33.campaign, that is probably what he will do. If he thinks his best
:07:34. > :07:46.chance is to lead the yes campaign, he will probably do that. A variety
:07:47. > :07:52.of rabbits from the hat. They want to rebrand our membership as a slow
:07:53. > :07:57.lane in the 2-tier Europe. This idea of an emergency brake to stop
:07:58. > :08:06.migrants coming in if public services are getting overwhelmed.
:08:07. > :08:09.And just to connect to what we are saying, what David Cameron really
:08:10. > :08:14.wants to do after the negotiation is make a grand announcement about
:08:15. > :08:18.changing domestic law to say that British law and British courts have
:08:19. > :08:23.supremacy over what happens in Europe. This was an idea that Boris
:08:24. > :08:26.himself has been advancing and the trick is that Michael Gove has been
:08:27. > :08:32.asked by Cameron to go and make this happen. The people they really want
:08:33. > :08:36.to lock into the Cameron camp, they get one of them to deliver the
:08:37. > :08:44.other's idea and then everyone lives happily ever after. The other major
:08:45. > :08:51.story in the Sunday Times is this latest attack, this time in Burkina
:08:52. > :08:56.Faso. This is a very interesting picture of French special forces who
:08:57. > :09:00.were rapidly deployed. This is interesting beyond the obvious point
:09:01. > :09:03.that this is yet another terrorist attack. The fact that French special
:09:04. > :09:09.forces were on the scene they quickly suggest to me that there was
:09:10. > :09:12.some kind of deal, some kind of organisation that should this happen
:09:13. > :09:16.and how they would organise the logistics of those kinds of
:09:17. > :09:20.situation. It shows a degree of international cooperation where the
:09:21. > :09:24.West is actively participating and helping some of the more vulnerable
:09:25. > :09:29.countries in terms of the security apparatus there. Having people who
:09:30. > :09:35.can deal with these sorts of attack close by, ready and able. This
:09:36. > :09:41.sounds like an insensitive thing to say but 29 people dead... 150
:09:42. > :09:45.hostages... It suggests to a certain extent that the operation was
:09:46. > :09:50.reasonably successful. There is always that question. Is this what
:09:51. > :09:53.groups like Al-Qaeda won't? Western newspapers reported on a story that
:09:54. > :10:00.happened in a country a long way away? It is a country as long way
:10:01. > :10:04.away. It is interesting, politically. A national newspaper
:10:05. > :10:08.putting on its front page something that happened a long way away. But
:10:09. > :10:13.we have a Prime Minister who thinks this is the existential battle about
:10:14. > :10:17.times. And one of his predecessors, Tony Blair, would say exactly the
:10:18. > :10:20.same thing. There is international cooperation and the view that things
:10:21. > :10:25.are happening long way away are part of the same struggle that
:10:26. > :10:28.politicians here think they are engaged in and it does not matter
:10:29. > :10:34.that is happening in West Africa, you have to tackle this wherever it
:10:35. > :10:43.is happening. Tax rate on middle-class. What is this about? It
:10:44. > :10:46.is complicated but it affects all of us, so it is important. The
:10:47. > :10:52.government is completely changing the way they provide funding to
:10:53. > :10:57.local councils. They are trying to encourage local councils to be more
:10:58. > :11:01.limited in the way they raise money. They will be allowed to keep
:11:02. > :11:06.all of the business rates. As part of that, somehow you have got to
:11:07. > :11:09.rearrange the funding so that the poorer parts of the country do not
:11:10. > :11:14.massively lose out. This story says that the government's plans will
:11:15. > :11:16.take money from some of the county councils. What we know about those?
:11:17. > :11:22.They tend to rural and conservative. This story is
:11:23. > :11:28.basically saying that a group of Tory backbenchers are kicking off
:11:29. > :11:30.about this, saying how dare you do this and that they will lose
:11:31. > :11:33.services. They say they will fight the government when some of these
:11:34. > :11:38.girls go through the House of Commons. Many people will say that
:11:39. > :11:41.this is what affects people on the ground much more than what they
:11:42. > :11:47.might consider quite incidental debate about the EU. Yes. This is a
:11:48. > :11:52.good story. It is about how much people pay in council tax and how
:11:53. > :11:55.much they get back out of it. The problem you have with this contrast
:11:56. > :11:59.between the rural and the open, yes, you have a lot of rich people living
:12:00. > :12:02.in the countryside and doing quite well, but you also have a lot of
:12:03. > :12:09.poverty in rural areas and housing problems. Children who have grown up
:12:10. > :12:12.there cannot afford to live there. Elderly people without bus
:12:13. > :12:15.services... This kind of thing. It is not as simple as perhaps this
:12:16. > :12:23.government formula is making it out to be. On many of the front pages,
:12:24. > :12:30.there is an image of Stuart Broad, celebrating after England's
:12:31. > :12:35.victory. Here it is. We might as well enjoy this for a bit. That was
:12:36. > :12:37.an extraordinary performance. I don't know about you but I grew up
:12:38. > :12:42.watching some pretty miserable cricket in my days. Some of it was
:12:43. > :12:46.enlivened by watching Stuart Broad's father who did well very
:12:47. > :12:52.briefly for England 20 odd years ago. Not that briefly! You make it
:12:53. > :12:57.sound like he had a good afternoon. He had one very good series. But
:12:58. > :13:01.Stuart Broad is turning into one of the greatest fast bowlers England
:13:02. > :13:07.has ever had. He has taken six or seven wickets, a ludicrous amount of
:13:08. > :13:15.wickets, against the Australians. We have 2 of the greatest of -- bowling
:13:16. > :13:20.performances by an impish bowler in my adult lifetime. -- English
:13:21. > :13:25.bowler. When there is good news on the front pages, it is nice to have
:13:26. > :13:31.some sporting success. -- grim news. It is stop and I suppose what we do
:13:32. > :13:37.need is some consistency. When they are good, they are brilliant. But
:13:38. > :13:45.then one year or so later, they do something unexpected. We will see.
:13:46. > :13:48.Coming up next, it's the Film Review.